United States v. Caramadre , 807 F.3d 359 ( 2015 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    Nos. 14-1019
    14-1196
    15-1125
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    JOSEPH CARAMADRE,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEALS FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF RHODE ISLAND
    [Hon. William E. Smith, U.S. District Judge]
    [Hon. Patricia A. Sullivan, U.S. Magistrate Judge]
    Before
    Howard, Chief Judge,
    Selya, Circuit Judge, and
    Laplante,* District Judge.
    Randy Olen, with whom Alan M. Dershowitz and Robert F. Weber
    were on brief, for appellant.
    Donald C. Lockhart, Assistant United States Attorney, with
    whom Peter F. Neronha, United States Attorney, was on brief, for
    appellee.
    December 7, 2015
    ______________
    * Of the District of New Hampshire, sitting by designation.
    SELYA, Circuit Judge.       A federal grand jury returned an
    indictment      charging    defendant-appellant         Joseph   Caramadre       with
    masterminding one of the most avaricious frauds in Rhode Island
    history.      Caramadre went to trial, but things did not go well for
    him and, after four days, he entered into a plea agreement with
    the government.      The district court accepted his changed plea.
    Some months later (but before sentencing), Caramadre
    experienced a change of heart.             Represented by new counsel, he
    sought   to     retract    his   guilty   plea.         Following   a    multi-day
    evidentiary      hearing,    the   district       court    denied   his    motion.
    Sentencing ensued.
    Caramadre's    appeals,     taken    collectively,        advance    an
    infinity   of    arguments,      characterized     by     clangorous     sound    and
    unrestrained fury.          But fiery rhetoric alone is not enough to
    breathe life into moribund arguments and, after close scrutiny, we
    conclude that Caramadre's appeals are without merit.                Accordingly,
    we affirm the judgment below.
    I.   BACKGROUND
    We sketch the origin and travel of the case, assuming
    the reader's familiarity with a number of other judicial opinions.
    See, e.g., W. Reserve Life Assur. Co. of Ohio v. ADM Assocs., LLC,
    
    737 F.3d 135
     (1st Cir. 2013); United States v. Caramadre, No. 11-
    186, 
    2014 WL 409336
     (D.R.I. Feb. 3, 2014); United States v.
    Caramadre, No. 11-186, 
    2013 WL 7138109
     (D.R.I. Nov. 26, 2013);
    - 2 -
    United States v. Caramadre, No. 11-186, 
    2013 WL 7138106
     (D.R.I.
    Nov. 6, 2013); United States v. Caramadre, 
    957 F. Supp. 2d 160
    (D.R.I. 2013); W. Reserve Life Assur. Co. of Ohio v. ADM Assocs.,
    LLC, 
    116 A.3d 794
     (R.I. 2015).
    Under the government's theory of the case, Caramadre —
    a   lawyer    and      accountant    —     and   his     codefendant,        Raymour
    Radhakrishnan, engaged for well over a decade in a scheme to
    defraud      various     financial       institutions.            Caramadre      and
    Radhakrishnan implemented the scheme by fraudulently obtaining the
    identifying information of terminally ill individuals through
    material misrepresentations and omissions.               They then invested in
    variable     annuities     and     corporate     bonds     with        death-benefit
    features, using the identities of these unwitting individuals as
    measuring lives.       When a terminally ill individual died, Caramadre
    and Radhakrishnan cashed in the annuities and bonds and captured
    the profits.1
    Based on the scope of the fraud alleged in the sixty-
    six-count     indictment     and     the    large      number     of     anticipated
    government witnesses, the trial was expected to last over three
    months. On November 19, 2012 — four days into the trial — Caramadre
    and Radhakrishnan entered into plea agreements and admitted their
    1 A good example of how the scheme worked is found in W.
    Reserve Life Assur. Co., 737 F.3d at 136-39.
    - 3 -
    guilt to two counts: one count of wire fraud and one count of
    conspiracy to commit wire fraud, mail fraud, and identity theft.
    The district court accepted their pleas, and the government later
    dismissed the remaining counts.2
    Nearly two months passed.                Caramadre's attorneys then
    moved to withdraw from their representation of him, and his new
    counsel informed the district court that Caramadre intended to
    seek leave to retract his guilty plea.                  Caramadre filed such a
    motion on February 28, 2013.              The government objected, and the
    district court held a protracted evidentiary hearing.                    The court
    denied the motion from the bench at the conclusion of the hearing
    and followed up with a fuller exposition in a written rescript
    issued on August 1, 2013.          See Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 186.
    On    December   16,    2013,      the    district   court   sentenced
    Caramadre    to   a   six-year     term   of    immurement.       The    court   had
    previously referred the question of restitution to a magistrate
    judge.      Prior to the imposition of the prison sentence, the
    magistrate judge conducted an evidentiary hearing and recommended
    restitution of approximately $46,000,000.                See Caramadre, 
    2013 WL 7138109
     at *2; Caramadre, 
    2013 WL 7138106
     at *19. Over Caramadre's
    2  Caramadre's plea agreement was entered into pursuant to
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(c)(1)(C) and required that the court agree to
    be bound by its stipulations (including a ten-year cap on any
    prison sentence). The district court acquiesced.
    - 4 -
    protest,   the    district    court    adopted     the    magistrate      judge's
    recommendation.    See Caramadre, 
    2014 WL 409336
    , at *1.
    Caramadre timely appealed and, on September 8, 2014, he
    tendered his opening brief to this court.              The brief referred to
    statements allegedly made by the district court at an unrecorded
    and untranscribed chambers conference held on January 15, 2013.
    Because those statements were not part of the record, we struck
    his brief and ordered him to refile it without reference to
    anything supposedly said at the conference.              Caramadre complied.
    But that was not the end of the matter: Caramadre moved
    in the district court for a statement of what had transpired at
    the January 15 conference.         See Fed. R. App. P. 10(c).          On January
    5, 2015, the district court rejected Caramadre's version of what
    had occurred and substituted its own recollection.                     See United
    States v. Caramadre, No. 11-186 (D.R.I. Jan. 5, 2015) (unpublished
    order).    Caramadre       again    appealed,    sparking    a   new    round   of
    appellate briefing.
    Caramadre's appeals raise a golconda of issues.                      We
    discuss here only those claims of error that possess a patina of
    plausibility.        The     rest     are     either     patently      meritless,
    insufficiently developed, or both.            Consequently, we reject them
    out of hand.
    - 5 -
    II.   PLEA-WITHDRAWAL MOTION
    Caramadre offers several arguments in support of his
    assertion that the district court erred in denying his motion to
    withdraw his guilty plea.       These include claims that the court
    employed the wrong legal standard in deciding the motion, that the
    court abused its discretion in balancing the relevant factors, and
    that the court "exhibited bias and prejudged the motion."     We find
    none of these claims persuasive.
