United States v. Gieswein , 887 F.3d 1054 ( 2018 )


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  •                                                                                     FILED
    United States Court of Appeals
    PUBLISH                                 Tenth Circuit
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS                            April 16, 2018
    Elisabeth A. Shumaker
    FOR THE TENTH CIRCUIT                              Clerk of Court
    _________________________________
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff - Appellee,
    v.                                                      Nos. 16-6366 & 17-6044
    SHAWN J. GIESWEIN,
    Defendant - Appellant.
    _________________________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Oklahoma
    (D.C. No. 5:07-CR-00120-F-1)
    _________________________________
    Meredith B. Esser, Assistant Federal Public Defender (Virginia L. Grady, Federal Public
    Defender, on the briefs), Office of the Federal Public Defender, Districts of Colorado and
    Wyoming, for Defendant-Appellant.
    Nicholas J. Patterson, Assistant U.S. Attorney (Mark A. Yancey, U.S. Attorney, and
    Virginia L. Hines, Assistant U.S. Attorney, on the briefs), Office of the United States
    Attorney, Western District of Oklahoma, for Plaintiff-Appellee.
    _________________________________
    Before LUCERO, MATHESON, and McHUGH, Circuit Judges.
    _________________________________
    LUCERO, Circuit Judge.
    _________________________________
    Shawn Gieswein appeals his sentence pursuant to convictions for witness
    tampering and possession of a firearm as a felon. We agree with Gieswein that the
    district court erred in applying a circumstance-specific approach to determine that his
    prior conviction for lewd molestation in Oklahoma state court qualified as a “forcible
    sex offense” and thus a “crime of violence” under the Sentencing Guidelines. Recent
    changes to the Guidelines have not abrogated our prior decisions holding that the
    categorical approach applies in determining whether a conviction qualifies as a
    “forcible sex offense.” Because the Oklahoma statute includes conduct that would
    not qualify, Gieswein’s conviction should not have been treated as a crime of
    violence.
    Although an erroneously calculated Guidelines range generally requires
    resentencing, this is the rare case in which the error was harmless. At Gieswein’s
    original sentencing hearing, the district court varied upward to 240 months’
    incarceration based on Gieswein’s criminal history. Following the Supreme Court’s
    decision in Johnson v. United States, 
    135 S. Ct. 2551
    (2015), Gieswein was
    resentenced with a substantially lower Guidelines range. The district court
    nevertheless re-imposed a sentence of 240 months, indicating it would have gone
    higher but for the statutory maximum. Given this procedural posture, the district
    court’s thorough explanation for the sentence imposed, and the constraining effect of
    the statutory maximum, it is clear that the district court would have imposed the same
    sentence had it not erred in treating Gieswein’s lewd molestation conviction as a
    crime of violence. We further conclude the sentence is substantively reasonable.
    Exercising jurisdiction under 18 U.S.C. § 3742(a) and 28 U.S.C. § 1291, we affirm.
    2
    I
    In 2006, law enforcement officers discovered a .22 caliber rifle in Gieswein’s
    home in Woodward County, Oklahoma while executing a search warrant. Because
    Gieswein had a number of prior felony convictions, he was charged with illegally
    possessing a firearm in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1). He was later charged with
    witness tampering in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 1512(b)(1). Gieswein was convicted
    on both counts.
    A Presentence Investigation Report (“PSR”) determined that Gieswein had
    three prior convictions qualifying as violent felonies under the Armed Career
    Criminal Act (“ACCA”), 18 U.S.C. § 924(e), all from Oklahoma state court:
    (1) destruction of property by explosive device; (2) lewd molestation; and (3) first-
    degree burglary. Based on a total offense level of 33 and a criminal history category
    of IV, his recommended Guidelines range was 188 to 235 months’ imprisonment.
    The government moved for an upward variance based on Gieswein’s lengthy
    criminal record. It noted that Gieswein was convicted in 1995 of destroying a car
    with a pipe bomb. While under a suspended sentence for that crime, Gieswein was
    convicted of lewd molestation.1 And while under a suspended sentence for lewd
    molestation, Gieswein committed first-degree burglary by breaking into his ex-
    girlfriend’s home and stealing several items of property. Gieswein violated a
    protective order against that ex-girlfriend on two other occasions. Also while under a
    1
    Gieswein rubbed his genitals against those of a nine-year-old child and
    attempted to engage in intercourse with her.
