Arkansas Teachers Ret. Sys. v. Goldman Sachs Grp., Inc. , 879 F.3d 474 ( 2018 )


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  • 16-250
    Arkansas Teachers Ret. Sys., et al. v. Goldman Sachs Grp., Inc., et al.
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SECOND CIRCUIT
    ______________
    August Term 2016
    (Argued: March 15, 2017          Decided: January 12, 2018)
    Docket No. 16-250
    ARKANSAS TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM, WEST
    VIRGINIA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT BOARD,
    PLUMBERS AND PIPEFITTERS PENSION GROUP, ILENE
    RICHMAN, individually and on behalf of all others
    similarly situated, PABLO ELIZONDO, HOWARD
    SORKIN, individually and on behalf of all others similarly
    situated, TIVKA BOCHNER, EHSAN AFSHANI, LOUIS
    GOLD, THOMAS DRAFT, individually and on behalf of all
    others similarly situated,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, INC., LLOYD C.
    BLANKFEIN, DAVID A. VINIAR, GARY D. COHN,
    Defendants-Appellants.*
    ______________
    * The Clerk of the Court is respectfully directed to amend the
    caption.
    Before:
    CABRANES, WESLEY, Circuit Judges, SESSIONS, District
    Judge. *
    Defendants-Appellants Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.,
    Lloyd Blankfein, David A. Viniar, and Gary D. Cohn, appeal
    from a September 24, 2015 order of the United States District
    Court for the Southern District of New York (Crotty, J.),
    certifying a class of plaintiffs who purchased shares of
    common stock in Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., between 2007
    and 2010. Plaintiffs alleged that defendants made material
    misstatements about Goldman’s efforts to avoid conflicts of
    interest, and that those misstatements caused the value of
    their shares to decline. To establish the predominance of
    class-wide issues under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure
    23(b)(3), plaintiffs invoked the rebuttable presumption of
    reliance established in Basic Inc. v. Levinson, 
    485 U.S. 224
    (1988). In light of this Court’s recent pronouncement that
    defendants seeking to rebut the Basic presumption must do
    so by a preponderance of the evidence, see Waggoner v.
    Barclays PLC, 
    875 F.3d 79
    (2d Cir. 2017), and for the
    additional reasons stated herein, we VACATE the District
    Court’s order and REMAND for further proceedings
    consistent with this opinion.
    ______________
    *
    Judge William K. Sessions III, of the United States District Court
    for the District of Vermont, sitting by designation.
    2
    THOMAS C. GOLDSTEIN, Goldstein & Russell, P.C.,
    Bethesda, MD (Susan K. Alexander, Andrew Love, Robbins
    Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP, San Francisco, CA; Thomas A.
    Dubbs, James W. Johnson, Michael H. Rogers, Labaton
    Sucharow LLP, New York, NY, on the brief) for Plaintiffs-
    Appellees.
    ROBERT J. GIUFFRA, JR., (Richard H. Klapper, David
    M.J. Rein, on the brief), Sullivan & Cromwell LLP, New York,
    NY, for Defendants-Appellants.
    Max W. Berger, Salvatore J. Graziano, Bernstein
    Litowitz Berger & Grossman LLP, New York, NY; Blair
    Nicholas, Bernstein Litowitz Berger & Grossmann LLP, San
    Diego, CA; Robert D. Klausner, Klausner, Kaufman, Jensen
    & Levinson, Plantation, FL, for Amicus Curiae National
    Conference on Public Employee Retirement Systems in support of
    Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    Rachel S. Bloomekatz, Deepak Gupta, Gupta Wessler
    PLLC, Washington, D.C.; Mark I. Gross, Jeremy A.
    Lieberman, Pomerantz LLP, New York, NY; Robert D.
    Klausner, Klausner, Kaufman, Jensen & Levinson,
    Plantation, FL, for Amicus Curiae Louisiana Sheriffs’ Pension
    and Relief Fund in support of Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    Daniel P. Chiplock, Lieff Cabraser Heimann &
    Bernstein, LLP, New York, NY, for Amicus Curiae National
    Association of Shareholder and Consumer Attorneys in support of
    Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    Jeffrey W. Golan, Barrack, Rodos & Bacine,
    Philadelphia, PA; James A. Feldman, Washington, D.C., for
    Amici Curiae Evidence Scholars in support of Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    3
    Barbara A. Jones, AARP Foundation Litigation,
    Pasadena, CA, for Amici Curiae AARP and AARP Foundation
    in support of Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    David Kessler, Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP,
    Radnor, PA; Ernest A. Young, Apex, NC, for Amici Curiae
    Procedure Scholars in support of Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    Robert V. Prongay, Glancy Prongay & Murray LLP,
    Los Angeles, CA, for Amici Curiae Securities Law Professors in
    support of Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    George T. Conway III, Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz,
    New York, NY, for Amici Curiae Former SEC Officials and Law
    Professors in support of Defendants-Appellants.
