Iraq Telecom Ltd. v. IBL Bank S.A.L. ( 2022 )


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  • 22-540-cv
    Iraq Telecom Ltd. v. IBL Bank S.A.L.
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SECOND CIRCUIT
    August Term 2021
    (Argued:         June 9, 2022          Decided:    August 5, 2022)
    Docket No. 22-540-cv
    IRAQ TELECOM LIMITED,
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    v.
    IBL BANK S.A.L.,
    Respondent-Appellee. *
    ON APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE SOUTHERN DISTRICT OF NEW YORK
    Before:
    CHIN, BIANCO, and NARDINI, Circuit Judges.
    *        The Clerk of Court is respectfully directed to amend the caption as set forth
    above.
    Appeal from an order of the United States District Court for the
    Southern District of New York (Cote, J.) reducing an order of attachment in aid
    of arbitration. The district court had initially granted an ex parte order in favor of
    petitioner-appellant, an Iraqi cell phone company, attaching up to $100 million of
    the assets of respondent-appellee, a Lebanese bank. Thereafter, the district court
    exercised its discretion and reduced the amount of the attachment to $3 million
    in part because of concerns the attachment would have an adverse impact on the
    Lebanese economy. The Iraqi cell phone company appeals.
    AFFIRMED IN PART, VACATED IN PART, AND REMANDED.
    DEREK L. SHAFFER (Kevin S. Reed, William B. Adams,
    Alex H. Loomis, and Kristin N. Tahler, on the
    brief), Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan, LLP,
    Washington, DC, New York, NY, Boston, MA,
    and Los Angeles, CA, for Petitioner-Appellant.
    MITCHELL R. BERGER (Gassan A. Baloul, on the brief),
    Squire Patton Boggs (US) LLP, Washington, DC,
    for Respondent-Appellee.
    ___________
    CHIN, Circuit Judge:
    In this case, the district court granted an ex parte order of attachment
    of $100 million in favor of petitioner-appellant Iraq Telecom Limited ("Telecom"),
    an Iraqi cell phone company, against the assets of respondent-appellee IBL Bank
    S.A.L. ("IBL"), a Lebanese bank. Telecom had prevailed in an arbitration against
    IBL and two other entities and was pursuing a second (and still pending)
    arbitration against IBL, and the attachment was in aid of arbitration. Thereafter,
    IBL appeared in the proceedings and opposed the attachment, and the district
    court vacated the attachment in part, reducing it to $3 million. In reviewing
    whether Telecom had satisfied the statutory requirements for attachment, the
    district court found that Telecom had established that it was likely to succeed on
    the merits in a pending arbitration only to the extent of $8.92 million. The district
    court then exercised its discretion and held that extraordinary circumstances,
    including the impact of the attachment on the Lebanese economy, dictated
    further reduction of the attachment to $3 million.
    On appeal, Telecom argues that (1) it established a probability of
    success in the pending arbitration and was therefore entitled to an attachment of
    $100 million and (2) the district court lacked authority to consider extraordinary
    circumstances in reducing the attachment. For the reasons set forth below, we
    affirm in part, vacate in part, and remand.
    -3-
    BACKGROUND
    I.    The Facts
    This case arises out of a scheme to defraud a lender. Telecom is a
    telecommunications company that owns 44 percent of an entity called
    International Holdings Limited ("IHL"), which in turn owns 100 percent of Korek
    Telecom Company LLC ("Korek"), an Iraqi company providing cell phone
    services in Iraq. The other 56 percent of IHL is owned by another entity, Korek
    International (Management) Ltd., which is controlled by an individual named
    Sirwan Saber Mustafa, also known as Barzani.
    In 2011, Telecom lent $285 million to Korek through a transaction
    with IHL. IBL then lent $150 million to Korek. Barzani described that loan to
    Telecom as unsecured, and Telecom agreed to subordinate its loan to the IBL
    loan through a subordination agreement executed on December 14, 2011. In
    2015, Korek defaulted on the IBL loan. IBL invoked the subordination agreement
    and, accordingly, Korek stopped repaying the Telecom loan and instead paid IBL
    approximately $148 million in interest. Later, Telecom discovered that the IBL
    loan was not unsecured and that IBL had secretly paid to Barzani the interest it
    received from Korek. Apparently, IBL and Barzani had devised a scheme to
    defraud Telecom into subordinating its loan, to their mutual benefit.