    3
    suspended sentence for lewd molestation, Gieswein embezzled over $3,000 from his
    employer. At the time of his original sentencing, Gieswein was subject to pending
    charges for failing to register as a sex offender. Additionally, Gieswein
    surreptitiously filmed women in intimate situations on numerous occasions. In one
    instance, he recorded himself molesting his aunt, who was undergoing treatment for
    cancer, while she slept. Another video included a child.
    The district court adopted the recommended Guidelines range. But it
    concluded that an upward variance was appropriate because the Guidelines did “not
    give sufficient effect to the depth and the breadth, the persistence and the depravity
    and the harmfulness of the criminal conduct of this defendant.” The court stated that
    Gieswein had engaged in “a broader range of criminal activity than I have ever seen
    out of a single defendant,” and imposed a sentence of 240 months.
    We affirmed Gieswein’s convictions on direct appeal. United States v.
    Gieswein, 346 F. App’x 293, 297 (10th Cir. 2009) (unpublished). He has since filed
    a number of unsuccessful pleadings collaterally attacking his conviction and
    sentence. See In re Gieswein, No. 13-6206 (10th Cir. Sept. 24, 2013) (unpublished);
    In re Gieswein, No. 13-6022 (10th Cir. Feb. 21, 2013) (unpublished); United States v.
    Gieswein, 495 F. App’x 944, 945 (10th Cir. 2012) (unpublished).
    In 2015, Gieswein sought permission to file a successive 28 U.S.C. § 2255
    motion based on the Supreme Court’s decision in Johnson, which struck down
    ACCA’s residual clause as unconstitutionally 
    vague. 135 S. Ct. at 2563
    . After the
    Supreme Court held that Johnson applies retroactively to cases on collateral review,
    4
    Welch v. United States, 
    136 S. Ct. 1257
    , 1265 (2016), we granted Gieswein
    authorization to file a second § 2255 motion. The government conceded that
    Gieswein’s prior conviction for lewd molestation no longer qualified as a violent
    felony and the district court vacated his sentence.
    An addendum to Gieswein’s original PSR noted Gieswein’s prison disciplinary
    record, which included eight incidents, as well as a pending charge for assault and
    battery upon a police or other law officer related to an incident that occurred shortly
    before his original sentence was imposed. The addendum to the PSR recommended a
    base offense level of 24. Although Gieswein’s prior conviction for lewd molestation
    no longer qualified as a violent felony under ACCA, the PSR stated that it was a
    “crime of violence” under the definition of “forcible sex offense” provided in
    U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(a)(2) and application note 1. Gieswein contended that the offense
    did not qualify as a crime of violence. The government again moved for an upward
    variance, arguing that Gieswein should be resentenced to 240 months, the statutory
    maximum.2
    At resentencing, the district court overruled Gieswein’s objections and adopted
    the PSR’s findings. With a base offense level of 24, a two-level enhancement for
    obstruction of justice, and a criminal history category of IV, Gieswein’s amended
    Guidelines range was 92 to 115 months. The court found that the new Guidelines
    2
    Each count of conviction carried a ten-year statutory maximum, which could
    be imposed consecutively for a total sentence of 240 months. See § 1512(b) (2007);
    § 924(a)(2). After Gieswein was convicted, the statutory maximum for an offense
    under § 1512(b)(1) was increased by amendment to twenty years. See Court Security
    Improvement Act of 2007, Pub. L. No. 110-177, 121 Stat. 2534, 2537 (2008).
    5
    range “falls far short of reflecting the extent to which Mr. Gieswein is a menace to
    society” and announced its intention to vary upward substantially. It stated that
    Gieswein’s criminal history was “remarkable not only for the seriousness of the
    defendant’s criminal conduct but for, if you will, the diversity of it.” After reviewing
    that history in detail, the court reiterated its comments from the original sentencing
    hearing that the Guidelines failed to “give sufficient effect to the depth and the
    breadth and the persistence and the depravity and the harmfulness of this defendant’s
    criminal conduct,” concluding that this statement “is even more true now with the
    additional assault case.” Citing incapacitation as its predominant motivating factor
    under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a), the court varied upward to the statutory maximum of 240
    months. It indicated that it would have gone higher if not for that maximum.
