Winfield v. O'Brien , 775 F.3d 1 ( 2014 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 13-2438
    KEITH WINFIELD,
    Petitioner, Appellant,
    v.
    STEVEN J. O'BRIEN,
    Respondent, Appellee.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. F. Dennis Saylor IV, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Howard and Kayatta, Circuit Judges,
    and McCafferty,* District Judge.
    Robert L. Sheketoff for appellant.
    Kris C. Foster, Assistant Attorney General, Massachusetts,
    with whom Martha Coakley, Attorney General, Massachusetts, was on
    brief, for appellee.
    December 18, 2014
    *
    Of the District of New Hampshire, sitting by designation.
    KAYATTA, Circuit Judge. This appeal illustrates both the
    considerable responsibility granted to a jury, and the restricted
    scope of federal court review of state court convictions.                        A
    heinous   crime     most     certainly     occurred.   Less    certain    is   the
    perpetrator's identity. No confession, eye-witness testimony, DNA,
    or similar evidence pointed the finger confidently at any one
    person.     Rather, the direct evidence simply narrowed the list of
    suspects.    A properly instructed Massachusetts Superior Court jury
    then   found   that    the     circumstantial     evidence     proved   beyond   a
    reasonable     doubt    that    one   of   the    suspects,    Keith    Winfield,
    committed the crimes.          Now serving a life sentence for assaulting
    and raping a two-year-old child, Winfield filed this petition for
    a writ of habeas corpus under 28 U.S.C. § 2254, seeking to
    invalidate his conviction on two grounds.
    First, he claims that the evidence against him was so
    insufficient that no reasonable jurist could have concluded that a
    rational jury could have found him guilty beyond a reasonable
    doubt.    Second, he claims that the state trial court's refusal to
    permit him to cross-examine the victim's mother about her potential
    bias arising from pending criminal charges against her constituted
    an   unreasonable      application    of    the   clearly     established   Sixth
    Amendment confrontation right. The district court, concluding that
    the state courts' rejection of Winfield's claims did not constitute
    -2-
    an unreasonable application of federal law, denied the petition.
    We now affirm.
    I.   Background
    A.   Factual Summary
    The charges on which Winfield was convicted stemmed from
    the vaginal and anal rape of his two-year-old niece with a curling
    iron on October 13, 2005.          We recount the evidence presented
    against Winfield largely as it was described in the opinion of the
    Massachusetts Appeals Court, supplementing that description, where
    appropriate, with other record facts consistent with the state
    court's findings.     See, e.g., Lynch v. Ficco, 
    438 F.3d 35
    , 39 (1st
    Cir. 2006).
    The victim, who was the daughter of Winfield's wife's
    sister, was born in 2003, and lived with her mother and maternal
    grandparents in Tewksbury, Massachusetts.            In September 2005, the
    victim's mother, who was seeking employment, began leaving her
    daughter with Winfield's wife, Patricia, on those days when she was
    out looking for a job.       Winfield and Patricia themselves had two
    daughters; at the time, one was four years old, and the other was
    eight months old.      Winfield, Patricia, and their two daughters
    lived   on   the   first   floor   of    a    two-family   home   in   Melrose,
    Massachusetts.
    On October 10, 2005, the victim's mother began a job as
    a radiology assistant in Burlington, Massachusetts.               She arranged
    -3-
    to have Patricia provide regular daycare for the two-year-old
    victim beginning on October 11, 2005,1 for approximately $150 per
    week.       The victim's mother and Patricia arranged that the victim's
    mother would drop off the victim at Winfield's home on her way to
    work in the morning, and the victim's grandmother--the mother of
    both the victim's mother and Patricia--would pick up the victim at
    3:00 p.m.
    On   Tuesday,   October    11,   2005,   the   victim's   mother
    returned home from work, and, upon changing her daughter's diapers,
    found bruises on her daughter's arms and legs.                She nevertheless
    returned the victim to Patricia and Winfield's home the next day.
    That day, after work, she noticed additional bruising on her
    daughter's face, arms, and abdomen.             The victim's mother called
    Patricia to inquire about the bruises, but both Patricia and
    Winfield, who was on leave from his job and would later report that
    he was home on that day, denied knowledge of them.
