City of Taunton v. U.S. Environmental Protection , 895 F.3d 120 ( 2018 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 16-2280
    CITY OF TAUNTON, MASSACHUSETTS,
    Petitioner,
    v.
    UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY,
    Respondent.
    PETITION FOR REVIEW OF AGENCY ACTION OF
    THE UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
    Before
    Torruella, Lipez, and Thompson,
    Circuit Judges.
    John C. Hall, with whom Philip D. Rosenman and Hall &
    Associates were on brief, for petitioner.
    Sarah A. Buckley, Trial Attorney, United States Department of
    Justice, Environment and Natural Resources Division, Environmental
    Defense Section, with whom Jeffrey H. Wood, Acting Assistant
    Attorney General, Environment and Natural Resources Division,
    David J. Kaplan, Trial Attorney, and Samir Bukhari, Of Counsel,
    United States Environmental Protection Agency, Region 1, were on
    brief, for respondent.
    Michael Rubin, Assistant Attorney General, Rhode Island
    Attorney General's Office, with whom Peter F. Kilmartin, Attorney
    General, State of Rhode Island, on brief as amicus curiae.
    July 9, 2018
    TORRUELLA,     Circuit    Judge.          The    City   of        Taunton,
    Massachusetts       (the   "City"),    objects    to    the    decision         of   the
    Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to impose a limit -- through
    a National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit
    -- on the amount of nitrogen that the Taunton Wastewater Treatment
    Plant (the "Facility") may discharge.             After considering all of
    the City's challenges, both procedural and substantive in nature,
    we uphold the EPA's permitting decision.
    I.
    A.
    It is useful to begin with an overview of the legal
    landscape that is relevant to this appeal.                   The Clean Water Act
    (CWA) prohibits the "discharge of any pollutant" unless that
    discharge complies with NPDES permit requirements.                        33 U.S.C.
    §§ 1311(a), 1342.          The EPA is responsible for issuing NPDES
    permits unless a state agency is authorized to do so.                                
    Id. § 1342(a)-(c).
          No Massachusetts agency is so authorized.                   Under
    the   CWA,   NPDES    permits   must    include    any       water-quality-based
    limitations that are necessary to ensure compliance with the water
    quality standards of the state where the pollutant discharge in
    question is to occur, as well as those of any affected downstream
    states.       See    
    Id. §§ 1311(b)(1)(C),
            1341(a)(2);        40    C.F.R.
    §§ 122.4(d), 122.44(d)(4).        Giving effect to this requirement, EPA
    -2-
    regulations     provide        that     NPDES     permits    "must    control    all
    pollutants" that the EPA "determines are or may be discharged at
    a level which will cause, have the reasonable potential to cause,
    or contribute to an excursion above any State water quality
    standard."      40 C.F.R. § 122.44(d)(1)(i); see also Arkansas v.
    Oklahoma, 
    503 U.S. 91
    , 110 (1992) (explaining how this framework
    incorporates state water quality standards into "the federal law
    of water pollution control").
    NPDES permits issue for a period of time not to exceed
    five   years.        33   U.S.C.      §§   1342(a)(3),      (b)(1)(B);   40   C.F.R.
    § 122.46(a).     Upon receiving a permit renewal application, the
    permitting authority -- the EPA, in this case -- prepares a draft
    permit setting out the proposed "effluent limitations, standards,
    prohibitions     .    .    .   and     [other]     conditions."   1      40   C.F.R.
    § 124.6(d)(1), (d)(4)(v).             So too must the EPA issue a "fact sheet"
    that "briefly set[s] forth the principal facts and the significant
    factual, legal, methodological and policy questions considered in
    preparing the draft permit."               
    Id. § 124.8(a).
        The public comment
    1  The noun "effluent" is defined as "the outflow of a sewer,
    septic tank, etc." Webster's New World Dictionary & Thesaurus 195
    (1996); see also 33 U.S.C. § 1362(11) ("The term 'effluent
    limitation' means any restriction established by a State or the
    Administrator on quantities, rates, and concentrations of
    chemical, physical, biological, and other constituents which are
    discharged from point sources into navigable waters, the waters of
    the contiguous zone, or the ocean . . . .").
    -3-
    period opens when the EPA publishes a public notice of the draft
    permit.     After    reviewing     the    comments       submitted    during    that
    period, the EPA issues a final permit decision along with a formal
    "response to comments."          
    Id. §§ 124.15,
    124.17(a).             "Any person
    who filed comments on the draft permit or participated in a public
    hearing on the draft permit may file a petition for review" of the
    permit    with     the   Environmental         Appeals    Board      (EAB).       
    Id. § 124.19(a)(2).
    B.
    We also find it useful to provide a brief overview of
    the facts and procedural events that are central to this appeal,
    though we will also discuss those in greater detail in assessing
    the City's various challenges.
    This appeal revolves around the NPDES permit that the
    EPA issued for the Facility in 2015.             The City owns the Facility,
    which also treats wastewater from the towns of Raynham and Dighton.
    The Facility discharges into the estuarine portion of the Taunton
    River,    which,   in    turn,   flows    into    Mount    Hope   Bay.        Located
    partially in Rhode Island and partially in Massachusetts, Mount
    Hope Bay is part of the larger Narragansett Bay.                  The Facility is
    the second-largest point-source contributor of nitrogen to the
    Taunton River watershed.2        Nitrogen pollution stimulates excessive
    2   "The term 'point source' means any discernible, confined and
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    plant growth in bodies of water, which can deprive waters of the
    oxygen necessary to sustain other organisms -- a process called
    "eutrophication."   See Upper Blackstone Water Pollution Abatement
    Dist. v. EPA, 
    690 F.3d 9
    , 11-12 (1st Cir. 2012) (describing
    eutrophication in greater detail).
    In 2005, the City applied to renew its soon-to-expire
    2001-issued NPDES permit.      The 2001 permit did not limit the
    Facility's discharge of nitrogen, but it did require nitrogen
    monitoring.   The EPA issued a draft permit in 2007, but its review
    of the ensuing public comments led it to conclude that it might be
    necessary for the permit to impose nutrient limits.   After further
    research, the EPA issued a superseding draft permit, along with
    the mandatory accompanying fact sheet, in 2013.3        That draft
    permit sought to limit the Facility's nitrogen discharges to an
    average of 210 lbs. per day.   As the fact sheet explained, the EPA
    found that limitation necessary after determining that the Taunton
    discrete conveyance, including but not limited to any pipe, ditch,
    channel, tunnel, conduit, well, discrete fissure, container,
    rolling stock, concentrated animal feeding operation, or vessel or
    other floating craft, from which pollutants are or may be
    discharged." 33 U.S.C. § 1362(14). However, "[t]his term does
    not include agricultural stormwater discharges and return flows
    from irrigated agriculture." 
    Id. 3 While
    the 2001-issued NPDES permit for the Facility expired in
    2006, it was administratively continued pursuant to 40 C.F.R.
    § 122.6.
    -5-
    River and Mount Hope Bay "are suffering from the adverse water
    quality impacts of nutrient overenrichment, including cultural
    eutrophication,"     and   concluding        that    the   City’s    nitrogen
    discharges had the "reasonable potential" to cause or contribute
    to that overenrichment.     See 40 C.F.R. § 122.44(d)(1).
    At the City's request, the EPA extended the public
    comment period to 90 days, during which time the City submitted a
    substantial volume of comments objecting to the nitrogen limit
    that the draft permit sought to impose on the Facility.             After the
    extended public comment period closed, the City sought on multiple
    occasions    to   submit   what   it    characterized      as   "supplemental
    comments."    The EPA, however, rejected these as untimely, and
    therefore declined to address them in its response to comments.
    After the final permit issued, the City appealed to the
    EAB, challenging both the need for any nitrogen limit and the
    specific limit that the permit imposed.             The City also filed two
    motions before the EAB to supplement the record with, among other
    things, the documents it had previously attempted to submit with
    its "supplemental comments."       The EAB denied those motions. The
    EAB also denied the City's administrative appeal on the merits,
    along with the City's subsequent motion for reconsideration.             The
    final permit went into effect on June 22, 2016.4
    4   The permit did not require the City to give immediate effect to
    -6-
    The City then appealed to us, challenging this final
    agency action, see 33 U.S.C. § 1369(b)(1)(F), on various procedural
    and substantive grounds. After the parties filed their appellate
    briefs, the EPA moved to strike certain portions of the City's
    reply     brief    and    supplemental    appendix     because     they   involved
    documents from outside of the agency record.5                 In response, the
    City moved to supplement the record with the documents at issue.
    The City also filed a motion "For Leave to Adduce New Material
    Evidence and Compel Respondent's Review of the New Information."
    We now resolve these motions and the merits of the City's appeal.
    II.
    The    Administrative       Procedure    Act   (APA)    governs      our
    review of the EPA's actions and decisions amid the NDPES permitting
    process.     See City of Pittsfield v. EPA, 
    614 F.3d 7
    , 10 (1st Cir.
    2010).     Accordingly, we may only overturn what the EPA has done
    if   we   find     that   it   was   "arbitrary,     capricious,    an    abuse   of
    discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law."                     5 U.S.C.
    § 706(2)(A).         More concretely, we are to leave agency action
    undisturbed unless
    its nitrogen limit, but rather set out a 10-year staged compliance
    schedule for the City to follow.
    5  We denied the State of Rhode Island's motion to intervene on
    behalf of the EPA, but highlighted that it was free to "present
    its position in an amicus curiae brief," which it then did.
    -7-
    the agency has relied on factors which Congress has
    not intended it to consider, entirely failed to
    consider an important aspect of the problem, offered
    an explanation for its decision that runs counter to
    the evidence before the agency, or is so implausible
    that it could not be ascribed to a difference in view
    or the product of agency expertise.
    Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass'n of U.S., Inc. v. State Farm Mut. Auto.
    Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983).         "This deference goes to the
    entire agency action, which here includes both the EPA's permitting
    decision and the EAB's review and affirmance of that decision."
    Upper 
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 20
    .
    Here, the "scientific and technical nature of the EPA's
    decisionmaking" increases our level of deference.              
    Id. (citing Balt.
    Gas & Elec. Co. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 
    462 U.S. 87
    , 103 (1983) (explaining that when an agency is acting "within
    its area of special expertise, at the frontiers of science . . . .
    as opposed to [making] simple findings of fact, a reviewing court
    must generally be at its most deferential")).       We are particularly
    mindful that "where a complex administrative statute, like those
    the EPA is charged with administering, requires an agency to set
    a numerical standard, courts will not overturn the agency's choice
    of   a   precise   figure   where    it   falls   within   a     'zone   of
    reasonableness.'" Upper 
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 28
    .
    Similarly, because interpreting and implementing the CWA
    falls squarely within the EPA's bailiwick, see Adams v. EPA, 38
    -8-
    F.3d   43,   49   (1st   Cir.   1994),    we   defer   to    its   "reasonable
    interpretation" of that statute, Upper 
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 21
    .
    See also Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc.,
    