    -4-
    II.   The Arbitrations
    In June 2018, Telecom brought an arbitration proceeding against
    IBL, Korek, and IHL in Lebanon before the Lebanese Arbitration Center of the
    Chamber of Commerce, Industry and Agriculture of Beirut and Mount Lebanon
    (the "First Arbitration"). Although Telecom originally sought a damages award
    in the First Arbitration, it withdrew its request for damages and sought only
    declaratory relief "to eliminate any argument regarding double-recovery issues"
    in other proceedings. App'x at 130 ¶ 368.
    On September 21, 2021, Telecom won an arbitration award of $3
    million in attorney's fees jointly and severally against IBL, Korek, and IHL. The
    arbitrators found, among other things, that (1) IBL "clearly and knowingly
    participated in the deception" of Telecom, id. at 289 ¶ 954, and that IBL's conduct
    "confirmed its engagement in dol" 1 at the time it entered into the subordination
    agreement, id. at 294 ¶ 969; (2) IBL, Korek, and IHL "actively participated in the
    1       "Dol" is a French word and a Lebanese legal term meaning "fraud." App'x at 265-
    67. Lebanon follows a civil law system influenced by France, and the "most notable"
    Lebanese legal code is the French-language Code of Obligations and Contracts. Firas El
    Samad, The Lebanese Legal System and Research, GLOBALEX (Nov.-Dec. 2008),
    https://www.nyulawglobal.org/globalex/Lebanon.html. Articles 202, 208, 209, and 233
    of the Code of Obligations and Contracts govern dol. App'x at 265. To summarize those
    articles, and as the parties agree, dol involves fraud or fraudulent concealment intended
    to deceive or mislead.
    -5-
    commission of dol," id. at 293 ¶ 967; and (3) the subordination agreement was
    "null and void," id. at 294 ¶ 970, 307 ¶ 1031(vi). It also found that IBL paid to
    Barzani 96 percent of the interest payments it received from Korek. Id. at 289
    ¶ 953.
    On December 13, 2021, Telecom brought a second arbitration against
    IBL seeking $97 million in damages resulting from the fraud (the "Second
    Arbitration"). The Second Arbitration is pending.
    III.     Proceedings Below
    On December 21, 2021, Telecom filed in the district court a sealed
    petition for confirmation of the First Arbitration award and a motion for an order
    of attachment of all of IBL's property located in the Southern District of New
    York. On January 19, 2022, the district court entered the ex parte order of
    attachment of up to $100 million held in four accounts. About $42 million was
    attached from IBL's correspondent accounts at JP Morgan Chase Bank, Citibank,
    and Bank of New York Mellon.
    On January 31, 2022, Telecom moved to confirm the ex parte
    attachment of $100 million and to expand the scope of the attachment to include
    all of IBL's property located in the Southern District of New York. Id. at 16, 22,
    -6-
    24. IBL opposed the motion and cross-moved to vacate the attachment. Id. at
    871. The district court held oral argument on March 16 and filed a forty-nine-
    page opinion vacating the attachment in part that same day.
    The district court found that Telecom had shown a probability of
    success on the merits as to the $3 million in costs and fees awarded in the First
    Arbitration and as to $5.92 million of the amount at issue in the Second
    Arbitration.
    As to the Second Arbitration, the district court found that Telecom
    was likely to establish that Barzani and IBL acted in concert to defraud Telecom.
    It further found that the parties agreed that, under Lebanese law, joint and
    several liability is established if defendants have acted in concert. Nevertheless,
    it concluded that Telecom failed to show that it was likely to receive an
    arbitration award of $97 million because all but $5.92 million of the interest
    payments owed to Telecom flowed through IBL to Barzani. To reach the figure
    of $5.92 million, the district court calculated 4 percent of the interest paid to IBL,
    representing funds IBL retained that had not been kicked back to Barzani. Thus,
    the district court held, it was "entirely conceivable" that the Second Arbitration
    panel "would limit any future award against IBL to the roughly $5.92 million that
    -7-
    [IBL] retained." Special App'x at 32. Accordingly, the district court concluded
    that Telecom was entitled to an attachment of no more than $8.92 million,
    comprising the $3 million award from the First Arbitration and the potential
    $5.92 million award from the Second Arbitration.