    At the end of the following day, Wednesday, October 12,
    2005, the victim's mother noticed more bruises on the victim's arms
    and stomach.        The only evidence of who was with the victim that day
    (other than her mother) was contained in Winfield's statement to
    police detectives on November 7, 2005. In that statement, Winfield
    reported that he did not assist his wife in taking care of the
    1
    On October 10, the victim's maternal grandmother babysat
    her.
    -4-
    victim     that   day.      Rather,     he    slept    late,    then    left    for
    approximately four hours, returning just as the grandmother arrived
    to pick up the victim.
    On   the    morning   of   Thursday,     October   13,     2005,   the
    victim's mother changed the victim's diaper before driving to
    Patricia's to drop the victim off.             The victim's mother noticed
    nothing of concern in the victim's genital or anal area. She again
    dropped off the victim at the Winfield home, and went to work.
    Winfield was asleep when the victim was dropped off, but awoke
    between 10:30 to 11 a.m.          Winfield's father and brother, who lived
    in the upstairs unit, were not home that day.
    The victim's mother testified that over the course of
    that day, she called Winfield's home from work at least three-to-
    four times.       The first call, which went unanswered, was at 12:40
    p.m.       She called a second time, at 12:55 p.m., and Winfield
    answered.      When the victim's mother asked where Patricia was,
    Winfield informed her that Patricia had gone to get coffee and
    would be home soon.          When the victim's mother asked where her
    daughter was, Winfield replied that she was in front of him playing
    with his younger daughter and a toy.           The victim's mother asked to
    speak to her daughter, and Winfield stated that he was putting her
    on   the    telephone.      The    victim's   mother    then    spoke    into   the
    telephone to her daughter for "about twenty minutes," but her
    -5-
    daughter was not responsive.        The mother's testimony at trial
    suggested that this was unusual.
    The victim's mother called a third time, immediately
    after hanging up, but the line was busy.    The final call took place
    at 1:17 p.m., and Winfield answered the telephone.          When the
    victim's mother asked Winfield if her daughter was okay, the
    defendant replied that she was fine and "was just sitting and
    playing."
    When the grandmother arrived at Winfield's home to pick
    up the victim that afternoon, Winfield and Patricia were both at
    home, and the victim was sleeping. After a few minutes, the victim
    awoke and ran to her grandmother, crying.    As they went to the car,
    the grandmother tried to get the victim to walk, but she refused,
    and continued to cry.      As an explanation, Winfield offered only
    "maybe her legs are still asleep." The victim continued to cry all
    the way to Tewksbury.        Once inside the Tewksbury house, the
    grandmother changed the victim's diaper, and noticed that her
    vaginal area was red and puffy.2
    That evening, the victim's mother changed the victim's
    diaper at 8:00 p.m., and the victim cried and appeared to be in
    pain.       The victim's vaginal and anal areas were very red.   The
    2
    Crediting the grandmother's testimony limits the window
    during which the crime could have been perpetrated to the time
    between the victim being dropped off at the Winfield home and the
    time the grandmother picked her up. Winfield does not argue that
    the grandmother's testimony should not be credited.
    -6-
    victim continued to cry, but eventually fell asleep, around 9:00
    p.m.   Around 11:00 p.m., the victim woke up and said she needed a
    diaper change.    The mother again changed the victim's diaper, this
    time noticing that the victim's genital and anal areas were
    bleeding, and that the skin in those areas was blistering.            The
    victim cried during the change, but soon fell back asleep.
    The next morning, the mother took the victim to a medical
    office in Somerville, Massachusetts, where Dr. Carole Allen, the
    director of pediatrics, examined the victim.       The victim's vaginal
    area was blistered, her anal area was red, and she appeared to be
    in   pain.     After   consulting   with   the   victim's   primary   care
    physician, Dr. Allen formed the opinion that the victim had been
    raped.
    At Dr. Allen's suggestion, the mother took the victim to
    Children's Hospital, where the victim was seen at approximately
    10:30 p.m. by a team of physicians that included Dr. Alice Newton,
    the medical director of the child protection team at Children's
    Hospital.     The team examined and photographed the victim, and
    determined that there were second- and third-degree burns on the
    victim's genitals and anus.         The victim's labia majora and the
    structure inside it were red and blistered.        Also red, blistered,
    and peeling was a four- to five-centimeter area around the victim's
    anus. Internal examination revealed that the burns extended almost
    an inch inside the victim's anus, and that there were three tears
    -7-
    from stretching of the anal tissue.      The doctors concluded that
    these    injuries   indicated   impalement   by    a   hot,   cylindrical
    instrument.    In addition, they observed bruises on the victim's
    left jaw, her forehead, her cheek, her chest, and her right nipple.
