United States v. Abel Rangel , 781 F.3d 736 ( 2015 )


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  •                                PUBLISHED
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
    No. 13-7445
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff – Appellee,
    v.
    ABEL CASTILLO RANGEL,
    Defendant – Appellant.
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the Eastern
    District of Virginia, at Alexandria.   Claude M. Hilton, Senior
    District Judge. (1:95-cr-00486-CMH-4; 1:13-cv-00050-CMH)
    Argued:   December 10, 2014                 Decided:   April 1, 2015
    Before DUNCAN, AGEE, and HARRIS, Circuit Judges.
    Affirmed by published opinion. Judge Agee wrote the opinion, in
    which Judge Duncan and Judge Harris joined.
    ARGUED: Sejal Jhaveri, UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA SCHOOL OF LAW,
    Charlottesville, Virginia, for Appellant. Stephen Wiley Miller,
    OFFICE OF THE UNITED STATES ATTORNEY, Richmond, Virginia, for
    Appellee.    ON BRIEF: Stephen L. Braga, Appellate Litigation
    Clinic, UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA SCHOOL OF LAW, Charlottesville,
    Virginia, for Appellant.       Dana J. Boente, United States
    Attorney, Rebeca H. Bellows, Assistant United States Attorney,
    OFFICE OF THE UNITED STATES ATTORNEY, Alexandria, Virginia, for
    Appellee.
    AGEE, Circuit Judge:
    Abel Castillo Rangel was convicted in 2010 of three counts
    relating to marijuana trafficking and sentenced to 121 months of
    incarceration.       He later filed a motion to vacate his conviction
    and sentence under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    , alleging that his trial and
    appellate      counsel    had   rendered        constitutionally       ineffective
    assistance.         The   district    court         denied   his   motion,    and   we
    granted a certificate of appealability identifying three issues:
    1)   whether    Rangel’s     trial     counsel        was    ineffective     for    not
    requesting an instruction that the jury find a drug weight based
    on   the   amount    attributable      to      or    reasonably    foreseeable      by
    Rangel; 2) whether his appellate counsel was ineffective for not
    raising the failure to request that instruction as an issue on
    direct appeal; and 3) whether his trial counsel was ineffective
    for failing to object to the drug weight and advisory guidelines
    range at sentencing.        For the reasons explained below, we affirm
    the district court’s judgment.
    I. Background
    On November 28, 1995, a federal grand jury in Alexandria,
    Virginia    indicted      Rangel     and    five      co-defendants    for     crimes
    related to marijuana trafficking.               The indictment charged Rangel
    in four counts: Count 1 for conspiracy to distribute over 1,000
    kg of marijuana from 1990 through 1995 (
    21 U.S.C. § 846
    ); Count
    2
    4   for   possession        with     intent      to    distribute           marijuana      on
    September     30,     1992     (
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (a));        Count        7     for
    distribution     of     marijuana      on       October       1,     1992     (
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (a)); and Count 10, which was later dismissed, asserting
    forfeiture allegations.
    Following        his    indictment,         Rangel       absconded        to     Texas,
    assumed an alias, and evaded arrest until March 23, 2010.                                   He
    was subsequently tried by a jury and found guilty on the charges
    in the indictment on August 25, 2010.
    A. Trial Evidence
    The government presented six witnesses at trial: four law
    enforcement     officers       and     two       of    Rangel’s        coconspirators.
    Fairfax     County     Detective      Chester         Toney        testified        that   on
    September 30, 1992, he responded to a tip from a confidential
    informant about an upcoming marijuana transaction at a 7-Eleven.
    Detective Toney observed three men at that location, including
    an individual later identified as Michael Hillman, exit Rangel’s
    pickup truck carrying a bag that appeared to contain marijuana.
    Police officers stopped and searched the three men and found
    1.95 pounds (0.89 kg) of marijuana on Hillman.                          Rangel was not
    arrested at that time.