    Next, the district court held that "any arbitration award may be
    rendered ineffectual without a prejudgment attachment of IBL assets." Id. at 35.
    In particular, Telecom established that IBL was likely insolvent, and the
    attachment was thus necessary to ensure that Telecom could receive the full
    benefit of an award against IBL. The district court also found that Telecom had a
    cause of action and that no counterclaims exceeded the value of the claims.
    Thus, the district court found that Telecom satisfied all of the statutory
    requirements for attachment in aid of arbitration.
    Finally, the district court reduced the attachment from $8.92 million
    to $3 million. The district court observed that the decision whether to grant a
    motion for an order of attachment "rests within the discretion of the court," id. at
    22, and it held that that discretion encompassed consideration of "extraordinary
    circumstances" even where, as here, the statutory requirements for attachment
    had been satisfied, id. at 30. The district court identified the following
    -8-
    extraordinary circumstances present in this case: the attachment (1) could force
    IBL into insolvency, affecting the fragile Lebanese economy; (2) would cause IBL
    to fall out of compliance with crisis management regulations imposed by
    Lebanon's central bank; (3) interfered with innocent third parties' access to their
    money; (4) could undermine confidence in New York's financial institutions; and
    (5) should not be lightly imposed because Barzani, not IBL, was the principal
    wrongdoer. It held that those circumstances posed "sever[e]," "perilous," and
    "calamitous" risks militating reduction of the attachment, noting that the larger
    attachment "would be entered" absent them. Id. at 40-42.
    Accordingly, the district court granted in part the motion to confirm
    as to $3 million and granted in part the cross-motion to vacate.
    This appeal followed.
    DISCUSSION
    I.    Applicable Law
    A.     Attachment in Aid of Arbitration
    Attachment is available in federal court "under the law of the state
    where the court is located." Fed. R. Civ. P. 64. "Under New York law, an
    attachment bars any sale, assignment or transfer of, or any interference with the
    -9-
    property attached." Cap. Ventures Int'l v. Republic of Argentina (Cap. Ventures II),
    
    652 F.3d 266
    , 270 (2d Cir. 2011) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    As pertinent here, section 7502(c) of New York's Civil Practice Law
    and Rules provides for attachment in aid of arbitration "only upon the ground
    that the award to which the applicant may be entitled may be rendered
    ineffectual without such provisional relief." N.Y. C.P.L.R. 7502(c). Section
    7502(c) incorporates New York's general attachment statute, article 62 of the Civil
    Practice Law and Rules, which requires a plaintiff seeking attachment to
    establish one of five statutory bases for attachment, among them that "the
    defendant is a nondomiciliary residing without the state, or is a foreign
    corporation not qualified to do business in the state." N.Y. C.P.L.R. 6201(1). In
    addition to one of those grounds, the plaintiff must show that (1) "there is a cause
    of action," (2) "it is probable that the plaintiff will succeed on the merits," and
    (3) "the amount demanded from the defendant exceeds all counterclaims known
    to the plaintiff." N.Y. C.P.L.R. 6212(a); see Cap. Ventures Int'l v. Republic of
    Argentina (Cap. Ventures I), 
    443 F.3d 214
    , 219 (2d Cir. 2006).
    On a motion for attachment in aid of arbitration, probability of
    success is "measured in terms of the likelihood of success in arbitration." SG
    - 10 -
    Cowen Sec. Corp. v. Messih, 
    224 F.3d 79
    , 84 (2d Cir. 2000) (emphasis omitted).
    Where an arbitration is pending, probability of success "cannot be predicted with
    the confidence a court would have in predicting the merits of a dispute awaiting
    litigation in court" because "arbitration is frequently marked by great flexibility
    in procedure, choice of law, legal and equitable analysis, evidence, and remedy."
    
    Id.
     Even so, the plaintiff must be given "the benefit of all legitimate inferences
    and deductions that can be made from the facts stated." Swiss Bank Corp. v.
    Eatessami, 
    273 N.Y.S.2d 935
    , 938 (1st Dep't 1966) (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    On a defendant's motion to vacate or modify an order of attachment,
    the plaintiff bears the burden of establishing "the need for continuing the levy."
    N.Y. C.P.L.R. 6223(b). It "must demonstrate an identifiable risk that the
    defendant will not be able to satisfy the judgment." VisionChina Media Inc. v.
