Yashica Robinson v. Planned Parenthood Southeast Inc. ( 2020 )


Menu:
  •                  Case: 20-11401        Date Filed: 04/23/2020   Page: 1 of 18
    [PUBLISH]
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT
    _________________________
    No. 20-11401-B
    _________________________
    YASHICA ROBINSON,
    M.D., on behalf of themselves, their patients,
    physicians, clinic administrators, and staff,
    ALABAMA WOMEN’S CENTER,
    on behalf of themselves, their patients, physicians,
    clinic administrators, and staff,
    REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH SERVICES,
    on behalf of themselves, their patients, physicians,
    clinic administrators, and staff,
    WEST ALABAMA WOMEN’S CENTER,
    on behalf of themselves, their patients, physicians,
    clinic administrators, and staff,
    Plaintiffs - Appellees,
    PLANNED PARENTHOOD SOUTHEAST INC.,
    on behalf of themselves, their patients, physicians,
    clinic administrators, and staff,
    Plaintiff,
    versus
    ATTORNEY GENERAL, STATE OF ALABAMA,
    SCOTT HARRIS,
    M.D., in his official capacity as the State Health
    Officer at the Alabama State Department of
    Public Health,
    Defendants - Appellants,
    ROBERT L. BROUSSARD,
    in his official capacity as District Attorney
    for Madison County, et al.,
    Case: 20-11401        Date Filed: 04/23/2020       Page: 2 of 18
    Defendants.
    __________________________
    On Appeal from the United States
    District Court for the Middle District of Alabama
    __________________________
    BEFORE MARTIN, JORDAN, and ROSENBAUM, Circuit Judges.
    JORDAN, Circuit Judge.
    The Alabama Attorney General, Steve Marshall, and the Alabama State Health Officer, Dr.
    Scott Harris, move for a stay of a preliminary injunction that enjoins certain applications of a
    public health order issued in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in Alabama. For the reasons
    which follow, we deny the motion for a stay, and in a separate order we expedite the appeal.
    I
    On March 13, 2020, the Governor of Alabama declared a state public health emergency
    due to the outbreak of the novel coronavirus known as COVID-19. Dr. Harris subsequently
    issued a series of orders to combat the spread of the virus. One of these orders, published on
    March 27, 2020, mandated the postponement of “all dental, medical, or surgical procedures,” with
    two exceptions: (a) those “necessary to treat an emergency medical condition;” and (b) those
    “necessary to avoid serious harm from an underlying condition or disease, or necessary as a part of
    a patient’s ongoing and active treatment.” Initially, the order was to remain in effect until April
    17, 2020, but on April 3, 2020, Dr. Harris issued an amended order which is substantively identical
    to the March 27 order but applies until April 30, 2020. Both orders provide that they may be
    extended or relaxed depending on the circumstances. A violation of the March 27 or April 3
    orders constitutes a misdemeanor. See Ala. Code § 22-2-14.
    The plaintiffs—Dr. Yashica Robinson, the Alabama Women’s Center, Reproductive
    2
    Case: 20-11401         Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 3 of 18
    Health Services, and the West Alabama Women’s Center—are abortion providers in Alabama.
    After Dr. Harris issued the March 27 order, counsel for the plaintiffs reached out to the Alabama
    Department of Public Health to determine whether the order would be applied to their clinics. On
    March 29, the chief counsel to the Attorney General stated in response: “[W]e are unable to
    provide . . . a blanket affirmation that abortions will, in every case, fall within one of the
    exemptions.” D.E. 73 at 48 ¶¶ 14, 71 (attachment 7). Because they were concerned about being
    prosecuted for exercising their medical judgment, on March 30 the plaintiffs sought a temporary
    restraining order preventing enforcement of the March 27 order as applied to pre-viability
    abortions.1
    The district court held a hearing on the motion for a TRO that same day. At the hearing,
    counsel for the state said that the March 27 order applies to abortions, and that abortion procedures
    do not fall into the enumerated exceptions unless they are required to protect the life or health of
    the mother. See D.E. 98 at 20–21. Based on these representations, the district court issued a
    TRO. See D.E. 83.
