State v. Alaska Democratic Party , 426 P.3d 901 ( 2018 )


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    Readers are requested to bring errors to the attention of the Clerk of the Appellate Courts,
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    THE SUPREME COURT OF THE STATE OF ALASKA
    STATE OF ALASKA,                                )
    ) Supreme Court No. S-16875
    Appellant,                )
    ) Superior Court No. 1JU-17-00563 CI
    v.                                        )
    ) OPINION
    ALASKA DEMOCRATIC PARTY,                        )
    ) No. 7279 – August 24, 2018
    Appellee.                 )
    )
    Appeal from the Superior Court of the State of Alaska, First
    Judicial District, Juneau, Philip M. Pallenberg, Judge.
    Appearances: Laura Fox, Assistant Attorney General,
    Anchorage, and Jahna Lindemuth, Attorney General, Juneau,
    for Appellant. Jon Choate, Choate Law Firm LLC, Juneau,
    for Appellee.
    Before: Stowers, Chief Justice, Winfree, Maassen, Bolger,
    and Carney, Justices.
    WINFREE, Justice.
    I.    INTRODUCTION
    The Alaska Democratic Party amended its bylaws to allow registered
    independent voters to run as candidates in its primary elections without having to
    become Democratic Party members, seeking to expand its field of candidates and thereby
    nominate general election candidates more acceptable to Alaska voters. But the Division
    of Elections refused to allow independent voter candidates on the Democratic Party
    primary election ballot, taking the position that Alaska election law — specifically the
    “party affiliation rule” — prevented anyone not registered as a Democrat from being a
    candidate in the Democratic Party’s primary elections. The Democratic Party sued for
    declaratory and injunctive relief preventing enforcement of the party affiliation rule, and
    the superior court ruled in its favor.      The State appealed.      Because the Alaska
    Constitution’s free association guarantee protects a political party’s choice to open its
    primary elections to independent voter candidates, and because in this specific context
    the State has no countervailing need to enforce the party affiliation rule, we affirm the
    superior court’s decision.
    II.    FACTS AND PROCEEDINGS
    A.     Alaska’s Election System
    Alaska uses a mandatory primary election or petition process to decide who
    may appear as a candidate for statewide office on the general election ballot.1 A
    candidate affiliated with a recognized state political party 2 may appear on the general
    election ballot by winning a primary election against other party candidates.3 A
    1
    See generally AS 15.25.
    2
    See AS 15.80.008 (defining recognized political party); AS 15.80.010
    (defining political party); AS 15.07.050 (providing for voter registration affiliating with
    political party). Alaska also recognizes two types of unaffiliated voters: “nonpartisan”
    and “undeclared.” AS 15.07.075. A nonpartisan voter affirmatively registers as
    nonpartisan. 
    Id. An undeclared
    voter registers as undeclared, fails to declare an
    affiliation, or declares affiliation with an unrecognized political group or party. 
    Id. We refer
    to both types of voters as “independents” or “independent voters.”
    3
    See AS 15.25.010 (providing for party primary election); AS 15.25.100
    (providing that winner of party primary election has name placed on general election
    ballot).
    -2-                                       7279
    candidate not representing a political party may appear on the general election ballot by
    submitting a petition with a sufficient number of qualified voters’ signatures.4 Aside
    from provisions for replacing candidates who withdraw,5 the only other way a candidate
    may be on the general election ballot is by filing as a write-in candidate.6
    Political party status is measured by each party’s support statewide. “[A]n
    organized group of voters that represents a political program” qualifies as a political
    party if it nominated a candidate for governor who received at least three percent of the
    total votes cast for governor in the preceding general election or if it has registered voters
    in the state equal to at least three percent of the votes cast for governor in that election.7
    Party status has several benefits: political parties may make and receive larger political
    contributions, nominate members of election boards, appoint poll watchers, obtain seats
    4
    See AS 15.25.140 (providing for petition); AS 15.25.190 (providing
    successful petitioner has name placed on general election ballot); see also AS 15.25.160
    (setting signature requirement for statewide office at one percent of number of voters in
    state in preceding general election); AS 15.25.170 (setting signature requirement for
    district-wide office at one percent of number of voters in district in preceding general
    election).
    5
    See AS 15.25.110 (“If a candidate of a political party nominated at the
    primary election dies, withdraws, resigns, becomes disqualified . . . , or is certified as
    being incapacitated . . . , the vacancy may be filled by party petition.”).
    6
    See AS 15.25.105(a) (“If a candidate does not appear on the primary
    election ballot or is not successful in advancing to the general election and wishes to be
    a candidate in the general election, the candidate may file as a write-in candidate.”).
    7
    AS 15.80.010(27)(A). If the governorship was not on the ballot, the rule
    applies using the office of United States senator. AS 15.80.010(27)(B). If neither
    position was on the ballot, the rule applies using the office of United States
    representative. AS 15.80.010(27)(C).
    -3-                                        7279
    on the Alaska Public Offices Commission, and, most importantly, gain automatic access
    to the general election ballot for its candidates through primary elections.8
    Under Alaska Statutes any political party member may run in a party
    primary by filing a declaration of candidacy, statement of income sources and business
    interests, and filing fee.9 The declaration of candidacy includes a statement under oath
    that the person meets Alaska’s candidate eligibility requirements,10 and eligibility is
    subject to verification by the director of elections.11       The candidate eligibility