    S'holder Representative Servs., LLC, 
    967 N.Y.S.2d 338
    , 345-46 (1st Dep't 2013). "The
    risk should be real" and may include "a defendant's financial position," "past and
    present conduct," "history of paying creditors," or a "stated or indicated intent to
    dispose of assets." Id. at 346 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    - 11 -
    B.     Exercise of Discretion
    In the context of an application for an attachment under article 62,
    whether to grant the application "rests within the discretion of the court." Id. at
    345 (citing Morgenthau v. Avion Res. Ltd., 
    11 N.Y.3d 383
    , 387 (2008) (reviewing
    denial of motion to confirm attachment for abuse of discretion)). But neither this
    Court nor the New York Court of Appeals has ruled on whether that discretion
    includes the power to consider nonstatutory factors such as extraordinary
    circumstances.
    This Court explicitly left open the issue in two previous decisions.
    In Capital Ventures I, we held that where "a statutory ground for attachment exists
    and both need and likelihood of success are established, [a motion court's]
    discretion does not permit denial of the remedy for some other reason, at least
    absent extraordinary circumstances and perhaps even then." 
    443 F.3d at 222
    .
    This Court left the issue open again in Capital Ventures II. 
    652 F.3d at 273-74
    .
    There, we held that Capital Ventures had satisfied the statutory standards and
    that none of the circumstances presented by Argentina were "extraordinary
    enough to justify a discretionary modification of the attachments, even assuming
    the possibility of such a modification." 
    Id.
    - 12 -
    C.     Standard of Review
    We review for abuse of discretion the district court's findings as to
    whether the statutory requirements for attachment have been satisfied. Cap.
    Ventures I, 
    443 F.3d at 222
    ; EM Ltd. v. Republic of Argentina, 
    473 F.3d 463
    , 472 (2d
    Cir. 2007). "A district court abuses its discretion if it (1) bases its decision on an
    error of law or uses the wrong legal standard; (2) bases its decision on a clearly
    erroneous factual finding; or (3) reaches a conclusion that, though not necessarily
    the product of a legal error or a clearly erroneous factual finding, cannot be
    located within the range of permissible decisions." Villiers v. Decker, 
    31 F.4th 825
    ,
    831 (2d Cir. 2022).
    II.   Application
    Principally, the parties dispute whether the district court had
    discretion to consider extraordinary circumstances when reducing the
    attachment and, if it did, whether it abused that discretion in reducing the
    attachment to $3 million.
    As to the statutory factors governing attachment, the parties do not
    dispute that Telecom established one or more grounds for attachment under
    C.P.L.R. 6201, has a cause of action, and demanded an amount that exceeds all
    - 13 -
    known counterclaims. They agree that Telecom is likely to succeed on the merits
    as to a total award of $8.92 million between the two arbitrations, see Appellee's
    Br. at 47, but they disagree as to whether Telecom is likely to succeed as to any
    more than that. 2
    Accordingly, two issues are presented: first, whether a court has
    discretion to consider extraordinary circumstances even where the statutory
    requirements for attachment have been satisfied; and second, whether the district
    court abused its discretion here in (1) weighing the identified extraordinary
    circumstances, (2) concluding that the greater culpability of one of the
    wrongdoers was a reason to reduce the amount of the attachment, and
    (3) assessing Telecom's probability of success. We address each issue in turn.
    2      IBL also argues that Telecom has not established the continuing need for the
    levy. We disagree. As the district court held, any award from the Second Arbitration
    would be "ineffectual without an attachment since IBL appears to be insolvent." Special
    App'x at 30. Further, IBL admitted that it intends to dissipate the funds held in the
    correspondent accounts to process transactions. Dist. Ct. Dkt. 54-1 at 5-6. Thus,
    Telecom has established the risk that it will not be able to collect absent attachment
    based on IBL's financial position and its stated intent to dispose of its assets. See
    VisionChina, 967 N.Y.S.2d at 346.
    - 14 -
    A.     Whether Extraordinary Circumstances May Be Considered
    Because neither this Court nor the New York Court of Appeals has
    ruled on whether courts have discretion to consider nonstatutory factors such as
    extraordinary circumstances on a motion to vacate or modify attachment, we
    must "predict how the state court would resolve an ambiguity in state law."
