United States v. Ruvalcaba ( 2022 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 21-1064
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    JOSÉ RUVALCABA,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. George A. O'Toole, Jr., U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Barron, Selya, and Gelpí, Circuit Judges.
    Brandon Sample, with whom Brandon Sample PLC was on brief,
    for appellant.
    Jennifer Zacks, Assistant United States Attorney, with whom
    Nathaniel R. Mendell, Acting United States Attorney, was on brief,
    for appellee.
    February 15, 2022
    SELYA, Circuit Judge.         Presently before us is an appeal
    brought by defendant-appellant José Ruvalcaba, who is serving a
    life sentence for having led a drug-trafficking conspiracy.                    The
    appeal raises questions of first impression in this circuit.
    To frame those questions, we note that the defendant's
    life sentence, imposed in 2009, encompassed a mandatory minimum,
    see   
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(A)        (2006),   triggered     by   two   prior
    convictions for felony drug offenses.               While the defendant was
    serving his sentence, Congress passed the First Step Act (FSA) in
    December of 2018.         See Pub. L. No. 115-391, 
    132 Stat. 5194
    .              As
    relevant here, the FSA reduced certain enhanced mandatory minimum
    penalties (including those pursuant to section 841(b)(1)(A)) and
    modified the criteria for qualifying prior offenses.                     See 
    id.
    § 401, 132 Stat. at 5220.         At the same time, the FSA amended the
    compassionate-release statute, see 
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A), to
    allow   prisoners    to    file   their    own   motions    for   compassionate
    release, see FSA § 603(b), 132 Stat. at 5239.
    In the wake of these changes, the defendant moved for
    compassionate release under section 3582(c)(1)(A)(i), alleging
    that there were extraordinary and compelling reasons for his
    release.    The government opposed the motion.             The district court,
    in an unpublished order, refused the requested relief.
    On   appeal,    the   defendant      broadly   contends     that   the
    district court erred by concluding that it lacked the authority to
    - 2 -
    reduce his sentence because the FSA's changes could not support an
    extraordinary and compelling reason for compassionate release.                We
    have not yet spoken definitively on the extent of a district
    court's       discretion   in   determining       whether   extraordinary    and
    compelling reasons for compassionate release exist.              Specifically,
    we have yet to resolve whether the Sentencing Commission's current
    policy statement (USSG §1B1.13) is applicable to and, thus, binding
    upon district courts in adjudicating prisoner-initiated motions
    for compassionate release.           Nor have we yet resolved whether a
    district court — when confronted with such a motion — may consider
    certain of the FSA's changes that were not made retroactive to
    sentences previously imposed.
    After careful consideration, we hold that a district
    court     —    when   adjudicating     a    prisoner-initiated      motion   for
    compassionate release — is not bound by the Sentencing Commission's
    current policy statement.          We further hold that such a court may
    consider the FSA's non-retroactive changes in sentencing law on an
    individualized        basis,    grounded     in   a   defendant's    particular
    circumstances,        to   determine       whether    an    extraordinary    and
    compelling reason exists for compassionate release.                 Accordingly,
    we vacate the order of the district court and remand for further
    proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    - 3 -
    I
    Our journey starts with a rehearsal of the relevant facts
    and travel of the case, including a description of the pertinent
    aspects of the FSA and the law pertaining to compassionate release.
    The defendant   led a       sprawling       drug-distribution and
    money-laundering    conspiracy     in       the   early   2000s.        After    his
    apprehension,    the   defendant    was       tried     and     found   guilty    of
    involvement in two interlocking conspiracies:                    a conspiracy to
    distribute and to possess with intent to distribute over 500 grams
    of methamphetamine, see 
    21 U.S.C. § 846
    , and a conspiracy to
    launder money, see 
    18 U.S.C. § 1956
    (h).               On April 28, 2009, the
    district court sentenced him to life imprisonment on the drug-
    trafficking charge and to a concurrent 240-month term of immurement
    on the money-laundering charge.             The defendant appealed, and we
    summarily affirmed.     See United States v. Ruvalcaba, No. 09-1650
    (1st. Cir. Jan. 7, 2010) (unpublished judgment).
    The lifetime term of imprisonment reflected the enhanced
    mandatory    minimum   penalty   that        Congress     had    prescribed      for
    defendants with two prior "felony drug offense[s]" pursuant to
    section 841(b)(1)(A).     See 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(A) (2006).                   At
    the time of sentencing, the defendant had two earlier California
    felony drug convictions:    a 2001 conviction for importation, sale,
    and distribution of methamphetamine and a 2001 conviction for
    possession of methamphetamine.
    - 4 -
    We fast-forward to the spring of 2020, when the defendant
    moved for compassionate release under section 3582(c)(1)(A)(i), as
    amended by the FSA.     Two of the FSA's provisions are critically
    important to the defendant's compassionate-release motion.       First,
    during the more than thirty years before the FSA's passage, any
    motion for compassionate release had to be filed by the Director
    of   the   federal   Bureau   of   Prisons   (BOP).   See   
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A) (2012).       The FSA amended the statute, allowing
    prisoners to file such motions on their own should the BOP decline
    to act.1   See FSA § 603(b), 132 Stat. at 5239.
    Second, the FSA reconfigured the sentencing landscape
    through a series of revisions.      Pertinently, it altered the scope
    of the statutory mandatory minimum penalties imposed pursuant to
    
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(A).      See FSA § 401, 132 Stat. at 5220-21.
    This amendment reduced the mandatory minimum penalties in that
    section such that a defendant who had two or more prior qualifying
    convictions for drug offenses was no longer subject to a mandatory
    term of life imprisonment but, rather, to an incarcerative term of
    twenty-five years.    See id. § 401(a)(2), 132 Stat. at 5220.       For
    1 As we noted in United States v. Saccoccia, 
    10 F.4th 1
     (1st
    Cir. 2021), "[s]uch motions are variously referred to as sentence-
    reduction motions and compassionate-release motions."     
    Id.
     at 4
    n.2.    In this case, as in Saccoccia, "[w]e use those terms
    interchangeably." 
    Id.
     In adopting this approach, we in no way
    suggest that release from imprisonment is the only form of relief
    contemplated under section 3582(c)(1)(A).      After all, section
    3582(c)(1)(A) refers to sentence reductions generally.
    - 5 -
    a   defendant   with    only   one   qualifying    prior   conviction,   the
    mandatory minimum term was reduced from twenty years to fifteen
    years.   See 
    id.
       And as part and parcel of this series of changes,
    the FSA modified the criteria for qualifying prior offenses by
    replacing the term "felony drug offense" with the newly-defined
    terms "serious drug felony" and "serious violent felony."                
    Id.
    § 401(a)(1), 132 Stat. at 5220.
    Congress did not make these changes — found in section
    401 of the FSA — applicable to all persons previously convicted
    under    section   841(b)(1)(A).        Instead,   Congress   limited    the
    retroactivity of those amendments.           Id. § 401(c), 132 Stat. at
    5221 ("[Section 401], and the amendments made by this section,
    shall apply to any offense that was committed before the date of
    enactment of this Act, if a sentence for the offense has not been
    imposed as of such date of enactment.").
    Marshalling his case        for compassionate release, the
    defendant emphasized that had he been sentenced after the enactment
    of the FSA, he would have had just one qualifying prior offense
    and would have been subject to a mandatory prison term of only
    fifteen years.     His life sentence was so much more draconian that,
    in his view, the resultant sentencing disparity was "extraordinary
    and compelling."       This was especially true, he added, because he
    - 6 -
    was only forty-five years old and had been incarcerated on the
    drug-trafficking conspiracy charge for fourteen of those years.2
    The     defendant        offered    an    alternative     ground     for
    compassionate release.            His medical issues, he said, justified a
    sentence reduction.         In a supplemental motion, he added that his
    medical conditions — along with the conditions of his confinement
    — rendered him uniquely susceptible to severe illness or death
    from COVID-19.