    Two days later, on April 1, the state filed a motion to dissolve the TRO in which it clarified
    that during the TRO hearing it “did not mean to suggest” that protecting the life or health of the
    mother “are the only circumstances where an abortion would fit within one of the two exceptions.”
    D.E. 89 at 26, n.30. In response, the district court held another hearing on April 3 to discuss the
    state’s revised interpretation of the March 27 order. During this hearing, the district court
    understood the state to be making several clarifications as to the scope of the March 27 order and
    its exceptions. See D.E. 137 at 10–12. These clarifications indicated, in pertinent part, that an
    abortion could go forward if:
    1
    This issue arose in the course of ongoing litigation between the parties regarding a different Alabama
    statute. See D.E. 1. The plaintiffs amended their complaint and moved for a TRO on March 30, three
    days after the March 27 order was issued.
    3
    Case: 20-11401        Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 4 of 18
       as with all other medical procedures, a doctor determines that one of the
    exceptions in the order applies;
       a healthcare provider determines that a patient will lose her right to lawfully seek
    an abortion in Alabama based on the order’s mandatory delays, given that under
    Alabama law, abortion becomes illegal when the probable postfertilization age of
    the fetus is at least 20 weeks, see Ala. Code § 26-23B-5; or
       a healthcare provider determines that an abortion may not be delayed “in a
    healthy way.”
    See D.E. 111 at 10–13. The district court adopted these clarifications in an order staying the TRO
    in part. See
    id. It did
    so to make the state’s clarifications binding. See D.E. 137 at 13.
    As noted above, on April 3 Dr. Harris issued an amended order which is substantively
    identical to the March 27 order but applies through April 30. On April 5, the state submitted
    additional clarifications as to how it interpreted the April 3 order. The state clarified that:
       “a healthcare provider’s assertion that a procedure meets one of the exceptions [in
    the order] is not conclusive proof that the procedure meets one of the exceptions”;
       although “[t]he fact that a delay would render a procedure unavailable could be
    relevant to determining whether it is currently necessary to perform the
    procedure[,] . . . any healthcare provider would still need to make an
    individualized determination for his or her patient as to whether losing the ability
    to have a procedure performed would cause serious harm to the patient”; and
       while a procedure may be performed if it cannot be delayed in a “healthy way,”
    the risk to a patient’s health must be “sufficiently ‘serious.’”
    See D.E. 120 at 2–3 (emphasis added).
    The next day, however, during the hearing on the plaintiffs’ motion for a preliminary
    injunction, Dr. Harris changed the state’s interpretation again.        He testified that healthcare
    providers would be “the ones who determine whether their procedure fits into th[e] exceptions [in
    the order], not the health department,” based on their “clinical judgment.” D.E. 133 at 49. He
    further explained that providers may “consider whatever factors they would deem would be
    appropriate to make that determination.”
    Id. at 16.
    4
    Case: 20-11401         Date Filed: 04/23/2020          Page: 5 of 18
    Dr. Robinson testified that the state’s April 5 clarifications “made it very clear to [her] that
    [her] medical judgment was not the final decision when it came to the care decisions that [she] was
    making for [her] patients.”
    Id. at 125.
    She said that she does not “know who that is going to be
    left up to, but it made it very clear to [her] . . . that [her judgment] would not be the final call.”
    Id. She has
    “significant concerns about whether [her] medical judgment will be treated with the same
    respect as other physicians” due to the history of hostility towards her as an abortion provider in
    Alabama. See
    id. at 116–117.
    For instance, during the COVID-19 crisis, protesters had already
    called the police on her facility, trying to shut it down. See
    id. at 121.
    She is concerned that, if
    she violates the April 3 order, she will be subject to misdemeanor charges. See
    id. at 166.
    Although the district court did not determine that the April 3 order—as interpreted by Dr.
    Harris at the preliminary injunction hearing—was unconstitutional, it explained that the plaintiffs
    “cannot rely on the defendants’ non-binding assurances that they will not return to” their earlier
    interpretation of the order: that abortions may proceed without delay only if they are necessary to
    protect the mother’s life or health. See D.E. 137 at 20–21. Based on the evidence presented at
    the preliminary injunction hearing, the district court determined that the medical restrictions, as
    read pursuant to the state’s earlier interpretation, violate the Fourteenth Amendment. See
    id. at 20.
