United States v. Pizarro , 772 F.3d 284 ( 2014 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 12-1759
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    ANGEL LUIS PIZARRO, a/k/a WEE,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. Gustavo A. Gelpí, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Torruella, Lipez and Kayatta,
    Circuit Judges.
    Mauricio Hernández Arroyo for appellant.
    Myriam Yvette Fernández-González, Assistant United States
    Attorney, with whom Rosa Emilia Rodríguez-Vélez, United States
    Attorney, Nelson Pérez-Sosa, Assistant United States Attorney,
    Chief, Appellate Division, and Thomas F. Klumper, Assistant United
    States Attorney, were on brief, for appellee.
    November 14, 2014
    LIPEZ, Circuit Judge.               In this appeal of Angel Luis
    Pizarro-Morales ("Pizarro") from his conviction and sentence for
    conspiracy to distribute cocaine and heroin and for possession with
    intent to distribute cocaine, we must examine the impact of Alleyne
    v. United States, 
    133 S. Ct. 2151
     (2013), on the aggravated drug
    conspiracy and possession convictions.                  Pursuant to that inquiry,
    we hold that the district court erred by failing to instruct the
    jury on the essential element of individualized drug quantity for
    the aggravated conspiracy count and the essential element of drug
    quantity for the aggravated possession count before applying a
    statutory      sentencing      range   that     included     a   mandatory    minimum
    sentence on each count.           However, since we "conclude[] beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the omitted element[s] [were] uncontested and
    supported by overwhelming evidence, such that the jury verdict
    would   have    been    the    same    absent    the    error[s],"    we     find    the
    instructional Alleyne errors harmless. Neder v. United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
    , 17 (1999).       Therefore, we affirm Pizarro's convictions for
    the aggravated conspiracy and possession charges with enhanced drug
    quantities under 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(A).
    Still, we must vacate Pizarro's sentence and remand for
    a fourth sentencing under § 841(b)(1)(A) because the district court
    overlooked      our    prior   remand    order     by    refusing    to    engage    in
    credibility      assessments      with    respect       to   the   conspiracy       drug
    -2-
    quantity the court attributed to Pizarro and by refusing to
    consider Pizarro's arguments regarding the firearm enhancement.
    I.
    A.    First Sentencing and Appeal
    After a ten-defendant trial that lasted approximately
    seven months in 1999, Pizarro was found guilty of conspiracy to
    distribute    cocaine    and    heroin      and     possession   with   intent     to
    distribute cocaine.          In 2002, pursuant to an order of the First
    Circuit Judicial Council, the case was reassigned for sentencing.1
    The statutory sentencing ranges for drug conspiracy and
    possession, prescribed in 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1), vary depending
    upon the amount of drugs involved.            For a conspiracy or possession
    that involves only small or non-quantified amounts of cocaine or
    heroin, there is no mandatory minimum sentence and the statutory
    maximum sentence is twenty years of imprisonment.                   See 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(C).      At    the   other     end    of   the   spectrum,   when    a
    conspiracy or possession involves five kilograms or more of cocaine
    or one kilogram or more of a mixture or substance containing a
    detectable amount of heroin, the sentencing range runs from a
    1
    In response to a backlog of cases on the trial judge's
    docket, the case was randomly reassigned to another district judge
    so that sentencing could be expedited. See United States v. Casas,
    
    425 F.3d 23
    , 54-55 (1st Cir. 2005).
    -3-
    mandatory minimum of ten years to a maximum of life imprisonment.
    
    Id.
     § 841(b)(1)(A).2
    At   sentencing,    the   district     court   determined   that
    § 841(b)(1)(A)'s statutory maximum of life imprisonment applied
    because the conspiracy involved five kilograms or more of cocaine
    or one kilogram or more of a mixture or substance containing
    heroin.    By a preponderance of the evidence, the court found
    Pizarro accountable for more than 150 kilograms of cocaine and
    applied a two-level enhancement for weapon possession and a three-
    level role enhancement.       The court then imposed a life sentence,
    which at that time was mandated by the Sentencing Guidelines.
    Pizarro   appealed   his   conviction      and   sentence.    We   affirmed
    Pizarro's conviction but vacated his sentence because of error
    under United States v. Booker, 
    543 U.S. 220
     (2005).            See United
    States v. Casas, 
    425 F.3d 23
    , 59-60 (1st Cir. 2005).3
    Pizarro and multiple co-appellants also argued that there
    was error under Apprendi v. New Jersey, 
    530 U.S. 466
     (2000).             In
    Apprendi, the Supreme Court held that "[o]ther than the fact of a
    2
    Section 841(b)(1)(B) provides for a five-year mandatory
    minimum and a forty-year statutory maximum sentence for specified
    drug quantities less than those listed in subsection (A).
    3
    We held that Booker error existed insofar as the sentencing
    had occurred under a mandatory Guidelines system. Given that the
    government conceded that it could not prove harmless error, i.e.,
    it could not "show beyond a reasonable doubt that a lower sentence
    would not be imposed under the post-Booker regime," we vacated
    Pizarro's sentence and remanded for resentencing. Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 59-60
    .
    -4-
    prior conviction, any fact that increases the penalty for a crime
    beyond the prescribed statutory maximum must be submitted to a
    jury, and proved beyond a reasonable doubt."          Id. at 490.      Pizarro
    and his co-appellants asserted that since drug quantity for the
    conspiracy count was a fact that increased the statutory maximum
    sentence, it should have been found by a jury beyond a reasonable
    doubt.     They   argued   that    in   the    absence   of     such   a   jury
    determination, § 841(b)(1)(C)'s default statutory maximum sentence
    of twenty years should have applied to the conspiracy count.
    In response to this argument, we held that "for Apprendi
    purposes, it is the drug quantity attributable to the entire
    conspiracy that determines the statutory maximum." Casas, 
    425 F.3d at
    66 n.58. We concluded that any Apprendi error, if one occurred,
    was harmless because (1) the evidence overwhelmingly established
    that the conspiracy involved at least five kilograms of cocaine or
    one kilogram of heroin, amounts that support a statutory maximum of
    life imprisonment, and (2) Pizarro and his co-appellants had not
    pointed to any evidence that the conspiracy-wide quantity was under
    that threshold amount or offered any argument as to how the jury
    could have found otherwise.       
    Id. at 65-66
    .      We explained that the
    appellants did not contest the evidence of conspiracy-wide drug
    quantity   --   the   amount   that   sets    the   statutory    maximum   for
    Apprendi purposes.     
    Id.
     at 66 & n.58.        We therefore ordered that
    -5-
    "on remand for re-sentencing the appropriate statutory maximum will
    be life imprisonment as stated in § 841(b)(1)(A)."                 Id. at 66.
    In remanding, we "clarif[ied] that the jury verdict of
    guilty did not determine the amount of drugs attributed to each
    defendant," id. at 64 n.56, which was necessary for sentencing
    under   the    Sentencing     Guidelines.         Cooperating     witnesses       had
    testified about drug quantity, and, at sentencing, defendants had
    called into question the credibility of those witnesses.                   Id.     We
    explained     that    the    district     court   had   to    make      credibility
    determinations in order to calculate individualized drug quantity,
    and we made clear that "[a]ny conclusion as to individual drug
    quantity should be based on review of the entire record."                   Id.    We
    also observed that a number of the Presentence Reports ("PSRs")
    contained the "defect" of not including "findings as to the
    quantities     or    types   of   drugs    attributable      to   the   individual
    defendants."        Id. at 63.
    Pizarro and his co-appellants had also argued that the
    successor judge responsible for the initial sentencing had not
    adequately familiarized himself with the voluminous record.                        We
    held that a replacement judge could become sufficiently familiar
    with the record to assess credibility, but we declined to analyze
    the sentencing judge's familiarity because we were vacating the
    sentences on independent Booker grounds. Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 56-57
    .
    -6-
    B.   Second Sentencing and Appeal
    In 2006, the district court found Pizarro responsible for
    more than 4,200 kilograms of cocaine.                      The court imposed a two-
    level firearm enhancement and a two-level enhancement for Pizarro's
    leadership role in the offense.               The court resentenced Pizarro to
    360 months (30 years) in prison.                   Pizarro again appealed, and we
    vacated his sentence for a second time because the district court
    had not analyzed witness credibility in calculating the drug
    quantity    in    the    conspiracy         foreseeable         to     Pizarro.       United
    States v. Correy, 
    570 F.3d 373
    , 378-82 (1st Cir. 2009). We ordered
    the district court on remand to make independent credibility
    assessments as necessary to resolve the facts in dispute.                             
    Id. at 379-82, 400, 402
    .
    We also found that Pizarro's PSR had the same problematic
    lack   of    support        that,     on    Pizarro's          first     appeal,     we    had
    specifically      noted      in     the    PSRs    of    several       of   Pizarro's      co-
    appellants.      
    Id. at 398-400
    .            Therefore, we ordered the Probation
    Office to provide Pizarro with a proper PSR that identified
    specific     drug       quantities         attributable         to     him,   "include[d]
    references       to   the    trial        record"       that    supported     those       drug
    quantities,       and    "identifie[d]            the     trial        transcripts        which
    support[ed] any conclusion that he possessed weapons or that weapon
    possession by co-conspirators was foreseeable to him." 
    Id. at 384
    ,
    -7-
    401.4       We   further     ordered   that    "Pizarro    should     have    a   real
    opportunity to challenge [an] inference [that he could foresee the
    use of weapons] by arguing the question of foreseeability to a
    fact-finder      willing     to   consider     his    arguments,"     and    we   left
    Pizarro's challenge to a leadership enhancement, a fact-specific
    issue, to be resolved on remand.              
    Id. at 401
    .
    C.   Third Sentencing and Appeal
    Pizarro's case was reassigned for a second time to a
    different district court judge because the former sentencing judge
    had retired.       On May 15, 2012, the district court found Pizarro
    responsible       for   in    excess   of     150    kilograms   of   cocaine     and
    resentenced him under § 841(b)(1)(A) to 280 months (23 1/3 years)
    of imprisonment as to each count to be served concurrently.
    Pizarro now appeals for a third time, making numerous arguments,
    including that the district court committed an Alleyne error by
    applying a mandatory minimum sentence without the requisite drug
    quantity findings by the jury.              Notably, that argument challenges
    the convictions for the aggravated offenses with enhanced drug
    4
    Pursuant to Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 32(c), the
    probation   officer   generally    must   conduct   a   presentence
    investigation and submit a report to the court before it imposes a
    sentence.   Rule 32(e) provides that the Probation Office must
    provide the PSR to the defendant, the defendant's attorney, and an
    attorney for the government at least thirty-five days before the
    sentencing, and Rule 32(f) provides the procedures for the parties'
    objections to the PSR. The sentencing court then examines the PSR
    and the objections to the PSR when deciding the proper sentence and
    considering the requisite factors for that sentence, such as the
    credibility determinations here.
    -8-
    quantities under § 841(b)(1)(A).      He also maintains that the
    district court committed multiple sentencing errors, some of which
    resulted from its failure to comply with our remand instructions in
    Casas and Correy.
    II.
    We first analyze the claim of Alleyne error related to
    Pizarro's convictions.
    A.   The Alleyne Rule
    In Alleyne, the Supreme Court held that "any fact that
    increases the mandatory minimum is an 'element' that must be
    submitted to the jury."   Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at 2155
    .   Therefore,
    a district court errs by applying a statutory mandatory minimum as
    the sentencing starting point without a jury finding on the fact
    that triggers that minimum.    The Supreme Court held that such a
    rule was required by the Apprendi principle that "[a]ny fact that,
    by law, increases the penalty for a crime is an 'element' that must
    be submitted to the jury and found beyond a reasonable doubt."
    Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at
    2155 (citing Apprendi, 
    530 U.S. at
    483 n.10,
    490).   In Alleyne, the Supreme Court expressly overruled its prior
    holding in Harris v. United States, 
    536 U.S. 545
     (2002), that the
    jury did not need to find a fact that increases the mandatory
    minimum.   Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at 2155
    .    The government properly
    concedes that Alleyne error occurred with respect to both the
    conspiracy and possession counts.
    -9-
    B.   The Application of Alleyne to this Appeal
    The Supreme Court's decision in Alleyne applies to any
    case pending on direct appeal at the time Alleyne was decided. See
    Griffith v. Kentucky, 
    479 U.S. 314
    , 328 (1987) ("[A] new rule for
    the conduct of criminal prosecutions is to be applied retroactively
    to all cases . . . pending on direct review or not yet final, with
    no exception for cases in which the new rule constitutes a 'clear
    break' with the past.").       In Ramirez-Burgos v. United States, 
    313 F.3d 23
     (1st Cir. 2002), we held that a new Supreme Court precedent
    --   Jones   v.   United    States,    
    526 U.S. 227
        (1999)   --   applied
    retroactively to Ramirez's case.         Ramirez-Burgos, 
    313 F.3d at 29
    .
    We had previously affirmed Ramirez's convictions, vacated his
    sentence, and remanded to the district court for resentencing. 
    Id. at 27
    .     After Ramirez was resentenced and one day after he filed
    his reply brief in his second appeal, the Supreme Court decided
    Jones.     
    Id. at 28
    .      Citing Griffith, we held that Ramirez could
    bring a new claim of jury-instruction error under Jones because
    Ramirez's case was still on direct appeal at the time Jones was
    decided.     
    Id.
     at 29 (citing Griffith, 
    479 U.S. at 328
    ).               See also
    Berman v. United States, 
    302 U.S. 211
    , 212 (1937) ("Final judgment
    in   a   criminal   case    means     sentence.      The    sentence     is   the
    judgment."); United States v. Dodson, 
    291 F.3d 268
    , 275-76 (4th
    Cir. 2002) (holding that where court of appeals affirms convictions
    -10-
    but vacates sentence and remands for resentencing on any count,
    judgment of conviction is not final as to all counts).
    Alleyne was decided in 2013 after we had twice vacated
    Pizarro's sentence and remanded for resentencing, and after Pizarro
    had filed his opening brief in this third appeal.                  The fact that
    the   Supreme       Court   denied    Pizarro's    petition   for    a    writ    of
    certiorari     after    his   first    appeal,    Pizarro-Morales        v.   United
    States, 
    546 U.S. 1199
     (2006), does not change the fact that his
    judgment of conviction was not final at the time Alleyne was
    decided, given that we had vacated his sentence and remanded for
    resentencing.         See Berman, 
    302 U.S. at 212
     (indicating that a
    judgment of conviction would not be final if the sentence were
    vacated); see also Mercer v. Theriot, 
    377 U.S. 152
    , 153 (1964) (per
    curiam) (holding "it is settled that [the Supreme Court] may
    consider questions raised on the first appeal [after which the
    Court denied a petition for a writ of certiorari], as well as those
    that were before the court of appeals upon the second appeal,"
    after which the Court granted a petition for a writ of certiorari
    (internal quotation marks omitted)); Dodson, 
    291 F.3d at
    276 n.3
    (citing Mercer for the proposition that following a second direct
    appeal brought after a resentencing hearing ordered by the court of
    appeals   in    a    criminal   defendant's       first   direct    appeal,      the
    defendant can petition the Supreme Court for certiorari as to every
    -11-
    issue, including those the court of appeals denied in his first
    appeal).
    Therefore,     as    the    government   recognizes         in    its
    supplemental brief,5 Pizarro's case was pending on direct appeal at
    the time that the Supreme Court handed down Alleyne, and Pizarro
    can now challenge his convictions under the new rule announced in
    Alleyne.     See Ramirez-Burgos, 
    313 F.3d at 29
    .
    C.    The Alleyne Errors Here
    Before explaining the Alleyne errors that the government
    concedes, we must first address the government's claim that Pizarro
    may   have   waived   his   Alleyne     argument   because   of    the   way    he
    conducted this appeal.           The government takes the position that
    "[w]hen Pizarro filed his appellate brief on February 13, 2013, he
    had the opportunity but failed to raise on appeal the claim that
    his sentence was imposed in violation of Apprendi v. New Jersey,
    
    530 U.S. 466
     (2000), since the 10-year mandatory minimum was based
    on the court's findings as to drug quantity."                     However, the
    government is simply wrong. Pizarro did raise his Alleyne claim in
    his opening brief by arguing that "a conspiracy-wide, judicial
    determination of quantity by a preponderance [of the evidence] for
    the purpose of establishing a statutory sentencing range in a 
    21 U.S.C. § 846
     conspiracy is error."             He concluded that "after
    5
    During oral argument, we instructed the government and
    Pizarro to file supplemental briefs on the Alleyne issue.
    -12-
    Apprendi,   a    jury    should   be   required     to   make   an    individual
    determination      of   drug   quantity   beyond     a   reasonable    doubt   to
    establish a statutory sentencing range in a 
    21 U.S.C. § 846
    conspiracy."     The argument that the "statutory sentencing range"
    was applied in error inescapably encompassed an Alleyne claim
    regarding the mandatory minimum.          As the government says he should
    have done, Pizarro cited Apprendi to support this argument. Hence,
    under the standard set out by the government itself, Pizarro raised
    his Alleyne claim on appeal in his opening brief.6
    Moreover, in his supplemental brief filed after oral
    argument, Pizarro specifically characterizes his claim as one under
    Alleyne.    Under our precedent on Apprendi, Pizarro's supplemental
    brief alone would have been sufficient to raise the Alleyne claim.
    See United States v. LaFreniere, 
    236 F.3d 41
    , 48 (1st Cir. 2001)
    (finding    that     Apprendi     issue   was      "properly    submitted      for
    disposition" where "we extended an invitation to LaFreniere and the
    government to supplement their briefs addressing the possible
    relevance   of     Apprendi").      Hence,    we    reject   the   government's
    position in its supplemental brief that Pizarro's "Alleyne claim is
    potentially waived" on appeal.
    Under Apprendi and now Alleyne, each of the subsections
    of 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1), with its associated drug quantities and
    6
    As the government itself implicitly recognizes, Pizarro
    could not have cited Alleyne as authority in his opening brief
    because it was filed before Alleyne was decided.
    -13-
    sentencing ranges, is a separate crime.     Indeed, the Supreme Court
    has so held.   Citing Alleyne and Apprendi, the Supreme Court in
    Burrage v. United States, 
    134 S. Ct. 881
     (2014), explained that
    because an aggravating element in § 841(b)(1) -- that death results
    from the use of the distributed drug -- "increased the minimum and
    maximum sentences to which [the defendant] was exposed, it is an
    element that must be submitted to the jury and found beyond a
    reasonable doubt." Burrage, 
    134 S. Ct. at
    887 (citing Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at 2162-63
    ; Apprendi, 
    530 U.S. at 490
    ).7      Burrage concluded
    that a violation of § 841(a)(1), without a finding on the "death
    results" aggravating element, is a lesser-included offense of the
    aggravated offense that includes the "death results" element under
    § 841(b)(1).   
    134 S. Ct. at
    887 n.3.      See also United States v.
    Pena, 
    742 F.3d 508
    , 517, 519 (1st Cir. 2014) (same).       Just as the
    "death results" element makes the distribution of drugs where death
    results a separate crime from the distribution of drugs without a
    death resulting, drug quantity in § 841(b)(1) creates aggravated
    conspiracy and possession offenses.
    Under   Alleyne,   the    operative   question   for   a   drug
    conspiracy is whether it is the individualized drug quantity that
    is a "fact that increases the mandatory minimum" sentence, Alleyne,
    