    The district court denied the defendant's motions.                    As
    an initial matter, the court determined that the defendant had
    adequately exhausted his administrative remedies.                   See 
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A).      The court then turned to the question of whether
    an   extraordinary        and    compelling    reason   existed     sufficient    to
    warrant compassionate release.               Taking the first step along this
    road,     the     court     explained        that    although   the    Sentencing
    Commission's current policy statement did not "directly address
    the FSA's" amendments to the compassionate-release statute, it
    "provide[d]     helpful         guidance."     The   court   then   rejected     the
    2The defendant argued, in the alternative, that the district
    court should reduce his sentence to twenty-five years even if both
    of his prior offenses continued to rank as qualifying offenses.
    We note, moreover, that neither party discusses the significance,
    if any, of the money-laundering sentence vis-à-vis the defendant's
    quest for compassionate release. These matters — to the extent
    that they are relevant — may be explored by the district court on
    remand, but they have no bearing on the issues that are now before
    us.
    - 7 -
    defendant's "medical conditions" argument, reasoning that the BOP
    could adequately address the defendant's medical issues and that
    there    was    no    persuasive    evidence          that     the    defendant      was
    particularly susceptible to the ravages of COVID-19.
    Shifting     its    focus    to     the    FSA's    reduction       of   the
    mandatory minimum penalties and the simultaneous modifications of
    the criteria for qualifying prior offenses, the district court
    disagreed      that   those     changes       could    be    an      element    of   an
    extraordinary and compelling reason for compassionate release.                       In
    the court's estimation, the changes were prospective in effect
    and,    therefore,     any     ensuing    disparity      could       not   be   deemed
    extraordinary.        To rule otherwise, the court suggested, would
    result in an inappropriate judicial exception to the prospective
    effect of the FSA's amendments and offend the principle that "[t]he
    court may not modify a term of imprisonment once it has been
    imposed."      
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c).
    This timely appeal followed.                    In it, the defendant
    challenges the district court's refusal to consider the FSA's non-
    retroactive changes in sentencing law as part of the "extraordinary
    and compelling" calculus.           He does not challenge the district
    court's rejection of his plaint that his medical issues, standing
    alone, warranted compassionate release.
    - 8 -
    II
    Section 3582(c)(1)(A) authorizes a court to reduce a
    term of imprisonment when "extraordinary and compelling reasons
    warrant such a reduction."3              A prisoner seeking such relief may
    file a motion after exhausting his administrative remedies.                            See
    
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A); United States v. Texeira-Nieves, 
    23 F.4th 48
    , 52-53 (1st Cir. 2022).              To grant the motion, the district
    court    must   find       both   that    the    defendant    has    presented          an
    "extraordinary       and    compelling"        reason   warranting        a    sentence
    reduction,      
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A)(i),        and    that       "such     a
    reduction is consistent with applicable policy statements issued
    by the Sentencing Commission," 
    id.
     § 3582(c)(1)(A).                   In addition,
    the district court must consider any applicable section 3553(a)
    factors, see id., and "determine whether, in its discretion, the
    reduction . . . is         warranted     in     whole   or   in    part       under    the
    particular circumstances of the case," United States v. Saccoccia,
    
    10 F.4th 1
    , 4 (1st Cir. 2021) (omission in original) (quoting
    Dillon v. United States, 
    560 U.S. 817
    , 827 (2010)).
    3 The compassionate-release statute further provides that a
    district court may grant relief to some prisoners who are at least
    seventy years of age, who have served at least thirty years, and
    who are not found to be "a danger to the safety of any other person
    or the community."     
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A)(ii); see United
    States v. Texeira-Nieves, 
    23 F.4th 48
    , 54 n.3 (1st Cir. 2022).
    This provision is not implicated here.
    - 9 -
    We review a district court's denial of a compassionate-
    release motion for abuse of discretion.             See, e.g., 
    id. at 4-5
    .
    This standard is not monolithic and, under it, we review embedded
    questions of law de novo and embedded findings of fact for clear
    error.    See United States v. Vélez-Andino, 
    12 F.4th 105
    , 112 (1st
    Cir. 2021); Saccoccia, 10 F.4th at 5.
    In the case at hand, the defendant argues that the
    district court erred as a matter of law when it concluded that the
    FSA's    changes   to   the   mandatory   minimum    penalties   in   section
    841(b)(1)(A) and to the criteria for qualifying offenses could
    never form part of the basis for granting a compassionate-release
    motion.     This argument raises questions of law, which engender de
    novo review.       See Texeira-Nieves, 23 F.4th at 55; Saccoccia, 10
    F.4th at 4-5.
    Our analysis proceeds in three parts.         First, we address
    whether the Sentencing Commission's current policy statement on
    compassionate      release     is   applicable      to   prisoner-initiated
    motions.4    Second — after concluding that the policy statement is
    presently no bar — we proceed to examine whether a district court
    4 The government suggests that we need not reach this issue.
    But the government also suggests that we should affirm on the
    grounds that the policy statement is binding. See United States
    v. Rodríguez-Peña, 
    470 F.3d 431
    , 433 (1st Cir. 2006) (per curiam)
    (stating that court of appeals may affirm on any basis apparent
    from the record). We address the authority of the policy statement
    to explain why we cannot affirm on the alternative basis suggested
    by the government.
    - 10 -
    may   permissibly      consider    those      prospective     changes       on   an
    individualized     basis    to   find   an    extraordinary    and   compelling
    reason    warranting    compassionate        release.    Third,      we    briefly
    address an alternative ground for affirmance advanced by the
    government.
    A
    Section 3582(c)(1)(A) requires that a sentence reduction
    be "consistent with applicable policy statements issued by the
    Sentencing Commission."          
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A).               In other
    words, "applicable policy statements" issued by the Sentencing
    Commission are binding on courts reviewing compassionate-release
    motions.   See Saccoccia, 10 F.4th at 7 (citing Dillon, 
    560 U.S. at 826-27
    ).
    For over twenty years, this "consistency" requirement
    was toothless:     the Sentencing Commission did not issue any policy
    statement on compassionate release until 2006.                See USSG §1B1.13
    (2006).     This    inaction     persisted     despite   Congress's        express
    instruction that the Sentencing Commission "describe what should
    be considered extraordinary and compelling reasons for sentence
    reduction, including the criteria to be applied and a list of
    specific examples."        
    28 U.S.C. § 994
    (t).
    When the dam broke and a policy statement was eventually
    issued, that statement mostly mirrored the then-current statutory
    - 11 -
    language.5       See    USSG   §1B1.13   (2006).        Later,   the   Sentencing
    Commission identified some extraordinary and compelling reasons in
    the commentary to section 1B1.13.              See id. §1B1.13 cmt. n.1 (A)-
    (D).       At the time the FSA was enacted, this compendium included
    four categories of extraordinary and compelling reasons:                 medical
    conditions; age; family circumstances; and a catch-all for other
    reasons deemed appropriate by the BOP.             See id.
    That list remains unchanged today.            Neither the policy
    statement nor the commentary — at least explicitly — say that non-
    retroactive         changes    in   sentencing     law    may    constitute    an
    extraordinary and compelling reason for compassionate release.                 In
    order to put this appeal into perspective, then, we evaluate the
    effect, if any, of section 1B1.13 on the defendant's effort to
    obtain compassionate release.
