United States v. Tanco-Pizarro , 892 F.3d 472 ( 2018 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    No. 15-2388
    UNITED STATES,
    Appellee,
    v.
    RAFAEL TANCO-PIZARRO,
    Defendant, Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. Juan M. Pérez-Giménez, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Lynch, Stahl, and Thompson,
    Circuit Judges.
    Gail M. Latouf for appellant.
    John A. Mathews II, with whom Rosa Emilia Rodríguez-Vélez,
    United States Attorney, Mariana E. Bauzá-Almonte, Assistant United
    States Attorney, Chief, Appellate Division, and Tiffany V.
    Monrose, Assistant United States Attorney, were on brief, for
    appellee.
    June 13, 2018
    THOMPSON, Circuit Judge.         Rafael Tanco-Pizarro mounts a
    multi-dimensional challenge — on both procedural and substantive
    grounds — to the 60-month sentence he received following the
    revocation of his supervised release.              After giving his arguments
    full and fair consideration, we affirm.
    Revocation Primer
    To   help   the    reader   better    understand   what   happened
    below, we begin with some general observations about revocation
    sentencing.
    By statute, a court may revoke a person's supervised
    release if it finds the government proved a release-condition
    violation by a preponderance of the evidence, see 18 U.S.C.
    § 3583(e)(3), which is a more-likely-than-not standard, see United
    States v. Edwards, 
    857 F.3d 420
    , 421 (1st Cir. 2017).               Shifting to
    sentencing, the court starts its analysis by calculating the
    suggested prison range under the federal sentencing guidelines —
    a range that is based on the offender's criminal history at the
    time of his original sentence and the grade of his violation.
    U.S.S.G. § 7B1.4(a).           There are three violation grades, running
    from grade A (the most serious) to grade C (the least serious).
    See 
    id. §§ 7B1.1,
    7B1.3.          The violation's grade is determined by
    the "conduct constituting" any "federal, state, or local offense
    punishable    by"    various     "term[s]     of   imprisonment."      See   
    id. § 7B1.1(a).
          Armed with the relevant info, the court turns to the
    - 2 -
    guidelines' "Revocation Table."        And by plotting the offender's
    violation grade along the table's vertical axis and his criminal
    history along the table's horizontal axis, the court ends up with
    the advisory-prison range.       See 
    id. § 7B1.4.
    The word "advisory" is a dead giveaway that the table's
    ranges are nonbinding.      See United States v. Márquez-García, 
    862 F.3d 143
    , 147 n.2 (1st Cir. 2017).         A court has discretion, but
    not carte blanche. A statute caps the stiffest possible sentences.
    And the statutory cap depends "on the severity of 'the offense
    that resulted in the term of supervised release.'"          United States
    v. Fontanez, 
    845 F.3d 439
    , 445 (1st Cir. 2017) (quoting 18 U.S.C.
    § 3583(e)(3)).   "For that purpose," § 3583(e) groups offenses "in
    various categories."       
    Id. And these
    "groupings have real-world
    consequences,"   as   we    recently   wrote:       "upon   revocation   of
    supervised release" a
    [c]lass C or D felony bears a maximum sentence . . . of
    two years; a [c]lass B felony bears a maximum sentence
    . . . of three years; a [c]lass A felony bears a maximum
    sentence . . . of five years; and all other offenses
    bear a maximum sentence . . . of one year.
    
    Id. at 445-46
    (citing § 3583(e)(3)).         A court can sentence the
    offender to a prison stint within the applicable statutory maximum,
    after considering the relevant sentencing factors that help guide
    the court's discretion, see, e.g., United States v. Vargas-Dávila,
    
    649 F.3d 129
    , 131-32 (1st Cir. 2011) — and we will say more about
    that later.
    - 3 -
    With this short primer in place, we turn to Tanco-
    Pizarro's case.
    Violations and Fallout
    The key facts are simple and undisputed.     Almost eight
    years ago, in December 2010, Tanco-Pizarro finished a prison
    sentence for possessing a gun and ammo in furtherance of a drug-
    trafficking crime and began a five-year term of supervised release.
    And things went swimmingly, apparently — at least for a while.
    In December 2014 and again in September 2015, probation
    notified the district court that Tanco-Pizarro had broken several
    conditions of supervised release.       Only three are relevant here.
