United States v. Rodriguez-Reyes , 925 F.3d 558 ( 2019 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 18-1217
    UNITED STATES,
    Appellee,
    v.
    JOSÉ FRANCISCO RODRÍGUEZ-REYES,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. Francisco A. Besosa, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Torruella, Selya, and Lynch,
    Circuit Judges.
    Luis A. Guzmán Dupont for appellant.
    David C. Bornstein, Assistant United States Attorney, with
    whom Mariana E. Bauzá-Almonte, Assistant United States Attorney,
    Chief, Appellate Division, Thomas F. Klumper, Assistant United
    States Attorney, Senior Appellate Counsel, and Rosa Emilia
    Rodríguez-Vélez, United States Attorney, were on brief, for
    appellee.
    June 5, 2019
    LYNCH,    Circuit Judge.         This is a challenge to the
    imposition of an upwardly variant sentence of thirty-six months'
    imprisonment, following a guilty plea by José Francisco Rodríguez-
    Reyes (Rodríguez) to a charge of being a felon in possession of a
    firearm, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1).                   The firearm was
    an   AM-15     multi-caliber      assault     rifle    which       accepted        5.56
    millimeter      military-style        ammunition.                Rodríguez        tried
    unsuccessfully to escape arrest.              Rodríguez did not challenge
    either   the    procedural     or    substantive      reasonableness         of    the
    sentence in the district court.
    As to procedural reasonableness, Rodríguez argues on
    appeal   that   the    district     court:    (1)   erred    in    the    course    of
    sentencing by discussing Rodríguez's arrests that did not result
    in convictions; (2) failed to consider adequately the 18 U.S.C.
    § 3553(a) factors; and (3) erred in varying upward from the
    government's     sentencing       recommendation.           As     to    substantive
    reasonableness, Rodríguez argues that (1) the district court did
    not sufficiently consider unspecified mitigating factors and the
    reasons for the government's sentencing recommendation, and (2)
    the sentence imposed was longer than necessary.
    Finding    no   reversible      error,   we    affirm       Rodríguez's
    sentence.
    - 2 -
    I.
    "When a sentencing appeal follows a guilty plea, 'we
    glean the relevant facts from the change-of-plea colloquy, the
    unchallenged portions of the presentence investigation report
    . . . and the record of the disposition hearing.'"            United States
    v. Dávila-González, 
    595 F.3d 42
    , 45 (1st Cir. 2010) (quoting United
    States v. Vargas, 
    560 F.3d 45
    , 47 (1st Cir. 2009)).
    A.   Facts of the Offense
    On February 23, 2017, officers from the Puerto Rico
    Police    Department   (PRPD)   received     information   about    a   future
    firearm    transaction,   including    the   location,     date,   time,   and
    description of vehicles likely to be involved.               PRPD officers,
    along with agents from the federal Department of Homeland Security
    (DHS), during surveillance observed Rodríguez and two other men
    standing near the rear hatch of a Jeep Cherokee looking at a rifle.
    Rodríguez drove away in the Jeep and the police officers and agents
    followed by car; Rodríguez then parked and entered the car of
    another man involved in the attempted firearm transaction.                 The
    men noticed the police officers and agents and fled by vehicle.
    Their vehicle eventually crashed, and the officers detained the
    two men.    After Rodríguez and the other man consented to a search
    of the vehicles, the officers and agents found an AM-15 multi-
    caliber rifle, which Rodríguez admitted to purchasing online and
    was planning to sell for $2,000.
    - 3 -
    B.     Procedural History
    On March 8, 2017, a federal grand jury in Puerto Rico
    indicted Rodríguez on one count of being a felon in possession of
    a    firearm    and   one   count   of    being   an   unlawful   drug   user   in
    possession of a firearm, in violation of 18 U.S.C. §§ 922(g)(1)
    and (3), as well as aiding and abetting a co-defendant in the same
    two counts, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 2.                  Rodríguez had been
    convicted of prior felony charges.                On May 11, 2017, Rodríguez
    pleaded guilty to the one count of being a felon in possession of
    a firearm, and the plea agreement provided for a total offense
    level (TOL) of twelve.
    The Presentence Investigation Report (PSR) followed the
    parties' calculations from the plea agreement, with a TOL of twelve
    resulting from a base level of fourteen and the removal of two
    levels for acceptance of responsibility.               See U.S.S.G. § 3E1.1(a).
    Rodríguez had three prior convictions: two state illegal drug
    possession convictions in Texas (one for marijuana, one for both
    marijuana and cocaine), and a federal conviction for conspiracy to
    commit mail fraud and bank fraud in Puerto Rico.                     This gave
    Rodríguez a criminal history category (CHC) of III.                      A TOL of
    twelve and a CHC of III led to a guideline imprisonment range of
    fifteen to twenty-one months.