    A.     Legal Standard.
    The logical starting point is Caramadre's claim that the
    district court used an "erroneous" legal standard when ruling on
    the motion to withdraw.      This claim presents a pure question of
    law and, thus, engenders de novo review.3        See United States v.
    Gates, 
    709 F.3d 58
    , 69 (1st Cir. 2013).
    It is common ground that a defendant has no absolute
    right to withdraw a guilty plea.          See United States v. Ramos-
    Mejía, 
    721 F.3d 12
    , 14 (1st Cir. 2013); Gates, 709 F.3d at 68.
    When a defendant moves to withdraw a guilty plea after the court
    has accepted it but before the court has sentenced him, he may do
    so only if he "can show a fair and just reason for requesting the
    withdrawal."   Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(d)(2)(B); see Gates, 709 F.3d at
    3 We bypass the government's assertion that this claim is
    procedurally defaulted and, therefore, subject to plain error
    review. Under any standard of review, the claim fails.
    - 6 -
    68; United States v. Marrero-Rivera, 
    124 F.3d 342
    , 347 (1st Cir.
    1997).   The burden rests with the defendant to make this showing.
    See Marrero-Rivera, 
    124 F.3d at 347
    .
    Critical to the plea-withdrawal inquiry is whether the
    original guilty plea was knowing, intelligent, and voluntary.                  See
    United States v. Aker, 
    181 F.3d 167
    , 170 (1st Cir. 1999) (citing
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 11).           Other factors, however, may weigh in the
    balance.    The court may consider, for example, "the plausibility
    and weight of the reason given for the withdrawal, the timing of
    the request, whether the defendant is now colorably asserting legal
    innocence, and whether the original plea was pursuant to a plea
    agreement."      
    Id.
        If these factors, taken together, tilt in favor
    of allowing withdrawal, the court must then weigh the prejudice
    that the government would suffer if the plea were to be vacated.
    See Gates, 709 F.3d at 69; United States v. Doyle, 
    981 F.2d 591
    ,
    594 (1st Cir. 1992).
    In    the    case   at    hand,   the   district   court     expressly
    acknowledged that the "fair and just reason" standard controlled
    its inquiry.      Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 166.            It proceeded to
    identify and evaluate all of the relevant factors.                      See id. at
    166, 181-86. Caramadre nonetheless persists in his claim of error,
    hanging his hopes on two sentences in the district court's lengthy
    rescript:   "As    the    above      discussion     makes   pellucid,    Caramadre
    entered into a knowing, intelligent, and voluntary plea, and thus
    - 7 -
    no just reason exists for allowing him to withdraw it.          Still, for
    completeness sake, the Court will briefly address the additional
    factors enumerated by the First Circuit."      Id. at 181.      Caramadre
    urges that these sentences demonstrate that the court conflated
    the "generous" fair and just reason for permitting withdrawal of
    a guilty plea with the "stricter" standard for holding a plea
    invalid.
    This is nonsense on steroids.      Rule 11 considerations
    are a paramount concern in a plea-withdrawal inquiry.           See United
    States v. Santiago Miranda, 
    654 F.3d 130
    , 136 (1st Cir. 2011);
    United States v. Richardson, 
    225 F.3d 46
    , 51 (1st Cir. 2000)
    (quoting United States v. Cotal-Crespo, 
    47 F.3d 1
    , 3 (1st Cir.
    1995)). Thus, the court below appropriately focused, at the outset
    of   its   inquiry,   on   whether   Caramadre's   plea   was     knowing,
    intelligent, and voluntary.
    Here, moreover, Caramadre's plea-withdrawal motion —
    which alleged that his plea had been involuntary and that he was
    not competent to have tendered it — invited this very focus.
    Caramadre cannot now fault the district court for accepting this
    invitation and beginning its analysis with the very factors that
    he himself had stressed.
    In any event, the district court did not simply examine
    Rule 11 considerations and stop there.      Although the court stated
    that it would address the other factors "briefly," Caramadre, 957
    - 8 -
    F. Supp. 2d at 181, this was nothing more than self-deprecating
    litotes.    What followed was a thorough analysis of the other
    factors.   See id. at 181-86.
    The short of it is that Caramadre's contention that the
    district court premised its decision entirely on the validity of
    his plea (and, thus, used an erroneous legal standard) turns a
    blind eye to a generous portion of the district court's reasoning.
    Reading the district court's rescript as a whole, Caramadre's claim
    is fanciful.   We summarily reject it.4
    B.   Abuse of Discretion.
    In the absence of legal error, we review decisions
    denying plea-withdrawal motions solely for abuse of discretion.
    See United States v. Merritt, 
    755 F.3d 6
    , 9 (1st Cir. 2014).
    Within this rubric, findings of fact are reviewed for clear error.
    See Gates, 709 F.3d at 69.      The defendant bears the devoir of
    persuasion.    See Merritt, 755 F.3d at 9.
    4 Caramadre places heavy reliance on Ninth Circuit precedent
    holding that "a defendant need not prove that his plea is invalid
    in order to meet his burden of establishing a fair and just reason
    for withdrawal." United States v. Ortega-Ascanio, 
    376 F.3d 879
    ,
    884 (9th Cir. 2004); accord United States v. Mayweather, 
    634 F.3d 498
    , 504 (9th Cir. 2010); United States v. Garcia, 
    401 F.3d 1008
    ,
    1012 (9th Cir. 2005). We do not think that these precedents are
    inconsistent with the legal standard articulated in our own cases
    and faithfully applied by the court below.      Even if the Ninth
    Circuit's standard differs from our own, any such divergence would
    not constitute a compelling reason for disturbing a district
    court's application of binding circuit precedent.
    - 9 -
    Caramadre's primary argument is that the district court
    abused its discretion in balancing the factors relevant to whether
    he should be allowed to withdraw his plea.                      In his view, the
    district court did not appreciate that a "perfect storm" of events
    "overbore his will and induced him to enter a guilty plea" that
    was involuntary.         This argument has several subsets, which we
    discuss below.
    1.     The Rule 11 Colloquy.         The most heated among these
    sub-arguments       is   Caramadre's     claim     that        the     change-of-plea
    colloquy was too scanty with respect to the district court's
    inquiry into his medications and history of depression.                       At the
    change-of-plea hearing, the district court asked Caramadre if he
    was being treated for mental illness.              He responded that he had
    been treated for depression "both lately and for the last 20
    years."     One of Caramadre's lawyers then proffered a list of
    Caramadre's current medications.             The court reviewed this list and
    asked Caramadre to confirm that he fully understood all the
    proceedings        and   that    his   medications      did      not     impede   his
    understanding.       Caramadre and his counsel confirmed both points.
    Before us, Caramadre complains that the court failed to
    probe     deeply     enough     into   the    effects     of     his     medications.
    Relatedly, he suggests that his counsel should not have vouched
    for his clarity of mind without consulting his physicians.
