United States v. Dunfee , 821 F.3d 120 ( 2016 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 15-1031
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    JOSHUA DUNFEE,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS
    [Hon. Patti B. Saris, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Kayatta, Stahl, and Barron,
    Circuit Judges.
    Paul J. Garrity for appellant.
    Randall E. Kromm, Assistant United States Attorney, with whom
    Carmen M. Ortiz, United States Attorney, was on brief, for
    appellee.
    May 2, 2016
    PER CURIAM. Joshua Dunfee confessed not once, but twice,
    to allegations that he engaged in conduct sufficient to support
    convictions for the coercion and enticement of a minor, and the
    sexual exploitation of a child.     The first of these confessions
    came at the time of Dunfee's arrest, and the second came during a
    change-of-plea hearing before the district court, at which Dunfee
    pled guilty to the charges against him.    Later, Dunfee filed two
    motions seeking to withdraw his guilty plea.    The district court
    denied these motions and sentenced Dunfee to a twenty-year term of
    imprisonment.   Dunfee now appeals from the denial of his motions
    to withdraw his plea, as well as from his sentence, which he
    challenges as procedurally and substantively unreasonable.        We
    AFFIRM.
    I. Facts and Background
    A.   The Offense Conduct
    In 2010, Dunfee created a fictitious Facebook page for
    a photography studio by the name of Hunt Photography.      Using the
    equally fictitious pseudonym, "John," Dunfee held himself out as
    a Hunt employee and, in September 2011, began communicating online
    with an adult female, A.L., a resident of Massachusetts.    A.L. was
    interested in working as a model.   Believing that Hunt Photography
    was a legitimate enterprise and that John was its legitimate
    employee, A.L. agreed to take part in an "audition" with John via
    a webcam, during which she exposed intimate parts of her body.
    - 2 -
    A.L. had a ten-year-old daughter, R.L.               On October 4,
    2011, Dunfee again contacted A.L. This time, again acting as John,
    Dunfee offered A.L. $20,000 for a "mother-daughter bikini modeling
    contract."     To secure the contract, Dunfee explained, A.L. and
    R.L. would need to audition.
    During the course of a Skype call that afternoon, at
    Dunfee's direction, A.L. posed R.L. in front of the webcam wearing
    a bra and panties.      Again at Dunfee's direction, A.L. manipulated
    R.L.'s underwear, then agreed to shave R.L.'s pubic area.                      A.L.
    then returned R.L. to the webcam fully nude and, following Dunfee's
    instructions,      displayed    R.L.'s     genitalia,    ostensibly       so   that
    Dunfee could determine if R.L. was a suitable "model." R.L. became
    so upset that she refused to continue and A.L. terminated the Skype
    call.      A.L. then discussed the incident with her sister, who
    promptly reported it to police.
    Using his IP address, law enforcement officers tracked
    Dunfee's     communications     to   his    residence,   located     in    Oxford
    Junction, Iowa.       On November 3, 2011, officers with the United
    States   Postal    Inspection     Service    ("USPIS")    executed    a    search
    warrant at the premises.        After waiving his Miranda rights, Dunfee
    gave a full confession to USPIS Inspector Scott Kelley, describing
    in detail his creation of the Hunt Photography Facebook page and
    his role posing as John, and confirming that he had directed A.L.
    to   shave   and   display     R.L.'s    genitalia.      Dunfee    admitted      to
    - 3 -
    Inspector Kelley that although he was unsure of R.L.'s exact age,
    he "guessed she was around 15."         Dunfee was placed under arrest
    and was transferred to the District of Massachusetts.
    As part of their search of Dunfee's residence, officers
    seized a number of computers, later examination of which revealed
    a   wealth   of   incriminating    evidence.    For   example,    officers
    discovered records of the communications between Dunfee and A.L.,
    as well as hundreds of sexually provocative pictures and videos of
    young girls.1
    B.     Pretrial Proceedings and Dunfee's Guilty Plea
    On November 29, 2011, Dunfee appeared for a hearing
    before a magistrate judge.        Concluding that he posed a danger if
    released, the magistrate ordered Dunfee detained prior to trial.
    Dunfee was subsequently indicted on charges of sexually exploiting
    a child, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 2251(a) and (e), and coercing
    and enticing a minor, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 2422(b).
    In March 2012, at Dunfee's request, the magistrate judge
    dismissed    Dunfee's   appointed    federal   defender,   and   appointed
    Attorney John Salsberg, an experienced member of the criminal
    1Investigators also uncovered evidence that Dunfee had
    perpetrated a similar scheme by convincing a California teenager,
    whom Dunfee knew to be sixteen years old, to send him semi-nude
    photographs with the promise of a modeling contract.