    The PSR also listed, as required, six arrests which did
    not lead to convictions (but also did not lead to acquittals),
    - 4 -
    four of which related to Rodríguez's illegal drug possession.1               See
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 32(d)(2)(A)(i) (requiring that the PSR contain
    information   on    "the   defendant's       history   and   characteristics,
    including . . . any prior criminal record").            The drug arrests are
    discussed below.       The PSR also stated that "[i]n this case a
    variance [may be] considered since the defendant has a high risk
    of   recidivism."      That   risk    was     evidenced      by,   inter   alia,
    Rodríguez's prior criminal history (which took three pages of the
    PSR to recount), the fact that the offense of conviction took place
    within five months of his completion of a supervised release term
    from his federal mail and bank fraud imprisonment, and a pending
    arrest warrant against him in El Paso, Texas for illegal possession
    of marijuana.      By the time of completion of the PSR, the pending
    Texas "charge was dismissed" because Rodríguez "was convicted in
    another case."
    The PSR also described a history of illegal drug use by
    Rodríguez spanning more than twenty-five years.              Rodríguez stated
    that he began smoking marijuana at the age of twelve and smoked
    marijuana approximately five times per day, having returned to
    drug use in 2002 after a one-year break following a drug treatment
    1   These arrests were, in chronological order: a 2000
    Puerto Rico controlled substances possession arrest; a 2000 Puerto
    Rico unlicensed firearm possession arrest; a 2005 Puerto Rico
    "conjugal threats" arrest; two 2009 Texas marijuana possession
    arrests; and a 2010 New York marijuana possession arrest.
    - 5 -
    program (completed pursuant to a 2000 Puerto Rico drug charge).
    Indeed, Rodríguez tested positive for marijuana on February 27,
    2017, shortly after his arrest in the present case. He also stated
    that he began using cocaine and Percocet when he was twenty-six,
    in 2004 or 2005.      The PSR also stated that Rodríguez and his then-
    wife separated in 2005 "[a]s a result" of Rodríguez's "mari[j]uana
    addiction."
    In his sentencing memorandum, Rodríguez did not object
    to the PSR or any facts within the PSR, including the facts as to
    the disposition of his arrests and his drug use (he did say that
    some of his debt had been paid off).          ("The Pre-Sentence Report
    was discussed with [Rodríguez] and there are no objections.")               His
    sentencing memorandum acknowledged that Rodríguez "ha[d] been
    using Mari[j]uana since age 12 on a daily basis" and his drug use
    "ha[d] escalated to the use of Cocaine and Percocet."
    C.   Sentencing Hearing
    In   his   sentencing     memorandum   and    at    the    sentencing
    hearing,   Rodríguez     requested    a   sentence      of    fifteen    months'
    imprisonment, at the bottom of the guidelines range.                 Rodríguez's
    counsel expressly referred to the sentencing memorandum at the
    hearing.   He did not dispute the PSR's calculations.                    At the
    sentencing hearing, the government requested a sentence of twenty-
    one months' imprisonment, at the top of the guidelines range.                It
    explained the disposition of Rodríguez's arrests that had not led
    - 6 -
    to convictions, and Rodríguez's counsel stated that he had no
    objections to the government's explanation.
    The district court accepted the PSR's calculations of
    the TOL, the CHC, and the guidelines range.                 The district court
    then        listed   Rodríguez's   prior   arrests   that    did   not   lead   to
    convictions, accurately describing the PSR and the government's
    explanation of the disposition of these arrests.
    Explaining why it was following the recommendation of
    the probation officer and imposing an upwardly variant sentence
    (as recommended by the probation officer), the district court gave
    a number of reasons and justifications.              To start, it stated that
    "neither [side's] sentence recommendation reflects the seriousness
    of the offense, promotes respect for the law, protects the public
    from further crimes by [Rodríguez], or addresses the issues of
    deterrence and punishment."           These statements track closely the
    sentencing factors laid out at 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(2)(A), (B) and
    (C).2        The district court stated that it was also "taking into
    consideration that [Rodríguez's] criminal history category is
    underrepresented."
    2 In turn: "(A) to reflect the seriousness of the offense,
    to promote respect for the law, and to provide just punishment for
    the offense; (B) to afford adequate deterrence to criminal
    conduct; (C) to protect the public from further crimes of the
    defendant . . . ." 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(2).
    - 7 -
    The district court noted Rodríguez's "encounters with
    the law since he was 21 years old," as well as Rodríguez's
    "recidivism, his drug use history, [and] his lack of steady
    employment."   The drug use described was that noted earlier, as
    well as Rodríguez's positive test for marijuana on the date of his
    arrest for the offense of conviction.     The district court also
    stated that the arrest for the present firearm offense came "less
    than five months after having completed his supervised release
    term" for his federal wire and bank fraud conviction. The district
    court further stated that it was "taking into consideration the
    nature of the weapon involved, an assault rifle, which accepts
    5.56 millimeter military ammunition."
