In re: US v. , 441 F.3d 44 ( 2008 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    Nos. 07-1205
    07-1398
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    RENÉ VÁZQUEZ-BOTET, M.D. and
    MARCOS MORELL-CORRADA,
    Defendants, Appellants.
    APPEALS FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. José Antonio Fusté, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Lynch, Chief Judge,
    Torruella, Circuit Judge,
    and Selya, Senior Circuit Judge.
    Scott A. Srebnick, with whom Howard M. Srebnick and Black,
    Srebnick, Kornspan & Stumpf. P.A., was on brief for appellant
    Vázquez-Botet.
    Rafael F. Castro-Lang, for appellant Morell-Corrada.
    Peter W. Miller, with whom Stuart A. Weinstein-Bacal, José A.
    Cabiya-Morales, and Weinstein-Bacal & Miller, P.S.C., was on brief
    for amicus curiae Caribbean International News, Inc. d/b/a El
    Vocero, Santa Rita Acquisitions Corp. d/b/a The San Juan Star,
    Wilfredo G. Blanco-Pi d/b/a Wapa Radio, and Madifide, Inc. d/b/a
    Notiuno 630.
    Mary K. Butler, Trial Attorney, Public Integrity Section,
    Criminal Division, U.S. Department of Justice, with whom William M.
    Welch, II, Chief, was on brief for appellee.
    Efrem M. Grail, with whom Reed Smith LLP, Thomas J. Farrell,
    and Dreier LLP, was on brief for intervenors Dick Corporation and
    Dan Martin.
    July 9, 2008
    -2-
    TORRUELLA, Circuit Judge. René Vázquez-Botet ("Vázquez")
    and Marcos Morell-Corrada ("Morell") were convicted of conspiracy,
    extortion, and mail and wire fraud for their roles in demanding
    money from construction contractors in exchange for using their
    influence in the Puerto Rico government to secure them a major
    project.    On appeal, the defendants claim that the district court
    committed   a   myriad    of   errors      invalidating     their        convictions;
    alternatively, they claim errors requiring remand for resentencing.
    After careful consideration of each of these arguments in light of
    the record, we affirm both defendants' convictions and sentences.
    I.    Background
    Because Morell challenges the sufficiency of the evidence
    supporting his conviction, we relate the facts "as the jury could
    have    found   them,    drawing    all     inferences     in   the       light   most
    consistent with the jury's verdict."            United States v. Colón-Díaz,
    
    521 F.3d 29
    , 32 (1st Cir. 2008) (citation and internal quotation
    marks omitted).         We consider only those facts relevant to the
    issues on appeal.        In August 1994, the Puerto Rico Aqueduct and
    Sewer    Authority      ("PRASA")    solicited      bids     from        construction
    contractors     to   build     a    large      water   pipe     --       dubbed   the
    "Superaqueduct" -- along Puerto Rico's north coast.                  The magnitude
    of the project required the bidding contractors to form consortia
    with    local   subcontractors       for      the   provision       of     equipment,
    expertise, financial resources, and labor.                 One of the aspirants
    -3-
    was a consortium led by contractor Thames-Dick, a joint venture
    between a British firm and the Dick Corporation of Pennsylvania.
    Within the Thames-Dick consortium were a number of Puerto Rico
    subcontractors:     (1) Las Piedras Construction, owned by Pedro
    "Cuco" Feliciano; (2) Constructora Hato Rey, owned by Waldemar
    Camrona; (3) Longo de Puerto Rico, owned by Greg Laracy; (4)
    Carrero    Engineering,   owned   by     Alberto   "Tico"   Carrero;   and
    (5) Cobián, Agustín & Ramos, controlled by José Cobián-Guzmán
    ("Cobián").    Thames-Dick won the $305 million contract in January
    1996; it began construction in September 1996 and finished in 2000.
    Cobián, a key government witness, testified at trial that
    he knew from experience that, in order for his consortium to be
    awarded the contract, he would need to bribe someone influential in
    the government, which at the time was controlled by the New
    Progressive Party ("NPP").    Thus, in June 1995, Cobián approached
    Vázquez, an ophthalmologist and the manager of Governor Pedro
    Rosselló's reelection campaign.        Several witnesses testified that
    Vázquez was believed to hold an almost unparalleled degree of sway
    within the Rosselló government.        Vázquez told Cobián that he would
    do what he could in exchange for two percent of the total value of
    the contracts awarded to the Thames-Dick subcontractors.           Cobián
    explained that the subcontractors' share of the total would be more
    than $200 million; two percent was estimated to be about $2.4
    million.      Vázquez indicated that Morell, an attorney and NPP
    -4-
    Secretary-General, and José Granados-Navedo ("Granados"), the NPP
    chair of the House of Representatives infrastructure committee,
    would be assisting him and would need a share of the $2 million.
    Cobián proposed that it be split four ways, with him receiving a
    quarter; Vázquez acquiesced.   Vázquez said he would deal only with
    Cobián and must be paid in cash, and that Cobián should approach
    Morell and Granados directly to arrange their payments.    Vázquez
    did not explain to Cobián what actions he or others would take to
    make sure Thames-Dick got the contract.
    Cobián then went to subcontractors Feliciano, Carmona,
    Laracy, and Carrero and told them that together they would have to
    pay two percent of their part of the contract award to purchase the
    assistance of influential people in the government.   Although the
    subcontractors had not delegated authority to Cobián to make such
    a deal on their behalf, they grudgingly agreed to pay.
    The subcontractors paid Cobián incrementally as they
    received payments from Thames-Dick.    They understood that Cobián
    would then pass the payments on to the politicians in question.
    Cobián delivered monthly cash payments to Vázquez in his office,
    and made other payments to third parties for NPP campaign expenses
    owed them by Vázquez.   On one occasion Feliciano, who had figured
    out that Vázquez was one of the recipients of the extortionate
    payments, made a $5,760 payment to him in person at his medical
    office.
    -5-
    On Vázquez's instructions, Cobián went to Morell's law
    office to arrange how his payments would be made.          Morell drew up
    a sham contract under which Cobián was to pay Morell's law firm
    $5,000 per month for legal services; Cobián made these monthly
    payments from 1997 to 1999.           In addition, Morell and Cobián
    arranged for Cobián to make several payments to third parties
    (including Sears, a rental car company, an architectural firm, and
    a basketball team) on Morell's behalf.             Morell never actually
    performed any legal services for Cobián or his company.             Cobián
    similarly made payments to third parties on Granados's behalf, and
    also made some cash payments to Granados.
    In all, the subcontractors gave Cobián cash and checks
    totaling over $1 million; of this, Vázquez received the equivalent
    of over $360,000, and Morell received over $125,000.                Vázquez
    failed to report to the Puerto Rico Treasury Department the money
    he received from Cobián from 1997 to 1999, and concealed thousands
    more dollars of cash payments made to him by his ophthalmology
    patients and businesses involved in healthcare services.             Morell
    reported on his tax returns payments to his law firm by Cobián in
    1997 and 1998 under the sham contract.       Morell failed to report the
    approximately   $25,000   paid   in   1999   and   the   many   third-party
    payments made by Cobián, which totaled some $23,000; he also failed
    to report payments from other clients in 1998 totaling about
    $22,000.
    -6-
    In July 1999, when Cobián learned that he had been
    indicted for unrelated conduct, he panicked and stopped making
    payments to Vázquez, Morell, and Granados.            After pleading guilty
    to the indictment, Cobián decided to cooperate with the Government
    in exchange for immunity with respect to further crimes for which
    he might implicate himself in rendering such cooperation, and the
    Government's recommendation of a sentencing reduction. Cobián then
    told investigators of the details of the Superaqueduct extortion
    scheme. On the basis of this and other information, the Government
    sought indictments against Vázquez, Morell, and Granados.
    On   April   8,   2004,   a   grand   jury   returned   a   public
    indictment charging Vázquez and Morell with the following: (1) one
    count of conspiracy to commit extortion and launder money in
    furtherance of a bribery scheme, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 371
    ;
    (2) several counts of extortion under color of official right and
    by economic fear, in violation of the Hobbs Act, 
    18 U.S.C. § 1951
    ,
    and aiding and abetting this offense under 
    18 U.S.C. § 2
    ; and (3)
    several counts of mail and wire fraud committed as part of a scheme
    to defraud Puerto Rico of income tax payments, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 2
    , 1341, and 1343.1          The Government's central theory was
    that   the    defendants       and   Granados   conspired    to   induce   the
    subcontractors to pay them a portion of their Superaqueduct profits
    1
    Morell was also charged with obstruction of justice under 
    18 U.S.C. § 1503
     but was acquitted on this count, and this charge is
    not at issue in this appeal.
    -7-
    by making them fear that if they did not pay (and keep making
    periodic payments), the defendants and Granados would use their
    influence in the government:               (1) to promote the subcontractors'
    competitors for the bid; (2) to remove the subcontractors from the
    contract after it was already awarded; or (3) would malign their
    professional reputations so that their respective businesses would
    not receive government contracts in the future.
    After we ordered the recusal of the original trial judge
    from this case, see In re United States, 
    441 F.3d 44
    , 49 (1st Cir.
    2006), the case was randomly reassigned to Chief Judge Fusté.
    Vázquez moved to recuse Chief Judge Fusté on a number of grounds,
    and Chief Judge Fusté denied the motion, United States v. Vázquez-
    Botet, 
    453 F. Supp. 2d 362
    , 374 (D.P.R. 2006).                  We denied mandamus
    relief, noting that Vázquez could challenge the non-recusal on end-
    of-case appeal if he were found guilty.                   In re Vázquez-Botet, 
    464 F.3d 54
    , 57 (1st Cir. 2006) (per curiam) ("Vázquez-Botet I") (facts
    presented by Vázquez did not present the "'clear and indisputable'"
    right    to     immediate    mandamus       relief        necessary     for     such    an
    extraordinary remedy (quoting In re Cargill, Inc., 
    66 F.3d 1256
    ,
    1262    (1st    Cir.    1995))).         Vázquez    now    avails     himself    of    the
    opportunity to appeal the non-recusal.
    Before   trial,     the    then-lead       prosecutor     of   the      U.S.
    Attorney's       Office     in   Puerto      Rico     granted       several     of     the
    subcontractors immunity from prosecution in exchange for their
    -8-
    testimony.     Cobián also testified with immunity under the prior
    agreement, and Granados pled guilty to crimes committed in carrying
    out his role in the extortion scheme and also testified for the
    Government.      During the pretrial phase, responsibility for the
    prosecution of the case was transferred from the U.S. Attorney's
    Office in Puerto Rico to the Public Integrity Section of the
    Department of Justice in Washington, D.C.
    On September 25, 2006 -- the day before trial was set to
    begin and more than two years after he was indicted -- Vázquez
    subpoenaed two witnesses, hereinafter "Witness A" and "Witness B,"
    to compel their testimony at trial; he also served a subpoena on
    Dick    Corporation    for   the     production    of       certain    documents.
