United States v. Woodard , 699 F.3d 1188 ( 2012 )


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  •                                                                       FILED
    United States Court of Appeals
    Tenth Circuit
    November 9, 2012
    PUBLISH                    Elisabeth A. Shumaker
    Clerk of Court
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE TENTH CIRCUIT
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff–Appellee,                       No. 11-2244
    v.
    ROMMIE L. WOODARD,
    Defendant–Appellant.
    APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF NEW MEXICO
    (D.C. No. 1:08-CR-02338-JCH-1)
    Margaret A. Katze, Assistant Federal Public Defender, Albuquerque, New
    Mexico, for Defendant–Appellant.
    David N. Williams, Assistant United States Attorney (Kenneth J. Gonzales,
    United States Attorney, with him on the brief), Albuquerque, New Mexico, for
    Plaintiff–Appellee.
    Before BRISCOE, Chief Judge, McKAY and GORSUCH, Circuit Judges.
    McKAY, Circuit Judge.
    Following a jury trial, Defendant was convicted of possessing more than
    100 kilograms of marijuana with the intent to distribute, in violation of 
    21 U.S.C. §§ 841
    (a)(1) and (b)(1)(B). He was sentenced to sixty months’ imprisonment
    followed by four years of supervised release. This appeal followed. Defendant
    argues the district court violated his Sixth Amendment confrontation rights when
    it refused to allow him to cross-examine a witness about a prior judicial
    determination that the witness was not credible.
    B ACKGROUND
    Defendant was arrested on September 15, 2008, at the port of entry in
    Gallup, New Mexico, when a New Mexico Motor Transportation Division (MTD)
    inspector and police officer discovered six duffle bags containing marijuana in the
    trailer of the tractor-trailer Defendant was driving. Although Defendant had
    retired approximately four months earlier, he was driving that day as a favor to
    his former boss, the owner of J & J Trucking. The owner of J & J Trucking had
    called Defendant because one of his employees was sick and unable to work. J &
    J Trucking was scheduled to deliver a frozen load to the Phoenix, Arizona area,
    and the owner needed someone “right away” to take over this delivery. (R. Vol. 4
    at 581.) Defendant agreed to cover this delivery on two conditions: first, that
    there would also be a return load to bring him back to Tennessee because he had a
    doctor’s appointment he did not want to miss; and second, that he be allowed to
    take his girlfriend with him as he had done in the past. The owner agreed, and
    Defendant and his girlfriend left for Arizona immediately with the load of frozen
    goods. At that time, J & J Trucking already had a return load scheduled.
    After Defendant left for Arizona, the return load J & J Trucking had
    -2-
    scheduled cancelled. J & J Trucking was, however, able to locate a replacement
    load. On September 12, 2008, the same day Defendant delivered the frozen load
    in the Phoenix area, a company called Henry Company decided it needed to
    expedite the transportation of packaging cartons. Its plant in Kingman, Arizona,
    had a surplus of the cartons, while its plant in Indianapolis, Indiana, was running
    low. Henry Company had originally arranged for FedEx National to transport the
    cartons to its Indianapolis plant. But after FedEx had picked up the cartons and
    taken them to the FedEx facility in Phoenix, Henry Company decided it needed to
    find an alternative mode of transportation that would get the cartons to
    Indianapolis more quickly, by September 15. It decided to use a private trucking
    company because, unlike FedEx, a private trucking company would be able to
    deliver the cartons without making stops along the way. Through a somewhat
    lengthy chain of events, J & J Trucking was hired to transport Henry Company’s
    load from the FedEx facility in Phoenix to the Indianapolis plant. 1
    Defendant arrived at the Phoenix FedEx facility on September 12 around
    4:00 p.m. He backed his tractor-trailer into the dock and then went into the
    1
    Henry Company contacted Ruan Transportation, its trucking broker, to
    locate a truck that could make the delivery. Ruan Transportation, in turn,
    contacted Blue Star Transportation and asked Blue Star to make arrangements for
    two drivers driving continuously to drive the cartons from Phoenix to the plant in
    Indianapolis. Blue Star then advertised the available freight on internet sites
    known as “load boards.” J & J Trucking responded to this advertisement and was
    ultimately hired to transport the cartons to the Indianapolis plant.