    Finally, the court noted that its conclusion “would be the same even if all of the
    defendant’s objections to the presentence report had been successful.” Gieswein
    timely appealed.3
    II
    We review the overall reasonableness of a sentence in two steps. First, we
    “ensure that the district court committed no significant procedural error.” United
    States v. Sanchez-Leon, 
    764 F.3d 1248
    , 1261 (10th Cir. 2014) (quotation omitted).
    3
    After his notice of appeal was filed, Gieswein filed pro se motions in district
    court seeking reconsideration of his sentence, change of venue, recusal, and bond. In
    a single order, the district court dismissed in part and denied in part. Gieswein filed a
    separate notice of appeal from that order. We consolidated the appeals. Because
    Gieswein does not advance any argument as to the issues raised in his post-judgment
    motions, those issues are waived. See Anderson v. U.S. Dep’t of Labor, 
    422 F.3d 1155
    , 1174 (10th Cir. 2005).
    6
    The procedural reasonableness of a sentence is reviewed for “abuse of discretion,
    under which we review de novo the district court’s legal conclusions regarding the
    guidelines and its factual findings for clear error.” United States v. Gantt, 
    679 F.3d 1240
    , 1246 (10th Cir. 2012). Second, we “consider the substantive reasonableness of
    the sentence.” 
    Sanchez-Leon, 764 F.3d at 1261
    (quotation omitted).
    Whether a prior conviction qualifies as a “crime of violence” under the
    Guidelines “is a question of statutory construction we review de novo.” United
    States v. Williams, 
    559 F.3d 1143
    , 1146 (10th Cir. 2009). “[W]e look at the
    language in the guideline itself, as well as the interpretive and explanatory
    commentary to the guideline provided by the Sentencing Commission.” United
    States v. Robertson, 
    350 F.3d 1109
    , 1112 (10th Cir. 2003) (quotation omitted). Such
    commentary from the Sentencing Commission is “authoritative unless it violates the
    Constitution or a federal statute, or is inconsistent with, or a plainly erroneous
    reading of, that guideline.” Stinson v. United States, 
    508 U.S. 36
    , 38 (1993).
    A
    The Guidelines impose an increased offense level for certain firearm offenses
    if the defendant has two prior felony convictions for a “crime of violence,” U.S.S.G.
    § 2K2.1(a)(2), which includes any felony “forcible sex offense,” § 4B1.2(a)(2). A
    crime involving sexual abuse of a minor qualifies as a forcible sex offense if it
    “would have been an offense under section 2241(c) if the offense had occurred within
    the special maritime and territorial jurisdiction of the United States.” § 4B1.2 app.
    7
    n.1. Accordingly, we must compare Gieswein’s prior Oklahoma conviction for lewd
    molestation with 18 U.S.C. § 2241(c).
    In drawing such comparisons, there are two general approaches: “the
    categorical approach and the circumstance-specific approach.” United States v.
    White, 
    782 F.3d 1118
    , 1130 (10th Cir. 2015). When a statute or Guideline “was
    intended to refer to the specific acts in which a defendant has engaged on a prior
    occasion, we use a circumstance-specific approach” under which we “may look
    beyond the elements of the prior offense and consider the facts and circumstances
    underlying an offender’s conviction.” 
    Id. at 1131
    (quotation omitted). But if a
    provision “refers to the generic crime,” we must apply the categorical approach,
    looking only to “the elements of the statute forming the basis of the defendant’s
    conviction,” rather than the particular facts of a defendant’s conduct. 
    Id. at 1130-31.
    Whether Gieswein’s prior lewd molestation conviction qualifies as a forcible
    sex offense turns on the approach we apply. The Oklahoma statute under which
    Gieswein was convicted includes all victims below the age of sixteen within its
    ambit. See Okla. Stat. tit. 21, § 1123. In contrast, the federal statute at issue requires
    that the victim be under the age of twelve. See 18 U.S.C. § 2241(c). Additionally,
    the Oklahoma statute proscribes a broader range of conduct. It applies to defendants
    who “[l]ook upon, touch, maul, or feel the body or private parts of any child . . . in
    any lewd or lascivious manner by any acts against public decency and morality.”
    § 1123(A)(2). And it “does not require the body or private parts looked upon,
    touched, mauled or felt to be naked.” Heard v. State, 
    201 P.3d 182
    , 183 (Okla. Crim.
