United States v. Janet Hallahan , 744 F.3d 497 ( 2014 )


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  •                                     In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    v.
    JANET HALLAHAN and
    NELSON G. HALLAHAN,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Appeals from the United States District Court for the
    Central District of Illinois.
    Nos. 12-CR-10054 and 99-CR-10045 — Joe Billy McDade, Judge.
    ARGUED JANUARY 10, 2014 — DECIDED MARCH 7, 2014
    Before FLAUM and EASTERBROOK, Circuit Judges, and
    GRIESBACH, District Judge.*
    GRIESBACH, District Judge. Defendants-Appellants Janet and
    Nelson Hallahan engaged in a prolonged fraud that bilked
    investors out of more than $1,000,000. They pled guilty, as part
    *
    Of the Eastern District of Wisconsin, sitting by designation.
    2                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    of plea agreements, to two counts of conspiracy. Rather than
    face sentencing for their crimes, the defendants chose to flee
    the district. They remained on the run for twelve years. After
    they were finally arrested, both pled guilty without a plea
    agreement to the additional crime of failing to appear for
    sentencing. At their long-delayed sentencing in 2012, the
    district court imposed above-guideline sentences of 270
    months on Nelson Hallahan and 195 months on Janet
    Hallahan. They now challenge their sentences on a variety of
    grounds, despite having waived their rights to appeal in their
    original plea agreements. We affirm.
    I. BACKGROUND
    On January 6, 2000, the defendants pled guilty to conspir-
    acy to commit mail and bank fraud, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 371
    , 1341, and 1344, and conspiracy to commit money
    laundering, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 1956
    (h), as part of plea
    agreements. The charges stemmed from their actions begin-
    ning in 1993 or earlier until 1999, during which time they
    convinced individuals to provide loans ostensibly for Janet
    Hallahan’s tanning business. As a result of these acts, they
    were charged with sixteen counts of mail fraud, nine counts of
    money laundering, and three counts of bank fraud, in addition
    to the conspiracy charges. In exchange for their guilty pleas on
    the conspiracy counts, the government agreed to move to
    dismiss the other charges, not bring additional charges related
    to the offenses, recommend a downward adjustment for
    acceptance of responsibility, and recommend a sentence at the
    low end of the applicable guideline range. The plea agreements
    also included appeal waivers:
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                     3
    [T]he defendant knowingly waives the right to
    appeal any sentence within the maximum provided
    in the statute of conviction (or the manner in which
    that sentence was determined) on the grounds set
    forth in Title 18, United States Code, Section 3742 or
    on any ground whatever, in exchange for the con-
    cessions made by the United States in this plea
    agreement.
    After a full and complete plea colloquy in accordance with
    Rule 11 of the Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure, the district
    court accepted both pleas, finding that Janet and Nelson
    Hallahan were competent to enter their pleas and did so
    knowingly and voluntarily.
    The defendants were scheduled to be sentenced on May 4,
    2000, but they did not appear. Instead, the defendants chose to
    flee. The probation office discovered the defendants had
    absconded on January 18, 2000—just twelve days after they
    pled guilty. For the next twelve years, they eluded justice while
    living in Missouri and Arizona. They were arrested on May 12,
    2012, in Arizona, where they were residing under false names.
    Upon their return, Janet and Nelson Hallahan were charged
    with, and pled guilty to, willfully failing to appear for sentenc-
    ing, in violation of 
    18 U.S.C. § 3146
    (a)(1).
    On November 28, 2012, the district court finally sentenced
    Janet and Nelson Hallahan on the conspiracy and failure to
    appear counts. Both Janet and Nelson Hallahan argued that the
    court should use the version of the United States Sentencing
    Guidelines Manual (U.S.S.G. or Guidelines) that was in effect
    at the time of the offenses, rather than the version in effect at
    4                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    the time of the sentencing, to avoid a violation of the Ex Post
    Facto Clause. The district court disagreed and calculated the
    advisory sentencing range using the 2012 Guidelines which
    were in effect at the time of sentencing, consistent with this
    Court’s decision in United States v. Demaree, 
    459 F.3d 791
     (7th
    Cir. 2006). Based on the 2012 Guidelines, the district court
    calculated the advisory range to be 210 to 262 months for
    Nelson Hallahan and 135 to 168 months for Janet Hallahan.
    Under the 1998 Guidelines, which were in effect at the time of
    the offenses, the advisory range would have been 121 to 151
    months for Nelson Hallahan and 97 to 121 months for Janet
    Hallahan.
    After hearing arguments from all of the parties, including
    the government’s request for the “longest of sentences,” the
    district court imposed a sentence of 270 months on Nelson
    Hallahan and 195 months on Janet Hallahan based on its
    consideration of the sentencing factors under 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a). These sentences represented upward variances from
    the sentencing range under the 2012 Guidelines. Nelson and
    Janet Hallahan filed timely appeals. We consolidated the
    appeals on our own motion for purposes of briefing and
    disposition.
    II. ANALYSIS
    On June 10, 2013, while these appeals were pending, the
    Supreme Court decided Peugh v. United States, ___ U.S. ___, 
    133 S. Ct. 2072
    , 2078 (2013), in which it abrogated this Court’s
    decision in Demaree and held that the Ex Post Facto Clause is
    violated “when a defendant is sentenced under Guidelines
    promulgated after he committed his criminal acts and the new
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                    5
    version provides a higher applicable Guidelines sentencing
    range than the version in place at the time of the offense.” In
    light of the Supreme Court’s decision in Peugh, the defendants
    contend that the district court violated the Ex Post Facto Clause
    when it used the 2012 Guidelines in determining their sen-
    tences. They also argue that the district court incorrectly
    calculated the base offense level for the conspiracy to commit
    money laundering count, regardless of which version of the
    Guidelines applies, and that the district court failed to follow
    the procedure prescribed by the Guidelines for determining
    their sentences for the failure to appear counts. Janet Hallahan
    separately presents two additional challenges. First, she argues
    the district court erred when it failed to rule on her motion to
    withdraw from the appeal waiver provision of the plea
    agreement. Second, she contends that the district court’s 195-
    month sentence was substantively unreasonable.
    In response, the government has forcefully argued that the
    challenges related to the two conspiracy counts to which
    Nelson and Janet Hallahan pled guilty in 2000 are barred by
    the appeal waivers in their plea agreements. According to the
    government, even if the district court did err in applying the
    2012 Guidelines or in calculating the base offense level for the
    money laundering offense, Nelson and Janet Hallahan bar-
    gained away their rights to appeal as part of valid and enforce-
    able plea agreements. On the merits, the government argues
    that there is no ex post facto violation because, under the one-
    book rule, the latter version of the Guidelines applies when the
    earlier offense is grouped with a subsequent crime. The
    government concedes, however, that the base offense level was
    miscalculated on the money laundering count, but contends
    6                  Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    that the district court correctly applied the Guidelines for the
    failure to appear count. As for Janet Hallahan’s separate
    challenges, the government argues that the district court
    provided ample reasons to support her sentence and the
    district court’s failure to rule on her motion to withdraw from
    the plea agreement is not reversible error because it has no
    chance of success on remand.