    -3-
    dispatch office to complete the required paperwork. During this time, two FedEx
    employees loaded the cartons onto the trailer. Only one of the two employees
    recalled loading the J & J Trucking trailer on September 12. He remembered he
    and the other employee had used forklifts to place eight pallets containing Henry
    Company’s cartons in the front of Defendant’s empty trailer. He denied loading
    any black bags onto the trailer. The only other person who had any involvement
    with the J & J Trucking tractor-trailer at the Fed Ex facility was the operations
    supervisor, who completed the paperwork with Defendant. 2 Because the
    supervisor was inside the dispatch office with Defendant as the pallets were being
    loaded, he did not observe the loading process, although he “might have glanced”
    over from the office. (Id. at 189.) Neither the supervisor nor the employee
    smelled marijuana on the dock on September 12, 2008.
    Once the cartons were loaded onto the trailer, Defendant pulled out from
    the dock so the trailer’s swing doors, which were pinned against the dock during
    the loading process, could be closed. The FedEx employees testified that it would
    have been Defendant’s responsibility to close the doors. The doors were not
    sealed or locked. There was conflicting testimony about whose responsibility it
    was to seal the trailer: the dock worker or the driver. However, it is not
    uncommon for trailers carrying low-value cargo, such as the cartons, to remain
    2
    Approximately two other employees were on duty on September 12.
    They, too, would have had access to the dock.
    -4-
    unlocked or unsealed.
    After leaving the FedEx facility, Defendant drove to a nearby truck stop to
    have one of the trailer lights fixed. Unfortunately, the truck stop was too busy to
    fix the light anytime soon. Defendant then drove to a Petro truck stop south of
    Phoenix in Eloy, Arizona. The Petro was a desirable choice for truckers such as
    Defendant: he had a Petro passport, which enabled him to earn points and
    coupons that could be used for showers and food, and the Petro was more
    accessible than other stops in Phoenix, where it was more difficult to maneuver.
    However, the Petro, too, was unable to fix the light that evening. Defendant and
    his girlfriend spent the night, and the Petro garage fixed the light the following
    day.
    Defendant and his girlfriend then decided to take the rest of the weekend
    off; Defendant was tired from the driving he had done from Memphis to Phoenix,
    and his girlfriend, who was suffering from cancer, was tired because of her
    illness. Defendant unhooked the trailer and left it behind at the Petro. He and his
    girlfriend then drove through the area with only the tractor, taking in the scenery.
    They searched for a truck stop that sold beer and wine, which the Petro did not.
    This led them to the Triple T in Tucson, where they spent the night eating,
    drinking, and watching movies. The following morning, they drove north to
    Holbrook, Arizona where they stayed over night.
    On September 15, Defendant continued toward Memphis, Tennessee, where
    -5-
    the owner of J & J Trucking would take over the load and deliver it to the
    Indianapolis plant. He was stopped at the port of entry in Gallup, New Mexico,
    located approximately twelve miles from the Arizona–New Mexico border. At
    the port of entry, an MTD inspector examined Defendant’s paperwork and
    logbook. The inspector noticed there were some violations in Defendant’s
    logbook, including Defendant’s failure to record his trip to the Petro and the time
    spent off duty for repairs. After reviewing the logbook, the inspector and an
    MTD police officer went with Defendant to inspect the tractor-trailer. They
    found nothing out of the ordinary inside the cab. They then asked Defendant to
    open the trailer doors, which he did. Inside the trailer, the inspector and the
    officer discovered six black, soft-sided bags in the middle of the eight pallets of
    Henry Company’s cartons. The inspector asked Defendant if the bags were part
    of the load. Defendant said, “[a]s far as I know” and “I guess they are.” (Id. at
    347, 372.) He explained he had not been in the trailer since before the cargo was
    loaded by FedEx and he had not watched what was loaded in the trailer.