    Dr. Newton opined at trial that the vaginal and anal burns were
    intentionally inflicted, with a cylindrical instrument such as a
    curling iron, between twenty-four and thirty-six hours before she
    examined the victim at approximately midnight on October 14--i.e.,
    between noon and midnight on Thursday, October 13, the last day the
    child was at Winfield's home.
    A CAT scan of the victim, taken on October 15, 2005, at
    1:00 p.m., revealed that the victim also had a large skull fracture
    on the rear left side of her head, with internal bleeding near her
    brain.    Newton opined that the cause of such an injury must have
    been a traumatic event, but that she could not say whether the
    injury was accidental or purposefully inflicted.         She opined that
    the injury was sustained within three days of the CAT scan.
    A skeletal survey also conducted on the 15th revealed a
    healing fracture of the radius in the victim's left wrist.           Dr.
    Newton opined that the injury could have been accidental or
    inflicted, but would have generated pain.         Newton observed, based
    on the healing of the injury, that the wrist fracture was at least
    seven days, and not more than a month, old.             The survey also
    -8-
    revealed healing fractures in the fourth and fifth ribs.           Newton
    opined that these injuries raised the concern of inflicted injury.
    On the evening of October 14, 2005, an emergency response
    worker from the Department of Children and Families and a Melrose
    police detective went to Winfield's home to check on his children.
    Winfield was at work, but he met the following day at his home with
    the emergency response worker and Melrose police detective Mark
    Antonangeli.     Accompanied by Patricia, Winfield stated that he was
    home   October    11th   through   13th,   2005,   while   his   wife   was
    babysitting the victim, and that he and his wife were the only
    caretakers of the victim during the time she was at their house on
    those days.    He further stated that he changed the victim's diaper
    once, on Thursday, October 13, and that as he changed the diaper,
    he noticed that the victim's vaginal area was swollen, and he
    called his wife to look at it.        He said that they had concluded
    that the victim had a bad diaper rash.      He also stated that at some
    point that day he heard the victim crying; he then discovered her
    on the floor and assumed that she fell off the bed.         When Patricia
    said she had gone out with their four-year-old daughter for forty-
    five minutes to one hour, the petitioner agreed.
    On November 7, 2005, Winfield, accompanied by counsel,
    waived his Miranda rights and was interviewed by police at the
    -9-
    station.3      A redacted version of his statement was played for the
    jury.       During his statement, he said that on October      13, 2005, he
    was at home, there were no visitors at the home, his father and
    brother were at work, and he was alone with the victim and his
    eight-month-old daughter for between forty-five minutes and one
    hour during the middle of the day.         He further stated that when the
    victim's mother called midday on October 13, and he gave the phone
    to the victim, she responded on the phone verbally, saying "Momma,
    Momma," and other words he could not recall.            He added that he did
    not get along well with the victim's mother, and that he had not
    been in favor of taking on another child.
    B.   Procedural History
    In August 2006, a Middlesex County grand jury indicted
    Winfield on two counts of Rape of Child, see MASS. GEN. LAWS ch. 265,
    § 22A, Indecent Assault and Battery on Child Under the Age of
    Fourteen, see 
    id. § 13B,
    and Assault and Battery by Means of a
    Dangerous       Weapon   Causing   Serious     Bodily    Injury,   see   
    id. § 15A(c)(I).
          At trial, he timely moved for a required finding of
    not guilty.       The judge denied his motion.      On the second day of
    deliberations, the jury returned guilty verdicts on all charges.
    Winfield received concurrent life sentences on both rape charges,
    3
    Winfield's wife, Patricia, had spoken with police at the
    station on October 29. She was accompanied by the same attorney
    who would accompany Winfield on November 7.
    -10-
    and concurrent nine-to-ten year sentences on the remaining two
    convictions.
    Winfield timely appealed to the Massachusetts Appeals
    Court, arguing, inter alia, that the trial court erred by denying
    his motion for a required finding of not guilty at the close of the
    Commonwealth's case, and by refusing to allow him to impeach the
    victim's   mother   for   bias    stemming   from   her   pending   criminal
    charges.    After briefing and oral argument, the Appeals Court
    affirmed his convictions.        See Commonwealth v. Winfield, 76 Mass.