    Accordingly, it concluded that the plaintiffs demonstrated a substantial likelihood of success
    on the merits and granted a preliminary injunction. See
    id. at 21.
    The preliminary injunction issued by the district court is a limited one. It does not block
    all enforcement of the medical restrictions in the April 3 order against abortion providers. See
    D.E. 138 at 2. Instead, consistent with Dr. Harris’ testimony, it prohibits the state from failing to
    allow healthcare providers to consider and base their decisions as to whether to provide an abortion
    without delay on certain factors. See
    id. at 2–4.
    These include whether the patient would lose
    5
    Case: 20-11401        Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 6 of 18
    her legal right to obtain an abortion under Alabama Code § 26-23B-5 if the procedure were
    delayed until after April 30. See
    id. at 3.
    The state, through Attorney General Marshall and Dr. Harris, appealed. The state also
    filed an emergency motion to stay the preliminary injunction pending appeal.
    II
    In reviewing a motion to stay a preliminary injunction pending appeal, we consider the
    following factors: “(1) whether the stay applicant has made a strong showing that it is likely to
    succeed on the merits, (2) whether the applicant will be irreparably injured absent a stay, (3)
    whether the issuance of the stay will substantially injure the other parties interested in the
    proceeding, and (4) where the public interest lies.” Democratic Exec. Committee of Fla. v. Lee,
    
    915 F.3d 1312
    , 1317 (11th Cir. 2019) (citing Nken v. Holder, 
    556 U.S. 418
    , 434 (2009)). The first
    two factors “are the most critical.” 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 434
    ; 
    Lee, 915 F.3d at 1317
    . “It is not
    enough that the chance of success on the merits be better than negligible. . . . By the same token,
    simply showing some possibility of irreparable injury . . . fails to satisfy the second factor.” 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 434
    –35 (citations and internal quotation marks omitted).
    The district court, in granting a preliminary injunction, did not definitively rule on the
    merits of the case. Today, we likewise do not conclusively resolve the merits of the state’s
    appeal. Because a preliminary injunction is reviewed under the deferential abuse of discretion
    standard, see Benisek v. Lamone, 
    138 S. Ct. 1942
    , 1943 (2018), the narrow question for us is
    whether the state has made a strong showing that the district court abused its discretion.
    III
    The state argues that it is “almost certain” to succeed on the merits because (1) the
    plaintiffs lack standing to bring a pre-enforcement challenge, as they have not demonstrated a
    6
    Case: 20-11401         Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 7 of 18
    credible threat of injury; and (2) the April 3 order is a constitutional emergency measure issued
    pursuant to the state’s police powers. See Motion for Stay at 11, 13–19. We consider each
    argument below.
    A
    We have explained that “[w]hen the plaintiff has alleged an intention to engage in a course
    of conduct arguably affected with a constitutional interest, but proscribed by a statute, and there
    exists a credible threat of prosecution thereunder, he should not be required to await and undergo a
    criminal prosecution as the sole means of seeking relief.”           Am. Charities for Reasonable
    Fundraising Regulation, Inc. v. Pinellas Cty., 
    221 F.3d 1211
    , 1214 (11th Cir. 2000) (citations and
    internal quotation marks omitted). Thus, a plaintiff may establish standing to bring an as-applied/
    pre-enforcement challenge by showing that either “(1) [she] was threatened with prosecution; (2)
    prosecution is likely; or (3) there is a credible threat of prosecution.”
    Id. (citation and
    internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    At this stage, the plaintiffs have established a credible threat of prosecution, a standard we
    have described as “quite forgiving.” Wollschlaeger v. Governor, 
    848 F.3d 1293
    , 1305 (11th Cir.
    2017) (en banc) (citation and internal quotation marks omitted). Dr. Robinson testified that she is
    concerned that if she violates the April 3 order, she will be subject to misdemeanor charges. See
    D.E. 133 at 166. Indeed, under Alabama law, a violation of the March 27 or April 3 orders is a
    misdemeanor punishable by a fine of between $25 and $500 per each day of violation. See Ala.
    Code § 22-2-14.
