City of Miami v. Wells Fargo & Co. , 923 F.3d 1260 ( 2019 )


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  •              Case: 14-14544    Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 1 of 76
    [PUBLISH]
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT
    ________________________
    No. 14-14544
    Non-Argument Calendar
    ________________________
    D.C. Docket No. 1:13-cv-24508-WPD
    CITY OF MIAMI,
    a Florida municipal corporation,
    Plaintiff - Appellant,
    versus
    WELLS FARGO & CO.,
    WELLS FARGO BANK, N.A.,
    Defendants - Appellees.
    ________________________
    No. 14-14543
    Non-Argument Calendar
    ________________________
    D.C. Docket No. 1:13-cv-24506-WPD
    CITY OF MIAMI,
    a Florida Municipal Corporation,
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019       Page: 2 of 76
    Plaintiff - Appellant,
    versus
    BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION,
    BANK OF AMERICA, N.A.,
    COUNTRYWIDE FINANCIAL CORPORATION,
    COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS,
    COUNTRYWIDE BANK, FSB,
    Defendants - Appellees.
    ________________________
    Appeals from the United States District Court
    for the Southern District of Florida
    ________________________
    (May 3, 2019)
    Before MARCUS and WILSON, Circuit Judges, and SCHLESINGER, * District
    Judge.
    MARCUS, Circuit Judge:
    This pair of ambitious fair housing lawsuits brought by the City of Miami
    against major financial institutions returns to our Court after having been appealed
    to the Supreme Court and resolved there in Bank of American Corp. v. City of
    Miami, 
    137 S. Ct. 1296
    (2017). Miami alleges that, for years, the defendant
    institutions, major nationwide banks, carried on discriminatory lending practices
    that intentionally targeted black and Latino Miami residents for predatory loans.
    *
    Honorable Harvey E. Schlesinger, United States District Judge for the Middle District of
    Florida, sitting by designation.
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    The City says this resulted in disproportionate foreclosures on homeowners of
    those races, diminished property values in predominantly minority neighborhoods,
    substantially reduced tax revenue for the City, and increased expenditures by the
    City for municipal services. When we first heard these cases, we determined that
    Miami had standing under the Fair Housing Act, and that it had adequately pled
    proximate cause. See City of Miami v. Bank of Am. Corp., 
    800 F.3d 1262
    (11th
    Cir. 2015); City of Miami v. Wells Fargo & Co., 
    801 F.3d 1258
    (11th Cir. 2015).
    The Supreme Court agreed in part. It resolved the hotly contested standing issue in
    the City’s favor, but vacated and remanded with regard to proximate cause. See
    Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1305
    –06.
    The Court held that the standard that this panel had applied -- foreseeability -
    - was not enough on its own to demonstrate proximate cause. 
    Id. at 1306.
    Instead,
    the Court said that proximate cause under the FHA also required “some direct
    relation between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged.” 
    Id. at 1306
    (quotations omitted). But the Court declined to “draw the precise boundaries of
    proximate cause under the FHA and to determine on which side of the line the
    City’s financial injuries fall.” 
    Id. It remanded
    the case, preferring to leave this
    issue open for percolation in the lower courts. See 
    id. Today, we
    take up the
    question of how the principles of proximate cause identified by the Court’s opinion
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    function when applied to the FHA and to the facts as alleged in the City’s
    complaints.
    At this preliminary stage in the lawsuit, we conclude that the City has
    adequately pled proximate cause in relation to some of its economic injuries when
    the pleadings are measured against the standard required by the Fair Housing Act.
    Proximate cause asks whether there is a direct, logical, and identifiable connection
    between the injury sustained and its alleged cause. If there is no discontinuity to
    call into question whether the alleged misconduct led to the injury, proximate
    cause will have been adequately pled. The question for now is whether, accepting
    the allegations as true, as we must, the City has said enough to make out a
    plausible case -- not whether it will probably prevail. Considering the broad and
    ambitious scope of the FHA, the statute’s expansive text, the exceedingly detailed
    allegata found in the complaints, and the application of the administrative
    feasibility factors laid out by the Supreme Court in Holmes v. Securities Investor
    Protection Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    (1992), we are satisfied that the pleadings set out a
    plausible claim.
    The City’s pleadings meet this standard because Miami has alleged a
    substantial injury to its tax base that is not just reasonably foreseeable, but also is
    necessarily and directly connected to the Banks’ conduct in redlining and reverse-
    redlining throughout much of the City. This injury plausibly bears “some direct
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    relation” to the claimed misconduct. Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . The injury
    to the City’s tax base is uniquely felt in the City treasury, and there is no risk that
    duplicative injuries could be pled by another plaintiff or that the apportionment of
    damages amongst different groups of plaintiffs would be a problem. As we see it,
    the City is in the best position. Indeed only the City can allege and litigate this
    peculiar kind of aggregative injury to its tax base. Simply put, a lawsuit
    commenced by an individual homeowner cannot challenge the Banks’ policies on
    the same citywide scale that the alleged misconduct took place on.
    However, the City’s pleadings fall short of sufficiently alleging “some direct
    relation” between the Banks’ conduct and a claimed increase in expenditures on
    municipal services. The complaints fail to explain how these kinds of injuries --
    increases in police, fire, sanitation, and similar municipal expenses -- are anything
    more than merely foreseeable consequences of redlining and reverse-redlining.
    The Court has told us that foreseeability alone is not enough.
    We do not mean to suggest that the City’s claims are destined to succeed.
    Many questions, and many difficult questions, remain and will have to be worked
    out in the district court. At the motion to dismiss stage, though, we are not asking
    whether the complaints meet any probability requirement, only whether they
    plausibly allege violations of the FHA. Since we have found that they do, we
    allow this discrete portion of the City’s claims to proceed for now. The plaintiff
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    has said enough to get into the courthouse and be heard. We decide nothing more
    today.
    I. Background
    A. The City’s Claims
    On December 13, 2013, the City of Miami brought three complex civil
    rights actions in the Southern District of Florida against several different financial
    institutions. One suit was filed against Bank of America Corporation, Bank of
    America N.A., Countrywide Financial Corporation, Countrywide Home Loans,
    and Countrywide Bank, FSB (collectively “Bank of America”), and another
    against Wells Fargo & Co. and Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. (collectively “Wells
    Fargo”). For simplicity, we refer to all these defendants jointly as “the Banks.”
    These were accompanied by another similar case against Citigroup, Inc. and
    related institutions. See City of Miami v. Citigroup, Inc., 
    801 F.3d 1268
    (11th Cir.
    2015). The first time this panel considered this set of cases, we heard the Citigroup
    case as well, but that case was not appealed to the Supreme Court. It has returned
    to the district court, where it has been stayed pending resolution of the other two.
    See Order Staying Case Pending the Supreme Court’s Disposition of Matters Now
    Before the Court, City of Miami v. Citigroup Inc., No. 13-cv-24510 (S.D. Fla. July
    13, 2016). As a result, our opinion today concerns only Bank of America and
    Wells Fargo.
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    The City alleged in considerable detail that the Banks had violated § 3604(b)
    and § 3605(a) of the Fair Housing Act. The first of these provisions makes it
    unlawful “[t]o discriminate against any person in the terms, conditions, or
    privileges of sale or rental of a dwelling, or in the provision of services or facilities
    in connection therewith, because of race, color, religion, sex, familial status, or
    national origin.” 42 U.S.C. § 3604(b). The second states that “[i]t shall be
    unlawful for any person or other entity whose business includes engaging in
    residential real estate–related transactions to discriminate against any person in
    making available such a transaction, or in the terms or conditions of such a
    transaction, because of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, or
    national origin.” 
    Id. § 3605(a).
    The City alleged that the Banks had violated these
    provisions by intentionally engaging in discriminatory mortgage lending practices
    that resulted in a disproportionate and excessive number of defaults by black and
    Latino homebuyers and caused substantial financial harm to the City. 1
    1
    The City also alleged that the Banks unjustly enriched themselves by taking advantage of
    “benefits conferred by the City” at the same time that they engaged in unlawful lending practices
    which “denied the City revenues it had properly expected through property and other tax
    payments and . . . cost[] the City additional monies for services it would not have had to
    provide . . . absent [the Bank’s] unlawful activities.” Wells 
    Fargo, 801 F.3d at 1261
    (quoting
    Complaint for Violations of the Federal Fair Housing Act at 61, City of Miami v. Wells Fargo &
    Co., No. 13-24508-CIV (S.D. Fla. July 9, 2014), 
    2013 WL 6903725
    ); Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1267
    ; see also Complaint for Violations of the Federal Fair Housing Act at 52–55, City of Miami
    v. Bank of Am. Corp., No. 13-24506-CIV (S.D. Fla. July. 9, 2014), 
    2013 WL 6903721
    (raising
    the same claims and allegations). The district court held that these claims failed. City of Miami
    v. Bank of Am., No. 13-24506-CIV, 
    2014 WL 3362348
    at *6–7 (S.D. Fla. July 9, 2014). We
    affirmed, Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1287
    ; Wells 
    Fargo, 801 F.3d at 1267
    , and the City did not
    appeal these claims to the Supreme Court. Accordingly, they are no longer in this case.
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    The City said the Banks made a practice of systematically and intentionally
    refusing to extend credit to minority borrowers on the same terms as they would
    extend credit to non-minority borrowers and, when they did extend credit to
    comparably situated minority borrowers, doing so only on predatory terms, worse
    than the terms non-minorities received. First Amended Complaint for Violations
    of the Federal Fair Housing Act at 2–5, City of Miami v. Bank of Am., No. 13-cv-
    24506 (S.D. Fla. Sept. 9, 2014) (“BoA FAC”); First Amended Complaint for
    Violations of the Federal Fair Housing Act at 2–5, City of Miami v. Wells Fargo &
    Co., No. 13-cv-24508 (S.D. Fla. Sept. 9, 2014) (“WF FAC”). 2 This amounted to
    2
    The operative complaints for our purposes are the First Amended Complaints in both cases. As
    we explain, infra, the City appealed the denial of motions in both cases asking the district court
    to reconsider the dismissal of its initial Complaints and to grant leave to file the First Amended
    Complaints. After this panel reversed the decisions in September 2015, litigation proceeded in
    the district court for some months before the Supreme Court granted the Banks’ petitions for
    certiorari in June 2016. On remand from this Court, the City filed what it styled “Second
    Amended Complaints,” (even though the First Amended Complaints had not technically been
    filed), and both of these were dismissed on multiple grounds, but with leave to amend. Order
    Granting Motion to Dismiss Second Amended Complaint, Bank of Am., No. 13-cv-24506 (Mar.
    17, 2016) (No. 98); Order Granting Motion to Dismiss Second Amended Complaint, Wells
    Fargo, No. 13-cv-24508 (Mar. 17, 2016) (No. 77). By the time the Supreme Court granted the
    petition for certiorari, the City had filed Third Amended Complaints, and both Banks had moved
    to dismiss these as well. See Defendants’ Motion to Dismiss Third Amended Complaint with
    Prejudice and Request for Hearing, Bank of Am., No. 13-cv-24506 (May 16, 2016) (No. 103);
    Wells Fargo’s Motion to Dismiss with Prejudice the City’s Third Amended Complaint and
    Request for Hearing, Wells Fargo, No. 13-cv-24508 (May 24, 2016) (No 83). Both cases were
    then stayed pending resolution in the Supreme Court. Order Staying Case Pending the Supreme
    Court’s Disposition of Matters Now Before the Court, Bank of Am., No. 13-cv-24506 (July 13,
    2016) (No. 128); Order Granting Unopposed Motion to Stay Further Proceedings Pending the
    Supreme Court’s Disposition of Matters Now Before the Court, Wells Fargo, No. 13-cv-24508
    (July 13, 2016) (No. 102). Since nothing had been appealed since the Second and Third
    Amended Complaints were filed, the Supreme Court was explicit that it was looking to the First
    Amended Complaints, see Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1301
    , and we do the same on remand.
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    both “redlining” (refusing to extend credit) and “reverse redlining” (extending
    credit on worse terms). Black and Latino borrowers were thus unable to refinance
    their loans effectively. BoA FAC at 4; WF FAC at 4; see also Wells 
    Fargo, 801 F.3d at 1261
    ; Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1267
    . The City’s complaints detailed at
    considerable length the nature of these practices and characterized them as
    “abusive” because they resulted in loans with “unfair terms that [borrowers] could
    not afford.” BoA FAC at 13; WF FAC at 11; see, e.g., BoA FAC at 22 (explaining
    what kinds of loans the City would categorize as “predatory”); WF FAC at 34
    (same).
    The City claims that these policies were entirely deliberate on the part of the
    Banks. The Amended Complaints explain that confidential witnesses -- former
    employees at both Bank of America and Wells Fargo -- will testify to how
    minorities and residents of minority neighborhoods were targeted for predatory
    loan terms. E.g., BoA FAC at 19; WF FAC at 29. Moreover, witnesses allegedly
    will testify that Wells Fargo specifically targeted Latino and African American
    community groups and churches (but never white churches) and that employees
    were assigned based on their race to make presentations to these groups. WF FAC
    at 30. Witnesses from Bank of America likewise will testify that they were
    encouraged to steer less financially savvy borrowers, often racial minorities,
    toward loan products that were decidedly unfavorable to the customer and different
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    from loan products offered to white applicants, but highly favorable to the bank.
    BoA FAC at 19–20.
    According to the City, all of this violated the FHA in two stages. To start,
    the Banks intentionally discriminated against minority borrowers by targeting them
    for burdensome loans. This had a disparate impact on minority borrowers, leading,
    down the line, to a disproportionate number of exploitative loans in minority
    neighborhoods and, eventually, to a disproportionate number of foreclosures on
    minority-owned properties. BoA FAC at 15–19; WF FAC at 21–29.
    The City employed detailed regression analyses of the Banks’ self-reported
    data to show that a Bank of America loan in a predominantly African-American or
    Latino Miami neighborhood was 5.857 times more likely to result in foreclosure
    than a Bank of America loan in a non-minority Miami neighborhood. BoA FAC at
    26. For a minority-neighborhood loan from Wells Fargo, foreclosure was 6.975
    times more likely. WF FAC at 39. Further calculations indicated that, controlling
    for credit history and other factors, a black Miami borrower was 1.581 times more
    likely than a white borrower to receive a predatory loan from Bank of America and
    4.321 times more likely to receive one from Wells Fargo. BoA FAC at 22; WF
    FAC at 34. A Latino borrower was 2.087 times more likely to receive such a loan
    from Bank of America and 1.576 times more likely to receive one from Wells
    Fargo. BoA FAC at 22; WF FAC at 34. Notably, even among borrowers with
    10
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    good credit (FICO scores over 660), black borrowers were 1.533 and 2.572 times
    more likely to receive a predatory loan from Bank of America and Wells Fargo,
    respectively. BoA FAC at 22; WF FAC at 34. For Latino borrowers with good
    credit, the figures were 2.137 and 1.875 times more likely. BoA FAC at 22; WF
    FAC at 34. The City identified similar disproportionalities on a larger scale by
    comparing predominantly white neighborhoods with predominantly minority ones.
    See BoA FAC at 23–25; WF FAC at 35–37.
    The complaints further alleged that the Banks’ lending practices resulted in
    minority borrowers suffering especially fast and frequent foreclosures, an
    important indicator of predatory lending practices. See BoA FAC at 29–30; WF
    FAC at 41. White borrowers’ average time from origination to foreclosure was
    3.448 years for a Bank of America loan or 3.266 years for a Wells Fargo loan; for
    black and Latino borrowers the averages were 3.144 (black) and 3.090 (Latino)
    years from Bank of America and 2.996 (both black and Latino) from Wells Fargo.
    BoA FAC at 28; WF FAC at 41. Confidential witnesses from both Banks will
    allegedly support the claims that each had deliberately targeted black and Latino
    borrowers for predatory loans. E.g., BoA FAC at 19–21; WF FAC at 30–31.
    What’s more, according to the complaints, the Banks’ misconduct was not
    limited to loan origination but instead continued almost to the point of foreclosure.
    As the Supreme Court noted, Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1301
    , the predatory
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    practices alleged by the City included denying black and Latino customers
    opportunities to refinance or make loan modifications on fair terms. E.g. BoA
    FAC at 21; WF FAC at 32. According to the complaints, both Banks would cause
    foreclosures when “a minority borrower who previously received a predatory loan
    sought to refinance the loan, only to discover that [the bank] refused to extend
    credit at all,” or refused to do so on the same terms they extended when
    “refinancing similar loans issued to white borrowers.” BoA FAC at 4; WF FAC at
    4. We note that such refinancing and loan modification decisions can occur before
    or after a property enters default.
    The City alleged that it suffered both economic and noneconomic injuries.
    BoA FAC at 31–35; WF FAC at 44–48. In both complaints the alleged
    noneconomic injury was that the Banks’ conduct “adversely impacted the racial
    composition of the City and impaired the City’s goals to assure racial integration
    and desegregation and the social and professional benefits of living in an integrated
    society.” 3 BoA FAC at 31; WF FAC at 44. The City identified two forms of
    economic injuries. It claimed damages from each bank based on reduced property
    tax revenues, arguing that the Banks’ lending policies caused minority-owned
    3
    Because we find that the City adequately pled proximate cause for one of its economic injuries,
    we need not evaluate whether it also did so for its noneconomic injuries. The parties in their
    briefing have not squarely addressed these injuries, and the Supreme Court had little to say about
    them. We leave this matter to the district court to address in the first instance.
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    properties to fall into unnecessary or premature foreclosure, causing them to lose
    substantial value and, in turn, decreasing the values of surrounding properties.
    BoA FAC at 32–34; WF FAC at 45–47. This reduced the City’s tax base and the
    tax revenue it took in. According to the City, “Hedonic regression” techniques
    could be used to quantify with considerable particularity what portion of its losses
    was attributable to the Banks’ conduct. BoA FAC at 32–34; WF FAC at 45–47.
    Additionally, the City claimed damages based on the cost of the increased
    municipal services it provided to deal with problems attributable to the foreclosed
    and often vacant properties -- including police, firefighters, building inspectors,
    debris collectors, and others. These increased services too, the City claimed,
    would not have been necessary if the properties had not been foreclosed upon as a
    result of the Banks’ discriminatory lending practices. BoA FAC at 34–35; WF
    FAC at 47–48.
    The City also asked for a declaratory judgment stating that the Banks’
    conduct violated the FHA, an injunction barring the Banks from engaging in
    similar predatory conduct, compensatory and punitive damages, and attorneys’
    fees. BoA FAC at 40–41; WF FAC at 53–54.
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    B. District Court and 11th Circuit Decisions
    On July 9, 2014, the district court granted motions to dismiss by both
    banks. 4 City of Miami v. Bank of Am., No. 13-24506-CIV, 
    2014 WL 3362348
    (S.D. Fla. July 9, 2014). The court determined first that the City lacked standing
    because, according to this Court’s opinion in Nasser v. City of Homewood, 
    671 F.2d 432
    (11th Cir. 1982), its claims fell outside the “zone of interests” protected
    by the FHA. Bank of Am., 
    2014 WL 3362348
    at *3–4. Miami had alleged
    “merely economic injuries” that were not “affected by a racial interest.” 
    Id. at *4.
    The trial court also determined that the FHA contained a proximate cause
    requirement, and that this requirement had not been met because the City failed to
    “demonstrate that the [Banks’] alleged redlining and reverse redlining caused the
    foreclosures to occur.” 
    Id. at *5.
    According to the district court, the City should
    have “allege[d] facts that isolate [the Banks’] practices as the cause of any alleged
    lending disparity.” 
    Id. Additionally, the
    district court said that the FHA claims fell
    outside the statute of limitations. 
    Id. at *6–7.
    The City moved for reconsideration and for leave to file amended
    complaints in both cases, arguing that it had standing and that it could remedy the
    statute of limitations issue by amending the complaint. See Bank of Am., 
    800 F.3d 4
      The court issued a detailed opinion in the Bank of America case. It then adopted and incorporated
    that opinion in the Wells Fargo case. City of Miami v. Wells Fargo & Co., No. 13-24508-CIV
    (S.D. Fla. July 9, 2014).
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    at 1271; Wells 
    Fargo, 801 F.3d at 1264
    . The amended complaints added further
    details concerning noneconomic injuries suffered by the City as a result of the
    Banks’ discriminatory lending practices. See BoA FAC at 31; WF FAC at 44.
    The City also argued in its amended complaints that predatory lending had
    “adversely impacted the racial composition of the City,” “impaired the City’s goals
    to assure racial integration and desegregation,” and “frustrate[d] the City’s
    longstanding and active interest in securing the benefits of an integrated
    community.” BoA FAC at 31; WF FAC at 44. The district court denied the
    motion, and the City appealed to this Court. Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1271
    ; Wells
    