    The next day, October 1, 1992, the informant told Detective
    Toney that a second marijuana transaction would take place that
    night at a McDonalds.              At the McDonalds, Detective Toney saw
    3
    Rangel’s pickup truck and observed Rangel and another man exit
    the restaurant together.           The men were then detained by police,
    and officers found Rangel with $1,369 in cash and the other man
    with $2,060 and 2 pounds (0.91 kg) of marijuana.                            Both men were
    arrested and charged.
    Fairfax    Police     Department           Lieutenant        William       Kitzerow
    testified     about       executing       a       search        warrant     for    Rangel’s
    residence on February 17, 1993, four and a half months after the
    McDonalds arrest.         Officers found three bricks of marijuana on a
    shelf in a bedroom closet and three additional bags of marijuana
    in a black bag underneath some clothing.                        The combined marijuana
    weighed 5.25 pounds (2.39 kg).
    Two of Rangel’s alleged coconspirators, Michael Hillman and
    Ronnie    Cadle,    testified      against         him     at    trial    about     a   broad
    marijuana trafficking operation.                       Hillman stated that he was
    involved with the trafficking operation from late 1990 through
    his   September     30,    1992    arrest         at    the     7-Eleven.         The   group
    included     approximately        seven       people,         and   Cadle    and    Hillman
    identified    particular       members        of    the     operation       by    the   names
    Lilo,    Gringo,   Leo,     Flaco,    and         Rangel.        Evidence    seized     from
    Rangel’s    apartment       corroborated          his    association        with    some   of
    these individuals: a phonebook found in the bedroom contained
    entries for “Laylo” and “Gringo,” and his wallet contained a
    business card for Lalo Maltos.                J.A. 341.
    4
    Hillman testified that he first became involved with the
    group in December 1990, when he was approached by Lilo, who
    offered    to    front      him    marijuana        for        resale.      Subsequently,
    Hillman    met    Lilo      “hundreds”     of      times,        “[g]enerally,    at    his
    trailer in Chantilly,” to buy single pounds of marijuana, which
    Lilo usually took from a stash of three to five pounds (1.36 to
    2.27 kg).        
    Id. at 113-14
    .          In addition to Lilo, Hillman would
    see Gringo, Rangel, and others at the trailer.                              Specifically,
    Hillman testified that he “used to run into Abel [Rangel] at the
    trailer” and that “he sold me pot.”                       
    Id. at 120
    .       He testified
    that his September 30, 1992 arrest was the result of his attempt
    to buy one kilogram of marijuana from Rangel on behalf of his
    uncle, one of the other men present at the 7-Eleven.
    According       to   Hillman,     at       some    point,     Lilo    offered    him
    $8,000 to drive to Mexico to pick up marijuana.                               In Mexico,
    Hillman visited a “farm thing in the country” where he saw “a
    big patch of marijuana growing” that “might have been an acre or
    a half acre.”          
    Id. at 117-18
    .              He got two “potato sacks” of
    marijuana at “[m]aybe 20, 30, 40 pounds a sack” (13.6 to 22.7
    kg).     
    Id. at 118
    .           A barn contained “tons of sacks” that he
    “th[ought]” contained marijuana, but which “[c]ould have been
    potatoes.”       
    Id.
        Hillman then drove to a designated spot in the
    United    States,      where      he   retrieved         the    marijuana    acquired    in
    Mexico from a person who had carried it across the border for
    5
    him in waterproof suitcases.     Hillman and others packaged the
    marijuana in San Antonio, Texas and then took approximately 40
    or 50 pounds (18.1 to 22.7 kg) of marijuana back to Virginia
    hidden in tires.   During another trip, financed by Lilo, Hillman
    flew to Texas and rode a bus back to Virginia with approximately
    30 to 40 pounds (13.6 to 22.7 kg) of marijuana.
    Hillman estimated that he made between 5 and 10 trips to
    San Antonio to pick up marijuana.      He also introduced Cadle to
    Lilo, and Cadle also began to make trips to San Antonio.     Cadle
    testified that he made between 7 and 10 trips.     At least one of
    Cadle’s trips was with Hillman, but the extent of the overlap is
    unclear from their testimony.
    Cadle    testified   that   the   group,   including   Rangel,
    instructed him to drive to San Antonio along a particular route.