    - 4 -
    defense bar, to represent him.2            Later, following the district
    court's approval of further funds, Attorney Salsberg was joined by
    an associate, resulting in Dunfee having two lawyers representing
    him for a significant portion of the pretrial proceedings.
    In May 2012, Dunfee moved for reconsideration of the
    magistrate judge's pretrial detention order.            The magistrate judge
    held a two-day hearing, at which Dunfee offered the testimony of
    his wife, Barbara Dunfee; his mother-in-law, Terry Sherman; and
    his sister-in-law, Ashley Hubbard.           Through this testimony, Dunfee
    sought to establish an alibi to prove that he was not at home on
    October 4, 2011, when he was alleged to have contacted A.L. and
    R.L.       For example, Barbara and Ashley testified that they were
    with Dunfee for portions of the day, and Terry testified that she
    recalled seeing Dunfee and Ashley driving together that afternoon.
    This alibi defense was subsequently undermined in a
    number of key respects.       For example, on cross-examination, Ashley
    (Dunfee's sister-in-law) admitted that she had previously had a
    sexual relationship with Dunfee and that she was aware Dunfee had
    used the Hunt Photography Facebook account.               During her cross-
    examination, Terry (Dunfee's mother-in-law) conceded that she was
    unsure      whether   she   had   seen   Ashley   and   Dunfee   together   on
    In addition to his several decades of experience, Attorney
    2
    Salsberg serves as an instructor at Harvard Law School and chairs
    the Criminal Justice Act Board in Massachusetts.
    - 5 -
    October 4, or some other date.    What is more, while Ashley claimed
    that she and Dunfee had gone together to two restaurants on
    October 4, 2011, credit card records later established that they
    had in fact visited those locations on the previous day, October 3.
    The magistrate judge expressed his skepticism of the
    alibi defense at the hearing, observing that the testimony "simply
    doesn't persuade me, period."    Later, the magistrate judge issued
    a written order denying Dunfee's motion to reconsider, in which he
    described the alibi defense as "incredible and unpersuasive."
    On September 19, 2013, Dunfee filed a motion to suppress
    the confession he had offered to USPIS Inspector Kelley, claiming
    that Kelley had misled and coerced him into waiving his Miranda
    rights.   During a series of ensuing hearings, the district court
    heard testimony from Dunfee, Inspector Kelley, and another USPIS
    inspector who had witnessed Dunfee's receipt and acknowledgement
    of a Miranda waiver.    In a written decision, the district court
    denied Dunfee's motion to suppress, finding that Inspector Kelley
    "did not coerce, intimidate, or otherwise deceive" Dunfee, and
    that Dunfee's "credibility was undermined by his clearly false
    testimony."   United States v. Dunfee, No. 12-CR-10024-PBS, 
    2013 WL 6488710
    , at *4 (D. Mass. Dec. 9, 2013).
    Pretrial proceedings continued through the end of 2013
    and into 2014.   The trial was repeatedly delayed as Dunfee hired
    a series of forensics experts (with court-approved funds) to assess
    - 6 -
    his computer and the records of his online activities.              Finally,
    a trial date was set for March 31, 2014.          On the morning trial was
    to begin, however, Dunfee informed the district court that he
    intended to plead guilty to both of the charges against him.
    During   a   lengthy    colloquy    that   followed,   Dunfee   assured   the
    district court that he was fit to enter a guilty plea, that he had
    carefully reviewed the indictment with his attorneys, and that he
    was satisfied with the quality of the representation he had
    received. The government then offered a summary of the allegations
    it would have proven at trial, focusing specifically on Dunfee's
    use, on October 4, 2011, of the Hunt Photography Facebook page to
    induce A.L. and R.L.       This led to the following exchange:
    The Court: Do you disagree with [the government's
    description of the offense conduct]?
    Dunfee:      No.
    The Court: All right, were you the person who was
    pretending to be Hunt Photography and
    enticing that girl?
    Dunfee:      Yes.
    The Court: [] Did you know she was underage?
    Dunfee:      Yes.
    After     further     questioning,    during   which     Dunfee
    repeatedly assured the district court that his decision to plead
    guilty was undertaken knowingly, freely, and voluntarily, the
    district court accepted Dunfee's plea.