    Fargo, 801 F.3d at 1265
    .
    We reversed and remanded in a series of opinions, the most detailed of
    which we issued in City of Miami v. Bank of America Corp., 
    800 F.3d 1262
    (11th
    Cir. 2015). We began by addressing standing and held that the City had alleged an
    injury in fact sufficiently concrete and immediate to confer Article III standing. 
    Id. at 1272.
    Next we addressed “statutory standing” -- a misnomer, since it really
    concerns “whether the plaintiff has a cause of action under the statute.” 
    Id. at 1273
    (quotation omitted). We determined that this plaintiff did because the key statutory
    language “swe[pt] as broadly as allowed under Article III” and placed the City
    within the statute’s zone of interests. 
    Id. at 1278;
    see also Trafficante v. Metro
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    Life Ins. Co., 
    409 U.S. 205
    , 209 (1972) (identifying “a congressional intention to
    define [FHA] standing as broadly as is permitted by Article III”).
    We next held that the FHA did require proximate cause, but that the City’s
    pleadings were adequate. Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1279
    –80, 1283. We rejected
    the idea that the City needed to “allege that the [Banks’] actions directly harmed
    the City.” 
    Id. As we
    saw it, the “strict directness requirement” suggested by the
    Banks could not be the proper standard for the FHA because it “would run afoul of
    Supreme Court and Eleventh Circuit caselaw allowing entities who have suffered
    indirect injuries . . . to bring a claim under the FHA.” Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1281
    (citing Gladstone, Realtors v. Village of Bellwood, 
    441 U.S. 91
    , 109–11
    (1979) (allowing a village to sue a firm for discriminatory practices that caused
    segregation); Havens Realty Corp. v. Coleman, 
    455 U.S. 363
    , 378–79 (1982)
    (allowing suit by a non-profit for “impairment of its organizational mission” and
    “drain on its resources”); Baytree of Inverrary Realty Partners v. City of
    Lauderhill, 
    873 F.2d 1407
    , 1408–09 (11th Cir. 1989) (allowing a non-minority
    developer to challenge a zoning decision as discriminatory)). Proximate cause, we
    said, was “not a one-size fits-all analysis.” 
    Id. Rather, it
    “can differ statute by
    statute.” 
    Id. Instead, noting
    the Supreme Court’s “broad and inclusive” readings of the
    FHA, e.g., 
    Trafficante, 409 U.S. at 209
    , we agreed with the City that the proper
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    standard for proximate cause was “foreseeability.” 
    Id. at 1281–82.
    Damages
    claims under the FHA were analogous to tort claims, we reasoned, and tort law had
    traditionally relied on foreseeability as the standard by which to evaluate causal
    relationships and to limit the expansion of liability. See 
    id. at 1282.
    The City had
    met this standard; “it claim[ed] that the [Banks’] discriminatory lending caused
    property owned by minorities to enter premature foreclosure, costing the City tax
    revenue and municipal expenditures.” 
    Id. at 1282.
    We said that “[a]lthough there
    are several links in that causal chain, none are unforeseeable,” and also noted that
    the regression analyses in the complaints made the pleadings more than just
    speculative. 
    Id. We made
    no comment, though, on “whether the City will be able
    to actually prove its causal claims.” 
    Id. at 1283
    (emphasis added). That would be
    worked out in the district court on a factual basis far beyond the four corners of the
    complaint. Accordingly, we remanded the case. 
    Id. at 1289.
    Bank of America and Wells Fargo each filed petitions for certiorari, which
    the Supreme Court granted. It consolidated the two cases.
    C. Supreme Court Decision
    The Supreme Court began by resolving the “statutory standing” question of
    whether the City had a cause of action under the FHA. Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1302
    –05. The Court agreed that its previous cases had interpreted the statute
    broadly for standing purposes. See 
    id. Congress had
    even amended the statute
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    after these decisions, without making any change to the relevant language,
    indicating its assent to the Court’s expansive reading of the original text. 
    Id. at 1303–04.
    On proximate cause, though, the Supreme Court disagreed with this panel
    but reached no firm conclusions. It determined that foreseeability, standing alone,
    was not a sufficiently rigorous standard. See 
    id. at 1306
    (“[T]he Eleventh Circuit
    erred in holding that foreseeability is sufficient to establish proximate cause under
    the FHA.”). The Court explained that “foreseeability alone does not ensure the
    close connection that proximate cause requires.” 
    Id. Since lending
    and housing
    policies are deeply interconnected with “economic and social life,” the Court said
    that “[a] violation of the FHA may . . . ‘be expected to cause ripples of harm to
    flow’ far beyond the defendant’s misconduct.” 
    Id. (quoting Assoc.
    Gen.
    Contractors of Cal., Inc. v. Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    , 534 (1983)). Since
    “[n]othing in the statute suggests that Congress intended to provide a remedy
    wherever those ripples travel,” foreseeability alone could not be enough. 
    Id. While the
    Court was clear that foreseeability was not enough, it was less
    definitive when it came to laying out what more FHA proximate cause required.
    Its key instructions were these:
    Rather [than foreseeability], proximate cause under the FHA requires
    “some direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious
    conduct alleged.” Holmes v. Sec. Investor Protect. Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    ,
    268 (1992). A damages claim under the statute “is analogous to a
    18
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 19 of 76
    number of tort actions recognized at common law,” Curtis v. Loether,
    
    415 U.S. 189
    , 195 (1974), and we have repeatedly applied directness
    principles to statutes with “common-law foundations,” Anza v. Ideal
    Steel Supply Corp., 
    547 U.S. 451
    , 457 (2007). “The general tendency”
    in these cases is, “in regard to damages at least, is not to go beyond the
    first step.” Hemi Grp., LLC v. City of New York, 
    559 U.S. 1
    , 10
    (2010). What falls within that “first step” depends in part on the “nature
    of the statutory cause of action,” Lexmark Int’l, Inc. v. Static Control
    Components, Inc., 
    134 S. Ct. 1377
    , 1390 (2014), and an assessment “of
    what is administratively possible and convenient,” 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    .
    Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (citation formats altered).
    The Court remanded for further proceedings, stating that “[t]he lower courts
    should define, in the first instance, the contours of proximate cause under the FHA
    and decide how that standard applies to the City’s claims for lost property-tax
    revenue and increased municipal expenses.” 
    Id. Lacking “the
    benefit of [the
    Eleventh Circuit’s] judgment” on how to apply the principles it had laid out, and
    with no other circuits having weighed in yet, the Court “decline[d]” to speak first.
    