    The officer opened one of the bags and discovered it was filled with shrink-
    wrapped packages of what appeared to be marijuana. Defendant asked the officer
    what he had found, and the officer responded it was marijuana. Defendant
    reacted, stating, “[Expletive], no, I don’t know nothing,” “[s]omebody is
    [expletive] around, for sure, [expletive] around.” (Id. at 372-73.) He denied any
    knowledge of the marijuana. Defendant was arrested and ultimately charged with
    -6-
    possession of more than 100 kilograms of marijuana with the intent to distribute.
    Before Defendant’s trial began, the government filed a motion in limine to
    prohibit Defendant from offering evidence concerning a prior determination made
    by a different federal district court judge that the MTD inspector was not
    credible. In United States v. Variste, No. CR 06-1349 BB (D.N.M.), the district
    court issued a suppression order containing a finding that the court did not believe
    the inspector’s testimony. Specifically, the Variste court found:
    This Court does not believe [the inspector] detected the odor of raw
    marijuana emanating from the back of the trailer because he did not
    follow up and that information was not communicated to any other law
    enforcement personnel involved or given as a basis for any subsequent
    stop.
    (R. Vol. 2 at 7.) The inspector had testified during the suppression hearing that
    during the inspection of the defendant’s trailer at the Gallup port of entry he
    smelled raw marijuana. This testimony was offered to support the reasonable
    suspicion necessary for a search of the defendant’s truck that occurred after he
    was subsequently pulled over by a county sheriff’s deputy. The deputy had been
    asked by an officer at the port of entry to find his own reason to search the
    defendant’s trailer because the MTD was unable to hold the defendant at the port
    of entry any longer.
    In the present case, the government argued the credibility determination
    should be excluded under Rule 403 of the Federal Rules of Evidence because it
    was likely to result in a trial-within-a-trial and to confuse the issues. Defendant
    -7-
    opposed the motion in limine, arguing that precluding him from cross-examining
    the inspector on the credibility determination would deprive him of his Sixth
    Amendment confrontation rights. In a sealed order, the district court granted the
    government’s motion in limine. It concluded that questioning regarding the
    Variste court’s credibility determination would likely confuse the jury, create a
    trial-within-a-trial, and unfairly prejudice the government. Accordingly,
    Defendant was prohibited from cross-examining the inspector about the
    credibility determination.
    During trial, the government offered the inspector’s testimony that when
    Defendant opened the doors to the trailer, the inspector “smell[ed] the odor of raw
    marijuana” and that the odor was “[v]ery strong.” (R. Vol. 4 at 346.) The officer
    likewise testified that he smelled the strong odor of marijuana when the doors
    were opened. However, Defendant effectively impeached various aspects of the
    officer’s testimony. First, on cross-examination, Defendant used the audio
    recording from the investigation of the tractor-trailer to discredit the officer’s
    insinuation on direct examination that Defendant had inappropriately attempted to
    joke around with him. When pointed to specific parts of the interaction, the
    officer admitted his conversation with Defendant involved both of them joking
    around. Second, relying on the officer’s written report of the incident, Defendant
    challenged his testimony that Defendant had acted nervous when they opened the
    trailer. The officer discussed the importance of being thorough in written reports
    -8-
    and admitted he had nonetheless failed to include in his report that Defendant
    acted nervous. No other witnesses testified about the odor of the marijuana in the
    trailer.
    The government relied on the strong odor of the marijuana to establish the
    first element of the crime—that Defendant knowingly or intentionally possessed
    the marijuana. Its theory of the case was that Defendant was the only one who
    could possibly, or at least most plausibly, have loaded the marijuana into the
    trailer, which demonstrated he knowingly possessed the marijuana. The
    government set forth this theory from the beginning of the trial, relying on the
    “strong odor of marijuana” in its short opening statement. (Id. at 92.) It then
    questioned the FedEx employees involved in loading the J & J Trucking trailer
    whether they noticed the smell of marijuana on the FedEx loading dock. And in
    its closing, the government relied extensively on the strong odor to establish the
    mens rea requirement, making eight separate references to the odor.
    After deliberating for eight hours and having received an Allen charge, the
    jury returned a verdict of guilty. Defendant was sentenced to sixty months’
    imprisonment followed by four years of supervised release. He now appeals,
    arguing the district court violated his Sixth Amendment confrontation rights by
    prohibiting him from cross-examining the inspector on the Variste court’s
    credibility determination.