    - 7 -
    C.   Dunfee's Attempts to Withdraw His Plea; Sentencing
    Some two months later, in May 2014, the Probation Office
    issued a presentence report ("PSR"), which calculated a guideline
    recommended   sentence   of   life   imprisonment.   Soon   thereafter,
    Dunfee filed a pro se motion seeking to remove his attorney and to
    withdraw his guilty plea, which Dunfee stated was the product of
    ineffective assistance of counsel.       In an accompanying affidavit,
    Dunfee professed his innocence and claimed that he was forced to
    plead guilty because his attorney had not adequately prepared for
    trial and had "obstructed" his defense by, among other perceived
    shortcomings, failing to pursue exculpatory evidence, discouraging
    defense witnesses from testifying, and telling Dunfee that his
    conviction was "guarantee[d]" if the case went to trial.3         Under
    separate cover, Dunfee filed a series of exhibits, including
    correspondence with his attorney and internet service records,
    which Dunfee argued proved he was innocent of the charges. Despite
    Dunfee's voluminous filings, he did not request a hearing.           On
    August 18, 2014, the district court denied Dunfee's motion to
    withdraw his plea in a thorough written decision.4
    3Although Dunfee was represented by two attorneys, his motion
    and affidavit focus only on the actions of Attorney Salsberg.
    4 The district court later granted Dunfee's request that
    Attorney Salsberg and his associate be dismissed from the case.
    The court appointed new counsel to represent Dunfee at sentencing.
    - 8 -
    In October 2014, still dissatisfied, Dunfee filed yet
    another pro se motion seeking to withdraw his plea.             As before,
    Dunfee appended a lengthy series of exhibits, which he argued
    supported his claim of innocence.              Again, he did not expressly
    request a hearing. The district court promptly denied this motion.
    Although Dunfee's PSR calculated a recommended sentence
    of life imprisonment, both Dunfee and the government urged the
    district   court    to   impose    a    below-guideline   sentence.    The
    government requested a sentence of twenty-three years; Dunfee
    requested fifteen years.          In December 2014, the district court
    sentenced Dunfee to a twenty-year prison term.
    II. Discussion
    Dunfee appeals from the denial of his motions to withdraw
    his guilty plea, as well as from his sentence, which he challenges
    as procedurally and substantively unreasonable.           We consider these
    issues in turn.
    A.    Withdrawal of the Guilty Plea
    "A defendant may withdraw a guilty plea before sentence
    is imposed if he shows 'a fair and just reason for requesting the
    withdrawal.'"      United States v. Isom, 
    580 F.3d 43
    , 52 (1st Cir.
    2009) (quoting Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(d)(2)(B)). We review a district
    court's denial of a motion to withdraw for abuse of discretion,
    United States v. Sousa, 
    468 F.3d 42
    , 46 (1st Cir. 2006), setting
    - 9 -
    aside factual findings only if they are clearly erroneous, United
    States v. Santiago Miranda, 
    654 F.3d 130
    , 137 (1st Cir. 2011).
    A defendant does not have an "unfettered right to retract
    a guilty plea" and he bears the burden to establish a fair and
    just reason for withdrawal.       United States v. Merritt, 
    755 F.3d 6
    ,
    9 (1st Cir. 2014).         In considering whether the defendant has
    carried this burden, we consider "whether the plea was voluntary,
    intelligent, knowing and in compliance with Rule 11; the strength
    of the reasons offered in support of the motion [to withdraw];
    whether there is a serious claim of actual innocence; the timing
    of   the   motion;   and   any   prejudice   to   the   government   if   the
    withdrawal is allowed."      
    Isom, 580 F.3d at 52
    .
    i.   Rule 11: Voluntary, Intelligent, and Knowing
    The question of whether the defendant's guilty plea was
    entered voluntarily, intelligently, and knowingly is regarded as
    the "most significant" of the relevant factors.          See United States
    v. Cotal-Crespo, 
    47 F.3d 1
    , 3 (1st Cir. 1995).              Here, we have
    little difficulty concluding that Dunfee's plea passes muster.
    Upon being advised of his intention to plead guilty, the district
    court placed Dunfee under oath and advised him of his rights to a
    jury trial, to be represented by counsel, and to confront the
    witnesses against him.      See Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(b)(1)(C)-(F).         The
    district court also reviewed with Dunfee the charges he faced, the
    minimum and maximum penalties associated with those charges, the
    - 10 -
    applicable sentencing guideline range, and the fact that there was
    no plea agreement in place.      See 
    id. 11(b)(1)(G)-(N). What
    is more, the district court went to great lengths
    to ensure that Dunfee was pleading guilty of his own volition, and
    that there was a sufficient factual basis for him to do so.         See
    
    id. 11(b)(2) and
    (3).      In response to clear and direct questions
    posed by the district court, Dunfee confirmed that he had reviewed
    the indictment with his attorneys, that he understood its contents,
    and that he was satisfied with his legal representation.        Then, at
    the   court's   request,   the   government   described   the   factual
    allegations it would have been able to prove at trial.            After
    hearing these allegations, Dunfee confirmed that they were true
    and correct.    He also answered "yes" when the district court asked
    him whether he had used the Hunt Photography Facebook account to
    entice A.L. and R.L., and whether he knew at the time that R.L.
    was underage.