    There, he would purchase marijuana, load it into the vehicle,
    and return to Virginia along another route that the group had
    also selected.     Cadle testified that Rangel and Leo were his
    primary contacts for his final three trips.        He “was paid a
    hundred dollars per pound” of marijuana he transported and made
    “25- to $50,000 in cash” bringing marijuana from Texas.     
    Id. at 71, 100
    .     Each trip normally involved 50 pounds (22.7 kg) of
    marijuana.
    During one trip in August 1992, Rangel and Leo accompanied
    Cadle to San Antonio.     Trooper Jackie Clark testified at trial
    6
    that    he    stopped    the    men     on    Interstate        40    in    Arkansas.          He
    searched Cadle’s car and found $21,000 in cash in two paper
    sacks under the backseat.                He seized the $21,000, but let the
    three men go.         They continued toward San Antonio.                      Based on what
    Cadle could understand of the conversation Rangel and Leo had in
    Spanish after the stop, he “came to the realization not to worry
    about it” because “[t]here was more money in the car.”                                 
    Id. at 79-80
    .       He believed the additional money was “in the range of
    between” $60,000 and $80,000.                
    Id. at 79
    .
    Cadle testified that upon their arrival in San Antonio,
    Rangel and Leo told him to leave his car and take a Greyhound
    bus back to Virginia.                Cadle took the bus, carrying a suitcase
    containing approximately 50 pounds (22.7 kg) of marijuana.                                   When
    he arrived in Virginia, Gringo picked him up at the bus station
    and took him to an apartment to meet Leo and Rangel.                                Cadle left
    the suitcase there, and two weeks later he drove back to San
    Antonio,       retrieved       his     vehicle,      and    returned          with     another
    delivery of about 50 pounds of marijuana.
    Cadle    described       the     trip      that     led       to     his     arrest     in
    Mississippi on September 4, 1993.                        He flew to Dallas, Texas
    where    he    met    Rangel     and    Leo,      and    they    rented       a     1988     Ford
    Thunderbird,         which     Cadle    was       tasked    with          driving    back      to
    Virginia.       Officer David Pinson testified about stopping Cadle
    in the Thunderbird in Mississippi on September 4, 1993.                                 Hidden
    7
    between the car’s grille and radiator, he found several packages
    of marijuana, weighing a total of 27 pounds (12.2 kg).
    Cadle      also   testified   that       he    went    to   Lilo’s     trailer     in
    Chantilly “[d]ozens of times.”                   
    Id. at 74
    .          Although Hillman
    testified Rangel was sometimes present when Hillman picked up
    pounds of marijuana, Cadle testified that he was “not really
    sure if [he] saw [Rangel] at the trailer” in Chantilly.                            
    Id.
    B. Rangel’s Verdict and Sentencing
    The     district     court    held    a       conference      to    discuss       jury
    instructions,        but      Rangel’s      counsel       did      not     request       any
    instruction regarding drug weight.                      Specifically, he did not
    request an instruction that the jury determine drug weight based
    on Pinkerton principles –- that is, based on drugs with which
    Rangel      was    directly    involved     or       drugs    that    were    reasonably
    foreseeable to him and in furtherance of the conspiracy.                                 See
    Pinkerton v. United States, 
    328 U.S. 640
    , 647-48 (1946).
    In charging the jury, the only reference to drug weight
    came   in    the    court’s    explanation       to     the   jury    of     the    Special
    Verdict Form:
    As to Count 1, if you should find the defendant guilty
    as to Count 1, then underneath are amounts of drugs
    and you should also check the amount that you find
    that was involved as to Count 1.
    8
    J.A. 203.       The court provided no instruction explaining how the
    jury should determine the drug weight properly attributable to
    Rangel under the Pinkerton framework.
    The jury convicted Rangel on all counts and indicated on
    the Special Verdict Form that the conspiracy “involved” more
    than   1,000     kg    of     marijuana.              Based    on       the    conviction        for
    conspiring to distribute over 1,000 kg of marijuana, Rangel was
    subject    to    a    120-month            mandatory    minimum          sentence.         See    
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(A).                 The presentence report established his
    advisory guideline range at 121 to 151 months.                                  In advance of
    sentencing,      Rangel       filed         a   statement         in    which    he    “denie[d]
    having    any    part       of       the    conspiracy”        but       did    not    make      any
    objection       to    the     mandatory          minimum          sentence      or     guideline
    calculation.         J.A. 211.