    Witness A was a Dick Corporation official and Witness B was a
    consultant     hired   by    Dick    Corporation       to    conduct   marketing
    activities inside and outside Puerto Rico, including negotiations
    for    the   construction    of    "intercity   connectors"       --   pipelines
    connecting the Superaqueduct to municipal water systems.2                Vázquez
    sought to argue at trial, inter alia, that it was Witness B,
    another consultant ("Consultant C"), and powerful persons for whom
    they worked who extorted money from the subcontractors in exchange
    for the Superaqueduct contract, and not Vázquez.                The Government,
    Dick   Corporation,    and   Witness    B    opposed    the   subpoenas.     The
    2
    The indictment against Vázquez and Morell did not allege any
    corruption or extortion with respect to the intercity connectors.
    -9-
    district court ruled the proposed evidence irrelevant in light of
    the uncontradicted statements of Witnesses A and B to investigators
    that any relationship between Witness B and Dick Corporation began
    at    least   two    years   after    the    Superaqueduct   project       had   been
    awarded.      But the court stated that it would allow the defendants
    to make an offer of proof nonetheless, in order to create a record
    of its relevancy decision for appellate review.
    Accordingly, on October 16, 2006, the district court held
    a hearing at which Vázquez questioned Witnesses A and B and the
    Government cross-examined Witness A.3 The court closed the hearing
    to the press and public to preclude what it feared would be a
    "sideshow"; the court clarified that "[t]his is not part of the
    trial.    This is a hearing to determine relevancy."            Both witnesses
    testified that Witness B and Consultant C did not represent Dick
    Corporation in its efforts to obtain the Superaqueduct contract for
    the    Thames-Dick     consortium.          They   also   testified       that   Dick
    Corporation did not even hire Witness B until 1998 or 1999 -- at
    least two years after the awarding of the contract when the project
    was    nearing      completion   --    and     hired   Consultant     C    sometime
    thereafter.      Witnesses A and B also testified that, to the extent
    that the tasks Witness B performed on behalf of Thames-Dick had
    anything to do with the Superaqueduct project, they were confined
    to negotiations surrounding the intercity connectors.
    3
    The Government chose not to cross-examine Witness B.
    -10-
    On October 19, 2006, the district court issued a sealed
    order confirming its earlier relevancy ruling and quashing both
    subpoenas.       The court took account of documents submitted by Dick
    Corporation and the witnesses' testimony to confirm its pre-hearing
    assessment with respect to Witness B:              the proposed evidence was
    irrelevant to any triable issue or defense, as the contractual
    relationship between Witness B and Dick Corporation began more than
    two years after the events giving rise to the accusations against
    Vázquez; allowing testimony on this relationship would "result in
    unnecessary       and    irrelevant     distractions."       With       respect   to
    Witness A, the court found that he had no evidence to offer that
    would tend to prove or disprove Vázquez's link to any wrongdoing,
    save   possible       knowledge    of   two   discrete   events    on    which    the
    defendants should be permitted to question Witness A at trial; the
    defendants did not ultimately avail themselves of this opportunity
    and    Witness    A     never   appeared   at   trial.    The     district    court
    maintained the seal on all written and oral arguments in the
    litigation surrounding the quashed subpoenas, and ordered that any
    public dissemination of the hearing transcript or the exhibits
    proffered at the hearing would result in "severe penalties by
    contempt or otherwise."            The court denied Vázquez's post-trial
    motion to unseal this portion of the record.               Vázquez and Morell
    now argue before us that these decisions effected a violation of
    -11-
    their Sixth Amendment right to a fair trial, compelling us to
    vacate their convictions.
    Trial   began   on    September    26,    2006.     Among   others,
    Feliciano, Carmona, Cobián, and Granados testified as government
    witnesses. Among many other things, Cobián testified on direct that
    Vázquez told him Morell would be among those helping Thames-Dick to
    secure    the    Superaqueduct       contract.     Morell    objected      to   this
    testimony as hearsay not covered by the coconspirator exemption in
    Federal    Rule    of    Evidence     801(d)(2)(E).        The    district      court
    provisionally      allowed     the    testimony    and    later    confirmed     the
    applicability of Rule 801(d)(2)(E) and kept the testimony on the
    record. Morell now claims this ruling constituted reversible error.
    The Government also called the co-case agent, Federal
    Bureau    of    Investigation       ("FBI")    special   agent    Ivan   Vitousek.
    Vitousek testified about a number of FBI investigatory practices,
    including that of using cooperators in public corruption cases.                   In
    the course of direct and cross-examination, Vitousek made several
    statements that the defendants characterized as improper bolstering
    of the credibility of other government witnesses.                    Vázquez and
    Morell argue on appeal that Vitousek's vouching made the jury more
    likely to believe these witnesses, thus prejudicing the outcome of
    the trial to their detriment.                 During closing arguments, the
    prosecutor made a number of statements the defendants now brand as
    -12-
    prosecutorial misconduct mandating retrial.       We discuss all these
    challenges in greater detail below.
    On November 3, 2006, the jury convicted Vázquez and Morell
    on the conspiracy count, on several of the extortion counts, and on
    several of the mail and wire fraud counts. On January 30, 2007, the
    district court sentenced Vázquez and Morell each to five years'
    imprisonment, and a $100,000 fine.       The court determined their
    respective guideline Sentencing ranges ("GSRs") by looking at the
    total amount of profit earned by the subcontractors -- some $10
    million. On appeal, both defendants challenge the propriety of this
    methodology.
    II.   Discussion
    A.   Chief Judge Fusté's Non-Recusal
    Before trial, Vázquez moved for Chief Judge Fusté to
    recuse himself, claiming recusal was required for a number of
    reasons.   Chief Judge Fusté denied the motion, Vázquez-Botet, 
    453 F. Supp. 2d at 374
    , and Vázquez petitioned us for mandamus relief,
    which we denied, Vázquez-Botet I, 
    464 F.3d at 57
    .          On appeal,
    Vázquez renews his claim that Chief Judge Fusté should have been
    recused, but narrows the focus to two arguments.      We address these
    in turn. We will sustain Chief Judge Fusté's decision not to recuse
    himself unless we find that it "cannot be defended as a rational
    conclusion supported by [a] reasonable reading of the record."
    -13-
    United States v. Snyder, 
    235 F.3d 42
    , 46 (1st Cir. 2000) (quoting
    In re United States, 
    158 F.3d 26
    , 30 (1st Cir. 1998)).
    Vázquez first questions Chief Judge Fusté's partiality
    because of the professional activities of the judge's wife, an
    attorney named Rachel Brill, in matters tangentially related to this
    case.    Specifically, Brill represented subcontractor Laracy during
    several meetings between Laracy and the Government, negotiated the
    agreement that provided Laracy with immunity in exchange for his
    grand jury and trial testimony in this case, and represented him
    when he testified before the grand jury that indicted Vázquez.
    Brill also represented José Ventura, another local contractor not
    involved in the events at issue here.              During this representation,
    Brill filed a public motion in the district court (presided over by
    a   different   judge)    in     which    she    requested   sanctions   against
    Vázquez's lawyer for attempting to intimidate Ventura.                     After
    Vázquez had been indicted, Brill sent a letter to Vázquez's lawyers
    accusing Vázquez of trying to extort money out of Ventura by falsely
    accusing Ventura of slander; Brill copied this letter to the
    prosecutors in this case so they could investigate whether Vázquez
    had thereby violated his bail conditions.
    Vázquez argues that Chief Judge Fusté's decision not to
    recuse   himself   in    light    of     his    wife's   activities   constitutes
    reversible error under 
    28 U.S.C. § 455
    (b)(5)(ii) (judge shall
    disqualify himself if spouse "[i]s acting as a lawyer in the
    -14-
    proceeding"); see also 
    id.
     § 455(d)(1) ("'[P]roceeding' includes
    pretrial, trial, appellate review, or other stages of litigation.").
    We disagree.     As we noted in Vázquez-Botet I, "while an attorney
    need not be 'enrolled as counsel' of record in order to fall within
    [§ 455(b)(5)(ii)], the attorney must at least 'actually participate
    in the case.'"     
    464 F.3d at 58
     (quoting McCuin v. Tex. Power & Light
    Co., 
    714 F.2d 1255
    , 1260 (5th Cir. 1983)) (citations and alteration
    omitted); accord United States ex rel. Weinberger v. Equifax, Inc.,
    
    557 F.2d 456
    , 463-64 (5th Cir. 1977) (recusal required where judge's
    family member actively participates).          Chief Judge Fusté has issued
    a standing order that Brill not appear as an attorney in any
    proceeding before him.      In line with this directive, Brill did not
    appear before him in this case, as counsel for Ventura, Laracy, or
    anyone else.
    Specifically with respect to Brill's representation of
    Ventura, it is clear that neither of the incidents impugned by
    Vázquez   counts    as   "actually      participat[ing]   in   th[is]   case."
    Vázquez-Botet    I,   
    464 F.3d at 58
    .   Brill's    motion   requesting
    sanctions against Vázquez's lawyer on Ventura's behalf occurred
    before Vázquez was even indicted.           We reaffirm our observation in
    Vázquez-Botet I that this action thus fell outside the scope of
    "pretrial, trial, appellate review, or other stages of litigation."
    
    464 F.3d at 58
     (quoting 
    28 U.S.C. § 455
    (d)(1)). In Vázquez-Botet I,
    we likewise rejected Vázquez's other contention relating to Ventura:
    -15-
    that Brill's post-indictment letter to Vázquez's lawyers, copied to
    the prosecutor in this case, somehow converted her into a lawyer
    acting in this proceeding.   
    Id. at 59
    .    Brill sent this letter in
    response to a communication from Vázquez directly to Ventura seeking
    $10 million for allegedly slandering him during testimony in other
    judicial and legislative proceedings.     In her letter, Brill cited
    a statutory privilege for Ventura's testimony and characterized
    Vázquez's demand as "laughable."   However, while she remarked that
    Vázquez's demand may also have been extortionate, she did not accuse
    him of extortion outright.   And the prosecutor did not act on the
    letter by, for example, requesting sanctions against Vázquez for
    violating his bail conditions, adding charges against him in this
    case, or issuing a separate indictment for attempting to extort
    money out of Ventura.   Moreover, Brill made no submissions before
    the district court in this case requesting action against Vázquez;
    no party sought introduction of Brill's letter into evidence or made
    any reference to it; and Ventura was not called to testify.    These
    considerations lead us readily to conclude, as we did in Vázquez-
    Botet I, that any connection between Brill's letter and the events
    in this case was simply too tangential to qualify her as a lawyer
    acting in the proceeding.
    -16-
    As for Laracy, while he did testify at trial, he was not
    represented by Brill at the time.4          Brill's representation in the
    negotiations for Laracy's immunity agreement occurred more than ten
    months prior to Vázquez's indictment, and Brill was not mentioned
    at any point during the trial. Thus, as we held in Vázquez-Botet I,
    Brill's representation did not constitute acting in this proceeding.
    
    464 F.3d at 58
    .    We also expressed doubts in Vázquez-Botet I that
    her representation of Laracy during his grand jury testimony could
    be considered part of this proceeding because the grand jury is
    functionally and constitutionally separate from the district court.
    
    Id.
     at 58 n.6 (citing In re United States, 
    441 F.3d at 57
    ).           Today
    we confirm our formerly expressed views and hold that, for purposes
    of the recusal statute, the grand jury hearing was separate from
    pretrial and trial proceedings in the district court.