    In sum, Dunfee affirmatively declared under oath at a
    properly conducted Rule 11 hearing that he was guilty of the crimes
    with which he was charged. These "declarations in open court carry
    a strong presumption of verity," Santiago 
    Miranda, 654 F.3d at 138
    (quoting Blackledge v. Allison, 
    431 U.S. 63
    , 74 (1977)), and the
    district court was "entitled to give weight to [those declarations]
    absent a 'good reason for disregarding them,'" 
    id. (quoting United
    States v. Torres-Rosario, 
    447 F.3d 61
    , 67 (1st Cir. 2006)); see
    - 11 -
    also United States v. Gates, 
    709 F.3d 58
    , 69 (1st Cir. 2013)
    ("A defendant is normally bound by the representations that he
    himself makes in open court at the time of his plea.").
    Dunfee argues here, as he did before the district court,
    that his decision to enter a guilty plea was not made voluntarily;
    rather, it was the product of his attorney's ineffective assistance
    and coercion.     More specifically, Dunfee maintains that because
    his attorney failed to adequately prepare for trial, he felt that
    he had no choice but to plead guilty.    Compounding matters, Dunfee
    felt coerced by his attorney, who told him that his conviction was
    "guarantee[d]" if the case went to trial.
    To parse Dunfee's ineffective assistance claim, we apply
    the two-part standard articulated in Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    (1984).    See United States v. Isom, 
    85 F.3d 831
    , 837 (1st
    Cir. 1996).     In order to prevail, Dunfee must "show that, first,
    counsel's performance in advising [his] guilty plea[] fell below
    the standard of performance of reasonable proficient counsel, and
    second, that by such inadequate performance, [Dunfee] was induced
    to enter [a] guilty plea[] which he otherwise would not have
    entered." 
    Id. (internal quotation
    marks omitted). "The Strickland
    test imposes 'highly deferential' judicial scrutiny of counsel's
    performance and 'a strong presumption that counsel's conduct falls
    within the wide range of reasonable professional assistance.'"
    Lopez-Nieves v. United States, 
    917 F.2d 645
    , 648 (1st Cir. 1990)
    - 12 -
    (quoting 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 689
    ).               Where, as here, the
    defendant was represented by multiple attorneys, an ineffective
    assistance challenge is particularly difficult to mount.           See 
    id. at 647.
    Dunfee offers several examples of what he characterizes
    as Attorney Salsberg's ineffectiveness.         He claims that Attorney
    Salsberg failed to investigate and uncover exculpatory evidence,
    and discouraged certain defense witnesses from testifying.                He
    also argues that Attorney Salsberg failed to investigate his mental
    health as relevant to the defense, and failed to advise the
    district court, on the eve of trial, that a continuance was needed
    in light of a new prospective witness that Dunfee had identified.
    We begin with Dunfee's claim that Attorney Salsberg
    failed to pursue exculpatory evidence.          Although it is somewhat
    unclear, as best we can tell, this claim relates principally to
    evidence which falls into one of two broad categories.                 First,
    Dunfee claims that Attorney Salsberg failed to adequately pursue
    evidence   and   witnesses   which    would   have   supported   his    alibi
    defense. Second, Dunfee argues that Attorney Salsberg was derelict
    in failing to uncover electronic records which he maintains would
    have proven that he could not have communicated with A.L. and R.L.
    on October 4, 2011.
    Dunfee's   attorneys      aggressively    pursued   evidence    to
    support the alibi defense, but the evidence simply did not exist.
    - 13 -
    By way of example, while Dunfee sought to offer the testimony of
    Terry and Ashley to prove that he was not at home at the time of
    the alleged offense, neither witness was apparently in a position
    to establish his whereabouts on the day in question.     Likewise,
    while Dunfee pointed to his time-stamped work records as evidence
    that he could not have committed the crime, they in fact showed
    that he was not at work during the day on October 4, 2011.