    Asked    at    sentencing            whether    he     had       anything      to   say    on
    Rangel’s behalf, his counsel replied, “Well there’s not much you
    can say.        It’s, unfortunately, a mandatory 120-month sentence
    Mr. Rangel faces.            . . .         So we’d ask the Court to sentence him
    to the low end of the guideline range and appoint new counsel
    for the appeal.”             
    Id.
               Rangel’s counsel did not address the
    calculation      of    the       drug       weight.         The     district       court     judge
    observed that “[c]onsidering the factors . . . under Section
    3553   [is]     sort    of       a    useless     endeavor         in    this    case      because
    there’s a mandatory.”                  
    Id. at 215
    .            The judge, nevertheless,
    9
    noted that he “simply [could not] think of any kind of a factor
    that would weigh in [Rangel’s] favor.”                        
    Id.
    The    district         court     sentenced            Rangel    to        121     months’
    incarceration, the low end of his projected guidelines range, as
    to    each   of   Counts       1,   4,   and       7,    with    the   sentences          to    run
    concurrently.        This Court affirmed the judgment on appeal, and
    the    Supreme     Court       denied     Rangel’s         petition      for       a     writ   of
    certiorari.         United      States        v.    Rangel,      No.   10-5208,          
    2011 WL 5084583
     (4th Cir. Oct. 26, 2011) (per curiam), cert. denied, 
    132 S. Ct. 1649
     (2012).
    C. Rangel’s § 2255 Petition
    Rangel     filed    a    pro      se    §    2255      petition       to    vacate       his
    conviction and sentence on January 10, 2013, raising fourteen
    claims, two of which are the subject of this appeal.                                    First, he
    argued that his trial counsel rendered ineffective assistance by
    failing      to   request       a   jury       instruction           regarding          Pinkerton
    principles and that his appellate counsel was also ineffective
    in not raising the instruction’s absence as an issue on direct
    appeal.       (Below, we address this claim as two separate issues,
    one    as    to   trial    counsel       and       one   as     to   appellate          counsel.)
    Second, Rangel asserted that his trial counsel was ineffective
    in failing to challenge the drug quantity and base offense level
    at sentencing.
    10
    The    district     court       denied          Rangel’s       §    2255     petition         by
    concluding in a Memorandum Opinion and Order that even if there
    was an error regarding the jury instructions, Rangel could not
    demonstrate        prejudice         because       he        was     sentenced         within       the
    applicable guideline range.                   The court further concluded that
    Rangel’s trial counsel was not ineffective for failing to object
    to the offense level and guideline range at sentencing because
    of     the    jury’s    finding         and       the        presentence         report,          which
    attributed 1,000 kg of marijuana to Rangel.
    Rangel      filed    a    timely       notice          of     appeal,       and       we    have
    jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    .
    II. Discussion
    When     reviewing       an    appeal       from       the     denial      of     a    §    2255
    motion,       we    review       de     novo           the     district          court’s          legal
    conclusions.         United States v. Poindexter, 
    492 F.3d 263
    , 267
    (4th Cir. 2007).
    To establish a claim of ineffective assistance of counsel,
    a    defendant      must    show       (1)    that       “counsel’s             performance         was
    deficient,” and (2) that “the deficient performance prejudiced
    the    defense.”       Strickland            v.    Washington,            
    466 U.S. 668
    ,       687
    (1984).       To satisfy the deficiency prong, the defendant must
    show     that      counsel’s         performance             “fell    below       an     objective
    standard of reasonableness.”                  
    Id. at 688
    .             “Judicial scrutiny of
    11
    counsel’s performance must be highly deferential.”                     
    Id. at 689
    .