    A. Appeal Waivers
    The parties have focused much of their attention on the
    enforceability of the appeal waivers contained in the plea
    agreements the defendants signed in 2000 when they pled
    guilty to the conspiracy counts. In response to the govern-
    ment’s contention that they waived their rights to challenge the
    guideline calculation for the conspiracy offenses as part of their
    plea agreements, the defendants have argued that the appeal
    waivers are not enforceable. Regardless of whether they are
    enforceable, however, we conclude that the appeal waivers do
    not bar our review of the district court’s guideline calculation
    on the conspiracy counts. This is because the district court used
    the same guideline to determine the defendants’ sentences for
    the additional offense of failure to appear. As we explain
    below, all three offenses were, in Guidelines terminology,
    grouped, and therefore any error in the guideline calculation
    for the conspiracy counts necessarily affected the sentence
    imposed by the district court for the failure to appear count.
    Since the defendants did not waive their right to appeal when
    they entered their guilty pleas to that offense, they are entitled
    to review of the guideline calculations that were used as a
    starting point in the sentencing determination.
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                      7
    The issue of whether the waivers are enforceable is never-
    theless relevant at least as to Janet, however, because she also
    challenges her sentence for the conspiracy offenses on substan-
    tive grounds. If her appeal waiver is enforceable, then her
    challenge to her sentence on those counts is barred. We
    therefore must determine whether the government is entitled
    to enforce Janet’s waiver of her right to appeal. Before deciding
    that issue we turn first to Janet’s claim that the district court
    committed plain error when it failed to rule on her motion to
    withdraw from the plea agreement. We decide that issue first,
    for if she should ultimately prevail on her motion, the appeal
    waiver does not apply to her in any event.
    1. Failure to Rule on Motion to Withdraw from the Plea
    Agreement
    After Janet and Nelson were arrested in Arizona, but before
    they were sentenced, Janet filed a motion to withdraw her
    guilty plea to the conspiracy counts and, alternatively, to
    withdraw from her plea agreement. Rule 11 requires “a fair
    and just reason” for withdrawing a guilty plea before sentenc-
    ing. Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(d)(2)(B). Janet asserted that there were
    three fair and just reasons for the district court to permit her to
    withdraw her plea: (1) she was innocent of the charges; (2) her
    attorney provided ineffective assistance; and (3) she was
    coerced and intimidated into accepting the plea agreement by
    Nelson.
    In support of her alternative request that she be allowed to
    withdraw from her plea agreement, Janet alleged that the
    reasons were “obvious” in that “[a]ll the benefits Ms. Hallahan
    sought from a plea agreement are no longer binding on the
    8                  Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    Government or this court.” She noted that the government
    would no longer be required to make recommendations for a
    three-level reduction to her offense severity score for accep-
    tance of responsibility or for a sentence at the low end of the
    applicable guideline range. Janet also argued that the govern-
    ment would no longer be bound to dismiss the remaining
    counts in the indictment or refrain from filing additional
    charges based on the same course of conduct. Whereas the
    benefits she derived from the plea agreement had been lost,
    Janet noted that her appeal waiver remained. She explained
    that she wished to preserve her appeal rights to seek review of
    the district court’s order and sentence in the event the court
    did not allow her to withdraw her plea or sentenced her under
    the current version of the Guidelines.
    Relying on United States v. Darnell, 
    716 F.2d 479
     (7th Cir.
    1983), the district court summarily denied Janet’s motion to
    withdraw her plea on the ground of laches. In Darnell, the
    defendant sought to withdraw his plea some twenty years after
    his conviction. Though the defendant alleged “a repugnant tale
    of violations of his constitutional and statutory rights,” this
    Court found it unnecessary to determine the truth of the
    allegations and affirmed the district court’s denial of the
    motion on the ground that “Darnell has not exercised reason-
    able diligence in ascertaining and presenting the asserted
    grounds for relief.” 
    Id.
     at 479–80. The Court identified two facts
    that justified the district court’s conclusion that the motion was
    barred: (1) the government’s ability to meet successfully the
    allegations of the motion or to present a case against the
    defendant if he was granted a new trial would be greatly
    diminished by the passage of time; and (2) Darnell had not
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                     9
    even attempted to demonstrate that the twenty-year delay was
    excusable. 
    Id.
     at 480–81.
    In denying Janet’s motion to withdraw her plea in this case,
    the district court likewise concluded that the government
    would suffer significant prejudice as a result of the twelve-year
    delay in the event Janet’s motion was granted. The case was
    complex, and the events underlying the offenses dated back
    more than twenty-five years. The law enforcement officers who
    investigated the case had all retired, and it would be difficult,
    if not impossible, to present testimony from many of the
    victims and witnesses, who were already quite elderly at the
    time the crimes were committed. The district court also found
    that Janet had failed to provide a legitimate excuse for her
    delay in bringing her motion. Indeed, the court found that the
    twelve-year delay resulted solely and directly from her
    unlawful decision to flee the court’s jurisdiction in an effort to
    avoid being held accountable for her crimes. Based on these
    facts alone, the district court concluded that Janet’s motion to
    withdraw her plea was barred under the doctrine of laches.
    Janet does not challenge the district court’s denial of her
    motion to withdraw her plea to the conspiracy counts. Instead,
    she contends that the court erred in failing to address her
    motion to withdraw from the plea agreement. She argues that
    her motion to withdraw her plea was separate and distinct
    from her motion to withdraw from the plea agreement and that
    it was error for the district court not to address it separately.
    Because of that error, Janet contends that her case should be
    remanded.
    10                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    We find no error in the district court’s handling of Janet’s
    motion to withdraw from the plea agreement that would
    warrant a remand. Although a motion to withdraw a plea is
    distinct from a motion to withdraw from a plea agreement, we
    have observed that “the plea agreement and the plea are
    ‘bound up together,’” and thus held that the same standard of
    “a fair and just reason” for withdrawal applies. United States v.
    Standiford, 
    148 F.3d 864
    , 868 (7th Cir. 1998) (quoting United
    States v. Hyde, 
    520 U.S. 670
    , 677 (1997)). The district court
    properly rejected Janet’s proffered reasons for withdrawing her
    plea, and she failed to offer any fair and just reason for a
    different ruling on her motion to withdraw from the plea
    agreement.
    In essence, Janet sought to be relieved of the provision of
    her plea agreement in which she waived her right to appeal
    because she no longer thought it was in her interest. She
    realized that because she had absconded, the government was
    no longer bound to recommend a reduction in her offense
    severity score for acceptance of responsibility or that she
    receive a sentence at the low end of the applicable guideline
    range. She also recognized that if it so chose, the government
    would be free to pursue the remaining charges in the indict-
    ment and even issue additional charges based on the same
    course of conduct. Since the government was no longer bound
    by the plea agreement, she argued it was only fair that she be
    released from it as well.