    Id. In this
    opinion, we endeavor carefully to apply the Court’s mandate to these
    complaints, to determine if they plausibly state a claim under the Fair Housing Act.
    II. Standard of Review
    We review a district court’s decision to dismiss a complaint de novo
    “accepting the factual allegations in the complaint as true and construing them in
    the light most favorable to the plaintiff.” Boyd v. Warden, Holman Corr. Facility,
    19
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019     Page: 20 of 76
    
    856 F.3d 853
    , 863–64 (11th Cir. 2017); see also Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    ,
    678 (2009). Here, the district court also denied leave to amend, which we
    generally review for abuse of discretion; however, when, as here, leave to amend
    was denied “on the grounds of futility,” we review the denial de novo “because it
    is a conclusion of law that an amended complaint would necessarily fail.” 
    Id. (“An amendment
    is considered futile when the claim, as amended, would still be subject
    to dismissal.”). Essentially, then, we must consider de novo whether the City’s
    amended complaints, which the district court declined to entertain, have stated a
    claim. This is in line with the review conducted by the Supreme Court, Bank of
    
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1302
    , and with our review when we first heard these cases,
    Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1271
    .
    For this case to proceed past a motion to dismiss, we need not find that the
    Banks’ actions in fact proximately caused the plaintiff’s injuries; we must find that
    the City plausibly alleged that they did so. We evaluate whether each complaint
    “contain[s] sufficient factual matter . . . to ‘state a claim to relief that is plausible
    on its face.’” 
    Iqbal, 556 U.S. at 678
    (quoting Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 570 (2007)). The standard is “plausibility”; it is decidedly not a
    “probability requirement.” 
    Id. Still, plausibility
    requires that allegations push past
    the line of showing “a sheer possibility” and “[w]here a complaint pleads facts that
    are ‘merely consistent with’ a defendant’s liability, it ‘stops short of the line
    20
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 21 of 76
    between possibility and plausibility of entitlement to relief.’” 
    Id. (quoting Twombly,
    550 U.S. at 557). Facts are taken as true so long as they are not a
    “formulaic recitation of the elements” or “conclusory.” 
    Id. at 681
    (quoting
    
    Twombly, 550 U.S. at 555
    ).
    III. Analysis
    Prosser and Keeton observed, of proximate cause, that “[t]here is perhaps
    nothing in the entire field of law which has called forth more disagreement, or
    upon which the opinions are in such a welter of confusion.” W. Page Keeton et al.,
    Prosser and Keeton on the Law of Torts § 41, at 263 (5th ed. 1984). The Supreme
    Court has not directed the lower courts to propose a sweeping standard for
    proximate cause that would apply across all cases or to define the word “direct” for
    all time. Indeed, we are not looking for (and could not find) “a black-letter rule
    that will dictate the result in every case.” 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 272
    n.20. Rather,
    we must evaluate where, as a matter of judicial economy and policy, we ought to
    draw the line for this particular cause of action and these particular claims. As the
    Court has said, proximate cause “label[s] generically the judicial tools used to limit
    a person’s responsibility for the consequences of that person’s own acts. . . .
    [P]roximate cause reflects ideas of what justice demands, or of what is
    administratively possible and convenient.” 
    Id. at 268
    (quotation omitted).
    21
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 22 of 76
    We begin our analysis, then, with the Supreme Court’s instructions.
    Proximate cause under the FHA certainly requires foreseeability, which is present
    here but is not enough. See Bank of 
    Am. 137 S. Ct. at 1305
    –06. Proximate cause
    also requires “some direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious
    conduct alleged.” 
    Id. at 1306
    (quoting 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    ). Our task today
    is to determine what plaintiffs must do in order to plausibly allege “some direct
    relation” and to evaluate whether the City’s complaints have met that standard.
    At the outset, we consider the central phrase “some direct relation.” There is
    give in the joints between “some direct relation” and “some direct causation.”
    These are not identical concepts, and so when, for example, Bank of America
    suggests that Miami’s injuries “were not caused ‘directly’ by a loan,” it may not be
    presenting the question in a way that precisely and accurately reflects the Court’s
    instruction. We might agree that the injuries were not “caused directly by a loan”
    and yet still find “some direct relation” between the injury and the statutory
    violations. Causation is “the act or process of causing,” and to “cause” something
    is “to serve as cause or occasion of” or “to bring [it] into existence.” Webster’s
    Third New International Dictionary 356 (2002). Relation, on the other hand is “the
    mode in which one thing or entity stands to another, itself, or others,” or “a logical
    bond.” 
    Id. at 1916.
    We are considering “direct relation,” as a critical aspect of
    “proximate cause,” so some palpable causation is required. We ought not forget,
    22
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019     Page: 23 of 76
    though, that foreseeability, while insufficient on its own, remains a requirement
    and ensures some causal connection. “Some direct relation,” then, works to
    guarantee that there is a “logical bond” between violation and injury. Put another
    way, while foreseeability ensures “cause,” “some direct relation” ensures that the
    cause is sufficiently “proximate.”
    Further, the law requires “some direct relation” not any quantifiable amount
    of it. The standard is softened by the modifier “some,” meaning, “of an
    unspecified but appreciable or not inconsiderable quantity, amount, extent or
    degree.” 
    Id. at 2171.
    The requirement is therefore somewhat easier to meet than if
    the Court had said we needed to find “a direct relation.”
    We are also aware that our analysis must be tied to the Fair Housing Act in a
    specific way. The Supreme Court twice emphasized that the policy judgments that
    shape our proximate cause analysis will necessarily depend on the FHA. For
    starters, “what falls within [the] ‘first step,’” to which proximate cause is
    “general[ly]” constrained, will “depend[] in part on the ‘nature of the statutory
    cause of action.’” Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . Second, our task is to “define,
    in the first instance, the contours of proximate cause under the FHA and” to apply
    that standard to the City’s claims. 
    Id. (emphasis added).
    After thoroughly reviewing the City’s complaints, we are satisfied that we
    can find “some direct relation,” a meaningful and logical continuity, between the
    23
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 24 of 76
    City’s tax revenue injury and the Banks’ conduct by following the four guiding
    principles the Court outlined in Bank of America. We begin by considering (a)
    “what falls within [the] ‘first step’” of the causal chain, as we are aware of “‘[t]he
    general tendency’ in these cases . . . ‘not to go beyond [that] first step.’” 
    Id. (quoting Hemi
    Grp., 559 U.S. at 10
    ). What falls within the first step will, we’re
    told, depend on (b) “the nature of the statutory cause of action,” and (c) “an
    assessment of what is administratively possible and convenient.” 
    Id. Finally, since
    the common law is the basis for the direct relation requirement, we also look to (d)
    the FHA’s common-law antecedents to the extent that we can. 
    Id. We consider
    each of these principles in turn.
    A. An intervening step does not vitiate proximate cause
    The Court has also told us that “[t]he general tendency in these cases, in
    regard to damages at least, is not to go beyond the first step.” Bank of Am. 137 S.
    Ct. at 1306 (quotations omitted). Both Banks, in their briefing on remand, make
    much of this “first step” analysis. It is clear, though, that proximate cause does not
    always cut off at the first step after a violative act. A general tendency is not the
    same as a hard and fast rule that dictates the outcome in every case, and Supreme
    Court precedent shows that an intervening step will not vitiate proximate cause in
    all instances. What is more important, precedent reveals, is the certainty with
    which we can say the injury is fairly attributable to the statutory violation. An
    24
    Case: 14-14544    Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 25 of 76
    extended causal chain often makes attribution more difficult, but may not be the
    final word.
    1.
    Supreme Court precedent makes crystal clear that an intervening step does
    not necessarily mean proximate cause has not been plausibly alleged. Lexmark
    International, Inc. v. Static Control Components, Inc., 
    134 S. Ct. 1377
    (2014), is a
    good starting point precisely because the chain of causation there was complex and
    involved more than one simple step. The basic facts were these: Lexmark
    manufactured and sold both laser printers and toner cartridges for those printers.
    
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1383
    . Other companies would buy used cartridges, then
    refurbish and resell them. 
    Id. The plaintiff
    company, Static Control, made and
    sold the components that the refurbishers needed to operate. 
    Id. at 1384.
    Lexmark
    would have preferred that its customers return used cartridges directly to Lexmark,
    so that it could refurbish and resell them itself. See 
    id. at 1383.
    Static Control
    sued under the Lanham Act, alleging that Lexmark falsely and misleadingly led
    Lexmark’s customers to believe that they were legally obligated to return spent
    cartridges to Lexmark and also led the refurbishers to believe that their businesses
    were illegal. 
    Id. at 1384.
    This, said Static Control, violated the Lanham Act’s
    prohibition on “false or misleading representation of fact . . . in commercial
    advertising or promotion [that] misrepresents the nature, characteristics, [or]
    25
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 26 of 76
    qualities . . . [of] another person’s goods, services, or commercial activities.” 
    Id. (quoting 15
    U.S.C. § 1125(a)). The Supreme Court granted certiorari in Lexmark
    to resolve issues of “statutory standing” under the Lanham Act, including
    proximate cause. See 
    id. at 1385,
    1390. The central question was “whether the
    harm alleged has a sufficiently close connection to the conduct the statute
    prohibits.” 
    Id. An “intervening
    step of consumer deception” between Lexmark’s alleged
    conduct and the harm sustained by Static Control was not fatal to the claim. 
    Id. at 1391.
    The Court said that a Lanham Act plaintiff could demonstrate proximate
    cause by “show[ing] . . . injury flowing directly from the deception wrought by the
    defendant’s advertising,” including, critically, “deception of consumers caus[ing]
    them to withhold trade from the plaintiff.” 
    Id. (emphasis added).
    Common-law
    principles supported the idea that “a plaintiff [could] be directly injured” even
    when a misrepresentation was made to a third party. 
    Id. Liability was
    not without
    limits, though. A company injured only by a third party’s “inability to meet [its]
    financial obligations” could not sue. 
    Id. at 1392
    (quotation omitted).
    The Court acknowledged, as it would again in Bank of America, the
    “general tendency” not to go “beyond the first step.” 
    Id. at 1394;
    see Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . In the circumstances presented by Lexmark, though, the nature
    of the conduct and the harm sustained persuaded the Court against following this
    26
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 27 of 76
    general tendency. See 
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1394
    . The Court explained its
    reluctance to invariably limit liability to the first step this way:
    [T]he reason for that general tendency is that there ordinarily is a
    “discontinuity” between the injury to the direct victim and the injury to
    the indirect victim, so that the latter is not surely attributable to the
    former (and thus also to the defendant’s conduct), but might instead
    have resulted from “any number of other reasons.”
    
    Id. (quoting Anza,
    547 U.S. at 458–59). This “discontinuity” is evaluated in terms
    of logical relations and policy judgments. See 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 459
    –60. In
    Lexmark, if the refurbishers sold fewer cartridges, “it would follow more or less
    automatically” that Static Control suffered a proportional injury, “without the need
    for any ‘speculative . . . proceedings’ or ‘intricate, uncertain inquiries.’” 
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1394
    (quoting 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 459
    –60).
    There was no “discontinuity” problem in Lexmark because of the close
    connection between Static Control and the remanufacturers it supplied. “Any false
    advertising that reduced the remanufacturers’ business necessarily injured Static
    Control as well.” 
    Id. There was
    “something very close to a 1:1 relationship”
    between harm to remanufacturers and harm to Static Control because the false
    advertising hurt Static Control in direct proportion to how much it hurt the
    remanufacturers. 
    Id. In other
    words, harm to Static Control was “so integral an
    aspect of the [violation] alleged” that the Court went beyond the first step in the
    causal chain. 
    Id. 27 Case:
    14-14544        Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 28 of 76
    Still, Lexmark cabined liability by requiring “economic or reputational
    injury flowing directly from the [defendant’s] deception.” 
    Id. at 1391.
    This
    requirement would not be met “when the deception produces injuries to a fellow
    commercial actor that in turn affect the plaintiff.” 
    Id. By way
    of example, the
    Court suggested that a competitor whose business failed because of false
    advertising could sue the false advertiser, but that competitor’s landlord could not
    sue the false advertiser for the value of rent payments he could no longer collect.
    See 
    id. The landlord’s
    injury suffered from a “discontinuity” that Static Control’s
    injury did not. See 
    id. at 1394.
    All of this goes to show that intervening steps in a causal chain cannot
    automatically and invariably end the analysis. If they could, there would be no
    meaningful way to distinguish Static Control from the hypothetical landlord. Each
    is only injured if the defendant’s direct competitor (the refurbishers on the actual
    facts of the case) is injured first. The chain of causation is an important part of the
    analysis, but the real deciding factor, at least for this Lanham Act case, was
    whether there was a discontinuity between violation and injury, or, put another
    way, whether the injurious conduct “necessarily injured [the plaintiff] as well” as
    the first-step victim, in such a way that the first-step victim was “not [a] more
    immediate victim[]” than the plaintiff. 
    Id. Thus we
    may look to whether the injury
    28
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 29 of 76
    is “surely attributable” to the statutory violation; we do not simply count the steps
    in the causal chain. 
    Id. Bridge v.
    Phoenix Bond & Indemnity Co., 
    553 U.S. 639
    (2008), a RICO
    mail fraud case, makes the same point. In a suit between bidders at County-
    operated tax lien auctions, the defendants were accused of filing fraudulent
    documents in order to increase their success at the auctions at the expense of the
    plaintiffs. See 
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 642
    –44. To the extent that a chain of causation
    was discussed at all, it was explained in terms of reliance. See 
    id. at 657–58.
    The
    defendants argued that the County, not the plaintiffs, had relied on their
    misrepresentations. 
    Id. at 648.
    The Court held that the plaintiffs’ injuries were
    proximately caused by the defendants’ misrepresentations even though the
    plaintiffs had not themselves relied on the fraudulent filings -- “first-party reliance”
    was not “necessary to ensure that there was a sufficiently direct relationship
    between the defendant’s wrongful conduct and the plaintiff’s injury” to satisfy
    proximate cause. 
    Id. at 657–58
    (emphasis added).
    The “direct relationship” in Bridge turned on a connection between harm
    and injury that was non-formalistic and disconnected from step-counting. The
    decision instead rested on policy considerations, see 
    id. at 654–55,
    and on
    common-law principles, see 
    id. at 656–57.
    The Court never mentioned a “first
    step” default rule, but it’s clear that the plaintiffs’ harm would not have fallen in
    29
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 30 of 76
    the first step, since the County had to rely on the defendants’ misrepresentations
    and then had to conduct auctions on these fraudulent terms before the plaintiffs
    could be injured. Instead, Bridge observed that the Second Restatement of Torts
    “does not say that only those who rely on the misrepresentation” -- that is, those at
    the front of the chain of causation -- “can suffer a legally cognizable injury.”
    
