National Parks Conservation As v. EPA , 803 F.3d 151 ( 2015 )


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  •                                       PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    _____________
    No. 14-3147
    _____________
    NATIONAL PARKS CONSERVATION ASSOCIATION;
    SIERRA CLUB; CLEAN AIR COUNCIL,
    Petitioners
    v.
    UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
    AGENCY,
    Respondent
    * Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection;
    Homer City Generation LP,
    Intervenors
    *(Pursuant to Clerk Order dated 08/21/14)
    _____________
    On Petition for Review of Final Agency Action
    of the United States Environmental Protection Agency
    (EPA-R03-OAR-2012-0002)
    ______________
    Argued April 14, 2015
    ______________
    Before: AMBRO, VANASKIE, and SHWARTZ,
    Circuit Judges
    (Opinion Filed: September 29, 2015)
    David S. Baron, Esq.
    Earthjustice Legal Defense Fund
    1625 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W.
    Suite 702
    Washington, DC 20036
    Charles McPhedran, Esq. [ARGUED]
    Earthjustice
    1617 John F. Kennedy Boulevard
    Suite 1675
    Philadelphia, PA 19103
    Counsel for Petitioners
    Kate R. Bowers, Esq. [ARGUED]
    United States Department of Justice
    Environment and Natural Resources Division
    P.O. Box 7611
    Ben Franklin Station
    Washington, DC 20044
    Regina McCarthy, Esq.
    Environmental Protection Agency
    Ariel Rios Building
    1200 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
    Washington, DC 20460
    Counsel for Respondent
    2
    Robert A. Reiley, Esq. [ARGUED]
    Kristen M. Furlan, Esq.
    Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Resources
    Office of Chief Counsel
    9th Floor
    400 Market Street
    Harrisburg, PA 17101
    Counsel for Intervenor Pennsylvania Department of
    Environmental Protection
    Chet M. Thompson, Esq. [ARGUED]
    Kirsten L. Nathanson, Esq.
    Crowell & Moring
    1001 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
    Washington, DC 20004
    Counsel for Intervenor Homer City Generation LP
    ___________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    ___________
    VANASKIE, Circuit Judge.
    Section 169A of the Clean Air Act, 
    42 U.S.C. § 7491
    ,
    and implementing regulations promulgated by the United
    States Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) require
    states to evaluate the impact that emissions from certain
    sources of pollution within their borders have on atmospheric
    visibility in national parks and wilderness areas. After
    conducting this evaluation, the Commonwealth of
    Pennsylvania declined to require its sources to implement
    additional pollution controls because it concluded that the
    3
    costs associated with the controls outweighed the limited
    visibility improvements they would produce.            The
    Commonwealth’s conclusions were set forth in its 2010 State
    Implementation Plan (“SIP”), which was approved by the
    EPA in 2014.
    Alleging that the EPA’s approval of Pennsylvania’s
    SIP was arbitrary and capricious, the National Parks
    Conservation Association, Sierra Club, and Clean Air Council
    (collectively, “Conservation Groups”) filed the petition for
    review presently before the Court. For the reasons that
    follow, we will grant the petition in part and deny it in part,
    and remand the matter to the EPA for further consideration.
    I.
    A. Statutory and Regulatory Framework
    In 1970, Congress enacted the Clean Air Act, 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7401
    –7671q, to address the increasing amount of
    air pollution created by the industrialization of the United
    States and the resulting threat to public health and welfare.
    Employing “cooperative federalism,” the Clean Air Act gives
    both the federal government and the states responsibility for
    maintaining and improving air quality: “the federal
    government develops baseline standards that the states
    individually implement and enforce.” Bell v. Cheswick
    Generating Station, 
    734 F.3d 188
    , 190 (3d Cir. 2013)
    (citation and quotation marks omitted).