    Vázquez bases his second challenge to Chief Judge Fusté's
    impartiality on the more general language of 
    28 U.S.C. § 455
    (a),
    which   requires   recusal   where    the   judge's   "impartiality   might
    reasonably be questioned."      Vázquez argues that a reasonable and
    informed member of the public could fairly conclude that Chief Judge
    Fusté was biased against him because Brill openly took sides in this
    litigation by asking another judge to sanction Vázquez's lawyer;
    moreover, as a conjugal partnership under Puerto Rico law, Chief
    4
    It is unclear from the record whether Laracy was accompanied by
    any lawyer when he gave this testimony.
    -17-
    Judge Fusté and Brill necessarily shared in the legal fees paid the
    latter by Laracy, and the public surely believes the two talk about
    their work in private.           These arguments are unavailing.
    Section 455(a) requires us to examine whether a reasonable
    observer, knowing all the relevant facts, would have doubts about
    Chief Judge Fusté's impartiality in this proceeding.                     Liljeberg v.
    Health   Serv.    Acquisition          Corp.,    
    486 U.S. 847
    ,   860-61   (1988).
    Vázquez's speculative arguments assume that Brill played a much more
    significant      role    than    she    actually       did.     Critically,    Brill's
    involvement      in     this    case    and     in   other     matters   tangentially
    implicating Vázquez occurred more than two years before Chief Judge
    Fusté was randomly assigned to replace the original district judge.
    To that end, Vázquez provides no explanation as to how Brill's fees
    could possibly have biased Chief Judge Fusté against Vázquez or
    adversely affected any of his rulings.                  Furthermore, no reasonable
    observer would interpret Brill's advocacy on behalf of Ventura as
    evincing some sort of personal animosity toward Vázquez that somehow
    endured through pretrial and trial proceedings and prompted her to
    disparage him in front of her husband.
    For these reasons, we cannot say that Chief Judge Fusté's
    decision not to recuse himself was irrational or lacked support on
    a reasonable reading of the record.                    Snyder, 
    235 F.3d at 46
    .     As
    such, we dismiss this ground of appeal and proceed to the next one.
    -18-
    B.   The Closed Relevancy Hearing
    Vázquez and Morell argue that the October 16, 2006 closed
    hearing violated their Sixth Amendment rights to a public trial and
    to present evidence in their own defense.          See Waller v. Georgia,
    
    467 U.S. 39
    , 47 (1984); In re Oliver, 
    333 U.S. 257
    , 273 (1948). The
    defendants argue that these errors were structural and we must,
    therefore, vacate their convictions.          See Owens v. United States,
    
    483 F.3d 48
    , 64 (1st Cir. 2007).              We allowed two Puerto Rico
    newspapers and two radio stations to appear jointly as amici
    curiae.5   In their brief and in oral arguments before us, the amici
    joined the defendants in objecting to the October 16 hearing, but
    on a new ground:      that the hearing's closure and the sealing of
    related    documentation   violated     the   press   and   public's   First
    Amendment right of access to criminal proceedings.               See Globe
    Newspaper Co. v. Superior Court for the County of Norfolk, 
    457 U.S. 596
    , 603 (1982).    The Government counters that, as explicitly noted
    by the district court, this particular hearing was merely an offer
    of proof to preserve the court's relevancy determination, and that
    neither the defendants' Sixth Amendment rights nor the press and
    public's   First   Amendment   rights    were   implicated.6     Under   the
    5
    The amici point out that this case has received high media
    attention in Puerto Rico due to the defendants' notoriety and
    letters to newspapers written by Vázquez professing that what was
    discussed at the October 16 hearing exonerates him.
    6
    The Government also asserts that the press may not raise a
    First Amendment argument not raised by one of the parties.
    -19-
    circumstances, the Government is correct on the first point; we need
    not reach the merits of the second.
    Vázquez proffered the testimony of Witness A and Witness B
    and the subpoenaed Dick Corporation documents in an attempt to show
    that Witness B, Consultant C, and powerful persons for whom they
    worked were the ones who extorted money out of the subcontractors
    in exchange for the Superaqueduct contract, and that the defendants
    were framed in order to throw suspicion off of these and other
    implicated individuals. After considering the testimony of Witness
    A and Witness B from the October 16 hearing, the district court
    confirmed its earlier ruling that the evidence was mostly irrelevant
    to any matter at issue in the trial of Vázquez and Morell.               The
    court   focused   primarily   on   the    timeline   of   the    contractual
    relationship between Witness B and Dick Corporation.            Witness A and
    Witness B indicated that Witness B began working informally on
    behalf of Dick Corporation sometime in 1998, as a consultant and
    marketing agent for the company in several construction projects in
    Puerto Rico and elsewhere.     This relationship was formalized in a
    written contract in the fall of 1999, and Consultant C was hired at
    around the same time.   The witnesses also testified that Witness B
    and Consultant C had nothing to do with the 1995-96 discussions
    surrounding the Superaqueduct bid. The district court also examined
    documents submitted by Dick Corporation, which confirmed that the
    contractual relationship between Witness B and Dick Corporation
    -20-
    began well after the bid was awarded, and opined that Vázquez's
    subpoena   to   Dick   Corporation    "was   a   broad,   sweeping   fishing
    expedition." The court concluded that Vázquez's theory that Witness
    B was involved in the Superaqueduct extortion scheme was unfounded
    speculation and that any evidence Witness B could provide at trial
    would be irrelevant, and accordingly quashed Vázquez's subpoenas to
    Witness B and Dick Corporation.7             The court ordered that the
    transcript of the October 16 hearing and the proffered exhibits
    remain sealed, and warned that their divulgence would be punished
    by contempt.
    We first address the defendants' contention that the
    district court's relevancy ruling deprived them of an opportunity
    to present exonerating evidence to the jury, and thus violated their
    Sixth Amendment right to defend themselves.         We afford the district
    court considerable discretion in making relevancy determinations and
    in excluding evidence for lack of relevance, and our review of such
    determinations is for abuse of discretion.        Richards v. Relentless,
    Inc., 
    341 F.3d 35
    , 49 (1st Cir. 2003).
    7
    The court found Witness A's proposed testimony minimally
    relevant with respect to "two very discrete areas," and left the
    subpoena intact insofar as the defendants wished to ask him
    questions only in relation to these areas.      These areas had no
    bearing on whether someone other than Vázquez, Morell, and Granados
    was extorting money from the subcontractors.       The defendants'
    decision not to call Witness A at trial waives any objection
    regarding that potential testimony.
    -21-
    After examining the October 16 hearing transcript, the
    documents provided by Dick Corporation, and the submissions of the
    parties, we agree with the district court that the proposed evidence
    was irrelevant to any issue in the prosecution of Vázquez and
    Morell; we also agree that to place such evidence in front of the
    jury would have resulted in a confusing and distracting sideshow.
    Nothing in the transcript, the Dick Corporation documents submitted
    at the hearing, or the sealed written submissions contains any
    suggestion that Witness B or Consultant C was connected in any way
    to the Superaqueduct project until at least 1998, and then only
    tangentially    with   respect   to    the   intercity        connectors,     which
    involved a completely separate contract.             Moreover, nothing in the
    record reveals that either individual was involved in any scheme to
    extort money from the subcontractors.              The conduct the jury found
    to be extortionate began in June 1995, when Vázquez told Cobián that
    he, Morell, and Granados would use their influence to help Thames-
    Dick win the contract in exchange for money.                While the effects of
    this conduct -- including the subcontractors' monthly payments to
    the defendants and Granados -- continued for several years and
    partially overlapped in time with Witness B's and Consultant C's
    employment     at   Dick   Corporation,      the     main    criminal   act     was
    accomplished long before these two persons appeared on the scene.
    Indeed, Witness B testified that he had no contact at all with the
    individual subcontractors with the exception of Carrero, with whom
    -22-
    he had a social relationship and worked on matters unrelated to the
    Superaqueduct.         Witness B's testimony also indicates that his
    contacts with persons in the Rosselló government were minimal and
    his influence over them virtually nil.
    The   district    court    did    not,    therefore,     abuse   its
    discretion in deeming the proposed evidence irrelevant and excluding
    it from the trial.       See Achille Bayart & Cie v. Crowe, 
    238 F.3d 44
    ,
    49 (1st Cir. 2001); cf. United States v. Nivica, 
    887 F.2d 1110
    , 1118
    (1st Cir. 1989) (affirming district court's denial of subpoenas for
    three proposed defense witnesses where the anticipated testimony
    would   have    been    irrelevant,   in     part    because   the   witnesses'
    involvement with the defendant occurred subsequent to his criminal
    conduct).      This conclusion disposes of the defendants' claim that
    the district court violated their Sixth Amendment right to present
    a defense, as no such right exists where the evidence proffered has
    been properly ruled irrelevant.        See United States v. Maxwell, 
    254 F.3d 21
    , 26 (1st Cir. 2001) (defendant's "wide-ranging right to
    present a defense" still "does not give him a right to present
    irrelevant evidence") (citing In re Oliver, 
    333 U.S. at
    273-74
    & n.31); United States v. Reeder, 
    170 F.3d 93
    , 108 (1st Cir. 1999)
    (no "'unfettered'" Sixth Amendment right "'to offer [evidence] that
    is incompetent, privileged, or otherwise inadmissible under standard
    rules of evidence'" (quoting Montana v. Egelhoff, 
    518 U.S. 37
    , 42
    (1996))).
    -23-
    We therefore turn to the defendants' remaining argument
    concerning the October 16 hearing:      that the closure of the hearing
    and sealing of related documentation violated their Sixth Amendment
    right to a public trial.     Our review of this (preserved) claim is
    plenary.     See United States v. DeLuca, 
    137 F.3d 24
    , 33 (1st Cir.
    1998).     Despite the defendants' sweeping assertions regarding the
    scope of the public-trial right, the question before us is quite
    narrow.    We think it clear that, as characterized by the district
    court, the October 16 hearing was not a trial session, but rather
    a "question-and-answer" offer of proof,8 the purpose of which was to
    create a record so that we could determine the propriety of the
    court's relevancy ruling.9    See Wright & Graham, Federal Practice
    and Procedure § 5040.3, at 908 (2d ed. 2005) (in question-and-answer
    offer of proof, proponent elicits proposed testimony by questioning
    witness outside jury's presence); accord United States v. Adams, 271
    8
    Although the actual hearing took place on October 16, 2006 --
    nearly three weeks after opening statements -- the subpoenas that
    resulted in the hearing were issued before trial began, and the
    district court expressly stated at the start of the hearing that it
    was not part of the trial.
    9
    Although the district court did not use the term "offer of
    proof," it is evident from the context that this is what the court
    intended. Black's Legal Dictionary defines offer of proof as "[a]
    presentation of evidence for the record (but outside the jury's
    presence) . . . so that the evidence can be preserved on the record
    for an appeal of the judge's ruling. . . .       Such an offer may
    include tangible evidence or testimony (through questions and
    answers, a lawyer's narrative description, or an affidavit)."
    Black's Law Dictionary 1114 (8th ed. 2004).
    -24-
    F.3d 1236, 1241 (10th Cir. 2001) (discussing the several types of
    offer of proof, and expressing a preference for the question-and-
    answer type).