    There    is   a    “strong     presumption      that    counsel’s    conduct    falls
    within the wide range of reasonable professional assistance,”
    and “that, under the circumstances, the challenged action might
    be considered sound trial strategy.”                    United States v. Higgs,
    
    663 F.3d 726
    , 739 (4th Cir. 2011).
    Under the prejudice prong, “[t]he defendant must show that
    there    is    a   reasonable      probability         that,   but   for    counsel’s
    unprofessional errors, the result of the proceeding would have
    been different.”         Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    .            There must be “a
    probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the outcome”
    of the trial.           
    Id.
         However, a defendant is not required to
    establish that “counsel’s deficient conduct more likely than not
    altered the outcome of the case.”               
    Id. at 693
    .
    A. Jury Instructions under Collins
    Rangel bases his claim of jury instruction error on this
    Court’s decision in United States v. Collins, 
    415 F.3d 304
     (4th
    Cir. 2005).        In that case, we considered on direct appeal the
    district      court’s    failure      to   give   an     instruction       “that,   for
    purposes of setting a specific threshold drug quantity under
    § 841(b), the jury must determine what amount of cocaine base
    was     attributable      to     [a    drug     conspiracy      defendant]      using
    Pinkerton principles.”           Id. at 314.
    12
    We concluded the failure to give such an instruction was
    error,      but     because      the    error       concerned    only   the      statute’s
    penalty provision, the conspiracy conviction was “sound” under
    § 846. 1     Id.     Further, we recognized that without the instruction
    the sentence given “effectively attributed to [the defendant],
    an individual member of the conspiracy, the quantity of cocaine
    base       distributed      by    the    entire       conspiracy.”         Id.      As    a
    consequence, “[b]ecause the district court adopted the jury’s
    drug quantity determination in its application of the sentencing
    guidelines,         the   error       affected      both   the   threshold       statutory
    range under § 841(b) and the district court’s application of the
    guidelines.”          Id.        Because      the    district    court’s   sentence      in
    Collins       was     based      on     the     jury’s      invalid     drug      quantity
    determination, it “c[ould ]not stand.”                     Id.
    The government concedes that the district court’s failure
    to instruct the jury to find a drug weight properly attributable
    to Rangel based on Pinkerton principles was error under Collins.
    1. Trial Counsel
    Rangel       first     argues       that      his   trial    counsel      rendered
    ineffective assistance because he did not request an instruction
    stating that the jury must determine drug weight using Pinkerton
    1
    As in Collins, Rangel’s underlying conviction is “sound”
    and there is no issue in this appeal as to his conviction, but
    only as to the sentence he received.
    13
    principles.               The     district           court       rejected         this      argument,
    reasoning that even if trial counsel’s performance was deficient
    under      Strickland,           the       error    resulted       in    no      prejudice. 2          The
    district court observed that Rangel “would nonetheless face a
    maximum term of twenty years imprisonment on Counts One, Four,
    and Seven” under the default penalty provision for marijuana.
    J.A.       409    (citing        
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(C)).                 Regarding         the
    guideline range, the district court found that the probation
    officer          had     “more    than        a     sufficient          basis”       from    evidence
    presented          at    trial        to    determine       by    a     preponderance            of    the
    evidence          that    Rangel        was       accountable         for     over    1,000       kg    of
    marijuana.              Id.; see also U.S.S.G. § 1B1.3; United States v.
    Carter,          
    300 F.3d 415
    ,       425    (4th     Cir.      2002)       (discussing          the
    preponderance standard at sentencing).                                Thus, the base offense
    level –- which derived from the drug weight -- would remain the
    same, and the guideline range would remain at 121 to 151 months.
    The    district          court    concluded          that    because          Rangel’s      121-month
    sentence         was     within       “the     statutory         range      of    zero      to   twenty
    years,” he “suffered no prejudice as a result of the alleged
    2
    On appeal, the government also argues that Rangel’s trial
    counsel’s failure to request the instruction was not deficient
    performance under Strickland’s first prong.       The government
    reasons that the decision was a matter of trial strategy because
    Rangel’s defense focused on actual innocence, not drug weight.
    Given that the request would have taken place outside of the
    jury’s presence, the government’s argument has no merit, and in
    any event, was not raised below and appears to have been waived.