    After describing these reasons for the variance, the
    district court then imposed an upwardly variant sentence of thirty-
    six months' imprisonment.   That variant sentence is well under the
    statutory maximum of 120 months.    See 18 U.S.C. § 924(a)(2).   At
    the sentencing hearing, Rodríguez did not object to the sentence
    or challenge its substantive or procedural reasonableness.       As
    Rodríguez requested, the court recommended that he be placed in an
    institution in Florida.
    Rodríguez timely appealed.
    - 8 -
    II.
    "In      sentencing       appeals,          appellate        review        is
    bifurcated."3        United States v. Ruiz-Huertas, 
    792 F.3d 223
    , 226
    (1st Cir. 2015).            We first consider whether the sentence is
    procedurally         reasonable,    and      then       consider     whether       it    is
    substantively reasonable.              E.g., United States v. Clogston, 
    662 F.3d 588
    , 590 (1st Cir. 2011).
    A.    Procedural Reasonableness
    Because       Rodríguez       did   not     raise      any        procedural
    objections      to    his    sentence       at    the    district        court,    as   he
    acknowledges, this court's review is for plain error.                              United
    States v. Soto-Soto, 
    855 F.3d 445
    , 448 (1st Cir. 2017).                              Plain
    error requires "four showings: (1) that an error occurred (2) which
    was   clear    or     obvious    and    which     not     only     (3)    affected      the
    defendant's substantial rights, but also (4) seriously impaired
    the   fairness,       integrity,       or    public      reputation        of     judicial
    proceedings."        United States v. Duarte, 
    246 F.3d 56
    , 60 (1st Cir.
    2001); see also United States v. Romero, 
    906 F.3d 196
    , 205 (1st
    Cir. 2018) (requiring showings of "(1) error, (2) plainness,
    3   Rodríguez's plea agreement contained a waiver of appeal
    provision, which was to be operative provided that he was sentenced
    according   to    the   agreement's    "terms,   conditions,    and
    recommendations."    As Rodríguez correctly argues, the sentence
    imposed exceeded the sentence recommended in the plea agreement,
    and so he can appeal.     See, e.g., United States v. Fernández-
    Cabrera, 
    625 F.3d 48
    , 51 (1st Cir. 2010). The government does not
    argue otherwise.
    - 9 -
    (3) prejudice, and (4) an outcome that is a miscarriage of justice
    or akin to it" (quoting United States v. Tanco-Pizarro, 
    892 F.3d 472
    , 478-79 (1st Cir.), cert. denied 
    139 S. Ct. 354
    (2018))).
    We start with Rodríguez's argument about the district
    court's reference to Rodríguez's arrests that did not lead to
    convictions.     We then turn to Rodríguez's arguments about the
    district court's allegedly inadequate consideration of the Section
    3553(a) factors and the variance from the government's sentencing
    recommendation.
    1.      The District Court Did Not Plainly Err in Considering
    Rodríguez's Arrests Not Leading to Convictions as a
    Matter Leading to an Upward Variance
    Rodríguez   argues    that   the   district     court    erred   in
    "reciting"     Rodríguez's   six     arrests    that   did     not    lead    to
    convictions.     To the extent he is arguing that the court errs in
    merely reciting an arrest record, he is flatly wrong.                See United
    States v. Mercer, 
    834 F.3d 39
    , 49–50 (1st Cir. 2016).                So, we go
    to the particulars.
    The government stresses that the district court "relied
    on other factors" beyond arrests "when it imposed the upward
    variance."    As to the arrests, the government argues that the four
    drug arrests could be considered because they met the reliability
    standard.     That is because they were corroborated by a number of
    uncontested facts in the PSR about Rodríguez's drug use. It points
    - 10 -
    out that one charge was dismissed not "as a result of the evidence"
    but based on a Puerto Rico speedy trial rule.
    We start with an overview of the law pertinent to the
    ability of the district court to impose an upward variance.                  The
    statute itself says that "[n]o limitation shall be placed on the
    information concerning the background, character, and conduct of
    a person convicted of an offense which a court of the United States
    may receive and consider for the purpose of imposing an appropriate
    sentence."     18 U.S.C. § 3661.     We have held that "[a]t sentencing,
    a court is not bound by the rules of evidence but, rather, may
    take into account any information that has sufficient indicia of
    reliability."     United States v. Díaz–Arroyo, 
    797 F.3d 125
    , 130 n.3
    (1st Cir. 2015) (citing United States v. Tardiff, 
    969 F.2d 1283
    ,
    1287 (1st Cir. 1992)).        The Guidelines so provide.       See U.S.S.G.