    But the government did not seek to be relieved of its
    obligations to dismiss the remaining charges or refrain from
    issuing additional charges based on the same course of conduct
    that led to the initial charges. As we explain below, the fact that
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                     11
    the government was relieved of its obligation to recommend a
    more lenient sentence was a consequence of Janet’s own breach
    of the plea agreement. It does not constitute a breach of the
    agreement by the government; nor does it provide a ground
    for Janet to withdraw from the agreement. A plea agreement
    is a contract, and absent some breach by the government, a
    defendant cannot repudiate the contract simply because she no
    longer thinks it is in her interest. United States v. Ellison, 
    798 F.2d 1102
    , 1104 (7th Cir. 1986) (“Defendant pled guilty pursu-
    ant to his promise to the government and, absent some breach
    by the government, now cannot attempt to repudiate the
    contract unless he does so pursuant to Rule 32(d).”).
    While it is perhaps true that the district court should have
    explicitly addressed Janet’s alternative request, its failure to do
    so does not warrant a remand. We have consistently declined
    to remand cases for further proceedings when the outcome of
    such proceedings is clear and remand would be futile. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Stephens, 
    514 F.3d 703
    , 713 (7th Cir. 2008)
    (“Thus, remand would be futile as there is only one plausible
    conclusion based on the entire record—that there was no
    Batson violation.”); United States v. Purchess, 
    107 F.3d 1261
    , 1269
    (7th Cir. 1997) (“Normally, we would remand … . However, in
    this case, a careful review of the record reveals that the denial
    of the acceptance of responsibility reduction is well grounded
    in a permissible factor—the district court’s finding that
    Purchess was not remorseful but was simply trying to obtain
    a lower sentence. Therefore, remand would be futile, and we
    affirm the district court’s denial of the reduction.”). Here,
    Janet’s alternative motion could only have been denied since
    she offered no “fair and just reason” to withdraw from her plea
    12                  Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    agreement. Sandiford, 
    148 F.3d at 868
    . We thus turn to the effect
    of the plea agreements, in particular, the enforceability of the
    appeal waivers.
    2. Enforceability of Appeal Waivers
    In their plea agreements, the defendants waived the right
    to appeal “any sentence within the maximum provided in the
    statute of conviction (or the manner in which that sentence was
    determined) on the grounds set forth in [18 U.S.C. §] 3742 or on
    any ground whatever, in exchange for the concessions made by
    the United States in this plea agreement.” Thus, if the appellate
    waiver is enforceable, then the defendants’ arguments regard-
    ing the violation of the Ex Post Facto Clause and the incorrect
    calculation of the base offense level, as they apply to the
    conspiracy offenses alone, are barred.
    We have consistently stated that “[a] defendant may waive
    his appeal rights as part of a plea agreement, provided the
    waiver is clear and unambiguous.” United States v. Jones, 
    381 F.3d 615
    , 619 (7th Cir. 2004) (citing United States v. Mason, 
    343 F.3d 893
    , 893–94 (7th Cir. 2003); United States v. Nave, 
    302 F.3d 719
    , 720 (7th Cir. 2002); United States v. Woolley, 
    123 F.3d 627
    ,
    631–32 (7th Cir. 1997)). An “appellate waiver ‘stands and falls
    with the rest of the bargain.’” United States v. Sakellarion, 
    649 F.3d 634
    , 639 (7th Cir. 2011) (quoting United States v. Whitlow,
    
    287 F.3d 638
    , 640 (7th Cir. 2002)). A knowing and voluntary
    appeal waiver precludes appellate review. Jones, 
    381 F.3d at 619
    .
    The defendants do not argue that their appeal waivers are
    invalid because their pleas or plea agreements in 2000 were
    made unknowingly or involuntarily. Instead, they contend that
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                    13
    their appeal waivers are unenforceable because the govern-
    ment breached their plea agreements by failing to recommend
    sentences at the low end of the applicable guideline range.
    Because the government breached its obligations under the
    plea agreements, the defendants argue that it cannot enforce
    the appeal waivers against them.
    The government, on the other hand, insists that it did not
    breach the plea agreements. Instead, the government contends
    that it was relieved of its obligation to recommend a sentence
    at the low end of the applicable guideline range by the defen-
    dants’ own breach of the plea agreements. More specifically,
    the government argues that its more lenient sentencing
    recommendation was conditioned on the defendants appearing
    for sentencing and not absconding. Because they left the state
    and avoided sentencing for twelve years, the government
    argues that its obligation to make the favorable sentencing
    recommendation called for by their plea agreements was
    excused. It thus follows, the government contends, that it did
    not breach the agreements and the appeal waivers should be
    enforced.
    As already noted, a plea agreement is a form of contract.
    United States v. Diaz-Jimenez, 
    622 F.3d 692
    , 694 (7th Cir. 2010).
    Consequently, we have often remarked that “[d]isputes over
    plea agreements are usefully viewed through the lens of
    contract law.” E.g., United States v. Bownes, 
    405 F.3d 634
    , 636
    (7th Cir. 2005) (collecting cases). A breach of a plea agreement
    by the prosecutor is actionable, and the general rule is that
    where such a breach has been shown, the defendant is entitled
    to either specific performance or rescission, i.e., withdrawal of
    the plea. Santobello v. New York, 
    404 U.S. 257
    , 263 (1971); United
    14                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    States v. Grimm, 
    170 F.3d 760
    , 765 (7th Cir. 1999). Of course, a
    plea agreement also creates obligations for the defendant.
    In this case, the defendants waived their rights to a trial and
    entered pleas of guilty to the two conspiracy counts pursuant
    to their plea agreements. Yet, these were not their only obliga-
    tions. An implied but obvious term of any plea agreement is
    that the defendant show up for sentencing and not flee the
    jurisdiction. United States v. Munoz, 
    718 F.3d 726
    , 729 (7th Cir.
    2013). The defendants breached this obligation when they fled
    the district and avoided the punishment for their crimes for
    twelve years. The defendants’ flight constituted a material
    breach, depriving them of the ability to hold the government
    to its promise to recommend the low end of the applicable
    guideline range. 
    Id. at 730
     (“No defendant could reasonably
    expect that he could abscond for five years and still hold the
    government to its promises under the plea agreement.”); see
    also United States v. Delacruz, 
    144 F.3d 492
    , 495 (7th Cir. 1998)
    (“Since defendant failed to appear for sentencing and contin-
    ued his criminal conduct, the government was no longer
    obligated to recommend a sentence of 24 months at his
    sentencing hearing.”). In the language of contract law, the
    government’s obligation to recommend a low end of the
    guideline sentence was excused by the defendants’ breach of
    their obligation to show up for sentencing and not flee the
    jurisdiction. See Puckett v. United States, 
    556 U.S. 129
    , 140 n.2
    (2009) (citing 39 WILLISTON ON CONTRACTS § 39:3 (4th ed.
    2009)).
    The defendants contend, however, that if the government
    is relieved of its obligation to recommend a lesser sentence
    then they are likewise relieved of the appeal waivers. They cite
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                   15
    Munoz in support of their argument, noting that in that case the
    government treated the plea agreement as rescinded after the
    defendant absconded and therefore did not attempt to enforce
    the appeal waiver in the agreement. 718 F.3d at 730–31. We
    acknowledged in Munoz that we would face a more difficult
    issue if the government had sought to enforce the appeal
    waiver. Id. Here the government does seek to enforce the
    waiver, and so the issue is now before us. We again find the
    answer in well established principles of contract law.