    14
    failure     of    his     counsel       to    object      to     the        Court’s    jury
    instructions.”          J.A. 409.
    We agree with the district court in part.                        In finding that
    the statutory range would be 0 to 20 years under the default
    penalty     provision           for     marijuana,         the        district        court
    misidentified      
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(C)          as     the     controlling
    subsection.       While that would be correct for most drugs, the
    default     sentencing          provision         for   marijuana       is     found    in
    § 841(b)(1)(D), which specifies that “[i]n the case of less than
    50 kilograms of marihuana . . . such person shall . . . be
    sentenced to a term of imprisonment of not more than 5 years.”
    The default statutory term for marijuana is thus 0 to 5 years
    rather than 0 to 20 years as the district court stated.
    That mistake is without consequence here, however, as the
    district court was not constrained to review its sentence under
    only the default provision.                  Although resentencing under the
    default provision is a potential remedy for a successful direct
    appeal of a Collins error, a court’s review of a Collins error
    for   prejudice    in     the    §    2255   context     is    not     so    constrained.
    Under Strickland, Rangel must show a reasonable probability of a
    different    result,      “sufficient        to     undermine       confidence    in    the
    outcome” of the trial.               
    466 U.S. at 694
    .           We do not find that
    Rangel meets that standard.
    15
    Our review of the record shows that Rangel’s sentence would
    have been the same even with a proper jury instruction.                          First,
    there is no reasonable probability that a proper jury finding
    would have resulted in a statutory range that precluded Rangel’s
    121-month sentence.        The jury would have needed to find Rangel
    responsible for only 50 kg of marijuana to push the statutory
    range from the 5-year maximum of § 841(b)(1)(D) to the 20-year
    maximum      under   § 841(b)(1)(C).          In    light    of    the    overwhelming
    evidence that Rangel was responsible for substantially more than
    50 kg of marijuana –- in particular, the multiple drug purchases
    in Texas -- there was no reasonable probability that the jury
    would   have    attributed     less   than     50    kg     to    Rangel.      Rangel’s
    statutory sentence range, then, would have had a maximum of at
    least 20-years, far exceeding his ultimate 121-month sentence.
    Having concluded that the district court could have imposed
    a 121-month sentence had the Collins error not occurred, the
    question     then    becomes   whether    the       district      court      would   have
    imposed that sentence.         Collins recognizes that if the district
    court “adopted the jury’s drug quantity determination in its
    application of the sentencing guidelines,” then that error will
    have “affected both the threshold statutory range under § 841(b)
    and the district court’s application of the guidelines.”                             
    415 F.3d at 314
    .     Consequently,     Rangel       must       show    a   reasonable
    probability that, but for the Collins error, the district court
    16
    would have found him responsible for less than 1,000 kg, the
    amount that placed him in the 121- to 151-month guideline range.
    The     record   demonstrates        that     in    all    likelihood,       even
    without the Collins error, the district court would have found
    by a preponderance of the evidence that Rangel was responsible
    for 1,000 kg of marijuana.           First, the jury established beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the conspiracy involved at least 1,000 kg,
    and there is no basis to conclude that Rangel would not have
    reasonably foreseen the conspiracy’s full scope.                         Further, the
    trial testimony established that Rangel was a management figure
    in   the     conspiracy     and   helped    coordinate        multiple      large-scale
    drug purchases.         The record thus supports the district court’s
    conclusion by a preponderance of the evidence that Rangel would
    have    foreseen      the   full    scope       of   the   conspiracy,       with   its
    accompanying 1,000 kg of marijuana.
    Moreover, independent of the jury finding, our review of
    the record shows that the district court would have attributed
    1,000 kg of marijuana to Rangel.                 He was a management figure in
    a    conspiracy      that   lasted       several     years,      crossing    half   the
    country, and even extending into Mexico.                   More than that, Rangel
    was the point-man for numerous trips to Texas, where 50 pound
    (22.7 kg) quantities of marijuana were regularly obtained.                           In
    addition, Hillman testified as to the “hundreds” of times he
    bought       pound   quantities     at     the    trailer,       often   with   Rangel
    17
    present, and taken from a multi-pound stash (0.45 kg per pound).