    To perform this evaluation, our starting point is the
    relevant text of both the statute and the current policy statement.
    See United States v. Smith, 
    954 F.3d 446
    , 448 (1st Cir. 2020).
    The statute demands that an inquiring court consider whether a
    reduction      is    "consistent     with"     policy    statements    that   are
    We say "mostly" because section 1B1.13 also requires a
    5
    finding that the defendant is not dangerous in order to grant
    compassionate release based on extraordinary and compelling
    reasons. See USSG §1B1.13(2); 
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A)(i); see
    also Texeira-Nieves, 23 F.4th at 54 n.3. This requirement reflects
    a mandate contained in a different provision — 
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A)(ii).
    - 12 -
    "applicable."          
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A).           But there is a rub:
    section 1B1.13 was last modified in November of 2018 — before the
    FSA    amended      the      compassionate-release      statute      to    allow       for
    prisoner-initiated            motions.     The    obvious   question,          then,   is
    whether this policy statement is "applicable" to motions of a type
    that did not exist when it was written.               To resolve this question,
    we turn principally to the language of the policy statement itself.
    The text of the current policy statement makes pellucid
    that it is "applicable" only to motions for compassionate release
    commenced by the BOP.           Section 1B1.13 starts with a description of
    the    condition       that    the   compassionate-release     process          must    be
    initiated by the BOP.                See USSG §1B1.13 ("Upon motion of the
    Director       of      the      Bureau    of      Prisons    under        
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (a)(1) . . . .").              This imperative is a "direct textual
    instruction" and describes a "central statutory feature of the
    compassionate release scheme prior to the [FSA]."                    United States
    v. Long, 
    997 F.3d 342
    , 358 (D.C. Cir. 2021).                The policy statement
    is therefore not "applicable," on a literal reading, to motions
    brought by prisoners; it applies only to motions brought by the
    BOP.     See     
    id. at 357
        (determining   that    policy    statement         is
    "facially inapplicable" to prisoner-initiated motions); United
    States v. McCoy, 
    981 F.3d 271
    , 282 & n.7 (4th Cir. 2020); United
    States v. Gunn, 
    980 F.3d 1178
    , 1180 (7th Cir. 2020); United States
    v. Brooker, 
    976 F.3d 228
    , 235-36 (2d Cir. 2020).
    - 13 -
    The Sentencing Commission's commentary to the policy
    statement reinforces this view. See USSG §1B1.13 cmt. n.1-5. Such
    commentary        is   generally       considered          as    authoritative        (with
    exceptions not applicable here).                    See Stinson v. United States,
    
    508 U.S. 35
    , 38 (1993); see also Long, 997 F.3d at 356.                                 The
    commentary confirms that the policy statement applies only to
    motions filed by the BOP.          It reiterates that "[a] reduction under
    this policy statement may be granted only upon motion by the
    Director     of    the   Bureau        of        Prisons     pursuant      to    
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A)."        USSG §1B1.13 cmt. n.4.                   A prisoner-initiated
    motion     for    compassionate    release           cannot      —    by   the   Sentencing
    Commission's       own   words     —        be     brought      under      "th[at]    policy
    statement."       Id.; see McCoy, 981 F.3d at 282; Brooker, 976 F.3d at
    236.
    To find the existing policy statement "applicable" to
    prisoner-initiated motions, we would need to excise the language
    referring to motions brought by the BOP.                             That would be major
    surgery and undertaking it would be                        well outside our proper
    interpretive province.           See, e.g., Long, 997 F.3d at 356; McCoy,
    981 F.3d at 282.         We may not "blue pencil" unambiguous text to
    divorce it from its context.6               Mass. Mut. Life Ins. Co. v. Russell,
    
    473 U.S. 134
    , 141-142 (1985).
    Let us be perfectly clear.
    6                            We do not suggest that the
    current policy statement is invalid but, rather, we read it as
    - 14 -
    Of course, the Sentencing Commission has left its policy
    statement intact, without amendment, since the FSA first allowed
    for prisoner-initiated motions for compassionate release.                      This
    passivity     on   the    Commission's    part     arguably   might     spawn    an
    inference that the Commission found the current policy statement
    to   remain     responsive      notwithstanding      the   broadening     of    the
    compassionate-release statute.           Here, however, there is no fertile
    ground for any such inference.            The simple fact of the matter is
    that the Sentencing Commission has lacked a quorum for most of the
    time that has elapsed since the FSA's passage.                    See Guerrant v.
    United   States,    
    142 S. Ct. 640
    ,     640-41   (2022)    (statement    of
    Sotomayor, J., joined by Barrett, J.); Saccoccia, 10 F.4th at 7.
    Consequently, it has not had any realistic opportunity to issue a
    post-FSA policy statement.             Viewed against this backdrop, the
    Sentencing Commission's silence does not suggest that it regards
    any part of its current policy statement as applicable to prisoner-
    initiated motions for compassionate release.                See Long, 997 F.3d
    at 355 (explaining that Sentencing Commission has "never suggested
    that its existing policy statement applies to defendant motions
    applicable only to a limited context — compassionate-release
    motions brought by the BOP. See United States v. Jones, 
    980 F.3d 1098
    , 1111 n.19 (6th Cir. 2020); Brooker, 976 F.3d at 236. The
    conclusion that the current policy statement remains valid with
    respect to compassionate-release motions brought by the BOP but
    not as to those brought by prisoners is not internally
    inconsistent.
    - 15 -
    under the First Step Act"); McCoy, 981 F.3d at 283 (declining to
    assume what Sentencing Commission would decide following the FSA).
    For these reasons, we hold that a district court is not
    constrained by the existing policy statement on compassionate
    release when adjudicating a motion brought by a prisoner.       This
    holding aligns our court with the overwhelming majority of the
    courts of appeals that have decided the issue.     See United States
    v. Andrews, 
    12 F.4th 255
    , 259 (3rd Cir. 2021); Long, 997 F.3d at
    359; United States v. Aruda, 
    993 F.3d 797
    , 802 (9th Cir. 2021)
    (per curiam); United States v. Shkambi, 
    993 F.3d 388
    , 392-93 (5th
    Cir. 2021); United States v. McGee, 
    992 F.3d 1035
    , 1050 (10th Cir.
    2021); McCoy, 981 F.3d at 282; United States v. Jones, 
    980 F.3d 1098
    , 1101 (6th Cir. 2020); Gunn, 980 F.3d at 1180; Brooker, 976
    F.3d at 230.
    We recognize that there is an outlier.    A divided panel
    of the Eleventh Circuit has held that the current policy statement
    applies to prisoner-initiated motions.       See United States v.
    Bryant, 
    996 F.3d 1243
    , 1247 (11th Cir.), cert. denied, 
    142 S. Ct. 583
     (2021).    That holding, though, is based mainly on the court's
    insistence that an "applicable policy statement" is merely one
    that is "capable of being applied" or "relevant."      
    Id.
     at 1252-
    53.   This tautological approach may have a certain superficial
    appeal, but "there are situations in which rigid adherence to
    semantic orthodoxy must yield to common sense."    United States ex
    - 16 -
    rel. Ondis v. City of Woonsocket, 
    587 F.3d 49
    , 57 (1st Cir. 2009).
    Although the Bryant majority purported to analyze the phrase
    "applicable policy statements" in the statutory "context and with
    a view to [its] place in the overall statutory scheme," Sturgeon
    v. Frost, 
    136 S. Ct. 1061
    , 1070 (2016) (quotations omitted), such
    context and scheme make luminously clear that the current policy
    statement cannot be "applicable" to prisoner-initiated motions.