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 656
    (citing 3 Restatement (Second) of Torts §548A (1976)).
    While neither Lexmark nor Bridge arose under the FHA, their approach to
    the first-step rule is instructive. Both decisions acknowledge that “under common-
    law principles, a plaintiff can be directly injured by a misrepresentation even
    where” someone else relied on it. 
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1391
    (citing 
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 639
    ). This is a foundational principle of proximate cause; it is not an
    idiosyncratic wrinkle associated with a particular statute or type of claim. E.g.,
    Blue Shield of Virginia v. McCready, 
    457 U.S. 465
    , 482–84 (1982) (discussing
    “antitrust injury” as a requirement of proximate cause under certain statutes).
    2.
    Turning to our case, the Banks argue that the City fails to allege proximate
    cause simply because its injuries fall outside of the “first step.” So wooden a rule
    would be inconsistent with precedent as well as with the oft-noted statement that,
    when it comes to proximate cause, it is “virtually impossible to announce a black-
    letter rule that will dictate the result in every case.” Assoc. 
    Gen., 549 U.S. at 536
    30
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 31 of 76
    (citing Blue 
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 477
    n.13; Palsgraf v. Long Island R. Co., 
    162 N.E. 99
    , 103 (N.Y. 1928) (“[W]hat is a proximate cause, depend[s] in each case upon
    many considerations . . . .”) (Andrews, J., dissenting)); see also Lexmark, 134 S.
    Ct. at 1390 (“The proximate-cause inquiry is not easy to define . . .”); 
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 659
    (“[P]roximate cause is generally not amenable to bright-line rules.”);
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 272
    n.20. Proceeding beyond a first step here is consistent
    with the instruction that we stop at the first step only as a “general tendency,” and
    that we also consider the nature of the cause of action, principles of continuity, and
    administrative feasibility. Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    .
    Wells Fargo nevertheless argues that the City’s claims cannot survive
    proximate cause analysis because they are wholly “contingent,” and points to
    Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    (1992), as an
    example of a case where proximate cause failed “because the [plaintiffs’] injuries
    were ‘purely contingent on the harm suffered by [third parties].’ [Holmes, 503
    U.S.] at 271.” But Holmes established no such rule. Rather, it explicitly identified
    three distinct considerations by which proximate cause should be evaluated.
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 269
    . We discuss these in considerable detail, infra, but for
    now it is enough to observe that contingency on third parties is not among them.
    31
    Case: 14-14544       Date Filed: 05/03/2019      Page: 32 of 76
    The Court would have had no recourse to policy considerations if it could have
    disposed of Holmes merely based on the involvement of a third party. 5
    Indeed, if Wells Fargo were right about the application of the first-step rule
    here, this case would be over at the pleading stage simply because the chain of
    causation involves more than a single step. And there would have been no reason
    for the Supreme Court to remand this case back to our Court for further proximate
    cause analysis. The Supreme Court, too, was obviously aware that individual
    homeowners were involved in this case. Again, if that alone were enough to bar
    proximate cause, the Court would hardly have sought the input of the lower federal
    courts. The essential point for us then is that the “general tendency” to stop at the
    first step is just that, a general tendency, not an inexorable rule.
    If, in fact, there were a hard and fast “only the first step” rule limiting
    liability, a plaintiff homeowner who was forced into foreclosure on account of a
    predatory bank loan that violated the Fair Housing Act would never be able to
    plausibly allege that the foreclosure was proximately caused by the bank’s
    predation. By the Banks’ lights, there are two critical steps in the chain of
    5
    We also reject the application of Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp, 
    547 U.S. 451
    , 457 (2006),
    that Wells Fargo has offered in its briefing on remand. It cites Anza for its proposed rule that
    proximate cause cannot exist where the causes of a plaintiff’s injury are distinct from the
    violative conduct. But this amounts to simply assuming the answer to our question. Whether the
    causes of the City’s injury are too distinct and too remote from the violative conduct is at the
    heart of the proximate cause inquiry. Furthermore, the Bank’s suggested rule overlooks that
    Anza applied the factors drawn from Holmes. 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 459
    –60.
    32
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 33 of 76
    causation between the act of redlining and foreclosure: the middle and distinct step
    being a homeowner’s default. So inexorable a rule would even bar the homeowner
    from seeking redress for the foreclosure under the FHA, since the foreclosure only
    occurs after the homeowner takes the independent step of failing to make payments
    on the predatory loan.
    If, arguendo, we were to count steps, the Banks’ arguments would still be
    unconvincing. For starters, the Banks overstate the length of the causal chain by
    reading the complaints unfavorably to the City, ignoring, among other things,
    allegations that Bank of America “fail[ed] to offer refinancing or loan
    modifications to minority customers on fair terms” and that Wells Fargo “limit[ed]
    the ability of minority borrowers to refinance out of the same predatory loans that
    they previously received from the Bank.” BoA FAC at 21; WF FAC at 32. These
    alleged torts and acts of redlining occurred after -- perhaps long after -- the bad
    loans were originated, and may have occurred far down the causal chain, shortly
    before foreclosure. To take one example of their step-counting, Wells Fargo says
    that injury to the City from lost property-tax revenue falls six links down the causal
    chain and depends on the actions of five independent parties. This count ignores
    the complaints’ allegations that distinct FHA violations occurred when
    homeowners already having financial difficulties were attempting to refinance or
    otherwise modify their loans, and instead counts only from the point of loan
    33
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 34 of 76
    origination. Because loan modification and refinancing can occur after a borrower
    defaults, FHA violations of this type could be far more closely connected to the
    City’s lost revenue. At the very least there might only be one step between the
    denial of refinancing and a bank’s foreclosing on a property already in default.
    Additionally, the Bank counts a reduction in a home’s market value and a
    concomitant tax assessment of that property as comprising two distinct steps in the
    causal chain and speculates that foreclosures are not carried out by the Banks
    themselves but by “a fourth party (presumably the mortgage servicers).” The
    complaints make no mention of an independent mortgage servicer, and in fact
    suggest that the Banks were involved in refinancing and loan modifications,
    presumably serving themselves as the loans’ mortgage servicers. By ignoring
    these unfavorable facts in the pleadings, and by generally refusing to draw
    inferences in the City’s favor, this accounting fails to read the complaints in the
    light most favorable to the City, as we must at the motion to dismiss stage.
    Additionally, Wells Fargo’s count is undermined by the very principles
    animating the general tendency in tort to stop at the first step. We generally stop
    there because, as the time frame is extended and the chain of causation becomes
    more attenuated, additional variables (maybe even causes) may intervene, making
    it more difficult to fairly attribute fault to the tortfeasor. As the Supreme Court put
    it in this case, “the housing market is interconnected with economic and social
    34
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 35 of 76
    life,” and “[a] violation of the FHA may . . . be expected to cause ripples of harm
    to flow far beyond the defendant’s misconduct.” Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (quotations omitted).
    Thus, a further problem with the Banks’ count is that the variety of factors
    that we worry might independently explain a homeowner’s foreclosure (like the
    loss of a job or spiking health care costs) all occur at the front end of the step-
    counting, between the act or acts of redlining and the foreclosure, not later. Once
    we have reached increased foreclosures on a neighborhood or citywide basis, it
    seems to us that the path to the City’s substantially decreased tax base is clear,
    direct and immediate; we can discern no obvious intervening roadblocks. Virtually
    all the independent variables posited by the Banks occur before foreclosure. We
    can identify the same kind of continuity here as in Lexmark: if the Banks’
    predatory lending practices injured homeowners and led to foreclosures on a
    massive scale, these injuries inflicted on multiple homeowners in the same city
    must almost surely have injured the City as well. There is no discontinuity in this
    portion of the causal chain. Thus, since the risks of multiple independent variables
    after foreclosure are not likely, and are not many, even if we were to count steps in
    the way the Banks have suggested, the principles animating the general first-step
    rule do not support the Banks’ calculation of the post-foreclosure causal chain.
    35
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 36 of 76
    The Banks’ step-counting is self-evidently conducted so as to identify as
    many steps as possible. We might just as easily place the same injury at the second
    or third step: First, a bank extends predatory loans in violation of the FHA.
    Second, homeowners default. Third, the bank forecloses and the property values
    plummet, necessarily reducing the City’s tax base and injuring its fisc. The chain
    will be shorter still if struggling homeowners sought to refinance and then faced
    swift foreclosures when fair terms were not extended. This count, which draws
    inferences in favor of the City, is decidedly more appropriate for the motion to
    dismiss stage. At the very least, the ease with which we can count far fewer steps
    reinforces our view that step-counting is of limited value and cannot alone settle
    the challenging questions of proximate cause here.
    B. The text and history of the FHA suggest a far-reaching statute
    The Supreme Court also instructs us to consider “the nature of the statutory
    cause of action.” 
    Id. As we
    see it, the FHA has a broad remedial purpose, is
    written in decidedly far-reaching terms, and is perfectly capable of accommodating
    the type of aggregative causal connection that the City has identified between the
    Banks’ alleged misconduct and financial harm to Miami. Proximate cause is only
    one means by which Congress sets the scope of liability. Thus, for example
    “Congress might express limits by defining the parties who may sue, by using
    affirmative defenses, by providing limited remedies, by narrowly proscribing
    36
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 37 of 76
    prohibited conduct, or by defining statutory terms.” Sandra F. Sperino, Statutory
    Proximate Cause, 88 Notre Dame L. Rev. 1199, 1236 (2013). The result,
    especially for complex and repeatedly amended statutes like the FHA, is an
    “interconnected web of congressional judgments about how and when liability
    should be limited.” 
    Id. To develop
    a proximate cause standard without taking the
    full statutory scheme into account would be “to intrude upon” this web and to
    ignore the will of Congress. See 
    id. Most obviously,
    the “[t]he language of the [FHA] is broad and inclusive.”
    Trafficante v. Metro. Life Ins. Co., 
    409 U.S. 205
    , 209 (1972). It provides for suit
    by “an aggrieved person,” 42 U.S.C. § 3613(a)(1)(A), (c)(1), expansively defined
    as “any person who claims to have been injured by a discriminatory housing
    practice,” § 3602(i) (emphasis added). As we’ve said before, “‘any’ means all.”
    Jones v. Waffle House, Inc., 
    866 F.3d 1257
    , 1267 (11th Cir. 2017) (emphases
    added). This language facilitates suits by a broad range of potential plaintiffs, and
    the Court has told us that it evinces not merely “a congressional intent to confer
    standing broadly,” Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1303
    , but “a congressional intention
    to define standing as broadly as it is permitted by Article III,” 
    Trafficante, 409 U.S. at 209
    . The Court has also noted that later Congresses amended the FHA with full
    knowledge of the Court’s broad readings and without changing the language the
    Court had construed so broadly. Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1303
    .
    37
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019      Page: 38 of 76
    The Fair Housing Act also prohibits a wide range of conduct. Thus, it is a
    violation “to refuse to sell or rent . . . or to refuse to negotiate . . . or otherwise
    make unavailable or deny, a dwelling to any person because of race, color,
    religion, sex, familial status, or national origin” as well as “[t]o discriminate
    against any person in the terms, conditions, or privileges of sale or rental of a
    dwelling, or in the provision of services or facilities in connection therewith” for
    any of the same reasons. 42 U.S.C. § 3604(a)–(b). It also expressly forbids racial
    preferences in housing notices and advertisements, misrepresentation of housing
    availability based on race, and “representations regarding the entry or prospective
    entry into the neighborhood” of members of protected classes. 
    Id. § 3604(c)–(e).
    Most relevant for the City’s claims, it is also “unlawful for any person or other
    entity whose business includes engaging in residential real estate–related
    transactions to discriminate against any person in making available such a
    transaction, or in the terms or conditions of such a transaction,” including in loans
    “for purchasing, constructing, improving, repairing, or maintaining a dwelling.” 
    Id. § 3605(a).
    Again, this is far-reaching, and takes aim at discrimination that might
    be found throughout the real estate market and throughout the process of buying,
    maintaining, or selling a home.
    The injury to the City is as valid and as cognizable under the FHA as the
    injury to the homeowners. See Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1303
    (finding the City
    38
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 39 of 76
    has standing). And cities have been allowed to sue for similar injuries in the past,
    as in Gladstone Realtors v. Village of Bellwood, 
    441 U.S. 91
    (1979), where a city
    alleged it was injured when segregative racial steering practices by two real estate
    firms redounded to “the economic and social detriment of the citizens of [the]
    village.” 
    Id. at 95.
    The village said “racial steering effectively manipulate[d] the
    housing market” because marketing homes in certain areas only to buyers of
    certain races served to dramatically reduce the number of potential buyers. 
    Id. at 109–10.
    The Court identified “profound” consequences in neighborhoods
    impacted by this practice, including financial consequences. Id.; see 
    id. at 111
    &
    n.24. Not only did the village have standing to challenge racial steering, but the
    Court even said that “[a] significant reduction in property values directly injures a
    municipality by diminishing its tax base.” 
    Id. at 110–11
    (emphasis added). The
    phrase “directly injures” was not used in a causal sense, but nonetheless suggests
    that the Court has not traditionally considered this type of injury to be overly
    attenuated or nebulous.
    Moving beyond the text, in evaluating proximate cause for a statutory cause
    of action, the Court has repeatedly directed us to consider a statute’s remedial aims
    -- Congress’s priorities in passing it. See, e.g., Blue 
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 478
    (considering “the relationship of the injury alleged with those forms of injury about
    which Congress was likely to have been concerned”); see also Lexmark, 
    134 S. Ct. 39
                 Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 40 of 76
    at 1393 (identifying “diversion of sales to a direct competitor” as possibly “the
    paradigmatic direct injury from false advertising”); Assoc. Gen. Contractors of
    Cal., Inc. v. California State Council of Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    , 538 (1983)
    (following Blue Shield in evaluating whether an injury fell “squarely within the
    area of congressional concern,” (quoting Blue 
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 484
    )); cf.
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 274
    (“[W]e fear that RICO’s remedial purposes would more
    probably be hobbled than helped . . . .” if the plaintiff’s proximate cause standard
    were adopted).
    The legislative history of the FHA is less detailed than most. Congress
    passed it through “a truncated legislative process in which no committee reports
    were issued.” Rodney A. Smolla, Federal Civil Rights Acts § 3:10, at 546–47 (3d
    ed. 2017). A legislative assistant who worked on the legislation recalled after the
    Act’s passage that this was “a time when riots threatened to close down every
    major city in the country,” and that the Act was presented as a response; it was
    hoped that “the law as a teacher might overcome the ignorance and fear of whites
    which previously had blocked attempts to lower a black-white barrier.” Jean
    Eberhart Dubofsky, Fair Housing: A Legislative History and a Perspective, 8
    Washburn L. J. 149, 154 (1969). The legislative history that we do have and the
    context in which the FHA arose both comport with a proximate cause standard that
    can accommodate claims like the City’s. Thus, for example, the Supreme Court
    40
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 41 of 76
    has recently recounted how, in response to the turmoil of the mid-60s, President
    Johnson convened the National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders (the
    “Kerner Commission”), which “identified residential segregation and unequal
    housing and economic conditions in the inner cities as significant, underlying
    causes of the social unrest.” Tex. Dept. of Hous. & Cmty. Affairs v. Inclusive
    Cmtys. Project, Inc., 
    135 S. Ct. 2507
    , 2516 (2015). “The Commission concluded
    that ‘[o]ur Nation is moving toward two societies, one black, one white—separate
    and unequal.’” 
    Id. (quoting Report
    of the National Advisory Commission on Civil
    Disorders 1 (1968)).
    In passing the Fair Housing Act, Congress explicitly took aim at these broad
    social ills -- maladies that were being felt on a citywide scale. Congress did not
    just target individual discriminatory landlords, but sought to reshape in meaningful
    ways the landscape of American cities. Senator Walter Mondale, the chief sponsor
    of the bill that would become the FHA, explained that the Act was intended to end
    housing segregation as a means of bringing about racial equality more broadly.
    The legislation’s goals were directed at the neighborhood level and indeed were
    aimed beyond the housing market:
    [O]vert racial discrimination remains in one major sector of American
    life—that of housing. . . . [F]air housing is one more step toward
    achieving equality in opportunity and education . . . . The soundest,
    long-range way to attack segregated schools is to attack the segregated
    neighborhood.
    41
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 42 of 76
    114 Cong. Rec. 3421 (Feb. 20, 1968); see also 
    id. at 3422
    (“[I]n truly integrated
    neighborhoods people have been able to live in peace and harmony -- and both
    Negroes and whites are the richer for the experience.”). A co-sponsor asked, “As
    segregation continues to grow . . . will not the cities which house the majority of
    the nation’s industrial and commercial life find themselves less and less able to
    cope with their problems, financially and in every other way?” 
    Id. at 2988
    (Feb.
    14, 1968) (statement of Sen. Brooke). The legislation, as its sponsors saw it, was
    designed to extend through chains of causation. Among other things, its sponsors
    quite specifically referenced harm to a city’s tax base, arising out of discrimination
    in the housing market. Senator Mondale put it this way:
    Declining tax base, poor sanitation, loss of jobs, inadequate educational
    opportunity, and urban squalor will persist as long as discrimination
    forces millions to live in the rotting cores of central cities.
    