    467 U.S. 837
    , 843 (1984) ("[I]f the statute is silent or ambiguous
    with respect to the specific issue, the question for the court is
    whether the agency's answer is based on a permissible construction
    of the statute.").        Finally, the EPA enjoys greater deference
    still when interpreting its own regulations.                Upper 
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 21
    .     Its interpretation of those regulations shall be
    "controlling unless 'plainly erroneous or inconsistent with the
    regulation.'"     Auer v. Robbins, 
    519 U.S. 452
    , 461 (1997) (quoting
    Robertson v. Methow Valley Citizens Council, 
    490 U.S. 332
    , 359
    (1989)).
    A.
    1.
    After briefing before this court concluded, the EPA
    moved to strike certain documents in the City's supplemental
    appendix, in addition to parts of the City's reply brief that cited
    those documents, as outside of the administrative record.               These
    documents comprised: (1) a 2005 Rhode Island nutrient policy
    document; (2) slides prepared by the Narragansett Bay Commission;
    and (3) a draft report from the Narragansett Bay Estuary Program
    (the "draft NBEP report").       In response, the City cross-moved to
    -9-
    supplement the record.      The City argued that it was entitled to
    refer to the documents at issue in rebutting arguments that the
    State    of    Rhode   Island   had     raised   in   its   amicus   brief.
    Specifically, the City pointed to Rhode Island's contentions that:
    (1) "The fact that [the Rhode Island Department of Environmental
    Management's] nitrogen limitations for numerous in-state sewage
    treatment plants are numerically consistent with the nitrogen
    limitation at issue further corroborates the reasonableness of the
    EPA’s decision"; (2) the nitrogen limit that the EPA imposed in
    the Permit is necessary to ensure compliance with Rhode Island's
    water quality standards; and (3) that research by the Narragansett
    Bay Estuary Program and the University of Rhode Island Coastal
    Institute bolster the EPA's decision.
    At the foreground of our analysis here is the principle
    that, when reviewing an agency's decision under the arbitrary and
    capricious standard, "the focal point for judicial review should
    be the administrative record already in existence, not some new
    record made initially in the reviewing court."         Camp v. Pitts, 
    411 U.S. 138
    , 142 (1973); see also Fla. Power & Light Co. v. Lorion,
    
    470 U.S. 729
    , 744 (1985) ("[I]f the reviewing court simply cannot
    evaluate the challenged agency action on the basis of the record
    before it, the proper course, except in rare circumstances, is to
    remand    to     the   agency    for     additional    investigation    or
    -10-
    explanation.");        Walter O. Boswell Mem'l Hosp. v. Heckler, 
    749 F.2d 788
    ,    792   (D.C.    Cir.     1984)    ("To   review   more   than   the
    information before the Secretary at the time she made her decision
    risks our requiring administrators to be prescient or allowing
    them to take advantage of post hoc rationalizations." (citing Am.
    Petrol. Inst. v. Costle, 
    609 F.2d 20
    , 23 (D.C. Cir. 1979))).
    Yet, exceptions do exist.          We have recognized a pair of
    situations in which we have the discretion to supplement the agency
    record.    Town of Winthrop v. FAA, 
    535 F.3d 1
    , 14 (1st Cir. 2008).
    First, we may consider supplemental evidence to facilitate our
    comprehension     of    the   record    or     the   agency's   decision.     
    Id. Examples of
       this    include     agency     decisions   involving   "highly
    technical, environmental matters," Valley Citizens for a Safe
    Env't v. Aldridge, 
    886 F.2d 458
    , 460 (1st Cir. 1989) (Breyer, J.),
    or when we are faced with a "failure to explain administrative
    action as to frustrate effective judicial review," Olsen v. United
    States, 
    414 F.3d 144
    , 155-56 (1st Cir. 2005) (quoting 
    Camp, 411 U.S. at 142-43
    ).         Second, a "strong showing of bad faith or
    improper behavior" may also provide occasion to "order[] the
    supplementation of the administrative record."                  Town of Norfolk
    v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng'rs, 
    968 F.2d 1438
    , 1458-59 (1st Cir.
    1992) (citing Citizens to Preserve Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe,
    