    133 S. Ct. at 2155
    .    We have already answered that question in
    United States v. Colón-Solís, 
    354 F.3d 101
     (1st Cir. 2004), where
    7
    Like the aggravating element of drug quantity, "death
    results" is a distinct aggravating element in § 841(b)(1).
    -14-
    we held that a mandatory minimum "is made potentially available by
    a finding that the conspiracy as a whole handled (or at least
    contemplated) the necessary triggering amount," but a mandatory
    minimum "cannot be applied in [a particular coconspirator's] case
    without an individualized finding that the triggering amount was
    attributable to, or foreseeable by, him."          Id. at 103.8     Colón-
    Solís was decided prior to Alleyne; therefore, after Colón-Solís,
    that individualized finding was made by the sentencing judge.
    However, following the Supreme Court's decision in Alleyne, the
    drug quantity that triggers the mandatory minimum for a 
    21 U.S.C. § 846
       conspiracy,   like   the   drug   quantity   that   triggers   the
    statutory maximum under Apprendi, must now be found by a jury
    beyond a reasonable doubt.9      But, those quantities serve different
    purposes:    while it is the conspiracy-wide quantity that governs
    the statutory maximum, Casas, 
    425 F.3d at
    66 n.58, it is the
    individualized quantity, i.e., the quantity that is foreseeable to
    8
    Casas itself recognized this principle: "In the absence of
    such an individualized finding, the drug quantity attributable to
    the conspiracy as a whole cannot automatically be shifted to the
    defendant." Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 57-58
     (quoting Colón-Solís, 
    354 F.3d at 103
    ).
    9
    In United States v. Paladin, 
    748 F.3d 438
     (1st Cir. 2014),
    the defendant also made the argument that, after Alleyne, Colón-
    Solís required the jury to find an individualized drug quantity
    triggering a mandatory minimum, but it was unnecessary for us to
    decide the issue in that case. See 
    id. at 452-53
     ("Paladin urges
    a collective reading of Colón-Solís and Alleyne to require that the
    jury make an individualized finding as to the quantity of drugs
    attributable to a particular defendant.").
    -15-
    the defendant, that triggers the mandatory minimum, Colón-Solís,
    
    354 F.3d at 103
    .
    Having been indicted for conspiring to possess with
    intent to distribute 1.4 kilograms of heroin and 9,445 kilograms of
    cocaine, Pizarro most recently was sentenced on the conspiracy
    count to 23 1/3 years in prison under 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(A),
    which        applies    a    mandatory   minimum      sentence    of      ten   years
    imprisonment.          Pizarro is correct, however, that the jury did not
    make a finding with respect to the quantity of drugs in the
    conspiracy foreseeable to him.10              Indeed, we have already held that
    to be the case:             "We wish to clarify that the jury verdict of
    guilty did not determine the amount of drugs attributed to each
    defendant."       Casas, 
    425 F.3d at
    65 n.56.          Therefore, Alleyne error
    occurred in Pizarro's case in the conspiracy conviction.
    There was also Alleyne error in Pizarro's possession
    conviction.            He   was   indicted    for   possession   with     intent   to
    distribute       eighty-one       kilograms    of   cocaine   and,   as    with    the
    conspiracy count, was sentenced on the possession count to 23 1/3
    years of imprisonment under § 841(b)(1)(A), carrying the ten-year
    mandatory minimum.           However, the jury did not make the requisite
    finding of drug quantity for that sentence.               In fact, the jury was
    instructed that quantity was irrelevant: "The United States is not
    10
    Pizarro's trial occurred years before the Supreme Court
    decided Alleyne; hence, there was no precedent at the time
    requiring the jury to make the individualized drug quantity finding
    on the conspiracy count.
    -16-
    required to prove that the amount or quantity was as charged in the
    indictment.     It need only prove beyond reasonable doubt that there
    was a measurable amount of the controlled substance."11
    Henceforth, under Alleyne and Apprendi, the jury must
    find    the    mandatory-minimum   and    statutory-maximum   triggering
    elements.      In a drug conspiracy or possession conviction with a
    mandatory minimum and statutory maximum based on drug quantity, the
    jury must find those requisite drug quantities.12      For example, for
    a cocaine conspiracy conviction under § 841(b)(1)(A), which imposes
    a mandatory minimum of ten years and a statutory maximum of life
    imprisonment, the jury must now find that the defendant (1)
    conspired, § 846; (2) knowingly or intentionally to distribute
    11
    Again, this instruction reflected the state of the law at
    that time.
    12
    On the other hand, where the mandatory minimum and statutory
    maximum do not depend on drug quantity, the court, without any jury
    finding, may make its own drug quantity findings for sentencing
    purposes. For example, during sentencing for a conviction under
    § 841(b)(1)(C), where the indictment had not specified the quantity
    of cocaine or heroin or only charged small amounts, a district
    court may make an individualized drug quantity finding for a
    conspiracy charge (and a drug quantity finding for a possession
    charge) by a preponderance of the evidence to determine the
    advisory Guidelines sentence. See Ramírez-Negrón, 751 F.3d at 48-
    49 (recognizing that the district court may make drug quantity
    findings by a preponderance of the evidence to calculate an
    advisory Guidelines sentence for a § 841(b)(1)(C) offense). After
    calculating that advisory Guidelines sentence, the district court
    must then use its discretion to impose a sentence within the
    statutory sentencing range mandated by the jury's verdict. If, for
    a conviction under § 841(b)(1)(C), the court determines that the
    advisory Guidelines sentence is greater than twenty years,
    § 841(b)(1)(C)'s statutory twenty-year maximum nevertheless caps
    any sentence that the district court can give.
    -17-
    cocaine, § 841(a)(1); (3) in a conspiracy that involved a total of
    five kilograms or more of cocaine, § 841(b)(1)(A); Apprendi, 
    530 U.S. at 490
    ; (4) where at least five kilograms of cocaine were
    foreseeable to the defendant, § 841(b)(1)(A); Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at 2155
    ;   Colón-Solís,      
    354 F.3d at 103
    .13    For    a    possession
    conviction under § 841(b)(1)(A), a crime that by its nature only
    assesses the conduct of an individual, rather than the conduct of
    co-conspirators,    the     jury     must   find    that    the    defendant    (1)
    knowingly or intentionally possessed with intent to distribute,
    §    841(a)(1);    (2)    at     least      five     kilograms      of     cocaine,
    § 841(b)(1)(A); Apprendi, 
    530 U.S. at 490
    ; Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at 2155
    .14
    13
    In the case of a cocaine conspiracy, if the jury makes the
    required threshold findings of at least five kilograms, but does
    not indicate a specific quantity, and the district court chooses to
    sentence above the mandatory minimum, the court must make an
    individualized drug quantity finding by a preponderance of the
    evidence. The court would have to find the specific quantity of
    cocaine foreseeable to the defendant to determine the recommended
    sentence under the Sentencing Guidelines. See Colón-Solís, 
    354 F.3d at 103
    . That fact-finding may require credibility assessments
    for any witnesses on whose testimony the court relies. See Correy,
    
    570 F.3d at 380-81
    . In its discretion, the court will then impose
    a sentence within the statutory range.
    14
    As with a conspiracy conviction, if the jury makes the
    required threshold finding of at least five kilograms for a cocaine
    possession count, but does not indicate a specific quantity, and
    the district court chooses to sentence above the mandatory minimum,
    it must make a drug quantity finding by a preponderance of the
    evidence to determine the recommended sentence under the
    Guidelines. The court will then use its discretion to impose a
    sentence within the statutory range.
    -18-
    D.   The Nature of Alleyne Error
    There are different forms of Alleyne error that can lead
    to a sentence, imposed after a jury trial, involving the improper
    application of a mandatory minimum without the requisite jury
    finding.   One form of Alleyne error is analyzed as a trial error,
    another as a sentencing error.           The nature of the Alleyne error
    affects the remedy that might be available to a defendant.
    In Alleyne itself, the error was of the sentencing
    variety.      The jury verdict form in Alleyne had included the
    applicable minimum-triggering element in that case (brandishing of
    a firearm) as an optional finding that the jury should consider.
    The jury instead "indicated on the verdict form that Alleyne had
    '[u]sed or carried a firearm during and in relation to a crime of
    violence,' but did not indicate a finding that the firearm was
    '[b]randished.'"       Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at 2156
    .          The trial court,
    however, applied the mandatory minimum based on its own finding by
    a preponderance of the evidence that the defendant had brandished
    the weapon.     
    Id.
         Thus, the error in Alleyne was confined to
    sentencing,    where    the   district    court   made   a    finding   on   an
    aggravating element that was presented to and rejected by the jury.
    In essence, the trial judge sentenced Alleyne for "a separate,
    aggravated offense," 
    id. at 2162
    , that the jury had itself decided
    not to find beyond a reasonable doubt.              See, e.g., Price v.
    Georgia, 
    398 U.S. 323
    , 328-29 (1970) (holding that where jury was
    -19-
    instructed on both a greater offense and lesser-included offense
    and the jury convicted on the lesser-included offense, the double
    jeopardy provision prohibited retrial on the greater offense).
    Therefore,    the   Supreme   Court    vacated    Alleyne's   sentence   and
    "remand[ed] for resentencing consistent with the jury's verdict,"
    id. at 2164, which would mean that Alleyne should only be sentenced
    for the offense of using or carrying a firearm in relation to a
    crime of violence.
    On the other hand, where a defendant was indicted for and
    convicted of an aggravated offense and the jury was not instructed
    on the element triggering the statutory mandatory minimum sentence,
    but that minimum was nevertheless applied at sentencing, the
    Alleyne error is analyzed as an instructional error, occurring at
    trial. The Supreme Court's decision in Washington v. Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. 212
     (2006), dictates this conclusion.            There, the jury had
    found the defendant guilty of assault while armed with a deadly
    weapon, but the judge sentenced the defendant, over his objection,
    for assault while armed with a firearm, a separate, aggravated
    offense subject to a greater statutory maximum sentence.           See 
    id. at 215-216, 225
    . Unlike in Alleyne, the Recuenco jury had not been
    given the option of finding the aggravating element, i.e., that the
    deadly weapon was a firearm.           
    Id.
       The trial court, therefore,
    committed     Apprendi   error   by    imposing   a   mandatory   statutory
    -20-
    sentencing enhancement without a jury finding on the requisite
    aggravating element of a firearm.15
    The Supreme Court held that the "[f]ailure to submit a
    sentencing factor to the jury," which increases the statutory
    maximum, i.e., the Apprendi error, was "indistinguishable" from the
    "failure to submit an element to the jury" that occurred in Neder
    v. United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
     (1999).16               Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. at 220, 222
    .        In Neder, the district court erred by refusing to instruct
    the jury on "materiality" as an element of tax fraud.                  Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 4
    . Recuenco explained that "[b]ecause Neder's jury did not
    find him guilty of each of the elements of the offenses with which
    he was charged, its verdict is no more fairly described as a
    complete finding of guilt of the crimes for which the defendant was
    sentenced than is the verdict here."                Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. at 221
    .
    Hence,       in    a   case   where   the    jury   was   not   instructed   on   an
    15
    The Supreme Court characterized the Apprendi error in
    Recuenco as Blakely error. Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. at 216
    . As the
    Court explained, "In Blakely [v. Washington, 
    542 U.S. 296
     (2004)],
    we clarified that 'the "statutory maximum" for Apprendi purposes is
    the maximum sentence a judge may impose solely on the basis of the
    facts reflected in the jury verdict or admitted by the defendant.'"
    Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. at 216
     (quoting Blakely, 
    542 U.S. at 303
    ).
    16
    The element that increased the statutory maximum in Recuenco
    is more properly termed an "aggravating element" than a "sentencing
    factor." The Supreme Court explained in Apprendi that the term
    "sentencing factor" "appropriately describes a circumstance, which
    may be either aggravating or mitigating in character, that supports
    a specific sentence within the range authorized by the jury's
    finding that the defendant is guilty of a particular offense."
    Apprendi, 
    530 U.S. at
    494 n.19. Hence, we refer to a factor that
    increases the statutory maximum or minimum as an "aggravating
    element," as opposed to a "sentencing factor."
    -21-
    aggravating element and thus necessarily did not make a finding on
    that element, the Supreme Court explicitly equated the Apprendi
    error of imposing that element's associated statutory sentencing
    enhancement with the Neder failure to instruct on an element of the
    offense. Likewise, even before the Supreme Court decided Recuenco,
    we too had analyzed Apprendi error as a failure to instruct the
    jury.   See, e.g., United States v. Pérez-Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d 1
    , 17 (1st
    Cir. 2003) (analyzing an Apprendi error in a drug conspiracy case
    as "the failure to submit the necessary drug type and quantity
    questions to the jury").
    Just as an Apprendi error can result from the failure to
    instruct on the maximum-triggering element, an Alleyne error can
    result from the failure to instruct on the minimum-triggering
    element.   Indeed, the Alleyne errors in Pizarro's case resulted
    from such instructional omissions.             The district court did not
    instruct the jury on the individualized drug quantity element of
    the   conspiracy   charge   or   the    drug    quantity   element   of   the
    possession charge.   Hence, an instructional Alleyne error, like an
    instructional   Apprendi    error,     is   properly   reviewed   under   the
    Supreme Court's jurisprudence on the failure to instruct on an
    element of the crime.
    The distinction between the Alleyne sentencing error that
    occurred in Alleyne itself and the Alleyne instructional errors
    that we have here affects the availability of harmless or plain
    -22-
    error review.    In a case where the trial court made a finding on an
    aggravating     element    that    was   rejected   by   the   jury   (as    in
    Alleyne itself), the standard of review makes no difference. After
    Apprendi and Alleyne, if a sentencing court imposes a sentence for
    an aggravated crime that the jury has considered and rejected, the
    error will always be plain and such an aggravated sentence must
    necessarily be vacated.      On the other hand, where the court failed
    to instruct the jury on an aggravating element (as in Recuenco),
    the jury never had a chance to make a finding on that element.              In
    such a situation, either harmless or plain error review (depending
    on whether the error was preserved) is appropriate to determine
    whether   a   reasonable    jury    necessarily     would    have   found   the
    aggravating element beyond a reasonable doubt.              See United States
    v. Delgado-Marrero, 
    744 F.3d 167
    , 184 (1st Cir. 2014); cf. United
    States v. Cotton, 
    535 U.S. 625
    , 631-34 (2002) (applying plain error
    review to an unpreserved Apprendi error).17
    17
    The writing judge believes that, because each subsection of
    § 841(b)(1) defines a separate crime, Burrage, 
    134 S. Ct. at
    887 &
    n.3, a court may not solve a non-harmless (or plain) Alleyne
    instructional error by taking a mandatory minimum (or the absence
    of one) from one subsection and a statutory maximum from another.
    In other words, if the court had found the Alleyne error here non-
    harmless, the writing judge believes the new sentencing range could
    not have been zero years to life imprisonment -- i.e., taking the
    absence of a mandatory minimum from § 841(b)(1)(C) and the
    statutory maximum of life imprisonment from § 841(b)(1)(A). He
    concludes that, under the logic of Burrage, such an approach would
    amount to legislating a wholly new crime and, hence, a non-harmless
    (or plain error) failure to instruct on the drug quantity elements
    would require vacating the conspiracy and possession convictions
    under § 841(b)(1)(A) carrying the mandatory minima.
    -23-
    E.   Pizarro's Preservation of the Alleyne Error at Sentencing
    Although    instructional      errors    ordinarily   must     be
    preserved   at    the   time   of   trial,    our   precedent   holds    that
    instructional Apprendi errors are preserved even if a defendant
    does not object until sentencing.            See, e.g., United States v.
    Díaz-Arias, 
    717 F.3d 1
    , 25 (1st Cir. 2013). Observing that a party
    has an obligation to object only to something "inimical to his
    cause," we have noted that a defendant would have "no interest in
    ensuring his eligibility for a longer sentence."          Pérez-Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d at 14
    .      Moreover, we have recognized that "a defendant will
    not know whether there is an Apprendi error until sentencing, and
    then only if the court considers a sentence above the maximum."
    United States v. Nelson-Rodriguez, 
    319 F.3d 12
    , 47 (1st Cir. 2003).
    Hence, we have held that a claim of Apprendi error is preserved for
    appeal if a defendant at sentencing challenges "the imposition or
    proposed imposition of a term that exceeds the applicable statutory
    maximum."   Pérez-Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d at 14
    .         In Casas, we also treated
    Apprendi claims as preserved as long as the defendants had objected
    at sentencing.     Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 59-60
    .18
    18
    At least one member of the panel disagrees with our
    reasoning in Pérez-Ruiz, Nelson-Rodriguez, and their progeny
    holding that a defendant preserves an Apprendi claim by objecting
    at sentencing. Under this view, Pérez-Ruiz et al. cannot survive
    the Supreme Court's recognition that drug quantity -- or any
    sentencing factor -- is an element of the charged offense. The
    rationale is that, when the indictment charges an enhanced offense,
    a defendant can hardly stand by silently (and then later invoke
    harmless error review) when the instructions fail to include
    -24-
    In its supplemental brief, the government claims the
    Alleyne error was unpreserved below and applies the plain error
    test as part of its argument.19    As we reported in Casas, "Pizarro
    objected [at his initial sentencing] that the jury did not make a
    finding on the issue of drug quantity.      When the district judge
    asserted that there was no Apprendi issue, Pizarro's counsel
    responded that '[w]e believe, Your Honor, that there is room in
    that respect.'"   Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 59
    .      We observed that this
    objection "by its nature raised Apprendi concerns," 
    id.
     at 60 n.48,
    which also would have sufficed to raise an Alleyne claim based on
    the same Sixth Amendment right to a jury trial, see Alleyne, 
    133 S. Ct. at
    2163 & n.5 (noting that "there is no principle or logic
    to distinguish facts that raise the maximum from those that
    increase the minimum"). Although Pizarro did not explicitly object
    on these grounds again at his most recent sentencing hearing (his
    third), our precedent suggests that, assuming Pizarro did not
    abandon his original objection, the objection would have preserved
    appropriate mention of drug quantity any more than the defendant
    could withhold objection to the omission of any other element (such
    as mens rea in a murder case that enhances the base level offense).
    Adopting that view would require our court to revisit our
    precedents holding otherwise.       In any event, as Pizarro's
    conviction survives both plain-error and harmless-error review, our
    result does not depend on whether Pizarro preserved an objection to
    the Alleyne error.
    19
    Even though Alleyne had not been decided yet, if there had
    been no objection below, an Alleyne claim would have been reviewed
    for plain error. See United States v. Harakaly, 
    734 F.3d 88
    , 94
    (1st Cir. 2013).
    -25-
    the Alleyne claim for our review now.          See United States v.
    Amirault, 
    224 F.3d 9
    , 14 (1st Cir. 2000) (holding that claim was
    preserved for subsequent appeal by objection at original sentencing
    hearing).    We need not resolve whether Pizarro in fact preserved
    his Alleyne claim for this appeal, however, as we can conclude that
    the error was in any event harmless.      See, e.g., United States v.
    Soto-Beníquez, 
    356 F.3d 1
    , 49 (1st Cir. 2004) ("We have already
    determined that any Apprendi error as to drug amount or type would
    be harmless; a fortiori, no plain error occurred.").     We therefore
    presume, without deciding, that harmless error review applies here.
    F.   Harmless Error Review for Instructional Errors
    The Supreme Court addressed harmless error review for an
    omitted element in Neder v. United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
     (1999),
    describing the inquiry as whether it is "clear beyond a reasonable
    doubt that a rational jury would have found the defendant guilty
    absent the error."     
    Id. at 18
    .     The Court held that "[i]n this
    situation, where a reviewing court concludes beyond a reasonable
    doubt that the omitted element was uncontested and supported by
    overwhelming evidence, such that the jury verdict would have been
    the same absent the error, the erroneous instruction is properly
    found to be harmless."   
    Id. at 17
    .    The concurrence by the writing
    judge asserts that, based on the Court's statements in Neder and
    its prior precedent, the omission of an element is harmless only
    when the reviewing court draws two conclusions beyond a reasonable
    -26-
    doubt: the element is uncontested, and the element is supported by
    overwhelming     evidence.             In     this   case      of    instructional
    Alleyne error, the concurrence takes the position that the omission
    would not be harmless if the defendant had asserted either below or
    on appeal that a properly instructed jury could have found in his
    favor on the omitted element.               The panel need not decide whether
    this view of the law is correct because, in this case, we conclude
    beyond a reasonable doubt both that Pizarro has never contested the
    omitted drug quantity elements and that they were supported by
    overwhelming evidence.
    In its supplemental brief, the government argues that
    Pizarro   conceded   that    he    was       responsible    for     at   least   five
    kilograms   of   cocaine.         We    do     not   examine      whether   Pizarro
    affirmatively admitted that threshold quantity, however, because we
    conclude that, like Neder, Pizarro has not contested the omitted
    elements.   At his first sentencing, Pizarro asserted only that the
    jury did not make any drug quantity findings; he did not argue that
    a contrary finding on the elements was possible.                          Moreover,
    Pizarro's argument on appeal regarding the failure to instruct on
    the drug quantity elements "establishes only that there was Alleyne
    error; it says nothing about whether that error was harmless." See
    United States v. Harakaly, 
    734 F.3d 88
    , 95-96 (1st Cir. 2013).
    Finally, while Pizarro did make credibility arguments at sentencing
    and on appeal to challenge the court's drug quantity determination
    -27-
    at sentencing, there is no indication that Pizarro's argument
    called into question anything other than the sentencing court's
    conclusion that Pizarro was responsible for more than 150 kilograms
    of cocaine. Pizarro did not argue that the jury that convicted him
    could have found him responsible for less than five kilograms of
    cocaine.20 Hence, Pizarro did not contest the omitted drug quantity
    elements.
    The government also argues that overwhelming evidence
    introduced         at   Pizarro's        trial    established          that    Pizarro    was
    responsible for at least five kilograms of cocaine, the requisite
    drug quantity for § 841(b)(1)(A)'s ten-year mandatory minimum.                                 A
    reviewing court may conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that the
    omitted element was "supported by overwhelming evidence" if the
    evidence was of such a significant quantity and quality that it
    "incontrovertibly establishes" the element. Neder, 
    527 U.S. at
    16-
    17; see also United States v. Bailey, 
    270 F.3d 83
    , 89 (1st Cir.
    2001)       (finding      that     evidence      was    not      "overwhelming"        because
    "[w]hile       a    judge    could       permissibly        find    those      facts     by    a
    preponderance of the evidence, and a jury could permissibly find
    them    beyond      a     reasonable     doubt,        it   is   not   so     clear    that    a
    reasonable jury must have found them beyond a reasonable doubt");
    Pérez-Ruiz,         
    353 F.3d at 18-19
        (similar).            Even    where        the
    20
    We do not mean to suggest that a credibility argument,
    explaining how a finding of less than five kilograms was possible,
    could not have "contested" the omitted elements, as the term is
    used in Neder.
    -28-
    government's evidence on the omitted element is "strong," that
    evidence    is   not     overwhelming   if    competing   evidence   is   "not
    inherently incredible."        United States v. Prigmore, 
    243 F.3d 1
    , 22
    (1st Cir. 2001) (citing Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
    ).
    In    this    case,   overwhelming     evidence    supports    the
    requisite findings of at least five kilograms.                The jury found
    Pizarro guilty of possession with intent to distribute cocaine, and
    Pizarro explained in his opening brief that DEA Agent Jay Stoothoff
    testified that 81 kilograms of cocaine was the amount seized.             See
    also Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 29
    , 54 n.39 (explaining that two DEA agents
    identified Pizarro as one of the suspects participating in the
    March 21, 1994 airport transaction from which the agents secured
    four suitcases containing the 81 kilograms of cocaine).                    At
    Pizarro's first sentencing hearing, Pizarro's counsel stated that
    the 81 kilograms had actually been presented in court.               Further,
    Pizarro's   own    description     of   the   evidence    includes   multiple
    witnesses testifying that Pizarro was involved in distributing
    quantities of cocaine well over five kilograms.            In fact, evidence
    showed that "Pizarro coordinated the shipment of drugs through the
    airport in Puerto Rico," Correy, 
    570 F.3d at 375
    , and "seven
    cooperating witnesses . . . identified Pizarro as a member of the
    conspiracy and described his role and specific activities therein,"
    Casas, 
    425 F.3d at
    54 n.39. Hence, we conclude beyond a reasonable
    -29-
    doubt that the omitted element was "supported by overwhelming
    evidence."     Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
    .
    In sum, because we have found the omitted element of drug
    quantity to be both uncontested and supported by overwhelming
    evidence, we need not decide whether the absence of a contest is
    required in order to find harmless error.      In the circumstances of
    this case, the jury verdict would have been the same absent the
    error.     We therefore find the error harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt.21
    III.
    We thus turn to Pizarro's claims of error related to his
    most recent sentence.      Independent of the Alleyne errors, which
    implicated his convictions, Pizarro argues that the district court
    ignored our prior remand order by refusing to engage in credibility
    assessments     with   respect   to   the   conspiracy   drug   quantity
    attributable to him and by refusing to consider his arguments
    21
    In addition to his Alleyne arguments, Pizarro claims that
    his "statutory and constitutional rights to a speedy trial and
    sentencing were denied as a result of the commencement of trial 41
    months after [his] indictment and the further delay of sentencing
    until years after." As the government properly points out, Pizarro
    has not developed this argument beyond this one sentence;
    therefore, the argument is waived. See United States v. Zannino,
    