    Id. at 2274
    (Feb. 6, 1968) (emphasis added).
    It does not go too far to suggest, at least at a high order of abstraction, that in
    setting a standard for proximate cause the FHA looks far beyond the single most
    immediate consequence of a violation. Limiting the proximate cause calculus in
    that way would not be consonant with the powerful remedial purposes animating
    the bill. The Act took aim at “the segregated neighborhood” in general, not just at
    the prejudiced building owner.
    42
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 43 of 76
    This is all to say that, notwithstanding issues of proof that might arise later
    in litigation, the FHA was written in broad terms and was aimed at broad
    problems. We can discern no reason to think as a general matter that the City’s
    claims are out of step with the “nature of the statutory cause of action” and the
    remedial scheme that Congress created.
    C. Tracing causation here is not administratively infeasible
    Perhaps the most important step in the proximate cause analysis in this case
    is consideration of “what is administratively possible and convenient.” Bank of
    
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (quoting 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    ). This is because
    administrative feasibility is most closely connected to the policy judgments upon
    which proximate cause standards necessarily depend. See 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    (“[P]roximate cause reflects ideas of what justice demands, or of what is
    administratively possible and convenient.” (internal quotations omitted)). In no
    small part, we conclude that the City has adequately -- that is to say, plausibly --
    pled proximate cause because we find it entirely practicable and not unduly
    inconvenient for the courts to handle damages like the City’s tax revenue injury.
    Cases like this will never be among the simplest that our courts see, but the federal
    courts regularly handle complex and high-stakes cases, so complexity alone is no
    reason to dismiss a case on the pleadings. As pled, the City’s injury is
    ascertainable with a sufficient degree of precision for some of its economic
    43
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 44 of 76
    injuries, specifically the harm to its tax base. Since the City’s injuries are unique
    to its treasury, no other plaintiff will plead the same injuries, or attempt to recover
    the same funds. The City is in the best position to allege and litigate this peculiar
    kind of injury, to deter future violations and, theoretically, to actually remedy its
    distinctive injury.
    In Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    (1992), the
    Court conducted a proximate cause analysis focused on administrative feasibility.
    Holmes involved the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC), a federally
    created non-profit corporation empowered to sue broker-dealers who “ha[ve] failed
    or [are] in danger of failing to meet [their] obligations to [their] customers.” 
    Id. at 261
    (quoting 15 U.S.C. § 78eee(a)(3)). In Holmes, SIPC alleged that broker-
    dealers manipulated securities in “a ‘pattern of racketeering activity’” that violated
    RICO, 18 U.S.C. §§ 1962, 1961(1), (5). 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 263
    . The case asked
    whether SIPC, “neither a purchaser nor a seller of securities” could sue under
    RICO even though its claims were, in essence, the same claims that could have
    been brought by investors under Rule 10b–5, under which SIPC lacked standing.
    
    Id. at 265
    n.7.
    RICO allows for a civil action by “[a]ny person injured in his business or
    property by reason of a violation of section 1962.” 
    Id. at 265
    (quoting 18 U.S.C.
    § 1964(c)). SIPC claimed that it should be allowed to sue under this provision
    44
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 45 of 76
    “because it [was] subrogated to the rights of those customers of the broker-dealers
    who did not purchase manipulated securities.” 
    Id. at 270.
    The chain of causation
    was thus the following: The defendants manipulated securities and broker-dealers
    bought manipulated securities. The broker-dealers sold some of their customers
    these manipulated securities, and their value plummeted when the fraud was
    exposed. As a result, the broker-dealers could not meet their obligations to their
    customers, including to some who had not even bought manipulated securities. It
    was these nonpurchasing customers’ rights that SIPC argued it was subrogated to.
    See 
    id. at 270–71.
    Granting, “arguendo” that SIPC was subrogated as it claimed,
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 271
    , the Court found that “the conspirators’ conduct did not
    proximately cause the nonpurchasing customers’ injury,” 
    id. at 270.
    The Court pointed to three distinct reasons why “directness of relationship”
    was “one of [the] central elements” of “Clayton Act causation.” 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 269
    . First, less direct injuries are harder to attribute to a violation. 
    Id. Second, claims
    at different levels of remove complicated the apportionment of harm among
    plaintiffs at different levels. 
    Id. Third, directly
    injured plaintiffs usually can be
    counted on to sue and deter wrongdoing. 
    Id. at 269–70.
    All three reasons for
    directness were said to apply “with equal force” to antitrust and RICO suits. 
    Id. at 270.
    The Court then considered the reasons again in the context of the particular
    claims and found that each indicated that SIPC’s claims fell outside the proper
    45
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 46 of 76
    limits of proximate causation. 
    Id. at 272–74.
    It would appear, from the Court’s
    analysis, that these are not only reasons why “directness of relationship” is
    required, but are also important factors against which to measure the directness of
    the relationship.
    When applied to the City’s claims against the Banks, these factors strongly
    suggest that the City has plausibly alleged “some direct relation” between the
    Banks’ alleged conduct and the injury to the City’s tax revenue. We cannot say the
    same for the increased-expenditures injury, though. Here, we review how each of
    the Holmes factors applies to the City’s economic injuries, distinguishing, when
    relevant, between the tax-revenue injury and the increased-expenditures injury.
    Finally, we explain how the Holmes factors provide a clear means by which to
    cabin liability and prevent suits by more remotely injured parties.
    1.
    Holmes’s first factor says that directness is required because “the less direct
    an injury is, the more difficult it becomes to ascertain the amount of a plaintiff’s
    damages attributable to the violation, as distinct from other, independent, factors.”
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 269
    . In Holmes, this factor decidedly cut against finding a
    sufficiently direct relationship because it would have required the district court “to
    determine the extent to which [the nonpurchasing customers’] inability to collect
    from the broker-dealers was the result of the alleged conspiracy to manipulate, as
    46
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 47 of 76
    opposed to” any other reasons why the broker-dealers might not have money on
    hand (such as “poor business practices,” and the “failure to anticipate
    developments in the financial markets”). 
    Id. at 273.
    On this first factor, the City’s
    tax-revenue injury fares well, and its municipal-expenditures injury fares poorly.
    The City has plausibly alleged that it can present an analysis of reduced tax
    revenue that is precise enough to avoid difficulties with isolating the role of the
    Banks’ alleged violations. It has not done so for its municipal expenditures.
    In its complaints, the City of Miami’s tax-revenue injury seeks damages
    “based upon reduced property tax revenues resulting from (a) the decreased value
    of the vacant properties themselves, and (b) the decreased value of properties
    surrounding the vacant properties.” BoA FAC at 31; WF FAC at 44. According to
    the City, “[r]outinely maintained property tax and other data allow for the precise
    calculation of the property tax revenues lost by the City as a direct result of
    particular [bank] foreclosures.” BoA FAC at 32; WF FAC at 45. This “Hedonic
    regression methodology,” the City asserts, “can be used to quantify precisely the
    property tax injury to the City caused by [the Banks’] discriminatory lending
    practices and resulting foreclosures in minority neighborhoods.” BoA FAC at 34;
    WF FAC at 47.
    The City does not go so far as to conduct this analysis and attach the results
    to its pleadings, but its First Amended Complaints nonetheless suffice to describe
    47
    Case: 14-14544        Date Filed: 05/03/2019        Page: 48 of 76
    the analysis in far more than speculative or conclusory fashion. The City has
    explained in some detail how this analysis works:
    Homes in foreclosure tend to experience a substantial decline in
    value . . . [F]oreclosure properties and the problems associated with
    them likewise cause especially significant declines in surrounding
    property values because the neighborhoods become less desirable. . . .
    Routinely maintained property tax and other data allow for the
    precise calculation of the property tax revenues lost by the City as a
    direct result of particular [bank] foreclosures. Using a well-established
    statistical regression technique that focuses on effects on neighboring
    properties, the City can isolate the lost property value attributable to
    [the Banks’] foreclosures and vacancies from losses attributable to
    other causes, such as neighborhood conditions. This technique, known
    as Hedonic regression, when applied to housing markets, isolates the
    factors that contribute to the value of a property by studying thousands
    of housing transactions. Those factors include the size of a home, the
    number of bedrooms and bathrooms, whether the neighborhood is safe,
    whether neighboring properties are well-maintained, and more.
    Hedonic analysis determines the contribution of each of these house
    and neighborhood characteristics to the value of a home.
    BoA FAC at 32–33; WF FAC at 45–46. 6 This gives us a clear idea of the final
    analysis -- based on empirical data drawn from thousands of housing transactions,
    the City will calculate the impact of the Banks’ foreclosures on property values in
    redlined (and reverse-redlined) areas of Miami, controlling for other variables and
    isolating the impact of the redlining. The City points to studies in which this
    6
    Wells Fargo says that the City pleads “that it could conduct a study that might be able to show
    that foreclosures affect property values.” (emphases in original). The City’s pleading does not
    hedge its allegations in this way, and discounting the feasibility of its analysis on the front end is
    inconsistent with our obligation to draw all reasonable inferences in the City’s favor at this
    preliminary stage.
    48
    Case: 14-14544   Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 49 of 76
    methodology has produced the kind of results the City will need to present. BoA
    FAC at 33–34; WF FAC 46–47. The complaints conclude, then, that
    “[a]pplication of such Hedonic regression methodology . . . can be used to quantify
    precisely the property tax injury to the City caused by [the Banks’] discriminatory
    lending practices and resulting foreclosures.” BoA FAC at 34; WF FAC at 47.
    The pleadings strongly suggest, then, that the tax-revenue injury to the City
    attributable to the Banks’ alleged discriminatory practices is readily calculable.
    Under Twombly and Iqbal a mere statement that “[the Banks] caused the loss of
    property tax revenue” would be wholly conclusory and would be disregarded. But
    by indicating and explaining at considerable length the kind of analysis that would
    be conducted to quantify the loss of revenue attributable to discriminatory lending,
    the City has plausibly alleged a calculable harm and has made more than a
    formulaic recitation of how the causation requirement will be met. There could be
    a battle of experts down the line over whether the regression analysis really shows
    what the City says it does, but, as we see it, that would be for a later stage of the
    litigation. The complaints’ allegation that regression analysis can pinpoint
    causation is sufficient at this stage and helps account for the concerns raised by this
    first factor.
    The plausibility of hedonic regression analysis has a direct bearing on how
    “difficult it [is] to ascertain the amount of [the City’s] damage attributable to the
    49
    Case: 14-14544       Date Filed: 05/03/2019      Page: 50 of 76
    violation, as distinct from other, independent, factors,” 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 269
    ,
    and thus helps determine “what is administratively possible and convenient,” in
    terms of damages calculation, Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . Here, the City has
    plausibly pled that it is practicable and convenient to quantify the property tax
    injury’s causal connection to the Banks’ policies. In addition to the studies
    identified by the City, we note in passing there has been a substantial amount of
    writing (including legal literature) that has discussed or employed hedonic
    regression analysis as a practicable and effective way of calculating impacts on
    real estate values.7 One author at the University of Wisconsin School of Business
    has written that “[o]ver the past three decades, hedonic estimation has clearly
    matured from a new technology to become the standard way economists deal with
    housing heterogeneity.” 8 Likewise, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation
    and Development’s (OECD) Handbook on Residential Property Prices Indices
    (RPPI) calls hedonic regression “probably the best method that could be used in
    order to construct quality RPPIs for various types of property.” 9 While we may
    7
    See, e.g., Yun-Chien Chang, Economic Value or Fair Market Value: What Form of Takings
    Compensation is Efficient?, 20 SUP. CT. ECON. REV. 35, 52–54 (2012); Yun-Chien Chang & Lee
    Anne Fennell, Partition and Revelation, 81 U. CHI. L. REV. 27, 35 n.35(2014); Randall Akee,
    Checkerboards and Coase: The Effect of Property Institutions on Efficiency in Housing Markets,
    52 J.L. & ECON. 395, 402–03 (2009).
    8
    Stephen Malpezzi, Hedonic Pricing Models: A Selective and Applied Review, in HOUSING
    ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY 67, 87 (Tony O’Sullivan & Kenneth Gibb eds., 2003).
    9
    OECD, Hedonic Regression Methods, in HANDBOOK ON RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDICES
    50, 57 (2003).
    50
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    not engage in a Daubert analysis at this early stage, that hedonic regression
    analysis has been favorably referenced and employed elsewhere and over several
    decades cuts against the suggestion at the motion to dismiss stage that it is a wholly
    implausible invention of the City’s or that apportioning blame through its
    application would be so challenging that the complaints cannot state a claim.
    At a more basic level, the aggregative nature of the City’s claims also helps
    eliminate any discontinuity between the statutory violation and the injury. See
    