    The defendants point to no precedent in the Supreme Court,
    this circuit, or elsewhere extending the Sixth Amendment public-
    trial right to an outside-of-trial, question-and-answer offer of
    proof -- or indeed, any type of offer of proof.           Furthermore, the
    October 16 hearing differed in at least two fundamental respects
    from the categories of non-trial hearings to which the Sixth
    Amendment public-trial right has been held to apply in the past,
    such as hearings on motions to suppress, see, e.g., Waller, 
    467 U.S. at 47
    , and jury-selection proceedings, see, e.g., Owens, 
    483 F.3d at 62
    .     First, the evidence elicited at the hearing had already
    (correctly) been ruled irrelevant.        Cf. Brown v. Kuhlmann, 
    142 F.3d 529
    , 541 (2d Cir. 1998) (courtroom closure during trial did not
    infringe    Sixth   Amendment   rights    where   it   involved   cumulative
    testimony related to matter collateral to charged offense). Second,
    the district court was under no obligation to hold the hearing in
    the first place, but chose to do so for our and the defendants'
    benefit when confronted with Vázquez's eleventh-hour request.
    These differences render the Sixth Amendment precedent
    invoked by the defendants inapposite in the circumstances.             While
    we leave open the possibility that the public-trial right may apply
    to some offer-of-proof hearings, we decline to recognize such a
    -25-
    right on facts as uncompelling as these.10         We accordingly reject
    this ground of appeal.11
    The amici argue that the closure of the October 16 hearing
    violated the press and public's First Amendment right of access to
    criminal proceedings.      As a remedy, the amici ask us to lift the
    district court's seal on the hearing transcript along with the gag
    order on those who know its contents, so that the press may examine
    and report on what transpired there.
    Crucially, however, the defendants did not raise this
    argument.     As we have often acknowledged, we ordinarily will not
    consider novel arguments advanced by an amicus on appeal, but not
    also raised by a party or another entity             which has formally
    intervened.    See United States v. Sturm, Ruger & Co, Inc., 
    84 F.3d 1
    , 6 (1st Cir. 1996); Rhode Island v. Narragansett Indian Tribe, 
    19 F.3d 685
    ,   705   n.22   (1st   Cir.    1994)   (declining   to   address
    constitutional claims advanced by amici but not raised by parties);
    accord Knetsch v. United States, 
    364 U.S. 361
    , 370 (1960).             The
    10
    Vázquez would have us adopt a sweeping rule akin to that
    articulated by the Fifth Circuit in Rovinsky v. McKaskle, 
    722 F.2d 197
    , 200 (5th Cir. 1984), which seems to hold the Sixth Amendment
    right applicable to all but a very small fraction of pretrial and
    trial proceedings. The facts of this case do not provide us reason
    to endorse such an expansive reading of the law.
    11
    We also note that it was entirely proper -- and indeed required
    -- for the district court to hold the hearing outside the presence
    of the jury, and thereafter to take measures to keep the
    irrelevant, and thus inadmissible, evidence from reaching the
    jury's eyes and ears. See Fed. R. Evid. 103(c); United States v.
    Galin, 
    222 F.3d 1123
    , 1126-27 (9th Cir. 2000).
    -26-
    facts present us with no reason to depart from the general rule.
    Cf., e.g., United States v. Spock, 
    416 F.2d 165
    , 169 (1st Cir. 1969)
    (opting to consider amicus's arguments as to unconstitutionally
    broad applicability of statute criminalizing aiding and abetting
    Vietnam War draft dodging).         The amici are, of course, free to
    return to the district court in an attempt to argue that changed
    circumstances have rendered the seal on the hearing transcript and
    related documentation no longer necessary, but that is an issue for
    the district court -- not us -- to decide.
    Having disposed of the challenges to the closed relevancy
    hearing, we turn to the defendants' next assignment of error.
    C.   The Alleged Witness Vouching
    Vázquez and Morell next argue that certain statements made
    by Agent Vitousek during his testimony improperly vouched for the
    credibility of other government witnesses, made these witnesses more
    credible in the minds of the jurors, and thus unfairly prejudiced
    the outcome of the trial.         We describe the specific instances of
    alleged   vouching   below,   but    begin     with    the    applicable   legal
    framework.
    A prosecutor may not vouch for one of her witnesses by
    making    personal   assurances     about    him;     she    likewise    may   not
    accomplish this goal by putting on another government witness, such
    as an FBI agent, to make such assurances.                    This practice is
    prohibited   because   of   its    potential    to    shore    up   a   witness's
    -27-
    credibility by putting the prestige of the United States behind him
    and thereby inviting the jury to find guilt on some basis other than
    the evidence presented at trial. United States v. Rosario-Díaz, 
    202 F.3d 54
    , 65 (1st Cir. 2000); accord United States v. Pérez-Ruíz, 
    353 F.3d 1
    , 13 (1st Cir. 2003) ("Although the prosecution's success
    often depends on its ability to convince the jury of a particular
    witness's credibility, it cannot entice the jury to find guilt on
    the basis of a [government] agent's opinion of the witness's
    veracity.").
    The district court's decision to admit testimony over a
    preserved vouching objection is reviewed for abuse of discretion.
    United States v. Tom, 
    330 F.3d 83
    , 94 (1st Cir. 2003).           In
    performing our inquiry, we consider various criteria, including the
    overall strength of the Government's case against the defendant, the
    prosecutor's willfulness in eliciting the statement from the witness
    who did the vouching, the strength and clarity of any curative
    instructions, and the likelihood that any prejudice that may have
    survived the instructions affected the outcome of the case.     See
    United States v. Page, 
    521 F.3d 101
    , 108 (1st Cir. 2008); United
    States v. Cormier, 
    468 F.3d 63
    , 73 (1st Cir. 2006).   In all events,
    we will not vacate a defendant's conviction on vouching grounds
    unless the error likely affected the outcome of the trial. Tom, 
    330 F.3d at 95
    ; Rosario-Díaz, 
    202 F.3d at 65
    .
    -28-
    During the first twelve days of trial, the Government
    called several of the witnesses directly involved in the extortion
    scheme.      Included among them were Cobián and several of the
    subcontractor-witnesses, all of whom received immunity in exchange
    for their cooperation or testimony, and the coconspirator Granados,
    who pled guilty to his role in the extortion and also cooperated
    with investigators.    On the thirteenth day, the Government called
    Agent Vitousek, an experienced FBI fraud investigator.
    The defendants identify four episodes in which Vitousek
    allegedly vouched for other government witnesses; we address these
    in turn. First, the Government sought to elicit from Agent Vitousek
    that the FBI had followed normal procedures in investigating this
    case.     When the prosecutor asked Agent Vitousek why the FBI uses
    cooperating insiders as sources in fraud investigations, Vázquez
    interposed a vouching objection which the court overruled. Vitousek
    then described the procedure employed with cooperating insiders,
    stating such things as, "I will tell . . . these cooperating
    witnesses to tell the truth about the information they are going to
    provide us," and "a cooperating defendant . . . can explain exactly
    what happened."    We fail to see how the jury could possibly have
    understood these generic descriptions of procedure -- with no
    reference to any specific individual or case -- to be Vitousek's
    assurances that Cobián and Granados were truthful in their dealings
    with the FBI or otherwise.   As the defendants provide nothing more,
    -29-
    we will go no further than this.   See United States v. Parsons, 
    141 F.3d 386
    , 390 (1st Cir. 1988).
    The second claimed instance of vouching occurred during
    cross-examination by Vázquez.      Vázquez asked Vitousek about an
    incident in which Cobián told investigators that a certain public
    official had accepted a bribe from him; the substance of the
    interview was memorialized in a nonpublic FBI report. Later, Cobián
    admitted to the investigators that the official had not actually
    accepted a bribe.   Vázquez questioned Vitousek at length over why
    he failed to correct the FBI records on this point. While conceding
    that mistakes had been made, Vitousek asserted that there was little
    likelihood of negative repercussions for the official because the
    government requires much more than a single interview before it will
    indict someone.   "Trust me," Vitousek added, "[w]e need much more
    evidence."   Vázquez argues that this testimony gave assurances to
    the jury that Vitousek would never seek the indictment of an
    innocent person, and that the FBI corroborated Cobián's information
    on Vázquez's role in the Superaqueduct extortion with "much more
    evidence."   Since Vázquez did not timely object to this testimony
    or move to strike it at trial, we review the challenge for plain
    error.   United States v. Brown, 
    510 F.3d 57
    , 72 (1st Cir. 2007).
    Here again, we fail to see how the jury could possibly have
    understood the testimony as bolstering the credibility of any of the
    -30-
    Government's witnesses, and Vázquez does not explain further.                  As
    such, we cannot find error, much less plain error.
    The defendants' third vouching challenge gets them no
    further.    During an exchange in cross-examination, Vázquez asked
    Agent Vitousek several times why the Government relied on Cobián
    despite    its   policy    against   dealing   with    cooperators     who   lie.
    Ultimately, the following exchange occurred between Vázquez and
    Vitousek:
    Q.     . . . Based on the records of other
    people, Cuco and Laracy and all the other
    people who the jury have heard from, you could
    prosecute Cobián?
    A.      Yes.
    Q.     And the Government has given him               a
    benefit and chosen not to prosecute him.
    A.      He is cooperating.
    . . .
    Q.     He will not         be   prosecuted     for   the
    [Superaqueduct]?
    A.     If he tells the truth. And . . . up to
    now, the assessment has been that he has been
    truthful.
    Vázquez objected to this last response as vouching.              The district
    court overruled the objection, finding that Vázquez had "opened the
    door" to Vitousek's response. This ruling was entirely appropriate,
    and certainly not an abuse of discretion:             Vázquez cannot complain
    about vouching in response to his own questions, United States v.
    García-Morales, 
    382 F.3d 12
    , 18 n.1 (1st Cir. 2004), especially when
    -31-
    he   very    purposely     invited   the    answer   he   got   by   repeatedly
    questioning Vitousek about why he continued to deal with Cobián
    despite the latter's dishonesty, see United States v. Cutler, 
    948 F.2d 691
    , 697 (10th Cir. 1991) ("It is fundamental that a defendant
    cannot complain of error which he invited upon himself.") (quoting
    United States v. Taylor, 
    828 F.2d 630
    , 633 (10th Cir. 1987))
    (internal quotation marks omitted).12
    The fourth and final claimed instance of vouching is
    somewhat more problematic, but here too we must conclude that no
    abuse   of   discretion     occurred.       On   redirect   examination,   the
    Government attempted to clarify an inconsistency raised during
    Morell's cross:
    Q.     . . . [D]o you recall, at the end of
    [Morell]'s cross-examination yesterday, he
    ask[ed] you about the difference between the
    amount of cash that José Cobián said he gave to
    Granados and the amount of cash which Mr.
    Granados admits he received?
    A.      Yes
    . . .
    Q.     Do you recall that [Morell] asked you,
    "Would it be fair to say one or both of those
    cooperators is lying about that? Yes or no?"
    12
    The fact that, now on appeal, Morell belatedly signs on to
    Vázquez's challenge to this instance of alleged vouching does not
    compel a different conclusion with respect to Morell.      In any
    event, Morell failed to object at trial, and is thus relegated to
    plain error review, see Brown, 
    510 F.3d at 72
    ; United States v.