    App. Ct. 716 (2010).        In rejecting his sufficiency claim, it
    reasoned as follows:
    The main evidence presented against the defendant
    was the medical evidence and the defendant's recorded
    police interview. From the medical evidence, the jury
    could have concluded that the burns and skull fracture of
    the victim were inflicted shortly after midday on
    October 13, 2005, and that the victim would have cried
    aloud as she suffered the injuries. The jury could also
    infer that, because the victim would have cried aloud,
    the injuries were inflicted at a time when no one was
    around to hear the victim's cries. Moreover, from the
    defendant's prior recorded statements to the police, the
    jury were aware that, on the day the injuries were
    inflicted, the defendant was at home during midday with
    only the victim and his eight month old daughter.
    Therefore, the defendant was the only adult who had
    access to the victim during the time span in which the
    injuries occurred.
    In addition to having access to the victim, the
    defendant had the means to commit the crimes. In the
    bathroom of the defendant's home was a small curling
    iron.     After viewing photographs of the victim's
    injuries, the jury could find that the pattern of the
    burns to the victim's anus were consistent with having
    been inflicted by a hot instrument the same shape and
    size of a small curling iron.
    -11-
    Finally, the jury could consider the fact that the
    defendant, and not his wife, had expressed displeasure
    over the presence of the victim in his home.      In his
    recorded interview, the defendant stated that he never
    wanted his wife to care for the victim.      While such
    evidence is insufficient to establish motive, the jury
    could infer the defendant's hostility toward the victim,
    which is relevant to motive. There was no evidence that
    such hostility was shared by his wife.
    . . .
    In sum, the judge correctly ruled that the evidence,
    viewed in the light most favorable to the Commonwealth,
    permitted a rational trier of fact to find the defendant
    guilty of the indictments.
    
    Id. at 722-23
    (footnotes omitted).
    Winfield   sought    further      appellate   review   from   the
    Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court.          After his application was
    denied, see Commonwealth v. Winfield, 
    457 Mass. 1108
    (2010), he
    timely filed this petition for a writ of habeas corpus in the
    United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts.
    The district court denied his petition, but issued a Certificate of
    Appealability as to both issues.            Winfield appealed.    We have
    jurisdiction pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 2253(a).
    II.   Analysis
    A.   Sufficiency of the Evidence
    In seeking to set aside a verdict under the federal
    Constitution for lack of sufficient proof, Winfield needed to
    convince the Massachusetts courts that, "after viewing the evidence
    in the light most favorable to the prosecution, [no] rational trier
    of fact could have found the essential elements of the crime beyond
    -12-
    a reasonable doubt."             Jackson v. Virginia, 
    443 U.S. 307
    , 319
    (1979); Magraw v. Roden, 
    743 F.3d 1
    , 4 (1st Cir. 2014).                             This
    standard "exhibits great respect for the jury's verdict," 
    Magraw, 743 F.3d at 4
    , but nevertheless does not insulate such a verdict
    from       reversal    if     based   on    "evidentiary      interpretations        and
    illations       that     are     unreasonable,        insupportable,       or     overly
    speculative."         
    Id. (quoting United
    States v. Spinney, 
    65 F.3d 231
    ,
    234 (1st Cir. 1995)).
    With the Massachusetts courts having rejected Winfield's
    direct appeal by concluding that the jury verdict was based on
    sufficient evidence, this collateral attack seeking a writ of
    habeas corpus from a federal court provides Winfield with a second,
    more limited opportunity to set aside the jury's verdict.                             As
    constrained by the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act
    ("AEDPA")4, our collateral federal review is limited to determining
    whether       the     state     courts'      decision    finding     the        evidence
    constitutionally         sufficient        "was    contrary   to,   or   involved     an
    unreasonable application of clearly established federal law, as
    determined by the Supreme Court of the United States[.]" 28 U.S.C.
    § 2254(d)(1).         In other words, we do not ask, as we might on direct
    review of a conviction in federal court, whether the evidence was
    constitutionally sufficient.               We ask, instead, whether the state
    4
    See Pub. L. No. 104-132, § 104, 110 Stat. 1214, 1218-1219,
    codified at 28 U.S.C. § 2254.