    -9-
    D ISCUSSION
    We review de novo Defendant’s claim that his Sixth Amendment
    confrontation rights were violated by the district court’s cross-examination
    restriction. United States v. Robinson, 
    583 F.3d 1265
    , 1274 (10th Cir. 2009).
    As an initial matter, we must address the government’s argument that the
    district court’s ruling should be reviewed for abuse of discretion, not de novo.
    The government agrees that Sixth Amendment claims based on cross-examination
    restrictions are reviewed de novo. However, it urges us to reject Defendant’s
    characterization of his claim as a constitutional one, arguing Defendant’s
    challenge in reality involves nothing more than a “routine evidentiary ruling.”
    (Appellee’s Answer Br. at 18.) In support of this position, the government relies
    exclusively on United States v. Clifton, 
    406 F.3d 1173
     (10th Cir. 2005). In
    Clifton, the defendant argued on appeal that the district court violated her Fifth
    Amendment right to due process by improperly allowing the government to
    introduce inadmissible evidence under the guise of impeachment. We rejected the
    defendant’s “argument that the district court’s evidentiary rulings somehow
    violated the Due Process Clause” and noted that we “have consistently reviewed
    impeachment issues, such as the one [the defendant raised], for an abuse of
    discretion and not under the de novo standard reserved for, among other things,
    constitutional questions.” 
    Id.
     at 1179 n.3.
    Here, unlike in Clifton, Defendant has appropriately framed his claim as a
    -10-
    constitutional one. The crux of his argument is that the district court violated his
    Sixth Amendment confrontation rights when it granted the government’s motion
    in limine, thereby precluding him from cross-examining the inspector on what he
    claims was an otherwise permissible subject of cross-examination—the credibility
    determination. This was precisely the argument Defendant made to the district
    court in opposition to the government’s motion in limine. We are not persuaded
    by the government’s argument that, because the district court’s decision was
    based, in part, on what it perceived to be a danger of unfair prejudice and
    confusion of the issues, Defendant’s claim involves only a routine evidentiary
    ruling. If we were to accept this reasoning, it would be possible to argue that
    nearly every Sixth Amendment confrontation challenge should be reviewed for
    abuse of discretion by pointing to the evidentiary rulings that necessarily underlie
    the district court’s decision to preclude an area of cross-examination. We decline
    to open the door to such arguments. Instead, we follow our well-established
    precedent and review Defendant’s Sixth Amendment confrontation claim de novo.
    The Sixth Amendment guarantees the right of a defendant to “be confronted
    with the witnesses against him.” U.S. Const. amend. VI. One of the primary
    interests secured by the Sixth Amendment’s confrontation clause is the right of
    cross-examination. Davis v. Alaska, 
    415 U.S. 308
    , 315 (1974). This is the
    “principal means by which the believability of a witness and the truth of his
    testimony are tested.” 
    Id. at 316
    . A violation of this constitutional right occurs
    -11-
    when “the defendant is prohibited from engaging in otherwise appropriate cross-
    examination that, as a result, precludes him from eliciting information from which
    jurors could draw vital inferences in his favor.” United States v. Montelongo, 
    420 F.3d 1169
    , 1175 (10th Cir. 2005) (internal quotation marks omitted). Stated
    differently, “‘a defendant’s right to confrontation may be violated if the trial court
    precludes an entire relevant area of cross-examination.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting Parker v.
    Scott, 
    349 F.3d 1302
    , 1316 (10th Cir. 2005)).
    Before we can answer whether Defendant’s right to confrontation was
    violated, we must first determine whether his proposed cross-examination of the
    inspector was “otherwise appropriate.” Defendant argues cross-examination on
    the credibility determination would have been appropriate under Rule 608(b),
    under which the court may allow cross-examination on specific instances of a
    witness’s conduct “if they are probative of the character for truthfulness or
    untruthfulness.” Fed. R. Evid. 608(b). The government does not directly argue
    otherwise. Rather, it attempts to draw a distinction between a finding of perjury,
    which we presume the government believes would be admissible under Rule
    608(b), and the Variste court’s finding that it “[did] not believe” the inspector’s
    testimony, which we presume the government believes would not be admissible
    under Rule 608(b). 3 We do not find this distinction persuasive. As the Second
    3
    The government’s argument on this point is less than clear. It claims
    (continued...)