    Charles E. Davidow, Marc Falcone, Robyn Tarnofsky,
    Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP, Washington,
    D.C.; Ira D. Hammerman, Kevin M. Carroll, Securities
    Industry & Financial Markets Association, Washington,
    D.C., for Amicus Curiae Securities Industry & Financial Markets
    Association in support of Defendants-Appellants.
    Lewis J. Liman, Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton
    LLP, New York, NY; Kate Comerford Todd, U.S. Chamber
    Litigation Center, Inc., Washington, D.C., for Amicus Curiae
    Chamber of Commerce of the United States of America in support
    of Defendants-Appellants.
    ______________
    WESLEY, Circuit Judge:
    Investors in a securities fraud class action traditionally
    have a problem proving that “questions of law or fact
    4
    common to class members predominate over . . . questions
    affecting only individual members” under Federal Rule of
    Civil Procedure 23(b)(3). The presumption established in
    Basic Inc. v. Levinson, 
    485 U.S. 224
    (1988), addressed that
    problem by allowing courts to presume that the price of
    stock traded in an efficient market reflects all public, material
    information—including         misrepresentations—and        that
    investors rely on the integrity of the market price when they
    choose to buy or sell stock. Basic also established, however,
    that defendants may rebut the presumption, and therefore
    defeat class certification, by showing the misrepresentations
    did not actually affect the price of the stock. The question
    presented in this case is what defendants must do to meet
    that burden.
    In light of this Court’s recent pronouncement that
    defendants bear the burden of persuasion to rebut the Basic
    presumption by a preponderance of the evidence, see
    Waggoner v. Barclays PLC, 
    875 F.3d 79
    (2d Cir. 2017), and for
    the additional reasons stated herein, we VACATE the
    September 24, 2015 Order of the United States District Court
    for the Southern District of New York (Crotty, J.) granting
    plaintiff’s motion for class certification and REMAND for
    further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    BACKGROUND
    Plaintiffs-appellees acquired shares of common stock
    in The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (“Goldman”) between
    February 5, 2007 and June 10, 2010. In July 2011, they
    commenced a securities fraud action in the District Court
    against Goldman and several of its directors (collectively,
    5
    “defendants”), for violating section 10(b) of the Securities
    Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5 promulgated thereunder. See
    15 U.S.C. § 78j(b); 17 C.F.R. § 240.10b-5.
    I. Plaintiffs’ Allegations of Fraud
    In their consolidated class action complaint, plaintiffs
    alleged that defendants made material misstatements about
    Goldman’s efforts to avoid conflicts of interest, causing the
    value of their stock to decline. 1 Specifically, they alleged that
    defendants made the following statements in Goldman’s
    Form 10-K filings and Annual Report, as well as in
    shareholder conference calls:
    Our reputation is one of our most
    important assets. As we have expanded
    the scope of our business and our client
    base, we increasingly have to address
    potential conflicts of interest, including
    situations where our services to a
    particular client or our own proprietary
    investments or other interests conflict, or
    are perceived to conflict, with the interest
    of another client . . . .
    1
    Plaintiffs also alleged defendants failed to disclose Goldman’s
    receipt of “Wells Notices,” which are sent by the SEC in order to
    inform a firm that the SEC intends to bring an enforcement action
    against it. The District Court dismissed that cause of action and it
    is not at issue in this appeal. See Richman v. Goldman Sachs Grp.,
    Inc., 
    868 F. Supp. 2d 261
    , 269, 275 (S.D.N.Y. 2012).
    6
    We have extensive procedures and
    controls that are designed to identify and
    address conflicts of interest. . . .
    Our clients’ interests always come first.
    Our experience shows that if we serve our
    clients well, our own success will
    follow. . . .
    We are dedicated to complying fully with
    the letter and spirit of the laws, rules and
    ethical principles that govern us. Our
    continued success          depends upon
    unswerving       adherence        to     this
    standard. . . .