    Palow, 
    777 F.2d 52
    , 54 (1st Cir. 1985), a standard he cannot
    satisfy on these facts.
    -32-
    A.      Yes.
    Q.     And do you recall that you answered, "If
    you say that, yes." Please tell the members of
    the jury what you mean by that answer.
    A.     . . . I want to explain that at no time
    I was agreeing with that statement. That is
    [Morell]'s statement, not mine. And I would
    like to explain exactly what my words
    are . . . .
    . . .
    Now, I want to say my words, and these are the
    words of Ivan Vitousek. At no time no witness
    brought here by the Government has lied under
    oath in this courtroom. . . .
    At this, Vázquez objected on vouching grounds.   The court indicated
    it would instruct the jury later, and allowed Vitousek to continue:
    A.     . . . There is a discrepancy on the
    amounts of cash that were paid illegally by Mr.
    Cobián to Mr. Granados Navedo, and there is a
    discrepancy on the amount that Mr. Granados
    Navedo says that he received in cash from
    illegal payments from Mr. Cobián. That doesn't
    mean that they are lying. . . .
    At sidebar after redirect, Vázquez moved to strike this
    testimony.13   The court denied the motion because Morell had opened
    the door on cross by essentially asking Vitousek which of the two
    men -- Cobián or Granados -- was lying.   The court opted instead to
    instruct the jury as follows:
    The . . . duty to determine whether somebody
    has been truthful or not is yours. You are the
    13
    Vázquez also moved for mistrial, which the court denied.
    Vázquez then moved for severance from Morell, which the court also
    denied. He appeals neither of these rulings.
    -33-
    judges of the believability of the witnesses.
    You will decide how much of a witness'
    testimony you are going to accept or you are
    going to reject.
    You should not take the testimony of Mr.
    Vitousek just now as him telling you that you
    should believe any witness. What he basically
    told you was that he, rightly or wrongly,
    believed what they told him, which is a
    different story.
    You are the sole judges of the credibility of
    the witnesses. You will decide . . . whether
    you believe Cobián [and] whether you believe
    Granados . . . , and how much of their
    testimony you are going to accept and how much
    you are going to reject.
    The    court's    end-of-trial        jury   instructions      contained     similar
    language. Neither defendant objected to either set of instructions.
    On appeal, Vázquez and Morell argue that Agent Vitousek's
    statements improperly vouched both for the government's witnesses
    in general, and for Cobián and Granados in particular.                        In the
    circumstances,      we    need    not    decide    whether     either       statement
    constituted vouching because any error the district court may have
    committed in allowing this testimony to stand was harmless.                      The
    district court -- obviously mindful of the harm the impugned
    statements    might      cause   to    the   defendants   --    gave    a    curative
    instruction that the jurors not trust in Agent Vitousek's views on
    any witness's veracity, but instead judge veracity for themselves
    on the weight of the evidence.            These instructions were timely (at
    most    a   few   minutes    after      Vitousek   uttered     the     statements),
    straightforward, explicit, and detailed.             See Cormier, 468 F.3d at
    -34-
    74 (no prejudice where instructions were "'strong and clear'"
    (quoting United States v. Rodríguez-Estrada, 
    877 F.2d 153
     (1st Cir.
    1989)); accord Olszewski v. Spencer, 
    466 F.3d 47
    , 60 (1st Cir.
    2006); United States v. Palmer, 
    203 F.3d 55
    , 59 (1st Cir. 2000).
    Moreover, as we have noted many times, we presume juries understand
    and follow the court's instructions, see, e.g., United States v.
    Kornegay, 
    410 F.3d 89
    , 97 (1st Cir. 2005), and Vázquez and Morell
    have given us no reason to believe that this jury acted any
    differently.14
    Considering this factor together with the general strength
    of the Government's case against each defendant, we conclude that
    no prejudice survived the district court's curative instructions,
    and therefore any vouching that may have occurred could not have
    affected the outcome of the trial.     See Page, 
    521 F.3d at 108
    ;
    Cormier, 
    468 F.3d at 73
    .   For this reason, the district court did
    not abuse its discretion in allowing this testimony to remain on the
    record and in continuing with the trial.   Tom, 
    330 F.3d at 94
    .
    Having disposed of all the vouching challenges, we proceed
    to the next assignment of error.
    14
    We also note that the prosecutor did not willfully seek such a
    bold endorsement by Vitousek of the other witnesses' truthfulness.
    Instead, these statements appear to have been a spontaneous effort
    by Vitousek, who had obviously become frustrated with Morell's
    aggressive cross-examination, to set the record straight.
    -35-
    D.    The Prosecutor's Closing Argument
    The defendants argue that certain of the prosecutor's
    remarks      in    closing    improperly       disparaged   defense   counsel   and
    suggested that the defense bore the burden of proof. We again start
    with the applicable legal framework, and then address the specific
    instances of alleged misconduct.
    If we find that remarks made by the prosecutor at trial
    rise to the level of prosecutorial misconduct, we analyze them for
    prejudice under the test in United States v. Manning, 
    23 F.3d 570
    (1st Cir. 1994).        See United States v. Mooney, 
    315 F.3d 54
    , 59-60
    (1st Cir. 2002).           We ask whether the prosecutor's behavior "so
    poisoned the well" that the defendant must be given a new trial.
    Manning, 
    23 F.3d at 573
     (quoting United States v. Hodge-Balwing, 
    952 F.2d 607
    , 610 (1st Cir.1991)).                We consider a number of factors,
    including the egregiousness of the conduct; the context in which it
    occurred; whether the court gave curative instructions and what
    effect these instructions likely had; and the overall strength of
    the Government's case.              Id.; see also United States v. Casas, 
    425 F.3d 23
    ,    38    (1st     Cir.    2005)    (misconduct   evaluated   through   a
    "'balanced view of the evidence in the record'" (quoting United
    States v. Rodríguez-de Jesús, 
    202 F.3d 482
    , 485 (1st Cir. 2000))).
    We review de novo whether a given remark amounted to prosecutorial
    misconduct; if we conclude that it did, we review the overruling of
    a preserved objection to the making of the remark for abuse of
    -36-
    discretion.       Casas, 
    425 F.3d at 39
    ; accord            United States v.
    Robinson, 
    473 F.3d 387
    , 393 (1st Cir. 2007) (no vacatur if error
    harmless).
    The    defendants    point      to   several    passages   in   the
    prosecutor's closing argument that they say poisoned the well.              In
    opening summation, the prosecutor stated:
    You've heard and seen a whole lot of evidence
    of crime: Conspiracy, extortion, tax offenses,
    and of course obstruction of justice. And the
    defense has tried very hard to cloud and
    complicate the real issues in this case, to
    focus your attention on anyone, anything, but
    them. That is their job.
    In rebuttal, the prosecutor remarked along similar lines as follows:
    [T]he government in this case has been accused
    of political motivation. Is there any evidence
    of that? We have been accused of intentionally
    bringing in witnesses who would lie to you,
    creating a whole fabricated case against these
    defendants. There is no evidence of this kind
    of behavior.    And it is offensive, and you
    should take it for what it is:    The acts of
    some very desperate lawyers, lawyers who want
    to cloud the evidence.
    Here,   Vázquez    objected,   but   the    court   made   no   ruling.    The
    prosecutor continued:
    . . . [Morell] has told you repeatedly that if
    the Government did not bring you a witness, you
    are entitled to infer that witness would give
    evidence that would exculpate, that would prove
    his client is innocent. Make no mistake, the
    defendant has no burden. No defendant has any
    obligation to testify before the grand jury or
    at trial.    But the defendant has the same
    subpoena power as the Government.       And if
    [Morell] or [Vázquez], for that matter, thought
    they could subpoena a witness who would . . .
    -37-
    give you testimony that would exculpate the[m],
    you would have heard it.15
    Vázquez again objected and the district court overruled.        The court
    did not give curative instructions.
    The defendants make two main arguments.             First, they
    object to the prosecutor's statement that "if [Morell] or [Vázquez]
    . . . thought they could subpoena a witness who would . . . give you
    testimony that would exculpate their clients, you would have heard
    it"; they assert that this remark suggested to the jury that they
    had the duty to present the missing evidence.       See United States v.
    Díaz-Díaz, 
    433 F.3d 128
    , 135 (1st Cir. 2005) (such a suggestion "may
    cross the line").      Second, they contend that the prosecutor's
    characterization of them as "desperate lawyers" seeking to "cloud
    the   issues"   improperly   disparaged   defense   counsel    and   their
    important role in the justice system.     See Manning, 
    23 F.3d at
    573
    n.1 (disapproving of prosecutor's remark that defense counsel were
    like "Shakespeare's players, full of sound and fury signifying
    nothing").
    While we are reluctant to find categorically that these
    remarks constituted misconduct,16 even assuming they did, we cannot
    15
    After Vázquez's objection was sustained, the prosecutor
    continued: "You are entitled to disregard [Morell]'s argument that
    [Morell's secretary] had any relevant, important evidence to give
    in this case because the government did not call her. . . . Don't
    go chasing off looking for witnesses you didn't hear."
    16
    For example, contrary to the defendants' suggestion, not every
    comment on a defendant's failure to produce evidence supporting his
    -38-
    conclude that they so poisoned the well under Manning that the
    defendants are entitled to a new trial.       First, the remarks are
    simply not that egregious, and come nowhere near the sort of remarks
    we have found, in rare cases, to mandate a new trial.          See, e.g.,
    United States v. Hardy, 
    37 F.3d 753
     (1st Cir. 1994) (conviction
    vacated where prosecutor drew analogy between defendant's running
    and hiding from police on the night of the crime, and running and
    hiding again at trial by invoking Fifth Amendment right not to
    testify); Manning, 
    23 F.3d 570
     (conviction vacated where prosecutor
    suggested that government witnesses cannot lie and urged jury to
    "[t]ake responsibility for your community" by convicting defendant);
    United States v. Arrieta-Agressot, 
    3 F.3d 525
     (1st Cir. 1993)
    (convictions vacated where prosecutor urged jury to consider case
    as battle in war against drugs, and defendants as enemy soldiers
    corrupting "our society").
    Second,   while    the    court   did   not   give     curative
    instructions, it did instruct the jury at the end of trial that
    nothing said during closing arguments could be taken as evidence,
    and must be disregarded if it did not conform to the jury's
    theory of the case is prohibited. See Díaz-Díaz, 
    433 F.3d at
    135
    (citing United States v. Kubitsky, 
    469 F.2d 1253
    , 1255 (1st Cir.
    1972)). Indeed, in Díaz-Díaz, we suggested that such remarks would
    not be improper if made in response to defense arguments "aimed at
    having the jury draw the inference that the government did not call
    the [witness] because his testimony would have been harmful to its
    case." 
    Id.
     As discussed below, the remarks here would seem to fit
    this bill.
