NY Republican State Committee v. SEC , 927 F.3d 499 ( 2019 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued November 15, 2018             Decided June 18, 2019
    No. 18-1111
    NEW YORK REPUBLICAN STATE COMMITTEE AND TENNESSEE
    REPUBLICAN PARTY,
    PETITIONERS
    v.
    SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION,
    RESPONDENT
    On Petition for Review of a Final Order
    of the Securities & Exchange Commission
    Edmund G. LaCour Jr. argued the cause for petitioners.
    With him on the briefs were H. Christopher Bartolomucci and
    Jason B. Torchinsky.
    Jeffrey A. Berger, Senior Litigation Counsel, Securities
    and Exchange Commission, argued the cause for respondent.
    With him on the brief was Michael A. Conley, Solicitor.
    Carter G. Phillips, Joseph Guerra, Tobias S. Loss-Eaton,
    and Michael L. Post were on the brief for amicus curiae
    Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board in support of
    respondent.
    2
    Before: PILLARD, Circuit Judge, and GINSBURG and
    SENTELLE, Senior Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    GINSBURG.
    Dissenting opinion filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    SENTELLE.
    GINSBURG, Senior Circuit Judge: In 2016 the Securities
    and Exchange Commission adopted Rule 2030, which
    regulates the political contributions of those members of the
    Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), a self-
    regulatory association of broker-dealers, who act as
    “placement agents” –        i.e., individuals and firms that
    investment advisers hire to help them secure contracts
    advising a government entity. The Rule prohibits a placement
    agent from accepting compensation for soliciting government
    business from certain candidates and elected officials within
    two years of having contributed to such an official’s electoral
    campaign or to the transition or inaugural expenses of a
    successful candidate. The New York Republican State
    Committee (NYGOP) and the Tennessee Republican Party
    petition for review of the SEC’s order approving Rule 2030,
    on the grounds that: (1) the SEC did not have authority to
    enact the Rule; (2) the order adopting the Rule is arbitrary and
    capricious because there was insufficient evidence it was
    needed; and (3) the Rule violates the First Amendment to the
    Constitution of the United States. The SEC challenges the
    petitioners’ standing to bring the case and defends the Rule
    against these arguments.
    We hold the NYGOP has standing and deny its petition
    on the merits. The SEC acted within its authority in adopting
    3
    Rule 2030; doing so was not arbitrary and capricious because
    the SEC had sufficient evidence it was needed; and the Rule
    does not violate the First Amendment in view of our holding
    in Blount v. SEC, 
    61 F.3d 938
    (1995), in which we upheld a
    functionally identical rule against the same challenge.
    I. Background
    The SEC adopted the challenged rule in response to
    longstanding concerns about so-called “pay-to-play” activity
    in the public pension market. We therefore begin by laying
    out what prompted the SEC’s decision to regulate the
    contributions of placement agents to candidates and
    incumbents for elected office.
    A. Pay-to-Play and Public Funds
    In many instances, local and state government officials
    responsible for holding and managing public funds, such as
    pension funds and tuition plans, are also responsible for
    choosing investment advisers to manage plan assets. Political
    Contributions by Certain Investment Advisers, Investment
    Advisers Act Release No. IA–3043, 75 Fed. Reg. 41018,
    41019/1 (July 14, 2010). 1 By 2010 an increasing number of
    enforcement actions had revealed that some of these elected
    officials chose investment advisers based upon whether the
    would-be adviser had given them money or donated to their
    campaign. 75 Fed. Reg. at 41019/3-20/3; 
    id. at 41039
    n.290.
    For example, the SEC brought cases against the former
    Treasurer of the State of Connecticut and other defendants,
    1
    Henceforth, for the sake of simplicity, we follow the lead of the
    SEC in using the term “public pension plan” to refer to any
    investment program “sponsored or established” by a government
    entity, “regardless of whether they are retirement funds.” 75 Fed.
    Reg. 41018 n.3.
    4
    alleging the Treasurer had allocated pension fund investments
    to fund managers in exchange for political contributions and
    other payments made through the Treasurer’s “friends and
    political associates.” 
    Id. at 41020/1.
    Concerned that these practices distort the market for
    investment advisory services, the SEC adopted a rule in 2010
    regulating the political contributions of firms and individuals
    registered under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, which
    prohibits any adviser from engaging “in any act, practice, or
    course of business which is fraudulent, deceptive, or
    manipulative.” 15 U.S.C. § 80b-6(4); see 17 C.F.R. §
    275.206(4)-5. This “Advisers Act rule” makes it unlawful for
    an investment adviser to provide services “for compensation
    to a government entity within two years after a contribution to
    an official of the government entity is made by the investment
    adviser or any covered associate of the investment adviser.”
    17 C.F.R. § 275.206(4)-5(a)(1). The rule was “modeled on”
    Rule G-37 of the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board
    (MSRB), 75 Fed. Reg. at 41020/3, which the SEC had
    approved in 1994 and which imposes a similar two-year
    “time-out” upon a dealer in the municipal securities market
    who has donated to a covered official. Self-Regulatory
    Organization - Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board,
    Exchange Act Release No. 34-33868, 59 Fed. Reg. 17621,
    17622/3-25/3 (Apr. 13, 1994). The SEC modeled its rule
    upon MSRB Rule G-37 in part because we had upheld that
    rule against a first amendment challenge in Blount, and in part
    because the SEC believes G-37 was successful in
    “significantly curb[ing] pay to play practices in the municipal
    securities market.” 75 Fed. Reg. at 41020/3, 41023/3; see
    also Order Approving a Proposed Rule Change To Adopt
    FINRA Rule 2030 and FINRA Rule 4580 To Establish “Pay-
    To-Play” and Related Rules, Exchange Act Release No. 34-
    78683, 81 Fed. Reg. 60051, 60065/1 (Aug. 31, 2016).