    As originally enacted, the Clean Air Act “did not
    elaborate on the protection of visibility as an air-quality
    related value.” Chevron U.S.A., Inc. v. EPA, 
    658 F.2d 271
    ,
    272 (5th Cir. 1981) (emphasis added). In 1977, however,
    4
    Congress added § 169A to the Clean Air Act “[i]n response to
    a growing awareness that visibility was rapidly deteriorating
    in many places, such as wilderness areas and national parks . .
    . .” Id. With § 169A, Congress “established as a national
    goal the ‘prevention of any future, and the remedying of any
    existing, impairment in visibility in mandatory class I areas
    which impairment results from man-made air pollution.’”
    Am. Corn Growers Ass’n v. EPA, 
    291 F.3d 1
    , 3 (D.C. Cir.
    2002) (per curiam) (quoting 
    42 U.S.C. § 7491
    (a)(1)). The
    protected “Class I areas” include certain national parks and
    wilderness areas under 
    42 U.S.C. § 7472
    (a).1 “Visibility
    impairment” means both “reduction in visual range and
    atmospheric discoloration.” 
    Id.
     § 7491(g)(6).
    In connection with § 169A, Congress directed the EPA
    to issue regulations to ensure “reasonable progress” toward
    the national goal of restoring visibility conditions to their
    natural state in Class I areas. Id. § 7491(a)(4). Congress
    dictated that the EPA’s regulations require adoption of a State
    Implementation Plan (“SIP”) by each state that has a Class I
    area within its borders or whose emissions “may reasonably
    be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of
    visibility” in any Class I area. Id. § 7491(b)(2). Each SIP
    must include, inter alia, emission limits, compliance
    1
    There are 156 Class I areas in the United States,
    including 47 national parks, 108 wilderness areas, and one
    international park. No Class I area is located within
    Pennsylvania’s borders. 40 C.F.R. pt. 51, app. Y.; EPA, List
    of     156    Mandatory      Class     I   Federal     Areas,
    http://www.epa.gov/visibility/class1.html (last visited Aug.
    26, 2015).
    5
    schedules, and a long-term strategy for meeting the national
    visibility goal. Id. In response to this statutory directive, the
    EPA promulgated the Regional Haze Rule in 1999. Regional
    Haze Regulations, 
    64 Fed. Reg. 35,714
     (July 1, 1999).2
    2
    The EPA has explained the visibility impairment
    known as “regional haze” as follows:
    Regional haze is visibility
    impairment that is produced by a
    multitude of sources and activities
    which are located across a broad
    geographic area and emit fine
    particles (PM2.5) (e.g., sulfates,
    nitrates, organic carbon, elemental
    carbon, and soil dust) and their
    precursors (e.g., sulfur dioxide
    (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and
    in some cases, ammonia (NH3)
    and volatile organic compounds
    (VOC)). Fine particle precursors
    react in the atmosphere to form
    fine particulate matter, which
    impairs visibility by scattering
    and absorbing light. Visibility
    impairment reduces the clarity,
    color, and visible distance that
    one can see. PM2.5 can also cause
    serious health effects and
    mortality     in    humans     and
    contributes to environmental
    6
    Section 169A and the Regional Haze Rule also require
    each SIP to include a determination of the best available
    retrofit technology (“BART”) for certain major stationary
    sources of pollution that are reasonably anticipated to cause
    or contribute to visibility impairment in any Class I area.
    North Dakota v. EPA, 
    730 F.3d 750
    , 756 (8th Cir. 2013)
    (citing 
    42 U.S.C. § 7491
    (b)(2)(A); 
    40 C.F.R. §§ 51.301
    ,
    51.308(e)). BART is defined as “an emission limitation
    based on the degree of reduction achievable through the
    application of the best system of continuous emission
    reduction for each pollutant which is emitted by an existing
    stationary facility.” 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.301
    .
    To satisfy the BART requirements, a state’s SIP must
    first identify all “BART-eligible” sources within its borders.
    Under the regulations, a stationary source of air pollution is
    BART-eligible if it: (1) was in existence on August 7, 1977,
    but not in operation prior to August 7, 1962; (2) fits within
    one of 26 identified categories; and (3) has the potential to
    emit annually at least 250 tons of any air pollutant. 