    -39-
    recollection of the evidence actually presented.              The court also
    reminded the jury that the Government had the burden of putting on
    evidence to establish the defendants' guilt beyond a reasonable
    doubt, and that the defendants bore no burden at all.                    Again,
    Vázquez and Morell have given us no reason to believe the jury was
    somehow unable to follow these instructions, and we do not believe
    the impugned remarks "were of a caliber that would inherently compel
    jurors to disregard their duty."         United States v. Levy-Cordero, 
    67 F.3d 1002
    , 1009 (1st Cir. 1995); cf., e.g., Rodríguez-de Jesús, 202
    F.3d at 486 (no retrial required where court gave no curative
    instructions at time of remarks, but later instructed jury that
    counsel's statements were not to be taken as evidence); Levy-
    Cordero, 
    67 F.3d at 1009
     (similar); Mooney, 
    315 F.3d at 60
     (noting
    that end-of-trial instructions "are sometimes enough to neutralize
    any prejudice from improper remarks").
    Third,   on   a    comprehensive    view   of   the   record,   the
    Government's case against these two defendants was strong.                   It
    rested on a solid foundation of testimony from several witnesses,
    including many personally involved (albeit often grudgingly) in the
    extortion and fraud schemes, as well as considerable documentary
    evidence.
    Fourth, specifically with respect to the remark on the
    defendants'    ability        to   subpoena    witnesses,   we    have   often
    acknowledged that retrial is not required where the prosecutor's
    -40-
    remarks, even if arguably improper, are a closely tailored response
    to defense counsel's equally improper remarks.           See, e.g., United
    States v. Nickens, 
    955 F.2d 112
    , 122 (1st Cir. 1992) ("[I]f the
    prosecutor's remarks were 'invited,' and did no more than respond
    substantially in order to 'right the scale,' such comments would not
    warrant reversing a conviction." (quoting United States v. Young,
    
    470 U.S. 1
    , 12-13 (1985))); United States v. Henderson, 
    320 F.3d 92
    ,
    107 (1st Cir. 2003) (same); see also United States v. Skerret-
    Ortega, No. 06-1126, 
    2008 WL 2402254
    , at *5 (1st Cir. June 13, 2008)
    (latitude given to prosecutors in responding to provocative remarks
    by defense counsel); United States v. Pérez-Ruiz, 
    353 F.3d 1
    , 10
    (1st Cir. 2003) (similar).
    Morell argued in closing that if a witness with relevant
    information was available to the Government, but the Government
    chose not to call the witness to testify, the jury could acquit him
    on the relevant count of the indictment.          He referred specifically
    to his secretary, who he argued would have corroborated his version
    of the facts had the Government called her.             In rebuttal a few
    minutes later, the prosecutor reminded the jury (as quoted above)
    that the defendants had no duty to put on evidence, but that they
    would   have   subpoenaed   a   given   witness   had   they   believed   her
    testimony would exculpate them.           We find this to have been a
    limited, proportionate, and thus closely tailored, response to
    -41-
    Morell's rather outrageous invitation.   See Henderson, 
    320 F.3d at 107
    .
    Finally, we are mindful of the Supreme Court's admonition
    that we not set guilty persons free simply to punish prosecutorial
    misconduct.   United States v. Auch, 
    187 F.3d 125
    , 133 (1st Cir.
    1999) (citing United States v. Hasting, 
    461 U.S. 499
    , 506-07
    (1983)).   Ordering retrial is a rare remedy to which we resort only
    where a miscarriage of justice would otherwise occur, or where the
    evidence weighs heavily against the jury's verdict.    Rodríguez-de
    Jesús, 202 F.3d at 486.   Neither of these conditions is present in
    the circumstances.
    In sum, the impugned remarks, even if rising to the level
    of prosecutorial misconduct, did not poison the well to the degree
    required under Manning.17     We therefore reject this ground of
    appeal, and proceed to the next one.
    17
    In light of the several other factors militating against finding
    an abuse of discretion here, our conclusion remains the same even
    if, as Vázquez urges, we disregard the invited-response rule with
    respect to him because it was Morell who told the jury that
    uncalled Government witnesses would have exonerated him.
    We also note that neither defendant objected at trial to the
    first "cloud the evidence" remark, made during the prosecutor's
    opening summation. For convenience we have considered both "cloud
    the evidence" remarks in tandem, but if we were to consider them
    independently of one another, we would review the first one for
    plain error, see Henderson, 
    320 F.3d at 102, 107
    , and find that it
    comes nowhere near requiring retrial under that standard.
    -42-
    E.    Sufficiency of the Evidence Against Morell
    Morell mounts a broad challenge to the sufficiency of the
    evidence used to convict him. He argues that no rational jury could
    have found him guilty of any of the crimes of which this jury
    convicted him.    Those crimes were:    (1) conspiracy in Count One of
    the indictment; (2) Hobbs Act extortion of three subcontractors --
    Feliciano, Carmona, and Laracy -- in Counts Two, Three, and Four,
    respectively; (3) wire fraud in Counts Nine to Eleven; and (4) mail
    fraud in Count Thirteen.18
    Our central task in evaluating the sufficiency of the
    evidence is to determine whether a rational factfinder could have
    found each element of the crime in question beyond a reasonable
    doubt.   United States v. Lizardo, 
    445 F.3d 73
    , 81 (1st Cir. 2006).
    Our review is plenary, looking at the record as a whole and
    "resolv[ing] all questions of credibility and reasonable inferences
    in favor of the verdict."    Id.; accord United States v. Ortiz, 
    966 F.2d 707
    , 711 (1st Cir. 1992) ("[I]t is not the appellate court's
    function to weigh the evidence or make credibility judgments.
    Rather, it is for the jury to choose between varying interpretations
    of the evidence.").    We need not be convinced that a guilty verdict
    was the only one available on the evidence, but merely that "a
    18
    The indictment had fourteen counts. The jury acquitted Morell
    of Count Five, extortion of subcontractor Carrero; Count Twelve,
    one of the wire fraud charges; and Count Fourteen, obstruction of
    justice. Counts Six to Eight pertained only to Vázquez.
    -43-
    plausible rendition of the record" supports the verdict. Ortiz, 
    966 F.2d at 711
    .   Evidence sufficient to support a guilty verdict may
    be entirely circumstantial, and the factfinder is "free to choose
    among reasonable interpretations of the evidence."         United States
    v. Wight, 
    968 F.2d 1393
    , 1395 (1st Cir. 1992).
    Morell   was   convicted   on   three   counts   of   Hobbs   Act
    extortion by fear of economic harm or under color of official right;
    each of these counts pertained to the extortion of each of three
    subcontractors:    Feliciano, Carmona, and Laracy.         We begin our
    analysis by determining whether a rational jury could have found the
    elements of extortion for these three subcontractors. The Hobbs Act
    provides that "[w]hoever in any way or degree obstructs, delays, or
    affects commerce or the movement of any article or commodity in
    commerce, by . . . extortion or attempts or conspires so to do . .
    . shall be [punished]."     
    18 U.S.C. § 1951
    (a).       The Act defines
    extortion as "the obtaining of property from another, with his
    consent, induced by wrongful use of . . . fear, or under color of
    official right."   
    Id.
     § 1951(b)(2).      We have clarified that "fear"
    "encompasses 'fear of economic loss, . . . including the possibility
    of lost business opportunities.'"     United States v. Rivera Rangel,
    
    396 F.3d 476
    , 483 (1st Cir. 2005) (quoting United States v. Bucci,
    
    839 F.2d 825
    , 827-28 (1st Cir. 1988)).        Therefore, an individual
    commits Hobbs Act extortion if he:          (1) obtains property from
    another person; (2) with that person's consent; (3) through fear of
    -44-
    economic loss or under color of official right;        and (4) the
    transaction affects interstate commerce.    
    Id.
    Morell does not dispute the existence of the fourth
    element, and we find sufficient evidence in the record to establish
    this element19 and the first three.     The first element is easily
    satisfied:   Cobián testified -- and a rational jury could have
    believed -- that the subcontractors made periodic cash payments to
    him between 1997 and 1999 which he then passed on to Vázquez,
    Morell, and Granados.   Several subcontractors verified that they
    made such payments to Cobián, and this testimony was supported by
    documentary evidence -- for example, sham checks from Carmona's
    business to non-existent individuals for unperformed services, so
    Carmona could generate the cash necessary to pay Cobián.   Feliciano
    also testified that he made one payment to Vázquez in person.   The
    second element is also easily met:    Feliciano, Carmona, and Laracy
    all testified that they agreed voluntarily (though reluctantly) to
    pay the money demanded, and a rational jury could have believed this
    testimony.
    19
    We have held that "the government need only show a realistic
    probability of a de minimis effect on interstate commerce[] in
    order to bring extortion within the reach of the Hobbs Act."
    United States v. Rivera-Medina, 
    845 F.2d 12
    , 15 (1st Cir. 1988);
    see also United States v. Hathaway, 
    534 F.2d 386
    , 396 (1st Cir.
    1976) (Hobbs Act reaches "even those effects which are merely
    potential or subtle" (internal quotation marks omitted)). We find
    ample evidence on the record before us to prove this element.
    -45-
    As for the third element -- inducement to pay by fear of
    economic loss or color of official right -- it, too, is established
    on the facts presented.     As an initial matter, the two components
    of this element are disjunctive, and an extortion conviction will
    stand if there is sufficient evidence to prove either component.
    
    Id.
       To prove the former, "the government must show that the victim
    reasonably    feared     that    noncompliance     with    the     putative
    extortionist's   terms   would   result   in   economic   loss."    United
    States v. Cruz-Arroyo, 
    461 F.3d 69
    , 74 (1st Cir. 2006), cert.
    denied, 
    127 S. Ct. 1169
     (2007).
    The Government here put forth ample evidence to show that
    Feliciano, Carmona, and Laracy reasonably feared economic harm if
    they failed to pay the money demanded of them.             Feliciano, for
    example, testified that he agreed to pay the money because, if he
    did not, "[t]he government" could "make life very difficult" for his
    construction firm by delaying Superaqueduct project payments and not
    awarding the firm government contracts in the future.               Carmona
    testified that he felt compelled to pay and keep paying because if
    he failed to do so, the Thames-Dick consortium could be removed from
    the Superaqueduct project and his construction firm might also
    suffer other adverse consequences.        Laracy testified in a similar
    vein that he feared detriment to his business if he did not pay.
    Feliciano, Carmona, and Laracy testified further that they knew the
    recipients of the money were people with influence in the NPP
    -46-
    government; they knew Granados to be among them; and Feliciano and
    Carmona   also    knew    Vázquez    to    be     among   them.      Based   on   this
    testimony, a rational jury could have concluded beyond a reasonable
    doubt that Feliciano, Carmona, and Laracy paid Cobián out of fear
    of detrimental consequences for their respective businesses, and
    that   this   fear       was   reasonable         because     they    believed     the
    extortionists to have real power to effect such detriment.
    The next critical question we must answer is whether a
    rational jury could have found Morell to be linked to the extortion
    scheme in a manner that allows criminal liability to be imputed to
    him.   We must therefore examine whether a rational jury could have
    found a conspiracy to exist, and Morell to be a member of it, as
    charged in Count One of the indictment.              To establish a conspiracy,
    the Government must prove three elements:                     (1) an agreement to
    commit an unlawful act; (2) the defendant's knowledge of the
    agreement and voluntary participation in it; and (3) an overt act
    by at least one of the coconspirators in furtherance of the
    conspiracy.      United States v. Muñoz-Franco, 
    487 F.3d 25
    , 45 (1st
    Cir.), cert. denied, 
    128 S. Ct. 678
     (2007). The Government need not
    prove a formal agreement; instead, "[t]he agreement may be shown by
    a   concert      of   action,       all     the     parties       working    together
    understandingly, with a single design for the accomplishment of a
    common purpose."      