    Most importantly, and the basic reason
    for our success, is our extraordinary focus
    on our clients. . . .
    Integrity and honesty are at the heart of
    our business. . . .
    Joint App’x 81–87.
    Plaintiffs claimed that these statements about
    Goldman’s efforts to avoid conflicts of interest were false and
    misleading because Goldman acted in direct conflict with the
    interests of its clients in at least four collateralized debt
    obligation (“CDO”) transactions involving subprime
    mortgages between 2006 and 2007, most notably the Abacus
    7
    2007 AC-1 (“Abacus”) transaction involving hedge-fund
    client Paulson & Co. Plaintiffs alleged that Goldman
    permitted Paulson, its client, to play an active role in the
    asset selection process for Abacus, without revealing to
    institutional investors that Paulson held the sole short
    position and thus chose particularly risky mortgages that it
    hoped “would perform poorly or fail.” Plaintiffs claimed that
    Goldman’s role in Abacus, which ultimately resulted in a
    $550 million settlement with the SEC, “allow[ed] a favored
    client to benefit at the expense of Goldman’s other clients,”
    creating a conflict of interest at odds with the company’s
    public statements.
    The complaint asserted that Goldman created similar
    conflicts of interest in three other CDO transactions
    involving subprime mortgages: Hudson Mezzanine
    Funding 2006-1 (“Hudson”), Anderson Mezzanine Funding
    2007-1 (“Anderson”), and Timberwolf I (“Timberwolf”).
    Goldman allegedly contributed equity to the portfolios in
    those transactions and told investors it was “aligned” with
    them, while simultaneously holding substantial short
    positions opposite their investments.
    Although plaintiffs invested in Goldman—but not any
    of the CDOs described above—they claimed Goldman’s
    conflicted roles in the transactions revealed that the
    company did not have “extensive procedures and
    controls . . . designed to identify and address conflicts of
    interest” and that it was not “dedicated to complying fully
    with the letter and spirit of the laws,” as its public statements
    had suggested.
    8
    Plaintiffs alleged that news of government
    enforcement actions against Goldman on three occasions in
    mid-2010 revealed the falsity of defendants’ statements and
    caused the company’s share prices to decline. On April 16,
    2010, the SEC filed a securities fraud action against Goldman
    and one of its employees regarding the Abacus transaction,
    for failing to disclose to potential investors that Paulson
    played a significant role in the asset selection process.
    Following the announcement, the company’s stock price
    declined 13% from $184.27 to $160.70 per share on April 16,
    2010. On April 30, 2010, the company’s share price dropped
    another 9% from $160.24 to $145.20 after the Wall Street
    Journal reported that Goldman was under investigation by
    the Department of Justice for its purported role in the CDOs.
    And on June 10, 2010, the press reported that the SEC was
    investigating Goldman’s conduct in the Hudson CDO,
    which resulted in a further 2% decline in the price of
    Goldman stock. 2
    According to plaintiffs, these three “corrective
    disclosures” 3 revealed to the market the falsity of
    2
    The Complaint identified a fourth corrective disclosure on April
    26, 2010, but plaintiffs have abandoned any reliance on that
    disclosure, which did not contain news of government
    enforcement activities and caused no statistically significant
    movement in the price of Goldman’s stock.
    3
    A “corrective disclosure” is an announcement or series of
    announcements that reveals to the market the falsity of a prior
    statement. See Lentell v. Merrill Lynch & Co., 
    396 F.3d 161
    , 175 n.4
    (2d Cir. 2005).
    9
    defendants’ statements regarding Goldman’s efforts to avoid
    conflicts of interest. Plaintiffs claimed that, on April 16, April
    30, and June 10, 2010, the market learned for the first time
    that Goldman had created “clear conflicts of interest with its
    own clients” by “intentionally packag[ing] and
    s[elling] . . . securities that were designed to fail, while at the
    same time reaping billions for itself or its favored clients by
    taking massive short positions” in the same transactions.
    Plaintiffs alleged that defendants made the misstatements
    with the intent to defraud Goldman’s shareholders, and that
    they lost, in total, over $13 billion as a result of defendants’
    fraud.