    The first one arose from probation's claim that it had tried
    without success to contact him "numerous times" (by phone and in
    person), that he had not updated his contact info as required, and
    that he had failed to report to the probation office as requested
    — all of which, probation alleged, violated a supervised-release
    term requiring him to "answer truthfully all inquiries by the
    probation officer and follow the instructions of the probation
    officer."    The next two stem from probation's claim that while
    police officers in San Juan were helping Tanco-Pizarro get out of
    a BMW overturned on a road, they found an "AK rifle," a "Glock
    pistol," and a collection of magazines and ammunition in the auto
    — all of which, according to probation, violated supervised-
    release terms forbidding him from committing another "federal,
    - 4 -
    state[,] or local crime" and banning him from possessing "a
    firearm" or "ammunition" (excess capitalization omitted).
    Matters went from bad to worse for Tanco-Pizarro, when
    in October 2015 a federal grand jury — relying on what the police
    had recovered from the flipped-over Beemer — indicted him for being
    a felon in possession of a firearm.               Skipping over details not
    relevant to this appeal, we see that hard on the heels of this
    indictment, Tanco-Pizarro moved for a continuance of the final-
    revocation hearing and moved for discovery:             filed 7 days before
    the hearing, the continuance motion argued that "the outcome" of
    the felon-in-possession case "may have an effect in the disposition
    of   the   instant   case";   filed    2   days   before   the    hearing,   the
    discovery motion asked that the court order the government to turn
    over certain documents related to the felon-in-possession matter.
    The court denied his motions.         And following a hearing, the court
    revoked his supervised release.         To avoid consuming too many pages
    of the Federal Reporter, we cover only the highlights from that
    proceeding.
    Starting   with   the     felon-in-possession        charge   first,
    Tanco-Pizarro (through his lawyer) disputed whether the seized
    firearm was an automatic — in this instance (the parties agreed)
    an automatic firearm would support a grade A violation, while a
    non-automatic firearm would support a grade B violation.                  And he
    moved orally for the court to hear the testimony of the probation
    - 5 -
    officer on this point.      But the court denied the motion.           He then
    conceded that the court could rely on the indictment to determine
    whether he had violated his supervised release by possessing a
    firearm.       Tackling         the     failure-to-report       violation,    he
    "accept[ed]" that infraction, conceding (in the words of his
    lawyer) that "after November of 2014," his "whereabouts . . . were
    unknown    until   the   time    that    he   was   arrested"    following   the
    overturned-BMW incident — a "grade C violation."                  No surprise,
    then, that the court found that he violated his supervised release
    by "not reporting to the probation officer."            But the court found,
    too, that his "new criminal behavior" also infracted his supervised
    release — a "grade B violation," not a grade A violation.
    Using the higher-found grade and a criminal history
    category of II, the court calculated Tanco-Pizarro's advisory-
    prison range to be 6 to 12 months.             See U.S.S.G. §§ 7B1.1(a)(2),
    7B1.4(a).    And because his original crime was a "class A felony,"
    the court said that it could put him back behind bars for up to 60
    months, the maximum penalty provided by statute.
    The government pushed for a 60-month sentence.             For his
    part, Tanco-Pizarro's counsel did not request a specific sentence.
    But he did ask the court to keep in mind that his client faced a
    sentencing range of 37 to 46 months for the felon-in-possession
    charge and that any sentence on that charge would probably "run[]
    consecutively to" any revocation sentence.
    - 6 -
    Concluding Tanco-Pizarro had shown he would not comply
    with the law or with the conditions of supervision, the court
    sentenced him to 60 months in prison — with no further supervised
    release.     That    sentence,      the    court    added,   "reflect[s]    the
    seriousness of the offense, promote[s] respect for the law, . . .
    provide[s] just punishment for the offense, . . . afford[s]
    adequate   deterrence,     and    protect[s]       the   public   from   further
    crimes" — and thus was "sufficient but not greater than necessary
    in this case." Significantly, neither Tanco-Pizarro nor his lawyer
    objected to the sentence.
    Five     days   later,       however,   Tanco-Pizarro    moved    for
    reconsideration, arguing as relevant here that the district court
    did not adequately explain its sentencing rationale and wrongly
    factored "the seriousness" of the felon-in-possession crime, "the
    promotion of respect for the law, and punishment for" the felon-
    in-possession     "offense"      into    its    sentencing   analysis.1      The
    1 We pause to remind the bar that "[t]here is simply no such
    thing as a 'motion to reconsider' an otherwise final sentence
    . . . ." United States v. Ortiz, 
    741 F.3d 288
    , 292 n.2 (1st Cir.
    2014) (second alteration in original) (quoting United States v.
    Dotz, 
    455 F.3d 644
    , 648 (6th Cir. 2006)); accord United States v.