    If the state were to abide by Dr. Harris’ interpretation of the April 3 order at the preliminary
    injunction hearing—which would permit the plaintiffs to provide abortion services that they deem
    necessary in their clinical judgment—it is unlikely that they would face prosecution. But we are
    7
    Case: 20-11401         Date Filed: 04/23/2020          Page: 8 of 18
    not persuaded that Dr. Harris’ interpretation of the order at the preliminary injunction hearing
    diminishes the plaintiffs’ reasonable fear of prosecution.
    First, Dr. Harris admitted that his statements about or interpretations of the order do not
    bind Alabama prosecuting authorities. Indeed, he testified that he has “no idea” how law
    enforcement officials would interpret or enforce the April 3 order. See D.E. 133 at 44. As we
    have explained, “[m]id-litigation assurances are all too easy to make and all too hard to enforce,
    which probably explains why the Supreme Court has refused to accept them.” W. Ala. Women’s
    Ctr. v. Williamson, 
    900 F.3d 1310
    , 1328 (11th Cir. 2018). See also Stenberg v. Carhart, 
    530 U.S. 914
    , 940–41 (2000) (declining to accept the attorney general’s “narrowing interpretation” of the
    state’s abortion statute as “authoritative” because it did not bind the state courts or local law
    enforcement authorities).2
    Second, the state says that the district court’s limited preliminary injunction “more-or-less
    memorializes Dr. Harris’ testimony of how the order will be enforced[.]” Motion for Stay at 19.
    That is true. But the fact that the state nevertheless vigorously opposes the preliminary injunction
    suggests that it does not intend to enforce the April 3 order consistently with Dr. Harris’ testimony
    at the April 6 hearing and may revert to its earlier interpretations. See, e.g., 
    Wollschlaeger, 848 F.3d at 1305
    (explaining that we may infer the state’s intent to enforce certain provisions of a
    statute from the fact that it has “vigorously defended the [law] in court” after it was challenged).
    Third, the state has not been consistent in its position with respect to what the March 27 and
    April 3 orders mean.       Dr. Harris’ testimony at the April 6 preliminary injunction hearing
    conflicted with the state’s earlier interpretation of the order expressed at the TRO hearing: that the
    order proscribed abortion procedures unless they are necessary for the mother’s life or health. Dr.
    2
    The state could have presented the testimony of Attorney General Marshall or another member of his
    office as to how prosecutorial discretion would be exercised with respect to the April 3 order. But it did
    not offer any such testimony.
    8
    Case: 20-11401           Date Filed: 04/23/2020           Page: 9 of 18
    Harris’ testimony also contradicted the state’s interpretation of the order stated in the
    “clarifications” filed on April 5. Given the state’s varied interpretations of the April 3 order, the
    plaintiffs cannot be forced to guess whether their conduct is prohibited and then face prosecution if
    they choose incorrectly. See
    id. at 1306
    (explaining that a letter from the Board of Medicine
    interpreting the challenged law did not diminish the doctors’ reasonable fear of prosecution
    because the letter contradicted earlier positions taken by the Board).3
    B
    Turning to the terms of the preliminary injunction, we note at the outset that this is an
    atypical case. That is because the state concedes that the substance of the district court’s
    preliminary injunction is consistent with its own (and latest) interpretation of the April 3 order.
    See Motion for Stay at 4 (“[T]he problem is not so much the substance of the district court’s
    addendum to the emergency health order. The problem is that the district court crafted it at
    all . . .”);
    id. at 19
    (conceding that the injunction “more-or-less memorializes Dr. Harris’ testimony
    of how the order will be enforced”).
    “The chief function of a preliminary injunction is to preserve the status quo until the merits
    of the controversy can be fully and fairly adjudicated.” Ne. Fla. Ch. of Ass’n of Gen. Contractors
    v. City of Jacksonville, 
    896 F.2d 1283
    , 1284 (11th Cir. 1990). Because of the state’s shifting
    interpretations of the March 27 and April 3 orders, the district court had ample authority to issue a
    preliminary injunction to preserve the status quo and prevent the state from reverting to its initial
    and more restrictive interpretations. See generally 11A Charles Alan Wright, Arthur Miller, &
    Mary Kay Kane, Federal Practice and Procedure § 2948 (3d ed. 2013 & 2019 supp.) (preservation
    of the status quo through a preliminary injunction “is unobjectionable when used simply to
    3
    To the extent that the state argues in its reply that its interpretation of the March 27 and April 3 orders has
    remained consistent throughout, that contention is flatly refuted by the record.