    Defendants initially moved to dismiss the complaint
    pursuant to Federal Rules of Civil Procedure 9(b) and
    12(b)(6), arguing the alleged misstatements were too general
    and vague to be actionable as a matter of law. The District
    Court denied defendants’ motion, holding that plaintiffs
    sufficiently pleaded all six elements of a securities fraud
    action. 4 See 
    Richman, 868 F. Supp. 2d at 271
    –72, 279. The
    District Court subsequently denied defendants’ motions for
    reconsideration and interlocutory appeal. In re Goldman Sachs
    Grp., Inc. Sec. Litig., No. 10 Civ. 3461, 
    2014 WL 2815571
    , at *6
    (S.D.N.Y. June 23, 2014); In re Goldman Sachs Grp., Inc. Sec.
    4
    Those elements are “(1) a material misrepresentation or omission
    by the defendant; (2) scienter; (3) a connection between the
    misrepresentation or omission and the purchase or sale of a
    security; (4) reliance upon the misrepresentation or omission;
    (5) economic loss; and (6) loss causation.” Stoneridge Inv. Partners,
    LLC v. Scientific-Atlanta, Inc., 
    552 U.S. 148
    , 157 (2008).
    10
    Litig., No. 10 Civ. 3461, 
    2014 WL 5002090
    , at *3 (S.D.N.Y. Oct.
    7, 2014).
    II. Plaintiffs’ Motion for Class Certification
    Plaintiffs then moved to certify a class consisting of
    “[a]ll persons or entities who, between February 5, 2007 and
    June 10, 2010, purchased or otherwise acquired the common
    stock of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. . . . and were
    damaged thereby.” Plaintiffs argued (and defendants did
    not dispute) that they satisfied the requirements for class
    certification under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 23(a): The
    class was sufficiently numerous, there were common issues
    of law or fact, the claims of the representative parties were
    typical of the claims of the class, and the representative
    parties would fairly and adequately protect the interests of
    the class.
    Plaintiffs also argued they satisfied Rule 23(b)(3)
    because common issues of law or fact predominated over
    issues affecting only individual members and a class action
    was the superior method of adjudicating the controversy. See
    FED. R. CIV. P. 23(b)(3). To establish the predominance of
    class-wide issues with respect to the reliance element of their
    securities fraud claim, plaintiffs argued they were entitled to
    a presumption that all class members relied on defendants’
    misstatements in choosing to buy Goldman stock. The
    presumption derives from Basic, 
    485 U.S. 224
    , and is based
    on the theory “that the market price of shares traded on well-
    developed markets reflects all publicly available
    information, and, hence, any material misrepresentations.”
    
    Id. at 246.
    If plaintiffs in a securities fraud class action
    11
    establish certain prerequisites—namely, that defendants’
    misstatements were publicly known, their shares traded in
    an efficient market, and plaintiffs purchased the shares at the
    market price after the misstatements were made but before
    the truth was revealed—the court presumes the market price
    reflected the misstatements and that all class members relied
    on that price when they chose to buy or sell shares. See
    Halliburton Co. v. Erica P. John Fund, Inc. (Halliburton II), 
    134 S. Ct. 2398
    , 2413 (2014).
    Defendants opposed class certification by attempting
    to rebut the Basic presumption. They presented evidence in
    the form of declarations and sworn affidavits that Goldman
    stock experienced no price increase on the dates the
    statements were made, and no price decrease on 34 occasions
    before 2010 when the press reported Goldman’s conflicts of
    interest in the Abacus, Hudson, Anderson, and Timberwolf
    transactions. 5 For example, as early as December 6, 2007, the
    5
    Both plaintiffs’ and defendants’ experts used “event studies” to
    determine whether an event or news report caused a statistically
    significant change in the price of Goldman’s stock. An event study
    isolates the stock price movement attributable to a company (as
    opposed to market-wide or industry-wide movements) and then
    examines whether the price movement on a given date is outside
    the range of typical random stock price fluctuations observed for
    that stock. If the isolated stock price movement falls outside the
    range of typical random stock price fluctuations, it is statistically
    significant. If the stock price movement is indistinguishable from
    random price fluctuations, it cannot be attributed to company-
    specific information announced on the event date. See Mark L.
    Mitchell & Jeffry M. Netter, The Role of Financial Economics in
    12
    Financial Times ran a story suggesting that “Goldman’s
    Glory May [B]e Short-lived,” due to numerous accusations
    that it “behave[ed] unethically and perhaps [broke] the law”
    in taking massive short positions in the U.S. housing market.