    § 6A1.3(a).      The "sentencing court has wide discretion to decide
    whether particular evidence is sufficiently reliable to be used at
    sentencing," United States v. Cintrón-Echautegui, 
    604 F.3d 1
    , 6
    (1st   Cir.    2010),   which   includes     information    contained   in     a
    presentence report, United States v. Cruz, 
    120 F.3d 1
    , 2 (1st Cir.
    1997) (en banc); see also United States v. Cyr, 
    337 F.3d 96
    , 100
    (1st Cir. 2003) ("Generally, a PSR bears sufficient indicia of
    reliability     to   permit   the   district   court   to   rely   on   it    at
    sentencing." (quoting United States v. Taylor, 
    277 F.3d 721
    , 724
    (5th Cir. 2001))).
    - 11 -
    The government cites to our recent case, United States
    v. Marrero-Pérez, 
    914 F.3d 20
    (1st Cir. 2019), relying on it in
    part and distinguishing it as to the outcome.    Rodríguez did not
    cite to Marrero-Pérez in briefing, but did at oral argument.
    Marrero-Pérez involves an "upward departure," 
    id. at 22,
    not a variance, as here.     Citing to a policy statement in the
    Sentencing Guidelines about departures (a different category of
    sentence which was at issue there), see U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3, Marrero-
    Pérez stated that "error occurs when a district judge relies on an
    arrest report, without some greater indicia of reliability that
    the conduct underlying the arrest took 
    place," 914 F.3d at 24
    (emphasis added).4 This statement was based on Guidelines language
    and is consistent with the policy statement, titled "Departures
    Based on Inadequacy of Criminal History Category."        U.S.S.G.
    § 4A1.3.   Marrero-Pérez held, under plain error review, that in
    the context of an upward departure, arrests supported by reliable
    information that the conduct occurred could be considered, but the
    arrests at issue there were not so supported, or even explained in
    the PSR or 
    otherwise. 914 F.3d at 24
    .
    4     At oral argument, Rodríguez focused on the phrase
    "independent proof of conduct" in Marrero-Pérez, rather than "some
    greater indicia of 
    reliability." 914 F.3d at 22
    , 24. The former
    phrase was not meant to proscribe any "weight" given to arrests,
    such as "a collection of arrests," 
    id., or consideration
    of conduct
    underlying arrests. Nor was it meant to create a new rule that
    arrests could not be mentioned by a sentencing court. See 
    Mercer, 834 F.3d at 49
    –50.
    - 12 -
    We have earlier noted concern with "accord[ing] any
    significance to a record of multiple arrests and charges without
    conviction unless there is adequate proof of the conduct upon which
    the arrests or charges were predicated."             United States v. Cortés-
    Medina, 
    819 F.3d 566
    , 570 (1st Cir. 2016) (emphasis added); see
    United States v. Rondón-García, 
    886 F.3d 14
    , 25-26 (1st Cir. 2018)
    (finding no clear error in a district court's reliance on an arrest
    record for an "upward departure," where the defendant had "no prior
    convictions"); United States v. Gallardo-Ortiz, 
    666 F.3d 808
    , 815
    (1st Cir. 2012) ("We have cautioned against district courts relying
    on mere arrests as indicative of a defendant's character to justify
    an upward departure from the GSR since a criminal charge alone
    does not equate with criminal guilt of the charged conduct."
    (emphasis added)).       Reliance on bare arrests -- unexplained in the
    PSR or elsewhere in the district court record and "not buttressed"
    by   "some    greater    indicia    of       reliability"    -- can   indeed   be
    problematic, at least for an upward departure.                
    Marrero-Pérez, 914 F.3d at 22
    , 24.         But as Marrero-Pérez also said, "a reasonable
    person might in particular circumstances assign some weight to a
    collection of arrests."        
    Id. at 22;
    see 
    id. at 23
    (noting that
    "recidivist     behavior"      is        a     "proper      consideration[]    at
    sentencing").
    It is not wholly clear from the sentencing transcript
    whether the district court relied in part on the arrests, or
    - 13 -
    instead "merely referred to [the defendant's] dismissed charges in
    the course of relying on certain conduct that took place in
    connection with the dismissed charges."               
    Mercer, 834 F.3d at 50
    .
    Even if we assume the district court here relied in part on the
    prior       illegal    drug    possession   arrests   and    that   Marrero-Pérez
    squarely applies to this situation of an upward variance rather
    than a departure under U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3(a),5 there was no plain
    error.
    First     and     most   importantly,        other   "indicia   of
    reliability" support that Rodríguez engaged in the conduct charged
    underlying the four drug possession arrests that did not lead to
    5 Beyond the departure/variance distinction, discussed
    infra, Marrero-Pérez involved a particular set of facts distinct
    from this case.    In Marrero-Pérez, the past arrests recounted,
    "usually involving at worst trivial conduct," lacked corroborating
    evidence "set forth in undisputed portions of the 
    PSR." 914 F.3d at 22
    , 24. There, the district court had discussed the defendant's
    alleged "utter disregard for the law," in part based on the
    unsupported arrest record, and listed the exact number of arrests
    and history of warrants. 