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17 (1st Cir. 1990) ("[I]ssues adverted to in a
    perfunctory manner, unaccompanied by some effort at developed
    argumentation, are deemed waived."). Furthermore, as to pretrial
    delay, we have already held that there was no Speedy Trial Act or
    Sixth Amendment violation. See Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 30-36
    .
    -30-
    regarding the firearm enhancement.            We agree, and hence we must
    vacate his sentence.22
    A.   Individualized Drug Quantity
    During the first two sentencings, the district court
    concluded that the jury's guilty verdict resolved any credibility
    issues     about   the     testimony   relating   to     the    drug    quantity
    foreseeable to Pizarro.         In both Casas and Correy, we explained
    that the district court was wrong, see Casas, 
    425 F.3d at
    64 n.56;
    Correy, 
    570 F.3d at 378-79
    , and we twice ordered the district court
    to conduct credibility assessments, "based on the whole record,"
    see Correy, 
    570 F.3d at 381
    , when calculating individualized drug
    quantity.
    Pizarro pointed the district court to our decisions when
    arguing    that    credibility    assessments     were       required   for   all
    witnesses    on    whose   testimony    the   court    was    relying   for   its
    individualized      drug    quantity    determination.         In   Correy,    we
    explained:
    On remand, the appellants developed arguments attacking
    the credibility and reliability of other witnesses.
    Though our discussion in the prior opinion was focused on
    Martínez and Pérez, equally applicable to all witnesses
    was the rationale for requiring independent credibility
    assessments by the sentencing judge . . . . [A]fter our
    remand, the district court should have made credibility
    22
    This next resentencing will be Pizarro's fourth sentencing.
    As explained above, Pizarro was initially sentenced in 2002 to life
    imprisonment. After his first appeal, Pizarro was resentenced in
    2006 to 30 years in prison. After his second appeal, Pizarro was
    resentenced in 2012 to 23 1/3 years in prison.
    -31-
    determinations as necessary to resolve the facts in
    dispute.
    
    570 F.3d at 379
     (emphasis added).               Nevertheless, in the 2012
    resentencing that is the subject of this appeal, the district court
    again took the position that "credibility is not an issue" to be
    considered for any witnesses other than Thomas Martínez and Israel
    Pérez-Delgado.    Therefore, the district court relied on testimony
    from     other   witnesses     without       conducting     any    credibility
    assessments.      This     improper    course,      now   repeated,   directly
    contravened Correy's explicit order.
    The government claims that the following statement from
    the district court during the 2012 resentencing indicates that it
    did perform the required credibility determinations:
    You point out [sic] to cross examination, to some
    impeachment, other testimony, but I have to part from
    that premise. There were convictions in this case as to
    your client. Some others may have been acquitted, other
    matters, but if you look at the global [sic] and
    summarize the testimony, if you look at it globally I
    understand by the preponderance of the evidence it
    supports that drug finding.
    (Emphasis added.) Contrary to what the government posits, the most
    natural reading of this passage, particularly in light of the
    district court's explicit statement that "credibility is not an
    issue" for witnesses other than Martínez and Pérez-Delgado, is that
    yet again "the district court did not heed our instruction, but
    rather    persisted   in     its   view      that   the   jury    verdict   was
    controlling."    Correy, 
    570 F.3d at 379
    .
    -32-
    "[W]here the district court has expressly made clear that
    it   is   not   conducting   a   credibility   inquiry,   it   would   be
    disingenuous of us to act otherwise."      
    Id. at 381
    .    Therefore, we
    must vacate Pizarro's sentence and remand for resentencing under
    § 841(b)(1)(A).    The district court's credibility assessments must
    be based on the whole record for all witnesses on whose testimony
    the court has relied to calculate the conspiracy drug quantity
    foreseeable to Pizarro.      We understand the particular burden that
    credibility assessments impose on the district court under the
    circumstances here; however, that burden does not permit a sentence
    that does not fully comport with all legal requirements.
    B.   Firearm Enhancement
    Pizarro also asserts that the district court erred by
    refusing to consider his arguments refuting the two-point firearm
    enhancement.    We agree.    In Correy, we unambiguously asserted:
    Pizarro should have a real opportunity to challenge this
    inference [that the conspiracy's use of weapons would be
    foreseeable to Pizarro] by arguing the question of
    foreseeability to a fact-finder willing to consider his
    arguments. Thus, on remand, . . . [h]e will be able to
    make factual arguments attacking credibility and
    foreseeability, which the court will consider and
    resolve.
    Correy, 
    570 F.3d at 401
    .     Nevertheless, the district court refused
    to hear Pizarro's arguments concerning the firearm enhancement,
    incorrectly asserting numerous times that consideration of the
    enhancement was "outside the scope of the remand order."
    -33-
    The government attempts to salvage the district court's
    application     of   the   enhancement    by    referring     to   the   court's
    statement that "[a]gain I mentioned that I was not going to disturb
    that enhancement, but even if I were to make it anew, counsel made
    the arguments, but I understand there has been testimony in this
    particular case for example and again this gentleman has not been
    acquitted of any Counts, other defendants have."              Contrary to the
    government's argument, it appears that, as with its refusal to
    conduct the credibility determinations for individualized drug
    quantity, the district court relied on the jury verdict instead of
    conducting the inquiry we directed.            While the court did point to
    witness testimony regarding the "foreseeability of possession of
    firearms" to Pizarro, the court erred by not considering Pizarro's
    arguments regarding the enhancement or performing the credibility
    determinations that we said were necessary.                   The court must
    consider Pizarro's arguments on remand.
    C.   Remaining Issues
    1.    PSR
    With respect to both the individualized drug quantity and
    the foreseeable use of firearms, Pizarro claims that the most
    recent PSR repeated the deficiencies that we ordered corrected in
    our prior decisions.       We disagree.
    Previously,      we   directed      that   "the   sentencing    court
    should, on remand, provide Pizarro with a PSR which identifies
    -34-
    specific drug quantities."         Correy, 
    570 F.3d at 400
    .     We explained
    that, "[a]rmed with this PSR, Pizarro will be given a genuine
    opportunity to argue that the testimony was incredible, that it
    does not support the incriminating inference, and/or that it was
    not foreseeable." 
    Id.
     With respect to the firearm enhancement, we
    directed that the PSR identify trial transcript portions that
    support any conclusion that he possessed weapons or that weapon
    possession was foreseeable to him.           
    Id. at 401
    .   We also "ordered
    that the PSR include references to the trial record."              See 
    id. at 384
    .
    As we ordered, the Second Amended PSR filed on July 7,
    2011 included in paragraphs 92 through 102 a synopsis of testimony
    with   respect    to   specific    drug   quantities    that   arguably   were
    foreseeable to Pizarro.         With respect to a firearm, paragraph 92
    specifically     cited   testimony    that    Pizarro   received   a   firearm
    through the mail in August 1993.             Hence, the Second Amended PSR
    satisfied our order in Correy.
    2.     Drug Type
    Pizarro argues that because the jury instructions on
    conspiracy did not include the type and quantity of drugs, the jury
    could have found him guilty only of conspiracy to distribute
    heroin, possibly producing a lower base offense level under the
    Guidelines.      We disagree.     The superseding indictment charged that
    the conspiracy involved "approximately one thousand four hundred
    -35-
    grams of heroin . . . and approximately nine thousand four hundred
    forty five (9,445) kilograms of cocaine."            (Emphasis added.)
    "Because those drug quantities and types were joined by the
    conjunctive term 'and' rather than the disjunctive 'or,' there was
    no ambiguity about the crime charged."       Soto-Beníquez, 
    356 F.3d at 48-49
    .     Further, the district court instructed the jury numerous
    times that the charged conspiracy involved heroin "and" cocaine,
    including when summarizing the conspiracy charge, when reading the
    indictment, and when describing the proof of the conspiracy itself
    and the element of intent that would be necessary for a guilty
    verdict.
    3.   Other Sentencing Arguments
    Pizarro makes a host of other sentencing arguments,
    including that the sentencing court "was not familiar with the
    entire record," improperly considered 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
     factors, and
    should have granted certain downward departures and variances.
    Since we are already vacating Pizarro's sentence and ordering
    resentencing, we need not reach Pizarro's alternate claims.           See
    Correy, 
    570 F.3d at
    401 (citing United States v. Vidal-Reyes, 
    562 F.3d 43
    , 48 (1st Cir. 2009)).
    IV.
    In conclusion, we hold that the district court committed
    instructional Alleyne errors by failing to charge the jury on the
    essential    element   of   individualized    drug   quantity   for   the
    -36-
    conspiracy count and the essential element of drug quantity for the
    possession count before applying the § 841(b)(1)(A) statutory
    sentencing range that included a mandatory minimum sentence on each
    count. Nevertheless, because we conclude beyond a reasonable doubt
    that the errors did not contribute to the results obtained, we find
    the errors harmless.
    However, since the district court ignored our order to
    conduct credibility assessments when calculating individualized
    drug   quantity,    and    to   consider      Pizarro's    firearm   enhancement
    arguments,    we     vacate       Pizarro's     sentence      and    remand     for
    resentencing.      When resentencing Pizarro under § 841(b)(1)(A), the
    district court must (1) conduct credibility determinations, based
    on the whole record, for all witnesses on whose testimony it has
    relied in calculating an individualized drug quantity; (2) consider
    Pizarro's    arguments     regarding    a     firearm     enhancement;   and    (3)
    consider,    as   usual,    any    additional    sentencing     arguments      that
    Pizarro has not waived and that we have not already resolved and
    "such new arguments or new facts as are made newly relevant by
    [our] decision -- whether by the reasoning or by the result."
    United States v. Ticchiarelli, 
    171 F.3d 24
    , 32 (1st Cir. 1999)
    (internal quotation mark omitted).
    Pizarro was arrested in 1996 and tried in 1999.               Hence,
    as we consider this third direct appeal, he has been in custody for
    nearly two decades without a resolution of his case.                 Pizarro has
    -37-
    already been sentenced three times, and we are now remanding for a
    fourth sentencing proceeding.     The district court arrived at the
    last concurrent sentence of 23 1/3 years of imprisonment and five
    years of supervised release after calculating individualized drug
    quantity and applying a firearm enhancement, without weighing
    Pizarro's    potentially   mitigating   credibility   arguments.   Our
    vacatur and remand are for the purpose of correcting the district
    court's failure to evaluate those arguments, and we therefore see
    no justification for the court to impose a longer sentence on
    remand than it deemed appropriate without considering credibility.
    We conclude that it is just under these circumstances to direct the
    district court, after considering Pizarro's arguments, to impose a
    sentence no longer than the concurrent sentence of 23 1/3 years of
    imprisonment and five years of supervised release.       See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2106
    .     We intimate no view on whether the sentence should be
    lower.
    We therefore affirm Pizarro's convictions, vacate his
    sentence, and remand for resentencing consistent with this opinion.
    So ordered.
    – Concurring Opinions Follow –
    -38-
    LIPEZ, Circuit Judge, concurring.                  In analyzing the
    complex issues in this case, I became aware of the significant
    inconsistency in the way courts have reviewed for harmlessness the
    failure to instruct on an element of a crime.                    I write separately
    to express my concern regarding this inconsistency, which exists
    within       my    circuit   and   in       other   courts,    and    the    potentially
    unconstitutional applications of Neder v. United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
     (1999), that have resulted from it.                         Given that the Sixth
    Amendment right to a jury trial is at stake, I urge the Supreme
    Court to clarify the line between an unconstitutional, directed
    guilty verdict and a harmless failure to instruct on an element.
    I.
    A constitutional error is harmless where the reviewing
    court        concludes   "'beyond       a    reasonable   doubt       that    the   error
    complained of did not contribute to the verdict obtained,'" i.e.,
    "that the jury verdict would have been the same absent the error."
    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 15, 17
     (quoting Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24 (1967)).23 Neder expressly states that a "jury verdict would
    23
    My colleague incorrectly states in his concurrence that I
    have rejected the Chapman harmless error standard as applicable to
    this case. To the contrary, I fully embrace use of the Chapman
    standard here. My view, as elaborated below, is that the Chapman
    standard has a unique application where the error asserted is the
    failure to obtain a jury verdict on an element of the crime.
    The misunderstanding of my view is reflected in the
    hypothetical offered in Section VI of the responding concurrence.
    As I interpret Neder, that hypothetical could not happen.       The
    proposed scenario assumes that a reviewing court could conclude
    beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury verdict would have been the
    -39-
    have been the same absent" a failure to instruct on an element,
    "where a reviewing court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that
    the omitted element was uncontested and supported by overwhelming
    evidence."     Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
     (emphasis added).        Hence, since
    we have concluded beyond a reasonable doubt that the threshold five
    kilogram cocaine quantities were both uncontested by Pizarro and
    supported by overwhelming evidence, Neder mandates our conclusion
    here that the errors under Alleyne v. United States, 
    133 S. Ct. 2151
     (2013), were harmless.
    Neder, however, did not unequivocally answer whether its
    two-part formulation for finding an omitted element harmless in
    Neder's case -- that the element was both uncontested and supported
    by   overwhelming    evidence   --    was   merely   descriptive   of   the
    circumstances in Neder itself or also prescriptive for any finding
    of harmlessness where an element was omitted.         In Neder, the jury
    instructions for the charge of filing a false income tax return did
    not include the element of materiality.       Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 6
    .     The
    evidence showed that Neder failed to report over five million
    dollars in income on his tax returns.            
    Id. at 16
    .     The Court
    same absent the error even where the defendant contested the
    omitted element.   Under my reading of Supreme Court precedent,
    however, a court could only reach such a conclusion about the
    jury's verdict if it determined that the evidence on the omitted
    element was overwhelming and that the element was uncontested.
    Importantly,   and   also   contrary   to   my   colleague's
    representations, my view does not derive "almost entirely from a
    single quote from Neder." It is based on both a careful analysis
    of the Neder decision and on longstanding principles developed in
    the Court's precedent on directed guilty verdicts.
    -40-
    described two available standards for materiality24 and concluded
    that    "[u]nder   either   of    these    formulations,   no   jury   could
    reasonably conclude that Neder's failure to report substantial
    amounts of income on his tax returns was not 'a material matter.'"
    