    The article questioned Goldman’s ability to “manage
    conflicts,” noting that “Goldman ha[d] been more aggressive
    than any other bank” in “advis[ing] a company on a
    transaction, financ[ing] it and invest[ing] its own money.”
    Approximately one week later, the Dow Jones Business
    News reported that Goldman had been subpoenaed for its
    role in various CDO transactions that presented a “massive
    conflict of interest with major liabilities.” Defendants’ expert
    presented evidence that Goldman’s stock experienced no
    price decline in response to these or similar reports about
    Goldman’s conflicts in the CDOs.
    Because the market did not react to defendants’
    misstatements on the dates they were made or on the dates
    defendants claim the truth about Goldman’s conflicts was
    revealed, defendants argued the misstatements did not affect
    the price of Goldman stock and plaintiffs could not have
    relied on them in choosing to buy shares at that price. 6
    Securities Fraud Cases: Applications at the Securities & Exchange
    Commission, 49 BUS. LAW. 545, 556–69 (1994).
    6
    Defendants challenged the materiality of the misstatements
    again in their opposition to the motion for class certification.
    Although materiality is “an essential predicate of the fraud-on-
    the-market theory,” it is common to the class and does not bear
    on the predominance requirement of Rule 23(b)(3). Amgen Inc. v.
    Conn. Ret. Plans & Trust Funds, 
    568 U.S. 455
    , 466–67 (2013).
    13
    Without holding an evidentiary hearing or oral
    argument, the District Court rejected defendants’ arguments
    and certified the class. See In re Goldman Sachs Grp., Inc. Sec.
    Litig., No. 10 Civ. 3461, 
    2015 WL 5613150
    (S.D.N.Y. Sept. 24,
    2015). It concluded plaintiffs met all four elements of Rule
    23(a) and established predominance under Rule 23(b)(3) by
    invoking the Basic presumption of reliance. 
    Id. at *3,
    7.
    Although the court acknowledged that defendants may
    rebut the Basic presumption by a “preponderance of the
    evidence,” 
    id. at *4
    n.3, it held that defendants failed to do so
    in this case because they “d[id] not provide conclusive
    evidence that no link exists between the price decline [of
    Goldman stock] and the misrepresentation[s].” 
    Id. at *7.
            The District Court rejected defendants’ evidence that
    the price of Goldman stock did not increase on the dates the
    misstatements were made, because it determined they could
    have served to maintain an already inflated stock price. See
    
    id. at *6.
    It also rejected defendants’ evidence concerning a
    lack of price impact when the news reported Goldman’s
    conflicts in the CDOs, because, in its view, defendants’
    evidence was either “an inappropriate truth on the market
    defense” or an argument for materiality that the court
    “w[ould] not consider” at the class certification stage. 
    Id. at *6
    (internal quotation marks omitted). Even if it were to
    consider the evidence, the court held it did not rebut the Basic
    presumption of reliance because it “failed to conclusively
    Therefore, the District Court correctly held that plaintiffs need not
    prove the materiality of defendants’ misstatements at the class
    certification stage, and we do not consider it on appeal.
    14
    sever th[e] link” between defendants’ statements and the
    market price of Goldman stock. 
    Id. at *7.
    Accordingly, the
    court held plaintiffs were entitled to the presumption of
    reliance and certified the class. 
    Id. We granted
    defendants’
    petition for leave to appeal pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil
    Procedure 23(f).
    DISCUSSION
    No one disputes that plaintiffs satisfy the four
    requirements of Rule 23(a). The battle is joined over whether
    plaintiffs can meet the predominance requirement of Rule
    23(b)(3), with respect to the reliance element of their
    securities fraud claim. 7
    I. Rule 23(b)(3) and the Basic Presumption of
    Reliance
    Reliance in a 10b-5 action ensures “a proper
    connection between a defendant’s misrepresentation and a
    plaintiff’s injury.” Erica P. John Fund, Inc. v. Halliburton Co.
    (Halliburton I), 
    563 U.S. 804
    , 810 (2011) (internal quotation
    7
    The burden of proving compliance with Rule 23 rests with the
    party moving for class certification. See Levitt v. J.P. Morgan Sec.,
    Inc., 
    710 F.3d 454
    , 465 (2d Cir. 2013). On appeal, we review the
    District Court’s grant of class certification for an abuse of
    discretion, and the legal conclusions underlying that decision de
    novo. See 
    Barclays, 875 F.3d at 92
    . When a case involves the
    application of legal standards, we look at whether the District
    Court’s application “falls within the range of permissible
    decisions.” 