    - 10 -
    We start with first principles.             Where, as here, a
    defendant confirms during a change-of-plea colloquy that he is
    taking medication, the district court has a duty to inquire into
    the effects of the medication and the defendant's capacity to plead
    guilty.    See United States v. Savinon-Acosta, 
    232 F.3d 265
    , 268
    (1st Cir. 2000).        The dispositive feature of this inquiry is
    whether the medication is in fact causing such an impairment.            See
    
    id.
        A district court often may satisfy this basic obligation when
    it queries a defendant about whether the medication he is taking
    has impaired his ability to understand the proceedings. See United
    States v. Morrisette, 
    429 F.3d 318
    , 322 (1st Cir. 2005); Cody v.
    United States, 
    249 F.3d 47
    , 53 (1st Cir. 2001); see also United
    States v. Román-Orench, ___ F. App'x ___, ___ (1st Cir. 2015) [No.
    13-2082, slip op. at 4].         But context is crucial, and in some
    situations the court's obligation does not end there.             Thus, the
    "better practice" is for a district court "to identify which drugs
    a defendant is taking, how recently they have been taken and in
    what    quantity,    and   (so   far   as   possible)    the   purpose   and
    consequences."      Savinon-Acosta, 
    232 F.3d at 268
    .
    Here, the district court inquired into what medications
    Caramadre was taking and Caramadre's ability to understand the
    proceedings.    The court also elicited from Caramadre an assurance
    that his medications were not preventing him from participating
    fully in the change-of-plea colloquy.         In addition, the court had
    - 11 -
    some other assurances.             For one thing, Caramadre's behavior during
    the change-of-plea colloquy corroborated his statements to the
    court.       For another thing, Caramadre's lawyer vouched for his
    client's ability to understand the proceedings.                    A district court
    may reasonably rely on the assurances of the defendant and his
    counsel to help to ascertain the defendant's mental clarity.5                      See
    
    id. at 269
    .         Finally, the court's duty to delve into the specifics
    of a defendant's medications is relaxed to some degree where, as
    here,       there    are   no   "other    identifiable       red    flags   in   [the
    defendant's] performance at the hearing." United States v. Kenney,
    
    756 F.3d 36
    , 47 (1st Cir.), cert. denied, 
    135 S. Ct. 770
     (2014).
    To    be    sure,    Caramadre     had   an   impressive     list   of
    medications, along with a history of depression and anxiety. Given
    these facts, we think that the district court's handling of this
    issue was marginal at best.             A deeper dive into the effects of the
    5
    We do not accept Caramadre's suggestion that a lawyer must
    consult with his client's mental health providers before making
    such a representation to the court.       Caramadre can cite no
    authority for such a proposition because none exists. This is not
    surprising: a lawyer works closely with a criminal defendant and
    is typically in a good position to make an informed lay judgment
    about whether the defendant understands the proceedings and
    appreciates their import.    See United States v. Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d 1535
    , 1542 & n.5 (1st Cir. 1989); see also Miranda-González
    v. United States, 
    181 F.3d 164
    , 167 (1st Cir. 1999) (noting that
    district court "took great pains to ensure fairness" in asking
    both the prosecutor and defense counsel about the defendant's
    ability to enter a guilty plea "in light of the disclosures
    concerning his medication and recent psychiatric history").
    - 12 -
    medications and Caramadre's psychiatric history may well have been
    warranted.   But    our   standard   of   review   is    deferential,    see
    Morrisette, 
    429 F.3d at 322
    , and in all events, two other sets of
    considerations impel us to find that any error was harmless.
    First, Caramadre has never made an explicit claim that
    either his medication regime or his history of depression and
    anxiety actually impaired his ability to understand the change-
    of-plea colloquy. Though he vigorously assails the manner in which
    the district court conducted that colloquy, his assignments of
    procedural error are untethered to any actual consequences.               As
    such, they cannot ground his claim that the district court abused
    its discretion in denying his plea-withdrawal motion. See Savinon-
    Acosta, 
    232 F.3d at 268
     (explaining that "merely technical failures
    to comply with Rule 11 are often found harmless"); United States
    v. Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d 1535
    , 1542 (1st Cir. 1989) (explaining that
    "[t]here must be some evidence that the medication affected [the
    defendant's] rationality").
    Second,   the    lengthy   evidentiary        hearing   that   the
    district court conducted on Caramadre's plea-withdrawal motion
    yielded fully supportable findings that refuted his claim that
    either his medications or his mental health history tainted his
    plea.   As discussed in greater detail infra, the doctors who
    submitted affidavits regarding Caramadre's mental state in the
    period leading up to his guilty plea failed to cast any plausible
    - 13 -
    doubt    on    his       rationality.       Furthermore,        Caramadre's       former
    attorneys testified extensively about his overall lucidity and
    clarity of mind.
    That completes this phase of our inquiry.                 Viewing the
    record as a whole, we can discern no reversible error in the
    district court's Rule 11 colloquy.
    2.   Caramadre's Stated Reasons.            Caramadre next advances
    a slew of arguments underpinning his claim that the district court
    improvidently rejected his stated reasons for seeking to withdraw
    his    plea.        We   briefly     address     the   least   frivolous     of   these
    arguments — that he was not competent at the time of the plea
    hearing, that his counsel provided ineffective assistance, and
    that he believed that he would be dissembling if he entered a
    guilty plea — and otherwise rely on the district court's cogent
    analysis.      See Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 181-86.
    Caramadre argues that his mental state was too fragile
    to permit him to enter a valid plea. He attributes his instability
    both to his depressed mental state and to his wife's emotional
    breakdown      on     the   second    day   of    trial.       He   claims   that    the
    confluence of these conditions catapulted him into a "downward
    spiral," rendering him incompetent to enter a guilty plea.
    To succeed on such a claim, Caramadre must show more
    than    a      mere       "sensitiv[ity]         to    external     considerations."
    Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d at 1541
    .                   Rather, he must show that his
    - 14 -
    decision to change his plea occurred under so much duress that it
    could no longer be considered a product of free will.            See 
    id.
    In an attempt to carry this burden, Caramadre submitted
    affidavits from two of his doctors, an affidavit from his wife's
    doctor, and an affidavit from a psychiatric consultant.                    The
    district court reviewed these submissions and found them wanting.
    See   Caramadre,   957   F.   Supp.   2d   at   169-71.      After    careful
    consideration, we conclude that this finding was well within the
    encincture of the court's discretion.
    The affidavits of Caramadre's doctors were of little
    force.   While they purported to describe his mental state during
    the four days of trial, neither doctor had evaluated Caramadre (or
    even spoken to him) during that period.           By the same token, the
    doctor who cared for Mrs. Caramadre ventured no opinion regarding
    Caramadre's mental health.
    The affidavit of Caramadre's retained expert was more to
    the point: that physician stated that it was "reasonable to
    conclude" that Caramadre was not competent to plead.                 But even
    this witness did not opine that Caramadre in fact lacked the
    capacity to plead.