    Furthermore, to the extent that Dunfee now claims that
    electronic records might have helped his cause had his attorneys
    uncovered them, the district court acted well within its discretion
    in finding that any such records either did not exist or would not
    have been helpful to Dunfee.      As we have said, the pretrial
    proceedings were repeatedly delayed as Dunfee sought more time
    (and court-approved funding) for further forensic review of the
    computers seized during the search of his residence. Despite ample
    opportunity for the discovery of the electronic records that Dunfee
    claims his attorneys should have found, no such evidence was
    presented to the district court, nor has it been presented to us
    on appeal.   See United States v. Pulido, 
    566 F.3d 52
    , 59-60 (1st
    Cir. 2009) ("[W]e have typically disregarded representations at a
    plea colloquy 'only when the allegations were highly specific and
    usually accompanied by some independent corroboration.'" (quoting
    United States v. Butt, 
    731 F.2d 75
    , 80 n.5 (1st Cir. 1984))).
    - 14 -
    Ultimately,       the    district       court's    conclusion      that
    Dunfee's attorneys did not fail to seek out exculpatory evidence
    was rooted in the district court's reasonable evaluation of the
    extensive factual record before it.            Where, as here, such factual
    determinations underpin the denial of a motion to withdraw, we
    review those determinations solely for clear error.                    Santiago
    
    Miranda, 654 F.3d at 137
    .          Dunfee would have us construe the same
    factual record that was before the district court favorably to
    him, and to infer the existence of evidence that he claims his
    attorneys should have found.            But, such inferential leaps and
    second guessing are not the object of our clear error inquiry.
    See Cumpiano v. Banco Santander P.R., 
    902 F.2d 148
    , 152 (1st Cir.
    1990)   ("If    the    district    court's    account    of   the   evidence    is
    plausible in light of the record reviewed in its entirety, the
    court of appeals may not reverse it even though convinced that had
    it been sitting as the trier of fact, it would have weighed the
    evidence differently." (quoting Anderson v. City of Bessemer City,
    
    470 U.S. 564
    , 573-74 (1985))). Recognizing that the district court
    was itself constrained to apply "highly deferential" scrutiny to
    counsel's performance, 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 689
    , we find that
    the district court did not clearly err when it found that Dunfee's
    attorneys acted reasonably in seeking exculpatory evidence.
    We    may    quickly    dispose    of   the   remaining    bases    for
    Dunfee's   ineffective      assistance       claim.      Dunfee     claims    that
    - 15 -
    Attorney    Salsberg    discouraged   certain    defense   witnesses   from
    testifying, although he does not identify these witnesses in his
    brief.     Even assuming, however, that Attorney Salsberg actively
    discouraged these unnamed witnesses from testifying, this does not
    raise the specter of ineffective assistance because Dunfee does
    not suggest that these witnesses could have provided exculpatory
    (or even relevant) testimony had the case proceeded to trial.5
    Next, Dunfee claims that Attorney Salsberg failed to
    inform the district court, in a motion to continue filed just prior
    to trial, that a continuance was necessary because Dunfee had
    identified    a   new   prospective   witness.     Rather,   this    motion
    identified the reason for the requested continuance as a need to
    further examine electronic records related to Dunfee's use of
    Facebook.    The district court promptly denied this motion.
    To be sure, an attorney filing a motion of any kind is
    obligated to "state the grounds on which it is based."              Fed. R.
    Crim. P. 47(b).         Here, Attorney Salsberg complied with this
    requirement by describing in detail his need for additional time
    to examine Dunfee's use of Facebook.        Although, with the benefit
    of hindsight, Dunfee argues that Attorney Salsberg should have
    proffered a different (or additional) reason for a continuance,
    5For example, although there is some indication that Attorney
    Salsberg told Dunfee's mother that her testimony would not be
    helpful, she does not seem to have been in a position to offer
    testimony relevant to proving Dunfee's guilt or innocence.
    - 16 -
    the decision to request a continuance on grounds that more time
    was needed to review the electronic records at issue in the case
    is precisely the sort of technical, strategic decision-making that
    we are loath to second guess.      See Wilder v. United States, 
    806 F.3d 653
    , 660 (1st Cir. 2015) (assessing whether counsel was
    ineffective by asking whether "[o]bjectively reasonable counsel
    could have made a strategic choice" to do as trial counsel did),
    cert. petition filed, No. 15-8799 (U.S. filed Apr. 4, 2016).           This
    is particularly true where, as here, the defendant is represented
    by multiple attorneys, at least one of whom is vastly experienced.
    See 
    Lopez-Nieves, 917 F.2d at 647
    .