    “[A] classic rule of contract law, is that a party should be
    prevented from benefitting from its own breach.” Assaf v.
    Trinity Medical Center, 
    696 F.3d 681
    , 686 (7th Cir. 2012) (citing
    23 WILLISTON § 63:8). Thus, the fact that a party has breached
    a portion of a contract does not automatically result in the
    discharge of that party’s remaining obligations. Otherwise, a
    party would have the power to escape an unwanted contrac-
    tual obligation simply by breaching another provision of the
    contract under which it arises. 13 WILLISTON § 39.1. Such a rule
    would seriously undermine the law of contracts. Id. Instead,
    the rule is that where one party commits a material breach, the
    non-breaching party may elect to terminate the entire agree-
    ment or seek to enforce the remainder of the contract. See 23
    WILLISTON § 63:8 (“When a contract is breached, the injured
    party is not required to repudiate the contract in order to
    preserve its right to sue the other for breach of the contract;
    after a breach, the injured party may elect to continue the
    agreement and claim damages from the defaulting party for his
    nonperformance.”) (citing RESTATEMENT (SECOND) OF CON-
    TRACTS § 246). Here, the government has elected to enforce the
    remaining provisions of the plea agreements, including the
    16                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    appeal waivers. We see no reason why it should not be allowed
    to do so.
    As we have already explained, the government did not
    breach the defendants’ plea agreements by failing to recom-
    mend sentences at the low end of the applicable guideline
    ranges because the obligation to make such a recommendation
    was excused by the defendants’ flight to avoid sentencing and
    the twelve-year reprieve they gained as a result. Given the fact
    that the defendants not only failed to accept responsibility for
    their crimes, but entirely escaped responsibility for twelve
    years, a recommendation for leniency would have made no
    sense on its face. The law does not require the government to
    make a nonsensical recommendation.
    The defendants also contend, however, that the govern-
    ment breached their plea agreements in two other ways. They
    note that the government also stated in their agreements that
    it “will fully apprise the District Court and the United States
    Probation Office of the nature, scope and extent of defendant’s
    conduct regarding the charges against him [and her], and
    related matters, including matters in aggravation and mitiga-
    tion relevant to the issue of sentencing.” Plea Agreements ¶ 14.
    Additionally, the government agreed “to bring no additional
    criminal charges in the Central District of Illinois against the
    defendant[s] relating to or arising from the offenses charged in
    this indictment, except for any crime of violence which might
    have been committed with regard to this or other matters and
    which is not known to the government at this time.” Id. ¶ 17.
    The defendants contend that the government failed to perform
    both of these obligations as well. It did not apprise the district
    court of matters in mitigation, and it charged them with failing
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                  17
    to appear at their sentencing, a charge “relating to” the
    conspiracy charges in the indictment. Having failed to perform
    its own obligations under the plea agreements, the defendants
    contend, the government is not entitled to enforcement of the
    appeal waivers.
    We reject the defendants’ argument that the government
    breached the plea agreements by failing to apprise the district
    court of matters in mitigation and by bringing additional
    charges relating to the offenses charged in the fraud indict-
    ment. As to mitigating factors, the defendants contend that the
    government never mentioned Janet’s lesser role in the offense
    or Nelson’s health issues. They also contend that the govern-
    ment failed to acknowledge that neither had a criminal record
    prior to the conspiracy and that they had lived “a simple,
    lawful life while on the lam.” But there was no need for the
    government to advise the sentencing judge of Janet’s role,
    Nelson’s health, or that neither had a prior criminal record.
    These facts were apparent from the pre-sentence report, and
    the government never disputed them. As for their claim that
    their lifestyle while on the lam was simple and law abiding, we
    simply note that fleeing the district to avoid sentencing and
    then living and working under false identities so as to avoid
    apprehension for twelve years are not mitigating factors. The
    government did not violate the defendants’ plea agreements by
    failing to say otherwise.
    We also reject the defendants’ argument that the charges for
    failure to appear at sentencing violated the government’s
    obligation not to bring additional charges “relating to or
    arising from the offenses charged in the indictment.” Under
    their reading of the plea agreements, the defendants would
    18                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    have been immune from prosecution for any offense they
    could have thereafter committed in the Central District of
    Illinois as long as they could tie it somehow to their previous
    fraud. A bank robbery to fund their get-away, for example, or
    even a retaliatory murder of a government witness (only
    crimes of violence already committed are excluded) would be
    “related to” the fraud offenses in the same sense as their failure
    to appear. Such a reading of the agreements would be both
    absurd and contrary to public policy.
    “Plea agreements are contracts, and their content and
    meaning are determined according to ordinary contract
    principles.” United States v. Ingram, 
    979 F.2d 1179
    , 1184 (7th Cir.
    1992). This means that when a plea agreement is unambiguous
    on its face, this Court generally interprets the agreement
    according to its plain meaning. United States v. Monroe, 
    580 F.3d 552
    , 556 (7th Cir. 2009). “When the language of an agreement
    is ambiguous, however, the essence of the particular agreement
    and the Government’s conduct relating to its obligations in that
    case are determinative.” 
    Id.
     (internal quotations omitted).
    “Although the government must fulfill any express or implied
    promise made in exchange for a guilty plea, the parties’ rights
    under the plea agreement are limited to those matters upon
    which they actually agreed.” United States v. Williams, 
    102 F.3d 923
    , 927 (7th Cir. 1996) (citing United States v. Jimenez, 
    992 F.2d 131
    , 134 (7th Cir. 1993)). Moreover, “[w]hen interpreting
    such agreements, . . . we must bear in mind the special
    public-interest concerns that arise in the plea agreement
    context.” Monroe, 
    580 F.3d at 556
    . Finally, courts eschew
    interpretations of contract provisions that make them unrea-
    sonable or illegal. 11 WILLISTON § 32:11; Aronson v. K. Arakelian,
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                    19
    Inc., 
    154 F.2d 231
    , 233 (7th Cir. 1946) (“[A] contract will not be
    presumed to have imposed an absurd or impossible condition
    on one of the parties, but will be interpreted as the parties must
    be supposed to have understood the conditions at the time.”).
    Applying these principles here, we conclude that the
    government’s promise to bring no additional charges against
    the defendants was limited to charges that were based on the
    same course of conduct as the conspiracy charges. Neither
    party believed the prohibition applied to future crimes, and
    while it certainly could have been more clearly written, a
    reasonable reading of the entire provision supports such an
    interpretation. The fact that the exclusion for crimes of violence
    is limited to past crimes suggests that the general prohibition
    was so limited as well. More importantly, not limiting the
    prohibition to past crimes would make it absurd and probably
    illegal. It therefore follows that the government’s decision to
    charge the defendants with failure to appear did not breach
    their plea agreements.