    Donohue v. Hochul, 
    32 F.4th 200
    , 207 (2d Cir. 2022) (internal quotation marks
    omitted). 3 In so doing, we may look to the decisions of the Appellate Divisions
    to predict what the New York Court of Appeals would do, although such
    decisions are entitled only to "some weight." Khan v. Yale Univ., 
    27 F.4th 805
    , 825
    (2d Cir. 2022). Other relevant authorities include "case law from other
    jurisdictions on the same or analogous issues, scholarly writings in the field, and
    any other resources available to the state's highest court." Michalski v. Home
    Depot, Inc., 
    225 F.3d 113
    , 116 (2d Cir. 2000).
    The Appellate Division, First Department, has held that whether to
    grant an attachment "rests within the discretion of the court." VisionChina, 967
    N.Y.S.2d at 345. It has also held that that discretion includes the power to
    3      Certification to the New York Court of Appeals would be an option, but given
    the need for a prompt resolution of this matter, certification is not warranted here. See
    Tunick v. Safir, 
    94 N.Y.2d 709
    , 712 (2000) (per curiam); SG Cowen Sec. Corp., 
    224 F.3d at 83
    .
    - 15 -
    consider nonstatutory factors. See Cargill Fin. Servs. Int'l, Inc. v. Bank Fin. & Credit
    Ltd., 
    896 N.Y.S.2d 317
    , 318 (1st Dep't 2010).
    In Cargill, the First Department held that the motion court did not
    abuse its discretion when it denied plaintiff's attachment application because
    attachment would interfere with innocent third parties' access to their money. 
    Id.
    As here, and as Telecom acknowledges, Cargill concerned a plaintiff's request to
    attach funds in a foreign bank's correspondent accounts. The accounts contained
    some funds belonging to innocent third parties. 
    Id.
     The First Department held
    that the motion court had discretion to consider the impact an attachment would
    have on those third parties, which was not a statutory factor. 
    Id.
     Thus, although
    Cargill did not explicitly mention "extraordinary circumstances," it dealt with a
    circumstance that militated against granting an attachment even though all the
    statutory factors had been met. In short, the Appellate Division approved
    consideration of a nonstatutory, discretionary factor. 4
    4       We find Telecom's further effort to distinguish Cargill unavailing. A district
    court case discussing Cargill explained that Cargill "considered whether a court could
    use its discretion to deny an otherwise legal attachment of a bank account" and
    concluded that it was not an abuse of discretion to do so. Toisa Ltd. v. PT. Transamudra
    Usaha Sejahtera, No. 13-CV-1407, 
    2013 WL 12125701
    , at *14 (S.D.N.Y. Sept. 20, 2013).
    Contrary to Telecom's position, Toisa thus does not stand for the proposition that
    Cargill's holding was based on a statute rather than discretion.
    - 16 -
    As noted above, this Court previously left the issue open in two
    cases. In Capital Ventures I, plaintiff Capital Ventures had satisfied the statutory
    requirements and demonstrated a need for attachment. 
    443 F.3d at 223
    . We
    concluded that the district court erred "to the extent it denied relief because it
    considered [Capital Ventures'] chances of realizing on the Principal Collateral to
    be remote." 
    Id.
     But the Court also noted that "[w]e can conceive, perhaps, of a
    situation in which an order of attachment might be against the public interest for
    some reason not addressed in the CPLR" and observed that the public interest is
    pertinent when considering another provisional remedy, the preliminary
    injunction. Id. & n.7. Thus, Capital Ventures I left open whether courts may
    consider extraordinary circumstances when assessing attachment. And in Capital
    Ventures II, because we did not find any extraordinary circumstances, we did not
    have occasion to determine whether it would be appropriate to consider them if
    they did exist. 
    652 F.3d at 273-74
    .
    Two leading treatises support consideration of extraordinary
    circumstances. Siegel explains that "[e]ven if the plaintiff makes out a case for
    attachment under CPLR 6201, its granting is still discretionary with the court.