    Id.
    Next, a state’s SIP must determine which of these
    BART-eligible sources are “subject to BART.” A source is
    subject to BART if it “emits any air pollutant which may
    effects such as acid deposition
    and eutrophication.
    Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation
    Plans; Commonwealth of Pennsylvania; Regional Haze State
    Implementation Plan, 
    77 Fed. Reg. 3,984
    , 3,985 (Jan. 26,
    2012).
    7
    reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any
    impairment of visibility in any mandatory Class I Federal
    area.” 
    Id.
     § 51.308(e)(1)(ii) (emphasis added). The EPA
    recommends that a state consider a source to “cause”
    visibility impairment if it is responsible for a change in
    visibility in a Class I area of at least 1.0 deciview.3 Regional
    Haze Regulations and Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit
    Technology (BART) Determinations, 
    70 Fed. Reg. 39,104
    ,
    39,118 (July 6, 2005).           The suggested threshold for
    determining whether a source “contributes” to visibility
    impairment at a level no higher than 0.5 deciviews. 
    Id.
    For each BART-eligible source that is subject to
    BART, the state must conduct a source-specific analysis to
    determine appropriate emission limitations. In so doing,
    states “weigh[] the following five factors: (1) ‘the costs of
    compliance’; (2) ‘the energy and non[-]air quality
    environmental impacts of compliance’; (3) ‘any existing
    pollution control technology in use at the source’; (4) ‘the
    remaining useful life of the source’; and (5) ‘the degree of
    improvement in visibility which may reasonably be
    anticipated to result from the use of such technology.’”
    3
    Changes in visibility are expressed in a standard unit
    of measurement known as the deciview. See 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.301
     (stating that the deciview is “a measurement of
    visibility impairment” that is “derived from calculated light
    extinction, such that uniform changes in haziness correspond
    to uniform incremental changes in perception across the
    entire range of conditions, from pristine to highly impaired”).
    A higher deciview value corresponds with a greater level of
    visibility impairment.
    8
    WildEarth Guardians v. EPA, 
    759 F.3d 1064
    , 1068 (9th Cir.
    2014) (quoting 
    42 U.S.C. § 7491
    (g)(2); 40 C.F.R. pt. 51, app.
    Y).
    To aid states in identifying BART-eligible sources and
    determining appropriate emission limitations, the EPA issued
    the BART Guidelines, 
    70 Fed. Reg. 39,156
    . WildEarth
    Guardians, 759 F.3d at 1068. The Guidelines, issued in
    2005, provide states with a five-step process for making their
    source-specific BART determinations, and these five steps
    subsume the statutory considerations listed above. Id. at
    1068–69 (citing 
    70 Fed. Reg. 39,127
    ). Under the Guidelines,
    a state is to first identify all available retrofit control
    technologies. Second, technically infeasible options are
    eliminated. Third, the effectiveness of the remaining control
    techniques is assessed. Fourth, the impacts, including the
    cost of compliance, energy impacts, non-air quality impacts,
    and the remaining useful life of the facility, are evaluated.
    Finally, a state must estimate the visibility impacts at Class I
    areas. 
    Id.
     at 1069 (citing 
    70 Fed. Reg. 39,164
    , 39,166).
    While states are required to use the Guidelines when making
    BART determinations for any fossil fuel-fired power plant
    with a total electricity generating capacity of 750 megawatts
    or more, the Guidelines are advisory for smaller BART-
    eligible sources. 
    Id.
     (citing 
    42 U.S.C. § 7491
    (b)(2)(B); 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.308
    (e)(1)(ii)(B)).
    As an alternative to conducting this source-specific
    analysis, states may instead implement another program if
    they can demonstrate it is “better-than-BART” at reducing
    emissions. Specifically, the regional haze regulations permit
    a state to “opt to implement or require participation in an
    emissions trading program or other alternative measure” if it
    can show that the program would result in “greater reasonable
    9
    progress” toward the national goal of restoring natural
    visibility “than would be achieved through the installation
    and operation of BART.” 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.308
    (e)(2). States
    participating in such programs do not have to conduct a
    source-specific BART analysis or compel pollution sources
    within their borders to install, operate, and maintain BART at
    their facilities. 