    We thus conclude that the district court’s finding that Rangel
    was   responsible      for   1,000   kg    of    marijuana       was   not     the      mere
    adoption of the Collins-error jury finding.
    Nor does the record support Rangel’s contention that the
    10-year    (120-month)       statutory     minimum    affected         his    sentence.
    The district court’s independent 1,000 kg finding resulted in a
    121- to 151-month guideline range, and Rangel was sentenced at
    the bottom of that range.            As the district court explained in
    denying    Rangel’s     habeas   petition,        “[e]ven       without      the    jury’s
    finding, the base offense level would have been 32 based on the
    evidence presented at trial and the information contained in the
    Presentence Report.”          J.A. 411.         Rangel emphasizes the judge’s
    statement at sentencing that considering the § 3553 sentencing
    factors was “sort of a useless endeavor in this case because
    there’s    a     mandatory”    minimum         sentence,    but     that      statement
    addressed only the availability of a below-guideline sentence.
    Id. at 215.       It is clear from the sentencing transcript that the
    district       court   considered       Rangel     undeserving         of     a    below-
    guideline sentence: the judge “simply [could not] think of any
    kind of a factor that would weigh in [Rangel’s] favor.”                           Id.
    In sum, the record supports the conclusion that a properly
    instructed      jury   would     have     attributed       at     least      50    kg     of
    marijuana to Rangel, with a resulting statutory range of 0 to 20
    18
    years.     That statutory range would have included the 121- to
    151-month guideline range from the court’s independent 1,000 kg
    finding at sentencing.                In all likelihood, then, Rangel still
    would have received the same guideline range and the same 121-
    month    sentence.           Having     failed     to     demonstrate         a    reasonable
    probability       of   a     different    outcome,        Rangel       does       not    satisfy
    Strickland’s       prejudice      prong       on   this       issue.     Rangel’s         trial
    counsel, therefore, did not render constitutionally ineffective
    assistance by failing to request an instruction to determine
    drug weight based on Pinkerton principles under Collins.
    2. Appellate Counsel
    For    similar          reasons,    we    conclude         that    Rangel          was   not
    prejudiced    by       his    appellate       counsel’s        failure    to       raise      the
    Collins error as an issue on direct appeal. 3                          To show prejudice
    in the context of appellate representation, a petitioner must
    establish     a    “reasonable          probability        .    .   .    he       would       have
    prevailed    on    his       appeal”    but    for      his    counsel’s      unreasonable
    failure to raise an issue.               Smith v. Robbins, 
    528 U.S. 259
    , 285-
    86 (2000); see also United States v. Mannino, 
    212 F.3d 835
    , 845-
    46 (3d Cir. 2000) (“The test for prejudice under Strickland is
    not whether petitioners would likely prevail upon remand, but
    3
    Because we resolve the claim under Strickland’s prejudice
    prong, it is unnecessary to decide whether appellate counsel’s
    omission of the Collins issue constituted deficient performance.
    19
    whether we would have likely reversed and ordered a remand had
    the issue been raised on direct appeal.”).
    Having reviewed the record in this case, we conclude that
    Rangel’s       Collins        claim       would        not    have     had     a     reasonable
    probability         of    success     had      it   been      raised    on    direct    appeal.