    Gonzalez-Rodriguez, 
    777 F.3d 37
    , 41 (1st Cir. 2015). A "court may
    not modify a term of imprisonment once it has been imposed," see
    18 U.S.C. § 3582(c), subject only (so far as pertinent here) to an
    exception allowing a court to "correct" an "arithmetical,
    technical, or other clear error" within "14 days after sentencing,"
    see Fed. R. Crim. P. 35(a) — for other exceptions, check out Fed.
    R. Crim. P. 35(b) (dealing with a situation where a defendant
    provides substantial assistance after the sentence is imposed) and
    § 3582(c)(2) (dealing with a situation where the Sentencing
    - 7 -
    government opposed the motion.    And the court denied it, ruling —
    in an electronic order — that Tanco-Pizarro's "lack of compliance
    with the reporting requirement of his supervised release and the
    fact that he was arrested while heavily armed . . . are strong
    reasons for the [c]ourt to impose" a 60-month sentence.2
    Commission has made a retroactive change in a guidelines range).
    The advisory notes to Rule 35 make clear that
    [t]he authority to correct a sentence under [Rule 35(a)]
    is intended to be very narrow and to extend only to those
    cases in which an obvious error or mistake has occurred
    in the sentence, that is, errors which would almost
    certainly result in a remand of the case to the trial
    court for further action under Rule 35(a).            The
    subdivision is not intended to afford the court the
    opportunity    to    reconsider   the   application    or
    interpretation of the sentencing guidelines or for the
    court   simply    to    change  its   mind    about   the
    appropriateness of the sentence.
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 35 advisory committee's note to 1991 amendment.
    Tanco-Pizarro's motion conspicuously did not cite any authority
    authorizing his reconsideration bid. But that issue is not before
    us. So we have nothing more to say about it.
    2 We take judicial notice that after the revocation sentencing
    but before the reconsideration ruling, Tanco-Pizarro pled guilty
    — under a written plea agreement — to the felon-in-possession
    charge. See United States v. Tanco-Pizarro, 
    873 F.3d 61
    , 63 (1st
    Cir. 2017); see generally White v. Gittens, 
    121 F.3d 803
    , 805 n.1
    (1st Cir. 1997) (discussing judicial notice). And one day after
    losing his reconsideration bid, the court (acting through a
    different judge) sentenced him to a 57-month prison term on the
    felon-in-possession charge, to run consecutive to his 60-month
    revocation sentence. See 
    Tanco-Pizarro, 873 F.3d at 64
    . He later
    appealed his felon-in-possession conviction and sentence, arguing
    that his plea was not knowing and voluntary, that the government
    breached the plea agreement, and that the court violated his right
    to allocute before sentencing him. See 
    id. at 63.
    But we affirmed.
    
    Id. - 8
    -
    That brings us to today's appeal, which, as we said,
    centers around Tanco-Pizarro's claim that the 60-month sentence is
    both procedurally unsound and substantively unreasonable.
    Procedural Reasonableness
    Issues
    Tanco-Pizarro offers a number of arguments in support of
    his procedural-reasonableness attack. Focusing on the district
    court's rulings denying his motions for continuance, discovery,
    and the probation officer's in-court testimony, he charges that
    these edicts violated Fed. R. Crim. P. 32.1 and the Constitution's
    due-process guarantees.        To his mind, these denials deprived him
    of the "opportunity to obtain evidence that would be available in
    the parallel criminal prosecution" and to "present testimony that
    would   demonstrate    the    nature   of     the   firearm"    that   triggered
    revocation.     He also insists that the court wrongly considered a
    bunch   of   factors   —     the   seriousness      of,   and   providing   just
    punishment for, the felon-in-possession offense, plus the need to
    promote respect for the law — in settling on the revocation
    sentence.     For ease of reference we will sometimes refer to these
    as the "contested factors."         Shifting gears, he accuses the court
    of not adequately considering a "mitigating factor" — i.e., that
    he had complied with his supervised-release conditions "for four
    years until he failed to report" in December 2014.                      He then
    complains that the court gave no weight to the § 7B1.4 recommended
    - 9 -
    range of 6 to 12 months.       And finally, he faults the court for not
    sufficiently explaining the reasons for the sentence.
    It probably goes without saying — but we say it anyway
    —   that   the   government    believes   Tanco-Pizarro   is   wrong   about
    everything.