    9
    Case: 20-11401        Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 10 of 18
    articulate the desire to prevent [the] defendant from changing the existing situation to [the]
    plaintiff’s irreparable detriment”). We therefore struggle to see how the state can show a strong
    likelihood of success on the merits or irreparable harm.
    1
    The state argues that the order is a valid exercise of its power to issue public health orders
    during an emergency. It relies on Jacobson v. Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 
    197 U.S. 11
    (1905), and Smith v. Avino, 
    91 F.3d 105
    (11th Cir. 1996), abrogated on other grounds by Steel Co.
    v. Citizens for a Better Environment, 
    523 U.S. 83
    , 94 (1998). But just as constitutional rights
    have limits, so too does a state’s power to issue executive orders limiting such rights in times of
    emergency.
    In Jacobson, the Supreme Court rejected the defendant’s argument that compulsory
    vaccination violated his Fourteenth Amendment rights, explaining that “a community has the right
    to protect itself against an epidemic of disease which threatens the safety of its 
    members.” 197 U.S. at 27
    . But its ruling was not an absolute blank check for the exercise of governmental power.
    The Court explained that “if a statute purporting to have been enacted to protect the public health,
    the public morals, or the public safety, has no real or substantial relation to those objects, or is,
    beyond all question, a plain, palpable invasion of rights secured by the fundamental law, it is the
    duty of courts to so adjudge, and thereby give effect to the Constitution.”
    Id. at 31.
    Similarly, in Smith, we upheld a curfew that was imposed in the aftermath of Hurricane
    Andrew against the plaintiff’s constitutional challenges. 
    See 91 F.3d at 107
    –10. But we did not
    hold that courts cannot review emergency orders or invalidate them when appropriate. Instead,
    we explained that “when a curfew is imposed as an emergency measure in response to a natural
    disaster, the scope of review in cases challenging its constitutionality is limited to a determination
    10
    Case: 20-11401        Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 11 of 18
    whether the [executive’s] actions were taken in good faith and whether there is some factual basis
    for the decision that the restrictions . . . imposed were necessary to maintain order.”
    Id. at 109
    (citations and internal quotation marks omitted). So, while states and the federal government
    have wide latitude in issuing emergency orders to protect public safety or health, they do not have
    carte blanche to impose any measure without justification or judicial review.
    The district court considered Jacobson and Smith, but read them together with cases
    holding that the Fourteenth Amendment generally protects a woman’s right to terminate her
    pregnancy. See D.E. 137 at 28–45. The Supreme Court established in Planned Parenthood of
    Southeastern Pennsylvania v. Casey, 
    505 U.S. 833
    , 878 (1992) (plurality opinion), that an “undue
    burden” on a woman’s right to have an abortion renders a restriction unconstitutional if the law’s
    “purpose or effect is to place a substantial obstacle in the path of a woman seeking an abortion
    before the fetus attains viability.” This standard “requires that courts consider the burdens a law
    imposes on abortion access together with the benefits those laws confer.” Whole Woman’s
    Health v. Hellerstedt, 
    136 S. Ct. 2292
    , 2309 (2016).
    Reading these two lines of cases together, the district court concluded that the April 3 order
    (if applied to proscribe abortions unless necessary for the mother’s life or health) imposed a “plain,
    palpable invasion of rights,” yet had “no real or substantial relation” to the state’s goals. See
    
    Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 31
    . See D.E. 137 at 28–42. Based on the evidence presented at the
    preliminary injunction hearing, and its factual findings—which the state does not challenge—the
    district court was permitted to reach this conclusion and to issue a status quo preliminary
    injunction to ensure that the state did not deviate from Dr. Harris’ interpretation of the April 3
    order at the preliminary injunction hearing.
    The district court found that “for at least some women, a mandatory postponement until
    11
    Case: 20-11401       Date Filed: 04/23/2020         Page: 12 of 18
    April 30 would operate as a prohibition of abortion, entirely nullifying their right to terminate their
    pregnancies[.]” D.E. 137 at 22–23. This is because under Alabama law abortion becomes illegal
    when the probable postfertilization age of the fetus is at least 20 weeks.              See Ala. Code
    § 26-23B-5. A mandatory postponement until April 30—which is one month from when the state
    initially interpreted the order to apply to abortions on March 30—could thus extend a woman’s
    pregnancy beyond this 20-week boundary, making abortion illegal after that point. See D.E. 137
    at 23.