    We think it is significant that the district court, in
    refusing to find Caramadre incompetent to plead based on these
    four affidavits, did not view them in a vacuum.                  The court
    appropriately      considered,    for      example,       Caramadre's      own
    - 15 -
    participation in negotiating the terms of the plea agreement, see
    United States v. Ramos, 
    810 F.2d 308
    , 313 (1st Cir. 1987); the
    conclusions of Caramadre's principal lawyer about his client's
    mental clarity, see Savinon-Acosta, 
    232 F.3d at 269
    ; and the
    court's own observations of Caramadre over a prolonged period, see
    United States v. Buckley, 
    847 F.2d 991
    , 998-1000 (1st Cir. 1988);
    see also Román-Orench, ___ F. App'x at ___ [slip op. at 5].
    Balancing the tepid evidence contained in the affidavits
    against the court's first-hand knowledge of what had transpired,
    we   descry    no   abuse   of   discretion   in   its   determination   that
    Caramadre's assertion of incompetence was not a fair and just
    reason for withdrawing his plea.              When all is said and done,
    Caramadre is simply complaining that the district court weighed
    his proffered evidence less heavily than he would have liked. That
    is not enough: a district court does not abuse its discretion when
    it evaluates a body of evidence, chooses between two inferences
    which, though conflicting, are both rational, and offers plausible
    reasons for its choice.          See Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d at 1538
    .
    The case law supplies a final check.         When the results
    of the evidentiary hearing are considered, Caramadre's case is not
    materially different from the mine-run of analogous cases.               See,
    e.g., Santiago Miranda, 
    654 F.3d at 137-39
     (upholding plea where
    defendant argued involuntariness based on prescription drug abuse,
    lack of sleep, and familial pressure); United States v. Sousa, 468
    - 16 -
    F.3d 42, 46 (1st Cir. 2006) (upholding plea despite defendant's
    argument that "distressing news" about wife's terminal illness
    impaired    his   capacity      to   plead);    Aker,    
    181 F.3d at 170-71
    (upholding plea notwithstanding defendant's claim of depression
    over wife's death and inability to sleep); Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d at 1541-42
        (upholding    plea    where   defendant      claimed      "an   agitated
    emotional    state"     along    with    abuse    of     anti-anxiety        drugs).
    Normally, such situations are fact-specific and, thus, are apt to
    be grist for the district court's mill.            See Merritt, 755 F.3d at
    9 (noting that "a district court's close relationship to the plea
    process affords it a superior coign of vantage"); Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d at 1538
     (noting that, when "[c]onfronted with an attempt at
    plea   retraction,      the   trial     judge    must    make   an     idiocratic,
    particularistic, factbound assessment").                Based on the teachings
    of the case law, we will not second-guess the trier's informed
    determination of the voluntariness of the defendant's plea without
    good reason.      See United States v. Austin, 
    948 F.2d 783
    , 786 (1st
    Cir. 1991).       In this instance, we discern no good reason: the
    district court reviewed all of the evidence and supportably found
    that neither Caramadre's history of depression and anxiety nor his
    wife's breakdown comprised a fair and just reason allowing him to
    retract his plea.        See Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 168-74.
    Caramadre has offered nothing that would give us a principled basis
    to second-guess this finding.
    - 17 -
    3.   Ineffective Assistance of Counsel.        Caramadre goes
    on to contend that he should have been allowed to withdraw his
    guilty plea because his first set of attorneys provided ineffective
    assistance to him.   Once he perceived his attorneys' ineptitude at
    trial, his thesis runs, he "sudden[ly]" came to the realization
    that he had no choice but to plead guilty and throw himself upon
    the mercy of the court.    This contention is hopeless.
    The court below accurately rehearsed the standard for
    assessing an ineffective assistance of counsel claim in the context
    of a plea-withdrawal motion.     See Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at
    174-75.   In fine, the challenger must demonstrate that counsel's
    performance fell below an objective threshold of reasonable care
    and that this deficient performance prejudiced him.       See Turner v.
    United States, 
    699 F.3d 578
    , 584 (1st Cir. 2012); see generally
    Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 687 (1984).        In the plea-
    withdrawal context, the prejudice element requires a showing of "a
    reasonable probability that, but for counsel's errors, he would
    not have pleaded guilty and would have insisted on going to trial."
    Moreno-Espada v. United States, 
    666 F.3d 60
    , 64 (1st Cir. 2012)
    (quoting United States v. Colón-Torres, 
    382 F.3d 76
    , 86 (1st Cir.
    2004)); see United States v. Isom, 
    85 F.3d 831
    , 837 (1st Cir.
    1996).
    Although the district court correctly explained that
    "[c]ounsel's   alleged   ineffectiveness   is   only   relevant   to   the
    - 18 -
    extent    it   affected        Caramadre's       decision     to        plead   guilty,"
    Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 174 n.9, its analysis focused on the
    trial performance of Caramadre's lawyers (specifically, their
    purported failure to investigate witnesses and cross-examine them
    adequately).        This focus was misplaced: when a defendant pleads
    guilty and later tries to withdraw his plea, the ineffective
    assistance     of    counsel     inquiry     must     focus        on     his   lawyer's
    preparation, advice, and overall performance in counseling the
    defendant about whether to plead guilty.                See Austin, 
    948 F.2d at 786-87
    ; United States v. DeSimone, 
    736 F. Supp. 2d 477
    , 486 (D.R.I.
    2010).
    This is not to suggest that trial performance is wholly
    irrelevant to the ineffective assistance of counsel inquiry in the
    guilty plea context.            A lawyer's trial performance may be so
    deficient that it compels a defendant to plead under duress.                         But
    such trial performance is relevant to the ineffective assistance
    inquiry   only      to   the   extent   that     it   affects      the     knowing   and
    voluntary nature of a defendant's decision to plead guilty.
    Given this legal landscape, the district court's focus
    on the trial performance of Caramadre's lawyers was misplaced.
    Caramadre did not tie his counsel's trial performance to the
    voluntariness of his guilty plea and, thus, the meat of his
    argument — that he would not have pleaded guilty had his counsel
    performed better at trial — is inapposite.               By his framing of this
    - 19 -
    issue, Caramadre attempted to shoehorn a claim of ineffective
    assistance at trial into a plea-withdrawal inquiry.       That attempt
    necessarily fails.6   See Isom, 
    85 F.3d at 837
    ; Austin, 
    948 F.2d at 786
    .
    Caramadre's   assignment   of   error   collapses   when   we
    reorient the ineffective assistance of counsel inquiry along the
    proper axis.    The record does not support a claim that, but for
    his attorneys' poor advice about the desirability of a plea,
    Caramadre "would not have pleaded guilty and would have insisted
    on going to trial."   Moreno-Espada, 666 F.3d at 64 (quoting Colón-
    Torres, 
    382 F.3d at 86
    ). Nor does Caramadre explain why the advice
    he was given was deficient. So, too, he wholly neglects to explain
    why, given better advice, he would have wanted the trial to
    continue.