    401 U.S. 402
    (1971)).
    -11-
    We note that the City's proffered justification for
    supplementing the record -- to allow it to respond to arguments
    raised in an amicus brief -- does not fit neatly within either of
    these exceptions.6    Without passing judgment on whether that is a
    categorically inadequate reason to supplement the agency record,
    we find that the City has failed to convince us here that we should
    exercise our discretion in this manner.
    Keeping in mind that our broader adjudicatory task here
    is to determine whether, on the basis of the record before it, the
    EPA acted arbitrarily or capriciously, we take note of the City's
    position that Rhode Island's "assertions were not the basis of
    [the] EPA's permit limit calculations," and that Rhode Island's
    scientific and factual averments "were not part of the underlying
    agency[] decision."    It would follow, then, that Rhode Island's
    assertions also cannot provide a basis for our affirmance of the
    6   The City also insists that this is a situation when
    supplementing the record is appropriate because "the good faith of
    the agency is at issue." The City appears to argue that the EPA
    shirked its "duty" to "bring forth" the information contained in
    the draft NBEP report -- which the City says undercuts the EPA's
    conclusions regarding the permit -- and that we can infer bad faith
    from this. But, the draft NBEP report is dated April 2017, which
    is ten months after the final permit went into effect, following
    the City's unsuccessful administrative appeal. Setting aside the
    question of whether the draft NBEP report (or its subsequently
    published final iteration) actually supports the City's position
    -- which the EPA sharply contests -- we fail to see how the EPA's
    failure to engage with a document that didn't exist at the time of
    its permit decision can amount to indicia of bad faith.
    -12-
    EPA's permit decision.    So, we do not find it appropriate or
    necessary to allow the City to go beyond the agency record to rebut
    those assertions.7
    Because the City has not convinced us that the record
    should include the documents at issue in the EPA's motion to strike
    and the City's cross-motion to supplement the record, we grant the
    former and deny the latter.
    2.
    Before oral argument, the City also brought a motion
    "For Leave to Adduce New Material Evidence and Compel Respondent's
    Review of the New Information."   The City anchored that motion in
    7  To the extent that the City seeks to cite these documents not
    to rebut Rhode Island's arguments but rather to attack the merits
    of the EPA's permit decision (a motive at which its reply brief
    hints), we emphasize that the proper moment for the City to adduce
    evidence to that effect was the public comment period. See Cousins
    v. Sec'y of U.S. Dep't of Transp., 
    880 F.2d 603
    , 610 (1st Cir.
    1989) (reasoning that parties are not prejudiced by the principle
    that our review is limited to the agency record because they are
    free to contribute to that record amid proceedings before the
    agency).   Further, to the extent that the City argues that the
    draft NBEP report -- which, again, post-dates the permit decision
    -- should come into the record as evidence that the EPA's permit
    decision was arbitrary and capricious, we also disagree.        We
    repeat that our review is of the agency's decision based on the
    record before it.      Setting aside whatever merit the City's
    arguments concerning the substance of that report may have, we
    recall one of the reasons motivating our limited scope of review:
    "[T]he hope or anticipation that better science will materialize
    is always present, to some degree, in the context of science-based
    agency decisionmaking. Congress was aware of this when it
    nonetheless set a firm deadline for issuing new permits." Upper
    
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 23
    .
    -13-
    section 509(c) of the CWA, see 33 U.S.C. § 1369(c), which, the
    City claims, gives us the authority to compel the EPA "to review
    material evidence that arises after the challenged EPA action."
    But we do not agree.     Section 509(c)'s own terms limit
    its application to agency "determination[s] . . . required to be
    made on the record after notice and opportunity for hearing."      
    Id. (emphasis added).
      That is crucial because the phrase "on the
    record" serves to invoke formal agency adjudication under the APA.
    See 5 U.S.C. § 554(a); United States v. Allegheny-Ludlum Steel
    Corp., 
    406 U.S. 742
    , 757 (1972) (explaining, in the context of
    agency rulemaking, that the APA's provisions governing formal
    agency proceedings, see 5 U.S.C. §§ 556-57, apply when "the agency
    statute, in addition to providing a hearing, prescribes explicitly
    that it be 'on the record'" (quotation omitted)).        Thus, section
    509(c) applies only to formal agency adjudications.       Congress has
    specified only that the EPA is to issue NDPES permits "after
    opportunity for public hearing," without specifying whether that
    hearing must be "on the record."        33 U.S.C. §§ 1326(a), 1342(a).
    But, we have afforded Chevron deference to EPA regulations setting
    forth -- in light of Congress's silence on this issue -- that these
    public hearings need not be "on the record," and that the NDPES
    permit process is therefore an informal agency adjudication under
    -14-
    the APA.    Dominion Energy Brayton Point, LLC v. Johnson, 
    443 F.3d 12
    , 14-15, 18-19 (1st Cir. 2006).
    This forecloses the City's argument.              Because the agency
    record at issue here pertains to an informal adjudication, section
    509(c) of the CWA is inapposite, and does not provide a basis for
    us to order the EPA to reopen the administrative record to consider
    the City's purportedly new material evidence.                     As a result, we
    deny the City's motion for us do to so.
    B.
    We turn now to the various procedural challenges that
    the City brings.
    1.
    The City first tells us that the EPA "failed to provide
    public access to fundamental evaluations, analyses, and data used
    to derive the permit."        While the City's precise objections are
    perhaps    not    the   easiest     to   discern,    we    read     its    brief    as
    essentially       asserting   two    things:      (1)     that    the     factsheet,
    containing       only   "generalized      supporting      information       for    the
    stringent     nutrient    limitations,"         failed    to     provide    adequate
    support for the draft permit's nitrogen limitation, and (2) that
    "when challenged regarding the adequacy of that documentation,
    [the EPA improperly] add[ed] thousands of pages of site-specific
    studies, data analyses and specific regulatory findings [to the
    -15-
    final administrative record], after the comment period closed."
    The appropriate remedy, according to the City, is for us to order
    the EPA to reopen the public comment period so that the City may
    weigh in on the "new justifications and analyses supporting [the]
    permit"   for   which   the   EPA   allegedly    deprived    the   City    of   a
    "rebuttal opportunity."8
    We start with the City's claim that the fact sheet was
    facially deficient.      Under 40 C.F.R. § 124.8(a), the fact sheet
    that accompanies a draft NPDES permit need only "briefly set forth
    the   principal    facts      and   the     significant     factual,      legal,
    methodological and policy questions considered in preparing the
    draft permit."    We find that, here, the fact sheet satisfied that
    requirement.
    First, the fact sheet explained how the EPA had arrived
    at its conclusion that the "Taunton River Estuary and Mount Hope
    Bay have reached their assimilative capacity for nitrogen," and as
    8  The City's briefing broadly describes its various procedural
    challenges in terms of due process violations or violations of its
    procedural rights. However, we do not understand the City to be
    raising a Fifth Amendment Due Process Clause claim. Rather, the
    City's contentions fall under the ambit of the APA. We thus apply
    arbitrary and capricious review to the City's procedural claims.
    See United States v. Estate of Boothby, 
    16 F.3d 19
    , 21 (1st Cir.
    1994) ("In scrutinizing administrative action, a reviewing court
    is free to correct errors of law, but, otherwise, the court is
    limited to a search for arbitrary or capricious behavior.") (citing
    5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A)).
    -16-
    a result, were already "failing to attain the water quality
    standards" that Massachusetts and Rhode Island law impose.              The
    fact sheet then explained the EPA's conclusion that, because the
    Facility's nitrogen discharges had the "reasonable potential" to
    cause violations of the applicable water-quality standards, it was
    necessary to include an effluent limit in the draft permit.            Next,
    the fact sheet detailed how the EPA first calculated the threshold
    nitrogen concentration for the Taunton River Estuary -- that is,
    the maximum amount of nitrogen that the Estuary may contain before
    any water-quality violations result -- and then calculated an
    "allowable total nitrogen load from the watershed" that would keep
    the Estuary's nitrogen concentration at or below that threshold.
    Finally, the fact sheet laid out how the EPA allocated that total
    allowable nitrogen load among the Estuary's various point-sources
    of nitrogen -- including the Facility -- to derive limits for each
    of those nitrogen dischargers.          At each step, the EPA identified
    the    datasets    and   studies   it    relied   upon   in   making   these
    calculations, and provided a clear account of its reasoning and
    underlying assumptions.
    In light of all of this, we do not agree with the City
    that    the    fact   sheet   provided     only   "generalized   supporting
    information for the stringent nutrient limitations."             Quite the
    opposite, the fact sheet described in substantial detail the
    -17-
    methodology   that   the       EPA    employed     in   deriving   the    nitrogen
    limitation that it ultimately imposed in the draft permit.                      The
    City therefore fails to convince us that the fact sheet ran afoul
    of the regulations governing it.9              Having resolved that, we now
    turn to the City's claim that the EPA improperly added documents
    to the final administrative record.
    According     to    the   City,    a   "quick   comparison     of   the
    original 20-page generalized fact sheet discussion versus the 80
    pages of site-specific analysis contained in the [response to
    comments]   and   final    administrative          record   confirms     extensive
    revisions occurred."10         The City also protests that the fact sheet
    9  In its reply brief, the City contends that the fact sheet was
    inadequate for many of the same reasons for which it claims that
    the final permit's nitrogen limit was arbitrary and capricious
    (e.g., it failed to consider "the post-2006 system wide pollutant
    reductions affecting algal growth and [dissolved oxygen]"). In
    addition to having been waived, see Waste Mgmt. Holdings, Inc. v.
    Mowbray, 
    208 F.3d 288
    , 299 (1st Cir. 2000) ("We have held, with a
    regularity bordering on the monotonous, that issues advanced for
    the first time in an appellant's reply brief are deemed waived."),
    these arguments, as we explain in addressing the City's substantive
    challenges, also lack merit.
    10  To the extent that the City argues that the final permit
    departed impermissibly in substance from the draft permit, we
    recall that an agency "can make even substantial changes from the
    proposed version [of a rule], as long as the final changes are 'in
    character with the original scheme' and 'a logical outgrowth' of
    the notice and comment." Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc. v. EPA, 
    824 F.2d 1258
    , 1283 (1st Cir. 1987) (quoting S. Terminal Corp. v. EPA,
    