    Id.
    Regardless of whether a state conducts the source-
    specific BART analysis or follows the better-than-BART
    approach, it must ultimately submit its SIP to the EPA. The
    EPA, in turn, must review the SIP and determine whether it
    meets the requirements of the Clean Air Act. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(1). The EPA is required to approve a SIP as a whole
    if it meets all the statutory requirements, and it may approve
    any portion of a SIP that meets the requirements. 
    Id.
     at §
    7410(k)(3). If a state fails to submit a SIP, submits an
    incomplete SIP, or submits a SIP that does not meet the
    statutory requirements, the EPA must enact its own Federal
    Implementation Plan (“FIP”), unless the state can provide a
    SIP that the EPA can approve within two years. North
    Dakota, 730 F.3d at 757 (citing 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)).
    B. Procedural Background
    Pennsylvania submitted its regional haze SIP to the
    EPA in December 2010, identifying 34 BART-eligible
    sources of pollution within its borders. App. 43–171. These
    pollution sources—various power plants, mills, refineries, and
    other facilities around the state—emit visibility-impairing
    particulate matter (“PM”) into the atmosphere, as well as the
    chemical precursors to PM, which include sulfur dioxide
    (“SO2”) and oxides of nitrogen (“NOx”). Pennsylvania
    elected to treat each of these 34 BART-eligible sources as
    10
    subject to BART,4 and it opted to follow the five-step process
    outlined in the Guidelines for making source-specific BART
    determinations.5 Pennsylvania, however, chose to follow the
    better-than-BART approach with respect to the eight fossil
    fuel electric generating stations with a capacity of 750
    megawatts or more.
    Thus, Pennsylvania conducted a source-specific BART
    analysis regarding the SO2 and NOx emissions of each source
    with an electricity generating capacity below 750 megawatts,
    but did not do so for the fossil fuel electric generating stations
    having a capacity of 750 megawatts or more. Pennsylvania
    noted that these sources participated in the “cap and trade”
    program6 for SO2 and NOx emissions established by EPA
    4
    This practice ensures that a BART analysis is
    conducted for every BART-eligible source, even if the
    deciview impact from the source is not high enough that the
    source would be considered to “cause” or “contribute” to
    visibility impairment in any Class I area under 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.308
    (e)(1)(ii).
    5
    Pennsylvania was obligated to follow the Guidelines
    for each of the eight fossil fuel-fired power plants in the state
    that have electricity generating capacity of at least 750
    megawatts, but the Guidelines were advisory for the
    remaining BART-eligible sources.           See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7491
    (b)(2)(B); 
    40 C.F.R. § 51.308
    (e)(1)(ii)(B).
    6
    A cap and trade program is an environmental policy
    tool that involves setting a mandatory cap on emissions while
    providing pollution sources with flexibility as to how they
    11
    Clean Air Interstate Rule (“CAIR”), 
    70 Fed. Reg. 25,162
    (May 12, 2005), and concluded that the sources’ participation
    in the cap and trade program was better than BART at
    reducing such emissions.
    Ultimately, Pennsylvania’s SIP found that requiring
    additional emission controls at any of the 34 BART-eligible
    sources would result in only minimal visibility improvement
    in affected Class I areas.         Weighing this minimal
    improvement against the cost of implementing the controls,
    Pennsylvania concluded that additional controls were not
    warranted.