    Congress    authorized   the   Sentencing     Commission   to
    promulgate "general policy statements" that would "further the
    purposes set forth in" 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a)(2), including "the
    appropriate use of . . . the sentence modification provisions" in
    section 3582(c).       See 
    28 U.S.C. § 994
    (a)(2)(C).     Section 603(b) of
    the FSA fundamentally changed the compassionate-release mechanism.
    The amendment, entitled "Increasing the Use and Transparency of
    Compassionate Release," created a new regime in which — for the
    first time — prisoners may seek compassionate release even when
    the BOP does not deign to act on their behalf.         FSA § 603(b), 132
    Stat.   at    5239.       By   empowering   district   courts   to   grant
    compassionate release in response to a prisoner's own request, the
    amendment effected a paradigm shift in how compassionate release
    would function.       Given the profound nature of this paradigm shift,
    it is fair to say that the "purposes" and "appropriate use" of the
    compassionate-release statute (to use the language of 
    28 U.S.C. § 994
    (a)(2)(C)) have swelled beyond those that inhered in the
    - 17 -
    statute when the Sentencing Commission issued its original policy
    statement.      It would blink reality to assume that the Sentencing
    Commission would think that the only modifications necessary to
    the existing policy statement would be to disregard the references
    to motions brought by the BOP.
    If    more    were   needed    —    and   we    doubt     that     it   is   —
    Application Note 1(D) of the commentary cinches the matter.                          See
    USSG   §1B1.13    cmt.   n.1(D).       This     note      requires     that    "other"
    extraordinary     and    compelling      reasons     —    that   is,    reasons     not
    specifically described in the commentary — must be "determined by
    the Director of the [BOP]."         Id.       Such a requirement is plainly a
    relic of the outdated regime by which the BOP would in all cases
    weigh the merits of a compassionate-release request and then file
    a motion only if it judged the request worthy.                     To "assume that
    Application Note 1(D) w[ould] survive unchanged in a post-First
    Step Act world," McCoy, 981 F.3d at 283, would require throwing
    reasoned   analysis      to   the   winds     and    replacing     it   with       sheer
    conjecture.
    The government adopts a contrary stance, suggesting that
    it would not be inconsistent to apply the requirement specified in
    Application Note 1(D) to prisoner-initiated motions.                           In its
    telling, the FSA's changes to the compassionate-release mechanism
    are merely procedural.          See Bryant, 996 F.3d at 1248, 1263-64.
    This suggestion elevates hope over reason:                 the FSA did more than
    - 18 -
    alter procedural aspects of the compassionate-release process.         It
    worked a paradigm shift, which brought about "material changes,"
    expanding opportunities for compassionate release after a long
    history of poor implementation and rare use.7         Brooker, 976 F.3d
    at 231-34; see McGee, 992 F.3d at 1041.       Seen in this real-world
    context,   an   "applicable"   policy   statement,   binding   on   courts
    adjudicating motions brought by prisoners, surely would require
    the Sentencing Commission's judgment on the "appropriate" use of
    the compassionate-release mechanism as reconfigured by the FSA.
    See Long, 997 F.3d at 359 (explaining that an "applicable" policy
    statement would "take account of the relevant legislation and the
    congressional policy"); McCoy, 981 F.3d at 283.
    The short of it is that the Sentencing Commission's
    current policy statement is not applicable to prisoner-initiated
    motions for compassionate release, and the Commission has not yet
    issued a policy statement applicable to such motions.          The policy
    statement referred to by the district court (that is, the current
    policy statement)    is applicable only to compassionate-release
    7 The statistics tell the tale.      There has been a sharp
    increase in both filings and grants of compassionate-release
    motions since the FSA's passage. See Brooker, 976 F.3d at 233.
    For instance, the Sentencing Commission reported only twenty-four
    grants of compassionate release in fiscal year 2018.      See U.S.
    Sent'g Comm'n, The First Step Act of 2018: One Year of
    Implementation 47 & n.143 (Aug. 2020). Since the FSA was passed
    in December of 2018, the number of such grants has swelled to over
    4,000. See BOP, First Step Act, https://www.bop.gov/inmates/fsa
    (last visited Feb. 14, 2022).
    - 19 -
    motions brought by the BOP.          We hold, therefore, that district
    courts   —     when   adjudicating     prisoner-initiated     motions     for
    compassionate release — have discretion, unconstrained by any
    policy   statement    currently   in   effect,   to   consider   whether    a
    prisoner's particular reasons are sufficiently extraordinary and
    compelling to warrant compassionate release.          See McCoy, 981 F.3d
    at 284 (holding that because there is no "applicable" policy
    statement, "district courts are 'empowered . . . to consider any
    extraordinary and compelling reason for release that a defendant
    might raise'" (quoting Brooker, 976 F.3d at 230)); Gunn 980 F.3d
    at 1180 (similar).
    For the sake of completeness, we hasten to add that the
    absence of an applicable policy statement does not mean that a
    district court's discretion when adjudicating a prisoner-initiated
    motion   for    compassionate     release   is   unbounded.      As     Judge
    Easterbrook put it, the absence of applicable policy statement
    does not "creat[e] a sort of Wild West in court, with every
    district judge having an idiosyncratic release policy."          Gunn, 980
    F.3d at 1180.     After all, the district court's discretion remains
    circumscribed by statutory standards, which obligate the district
    court to find a reason that is both "extraordinary and compelling."
    
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A)(i); see United States v. Canales-Ramos,
    
    19 F.4th 561
    , 566 (1st Cir. 2021) ("[T]he 'extraordinary and
    compelling' standard is logically guided by the plain meaning of
    - 20 -
    those terms.").     And, moreover, the current policy statement —
    though not "applicable" — nonetheless may serve as a non-binding
    reference.   See Andrews, 12 F.4th at 260; Aruda, 993 F.3d at 802;
    United States v. Tomes, 
    990 F.3d 500
    , 503 n.1 (6th Cir. 2021);
    McCoy, 981 F.3d at 282 n.7; Gunn, 980 F.3d at 1180.
    Last but not least, we recognize that the situation is
    fluid.    The Sentencing Commission's lack of a quorum has stymied
    the Commission from issuing policy statements.          See Guerrant, 142
    S. Ct. at 640-41 (statement of Sotomayor, J., joined by Barrett,
    J.). If and when the Sentencing Commission issues updated guidance
    applicable to prisoner-initiated motions for sentence reductions
    consistent with both section 3582(c)(1)(A) and the Sentencing
    Commission's statutory mandate under section 994(t),               district
    courts addressing such motions not only will be bound by the
    statutory criteria but also will be required to ensure that their
    determinations    of   extraordinary       and   compelling    reasons   are
    consistent with that guidance.            See Saccoccia, 10 F.4th at 7.
    Until then, however, the district courts will have to assess
    prisoner-initiated motions for compassionate release primarily
    through the lens of the statutory criteria, subject to review on
    appeal.
    B
    The   central   question       remains.   That     question   asks
    whether a district court — in the absence of an applicable policy
    - 21 -
    statement — may permissibly consider the FSA's non-retroactive
    amendments      to   the   mandatory    minimum     penalties      under   section
    841(b)(1)(A) on an individualized basis to determine whether an
    extraordinary and compelling reason for compassionate release
    exists in a particular case.             The district court answered this
    question   in     the    negative,     determining    that    such      prospective
    changes in sentencing law could never form part of the basis of an
    extraordinary and compelling reason.             Thus, it refused to consider
    those changes at all regardless of their manifestation in the
    defendant's particular circumstances (such as his relatively young
    age at the time he began serving his life term and the gross
    disparity between his pre-FSA mandatory sentence and his putative
    post-FSA mandatory minimum).              In support, the court reasoned
    chiefly    that      any     contrary     conclusion       would     "effectively
    establish[] a judicial exception to the general rule of prospective
    effect of legislative enactments."              We do not agree.