    That ends this aspect of the matter.     Caramadre has not
    offered any support for the proposition that his attorneys were
    deficient in advising him about his guilty plea.       Nor did he make
    any developed argument to this effect before the district court.
    6At any rate, the district court concluded that Caramadre's
    lawyers had performed ably, see Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 175,
    and perscrutation of the record supports that conclusion. Even if
    Caramadre's arguments can somehow be construed as suggesting that
    his lawyers' trial performance rendered his plea involuntary, we
    reject this suggestion.
    - 20 -
    Any such argument is, therefore, doubly waived.     See United States
    v. Zannino, 
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17 (1st Cir. 1990).
    4.     The Truth, the Whole Truth, and Nothing but the
    Truth.     Caramadre has one last shot in his sling.     Alford pleas
    aside,7 a defendant who wishes to plead guilty to a criminal charge
    must admit that he committed the acts upon which the charge is
    predicated.      See United States v. Broce, 
    488 U.S. 563
    , 570 (1989).
    That admission must be truthful; mere lip service is not enough.
    Here, Caramadre admitted his guilt when he changed his plea.       In
    his plea withdrawal motion, however, he reversed course and claimed
    that he had lied with the knowledge and encouragement of his
    lawyers.    The district court rejected this claim, see Caramadre,
    957 F. Supp. 2d at 185, and so do we.
    Caramadre attempts to bolster his version of events by
    describing two communications that he had with his attorneys.     For
    one thing, prior to the change-of-plea hearing, Caramadre sent an
    e-mail to one of his former lawyers inquiring about the possibility
    of an Alford plea, which "would eliminate m[y] needing to lie."
    7 An Alford plea occurs when a defendant enters a guilty plea
    without admitting guilt. See United States v. Bierd, 
    217 F.3d 15
    ,
    17 n.1 (1st Cir. 2000). This procedure draws its name from the
    Supreme Court decision that sanctioned it. See North Carolina v.
    Alford, 
    400 U.S. 25
     (1970).     There, the Court held that "[a]n
    individual accused of crime may voluntarily, knowingly, and
    understandingly consent to the imposition of a prison sentence
    even if he is unwilling or unable to admit his participation in
    the acts constituting the crime." 
    Id. at 37
    .
    - 21 -
    For another thing, Caramadre says that he told one of his former
    attorneys on the night before he changed his plea that he would
    "be lying" if he admitted guilt.
    Confessing to the commission of a felony does not always
    come easily (particularly for a person who, like Caramadre, had
    been holding himself out as a pillar of the community and living
    a life of high-profile respectability).       It is, therefore, not
    uncommon for persons accused of reprehensible crimes to waffle
    even when discussing the extent of their involvement with their
    counsel.     That may well be what happened here: in conversations
    with his counsel, Caramadre equivocated from time to time about
    his guilt.
    The cheese became binding, however, when the change-of-
    plea hearing began and Caramadre faced the district court.      That
    is, literally and figuratively, the moment of truth — and in this
    instance, Caramadre unhesitatingly agreed under oath with the
    prosecutor's version of the relevant events and unambiguously
    admitted his guilt.      When Caramadre sang a much different song
    during the plea-withdrawal hearing, the district court determined
    that he was prevaricating then and that he had told the truth at
    the change-of-plea hearing.     This determination was nothing more
    or less than a credibility call and, as such, is deserving of
    considerable deference.     See, e.g., United States v. Patrone, 948
    - 22 -
    F.2d 813, 816 (1st Cir. 1991); United States v. Green, 
    887 F.2d 25
    , 28 (1st Cir. 1989).
    In addition, the court's determination was consistent
    with   the     testimony   of   Caramadre's          former    attorneys.      They
    vouchsafed that, based on their investigation and Caramadre's
    admissions to them over the course of their extended representation
    of him, they were convinced that he was factually guilty and that
    his admissions of guilt at the change-of-plea hearing were genuine.
    To cinch the matter, Caramadre's former attorneys "emphasized [to
    Caramadre] the importance and necessity of telling the truth and
    not    lying    to   the   [c]ourt"     at     the    change-of-plea        hearing.
    Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 185.              The district court credited
    the former attorneys' testimony, see id., and the record contains
    no compelling reason for rejecting that assessment.
    In an effort to blunt the force of this reasoning,
    Caramadre posits that his case is analogous to United States v.
    DeSimone, 
    736 F. Supp. 2d 477
     (D.R.I. 2010).                  There, the defendant
    did not agree with the recitation of the facts contained in his
    plea agreement and asked his attorney whether he had to lie in
    order to plead guilty.          See 
    id. at 479-80
    .             The attorney "left
    [the] [d]efendant with the impression that lying to the [c]ourt
    was necessary to get his plea accepted." 
    Id. at 486
    . The defendant
    proceeded with his plea but later sought to retract it.                          The
    - 23 -
    district court allowed him to do so, concluding that "a fair and
    just reason" existed for withdrawing the plea.           
    Id.
    The court below distinguished DeSimone on a number of
    grounds.8     See Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 185.           We agree that
    the    two   cases   are   not   fair    congeners.   Unlike   in   DeSimone,
    Caramadre did not take issue with the prosecution's version of the
    facts when he changed his plea; and more importantly, Caramadre's
    former lawyers testified that they had instructed him not to lie.
    The district court not only found this testimony credible but also
    accepted the lawyers' testimony that they would not have allowed
    Caramadre to plead guilty if they thought that doing so would
    require him to prevaricate.             See Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at
    185.
    C.     Bias.
    Caramadre insists that the district court's refusal to
    permit him to withdraw his guilty plea was infected by judicial
    bias. He concentrates his fire principally on the "text and tenor"
    8
    Indeed, the court went a step further: it suggested that
    Caramadre had familiarized himself with the DeSimone case and had
    deliberately professed his innocence to his attorneys as a way of
    negating his guilty plea and later obtaining a new trial, severed
    from his codefendant. See Caramadre, 957 F. Supp. 2d at 184-85.
    We take no view of this suggestion: regardless of whether or not
    Caramadre sought to mimic DeSimone, there was no abuse of
    discretion in the district court's determination that whatever
    professions of innocence Caramadre may from time to time have made
    did not add up to a fair and just reason for withdrawing his plea.
    - 24 -
    of the district court's rescript.              We begin our discussion with
    the government's contention that Caramadre's bias claim has been
    waived and then proceed to address the components of that claim.
    1.    Waiver and Standard of Review.          Almost seven months
    elapsed between the denial of Caramadre's plea-withdrawal motion
    and his sentencing.        During this period, he never sought to have
    the district court recuse itself.          The government's argument that
    this inaction constituted a waiver of the bias claim has some
    support in the case law.         See, e.g., United States v. DiPina, 
    230 F.3d 477
    , 486 (1st Cir. 2000) (finding waiver when defendant had
    neither moved for recusal nor otherwise raised claim of judicial
    bias in district court). But other cases indicate that plain error
    review may be appropriate when a party raises a bias-based recusal
    argument for the first time on appeal.             See, e.g., United States
    v. Reynolds, 
    646 F.3d 63
    , 74 (1st Cir. 2011); United States v.