    
    8 Ohio App. 2009
    ) (quotation omitted). But the federal statute requires “a sexual act with
    another,” § 2241(c), defined to include various forms of sexual contact and
    “intentional touching, not through the clothing,” § 2246(2)(D). Because the
    Oklahoma statute “sweeps more broadly than” § 2241(c), it “cannot categorically be
    considered a crime of violence” under the forcible sex offense theory. United States
    v. Kendall, 
    876 F.3d 1264
    , 1267-68 (10th Cir. 2017) (quotation omitted).4
    Under the circumstance-specific approach, however, we would look to the
    particular conduct underlying Gieswein’s conviction. In pleading guilty to the lewd
    molestation charge, Gieswein admitted to rubbing his penis against the vaginal area
    of a nine-year-old. This conduct would qualify as a violation of § 2241(c).
    We have previously held that the categorical approach applies in determining
    whether a prior conviction qualifies as a forcible sex offense, and thus crime of
    violence, under § 4B1.2(a)(2). See United States v. Wray, 
    776 F.3d 1182
    , 1188 (10th
    Cir. 2015) (“Bound as we are to employ the categorical approach, comparing the
    elements of the offense in question to the examples set forth in the guideline, we
    cannot say that Mr. Wray’s offense is, categorically, a ‘forcible’ sex offense.”);
    United States v. Madrid, 
    805 F.3d 1204
    , 1208 (10th Cir. 2015) (“[A] statute
    encompassing situations in which the victim may factually consent to sexual activity
    is not a forcible sex offense.”), abrogated on other grounds by Beckles v. United
    4
    The government concedes that Gieswein’s conviction does not qualify under
    the modified categorical approach because the alternative methods of violating the
    statute are means, not elements, and thus the statute is not divisible. See Mathis v.
    United States, 
    136 S. Ct. 2243
    , 2248 (2016).
    9
    States, 
    137 S. Ct. 886
    (2017). However, the government argues that a revision to the
    Guidelines definition of forcible sex offense issued after these cases were decided
    clarifies that a circumstance-specific approach should apply. See 
    Stinson, 508 U.S. at 46
    (“Amended commentary is binding on the federal courts even though it is not
    reviewed by Congress, and prior judicial constructions of a particular guideline
    cannot prevent the Commission from adopting a conflicting interpretation that
    satisfies the standard we set forth today.”).
    In the amended Guidelines, “forcible sex offense” is defined to include
    sexual abuse of a minor and statutory rape . . . only if the sexual abuse
    of a minor or statutory rape was . . . an offense under state law that
    would have been an offense under section 2241(c) if the offense had
    occurred within the special maritime and territorial jurisdiction of the
    United States.
    U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(a)(2) app. n.1. In explaining the reason for this amendment, the
    Sentencing Commission elaborated that:
    As amended, “forcible sex offense” includes offenses with an element
    that consent to the conduct is not given or is not legally valid, such as
    where consent to the conduct is involuntary, incompetent, or coerced.
    . . . [T]his addition reflects the Commission’s determination that certain
    forcible sex offenses which do not expressly include as an element the
    use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force against the
    person of another nevertheless constitute “crimes of violence” under
    § 4B1.2. . . . This addition makes clear that the term “forcible sex
    offense” in § 4B1.2 includes sexual abuse of a minor and statutory rape
    where certain specified elements are present.
    U.S.S.G. app. C., amend. 798, at 131 (2016).
    The Sentencing Commission’s repeated use of the word “elements” in this
    explanation demonstrates that it did not intend to depart from our holding that the
    10
    categorical approach applies. “[B]ecause the guidelines are the equivalent of
    legislative rules adopted by federal agencies,” commentary from the Sentencing
    Commission “should be treated as an agency’s interpretation of its own legislative
    rule.” United States v. Morris, 
    562 F.3d 1131
    , 1135 (10th Cir. 2009) (quotations
    omitted). When the Commission uses the word “element,” it “asks us to look at the
    elements of the statute of conviction.” United States v. Martinez-Hernandez, 
    422 F.3d 1084
    , 1087 (10th Cir. 2005). The Commission’s explanation makes clear that
    the definition of “forcible sex offense” was provided to caution against interpreting
    “force” to exclude offenses in which consent could not be legally given, but physical
    force was not used, rather than barring application of the categorical approach.