    In January 2012, the EPA issued a proposed rule
    providing for a limited approval of Pennsylvania’s SIP
    (“2012 Proposed Rule”). Approval and Promulgation of Air
    Quality Implementation Plans;             Commonwealth       of
    Pennsylvania; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan, 
    77 Fed. Reg. 3,984
     (Jan. 26, 2012). The EPA concluded that
    Pennsylvania’s BART analysis complied with the statutory
    requirements of the Clean Air Act and the regional haze
    regulations.    However, the EPA declined to address
    Pennsylvania’s reliance on the better-than-BART CAIR
    program regarding SO2 and NOx emissions for certain
    pollution sources, noting that particular issue was the subject
    of a separate rulemaking proceeding.           The EPA also
    announced a one-month period for interested parties to
    comment on the 2012 Proposed Rule.
    comply with the cap.         See EPA, Cap and Trade,
    http://www.epa.gov/captrade (last visited Aug. 26, 2015).
    12
    On June 7, 2012, the EPA issued its final rule (the
    “National Rule”) in the separate proceeding referenced by the
    2012 Proposed Rule, disapproving the SIPs submitted by
    Pennsylvania and 14 other states to the extent they relied on
    the CAIR program to limit SO2 and NOx emissions. Regional
    Haze: Revisions to Provisions Governing Alternatives to
    Source-Specific Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART)
    Determinations, Limited SIP Disapprovals, and Federal
    Implementation Plans, 
    77 Fed. Reg. 33,642
     (June 7, 2012).
    With this disapproval, the EPA also promulgated FIPs for 13
    of the states (including Pennsylvania), effectively replacing
    the states’ reliance on the CAIR program with reliance on the
    newly promulgated Cross-State Air Pollution Rule, better
    known as the Transport Rule. By issuing the National Rule,
    the EPA also finalized its conclusion that the Transport Rule
    was better-than-BART at reducing SO2 and NOx emissions,
    and that it addressed the shortcomings of the CAIR program
    previously identified by the United States Court of Appeals
    for the District of Columbia Circuit.7
    7
    The EPA initially promulgated CAIR in 2005, but the
    D.C. Circuit vacated the rule in 2008, noting multiple fatal
    flaws not pertinent to the present case. North Carolina v.
    EPA, 
    531 F.3d 896
    , 921 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (per curiam). On
    rehearing, the D.C. Circuit elected to leave CAIR in place
    while the EPA crafted a new program to address CAIR’s
    deficiencies. North Carolina v. EPA, 
    550 F.3d 1176
    , 1178
    (D.C. Cir. 2008) (per curiam).          EPA responded by
    promulgating the Transfer Rule. The D.C. Circuit vacated
    this rule in 2012, EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v. EPA,
    
    696 F.3d 7
    , 37 (D.C. Cir. 2012), but the Supreme Court later
    13
    Shortly thereafter, on July 13, 2012, the EPA finalized
    its limited approval of Pennsylvania’s SIP. Approval and
    Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans;
    Pennsylvania; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan, 
    77 Fed. Reg. 41,279
     (July 13, 2012). With this “2012 Final
    Rule,” the EPA responded to comments regarding the 2012
    Proposed Rule and reaffirmed its conclusion that
    Pennsylvania’s BART analysis was proper.
    In response to the 2012 Final Rule, the Conservation
    Groups filed a petition for review with this Court, challenging
    the rule on a number of fronts. Nat’l Parks Conservation
    Assoc. v. EPA, No. 12-3534. We did not reach the merits of
    the petition, though, since the EPA filed a motion for
    voluntary remand without vacatur in order to consider and
    respond in greater detail to the Conservation Groups’
    concerns. We granted the motion on October 22, 2013, and
    remanded the matter to the EPA.
    Following remand, the EPA entered a final rule on
    April 30, 2014 (“2014 Final Rule”), reissuing its limited
    approval of Pennsylvania’s SIP. Approval and Promulgation
    of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Pennsylvania; Regional
    Haze State Implementation Plan, 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,340
     (Apr.
    30, 2014). With this rule, the EPA expanded its responses to
    certain comments and acknowledged numerous deficiencies
    in Pennsylvania’s source-specific BART analysis. In the end,
    however, the EPA approved the SIP, finding that
    overturned the decision, upheld the Transport Rule, and
    remanded for further proceedings. EPA v. EME Homer City
    Generation, L.P., 
    134 S. Ct. 1584
    , 1609–10 (2014).