    Cruz-Mercado, 
    360 F.3d 30
    , 36 (1st Cir. 2004).
    We are sensitive to a judge's unflagging duty to be
    impartial.        Given the importance of impartiality, we think that
    the better rule is that a claim of judicial bias, raised for the
    first   time      on   appeal,   should   be    reviewed    for   plain   error.
    Consequently, we reject the government's waiver argument and hold
    instead that Caramadre's bias-based recusal claim engenders plain
    error review.
    - 25 -
    Plain error review requires a four-part showing: "(1)
    that an error occurred (2) which was clear or obvious and which
    not only (3) affected the defendant's substantial rights, but also
    (4)   seriously      impaired       the     fairness,   integrity,     or   public
    reputation of judicial proceedings."               United States v. Duarte, 
    246 F.3d 56
    , 60 (1st Cir. 2001).
    2.     Merits.     Judges have a duty to sit unless some
    compelling reason for recusal exists. See United States v. Snyder,
    
    235 F.3d 42
    , 46 (1st Cir. 2000).                   Not every hint of bias is
    disqualifying: after all, a judge is expected to make judgments,
    a process which entails forming opinions about the credibility of
    witnesses and the intrinsic merit (or lack of merit) of cases that
    he hears.         See Liteky v. United States, 
    510 U.S. 540
    , 550-51
    (1994).   In order for us to find disqualifying bias and overrule
    a judge's decision (explicit or implicit) that no sound basis for
    his recusal exists, an appellant must show that the judge's actions
    were "so extreme as to display [a] clear inability to render fair
    judgment."    
    Id. at 551
    .
    To    support    his    bias-based     recusal   claim,    Caramadre
    relies on a string of strongly worded statements excerpted from
    the district court's rescript denying his motion to withdraw.
    Specifically, he points to the following:
       the district court's characterization of his plea-withdrawal
    motion as "entirely meritless, bordering on frivolous";
    - 26 -
       the district court's conclusion that none of the evidence
    presented by Caramadre — including his medical affidavits —
    "even remotely support[ed]" his claim of incompetence;
       the district court's dismissive treatment of Caramadre's
    ineffective assistance of counsel claim;
       the district court's intimation that Caramadre was suggesting
    that his former attorneys deliberately undermined his defense
    in order to pressure him into pleading guilty;
       the   district   court's   statement    that    Caramadre's   plea-
    withdrawal motion was "an incredibly cynical and disturbing
    effort to manipulate the court and the criminal justice
    system"; and
       the   district   court's   suggestion    that    the   actions   of
    Caramadre's new counsel might subject him to disciplinary
    review.
    These statements, taken collectively, show that the
    district court did not think much of Caramadre's plea-withdrawal
    motion. Admittedly, the court couched its findings and conclusions
    in blunt language.     But trial judges are not required either to
    mince words or to sugar-coat their views.       See Logue v. Dore, 
    103 F.3d 1040
    , 1045 (1st Cir. 1997).      Blunt language, without more,
    does not translate into a showing of judicial bias.           See United
    States v. Rodríguez-Rivera, 
    473 F.3d 21
    , 27-28 (1st Cir. 2007).
    - 27 -
    The Supreme Court has taught that "remarks during the
    course of trial that are critical or disapproving of, or even
    hostile to, counsel, the parties, or their cases" are usually
    insufficient to prove bias.   Liteky, 
    510 U.S. at 555
    .     The same is
    true of a court's "expressions of impatience, dissatisfaction,
    annoyance, and even anger."   
    Id. at 555-56
    .    The case at hand falls
    within these general rules, not within the long-odds exceptions to
    them.    Though the court below employed forceful rhetoric, its
    comments, without exception, are supported by a reasonable view of
    the record evidence.   The court did not cross the Liteky line.
    This conclusion is borne out by contrasting the district
    court's rhetoric with words and conduct that have been held
    insufficient to require recusal.          See, e.g., United States v.
    Ofray-Campos, 
    534 F.3d 1
    , 32-34 (1st Cir. 2008) (finding no
    judicial bias though judge, inter alia, interrupted counsel during
    opening and closing statements, told counsel to "shut up" during
    a sidebar conference, and made demeaning remarks about counsel's
    performance); Rodríguez-Rivera, 
    473 F.3d at 26-29
     (finding no
    judicial bias though judge, inter alia, reprimanded counsel in
    open court, commented unfavorably on counsel's objections, and
    "made a series of unpredictable and adverse rulings" against the
    defendant); DiPina, 
    230 F.3d at 486
     (finding no judicial bias
    though   judge   characterized    defendant's    legal   arguments   as
    - 28 -
    "worthless"       and    remarked     on    his    "criminal   conduct").        By
    comparison, the rhetoric challenged here easily passes muster.
    We summarize succinctly.              While Caramadre has directed
    a barrage of epithets at the district court, he has fallen far
    short of showing that the court was biased against him.                          Put
    another    way,    the   district     court's     unflattering      assessment   of
    Caramadre's litigation strategy and substantive claims does not
    sink to the level of disqualifying bias. On this record, we simply
    cannot find that the district court's words displayed an inability
    to render a fair judgment.          Cf. Christian Recorder—Proverbs (Mar.
    22, 1862) ("Sticks and stones will break my bones, but words will
    never harm me."). We conclude, therefore, that there was no error,
    plain or otherwise, in the district court's failure to recuse
    itself sua sponte.
    3.     Rule 10(c).        This brings to the fore Caramadre's
    appeal of the district court's disposition of his Rule 10(c)
    motion. Caramadre asseverates that statements made by the district
    court during an unrecorded and untranscribed chambers conference
    held on January 15, 2013, show that the court pre-judged his plea-
    withdrawal motion and exhibited bias against him.
    We set the stage. Caramadre's version of what transpired
    at   the   chambers      conference    is    contained    in   an   affidavit     of
    successor counsel, appended to his Rule 10(c) motion. The district
    - 29 -
    court discarded this account and substituted its own summary of
    what was said and done.
    Caramadre challenges the court's substituted version.
    Relying      on   his     lawyer's     affidavit,      he   attributes   certain
    statements to the court.           A representative sampling follows:
       that the first week of trial had been a "complete, unmitigated
    disaster" for Caramadre;
       that the government had made a "compelling, overwhelming
    presentation of evidence of guilt" during the four days of
    trial;
       that    had   the    trial     continued,   it    would   have   been   from
    Caramadre's point of view, "a train wreck for the next three
    months"; and
       that Caramadre had changed his plea because "he was getting
    killed at trial."