    Id. at 45-46
     (quoting Am. Tobacco Co. v. United
    States, 
    147 F.2d 93
    , 107 (4th Cir. 1944)) (internal quotation marks
    -47-
    omitted).     Morell's conviction may be sustained on sufficient
    evidence of a conspiracy      to commit any of the three charged
    conspiracy offenses.     
    Id. at 46
    .     For purposes of the present
    analysis, we focus on conspiracy to commit extortion.
    Morell does not seriously challenge the Government's
    evidence on the first and third elements of conspiracy, and we find
    an abundance of evidence in the record to support their existence.
    Cobián and Granados testified that Vázquez and Cobián devised a plan
    to compel the subcontractors to hand over a portion of their
    Superaqueduct profits.     As we have found above, a rational jury
    could have considered this compelled payment to constitute extortion
    -- the requisite unlawful act that is the object of the conspiracy.
    And the record reveals many overt acts in furtherance of such a
    conspiracy including, for example, Cobián's physical transfer of
    periodic cash payments from Feliciano and Carmona to Vázquez's
    medical office.
    What remains, then, is the second element: whether Morell
    knew of the extortion agreement and voluntary participated in it.
    The most direct evidence against Morell in this regard is Cobián's
    testimony about one of his initial meetings with Vázquez. According
    to this testimony, Vázquez told Cobián that Morell and Granados
    would be assisting him in his efforts to secure the Superaqueduct
    contract for Thames-Dick, and that Cobián should approach Morell to
    work out how Morell wished to receive his share of the payments.
    -48-
    Yet even in the absence of this testimony, a rational factfinder
    could still have inferred that Morell knew of and adhered to the
    extortion    agreement     based    on    a     significant   quantum    of   other
    evidence.      For   example,      Cobián       testified   that,   in   1997,   he
    approached Morell to arrange how the latter wished to receive his
    share.   Cobián stated that Morell was not surprised to see him, but
    instead seemed to have been expecting him and had already devised
    a specific plan for concealing the transfer of the subcontractors'
    money.     According to Cobián, Morell proceeded to draw up a sham
    legal contract and made several other elaborate arrangements to this
    end.   Morell then accepted periodic payments from Cobián under the
    sham contract and through third-party payments from 1997 to 1999 --
    a period largely overlapping with the period during which Vázquez
    and Granados were also receiving payments.             Morell does not dispute
    that he received thousands of dollars from Cobián over the course
    of those two years.
    As noted above, it is not for us to make credibility
    determinations on a review of the sufficiency of the evidence, but
    merely to say whether a rational jury could have believed this
    testimony.     See Ortiz, 
    966 F.2d at 711
    .             We find that a rational
    jury could have believed Cobián, and then drawn the reasonable
    inference that Cobián's payments to Morell were not for legal
    services     and   other   licit     ends,       but   were   instead    designed
    clandestinely to channel him his part of the extortionate proceeds.
    -49-
    A rational jury could then have drawn a second inference:                  that
    Morell obviously knew of, and voluntarily participated in, the
    scheme.    Accordingly, a rational jury could have found all three
    elements of conspiracy beyond a reasonable doubt, and this jury's
    conviction of Morell under Count One was therefore supported by
    sufficient evidence.
    This brings us to the sufficiency of the evidence as to
    the counts charging Morell with substantive crimes incident to the
    conspiracy.    Contrary to Morell's assertion at oral argument, the
    law does not require proof that he personally took any steps to
    instill economic fear in the subcontractors, to influence the award
    of the contract or the payment for performance under the contract,
    or that the subcontractors feared Morell or even knew of his
    involvement. Instead, under the Pinkerton doctrine, a defendant can
    be found liable for the substantive crime of a coconspirator
    provided the crime was reasonably foreseeable and committed in
    furtherance of the conspiracy.           United States v. Gobbi, 
    471 F.3d 302
    , 309 n.3 (1st Cir. 2006) (citing Pinkerton v. United States, 
    328 U.S. 640
    , 647-48 (1946)).        The district court properly instructed
    the jury on the Pinkerton doctrine.         Based on overwhelming evidence
    in the record, the jury could rationally have found that Vázquez,
    Cobián, or Granados committed extortion.           Through Pinkerton, such
    a   jury   could   then   have   found   Morell   equally   liable   for    the
    substantive offense, since extortion was committed in furtherance
    -50-
    of the conspiracy (and indeed was the conspiracy's object), and was
    a reasonably foreseeable result of the conspiracy.                See Díaz-Díaz,
    
    433 F.3d at 137
    .20     For   these     reasons,    Morell's   substantive
    extortion convictions under Counts Two to Four of the indictment
    were also supported by substantial evidence.
    The   last     set   of   convictions       Morell   challenges   on
    sufficiency grounds stem from various instances of mail and wire
    fraud charged in Counts Nine to Eleven and Thirteen.                 In order to
    convict an individual of mail or wire fraud under 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 1341
    and 1343, the Government must prove:            "(1) the defendant's knowing
    and willing participation in a scheme or artifice to defraud with
    the specific intent to defraud, and (2) the use of the mails or
    interstate wire communications in furtherance of the scheme."
    United States v. Sawyer, 
    85 F.3d 713
    , 723 (1st Cir. 1996).
    Counts Nine, Ten, and Eleven charged Morell with devising
    a scheme to defraud the Puerto Rico Treasury Department ("Hacienda")
    by failing to pay income taxes on revenue earned from the extortion.
    Each count lists a separate wire transaction of thousands of dollars
    20
    Citing United States v. O'Campo, 
    973 F.2d 1015
    , 1021 (1st Cir.
    1992), Morell argues that he cannot be held vicariously liable
    through Pinkerton because Vázquez and Granados had already
    committed extortion by the time he began receiving payments. We
    reject this argument, as extortion can be an ongoing crime, see,
    e.g., Bucci, 
    839 F.2d at 829-30
    , and this extortion went on until
    the payments ceased in 1999. In any event, a rational jury could
    have found that Morell adhered to the extortion agreement from its
    inception, and not merely from 1997, when he began receiving
    payments.
    -51-
    dated April 16, 1999 from Thames-Dick to Feliciano, Carmona, and
    Laracy,   respectively.       These     were   apparently   chosen   as
    representative samples of the monthly wire transfers Thames-Dick
    made to the subcontractors beginning in January 1997, a portion of
    which the subcontractors then handed over to Cobián, who in turn
    gave a portion to Morell, Vázquez, and Granados.        The indictment
    charges that Morell failed to account for this 1999 income on his
    Puerto Rico tax return, and then used the mails to send the return
    to the Puerto Rico tax agency.    This mailing was the basis for the
    mail-fraud charge in Count Thirteen.
    Upon review of the record, we find sufficient evidence for
    a rational jury to have convicted Morell on all of these counts.
    A rational jury could have believed Cobián's testimony that Morell
    directed Cobián to funnel him the subcontractors' money through
    checks for sham legal services purportedly rendered to Cobián's
    company, and through payments to third parties for Morell's benefit.
    Such a jury could also have credited the certified copy of Morell's
    1999 tax return in evidence, that failed to report payments made to
    him by Cobián in that year.      A rational jury could likewise have
    believed Morell's tax preparer, who testified that Morell did not
    tell him about income earned from Cobián's company in 1999, and that
    he therefore did not include it on the 1999 return. These findings,
    in turn, would be sufficient to satisfy the first element for both
    -52-
    mail and wire fraud:     that Morell intentionally, knowingly, and
    willingly participated in a scheme to defraud Hacienda.           See 
    id.
    Specifically with respect to the wire-fraud counts, a
    rational jury could then have found the second element fulfilled --
    that wire communications were used in furtherance of the scheme.21
    Morell need not have had any personal involvement in initiating the
    wire transfers; instead, the use of the wires need only have been
    "a   reasonably   foreseeable   part    of   the   scheme    in   which   he
    participated."    
    Id.
     at 723 n.6 (quoting United States v. Boots, 
    80 F.3d 580
    , 585 n.8 (1st Cir. 1996)) (internal quotation marks and
    alteration omitted); accord United States v. Fermín Castillo, 
    829 F.2d 1194
    , 1198 (1st Cir. 1987) (it must have been reasonably
    foreseeable that use of the mails or wires would "follow in the
    ordinary course of business" (quoting United States v. Benmuhar, 
    658 F.2d 14
    , 16-17 (1st Cir. 1981)) (internal quotation marks omitted));
    see also 
    id.
       (case law on mail-fraud statute instructive for wire-
    fraud statute).   From the evidence presented, a rational jury could
    have inferred that it was reasonably foreseeable that interstate
    wires would be used in the ordinary course of business for Thames-
    Dick to transfer payments to the subcontractors.            These transfers
    were essential to the success of the extortion scheme and, in turn,
    the scheme to defraud the Puerto Rico tax agency, because they
    21
    The parties stipulated that the wire payments traveled in
    interstate commerce, so we need not address the evidence on this
    element.
    -53-
    provided the subcontractors the money they gave to Morell and the
    others, and which Morell then failed to report.      On the basis of
    such findings, a rational jury could thus have concluded that Morell
    was guilty of wire fraud on each of the three counts.22
    Turning specifically to the mail-fraud count, a rational
    jury could also have found the second element fulfilled here -- that
    the mails were used in furtherance of the scheme.       The district
    court admitted into evidence a copy of a meter-marked envelope
    addressed to Hacienda and bearing a Hacienda receipt stamp, along
    with Morell's 1999 return.    Morell does not dispute that these were
    his envelope and return, but contends there is no proof that the
    return was actually placed in the mail.    We disagree, and conclude
    that a rational jury could have credited evidence that Morell mailed
    the return or reasonably expected that in the regular course of
    business, it would be mailed to Hacienda on his behalf.     Morell's
    tax preparer, who formerly worked for Hacienda, testified that when
    tax returns came in the mail, Hacienda kept the envelope and stapled
    it to the return, but would likely discard an envelope accompanying
    a hand-delivered return.     A rational jury could have believed this
    22
    Morell makes much of the fact that the indictment also alleges
    he committed fraud on his 1997 and 1998 tax returns, but the
    evidence used to show wire transfers for Counts Nine to Eleven
    consisted of April 1999 transactions made after the 1997 and 1998
    returns had been filed. We need not address this argument because
    all that was required to sustain Morell's convictions on these
    counts was sufficient evidence that he committed fraud on one of
    the returns, and the 1999 return meets this requirement.
    -54-
    testimony, and inferred from it that the 1999 return and the meter-
    marked envelope were actually mailed.    The evidence was therefore
    sufficient to support a finding of guilt by mail fraud.
    For these reasons, we reject all of Morell's challenges
    to the sufficiency of the evidence, and proceed to the next ground
    of appeal.
    F.   Admission of Coconspirator Statement Against Morell
    This ground of appeal, also advanced only by Morell,
    concerns Cobián's testimony on direct examination about one of the
    meetings in which Vázquez proposed the extortion scheme to Cobián.