    requirements include restrictions on residency, citizenship, voter qualification, age,
    multiple candidacies, cross-filing, and party affiliation.12 Under this last requirement —
    the party affiliation rule — primary election candidates must be “registered to vote as a
    member of the political party whose nomination is being sought.”13 A political party
    may not waive the party affiliation rule, but it may opt to have a single primary election
    ballot or a combined primary election ballot with one or more other parties.14 Political
    8
    See AS 15.13.070 (contributions); AS 15.10.120 (election boards);
    AS 15.10.170 (poll watchers); AS 15.13.020(b) (Alaska Public Offices Commission);
    AS 15.25.100 (general election ballot access); see also State, Div. of Elections v.
    Metcalfe, 
    110 P.3d 976
    , 981-82 (Alaska 2005) (explaining benefits recognized political
    parties receive).
    9
    See AS 15.25.030(a) (declaration of candidacy); AS 15.25.030(b)
    (statement of income sources and business interests); AS 15.25.050 (filing fee).
    10
    See AS 15.25.030(a).
    11
    See AS 15.25.042.
    12
    See AS 15.25.030(a)(6), (9), (10), (11), (14), (16).
    13
    See AS 15.25.030(a)(16).
    14
    See State v. Green Party of Alaska (Green Party I), 
    118 P.3d 1054
    , 1070
    (continued...)
    -4-                                      7279
    parties also may choose whether to allow independent voters or other parties’ voters to
    participate in their primary elections.15 By default, primary election ballots are designed
    to allow independent voters to participate in a political party’s primary election but to
    exclude other political parties’ voters from participating in that primary election.16
    Alaskans may change their voting registration status at any time.17
    B.     The Democratic Party’s Challenge
    The Democratic Party is a recognized Alaska political party with over
    75,000 members. The Democratic Party historically allowed only Democratic Party
    members to run as primary election candidates, but it recently became interested in
    allowing independents to run as candidates in its primary election. The Democratic Party
    first sought judicial approval for this course of action in 2016, but the superior court
    dismissed that case as unripe because the Democratic Party’s bylaws did not then allow
    independent candidacies.
    The Democratic Party later amended its bylaws to allow independent voters
    to participate as candidates in its primary elections. The Democratic Party petitioned the
    Division of Elections to allow these candidacies, but the Division denied the request
    because it conflicted with the party affiliation rule. The Democratic Party then brought
    the current lawsuit, once more challenging the party affiliation rule’s constitutionality.
    14
    (...continued)
    (Alaska 2005). The Democratic Party opted to have a combined ballot with other parties
    after our ruling in Green Party I.
    15
    See AS 15.25.014(b).
    16
    See AS 15.25.010.
    17
    See AS 15.07.040 (“A person who is qualified . . . is entitled to register at
    any time . . . .”).
    -5-                                       7279
    The parties filed cross-motions for summary judgment, and the superior
    court granted the Democratic Party’s and denied the State’s. The court concluded that
    the Democratic Party had an associational right under the Alaska Constitution to allow
    independent candidates to run in its primary election and that the party affiliation rule
    severely burdened this right by infringing on the Democratic Party’s internal decision-
    making. The court also concluded that the State’s interest in requiring candidates and
    political parties to have demonstrable public support was not advanced by the party
    affiliation rule, that the fit between the State’s interest in preventing voter confusion and
    the party affiliation rule was not close enough to justify the burden on the Democratic
    Party’s associational right, and that the State had not demonstrated how its interest in
    political stability was advanced by the party affiliation rule.
    The State appealed. We expedited consideration of the appeal and issued
    a brief order affirming the superior court’s judgment.18 We now explain our decision.19
    18
    State v. Alaska Democratic Party, No. S-16875 (Alaska Supreme Court
    Order, Apr. 4, 2018).
    19
    “This court reviews a grant of summary judgment de novo and will affirm
    if, when the facts are viewed in the light most favorable to the non-moving party, there
    are no genuine issues of material fact and the moving party is entitled to judgment as a
    matter of law.” Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1059
    (citing Sonneman v. State, 
    969 P.2d 632
    , 635 (Alaska 1998)). “Constitutional claims . . . are questions of law and are
    reviewed de novo. In conducting de novo review, we will ‘adopt the rule of law that is
    most persuasive in light of precedent, reason, and policy.’ ” 
    Id. (footnote omitted)
    (first
    citing 
    Sonneman, 969 P.2d at 635
    ; then quoting Guin v. Ha, 
    591 P.2d 1281
    , 1284 n.6
    (Alaska 1979)).
    -6-                                        7279
    III.   DISCUSSION
    The Alaska Constitution grants every person the right to “freely speak,
    write, and publish on all subjects, being responsible for the abuse of that right.”20 This
    inherently guarantees the rights of people, and political parties, to associate together to
    achieve their political goals.21 When those associational rights conflict with another law,
    like the Alaska election code, it is our duty to decide whether the Constitution has been
    violated.22
    Our constitutional inquiry is governed by State v. Green Party of Alaska
    (Green Party I):
    When an election law is challenged the court must first
    determine whether the claimant has in fact asserted a
    constitutionally protected right. If so we must then assess
    “the character and magnitude of the asserted injury to the
    rights.” Next we weigh “the precise interests put forward by
    the State as justifications for the burden imposed by its rule.”
    Finally, we judge the fit between the challenged legislation
    and the [S]tate’s interests in order to determine “the extent to