    As a final argument against enforcement of their appeal
    waivers, the defendants argue that the government misled the
    sentencing court by representing that even if the appeal
    waivers remained enforceable, they would be able to benefit
    from a favorable ruling in Peugh, which was then pending
    before the Supreme Court. That is not the law. See United States
    v. McGraw, 
    571 F.3d 624
    , 631 (7th Cir. 2009) (“We have consis-
    tently rejected arguments that an appeal waiver is invalid
    because the defendant did not anticipate subsequent legal
    developments.”). The defendants contend that the govern-
    ment’s misstatement of the law convinced the district court
    that they would be able to obtain relief if Peugh were decided
    20                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    in their favor. Because of its misrepresentation of law, they
    argue that the government is estopped from now enforcing the
    waivers.
    “Judicial estoppel is an equitable concept that prevents
    parties from playing ‘fast and loose’ with the courts by
    prevailing twice on opposing theories.” In re Airadigm Commu-
    nications, Inc., 
    616 F.3d 642
    , 661 (7th Cir. 2010) (quoting Butler
    v. Vill. of Round Lake Police Dep’t., 
    585 F.3d 1020
    , 1022 (7th Cir.
    2009)). Although there is no formula for judicial estoppel, the
    Supreme Court has identified at least three pertinent factors for
    courts to examine: “(1) whether the party’s later position was
    ‘clearly inconsistent’ with its earlier position; (2) whether the
    party against whom estoppel is asserted in a later proceeding
    has succeeded in persuading the court in the earlier proceed-
    ing; and (3) whether the party ‘seeking to assert an inconsistent
    position would derive an unfair advantage or impose an unfair
    detriment on the opposing party if not estopped.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting
    New Hampshire v. Maine, 
    532 U.S. 742
    , 750–01 (2001). The
    doctrine does not apply here.
    The question of whether the defendants would be able to
    appeal in the event the Supreme Court abrogated Demaree was
    raised by the district judge in the context of a hastily scheduled
    telephone hearing on Nelson Hallahan’s motion to continue
    the sentencing hearing or withdraw from the appeal waiver
    provision of the plea agreement. After the government stated
    it was “not willing to carve out a portion of the plea agree-
    ment,” the court asked the government if it was its understand-
    ing that the appeal waiver would preclude the defendants
    from seeking relief if Peugh was decided in their favor. One of
    the two prosecutors on the line responded:
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                     21
    If the Supreme Court makes a change in the law, if
    there is a change in the law, and in that instance, I
    think – I’m not sure but I think that there would be an
    avenue available to him if I’m not mistaken. In other
    words, if there was a mistake in law in the sentence,
    then I think that would come under the words of a
    miscarriage of justice if I’m not mistaken; and that he
    could petition the Seventh Circuit to bring an action
    in the district court. I’m not certain about that but I
    think that there is an avenue available for him to do
    that if he were sentenced in violation of law.
    Based on what the prosecutor said and his own under-
    standing of the law, the judge stated he thought there was “a
    possibility” that the defendants would be able to seek relief. It
    was not on that basis, however, that the court denied Nelson’s
    motion. As the district court explained at sentencing two days
    later, it denied the motion because it did not believe it had the
    authority to strike certain portions of the plea agreements the
    parties had negotiated over one party’s objection.
    The government’s tentative response to the court’s ques-
    tion, offered with explicit cautions of its uncertainty, is not the
    kind of statement that can support a claim of judicial estoppel.
    Even if it could, it did not form the basis of the court’s ruling
    against the defendants. The government did not derive an
    unfair advantage from its response, nor did the defendants
    incur an unfair detriment. The government is thus not
    estopped from asserting the appeal waivers.
    We therefore conclude that the defendants’ appeal waivers
    are enforceable. But as we said before we began down this
    22                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    road, the waivers do not bar entirely the defendants’ claims
    that the district court erred in calculating the guidelines on the
    conspiracy counts. The defendants did not waive their right to
    appeal the sentences imposed for their failure to appear at
    sentencing, and to the extent that the district court’s guideline
    calculation on the conspiracy counts was used to determine the
    guideline sentence for their failure to appear, their argument
    that the district court erred in its guideline calculation is
    properly before us. It is to that issue that we now turn.
    B. Calculation of Sentence Guideline for Failure to
    Appear
    The district court sentenced each of the defendants on three
    separate counts. The underlying offenses of conspiracy to
    commit mail and bank fraud, and conspiracy to commit money
    laundering carried maximum terms of 20 years and 5 years,
    respectively. 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 1341
    , 1956(h), and 371. The offense of
    failure to appear for sentencing on a felony punishable by
    more than 15 years in prison is itself punishable by a term of
    imprisonment of not more than ten years. 
    18 U.S.C. § 3146
    (b)(A)(i). In addition, a term of imprisonment imposed
    for an offense of failure to appear must be consecutive to the
    sentence of imprisonment for any other offense. 
    18 U.S.C. § 3146
    (b)(2).
    The Guidelines prescribe that when a defendant is to be
    sentenced at the same time for more than one offense, closely
    related counts are grouped and a single offense level is
    determined. U.S.S.G. § 3D1.1(a). Two or more counts are
    considered closely related if they involve substantially the
    same harm. Id. § 3D1.2. Counts are deemed to involve substan-
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                   23
    tially the same harm when they “involve the same victim and
    two or more acts or transactions connected by a common
    criminal objective or constituting part of a common scheme or
    plan.” Id. § 3D1.2(b). Counts also involve substantially the
    same harm when “one of the counts embodies conduct that is
    treated as a specific offense characteristic in, or other adjust-
    ment to, the guideline applicable to another of the counts.” Id.
    § 3D1.2(c). For offenses that are grouped together, the count
    that has the highest offense level is used to determine the
    proper guideline range for the entire group. Id. § 3D1.3(a).
    In this case, the failure to appear count was properly
    grouped with the two conspiracy counts because the conduct
    it embodied was treated as an adjustment to the offense level
    applicable to the underlying counts. Failure to appear before
    sentencing is treated as an obstruction of the underlying
    offense under § 3C1.1, and the offense level is increased by two
    levels. Id. § 2J1.6 cmt. n.3. When a defendant is sentenced both
    for the underlying offense and failure to appear, the sentencing
    court is to determine the total punishment and then impose a
    portion of the total as the sentence for the failure to appear
    count that is to run consecutive to the underlying offense or
    offenses. Id. By way of illustration, the Application Note offers
    the following example:
    [I]f the combined applicable guideline range for
    both counts is 30–37 months and the court deter-
    mines that a “total punishment” of 36 months is
    appropriate, a sentence of 30 months for the under-
    lying offense plus a consecutive six months’ sen-
    tence for the failure to appear count would satisfy
    these requirements.
    24                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    Id.
    It is clear from the above example that any error in calculat-
    ing the combined guideline range will have a direct impact on
    the court’s sentencing determination for failure to appear. This
    follows because the combined guideline range is the starting
    point for determining the total sentence, a portion of which
    must be imposed for the failure to appear. It may be that the
    district court would have imposed the same sentence for the
    failure to appear counts even if it started with lower combined
    guideline ranges. But because we cannot know whether it
    would have done so, we cannot say that an error in calculating
    the combined guideline is harmless. See United States v. Love,
    
    680 F.3d 994
    , 998 (7th Cir. 2012) (“Such an error is not harmless
    because it is impossible to know whether the district court
    would have imposed the same sentence had it not committed
    this procedural error.”). Notwithstanding their appeal waivers
    on the conspiracy counts, the defendants thus retain their right
    to challenge the combined guideline calculation used in the
    determination of their sentences for failing to appear.