    In addition, the district court found that, for other women, “a delay until April 30 will pose
    a tremendous, and sometimes insurmountable, burden,” because of “major logistical hurdles.”
    Id. at 24–25.
    For example, Dr. Robinson testified that her clinic is the only abortion facility in
    Alabama that provides termination of pregnancy beyond 14 weeks of gestational age. See
    id. at 24;
    D.E. 133 at 114. If physicians in Alabama are forced to postpone abortion services until after
    April 30, she explained that her clinic likely will not have the capacity to care for all of the patients
    who seek an abortion after that gestational age, but who must have the procedure before the
    expiration of the 20-week limit under Alabama law. See D.E. 133 at 114–16. The district court
    further found that other obstacles women face in seeking to obtain an abortion—such as difficulty
    traveling to a clinic, receiving necessary time off, arranging child care, or affording an abortion in
    the first place—would be “greatly exacerbate[d]” by a mandatory delay, particularly “in the midst
    of a pandemic that has yielded widespread job loss, financial difficulty, and social isolation.”
    D.E. 137 at 25.
    Finally, the district court found that for other women, postponing an abortion may cause
    “serious harm, or a substantial risk of serious harm, to that woman’s health,” explaining that Dr.
    Robinson “credibly testified that, for at least some women, even a short delay can make an
    12
    Case: 20-11401         Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 13 of 18
    abortion (or the ongoing pregnancy) substantially risker.”
    Id. at 25–26.
    The district court relied
    on Dr. Robinson’s testimony that “the risk of a serious complication increases with weeks’
    gestation,” and that “each week that the abortion is delayed, it increases the risk to the patient.”
    D.E. 133 at 107, 111; D.E. 137 at 26. Dr. Robinson summarized a report concluding that “every
    week that an abortion is delayed [it] increases the risk [of mortality or death in the patient] by
    approximately 38 percent.” D.E. 133 at 110. For patients who are victims of domestic violence
    or rape, Dr. Robinson testified that delaying the abortion may also result in increased intimate
    partner violence or an increased emotional and mental toll on the patient. See
    id. at 112.
    In light of these effects, the district court concluded that the medical restrictions in the
    April 3 order—if applied to proscribe abortions unless necessary to protect the health or life of the
    mother—are substantially likely to be unconstitutional. See D.E. 137 at 28. And to the extent
    that the April 3 order effectively operates as a prohibition on a woman’s right to obtain an abortion
    before viability, the district court concluded that it is substantially likely to be unconstitutional as
    applied. See D.E. 137 at 32–33. On this record, the state has not shown a strong likelihood that
    the district court erred in reaching these conclusions. See, e.g., Gonzales v. Carhart, 
    550 U.S. 124
    , 146 (2007) (“Before viability, a State may not prohibit any woman from making the ultimate
    decision to terminate her pregnancy.”) (citation and internal quotation marks omitted).
    The district court also concluded that, even where the April 3 order does not operate as a
    complete prohibition, a mandatory one-month postponement of abortion is also substantially likely
    to impose an “undue burden” under Casey. See D.E. 137 at 35–37. It reached this conclusion
    based on its findings that the delay would “amplify existing challenges, pose severe health risks,
    and render abortions functionally unavailable for at least some women,” but would only minimally
    serve the state’s interests. See
    id. at 37–38.
    Based on the district court’s underlying and
    13
    Case: 20-11401        Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 14 of 18
    unchallenged factual findings, the state has not shown a strong likelihood of demonstrating error in
    this regard either.
    2
    The state argues that applying the April 3 order to abortion providers serves three interests:
    (1) it frees up hospital capacity for the influx of patients suffering from COVID-19; (2) it preserves
    personal protective equipment (PPE) for medical workers caring for COVID-19 patients; and (3) it
    slows the spread of the virus by reducing social interactions. See Motion for Stay at 2, 10, 19.
    Dr. Harris testified as to these interests, though in general terms, at the preliminary injunction
    hearing. See D.E. 133 at 10–13, 21. Of course, these interests are presumably served by Dr.