    which those interests make it necessary to burden the
    plaintiff’s rights.” This is a flexible test: as the burden on
    constitutionally protected rights becomes more severe, the
    government interest must be more compelling and the fit
    20
    Alaska Const. art. I, § 5.
    21
    See Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1064-65
    ; Vogler v. Miller (Vogler I), 
    651 P.2d 1
    , 3 (Alaska 1982).
    22
    “[O]ur duty to uphold the Alaska Constitution is paramount; it takes
    precedence over the politics of the day and our own personal preferences.” Planned
    Parenthood of the Great Nw. v. State, 
    375 P.3d 1122
    , 1133 (Alaska 2016) (citing Alaska
    Const. art. XII, § 5 (requiring public officers to swear to “support and defend . . . the
    Constitution of the State of Alaska”)); Malone v. Meekins, 
    650 P.2d 351
    , 356 (Alaska
    1982) (“[T]he judicial branch . . . has the constitutionally mandated duty to ensure
    compliance with the provisions of the Alaska Constitution . . . .”).
    -7-                                      7279
    between the challenged legislation and the [S]tate’s interest
    must be closer.[23]
    Under this framework we conclude that the Democratic Party has an associational right
    to choose its general election nominees, that this right is substantially burdened by the
    party affiliation rule, and that the State’s asserted interests do not have a sufficiently
    close fit to justify the burden. For these reasons — and based on the unique facts of this
    case, specifically the Democratic Party’s bylaws allowing independent voters, in addition
    to Democratic Party voters, to be candidates in primary elections — we affirm the
    superior court’s decision to enjoin the party affiliation rule as unconstitutional.
    A.	    The Democratic Party Has An Associational Right To Choose General
    Election Nominees That Can Include Allowing Independent Voters To
    Run As Candidates In Its Primary Elections.
    The first step in our analysis is to decide whether the Party “has in fact
    asserted a constitutionally protected right.”24 We conclude that the Party has asserted a
    constitutionally protected right — the right to choose its general election nominees.
    We begin our analysis with the uncontroversial premise that political parties
    have a constitutional right to choose their general election nominees. This right is
    reflected throughout United States Supreme Court decisions interpreting the First
    Amendment, which we consider in our interpretation of the Alaska Constitution; the
    Court has struck down laws requiring binding open presidential preference primaries,25
    23
    Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1061
    (footnotes omitted) (quoting O’Callaghan
    v. State, 
    914 P.2d 1250
    , 1254 (Alaska 1996)).
    24
    See 
    id. 25 See
    Democratic Party of U.S. v. Wis. ex rel. La Follette, 
    450 U.S. 107
    , 126
    (1981).
    -8-	                                       7279
    laws requiring closed primaries,26 laws preventing a party from endorsing primary
    candidates,27 and laws requiring a blanket primary.28 Even in cases that sustained
    challenged laws, the existence of this right has not been questioned.29 There can be no
    doubt that, at least broadly speaking, the Democratic Party has the right to choose its
    general election nominees.
    The more difficult question is whether this general right to choose election
    nominees can include allowing independents to be candidates in the Democratic Party’s
    primary elections. We conclude that it can.
    The United States Supreme Court suggested that such a right existed in
    Tashjian v. Republican Party of Connecticut, when it observed:
    Were the State to restrict by statute financial support
    of the Party’s candidates to Party members, or to provide that
    only Party members might be selected as the Party’s chosen
    nominees for public office, such a prohibition of potential
    association with nonmembers would clearly infringe upon the
    rights of the Party’s members under the First Amendment to
    26
    See Tashjian v. Republican Party of Conn., 
    479 U.S. 208
    , 225 (1986).
    27
    See Eu v. S.F. Cty. Democratic Cent. Comm., 
    489 U.S. 214
    , 229 (1989).
    28
    See Cal. Democratic Party v. Jones, 
    530 U.S. 567
    , 586 (2000).
    29
    See, e.g., Timmons v. Twin Cities Area New Party, 5 
    20 U.S. 351
    , 359
    (1997) (“[T]he New Party, and not someone else, has the right to select the New Party’s
    ‘standard bearer.’ ”); Storer v. Brown, 415 U .S. 724, 736-37 (1974) (upholding
    disaffiliation law because of important state interests, not failure to assert a right); S.D.
    Libertarian Party v. Gant, 
    60 F. Supp. 3d 1043
    , 1050 (D.S.D. 2014) (holding affiliation
    requirement “only minimally burdens [the political party’s] associational rights”
    (emphasis added)).
    -9-                                        7279
    organize with like-minded citizens in support of common
    political goals.[30]
    Though dicta, this language plainly contemplated that the First Amendment might protect
    the Democratic Party’s asserted right to associate with independent candidates.
    Our previous case law likewise suggests this result. In Green Party I the
    Green Party of Alaska and the Republican Moderate Party challenged a statute requiring
    “each political party to have its own primary ballot on which only candidates of that
    political party appear.”31 The two parties sought to present their respective candidates
    on a combined ballot and asserted the statute unconstitutionally burdened their
    associational rights.32      We agreed, concluding that “political parties have a
    constitutionally protected associational interest in opening their ballots to voters who
    would otherwise vote in the primaries of their own political parties.”33 In reaching this
    conclusion, we favorably noted that in Tashjian “the political party itself wished to invite
    independent voters to participate in its primary election” and thus “there was ‘no conflict
    between associational interests of members and nonmembers.’ ”34 We also interpreted
    California Democratic Party v. Jones as “reaffirm[ing] the reasoning behind Tashjian,”
    and we highlighted Jones’s language emphasizing the importance of selecting a
    30
    