    The count with the highest offense level among the three on
    which the defendants were sentenced was conspiracy to
    commit money laundering. It was the offense level for that
    count that was therefore used to determine the guideline
    sentence range for the entire group, including the failure to
    appear. The defendants contend that the district court erred in
    calculating the offense level for the conspiracy to commit
    money laundering count in two respects: (1) the court used the
    wrong Guidelines; and (2) the court applied the wrong base
    level. As a result, they contend that the court used the wrong
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                   25
    sentence range in determining their sentences for failure to
    appear. We will address each in turn.
    1. Wrong Guidelines
    The defendants first argue based on Peugh that, under the
    Ex Post Facto Clause, the district court was required to use the
    version of the Guidelines that was in effect at the time they
    committed those crimes. As noted above, under the Guidelines
    in effect at the time of the offenses, the advisory range would
    have been 121 to 151 months for Nelson and 97 to 121 months
    for Janet. Under the 2012 version of the Guidelines, the district
    court determined that their advisory sentence ranges were 210
    to 262 months for Nelson and 135 to 168 months for Janet.
    Because the district court’s reliance on the more recent version
    of the Guidelines resulted in a higher combined offense level
    that was also used to determine their sentences on the failure
    to appear counts, the defendants contend that at least the
    sentence on that count must be vacated. And because the
    sentences the district court imposed for the failure to appear
    counts were determined in relation to the sentences it imposed
    on the conspiracy counts, they argue that the entire sentence
    should be vacated so that the district court can fashion a
    complete and coherent sentencing package. See United States v.
    Martenson, 
    178 F.3d 457
    , 462 (7th Cir. 1999) (“When one or
    more components of a defendant’s sentence are held to be
    illegal, trial judges are permitted to reevaluate the sentencing
    package in light of the changed circumstances and resentence
    the defendant to effectuate the original sentencing intent.”)
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    26                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    In response, the government argues that, notwithstanding
    Peugh, the district court’s use of the newer version of the
    Guidelines did not violate the Ex Post Facto Clause. The
    government’s argument rests on the Guidelines’ “one-book
    rule.” That rule states that “[i]f the defendant is convicted of
    two offenses, the first committed before, and the second after,
    a revised edition of the Guidelines Manual became effective,
    the revised edition of the Guidelines Manual is to be applied to
    both offenses.” U.S.S.G. § 1B1.11(b)(3). Essentially the same
    rule was contained in the 1998 Guidelines. The crime of failure
    to appear, the government notes, is a continuing offense. See
    United States v. McIntosh, 
    702 F.3d 381
    , 387 (7th Cir. 2012)
    (“Each day that he knowingly and wilfully continued to evade
    the service of his prison sentence violated the statute.”). Thus,
    the defendants continued to commit that offense until they
    were apprehended in May 2012, and under the one-book rule,
    the latter version of the Guidelines should apply. The govern-
    ment points out that in United States v. Vivit, this Court rejected
    an ex post facto challenge to the application of the one-book
    rule where the defendant was sentenced for multiple offenses,
    one of which occurred after a higher guideline became effec-
    tive. There the Court held that “[t]he grouping rules, enacted
    in 1987, provide warning to criminals that completing another
    criminal offense similar to one committed previously places
    them in peril of sentencing under a revised version of the
    Guidelines.” 
    214 F.3d 908
    , 919 (7th Cir. 2000). It likewise
    follows here, the government contends, that application of the
    newer version of the Guidelines in this case did not violate the
    defendants’ rights under the Ex Post Facto Clause.
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                      27
    The defendants argue in reply that the government waived
    its argument under the one-book rule because it failed to
    present it in the district court. But of course, there was no need
    to make the argument in the district court because under then-
    existing circuit precedent, use of the Guidelines in effect at the
    time of sentencing was not considered a violation of the Ex
    Post Facto Clause. It was only after the Supreme Court ruled
    otherwise in Peugh that the issue arose. A party does not waive
    an argument it does not make in the trial court which, under
    then-existing precedent, it had no reason to offer.
    The defendants also argue that McIntosh involved the crime
    of failure to surrender for service of a sentence, as opposed to
    the crime of failure to appear for sentencing and, further, that
    it did not involve a claimed ex post facto violation. We fail to
    see any principled reason why a failure to appear for sentenc-
    ing would be any less a continuing offense than a failure to
    surrender for service of a sentence, and the defendants have
    offered none. Indeed, other courts that have considered the
    issue have likewise concluded that failure to appear for
    sentencing is a continuing offense. See, e.g., United States v.
    Green, 
    305 F.3d 422
    , 432 (6th Cir. 2002); United States v. Gray,
    
    876 F.2d 1411
     (9th Cir. 1989); United States v. Lopez, 
    961 F.2d 1058
     (2d Cir. 1992). Thus, in United States v. Alcarez Camacho the
    Guidelines were found to apply to a defendant who failed to
    appear for his trial before the effective date of the Guidelines,
    but was apprehended thereafter. 
    340 F.3d 794
     (9th Cir. 2003).
    The fact that McIntosh did not involve a claimed ex post
    facto violation is likewise irrelevant. It is the reasoning of Vivit
    that demonstrates why application of the one-book rule in this
    case does not result in an ex post facto violation. Vivit rested on
    28                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    the Supreme Court’s observation that “[c]ritical to relief under
    the Ex Post Facto Clause is not an individual’s right to less
    punishment, but the lack of fair notice and governmental
    restraint when the legislature increases punishment beyond
    what was prescribed when the crime was consummated.” 
    214 F.3d at 919
     (quoting Weaver v. Graham, 
    450 U.S. 24
    , 30 (1981)).
    Vivit held that the grouping and one-book rules provided
    sufficient notice to the defendant in that case that his earlier
    offenses would be sentenced under the revised guidelines if he
    continued to commit related offenses. 
    214 F.3d at 919
    . The
    same conclusion was reached in the overwhelming majority of
    circuits that considered the issue prior to Peugh and by the only
    other circuit that has considered the issue since. United States
    v. Pagan-Ferrer, 
    736 F.3d 573
    , 597–99 (1st Cir. 2013) (collecting
    cases).
    We see no reason why a different result should follow here.
    We therefore reject the defendants’ argument that the district
    court erred in failing to use the 1998 version of the Guidelines
    to calculate the offense level for the conspiracy counts. While
    it appears, based on the date of their arrest, that the 2011
    version of the Guidelines should have been used, the defen-
    dants have offered no argument that their sentence ranges
    would have been lower. We therefore find no error in using the
    later version.