    Because Rangel did not raise the issue at trial, the standard of
    review on appeal would have been plain error.                              To prevail, then,
    he would have had to show that 1) an error occurred, 2) the
    error    was       plain,    and    3)    the       error     affected       his    substantial
    rights.       United States v. Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    , 732 (1993); see
    also Fed. R. Crim. P. 52.                      Affecting substantial rights, “in
    most cases,” means that “the error must have been prejudicial:
    It   must      have       affected       the      outcome      of    the     district       court
    proceeding.”             Olano,     
    507 U.S. at 734
    .      This     outcome-based
    standard is similar to Strickland’s prejudice inquiry.                                  Compare
    United States v. Marcus, 
    560 U.S. 258
    , 262 (2010) (prejudice, to
    prove an effect on “substantial rights” for plain error review,
    means    “a    reasonable         probability          that    the     error       affected    the
    outcome       of    the     trial”),        with       Strickland,      
    466 U.S. at 694
    (prejudice,         to      establish       ineffective          assistance,          means     “a
    reasonable         probability      that,       but     for    counsel’s       unprofessional
    errors,       the        result     of      the        proceeding       would        have     been
    different”).             Finally, even with those three requirements met,
    we need not correct a plain error that “did not seriously affect
    20
    the     fairness,     integrity,       or    public      reputation      of     judicial
    proceedings.”        United States v. Jeffers, 
    570 F.3d 557
    , 570 (4th
    Cir. 2009) (declining to notice a Collins error that did not
    seriously affect the trial’s fairness); see also Olano, 
    507 U.S. at 736
    .
    We have established that Collins errors satisfy the first
    two requirements: an error occurred and the error was plain.
    See, e.g., United States v. Foster, 
    507 F.3d 233
    , 251 (4th Cir.
    2007).     We conclude, however, that if there was error here, it
    did not affect Rangel’s substantial rights because it did not
    affect    the      ultimate     outcome     of   the    sentencing      phase    of   his
    trial.        As   explained     above      regarding     Rangel’s      trial    counsel
    claim,    a    properly       instructed     jury      would   have    attributed     in
    excess of 50 kg to Rangel, which would authorize a statutory
    maximum sentence of 20 years.                    Similarly, the district court
    would    have      then   found    Rangel        responsible     for    1,000    kg    of
    marijuana by a preponderance of the evidence at sentencing, thus
    setting the 121- to 151- month guideline range.                          Because that
    finding would have resulted in the same 121-month sentence at
    the low end of the guidelines that Rangel received, the outcome
    would    have      been   the   same   with      or    without   a     Collins   error.
    Again, the district court stated this plainly: “Even without the
    jury’s finding, the base offense level would have been 32 based
    on the evidence presented at trial and the information contained
    21
    in   the     Presentence        Report.”           J.A.   411.        Rangel       provides    no
    viable basis for his contention that the district court, despite
    its express statement, would have found him responsible for some
    lesser weight.              See Olano, 
    507 U.S. at 734
     (observing that on
    plain      error       review,        the    petitioner            bears    the      burden    of
    persuasion with respect to prejudice).
    Because the record before us demonstrates that any Collins
    error would not have affected Rangel’s substantial rights, a
    direct appeal on that issue would have had limited chance of
    success.        Accordingly, Rangel does not demonstrate prejudice and
    therefore         did         not      receive        constitutionally              ineffective
    assistance from his appellate counsel.
    B. Argument at Sentencing
    Rangel         next    contends       that      his     trial       counsel     provided
    ineffective assistance at sentencing by failing to challenge the
    district court’s drug weight finding and the resulting guideline
    range.
    For      our    purposes,       it   is     sufficient        to     assume    deficient
    performance and to turn again directly to the prejudice prong.
    In   doing      so,    we     conclude      that      Rangel       suffered    no    prejudice;
    there      is    not    a     reasonable         probability         that     he    would     have
    received a more favorable outcome had his counsel challenged the
    drug    weight.          As    explained      above,         the    district       court    found
    Rangel responsible for 1,000 kg based on the evidence at trial,
    22
    the   probation   officer’s      unchallenged      representations,       and    the
    evidence    presented    in   the    presentence       report.      We   need     not
    speculate as to what the district court would have found, as it
    wrote    unequivocally    that      it   found    1,000     kg   attributable      to
    Rangel by a preponderance of the evidence, irrespective of the
    jury’s finding.        The guideline range and ultimate sentence flow
    directly from the district court’s drug weight finding.                        Rangel
    points to no argument or factor that his counsel should have
    raised    that   the   district     court     failed   to   consider     and    which
    might have changed its view.             He accordingly fails to establish
    prejudice to support his claim that his trial counsel rendered
    ineffective assistance at sentencing by failing to object to the
    drug weight finding.
    III.
    For the foregoing reasons, the judgment of the district
    court is
    AFFIRMED.
    23