    504 F.2d 646
    , 658 (1st Cir. 1974)); see also In Re Town of Concord
    Dep't of Pub. Works, 16 E.A.D. 514, 532-33 (EAB 2014) (upholding
    the decision not to reopen public comment after rejecting the Town
    of Concord's argument that the pH limit imposed in a final NPDES
    -18-
    and its supporting documentation suffered from "glaring record
    omissions," and that it was only at the Final Permit stage that
    the EPA "disclosed the new information, evaluations, data, and
    conclusions that purportedly justified its action."
    The EPA's rejoinder is that, as the EAB explained, "it
    is both permissible and expected for [the EPA] to place new
    material    in    the     Administrative     Record    when   responding     to
    significant comments."        The EPA also correctly points out that its
    regulations provide that if "new points are raised or new material
    supplied during the public comment period, EPA may document its
    response   to     those    matters   by    adding    new   materials   to   the
    administrative record."           40 C.F.R. § 124.17(b); see also 
    id. § 124.18(b)(4)
    (the administrative record for a final permit must
    include "the response to comments required by § 124.17 and any new
    material placed in the record under that section").              And it does
    not follow that, because the EPA added new materials to the
    administrative record in response to comments it received, it also
    needed to reopen the comment period.                The relevant regulations
    provide    that   "[i]f     any    data[,]   information[,]    or   arguments
    submitted during the public comment period . . . appear to raise
    permit was not a "logical outgrowth" of the draft permit). And
    the City offers nothing in support of any contention that the final
    permit was not a "logical outgrowth" of the draft permit.
    -19-
    substantial new questions concerning a permit, the [EPA] may . . .
    [r]eopen or extend the comment period."                 40 C.F.R. § 124.14(b)
    (emphasis added).       In the end, the City fails to convince us that
    the EPA wrongly declined to exercise its discretion to reopen the
    comment period after adding new documents to the administrative
    record.
    Contrary      to    what    the      City   asserts,   the   60-page
    difference between the fact sheet and the response to comments
    does    little   to    suggest     that    the    EPA   acted   arbitrarily     or
    capriciously.      Because it needed only to "briefly set forth" the
    draft   permit's      factual    and   theoretical      underpinnings,   see   40
    C.F.R. § 124.8(a), the fact sheet's comparative brevity cannot
    alone be indicative of any illegitimate additions to the response
    to comments.     We, therefore, do not agree with the City that the
    EPA acted arbitrarily or capriciously in adding documents to the
    record after the public comment period.                 Nor does the City give
    us any reason to conclude that the EPA needed to reopen the public
    comment period after adding those documents.
    2.
    The City next challenges the EPA's decision not to
    address   the    City's    untimely       "supplemental     comments"    in    the
    response to comments.          40 C.F.R. § 124.17(a)(2) requires only that
    the EPA "[b]riefly describe and respond to all significant comments
    -20-
    on the draft permit . . . raised during the public comment period,
    or during any hearing." (emphases added); see also 
    id. § 124.13
    ("All persons . . . who believe any condition of a draft permit is
    inappropriate . . . must raise all reasonably ascertainable issues
    and submit all reasonably available arguments supporting their
    position by the close of the public comment period.").    As we have
    explained previously, we apply "strict rules of procedural default
    in the administrative context" for a number of reasons:
    First, when the administrative agency is given an
    opportunity to address a party's objections, it can
    apply   its    expertise,    exercise   its  informed
    discretion, and create a more finely tuned record for
    judicial review . . . . A second reason for applying
    strict   rules    of   procedural   default  in   the
    administrative context is to promote judicial economy
    . . . . Finally, enforcing procedural default
    solidifies the agency's autonomy by allowing it the
    opportunity to monitor its own mistakes and by
    ensuring that regulated parties do not simply turn to
    the courts as a tribunal of first resort.
    