    -12-
    Circuit adeptly noted, “A finding that a witness is not credible is not
    fundamentally different from a finding that the witness lied. It often just reflects
    a fact finder’s desire to use more gentle language.” United States v. White, 
    692 F.3d 235
    , 249 (2d Cir. 2012).
    Although we have not addressed the issue of whether past judicial
    credibility determinations are admissible under Rule 608(b), several of our sister
    circuits have done so and held that they are. United States v. Cedeño, 
    644 F.3d 79
    , 82-83 (2d Cir.), cert denied, 
    132 S. Ct. 325
     (2011); United States v. Dawson,
    
    434 F.3d 956
    , 957-59 (7th Cir. 2006) (“[T]he decision whether to allow a witness
    to be cross-examined about a judicial determination finding him not to be credible
    is confided to the discretion of the trial judge; it is not barred by Rule 608(b),
    which, to repeat, is a rule about presenting extrinsic evidence, not about asking
    questions.”); United States v. Whitmore, 
    359 F.3d 609
    , 619-22 (D.C. Cir. 2004)
    (holding district court erred in refusing to allow the defendant to cross-examine
    an officer about a judge’s conclusion that “I think [the officer] lied”). We find
    the test set forth by the Second Circuit to be particularly helpful in determining
    3
    (...continued)
    Defendant “exaggerates and distorts” the Variste court’s finding and urges us to
    disregard Defendant’s “[h]yperbolic embellishments.” (Appellee’s Answer Br. at
    19, 20.) However, it offers no explanation as to whether and why the distinction
    it draws matters. Specifically, the government makes no argument that an adverse
    credibility determination—what it characterizes as a mere “‘did not believe’
    finding” (id. at 20)—is not admissible under Rule 608(b).
    -13-
    the relevancy and probative value of a prior court’s finding that a witness had
    lied. In Cedeño, the Second Circuit set forth a list of factors a district court
    should consider when making this determination: “(1) whether the prior judicial
    finding addressed the witness’s veracity in that specific case or generally; . . . (2)
    whether the two sets of testimony involved similar subject matter”; (3) “whether
    the lie was under oath in a judicial proceeding or was made in a less formal
    context”; (4) “whether the lie was about a matter that was significant”; (5) “how
    much time had elapsed since the lie was told and whether there had been any
    intervening credibility determination regarding the witness”; (6) “the apparent
    motive for the lie and whether a similar motive existed in the current proceeding”;
    and (7) “whether the witness offered an explanation for the lie and, if so, whether
    the explanation was plausible.” 
    644 F.3d at 82, 83
    .
    In applying the Cedeño factors to the present case, we conclude the Variste
    court’s credibility determination is relevant and highly probative. Although the
    Variste court addressed the inspector’s credibility in that specific case only and
    did not find the inspector lacked credibility more generally, each of the remaining
    factors support our conclusion. First, the inspector’s testimony in the two cases
    involved nearly identical subject matter. In each, he testified that upon opening
    the door to the defendant’s tractor-trailer while performing an inspection at the
    Gallup port of entry, he smelled a strong odor of raw marijuana. Second, the
    inspector’s testimony in Variste was given under oath during a suppression
    -14-
    hearing. Third, his prior testimony was significant; it involved the central issue
    of the suppression hearing—whether the deputy had the requisite reasonable
    suspicion to perform the search of the defendant’s tractor-trailer. Fourth, the
    testimony in Variste was relatively recent, given approximately three years
    before the inspector testified in the present case. And the government has not
    pointed to any intervening finding that the inspector was credible. Fifth, the
    motive to lie in both cases was the same. In each, the strong odor of marijuana
    was offered to support a critical determination necessary to obtain a conviction:
    in Variste, reasonable suspicion justifying the search, and here, whether
    Defendant knowingly possessed the marijuana. Sixth, and finally, the government
    has not offered any explanation for the inspector’s implausible testimony, other
    than that offered to and rejected by the Variste court. Each of these factors
    convince us that cross-examination on the credibility determination would have
    been appropriate under Rule 608(b).