    -13-
    courts' ruling that the evidence is constitutionally sufficient was
    itself "unreasonable."         Id.5       "Unreasonable" in this context means
    that the decision "evinces some increment of incorrectness beyond
    mere error." Leftwich v. Maloney, 
    532 F.3d 20
    , 23 (1st Cir. 2008);
    see generally Hurtado v. Tucker, 
    245 F.3d 7
    , 16 (1st Cir. 2001)
    ("Habeas review involves the layering of two standards. The habeas
    question    of    whether     the   state     court   decision    is   objectively
    unreasonable is layered on top of the underlying standard governing
    the constitutional right asserted.").               The resulting test raises a
    high bar, but it is nevertheless a bar that can be met.                        See
    O'Laughlin       v.    O'Brien,     
    568 F.3d 287
    ,   304   (1st   Cir.   2009)
    (acknowledging the "extremely high bar that must be overcome on
    habeas review to overturn a state court decision," but finding the
    bar met).
    Demonstrating a refined understanding of the limited
    scope of our review--a scope reflective not only of statutory
    requirements, but of our respect for the jury's role and our
    deference    to       the   state   courts'       consideration   of    Winfield's
    challenge--Winfield joins issue only on the narrow question of
    whether the evidence presented at trial was sufficient to permit a
    reasonable jurist to conclude that a rational jury could have found
    beyond a reasonable doubt that it was Winfield, rather than his
    5
    We answer this question de novo, without deference to the
    decision of the district court. Pena v. Dickhaut, 
    736 F.3d 600
    , 603
    (1st Cir. 2013).
    -14-
    wife   Patricia,   who    committed      the   crime.   And   even   without
    Winfield's well-advised implicit concession, the assumption we must
    make that the jury believed the testimony of the mother and
    grandmother, together with the expert evidence, does indeed mean
    that we need presume that either Winfield, his wife or both must
    have committed the charged crime. We therefore train our review on
    Winfield's key argument that "[w]hatever reason the prosecution had
    for blaming [the defendant] rather than his wife, assuming there
    was one, never made it into evidence before the jury."
    Notionally, Winfield is correct that evidence sufficient
    only   to   establish    with   nearly   equal   likelihood   that   A   or   B
    committed a crime cannot support a verdict against either.               "[I]f
    the evidence viewed in the light most favorable to the verdict
    gives equal or nearly equal circumstantial support to a theory of
    guilt and a theory of innocence of the crime charged, this court
    must reverse the conviction." 
    O'Laughlin, 568 F.3d at 301
    (quoting
    United States v. Flores-Rivera, 
    56 F.3d 319
    , 323 (1st Cir. 1995)).
    The rationale for this rule is simple: A criminal trial ought not
    be an arbitrary exercise, and "where an equal or nearly equal
    theory of guilt and a theory of innocence is supported by the
    evidence viewed in the light most favorable to the prosecution, a
    reasonable jury must necessarily entertain a reasonable doubt."
    
    Id. (emphasis omitted).
    -15-
    There   is   some    question     whether    this   rule   we   have
    recognized applies as a law "determined by the Supreme Court of the
    United States." 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1).             In other words, is it a
    simple rewording of the Jackson standard, or is it a circuit level
    added refinement? See Glebe v. Frost, 
    135 S. Ct. 429
    , 430 (2014);
    White v. Woodall, 
    134 S. Ct. 1697
    , 1702 (2014).             Jackson after all
    included the statement that "a federal habeas corpus court faced
    with   a   record   of   historical      facts   that   supports   conflicting
    inferences must presume--even if it does not affirmatively appear
    in the record--that the trier of fact resolved any such conflicts
    in favor of the prosecution, and must defer to that resolution."
    
    Jackson, 443 U.S. at 326
    .        Ultimately, we need not decide whether
    evidentiary equipoise precludes collateral reversal of a guilty
    verdict because, viewed reasonably as a rational jury may have
    viewed it, the evidence did not point with nearly equal force at
    both Winfield and his wife.        Most notably, only Winfield was left
    alone in the apartment with the two-year-old victim and the infant
    on October 13, 2005.            He therefore had a materially greater
    opportunity to commit the offense without detection.