    Standard of Review
    We usually review procedural-reasonableness claims for
    abuse of discretion. See, e.g., United States v. Alejandro-Rosado,
    
    878 F.3d 435
    , 438-39 (1st Cir. 2017).        But Tanco-Pizarro failed to
    preserve a procedural-reasonableness objection at sentencing.            So,
    with one exception discussed shortly, we review only for plain
    error. See 
    id. at 439.
    And for him to prevail under that standard,
    he "must show (1) error, (2) plainness, (3) prejudice, and (4) an
    outcome that is a miscarriage of justice or akin to it," see United
    States v. Edelkind, 
    467 F.3d 791
    , 797 (1st Cir. 2006) — a tall
    order, indeed, see United States v. Garay-Sierra, 
    885 F.3d 7
    , 12
    (1st Cir. 2018).
    But wait a minute, says Tanco-Pizarro — surely the motion
    for reconsideration preserved the procedural-reasonableness claim
    — or so he protests. The problem for him is that arguments unveiled
    for the first time in a reconsideration motion are not preserved
    for appeal.      See, e.g., United States v. McNicol, 
    829 F.3d 77
    , 83
    n.2 (1st Cir. 2016); United States v. Almonte-Reyes, 
    814 F.3d 24
    ,
    27 n.4 (1st Cir. 2016).        Enough said on that.
    - 10 -
    Now    on   to    Tanco-Pizarro's    procedural-reasonableness
    arguments.
    Due-Process and Rule-32.1 Concerns
    To hear Tanco-Pizarro tell it, the district court's
    rejection of his motions for a continuance, discovery, and in-
    court testimony offended his "right to Due Process" that he says
    is "embodied in" Rule 32.1.3            But unfortunately for him, we see
    nothing approaching plain error here.
    Take first his beef with the court's denial of his
    continuance and discovery motions.              His basic theory is that by
    doing what it did, the court robbed him of the chance "to defend
    himself and offer potentially mitigating or exculpatory evidence."
    One problem for him is that the defense conceded below that since
    "the grand jury [found] probable cause to indict" him for the
    felon-in-possession           crime,   the   court   could   "rely   on   the
    indictment" to determine if he violated his supervised-release
    conditions.        Another problem for him is that he never so much as
    hinted what mitigating or exculpatory evidence he hoped to come up
    with — not in his motions or at the revocation hearing (or for
    3  Under the heading "Revocation Hearing," Rule 32.1
    pertinently provides that "[u]nless waived by the person, the court
    must hold [a] revocation hearing," at which he can "present
    evidence"; "question any adverse witness unless the court
    determines that the interest of justice does not require the
    witness to appear"; and offer "any information in mitigation."
    Fed. R. Crim. P. 32.1(b)(2)(C), (E).
    - 11 -
    that matter in his appellate papers).         Indeed, he never used any
    combination of the words "mitigating" or "exculpatory" below.
    Given this concatenation of circumstances, we think it too much to
    expect the court to second-guess his silence on this matter and
    intuit what possible mitigating or exculpatory evidence there
    might be — which is why this is not the stuff of plain error.          See
    United States v. Frady, 
    456 U.S. 152
    , 163 (1982) (noting that plain
    error assumes an error so clear-cut that the court should have
    avoided it, "even absent the defendant's timely assistance in
    detecting it").
    The same is true for the court's handling of Tanco-
    Pizarro's in-court testimony request.     To his way of thinking, in-
    court testimony would have shown that "the firearm was not fully
    automatic" — which, as he argued below, would have meant that he
    had committed a grade-B violation rather than a grade-A violation.
    But even a cursory glance at the sentencing transcript shows the
    court gave the firearm violation a B grade, just as Tanco-Pizarro
    had wanted.   Consequently, his argument here has no oomph.
    Consideration of the Contested Factors
    We are similarly unpersuaded by Tanco-Pizarro's claim
    that the court erred by integrating the contested factors — the
    seriousness   of   the   offense,   respect   for   the   law,   and   just
    punishment — into its sentencing calculus.          As we said above, 18
    U.S.C. § 3583(e) lets a district court revoke supervised release
    - 12 -
    after the court considers a collection of sentencing factors listed
    in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).      
    Vargas-Dávila, 649 F.3d at 131-32
    .            These
    factors — which guide the lower court's sentencing discretion —
    include
    the nature and circumstances of the offense, . . .
    § 3553(a)(1); the history and characteristics of the
    offender, id.; the need for adequate deterrence, 
    id. § 3553(a)(2)(B);
    the need to protect the public, 
    id. § 3553(a)(2)(C);
    and the penological needs of the
    offender, such as the need for special care or treatment,
    
    id. § 3553(a)(2)(D).