    5
    The SEC understood the Advisers Act rule would not
    address all instances of pay-to-play corruption. In particular,
    it was aware of several cases in which an investment adviser
    did not contribute directly to a candidate or incumbent but
    instead acted through a placement agent. See 75 Fed. Reg. at
    41037/3-38/1; Notice of Filing of a Proposed Rule Change To
    Adopt FINRA Rule 2030 and FINRA Rule 4580 To Establish
    “Pay-to-Play” and Related Rules, Exchange Act Release No.
    34-76767, 80 Fed. Reg. 81650, 81651/1 (Dec. 30, 2015). For
    example, a placement agent who funneled contributions to the
    New York State Comptroller secured contracts for its client to
    advise $250 million worth of pension fund investments. 81
    Fed. Reg. at 60065/3; 75 Fed. Reg. at 41019/3-20/3. The SEC
    was therefore “concerned that a rule that failed to address the
    use of [placement agents] would be ineffective were advisers
    simply to begin using ... placement agents” to get government
    clients. 75 Fed. Reg. at 41037/3.
    Instead of barring investment advisers from hiring
    placement agents, however, the SEC allowed an adviser to
    retain a placement agent who is a member of the FINRA, 17
    C.F.R. § 275.206(4)-5(a)(2)(i)(A); 15 U.S.C. § 78c(a)(26), if
    the FINRA would impose restrictions upon its members that
    were “substantially equivalent [to] or more stringent” than the
    SEC’s parallel rule for investment advisers. 17 C.F.R. §
    275.206(4)-5(f)(9)(ii); see Ga. Republican Party v. SEC, 
    888 F.3d 1198
    , 1200 (11th Cir. 2018); 81 Fed. Reg. at 60063/3
    (noting the FINRA had agreed to “prepare rules for [the
    SEC’s] consideration that would prohibit its [placement
    agent] members” from engaging in pay-to-play activity).
    6
    B. FINRA Rule 2030
    In 2015 the FINRA proposed Rule 2030, which is
    modeled after the Advisers Act rule and MSRB Rule G-37.
    81 Fed. Reg. at 60053/1, 60057/2. Rule 2030(a), subject to
    some exceptions, prohibits a FINRA member from
    Engag[ing] in distribution or solicitation activities for
    compensation with a government entity on behalf of
    an investment adviser that provides or is seeking to
    provide investment advisory services to such
    government entity within two years after a
    contribution to an official of the government entity is
    made by the covered member or a covered associate.
    In other words, if a placement agent makes a contribution
    to a government official who can influence a government
    entity’s choice of an investment adviser, see Rule 2030(g)(8)
    (defining “official”), then the placement agent must wait two
    years before he or his firm can accept payment for soliciting
    that government entity on behalf of a client. The “two-year
    time-out” is intended to serve as a “cooling-off period during
    which the effects of a political contribution on the selection
    process can be expected to dissipate.” 81 Fed. Reg. at
    60053/1.
    Rule 2030(b) prevents circumvention of this primary
    prohibition by forbidding a covered member or a “covered
    associate” of a member from “solicit[ing] or coordinat[ing]
    any person or political action committee” to make any
    contributions to a covered official. See also Rule 2030(g)(2)
    (defining “covered associate”). The covered member or
    associate is also forbidden from “soliciting or coordinating
    any person or political action committee to make any payment
    to a political party of a state or locality of a government entity
    7
    with which the covered member is engaging in, or seeking to
    engage in, distribution or solicitation activities on behalf of an
    investment adviser.” Rule 2030(b)(2) (cleaned up). Put
    another way, a placement agent may not solicit contributions
    for a political party and later be paid to serve as a placement
    agent for the state or locality of that party.
    Rule 2030(c)(1) sets forth an exception to the Rule for de
    minimis contributions, allowing an associate of a FINRA
    member firm to contribute up to $350 to a candidate or
    incumbent if he or she is eligible to vote for that person;
    otherwise the limit is $150.
    When the SEC approved FINRA Rule 2030 in 2016, the
    NYGOP, along with the Tennessee and Georgia Republican
    Parties, filed a joint petition in the Eleventh Circuit for review
    of the SEC order. 81 Fed. Reg. at 60051; Ga. Republican
    
    Party, 888 F.3d at 1201
    . The Eleventh Circuit held the
    Georgia party did not have standing to challenge the order and
    transferred the case to this court based upon the applicable
    venue statute. 
    Id. at 1205
    (citing 15 U.S.C. § 78y(a)(1)).
    II. Analysis
    A. Standing
    In order to bring their challenge, the petitioners must
    establish they have satisfied the “constitutional minimum” for
    standing to sue, which requires that (1) they have suffered an
    injury-in-fact, (2) caused by the challenged conduct; and (3) a
    favorable decision is likely to redress that injury. Lujan v.
    Defs. of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 560-61 (1992). If any one of
    the petitioners has standing to raise a claim, then this court
    has jurisdiction over that claim without regard to whether any
    8
    other petitioner also has standing. Carpenters Indus. Council
    v. Zinke, 
    854 F.3d 1
    , 9 (D.C. Cir. 2017).
    Although we are typically skeptical about a petitioner’s
    standing where, as here, neither petitioner is regulated by the
    challenged rule, 
    Lujan, 504 U.S. at 561-62
    , we hold the
    NYGOP has met its burden by advancing “specific facts” to
    support its claim to have suffered an injury-in-fact. 
    Id. at 561;
    Sierra Club v. EPA, 
    292 F.3d 895
    , 899 (D.C. Cir. 2002). The
    NYGOP has submitted the affidavit of Francis Calcagno, a
    placement agent covered by Rule 2030, stating that “if Rule
    2030 were no longer in effect,” then he “would solicit
    contributions for the NYGOP from [his] friends, family, and
    other contacts.” Add. to Pet’rs’ Br. 18-19.