    We accordingly reject the government’s argument that the Sentencing
    Commission has undermined our prior holdings, and apply the categorical approach
    to the definition of forcible sex offense. And because Oklahoma’s lewd molestation
    statute sweeps more broadly than § 2241(c), we hold that the district court
    procedurally erred in concluding that Gieswein’s lewd molestation conviction was a
    “forcible sex offense” as defined in § 4B1.2(a)(2) app. n.1.
    B
    “If we find a procedural error, resentencing is required only if the error was
    not harmless.” 
    Sanchez-Leon, 764 F.3d at 1262
    (quotation omitted). Procedural
    error is harmless “if the record viewed as a whole clearly indicates the district court
    would have imposed the same sentence had it not relied on the procedural miscue(s).”
    11
    United States v. Kieffer, 
    681 F.3d 1143
    , 1165 (10th Cir. 2012). The government
    bears the burden of demonstrating harmlessness by a preponderance of the evidence.
    United States v. Cerno, 
    529 F.3d 926
    , 939 (10th Cir. 2008).
    “When a defendant is sentenced under an incorrect Guidelines range . . . the
    error itself can, and most often will, be sufficient to show a reasonable probability of
    a different outcome absent the error.” Molina-Martinez v. United States, 
    136 S. Ct. 1338
    , 1345 (2016). Because the Guidelines “form the essential starting point in any
    federal sentencing analysis,” an error in calculating the correct range “runs the risk of
    affecting the ultimate sentence regardless of whether the court ultimately imposes a
    sentence within or outside the range the guidelines suggest.” United States v.
    Sabillon-Umana, 
    772 F.3d 1328
    , 1333 (10th Cir. 2014) (quotation, alteration, and
    emphasis omitted). A properly calculated Guidelines range ensures “that sentencing
    decisions are anchored by the Guidelines and that they remain a meaningful
    benchmark through the process of appellate review,” even in cases in which “the
    sentencing judge sees a reason to vary from the Guidelines.” Peugh v. United States,
    
    569 U.S. 530
    , 541, 542 (2013).
    Nevertheless, “[t]here may be instances when, despite application of an
    erroneous Guidelines range, a reasonable probability of prejudice does not exist.”
    
    Molina-Martinez, 136 S. Ct. at 1346
    ; see also 
    Sabillon-Umana, 772 F.3d at 1334
    (noting that the record can reveal commentary “from the sentencing judge making
    clear that its error in applying the guidelines didn’t adversely affect the defendant’s
    ultimate sentence”). However, it will be a “rare case” in which we can confidently
    12
    state that a Guidelines calculation error “did not affect the district court’s selection of
    the sentence imposed.” United States v. Snowden, 
    806 F.3d 1030
    , 1034 (10th Cir.
    2015) (quotation omitted). For example, a highly detailed explanation for the
    sentence imposed by a district court “could make it clear that the judge based the
    sentence he or she selected on factors independent of the Guidelines.” Molina-
    
    Martinez, 136 S. Ct. at 1347
    .
    We conclude that this is one of those exceptional instances in which
    procedural error was harmless in light of the unique posture of the case. At
    Gieswein’s original sentencing, the district court varied upward from his advisory
    Guidelines range of 188 to 235 months’ imprisonment. The court acknowledged that
    its upward variance required justification. See United States v. Peña-Hermosillo, 
    522 F.3d 1108
    , 1117 (10th Cir. 2008) (if “a district court imposes a sentence outside the
    recommended guideline range,” it must “provide the specific reason for the
    imposition of a sentence different from” the recommended range (quotation
    omitted)). It identified the 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) factors and determined that “the
    guidelines simply do not give sufficient effect to the depth and the breadth, the
    persistence and the depravity and the harmfulness of the criminal conduct of this
    defendant.” The court stressed that its predominant motivation for varying upwards
    was “[t]he need to protect society from this defendant” and imposed a sentence of
    240 months.
    After the Supreme Court’s decision in Johnson, Gieswein’s Guidelines
    calculation changed radically. On resentencing, the district court determined his
    13
    revised range was 92 to 115 months, but elected to impose the same sentence of 240
    months’ imprisonment. It explained this decision in great detail:
    I am aware of nothing persuasive that steers me in a different direction
    than that which I had at the original sentencing when I said, in
    substance, that the guidelines simply do not give sufficient effect to the
    depth and the breadth and the persistence and the depravity and the
    harmfulness of this defendant’s conduct. It was true then and is even
    more true now with the additional assault case that this defendant’s
    criminal history covered a broader range of criminal activity than I have
    ever seen out of a single defendant and, if you will, the diversity or the
    broad range of criminal conduct that I’ve already outlined speaks for
    itself and does not require elaboration.