    Adams, 38 F.3d at 50
    (quoting Mass. Dep't Pub. Welfare v. Sec'y of
    Agric., 
    984 F.2d 514
    , 523 (1st Cir. 1993)).     The City does not
    proffer any good reason for us to deviate from these principles
    here.   And while the EPA was free to reject the City's untimely
    comments out of hand, it nonetheless undertook to review them.
    Thus, the EPA concluded in the response to comments that those
    untimely comments pertained in large part "to the subject matter
    of the City's timely submitted comments, which have been duly
    considered."   The EPA then added that "[g]iven the foregoing, and
    -21-
    the fact that the existing permit is long expired, the evidence of
    ongoing water quality impairments, and the need . . . for timely
    imposition of more stringent nutrient controls, EPA rejects the
    'supplemental comments' as untimely."                  It therefore declined to
    respond to those comments.               We do not find this to have been
    arbitrary or capricious.
    We    similarly    uphold     the    EAB's       decision   to   strike
    documents that the City attempted to submit for the first time at
    the administrative appeal stage.                  The City protests that the
    EAB's decision "effectively created a double-standard whereby [the
    EPA] may include extensive new post-comment period analyses and
    data   to    justify   its    action,    yet     the   City    is   precluded   from
    commenting on any of this new information."                    But this assertion
    alone -- especially given our rejection of the notion that the EPA
    illicitly added information to the final record or that the final
    permit departed impermissibly from the fact sheet and draft permit
    --   fails    to   convince    us   that   the     EAB    acted     arbitrarily   or
    capriciously in policing its waiver rule.                See 40 C.F.R. §§ 124.13,
    124.19 (requiring that permit appellants raising new arguments
    "explain why such issues were not required to be raised during the
    public comment period").            We therefore conclude that the EAB
    properly refused to consider these new documents.
    -22-
    3.
    Finally, the City tells us that "following the issuance
    of its deficient fact sheet, EPA repeatedly stymied Taunton's
    access to the Agency's back-up documentation allegedly supporting
    the contested [total nitrogen] limitation."    In brief, the City
    makes much ado over the EPA's purported unwillingness to allow the
    City to see documents supporting the draft permit's nitrogen limit.
    The City's briefing does not make entirely clear what exactly it
    wanted the EPA to do.    But in any event, we note that the City
    does not argue that the EPA ran afoul of any applicable legal
    requirement.   And as the EPA points out, it needed only to provide
    physical access to the record during the public comment period,
    see 40 C.F.R. § 124.10(d)(1)(vi), which it did.   As it turns out,
    the EPA invited representatives of the City to visit its Region
    One office in Boston to review the administrative record on
    multiple occasions.   The City, meanwhile, expressly rejected that
    invitation.    In sum, because the City fails to show that it was
    procedurally entitled to anything more than what the EPA afforded
    it, we do not find the EPA's actions in this respect to have been
    arbitrary or capricious.    See Vt. Yankee Nuclear Power Corp. v.
    Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 
    435 U.S. 519
    , 524 (1978)   ("Agencies
    are free to grant additional procedural rights in the exercise of
    -23-
    their discretion, but reviewing courts are generally not free to
    impose them if the agencies have not chosen to grant them.").11
    C.
    We now take up the City's substantive challenges to the
    Permit and its nitrogen limit.
    1.
    The first arrow that the City pulls from its quiver is
    that the EPA erred in determining that the Taunton Estuary was
    nutrient impaired.
    As we explained above, NPDES permits "must control all
    pollutants or pollutant parameters" that the EPA "determines are
    or may be discharged at a level which will cause, have the
    reasonable potential to cause, or contribute to an excursion above
    any    State    water     quality       standard,    including    State   narrative
    criteria for water quality."               40 C.F.R. § 122.44(d)(1)(i).         The
    EPA has interpreted "reasonable potential" to mean "some degree of
    certainty      greater     than     a    mere     possibility."     In    re   Upper
    Blackstone Water Pollution Abatement Dist., 14 E.A.D. 577, 599
    n.29    (EAB     2010).      "Narrative"          water   quality   criteria    are
    11  The City also submits that the "EPA's recalcitrance was so
    pronounced that it prompted a federal court to award attorneys'
    fees against EPA under FOIA."       This is irrelevant, though.
    Whatever obligations the EPA may have had in connection with any
    particular FOIA request have no bearing on the EPA's compliance
    with the framework governing the NPDES permit process.
    -24-
    qualitative, rather than numerical, in nature.                 See 40 C.F.R.
    §§ 131.3(b), 131.11 (b).
    Massachusetts classifies the Taunton Estuary and the
    eastern portion of Mount Hope Bay as "Class SB" waters.               Per state
    regulations, Class SB waters "are designated as a habitat for fish,
    other aquatic life and wildlife . . . and for primary and secondary
    contact recreation."          314 Mass. Code Regs. § 4.05(4)(b).             They
    "shall have consistently good aesthetic value."                
    Id. Class SB
    waters must also meet the numeric water quality criterion of a
    minimum of 5.0 mg/l of dissolved oxygen.           
    Id. § 4.05(4)(b)(1).
          So
    too   must   they   satisfy     the    following   narrative   water     quality
    criterion:
    Unless naturally occurring, all surface waters shall
    be free from nutrients in concentrations that would
    cause or contribute to impairment of existing or
    designated uses . . . . Any existing point source
    discharge containing nutrients in concentrations that
    would cause or contribute to cultural eutrophication
    . . . shall be provided with the most appropriate
    treatment . . . to remove such nutrients to ensure
    protection of existing and designated uses.
    
    Id. § 4.05(5)(c).
    When   issuing    NDPES    permits    for   states   that    employ
    narrative criteria, the EPA must translate those criteria into a
    "calculated     numeric   water       quality   criterion"     that    the    EPA
    "demonstrates will attain and maintain applicable narrative water
    quality criteria and will fully protect the designated use."                  40
    -25-
    C.F.R.    §    122.44(d)(1)(vi)(A).               The    EPA    may    arrive     at    that
    numerical criterion by using "a proposed State criterion, or an
    explicit State policy or regulation interpreting [the State's]
    narrative      water      quality      criterion,        supplemented       with       other
    relevant      information     .    .   .   ."      
    Id. Massachusetts has
       not
    prescribed specific methodologies for deriving numeric nitrogen
    limitations       that    correspond       to   its      narrative       criteria.       It
    therefore fell to the EPA to do so here.
    The EPA looked to an interim report prepared for the
    Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection (MassDEP)
    known as the "Critical Indicators Report."                            See Massachusetts
    Estuaries       Project,      Site-Specific             Nitrogen       Thresholds        for
    Southeastern Massachusetts Embayments: Critical Indicators, July
    21,       2003,          https://www.mass.gov/files/documents/2016/08/mp/
    nitroest.pdf (last visited June 14, 2018).                       As the EPA explained
    in the response to comments, "[w]hile MassDEP has not adopted the
    Critical Indicators Report as a specific policy, it has afforded
    the document technical and scientific weight, [and] has explicitly
    relied on the report" in other regulatory contexts.
    The purpose of that report is to provide a "translator"
    between    Massachusetts's          narrative      water       quality    standard      and
    corresponding       numeric       nitrogen      thresholds        that    would    ensure
    compliance with those standards.                   
    Id. at 2.
             To that end, the
    -26-
    report     listed    various     criteria,      or   "indicators,"      to        guide
    assessments of the present health of a given body of water,
    including the amount of oxygen, nitrogen, and chlorophyll present
    in that body.12      
    Id. at 11.
             In this sense, those "indicators"
    serve as factors to consider when assessing how healthy a body of
    water is.     The interim report also provided what it describes as
    "straw man" threshold levels -- to be "further refined with the
    collection of additional data and modeling."                   
    Id. at 3.
               For
    example, per those thresholds, Class SB waters are not impaired
    when, among other things, "oxygen levels are generally not less
    than 5.0 mg/l," chlorophyll-a levels are between 3-5 µg/l, and
    nitrogen    levels    are      between    0.39-0.50    mg/l.      
    Id. at 22.
    "Moderately impaired" SB waters have oxygen levels that "generally
    do not fall below" 4.0 mg/l, chlorophyll levels that may reach 10
    µg/l, and nitrogen concentrations above roughly 0.5 mg/l.13                         
    Id. 12 As
    the Critical Indicators Report explains, the amount of
    chlorophyll in a given body of water provides a measure of the
    concentration of aquatic plant life in that water, and therefore
    indicates the extent to which eutrophication has occurred. 
    Id. at 14.
    13  The case studies giving rise to these figures indicated,
    according to the report, that regions with nitrogen concentrations
    above 0.5 mg/l were "clearly impaired," while certain locations
    began showing signs of impairment once nitrogen exceeded 0.4 mg/l.
    
    Id. at 23.
    -27-
    at 23.     Class SB waters are "significantly impaired," according
    to the report, at around 0.6-0.7 mg/l of nitrogen.                
    Id. The EPA
    then looked to data from a three-year water
    quality monitoring study that the School for Marine Sciences and
    Technology at University of Massachusetts Dartmouth (SMAST) had
    carried out.       The study involved taking monthly water samples from
    22 sites across the Taunton Estuary and Mount Hope Bay from 2004
    to 2006.     The study revealed that all of these sites were suffering
    from excessive algae growth; each site had an average chlorophyll-
    a concentration of over 10 µg/l during the study's three-year
    period.    All 22 monitoring stations also had an average dissolved
    oxygen concentration below 5.0 mg/l during that period.                   And in
    the   case    of    16    monitoring    stations,     the     average    nitrogen
    concentration exceeded .5 mg/l -- where the Critical Indicators
    Report    drew     the   line   for   "clearly    impaired"    waters.     Those
    monitoring stations located in the Taunton River tended to have
    the   highest      nitrogen     concentrations.     The     monitoring   station
    closest to the Facility's discharge point showed a particularly
    high nitrogen concentration -- ranging from 0.66 to 0.99 mg/l
    during the course of the study.
    The EPA also considered data from another monitoring
    station in Mount Hope Bay, operated by the Narragansett Bay Water
    Quality Network.          That data showed that the dissolved oxygen
    -28-
    concentration       at    that    site    fell   below    4.8   mg/l    on   multiple
    occasions in 2005 and 2006.              On two such occasions, the dissolved
    oxygen    concentration          remained   below   2.9    mg/l   for     two   days,
    resulting in "hypoxic conditions," or "levels of dissolved oxygen
    below what is needed by aquatic organisms to breathe," Upper
    