    Tashjian, 479 U.S. at 215
    (emphases added).
    31
    Green Party I, 
    118 P.3d 1054
    , 1057 (Alaska 2005).
    32
    
    Id. 33 Id.
    at 1061.
    34
    
    Id. at 1063
    (quoting 
    Tashjian, 479 U.S. at 215
    n.6). In Tashjian the
    Connecticut Republican Party sought to allow independent voters to participate as voters
    in its primary election (an “open” 
    primary). 479 U.S. at 212-13
    . The Court held that a
    state statute prohibiting open primaries unconstitutionally burdened the Connecticut
    Republican Party’s associational rights. 
    Id. at 225.
    -10-                                       7279
    nominee.35 In Green Party I we explicitly rejected the State’s argument that Tashjian did
    not support the existence of a right because it limited its holding to independent voters;
    we instead embraced the “overarching principle[s]” of Jones and Tashjian, recognizing
    “[t]he right to determine who may participate in selecting [a party’s] candidates — and,
    if the political party so desires, to seek the input and participation of a broad spectrum
    of voters — is of central importance to the right of political association.”36 We noted that
    “where a party invites a voter to participate in its primary and the voter seeks to do so,
    we should begin with the premise that there are significant associational interests at
    stake.”37
    By analogy to Green Party I, the Democratic Party’s associational right to
    choose its general election nominees does not depend on party registration: “[W]here
    a party invites a [candidate] to participate in its primary and the [candidate] seeks to do
    so, we should begin with the premise that there are significant associational interests at
    stake.”38 We therefore conclude that the Democratic Party has an associational right to
    choose its general election nominees and that the right can include allowing independents
    to run in its primary elections.
    35
    Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1064
    . In Jones the California Democratic Party
    sought to prevent voters of other political parties from participating in its primary
    election (a “closed” primary). 
    530 U.S. 567
    , 571 (2000). The Supreme Court held that
    a state statute mandating a blanket primary in which voters of one political party could
    vote in another political party’s primary election unconstitutionally burdened the
    California Democratic Party’s associational rights. 
    Id. at 586.
           36
    Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1064
    .
    37
    
    Id. at 1064
    n.72 (quoting Clingman v. Beaver, 
    544 U.S. 581
    , 602 (2005)
    (O’Connor, J., concurring)).
    38
    See 
    id. (quoting Clingman,
    544 U.S. at 602 (O’Connor, J., concurring)).
    -11-                                       7279
    B.       The Burden On The Democratic Party’s Rights Is Substantial.
    The next step in our analysis is evaluating the “character and magnitude of
    the asserted injury to the” Democratic Party’s associational right to choose its general
    election nominees.39 The extent of the burden determines how closely we will scrutinize
    the State’s justifications for the law: substantial burdens require compelling interests
    narrowly tailored to minimally infringe on the right; modest or minimal burdens require
    only that the law is reasonable, non-discriminatory, and advances “important regulatory
    interests.”40
    We conclude that the party affiliation rule substantially burdens the
    Democratic Party’s right to choose its general election nominees. We recognize there
    are federal cases holding that candidate eligibility restrictions like the party affiliation
    rule present only a modest burden.41 Perhaps most relevant to this case, in Clingman v.
    Beaver a plurality of the United States Supreme Court reasoned that a party registration
    requirement does not severely burden parties’ associational rights because “[t]o attract
    39
    
    Id. at 1061
    (quoting O’Callaghan v. State, 
    914 P.2d 1250
    , 1254 (Alaska
    1996)).
    40
    See 
    O’Callaghan, 914 P.2d at 1254
    ; see also Timmons v. Twin Cities Area
    New Party, 5
    20 U.S. 351
    , 358 (1997).
    41
    See, e.g., 
    Clingman, 544 U.S. at 590-91
    (plurality opinion) (prohibiting
    other parties’ voters from voting in Libertarian primary not severe burden); 
    id. at 604
    (O’Connor, J., concurring) (prohibiting other parties’ voters from voting in Libertarian
    primary is modest burden); 
    Timmons, 520 U.S. at 363-64
    (holding anti-fusion law —
    preventing parties from nominating candidate already nominated by another party — not
    severe burden); Libertarian Party of Mich. v. Johnson, 
    714 F.3d 929
    , 932 (6th Cir. 2013)
    (affirming lower court’s conclusion that sore loser statute — preventing parties from
    nominating candidate who ran and lost in another primary election — not severe
    burden); S.C. Green Party v. S.C. State Election Comm’n, 
    612 F.3d 752
    , 757 (4th Cir.
    2010) (holding sore loser statute not severe burden); S.D. Libertarian Party v. Gant, 
    60 F. Supp. 3d 1043
    , 1050 (D.S.D. 2014) (holding party affiliation rule not severe burden).
    -12-                                      7279
    members of other parties, the [party] need only persuade voters to make the minimal
    effort necessary to switch parties.”42 The State urges this same reasoning to us, arguing
    the Democratic Party “can nominate via its party primary any candidate that it can
    convince to run as a party candidate — i.e., to register with the party.” (Emphasis in
    original.)
    But the constitutional burden cannot be resolved by following these cases
    because the Alaska Constitution is more protective of political parties’ associational
    interests than is the federal constitution.43 In Green Party I we specifically rejected the
    Clingman reasoning that the ability to register with a party lessened the burden on
    associational rights, instead concluding that requiring voters to “fully affiliate themselves
    with a single political party or to forgo completely the opportunity to participate in that
    party’s primary . . . place[d] a substantial restriction on the political party’s associational
    rights.”44 As we explained: “The choice that the [S]tate forces a voter to make means
    that a political party cannot appeal to voters who are unwilling to limit their primary
    choices to the relatively narrow ideological agenda advanced by any single political
    party.”45 This choice changed “not just . . . which candidates the political party
    ultimately nominates, but also . . . the ideological cast of the nominated candidates.”46
    This change in ideological cast is exactly what the Democratic Party now seeks by
    