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1394
    . Here, the claimed violation is a “pattern or practice
    of reverse redlining” leading to a “disproportionately high rate of foreclosure.”
    BoA FAC at 30; WF FAC at 43. Even if each individual act of redlining does not
    bear a one-to-one proportional relationship to Miami’s loss of tax revenue, see
    
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1394
    , since intervening circumstances affect which
    individual properties go into foreclosure, in the aggregate it has been plausibly
    alleged that the impact of redlining and reverse-redlining can be identified with
    precision and deterred. Similarly, in Blue Shield, the Court identified “the physical
    and economic nexus between the alleged violation and the harm to the plaintiff” as
    a factor to consider when applying proximate cause to the Clayton Act. Blue
    
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 478
    . The scale of the misconduct matches the scale of the
    injury.
    51
    Case: 14-14544       Date Filed: 05/03/2019      Page: 52 of 76
    Since the Supreme Court spoke to this issue in Bank of America, two district
    courts analyzing similar FHA claims by municipalities against lending institutions
    have relied on the availability of regression analysis in finding that proximate
    cause had been plausibly alleged. Most similarly and most recently, a district court
    in the Northern District of California entertained a similar case brought by the City
    of Oakland against Wells Fargo for predatory lending practices. City of Oakland
    v. Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., No. 15-cv-04321, 
    2018 WL 3008538
    (N.D. Cal. June
    15, 2018). 10 In denying a motion to dismiss that court recognized, as we have, that
    “[w]hile the fact of aggregative injury itself does not obviate proximate cause
    analysis,” the proffer of “a specific statistical analysis in regard to [the City’s]
    property tax injury” adequately supports the idea that there was “an alleged
    provable and quantifiable causal link between the defendant’s conduct and
    plaintiff’s injury” notwithstanding the suggested length of the causal chain. 
    Id. at *8.
    But when it came to a municipal-expenditures injury -- similar to Miami’s --
    the district court ruled that since “Oakland ha[d] not proffered any statistical
    10
    After this decision, the district court in the Oakland case certified two questions for
    interlocutory appeal to the Ninth Circuit: “(1) Do Oakland’s claims for damages based on the
    injuries asserted in the [First Amended Complaint] satisfy on a motion to dismiss proximate
    cause required by the FHA?” and “(2) Is the proximate-cause requirement articulated in City of
    Miami limited to claims for damages under the FHA and not to claims for injunctive or
    declaratory relief?” Order Granting Defendant’s Motion to Amend Order to Include
    Certification for Interlocutory Appeal, City of Oakland, No. 15-cv-04321, 
    2018 WL 7575537
    at
    *2. The parties’ briefs before the Ninth Circuit are due in June and July of 2019. City of
    Oakland v. Wells Fargo & Co., No. 19-15169 (9th Cir. Mar. 26, 2019), ECF No. 10.
    52
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 53 of 76
    analyses comparable to those in the property-tax analysis,” the first Holmes factor
    counted against them and problems of multiple causation abounded. 
    Id. at *10.
    Those claims were dismissed without prejudice. 
    Id. A district
    court in
    Philadelphia found that city had “adequately [pled] proximate cause for . . . non-
    economic injuries” stemming from FHA violations in part by relying on “a
    regression analysis of [bank] loan data” that had demonstrated Latino and African-
    American borrowers were 2.641 and 4.147 times more likely to go into foreclosure
    than similarly situated white borrowers. City of Philadelphia v. Wells Fargo &
    Co., No. 17-2203, 
    2018 WL 424451
    (E.D. Pa. Jan. 16, 2018).
    In describing its second claimed economic injury -- increased municipal
    expenditures for police, fire, sanitation, and the like resulting from widespread
    foreclosures -- the City does not do as well when measured against the first
    Holmes factor. When it comes to this injury, the City’s complaints fail to explain
    how we can ascertain with any level of detail or precision which expenditures will
    be attributable to the Banks. It is self-evident that this must be accomplished
    somehow because the entire increase in municipal expenditures over any time
    period cannot possibly be fairly attributed to the Banks’ conduct. Intervening
    causes and independent variables will inevitably run up this measure of damages
    because the City’s expenditures occur at some obvious level of remove from the
    foreclosures that it says cause them. They are further down the chain, to put it in
    53
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 54 of 76
    step-counting terms. There is nothing in the pleadings that suggests the plaintiff
    will be able to sort out the extent to which these damages are attributable to the
    Banks’ misconduct.
    The City’s pleadings on increased expenditures are in stark contrast to their
    pleadings about tax revenue. The increased expenditures pleadings state, in almost
    conclusory fashion, that “the City is required to provide increased municipal
    services” at foreclosed properties and that “these services would not have been
    necessary if the properties had not been foreclosed upon.” BoA FAC at 34; WF
    FAC at 47. The complaints then proceed to list types of expenditures: police, fire,
    building code enforcement, and the like. If any direct connections exist between
    the foreclosure and any of these expenditures, the City has not explained them, and
    they are not so obvious as to be self-evident. We also see no explanation of how
    the City will identify the amount of increase attributable to the foreclosures or to
    the Banks’ conduct. In pleading the tax-revenue injury, however, the City explains
    in considerable detail how hedonic regression analysis will help pinpoint the
    attributable loss. This is not to say that hedonic regression analysis, specifically,
    should have been referenced again in relation to the expenditure injury in order to
    satisfy the first Holmes factor. Rather we suggest only that a pleading in a case
    like this must make clear how a plaintiff will demonstrate that an injury is
    54
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    attributable to a defendant. Hedonic regression serves this role with regard to the
    tax-revenue injury, but may not be the only way this could ever be accomplished.11
    The first Holmes factor, addressing the attributability of the injury to the
    defendant’s conduct, is where the two economic injuries alleged by the City are
    most different in terms of finding a “direct relation.” The tax-revenue injury has
    been pled with detailed explanations of statistical proof, which serve to plausibly
    allege that the courts will be able to work out just what the Banks can be fairly held
    accountable for. The municipal-expenditure injury fails to do this. Statistical
    proofs are not the only method of proof, but, when we readily discern a
    discontinuity between misconduct and injury, for the plaintiff to plausibly plead
    proximate cause, it must allege something more with which to bridge the gap and
    demonstrate that the defendant’s liability will bear “some direct relation” to its
    11
    A few other district courts have illustrated the point. In three lawsuits against banks alleging
    the same kinds of practices that Miami has alleged, Cook County, Illinois claimed damages
    based on “out-of-pocket costs it . . . incurred in processing the discriminatory foreclosures, such
    as additional funding for the Cook County Sheriff to serve foreclosure notices and for the Circuit
    Court of Cook County to process the deluge of foreclosures.” County of Cook v. Bank of Am.
    Corp., No. 14 C 2280, 
    2018 WL 1561725
    at *7 (N.D. Ill. Mar. 30, 2018); see also County of
    Cook, Ill. v. HSBC N. Am. Holdings, 
    314 F. Supp. 3d 950
    , 956 (N.D. Ill. 2018); County of
    Cook, Ill. v. Wells Fargo & Co., 
    314 F. Supp. 3d 975
    , 982 (N.D. Ill. 2018). Those out-of-pocket
    costs were found to have plausibly been proximately caused by the banks because these
    expenditures are automatic results of foreclosures. See 
    HSBC, 314 F. Supp. 3d at 962
    ; Wells
    