    Id.
        The Court then explained:
    The   failure   to   report   such   substantial   income
    incontrovertibly    establishes    that   Neder's   false
    statements were material to a determination of his income
    tax liability. The evidence supporting materiality was
    so overwhelming, in fact, that Neder did not argue to the
    jury -- and does not argue here -- that his false
    statements of income could be found immaterial.
    
    Id. at 16-17
    .
    The Court ultimately declared its holding using the
    formulation quoted above, concluding that "[i]n this situation,
    where a reviewing court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that
    the omitted element was uncontested and supported by overwhelming
    evidence, such that the jury verdict would have been the same
    absent the error, the erroneous instruction is properly found to be
    harmless."     
    Id. at 17
    .        Notwithstanding the conjunctive "and"
    linking "uncontested" and "supported by overwhelming evidence,"25
    24
    Under one formulation, "a false statement is material if it
    has a natural tendency to influence, or [is] capable of
    influencing, the decision of the decisionmaking body to which it
    was addressed." Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 16
     (alteration in original)
    (internal quotation marks omitted). Under the other definition,
    "any failure to report income is material."         
    Id.
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    25
    My concurring colleague asserts that I have unduly relied
    on the conjunctive "and" as used by the Supreme Court in this
    passage from Neder while ignoring the arguably inconsistent
    parallel use of that word later in the opinion.       While the
    -41-
    courts have taken inconsistent positions on whether a defendant's
    contest of an omitted element, even one supported by overwhelming
    evidence,   renders   the   omission    non-harmless.   In   addition,
    Neder left unresolved the related question of what a defendant is
    required to do to "contest" the omitted element under Neder. In my
    view, Neder, especially when analyzed against the backdrop of the
    Supreme Court's cases regarding directed guilty verdicts, requires
    that an omitted element be uncontested in order to be found
    harmless.   However, this circuit has not uniformly approached the
    question, and there is significant inconsistency among the circuits
    and state courts.
    A.   The Debate over "Uncontested"
    1.   Inconsistency in this Circuit
    In certain cases, our harmlessness inquiry has examined
    both whether the omitted element was uncontested and whether it was
    supported by overwhelming evidence.       See, e.g., United States v.
    Harakaly, 
    734 F.3d 88
    , 95-96 (1st Cir. 2013) (finding omission
    harmless where overwhelming evidence supported omitted element of
    conjunctive formulation I describe here is important to my
    analysis, my view of the harmless error analysis in Neder is based
    on the entire opinion construed against the backdrop of the Supreme
    Court's precedent on directed guilty verdicts.
    Moreover, in contrast to the Court's statement of its holding
    as quoted here, the later use of "and" highlighted by my colleague
    is explicitly offered as an "example." See Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
    .
    Nonetheless, I have acknowledged that Neder's language is
    susceptible to my colleague's reading despite my view that, in
    light of Supreme Court precedent, that reading cannot be correct.
    -42-
    threshold drug quantity and defendant, instead of contesting that
    threshold quantity, "acknowledged responsibility for a quantity of
    drugs that far exceeds the triggering amount"); United States v.
    Zhen Zhou Wu, 
    711 F.3d 1
    , 20 (1st Cir. 2013) ("But here, the
    defendants did contest the prosecution's claim[,] . . . thus making
    this   case    different   from   Neder.");      United   States    v.   Nelson-
    Rodriguez, 
    319 F.3d 12
    , 48-51 (1st Cir. 2003) (finding preserved
    Apprendi errors harmless after concluding that defendants did not
    contest omitted element and that overwhelming evidence supported
    element); United States v. Bailey, 
    270 F.3d 83
    , 89 (1st Cir. 2001)
    ("The error cannot be harmless where, as here, the defendant has
    contested the omitted element and the evidence is sufficient to
    support a contrary finding.").
    Our cases that have performed this dual inquiry, however,
    have not made clear whether a defendant's contest of an omitted
    element precludes a finding of harmlessness, or whether such a
    contest is merely relevant to the harmlessness inquiry, but not
    determinative of it. In United States v. Prigmore, 
    243 F.3d 1
     (1st
    Cir. 2001), we indeed contemplated that a defendant's contest of an
    omitted element might itself preclude a finding of harmlessness.
    See 
    id. at 22
     ("Unlike Neder, the government's evidence . . . was
    contested     by   the   defendants;   as   we    have    stated,   defendants
    introduced testimonial evidence [to the contrary] . . . .                 Given
    Neder's repeated emphasis on the 'uncontested' nature of the
    -43-
    evidence of materiality in that case, the contested nature of the
    . . .   evidence in this case might well suffice to distinguish it
    from Neder in and of itself." (citation omitted)). However, we did
    not need to decide the question because the contested element was
    not supported by overwhelming evidence.        
    Id.
    Conversely, other cases in this circuit seem to have
    equated harmlessness solely with overwhelming evidence. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Soto-Beníquez, 
    356 F.3d 1
    , 48 (1st Cir. 2004) ("In
    determining   whether    an     Apprendi    error     is     harmless,    the
    determinative question is whether the evidence overwhelmingly
    establishes the amount of drugs distributed by the conspiracy as a
    whole."); United States v. Pérez-Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d 1
    , 18 (1st Cir.
    2003) (citing Nelson-Rodriguez, 
    319 F.3d at 45-49
    , and Bailey, 
    270 F.3d at
    89 -- cases that had themselves considered whether the
    omitted element was uncontested -- for the principle that "[i]n
    drug-trafficking cases involving Apprendi errors, we sometimes have
    treated the presence of 'overwhelming evidence' of the requisite
    drug types and quantities as a proxy for harmlessness").
    Still other cases appear to have taken an ambivalent
    stance, focusing the analysis primarily on whether overwhelming
    evidence   supported   the    omitted   element,    but    also   considering
    whether the element was uncontested.        See, e.g., United States v.
    Martinez-Medina, 
    279 F.3d 105
    , 121-22 (1st Cir. 2002) (explaining
    that "[n]either appellant seriously denies that the conspiracy
    -44-
    involved at least five kilograms of cocaine" but also that "it is
    settled that an Apprendi error can be harmless where the evidence
    overwhelmingly establishes the minimum drug quantity needed to
    justify a higher statutory maximum").
    2.   Inconsistency Among Other Circuits
    This circuit's internal inconsistency mirrors the inter-
    circuit conflict on the interpretation of Neder. I cite cases from
    the Ninth, Eleventh, Second, and Fourth Circuits as examples.
    Earlier   this   year,   the    Ninth   Circuit,   applying   the
    Neder standard, held that an Apprendi error was not harmless beyond
    a reasonable doubt because the defendant had contested the omitted
    element. See United States v. Guerrero-Jasso, 
    752 F.3d 1186
    , 1193-
    95 (9th Cir. 2014).   Despite finding the evidence supporting the
    omitted element to be "somewhat similar" to evidence the court had
    found to be "overwhelming" in a prior case, the Ninth Circuit held
    that Guerrero-Jasso's contest of the omitted element precluded a
    finding of harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt.           
    Id. at 1194
    .
    Further, although Neder stated that a court could not find harmless
    error "'for example, where the defendant contested the omitted
    element and raised evidence sufficient to support a contrary
    finding,'" the Ninth Circuit held that Guerrero-Jasso was not
    required affirmatively to raise evidence sufficient to support a
    contrary finding because "[t]he example provided in Neder [was] not
    the only way a constitutional error can be ruled not harmless; it
    -45-
    [was] one way."      Guerrero-Jasso, 752 F.3d at 1195 (quoting Neder,
    
    527 U.S. at 19
    ).
    By contrast, the Eleventh Circuit on remand in Neder
    interpreted the Supreme Court's decision as "not hold[ing] that
    omission of an element can never be harmless unless uncontested."
    United States v. Neder, 
    197 F.3d 1122
    , 1129 (11th Cir. 1999).
    Rather,   the     Eleventh    Circuit    construed        the   Supreme   Court's
    statements regarding "uncontested" as "mean[ing] only that the fact
    materiality was not contested support[ed] the conclusion that the
    jury's verdict would have been the same absent the error."                 
    Id.
     at
    1129 n.6.    Hence, the court concluded "whether Neder contested
    materiality may be considered but is not the pivotal concern."
    
    Id. at 1129
    .
    The   Second     Circuit    has   taken   a    different   position,
    holding that under Neder contesting an omitted element does not by
    itself render the omission non-harmless but requires a multi-step
    analysis.   In the Second Circuit, "'if the evidence supporting the
    omitted element was controverted, harmless error analysis requires
    the appellate court to conduct a two-part inquiry, searching the
    record in order to determine (a) whether there was sufficient
    evidence to permit a jury to find in favor of the defendant on the
    omitted element, and, if there was, (b) whether the jury would
    nonetheless have returned the same verdict of guilty.'"                    United
    States v. Needham, 
    604 F.3d 673
    , 679 (2d Cir. 2010) (quoting United
    -46-
    States     v.   Jackson,     
    196 F.3d 383
    ,   386   (2d   Cir.   1999)).26
    The Fourth Circuit has in turn expressly rejected the
    Second Circuit's approach in favor of yet another.            In the Fourth
    Circuit,    "if   the      defendant    contested   the   omitted   element,
    Neder mandates a second inquiry.          In that event, we must determine
    whether the 'record contains evidence that could rationally lead to
    a contrary finding with respect to that omitted element.'"            United
    States v. Brown, 
    202 F.3d 691
    , 701 (4th Cir. 2000) (quoting Neder,
    
    527 U.S. at 19
    ).
    26
    The Second Circuit has been internally inconsistent in its
    own stance on Neder, expressing, after Jackson, a belief that there
    is "some tension between the harmless-error analysis in Neder and
    our articulation of it in Jackson":
    . . . Neder appears to say that, once the court decides
    that the defendant offered evidence sufficient to support
    a finding in his or her favor on the omitted element, the
    court's error in omitting that element from the jury
    instruction cannot be deemed harmless, unless, for
    example, other conclusions by the same jury are the
    functional equivalent of a finding of the omitted
    element. Jackson, on the other hand, seems to allow the
    court to decide on its own whether the jury would have
    convicted the defendant, even where the evidence can
    support a finding in the defendant's favor on an omitted
    element and no functional equivalent of the omitted
    element has been found by the jury.
    Monsanto v. United States, 
    348 F.3d 345
    , 350-51 (2d Cir. 2003).
    Nevertheless, the Second Circuit has recognized it is "bound by
    Jackson, . . . unless and until that case is reconsidered by our
    court sitting in banc (or its equivalent) or is rejected by a later
    Supreme Court decision." 
    Id. at 351
    .
    -47-
    3.     Criticism in the State Courts
    Several state supreme courts have held that their state
    constitutions provide a broader jury trial guarantee than Neder
    recognized in the federal Constitution.      See, e.g., Harrell v.
    State, 
    134 So.3d 266
    , 270-75 (Miss. 2014) (holding under the
    Mississippi Constitution "that it is always and in every case
    reversible error for the courts of Mississippi to deny an accused
    the right to have a jury decide guilt as to each and every
    element"); State v. Kousounadis, 
    986 A.2d 603
    , 616 (N.H. 2009)
    ("Neder, however, has been widely criticized, and we decline to
    follow it with regard to our interpretation of the New Hampshire
    Constitution.").
    In addition, at least one state court has suggested that
    Neder's application of harmless error analysis to cases where the
    jury did not make a finding of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt on
    all elements will be "short-lived" given the Supreme Court's Sixth
    Amendment jurisprudence, starting with Apprendi v. New Jersey, 
    530 U.S. 466
     (2000), emphasizing the need for jury findings.       See
    Freeze v. State, 
    827 N.E.2d 600
    , 605 (Ind. Ct. App. 2005) ("We
    believe the validity of Neder might be short-lived, in light of the
    seismic shift in the Supreme Court's Sixth Amendment jurisprudence
    since 1999.").
    -48-
    B.   My View of "Uncontested"
    1.   The Unconstitutional Directed Guilty Verdict
    The Supreme Court has long recognized that "trial by jury
    in   criminal    cases    is   fundamental   to    the   American    scheme    of
    justice."    Duncan v. Louisiana, 
    391 U.S. 145
    , 149 (1968).                   The
    "intended purpose" of a jury trial in a criminal case is to "mak[e]
    judicial or prosecutorial unfairness less likely": "[p]roviding an
    accused with the right to be tried by a jury of his peers gave him
    an   inestimable    safeguard     against    the   corrupt   or     overzealous
    prosecutor and against the compliant, biased, or eccentric judge."
    
    Id. at 158, 156
    .         See also United States v. Martin Linen Supply
    Co., 
    430 U.S. 564
    , 572 (1977) ("[Jurors'] overriding responsibility
    is to stand between the accused and a potentially arbitrary or
    abusive Government that is in command of the criminal sanction.").
    It is a defendant's right to "prefer[] the common-sense judgment of
    a jury to the more tutored but perhaps less sympathetic reaction of
    the single judge."       Duncan, 
    391 U.S. at 156
    .        The jury system also
    serves as "a fundamental reservation of power in our constitutional
    structure" for the people to exercise "control in the judiciary."
    Blakely v. Washington, 
    542 U.S. 296
    , 306 (2004).             Hence, "a trial
    judge is prohibited from entering a judgment of conviction or
    directing the jury to come forward with such a verdict, regardless
    of how overwhelmingly the evidence may point in that direction."
    Martin Linen Supply Co., 
    430 U.S. at 572-73
     (citations omitted).
    -49-
    Against this background, the Supreme Court considered in
    Connecticut v. Johnson, 
    460 U.S. 73
     (1983), whether harmless error
    review     was       appropriate     for      a      jury   instruction    that
    unconstitutionally shifted the burden of proof on intent.27                  The
    Court divided equally on the question.28             The plurality, consisting
    of four justices, asserted that the instruction on presumed intent
    was "the functional equivalent of a directed verdict" on intent
    and, therefore, could not be harmless unless the defendant had
    conceded intent.       
    Id. at 84, 87
     (plurality opinion).29
    The Johnson dissent, also consisting of four justices,
    agreed with the plurality that an instruction that "permits a jury
    to   convict     a   defendant     without    ever    examining   the   evidence
    concerning an element of the crimes charged" would have "the effect
    27
    In Sandstrom v. Montana, 
    442 U.S. 510
     (1979), the Supreme
    Court had held that such an instruction violated due process. 
    Id. at 524
    . Sandstrom, however, expressly left open the question of
    whether such an improper presumption instruction could ever be
    harmless. 
    Id. at 526-27
    .
    28
    Justice Stevens did not join the plurality's opinion but
    concurred in the judgment and thereby provided the fifth vote for
    a disposition. Justice Stevens did not confront whether harmless
    error review was appropriate for the presumption instruction
    because in his view "[n]o federal question arises when a state
    court has decided for itself that it will decline to apply the
    Chapman harmless error test at all." Johnson, 
    460 U.S. at
    89 n.4
    (Stevens, J., concurring).
    29
    The plurality explained that "a defense such as alibi,
    insanity, or self-defense" could, depending on the case, amount to
    such a concession. Johnson, 
    460 U.S. at 87
     (plurality opinion).
    However, the plurality also recognized that "a defendant in a
    criminal trial is justified, of course, in defending solely in
    reliance on the presumption of his innocence and the State's burden
    of proof." 
    Id.
     at 87 n.16.
    -50-
    of a directed verdict."             
    Id. at 96
     (Powell, J., dissenting)
    (internal quotation marks omitted).             The dissent likewise agreed
    that such an "instructional error[] that prevent[s] a jury from
    considering an issue," 
    id.
     at 95 n.3, would preclude harmless error
    review.    See 
    id. at 97
    .         Justice Powell's dissent disagreed only
    with the plurality's classification of the presumption instruction
    as the equivalent of a directed verdict.                   
    Id. at 95-97
    .       The
    dissent viewed the presumption instruction as "distinguishable from
    other instructional errors that prevent a jury from considering an
    issue." 
    Id.
     at 95 n.3. It therefore concluded that "[b]ecause the
    presumption does not remove the issue of intent from the jury's
    consideration,      it    does    not   preclude    a    reviewing   court    from
    determining whether the error was harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt."    
    Id. at 97
     (internal quotation marks omitted).
    In Rose v. Clark, 
    478 U.S. 570
     (1986), the Supreme Court
    ultimately sided with the position of the Johnson dissent that
    harmless error review was appropriate for an improper presumption
    instruction on intent.            The Court justified its conclusion by
    explaining that "[w]hen a jury is instructed to presume malice from
    predicate facts, it still must find the existence of those facts
    beyond a reasonable doubt."             Rose, 
    478 U.S. at 580
    .       Hence, the
    Court reasoned that "'[b]ecause a presumption does not remove the
    issue     of     intent    from    the     jury's       consideration,   it     is
    distinguishable from other instructional errors that prevent a jury
    -51-
    from considering an issue,'" a situation that, according to the
    Court, would amount to "a directed verdict for the State."        
    Id.
     at
    580 & n.8 (quoting Johnson, 
    460 U.S. at
    95 n.3 (Powell, J.,
    dissenting)).     Rose      observed,   consistent    with   both    the
    Johnson   plurality   and   dissent,    that   harmless   error   review
    "presumably would not apply" in such a case:
    [H]armless-error analysis presumably would not apply if
    a court directed a verdict for the prosecution in a
    criminal trial by jury. We have stated that "a trial
    judge is prohibited from entering a judgment of
    conviction or directing the jury to come forward with
    such a verdict . . . regardless of how overwhelmingly the
    evidence may point in that direction." This rule stems
    from the Sixth Amendment's clear command to afford jury
    trials in serious criminal cases. Where that right is
    altogether denied, the State cannot contend that the
    deprivation was harmless because the evidence established
    the defendant's guilt; the error in such a case is that
    the wrong entity judged the defendant guilty.
    Id. at 578 (citations omitted) (quoting Martin Linen Supply Co.,
    