    An organization is obviously “harmed if its contributors
    cease giving it money.” Taxation with Representation of
    Wash. v. Regan, 
    676 F.2d 715
    , 723 (D.C. Cir. 1982) (holding
    a nonprofit has standing to bring a first amendment challenge
    against restrictions denying tax deductions to its contributors),
    rev’d on other grounds, 
    461 U.S. 540
    (1983). Hence, we hold
    the NYGOP’s reduced ability to raise funds due to Rule 2030
    constitutes a concrete and particularized injury for purposes of
    Article III standing.
    The SEC claims Taxation is inapplicable because the tax
    statute challenged in that case affected the entire donor base
    of a nonprofit organization, whereas the NYGOP has not
    shown placement agents affected by Rule 2030 constitute
    more than a minority of its potential contributors. As the
    petitioners point out, however, this argument addresses only
    the degree of their injury. As we have long held, even a slight
    injury is sufficient to confer standing; the size of the harm
    therefore poses no jurisdictional barrier to the NYGOP’s
    9
    claim. See Tax Analysts & Advocates v. Blumenthal, 
    566 F.2d 130
    , 138 (D.C. Cir. 1977).
    The SEC next invokes Clapper v. Amnesty International
    USA, 
    568 U.S. 398
    (2013), to argue the petitioners’ risk of
    harm is too speculative because it relies upon the decisions of
    third parties not before us. In Clapper, the Supreme Court
    held that certain attorneys and organizations did not have
    standing to challenge a provision of the Foreign Intelligence
    Surveillance Act of 1978 because they failed to show their
    claimed injury – namely, that their communications with
    overseas clients and contacts would be intercepted by the
    Government – was “certainly impending.” 
    Id. at 410-14.
    As
    the Supreme Court later clarified, however, a plaintiff is not
    limited to establishing injury-in-fact by showing that a harm
    is “certainly impending”; it may instead show a “substantial
    risk” that the anticipated harm will occur. See Susan B.
    Anthony List v. Driehaus, 
    573 U.S. 149
    , 158 (2014). We
    have, therefore, determined that “the proper way to analyze an
    increased-risk-of-harm claim is to consider the ultimate
    alleged harm ... as the concrete and particularized injury and
    then to determine whether the increased risk of such harm
    makes injury to an individual citizen sufficiently ‘imminent’
    for standing purposes.” Attias v. Carefirst, Inc., 
    865 F.3d 620
    , 627 (D.C. Cir. 2017).
    We have already determined that the NYGOP’s reduced
    ability to raise funds is a concrete and particularized harm to
    the organization. The question now is whether the NYGOP
    has shown it faces a “substantial risk” of this harm
    materializing.
    We hold the NYGOP has met its burden. To be sure,
    Calcagno has not shown with literal certainty that his contacts
    would have donated to the NYGOP upon his request. But
    10
    Clapper does not require certainty; instead, it understandably
    holds a plaintiff’s risk of harm cannot be based upon a
    “highly attenuated chain of 
    possibilities.” 568 U.S. at 410
    .
    Unlike in Clapper, where the chain comprised several links,
    “requir[ing] the assumption that independent decisionmakers”
    – the Attorney General, the Director of National Intelligence,
    and judges of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court –
    “would exercise their discretion in a specific way,” 
    Attias, 865 F.3d at 626
    , here the plaintiff’s standing requires only the
    single inference that at least one of Calcagno’s family,
    friends, or contacts would have donated a few dollars to the
    NYGOP had Calcagno asked him or her to do so. In our
    view, that inference is eminently reasonable – indeed,
    irresistible; the increased risk of at least some harm as a result
    of the SEC’s decision to adopt Rule 2030 is therefore
    substantial and not speculative. Cf. 
    id. at 628-29
    (contrasting
    the substantial risk of identity theft posed by a data hack with
    the “long sequence of uncertain contingencies” in Clapper).
    We do not believe that a practical application of Article III
    requires more than the affidavit before us.
    In short, we hold the NYGOP has Article III standing to
    pursue this case. The NYGOP’s reduced ability to raise funds
    due to Rule 2030 constitutes a non-speculative injury-in-fact,
    which would be redressed were we to grant its petition.
    B. Authority of the SEC
    We turn now to the petitioners’ challenge to Rule 2030 as
    an ultra vires regulation of campaign finance. Pursuant to
    Section 15A of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the SEC
    “shall approve” a rule proposed by the FINRA – the only
    registered national securities association, see Self-Regulatory
    Organization Rulemaking, SEC. EXCH. COMM’N (Mar. 5,
    2019), https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro.shtml – if it is
    11
    “consistent with the requirements of [the Act].” 15 U.S.C.
    § 78s(b)(2)(C)(i). Section 15A also authorizes the FINRA to
    make rules to “prevent fraudulent and manipulative”
    practices, “to promote just and equitable principles of trade,”
    and to “remove impediments to and perfect the mechanism of
    a free and open market and a national market system, and, in
    general, to protect investors and the public interest.” 15
    U.S.C. § 78o-3(b)(6); see also 81 Fed. Reg. at 60062/3-63/1.
    The SEC says Rule 2030 comes within this authority
    because pay-to-play transforms the process by which
    government officials select investment advisers into one in
    which political contributions, rather than the competence and
    cost of investment advisers, drive the award of contracts. See
    81 Fed. Reg. at 60063/1-65/3. As a result, public pension
    funds are more likely to be managed by less qualified
    investment advisers and to pay higher fees, to the detriment
    both of the funds’ beneficiaries and of taxpayers. 
    Id. at 60065/2;
    75 Fed. Reg. at 41022/2-3. Indeed, pay-to-play
    presents a familiar agency problem in which the agent, who
    selects advisers for the fund, has an interest that diverges from
    that of his principals – the beneficiaries. This is not a self-
    correcting problem: Investment advisers and placement agents
    who decline to pay are put at a competitive disadvantage. See
    
    Blount, 61 F.3d at 945-46
    .