    Federal Rule of Appellate Procedure 10(c) provides:
    If the transcript of a hearing or trial is
    unavailable, the appellant may prepare a statement of
    the evidence or proceedings from the best available
    means, including the appellant's recollection.      The
    statement must be served on the appellee, who may serve
    objections or proposed amendments within 14 days after
    being served.    The statement and any objections or
    proposed amendments must then be submitted to the
    district court for settlement and approval. As settled
    and approved, the statement must be included by the
    district clerk in the record on appeal.
    As a threshold matter, the government suggests that,
    because Caramadre appealed the district court's Rule 10(c) ruling
    - 30 -
    separately, we lack jurisdiction over that appeal.        We do not
    agree.   The district court's Rule 10(c) order was a final order,
    filed after Caramadre's conviction and sentence had already been
    appealed.    It was, therefore, appealable under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    .
    This makes perfect sense: the core purpose of Rule 10(c) would be
    frustrated if a district court's version of events was inoculated
    against judicial review.    See Bergerco, U.S.A. v. Shipping Corp.
    of India, Ltd., 
    896 F.2d 1210
    , 1214-15 (9th Cir. 1990); cf. United
    States v. Mori, 
    444 F.2d 240
    , 246 (5th Cir. 1971) (explaining that
    a district court may consider a motion to correct the record under
    Federal Rule of Appellate Procedure 10(e) "even after appeal has
    been taken").
    We review a district court's disposition of a Rule 10(c)
    motion for abuse of discretion. Cf. United States v. Pagán-Ferrer,
    
    736 F.3d 573
    , 582 (1st Cir. 2013), cert. denied, sub nom. Vidal-
    Maldonado v. United States, 
    134 S. Ct. 2839
     (2014) (reviewing
    denial of Rule 10(e) motion for abuse of discretion).    The movant
    (here, Caramadre) must establish that "the trial court's account
    is patently unreasonable or deliberately false," Rogan v. Menino,
    
    175 F.3d 75
    , 80 (1st Cir. 1999), and that this account prejudiced
    the presentation of his claims on appeal, see In re Cambridge
    Literary Props., Ltd., 
    271 F.3d 348
    , 349 (1st Cir. 2001).
    Caramadre upbraids the district court for relying on its
    own recollection of the chambers conference rather than accepting
    - 31 -
    the version of events proffered by Caramadre's counsel. Relatedly,
    he submits that the district court improvidently expanded the
    record by adding explanations for why it made certain statements.
    Caramadre's insistence that the district court had no
    right to set forth its own version of events reads Rule 10(c) in
    too grudging a manner.     In terms, the rule provides that once an
    appellant    has   "prepare[d]   a   statement       of   the   evidence   or
    proceedings from the best available means," the statement must "be
    submitted to the district court for settlement and approval." Fed.
    R. App. P. 10(c). The phrase "settlement and approval" is generous
    in its scope, and nothing prohibits a court from drawing on its
    own memory of events in the "settlement and approval" process.
    Indeed, it would be folly for a judge to close his eyes to case-
    related matters within his personal knowledge. We hold, therefore,
    that a district court may rely on its own recollection of relevant
    events in settling and approving a proposed Rule 10(c) statement.
    See United States v. Kenney, 
    911 F.2d 315
    , 317-18 (9th Cir. 1990);
    see also United States v. Brown, 
    202 F.3d 691
    , 696-97, 697 n.8
    (4th Cir. 2000) (noting approvingly that in weighing parties'
    competing versions of what occurred at a hearing, district court
    necessarily relied on its own recollection).
    Caramadre   also   argues   that   the    district    court    was
    obliged to adopt his version of the facts because his counsel's
    notes were "contemporaneously recorded" and the government never
    - 32 -
    challenged their accuracy.     But a rule to this effect would reduce
    the district court's role to that of a rubber stamp, and we do not
    think that the law imposes so counterintuitive a requirement.                A
    case in point is United States v. Keskey, 
    863 F.2d 474
    , 478 (7th
    Cir. 1988), in which the Seventh Circuit rejected a similar
    argument.     Simply put, the district court was not obliged to
    elevate the lawyer's notes over its own recollection.
    Caramadre's contention that the district court had no
    authority to elaborate on what was said is likewise unavailing.
    Common sense suggests that, in the Rule 10(c) settlement and
    approval    process,   a   district    court   must    have   the   power    to
    contextualize what was said.     And though the district court's Rule
    10(c) statement goes beyond mere contextualization, that overreach
    makes no difference here: even were we to accept lock, stock, and
    barrel the version of events limned in Caramadre's Rule 10(c)
    statement, Caramadre's claim of judicial bias would fail.                   The
    carefully culled statements reflect nothing more than the district
    court's decidedly negative evaluation of Caramadre's attempt to
    withdraw    his   plea.     Those     statements      are   insufficient     to
    demonstrate that the district court harbored a disqualifying bias
    against Caramadre.     See supra Part II(C)(2).
    III.   SENTENCING
    Caramadre attempts to challenge his sentence on two
    grounds.     He asserts both that the district court engaged in
    - 33 -
    vindictive    sentencing   and   that   its   order   for   $46,000,000   in
    restitution is insupportable.       The government submits that these
    claims are barred by the waiver-of-appeal provision contained in
    Caramadre's plea agreement,9 and we agree.        We explain briefly.
    Our case law makes pellucid that "[a] defendant who
    waives his right to appeal and thereafter attempts to avoid the
    effect of the waiver must confront the waiver head-on."              United
    States v. Miliano, 
    480 F.3d 605
    , 608 (1st Cir. 2007). Such waivers
    are "presumptively valid," subject to three "stringent criteria."
    United States v. Teeter, 
    257 F.3d 14
    , 23, 25 (1st Cir. 2001).
    First, the plea agreement must clearly "elucidat[e] the waiver and
    delineat[e] its scope."     
    Id. at 24
    .     Second, the court's inquiries
    at the change-of-plea colloquy must "suffice[] to ensure that the
    defendant freely and intelligently agreed to waive [his] right to
    appeal."     
    Id. at 24
    .    Third, pretermitting the right to appeal
    must not result in a "miscarriage of justice."          
    Id. at 25
    .
    9 There is a strong argument that the appeal waiver in
    Caramadre's plea agreement likewise bars appellate review of the
    district court's denial of the plea withdrawal motion. See United
    States v. Alcala, 
    678 F.3d 574
    , 578 (7th Cir. 2012) (holding as a
    matter of first impression that district court's denial of motion
    to withdraw a guilty plea fell within scope of appellate waiver);
    United States v. Toth, 
    668 F.3d 374
    , 378-79 (6th Cir. 2012)
    (applying appeal waiver to defendant's motion to withdraw and
    collecting cases from other circuits).     We have not, however,
    explored that terrain here because the government never made this
    argument and thus has waived any application of the appeal waiver
    to the district court's denial of Caramadre's plea withdrawal
    motion.