    14
    Pennsylvania reasonably concluded that no additional
    pollution controls were required at the 34 BART-eligible
    sources given the low visibility impact of the sources in Class
    I areas and the high cost of implementing the controls.
    This petition for review followed, with the
    Conservation Groups alleging that the EPA arbitrarily and
    capriciously approved Pennsylvania’s SIP. We subsequently
    granted motions to intervene filed by the Pennsylvania
    Department of Environmental Protection (the state agency
    responsible for drafting Pennsylvania’s SIP) and Homer City
    Generation, L.P., a coal-fired power plant in Indiana County,
    Pennsylvania.
    II.
    Under § 307(b)(1) of the Clean Air Act, we have
    jurisdiction to review a final EPA action that is “locally or
    regionally applicable” within our Circuit. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1); GenOn REMA, LLC v. EPA, 
    722 F.3d 513
    , 519
    (3d Cir. 2013). However, a petition for review regarding any
    “nationally applicable regulations promulgated, or final action
    taken, by the Administrator [of the EPA] . . . may be filed
    only in the United States Court of Appeals for the District of
    Columbia.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1) (emphasis added).
    When reviewing a final EPA action, we must
    “determine whether it is ‘arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of
    discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with the law.’”
    GenOn REMA, 722 F.3d at 525 (quoting 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(9)(A)). While this is a narrow and deferential
    standard of review, Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm
    Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983), we must
    nevertheless ensure that the EPA “examined the relevant data
    15
    and articulated a satisfactory explanation for its action,
    including a rational connection between the facts found and
    the choice made.” Prometheus Radio Project v. FCC, 
    373 F.3d 372
    , 389–90 (3d Cir. 2004) (citation and quotation
    marks omitted).
    III.
    A. Transport Rule
    The Conservation Groups challenge the EPA’s
    decision to allow Pennsylvania to rely on the Transport Rule
    in lieu of conducting a source-specific BART analysis
    regarding SO2 and NOx emissions from each source with an
    electricity generating capacity of at least 750 megawatts. In
    particular, they argue that the Transport Rule is not better-
    than-BART at reducing SO2 and NOx emissions, has not been
    implemented as the EPA assumed it would be when it
    permitted Pennsylvania to rely on the rule, and is subject to
    further delays and legal challenges.
    The EPA counters that this appeal is not the
    appropriate vehicle to challenge its finding that the Transport
    Rule is better-than-BART or its decision to approve states’
    reliance on this rule, as both these determinations stem from a
    final rule and separate rulemaking proceeding not presently
    before this Court. Moreover, the EPA argues that under 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1), the Conservation Groups must pursue
    any such challenge in the D.C. Circuit. We agree with the
    EPA on both points.
    Following extensive administrative proceedings, the
    EPA issued its National Rule on June 7, 2012. 
    77 Fed. Reg. 33,642
    . With it, the EPA finalized the emissions-limiting
    16
    Transport Rule, a replacement to the CAIR program that had
    been invalidated by the D.C. Circuit in North Carolina v.
    EPA, 
    531 F.3d 896
    , 921 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (per curiam). The
    National Rule included the finding that the emission trading
    programs established by the Transport Rule are better-than-
    BART. 
    77 Fed. Reg. 33,643
     (“In this action, the EPA is
    finalizing our finding that the trading programs in the
    Transport Rule . . . achieve greater reasonable progress
    towards the national goal of achieving natural visibility
    conditions in Class I areas than source-specific . . . (BART) in
    those states covered by the Transport Rule.”). The EPA also
    finalized its disapproval of the SIPs submitted by
    Pennsylvania and 14 other states to the extent they relied on
    the CAIR program to limit SO2 and NOx emissions, and
    promulgated FIPs for 13 states (including Pennsylvania),
    effectively replacing the states’ reliance on the CAIR
    program with reliance on the newly promulgated Transfer
    Rule. 
    Id.
    By contrast, the 2014 Final Rule, which the
    Conservation Groups challenge here, does not address the
    merits of the Transport Rule or Pennsylvania’s reliance on it.