    We agree with the SEC’s view of its authority. As we
    said in 
    Blount, 61 F.3d at 945
    , regulating pay-to-play
    practices in the municipal bond market is within the authority
    of the SEC to reduce distortion in financial markets:
    “Pay to play” practices raise artificial barriers
    to competition for those firms that either
    cannot afford or decide not to make political
    contributions. Moreover, if “pay to play” is the
    12
    determining factor in the selection of an
    underwriting syndicate, an official may not
    necessarily hire the most qualified underwriter
    for the issue.... “Pay to play” practices
    undermine [just and equitable] principles [of
    trade] since underwriters working on a
    particular issuance may be assigned similar
    roles, and take on equivalent risks, but be
    given different allocations of bonds to sell –
    resulting in differing profits – based on their
    political contributions or contacts.
    
    Id. This reasoning,
    of course, is not limited to the market for
    municipal securities at issue in Blount; it applies with equal
    force to the pension funds at risk of corruption in this case.
    See 81 Fed. Reg. at 60063/2-3 (“[P]ublic pension plans are
    particularly vulnerable to pay-to-play practices”).
    The petitioners first complain this view of the SEC’s
    authority is too expansive. In support, they cite California
    Independent System Operator Corp. v. FERC, 
    372 F.3d 395
    (2004) (CAISO), in which we held the Federal Energy
    Regulatory Commission (FERC) exceeded its statutory
    authority when it ordered a state-created utility corporation to
    adopt a method for selecting members of its board, in
    derogation of the method prescribed by a state statute. The
    FERC claimed it was acting pursuant to its authority to
    regulate a “practice” affecting a rate collected by a public
    utility, 
    id. at 399,
    but after analyzing the meaning of that word
    in the Federal Power Act, 
    id. at 398-401,
    we concluded the
    “breathtaking scope” of the FERC’s interpretation was
    unreasonable. 
    Id. at 401.
    The petitioners here do not explain how CAISO bears
    upon the present case. To be sure, both cases involve a
    13
    federal agency accused of acting outside the bounds of its
    authority, but there the similarity ends. The reasoning in
    CAISO is addressed to the specific provisions of the Federal
    Power Act, and the petitioners do not explain how it might in
    any meaningful way affect our analysis of the Exchange Act.
    Nor do the petitioners marshal any evidence to draw into
    question our observation in Blount that there is a “self-
    evident” connection “between eliminating pay-to-play
    practices and the Commission’s [twin] goals of ‘perfecting the
    mechanism of a free and open market’ and promoting ‘just
    and equitable principles of 
    trade.’” 61 F.3d at 945
    .
    The petitioners argue in the alternative that the Congress
    surely “could not have intended to delegate a decision of such
    ... significance to an agency.” Pet’rs’ Reply Br. 14 (quoting
    FDA v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 
    529 U.S. 120
    ,
    160 (2000)). Rather, the argument goes, the Congress has
    reserved to itself the authority to determine when a political
    contribution poses a risk of corruption, because it has chosen
    to set limits directly through the Federal Election Campaign
    Act of 1971 (FECA). As evidence that the Congress intends
    to dictate when limits may be adjusted or imposed, the
    petitioners cite a provision of the FECA that specifies
    contribution limits shall increase based upon changes in the
    price index, 52 U.S.C. § 30116(c), as well as FECA
    provisions that bar contributions from certain groups, such as
    national banks and foreign nationals, §§ 30118, 30121, but
    not from placement agents.
    Because none of these provisions bears upon the SEC’s
    authority to uproot pay-to-play corruption in financial
    markets, we take the petitioners’ argument to be that
    provisions of the later-enacted FECA work an implied repeal
    – a term the petitioners understandably reject – of the SEC’s
    14
    pre-existing authority to regulate pay-to-play activity under
    Section 15A of the Exchange Act.
    As the SEC points out, however, the Supreme Court has
    instructed that when “statutes are capable of coexistence, it is
    the duty of the courts, absent a clearly expressed
    congressional intention to the contrary, to regard each as
    effective.” J.E.M. Ag Supply, Inc. v. Pioneer Hi-Bred Int’l,
    Inc., 
    534 U.S. 124
    , 143-44 (2001); see also Radzanower v.
    Touche Ross & Co., 
    426 U.S. 148
    , 154 (1976) (describing
    “two well-settled categories of repeals by implication: (1)
    where provisions in the two acts are in irreconcilable conflict
    ... ; and (2) if the later act covers the whole subject of the
    earlier one .... But, in either case, the intention of the
    legislature to repeal must be clear and manifest”) (cleaned
    up). We do not take this duty lightly. See FTC v. Ken
    Roberts Co., 
    276 F.3d 583
    , 593 (D.C. Cir. 2001) (“Because
    we live in an age of overlapping and concurring regulatory
    jurisdiction, a court must proceed with the utmost caution
    before concluding that one agency may not regulate merely
    because another may”) (internal quotation omitted). In our
    view, that the Congress has increased the contribution limits
    to keep pace with inflation and that it has prohibited certain
    groups from making contributions is not evidence of a “clear
    congressional intention” to preclude the SEC from limiting
    campaign contributions that distort financial markets.
    Finally, the petitioners make a related but distinct claim,
    based upon Galliano v. U.S. Postal Service, 
    836 F.2d 1362
    (D.C. Cir. 1988), that the “first-amendment-sensitive”
    provisions of the FECA limiting individual contributions
    “displace” any authority the Exchange Act may have
    conferred upon the SEC to set further restrictions. Pet’rs’ Br.