    42 544 U.S. at 591
    (plurality opinion); see also 
    id. at 604
    (O’Connor, J.,
    concurring) (“The semiclosed primary law, standing alone, does not impose a significant
    obstacle to participation in the [party]’s primary . . . .”).
    43
    See Vogler I, 
    651 P.2d 1
    , 3 (Alaska 1982).
    
    44 118 P.3d at 1065
    .
    45
    
    Id. 46 Id.
    -13-                                        7279
    opening its primary to independent candidates. To the extent the combined-ballot ban
    in Green Party I substantially burdened the political parties’ asserted rights in that case,
    so too does the party affiliation rule burden the Democratic Party’s asserted rights in this
    case.47 To conclude otherwise would be to reject the very interest that the Democratic
    Party seeks to recognize; the Democratic Party does not just want primary election
    candidates who happen to be independent voters, it wants candidates because they are
    independent voters. Even if federal law does not recognize this burden as substantial,
    it does not change the magnitude of the burden under the Alaska Constitution.48
    C.	    The State Has Failed To DemonstrateA Compelling Interest Justifying
    The Burden On The Democratic Party.
    Because the party affiliation rule substantially burdens the Democratic
    Party’s associational rights, the State must justify the burden with sufficiently important
    state interests.49 When weighing whether sufficiently important interests justify a burden
    47
    See 
    id. 48 We
    note further that none of the State’s proffered cases presented the
    factual scenario we address here — a political party intentionally amending its bylaws
    to allow independent voters to run as candidates. In Clingman the party sought to
    affiliate with voters of different parties. 
    544 U.S. 581
    , 585 (2005). In Timmons, South
    Carolina Green Party, and Johnson, the political parties sought to nominate candidates
    who ran in a different party’s primary. See Timmons v. Twin Cities Area New Party, 5
    20 U.S. 351
    , 354 (1997); S.C. Green Party v. S.C. State Election Comm’n, 
    612 F.3d 752
    ,
    755 (4th Cir. 2010); Libertarian Party of Mich. v. Johnson, 
    714 F.3d 929
    , 930-31 (6th
    Cir. 2013). In Storer and Van Susteren v. Jones, the parties were not involved in the
    challenge. See Storer v. Brown, 
    415 U.S. 724
    , 726-27 (1974); Van Susteren v. Jones,
    
    331 F.3d 1024
    , 1025 (9th Cir. 2003). And in Gant the nominee was a member of a
    different political party, not an independent. See S.D. Libertarian Party v. Gant, 60 F.
    Supp. 3d 1043, 1044 (D.S.D. 2014). The issue before us would seem to be a matter of
    first impression under federal law.
    49
    We have described this analysis as two steps:          whether the right is
    (continued...)
    -14-	                                      7279
    on associational rights, we evaluate “whether the challenged legislation actually
    advances those interests without unnecessarily restricting the political parties’ right[s].”50
    “ ‘[I]t is not sufficient for the [S]tate to assert theoretical possibilities, albeit undesirable
    ones, to justify incursions upon free speech rights protected by the Alaska Constitution.’
    Instead, the [S]tate must explain why the interests it claims are concretely at issue and
    how the challenged legislation advances those interests.”51 When reviewing “the
    adequacy of the [S]tate’s explanation, a court must ask not ‘in the abstract . . . whether
    fairness, privacy, etc., are highly significant values[ ] but rather . . . whether the aspect
    of fairness, privacy, etc., addressed by the law at issue is highly significant.’ ”52
    If the challenged law advances the relevant aspect of a compelling state
    interest, we must weigh the fit between the law and that interest to ensure that the law is
    not overly restrictive of the protected rights.53 Because election decisions necessarily
    involve judgment on matters of policy ill-suited to judicial second-guessing, we usually
    defer to the legislature’s election decisions by reviewing the fit for reasonableness.54
    49
    (...continued)
    sufficiently important and whether it is narrowly tailored. But in this case the
    Democratic Party concedes, and we agree, that each of the State’s asserted interests are
    compelling, so we analyze these steps together.
    50
    Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1065
    .
    51
    
    Id. at 1066
    (footnote omitted) (quoting Vogler v. Miller (Vogler II), 
    660 P.2d 1192
    , 1196 (Alaska 1983) (Rabinowitz, J., concurring)).
    52
    