    Although this issue is one of first impression for our
    court, we do not write on a pristine page.                   Several courts of
    appeals have addressed the issue.                Three of those courts have
    concluded that a district court's discretionary authority under
    section 3582(c)(1)(A) does not allow consideration of the FSA's
    non-retroactive         changes   in   sentencing    law     in   the    course   of
    determining whether an extraordinary and compelling reason exists.
    See United States v. Crandall, ___ F.4th ___, ___ (8th Cir. 2022)
    - 22 -
    [No. 20-3611, slip op. at 6]; Andrews, 12 F.4th at 261-62; United
    States v. Thacker, 
    4 F.4th 569
    , 574 (7th Cir. 2021).            Two of these
    courts have suggested that such sentencing disparities may be
    considered by a district court only in weighing the section 3553(a)
    factors, see Andrews, 12 F.4th at 262; Thacker, 4 F.4th at 576 —
    an issue that need not be reached unless and until the court first
    finds that an extraordinary and compelling reason exists.
    Two other courts of appeals have come to a different
    conclusion.    Each of those courts has concluded that there is
    enough play in the joints for a district court to consider the
    FSA's non-retroactive changes in sentencing law (in combination
    with other factors) and find an extraordinary and compelling reason
    in a particular case, without doing violence to Congress's views
    on the prospective effect of the FSA's amendments.          See McGee, 992
    F.3d at 1045-48; McCoy, 981 F.3d at 285-87.              Specifically, the
    Fourth Circuit has held that a district court may permissibly treat
    as an extraordinary and compelling reason the disparity between a
    defendant's   sentence    and   that   provided    for   under    the   FSA's
    amendments, emphasizing that such a judgment is appropriate only
    after an individualized inquiry "basing relief not only on the
    [FSA's]   change   to    sentencing    law . . . but     also    on   [other]
    factors."   McCoy, 981 F.3d at 288.      So, too, the Tenth Circuit has
    held that "the fact a defendant is serving a pre-FSA mandatory
    life   sentence    imposed   under     [section]   841(b)(1)(A)       cannot,
    - 23 -
    standing alone, serve as a basis for the sentence reduction under
    [section] 3582(c)(1)(A)(i)" but that "the combination of such a
    sentence and a defendant's unique circumstances" may "constitute
    'extraordinary and compelling reasons.'" McGee, 992 F.3d at 1048.8
    Once again, our analysis begins with the text of the
    relevant statutes.   Section 3582(c)(1)(A)(i) requires that before
    granting a sentence reduction, the district court must find an
    extraordinary and compelling reason warranting relief.      In the
    absence of an applicable policy statement, there is only one
    explicit limitation on what may comprise an extraordinary and
    compelling reason.    Congress has stated plainly — in a separate
    statute authorizing the Sentencing Commission to issue general
    policy statements — that "[r]ehabilitation . . . alone shall not
    be considered an extraordinary and compelling reason."   
    28 U.S.C. § 994
    (t).     Nowhere has Congress expressly prohibited district
    courts from considering non-retroactive changes in sentencing law
    like those in section 401 of the FSA.   Such a prohibition cannot
    8 Divided panels of the Sixth Circuit have straddled the fence
    and placed that court on both sides of the decisional divide.
    Compare United States v. Jarvis, 
    999 F.3d 442
    , 443-45 (6th Cir.
    2021), cert. denied, 
    142 S. Ct. 760
     (2022) (holding consideration
    of non-retroactive FSA changes impermissible), with United States
    v. Owens, 
    996 F.3d 755
    , 764 (6th Cir. 2021) (holding to contrary).
    A panel has recently endorsed a decision that aligns the court
    with the Third, Seventh, and Eighth Circuits. See United States
    v. McKinnie, ___ F.4th ___, ___ (6th Cir. 2022) [No. 21-3608, slip
    op. at 7] (endorsing Jarvis, not Owens, as law of circuit). But
    see United States v. McCall, 
    20 F.4th 1108
    , 1114 (6th Cir. 2021)
    (describing Jarvis as "creat[ing] an intra-circuit split").
    - 24 -
    be deduced from section 3582(c)(1)(A)'s requirement that a court
    consider the section 3553(a) factors when granting a sentence
    reduction.    No part of this requirement suggests that a district
    court is precluded from considering issues relevant to those
    sentencing factors at the separate step of determining whether an
    extraordinary and compelling reason exists.         Were this the case,
    there would have been no reason for Congress to caution that
    rehabilitation — a relevant consideration in the section 3553(a)
    inquiry — could not constitute an extraordinary and compelling
    reason.
    Nor do we see any textual basis in the FSA for a
    categorical     prohibition       anent   non-retroactive      changes    in
    sentencing law.    The provision describing the effect of the FSA's
    relevant amendments limits the application of those amendments to
    "apply to any offense that was committed before the date of
    enactment of this Act, if a sentence for the offense has not been
    imposed as of such date of enactment."       See FSA § 401(c), 132 Stat.
    at 5221.     Neither this provision nor any other provision in the
    FSA indicates that Congress meant to deny the possibility of a
    sentence   reduction,   on    a   case-by-case   basis,   to   a   defendant
    premised in part on the fact that he may not have been subject to
    a mandatory sentence of life imprisonment had he been sentenced
    after passage of the FSA.         See McGee, 992 F.3d at 1047.       And to
    the extent (if at all) that we might be able to infer any
    - 25 -
    congressional understanding of the scope of "extraordinary and
    compelling"       derived       from    the     Sentencing       Commission's       policy
    statement that existed at the time Congress enacted the FSA, the
    text   of    that   policy       statement      offers    no     support    for    such    a
    categorical prohibition.               After all, the catch-all provision of
    the commentary to the policy statement allows the BOP to determine
    other extraordinary and compelling reasons, and in no way suggests
    that the Sentencing Commission intended to circumscribe the scope
    of what is "extraordinary and compelling."                     See USSG §1B1.13 cmt.
    n.1(D).      This reading of the catch-all provision is consistent
    with   the    Sentencing         Commission's        statutory      mandate       that    it
    "describe"        (and    not    define)      what      should     be    considered       an
    "extraordinary and compelling" reason.                   See 
    28 U.S.C. § 994
    (t).
    On     the    whole,       given     the     language       that     Congress
    deliberately chose to employ,                 we see no textual support                  for
    concluding that such changes in the law may never constitute part
    of a basis for an extraordinary and compelling reason.                            We are,
    moreover,     reluctant         to   infer    that      Congress    intended       such    a
    categorical and unwritten exclusion in light of its specific
    statutory exclusion regarding rehabilitation.                           See TRW Inc. v.
    Andrews, 
    534 U.S. 19
    , 28 (2001); see also Pritzker v. Yari, 
    42 F.3d 53
    , 68 (1st Cir. 1994) ("As the maxim teaches, 'expressio
    unius est exclusio alterius.'").