    Instead, it notes those issues were addressed in a “separate but
    related action,” referring to the National Rule. See 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,340
    –41. Prior to issuing the 2014 Final Rule, the
    EPA repeatedly explained that the propriety of the Transport
    Rule, the CAIR program, and Pennsylvania’s reliance on the
    Transport Rule or the CAIR program were beyond the scope
    of these rulemaking proceedings. See, e.g., 2012 Final Rule,
    
    77 Fed. Reg. 41,282
     (“Comments related to [the Transport
    Rule] as an alternative to BART for [electricity generating
    units] are beyond the scope of this rulemaking. The EPA
    addressed similar comments concerning the Transport Rule as
    17
    a BART alternative in [the National Rule].”); 2012 Proposed
    Rule, 
    77 Fed. Reg. 3,984
     (“[W]e are not taking action in this
    notice to address the Commonwealth’s reliance on CAIR to
    meet certain regional haze requirements.”).
    In short, the Conservation Groups seek to use this
    appeal from the administrative proceedings that culminated in
    the 2014 Final Rule to challenge decisions the EPA reached
    in separate proceedings. We find no support for this approach
    in the text of the Clean Air Act provision authorizing judicial
    review of EPA actions. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1).
    Additionally, as the administrative record upon which these
    decisions were made is not before us, we lack the information
    necessary to evaluate the EPA’s action regarding the
    Transport Rule. See Fed. Power Comm’n v. Transcontinental
    Gas Pipe Line Corp., 
    423 U.S. 326
    , 331 (1976) (stating that
    “we have consistently expressed the view that ordinarily
    review of administrative decisions is to be confined to
    consideration of the decision of the agency . . . and of the
    evidence on which it is based”) (citation and quotation marks
    omitted). Accordingly, we cannot entertain the Conservation
    Groups’ challenge to the Transport Rule.
    Moreover, even if the Conservation Groups could use
    this appeal to challenge the Transport Rule, we are not the
    proper court to hear the challenge. Under 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1), petitions for review of “nationally applicable
    regulations promulgated, or final action taken, by the
    Administrator [of the EPA] . . . may be filed only in the [D.C.
    Circuit].” 
    Id.
     (emphasis added). We conclude that the EPA’s
    National Rule, which finalized the Transport Rule (applicable
    to 28 states and the District of Columbia) and resulted in 13
    FIPs permitting various states to rely on the Transport Rule,
    falls into this category. See Texas v. EPA, No. 10-60961,
    18
    
    2011 WL 710598
    , at *5 (5th Cir. Feb. 24, 2011)
    (unpublished) (“Our conclusion today—that an EPA action
    involving the SIPs of numerous far-flung states is ‘nationally
    applicable’ and thus reviewable only in the D.C. Circuit—is
    consistent with the holdings of our sister circuits to have
    considered the question.”); W. Va. Chamber of Commerce v.
    Browner, No. 98-1013, 
    1998 WL 827315
    , at *4 (4th Cir. Dec.
    1, 1998) (unpublished) (“An EPA rule need not span ‘from
    sea to shining sea’ to be nationally applicable.”) (footnote
    omitted); Puerto Rican Cement Co. v. EPA, 
    889 F.2d 292
    ,
    299–300 (1st Cir. 1989) (finding EPA regulations to be
    “nationally applicable” where they applied to any SIP “that
    ha[d] been disapproved with respect to prevention of
    significant deterioration of air quality in any portion of any
    State where the existing air quality is better than the national
    ambient air quality standards,” and the list of states governed
    by the regulations changed as SIPs were approved and
    disapproved by the EPA).8
    Accordingly, we will deny the Conservation Groups’
    petition for review to the extent it challenges the Transport
    Rule or Pennsylvania’s reliance on it.
    8
    What’s more, even the Conservation Groups appear
    to recognize that their challenge to the Transport Rule should
    be heard by the D.C. Circuit: the National Parks Conservation
    Association and Sierra Club are participants in consolidated
    appeals challenging the Transport Rule that are currently
    pending before the D.C. Circuit. See Util. Air Regulatory
    Grp. v. EPA, No. 12-1342 (D.C. Cir.).