    430 U.S. at 572-73
    ).30
    30
    Having held that the presumption instruction did not direct
    a verdict, Rose disagreed with the position that such an improper
    presumption instruction "could never be harmless where a defendant
    contests intent."    Rose, 
    478 U.S. at 583
    .     The Court thereby
    rejected the Johnson plurality's view that a presumption
    instruction "'is the functional equivalent of a directed verdict'
    on intent, and is therefore harmless only when the defendant
    concedes intent." Rose, 
    478 U.S. at
    572 n.1 (quoting Johnson, 
    460 U.S. at 84
     (plurality opinion)). The Court instead adopted the
    Johnson dissent's view that "in cases of [an improper presumption
    instruction], 'the inquiry is whether the evidence was so
    dispositive of intent that a reviewing court can say beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the jury would have found it unnecessary to
    rely on the presumption.'" Rose, 
    478 U.S. at 583
     (quoting Johnson,
    
    460 U.S. at
    97 n.5 (Powell, J., dissenting)).
    -52-
    2. The "Narrow Class of Cases" Where an Omitted Element
    is "Uncontested"
    Having   decided      Rose   by    distinguishing    the   improper
    presumption instruction in that case from an "instructional error[]
    that prevents a jury from considering an issue," i.e., one that
    directs a verdict, for which "harmless-error analysis presumably
    would not apply," the Court was presented in Neder with such a
    directed verdict.           In Neder, the trial court had "explicitly
    directed the jury not to consider" the element of materiality.
    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at
    16 n.1.             Thus, unlike in Rose, it would be
    "incorrect to say that the jury made such a finding."                
    Id.
    For this reason, Justice Scalia's dissent in Neder,
    joined by Justices Souter and Ginsburg, asserted that holding the
    omission of the materiality element harmless was tantamount to
    allowing a directed verdict of guilty, which, under                Rose, "would
    be per se reversible no matter how overwhelming the unfavorable
    evidence."     Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 34
     (Scalia, J., dissenting) (citing
    Rose,   
    478 U.S. at 578
    ).      The      Neder   majority   responded   by
    reaffirming the Rose rule against allowing directed verdicts of
    guilty "regardless of how overwhelmingly the evidence may point in
    that direction," Rose, 
    478 U.S. at 578
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted).     See Neder, 
    527 U.S. at
    17 n.2.            At the same time, Neder
    prescribed harmless-error review for "the narrow class of cases"
    where there was "a failure to charge on an uncontested element of
    the offense."     Neder, 
    527 U.S. at
    17 n.2 (emphases added).
    -53-
    Hence, the Court evidently used the requirement that the
    omitted element be "uncontested" to justify departing from its
    repeated statements that harmless error review would be unavailable
    where a court had directed a jury verdict of guilty in a criminal
    case.   The Court emphasized that it was not taking an "'in for a
    penny, in for a pound' approach" -- i.e., by permitting harmless
    error review where the omitted element was uncontested, the Court
    was carving out an extremely limited exception to its bar against
    reviewing directed guilty verdicts for harmlessness.   See 
    id.
    In addition, having justified harmless error review for
    the flawed presumption instruction in Rose by distinguishing that
    error from the omission of an element, the Court demonstrated its
    intention to treat the two types of error differently.   In Neder,
    where the Court confronted the outright omission of an element, the
    majority adopted the "uncontested and . . . overwhelming evidence"
    formulation for analyzing whether "the jury verdict would have been
    the same absent the error," i.e., whether the error was harmless.
    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
     (emphasis added).   Indeed, the rule against
    allowing directed verdicts, explicitly reaffirmed in Neder, 
    527 U.S. at
    17 n.2, implicitly prohibits a reviewing court from finding
    harmlessness on the basis of overwhelming evidence alone.
    In sum, given this precedential landscape, I am convinced
    that the Court deliberately chose to make the harmlessness inquiry
    more demanding where an element was omitted.    Hence, I think the
    -54-
    Court in Neder intentionally prescribed the two-pronged inquiry
    requiring     consideration      of   whether   the   omitted    element    was
    uncontested and whether the record contained overwhelming evidence
    of that element, and only when both prongs are met can a reviewing
    court conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury verdict
    would have been the same absent the error.                Indeed, the Court
    emphasized the importance of "uncontested" to that inquiry:                  it
    listed "uncontested" as the first of the two necessary factors, see
    
    id. at 17
    , and it examined and re-examined whether Neder had
    contested the omitted element of materiality, see 
    id. at 15, 16-17
    ,
    17 n.2, 19.
    Thus, even where a reviewing court concludes beyond a
    reasonable        doubt   that   an   omitted   element   is    supported    by
    overwhelming evidence, I believe that the omission of that element
    is not harmless unless the court also concludes beyond a reasonable
    doubt that the element was "uncontested."
    3.    The Meaning of "Uncontested"
    In addressing the "uncontested" requirement in Neder, the
    Supreme Court noted that the defendant had made no attempt at trial
    or on appeal to argue the issue of materiality, 
    id. at 19
    , and that
    he did "not suggest that he would introduce any evidence bearing
    upon the issue of materiality if so allowed," 
    id. at 15
    .                     It
    further observed that Neder "apparently could not[] bring forth
    facts contesting the omitted element."           
    Id. at 19
    .
    -55-
    The Court thus remarked on the defendant's failure to
    argue the materiality issue at any point in the proceedings. Given
    those circumstances, Neder did not explicitly elaborate on what
    would have been sufficient to "contest" the omitted element.
    Indeed, Neder did not definitively answer whether an element would
    be deemed "contested" if a defendant waited until appeal to argue
    for the first time that a contrary finding on the element was
    possible.
    Moreover,   as   discussed   above,   the   plurality    in
    Johnson had taken the position that a directed verdict on an issue
    "may be harmless if the defendant conceded the issue."              See
    Johnson, 
    460 U.S. at 87
     (plurality opinion).      On the one hand, the
    Court's articulation of Neder's trial strategy could possibly be
    construed as such a concession of the omitted element.31     However,
    the Court used the word "uncontested," not "conceded," and the
    Court focused on the fact that Neder "did not argue to the jury --
    and does not argue here -- that his false statements of income
    could be found immaterial."       Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 16
     (emphases
    added).     Hence, in the opinion in this case, we have construed
    31
    The Court represented that Neder "defended against the tax
    charges by arguing that the loan proceeds were not income because
    he intended to repay the loans, and that he reasonably believed,
    based on the advice of his accountant and lawyer, that he need not
    report the proceeds as income." 
    Id. at 16-17
    . In other words,
    Neder's defense conceded that he received the considerable amount
    of funds charged, and "no jury could reasonably find that Neder's
    failure to report substantial amounts of income on his tax returns
    was not 'a material matter.'" 
    Id. at 16
    .
    -56-
    "uncontested" to mean that the defendant did not argue that a
    contrary finding on the omitted element was possible.                 We thus
    found the omitted drug quantity elements "uncontested" due to
    Pizarro's lack of affirmative argument on the issue.
    4. "Uncontested" in the Context of Instructional Alleyne
    Errors
    Given Pizarro's lack of argument on appeal, we were able
    to resolve this case without considering whether an argument made
    for the first time on appeal "contests" an omitted element.
    However,       I   believe   that   an   instructional   Alleyne   error   that
    occurred before Alleyne was decided cannot be deemed "uncontested,"
    and thus susceptible to a finding of harmless error, based solely
    on a defendant's failure to address the omitted element at trial.
    Until the Supreme Court held in Alleyne that facts
    triggering a mandatory minimum sentence must be found by a jury
    beyond a reasonable doubt, Pizarro had no obligation or incentive
    to discuss evidence of drug quantity.32           Therefore, if Pizarro had
    contested the drug quantity elements on appeal, I would have found
    no need to examine whether he had also challenged the elements at
    trial.        In my view, he could not have been faulted for failing to
    contest an issue at trial that was not, in fact, in play at that
    time.        Cf. Descamps v. United States, 
    133 S. Ct. 2276
    , 2289 (2013)
    32
    Indeed, because the trial in this case pre-dated Apprendi,
    drug quantity was not an issue for the jury at all.
    -57-
    ("A defendant, after all, often has little incentive to contest
    facts that are not elements of the charged offense -- and may have
    good reason not to.      At trial, extraneous facts may confuse the
    jury.    (Indeed, the court may prohibit them for that reason.)").
    At least where, as here, the defendant had no reason to think that
    drug quantity mattered with respect to conviction, I conclude that
    he could not be faulted for failing to contest the issue at trial.
    Where a defendant's trial occurred pre-Alleyne, his obligation to
    contest the element of drug quantity can only arise when he first
    confronts the government's assertion of harmless error.
    I recognize that this conclusion means that, in cases
    involving pre-Alleyne trials on direct appeal, a defendant would
    almost always be able to contest drug quantity and avoid a finding
    of harmless error.       On appeal, or in resentencing proceedings
    before the district court -- if that is where the government first
    asserts harmless error -- the defendant would only have to make an
    argument that could, as a theoretical matter under the law, negate
    the omitted element.     A challenge to the credibility of witnesses
    might suffice.
    Yet I do not find problematic the ease of such a showing.
    First,   "the   Due   Process   Clause    protects   the   accused   against
    conviction except upon proof beyond a reasonable doubt of every
    fact necessary to constitute the crime with which he is charged."
    In re Winship, 
    397 U.S. 358
    , 364 (1970).             The burden is on the
    -58-
    government to show that the constitutional error was harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt.       See Premo v. Moore, 
    131 S. Ct. 733
    , 744
    (2011) (citing Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    ).                  This is a significant
    burden:    "It is critical that the moral force of the criminal law
    not be diluted by a standard of proof that leaves people in doubt
    whether innocent men are being condemned." In re Winship, 
    397 U.S. at 364
    ; see 
    id.
     ("It is also important in our free society that
    every individual going about his ordinary affairs have confidence
    that his government cannot adjudge him guilty of a criminal offense
    without convincing a proper factfinder of his guilt with utmost
    certainty.").
    Second,     in   Neder,    the    Supreme    Court   remarked   that
    upholding verdicts flawed solely by the absence of a jury finding
    on   an   uncontested    element      that    is   supported    by   overwhelming
    evidence "'serve[s] a very useful purpose insofar as [it] block[s]
    setting aside convictions for small errors or defects that have
    little, if any, likelihood of having changed the result of the
    trial.'"    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
     (quoting Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 22
    (alterations in original)).             That concern, to the extent it
    influenced the majority's decision in Neder, is not present in the
    Alleyne    instructional     error     context     because     the   non-harmless
    omission of a jury finding on the drug quantity elements for the
    conspiracy and possession counts would not negate a finding of
    -59-
    guilt.33   In cases such as Pizarro's, it would merely change the
    defendant's sentencing exposure, reducing the maximum sentence to
    a still substantial twenty years of imprisonment for conviction on
    a lesser-included offense.34
    II.
    Despite the compelling reasons for concluding that an
    omitted element cannot be harmless under Neder unless the reviewing
    court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the element was both
    uncontested   and   supported   by    overwhelming   evidence,   there   is
    troubling inconsistency in the courts. The importance of the issue
    is self-evident. At stake is a criminal defendant's constitutional
    right to trial by jury.    I therefore urge the Supreme Court (1) to
    clarify that Neder requires a reviewing court to conclude beyond a
    reasonable doubt that an omitted element is uncontested before the
    33
    I make no judgment here, either explicitly or implicitly,
    on whether a concern for judicial efficiency related to avoiding a
    retrial could justify a different standard for contesting an
    omitted element where a finding of non-harmlessness would
    necessarily result in a retrial.
    34
    Under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2106
    , in the case of a non-harmless
    instructional Alleyne or Apprendi error, a circuit generally may
    direct the entry of conviction on the lesser-included offense that
    does not require the omitted element, so long as no "injustice or
    unfair prejudice will inure to the defendant."         See United
    States v. Sepúlveda-Hernández, 
    752 F.3d 22
    , 28-29 (1st Cir. 2014)
    (providing multi-step test for determining whether it would be
    permissible to direct entry of conviction on lesser-included
    offense).   Cocaine conspiracy and possession offenses under 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1)(C), without specified drug quantities or
    mandatory minima, are lesser-included offenses of the aggravated
    crimes under § 841(b)(1)(A). See Burrage v. United States, 
    134 S. Ct. 881
    , 887 n.3 (2014).
    -60-
    omission can be found harmless and (2) to explain what a defendant
    must do and when he or she must do it in order to contest the
    omitted element to preclude a finding of harmlessness.
    -61-
    TORRUELLA, Circuit Judge (Concurring). I write separately
    in response to the preceding concurrence and its inventive gloss on
    Neder v. United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
     (1999), and its progeny.        Neder
    simply applied the standard constitutional harmless-error rule
    articulated nearly fifty years ago in Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
     (1967), to a jury instruction that omitted an element of an
    offense. See Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 4
     (holding that "the harmless-error
    rule of Chapman v. California" applies to the failure of a trial
    judge to submit an element of the offense to the jury).        Contrary
    to the position taken by Judge Lipez, Neder did not supplant the
    Chapman rule by creating a novel, two-pronged test for such errors.
    I write separately lest the other concurrence add to the confusion
    of which it complains.
    The other concurrence posits that there is a "troubling
    inconsistency" in the application of the constitutional harmless-
    error test in the wake of Neder.           Ante, at 60 (Lipez, J.,
    concurring). It argues that there are two possible interpretations
    of Neder.    The first interpretation -- with which I agree, and
    which is overwhelmingly supported by Supreme Court and First
    Circuit precedent -- is that Neder simply applied the standard
    Chapman   harmless-error   test:    "whether   it   appears   'beyond   a
    reasonable doubt that the error complained of did not contribute to
    the verdict obtained.'"    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 15
     (quoting Chapman,
    
    386 U.S. at 24
    ).    The second potential interpretation is that the
    -62-
    Neder Court created a new, two-pronged harmless-error test for a
    subset of instructional constitutional errors: "an omitted element
    cannot be harmless under Neder unless the reviewing court concludes
    beyond a reasonable doubt that the element was both uncontested and
    supported by overwhelming evidence."          Ante, at 60.        Judge Lipez
    advocates for the latter reading, and he urges the Supreme Court to
    clarify whether his interpretation is correct.
    In my view, no such clarification is needed, as the
    governing precedent is abundantly clear that Neder simply applied
    the standard Chapman harmless-error test.          Neder, according to its
    plain text -- and as reinforced by subsequent Supreme Court and
    First Circuit decisions -- neither added additional elements (i.e.,
    "uncontested" and "overwhelming evidence") to the standard Chapman
    test nor supplanted it with a new harmless-error test for some
    subset of cases.
    While   Judge   Lipez's    view   of   Neder   is    not   strictly
    impossible, such an interpretation is exceedingly strained and
    finds scant support in Neder itself, not to mention the numerous
    cases citing Neder over the past fifteen years. To the extent that
    there is inconsistency in the wake of Neder, his concurrence adds
    to the confusion by presenting the issue as a much closer question
    than   it   is.     Under   a   more    straightforward,        faithful,   and
    commonsense reading of Neder and our subsequent cases, there is
    -63-
    very little -- if any -- inconsistency in our prior application of
    the constitutional harmless-error test for instructional errors.
    I express no view here on whether Neder was rightly
    decided, or whether, as Judge Lipez suggests, the Supreme Court
    should reconsider its decision. Rather, I write only to attempt to
    accurately    reflect       the       current    state    of   the    constitutional
    harmless-error test in the First Circuit, following the relevant
    Supreme Court precedent.              For constitutional errors like those in
    Neder and the instant case ("the failure to instruct on an element
    in violation of the right to a jury trial"), "the harmless-error
    inquiry [remains] essentially the same: Is it clear beyond a
    reasonable    doubt    that       a    rational    jury   would      have   found   the
    defendant guilty absent the error?"                 Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    ; see
    also 
    id. at 19
     ("A reviewing court making this harmless-error
    inquiry . . . asks whether the record contains evidence that could
    rationally lead to a contrary finding with respect to the omitted
    element.").
    I.   The Supreme Court's Constitutional Harmless-Error Test
    According to the harmless-error rule under the Federal
    Rules of Criminal Procedure, "[a]ny error, defect, irregularity, or
    variance     that    does    not       affect     substantial     rights     must    be
    disregarded."       Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(a).           In Chapman v. California,
    the Supreme Court articulated the standard harmless-error test for
    constitutional errors.            Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    .              To determine
    -64-
    whether a constitutional error is harmless, a reviewing court asks
    whether it appears "beyond a reasonable doubt that the error
    complained of did not contribute to the verdict obtained."                  
    Id.
    Nearly two decades later, in Delaware v. Van Arsdall, 
    475 U.S. 673
     (1986), the Supreme Court reaffirmed the Chapman harmless-
    error rule.           
    Id. at 681
     ("Since Chapman, we have repeatedly
    reaffirmed the principle that an otherwise valid conviction should
    not be set aside if the reviewing court may confidently say, on the
    whole record, that the constitutional error was harmless beyond a
    reasonable       doubt.").           The     Court   explained     that     "[t]he
    harmless-error doctrine recognizes the principle that the central
    purpose of a criminal trial is to decide the factual question of
    the defendant's guilt or innocence, and promotes public respect for
    the criminal process by focusing on the underlying fairness of the
    trial    rather       than    on   the   virtually    inevitable   presence       of
    immaterial error."           
    Id.
     (internal citation omitted).       "As we have
    stressed on more than one occasion, the Constitution entitles a
    criminal defendant to a fair trial, not a perfect one."                   
    Id.
    Shortly after Van Arsdall was decided, in Rose v. Clark,
    