    Winfield     does    offer    a   two-part    rejoinder    to   the
    observation that he had a materially greater opportunity to commit
    the crime.    He points first to his statement that he was asleep
    until 10:30 or 11:00 that morning.                He points second to the
    possibility that the perpetrator muffled the victim's cries while
    -16-
    assaulting the child, thus perhaps explaining some of the bruises.
    The Massachusetts courts were unconvinced that the countervailing
    force of this rejoinder was sufficient to restore equilibrium in
    the directional thrust of the circumstantial evidence.           Reason is
    not to the contrary.     The home was a single floor unit with two
    bedrooms, a living room, a kitchen, and a single bathroom.              Any
    opportunity to commit the crime without notice by Winfield, even if
    thought to be still sleeping, or by the four-year-old, could
    reasonably be viewed as markedly less than the opportunity to
    commit the crime undetected after both the other adult and the
    four-year-old left the apartment.          And the fact that the doctor's
    estimated range of the time of injury commenced at noon, after he
    awoke, tilted the evidence in the same direction.6         In a different
    but also probative manner, the conflicting testimony by the mother
    and Winfield regarding whether the child was responsive on the
    phone created further cause to call into question Winfield's
    version of events that day.
    There   is   also   the   evidence     that,   after   the   state
    intervened, Winfield reported that he had noticed a "bad diaper
    rash" on the day in question, and that the victim fell out of bed.
    Yet there is no evidence that he reported such facts on the day in
    6
    The mother's phone call did, we note, interrupt by 20
    minutes Winfield's 45-60 minute window alone with the victim. It
    still left a window of opportunity that was greater for him than
    for his wife.
    -17-
    question, even when the victim was crying and limp when the
    grandmother picked her up.
    We do observe that, if Winfield's statement to police--
    that he was out for four hours and did not watch the victim on
    Wednesday, October 12--were believed, it would follow that he had
    no time alone with the victim on Wednesday, while his wife did, and
    new bruises were detected at the end of that day.                 It is not
    unreasonable to think, though, that a rational jury could have
    discounted Winfield's version of events. And even if not, a jury
    was not compelled to find that the source of the bruises (a fall
    perhaps?) was identical to the source of the vaginal and anal
    injuries.     More generally, the logical choices here were not
    limited to either Winfield alone, or his wife alone.                  A third
    choice was both.    So the contention that logic pointed unerringly
    to Winfield's guilt or innocence in equipoise is not correct.
    Winfield   notes   that   his   wife    never   testified,    and
    therefore never denied the crime, while the jury heard Winfield's
    recorded statement in which he denied the crime.              The absence of
    the wife's appearance as a witness is puzzling.             Apparently both
    sides concluded that there was more to lose in calling her.            In any
    event, given the foregoing evidence pointing more towards Winfield,
    we cannot say that the absence of testimony by the wife rendered
    the evidence so clearly insufficient that a finding of guilt would
    represent   an   "increment    of   incorrectness    beyond    mere   error."
    -18-
    
    Leftwich, 532 F.3d at 23
    .     "The prosecution may prove its case by
    circumstantial evidence, and it need not exclude every reasonable
    hypothesis of innocence so long as the total evidence permits a
    conclusion of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt." United States v.
    Brown, 
    603 F.2d 1022
    , 1025 (1st Cir. 1979)(citations omitted); see
    also Stewart v. Coalter, 
    48 F.3d 610
    , 615-16 (1st Cir. 1995)
    ("Guilt beyond a reasonable doubt cannot be premised on pure
    conjecture.    But a conjecture consistent with the evidence becomes
    less and less a conjecture, and moves gradually toward proof, as
    alternative    innocent   explanations   are   discarded   or   made   less
    likely.").
    We need not consider whether the additional evidence on
    which the state courts relied--for example, Winfield's access to a
    curling iron (which would seem to have been equally available to
    his wife), or his rather innocuous statement that he did not want
    to have the victim at his home--were sufficiently illuminating to
    lend further legitimacy to the verdict.        "[D]etermining whether a
    state court's decision resulted from an unreasonable legal or
    factual conclusion does not require . . . an opinion from the state
    court explaining [its] reasoning."       Harrington v. Richter, 131 S.
    Ct. 770, 784 (2011). Nor need we ignore the difficulty of assuming
    that rational reasoning played any role in the decision to commit
    the crime (or in much of the behavior leading up to October 13).