    Fargo, 314 F. Supp. 3d at 984
    ; Bank of Am., 
    2018 WL 1561725
    at *7. These were the only
    claimed damages that survived a motion dismiss in the Northern District of Illinois, as all three
    courts there found that Cook County had failed to adequately plead proximate cause for the kinds
    of tax-revenue and municipal-expenditure injuries that Miami pleads here. See HSBC, 913 F.
    Supp. 3d at 962–64; Wells 
    Fargo, 314 F. Supp. 3d at 988
    ; Bank of Am., 
    2018 WL 1561725
    at
    *5. Miami pled no out-of-pocket costs closely tied to foreclosures along these lines.
    55
    Case: 14-14544    Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 56 of 76
    actions. On the increased-expenditure injury, the City has not plausibly pled its
    case.
    2.
    Holmes’s second factor posits that “recognizing claims of the indirectly
    injured would force courts to adopt complicated rules apportioning damages
    among plaintiffs removed at different levels of injury from the violative acts, to
    obviate the risk of multiple recoveries.” 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 269
    . In Holmes, this
    was a problem because a trial court would “have to find some way to apportion the
    possible respective recoveries by the broker-dealers and the customers, who would
    otherwise each be entitled to recover the full treble damages.” 
    Id. at 273.
    Antitrust
    cases also emphasize “the risk of duplicative recovery engendered by allowing
    every person along a chain of distribution to claim damages” from a single
    violation, and have identified this as a powerful reason to allow suit only by more
    directly injured parties. Blue 
    Shield, 457 U.S. at 474
    –75 (citing Ill. Brick Co. v.
    Illinois, 
    431 U.S. 720
    , 745 (1977); Hawaii v. Standard Oil Co. of Cal., 
    405 U.S. 251
    (1972)).
    Again, no such problem is presented in this case: plainly, the injuries to the
    City’s treasury are not shared by any other possible plaintiff. These economic
    injuries, whether or not they can ultimately be recovered for, could only be alleged
    by the City. The City’s theory, therefore, presents no concern about double
    56
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    recovery or “piggy-backing,” precisely because its injuries are unique.
    Substantially decreased tax revenue and increased municipal costs are injuries that
    affect the interests of the City alone, so there could not plausibly be any difficulty
    in apportioning them between multiple plaintiffs. The harm and damages pled by
    individual homeowners suing under the FHA would be entirely different. These
    plaintiffs could sue for actual and punitive damages, injunctive and equitable relief,
    or attorney’s fees. See 42 U.S.C. § 3613(c). In this Circuit they could also seek
    damages based on “anger, embarrassment, and emotional distress.” Banai v.
    Sec’y, U.S. Dep’t of Hous. & Urban Dev. ex rel. Times, 
    102 F.3d 1203
    , 1207 (11th
    Cir. 1997). Many courts have permitted FHA plaintiffs to recover pecuniary
    damages, including moving costs and forfeited security deposits. E.g., Belcher v.
    Grand Reserve MGM, LLC, 
    269 F. Supp. 3d 1219
    , 1239 (M.D. Ala. 2017). But no
    court could allow a homeowner to recover for harm to a city’s treasury.
    The City, on the other hand, has claimed it was financially harmed in two
    ways -- injury to its tax base and tax revenue because of reduced property value,
    and increased expenditures on City services in certain neighborhoods. The
    damages that these harms could support do not overlap in any way with or
    duplicate the damages that individual homeowners may have sustained, because
    the harms are entirely separate. The City’s injuries would be “passed on” forms of
    the homeowners’ injuries if, for example, it were claiming it lost tax revenue
    57
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    because homeowners who were overpaying on their mortgages were subsequently
    unable to pay their taxes. But this is not the case. The City alleges instead that the
    Banks’ misconduct had a direct, necessary, and immediate impact on its fiscal
    health at the neighborhood and citywide level. The homeowners’ losses are
    obviously related to the losses that Miami allegedly incurred, but they are
    independent. Injury to the City’s treasury is a distinct injury, it is not purely
    derivative of misfortunes visited on homeowners. Even if we were to assume that
    each victim of discrimination were to successfully bring an individual claim -- a
    wholly implausible hypothesis -- the City would still have an independent set of
    claims based on the independent harm that it suffered. The claims would be linked
    only by shared facts surrounding the violation.
    3.
    Holmes’s final factor builds on the first two: “[T]he need to grapple with
    these problems,” the Court said, referring to the first two factors, “is simply
    unjustified by the general interest in deterring injurious conduct, since directly
    injured victims can generally be counted on to vindicate the law as private
    attorneys general, without any of the problems attendant upon suits by plaintiffs
    injured more remotely.” 
    Id. at 269–70.
    Thus, in Holmes, the directly injured
    broker-dealers “could be counted on to bring suit for the law’s vindication,” and so
    it was less necessary for SIPC to sue on behalf of the broker-dealers’ customers.
    58
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    Id. at 273.
    In Bridge, the same factor cut in the other direction; the plaintiffs were
    injured because they had less success at county-run auctions when the defendants
    cheated, and their harm was “the direct result of [defendant’s] fraud” in part
    because, even though the plaintiffs didn’t themselves rely on any fraudulent
    assertions, “no more immediate victim is better situated to sue.” 
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 658
    .
    The third Holmes factor has been applied to antitrust statutes as well. The
    availability of more directly injured plaintiffs influenced the Court’s determination
    that “directness” between the plaintiff’s injury and the defendant’s action was
    lacking in Associated General Contractors of California, Inc. v. Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    , 540–41 (1983). There, a union alleged that the defendant employer
    association had “coerced certain third parties . . . to enter into business
    relationships with nonunion firms” in a way that violated the Clayton Act. 
    Id. at 520–21.
    This hurt unionized firms and, thus, hurt the plaintiff union. 
    Id. The Court
    found that the union had not alleged a sufficiently direct injury, noting that:
    The existence of an identifiable class of persons whose self-interest
    would normally motivate them to vindicate the public interest in
    antitrust enforcement diminishes the justification for allowing a more
    remote party such as the Union to perform the office of a private
    attorney general. Denying the Union a remedy on the basis of its
    allegations in this case is not likely to leave a significant antitrust
    violation undetected or unremedied.
    
    Id. at 542.
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    In these kinds of cases it is preferable for more directly injured plaintiffs to
    take the lead in acting as private attorneys general because those plaintiffs will be
    able to deter future violations more effectively and efficiently. When more directly
    injured parties can sue for the full swath of harm caused by statutory violations, the
    threat of suit by these parties has the maximum possible deterrent effect on
    potential violators, and it’s simply not worthwhile to also allow minimally
    deterring suits by plaintiffs farther down the causal chain. Cf. Southern Pac. Co. v.
    Darnell-Taenzer Lumber Co., 
    245 U.S. 531
    , 534 (1918) (“The [defendant] ought
    not to be allowed to retain his illegal profit, and the only one who can take it from
    him is the one that alone was in relation with him, and from whom the [defendant]
    took the sum.”) (Holmes, J.).
    Thus, in antitrust cases the courts have long expressed a “concern for the
    reduction in the effectiveness of those suits if brought by indirect purchasers with a
    smaller stake in the outcome than that of direct purchasers suing for the full
    amount of the overcharge.” Ill. Brick 
    Co., 431 U.S. at 745
    ; see also 
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1391
    (establishing, for the Lanham Act, a rule barring suit by
    “commercial parties who suffer merely as a result of [a direct] competitor’s
    ‘inability to meet [its] financial obligations’” (quoting 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 458
    )).
    For this reason, the federal courts have rejected the monopolist’s “passing on”
    defense -- the argument that mid-stream purchasers charged monopoly prices are
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    not harmed because they can “pass on” any overcharges to consumers. See
    Richard A. Posner, Economic Analysis of Law 395–96 (9th ed. 2014). Consumers
    cannot sue over monopoly pricing, but this does not mean there is a meaningful
    reduction in enforcement. See 
    id. at 396
    (“[Consumers’] right [to sue] is less
    valuable because, being at once more remote . . . and more numerous, consumers
    are less efficient antitrust enforcers.”).
    The same logic surrounding deterrence does not apply here. While the City
    may be a step further down the chain of causation, the homeowners are much more
    numerous and less well suited to prosecute a global claim. The City’s suit could
    achieve better deterrence because it aims to recover for a larger injury sustained on
    a citywide basis and to remedy a different, broader violation than a homeowner’s
    suit would. The City alleges widespread redlining and reverse-redlining policies
    conducted by the Banks. The City’s suit challenges the entire policies. A
    discrimination claim by an individual homeowner would challenge only a bank’s
    discriminatory action against that homeowner. Conceivably the banks could face
    suits by many homeowners who were discriminated against, or who lost property
    value because their neighbors’ houses were foreclosed on, but these suits wouldn’t
    serve to condemn the pattern or policy. Individual homeowners would also face
    most of the same causation problems -- presumably a variety of factors contributed
    to any individual foreclosure -- but the regression analysis that can isolate the
    61
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    impact of redlining on the neighborhood scale could not solve this problem on the
    individual level because of the diversity of individual circumstances.
    Moreover, even if homeowners were better-situated to vindicate the same
    wrongdoing -- and that is plainly not the case here -- the additional assumption that
    others will pursue the lawsuits and achieve deterrence is nowhere near as likely
    true under the FHA as under the other statutes. Antitrust and, to a lesser extent,
    civil RICO suits are typically brought by sophisticated business entities, often with
    deep pockets, and those plaintiffs also have the added incentive of realizing treble
    damages. In Holmes and Associated General Contractors, the Court left the job of
    deterring statutory violations to broker-dealers and businesses using union labor.
    These parties were subject to complex regulatory environments and undoubtedly
    had counsel in place prepared to sue to vindicate their rights. Here, instead, the
    alternative plaintiffs are homeowners whose homes were foreclosed upon.
    Compared with the sophisticated parties involved in the RICO and antitrust cases,
    it seems far less likely that these injured parties could be counted on to file suit.
    While it’s possible that some might, it seems exceedingly unlikely that more than a
    handful at most would do so, and we have seen precious little reason to believe that
    many have. The vast majority of individual cases of discriminatory lending cases
    are left unpursued and unaddressed. In Associated General, the Court observed
    that “[d]enying the [plaintiff] a remedy on the basis of its allegations in this case
    62
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    [was] not likely to leave a significant [statutory] violation undetected or
    
    unremedied.” 459 U.S. at 542
    . That’s less plausible here.
    As a result, the peculiarities surrounding the claims raised in this case make
    it distinct from an antitrust case where a mid-stream purchaser can bring
    essentially the same action against a monopolist as the ultimate consumer would.
    The question of efficacy is harder to resolve here because, although the
    homeowners are arguably closer in the chain, they are too numerous and diffuse to
    be counted on for deterrence. They are better situated only in a narrow, literal
    sense. The City, on the other hand, has plausibly alleged an injury, calculable in
    the aggregate, that bears a direct relation to the Banks’ policies, applied in the
    aggregate, which allegedly violated the statute.
    4.
    The Holmes factors also help cabin proximate cause against other less-
    directly injured plaintiffs. Writing separately in Bank of America, Justice Thomas
    suggested that Miami’s theory of causation would require that neighboring
    homeowners who were not foreclosed on but whose property values fell could also
    sue the 
    banks. 137 S. Ct. at 1312
    (Thomas, J., concurring in part and dissenting in
    part). Still other concerns have been raised about the corner grocer who may have
    lost business on account of foreclosures, the utility company, or maybe even real
    estate brokers working on commission to resell properties in the area. The Court’s
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    own guidance from Holmes, attuned as it is to the administrative practicalities, can
    go a long way toward allaying these concerns. Application of the Holmes factors
    reasonably establishes that the City’s injury is logically bound up with the Banks’
    alleged conduct in meaningful ways missing from injuries to these other putative
    claimants.
    To begin with the first factor, corner grocers or neighboring property
    owners, unlike the City, would have substantially more difficulty plausibly
    alleging that they could calculate damages attributable to the Banks’ actions with a
    reasonable degree of certainty. By contrast, hedonic regression techniques are
    most effective when applied on a neighborhood or citywide level, precisely
    because individual variations among homeowners average out when foreclosures
    are considered in the aggregate. Indeed the amended complaints specifically cite
    to a study showing that each foreclosure in Chicago was “responsible for an
    average decline of approximately 1.1% in the value of each single-family home
    within an eighth of a mile.” BoA FAC at 33; WF FAC at 46. The average decline
    can be used to calculate the impact of foreclosures on property value across a
    neighborhood on account of the large sample size. A neighboring homeowner, on
    the other hand, would be affected only by homes closest to his own, and these
    might not accurately reflect the citywide average, in terms of causation or value.
    And a corner grocer might be affected by the surrounding few blocks of homes, but
    64
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    this may be wholly unrepresentative of citywide trends, making causal attribution
    to redlining all the more difficult.
    Put another way, in step-counting terms, the grocer or the utility company is
    demonstrably further down the causal chain because many independent variables
    can enter the equation after foreclosure occurs. The City will necessarily be
    harmed as soon as the foreclosures occur. For the grocer, though, a nearby home’s
    foreclosure does not necessarily mean anything. The causal chain for the grocer is
    longer, more attenuated, and more of a problem for proximate cause analysis
    because there is a powerful discontinuity between the foreclosures and the grocer’s
    loss of profits. It would therefore be exceedingly difficult to trace causation from
    the Banks’ predatory practices through the foreclosures to the grocers’ diminished
    profits. The corner grocer, or the utility company, is not affected when a home is
    foreclosed or when property values go down. These parties are not hurt until
    individual homeowners decide to spend less money at that grocer, decide not to
    pay the electric bill, or move away. Thus, there are many more third parties, and
    many more intervening steps when it comes to the corner grocer or the utility
    company. When a homeowner is given a bad, discriminatory loan, the injury to
    one of these more distant plaintiffs is in no sense “automatic[],” Lexmark, 134 S.
    Ct. at 1394; it therefore becomes harder to attribute back to the Banks.
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    The application of the second Holmes factor also strongly suggests why any
    injury sustained by the corner grocer or by the utility company would not be
    proximately caused by the Banks’ conduct. These are classic “passed on” injuries.
    The Court has consistently said that “where the alleged violations [are] linked to
    the asserted harms only through the [directly injured parties’] inability to meet
    their financial obligations” proximate cause will not be found. 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 458
    ; see also 
    Lexmark, 1391 S. Ct. at 1391
    (referencing “the electric company,”
    specifically, as an entity in this sort of position); 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 271
    .
    Individual homeowners have financial obligations to the City in the form of
    property taxes, but the City’s claim is not that it is harmed because property taxes
    went unpaid. Rather, the City says that property values decreased and that
    therefore it was not entitled to as much property-tax revenue. The City’s loss is
    not due to anyone lacking “the wherewithal to pay,” 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 271
    , but
    to the fact that redlining means the City is not able to collect nearly as much as it
    would have, had the alleged FHA violations not occurred in the first place.
    The third Holmes factor -- the reliability with which a plaintiff could remedy
    harm or achieve deterrence -- also strongly suggests that we need not fear a deluge
    of suits by grocers, neighbors, or power companies. These potential plaintiffs,
    even if injured, would be in a far weaker position and far less likely than the City
    to achieve deterrence or to remedy the entirety of the harm caused by the Banks’
    66
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    alleged violations. Their claims would be disjointed, aimed at remedying FHA
    violations only on particular blocks, in contrast to the City’s unique ability to
    attack the Banks’ whole pattern or practice on a municipal level. Any claims by
    the corner grocer or the neighboring homeowner would be further out in the chain
    of causation than the City is, and these claims would lack the broad scope that
    allows the City to achieve maximal deterrence. Quite simply, they would face far
    tougher versions of all the challenges the City faces, but with none of the offsetting
    advantages.
    As we see it, the factors articulated by the Supreme Court in Holmes cabin
    this decision and keep the floodgates closed. But these factors are not the only
    reason our ruling does not extend liability beyond what is reasonable.
    Foreseeability remains a real part of the proximate cause calculation and also will
    function to cut off liability in many instances. Dan B. Dobbs, Paul T. Hayden &
    Ellen M. Bublick, The Law of Torts § 199, at 686 (2d ed. 2011) (“The defendant
    must have been reasonably able to foresee the kind of harm that was actually
    suffered by the plaintiff . . . .”). We are exceedingly dubious that courts would
    expect lenders to reasonably foresee unending ripples of harm that overwhelm the
    judicial branch.
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    D. Common-law antecedents require direct relation
    The Court has also told us that the FHA’s common-law antecedents are a
    primary reason why “proximate cause under the FHA requires ‘some direct
    relation between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct alleged.’” Bank of
    