    2. Wrong Base Level
    Wholly apart from which version of the Guidelines applies,
    the defendants argue further that the district court erred in
    determining the base offense level for the money laundering
    offense. They claim that the error occurred when the district
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                    29
    court adopted the offense level recommended by the probation
    officer in the pre-sentence report. The offense level recom-
    mended by the probation officer was one level too high, they
    contend, because the agent erroneously set the base level for
    the money laundering offense at seven as opposed to six. After
    adding in the other applicable adjustments, the probation
    officer recommended an offense level of 33 for Janet and 37 for
    Nelson. Neither party objected, and the district court therefore
    adopted the probation officer’s recommendations for its
    guideline calculation. Reducing the offense level by one would
    have resulted in a lower sentence range of 121 to 151 months
    for Janet and 188 to 235 months for Nelson. The defendants
    contend that this error alone amounts to plain error and
    requires that their sentences be vacated.
    The government concedes that the district court plainly
    erred in calculating the offense level on the conspiracy counts,
    but argues that relief is unavailable since the defendants
    waived their right to appeal their sentences on the conspiracy
    counts. As we have already pointed out, however, because the
    failure to appear offenses were grouped with the conspiracy
    counts, any error in the offense level calculation for those
    offenses would infect the court’s sentence determination for
    the failure to appear. We therefore do not consider their rights
    to appeal the issue waived.
    This Court generally “review[s] the district court’s applica-
    tion of the Sentencing Guidelines de novo and its factual
    findings for clear error.” United States v. Jumah, 
    599 F.3d 799
    ,
    811 (7th Cir. 2010). But where, as here, a sentencing argument
    is raised for the first time on appeal, this Court’s review is for
    plain error. See Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b) (“A plain error that
    30                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    affects substantial rights may be considered even though it was
    not brought to the court’s attention.”). Plain error is a rigorous
    standard. United States v. Orr, 
    622 F.3d 864
    , 868 (7th Cir. 2010).
    Under this rule, we may, in our discretion “correct an error not
    raised at trial only where the appellant demonstrates that (1)
    there is an error; (2) the error is clear or obvious, rather than
    subject to reasonable dispute; (3) the error affected the appel-
    lant’s substantial rights, which in the ordinary case means it
    affected the outcome of the district court proceedings; and (4)
    the error seriously affects the fairness, integrity or public
    reputation of judicial proceedings.” United States v. Marcus, 
    560 U.S. 258
    , 262 (2010) (internal quotation marks and brackets
    omitted). We find no plain error here.
    Indeed, as to the calculation of the guideline sentence, we
    find no error at all, notwithstanding the government’s conces-
    sion that the district court erred in adopting the recommended
    offense level in the pre-sentence report. The defendants
    contend that the sentence range recommended by the proba-
    tion officer was in error because she used a base level of seven
    instead of six to calculate the total offense level for the money
    laundering offense. We disagree. Under § 2S1.1 of the Guide-
    lines, the base offense level for money laundering is:
    The offense level for the underlying offense from
    which the laundered funds were derived, if (A) the
    defendant committed the underlying offense (or
    would be accountable for the underlying offense
    under subsection (a)(1)(A) of § 1B1.3 (Relevant
    Conduct)); and (B) the offense level for that offense
    can be determined.
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                      31
    U.S.S.G. § 2S1.1(a)(1). The underlying offense from which the
    laundered funds were obtained here was the conspiracy to
    commit mail and bank fraud, which the defendants also
    committed, and the offense level for that offense could be
    determined. Thus, the base level for the money laundering
    offense was the offense level for the fraud conspiracy.
    The base level for a conspiracy is taken from the guideline
    for the substantive offense. Id. § 2X1.1(a). The guideline for
    mail and bank fraud is § 2B1.1, which states that the base level
    is seven “if (A) the defendant was convicted of an offense
    referenced to this guideline; and (B) that offense of conviction
    has a statutory maximum term of imprisonment of 20 years or
    more.” Id. § 2B1.1(a)(1). Mail and bank fraud are referenced to
    § 2B1.1 in the statutory index to the Guidelines, and each has
    a statutory maximum term of imprisonment of 20 years or
    more. It therefore follows that seven was the proper base level
    for that offense.
    The only other adjustment that the defendants challenge is
    a two-level upward adjustment to Nelson’s offense level, but
    as the government points out, that was for violation of a 1995
    State administrative order to which only Nelson was subject.
    This adjustment, to which the defendants offer no reply, plus
    the remaining adjustments, over which there is no dispute,
    result in the offense levels used by the district court to calculate
    the defendants’ guideline sentences. We therefore conclude
    that the district court did not err in calculating the guideline
    range.
    32                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    C. Imposition of Sentence for Failure to Appear
    The defendants also argue that the district court failed to
    properly follow the Guidelines procedure for imposing the
    sentences on the failure to appear counts. Rather than deter-
    mine the total sentence and then apportion it between the
    underlying conspiracy offenses and the offense of failure to
    appear as the Guidelines Manual directs, they contend that the
    district court simply imposed a low end of the guideline
    sentence for the conspiracy offenses and then imposed an
    additional five years for the failure to appear. They also note
    that the probation officer who prepared the pre-sentence
    reports failed to even include a separate guideline calculation
    for the failure to appear count in his report. A proper calcula-
    tion would have shown that the guideline range for that
    offense alone was between 12 and 18 months. Although they
    concede that the guideline range for the money laundering
    conspiracy provided the total sentence range for all three
    offenses, the defendants contend that by failing to include the
    individual calculation for the failure to appear, the probation
    officer failed to provide the district court with essential
    guidance as to that offense. This, they contend, also constitutes
    plain error that requires their sentences be vacated.
    We reject the defendants’ arguments that the district court
    failed to properly apply § 2J1.6 and that the failure to calculate
    a separate sentencing range for the failure to appear offense
    amounts to plain error. Although the pre-sentence report may
    not have demonstrated a clear understanding of the failure to
    appear guideline, the district court certainly did. In its sentenc-
    ing comments, the court explained that it recognized that the
    advisory guideline ranges for the defendants reflected an
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                    33
    adjustment for their failure to appear and that the range was
    intended to encompass the total punishment the defendants
    were to receive for all of the offenses. The court specifically
    acknowledged that it was to apportion part of the total
    sentence it decided to impose on the underlying offenses and
    part on the offense of failure to appear. The court also recog-
    nized, however, that it could impose a sentence above the
    guideline range if it concluded such sentence was appropriate
    upon consideration of the factors set forth in 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    .
    Because of the aggravating circumstances of the crimes and, in
    particular, the fact that “for 12 years these hundreds of trusting
    people were denied justice,” the court concluded that a
    variance was warranted. The court therefore sentenced Janet
    to 195 months and Nelson to 270 months, each representing
    five years above the low end of their respective guidelines.
    The defendants contend, however, that the district court
    failed to adequately explain how it arrived at the total sen-
    tences it imposed. They note that the court failed to tie the 60-
    month sentence it imposed on the failure to appear counts to
    the guideline range that would have applied for that offense
    alone. They also contend that the court showed no recognition
    that the calculated guideline range for all three offenses
    already included a two-level enhancement for their failure to
    appear. These errors, the defendants argue, were prejudicial
    and seriously affect the fairness, integrity and public reputa-
    tion of the judicial proceedings.