    - 34 -
    Caramadre's plea agreement stated in pertinent part
    that:   "Defendant     hereby    waives    [his]   right     to    appeal    the
    convictions and sentences imposed by the Court, if the sentences
    imposed by the Court are at or below the government's maximum
    recommended sentence."        This language is direct and to the point;
    it clearly elucidates the waiver. What is more, the district court
    took pains at the change-of-plea hearing to ensure that Caramadre
    understood the effect of the waiver.            Nor does Caramadre argue
    that his term of immurement exceeded the boundaries adumbrated in
    the plea agreement (which limited any prison sentence to a maximum
    of ten years).     Withal, Caramadre tries to skirt the waiver in
    three different ways.     None of his arguments is convincing.
    Caramadre's first sortie is stillborn.            He argues that
    the plea agreement as a whole is invalid because he should have
    been allowed to withdraw his plea.          We already have explained why
    the premise of this argument is wrong, see supra Part II, so we
    say no more about it.
    Caramadre's most loudly bruited claim implicates the
    scope of the appeal waiver.       He posits that the plea agreement did
    not foreclose him from appealing the restitution order.                      In
    support, he notes the lack of any explicit reference to restitution
    in the waiver-of-appeal provision; and he points to language
    elsewhere   in   the   plea    agreement    stating   that   the    amount    of
    restitution would be determined in the future.               Thus, Caramadre
    - 35 -
    says, the restitution order does not fall within the scope of the
    waiver-of-appeal provision.
    This claim, though forcefully presented, runs headlong
    into our decision in United States v. Okoye, 
    731 F.3d 46
     (1st Cir.
    2013).      There, the plea agreement included a waiver-of-appeal
    provision    similar   to   Caramadre's:   neither   provision     made   any
    explicit mention of restitution.       See id. at 48.      We nonetheless
    concluded that the waiver provision applied to a restitution order
    imposed as part of the defendant's sentence.            See id. at 49-50.
    We explained that the plea agreement as a whole "unambiguously
    established     that   [the   defendant's]     sentence    would    include
    'restitution in the amount of loss'" and, thus, the appeal waiver
    extended to the restitution award.         Id. at 49.
    Okoye and this case are on all fours.       Caramadre resists
    this obvious congruence, though, trying to distinguish Okoye on
    the ground that the plea agreement there contemplated a specific
    amount of restitution whereas the plea agreement here stated that
    the amount of restitution was yet to be determined.              This is a
    distinction without a difference.      That Caramadre's plea agreement
    did not specify a specific restitutionary amount has no bearing at
    all on whether restitution should properly be considered part of
    Caramadre's "sentence."
    At the expense of carting coal to Newcastle, we add that
    the waiver-of-appeal provision applies even more clearly here than
    - 36 -
    in Okoye.       There, the waiver provision stated that the defendant
    "[would] not file a direct appeal nor collaterally challenge any
    prison sentence of 27 months or less."                 Id. at 48 (emphasis in
    original).      The use of the modifying adjective "prison" gave rise
    to a colorable argument that the portion of the sentence to which
    the waiver applied did not include restitution.                   The defendant
    made this argument, and the Okoye court debunked it.                   See id. at
    49-50.       This argument is not available to Caramadre; the waiver-
    of-appeal provision contains no comparable modifier.
    That   restitution   is    a     part   of   Caramadre's   sentence
    scarcely can be doubted.           See 18 U.S.C. § 3663A(a)(1); United
    States v. Salas-Fernández, 
    620 F.3d 45
    , 47 & n.2 (1st Cir. 2010).
    Here,    moreover,    Caramadre's       plea    agreement    affirms     that   the
    government was "free to recommend any combination of supervised
    release, fines, and restitution which it deems appropriate."                    The
    clear implication of this statement is that restitution would be
    part of Caramadre's sentence.10
    In a last-ditch effort to elude the grasp of the appeal
    waiver, Caramadre invokes the miscarriage of justice exception.
    10
    We have declined to hold that an appeal waiver that omits
    any mention of restitution necessarily applies to restitution
    orders.   See United States v. Sánchez-Maldonado, 
    737 F.3d 826
    ,
    827-28, 828 n.1 (1st Cir. 2013). But a court may conclude, based
    on a holistic view of such a plea agreement and the attendant
    circumstances, that a particular waiver-of-appeal provision was
    meant to extend to restitution orders. This is such a case.
    - 37 -
    See Teeter, 
    257 F.3d at 25-26
    .            This assignment of error need not
    detain us.
    The miscarriage of justice exception is to be applied
    "sparingly and without undue generosity."                 
    Id. at 26
    .      It is not
    intended    to    redress    "mere     'garden-variety'        claims    of   error."
    United States v. Rivera-López, 
    736 F.3d 633
    , 635 (1st Cir. 2013)
    (quoting Teeter, 
    257 F.3d at 26
    ).              Caramadre's claim of vindictive
    sentencing is reminiscent of the bias claims that we already have
    rejected, see supra Part II(C), and he has made no showing that
    this claim comes within the narrow confines of the miscarriage of
    justice exception.
    In    the    first       place,     the    plea     agreement     capped
    Caramadre's exposure with respect to incarceration at ten years.
    This was considerably below the top of his guideline sentencing
    range.     Even so, the district court sentenced him to only a six-
    year prison term.        Surely, that was not a miscarriage of justice.
    His plaint that the restitution amount is similarly
    excessive is unimpressive.              That amount was calculated by the
    magistrate       judge   after    a    three-day       evidentiary      hearing   and
    confirmed    by    the    district     court.      To   cinch     the   matter,   the
    $46,000,000 total, though large, has ample footing in the record.
    To be sure, Caramadre has left no doubt but that he
    considers        his     sentence      "unjust."           But     a     defendant's
    dissatisfaction with his sentence, no matter how profound, cannot
    - 38 -
    constitute a basis for circumventing a waiver-of-appeal provision
    to which he agreed.      See United States v. Edelen, 
    539 F.3d 83
    , 86-
    87 (1st Cir. 2008).       To allow Caramadre to frustrate his appeal
    waiver in the circumstances of this case would cheat the government
    of one of the salient benefits of the bargain that it struck with
    Caramadre.
    IV.   CONCLUSION
    To   recapitulate,      Caramadre   —   ably   represented    by
    experienced counsel — elected to plead guilty to serious charges.
    When he thereafter had a change of heart and sought to retract his
    guilty plea, the district court gave him every opportunity to
    demonstrate a fair and just reason for doing so.              The district
    court's determination that Caramadre failed in this effort was
    neither infected by legal error nor constituted an abuse of
    discretion.       The   sentencing    determinations   that   followed    are
    insulated from review because Caramadre, appropriately warned,
    waived his right to appeal his sentence as part of the plea
    agreement that he negotiated and signed.
    We need go no further. For the reasons elucidated above,
    Caramadre's appeals are futile.         He has reaped what he has sown.
    Affirmed.
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