    Harris’ current interpretation of the April 3 order, and the preliminary injunction merely preserves
    that interpretation—the status quo—while preventing the state from going back to any prior and
    more restrictive interpretations. So the preliminary injunction advances the state’s interests
    co-extensively with Dr. Harris’ interpretation of the order.        For the sake of completeness,
    however, we add the following with respect to the evidence presented at the preliminary injunction
    hearing on the state’s interests.
    With respect to the conservation of hospital resources, the district court found that the
    “medical restrictions are very unlikely to make a significant difference” because “the rate of
    abortions that require hospitalization is extremely low.”        D.E. 137 at 40.     This finding is
    supported by Dr. Robinson’s testimony that abortions in Alabama are typically not performed in
    hospitals, that significant complications arise from an abortion procedure less than 0.5% of the
    time, and that less than 0.01% of complications resulting from an abortion require hospital care.
    See D.E. 133 at 100, 78, 154. Significantly, the state presented no contrary evidence, and Dr.
    Harris admitted he had “no data” to support the assertion that abortions may result in
    14
    Case: 20-11401         Date Filed: 04/23/2020          Page: 15 of 18
    complications which require emergency medical care and tax the health care system. See
    id. at 54.
    The district court also found that “most abortions and related appointments require a
    limited amount of personal protective equipment . . . and a delayed abortion does not erase even
    the patient’s short-term need for medical care.” D.E. 137 at 38. This is because normal prenatal
    visits and mandatory pre-abortion examinations are permitted to proceed as scheduled under the
    order. See
    id. at 39.
    Beyond these appointments, the district court found—again based on Dr.
    Robinson’s testimony—that “abortions themselves only require a limited amount of PPE.”
    Id. at 39.
    In addition, the district court found that if an abortion is delayed and then does not proceed
    (e.g., if the delay results in the woman not being able to access an abortion within the permitted
    time limit under Alabama law), the restrictions “may backfire over time,” as prenatal care requires
    more PPE. See
    id. at 41.
    For example, Dr. Robinson testified that a typical uncomplicated
    pregnancy requires 10–13 prenatal visits—all of which require medical providers to use PPE—and
    a complicated pregnancy would require far more. See D.E. 133 at 125–27, 131. Dr. Harris did
    not disagree. See
    id. at 52.
    The district court found, based on Dr. Robinson’s testimony, that at
    least some of these needs would emerge before the order expires, especially if it is extended
    further. See D.E. 137 at 41–42. Again, the state presented no contrary evidence.4
    In view of these factual findings, which are amply supported by the record, the district
    court did not err in concluding that the burdens imposed by the medical restrictions as interpreted
    at the TRO hearing are undue under Casey, and that they impinge the right to an abortion in a
    “plain, palpable” fashion under 
    Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 31
    . See
    id. at 42.
    We note again that at the
    4
    Although not expressly addressed in the district court’s order, the record also reflects that providing
    certain abortion services (e.g., medication abortions) involves limited social interaction. See D.E. 133 at
    141–42 (describing the interactions required for surgical and medication abortions).
    15
    Case: 20-11401       Date Filed: 04/23/2020        Page: 16 of 18
    preliminary injunction hearing the state did not present any evidence that applying the April 3
    order to proscribe pre-viability abortions would in fact free up hospital space for COVID-19
    patients or PPE for medical providers. In fact, Dr. Harris admitted that the state “did not attempt”
    to evaluate how much PPE different types of doctors use “at all.” D.E. 133 at 22. As the district
    court noted, with respect to any PPE that is conserved from delaying abortion procedures, the state
    did not present any evidence regarding how such resources might be used or re-directed to
    hospitals that are experiencing shortages. See D.E. 137 at 40, n.16. Based on the record before
    us, the state’s concerns that it would lack hospital space or PPE to treat COVID-19 patients as a
    result of those resources being utilized for women obtaining abortions are “hypothetical
    scenarios,” as the record is “devoid of evidence that there is a risk that these scenarios would
    occur” if we do not grant the state’s motion for a stay. See S. Wind Women’s Ctr. LLC v. Stitt,
    
    2020 WL 1860683
    , at *3 (10th Cir. 2020) (Lucero, J., concurring).