    Id. at 22.
    Further, Marrero-Pérez relied
    in part on prudential concerns about "still not fully explained
    material submitted ex parte by the probation officer to the
    [district] court concerning certain outstanding warrants." 
    Id. at 25.
              Here, in contrast, there were no ex parte submissions by
    the probation officer. The arrests mentioned by the district court
    here did not involve "trivial conduct." Corroborating evidence
    about consistent drug use was set forth clearly in the PSR and has
    never been disputed. Further, the district court did not make any
    explicit comment about Rodríguez's guilt based on arrests, see 
    id. at 23
    , instead mentioning only generally that it was "taking into
    consideration that [Rodríguez's] criminal history category is
    underrepresented."
    Despite these distinct facts, the result here is
    consistent with Marrero-Pérez.
    - 14 -
    convictions.     The PSR -- to which Rodríguez expressly did not
    object -- discussed a range of illegal drug use by Rodríguez,6 as
    did his own sentencing memorandum.       As said, Rodríguez stated that
    he began smoking marijuana at the age of twelve, reverted to drug
    use in 2002 after a one-year break following a drug treatment
    program (completed in order to expunge his 2000 Puerto Rico drug
    arrest), and smoked marijuana approximately five times per day.
    Rodríguez tested positive for marijuana on February 27, 2017,
    shortly after his arrest in the present case.              This covers the
    time period for all of Rodríguez's arrests for drug possession
    that did not lead to convictions (again, in January 2000, January
    and February 2009, and October 2010).               Rodríguez's sentencing
    memorandum    admitted   that    his   "addiction    has   escalated   [from
    marijuana] to the use of Cocaine and Percocet."
    This provides "some greater indicia of reliability,"
    beyond the mere fact of arrest, "that the conduct underlying the
    arrest[s] took place."          
    Marrero-Pérez, 914 F.3d at 24
    .         Even
    leaving aside the district court's consideration of the Section
    3553(a) factors, discussed below, and the fact that these arrests
    and charges also went to the history and characteristics of
    Rodríguez, see United States v. Flores-Machicote, 
    706 F.3d 16
    , 21
    6    One of the convictions, the second Texas marijuana
    conviction, was charged as a felony and involved possession of
    about twenty-six pounds of marijuana.
    - 15 -
    (1st Cir. 2013), the district court did not rely merely on a bare
    arrest record.
    Second and relatedly, we have held that a sentencing
    court   may    consider   arrests   not    leading    to    convictions   where
    "[t]here is no reason . . . given [defendant's] failure to contest
    the facts [in the PSR] and the absence of any acquittal, to doubt
    that these acts occurred."          United States v. Tabares, 
    951 F.2d 405
    , 411 (1st Cir. 1991) (Breyer, J.).          As said, Rodríguez did not
    dispute facts contained in the PSR or explained by the government
    at the sentencing hearing.              All of Rodríguez's dismissed or
    expunged charges mentioned by the district court were dismissed or
    expunged "not because of any finding on the merits of the case[s],
    but for other reasons."      
    Id. The 2000
    charge for drug possession
    was expunged because Rodríguez had completed a diversionary drug
    treatment program.        The charges from the two 2009 arrests for
    marijuana possession in Texas were dismissed on petition of the
    government due to Rodríguez's conviction on another 2009 marijuana
    possession     charge.     The   2010    New   York   marijuana     charge   was
    adjourned     in   contemplation    of    dismissal,       and   Rodríguez   was
    arrested the next day on federal bank and wire fraud charges.
    As to the Puerto Rico weapons possession arrest, the
    government said, and Rodríguez's counsel agreed at the sentencing
    hearing, that the charges were dismissed due to the speedy trial
    - 16 -
    rules in Puerto Rico.7       The district court most certainly did not
    consider any arrests which led to acquittals.