    Id. 15 marks
    omitted). “The traditional (and most direct) way a
    plaintiff can demonstrate reliance is by showing that he was
    [personally] aware of a company’s statement” and
    purchased shares based on it. 
    Id. But requiring
    that kind of
    proof in a securities fraud class action “place[s] an
    unnecessarily unrealistic evidentiary burden on the Rule
    10b-5 plaintiff who has traded on an impersonal market.”
    
    Basic, 485 U.S. at 245
    . If every plaintiff had to prove she relied
    on a misrepresentation in choosing to buy stock, it would
    effectively prevent investors from proceeding as a class;
    individual issues of reliance would overwhelm common
    ones and make certification under Rule 23(b)(3)
    inappropriate in every case.
    The Supreme Court in Basic sought to alleviate that
    concern by permitting securities fraud plaintiffs to satisfy
    Rule 23(b)(3) by invoking a rebuttable presumption of
    reliance. The presumption derives from the “fraud-on-the-
    market” theory, which holds that “the market price of shares
    traded on [a] well-developed market[] reflects all publicly
    available information, and, hence, any material
    misrepresentations.” 
    Id. at 246.
    As the Court in Basic
    explained:
    The fraud on the market theory is based
    on the hypothesis that, in an open and
    developed securities market, the price of
    a company’s stock is determined by the
    available material information regarding
    the         company          and       its
    business. . . . Misleading statements will
    therefore defraud purchasers of stock
    16
    even if the purchasers do not directly rely
    on the misstatements.
    
    Id. at 241–42
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    “If a market is generally efficient in incorporating
    publicly available information into a security’s market
    price,” the fraud-on-the-market theory assumes investors
    rely on that price as an “unbiased assessment of the
    security’s value in light of all public information,” including
    any material misrepresentations. 
    Amgen, 568 U.S. at 462
    .
    Basic endorsed the fraud-on-the-market theory and
    applied it to class action lawsuits for securities fraud. It held
    that if plaintiff-investors prove that a company’s
    misstatement was public, the company’s stock traded in an
    efficient market, and the plaintiffs purchased the stock after
    the misstatement was made but before the truth was
    revealed, they are entitled to a presumption that the
    misstatement affected the stock price and that they
    purchased stock in reliance on the integrity of that price.
    
    Basic, 485 U.S. at 247
    , 248 n.27. Under the Basic presumption,
    individual class members need not prove they actually relied
    upon (or even knew about) the misstatement giving rise to
    their claim; “anyone who buys or sells the stock at the market
    price may be considered to have relied on th[e]
    misstatement[].” Halliburton 
    II, 134 S. Ct. at 2405
    .
    The Basic presumption does not eliminate the
    predominance requirement of Rule 23(b)(3) or the reliance
    element of a 10b-5 action for fraud. It simply provides an
    alternative means of satisfying those requirements, enabling
    class action litigation of securities fraud claims where none
    17
    previously could have survived. See 
    id. at 2414.
    Accordingly,
    defendants opposing class certification may rebut the
    presumption of reliance “through evidence that the
    misrepresentation did not in fact affect the stock price.” 
    Id. The “fundamental
    premise” underlying the fraud-on-
    the-market theory is “that an investor presumptively relies
    on a misrepresentation” that “was reflected in the market
    price at the time of his transaction.” Halliburton 
    I, 563 U.S. at 813
    . If defendants “sever[] the link” between the
    misrepresentation and the market price—by showing, for
    example, that the misrepresentation was not public, the
    shares did not trade in an efficient market, or “the
    misrepresentation in fact did not lead to a distortion of
    price”—both the theory and the presumption collapse. 
    Basic, 485 U.S. at 248
    . “[T]he basis for finding that the fraud had
    been transmitted through market price would be gone,” and
    plaintiffs are no longer entitled to the presumption. 
    Id. Instead, each
    plaintiff must prove she actually relied on
    defendants’ misrepresentations when choosing to buy or sell
    stock, which dooms the predominance of class-wide issues
    under Rule 23(b)(3) and defeats class certification. See
    Halliburton 
    II, 134 S. Ct. at 2416
    .