    3
    The state relies on the Fifth Circuit’s decision in In re Abbott, -- F.3d --, No. 20-50264,
    
    2020 WL 1685929
    (5th Cir. Apr. 7, 2020), and the Eighth Circuit’s decision in In re Rutledge, --
    F.3d --, No. 20-1791, 
    2020 WL 1933122
    (8th Cir. Apr. 22, 2020) (agreeing with Abbott). In
    Abbott, a divided Fifth Circuit panel granted a writ of mandamus directing the district court to
    vacate a TRO which exempted abortions from a Texas executive order postponing non-essential
    surgeries and procedures due to the COVID-19 epidemic. See Abbott, 
    2020 WL 1685929
    , at *1–
    2. In Rutledge, a divided Eighth Circuit panel issued a writ of mandamus directing the district
    court to vacate a TRO which prohibited Arkansas officials from applying to surgical abortions a
    healthcare directive postponing non-medically necessary surgeries due to the COVID-19
    epidemic. See Rutledge, 
    2020 WL 1933122
    , at *2. Assuming without deciding that the majority
    16
    Case: 20-11401       Date Filed: 04/23/2020       Page: 17 of 18
    opinions in Abbott and Rutledge are persuasive, they are distinguishable for several reasons.
    The Fifth and Eighth Circuits respectively concluded that the district courts in Abbott and
    Rutledge made several legal errors. The Abbott district court failed to consider Jacobson, and it
    also failed to analyze the Texas COVID-19 order under the Casey undue-burden test. See Abbott,
    
    2020 WL 1685929
    , at *8, 11. According to the Fifth Circuit, the district court should have
    “carefully pars[ed]” the evidence to determine whether the order imposed “burdens on abortion
    that ‘beyond question’ exceed its benefits in combatting the epidemic Texas now faces.”
    Id. at *11.
        The Rutledge district court “summarily” explained that its TRO was consistent with
    Jacobson, but the Eighth Circuit took issue with the TRO because the district court similarly
    “failed to apply [the] requisite [Jacobson] framework and, thus, abused its discretion.” Rutledge,
    
    2020 WL 1933122
    , at *5.         Here, in contrast, the district court applied both the Jacobson
    framework and the Casey undue-burden test. See D.E. 137 at 29–33. The district court also
    carefully weighed the evidence presented at the preliminary injunction hearing, determining that
    the burdens on abortion created by the state’s initial interpretations of the March 27 and April 3
    orders far exceeded the orders’ benefits in combatting the COVID-19 epidemic. See
    id. at 23–27,
    36–42.
    In addition, the district court in Abbott interpreted Texas’ COVID-19 order as an “outright
    ban” on pre-viability abortions and restrained the state from applying it to abortion procedures
    altogether. See Abbott, 
    2020 WL 1685929
    , at *1. The district court in Rutledge likewise issued
    a TRO that flatly prevented state officials from enforcing Arkansas’ health directive against
    surgical abortion providers. See Rutledge, 
    2020 WL 1933122
    , at *2. Here, however, there is no
    blanket prohibition of the April 3 order. The state may still require the delay of abortions which
    providers, in their reasonable clinical judgment, determine can be postponed. The district court’s
    17
    Case: 20-11401         Date Filed: 04/23/2020         Page: 18 of 18
    preliminary injunction maintains the status quo, and is narrowly tailored to balance the state’s need
    to combat the COVID-19 epidemic and the right to access an abortion.5
    We repeat again—for this is a point worth repeating—that the state agrees that the
    preliminary injunction is consistent with its latest interpretation of how the April 3 order should be
    read. See Motion for Stay at 4, 19. A litigant who agrees with the substance of an order faces a
    steep uphill battle in seeking to have that order stayed on appeal. So it is here.
    IV
    We deny the motion to stay the district court’s preliminary injunction pending appeal. On
    this record, the state has not made a “strong showing that it is likely to succeed on the merits” of its
    appeal or that it will be “irreparably injured absent a stay.” 
    Lee, 915 F.3d at 1317
    .
    MOTION FOR STAY PENDING APPEAL DENIED.
    5
    We note also that both Abbott and Rutledge are TRO cases. Here, in contrast, we have a preliminary
    injunction issued after an evidentiary hearing.
    18