    Id. at 131. 
         Missing from § 3583(e)'s list is § 3553(a)(2)(A),
    which talks about "the need for the sentence imposed . . . to
    reflect the seriousness of the offense, to promote respect for the
    law, and to provide just punishment for the offense."
    Given    subsection     (a)(2)(A)'s     omission,      Tanco-Pizarro
    thinks the court had no business focusing on "the severity of the"
    felon-in-possession     offense,    "respect      [for]    the    law[,]     and
    punishment."    As he sees things, these contested factors are taboo
    here because they mimic subsection (a)(2)(A).             Also, quoting the
    sentencing     guidelines,   he    reminds   us    that     unlike   original
    sentencing, supervised-release revocation rests on a notion of
    "sanction[ing] primarily the defendant's breach of trust" and
    "taking into account, to a limited degree, the seriousness of the
    underlying violation and the criminal history of the violator."
    See U.S.S.G. ch. 7, pt. A, intro. cmt. 3(b).              And by focusing on
    the contested factors, his theory continues, the court "punished
    - 13 -
    [him] for the new criminal conduct" and not for the breach of
    trust.
    None of our cases requires us to accept his theory,
    however.     And several stand in his way, two of which the parties
    fight about — 
    Vargas-Dávila, 649 F.3d at 131-32
    , and United States
    v. Bohan, 
    496 F. App'x 95
    , 96 (1st Cir. 2012).
    Vargas-Dávila rejected an argument similar to Tanco-
    Pizarro's,      explaining       that     "[a]lthough       section      3583(e)(3)
    incorporates by reference, and thus encourages, consideration of
    certain enumerated subsections of section 3553(a), it does not
    forbid consideration of other pertinent section 3553(a) factors."
    
    See 649 F.3d at 131-32
    (emphasis added) (rejecting defendant's
    claim    that   "the        district    court     improperly    considered      the
    government's statement at the revocation hearing that he had
    'demonstrate[d] a lack of respect for the Court's order[s],'" which
    "overlap[s] with section 3553(a)(2)(A)'s instruction 'to promote
    respect for the law' — an instruction not incorporated . . . by
    reference in section 3583(e)").               Vargas-Dávila cited for support
    United States v. Williams, where the Second Circuit held that
    § 3583(e) "does not state that any particular factor cannot be
    considered,     and    we    interpret    §     3583(e)    simply   as   requiring
    consideration of the enumerated subsections of § 3553(a), without
    forbidding consideration of other pertinent factors."                     
    443 F.3d 35
    , 47 (2d Cir. 2006) (emphasis added).                   Tanco-Pizarro tries to
    - 14 -
    distinguish Vargas-Dávila on the grounds that there, unlike here,
    "the revocation sentence was appellant's second revocation, and
    the violation occurred shortly after appellant's release from
    serving the first revocation sentence."             But he gives us no
    convincing explanation (and we at present can think of none) for
    why the issue should turn on the number of supervised-release
    revocations involved or the timing of those revocations — which
    dooms his bid to escape Vargas-Dávila's grasp.
    Echoing Vargas-Dávila, Bohan flatly "reject[ed]" the
    argument that a court errs by "rely[ing] on § 3553(a)(2)(A)
    factors."    
    See 496 F. App'x at 96
    n.1; see also 
    id. at 96
    (spurning
    defendant's contention "that the sentencing court impermissibly
    considered § 3553(a)(2)(A) factors, including the need for the
    sentence imposed to 'reflect the seriousness of the offense' and
    to 'provide just punishment for the offense'").            Tanco-Pizarro
    pooh-poohs    Bohan,   principally   because   it    is   an    unpublished
    decision.     But we know of no authority holding that a district
    court plainly errs by doing what an unpublished opinion of ours
    permits and no binding/published opinion prohibits.            See generally
    United States v. Knox, 
    593 F. App'x 536
    , 537-38 (6th Cir. 2015)
    (holding that the fact that a Sixth-Circuit opinion "is unpublished
    does not matter to the plain-error analysis:         [b]ecause there was
    no Supreme Court or published Sixth Circuit case law to the
    contrary, the district court did not plainly err in following 'the
    - 15 -
    law, albeit unpublished, of this circuit'" (quoting United States
    v. Crouch, 
    288 F.3d 907
    , 910 (6th Cir. 2002))); United States v.
    Guerrero-Robledo, 
    565 F.3d 940
    , 946 (5th Cir. 2009) (explaining
    that "[i]t certainly is not plain error for the district court to
    rely on an unpublished opinion that is squarely on point").