    33-34 (citing 
    Galliano, 836 F.2d at 1370
    ). In Galliano, we
    held the United States Postal Service could not enforce its
    15
    statutory authority to prevent “false representations” in the
    mail by imposing certain disclosure requirements for political
    mail on top of those specifically required by the detailed
    disclosure provisions of the FECA, which reflect a delicate
    “balance of interests ... deliberately struck by Congress” in
    light of the first amendment considerations involved in
    regulating campaign 
    finance. 836 F.2d at 1370
    . Similarly, as
    the SEC emphasizes, we were concerned that the procedures
    used by the Postal Service to adjudicate whether a defendant
    had made a “false representation” through the mail would
    have bypassed the “precisely drawn” dispute resolution
    process prescribed by the FECA. 
    Id. at 1371.
    At the outset, we note that in Galliano, which was
    decided prior to Blount, we were at pains to analyze the
    authority of the Postal Service in a manner that “reduce[d]
    constitutional doubt,” 
    id. at 1369,
    with respect to two
    questions: (1) whether the Postal Service’s effort to “regulate
    solicitations for political contributions” was consistent with
    the First Amendment and (2) “if so, then as a matter of first
    amendment due process, [whether] such solicitations may be
    regulated without a prior judicial determination of the
    existence vel non of first amendment protections.” 
    Id. at 1370
    n.7 (cleaned up); see also Ken Roberts 
    Co., 276 F.3d at 593
    (describing Galliano as “relying on the First Amendment and
    the canon of constitutional doubt in holding that the [FECA]
    partially preempted the postal fraud prescriptions”). Although
    the First Amendment is surely implicated in the present case
    as well, Blount, as described below, has since clarified that
    the SEC’s pay-to-play rules are not constitutionally infirm
    under the law of this Circuit. Moreover, our concern in
    Galliano with “first amendment due process” is simply not
    relevant here. Whereas we were concerned in Galliano about
    whether there would be sufficient judicial review of the Postal
    Service’s case-by-case determinations of what is a
    16
    misrepresentation and what is protected speech, 
    id. at 1369,
    1370 n.7, here we review only a facial challenge to whether
    the bright line of Rule 2030 violates the First Amendment.
    We are not therefore compelled by Galliano to resolve the
    allegedly overlapping authority of the SEC and the FEC by
    holding only one of them may regulate in a way that touches
    upon political contributions.
    Galliano might nevertheless have given the petitioners
    some traction had the Supreme Court not later decided POM
    Wonderful LLC v. Coca-Cola Co., 
    573 U.S. 102
    (2014),
    which supersedes some of this court’s reasoning in Galliano.
    (Indeed, it is unclear to what extent Galliano has survived that
    decision.) The Court in POM held that labeling regulations
    implementing the Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FDCA) do
    not preclude a business from bringing a claim against a
    competitor for unfair competition arising from false or
    misleading advertising in violation of the Lanham Act. As
    the SEC rightly claims, the reasoning in POM weighs heavily
    in its favor. The Court began its analysis with the text of the
    two statutes, noting neither contains an express limitation on
    Lanham Act claims, which is “of special significance because
    the Lanham Act and the FDCA have coexisted” for 70 years.
    
    Id. at 113.
    Similarly, neither of the relevant statutes in this
    case contains a provision limiting the reach of the other, and
    the first pay-to-play rule adopted by the SEC (MSRB Rule G-
    37) has coexisted with the FECA for 25 years. Furthermore,
    in determining that the Congress did not “intend the FDCA to
    preclude Lanham Act suits,” 
    id. at 121,
    the Court reasoned
    that the two statutes “complement each other in major
    respects .... Although both statutes touch on food and
    beverage labeling, the Lanham Act protects commercial
    interests against unfair competition, while the FDCA” and
    hence, we might add, the labeling regulation implementing it,
    “protects public health and safety.” 
    Id. at 115.
    Similarly, the
    17
    FECA and the Exchange Act, as instantiated by the SEC’s
    pay-to-play rules, can peacefully coexist: Although both
    regimes touch upon political contributions, the FECA is
    meant to protect elections from the perceived untoward
    effects of over-limit campaign contributions by whomever
    made, whilst the Exchange Act, as implemented by Rule
    2030, is meant to protect the financial markets from the
    perceived untoward effects of over-limit contributions made
    by placement agents. See 
    Blount, 61 F.3d at 944
    (“[I]n
    Buckley and Austin the legislature was interested in clean
    elections, whereas here the SEC is interested in clean bond
    markets”).
    In so holding, we reject the petitioners’ argument that the
    FECA is incompatible with the Exchange Act because the
    general $2,700 contribution limit set by the FECA serves as a
    “safe haven.” Pet’rs’ Reply Br. 18; see 
    Galliano, 836 F.2d at 1370
    . This argument is not tenable after POM: The Court
    there considered and rejected a similar contention, reasoning
    that the implementing regulations of the FDCA should not be
    viewed as a “ceiling on the regulation of food and beverage
    labeling” because the “Congress intended the Lanham Act
    and the FDCA to complement each other.” 
    Id. at 119.
    Just as
    the Court observed in POM that “[i]t is unlikely that Congress
    intended the FDCA’s protection of health and safety to result
    in less policing of misleading food and beverage labels than in
    competitive markets for other products,” 
    id. at 116,
    so too we
    think it unlikely the Congress intended the FECA’s protection
    of the electoral process to result in less policing of corruption
    and inefficiency in the financial markets.
    We are similarly unpersuaded by the petitioners’
    argument that the FECA leaves no room for the SEC to
    impose its own restrictions simply because the FECA is more
    detailed. As the Court said in POM, the “greater specificity
    18
    [of one law] would matter only if [the two laws] cannot be
    implemented in full at the same 
    time.” 573 U.S. at 118
    .
    Because, as shown above, the Exchange Act and the FECA
    can both be fully implemented without conflict, it matters not
    that the FECA is more detailed.
    Finally, the petitioners’ assertions to the contrary
    notwithstanding, the “exclusive jurisdiction” of the FEC to
    enforce the FECA, see 52 U.S.C. § 30106(b)(1), is no bar to
    our conclusion that the SEC may enforce the Exchange Act to
    reduce distortion in financial markets. Rule 2030 does not
    purport to give the SEC the ability to enforce provisions of
    the FECA. Cf. 