    The government argues that even if the cross-examination was appropriate,
    the district court properly excluded it under Rule 403, because the questioning
    would likely lead to juror confusion and a trial-within-a-trial. In support of this
    argument, the government poses six non-exhaustive questions the jury might be
    left wondering had Defendant been permitted to cross-examine the inspector. 4
    4
    The government posited that the jury might ask the following questions:
    (continued...)
    -15-
    We are not persuaded these possible questions establish a danger of confusion
    that substantially outweighs the probative value of the cross-examination, which,
    as discussed above, we conclude is very strong. They are the same type of
    questions that many jurors may be left wondering, particularly when witnesses are
    impeached during cross examination. And the government has not provided any
    explanation of why Defendant’s proposed cross-examination was unique, setting
    it apart from typical impeachment on cross-examination and requiring exclusion
    under Rule 403. Indeed, during oral argument, the government was able to
    effectively address many of its own concerns through the rehabilitative testimony
    the inspector would have given had he been asked about the credibility
    determination: the government explained the inspector’s testimony would have
    been to the effect of, “I deliberately didn’t tell [the deputy] about the smell of
    marijuana because I wanted him to make a probable cause determination on his
    own.” (Oral Argument at 18:47-19:05.)
    As the D.C. Circuit concluded in a similar case, “[t]he district court here
    could have adequately guarded against any risk of unfair prejudice or undue delay
    4
    (...continued)
    Why . . . are we being told about something a witness said in a
    different case? What . . . are we supposed to do with such evidence?
    Did the witness lie deliberately? Was he mistaken? Did anyone
    corroborate what he said? Was there an audio recording like the one
    we heard in this case? Did the smell of marijuana matter in that case?
    And on and on.
    (Appellee’s Answer Br. at 25.)
    -16-
    by limiting cross-examination, by giving limiting instructions to the jury and by
    setting reasonable parameters on the government’s rehabilitation of [the
    inspector].” Whitmore, 
    359 F.3d at 621
     (internal citations omitted). We therefore
    conclude that Defendant’s proposed cross-examination should not have been
    excluded under Rule 403. This conclusion is consistent with our precedent which
    “favors admission of all relevant evidence not otherwise proscribed” and
    recognizes “exclusion under [Rule 403] is ‘an extraordinary remedy [that] should
    be used sparingly.’” United States v. Irving, 
    665 F.3d 1184
    , 1213 (10th Cir.
    2011) (quoting United States v. Rodriguez, 
    192 F.3d 946
    , 949 (10th Cir. 1999))
    (emphasis and alterations in original).
    Having concluded the proposed cross-examination was “otherwise
    appropriate,” 5 we now turn to whether the district court’s restriction violated
    Defendant’s confrontation rights. The government argues the restriction did not
    because the inspector was not the government’s star witness; his testimony was
    unrelated to Defendant’s defense that he was unaware he was hauling the drugs;
    and the district court did not otherwise limit the ability to cross-examine the
    inspector. Each of these arguments is based on an incorrect application of the
    5
    We note that neither party addressed whether cross-examination of the
    inspector about the Variste court’s credibility determination would raise hearsay
    concerns. As such, we have not addressed this issue. See Cedeño, 
    644 F.3d at
    83
    n.3 (declining to address the government’s argument that the past judicial
    credibility determinations were inadmissible hearsay because the government
    raised that argument for the first time during oral argument).
    -17-
    law.
    In determining whether the Confrontation Clause has been violated, “the
    focus of the prejudice inquiry . . . must be on the particular witness, not on the
    outcome of the entire trial.” Delaware v. Van Arsdall, 
    475 U.S. 673
    , 680 (1986).
    A violation occurs when a “reasonable jury might have received a significantly
    different impression of [the witness’s] credibility had [the defendant] been
    permitted to pursue his proposed line of cross-examination.” 
    Id.