    But this does require careful thought from this Court, certainly, as to
    how this fits into the Section 3553 factors that I’m required to consider
    in every sentencing. In my view, far and away the predominant Section
    3553 factor that is involved here and has a bearing on my sentencing
    decision is incapacitation. That’s incapacitation pure and simple.
    It is my view that this defendant continues to be very much a menace to
    society fully as much as he was when he appeared before me originally
    for sentencing. Deterrence, specific deterrence I don’t think is much of
    a factor. Perhaps general deterrence is a bit more of a factor. The need
    to provide just punishment is a factor. But the need to protect the public
    from further crimes of the defendant, what I have called incapacitation,
    is far and away the most predominant sentencing factor that is in play in
    this case.
    The district court’s Guidelines calculation on resentencing rested in part on the
    erroneous conclusion that Gieswein’s prior lewd molestation conviction was a
    forcible sex offense. Absent that error, Gieswein’s advisory Guidelines range would
    have been 63 to 78 months5 rather than 92 to 115. However, in light of the entire
    5
    Without counting the lewd molestation offense as a crime of violence,
    Gieswein’s offense level would have been four levels lower. Compare U.S.S.G.
    § 2K2.1(a)(4)(A) (establishing a base offense level of twenty if the defendant has one
    14
    record, it is clear to us that the district court would have nevertheless imposed the
    statutory maximum had it properly calculated Gieswein’s advisory Guidelines range.
    The district court elected to impose the same sentence even though Gieswein’s
    new range was less than half of his prior range. That decision suggests that the court
    might again impose the same sentence under an even lower advisory range. But
    standing alone, this factor would not be enough to demonstrate harmlessness. See
    
    Sanchez-Leon, 764 F.3d at 1262
    (noting that a procedural error “is not harmless if it
    requires us to speculate on whether the court would have reached the same
    determination absent the error” (quotation and alteration omitted)).
    We give little weight to the district court’s statement that its conclusion would
    be the same “even if all of the defendant’s objections to the presentence report had
    been successful.” Our court has rejected the notion that district courts can insulate
    sentencing decisions from review by making such statements. See 
    Peña-Hermosillo, 522 F.3d at 1109
    (concluding that the district court’s “alternative holding that the
    121-month sentence ‘would be imposed even if the advisory guideline range was
    determined to be improperly calculated’ was . . . procedurally unreasonable”); see
    also United States v. Black, 
    830 F.3d 1099
    , 1110 (10th Cir. 2016) (accepting
    concession that remand was appropriate after Guidelines calculation error despite
    district court’s statement that “I think that a 360-month sentence is appropriate and
    that’s what I would have imposed”).
    prior felony conviction for a crime of violence), with § 2K2(a)(2) (base offense level
    of 24 for a defendant with two prior convictions for a crime of violence).
    15
    However, in this case, in addition to the district court’s re-imposition of the
    same sentence, two important factors tip the scales toward harmlessness. First, the
    district court explicitly stated that it chose to impose a sentence of 240 months’
    imprisonment because this figure was the statutory maximum, and indicated it would
    impose a higher sentence if possible. The court stated: “I frankly don’t know what
    statutory maximum would be so high that I would not go there, but 240 months is not
    it.” This comment indicates that the statutory maximum, rather than the Guidelines
    range, was the driving force behind the selected sentence. Cf. United States v. Zunie,
    
    444 F.3d 1230
    , 1237-38 (10th Cir. 2006) (concluding that error under United States
    v. Booker, 
    543 U.S. 220
    (2005), was harmless in light of the district court’s statement
    that it would exceed the statutory maximum if permitted to do so).
    Further, the district court’s thorough explanation for its sentencing
    determination provides a reasoned basis for its decision to hew to the statutory
    maximum. In both Peña-Hermosillo and Black, the district court made cursory
    statements regarding its intentions under hypothetical circumstances. 
    See 522 F.3d at 1117
    ; 830 F.3d at 1110-11 & n.21. Such statements generally constitute procedural
    error because they “fall[] short of the explanation necessary for sentencing under
    § 3553, especially where the variance from the guidelines range” is substantial.