    POM, 573 U.S. at 116-17
    (explaining that
    although the FDA has exclusive authority to enforce the
    FDCA, “POM seeks to enforce the Lanham Act, not the
    FDCA or its regulations”).
    C. Arbitrary and Capricious
    In their next line of attack, the petitioners claim the order
    adopting Rule 2030 is arbitrary and capricious, in violation of
    the Administrative Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A),
    because the SEC has not shown the Rule targets corruption
    beyond that already prevented by federal and state laws
    against bribery or by the FECA.
    We do not believe the federal and state laws prohibiting
    bribery are adequate to address pay-to-play activity, as the
    petitioners suggest. Laws against bribery “deal with only the
    most blatant and specific attempts of those with money to
    influence governmental action,” Wagner v. FEC, 
    793 F.3d 1
    ,
    15 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (quoting Buckley v. Valeo, 
    424 U.S. 1
    ,
    27-28 (1976)); “corruption and its appearance are no doubt
    more widespread in the contracting process than our criminal
    dockets reflect.” Id.; see also 
    id. at 25.
                                  19
    Nor is the FECA a solution to the problem: The SEC
    adopted Rule 2030 precisely because it was aware of several
    instances in which a placement agent’s contribution to a
    government official – lawful under the FECA – influenced
    that official’s decision to award an advisory services contract.
    See 75 Fed. Reg. 41019/2-20/3, 41037/3. In adopting the
    Rule, the agency explained that placement agents played a
    “central role” in several pay-to-play scandals involving
    FECA-compliant contributions to officials in New York,
    Connecticut, and California. 81 Fed. Reg. at 60065/3; see
    also 75 Fed. Reg. 41019/2-20/2; 
    id. at 41019/3
    n.17; 
    id. at 41039
    /3 n.290.
    The petitioners minimize the significance of this
    evidence, arguing the SEC’s examples do not show that
    “most, many, or even more than a few publicly disclosed
    $2,700 federal contributions or similar contributions made to
    state and local officials by placement agents will involve the
    kind of quid pro quo arrangement” the Rule aims to prevent.
    Pet’rs’ Br. 44. That is true, but it would make no sense to
    require the SEC to show that quid pro quo arrangements are,
    as the petitioners put it, “rampant,” id.: A contribution is
    corrupting even if it cannot be traced to the subsequent award
    of a contract for advisory services because in this market “a
    contribution brings the donor merely a chance to be seriously
    considered, not the assurance of a contract.” 
    Blount, 61 F.3d at 945
    . (Indeed, it could hardly be otherwise whenever a
    candidate or incumbent receives several contributions from as
    many would-be advisers.) Not surprisingly, in Blount the
    record contained “no evidence of specific instances of quid
    pro quos,” yet we rejected the same argument in the form that
    the harms being targeted by MSRB Rule G-37 were “merely
    
    conjectural.” 61 F.3d at 944
    . As we explained then in
    analyzing whether MSRB Rule G-37 violated the First
    20
    Amendment, the contributions at issue “self-evidently
    create[d] a conflict of interest” and, although actual
    corruption is difficult to detect, the “risk of corruption is
    obvious and substantial.” 
    Id. at 944-45.
    Accordingly, “no
    smoking gun is needed where ... the conflict of interest is
    apparent, the likelihood of stealth great, and the legislative
    purpose prophylactic.” 
    Id. at 945;
    see also 
    Buckley, 424 U.S. at 29-30
    (rejecting a challenge to the contribution limit in the
    FECA that “most large contributors do not seek improper
    influence,” because it is too “difficult to isolate suspect
    contributions”).
    D. The First Amendment
    We turn, finally, to the petitioners’ contention that Rule
    2030 violates the First Amendment. As a threshold matter,
    however, we must determine the standard to which the Rule
    should be held. The petitioners, of course, urge us to subject
    Rule 2030 to strict scrutiny on the ground that we are
    reviewing an action by the SEC as opposed to the Congress,
    which they say alone has the “expertise” to weigh the first
    amendment considerations involved. Pet’rs’ Br 52. This
    novel theory runs up against our precedent holding the
    “closely drawn” standard, which is “a lesser but still rigorous
    standard of review” prescribed by the Supreme Court,
    “remains the appropriate one for review of a ban on campaign
    contributions,” Wagner v. 
    FEC, 793 F.3d at 5-6
    (citing
    several Supreme Court cases, the most recent of which is
    McCutcheon v. FEC, 
    572 U.S. 185
    , 197 (2014) (plurality
    opinion)). We therefore ask whether Rule 2030 is closely
    drawn to serve a “sufficiently important” governmental
    interest. 
    Id. at 7-8.
    As the SEC points out, we answered this question when
    we upheld MSRB Rule G-37 against the first amendment
    21
    challenge in Blount. Because MSRB Rule G-37 is identical in
    every constitutionally relevant way to FINRA Rule 2030,
    Blount compels our holding for the SEC in this
    indistinguishable case. Then, as now, the Supreme Court has
    said that “preventing corruption or the appearance of
    corruption are the only legitimate and compelling government
    interests thus far identified for restricting campaign
    finances,’” FEC v. Nat’l Conservative Political Action
    Comm., 
    470 U.S. 480
    , 496-97 (1985)); 
    Blount, 61 F.3d at 944
    ;
    see also Wagner v. 
    FEC, 793 F.3d at 8
    , 22 (restrictions on the
    first amendment right to make political contributions may be
    particularly necessary in the “contracting context,” which
    “greatly sharpens the risk of corruption and its appearance”
    because “there is a very specific quo for which the
    contribution may serve as the quid: the grant or retention of
    the contract”). We determined MSRB Rule G-37 survives
    even strict scrutiny because the rule restricts only a “narrow
    range of ... activities for a relatively short period of time.”