    If more were needed (and we do not think that it is),
    there is United States v. Soto-Soto, 
    855 F.3d 445
    (1st Cir. 2017).
    A supervised-release-revocation case, Soto-Soto said that "the
    seriousness of the offense, promoting respect for the law, [and]
    providing just punishment" were "proper . . . sentencing factors."
    
    Id. at 451.
      And we see no reason why Tanco-Pizarro's case falls
    outside Soto-Soto's reach.
    As for Tanco-Pizarro's claim that the district court
    punished him for his new criminal conduct, not for his breach of
    trust, the record shows otherwise.    Among other things, the court
    noted that Tanco-Pizarro has shown zero ability to comply with the
    law and with his supervised-release conditions.     To back up its
    point, the court stressed that he possessed "a firearm" while
    "being a convicted felon"; that he "did not visit the probation
    office as requested"; and that "his whereabouts were unknown" for
    a significant stretch.   And, devastating to his position, these
    "reasons fall within the Guidelines 'breach of trust' approach" —
    an approach that lets courts "consider[] . . . 'the nature of the
    conduct leading to the revocation . . . in measuring the extent of
    - 16 -
    the breach of trust,' and impos[e] . . . a sentence 'intended to
    sanction the violator for failing to abide by the conditions of
    the court-ordered supervision.'"    
    Bohan, 496 F. App'x at 96-97
    (quoting U.S.S.G. ch. 7, pt. A (3)(b), intro. cmt.).4
    The bottom line is that none of this sinks to the level
    of plain error.5
    Consideration of the Mitigating Factor
    We can make quick work of Tanco-Pizarro's claim that the
    district court did not consider as mitigation that he had complied
    with his supervised-release conditions "for four years" before
    going off the grid.   Tanco-Pizarro did not allude to, let alone
    discuss, this mitigating factor at his revocation hearing — he
    limited his argument for a lighter revocation sentence only to his
    claim that the advisory-guideline range would likely be 37 to 46
    months for the felon-in-possession charge, and his revocation
    sentence and his felon-in-possession sentence would probably run
    consecutive to one another. Under these circumstances, he "waived"
    4 We quote this passage from Bohan to counter Tanco-Pizarro's
    suggestion that Bohan actually helps his cause.
    5 Tucked in this section of Tanco-Pizarro's brief is this
    additional argument on the felon-in-possession matter: "although
    the court did not hear evidence on the question whether the firearm
    was automatic, the record supports the inference that the court
    did factor that unsupportable allegation into the revocation."
    But again, the record shows with absolute clarity that the court
    treated the gun as a non-automatic weapon — hence this aspect of
    Tanco-Pizarro's argument is a no-go as well.
    - 17 -
    the claim he makes now — so not even plain-error review is
    possible.       See United States v. Mayes, 
    332 F.3d 34
    , 37 n.4 (1st
    Cir. 2003); see also United States v. Burks, 
    191 F. App'x 4
    , 5-6
    (1st Cir. 2006).
    Weight Given to § 7B1.4's Recommended Sentence
    Also going nowhere is Tanco-Pizarro's argument that the
    district court gave zero weight to the 6 to 12 months range
    recommended by the sentencing table in § 7B1.4.              "[T]his table is
    an 'advisory' policy statement rather than a formal guideline."
    United States v. Tapia-Escalera, 
    356 F.3d 181
    , 182 (1st Cir. 2004)
    (quoting U.S.S.G. ch. 7, pt. A, intro. cmt. 3).               The lower court
    must "consider" that policy statement.               United States v. Daoust,
    
    888 F.3d 571
    , 576 (1st Cir. 2018).               And the court here did just
    that.      But    the    court   was   not   bound   to   follow   the   table's
    recommendation.         See, e.g., United States v. Hernández-Ferrer, 
    599 F.3d 63
    , 66 (1st Cir. 2010); 
    Tapia-Escalera, 356 F.3d at 182
    ;
    United States v. O'Neil, 
    11 F.3d 292
    , 301 n.11 (1st Cir. 1993).
    So the court's treatment of § 7B1.4's recommended sentence does
    not come anywhere close to plain error.
    Adequacy of the Explanation
    We train our sights then on Tanco-Pizarro's claim that
    the district court offered no credible explanation to justify
    imposing    a    60-month     sentence    that    exceeded   the   top   of   the
    applicable advisory-sentencing range (12 months) by a factor of
    - 18 -
    five — i.e., a 500% upward variance.              Compounding matters, he
    writes, "the district court knew [he] was being prosecuted in a
    parallel case for the criminal conduct that was the basis of
    revocation."    Once again, though, he cannot show plain error.