    Third,   even     beyond   underrepresentation    of    criminal
    history, the district court focused on a number of facts about the
    offense of conviction and Rodríguez that were clearly relevant to
    Section 3553(a) factors and to an upward variance, including: the
    type of weapon involved, an AM-15 "assault rifle" ("nature and
    circumstances of the offense"); risk of recidivism and commission
    of this crime shortly after the end of a supervised release term
    ("protect[ing] the public from further crimes of the defendant");
    and Rodríguez's consistent illegal drug use and lack of steady
    employment ("history and characteristics of the defendant").            18
    U.S.C. § 3553(a).     All of these provided additional reasonable
    justifications for an upward variance.             We have affirmed in
    numerous   cases    upward    variances    based   on   district   courts'
    consideration of such factors.        See, e.g., United States v. Ortiz-
    Álvarez, 
    921 F.3d 313
    , 316 (1st Cir. 2019) (involvement of an
    "assault rifle"); United States v. Bermúdez–Meléndez, 
    827 F.3d 160
    , 164 (1st Cir. 2016) (involvement of an "assault rifle");
    
    Flores-Machiote, 706 F.3d at 24
    ("likely recidivism"); United
    7    The record is not clear as to the reason for the
    dismissal of the conjugal threats charge, but the PSR states that
    it was dismissed, and the government stated (without objection)
    that further records from this arrest had been destroyed due to a
    timely motion by Rodríguez filed pursuant to Puerto Rico law.
    - 17 -
    States v. Santini-Santiago, 
    846 F.3d 487
    , 491 (1st Cir. 2017)
    ("drug use"); United States v. Rivera-González, 
    776 F.3d 45
    , 50
    (1st Cir. 2015) ("employment record").
    There was no plain error by the district court here.8
    2.     This Case Involves a Variance Under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a),
    Not a "Departure" Under U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3
    We have explained why there is no plain error here and
    that this case is consistent with Marrero-Pérez. We add that there
    is an important structural distinction between this case and
    Marrero-Pérez that merits some discussion.
    Marrero-Pérez relied substantially on a policy statement
    concerning    upward   departures,    as   specifically    defined    in   the
    
    Guidelines. 914 F.3d at 22
    ; see U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3(a); 
    id. § 1B1.1
    n.1(F)(2).      This policy statement states in part that "[i]f
    reliable   information    indicates    that     the   defendant's    criminal
    history category substantially under-represents the seriousness of
    the   defendant's   criminal   history     or   the   likelihood    that   the
    defendant will commit other crimes, an upward departure may be
    8   "Plain error review requires us to reverse only where a
    lower court's error is clear or obvious in light of the prevailing
    law, but 'Cortés-Medina held only that the law on this question
    [consideration of arrests] was unclear.'" 
    Rondón-García, 886 F.3d at 26
    (quoting United States v. Delgado-Sánchez, 
    849 F.3d 1
    , 13
    (1st Cir. 2017)).    So, even (wrongly) reading Marrero-Pérez as
    broadly as Rodríguez sought at oral argument, the district court's
    reference to the prior arrests would not amount to plain error
    based on the state of First Circuit law at the time of Rodríguez's
    sentencing.
    - 18 -
    warranted."      
    Id. § 4A1.3(a)(1).
         More importantly for present
    purposes, it states that "[a] prior arrest record itself shall not
    be considered for purposes of an upward departure under this policy
    statement."9    
    Id. § 4A1.3(a)(3)
    (emphasis added).        The Application
    Notes to the Guidelines state that "Departure" means, "for purposes
    of § 4A1.3 . . . assignment of a criminal history category other
    than the otherwise applicable criminal history category, in order
    to effect a sentence outside the applicable guideline range."            
    Id. § 1B1.1
    n.1(F)(2).
    Here, in contrast with Marrero-Pérez, the district court
    was varying upward, not departing, and referred specifically to
    its use of the Section 3553(a) factors.            There was no assignment
    of a higher criminal history category, nor any mention of a
    departure.
    There are significant differences between a departure
    and   a   variance.    "In   federal    criminal    sentencing,   the   term
    'departure' is a term of art."         United States v. Román-Díaz, 
    853 F.3d 591
    , 596 (1st Cir. 2017).          As we have stated, quoting the
    Supreme Court in part,
    [a] 'departure,' as explained by the Supreme
    Court, 'is a term of art under the Guidelines
    9    This policy statement does not purport to address upward
    variances.    And in United States v. Martin, we recognized that
    "[p]olicy statements issued by the Sentencing Commission . . .
    normally are not decisive as to what may constitute a permissible
    ground for a variant sentence in a given case." 
    520 F.3d 87
    , 93
    (1st Cir. 2008).
    - 19 -
    and refers only to non-Guidelines sentences
    imposed under the framework set out in the
    Guidelines.' Variant sentences, by contrast,
    . . . result from a court's consideration of
    the statutory sentencing factors enumerated in
    18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).
    United States v. Aponte-Vellón, 
    754 F.3d 89
    , 93 (1st Cir. 2014)
    (internal citations omitted) (quoting Irizarry v. United States,
    
    553 U.S. 708
    , 714 (2008)).         Other circuits have recognized this
    departure/variance    distinction.        See,   e.g.,    United      States   v.
    Rodriguez, 
    855 F.3d 526
    , 532 n.7 (3d Cir. 2017) ("A 'departure' is
    different from a 'variance.'"); United States v. Hernandez, 435 F.