    - 26 -
    Our view that a district court may consider the FSA's
    prospective       amendments    to     sentencing        law    as    part    of        the
    "extraordinary and compelling" calculus fits seamlessly with the
    history and purpose of the compassionate-release statute.                                In
    abolishing federal parole, Congress recognized the need for a
    "safety valve" with respect to situations in which a defendant's
    circumstances       had    changed    such   that    the   length     of     continued
    incarceration no longer remained equitable.                    See S. Rep. No. 98-
    225, 55-56, 121 (1983), as reprinted in 1984 U.S.C.C.A.N. 3182,
    3238-39,     3304    (contemplating      that    circumstances         may    present
    justifying a reduction of an "unusually long sentence"); McGee,
    992   F.3d   at     1046-47.     To    serve    as   a   safety      valve,    section
    3582(c)(1)(A)       must    encompass    an     individualized        review       of    a
    defendant's circumstances and permit a sentence reduction — in the
    district court's sound discretion — based on any combination of
    factors (including unanticipated post-sentencing developments in
    the law).    See Setser v. United States, 
    566 U.S. 231
    , 242-43 (2012)
    ("[W]hen the district court's failure to anticipate developments
    that take place after the first sentencing produces unfairness to
    the defendant," section 3582(c)(1)(A) "provides a mechanism for
    relief." (quotations and alteration omitted)).
    The court below adopted a contrary view, concluding that
    the FSA's prospective changes cannot be considered in any case
    - 27 -
    because Congress made those changes non-retroactive.                       The force of
    this conclusion derives largely from three arguments.
    The first argument is that a district court would usurp
    Congress's judgment were it to grant a sentence reduction in favor
    of a defendant for whom Congress had determined retroactive relief
    was inappropriate.        See Crandall, ___ F.4th at ___ [No. 20-3611,
    slip op. at 6]; Andrews, 12 F.4th at 261 (describing issue as
    "sow[ing]       conflict"      with     provision         requiring         prospective
    application of the FSA's changes to section 924(c)); Thacker, 4
    F.4th at 574 (positing that section 3582(c)(1)(A) "cannot be used
    to effect a sentencing reduction at odds with Congress's express
    determination"); United States v. Jarvis, 
    999 F.3d 442
    , 444 (6th
    Cir.   2021),     cert.   denied,      
    142 S. Ct. 760
         (2022)    ("If   every
    defendant who received a longer sentence than the one he would
    receive   today     became   eligible        for   compassionate       release,      the
    balance Congress struck would come to naught.").                            The second
    argument is that by granting such relief, a district court would
    offend    other     congressional        judgments         like     those     regarding
    appropriate       penalties,     the     limited         avenues     for    collateral
    challenges, and the rule of finality that traditionally attaches
    to criminal sentences.          See Crandall, ___ F.4th at ___ [No. 20-
    3611, slip op. at 7]; Andrews, 12 F.4th at 261; Thacker, 4 F.4th
    at 574.     The third argument rests on the notion that a sentence
    legally imposed cannot itself be considered "extraordinary."                         See
    - 28 -
    Crandall, ___ F.4th at ___ [No. 20-3611, slip op. at 6-7]; Andrews,
    12 F.4th at 261; Thacker, 4 F.4th at 574.
    These        arguments,        whether     appraised        singly   or
    collectively, cannot bear the weight of the district court's
    conclusion.      They cannot support a categorical rule that non-
    retroactive changes in sentencing law, even when considered on an
    individualized basis, may never support a reason for a sentence
    reduction under section 3582(c)(1)(A).
    To be sure, the first two arguments present a fair
    concern:    if a district court were to reduce a sentence solely
    because one of the FSA's non-retroactive amendments would have
    lowered a defendant's sentence, it might be seen as substituting
    its own judgment on retroactivity for Congress's judgment and — in
    the bargain — offending the rule of finality.                  But that critique
    knocks down a straw man:           we in no way suggest that the FSA's non-
    retroactive amendments "simultaneously creat[ed] an extraordinary
    and compelling reason for early release."                  Andrews, 12 F.4th at
    261.   There is a salient "difference between automatic vacatur and
    resentencing of an entire class of sentences" on the one hand,
    "and allowing for the provision of individual relief in the most
    grievous cases" on the other hand.                   McGee, 992 F.3d at 1047
    (quoting McCoy, 981 F.3d at 286-87).                  Congress's judgment to
    prevent    the   former       is   not     sullied   by    a   district    court's
    determination,     on     a    case-by-case       basis,    that   a    particular
    - 29 -
    defendant has presented an extraordinary and compelling reason due
    to his idiosyncratic circumstances (including that his mandatory
    minimum    sentence   under   section    841(b)(1)(A)    would    have   been
    significantly shorter under the FSA).          See id.     As long as the
    individualized circumstances, taken in the aggregate, satisfy the
    "extraordinary and compelling" standard, granting relief would be
    consistent with Congress's judgment that a modification of a
    sentence legally imposed may be warranted when extraordinary and
    compelling reasons for taking that step exist.             See McCoy, 981
    F.3d at 288.       And conversely, this part of the compassionate-
    release statute is no help to a defendant who presents only
    ordinary reasons.       See Saccoccia, 10 F.4th at 5 ("Words like
    'extraordinary' and 'compelling,' when used by Congress in framing
    a statute, must be given their plain meaning.").
    The third argument furnishes an even weaker foundation
    for the district court's categorical rule.            The thrust of this
    argument is that Congress's judgment to limit the retroactivity of
    certain changes in the FSA affecting sentencing exposure can never
    be    considered   extraordinary   and   compelling     because   "there    is
    nothing    'extraordinary'     about     leaving   untouched      the    exact
    penalties that Congress prescribed and that a district court
    imposed for particular violations of a statute."9 Thacker, 
    4 F.4th 9
     The government suggests that we have supported this view as
    a    matter of law.     That suggestion relies on an unpublished
    - 30 -
    at 574.   Even if this statement rings true in many situations, we
    do not see how it can be stated in such absolute terms with respect
    to compassionate-release motions.         After all, a district court's
    individualized consideration of a defendant's circumstances in
    connection with a compassionate-release motion may require it to
    assess interactions among a myriad of factors.       Judges do not have
    crystal balls, and courts cannot predict how this mix of factors
    — including non-retroactive changes in sentencing law — will play
    out in every case.     Ultimately, then, it is within the district
    court's discretion — constrained only by the statutory criteria
    and any applicable policy statement — to make that assessment,
    case by case.
    To say more would be to paint the lily.         We hold that
    the district court's categorical          exclusion of non-retroactive
    changes in sentencing law from the "extraordinary and compelling"
    calculus is neither consistent with the relevant statutory text
    nor compelled by the arguments embraced by the district court.
    While we agree that the mere fact of a "pre-First Step Act
    mandatory   life   sentence   imposed   under   [section]   841(b)(1)(A)
    judgment, see United States v. De Jesús, No. 19-2210, 
    2020 WL 9597494
    , at *1 (1st. Cir. July 23, 2020) (unpublished judgment),
    cert. denied, No. 20-7694, 
    2021 WL 1952111
    , at *1 (U.S. May 17,
    2021) — a judgment that lacks precedential effect, see 1st Cir.
    Rule 32.1. What is more, the government's suggestion misreads De
    Jesús. We determined there only that the district court's denial
    of relief was within its discretion given the circumstances
    presented in that case.
    - 31 -
    cannot, standing alone, serve as the basis for a sentence reduction
    under [section] 3582(c)(1)(A)(i)," McGee, 992 F.3d at 1048, that
    is only part of the picture.         The other part of the picture is
    decisive here:     it is within the district court's discretion, in
    the absence of a contrary          directive            in an applicable policy
    statement, to determine on a case-by-case basis whether such
    changes    in    law    predicated       on         a    defendant's      particular
    circumstances comprise an extraordinary and compelling reason and,
    thus, satisfy the standard for compassionate release under section
    3582(c)(1)(A)(i).      See id.; McCoy, 981 F.3d at 288.