    478 U.S. 570
        (1986),     the     Supreme   Court   cautioned    that     a
    "harmless-error analysis presumably would not apply if a court
    directed a verdict for the prosecution in a criminal trial by
    jury," reasoning that "'a trial judge is prohibited from entering
    a judgment of conviction or directing the jury to come forward with
    -65-
    such a verdict . . . regardless of how overwhelmingly the evidence
    may point in that direction.'"      
    Id. at 578
     (quoting United States
    v. Martin Linen Supply Co., 
    430 U.S. 564
    , 572–573 (1977)).        The
    Court explained that when the Sixth Amendment right to a jury trial
    in serious criminal cases "is altogether denied, the State cannot
    contend that the deprivation was harmless because the evidence
    established the defendant's guilt; the error in such a case is that
    the wrong entity judged the defendant guilty."      
    Id.
    The Rose Court further "emphasized, however, that while
    there are some errors to which Chapman does not apply, they are the
    exception and not the rule." 
    Id.
         Therefore, "if the defendant had
    counsel and was tried by an impartial adjudicator, there is a
    strong presumption that any other errors that may have occurred are
    subject to harmless-error analysis."        
    Id. at 579
    .     The Court
    explained that the "thrust" of constitutional rules for criminal
    trials "is to ensure that those trials lead to fair and correct
    judgments." 
    Id.
          "Where a reviewing court can find that the record
    developed at trial establishes guilt beyond a reasonable doubt, the
    interest in fairness has been satisfied and the judgment should be
    affirmed."     
    Id.
        The Court reiterated that it has "repeatedly
    stated" that a criminal defendant is entitled "'to a fair trial,
    not a perfect one.'" 
    Id.
     (quoting Van Arsdall, 
    475 U.S. at 681
    ).
    To date, the Supreme Court has not overruled Chapman or
    changed the harmless-error test for constitutional errors. Rather,
    -66-
    the   Supreme    Court   has    repeatedly     reaffirmed   the   standard
    constitutional harmless-error test as articulated in Chapman. See,
    e.g., Premo v. Moore, 
    131 S. Ct. 733
    , 744 (2011); Rivera v.
    Illinois, 
    556 U.S. 148
    , 155-56 (2009) (affirming a finding of
    harmless error when "it was clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a
    rational jury would have found [the defendant] guilty absent the
    error") (internal quotation marks and citations omitted)); Mitchell
    v. Esparza, 
    540 U.S. 12
    , 17-18 (2003).
    II.   The Supreme Court's Opinion in Neder
    Ignoring the more recent Supreme Court cases cited above,
    and the plethora of First Circuit cases holding otherwise, the
    other concurrence relies almost entirely on a single quote from
    Neder to justify its position that Neder created a new test to
    supplant the Chapman harmless-error test in certain circumstances.
    See Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
     (stating that a "jury verdict would have
    been the same absent" a failure to instruct on an element, "where
    a reviewing court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the
    omitted element was uncontested and supported by overwhelming
    evidence").     Viewed out of context, it is possible that this quote
    could support Judge Lipez's preferred interpretation.                In its
    proper   context,    however,   as   further   explained    below,   it   is
    perfectly clear that this quote "was merely descriptive of the
    circumstances in Neder itself" and was not "prescriptive for any
    finding of harmlessness where an element was omitted."            See ante,
    -67-
    at 40.    Nothing in Neder (or any subsequent Supreme Court case)
    suggests that this two-pronged test is necessary for a finding of
    harmlessness rather than merely sufficient for such a finding.
    Similarly,     nowhere   does     Neder      purport   to    establish    a   new
    constitutional harmless-error test to displace the standard Chapman
    test in certain circumstances.
    The   defendant    in   Neder     had   been   tried   for   several
    violations of federal criminal fraud statutes.              Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 4
    . It was established that the district court erred in refusing to
    submit the materiality element of the tax fraud charges to the
    jury.    See 
    id.
       The Supreme Court granted certiorari to answer two
    questions: (1) whether materiality was an element of the relevant
    fraud statutes, and (2) "whether, and under what circumstances, the
    omission of an element from the judge's charge to the jury can be
    harmless error."     
    Id. at 7
    .       The Court answered the first question
    in the affirmative, holding that materiality was an element of the
    relevant charges.      
    Id. at 4
    .
    With respect to the second question, the Court held "that
    the harmless-error rule of Chapman v. California" indeed applied to
    the district court's error in omitting an element of the offense
    from the jury charges.         
    Id. at 4
    .      The Court proceeded to examine
    in detail this type of constitutional instructional error, where
    the trial court itself makes a finding on an element of the offense
    rather than submitting that element for a jury determination.                 In
    -68-
    so doing, the Neder court explicitly considered the argument that
    such an error is "'structural,' and thus subject to automatic
    reversal."     
    Id. at 8
     (quoting Johnson v. United States, 
    520 U.S. 461
    , 468 (1997)); see also id. at 7 (stating that structural errors
    "defy analysis by 'harmless error' standards" (quoting Arizona v.
    Fulminante,    
    499 U.S. 279
    ,   309,      (1991));    
    id.
       (observing   that
    structural errors "are so intrinsically harmful as to require
    automatic reversal (i.e., 'affect substantial rights') without
    regard to their effect on the outcome" (quoting Fed. R. Crim. P.
    52(a))).
    However,   the     Court     rejected        this   structural-error
    argument, observing that structural errors constitute only "a
    limited class of fundamental constitutional errors."                    
    Id.
        The
    Court had previously "found an error to be 'structural' . . . only
    in a 'very limited class of cases," including: the complete denial
    of counsel, a biased trial judge, racial discrimination in the
    selection of the grand jury, the denial of self-representation at
    trial, the denial of a public trial, and a defective reasonable-
    doubt instruction.      Id. at 8 (quoting Johnson, 
    520 U.S. at 468
    ).
    It explained that those structural-error cases contain defects that
    "affect[] the framework within which the trial proceeds, rather
    than simply an error in the trial process itself."                  
    Id.
     (quoting
    Fulminante, 
    499 U.S. at 310
    ). To be deemed structural errors, such
    defects must "infect the entire trial process, and necessarily
    -69-
    render a trial fundamentally unfair."              
    Id.
     (internal quotation
    marks and citations omitted).
    "The error at issue [in Neder] -- a jury instruction that
    omits an element of the offense -- differs markedly from the
    [structural]    constitutional    violations       .    .   .   found      to   defy
    harmless-error review."     
    Id.
         The Court clarified that "[u]nlike
    such defects as the complete deprivation of counsel or trial before
    a biased judge, an instruction that omits an element of the offense
    does not necessarily render a criminal trial fundamentally unfair
    or an unreliable vehicle for determining guilt or innocence."                   Id.
    at 9. Similarly, the Neder Court reasoned that omitting an element
    of the offense from the jury instructions will not "always render
    a trial unfair."     Id.   To the contrary, despite the Neder trial
    judge's failure to charge the jury on the materiality element,
    Neder's trial was not "fundamentally unfair" because he "was tried
    before an impartial judge, under the correct standard of proof and
    with the assistance of counsel; [and] a fairly selected, impartial
    jury was instructed to consider all of the evidence and argument in
    respect to Neder's defense against the tax charges."                 Id.
    For those reasons, the Neder Court "concluded that the
    omission   of   an   element   is    an    error       that     is   subject      to
    harmless-error analysis." Id. at 15. Conducting this analysis, in
    order to answer whether the omission of the materiality element in
    Neder was in fact harmless, the Court explicitly turned to Chapman,
    -70-
    in which it had previously "set forth the test for determining
    whether a constitutional error is harmless."             Id. (citing Chapman,
    
    386 U.S. at 18
    ).       "That test . . . is whether it appears 'beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the error complained of did not contribute to
    the verdict obtained.'"          
    Id.
     (quoting Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    ).
    Comparing the failure to instruct on an element of the offense with
    other constitutional errors, the Neder Court concluded "that the
    harmless-error inquiry must be essentially the same: Is it clear
    beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would have found the
    defendant guilty absent the error?"              
    Id. at 18
    .
    Applying this test, after reviewing the record, the Court
    found   that       "[t]he    evidence    supporting     materiality    was   so
    overwhelming, in fact, that Neder did not argue to the jury -- and
    does not argue here -- that his false statements of income could be
    found immaterial."           Id. at 16.         "In this situation, where a
    reviewing court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the
    omitted element was uncontested and supported by overwhelming
    evidence, such that the jury verdict would have been the same
    absent the error, the erroneous instruction is properly found to be
    harmless."     Id.    at 17.   Therefore, the Neder Court concluded that
    they "think it beyond cavil here that the error 'did not contribute
    to the verdict obtained.'"           Id. (quoting Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    ).
    The     Neder   Court    further    instructed   that   if,   after
    conducting "a thorough examination of the record," a reviewing
    -71-
    "court cannot conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury
    verdict would have been the same absent the error -- for example,
    where the defendant contested the omitted element and raised
    evidence sufficient to support a contrary finding -- it should not
    find the error harmless."       
    Id. at 19
    .    The Court explained that
    such a reviewing court, "in typical appellate-court fashion, asks
    whether the record contains evidence that could rationally lead to
    a contrary finding with respect to the omitted element."           
    Id.
    III.   Nothing in Neder Itself Mandates the Other Concurrence's
    Approach
    As is evident from the discussion above and a careful
    reading of Neder itself, the Neder Court did not replace the
    standard Chapman harmless-error test with a new, two-pronged test
    -- that the omitted element must be both (1) "uncontested" and (2)
    supported by "overwhelming evidence" in order for an appellate
    court to find the instructional error to be harmless. Instead, the
    Neder Court explicitly and repeatedly referenced and applied the
    standard Chapman harmless-error test (whether it is clear beyond a
    reasonable   doubt   that   a   rational   jury   would   have   found   the
    defendant guilty if it had been properly instructed on the omitted
    element), finding that test to be satisfied under the particular
    circumstances of the case.
    No language in Neder suggests that the Supreme Court
    intended to create a new harmless-error test.              Instead, Neder
    merely indicates that, in a particular factual situation where an
    -72-
    omitted element was both uncontested and supported by overwhelming
    evidence, it was overdetermined that the error was harmless.
    Indeed, in context, the very language relied upon by the other
    concurrence supports this view:
    In this situation, where a reviewing court
    concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the
    omitted element was uncontested and supported
    by overwhelming evidence, such that the jury
    verdict would have been the same absent the
    error, the erroneous instruction is properly
    found to be harmless. We think it beyond cavil
    here that the error "did not contribute to the
    verdict obtained."
    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
     (quoting Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    ) (emphases
    added).    This quoted language strongly suggests that Neder's
    discussion of "uncontested" was, in fact, merely descriptive of
    what happened in that case and was not a prescriptive mandate for
    every subsequent case involving the omission of an element.          See
    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
     ("In a case such as this one . . . .").        The
    second sentence in the block quote above demonstrates that the
    Neder Court continued to refer back to the standard Chapman test,
    finding that test to be overwhelmingly satisfied in the particular
    factual   circumstances   (i.e.,    "uncontested   and   supported    by
    overwhelming evidence") involved in Neder.
    In fact, Neder's own language makes clear that it did not
    intend to establish a new harmless-error test for the omission of
    an element from the jury instructions.        Neder states that for
    various constitutional errors -- including "the failure to instruct
    -73-
    on an element in violation of the right to a jury trial" -- "the
    harmless-error inquiry must be essentially the same: Is it clear
    beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would have found the
    defendant guilty absent the error?"               Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    .
    Finally, the Neder Court concluded its harmless-error discussion by
    referring once more to the Chapman test: "A reviewing court making
    this harmless-error inquiry . . . asks whether the record contains
    evidence that could rationally lead to a contrary finding with
    respect to the omitted element." 
    Id. at 19
    . Therefore, nothing in
    Neder supports, much less compels, a conclusion that the Supreme
    Court intended to supplant the standard Chapman harmless-error test
    with a new, mandatory, exclusive, two-pronged test (in which an
    omitted element must be both "uncontested" and "supported by
    overwhelming evidence") for cases in which the jury instructions
    erroneously omitted an element of the offense.
    IV.   The Importance of the Word "and": Language in Neder
    Contradicts the Other Concurrence's Interpretation
    The other concurrence relies heavily on one small word in
    Neder:   the   conjunction       "and"   that     joins    "uncontested"    and
    "supported by overwhelming evidence."            See ante, at 39-40 ("Neder
    expressly states that a 'jury verdict would have been the same
    absent' a failure to instruct on an element, 'where a reviewing
    court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the omitted element
    was uncontested and supported by overwhelming evidence.'" (quoting
    Neder,   
    527 U.S. at 17
    )   (emphasis      supplied   in   Judge   Lipez's
    -74-
    concurrence)); 
    id. at 54
     (arguing that the Neder "majority adopted
    the 'uncontested and . . . overwhelming evidence' formulation for
    analyzing whether . . . the error was harmless" (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
    ) (emphasis supplied in Judge Lipez's concurrence)).
    Relying on this quoted language from Neder, and emphasizing the
    word "and" that joins the two factors, Judge Lipez concludes that
    "the   Court   in    Neder   intentionally   prescribed    the   two-pronged
    inquiry requiring consideration of whether the omitted element was
    uncontested and whether the record contained overwhelming evidence
    of that element, and only when both prongs are met can a reviewing
    court" find harmless error.          
    Id. at 55
     (emphasis in original).
    Judge Lipez thus urges that, in this context, we must assign
    significant weight to the word "and."            Consistent with this view,
    the Neder Court's choice of the conjunctive "and" -- as opposed to
    the    disjunctive    "or"   --   means   that   both   conditions   must   be
    satisfied in order to draw the resulting conclusion.
    Assigning this same weight to a parallel construction
    elsewhere in Neder, however, directly contradicts Judge Lipez's
    interpretation.      In addition to describing a circumstance when an
    omitted-element error is harmless, Neder also specified when such
    an error is not harmless:
    Of course, safeguarding the jury guarantee
    will often require that a reviewing court
    conduct a thorough examination of the record.
    If, at the end of that examination, the court
    cannot conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that
    the jury verdict would have been the same
    -75-
    absent the error -- for example, where the
    defendant contested the omitted element and
    raised evidence sufficient to support a
    contrary finding -- it should not find the
    error harmless.
    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
     (emphasis added).           Applying the other
    concurrence's logic to this quote yields the following conclusion:
    in order for a reviewing court to determine that the error was not
    harmless, the omitted element must be both contested and not
    supported by overwhelming evidence.
    If both Neder "prongs" (uncontested and overwhelming
    evidence) were necessary for a finding of harmless error -- as
    argued by the other concurrence -- then a failure of either prong
    would be sufficient to find the error not harmless. If the Supreme
    Court intended such a result, we might expect it to have used the
    disjunctive "or" instead of the conjunctive "and" emphasized in the
    block quote above.    However, the Neder Court only specified that
    reviewing courts should not find errors harmless when the defendant
    (1) contested the omitted element and (2) raised evidence to
    support a contrary finding.    
    Id.
       Therefore, the principal textual
    support for the other concurrence's reading of Neder is at the very
    least undermined, and perhaps negated, by closely related, parallel
    language elsewhere in Neder itself.
    V.   Whether the Two-Pronged Neder Inquiry Is Necessary, or Merely
    Sufficient, for a Finding of Harmlessness
    I   read   Neder   as   simply   describing   a   particular
    circumstance (when an omitted element is both "uncontested" and
    -76-
    supported by "overwhelming evidence") that happens to be sufficient
    to meet the well-established Chapman harmless-error test -- whether
    it is "clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would
    have found the defendant guilty absent the error[.]"            Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    .     In my view, Neder-type errors -- where an omitted
    element is both uncontested and supported by overwhelming evidence
    -- are merely a subset of the universe of harmless errors.              In
    other words, all Neder-type errors may be harmless errors, but not
    all harmless instructional errors must be Neder-type errors.
    In contrast, the other concurrence erroneously takes one
    example of a certain circumstance qualifying as a harmless error --
    when the omitted element was both uncontested and supported by
    overwhelming evidence -- and attempts to substitute that specific
    circumstance for the general test itself. Under this view, the new
    test supplants the old.    In support of this position, the other
    concurrence references only one formulation of the harmless-error
    test, and posits that this particular formulation is both mandatory
    and exclusive.    Compare ante, at 54 ("In Neder, where the Court
    confronted the outright omission of an element, the majority
    adopted   the   'uncontested   and   .   .   .   overwhelming    evidence'
    formulation for analyzing whether . . . the error was harmless."
    (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
    ) (emphasis supplied in Judge Lipez's
    concurrence)), with Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
     ("[W]here a reviewing
    court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the omitted element
    -77-
    was uncontested and supported by overwhelming evidence, such that
    the jury verdict would have been the same absent the error, the
    erroneous instruction is properly found to be harmless.").             Yet
    this is not even the sole formulation of the harmless-error test in
    Neder itself.    See Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
     (stating that for various
    constitutional errors -- including "the failure to instruct on an
    element in violation of the right to a jury trial" -- "the
    harmless-error inquiry must be essentially the same: Is it clear
    beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would have found the
    defendant guilty absent the error?"); see also 
    id. at 19
     ("A
    reviewing court making this harmless-error inquiry . . . . asks
    whether the record contains evidence that could rationally lead to
    a contrary finding with respect to the omitted element.").
    Moreover, the other concurrence's transformation of the
    quoted language from Neder into a two-pronged test, in which both
    prongs must be satisfied, also commits an error of logic even if
    based   solely   upon   the   Neder    quote   itself.   The   conditional
    statement from Neder can be summarized: "If A [uncontested] and B
    [overwhelming evidence], then C [harmless error]." I agree that in
    Neder, both conditions (A and B) were sufficient to establish
    harmless error.     However, nothing in Neder mandates that both
    conditions are necessary to establish harmless error.
    The other concurrence, however, misreads this statement
    from Neder as "if -- and only if -- both A [uncontested] and B
    -78-
    [overwhelming     evidence],      then    C     [harmless     error]."      Such    an
    interpretation is contrary both to the other articulations of the
    test in Neder itself and to the presentation of the test in
    subsequent cases.        Reading Neder in context, I am convinced that
    the Court did not create a new harmless-error test, but instead
    simply   applied      the     traditional     test,     reasoning    that    in    the
    particular circumstances presented in that case, both A and B
    happened to be satisfied.          The other concurrence recognizes this
    very possibility.            See ante, at 40 ("Neder, however, did not
    unequivocally answer whether its two-part formulation for finding
    an omitted element harmless in Neder's case . . . was merely
    descriptive      of    the    circumstances       in     Neder   itself     or    also
    prescriptive for any finding of harmlessness where an element was
    omitted.").       As    indicated    herein       and    in   the   appendix,      the
    overwhelming weight of authorities support the view that Neder's
    discussion of "uncontested" was, in fact, "merely descriptive" of
    what happened in that case and was not a "prescriptive" mandate of
    a new test for every subsequent case.
    VI.   Alleyne Errors Are Not Structural Errors
    The other concurrence's approach in effect subjects a
    subset   of    instructional-error         cases    to    structural      error,    in
    contravention of the Supreme Court's mandate that harmless-error
    review -- and not structural error -- applies to such cases.                       The
    Supreme Court has stated that most constitutional errors are
    -79-
    subject to harmless-error review, and that only in rare cases will
    they be deemed structural errors requiring automatic reversal.
    See, e.g., Washington       v. Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. 212
    , 222 (2006)
    (holding that preserved Apprendi/Blakely error -- like the failure
    to submit an element to the jury in Neder -- is not structural
    error and is instead subject to harmless-error review); United
    States v. Cotton, 
    535 U.S. 625
    , 631-32 (2002) (applying plain-error
    review to an unpreserved Apprendi error, and refusing to accept the
    defendants' invitation to treat the error as structural).            We have
    previously held that "there would appear to be no basis for finding
    Alleyne error to be one of those rare cases to which harmless-error
    review does not apply." United States v. Harakaly, 
    734 F.3d 88
    , 95
    (1st Cir. 2013).
    The other concurrence erroneously suggests that if a
    defendant "contests" the omitted element in any way, then such an
    error   cannot   be    harmless.     Indeed,     the   other     concurrence
    "recognize[s] that this conclusion means that, in cases involving
    pre-Alleyne trials on direct appeal, a defendant would almost
    always be able to contest drug quantity and avoid a finding of
    harmless error."      See ante, at 58.    It argues that "[o]n appeal, or
    in resentencing proceedings before the district court -- if that is
    where the government first asserts harmless error -- the defendant
    would only have to make an argument that could, as a theoretical
    matter under the law, negate the omitted element."             
    Id.
    -80-
    Such    a    conclusion      would   declaw    the    harmless-error
    doctrine in this context and transform an Alleyne error into de
    facto structural error, despite the Supreme Court and First Circuit
    cases requiring the application of a harmless-error standard to
    Apprendi/Alleyne errors.          See, e.g., Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. at 222
    ;
    Cotton,     
    535 U.S. at 631-32
    ;    Harakaly,       734    F.3d   at    95–97;
    Pérez–Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d at
    17–20. Nor is this concern obviated by the
    fact that some conviction remains intact (on the lesser-included
    offense).     In such cases, a conviction is nonetheless vacated on
    the greater offense, which would be otherwise valid but for "'small
    errors or defects that have little, if any, likelihood of having
    changed the result of the trial.'"                See Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
    (quoting Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 22
    ).             The other concurrence does not
    establish     that       preserving    merely     a   lesser-included         offense
    conviction completely satisfies this concern.
    Let us consider a hypothetical case in which (a) the
    reviewing court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury
    verdict would have been the same absent the error (had the jury
    been instructed on the omitted element), but (b) the defendant
    nonetheless had contested the omitted element in some way.                     Under
    my view of Neder and subsequent Supreme Court and First Circuit
    precedent, the resolution of (a) ends the inquiry: if the reviewing
    court is convinced beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury verdict
    would have been the same absent the error, then there is no need to
    -81-
    consider question (b).     In contrast, Judge Lipez's suggested
    approach would reverse the defendant's conviction in such a case,
    reasoning that there is no need to consider question (a).    In my
    view, such an approach is akin, if not functionally equivalent, to
    structural error: the reviewing court would reverse the conviction
    even if the error had no effect on the jury's verdict. Controlling
    precedent does not permit such a result, as the Supreme Court has
    explicitly instructed that Alleyne errors are not structural. See,
    e.g., Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. at 222
    ; Cotton, 
    535 U.S. at 631-32
    .
    Therefore, the Supreme Court's instruction that harmless error --
    and not structural error -- applies to the type of instructional
    error at issue here and in Neder also counsels against the other
    concurrence's interpretation.
    VII. The Eleventh Circuit's Ultimate Resolution of Neder on Remand
    Additionally, the decision of the Eleventh Circuit on
    remand in Neder provides further support for my view, and it
    explicitly rejects the new two-pronged test proposed by Judge
    Lipez.   After the Supreme Court remanded Neder's case to the
    Eleventh Circuit for reconsideration, the Eleventh Circuit affirmed
    Neder's convictions, concluding that the district court's failure
    to instruct on the materiality element was harmless error.   United
    States v. Neder, 
    197 F.3d 1122
    , 1124 (11th Cir. 1999).   On remand,
    Neder -- similarly to Judge Lipez's approach here -- argued that
    "the Supreme Court held that the failure to instruct on materiality
    -82-
    can never be harmless error unless the Government shows both that
    Neder   never    contested    materiality   and    that    the    evidence
    overwhelmingly     supports   the    materiality    of    every   charged
    falsehood."     
    Id. at 1129
     (emphases added).      The Eleventh Circuit
    resoundingly rejected that argument:
    However, the Supreme Court did not hold that
    omission of an element can never be harmless
    error unless uncontested. Indeed, the Supreme
    Court emphasized that the correct focus of
    harmless-error analysis is: "Is it clear
    beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury
    would have found the defendant guilty absent
    the error?" Stated another way, the focus is
    whether "the jury verdict would have been the
    same absent the error" or "whether the record
    contains evidence that could rationally lead
    to a contrary finding with respect to
    [materiality]." Thus, whether Neder contested
    materiality may be considered but is not the
    pivotal concern. Instead, what the evidence
    showed    regarding   materiality    is    the
    touchstone.    Indeed, as outlined in the
    following, more specific discussion relating
    to the counts at issue, the Government's
    evidence of materiality for each of these
    bank, mail, and wire fraud counts is
    overwhelming.
    