     Contrary to the
    government’s assertion, whether the inspector was the government’s “star
    witness” is not determinative. 6 Nor does the question of whether Defendant’s
    confrontation rights were violated hinge on whether the cross-examination was
    central to Defendant’s defense and, therefore, would have affected the jury’s
    verdict. “It would be a contradiction in terms to conclude that a defendant denied
    any opportunity to cross-examine the witnesses against him nonetheless had been
    afforded his right to ‘confront[ation]’ because use of that right would not have
    affected the jury’s verdict.” 
    Id.
     (alteration in original).
    Here, had Defendant been permitted to cross-examine the inspector about
    6
    We note that although we have previously relied on a witness’s status as
    the government’s star witness when evaluating a Sixth Amendment confrontation
    challenge, we have done so in the context of the harmless error analysis.
    Robinson, 
    583 F.3d at 1275-76
     (concluding the “errors were not harmless beyond
    a reasonable doubt” because the witness’s “credibility provides the lynchpin of
    the government’s case: He is the only witness who identified [the defendant] and
    his testimony is the only useful evidence linking [the defendant] to possession of
    the gun”).
    -18-
    the credibility determination, a reasonable jury might have had a significantly
    different impression of the inspector’s credibility; the jury could have reasonably
    concluded the inspector was willing to exaggerate, or even fabricate, the existence
    of a strong odor of marijuana when necessary to support a conviction. We
    therefore conclude the district court’s order precluding Defendant from cross-
    examining the inspector on the credibility determination violated his Sixth
    Amendment confrontation rights. This is true even though Defendant retained the
    ability to cross-examine the witness on other subjects. See Robinson, 
    583 F.3d at 1269, 1276
     (10th Cir. 2009) (holding defendant’s confrontation rights were
    violated by cross-examination restrictions even though he had the opportunity to
    “attempt[] to impeach [the witness] by eliciting testimony on his criminal history,
    the payments he received from [federal agents], and the [federal agents’]
    intervention on his behalf following ‘scrape[s]’ with the law”). The government
    cites United States v. Rosario Fuentez, 
    231 F.3d 700
     (10th Cir. 2000) to support
    its contention that the lack of other restrictions on Defendant’s ability to cross-
    examine the inspector demonstrates Defendant’s confrontation rights were not
    violated. But our holding in Rosario Fuentez was based on the fact the defendant
    “was not precluded from inquiring into an entire area of cross-examination, in this
    case, [the witness’s] credibility. The district court allowed [the defendant] to
    cross-examine the officer on [other] subjects relating to his credibility.” 
    Id. at 704
     (emphasis added). Here, there was no such opportunity. Even though the
    -19-
    district court did not preclude cross-examination on other subjects related to the
    inspector’s credibility, there were none. Unlike the defendant in Rosario Fuentez,
    Defendant was effectively precluded from inquiring into the entire area of the
    inspector’s credibility.
    Because we conclude Defendant’s Sixth Amendment confrontation rights
    were violated, we must reverse Defendant’s conviction unless the government can
    prove “that the constitutional error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.”
    Van Arsdall, 
    475 U.S. at 681
    . We have described the government’s burden as an
    “extraordinary” one. Robinson, 
    583 F.3d at 1274
    . In deciding whether the
    government has met this burden, we assume the damaging potential of the cross-
    examination was fully realized. Van Arsdall, 
    475 U.S. at 684
    . We then consider
    various factors, including “the importance of the witness’[s] testimony in the
    prosecution’s case, whether the testimony was cumulative, the presence or
    absence of evidence corroborating or contradicting the testimony of the witness
    on material points, the extent of cross-examination otherwise permitted, and, of
    course, the overall strength of the prosecution’s case” to determine whether the
    error was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. 
    Id.
     If there is a “reasonable
    probability” the jury would have reached a different verdict, “it necessarily
    follows that the district court’s prohibition on cross-examination . . . cannot clear
    the high hurdle of harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt.” Robinson, 
    583 F.3d at 1276
    .
    -20-
    The government attempts to establish that any error was harmless by
    arguing the inspector’s testimony was not critical to its case. It claims the only
    genuine issue was whether Defendant knew the marijuana was in the trailer and
    argues the inspector’s testimony “did not bear on that question in any way.”