    II. Rebuttal of the Basic Presumption
    The parties agree that plaintiffs established the
    preliminary elements to invoke the Basic presumption of
    reliance: defendants’ misrepresentations were public,
    Goldman’s shares traded in an efficient market, and the
    putative class members purchased Goldman stock at the
    relevant time (after the misstatements were made but before
    18
    the truth was revealed). The parties also agree that
    defendants in a securities fraud class action may submit
    rebuttal evidence of a lack of price impact at the class
    certification stage. The principal question on appeal is
    whether defendants bear the burden of production or
    persuasion to rebut the Basic presumption.
    Relying on Rule 301 of the Federal Rules of Evidence
    and language in Basic, defendants argue they need only
    produce—i.e., offer—evidence of a lack of price impact to
    rebut the presumption. Rule 301 states that “the party
    against whom a presumption is directed has the burden of
    producing evidence to rebut the presumption,” while the
    “burden of persuasion . . . remains on the party who had it
    originally.” FED. R. EVID. 301. Because it is plaintiffs’ burden
    to prove the predominance of class-wide issues and the
    reliance element of their securities fraud claim, defendants
    argue plaintiffs also bear the ultimate burden to persuade the
    court that the statements at issue affected the market price of
    Goldman stock. According to defendants, that rule comports
    with the language in Basic that “[a]ny showing that severs the
    link between the alleged misrepresentation and . . . the price
    received (or paid) by the plaintiff” is sufficient to rebut the
    presumption of reliance. 
    Basic, 485 U.S. at 248
    (emphasis
    added). Defendants contend the District Court imposed an
    impermissibly high evidentiary burden by requiring them to
    rebut the Basic presumption with conclusive proof of a lack
    of price impact.
    After the District Court granted plaintiffs’ motion for
    class certification, another panel of this Circuit concluded
    that defendants in a securities fraud class action bear the
    19
    burden of persuasion to rebut the Basic presumption, and
    that they must do so by a preponderance of the evidence. See
    
    Barclays, 875 F.3d at 99
    . The Court in Barclays examined “the
    development of the presumption and the burden the
    [Supreme] Court imposed on plaintiffs to invoke it at the
    class certification stage.” 
    Id. at 100.
    It determined that the
    language in Basic that “[a]ny showing that severs the link”
    between the misstatement and the market price places a
    burden of persuasion, rather than a burden of production, on
    defendants seeking to rebut the presumption, because it
    “requires defendants to do more than merely produce
    evidence that might result in a favorable outcome.” 
    Id. at 101.
    They must demonstrate that the misrepresentation did not in
    fact affect the stock’s price. Id.; see also Halliburton II. 134 S.
    Ct. at 2405 (“[A] defendant c[an] rebut th[e] presumption in
    a number of ways, including by showing that the alleged
    misrepresentation did not actually affect the stock’s price—
    that is, that the misrepresentation had no ‘price impact.’”).
    The Barclays court also rejected the argument that Rule
    301 of the Federal Rules of Evidence requires defendants
    only to produce “some” evidence to rebut the presumption.
    Rule 301 contemplates that a federal statute can alter the
    traditional rule that the burden of persuasion remains on the
    party who had it originally. See FED. R. EVID. 301 (“unless a
    federal statute or these rules provide otherwise . . . the
    burden of persuasion . . . remains on the party who had it
    originally”). Because the Basic presumption is a substantive
    doctrine of federal law that derives from the securities fraud
    statutes, Barclays determined it altered the default rule and
    20
    imposed a burden of persuasion on defendants seeking to
    rebut it. See 
    Barclays, 875 F.3d at 102
    –03.
    That conclusion is consistent with the purpose of the
    presumption. As the Barclays court observed, the Basic
    presumption is essential in putative class actions involving
    securities fraud plaintiffs “who ha[ve] traded on an
    impersonal market.” 
    Id. at 101
    (internal quotation marks
    omitted). It would be “of little value” if defendants could
    overcome it “by simply producing some evidence” of a lack
    of price impact. 
    Id. at 100–01
    (emphasis added). Accordingly,
    the panel concluded that Basic and its progeny require
    defendants seeking to rebut the Basic presumption to
    “demonstrate a lack of price impact by a preponderance of
    the evidence at the class certification stage rather than merely
    meet a burden of production.” 
    Id. at 101.
           Barclays makes clear that defendants seeking to rebut
    the Basic presumption of reliance must do so by a
    preponderance of the evidence. See 
    id. Although the
    District
    Court acknowledged that standard in a footnote its decision,
    see In re Goldman Sachs Grp., Inc. Sec. Litig., No. 10 Civ. 3461,
    
    2015 WL 5613150
    , at *4 n.3, it went on to find that defendants
    failed to rebut the Basic presumption because they did not
    “conclusively” prove a “complete absence of price impact,”
    
    id. at *7.