    Id.
     (emphases added) (footnote and internal citations omitted).
    The Eleventh Circuit further explained that "[u]nder harmless-error
    analysis, . . . . the Government must show that the evidence of
    materiality is so overwhelming . . . that no rational jury,
    properly instructed on the element of materiality, could have
    acquitted Neder on that count."       
    Id.
    In a footnote, the Eleventh Circuit further considered
    Neder's argument -- predicated upon the same Neder language relied
    -83-
    upon by Judge Lipez here -- that the omitted element must be
    uncontested for a finding of harmlessness.     
    Id.
     at 1129 n.6.   The
    court reasoned that "[t]he language from the Supreme Court's
    opinion that Neder cites to support his argument on this point is
    taken out of context."   
    Id.
    "Considered in context, the Supreme Court's statement
    clearly does not mean that omission of an element of an offense can
    never be harmless error unless uncontested."    
    Id.
       "The statement"
    -- that the error is harmless because "'the omitted element was
    uncontested and supported by overwhelming evidence'" -- "means only
    that the fact materiality was not contested supports the conclusion
    that the jury's verdict would have been the same absent the error."
    
    Id.
     (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
    ).       Therefore, the Eleventh
    Circuit's resolution of the Neder case on remand strongly militates
    against the other concurrence's reading of the Supreme Court's
    opinion in Neder.
    VIII.   Post-Neder Application of the Harmless-Error Test
    A.   Supreme Court
    No post-Neder Supreme Court case supports the other
    concurrence's gloss on Neder.     Rather, every subsequent Supreme
    Court case citing Neder reinforces the primacy of the standard
    Chapman harmless-error test.    See, e.g., Premo, 
    131 S. Ct. at 744
    ("[O]n direct review following an acknowledged constitutional error
    at trial," the government has "the burden of showing that it was
    -84-
    'clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would have
    found the defendant guilty absent the error.'" (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    )); Mitchell, 
    540 U.S. at 17-18
     ("A constitutional error
    is harmless when 'it appears beyond a reasonable doubt that the
    error complained of did not contribute to the verdict obtained.'"
    (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 15
    )).
    B.    First Circuit
    Judge Lipez's preferred interpretation of Neder is not
    faithful to a fair reading of the overwhelming weight of our
    precedent.        Indeed, he fails to identify a single First Circuit
    case that explicitly endorses his understanding of Neder.                         By
    contrast,    the    post-Neder     First     Circuit     cases   reaffirming      the
    standard Chapman harmless-error test are overwhelming in number.
    Indeed,   they      are   so    numerous     that   cataloguing      them   proved
    prohibitively time-consuming. In the appendix to this concurrence,
    I have provided eighteen examples of such First Circuit cases,
    including six cases from 2014 alone.              See, e.g., United States v.
    Ramírez-Negrón, 
    751 F.3d 42
    , 51 n.8 (1st Cir. 2014) (stating than
    an Alleyne error would be harmless beyond a reasonable doubt if "no
    reasonable    jury     could    have    found     that    the    defendants    were
    responsible for drug quantities below the respective thresholds
    triggering the mandatory minimum sentences").
    "A panel of this court is normally bound to follow an
    earlier   panel      decision    that   is     closely    on    point,   unless   an
    -85-
    exception exists to the principles of stare decisis."        United
    States v. Rodríguez–Pacheco, 
    475 F.3d 434
    , 441 (1st Cir. 2007).
    Judge Lipez's view -- that Neder replaced the Chapman harmless-
    error test with a two-pronged test for harmlessness where the jury
    was not instructed on an element of the crime -- is not consistent
    with binding First Circuit precedent, including cases authored or
    joined by all three judges on the instant panel.     Some of these
    cases are included in the appendix at the end of this concurrence.
    This past June, for example, we held that "instructional
    error, including omission of an element, is harmless if it is clear
    beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would have found
    guilt absent the error."   United States v. Marshall, 
    753 F.3d 341
    ,
    346 (1st Cir. 2014) (emphasis added).    Although the defendant in
    Marshall technically contested proof of an element of the offense,
    we nonetheless concluded that the error was harmless because
    "[t]here is no reasonable doubt that a rational fact-finder would
    have found Marshall guilty of" the disputed element.   
    Id.
    We applied the same test in United States v. Newell, 
    658 F.3d 1
     (1st Cir. 2011), a unanimous opinion joined by Judge Lipez.
    In Newell, we stated that "the failure to instruct the jury on [an
    omitted element] is subject to harmless error review," which
    "requires ascertaining 'whether it appears beyond a reasonable
    doubt that the error complained of did not contribute to the
    verdict obtained.'"   
    Id.
     at 17 n.19 (quoting Neder, 527 U.S. at
    -86-
    15)). Applying that test, we held that "even if the district court
    erred in not giving the requested materiality instruction . . .
    that error was harmless as the evidence of materiality was more
    than sufficient to support the convictions under this standard."
    
    Id.
    Citing Newell and Neder, we applied like reasoning to
    arrive at a similar holding in United States v. McDonough, 
    727 F.3d 143
    , 161-62 (1st Cir. 2013).            The unanimous McDonough panel,
    including Judge Lipez, concluded that -- assuming that the district
    court refused to instruct the jury on a required element -- "the
    evidence was [nonetheless] 'more than sufficient to support the
    convictions.'"     
    Id. at 162
     (quoting Newell, 
    658 F.3d at
    17 n.19).
    On that basis, the panel was "confident that the same result would
    have obtained" if the jury had been properly instructed as to the
    allegedly omitted element. 
    Id.
     Therefore, the panel held that any
    error was ultimately harmless.         Id. at 161.
    Other First Circuit cases further solidify the conclusion
    that   Judge   Lipez's   gloss   on    Neder   is   inconsistent   with   our
    precedent.     See, e.g., United States v. Melvin, 
    730 F.3d 29
    , 39
    (1st Cir. 2013) (constitutional error "requires reversal unless the
    government proves 'beyond a reasonable doubt that the error did not
    influence the verdict'"); United States v. Godin, 
    534 F.3d 51
    , 61
    (1st Cir. 2008) ("When examining whether the omission of an element
    in a jury instruction is harmless error, we ask whether the record
    -87-
    contains evidence that could rationally lead to a contrary finding
    with respect to the omitted element." (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted)); United States v. Morgan, 
    384 F.3d 1
    , 8 (1st
    Cir. 2004) (Apprendi errors "should be held harmless so long as the
    evidence for the trial judge's factual findings is overwhelming and
    no reasonable jury could have disagreed with them"); United States
    v. Soto-Beníquez, 
    356 F.3d 1
    , 46 (1st Cir. 2003) ("An Apprendi
    error is harmless where the evidence overwhelmingly establishes the
    minimum drug quantity needed to justify the statutory maximum under
    which the defendants were sentenced.").     None of the preceding
    cases -- nor any other First Circuit cases I have found -- state
    that a reviewing court can never find the omission of an element to
    be harmless error simply because the defendant contested the
    omitted element in some way.    Therefore, the other concurrence's
    interpretation of Neder's two-pronged inquiry finds little support
    in the existing precedent by which we are bound.
    C.   Lack of Support for the Other Concurrence's Position
    Neder was decided in June 1999.      In the intervening
    fifteen years, Neder has been cited in over 3,600 cases.      It is
    telling that the other concurrence fails to identify a single case
    that explicitly holds that its reading of Neder is correct.   Judge
    Lipez has pointed to cases with language that might, at best, be
    consistent with his suggested approach.    None of those cases are
    compelling, however, particularly in light of Supreme Court and
    -88-
    First Circuit precedent and the examples listed in the appendix.
    Below, I review the cases relied upon by the other concurrence to
    support its view of Neder, concluding that these cases do little to
    demonstrate that Judge Lipez's interpretation is correct.
    1.    First Circuit
    The    First   Circuit     cases   cited   by   Judge    Lipez   as
    "inconsistent" in their application of Neder are easily reconciled
    with my view. Neder's two factors ("uncontested" and "supported by
    overwhelming evidence") are best understood as merely two reasons
    why the Neder Court concluded that the jury verdict was unaffected
    by the omission of the materiality element.           It thus makes perfect
    sense that we sometimes emphasize whether a particular omitted
    element was contested (and to what degree), sometimes emphasize the
    strength of the evidence regarding the omitted element, sometimes
    discuss both, and sometimes examine other factors and reasons.              In
    other words, the contested-or-uncontested nature of the element,
    and the strength of the evidence supporting that element, both can
    serve evidentiary functions: they both can affect the ultimate
    determination whether it was "clear beyond a reasonable doubt that
    a rational jury would have found the defendant guilty absent the
    error."   Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    .         Applying this view to the First
    Circuit   cases   cited    by   the   other   concurrence,    any   apparent
    inconsistency melts away.       In any event, as indicated by the non-
    exhaustive selection of cases in the appendix, the overwhelming
    -89-
    weight of First Circuit cases support the conclusion that the
    standard Chapman harmless-error test applies to the omission of an
    element from jury instructions.
    2.   Other Circuit Courts of Appeals
    The other concurrence cites cases from four circuit
    courts of appeals -- the Second, Fourth, Ninth, and Eleventh
    Circuits -- as examples of an inter-circuit conflict. See ante, at
    45-48.   Of those cases, however, only the Ninth Circuit case might
    provide any sort of support for the other concurrence's approach.
    Even   that      case,    however,     applied      the     standard       Chapman   test,
    reasoning        that    "[the       Apprendi       error     was,     of       course,   a
    constitutional one," and that the court "must therefore reverse
    unless we find beyond a reasonable doubt that the result would have
    been the same absent the error."               United States v. Guerrero-Jasso,
    
    752 F.3d 1186
    , 1193 (9th Cir. 2014) (internal quotation marks,
    alterations, and citations omitted).                    Furthermore, Guerrero-Jasso
    involved     a   guilty       plea   (and    not    a     trial),    and    the   evidence
    regarding the omitted element was introduced, for the first time,
    after the defendant's conviction. 
    Id.
     ("Where, as here, there was
    no   trial    but   a    guilty      plea,    and    the    evidence       is   introduced
    post-conviction by the government only to demonstrate harmlessness,
    it   would    fundamentally          undermine      the    Apprendi    protections        to
    require the defendant affirmatively to present evidence to counter
    facts that were never properly established in accord with Apprendi
    -90-
    in the first place.").   On that basis, the instant case -- which
    involved overwhelming evidence presented at trial -- is easily
    distinguishable from Guerrero-Jasso.
    The Eleventh Circuit case cited by Judge Lipez was the
    Neder decision on remand, which, as described above, explicitly
    rejected the other concurrence's approach.    See Neder, 
    197 F.3d at 1129
     ("[T]he Supreme Court did not hold that omission of an element
    can never be harmless error unless uncontested.         Indeed, the
    Supreme Court emphasized that the correct focus of harmless-error
    analysis is: 'Is it clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational
    jury would have found the defendant guilty absent the error?'"
    (citation omitted)).   Furthermore, neither the Second Circuit nor
    the Fourth Circuit cases support the other concurrence's mandatory,
    exclusive, two-pronged test.    Recall that the other concurrence
    explicitly argues that Neder "requires that an omitted element be
    uncontested in order to be found harmless."    See ante, at 42.    In
    contrast, in both the Second and the Fourth Circuits, a finding
    that the omitted element is contested does not end the inquiry.
    Indeed, when an omitted element is contested, the Second Circuit
    goes on to ask: (1) whether the evidence would permit a finding in
    favor of the defendant on that element; and (2) "'whether the jury
    would nonetheless have returned the same verdict of guilty.'"
    United States v. Needham, 
    604 F.3d 673
    , 679 (2d Cir. 2010) (quoting
    United States v. Jackson, 
    196 F.3d 383
    , 386 (2d Cir. 1999)).      The
    -91-
    Fourth Circuit conducts a similar inquiry: when an omitted element
    is    contested,    the   reviewing   court     asks   "whether     the    'record
    contains evidence that could rationally lead to a contrary finding
    with respect to that omitted element.'"            United States v. Brown,
    