    Id. (omissions, emphasis
    and second alteration in original) (quoting Cal.
    Democratic Party v. Jones, 530 U.S 567, 584 (2000)).
    53
    See State, Div. of Elections v. Metcalfe, 
    110 P.3d 976
    , 980-81 (Alaska
    2005).
    54
    See 
    id. at 981.
    -15-                                         7279
    Whether the challenged law is “in the mainstream of the practices of other states” is
    relevant, but not outcome determinative, in assessing reasonableness.55
    The State claims compelling, narrowly tailored interests in ensuring
    sufficient public support for political parties and candidates, preventing voter confusion,
    and promoting political stability. We address each asserted interest in turn.
    1.	    The party affiliation rule does not advance the State’s interest
    in ensuring public support for the Democratic Party.
    The State’s first asserted interest is in ensuring public support for
    recognized political parties.56 The State argues that it makes sense to confer benefits to
    recognized political parties only if they have significant public support. And because
    public support for a political party is measured by the strength of the candidates it
    nominates,57 the State claims it can ensure that a political party has public support only
    if the party and candidate are linked through the party affiliation rule.         We are
    55
    See 
    id. (upholding three
    percent eligibility threshold “[i]n light of the
    deference we accord to the legislature on such issues, and because the three percent
    figure remains in the mainstream of the practices of other states” (emphasis added));
    Green Party of Alaska v. State (Green Party II), 
    147 P.3d 728
    , 736 (Alaska 2006) (“[W]e
    concur with the superior court that Alaska’s requirements are ‘within the mid-range’ of
    other states, and that the legislature acted reasonably in using this standard to determine
    party eligibility.” (emphasis added)); see also Vogler 
    II, 660 P.2d at 1196
    (Rabinowitz,
    J., concurring) (“I do not join in the court’s intimation that the [S]tate could meet its
    burden of justifying [its law] merely by citing the existence of arithmetically similar
    statutes in the other jurisdictions. Other states are different geographically from Alaska,
    have different voter populations, are governed by their own unique constitutional
    guarantees and have statutory patterns of election laws that may vary substantially from
    that in Alaska.”).
    56
    See supra p. 3.
    57
    See supra note 7 and accompanying text.
    -16-	                                     7279
    unconvinced. The flaw in the State’s argument is that the “link” between candidate and
    political party does not depend on party registration status.
    The State claims that the party affiliation rule is necessary because “[w]hen
    a Democrat wins the Democratic primary, is listed on the general election ballot as a
    Democrat, and wins over voters as a Democrat, those votes reasonably — albeit roughly
    — approximate public support for the Democratic Party.” But as the Democratic Party
    points out, inquiry into voter motivations is inherently speculative: “[T]he State cannot
    reasonably discern whether a vote for an individual candidate is motivated by support
    for the [Democratic] Party, support for the [Democratic] Party’s policy platform, support
    for the candidate, in opposition to another candidate that the voter does not want to see
    elected, or some combination of the above.” Because the State does not know the
    reasons underlying a vote in an open primary election, and even more so in a combined-
    ballot primary election, the claim that the party affiliation rule allows it to use candidate
    support as a proxy for party support is illusory. Rather, as the Democratic Party argues,
    “support for the candidate is imputed to the party because the party has associated with
    the candidate as its nominee.” A candidate need not be a registered party member for
    this imputation to occur.
    The State counters that, at least to some degree, registration with a political
    party means the candidate “identifies with the party and advocates its views” and that
    voters logically assume this to be true. But the State cannot show this to be true or even
    likely. As the United States Supreme Court has noted, “the act of formal enrollment or
    public affiliation with [a] [p]arty is merely one element in the continuum of participation
    in [p]arty affairs, and need not be in any sense the most important.”58 Given the ease of
    58
    Tashjian v. Republican Party of Conn., 
    479 U.S. 208
    , 215 (1986).
    -17-                                       7279
    registration and the lack of party vetting to run as a registered candidate in Alaska,59 a
    candidate who does not support a party’s principles or platform could run in a primary
    as a registered party candidate just as easily as a registered independent candidate. A
    registered independent candidate could be even more involved with the party and support
    more of the political party’s principles and elements of its platform than a registered
    party candidate. The party affiliation rule does not “concretely” advance the State’s
    interest.60
    2.	    The party affiliation rule is not narrowly tailored to ensuring
    that candidates have sufficient public support.
    The State’s next asserted interest is in ensuring that candidates demonstrate
    public support before the State places their names on the general election ballot. The
    State argues that the party affiliation rule is “integral” to ensuring that candidates
    demonstrate a “significant modicum of support” because the State’s recognition of an
    official political party allows it to impute party support to the candidate as a proxy for
    candidate support. The State argues that it “cannot infer support for the candidate” if the
    primary winner disavows the political party by refusing to register with it.
    We do not find the party affiliation rule a reasonable method of ensuring
    candidate support. As a threshold matter, the State’s interest in ensuring a “modicum of
    support” is not an important interest in and of itself. As we have explained, the interest
    in ensuring public support for candidates is grounded in “an interest ‘in avoiding
    59
    See AS 15.25.030(16) (requiring declaration candidate is “registered to vote
    as a member of the political party whose nomination is being sought”); AS 15.07.050(c)
    (permitting supply of voter registration application indicating political party or group to
    voter affiliated with said political party or group); AS 15.07.070(c) (directing voter
    registration applications completed 30 days before election to be placed on official
    registration list).
    60
    See Green Party I, 
    118 P.3d 1054
    , 1066 (Alaska 2005).
    -18-	                                     7279
    confusion, deception, and even frustration of the democratic process at the general
    election’ ” through frivolous or fraudulent candidates.61 The State’s asserted interest in
    ensuring a modicum of support thus is valid only so far as the party affiliation rule
    advances the underlying interests in avoiding confusion, deception, and frustration of the
    democratic process at general elections.
    Properly grounded in these interests, the party affiliation rule is not
    narrowly tailored to the State’s asserted interest. The party affiliation rule is simply
    unnecessary in most cases; there generally is no need to impute political party support
    in a contested primary election because candidate support is demonstrated by the voters’
    selection of the candidate as the political party’s nominee. The State’s interest comes
    into play only in an uncontested or low-turnout primary election, in preventing a rogue
    candidate from slipping onto the general election ballot as a political party candidate.
    But even if this edge-case scenario occurred with sufficient regularity to warrant concern,
    the State has taken no action to prevent it; under the current statutory scheme, an
    unaffiliated voter could just as easily register as a party member and win as a rogue
    candidate in an uncontested or low-turnout election.62 The State’s assertion that the party
    affiliation rule is necessary to stop this deception does not withstand reasonable scrutiny.
    3.	    The party affiliation rule is not narrowly tailored to prevent
    voter confusion.
    The State next argues that the party affiliation rule helps prevent voter
    confusion arising from independent candidates running under a political party’s banner.
    61
    See State, Div. of Elections v. Metcalfe, 
    110 P.3d 976
    , 980 (Alaska 2005)
    (quoting Vogler II, 
    660 P.2d 1192
    , 1195 (Alaska 1983)); see also Jenness v. Fortson,
    