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 12
    .           The data also showed "multiple events"
    of chlorophyll-a concentrations exceeding 20 µg/l.                     Moreover, the
    data from the monitoring station indicated that the site continued
    to   suffer    from        elevated       chlorophyll-a     concentrations        and
    persistent dissolved oxygen concentrations below 5 mg/l in 2010.
    The EPA then applied the SMAST and Mount Hope Bay data
    to the Critical Indicators Report.               This led it to conclude that
    "cultural eutrophication due to nitrogen overenrichment in the
    Taunton River Estuary and Mount Hope Bay has reached the level of
    a violation of both Massachusetts and Rhode Island water quality
    standards for nutrients and aesthetics, and has also resulted in
    violations     of        the   numeric      [dissolved     oxygen]       standards."
    According to the City, this conclusion was the product of various
    errors.
    The City first assails the EPA's use of the Critical
    Indicators Report, stressing that the EPA treated the report's
    "straw man" threshold levels as final and authoritative when the
    report treated them as preliminary and requiring further analysis.
    -29-
    The EPA responds that, while the report may hold those threshold
    levels out as preliminary and subject to future fine-tuning, the
    report's "indicators" of watershed health are not.         Indeed, as the
    report explains, those indicators "form the basis of an assessment
    of a system's present health."        Massachusetts Estuaries Project,
    supra at 22.    Thus, the EPA explains that it was entitled to use
    those indicators and apply them "to site-specific data and the
    extensive scientific literature on cultural eutrophication, to
    determine that the Taunton Estuary was suffering from nutrient
    overenrichment."
    The EAB, for its part, upheld the EPA's use of the report
    on this basis, explaining that "the use of criteria from the . . .
    Critical Indicators Report to evaluate water quality is fully
    consistent with the NPDES permitting regulations."         It added that
    the   EPA's    ultimate   determination,    after    considering      those
    indicators, that the Taunton Estuary was nutrient impaired found
    further support in "the SMAST report itself, which concluded that
    the Taunton Estuary experienced very high levels of nitrogen and
    poor water quality due to high algal levels and oxygen depletion."
    We agree that the EPA did not use the Critical Indicators
    Report improperly.    The City's objections to the EPA's reliance
    on the "straw man" thresholds in the Critical Indicators Report
    are   ultimately   inapposite,   as   the   EPA   relied   not   on   those
    -30-
    thresholds, but rather on the Report's indicators in reaching its
    conclusion about nutrient impairment.    Of course, had the EPA been
    able to rely on threshold levels not subject to future refinement,
    then its analysis may have benefitted from greater scientific
    certainty.   But, it was not required to delay its decision until
    such information became available, and its conclusions are not
    invalid because they are the product of employing the indicators
    set out in the Critical Indicators Report to analyze the SMAST
    data.   "As in many science-based policymaking contexts, under the
    CWA the EPA is required to exercise its judgment even in the face
    of some scientific uncertainty."      Upper 
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 23
    .   Using those indicators to determine that the Taunton Estuary
    was nutrient impaired for purposes of Massachusetts's narrative
    criteria, see 314 Mass. Code Regs. § 4.05(4)(b), comported with
    the regulations that govern translating narrative criteria in the
    absence of an official state-sanctioned methodology, see 40 C.F.R.
    § 122.44(d)(1)(vi)(A), and was not arbitrary or capricious.14
    14 We encounter further evidence that the EPA did more than simply
    uncritically apply those thresholds to the SMAST data in the EPA's
    calculation of an acceptable total nitrogen threshold for the
    Taunton River Estuary. Though the Critical Indicators Report
    provides the "straw man" nitrogen concentration threshold of 0.39-
    0.50 mg/l for unimpaired waters, the EPA -- finding dissolved
    oxygen violations and elevated chlorophyll-a concentrations taking
    place at nitrogen concentrations above 0.45 mg/l -- found that
    threshold insufficiently protective and therefore, as we explain
    in greater detail ahead, ultimately determined that a nitrogen
    threshold of 0.45 mg/l was necessary to prevent water quality
    -31-
    Next, the City protests that, in applying the SMAST data
    to the Critical Indicators Report, the EPA "did not undertake any
    analysis to demonstrate the relationship between nitrogen and
    dissolved oxygen or plant growth" in the Taunton Estuary.          As a
    result, the City says, the EPA failed to rule out a number of other
    explanations   for   the   Taunton   Estuary's   low   concentration   of
    dissolved oxygen and high concentration of chlorophyll.        The City
    then points to a number of charts drawing from the SMAST data that
    it submitted during the public comment period, which, it explains,
    show that no relationship exists between the concentrations of
    nitrogen and oxygen or between the concentrations of nitrogen and
    chlorophyll.   The absence of any causal relationship, the City
    presses, renders the EPA's determination that the Taunton Estuary
    was nutrient impaired arbitrary and capricious.
    But, as the EAB correctly determined, the EPA did not
    need to show causation -- for example, through a statistical
    regression analysis -- to support its conclusion that the Taunton
    Estuary was nutrient impaired.        Rather, the EPA needed only to
    conclude that the further discharge of nitrogen had the "reasonable
    potential to cause, or contribute to an excursion above any State
    water standard."     40 C.F.R. § 122.44(d)(1)(i) (emphasis added);
    standard violations.
    -32-
    see also 314 Mass. Code Regs. § 4.05(4)(b)(1) (establishing the
    numeric criterion that Class SB waters have a minimum of 5.0 mg/l
    of dissolved oxygen), (5)(c) (establishing the narrative criterion
    for Class SB waters that "[u]nless naturally occurring, all surface
    waters shall be free from nutrients in concentrations that would
    cause or contribute to impairment of existing or designated uses").
    We further note that the words "contribute to" also indicate that
    nitrogen need not be the sole cause of any potential violation of
    a state standard, further undercutting the suggestion that the EPA
    needed to prove causation.           Moreover, in upholding the "reasonable
    potential" determination here, the EAB observed that under the
    NPDES regulations, the permitting authority has a "significant
    amount     of   flexibility     in     determining    whether      a   particular
    discharge has a reasonable potential to cause an excursion above