    202 F.3d 691
    , 701 (4th Cir. 2000) (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
    ).
    The    approaches    of   the   Second    and   Fourth       Circuits   are   thus
    consistent with my interpretation, and both refer back to the
    standard Chapman harmless-error test -- whether the jury's verdict
    would have been the same absent the error.
    3.   State Courts
    In a section titled "Criticism in the State Courts," the
    other    concurrence      cites   three      state-court       decisions      (from
    Mississippi, New Hampshire, and Indiana) that it implies undermine
    Neder in some way.        Ante, at 48.       Judge Lipez cites decisions by
    two state supreme courts (Mississippi and New Hampshire) to argue
    that "[s]everal state supreme courts have held that their state
    constitutions provide a broader jury trial guarantee than Neder
    recognized in the federal Constitution."               
    Id.
        I do not question
    this assertion, but by its own terms, it is entirely irrelevant to
    the question under consideration. The issue being debated does not
    involve interpretation of the Mississippi and New Hampshire state
    constitutions. As for the 2005 Indiana intermediate state court of
    appeals decision that suggested that Neder might be "short-lived,"
    see Freeze v. State, 
    827 N.E.2d 600
    , 605 (Ind. Ct. App. 2005), I
    -92-
    simply note that nine years have passed since the Indiana court's
    statement, and fifteen years have passed since Neder was decided.
    The Indiana prediction may yet be revealed as prescient, but for
    the moment, its prophesy has little bearing on the current state of
    the controlling precedent.
    IX.    Conclusion
    Contrary to the position taken in the other concurrence,
    I have not encountered any "significant inconsistency" in First
    Circuit cases applying the harmless-error test.            Under a proper
    application of the governing precedent, the First Circuit cases
    identified by the other concurrence as "inconsistent" are rather
    almost entirely consistent with the correct interpretation of Neder
    and its progeny.        To the extent that any of those cases are
    inconsistent with the standard Chapman harmless-error test, they
    represent a very small minority: the overwhelming weight of the
    controlling Supreme Court and First Circuit cases militate against
    the other concurrence's creative interpretation of a few isolated
    statements in Neder.          In the absence of a Supreme Court ruling
    overruling Neder, any such "inconsistency" is properly resolved
    against the interpretation proposed in the other concurrence.
    As stated by the Supreme Court in Neder itself, and as
    reinforced by subsequent Supreme Court and First Circuit cases,
    "the   test    for   determining   whether   a   constitutional     error   is
    harmless"     remains   the    standard   test   articulated   in   Chapman:
    -93-
    "whether it appears 'beyond a reasonable doubt that the error
    complained of did not contribute to the verdict obtained.'" Neder,
    
    527 U.S. at 15
     (quoting Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    ); see also Premo,
    
    131 S. Ct. at 744
     ("[O]n direct review following an acknowledged
    constitutional error at trial," the government has "the burden of
    showing that it was 'clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a
    rational jury would have found the defendant guilty absent the
    error.'" (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    )); Mitchell, 
    540 U.S. at 17-18
     (same).
    X.   Appendix: Examples of Supreme Court, First Circuit, and Other
    Circuit Court Cases Discussing the Constitutional Harmless-
    Error Test
    For the reader's reference and convenience, below is a
    non-exhaustive list of thirty relevant cases -- from the Supreme
    Court, First Circuit, and other circuit courts of appeal -- that
    discuss the constitutional harmless-error test and support the
    standard test as articulated in Chapman:
    A.   Supreme Court Cases
    1.   Premo v. Moore, 
    131 S. Ct. 733
    , 744 (2011)
    ("[O]n direct review following an acknowledged constitutional error
    at trial," the government has "the burden of showing that it was
    'clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would have
    found the defendant guilty absent the error.'" (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    )).
    -94-
    2.     Rivera v. Illinois, 
    556 U.S. 148
    , 155-56
    (2009) (affirming the Illinois Supreme Court's finding of harmless
    error regarding the improper denial of a peremptory challenge, when
    "it was clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury would
    have found [Rivera] guilty absent the error" and the challenged
    juror's "presence on the jury did not prejudice Rivera because any
    rational trier of fact would have found [Rivera] guilty of murder
    on the evidence adduced at trial" (internal quotation marks and
    citations omitted)).
    3.    Washington v. Recuenco, 
    548 U.S. 212
    , 222
    (2006) ("Failure to submit a sentencing factor to the jury, like
    failure to submit an element to the jury, is not structural
    error.").
    4. Mitchell v. Esparza, 
    540 U.S. 12
    , 17-18 (2003)
    ("A constitutional error is harmless when 'it appears beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the error complained of did not contribute to
    the verdict obtained.'" (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 15
    )).
    5.    Neder v. United States, 
    527 U.S. 1
    , 18 (1999)
    (stating that for various constitutional errors -- including "the
    failure to instruct on an element in violation of the right to a
    jury trial" -- "the harmless-error inquiry must be essentially the
    same: Is it clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational jury
    would have found the defendant guilty absent the error?"); 
    id. at 15
     (articulating the standard constitutional harmless-error test as
    -95-
    "whether it appears 'beyond a reasonable doubt that the error
    complained of did not contribute to the verdict obtained'" (quoting
    Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    )); 
    id. at 19
     ("A reviewing court making
    this harmless-error inquiry . . . . asks whether the record
    contains evidence that could rationally lead to a contrary finding
    with respect to the omitted element.").
    6.   Delaware v. Van Arsdall, 
    475 U.S. 673
    , 681
    (1986) ("[A]n otherwise valid conviction should not be set aside if
    the reviewing court may confidently say, on the whole record, that
    the constitutional error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.").
    7.   Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24 (1967)
    ("requiring the beneficiary of a constitutional error to prove
    beyond a reasonable doubt that the error complained of did not
    contribute to the verdict obtained").
    B.   First Circuit Cases
    1.   United States v. Barnes, No. 11-1093, 
    2014 WL 5072846
    , at *3 n.5 (1st Cir. Oct. 10, 2014) ("An Alleyne error can
    be harmless if 'no reasonable jury' -- hearing the same evidence
    that the sentencing judge heard -- could hold the defendant
    responsible for a drug amount 'below the . . . threshold [ ]
    triggering the mandatory minimum[ ].'" (quoting Ramírez–Negrón, 751
    F.3d at 51 n.8)); id. at *4 (stating that our "stiff test" for
    harmless error is whether the government has "prove[n] beyond a
    -96-
    reasonable doubt       that the error did not 'contribute' to the
    complained-about sentence" (quoting Pérez–Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d at 17
    )).
    2.       United States v. Santiago, No. 13-1146, 
    2014 WL 4494198
    , at *8 (1st Cir. Sept. 12, 2014) (stating that to
    determine    whether     a    constitutional   error   is   harmless,    "the
    government has the burden of proving beyond a reasonable doubt that
    the error did not affect the defendant's substantial rights"
    (quoting United States v. Sepúlveda–Contreras, 
    466 F.3d 166
    , 171
    (1st Cir. 2006))).
    3.       United States v. Marshall, 
    753 F.3d 341
    , 346
    (1st Cir. 2014) ("[A]ny error was harmless when assessed under the
    standard    that   instructional      error,   including    omission    of   an
    element, is harmless if it is clear beyond a reasonable doubt that
    a rational jury would have found guilt absent the error.").
    4. Connolly v. Roden, 
    752 F.3d 505
    , 509 (1st Cir.
    2014) ("In 1967, the Supreme Court in Chapman                 v. California
    articulated the constitutional harmless error standard, which
    provides that, on direct appellate review, an error at trial
    affecting the defendant's constitutional rights will be deemed
    harmless only if it can be shown to be harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt." (quoting Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    )).
    5.   United States v. Ramírez-Negrón, 
    751 F.3d 42
    ,
    51 n.8 (1st Cir. 2014) (stating than an Alleyne error would be
    harmless beyond a reasonable doubt if "no reasonable jury could
    -97-
    have found that the defendants were responsible for drug quantities
    below the respective thresholds triggering the mandatory minimum
    sentences").
    6. United States v. Lyons, 
    740 F.3d 702
    , 714 (1st
    Cir. 2014) ("Where a jury is properly instructed on two theories of
    guilt, one of which is later determined to be invalid, we can
    affirm the conviction only if we conclude beyond a reasonable doubt
    that the jury verdict would have been the same absent the error."
    (citations and internal quotation marks omitted)).
    7.    United States v. Harakaly, 
    734 F.3d 88
    , 95
    (1st Cir. 2013) ("In drug-trafficking cases involving Apprendi
    errors, we sometimes have treated the presence of overwhelming
    evidence of the requisite drug types and quantities as a proxy for
    harmlessness." (emphases added) (quoting Pérez–Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d at 18
    )); 
    id.
     (finding harmless error when the defendant did "not
    seriously contest the finding that he was responsible for more
    than" the threshold quantity) (emphasis added); 
    id. at 96
     (finding
    the drug-quantity evidence to be overwhelming when "[t]he delivery
    that the police intercepted, taken alone, was nearly four times the
    triggering amount," and when the defendant himself "acknowledged
    responsibility for a quantity of drugs that far exceed[ed] the
    triggering amount").
    8.    United States v. Melvin, 
    730 F.3d 29
    , 39 (1st
    Cir. 2013) (the harmless-error test for a constitutional error
    -98-
    "requires   reversal    unless   the      government   proves   'beyond    a
    reasonable doubt that the error did not influence the verdict'")
    (quoting United States v. Sasso, 
    695 F.3d 25
    , 29 (1st Cir. 2012)).
    9.    United States v. McDonough, 
    727 F.3d 143
    , 157
    (1st Cir. 2013) (unanimous opinion, which Judge Lipez joined in
    full) ("[A]n incorrect instruction does not require reversal if the
    error was harmless.     In the case of an error of 'constitutional
    dimension,' the government is required to establish beyond a
    reasonable doubt that the error did not influence the verdict."
    (internal citation omitted)); 
    id. at 162
     ("[A]ssuming that [the
    district court refused to instruct the jury on] a required element,
    the   evidence   was    more     than     sufficient    to   support      the
    convictions. . . .     [Thus,] we are confident that the same result
    would have obtained if [the jury was properly instructed].")
    (citations and internal quotation marks omitted).
    10. United States v. Zhen Zhou Wu, 
    711 F.3d 1
    , 20
    (1st Cir. 2013) ("In any event, given the [conflicting evidence] on
    this very matter, we cannot 'conclude[ ] beyond a reasonable doubt
    . . . that the jury verdict would have been the same absent the
    error.'" (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 17
    )).
    11.     United States v. Green, 
    698 F.3d 48
    , 53-54
    (1st Cir. 2012) (finding a constitutional error to be harmless
    after concluding "beyond a reasonable doubt that any error here did
    not contribute to the verdict").
    -99-
    12.    United States v. Newell, 
    658 F.3d 1
    , 17 n.19
    (1st Cir. 2011) (unanimous opinion, which Judge Lipez joined in
    full) ("[T]he failure to instruct the jury on [an omitted element]
    is subject to harmless error review," which "requires ascertaining
    'whether it appears beyond a reasonable doubt that the error
    complained    of   did    not    contribute    to    the   verdict   obtained.'"
    (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 15
    )); 
    id.
     ("[E]ven if the district
    court erred in not giving the requested materiality instruction
    . . . that error was harmless as the evidence of materiality was
    more   than   sufficient        to   support   the   convictions     under   this
    standard.").
    13.     United States v. Dancy, 
    640 F.3d 455
    , 463
    (1st Cir. 2011) ("Any error is harmless if the government shows it
    is 'highly probable that the error did not influence the verdict.'
    (quoting United States v. Flores–de–Jesús, 
    569 F.3d 8
    , 27 (1st Cir.
    2009)).
    14.    United States v. Godin, 
    534 F.3d 51
    , 61 (1st
    Cir. 2008) ("When examining whether the omission of an element in
    a jury instruction is harmless error, we ask whether the record
    contains evidence that could rationally lead to a contrary finding
    with respect to the omitted element." (internal quotation marks
    omitted)).
    15.    United States v. Morgan, 
    384 F.3d 1
    , 8 (1st
    Cir. 2004) (stating that Apprendi errors "should be held harmless
    -100-
    so long as the evidence for the trial judge's factual findings is
    overwhelming and no reasonable jury could have disagreed with
    them").
    16.    United States v. Soto-Beníquez, 
    356 F.3d 1
    ,
    46 (1st Cir. 2003) ("An Apprendi error is harmless where the
    evidence overwhelmingly establishes the minimum drug quantity
    needed to justify the statutory maximum under which the defendants
    were sentenced.").
    17.    United States v. Pérez-Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d 1
    , 17
    (1st   Cir.    2003)        ("[W]hen   a   non-structural      error    is   of
    constitutional dimension[,] . . . . the government must prove that
    the error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt, or, put another
    way, that it can fairly be said beyond any reasonable doubt that
    the assigned error did not contribute to the result of which the
    appellant complains."); 
    id.
     at 19 (citing cases finding harmless
    error due to "overwhelming evidence of drug type and quantity" when
    there was "testimony describing quantities of drugs actually seized
    from coconspirators" or "the evidence tying the defendant to the
    charged conspiracy involved drugs that were indisputably in excess
    of the requisite amounts").
    18.    United States v. Prigmore, 
    243 F.3d 1
    , 21
    (1st Cir. 2001) (articulating the Neder harmless-error test as
    whether it is "'clear beyond a reasonable doubt that a rational
    jury   would   have    found'     defendants   guilty   even    if     properly
    -101-
    instructed" (quoting Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 18
    )); 
    id.
     at 21 n.7 (noting
    that the Chapman test applies to appellate review of constitutional
    errors) (citing Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    ); 
    id. at 22
     ("We do not
    believe, however, that the evidence is so one-sided as to render
    harmless the underlying instructional error we have identified.
    Unlike the government, we do not see this as a case, like Neder,
    where it is far-fetched to conclude that a properly instructed jury
    might have returned different verdicts than those returned.").
    C.   Cases from Other Circuits
    1. United States v. Ramos-Cruz, 
    667 F.3d 487
    , 496
    (4th Cir. 2012) ("[I]f the defendant contested the omitted element,
    we ask whether the record contains evidence that could rationally
    lead to a contrary finding with respect to that omitted element.")
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    2.   United States v. Needham, 
    604 F.3d 673
    , 679
    (2d Cir. 2010) ("In United States v. Jackson, 
    196 F.3d 383
    , 386-87
    (2d Cir. 1999), we interpreted the Supreme Court's decision in
    Neder, describing the analysis a reviewing court must undertake to
    determine whether the omission of an element was harmless.   In so
    doing, we held that "if the evidence supporting the omitted element
    was controverted, harmless error analysis requires the appellate
    court to conduct a two-part inquiry, searching the record in order
    to determine (a) whether there was sufficient evidence to permit a
    jury to find in favor of the defendant on the omitted element, and,
    -102-
    if there was, (b) whether the jury would nonetheless have returned
    the same verdict of guilty.'" (quoting Jackson, 
    196 F.3d at 386
    )).
    3. United States v. Korey, 
    472 F.3d 89
    , 96-97 (3d
    Cir. 2007) ("While holding that this jury instruction as to the
    defendant's state of mind was in error, we observed that '[a]
    verdict may still stand, despite erroneous jury instructions, where
    the predicate facts conclusively establish intent, so that no
    rational jury could find that the defendant committed the relevant
    criminal act but did not intend to cause the                   injury.'" (quoting
    Whitney v. Horn, 
    280 F.3d 240
    , 260 (3d Cir. 2002)) (internal
    quotation marks omitted)).
    4. United States v. Brown, 
    202 F.3d 691
    , 701 (4th
    Cir. 2000) ("[I]f the defendant contested the omitted element,
    Neder mandates a second inquiry. In that event, we must determine
    whether the 'record contains evidence that could rationally lead to
    a contrary finding with respect to that omitted element.'" (quoting
    Neder, 
    527 U.S. at 19
    )).
    5.   United States v. Neder, 
    197 F.3d 1122
    , 1129
    (11th Cir. 1999) (considering the Supreme Court's Neder decision on
    remand, and stating that "the Supreme Court did not hold that
    omission     of   an   element     can    never    be    harmless    error    unless
    uncontested. Indeed, the Supreme Court emphasized that the correct
    focus   of   harmless-error        analysis      is:    'Is   it   clear   beyond   a
    reasonable    doubt     that   a   rational       jury   would     have    found   the
    -103-
    defendant guilty absent the error?'" (citation omitted)); 
    id.
    ("Thus, whether Neder contested materiality may be considered but
    is not the pivotal concern. Instead, what the evidence showed
    regarding   materiality    is   the   touchstone.");    
    id.
        at    1129   n.6
    ("Considered in context, the Supreme Court's statement clearly does
    not mean that omission of an element of an offense can never be
    harmless error unless uncontested."); 
    id.
     ("The statement" -- that
    the error is harmless because "'the omitted element was uncontested
    and supported by overwhelming evidence'" -- "means only that the
    fact materiality was not contested supports the conclusion that the
    jury's   verdict   would   have   been   the   same   absent   the    error."
    (citations omitted)).
    -104-
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 12-1759

Citation Numbers: 772 F.3d 284

Filed Date: 11/14/2014

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

Authorities (57)

United States v. Newell , 658 F.3d 1 ( 2011 )

Ramirez-Burgos v. United States , 313 F.3d 23 ( 2002 )

United States v. Bailey , 270 F.3d 83 ( 2001 )

United States v. LaFreniere , 236 F.3d 41 ( 2001 )

United States v. Ilario M.A. Zannino , 895 F.2d 1 ( 1990 )

United States v. Flores-De-Jesus , 569 F.3d 8 ( 2009 )

United States v. Perez-Ruiz , 353 F.3d 1 ( 2003 )

United States v. Correy , 570 F.3d 373 ( 2009 )

United States v. Alan Lee Amirault , 224 F.3d 9 ( 2000 )

united-states-v-angel-casas-united-states-of-america-v-jose , 425 F.3d 23 ( 2005 )

united-states-v-milton-a-nelson-rodriguez-luis-a-romero-lopez-miguel-a , 319 F.3d 12 ( 2003 )

united-states-v-william-soto-beniquez-united-states-of-america-v-juan , 356 F.3d 1 ( 2004 )

United States v. Colon-Solis , 354 F.3d 101 ( 2004 )

United States v. David W. Prigmore, United States v. Lee H. ... , 243 F.3d 1 ( 2001 )

United States v. Ticchiarelli , 171 F.3d 24 ( 1999 )

United States v. Dancy , 640 F.3d 455 ( 2011 )

United States v. Vidal-Reyes , 562 F.3d 43 ( 2009 )

United States v. Godin , 534 F.3d 51 ( 2008 )

UNITED STATES v. MARCOS MARTÍNEZ-MEDINA, UNITED STATES OF ... , 279 F.3d 105 ( 2002 )

United States v. Morgan , 384 F.3d 1 ( 2004 )

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