    Finally,   Dunfee   claims   that   his   attorney    failed   to
    investigate his depression and anxiety as relevant to proving his
    innocence.   While the record suggests that Dunfee has a history of
    mental illness, Dunfee does not explain how this fact was relevant
    to his ability to commit the charged offenses or to his decision
    to plead guilty.   Thus, the alleged failure to pursue this line of
    defense cannot form the basis of an ineffective assistance claim.
    Cf. Companonio v. O'Brien, 
    672 F.3d 101
    , 110-11 (1st Cir. 2012)
    (discussing ineffective assistance in the context of counsel's
    decision of whether to pursue an insanity defense).
    Separately,   Dunfee   argues   that   his   guilty   plea     was
    coerced because Attorney Salsberg told him that his conviction was
    "guarantee[d]" if the case went to trial.           "[A] guilty plea is
    - 17 -
    involuntary and therefore invalid if it is obtained 'by . . .
    coercion overbearing the will of the defendant.'"          United States
    v. Martinez-Molina, 
    64 F.3d 719
    , 732 (1st Cir. 1995) (quoting Brady
    v. United States, 
    397 U.S. 742
    , 750 (1970)).         Of course, there is
    a distinction between coercion and the offering of candid legal
    advice.      See Lema v. United States, 
    987 F.2d 48
    , 52-53 (1st Cir.
    1993).    For this reason, we must be mindful of the context in which
    an allegedly coercive statement is made.
    Here, the record establishes that Dunfee was up against
    the ropes; he faced a flurry of incriminating evidence and had
    little with which to fight back.          By way of example, Dunfee had
    offered a full confession at the time of his arrest, the specifics
    of   which    were   verified   through   forensic   examination   of   his
    computers. Not one, but two federal judges had previously rejected
    his alibi defense as utterly incredible, and the witnesses Dunfee
    sought to use in that defense were ultimately unable to offer
    helpful testimony. Thus, while a prognostication that a conviction
    was "guarantee[d]" may have come as unwelcome, in this case it
    certainly did not come close to rising to the level of coercion.6
    6Dunfee suggests that Attorney Salsberg told deliberate lies
    to him and to potential defense witnesses in an effort to prevent
    the case from going to trial.      The magistrate judge and the
    district court independently concluded that Dunfee was untruthful
    during the pretrial proceedings. Thus, we see no clear error - or,
    indeed, any error at all - in the district court's rejection of
    these patently incredible allegations in the absence of any sort
    of evidentiary proffer.
    - 18 -
    We thus find that Dunfee's confession was voluntary,
    intelligent, knowing, and offered and accepted in compliance with
    Rule 11.   See 
    Isom, 580 F.3d at 52
    .
    ii.   The Remaining Fair and Just Reason Factors
    Although   Dunfee      focuses   on    voluntariness,     we    also
    consider   the   strength   of    the   reasons    offered   in   support    of
    withdrawal, whether there is a serious claim of actual innocence,
    the timing of the motion, and any resulting prejudice.              
    Id. First, for
    reasons we have described, Dunfee's claims of
    ineffective assistance and coercion do not serve as strong bases
    in support of withdrawal.        What is more, his claim of innocence is
    backed only by conclusory allegations and wishful conjecture as to
    the   possible    existence       of    exculpatory    evidence.          These
    unsubstantiated and self-serving claims "evince[] only weak and
    implausible assertions of innocence."            United States v. Sanchez-
    Barreto, 
    93 F.3d 17
    , 24 (1st Cir. 1996); see also United States v.
    Pellerito, 
    878 F.2d 1535
    , 1543 (1st Cir. 1989) ("When an accused
    seeks to withdraw a guilty plea, the court is not obliged to treat
    self-serving accounts as gospel.").
    With respect to timing, Dunfee waited some two months
    after pleading guilty to file his first motion to withdraw.                This
    extended delay weighs against permitting withdrawal.               See United
    States v. Pagan-Ortega, 
    372 F.3d 22
    , 31 (1st Cir. 2004) (holding
    that a two-month delay between the entry of a guilty plea and a
    - 19 -
    motion to withdraw was "well within the area of vulnerability
    because of untimeliness").       What is more, we look skeptically on
    motions to withdraw which follow closely on the heels of the
    issuance of an unfavorable PSR, as was the case here. See Santiago
    
    Miranda, 654 F.3d at 140
    ("Because the PSR calculated a . . .
    guideline sentence [of] life in prison. . . . [t]hese circumstances
    suggest that it was a recalculation of risks and benefits‒not
    involuntariness‒that produced [a] change of heart.").