    
    Peña-Hermosillo, 522 F.3d at 1117
    ; see also Gall v. United States, 
    552 U.S. 38
    , 50
    (2007) (“[A] major departure should be supported by a more significant justification
    than a minor one.”). Thus, in the vast majority of cases, it is not “procedurally
    reasonable for a district court to announce that the same sentence would apply even if
    16
    correct guidelines calculations are . . . substantially different, without cogent
    explanation.” 
    Peña-Hermosillo, 522 F.3d at 1117
    .
    In this case, the district court offered a cogent explanation. It described
    Gieswein’s criminal history as extraordinarily underrepresented by his Guidelines
    range. That factor compelled the district court to vary upwards at Gieswein’s
    original sentencing. And as the court noted, Gieswein’s record had worsened by the
    time of resentencing. Given the district court’s detailed explication of its reasons for
    applying the statutory maximum, the record is clear that “the judge based the
    sentence he or she selected on factors independent of the Guidelines.” Molina-
    
    Martinez, 136 S. Ct. at 1346
    . Under these circumstances, “[a] remand would
    needlessly burden the district court and counsel with another sentencing proceeding,
    which . . . would produce the same result.” 
    Sanchez-Leon, 764 F.3d at 1266
    (quotation omitted).
    C
    Gieswein also contends that his sentence is substantively unreasonable in light
    of his correct Guidelines range. “We review the substantive reasonableness of all
    sentences—whether inside, just outside, or significantly outside the Guidelines
    range—under a deferential abuse-of-discretion standard.” United States v. Lente,
    
    759 F.3d 1149
    , 1158 (10th Cir. 2014) (quotation omitted). “Under this standard, we
    will deem a sentence unreasonable only if it is arbitrary, capricious, whimsical, or
    manifestly unreasonable.” 
    Id. (quotation omitted).
    “When evaluating the substantive
    reasonableness of a sentence, we afford substantial deference to the district court, and
    17
    determine whether the length of the sentence is reasonable given all the
    circumstances of the case in light of the factors set forth in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).”
    United States v. Balbin-Mesa, 
    643 F.3d 783
    , 788 (10th Cir. 2011) (quotation
    omitted).
    Gieswein argues that the district court gave too little weight to the Guidelines. See
    United States v. Walker, 
    844 F.3d 1253
    , 1258 (10th Cir. 2017) (holding a sentence was
    substantively unreasonable in part because the district court inadequately considered the
    Guidelines). However, appellate courts must grant deference “not only to a district
    court’s factual findings but also to its determinations of the weight to be afforded to such
    findings.” United States v. Smart, 
    518 F.3d 800
    , 808 (10th Cir. 2008). At the
    resentencing hearing, the district court gave careful consideration to the Guidelines, but
    concluded that other § 3553(a) factors—promoting respect for the law, affording
    adequate deterrence, and protecting the public from further crimes—required a
    substantial upward variance. See United States v. Adams, 
    751 F.3d 1175
    , 1179 (10th Cir.
    2014) (“Defendant’s recidivist pattern indicated the need for a sentence that would deter
    further criminal conduct, promote respect for the law and protect the public from further
    crimes, three of the sentencing factors set forth in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).”).
    The district court elected to vary in large part because of the particular facts of
    Gieswein’s history, explaining that his criminal-history category dramatically
    underrepresented the degree of his misconduct. See Kimbrough v. United States, 
    552 U.S. 85
    , 109 (2007) ( “[A] district court’s decision to vary from the advisory Guidelines
    may attract greatest respect when the sentencing judge finds a particular case outside the
    18
    heartland to which the Commission intends individual Guidelines to apply.” (quotations
    omitted)). Gieswein engaged in a wide variety of criminal actions, including
    embezzlement, the use of explosives, burglary, as well as sexual abuse of a child and his
    terminally ill aunt. In light of all the circumstances of the case, we cannot say the
    sentence imposed was substantively unreasonable.6
    III
    AFFIRMED.
    6
    Gieswein also contends that § 922(g)(1) violates the Second Amendment, but
    acknowledges that our precedent forecloses this argument. See United States v.
    McCane, 
    573 F.3d 1037
    , 1047 (10th Cir. 2009). He also argues that the statute is
    unconstitutional as applied to him, but we previously rejected this argument in his
    direct appeal and habeas motion. Gieswein, 495 F. App’x at 946-47; Gieswein, 346
    F. App’x at 295-96.
    19