    The plaintiff cannot demand it as a matter of right." DAVID D. SIEGEL & PATRICK
    - 17 -
    M. CONNORS, NEW YORK PRACTICE § 317 (6th ed. 2018) (citing Sartwell v. Field, 
    68 N.Y. 341
    , 342-43 (1877)). Weinstein, Korn & Miller states that "[a]ttachment is a
    remedy that is subject to the court's broad discretion" and a "court may therefore
    vacate an attachment on any ground and is not limited to those enumerated." 12
    JACK B. WEINSTEIN, HAROLD L. KORN & ARTHUR R. MILLER, NEW YORK CIVIL
    PRACTICE: C.P.L.R. ¶ 6223.09 (David L. Ferstendig ed., 2022). For that
    proposition it cites a New York Supreme Court case recognizing hardship and
    "the equities" as grounds for vacatur. See Interpetrol Berm. Ltd. v. Trin. & Tobago
    Oil Co., 
    513 N.Y.S.2d 598
    , 604-05 (Sup. Ct. 1987).
    Today, we answer the question left open by Capital Ventures I and II.
    Given the available authorities, we predict that the New York Court of Appeals
    would conclude that a court has discretion to weigh extraordinary circumstances
    even where the statutory requirements for attachment are satisfied. Common-
    sense application of First Department caselaw compels this conclusion. Trial
    courts have discretion in deciding motions for attachment, see VisionChina, 967
    N.Y.S.2d at 345, and that discretion includes the power to consider nonstatutory
    factors such as the impact an attachment would have on nonparties, see Cargill,
    
    896 N.Y.S.2d at 318
    . It makes sense that this discretion would encompass other
    - 18 -
    considerations, such as the impact an attachment might have on a nation's
    economy. Accordingly, the district court did not err when it considered whether
    extraordinary circumstances existed in deciding the motions here.
    B.    Whether the District Court Abused Its Discretion
    Next, we address whether the district court abused its discretion in
    reducing the attachment to $3 million. We conclude that it did, in three respects:
    failing to consider alternative attachment amounts, concluding that the greater
    culpability of one of the wrongdoers was a reason to reduce the attachment, and
    applying the wrong legal standard in assessing Telecom's probability of success.
    1.     Failure to Consider Alternative Attachment Amounts
    Although the district court properly held that it was entitled to
    consider extraordinary circumstances, it abused that discretion when it assessed
    them here and vacated all but $3 million of the attachment. The district court
    considered five extraordinary circumstances and weighed them with respect to
    attachment amounts of $97 million and $42 million. It then used those
    circumstances as a basis to deny any attachment greater than $3 million.
    Turning to four of those circumstances, we hold that they are all fair
    considerations, but the district court should have assessed whether attachments
    - 19 -
    greater than $3 million but less than $42 million would have the same grave
    impact on the circumstance identified. 5
    The district court first found that IBL was one of five "viable" banks
    in Lebanon, which was facing a drastic economic crisis. Special App'x at 42. It
    concluded that "the attachment poses a not insignificant risk of forcing IBL . . .
    into failure," which had the "potential to impact the economy of the entire
    nation." 
    Id.
     Those "severe repercussions," the district court concluded, "militate
    against granting [Telecom's] request to confirm (much less to expand) the
    attachment." 
    Id.
    In reaching that conclusion, the district court was considering
    Telecom's motion to confirm the entire $100 million attachment and expand it to
    include all of IBL's property in the district, the value of which was not specified.
    While the risk of impact on the Lebanese economy was a grave concern, the
    potential repercussions were not so severe as to preclude the $3 million
    attachment, which the district court confirmed.
    Next, the district court held that the attachment of $42 million -- the
    portion of the $100 million ex parte attachment that Telecom was able to attach
    5      The fifth circumstance, which the district court called "the principal wrongdoer,"
    is addressed below.
    - 20 -
    from Southern District-based funds -- "will cause IBL to fall out of compliance"
    with emergency regulations promulgated by the Lebanese central bank Banque
    du Liban ("BdL") to manage the Lebanese economic crisis. Id. at 45. Those
    regulations appear in publications known as BdL Circulars. BdL Circular 150
    prohibits Lebanese banks from restricting customer withdrawals of "fresh" funds,
    which are foreign currencies deposited with the banks after April 9, 2020. BdL
    Circular 154 requires banks to maintain 3 percent of their foreign currency
    reserves "free of any commitments." BdL Circular 158 requires banks to permit
    limited withdrawals of U.S. dollars when certain conditions are met; thus, banks
    must keep adequate funds in correspondent accounts in the United States.