    
    Blount, 61 F.3d at 947-48
    ; see also Wagner v. 
    FEC, 793 F.3d at 26
    (“The availability of other avenues of political
    communication can thus be relevant, although it is of course
    not dispositive”). Rule 2030 contains identical safeguards
    and therefore survives our review today; its restrictions are
    closely drawn to further a compelling governmental interest,
    as can be seen in the specific instances of quid pro quo
    conduct identified by the SEC. See Part II.C above; 81 Fed.
    Reg. at 60066/1-2.
    Rather than attempt to twist the logic of Blount in their
    favor, the petitioners advance two reasons for thinking our
    precedent is no longer good law. First, they invoke the
    plurality opinion in McCutcheon for the proposition that
    “Blount relied heavily on several strands of reasoning that the
    Supreme Court has since rejected.” Pet’rs’ Br. 50. Under the
    petitioners’ blinkered reading of that opinion, the present case
    22
    runs afoul of the Court’s admonition that a “‘prophylaxis-
    upon-prophylaxis approach’ requires that we be particularly
    diligent in scrutinizing the law’s 
    fit.” 572 U.S. at 221
    .
    McCutcheon, of course, involved an aggregate limit on
    political contributions that was “layered on top [of the base
    limits prescribed by the FECA], ostensibly to prevent
    circumvention of the base limits.” 
    Id. But the
    holding of
    McCutcheon is not that a belt and braces approach is
    necessarily unconstitutional, but that the court must be
    “particularly diligent in scrutinizing the law’s fit” with the
    governmental interest it is supposed to serve. 
    Id. And so
    we
    did in Blount by applying strict scrutiny, a standard even more
    exacting than the “closely drawn” standard we apply now, to
    evaluate the first amendment claim against MSRB 
    G-37. 61 F.3d at 943-48
    .
    Second, the petitioners would have us distinguish Blount
    because this court was not there asked to consider the
    “disparate impact that a restriction like Rule 2030 will have
    on candidates running for the same seat” where one candidate
    is a covered official and the incumbent (or another candidate)
    is not. Pet’rs’ Br. 52. In support of their claim that this
    disparity necessarily makes the Rule unconstitutional, the
    petitioners quote dicta from two cases but disregard their
    reasoning: Davis v. FEC, 
    554 U.S. 724
    , 738 (2008), and
    Riddle v. Hickenlooper, 
    742 F.3d 922
    , 929 (10th Cir. 2014).
    The operative question in both cases was not simply
    whether the challenged rule had a disparate effect, but
    whether the difference was “justified by the primary
    governmental interest proffered in its defense.” 
    Davis, 554 U.S. at 738
    (cleaned up); see 
    Riddle, 742 F.3d at 928
    . In
    Davis, the Supreme Court held the Millionaire’s Amendment
    to the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act, which raised the
    23
    contribution limit for a candidate if a rival candidate
    expended more than a certain amount of personal funds, could
    not withstand first amendment 
    scrutiny. 554 U.S. at 740-41
    .
    Although the Court noted it has “never upheld the
    constitutionality of a law that imposes different contribution
    limits for candidates who are competing against each other,”
    
    id. at 738,
    the Court invalidated the law not because of the
    disparate effect upon the candidates, as the petitioners
    suggest, but because the Government’s interest in “level[ing]
    electoral opportunities for candidates of different personal
    wealth” is not a “legitimate government objective,” 
    id. at 741:
    Because § 319(a) imposes a substantial burden on the
    exercise of the First Amendment right to use personal
    funds for campaign speech, that provision cannot
    stand unless it is justified by a compelling state
    interest. No such justification is present here.
    
    Id. at 740
    (internal quotation omitted). In contrast, the Court
    has repeatedly – and, indeed, in the same case – recognized
    that the prevention of “corruption and the appearance of
    corruption” can justify an abridgment of first amendment
    rights as long as the limits are “closely drawn” to serve that
    important interest. See 
    id. at 737;
    McCutcheon, 572 U.S. at
    191-92
    ; FEC v. Nat’l Conservative Political Action 
    Comm., 470 U.S. at 496-97
    .
    Riddle, in which the Tenth Circuit invalidated a Colorado
    statute as a violation of the Equal Protection Clause of the
    Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution of the United
    
    States, 742 F.3d at 930
    , is likewise no help to the petitioners.
    The state law at issue set a lower limit on contributions to
    write-in candidates ($200) than to major-party candidates
    ($400). 
    Id. at 924,
    926. The court determined those limits
    were “ill-conceived” to advance the State’s claimed interest in
    24
    preventing corruption or its appearance: “The statutory
    classification might advance the State’s asserted interest if
    write-ins, unaffiliated candidates, or minor-party nominees
    were more corruptible (or appeared more corruptible) than
    their Republican or Democratic opponents. But the
    Defendants have never made such a suggestion.” 
    Id. at 928.
    In stark contrast, the SEC, in keeping with our observation in
    Wagner v. 
    FEC, 793 F.3d at 22-23
    , persuasively counters that
    an elected official who can influence the award of contracts is
    indeed more susceptible to corruption than an opponent who
    cannot exert the same influence. Accordingly, we agree with
    the SEC that any disparate effect from Rule 2030 is a feature,
    not a flaw, of the narrow tailoring of the Rule; hence the Rule
    is indeed closely drawn to fit the important governmental
    interest behind it.
    III. Conclusion
    For the reasons set out in Part II above, we hold the
    NGYOP has standing to sue. On the merits, we conclude the
    SEC (1) had the authority to adopt Rule 2030, (2) has justified
    doing so based upon both specific instances of quid pro quo
    corruption and upon the inherent tendency toward an
    appearance of corruption arising from the targeted
    contributions of placement agents; and (3) has shown the Rule
    does not violate the First Amendment because it was closely
    drawn to advance a sufficiently important governmental
    interest. For those reasons the petition for review is
    Denied.