    True, a court must adequately explain "in open court"
    why it chose a particular sentence.           18 U.S.C. § 3553(c).      And
    that burden certainly increases the more the court drifts away
    from the advisory-sentencing range.           United States v. Montero-
    Montero, 
    817 F.3d 35
    , 37 (1st Cir. 2016). But "a variant sentence"
    is often "'based on a complex of factors whose interplay and
    precise weight cannot . . . be precisely described.'"                United
    States v. Matos-de-Jesús, 
    856 F.3d 174
    , 179 (1st Cir. 2017)
    (quoting United States v. Martin, 
    520 F.3d 87
    , 92 (1st Cir. 2008)).
    Such is the case here.      So the court's explanation did not have to
    be detailed to the point of obsession — all the court had to do
    was "identif[y] the primary reasons underpinning its decision."
    
    Id. By our
    lights, the court met its burden, offering a
    coherent justification for the 60-month sentence.                 The court
    discussed each violation, for example — remember, per the court,
    Tanco-Pizarro    violated    not   one,     but   two    supervised-release
    conditions:     failing to report for months on end and committing
    the crime of possessing firearms as a felon.            And the court walked
    through the key factors that drove its decision, including the
    - 19 -
    need to protect the public from, and to deter further criminal
    activity by, an offender who got hit with a felon-in-possession
    charge while on supervised release for an earlier gun-related
    offense.        All of this led the court to conclude that Tanco-Pizarro
    had shown a history of not following the criminal law or his
    conditions of supervised release.6
    As for Tanco-Pizarro's suggestion that the court should
    have gone easier on him because it knew he "would be punished again
    for the same conduct in the parallel criminal prosecution," the
    revocation sentence is the only sentence that punished him for the
    violations, and implicit in the court's analysis is its judgment
    that       he   should    get   serious    prison      time   for     those   flagrant
    violations.            Also, he cites no authority limiting the court's
    ability to give him the statutory maximum even though he faced
    punishment in the "parallel criminal" case.                         Perhaps that is
    because we have clear authority cutting against his theory — United
    States v. Coombs, 
    857 F.3d 439
    , 451 (1st Cir. 2017).                           Coombs
    contains two holdings relevant here.                   The first is that when a
    supervised releasee "transgresses the criminal law as well as the
    conditions        of    supervision,      there   is    no    legal    impediment   in
    6
    Montero-Montero — on which Tanco-Pizarro heavily relies —
    is easily distinguishable from today's case because there, unlike
    here, the "sentencing transcript" revealed "nothing that remotely
    resemble[d] an adequate explanation of the sharply variant
    sentence." 
    See 817 F.3d at 37
    .
    - 20 -
    sentencing [him] both as a criminal and as a supervised release
    violator" — if the rule were "otherwise," he "would effectively
    escape meaningful punishment for violating his supervised release
    conditions." 
    Id. The second
    is that "there is no legal impediment
    to imposing the sentences to run consecutively" — actually, a
    guideline provision "envision[s] precisely such a scenario," what
    with it saying that "'[a]ny term of imprisonment imposed'" after
    "'the revocation of . . . supervised release shall be ordered to
    be served consecutively to any sentence of imprisonment that the
    defendant is serving,'" regardless of "'whether . . . the sentence
    of imprisonment being served resulted from the conduct that is the
    basis of the revocation of . . . supervised release.'"         
    Id. (quoting U.S.S.G.
    § 7B1.3(f)).
    We thus have no trouble concluding that the court's
    explanation, brief as it is, suffices to withstand plain-error
    review.7   See 
    Alejandro-Rosado, 878 F.3d at 440
    .
    7 One final matter before we leave the explanation issue.
    Tanco-Pizarro says that probation "did not prepare a Revocation
    Report or an Amended Presentence Report," and "[t]he district court
    did not prepare a written Statement of Reasons for the revocation
    sentence." But he develops no legal argument directed to these
    points and so waived any argument that he might have had. See,
    e.g., United States v. Zannino, 
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17 (1st Cir. 1990)
    (describing the "settled appellate rule that issues adverted to in
    a perfunctory manner, unaccompanied by some effort at developed
    argumentation, are deemed waived").