    The district court found that the $42 million attachment froze nearly
    all of the funds that the BdL Circulars require IBL to keep on hand because the
    attachment froze the entirety of IBL's correspondent accounts in New York. But
    it did not consider whether IBL would still have access to funds sufficient to
    remain in compliance with the BdL Circulars if some amount less than $42
    million were attached.
    Similarly, the district court found that the $42 million attachment
    precluded IBL from providing to its customers international banking services in
    - 21 -
    U.S. dollars. It held that it would not "further burden" those customers, which it
    called "innocent third parties." Id. at 47.
    The district court next considered "whether an attachment on the
    scale at issue here will undermine confidence in New York's financial
    institutions." Id. at 48. It concluded that Telecom had not shown that
    "unintended damage" would not be done to the New York correspondent
    banking system. Id. at 49. The district court did not mention the precise figure it
    analyzed, but it noted that Telecom's arguments "might have more force" if it
    "had an arbitration award of $97 million which it was seeking to confirm and
    enforce." Id. It also referred to the "attachment on the scale at issue here." Those
    references suggest that the district court did not consider the impact of an
    attachment of less than $42 million. 6 Id. at 48.
    The district court abused its discretion in weighing these four
    circumstances because it concluded that no attachment greater than $3 million
    was appropriate based on its finding that the larger $42 million attachment
    6      The district court observed that an application for attachment "should be
    supported by expert testimony on New York's correspondent banking system to allay a
    court's concern that unintended damage will not be done to that system by the
    attachment." Special App'x at 49. Whether such testimony is required is not before this
    Court, and we express no opinion on the issue.
    - 22 -
    would have a deleterious effect. But the district court failed to consider whether
    some amount less than $42 million but greater than $3 million would create the
    same risks that it identified for the greater amount. For example, as noted above,
    BdL Circular 154 requires IBL to hold 3 percent of its foreign currency reserves
    free of any commitments. It is unclear, then, whether an attachment of $17
    million would result in any negative effects given that IBL is already required by
    Lebanese regulations to hold that money in its U.S. accounts. Indeed, at oral
    argument on appeal, IBL effectively conceded that an attachment of $17 million
    would not cause any negative ramifications to IBL or the Lebanese banking
    system. Oral Argument at 12:00-:30, 16:50-18:10, Iraq Telecom Ltd. v. IBL Bank
    S.A.L. (2d Cir. June 9, 2022) (No. 22-540), https://www.ca2.uscourts.gov/
    decisions/isysquery/c2b7b85f-5bd9-40d4-ba5e-dd4636116c06/1/doc/22-540.mp3.
    Accordingly, the district court should have considered what effect, if
    any, an alternative attachment size would have on the extraordinary
    circumstances it identified, and it thus abused its discretion by confirming the
    attachment as to only $3 million.
    - 23 -
    2.    The Greater Culpability of One of the Wrongdoers
    As to the fifth and final circumstance, the district court found that
    Barzani was the principal wrongdoer, not IBL, and that Telecom therefore "may
    have other avenues to make itself whole." Special App'x at 49. It concluded that
    "the unpredictable effect of maintaining the attachment on IBL in these
    circumstances counsels restraint." Id.
    On the record before this Court, the availability to Telecom of other
    avenues of recovery is not an extraordinary circumstance militating against
    confirmation of the attachment. The district court points to nothing
    extraordinary about Barzani's liability as compared to IBL's meriting special
    consideration here. Thus, it seems that the sole basis for the district court's
    determination here is the fact of IBL's joint and several liability, discussed further
    below, which is not itself extraordinary -- otherwise, any defendant could avoid
    attachment merely by pointing to the existence of joint tortfeasors.
    IBL argues that the district court's "principal wrongdoer" holding is
    not a separate extraordinary circumstance but merely one factor that the district
    court assessed in determining that the case "as a whole" presents extraordinary
    circumstances. But this is belied by the district court's plain reference to "the
    - 24 -
    extraordinary circumstances described below," followed by the enumerated
    analysis of the five circumstances. Id. at 40.
    We do not hold that the existence of another "principal wrongdoer"
    may never be an extraordinary circumstance meriting consideration on a motion
    to vacate an attachment, but the record does not support such a finding here.