    403 U.S. 431
    , 442 (1971).
    62
    See AS 15.07.040 (“A person who is qualified . . . is entitled to register at
    any time throughout the year . . . .”).
    -19-	                                      7279
    The State first explains that the primary election ballot, which can include multiple
    parties,63 is designed to include only each candidate’s name and political party
    designation. The State thus concludes that voters will find it impossible to tell which
    primary election an independent is running in on a combined primary ballot. The State
    next explains that the general ballot, mandated by statute, lists each candidate by name
    and associated political party.64 The State thus concludes that the general election ballot
    will either present independent candidates without indicating that a party nominated
    them, a deceptive bait-and-switch, or present candidates as both independent and
    political party nominees, which will be “linguistically confusing, deceptive, or both.”
    We are not persuaded by either argument.
    On the primary election ballot, the State could simply print next to each
    candidate’s name the political party whose primary election the candidate is running in.
    On the general election ballot, the State could simply print the nominating party’s name
    next to the candidate’s name. The State appears to concede that the primary election
    ballot can be redesigned, but it is unsatisfied with the resulting general election ballot.
    The State argues that the possible descriptors for a candidate’s party affiliation — such
    as “nonpartisan,” “undeclared,” “non-affiliated,” or “independent” — are by definition
    inaccurate, and that whichever word is chosen will cause voter confusion or deception.
    But we believe the State’s concerns underestimate the Division of Elections and Alaska
    voters’ common sense.
    63
    See Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1070
    (holding that parties have right to
    combine ballots with each other).
    64
    See AS 15.15.030(5) (“The names of the candidates and their party
    designations shall be placed in separate sections on the state general election ballot under
    the office designation to which they were nominated. The party affiliation, if any, shall
    be designated after the name of the candidate.”).
    -20-                                       7279
    In Green Party I we expressed confidence in Alaska voters, reasoning that
    “given that Alaska’s blanket primary system caused little apparent voter confusion,
    [there is] no basis for predicting that Alaska voters might be incapable of understanding
    combined ballots.”65 This case is no different. We are confident the Division of
    Elections will be able to design a ballot that voters can understand. And if the State
    remains convinced that the ballot design itself will be confusing, it has several other
    options to adequately inform the public. The ballot could include prominent disclaimers
    explaining that a candidate’s party affiliation denotes only the candidate’s voter
    registration and nothing more.66 The candidate’s party affiliation as distinct from
    nominating party could be explained in the candidate’s statement in the general election
    pamphlet.67 The political party could also promote or distance its platform, tenets, and
    philosophy from a candidate’s through a paid advertisement in the pamphlet.68 And the
    State could choose to educate the public about new ballots through advertising or
    explanatory materials, such as the general election pamphlet.69 The State provides no
    basis for predicting that Alaska voters will be unable to understand a Democratic Party
    nominee who nonetheless is, for voter registration purposes, an independent voter. The
    