    a water quality criterion."           See also National Pollutant Discharge
    Elimination System, 54 Fed. Reg. 23,868, 23,873 (June 2, 1989).
    The   City's   arguments       thus   miss     their   mark;   it   is
    incorrect that the EPA needed to show a causal relationship between
    high     concentrations    of    nitrogen     and    low    concentrations      of
    dissolved oxygen.      The absence of an analysis of this sort from
    the EPA's "reasonable potential" determination, therefore, cannot
    have made that determination arbitrary or capricious.
    -33-
    And we also reject, as did the EAB, the City's related
    contention that this "reasonable potential" determination was
    erroneous because the SMAST data does not show any relationship
    between   nitrogen,   chlorophyll,        and   dissolved    oxygen.      In
    discussing the charts that the City continues to rely on in arguing
    that no such relationship exists, the EAB first highlighted the
    explanation in the response to comments that "the SMAST data were
    not appropriate for the type of analysis (a stressor-response
    analysis) performed by the [C]ity, and that the SMAST data were
    generally insufficient to produce any statistically significant
    correlations."     The    EAB   also   credited    the   EPA's   additional
    observation in the response to comments that the City's selection
    of certain data to include in these charts "would be expected to
    produce   the   results   the   City   sought."      And    finally,   while
    reemphasizing that the EPA's "reasonable potential" determination
    did not rely on a stressor-response analysis of the SMAST data,
    the EAB underscored that the EPA's own analysis of that data
    "supported the conclusion that higher algal levels result in lower
    levels of dissolved oxygen."
    Having considered, and found unpersuasive, the City's
    various challenges, we hold that the EPA did not act arbitrarily
    or capriciously in determining that the Taunton Estuary and Mount
    Hope Bay were already nutrient impaired, such that further nitrogen
    -34-
    discharges would have at least a "reasonable potential" to give
    rise to violations of state water quality standards.
    2.
    The City's next objection concerns the EPA's methodology
    for determining a target nitrogen concentration that would ensure
    unimpaired conditions.
    The EPA, we recall, needed to include in the permit
    whatever water-quality-based limitations it found necessary to
    prevent violations of state water quality standards.                   See 33
    U.S.C.   §§    1311(b)(1)(C),     1341(a)(2);   40   C.F.R.   §§     122.4(d),
    122.44(d)(4).           Thus,     having    determined   that        "cultural
    eutrophication due to nitrogen overenrichment in the Taunton River
    Estuary and Mount Hope Bay" was already resulting in violations of
    the relevant Massachusetts and Rhode Island standards, the EPA
    then needed to determine the amount of nitrogen that those waters
    could permissibly contain without giving rise to any violations.
    To calculate that total nitrogen threshold, the EPA --
    employing what is known as a "reference-based" approach -- looked
    to one of the monitoring stations in the SMAST study, MHB16, that
    "consistently     met   dissolved    oxygen   standards."       As    the   EPA
    detailed in the response to comments, MHB16 was, among all of the
    unimpaired sites in the SMAST study, the site with the highest
    nitrogen concentration.         The nitrogen concentration at MHB16, 0.45
    -35-
    mg/l, also fell within the range that the Critical Indicators
    Report held out as consistent with unimpaired conditions (0.35-
    0.5 mg/l).    The EPA further explained in the fact sheet that this
    nitrogen     threshold     was    consistent      with    "total     nitrogen
    concentrations previously found to be protective of [acceptable
    dissolved    oxygen    levels]   in   other   southeastern      Massachusetts
    estuaries    [which]    have   ranged   between    0.35   and    0.55   mg/l."
    Mindful that all of the sites in the SMAST study with a nitrogen
    concentration above 0.45 mg/l suffered from nutrient impairment,
    the EPA explained in the response to comments that "there is simply
    no evidence that a higher target [total nitrogen] concentration
    would be sufficiently protective in the Taunton River Estuary."
    The EPA therefore selected 0.45 mg/l as the target nitrogen
    concentration that would serve as the basis for the effluent
    limitations the permit would impose on the Facility.
    The City protests that the EPA's reliance on MHB16 was
    "flawed," because MHB16 "could not be more dissimilar" from the
    Taunton Estuary.       In support of this, the City points to comments
    it submitted in response to the draft permit and fact sheet
    averring that, among other things, MHB16 is "located in a bay not
    a tidal river, 23 feet deeper than [the Taunton Estuary], subject
    to dramatically different hydrodynamics because it is located in
    a high velocity tidal strait, and subject to different organic
    -36-
    loadings and sediment oxygen demands."           According to the City, the
    "irrationality of using MHB16 is further underscored by the fact
    that the average chlorophyll-a concentrations at MHB16 (10.5 µg/L)
    were (1) essentially identical to the upper [Taunton Estuary], and
    (2) well above the suggested 'good health' 'thresholds' EPA claimed
    were necessary to ensure standards compliance."
    In the response to comments, however, the EPA explained
    that   the   City    had   "clearly    overstate[d]      its    case    with   the
    insistence that there is 'no objective resemblance between' Mount
    Hope Bay and the contiguous Taunton River Estuary."                The EPA then
    pointed out that, "[d]espite the hyperbole," those two bodies of
    water "are in fact a series of segments of the same estuarine
    system, characterized by different levels of mixing of the same
    two source waters, continual exchange of waters among estuarine
    segments,    the    same   sources    for    sediment,   the    same    climactic
    conditions, [and] minor differences in depth range."               The EPA also
    adds that the City has yet to explain how or why any of these
    purported     differences     are    relevant    to   the      target   nitrogen
    threshold that the EPA selected.
    The City's objection to the EPA's reliance on data from
    MHB16 cannot be squared with the principle that our review of
    agency action must afford deference to the scientific judgments of
    the agency that Congress has tasked with carrying out the context-
    -37-
    sensitive implementation of the CWA.         See Overton 
    Park, 401 U.S. at 416
    .      Ultimately, our recognition that "[w]here the agency
    follows the proper procedures and acts with a reasonable basis,
    both   its   choice   of   scientific     data    and   interpretation    and
    application of that data to real world conditions are entitled to
    deference,"     forecloses   the   City's        challenge   here.       Upper
    