    Certainly a rational jury could have acquitted Winfield.                The
    -19-
    question at this stage of review, though, is whether the state
    courts could reasonably conclude that, where Winfield's opportunity
    to commit the offense was materially, albeit marginally, greater
    than that of the only other possible perpetrator7, and where the
    expert evidence and the phone call cast heightened relevant focus
    on the time when he was alone with the child, a rational jury could
    conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that he was the perpetrator.
    For the foregoing reasons, we must answer "yes."
    B.     Scope of Cross-Examination
    Prior to trial, the state lodged a criminal complaint
    against the victim's mother, charging her with 25 counts of
    uttering a false prescription for a controlled substance. Winfield
    sought to cross-examine the victim's mother on that criminal
    complaint, so that he could raise an inference that her testimony
    was influenced by the government, which plainly had leverage over
    her.       And because her testimony was important in establishing the
    window within which the crime occurred, proof of any such bias
    infecting that testimony would have been quite helpful to the
    defense.       The trial court precluded Winfield from this line of
    examination, and the appeals court affirmed that ruling.
    Our review of Winfield's collateral challenge to that
    ruling is analogous to that review employed in our sufficiency
    7
    Assuming, as we must, that the jury believed the testimony
    of the victim's mother and grandmother.
    -20-
    analysis.    We employ the standard governing the constitutional
    right asserted (here the Sixth Amendment right of confrontation),
    but we do so only for the purpose of determining whether the state
    court decision rejecting Winfield's assertion of that right was
    contrary to, or an unreasonable application of, the law as clearly
    established by Supreme Court precedent.
    An "essential constitutional right for a fair trial," the
    right of cross examination is nevertheless "subject to 'reasonable
    limits' reflecting concerns such as prejudice, confusion or delay
    incident to 'marginally relevant' evidence." 
    White, 399 F.3d at 24
    (quoting Delaware v. Van Arsdell, 
    475 U.S. 673
    , 678-79 (1986)).    A
    challenge to an exclusion of evidence on cross examination based on
    those limits "is tenable only where the restriction is manifestly
    unreasonable or overbroad."     Ellsworth v. Warden, 
    333 F.3d 1
    , 7
    (1st Cir. 2003) (en banc).
    The problem for Winfield here is that the criminal
    charges against the victim's mother were lodged well over a year
    after the she gave her statements to police and child welfare
    officials, and long after her subsequent grand jury testimony. Her
    trial testimony, in turn, was entirely consistent in material
    respects with those prior statements and testimony. Therefore, the
    premise that the testimony was crafted in part as a result of the
    intervening criminal charges was not plausible. At most, one might
    -21-
    speculate that the charges reduced the likelihood that she would
    recant her earlier pronouncements.
    Winfield points to no case holding that the exclusion of
    evidence having such a logically attenuated ability to imply bias
    is unreasonable. He points instead to Davis v. Alaska, 
    415 U.S. 308
    (1974).      In Davis, though, the proffered evidence was that a
    crucial eye witness was on probation for burglary both at the time
    of his initial statement and at the time of trial.                In short, the
    fact proffered as a source of bias--the probation--was operative at
    all times when the inculpatory evidence helping the state was
    tendered.     
    Id. at 310-11.
    We observe, too, that precluding Winfield from cross-
    examining on these pending criminal charges, even if marginally
    probative of bias, was like denying someone a cap gun when he has
    a bazooka handy.      When a child is discovered to have numerous
    unexplained injuries that apparently went unaddressed for some
    time, the mother has ample motive to deflect the blame towards
    someone   else.     And   there    is   no   claim   that   the    trial   court
    restricted    Winfield    from    cross-examining     on    testimonial     bias
    arising from that motive.
    For these reasons, we cannot say that the state court's
    exclusion of evidence about the victim's mother's pending criminal
    charges was an unreasonable application of law clearly established
    by Supreme Court precedent.
    -22-
    III.   Conclusion
    We have reviewed the record in this troubling case.   Our
    authority in so doing is limited. We cannot ask whether we would
    have voted for conviction.   Nor can we even ask whether we would
    have sustained the conviction on direct review.   Instead, Congress
    has limited our collateral review to asking whether Massachusetts
    courts could have reasonably concluded that a rational jury could
    have found Winfield guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. Finding that
    they could have, we must affirm the district court's order denying
    Winfield's petition.   So ordered.
    -23-