    - 21 -
    Substantive Reasonableness
    Even     less    need     be     said     about    Tanco-Pizarro's
    substantive-reasonableness challenge.               Made only in passing, the
    entirety of his argument — which basically recycles something we
    just rejected — is this: "[t]he sentence in this case, 500% upward
    variance where the court [knew] the defendant [would] be punished
    again for the same conduct in the parallel criminal prosecution,
    is not defensible; nor is the explanation offered by the court
    plausible."      Despite débuting this claim here, we will "assume,
    favorably   to     [him],   that    the    abuse-of-discretion     standard   of
    review applies."      See 
    Márquez-García, 862 F.3d at 147
    (noting that
    "[t]he standard of review for [unpreserved] claims of substantive
    unreasonableness is 'somewhat blurred,'" and choosing "to skirt
    this murky area" by "assum[ing]" for argument's sake that the more
    favorable   "abuse-of-discretion"           test    controls   (quoting   United
    States v. Ruiz-Huertas, 
    792 F.3d 223
    , 228 (1st Cir. 2015))).
    As Tanco-Pizarro alluded to in his brief, a sentence is
    substantively reasonable if the court's reasoning is plausible and
    the result is defensible.          See, e.g., United States v. Rodríguez-
    Adorno, 
    852 F.3d 168
    , 177 (1st Cir. 2017).              Know too that because
    it is an inherently flexible concept, "[r]easonableness" in this
    context "entails a range of potential sentences," rather than "a
    single" definite outcome.          United States v. Dixon, 
    449 F.3d 194
    ,
    204 (1st Cir. 2006).
    - 22 -
    With that in mind, we cut directly to the chase. Nothing
    in   Tanco-Pizarro's       arguments      convinces       us   the   sentence   is
    implausible or indefensible.            As we were at pains to show in the
    last section, the court — after considering the proper sentencing
    factors — plainly justified the incarcerative term.                      And while
    stiff, the sentence's length — 60 months, well above the nonbinding
    range of 6 to 12 months, and right at the statutory maximum — is
    defensible.    After all, even a stiff sentence may come "within the
    universe of reasonable sentences."           United States v. de Jesús, 
    831 F.3d 39
    , 43 (1st Cir. 2016).             Yes, "the greater the extent of a
    variance,      'the      more    compelling         the    sentencing      court's
    justification must be.'"         
    Id. (quoting United
    States v. Del Valle–
    Rodríguez, 
    761 F.3d 171
    , 177 (1st Cir. 2014)).                       But, for the
    reasons recorded above, the court's explanation satisfies that
    metric, reflecting (as it does) the realities of Tanco-Pizarro's
    situation.         And    his   final    salvo     —    that   his   sentence   is
    substantively infirm because the court knew he would be "punished
    again for the same conduct in the parallel criminal prosecution"
    — also misfires, thanks to Coombs.               
    See 857 F.3d at 451
    .
    Conclusion
    Our   work    over,   we     affirm       Tanco-Pizarro's    60-month
    revocation sentence.
    -Concurring Opinion Follows-
    - 23 -
    THOMPSON, Circuit Judge, concurring. I agree (obviously)
    with everything the court has said but write separately (and
    briefly) only to make one additional point.
    The law books are full of our opinions saying that when
    a defendant raises a substantive-reasonableness challenge for the
    first time here, "it is arguable whether our review is for abuse
    of discretion or for plain error" — though we assume favorably to
    the defendant that the abuse-of-discretion standard holds sway.
    See, e.g., United States v. Demers, 
    842 F.3d 8
    , 14 (1st Cir. 2016).
    Now, when it comes to alleged trial errors, a defendant "who deems
    himself aggrieved . . . ordinarily must object then and there, or
    forfeit any right to complain at a later time" — the reason being
    that "calling a looming error to the trial court's attention
    affords an opportunity to correct the problem before irreparable
    harm occurs," and if the defendant holds his tongue below, he must
    run the gauntlet of plain-error review.         United States v. Taylor,
    
    54 F.3d 967
    , 972 (1st Cir. 1995).          But since we are dealing here
    with a supposed sentencing error, I wonder whether and how Tanco-
    Pizarro     could    have   preserved   a     substantive-reasonableness
    argument.     I say this because a sentence is generally deemed
    imposed when the judge announces it in open court.              See Fed. R.
    Crim. P. 35(c).      So — as of now — it seems to me that once the
    court   imposed     sentence,   Tanco-Pizarro    could   only    request   a
    modification through a Rule-35 motion (see footnote 1 of the lead
    - 24 -
    opinion), even if he had voiced an objection at that point in the
    hearing.
    Neither party presses this issue, however.   Consequently
    there is no need to explore the matter today.
    - 25 -