    C
    The government has a fallback position.                      It contends
    that we may still affirm the district court's decision to deny
    compassionate release for a different reason.                    In its view, the
    district   court's     decision    ought        to       be   upheld    because    the
    defendant's     circumstances     show       that       compassionate    release    is
    simply not warranted.       The government notes, for example, that
    apart from the mandatory minimum, the defendant had a guideline
    sentencing range of life imprisonment.
    The government's contention impermissibly compresses the
    required analysis.     The district court's error related to an issue
    of law, which reflected a misunderstanding of the scope of its
    discretion in determining whether an extraordinary and compelling
    reason existed sufficient to warrant compassionate release.                         It
    - 32 -
    did not proceed to an individualized assessment of whether the
    FSA's   non-retroactive      changes,     coupled    with    the   defendant's
    individualized    circumstances,        warranted    compassionate      release.
    Indeed, the court did not consider the defendant's individualized
    circumstances at all.         Nor did the court undertake a section
    3553(a) analysis.      See Texeira-Nieves, 23 F.4th at 52 (explaining
    that appellate review is facilitated when district court proceeds
    to review sentencing factors).           On this record, we cannot affirm
    the   district   court's     decision     as   a   proper    exercise    of     its
    discretion.
    III
    We need go no further.         As a general matter, a district
    court, reviewing a prisoner-initiated motion for compassionate
    release in the absence of an applicable policy statement, may
    consider any complex of circumstances raised by a defendant as
    forming an extraordinary and compelling reason warranting relief.
    It follows that a district court adjudicating such a motion may
    consider the FSA's non-retroactive amendments to the scope of the
    mandatory minimum penalties under section 841(b)(1)(A) on a case-
    by-case   basis       grounded     in     a    defendant's     individualized
    circumstances    to   find   an    extraordinary     and    compelling    reason
    warranting    compassionate       release.     The   court    below     erred    by
    concluding, as a matter of law, that the FSA's prospective changes
    to the mandatory minimum penalties could not — even when considered
    - 33 -
    on an individualized basis — support a reason for compassionate
    release.   Accordingly, the judgment must be vacated and the matter
    remanded for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.   We
    take no view as to the outcome of those further proceedings.
    Vacated and Remanded.
    — Concurring Opinion Follows —
    - 34 -
    BARRON,   Circuit   Judge,    concurring.    Judge    Selya
    convincingly explains why, under the First Step Act, a prospective
    legislative change that reduces the length of a mandatory minimum
    sentence for an offense can give rise -- in certain cases -- to an
    "extraordinary and compelling reason" to reduce a sentence that
    was imposed for that same offense prior to that change.          See 
    18 U.S.C. § 3582
    (c)(1)(A)(i).      I thus join his excellent opinion in
    full.     I write separately only to give some texture to that
    conclusion by referencing a case that this Court encountered before
    the First Step Act had been enacted.
    The case involved Wendell Rivera-Ruperto's ("Rivera's")
    unsuccessful federal constitutional challenge to the mandatory
    prison sentence that he received for having been convicted of six
    counts of violating 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c).10        See United States v.
    Rivera-Ruperto (Rivera-Ruperto I), 
    846 F.3d 417
     (2017); United
    States v. Rivera-Ruperto (Rivera-Ruperto II), 
    852 F.3d 1
     (1st Cir.
    2017); United States v. Rivera-Ruperto (Rivera-Ruperto III), 
    884 F.3d 25
     (1st Cir. 2018) (denial of petition for rehearing en banc).
    That mandatory sentence was for 130 years of imprisonment, Rivera-
    Ruperto II, 852 F.3d at 5, and, as such, "could not have been
    harsher save for a sentence of death," Rivera-Ruperto III, 884
    F.3d at 30 (Barron, J., concurring in the denial of rehearing en
    10   Rivera raised other issues on appeal that are not relevant
    here.
    - 35 -
    banc, joined by all then-active First Circuit judges and Judge
    Lipez).    Yet, if Rivera were sentenced today for those same
    offenses, the mandatory prison term to which he would be subject
    would be a century shorter.      And, that is because of an amendment
    to § 924(c) that Congress made in the First Step Act itself when
    it also expanded in that same statute the circumstances in which
    a reduction to a previously imposed sentence could be sought for
    an "extraordinary and compelling reason."           See First Step Act of
    2018, Pub. L. No. 115-391, 
    132 Stat. 5194
    .
    To understand how the First Step Act's amendment to
    § 924(c) would bring about such a stark sentencing differential,
    it helps to wind back the clock almost a decade to when Rivera was
    sentenced for his § 924(c) convictions.            Then, as now, § 924(c)
    made it a crime for an individual to "use[] or carr[y] a firearm"
    "during   and   in   relation   to   any   crime   of   violence   or   drug
    trafficking crime" or to "possess[] a firearm" "in furtherance of
    any such crime."     
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)(1)(A).      And then, as now, the
    mandatory minimum sentence for an individual convicted of that
    offense was a term of imprisonment of at least five years.11            
    Id.
    § 924(c)(1)(A)(i).
    11 The mandatory minimum increases if additional facts
    relating to the the individual's use of the firearm are found by
    a jury. See id. § 924(c)(1)(A)(ii)-(iii).
    - 36 -
    In addition, the statute provided then for a twenty-
    five-year mandatory minimum sentence for any "second or subsequent
    conviction" for violating § 924(c).              Id. § 924(c)(1)(C).       And
    further, the statute provided at that time that each mandatory
    twenty-five-year prison sentence was to be served consecutively,
    such that the mandatory prison sentences that the statute required
    to be imposed would have to be stacked one upon another, resulting
    in mandatory prison sentences in some cases that could easily
    exceed the span of any defendant's life.
    Moreover,   at   the    time    of     Rivera's    convictions   and
    sentence, the Supreme Court had construed § 924(c) (in a sharply
    divided ruling over a strong dissent) in a way that made it even
    harsher than I have just described it to be.                The Supreme Court
    had done so by construing the "second or subsequent conviction"
    phrase to encompass a follow-on § 924(c) conviction even if none
    of the defendant's preceding § 924(c) convictions had become final
    and even if each of those earlier convictions had been for a
    violation of § 924(c) that had occurred before the defendant had
    been convicted under § 924(c) even once.               See Deal v. United
    States, 
    508 U.S. 129
    , 136 (1993).
    In   consequence,      Rivera    was    subject    not   only   to   a
    mandatory prison sentence of five years for his first § 924(c)
    conviction but also to a mandatory prison sentence of twenty-five
    years for each of his five additional § 924(c) convictions, with
    - 37 -
    each of those twenty-five-year mandatory prison sentences to be
    served consecutively.       And that was so, notwithstanding that
    Rivera -- who had no prior criminal history of any kind -- had
    committed    each    of    his    six     § 924(c)     violations    roughly
    contemporaneously and before he had been convicted of committing
    any of them.
    Thus,   although     Rivera   had   not    been   convicted   of
    committing any crime prior to being convicted under § 924(c), and
    although he was in no sense a § 924(c) recidivist -- as he had
    committed no such offense after already having been punished for
    violating that same statute -- he received a mandatory, greater-
    than-life prison sentence for his § 924(c) convictions.             In other
    words, solely in consequence of the disputed way in which § 924(c)
    had been construed in Deal, he was subjected to a mandatory prison
    sentence that was just as harsh as the mandatory one that he would
    have been subjected to if he had been a true § 924(c) recidivist
    five times over or if he had an extensive criminal history before
    he had committed the first such violation.              See Rivera-Ruperto
    III, 884 F.3d at 25-26 & n.2.