    Cobián testified that he asked Vázquez who else would be helping the
    subcontractors to secure the Superaqueduct contract,       and that
    Vázquez told Cobián it would be Morell and Granados.       At this,
    Morell objected on hearsay grounds, arguing that this testimony was
    inadmissible hearsay. The district court provisionally allowed the
    testimony under our rule in United States v. Petrozziello, 
    548 F.2d 20
     (1st Cir. 1977), and later kept it on the record after assessing
    it in light of other evidence presented at trial. See United States
    v. Mangual-García, 
    505 F.3d 1
    , 7-8 (1st Cir. 2007).       Morell now
    argues that this constituted reversible error because the testimony
    was the only piece of evidence linking him to a conspiracy involving
    Vázquez.
    Our case law instructs district courts faced with a
    challenge to the admission of a coconspirator hearsay statement to
    -55-
    admit the statement provisionally and wait until the end of trial
    to   consider    four      factors   in   the    light   of   all   the    evidence:
    (1) whether a conspiracy existed; (2) whether the defendant was a
    member of the conspiracy; (3) whether the declarant was also a
    member of the conspiracy; and (4) whether the declarant's statement
    was made in furtherance of the conspiracy.                Colón-Díaz, 
    521 F.3d at
    35-36    (citing       Petrozziello,        
    548 F.2d at 23
    ;    Fed.     R.
    Evid. 801(d)(2)(E)).         If these four conditions are satisfied by a
    preponderance of the evidence, the statement qualifies under the
    coconspirator exemption to the hearsay rule and may therefore be
    admitted into evidence -- including to prove the truth of the matter
    asserted.       
    Id. at 35
    .      We   review   preserved    challenges     to    a
    Petrozziello determination (or a portion thereof) for abuse of
    discretion, and unpreserved challenges for plain error.                      
    Id. at 36-37
    .
    In a sealed written order, the district court made the
    Petrozziello determination, finding the four Rule 801(d)(2)(E)
    factors satisfied by a preponderance of the evidence.                     Morell did
    not object to this assessment with respect to the first, third, and
    fourth Rule 801(d)(2)(E) factors, and does not quarrel with it now.
    As such, he forfeited any challenge to the court's findings on these
    factors.     United States v. Thompson, 
    449 F.3d 267
    , 273 (1st Cir.
    2006). As concerns the second factor -- whether Morell was a member
    of the conspiracy -- we have already concluded above that, on the
    -56-
    evidence presented at trial, a rational jury could have found Morell
    to be a member of the charged conspiracy beyond a reasonable doubt
    even absent Cobián's testimony that Vázquez implicated Morell during
    the meeting in question.        A fortiori, the record contains ample
    evidence to support a finding by the requisite preponderance that
    Morell     was   a    member   of   the       conspiracy    for    purposes    of
    Rule 801(d)(2)(E).      Cf. United States v. Gjerde, 
    110 F.3d 595
    , 602
    (8th Cir. 1997) (finding certain Rule 801(d)(2)(E) factors as
    necessarily satisfied by preponderance where court had already found
    the relevant facts proven beyond reasonable doubt).                The district
    court did not, therefore, abuse its discretion in not striking the
    statement, and the jury was entitled to consider it for the truth
    of the matter asserted therein.
    G.   Sentencing
    As their final ground of appeal, Vázquez and Morell
    challenge the manner in which the district court calculated their
    respective GSRs under the Sentencing Guidelines.                  We review the
    district    court's    legal   interpretation       and    application   of   the
    Guidelines de novo, but its loss or benefits calculations are
    reviewed only for clear error. United States v. Innarelli, 
    524 F.3d 286
    , 290 (1st Cir. 2008); United States v. Griffin, 
    324 F.3d 330
    ,
    365 (5th Cir. 2003).
    At   sentencing,     the     district    court     calculated     the
    defendants' respective GSRs in the manner recommended by their
    -57-
    respective Presentence Reports ("PSRs").         It accordingly looked to
    § 2C1.1 of the 1998 Guidelines,23 on "Extortion Under Color of
    Official Right":
    (a)      Base Offense Level:     10.
    (b)      Special Offense Characteristics
    . . .
    (2)   (If more than one applies, use the greater):
    (A) If the value of the payment, the benefit
    received or to be received in return for the
    payment, or the loss to the government from
    the offense, whichever is greatest, exceeded
    $2,000, increase by the corresponding number
    of levels from the table in § 2F1.1 (Fraud
    and Deceit). . . .
    U.S.S.G. § 2C1.1 (1998). Section 2C1.1(b)(2)(A) thus provides three
    alternative amounts, and the court must choose the greatest:         (1)
    the value of the payment; (2) the benefit received or to be received
    in return for the payment; or (3) the loss to the government from
    the offense.24
    23
    The PSRs recommended that the 1998 Guidelines be used by
    operation of U.S.S.G. § 1B1.11(b)(1) (2006). The district court
    followed this recommendation, and the parties did not object. We
    accordingly use the 1998 Guidelines as well, noting that while
    § 2C1.1 has been amended since 1998, the key language for purposes
    of analyzing the defendants' challenge remains virtually the same.
    24
    It is undisputed that the third alternative -- loss to the
    government -- is not available because the government lost no money
    as a result of the extortion scheme. Pursuant to U.S.S.G. § 3D1.2
    cmt. n.6 (1998), the district court did not make an independent
    determination of the defendants' sentences for defrauding the
    Puerto Rico tax authorities. As such, those losses played no part
    in the sentencing calculations in this case.
    -58-
    Relying on the PSRs, the district court determined that
    the alternative with the highest quantity was the "benefit to be
    received in return for the payment," which the court estimated as
    slightly over $10 million -- the approximate combined profit earned
    by the subcontractors for their work on the Superaqueduct project.
    Following the directive in § 2C1.1(b)(2)(A), the court then looked
    to   §   2F1.1,    which     instructed     it    to   increase      the    defendants'
    respective       offense     levels   by    fifteen     because      the    "loss"    the
    defendants caused exceeded $10 million.                     Id. § 2F1.1(b)(1)(P)
    (1998).      Added      to   the   base    offense     level    of    ten    (which   was
    undisputed), the defendants were left with offense levels of twenty-
    five, along with respective Criminal History Categories of I.                         This
    produced    a     GSR   of   fifty-seven     to   seventy-one         months.     After
    undertaking the remainder of the sentencing analysis, including an
    examination of the factors in 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a), the court
    sentenced Vázquez and Morell toward the lower end of this range, to
    sixty months' imprisonment each.             The defendants timely objected to
    the methodology used to produce this sentence.
    On appeal, Vázquez and Morell argue that the district
    court erred in choosing the "benefit to be received" alternative
    because there was no evidence that the subcontractors received the
    roughly    $10     million    in   profits    "in      return   for    the    payment."
    U.S.S.G. § 2C1.1(b)(2)(A).            According to the defendants, it was
    undisputed that the Thames-Dick consortium was the most qualified
    -59-
    of the bidders, and there was no evidence that Vázquez or Morell
    actually exerted any real influence on anyone responsible for
    awarding Thames-Dick the contract.              As Granados testified, the
    coconspirators' promise to help the subcontractors was merely an
    insurance policy to make sure nothing happened that would impede the
    awarding of the contract -- not to compel or persuade the relevant
    officials to award it.         Therefore, because Thames-Dick was awarded
    the contract based on its and the subcontractors' own merit through
    a process not tainted by the defendants' crime, the "benefit . . .
    to be received in return for the payment" was zero, and the court
    must sentence the defendants under the (much lower) "value of the
    payment" alternative in § 2C1.1(b)(2)(A).            The district court did
    not make specific findings on the amount of money the defendants
    actually   received,     but    other   evidence   suggested    it   was   below
    $1 million for each defendant.
    We   begin    by    determining     whether   the   district    court
    committed legal error in its interpretation of the meaning of
    "benefit . . . to be received in return for the payment" in
    § 2C1.1(b)(2)(A).       This is a question of first impression in this
    circuit.    Evident from the plain language of the guideline --
    "benefit . . . to be received" -- is the Sentencing Commission's
    intention that this inquiry be forward-looking, a conclusion also
    reached by the Fifth Circuit in one of the rare cases interpreting
    the guideline in the context of extortion, as opposed to bribery:
    -60-
    "[I]n determining the amount of benefit to be received, courts may
    consider   the    expected   benefits,   not   only   the    actual    benefits
    received."       Griffin, 
    324 F.3d at 366
     (emphasis added).                   This
    prospective analysis comports with our closely analogous case law
    on computing loss for purposes of sentencing.               We have held that
    when a person is convicted of a fraud offense, a proper analysis of
    the loss he intended to cause asks what a person in his position at
    the relevant time would reasonably have expected to happen to the
    victim as a result of the fraud.         See Innarelli, 
    524 F.3d at 291
    .
    The rationale for an ex ante inquiry lies in the purpose of the
    exercise: to set the defendant's punishment at a level commensurate
    with the degree of his moral culpability.         For this reason, it is
    not determinative what loss the victim actually ended up suffering,
    or indeed whether the victim suffered any loss at all.                Id.25
    This reasoning translates readily into the extortion
    context.     We think that the best interpretation of "benefit . . .
    to be received in return for the payment" is the benefit a person
    in the defendant's position at the time of the extortion would
    reasonably have expected the victim to receive by paying him the
    money he demanded.     See Griffin, 
    324 F.3d at 366
    .          This figure, in
    turn, affords the court a gauge for how severely the defendant
    25
    As we noted in Innarelli, this rationale contrasts with that for
    restitution, which is "necessarily a backward-looking inquiry"
    because the defendant can only be made to reimburse the victim for
    the loss he actually caused to the victim. 
    524 F.3d at 294
    .
    -61-
    deserves to be punished.   We reject the defendants' invitation to
    look with 20-20 hindsight at whether, at the end of the day, they
    actually did anything overt to help Thames-Dick get the contract.
    As reasonable expectation at the time of the extortion is the
    touchstone of the inquiry, the district court's interpretation was
    the right one.
    As for the amount of the benefit in this case, neither
    defendant contests the district court's estimate of slightly more
    than $10 million, a figure the court described as conservative.   In
    any event, our review of the record reveals this estimate to be
    reasonable, and a reasonable estimate is all that is required.    See
    Innarelli, 
    524 F.3d at 290
    ; Griffin, 
    324 F.3d at 365
    .   We therefore
    see no reason to deem this quantity clearly erroneous.       United
    States v. Gray, 
    521 F.3d 514
    , 542-43 (6th Cir. 2008) (amount of
    benefit to be received reviewed for clear error); Griffin, 
    324 F.3d at 365
     (same).
    Since more than $10 million is undisputably greater than
    the other available alternative in § 2C1.1(b)(2)(A) -- the value of
    the payments to Vázquez and Morell -- the district court properly
    used it to determine how many additional levels to add to their
    respective base offense levels.       See U.S.S.G. §§ 2C1.1(b)(2),
    2F1.1(b)(1)(P).   Accordingly, the court's GSR calculation for each
    defendant was correct, and in the absence of any further sentencing
    challenges, our review ends there.
    -62-
    III.   Conclusion
    For the foregoing reasons, we affirm Vázquez's conviction
    and sentence, and affirm Morell's conviction and sentence.
    Affirmed.
    -63-