    65 118 P.3d at 1068
    .
    66
    See AS 15.15.030 (“The director shall prepare all official ballots to facilitate
    fairness, simplicity, and clarity in the voting procedure, to reflect most accurately the
    intent of the voter, and to expedite the administration of elections.”).
    67
    See AS 15.58.030 (directing parameters of candidate’s statement).
    68
    See AS 15.58.040 (permitting political party to generally promote its
    candidates).
    69
    See AS 15.58.020(a)(9) (designating information to be provided in general
    election pamphlet, including “additional information on voting procedures that the
    lieutenant governor considers necessary”).
    -21-                                        7279
    State’s bare assertion of an abstract interest in deterring voter confusion and deception
    is therefore insufficient to support the party affiliation rule’s substantial burden.70
    4.	    The party affiliation rule either does not advance or is not
    narrowly tailored to promoting political stability interests.
    The State’s final interest is in “the stability of its political system.” The
    State argues the party affiliation rule promotes political stability by “protecting the
    integrity of the State’s two routes to the general election ballot, preserving party labels
    as meaningful sources of information for voters, and maintaining political parties as
    viable and coherent entities.” We conclude that the party affiliation rule either does not
    advance these interests or is not narrowly tailored to advancing them.
    First, the party affiliation rule does not advance the integrity of the two
    routes to the ballot. In Green Party I we held that the combined-ballot ban was not
    justified solely because the State had an interest in “nominating ‘party candidates
    through a primary election rather than through direct party selection of candidates.’ ”71
    We reasoned that this interest, while “clearly legitimate,” was “not concretely at issue”
    70
    See Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1068
    . The State argues in passing that we
    should identify at least one ballot that could survive a pre-election challenge and not be
    unduly confusing. But designing ballots is committed to the Division of Elections, not
    to us. See AS 15.15.030(1). And to the extent the State is concerned it will not be able
    to complete pre-election litigation of the ballot design before November elections, this
    concern is unfounded. See Pebble Ltd. P’ship ex rel. Pebble Mines Corp. v. Lake &
    Peninsula Borough, 
    262 P.3d 598
    , 601 n.19 (Winfree, J., dissenting) (“It is not
    uncommon for us to consider a case on an expedited basis and issue a summary
    dispositional order with an opinion to follow . . . .” (citing Miller v. Treadwell, 
    245 P.3d 867
    , 867, 874 (Alaska 2010) (ordering expedited briefing, holding oral argument, and
    issuing opinion within 12 days of superior court’s contested election case decision);
    Keller v. French, 
    205 P.3d 299
    , 299, 301-02 (Alaska 2009) (ordering expedited briefing,
    holding oral argument, and issuing dispositive order within one week of appeal in high-
    profile political dispute, with full opinion following later))).
    
    71 118 P.3d at 1066
    .
    -22-	                                          7279
    because a challenge to “the way the primary election is conducted” does not implicate
    the State’s interest in holding primaries.72 The same reasoning applies here. The State
    clearly has a legitimate interest in having primary elections for candidates associated
    with a political party and petitions for candidates not representing a political party. But,
    as explained above, an independent candidate associates with the Democratic Party
    simply by running in its primary. The two nomination methods’ integrity is not under
    threat because the primary route to the general election ballot remains solely for
    candidates associated with a political party. In the State’s words, there still remain “two
    distinct routes to the general election ballot — one for party candidates and one for non-
    party candidates.”
    Second, the party affiliation rule is not a reasonable way of maintaining
    political party labels’ informational value for voters.        The State asserts that an
    independent candidate chosen by independent voters cannot represent the Democratic
    Party message when the candidate runs under the Democratic Party’s label. This is true
    to a point: “To the extent that party labels provide a shorthand designation of the views
    of party candidates on matters of public concern, the identification of candidates with
    particular parties plays a role in the process by which voters inform themselves for the
    exercise of the franchise.” 73 But it is also somewhat beside the point. At the political
    party level, the State’s desire to “protect[] the integrity of the Party against the Party
    itself” is not a legitimate motivation.74 The State cannot force the Democratic Party to
    favor certain viewpoints for the sake of the State’s political system. And at the general
    election level, political parties may already choose to nominate their candidates by
    72
    
    Id. 73 Tashjian
    v. Republican Party of Conn., 
    479 U.S. 208
    , 220 (1986).
    74
    See 
    id. at 224.
    -23-                                       7279
    seeking the input of voters who are independent, or even from other parties.75 We cannot
    say that requiring a candidate to adopt a political party label will do anything to make
    candidates more representative of the views the State believes that political party
    represents.   The party affiliation rule is not a reasonable way of preserving the
    informational value of party labels.
    Finally, the State has not met its burden of showing that the party affiliation
    rule is a reasonable and necessary way of preserving the viability of political parties.
    The State asserts that the party affiliation rule is necessary for executive branch
    candidates to represent the majority of the people and for legislative branch candidates
    to organize themselves into “coherent groups.” The State asserts that losing the party
    affiliation rule will “erode the functioning of a democracy and undermine voters’ faith
    in it.” But the State does not explain why this outcome is likely to occur beyond the bare
    assertion that it will, and “it is not sufficient for the [S]tate to assert theoretical
    possibilities, albeit undesirable ones, to justify incursions upon free speech rights
    protected by the Alaska Constitution.”76 Absent further explanation, we see no basis for
    concluding that the party affiliation rule is what ensures the long-term stability of
    Alaska’s political system. This interest cannot justify the substantial burden on the
    Democratic Party’s associational rights.
    V.    CONCLUSION
    For these reasons, we AFFIRM the superior court’s judgment.
    75
    See supra p. 4.
    76
    See Green Party 
    I, 118 P.3d at 1066
    (quoting Vogler II, 
    660 P.2d 1192
    ,
    1196 (Alaska 1983) (Rabinowitz, J., concurring)).
    -24-                                       7279