    Finally, we find that both the government and Dunfee's
    victims would have been prejudiced by a withdrawal of his plea,
    further tipping the scales in favor of affirmance.                 See United
    States v. Santiago-Rivera, 
    805 F.3d 396
    , 398 (1st Cir. 2015)
    (recognizing, in a child pornography case, "the severe prejudice
    that the government would face were [the defendant] permitted to
    withdraw his guilty plea, and the burden that his victims would
    face were they forced to relive the trauma inflicted upon them so
    long after they believed this case had ended").
    In   the   final   analysis,     Dunfee's    motions   failed   to
    establish a fair and just reason for the withdrawal of his guilty
    plea and, thus, we affirm their denial by the district court.
    iii. Denial Without a Hearing
    Separately,    Dunfee    challenges    the    district    court's
    decision not to hold a hearing on one (or both) of his motions to
    withdraw.   "[A]n evidentiary hearing on a motion to withdraw . . .
    - 20 -
    is required when a defendant alleges facts which, if taken as true,
    would entitle him to relief."       
    Pulido, 566 F.3d at 57
    (internal
    quotation marks omitted).     "Specifically, a defendant is entitled
    to   an   evidentiary   hearing    unless       the   facts    alleged    are
    'contradicted by the record or are inherently incredible . . .
    [or] are merely conclusions rather than statements of fact.'"            
    Id. (quoting United
    States v. Crooker, 
    729 F.2d 889
    , 890 (1st Cir.
    1984) (further quotation marks omitted)).
    Because Dunfee did not request a hearing on either of
    his motions to withdraw his plea, our review is for plain error.
    See United States v. Cheal, 
    389 F.3d 35
    , 45 (1st Cir. 2004).              To
    prevail, Dunfee must establish "(1) that an error occurred (2)
    which was clear or obvious and which not only (3) affected [his]
    substantial rights, but also (4) seriously impaired the fairness,
    integrity, or public reputation of judicial proceedings."7            United
    States v. Duarte, 
    246 F.3d 56
    , 60 (1st Cir. 2001).
    Here,   Dunfee's   claims       of   ineffective      assistance,
    coercion, and innocence were conclusory and unsubstantiated.             They
    were also wholly refuted by the record evidence.              Thus, even had
    Dunfee clearly requested a hearing in connection with either of
    7  Dunfee claims that his second motion to withdraw
    "indirectly" requested a hearing and, therefore, we should review
    for abuse of discretion. See Santiago 
    Miranda, 654 F.3d at 137
    .
    We need not decide whether Dunfee adequately requested a hearing,
    however, because we find that his challenge would fail under either
    plain error or abuse of discretion review.
    - 21 -
    his motions to withdraw, the district court would have been under
    no obligation to grant him one.          Consequently, the lack of a
    hearing on either motion does not serve as grounds for reversal.
    B.   Reasonableness of the Sentence
    Dunfee challenges his sentence as both procedurally and
    substantively   unreasonable.     Because   this   challenge   was   not
    preserved, our review is for plain error.      United States v. Ruiz-
    Huertas, 
    792 F.3d 223
    , 226 (1st Cir. 2015).8
    i.    Procedural Reasonableness
    A sentence is procedurally reasonable if "the district
    court committed no significant procedural error, such as . . .
    failing to consider the [18 U.S.C.] § 3553(a) factors, . . . or
    failing to adequately explain the chosen sentence."      United States
    v. Martin, 
    520 F.3d 87
    , 92 (1st Cir. 2008) (quoting Gall v. United
    States, 
    552 U.S. 38
    , 51 (2007)). Dunfee contends that his sentence
    was procedurally unreasonable because the district court did not
    consider his mental illness and failed to fully explain the
    sentence in light of the § 3553(a) factors. See 18 U.S.C. § 3553(c)
    (requiring the court to "state . . . the reasons for its imposition
    of the particular sentence").    We are not persuaded.
    8 We acknowledge that the standard applicable to unpreserved
    claims of substantive reasonableness is "somewhat blurred," Ruiz-
    
    Huertas, 792 F.3d at 228
    , but we need not delve any deeper because
    Dunfee concedes that plain error review applies to his claim.
    - 22 -
    First, the record reveals that the district court was
    acutely aware of Dunfee's mental health issues.    Before imposing
    the sentence, the district court observed that Dunfee has "some
    anxiety disorder."   Then, the court listened as defense counsel
    explained his belief that Dunfee suffers from a dissociative
    disorder "where he has accepted responsibility publicly . . . but
    he can't now accept it."   Later, the district court stated that
    "[Dunfee] needs mental health evaluation and treatment. . . .