    (Appellee’s Answer Br. at 15.) In light of the record, the government’s position
    is untenable. The government highlighted the “strong odor of marijuana” in its
    short opening statement. (R. Vol. 4 at 92.) It then questioned the FedEx
    employees about whether they smelled marijuana on the dock on September 12,
    2008, when Defendant’s tractor-trailer was loaded. And in its closing, the
    government relied extensively on the strong odor to satisfy the required element
    that Defendant knowingly possessed the marijuana, which it admitted to the jury
    was “the issue in this case.” (Id. at 665.) The government urged the jury to “start
    from the premise of the one thing that gives this whole thing away . . . that this
    load smelled strongly.” (Id. at 670-71.) It explained that if the “marijuana had
    been on the cargo dock anywhere in that vicinity at the Phoenix location, it would
    have been smelly and it would have been detected.” (Id. at 671.) However,
    neither of the FedEx employees smelled marijuana on the dock. The government
    argued this circumstantial evidence supported the conclusion Defendant had
    loaded the marijuana on the trailer in Tucson:
    Unlike the dock where you would be discovered at the FedEx facility,
    you’re not going to be discovered if you can find a place to have this
    marijuana loaded where it doesn’t matter if anyone smells this cargo.
    -21-
    You’ll be able to do it in secret. And that’s what happened in Tucson.
    (Id. at 673.) The government concluded “it is clear that all the evidence only
    points to one person”—Defendant. (Id. at 681.)
    Considering the Van Arsdall factors, we conclude there is at least a
    “reasonable probability” the jury would have reached a different conclusion had
    the jury not believed the inspector smelled the strong smell of marijuana when
    Defendant opened the trailer doors, that is, if the impeachment value of the cross-
    examination had been fully realized. First, as evidenced by the government’s
    emphasis on the strong odor of the marijuana, the inspector’s testimony was
    important to the government’s theory that Defendant was involved in loading the
    marijuana on the trailer and, therefore, knowingly possessed the marijuana.
    Second, the testimony was not entirely cumulative. Although the officer also
    testified about the odor, he was effectively impeached on cross-examination. As
    a result, the jury could have had a more difficult time believing the marijuana had
    such a strong odor if it considered only the officer’s testimony. See Slovik v.
    Yates, 
    556 F.3d 747
    , 755-56 (9th Cir. 2009) (holding the unconstitutional
    restriction of cross-examination was not harmless, even though another witness
    testified similarly, because “a reasonable jury would have had a much more
    difficult decision . . . based solely on [the one witness’s] testimony”). Third,
    there was little other evidence supporting the government’s theory that Defendant
    knowingly possessed the marijuana. This evidence was entirely circumstantial
    -22-
    and consisted primarily of the presence of the marijuana in the trailer, that the
    FedEx employees did not see the black bags on the loading dock, and that the
    Defendant spent a day in Tucson, a “source city.” Fourth, although Defendant
    was not precluded from cross-examining the inspector on other matters, he was
    unable to engage in any cross-examination on the inspector’s credibility. Finally,
    the government’s case was not very strong. There was no direct evidence
    Defendant knew the marijuana was present in the trailer. The jury was required
    to make inferences first about how the marijuana ended up in the trailer and then
    whether Defendant played a part in or was aware of that process. And we know
    the jury struggled in reaching its verdict. The jury deliberated for eight hours and
    reached a verdict only after receiving an Allen charge, further convincing us that
    the error was not harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. See Medina v. Barnes, 
    71 F.3d 363
    , 369 (10th Cir. 1995) (considering the jury’s struggle and the length of
    deliberation in determining whether counsel’s deficient performance was
    prejudicial); United States v. Jean-Baptiste, 
    166 F.3d 102
    , 109 (2d Cir. 1999)
    (“The fact that a jury initially was deadlocked and reached a verdict only after
    receiving an Allen charge may support an inference that the case was close.”).
    Each of the Van Arsdall factors convince us there is a reasonable probability the
    jury would have reached a different result had Defendant been allowed to cross-
    examine the inspector on the credibility determination. At the very least, the
    government has not met its extraordinary burden of proving the error was
    -23-
    harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.
    C ONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we REVERSE Defendant’s conviction and
    REMAND for further proceedings consistent with this opinion. Defendant’s
    unopposed motion to seal the briefs is GRANTED.
    -24-