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    . As a result, we know that “[a] damages claim under the
    [FHA] ‘is analogous to a number of tort actions recognized at common law,’” and
    that “directness principles” thus apply. 
    Id. We also
    observed, in our previous
    opinions, that FHA damages claims “have long been analogized to tort claims.”
    See Bank of 
    Am., 800 F.3d at 1282
    . These analogues, however, only take us so
    far. They do not help flesh out the meaning of “direct relation,” even though they
    are the basis for imposing the requirement.
    The Court identified some common-law claims that are analogues for FHA
    claims in Curtis v. Loether, 
    415 U.S. 189
    (1973). See Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (citing Curtis for the proposition that an FHA damages claim is analogous to
    certain common-law torts). There, the Court was evaluating whether the Seventh
    Amendment, which guarantees jury trials for “suits at common law,” guaranteed a
    jury in an FHA suit. U.S. CONST. amend VII; see 
    Curtis, 415 U.S. at 190
    . The
    Court said it did, because FHA claims for housing discrimination were comparable
    to “the common-law duty of innkeepers not to refuse temporary lodging to a
    68
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    traveler without justification,” “an action for defamation or intentional infliction of
    mental distress,” or “law[s] of insult and indignity.” 
    Id. at 195
    n.10.
    The identification of these common-law antecedents does not get us too far.
    We lack any clear indication that Congress had these common-law claims in mind
    when drafting the FHA, and so we are reluctant draw too much from them beyond
    the “some direct relation” requirement. For one thing, we would not know which
    common-law claim to begin with, since we do not see the obvious correspondence
    to the common law the Court has identified elsewhere. Thus, for example, this
    case is not like Bridge where common-law mail fraud was an obvious precursor to
    RICO mail fraud. See 
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 652
    .
    Other statutory causes of action have more tangible foundations in particular
    common-law claims. The Court does not define what exactly counts as “common-
    law foundations” but RICO and the antitrust statutes are the paradigmatic
    examples. See, e.g., 
    Bridge, 533 U.S. at 651
    (“[W]hen Congress established in
    RICO a civil cause of action for a person ‘injured . . . by reason of’ a
    ‘conspir[acy],’ it meant to adopt . . . well-established common-law civil conspiracy
    principles” (quoting Beck v. Prupis, 
    529 U.S. 494
    , 504 (2000))); 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 267
    (“[C]ourts had read § 7 [of the Sherman Act] to incorporate common-law
    principles of proximate causation.”). In Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp., 
    547 U.S. 451
    , 457 (2006), a RICO case, the Court also said that “directness principles”
    69
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    apply to statutes with “common-law foundations.” Bank of 
    Am., 137 S. Ct. at 1306
    (quoting 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 457
    ). Anza repeated reasoning from Holmes
    comparing RICO’s civil suit provision to the Clayton Act’s. 
    Anza, 547 U.S. at 457
    (citing 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 267
    –68).
    The connection between the Clayton Act and RICO, laid out in Holmes, was
    foundational for proximate cause analysis under RICO. See, e.g., Hemi 
    Group, 559 U.S. at 8
    –10 (citing Holmes, 
    503 U.S. 258
    ); 
    Bridge, 553 U.S. at 653
    –55
    (citing Holmes, 
    503 U.S. 258
    ); 
    Anza 547 U.S. at 457
    (citing 
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 267
    –68). In fact, RICO’s civil suit provision was modeled on the antitrust statutes
    of the early 20th century, so standards of proximate cause that applied to early
    Clayton and Sherman Act cases can be readily applied to RICO as well. See
    
    Holmes, 503 U.S. at 268
    ; see also Assoc. Gen. 
    Contractors, 459 U.S. at 531
    –35.
    Even without a deep dive into legislative history, the connection between the
    statutes is obvious because their civil suit provisions are almost identical. The
    Clayton Act reads:
    [A]ny person who shall be injured in his business or property by reason
    of anything forbidden in the antitrust laws may sue therefor . . . and
    shall recover threefold the damages by him sustained, and the cost of
    suit, including a reasonable attorney’s fee.
    15 U.S.C. § 15. Likewise, RICO reads:
    Any person injured in his business or property by reason of a violation
    of section 1962 of this chapter may sue therefor in any appropriate
    United States district court and shall recover threefold the damages he
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    sustains and the cost of the suit, including a reasonable attorney’s
    fee . . . .
    18 U.S.C. § 1964(c). Both statutes thus say that “any person” “injured in his
    business or property” by a violation of the statute has a cause of action and can
    recover treble damages plus attorney’s fees.
    The common-law foundations of the Fair Housing Act are less obvious
    insofar as they relate to proximate cause. For starters, the FHA does not employ
    the language that the Clayton Act shares with RICO. It authorizes suit by an
    “aggrieved person,” 42 U.S.C. § 3613(a)(1)(A), expansively defined as “any
    person who (1) claims to have been injured by a discriminatory housing practice;
    or (2) believes that such person will be injured by a discriminatory housing
    practice that is about to occur.” 
    Id. § 3602(i).
    Indeed, under the language
    employed by Congress in the FHA, the aggrieved person need not be injured
    specifically “in his business or property.” Moreover, the remedies are distinct
    from the relief available for a violation of the Clayton Act or RICO -- treble
    damages are not available, and the court “may allow” attorney’s fees, but under the
    FHA it is not required to, as it would be under RICO or the Clayton Act. See 42
    U.S.C. § 3613(c).
    These textual differences make it harder to assume that the legislators
    drafting the FHA were drawing on the same version of proximate cause that was
    used in these earlier statutes. We are still able to borrow notions about proximate
    71
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 72 of 76
    cause from the common law for the FHA, but it strikes us as inappropriate simply
    to assume that the FHA necessarily incorporated the nature and form of proximate
    cause as it was employed in these other statutes for which we can trace a much
    more direct provenance. And, since understandings of proximate cause at common
    law evolved over time, we would need to know which version of common–law
    proximate cause a statute adopted. See 
    Sperino, supra, at 1225
    (“The one thing
    that is certain about proximate cause is that its underlying goals are contested and
    evolving.”). Different statutes may not have incorporated the same common-law
    standard; the Palsgraf case and the First Restatement of Torts both postdated
    passage of the Sherman Act but had become highly foundational texts for
    understanding proximate cause by the time RICO was drafted. 
    Id. The evolving
    shape of proximate cause at common law further complicates any analysis that
    would depend entirely upon incorporating a common-law standard from a statute
    that predated the FHA.
    Congress might have brought common-law standards to bear on the new
    problems it addressed in the 1960s, but the fact that we may identify some
    common-law analogue does not necessarily mean that this was the case. The Fair
    Housing Act does not employ language drawn from the older federal statutes with
    connections to the common law, and, as best as we can tell, this cause of action
    does not have an unmistakable common-law antecedent. As a result, while
    72
    Case: 14-14544     Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 73 of 76
    considering the common law may be valuable and informative, and while the
    statute’s common-law antecedents do require a plaintiff plausibly to allege “some
    direct relation,” we are unable to discern any further lessons from the common law
    that bear on our analysis.
    IV. Conclusion
    In sum, we hold that there is “some direct relation” between the City’s tax-
    revenue injuries and the Bank’s alleged violations of the FHA. The Supreme
    Court has never held that the presence of an intervening causal step or the
    involvement of a third party necessarily bars a finding of proximate cause as a
    matter of law, and we decline to establish so hard and fast a rule today.
    The City’s detailed allegations on its tax-revenue injury are sufficient for a
    variety of reasons: the FHA is a broad and ambitious statute which employs a
    standard of proximate cause that facilitates its operation; Congress meant for the
    FHA to be a big solution to a big problem -- housing segregation generated by
    intentional racial discrimination; for half a century courts have read the FHA
    broadly and Congress has repeatedly assented to these readings; the impact of the
    Banks’ redlining can readily be identified at a citywide or neighborhood level, so
    even if there were not “something very close to a 1:1 relationship,” 
    Lexmark, 134 S. Ct. at 1394
    , the City has plausibly explained how it will calculate damages in a
    reasonably precise way; the injury is profoundly different from any injuries
    73
    Case: 14-14544      Date Filed: 05/03/2019    Page: 74 of 76
    suffered by a homeowner; and there’s no reason to think that homeowners would
    make for more efficient plaintiffs. In the absence of any palpable concerns about
    unadministrable litigation, we ought not to unduly constrain the remedial effect of
    the FHA.
    Put differently, the City has adequately pled proximate cause when it comes
    to its tax-base injury because the Banks’ redlining and reverse-redlining practices
    bear some direct relation to the City’s fiscal injuries. There is a logical and direct
    bond between discriminatory lending as a pattern and practice applied to
    neighborhoods throughout the City and the reduction in property values. Third
    parties are involved, but the harm to the City is not contingent on their actions
    when considered in the aggregate. There is no discontinuity between the violation
    and the harm. Bad loans in the aggregate will mean foreclosures in the aggregate,
    which will mean loss of property value and a reduction in the tax base. An
    individual home might go under for a variety of causes, but when discriminatory
    lending practices pervade a neighborhood or a city, the city’s fisc will necessarily
    be affected because we know some number of homes will go under, and some
    number of properties will lose value. When we consider the claimed violations
    and the injuries sustained in the aggregate -- that is, at the scale that the complaints
    present them -- it becomes clearer that injuries to the city’s treasury are necessary,
    direct, and immediate results of these kinds of FHA violations.
    74
    Case: 14-14544    Date Filed: 05/03/2019   Page: 75 of 76
    By many of these same measures, however, the City’s increased municipal
    expenditures injury fails, and so the district court was correct to find that proximate
    cause for this injury had not been adequately pled in the complaints it was
    reviewing. The City’s increased expenditures have not been plausibly presented as
    directly and automatically resulting from the Banks’ alleged conduct. Even though
    we think foreclosures follow directly from the Banks’ conduct, there is too much
    opportunity in the causal chain between foreclosure and increased expenditures for
    intervening actors and causes to play a role, and there has been no explanation by
    the City of how we might conceivably isolate the injury attributable to the Banks.
    Thus we have identified this alleged injury as being too remote to satisfy proximate
    cause.
    We repeat that we have not answered every outstanding question in this
    case. Much remains to be determined as the litigation proceeds, but this case is
    before this Court only on a motion to dismiss. It is not our role at this stage to
    decide whether hedonic regression analysis can actually identify injuries
    attributable to violations with sufficient accuracy, or indeed whether the banks
    actually made decisions based on race as opposed to socioeconomic factors that
    may correlate with race or with other considerations. Today we have done only
    two things. Broadly, we have worked out in some detail what proximate cause
    requires in an FHA suit. More specifically, we have evaluated whether these
    75
    Case: 14-14544        Date Filed: 05/03/2019       Page: 76 of 76
    complaints against these Banks plausibly allege that Miami’s injuries to its tax
    base were directly related to the violations they describe. We simply find that the
    operative complaints explain in a plausible fashion how the claimed tax-revenue
    injuries bear “some direct relation” to the misconduct that the City is challenging.
    This harm to Miami, as pled, is not just foreseeable but, when measured in the
    aggregate, is directly related to the pattern of unlawful behavior the City has
    alleged.
    The City has plausibly alleged a violation of the FHA and has stated a claim
    in its First Amended Complaints. Accordingly we conclude that the district court
    improvidently dismissed the FHA claims in their entirety and ought to have
    granted the City leave to amend its complaints, since amendation would not have
    been futile.12 The cases are remanded to the district court for further proceedings
    consistent with this opinion.
    REVERSED and REMANDED
    12
    We leave it to the district court to determine which complaints should be operative for its
    purposes, or whether to grant the City leave to file new ones. See supra n.2.
    76
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 14-14544

Citation Numbers: 923 F.3d 1260

Filed Date: 5/3/2019

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

Authorities (22)

Baytree of Inverrary Realty Partners v. The City of ... , 873 F.2d 1407 ( 1989 )

Banai v. Secretary, United States Department of Housing & ... , 102 F.3d 1203 ( 1997 )

fred-e-nasser-sr-nassery-nasser-mona-nasser-hersheway-marie-nasser , 671 F.2d 432 ( 1982 )

Southern Pacific Co. v. Darnell-Taenzer Lumber Co. , 38 S. Ct. 186 ( 1918 )

Trafficante v. Metropolitan Life Insurance , 93 S. Ct. 364 ( 1972 )

Gladstone, Realtors v. Village of Bellwood , 99 S. Ct. 1601 ( 1979 )

Curtis v. Loether , 94 S. Ct. 1005 ( 1974 )

Havens Realty Corp. v. Coleman , 102 S. Ct. 1114 ( 1982 )

Blue Shield of Va. v. McCready , 102 S. Ct. 2540 ( 1982 )

Bridge v. Phoenix Bond & Indemnity Co. , 128 S. Ct. 2131 ( 2008 )

Ashcroft v. Iqbal , 129 S. Ct. 1937 ( 2009 )

Hemi Group, LLC v. City of New York , 130 S. Ct. 983 ( 2010 )

Lexmark Int'l, Inc. v. Static Control Components, Inc. , 134 S. Ct. 1377 ( 2014 )

Associated General Contractors of California, Inc. v. ... , 103 S. Ct. 897 ( 1983 )

Hawaii v. Standard Oil Co. of Cal. , 92 S. Ct. 885 ( 1972 )

Illinois Brick Co. v. Illinois , 97 S. Ct. 2061 ( 1977 )

Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corporation , 112 S. Ct. 1311 ( 1992 )

Beck v. Prupis , 120 S. Ct. 1608 ( 2000 )

Texas Dept. of Housing and Community Affairs v. Inclusive ... , 135 S. Ct. 2507 ( 2015 )

Bank of America Corp. v. Miami , 137 S. Ct. 1296 ( 2017 )

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