    Because the District Court concluded its findings
    with these words, it is unclear to us whether the court
    required more of defendants than a preponderance of the
    evidence. We therefore vacate the District Court’s order and
    remand for it to reconsider defendants’ evidence in light of
    the Barclays standard.
    21
    III.   Defendants’ Price Impact Evidence
    Because we are remanding to the District Court to
    reconsider defendants’ evidence under the Barclays
    standard, one final issue regarding defendants’ rebuttal
    evidence needs mention. In their opposition to class
    certification, defendants’ expert presented evidence of 34
    dates before 2010 in which various news sources reported
    Goldman’s conflicts of interest in the Abacus, Hudson,
    Anderson, and Timberwolf transactions, without any
    accompanying decline in the price of Goldman stock. The
    District Court construed this evidence as “an inappropriate
    truth on the market defense” or as evidence of the
    statements’ lack of materiality, neither of which the court
    thought it could consider at the class certification stage. 
    Id. at *6
    (internal quotation marks omitted). We agree with
    defendants that this was error.
    The “truth on the market” defense attacks the timing
    of the plaintiffs’ purchase of shares, not price impact. The
    theory is, essentially, that the market was already aware of
    the truth regarding defendants’ misrepresentations at the
    time the class members purchased their shares, meaning the
    market price had already adjusted to the revelation of
    defendants’ misstatements, and class members could not
    have relied on those misstatements in choosing to buy stock.
    See 
    Amgen, 568 U.S. at 482
    ; see also 
    Basic, 485 U.S. at 248
    –49.
    Contrary to the District Court’s characterization of
    their evidence, defendants did not present a “truth on the
    market” defense. Defendants did not argue, for example,
    that Goldman’s conflicts of interest were already known to
    22
    the market at the time plaintiffs purchased their shares of
    Goldman common stock. Indeed, it was undisputed that
    plaintiffs purchased their shares after the misstatements
    were made but before the truth was revealed. Rather,
    defendants presented evidence that the market learned the
    truth about Goldman’s conflicts of interests in the Abacus,
    Hudson, Anderson, and Timberwolf transactions on 34
    occasions from 2007 to 2009, without any accompanying
    decline in the price of Goldman stock. Defendants used that
    evidence to show that their statements about Goldman’s
    efforts to avoid conflicts of interest “did not actually affect
    the stock’s market price.” Halliburton 
    II, 134 S. Ct. at 2416
    .
    Although price impact touches on materiality, which
    is not an appropriate consideration at the class certification
    stage, it “differs from materiality in a crucial respect.” 
    Id. Price impact
    “refers to the effect of a misrepresentation on a
    stock price.” Halliburton 
    I, 563 U.S. at 814
    . Whether a
    misrepresentation was reflected in the market price at the
    time of the transaction—whether it had price impact—"is
    Basic’s fundamental premise. It . . . has everything to do with
    the issue of predominance at the class certification stage.”
    Halliburton 
    II, 134 S. Ct. at 2416
    (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted). If a defendant shows that an “alleged
    misrepresentation did not, for whatever reason, actually
    affect the market price” of defendant’s stock, “there is no
    grounding for any contention that the investor indirectly
    relied on that misrepresentation through his reliance on the
    integrity of the market price”; the fraud-on-the-market
    theory underlying the presumption would “completely
    23
    collapse[].” 
    Id. at 2408,
    2414 (internal quotation marks and
    brackets omitted).
    Accordingly, the District Court erred in declining to
    consider defendants’ evidence at this stage of the litigation.
    We espouse no views as to whether the evidence is sufficient
    to rebut the Basic presumption; we hold only that the District
    Court should consider it on remand, in determining whether
    defendants established by a preponderance of the evidence
    that the misrepresentations did not in fact affect the market
    price of Goldman stock. We encourage the court to hold any
    evidentiary hearing or oral argument it deems appropriate
    under the circumstances.
    CONCLUSION
    Defendants seeking to rebut the Basic presumption of
    reliance must do so by a preponderance of the evidence. See
    
    Barclays, 875 F.3d at 99
    . Because it is unclear whether the
    District Court applied the correct standard in this case, we
    VACATE the order of the District Court and REMAND for
    further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    24