    3.     Probability of Success
    The district court abused its discretion when it concluded that
    Telecom established that it was likely to succeed on the merits in the Second
    Arbitration as to only $5.92 million. The district court found that IBL and
    Barzani "deprived" Telecom of $97 million. Id. at 32. It recognized that, under
    Lebanese law, joint and several liability is established if defendants have "acted
    in concert." 7 Id. at 33. It then found that Telecom was likely to demonstrate in
    the Second Arbitration that IBL "acted in concert" with Barzani. Id. But the
    7       The parties agree that Lebanese law -- specifically, Article 137 of the Lebanese
    Code of Obligations and Contracts -- provides that joint and several liability "is
    presumed only where (i) those persons acted in concert; (ii) it is impossible to determine
    the proportion of damages attributable to each of those persons." Appellee's Br. at 53;
    App'x at 897-98, 1375; Appellant's Br. at 27. According to the First Arbitration award, a
    plaintiff need show only one element to establish joint and several liability. App'x at
    304-05 (Article 137's "conditions are not cumulative"). Accordingly, joint and several
    liability is established here if Telecom can show either that IBL and Barzani acted in
    concert or that it was impossible to determine the proportion of damages attributable to
    each of them. Telecom need not establish both.
    - 25 -
    district court held that Telecom had not succeeded in showing that it was likely
    to obtain an award of $97 million jointly and severally against IBL and others,
    apparently because "IBL retained only a small portion of the damages" sought.
    Id. at 33-34. This was an abuse of discretion for two related reasons.
    First, the district court concluded that "it is entirely conceivable" that
    the Second Arbitration panel "would limit any future award against IBL to the
    roughly $5.92 million that [IBL] retained" based on a theoretical exercise of
    discretion. Id. at 32. Even assuming this observation were correct, whether a
    panel's outcome is "conceivable" is not the correct legal standard. Rather, the
    district court must assess what is probable. N.Y. C.P.L.R. 6212(a); see Cap. Ventures
    I, 
    443 F.3d at 219
    .
    Second, although the district court correctly observed that
    arbitration is "marked by great flexibility in . . . legal and equitable analysis," SG
    Cower Sec. Corp., 
    224 F.3d at 84
    , it did not explain why the Second Arbitration
    panel would exercise its discretion to depart from the law. The First Arbitration
    panel found that IBL and Barzani acted "in concert" to defraud Telecom of $97
    million. Thus, as the district court correctly held, Telecom is likely to establish
    joint and several liability. See Code of Obligations and Contracts art. 137 (Leb.).
    - 26 -
    Under general tort principles, if two tortfeasors jointly commit a fraud, they are
    jointly and severally liable for all damages. RESTATEMENT (THIRD) OF TORTS:
    APPORTIONMENT OF LIAB. §§ 10, 12. In other words, Telecom likely can seek to
    collect the entirety of the $97 million from IBL alone. While it is undisputed that
    IBL is in dire financial straits, the district court cites no law to support the
    proposition that a tortfeasor is liable only for the amount it can pay. The district
    court pointed to no provision of Lebanese law or general tort principle that
    would allow a defendant who acted in concert with others to avoid joint and
    several liability merely because it did not retain all of the fraud proceeds.
    Accordingly, based on the district court's own findings that IBL and
    Barzani in concert defrauded Telecom of $97 million, and that Telecom was
    likely to establish joint and several liability as to IBL, it was error to conclude that
    the Second Arbitration panel was not likely to hold IBL jointly and severally
    liable. The district court therefore abused its discretion when it held that
    Telecom failed to establish a probability of success as to the $97 million award.
    *     *      *
    On remand, the district court should consider whether an amount
    less than $42 million but more than $3 million should be attached. At a
    - 27 -
    minimum, the district court should consider an attachment of $17 million in light
    of IBL's concession at oral argument.
    CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons,
    (1)   the order of the district court is AFFIRMED to the extent that
    the district court held that it had discretion to consider extraordinary
    circumstances and that Telecom demonstrated a continuing need for the
    attachment, and to the extent that the district court attached $3 million;
    (2)   the order is VACATED to the extent the district court attached
    only $3 million based on the existence of extraordinary circumstances without
    considering how those circumstances might change given an attachment greater
    than $3 million but less than $42 million; and
    (3)   the case is REMANDED for further proceedings as to
    (a) Telecom's probability of success, (b) the assessment of extraordinary
    circumstances, and (c) the amount of the attachment above $3 million.
    - 28 -