    App'x 873, 877 (11th Cir. 2011) (unpub.) ("On the record as a
    whole, we conclude the district court imposed a discretionary
    . . . upward variance based on the § 3553(a) factors, and not an
    upward departure based on U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3(a)."); United States v.
    Herrera-Zuniga, 
    571 F.3d 568
    , 586 (6th Cir. 2009) ("This Court has
    recognized the distinction between sentencing departures under
    U.S.S.G.   § 4A1.3   and   variances     under   18    U.S.C.      § 3553(a).");
    United States v. Solis-Bermudez, 
    501 F.3d 882
    , 884 (8th Cir. 2007)
    ("[W]e have attempted to carefully distinguish between sentencing
    departures, which are provided for in . . . USSG § 4A1.3, and
    sentencing    variances,   which   are   .   .   .    based   on    the   factors
    enumerated in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)."); United States v. Mejia-
    Huerta, 
    480 F.3d 713
    , 721 (5th Cir. 2007) ("[A] sentencing court
    may impose a non-Guidelines sentence, i.e., a 'variance', but not
    - 20 -
    a 'departure,' if it calculates the proper sentencing range and
    references the broad array of factors set forth in § 3553(a).").
    Importantly,    the   policy   statement,     as    to   the   "arrest   record
    itself," does not apply to a variance.          U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3(a).
    The variance here resulted, in part, from the district
    court's determination that there was underrepresentation of the
    criminal history (perhaps due to prior arrests and the conduct
    underlying those arrests, perhaps due to facts underlying the prior
    convictions).    It is clear that, "[a]s part of the [18 U.S.C.
    § 3553(a)(1)] inquiry, a sentencing judge may consider whether a
    defendant's criminal history score substantially underrepresents
    the gravity of his past conduct."           
    Flores-Machicote, 706 F.3d at 21
    .   Indeed, "the very same factors that prompted the[] comments
    [on   underrepresentation]     also   fit    well    within    the   scope   of
    § 3553(a): . . . the drug use and prior arrest[s] bore on 'the
    characteristics of the defendant.'"         
    Santini-Santiago, 846 F.3d at 491
    (quoting 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(1)).               So, underrepresentation
    "might also relate to a departure, but a sentencing court may
    'echo' a departure consideration as one factor in its analysis,
    while still imposing a variance."      United States v. Acevedo-López,
    
    873 F.3d 330
    , 342 (1st Cir. 2017) (quoting 
    Aponte-Vellón, 754 F.3d at 93
    ).   And like in Mercer, because the conduct -- here, arrests
    for illegal drug use -- underlying dismissed or expunged charges
    "was set forth in undisputed portions of the PSR, the District
    - 21 -
    Court was entitled to rely on that conduct when sentencing [the
    
    defendant]," 834 F.3d at 50
    , even assuming the district court
    indeed did so.10
    In       Marrero-Pérez,   we    did   not    purport    to   restrict
    district courts' use of the broad Section 3553(a) factors for a
    variance.     Marrero-Pérez also did not purport to overrule First
    Circuit cases such as Martin, Tabares, and Mercer (respectively,
    recognizing      a    sentencing   court's     discretion    to    disagree   with
    policy statements in the Guidelines in imposing a variant sentence;
    affirming the use by a sentencing court of arrests not leading to
    convictions where the defendant did not contest the conduct and
    where there were no acquittals; and recognizing the district
    court's    entitlement      to   consider    "conduct     that    took   place   in
    connection with the dismissed charges" that was "set forth in
    undisputed portions of the PSR").              See, e.g., United States v.
    Viloria-Sepulveda, 
    921 F.3d 5
    , 9 (1st Cir. 2019) (citing Martin
    positively); United States v. Vázquez, 
    724 F.3d 15
    , 30 n.12 (1st
    Cir. 2013) (citing Tabares positively).                 Nor could it have done
    so.
    10  We do not suggest that only a bare arrest record, without
    more reliable explanation of or support for the underlying conduct
    and without consideration of the circumstances of disposition,
    would be a valid basis for an upward variance under Section
    3553(a). That issue is not presented on the record before us here.
    - 22 -
    3.      The District Court Adequately Considered the Section
    3553(a) Factors
    Next, Rodríguez argues that the district court did not
    adequately consider the 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) factors, and that
    "[n]othing in the record specifically refers to any sentencing
    factor."   He is wrong.
    "Failure   to    follow   § 3553      results     in     prejudice
    warranting reversal for plain error if the defendant shows a
    reasonable probability that but for an obvious error the court
    would have imposed a more favorable sentence."            United States v.
    Ortíz-Mercado, 
    919 F.3d 686
    , 690 (1st Cir. 2019).