    Recognizing how harsh Deal's construction of § 924(c)
    was, Congress chose in the First Step Act -- while also expanding
    the ability of those serving lengthy prison sentences to seek
    reductions     of   them   for    an    "extraordinary     and   compelling
    reason" -- to supersede that construction.           Specifically, Congress
    - 38 -
    amended § 924(c) so that, going forward, the twenty-five-year
    mandatory minimum sentence is triggered only by a "violation of
    [§ 924(c)] that occurs after a prior conviction under [§ 924(c)]
    has become final."     See First Step Act of 2018, Pub. L. No. 115-
    391, 
    132 Stat. 5194
    .
    The result is that, by virtue of the First Step Act, if
    Rivera were sentenced today for his same § 924(c) convictions,
    none of them would subject him to the twenty-five-year mandatory
    minimum.   And so, he would not be subject today to a mandatory
    prison sentence for all of them that would exceed his natural life.
    True, Congress did not choose in the First Step Act to
    make this amendment to § 924(c)'s stacking regime retroactive.
    See Pub. L. No. 115-391 § 403(b), 
    132 Stat. 51
    .    But, for reasons
    that Judge Selya's opinion well explains, it does not follow that
    Congress in passing the First Step Act wished to foreclose every
    individualized request that a prisoner sentenced under the prior
    stacking regime might bring pursuant to the expanded mechanism for
    seeking sentence reductions that Congress chose to make newly
    available in that same statute.   In fact, a case like Rivera's, in
    my view, makes vivid the reason to conclude that such a request
    could, in some cases, be understood to be asserting a reason for
    a sentence reduction of just the "extraordinary and compelling"
    kind that Congress contemplated in expanding that mechanism.
    - 39 -
    I say that only partly because virtually the entirety of
    mandatory, 100-years-plus prison term for Rivera arose from a
    construction of § 924(c) that was itself highly disputed at the
    time as to whether it reflected Congress's intent, see Deal, 
    508 U.S. 129
    , 138 (Stevens, J., dissenting), and that Congress has now
    superseded in the First Step Act itself.          I say that also because
    the stacking of multiple mandatory twenty-five-year-long prison
    sentences to which he was subject -- notwithstanding his lack of
    any criminal history -- resulted from a quirk in our Circuit's
    case law that precluded him from benefiting from the rule that
    offenses committed in a single course of conduct must be treated
    as part of a single conspiracy.        See Rivera-Ruperto III, 884 F.3d
    at 33.
    In fact, it was with these highly unusual features of
    Rivera's    case   in   mind   that   we   observed    in   considering   his
    constitutional challenge to his no-hope sentence that "it is not
    realistic to posit that the Congress that enacted § 924(c) made a
    focused judgment that [every] defendant[] [convicted on multiple
    counts of § 924(c)] should receive a mandatory life-without-parole
    sentence"     through   the    operation    of   the   statute's   stacking
    provisions.     Rivera-Ruperto III, 884 F.3d at 41.          It seems to me
    that the same reasons that led us to conclude that "it is pure
    fiction to imagine that Congress . . . was focused on", or even
    aware of, every possible offense combination that could trigger
    - 40 -
    the stacking requirement under the old Deal-inflected version of
    § 924(c), id. at 42, make it equally fictitious to conclude that
    Congress, by not making the First Step Act amendments to § 924(c)
    retroactive, meant categorically to foreclose any individualized
    reconsideration of a prior sentence imposed under the old § 924(c)
    stacking regime because Congress must have been of the view that
    all those prior sentences were appropriate.
    Congress's choice in amending § 924(c)'s stacking regime
    to not reopen in categorical fashion all the core cases in which,
    under Deal v. United States, it was understood to apply, see 
    508 U.S. at 130
     (considering a case in which "six bank robberies on
    six different dates" were tried all in the same case), does not
    indicate to me that Congress meant to deem any challenge to the
    continued incarceration of such an offender for more than a century
    beyond the time that Congress now concludes is warranted an
    "ordinary" or "less than compelling" one.          And, a case such as
    Rivera's, in which a mandatory sentence of such extreme length was
    imposed under the prior stacking regime for a confluence of reasons
    that no legislator could have had in mind when § 924(c) was
    originally enacted, illustrates why.
    I   recognize   that    some    courts   have   held   that   a
    nonretroactive change in law cannot be deemed an "extraordinary
    and compelling" reason for reducing a sentence without thereby
    making such a legal change retroactive.       See, e.g., United States
    - 41 -
    v. Jarvis, 
    999 F.3d 442
    , 444 (6th Cir. 2021), cert. denied, 
    142 S. Ct. 760
     (2022) ("That the First Step Act's amendments could amount
    to an extraordinary and compelling reason . . . fails to grapple
    with congressional design, expressed through the text of the
    statute, in which Congress chose not to make these sentencing
    amendments retroactive."); United States v. Thacker, 
    4 F.4th 569
    ,
    573-74 (7th Cir. 2021) ("[T]he discretionary authority conferred
    by § 3582(c)(1)(A) only goes so far.     It cannot be used to effect
    a   sentencing   reduction   at   odds   with   Congress's   express
    determination . . . that the amendment to § 924(c)'s sentencing
    structure apply only prospectively."). But, in Kimbrough v. United
    States, 
    552 U.S. 85
     (2007), the Supreme Court upheld a sentencing
    judge's authority to give weight to a nonretroactive legal change
    in determining a sentence's length because of the light that the
    change could shed on the need for punishment, 
    id. at 110
    .       And,
    even some of the very same courts that have construed the First
    Step Act's "extraordinary and compelling reason" phrase narrowly
    have themselves recognized that a related federal statute, 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a), permits a sentencing judge to give such a
    nonretroactive change in the law weight in determining the proper
    length of a sentence.    See, e.g., United States v. Andrews, 
    12 F.4th 255
    , 262 (3d Cir. 2021) ("[T]he current sentencing landscape
    may be a legitimate consideration for courts at the next step of
    the analysis when they weigh the § 3553(a) factors."); Thacker, 4
    - 42 -
    F.4th at 576 ("Congress's changes to the statutory sentencing
    scheme     in     § 924(c)       might     factor    into      a    district    court's
    individualized determination of whether the § 3553(a) factors
    weigh[] in favor of . . . early release.").                    It is thus difficult
    for me to see how a concern about respecting Congress's choice to
    make a statutory change nonretroactive has force here, given that
    I fail to see how a court may be thought to subvert congressional
    intent by considering nonretroactive changes to the law at the
    "extraordinary and compelling" stage of the analysis but not while
    weighing the § 3553(a) factors.
    I also realize that some courts have concluded -- for
    reasons of statutory text -- that because a nonretroactive change
    in the law is a relatively humdrum occurrence, such a change cannot
    supply     an    "extraordinary      and       compelling   reason"      to    reduce   a
    sentence under the First Step Act.                  See, e.g., United States v.
    Crandall, No. 20-3611, 
    2022 WL 385920
    , at *3 (8th Cir. Feb. 9,
    2022) ("Congress from time to time prospectively increases or
    decreases existing criminal penalties, so that circumstance may
    not be “extraordinary” as an empirical matter."); Thacker, 4 F.4th
    at   574    ("[T]here       is    nothing       'extraordinary'        about    leaving
    untouched the exact penalties that Congress prescribed and that a
    district court imposed for particular violations of a statute.").
    But, the premise of our holding is not that a nonretroactive legal
    change     in    and   of   itself       can   provide   the       "extraordinary   and
    - 43 -
    compelling reason" to reduce the sentence.   It is that there may
    be an "extraordinary and compelling reason" to reduce the sentence
    when a particular statutory change is considered in the context of
    the defendant's individualized circumstances.    In my view, one
    need only have a case like Rivera's in mind to recognize the
    soundness -- textually and otherwise -- of that premise.
    - 44 -