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 26
    .        This is especially so when the City
    has not outlined with any specificity why the differences between
    MHB16 and the Taunton Estuary would make the EPA's reliance on
    that data indefensible.
    3.
    The City's final challenge is that the EPA erred in
    failing to take "existing conditions" in the Taunton Estuary into
    account in fashioning the permit's nitrogen limitation.
    Having determined that a total nitrogen threshold of
    0.45 mg/l was necessary to protect the Taunton Estuary from
    nutrient impairment, the EPA then calculated the maximum nitrogen
    load from the Taunton River watershed that the Estuary could
    receive without exceeding that threshold.           After using a model to
    calculate the amount of nitrogen that the Estuary would receive
    from ocean inflows, the EPA concluded that the watershed's various
    sources of nitrogen could discharge 2,081 lbs. per day of that
    nutrient before pushing the Estuary's nitrogen concentration past
    -38-
    the   0.45   mg/l   limit.    This   amounted   to   approximately     a   51%
    reduction in total nitrogen loads from 2004-05 levels.                The EPA
    then subtracted from that 2,081 lb. limit the amount of Nitrogen,
    1,142 lbs., it projected would flow from non-point sources.15              This
    resulted in a total maximum daily limit of 939 lbs. for the EPA to
    allocate among the Estuary's various point-source dischargers of
    nitrogen.
    The EPA first noted that allocating this maximum load
    "equitably" among the watershed's six non-minor point-sources of
    nitrogen would result in requiring each of those sources to limit
    their discharges to a nitrogen concentration between 3.4 and 3.5
    mg/l.16   But, the EPA then took into account that (1) "upgrades to
    meet the most stringent permit limits are more cost-effective at
    facilities with the highest flows and the highest proportion of
    the   load   delivered   to   the   estuary;   (2)   the   Facility   is   the
    15  To arrive at this number, the EPA started the average daily
    nitrogen load from non-point sources during 2004-05.         Then,
    "consistent with approaches in approved [total maximum daily
    limits] in Massachusetts and elsewhere," the EPA reduced that
    number by 20% to account for "the prevalence of regulated
    [municipal] stormwater discharges, trends in agricultural uses and
    population, and potential reductions in atmospheric deposition
    through air quality programs."
    16  The EPA did not take into account five point-sources that
    discharged less than one million gallons per day, explaining that
    they were "de minimis contributors for the purposes of this
    analysis."
    -39-
    watershed's    second-largest     discharger;      and     (3)   the    Facility
    "discharges directly to the upper portion of the Taunton River
    estuary, with no potential for uptake or attenuation of its
    nitrogen discharges."       The EPA therefore found it appropriate to
    assign the Facility -- which has a "design flow" of 8.4 million
    gallons per day -- a permit limit of 3.0 mg/l.              The EPA assigned
    the same limit on the Estuary's two other largest point-source
    dischargers, belonging to the towns of Brockton and Somerset.               The
    three remaining smaller facilities received a limit of 5.5 mg/l.
    The City presses that, in arriving at the final permit
    limit for the Facility, the EPA relied only on the SMAST data,
    which is from 2004-06, and as a result failed to take account of
    the   allegedly   substantial    improvements      in    terms   of    dissolved
    oxygen and algal conditions that have since taken place in the
    Taunton Estuary.       Those improvements, the City says, may even have
    obviated    the   need    for   any    nitrogen    limit    in   the    permit.
    Specifically, the City says that the EPA failed to acknowledge the
    following     recent     developments:       (1)   the   Taunton       Estuary's
    temperature has decreased as a result of the closure of the nearby
    Brayton Point power plant; (2) the "inputs of [total nitrogen]
    have declined" in Narragansett Bay, Mount Hope Bay, and the Taunton
    Estuary; (3) "organic loadings from [combined sewer overflows] to
    -40-
    the upper and lower [Taunton Estuary] have declined; and (4) "algal
    levels in [Mount Hope Bay] have declined."
    Insofar as the City challenges the facial validity of
    the   SMAST    data    due    to   the    time    that    had    elapsed    since   its
    collection, that argument is unavailing.                  Our standard of review,
    once more, does not deputize us to second-guess the EPA's choice
    of data, so long as the agency acts "with a reasonable basis" in
    selecting and applying it.            Upper 
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 26
    .             And
    here, as the EAB explained, the agency had good reason for relying
    on    the   SMAST   data,     which      drew    from    22   different     monitoring
    stations:     the     more   recent      studies    --    such    as   that    of   the
    Narragansett Bay Water Quality Network -- were "limited in terms
    of location and parameters monitored and thus were insufficient to
    form the basis for an alternative analysis of the Taunton Estuary."
    Moreover, the EPA did not ignore that recent data, but rather found
    that it was "consistent with [its] analysis of the SMAST data and
    indicated continued adverse water quality impacts."                        Further, we
    have recognized that "neither the CWA nor EPA regulations permit
    the EPA to delay issuance of a new permit indefinitely until better
    science can be developed, even where there is some uncertainty in
    the existing data."          
    Id. at 22;
    see also Massachusetts v. EPA, 
    549 U.S. 497
    , 534 (2007) (explaining that the EPA cannot avoid its
    statutory obligation to regulate greenhouse gases by "noting the
    -41-
    uncertainty surrounding various features of climate change" when
    "sufficient information exists to make an endangerment finding").
    Thus, we think that the EPA was well-entitled to use the SMAST
    data in the manner that it did here.
    Moreover, the agency's express consideration of the four
    different recent developments identified by the City reinforces
    our conclusion that the permit's nitrogen limit was not arbitrary
    or capricious.     With regard to the Brayton Point plant, the EPA
    resoundingly rejected the notion that the plant's closure should
    have impacted its analysis.            First, it explained that while
    operative, the plant's thermal discharges may have "contributed
    incrementally to dissolved oxygen depletion in Mount Hope Bay
    [but], . . . extensive modeling efforts . . . were unable to
    quantify the impact of those thermal discharges on [dissolved
    oxygen]   concentrations."       The    EPA   further   explained   in   the
    response to comments that the impact of the plant's thermal
    discharges was minimal in the Taunton River Estuary because of
    that portion of Mount Hope Bay's naturally elevated temperatures.
    And the EPA also noted that -- because thermal loads in the Mount
    Hope   Bay   had   been   "dramatically   reduced   since   2011,"   while
    dissolved oxygen depletions nonetheless persisted during that
    period -- the City's theory that the plant's closure had remedied
    -42-
    the Taunton Estuary's low dissolved oxygen levels was "unsupported
    by any evidence at all."
    Turning to the City's next argument -- that the EPA
    failed to consider new data indicating that total nitrogen inputs
    had declined -- we note that the EAB rejected the City's claim
    that the agency failed to consider "potential improvements."                    In
    so doing, the EAB emphasized that in the response to comments, the
    EPA explained that "while some nitrogen reductions have occurred
    in   connection    with     improved     treatment       at    other   wastewater
    treatment   plants     in   Massachusetts,       these    reductions     are    not
    predicted   to    be   sufficient      to     achieve    the    target   nitrogen
    concentration or water quality standards."
    The EPA also took up the City's submission concerning
    reduced combined sewer overflows in the response to comments, but
    concluded that those reductions "while important in addressing
    other pressing water quality problems, are not expected to have a
    significant impact on [dissolved oxygen] conditions in the upper
    Taunton   River   estuary."      The     EPA    also     explained     that   those
    reductions came nearly entirely from combined sewer overflows
    "located more than 6 miles downstream of the station used as the
    locus for the loading analysis and discharge only during wet
    weather, when flows from the Taunton River are at their highest
    -43-
    and . . . move most strongly away from the estuary." Thus, the EPA
    was similarly unmoved by this objection from the City.
    Finally, while the City maintains that the EPA has
    conceded that algal conditions have improved, the EPA's engagement
    with that argument in the response to comments proves otherwise.
    There, it explained that it disagreed with the City's comment
    asserting that "[a]lgal levels in Mount Hope Bay have dropped
    significantly since 2004/05" and that "[p]eak and average algal
    levels are at all-time lows."      That comment, the EPA tells us,
    attempted to draw "conclusions from a single year of variation[,]
    2010, while 2009 was the highest year on record for average
    chlorophyll-a   concentrations."       And,   the   EPA   added,   the
    chlorophyll-a concentrations recorded in 2010, "while lower than
    those seen in 2004-05, are still significantly higher than the
    levels identified in the Critical Indicators Report as reflecting
    unimpaired conditions in SB waters."    We, therefore, do not think
    that the EPA's permitting decision suffers from any failure to
    engage with this submission either.      The City, therefore, fails
    to convince us that the EPA impermissibly relied on the SMAST data
    or neglected to consider developments that post-dated that data.
    We now turn to its final contention: that, in allocating
    the total daily maximum nitrogen load of 939 lbs. among point-
    sources of nitrogen, the EPA ignored the "impact of the largest
    -44-
    (by far) discharger in the system" -- the City of Fall River.      The
    EPA urges us to find this argument waived, the City having raised
    it only after briefing before the EAB was complete, by way of an
    untimely submission.    But even were we to consider this argument
    on the merits, the outcome would be no better for the City.       For,
    the EPA calculated the Permit's nitrogen limit based on standards
    governing and conditions in the Taunton River Estuary, while Fall
    River discharges only into the greater Mount Hope Bay.        And, far
    from ignoring Fall River's impact on conditions in Mount Hope Bay,
    the EPA explained as early as in the fact sheet that "[w]hile other
    loads to Mount Hope Bay (particularly the Fall River [wastewater
    treatment plant]) will need to be addressed as well, the reduction
    in nitrogen loadings from the Taunton River will ensure that those
    discharges   do   not   cause   or   contribute   to   nitrogen-related
    impairments in Mount Hope Bay.
    Having considered all of the City's protestations to the
    contrary, we find that in calculating the Permit's effluent limit,
    the EPA neither relied on impermissible factors nor failed to
    consider a crucial aspect of the problem, and that its explanation
    for that limit neither flaunted the evidence in the record nor is
    "so implausible that it could not be ascribed to a difference in
    view or the product of agency expertise." Motor Vehicle Mfrs.
    
    Ass'n, 463 U.S. at 43
    .     As the EPA's detailed explanation of how
    -45-
    it calculated the permit's nitrogen limit of 3.0 mg/l reveals,
    that limit falls within the "zone of reasonableness," and so we do
    not see fit to second-guess it.   See Upper 
    Blackstone, 690 F.3d at 28
    ; see also Solite Corp. v. EPA, 
    952 F.2d 473
    , 488 (D.C. Cir.
    1991).   As a result, we leave undisturbed this well-reasoned
    exercise of the EPA's delegated authority to administer the CWA.
    III.
    None of the City's procedural or substantive challenges
    having merit, the decision of the EAB is affirmed.
    -46-
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 16-2280P

Citation Numbers: 895 F.3d 120

Filed Date: 7/9/2018

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

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