    [T]here's something that doesn't allow him to see what's happened."
    It is true, as Dunfee contends, that the district court
    did not expressly state that mental health was among the § 3553(a)
    factors that it considered in imposing sentence.         But, such
    excessive precision was not required, particularly where the court
    was clearly mindful of the role that Dunfee's mental health had
    played in the offense and his inability to accept responsibility
    for it.   See United States v. Turbides-Leonardo, 
    468 F.3d 34
    , 40
    (1st Cir. 2006) ("[T]he sentencing court's explanation need [not]
    be precise to the point of pedantry."); United States v. Clogston,
    
    662 F.3d 588
    , 592 (1st Cir. 2011) ("A reviewing court should be
    reluctant to read too much into a district court's failure to
    respond explicitly to particular sentencing arguments.    Instead,
    the reviewing court must assay the record as a whole to gauge the
    sentencing judge's thought process.").
    - 23 -
    What is more, we reject Dunfee's claim that the district
    court failed to adequately explain his sentence in light of the
    § 3553(a) factors.      The district court expressly considered, among
    other factors, the seriousness of the offense and Dunfee's lack of
    remorse.     The court also considered mitigating factors, including
    Dunfee's work history and the fact that he had not physically
    touched his victims. See 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) (listing, among other
    relevant factors, "the nature and circumstances of the offense and
    the history and characteristics of the defendant" and "the need
    for the sentence imposed").        Thus, we find that the district court
    adequately explained Dunfee's sentence, and in any event certainly
    committed no plain error.          See United States v. Dixon, 
    449 F.3d 194
    , 205 (1st Cir. 2006) ("[A] sentencing court . . . is not
    required to address [all of the § 3553(a)] factors, one by one, in
    some sort of rote incantation when explicating its sentencing
    decision.").
    ii.    Substantive Reasonableness
    "A sentence is substantively reasonable so long as it
    rests   on   a     'plausible   sentencing   rationale'   and   embodies   a
    'defensible result.'"           Ruiz-
    Huertas, 792 F.3d at 228
    (quoting
    
    Martin, 520 F.3d at 96
    ).         Proving substantive unreasonableness is
    a "heavy lift" for a defendant, particularly where, as here, the
    sentence imposed is significantly below the guideline range.           
    Id. at 228-29.
    - 24 -
    Dunfee makes two arguments claiming that his sentence
    was substantively unreasonable.        First, he claims (again) that the
    district court failed to consider his history of mental illness.
    But, as we have described, Dunfee's critique mischaracterizes the
    sentencing   hearing,     at   which    the   district    court      expressly
    considered his anxiety and his need for mental health treatment.
    Dunfee next argues that the court overemphasized his
    failure to accept responsibility.           This was plain error, Dunfee
    maintains, because he did not receive credit for acceptance of
    responsibility under the sentencing guidelines and, therefore, a
    focus on this issue had the effect of penalizing him twice.
    True, during sentencing, the district court referenced
    Dunfee's   refusal   to   accept    responsibility       and   his    repeated
    dishonesty during the pretrial proceedings.              But, in our view,
    these observations were reasonable when considered in context.
    Dunfee had confessed at the time of his arrest, then again on the
    record during a change-of-plea hearing.            Notwithstanding these
    confessions and the overwhelming evidence against him, Dunfee
    sought twice to withdraw his plea, inundating the district court
    with a series of voluminous, but ultimately baseless filings. What
    is more, both the district court and the magistrate judge felt the
    need to take the unusual step of publicly chastising Dunfee for
    offering false testimony.       The district court thus acted within
    its discretion in referencing these issues during sentencing.              See
    - 25 -
    
    Clogston, 662 F.3d at 593
    ("[T]he weighting of [sentencing] factors
    is largely within the court's informed discretion.").
    Nor are we persuaded that Dunfee was doubly penalized.
    Although the PSR recommended a life sentence, the district court
    ultimately imposed a much shorter sentence of twenty years.     And
    Dunfee does not plausibly suggest that a sentence even shorter
    than that would have resulted had the district court not considered
    his refusal to accept responsibility.9     Thus, even if we assume,
    favorably to Dunfee, that the district court erred by focusing too
    intently on this issue, Dunfee could not establish that any such
    error affected his substantial rights.   
    Duarte, 246 F.3d at 60
    .
    III. Conclusion
    The judgment of the district court is AFFIRMED.
    9 Indeed, Dunfee already faced a fifteen-year        mandatory
    minimum sentence. See 18 U.S.C. § 2251(e).
    - 26 -