    SENTELLE, Senior Circuit Judge, dissenting: I do not join
    my colleagues in the judgment denying this petition, not because
    I would grant the petition, but because I would dispense with it
    by dismissal for want of jurisdiction. As the Supreme Court
    reminds us, in order to bring an action in federal court a
    petitioner carries the burden of establishing that it has standing
    to bring the action. See, e.g., Susan B. Anthony List v. Driehaus,
    
    573 U.S. 149
    , 158 (2014). To establish standing, the petitioners
    would have to show (1) that they have suffered an injury-in-fact;
    (2) that injury was caused by the challenged conduct of the
    defendant or respondent; and (3) that a favorable decision in the
    litigation would likely provide redress for the injury. Lujan v.
    Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 560–61 (1992). Petitioners
    have failed to meet the first and most basic step of this three-part
    constitutional minimum, as well as the second. First, they have
    established no injury-in-fact.
    The majority opinion sets forth the facts underlying this
    litigation. I have no quarrel with their understanding of the
    facts, but reach a different legal conclusion based on the facts
    before the court. I therefore will make reference to the facts
    only as necessary to support my legal reasoning. As the
    majority acknowledges, neither petitioner’s conduct is regulated
    by the respondent’s action, Rule 2030, and therefore they do not
    claim the near-automatic standing of a regulated entity.
    Petitioners assert instead that NYGOP has established standing
    on the theory that an organization is “harmed if its contributors
    cease giving it money.” See Taxation with Representation of
    Washington v. Regan, 
    676 F.2d 715
    , 723 (D.C. Cir. 1982), rev’d
    on other grounds, 
    461 U.S. 540
    (1983). While this may be a
    valid theory, it simply does not apply to this case. Neither of
    petitioners has shown that any contributor has stopped
    contributing because of the action of the Securities and
    Exchange Commission.
    2
    For a harm to meet the standard for the first requirement of
    standing, it must be an actual or at least “certainly impending”
    injury. Clapper v. Amnesty Int’l USA, 
    568 U.S. 398
    , 401 (2013).
    The Supreme Court has, as the majority notes, given a slightly
    relaxed construction to the effect of the “certainly impending”
    standard by recognizing that a petitioner may cross the bar of the
    first standing requirement by establishing a “substantial risk”
    that the anticipated harm will occur. See Susan B. 
    Anthony, 573 U.S. at 158
    . Nonetheless, the very language of the Supreme
    Court in Susan B. Anthony establishes that for the risk of an
    anticipated harm to substitute for actual injury at the first step of
    the standing analysis, that risk must not only exist but be
    substantial. Petitioners have not carried the burden of
    establishing a substantial risk.
    In an attempt to meet its weighty burden, NYGOP has
    submitted the affidavit of Francis Calcagno, a placement agent
    covered by Rule 2030. Calcagno cannot attest to any injury-in-
    fact that has occurred to the petitioners, but only swears that if
    it were not for the SEC’s rule he would solicit contributions for
    the NYGOP from his friends, family, and other contacts. As the
    majority recognizes, he cannot attest with certainty that any of
    his contacts would contribute to petitioners in the absence of the
    rule.
    Petitioners argue that the affidavit brings them within the
    precedent of Taxation with Representation. However, that case
    only held that standing is established for an organization “if its
    contributors cease giving it money.” Calcagno’s affidavit
    establishes no such facts. At most, it establishes that he believes
    that if it were not for the rule he would speak to unnamed
    contacts, friends, and relatives on behalf of the petitioners, and
    that some of those unnamed contacts, friends, or relatives could
    contribute. This is not the establishment of a substantial risk.
    This is at most speculation.
    3
    Many cases hold that speculation is not the same as
    establishing injury-in-fact for purposes of standing. “Although
    imminence is concededly a somewhat elastic concept, it cannot
    be stretched beyond its purpose, which is to ensure that the
    alleged injury is not too speculative for Article III
    purposes—that the injury is certainly impending.” 
    Clapper, 568 U.S. at 409
    (citing 
    Lujan, 504 U.S. at 565
    n.2). Thus, we have
    repeatedly reiterated that “threatened injury must be certainly
    impending to constitute injury in fact, and [] allegations of
    possible future injury are not sufficient.” 
    Id. at 398
    (internal
    quotations omitted).
    Petitioners’ argument for standing does not survive
    examination as required by Clapper. Their “theory of future
    injury is too speculative to satisfy the well-established
    requirement that threatened injury must be ‘certainly
    impending.’ ” 
    Id. at 401
    (quoting Whitmore v. Arkansas, 
    495 U.S. 149
    , 158 (1990)).
    Even if the majority is correct in its holding that this is a
    sufficient showing of injury, petitioners’ claims founder on the
    second step of the standing analysis. That is, even if petitioners
    have established that they suffer injury-in-fact, they have not
    established that the injury-in-fact is caused by the act of
    respondent. Both this court and the Supreme Court have held
    that when the establishment of injury depends on the volitional
    act of a third party, the claimant has not established standing as
    against the respondent.
    Again, I would follow the teachings of the Supreme Court.
    In Clapper the Court stated, “[w]e decline to abandon our usual
    reluctance to endorse standing theories that rest on speculation
    about the decisions of independent 
    actors.” 568 U.S. at 414
    .
    4
    To summarize, as the Supreme Court did in Clapper,
    petitioners “bear the burden of pleading and proving concrete
    facts showing that the defendant’s actual action has caused the
    substantial risk of harm. Plaintiffs cannot rely on speculation
    about ‘the unfettered choices made by independent actors not
    before the court.’ ” 
    Id. at 414
    n.5 (quoting 
    Lujan, 504 U.S. at 562
    ).
    Therefore, rather than deny the petition, I would dismiss it
    for want of jurisdiction.