    The district court explicitly stated that it considered
    the Section 3553(a) sentencing factors, and that statement is
    "entitled to significant weight."           United States v. Calderón-
    Lozano, 
    912 F.3d 644
    , 648 (1st Cir. 2019) (quoting United States
    v. Arroyo-Maldonado, 
    791 F.3d 193
    , 199 (1st Cir. 2015)).                    The
    district court's explanation at the sentencing hearing, as we have
    recounted,     demonstrated    ample   consideration         of     Rodríguez's
    "history     and   characteristics"    as   well    as   the      "nature   and
    circumstances of the offense," 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(1), including
    Rodríguez's education, and history of drug use, as well as "the
    nature of the weapon involved, an assault rifle, which accepts
    5.56 millimeter military ammunition."       Further, the district court
    stated that Rodríguez's firearm offense came "less than five months
    - 23 -
    after having completed his supervised release term" for his federal
    wire and bank fraud offense.    Indeed, both the attempted sale of
    an assault rifle and the timing of the offense are also surely
    relevant to Rodríguez's likelihood of recidivism11 and the threat
    he posed to the safety of the community.
    As we have said, "[f]ailure to follow § 3553 results in
    prejudice warranting reversal for plain error if the defendant
    shows a reasonable probability that but for an obvious error the
    court would have imposed a more favorable sentence."        Ortíz-
    
    Mercado, 919 F.3d at 690
    .      Rodríguez never argued, much less
    demonstrated, that he was so prejudiced.
    4.   There Was No Plain Error in the District Court Varying
    from the Government's Sentencing Recommendation
    Rodríguez argues in passing that the district court
    should have followed the government's sentencing recommendation,
    because "the government ha[d] all the evidence . . . to consider
    an adequate plea agreement."   This argument is waived for lack of
    developed argumentation.   See United States v. Zannino, 
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17 (1st Cir. 1990).
    In any event, a Rule 11(c)(1)(b) plea does not bind a
    district court to the recommendation in a plea agreement.   Fed. R.
    11   In discussing "protect[ing] the public from further
    crimes" and Rodríguez's "recidivism," the district court made no
    further reference to any of the arrests not leading to convictions,
    and so may well have been referring just to Rodríguez's multiple
    drug convictions and bank and wire fraud conviction.
    - 24 -
    Crim. P. 11(c)(1)(b); see United States v. Ubiles-Rosario, 
    867 F.3d 277
    , 294 (1st Cir. 2017) ("[T]he district court was not bound
    by the parties' recommendations."); United States v. Garcia-Pupo,
    
    845 F.2d 8
    , 10 (1st Cir. 1988) ("[J]udges cannot be bound by a
    prosecutor's sentencing recommendation.").            This was made clear to
    Rodríguez by a magistrate judge at the change-of-plea hearing,
    held about two months before the sentencing hearing.                  The choice
    by the district court of a sentence other than one recommended by
    the parties is not, in itself, error.
    B.   Substantive Reasonableness
    The standard of review for challenges to substantive
    reasonableness raised for the first time on appeal, between abuse
    of discretion and plain error, remains an open question in this
    circuit.   See 
    Ruiz-Huertas, 792 F.3d at 228
    .          This question can be
    bypassed here because Rodríguez does not prevail even assuming, in
    his favor, that abuse of discretion applies.
    To   some   extent    blurring      substantive    and    procedural
    reasonableness, Rodríguez argues that the district court failed to
    consider    potentially    mitigating       factors   (though    he    does   not
    clearly delineate what these factors were) and failed to consider
    reasons for the government's request of twenty-one months.                    This
    means, he argues, that the district court failed "to weigh the
    Section    3353(a)   factors     and    various   mitigating    circumstances
    - 25 -
    properly."     He also asserts that the sentence was longer than
    necessary for the purposes of sentencing.
    There is no "requirement that a district court afford
    each of the section 3553(a) factors equal prominence," as "[t]he
    relative weight of each factor will vary with the idiosyncratic
    circumstances of each case."           United States v. Dixon, 
    449 F.3d 194
    , 205 (1st Cir. 2006).          Rodríguez does not even state what are
    the "various mitigating circumstances" that the district court
    allegedly ignored, so his argument fails on waiver.                Regardless,
    that Rodríguez disagrees with how the court weighed the factors
    "does not make the sentence unreasonable."            
    Clogston, 662 F.3d at 593
    .
    Finally,    as   to   Rodríguez's    general    contention    that
    "[t]he sentence imposed was longer than necessary to comply with
    the purposes of sentencing," this argument also fails.                     The
    district   court   offered     a    plausible    rationale   for   the   upward
    variance based substantially on Section 3553(a) factors.                   The
    sentence imposed, thirty-six months' imprisonment, was "within the
    wide universe of reasonable sentencing outcomes" and that ends the
    matter.    
    Ruiz-Huertas, 792 F.3d at 229
    .
    III.
    Affirmed.
    - 26 -