    We disagree. First, we note it is simply not true that the
    district court failed to recognize that the guideline range it
    calculated for the entire group of offenses included a two-level
    enhancement for their failure to appear. As noted above, the
    34                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    court gave explicit recognition of this fact in its sentencing
    comments. It is true that the court did not consider a separate
    guideline range for the failure to appear counts alone. But as
    the defendants acknowledge, the guideline for that offense by
    itself played no role in determining the applicable guideline
    range in this case because their failure to appear offenses were
    grouped with the conspiracy counts. True, we have said that
    when a court imposes an above guideline sentence for an
    additional crime that is already factored into the guideline
    range “it is wise to see how much incremental punishment the
    Sentencing Commission recommends.” United States v.
    Kirkpatrick, 
    589 F.3d 414
    , 416 (7th Cir. 2009). But we have never
    said that a district court’s failure to consider a guideline range
    that does not directly apply constitutes reversible error by
    itself. In Kirkpatrick, the district court imposed a sentence that
    was more than double the top of the guideline range for
    possession of a firearm by a felon based on the fact that the
    defendant had lied to investigating officers. 
    Id. at 415
    . Given
    the amount of the variance, we held that the sentencing court
    had a greater duty to tie its sentence to the Guidelines. Here,
    the variance was far less, only 16% over the top end of the
    guideline range for Janet and even less for Nelson. The
    aggravating factors highlighted by the district court adequately
    justified the upward adjustments it imposed.
    In its sentencing comments, the district court noted that the
    victims of the defendants’ fraud were neither wealthy nor
    sophisticated, and many were elderly. The money they lost
    was their life savings that they intended as a loan to someone
    they regarded as a friend, not an investment with attendant
    risk. But the truly aggravating factor that warranted the
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                    35
    upward variance, the court explained, was the fact that the
    defendants had avoided the consequences of their crimes for
    twelve years. Not only did they fail to accept responsibility,
    they escaped responsibility. The court noted that “for 12 years
    these hundreds of trusting people were denied justice.” As the
    court observed, the defendants not only stole their victims’
    money, but then stole their right to a sense of justice for the
    wrong they had suffered, particularly as to those victims who
    died before the defendants were apprehended.
    We also note that by absconding, the defendants “flouted
    the judicial process and interfered with the efficient operation
    of the courts.” United States v. Morgan, 
    254 F.3d 424
    , 427 (2d
    Cir. 2001). As we explained in United States v. Elliott where the
    defendant had been a fugitive for almost 15 years, “the law’s
    deterrent and retributive effect can be maintained, in the event
    of prolonged fugitive status, only by substantial incremental
    penalties.” 
    467 F.3d 688
    , 692 (7th Cir. 2006). There, we noted,
    “[e]ven imposing the statutory maximum of 10 years for
    Elliott’s failure-to-report offense would not bring the law’s
    deterrent power in 2004 up to what it would have been had
    Elliott reported as required in 1989.” 
    Id.
     Given the number of
    years the defendants were able avoid the prison sentences they
    knew they had earned, the failure to appear guideline range,
    by itself, would have provided little guidance to the sentencing
    court in arriving at a just sentence. The district court’s failure
    to consider it under these circumstances does not amount to
    plain error.
    36                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    D. Substantive Reasonableness
    Finally, we turn to Janet Hallahan’s contention that the
    district court’s above-guideline 195-month sentence was
    substantively unreasonable. “We ‘will uphold an
    above-guidelines sentence so long as the district court offered
    an adequate statement of its reasons, consistent with 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a), for imposing such a sentence.’ There is no presump-
    tion that a sentence outside the guidelines’ range is unreason-
    able.” United States v. Aldridge, 
    642 F.3d 537
    , 544 (7th Cir. 2011)
    (quoting United States v. McIntyre, 
    531 F.3d 481
    , 483 (7th Cir.
    2008)). It is also not enough that we “might reasonably have
    concluded that a different sentence was appropriate … .” Gall
    v. United States, 
    552 U.S. 38
    , 51 (2007). “Because the district
    court has greater familiarity with the case and the individual
    defendant and therefore an institutional advantage over an
    appellate court in making sentencing determinations, we must
    defer, absent an abuse of discretion, to its ruling.” Id. at 790.
    “An above-guidelines sentence is more likely to be reasonable
    if it is based on factors sufficiently particularized to the
    individual circumstances of the case rather than factors
    common to offenders with like crimes.” United States v. Jackson,
    
    547 F.3d 786
    , 792–93 (7th Cir. 2008) (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    First, to the extent that Janet Hallahan’s challenge to the
    substantive reasonableness of her sentence relates to the
    conspiracy and underlying fraud, the appellate waiver acts as
    a bar to her arguments. Second, as to the permissible argu-
    ments regarding her life as a fugitive, which she describes as
    free of crime and without wealth, as well as other mitigating
    facts like her age, her argument that the district court did not
    Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787                     37
    consider these facts is inconsistent with the record. Specifically,
    the district explained that while Janet and Nelson Hallahan
    “have suffered also from the absence of family connections,
    living a hunted life, that’s of their choosing. They have chose
    [sic] to live this way. They could have stopped it at any
    moment, initially by not leaving or by returning at any time
    during the past 12 years.” The court also emphasized that
    “[Janet] chose to turn her back on the family overtures and to
    stay on the run.” The district court also considered the age of
    Janet Hallahan, 55 at the time, noting “some sympathy for
    sentencing anyone in the winter of their life to prison for long
    terms when they should be at home with their grandchildren
    and family.” In addition, the district court considered the
    testimony of the victims, the nature of the offense, her violation
    of the trusting relationships with the victims, the length of the
    flight from justice, and the effect that flight had on the victims.
    We are convinced that the district court considered the
    factors in § 3553(a) and adequately articulated its decision to
    impose an above-guideline sentence. Janet Hallahan obviously
    disagrees with the district court’s sentence, and would place
    the emphasis on other facts, but she has not demonstrated that
    the district court failed to justify the magnitude of the variance.
    We find no abuse of discretion in sentencing her to 195 months
    of imprisonment. Cf. United States v. Stinefast, 
    724 F.3d 925
    ,
    932–33 (7th Cir. 2013) (upholding 216-month sentence where
    the guideline range was 121 to 151 months); United States v.
    Taylor, 
    701 F.3d 1166
    , 1174–75 (7th Cir. 2012) (upholding 480-
    month sentence where the guideline range was 262 to 327
    months); United States v. Abebe, 
    651 F.3d 653
    , 656 (7th Cir. 2011)
    (upholding 300-month sentence where the guideline range was
    38                 Nos. 12-3748, 12-3750, 12-3781, and 12-3787
    84 to 105 months); United States v. Ellis, 
    622 F.3d 784
    , 800 (7th
    Cir. 2010) (upholding 90-month sentence where the guideline
    range was 46 to 57 months); United States v. McKinney, 
    543 F.3d 911
    , 912–14 (7th Cir. 2008) (upholding 293-month sentence
    where the guideline range was 188 to 235 months).
    III. CONCLUSION
    Accordingly, and for the reasons set forth above, the
    judgments of the district court are AFFIRMED.