    19
    B. Source-Specific BART Analysis
    The Conservation Groups also contend that
    Pennsylvania’s source-specific BART analysis failed to
    comply with the Guidelines in many respects, and that the
    EPA violated the Clean Air Act by arbitrarily approving
    Pennsylvania’s SIP despite these fatal flaws. The EPA
    counters that Pennsylvania’s analysis was largely proper, and
    that the errors it committed did not affect the reasonableness
    of the state’s decision not to require its BART-eligible
    sources to implement additional pollution controls. In what
    resembles a harmless-error argument, the EPA asserts that,
    despite Pennsylvania’s flawed analysis, the resulting overall
    picture supported its ultimate decision. As discussed below,
    while we reject some of the arguments advanced by the
    Conservation Groups, we are nevertheless compelled to
    conclude that the EPA arbitrarily approved Pennsylvania’s
    SIP given the multiple flaws in Pennsylvania’s BART
    analysis and the EPA’s insufficient explanation as to why it
    could overlook them.
    1.   Identification of All Available Retrofit Control
    Technologies
    The Conservation Groups contend that Pennsylvania
    failed to satisfy the BART requirement of identifying all
    available pollution control technologies. In particular, they
    argue that the state did not consider upgrades to existing
    electrostatic precipitator (“ESP”) control technologies for
    BART-eligible power plants within the state, or other
    available combinations of controls.
    The EPA counters that Pennsylvania’s SIP notes that
    ESP upgrades were considered for all but two power plants,
    20
    and that Pennsylvania had declined to consider upgrades at
    those two facilities because they had recently installed “state-
    of-the-art” ESP controls.        The EPA also argues that
    Pennsylvania did consider combinations of controls,
    including fabric filters on sources where technically feasible.
    While we agree with the EPA that Pennsylvania’s SIP
    states that upgrades and combinations were considered, we
    cannot discern from the administrative record the specifics of
    Pennsylvania’s analysis or why it rejected certain upgrades or
    combinations. As the Conservation Groups noted in their
    comments to the 2012 Final Rule, App. 487, Pennsylvania’s
    SIP states in conclusory fashion that ESP upgrades,
    enhancements, or replacements were considered for certain
    sources. See, e.g., App. 221 (stating that “[t]he retrofit
    technologies reviewed” during the course of the BART
    analysis for the Mitchell Power Station “included fuel-related
    modifications, ESP upgrades, enhancements or replacement,
    replacement of the ESPs with fabric filters or compact hybrid
    particulate collectors”). What the SIP fails to do, however, is
    identify or describe the upgrades considered or explain why
    these controls were rejected. Similarly, the EPA has failed to
    explain—either in the 2014 Final Rule or now on appeal—
    how it could meaningfully evaluate Pennsylvania’s analysis
    described in such conclusory fashion. We acknowledge that
    EPA and BART regulations do not require exhaustive
    analysis of every conceivable emissions control. See 40
    C.F.R. pt. 51, app. Y § IV.D. n.12 (explaining that “[i]t is not
    necessary to list all permutations of available control levels
    that exist for a given technology”). Nonetheless, the EPA has
    failed to satisfactorily explain why the SIP’s conclusory
    listings are acceptable.
    2.   Baseline Level for PM Emissions
    21
    The     Conservation    Groups     next     challenge
    Pennsylvania’s source-specific BART analysis regarding PM
    emissions from 13 power plants. Specifically, they contend
    the state improperly concluded that the filterable emission
    limit of 0.1 pound of particulate matter per million British
    thermal units (“0.1 lb/MMBtu”) represents BART for those
    facilities.9 The Conservation Groups argue the limit is not
    sufficiently stringent, and note that lower limits (between
    0.07 lb/MMBtu and 0.012 lb/MMBtu) have qualified as
    BART at other facilities.       In short, they assert that
    Pennsylvania had no reasoned basis for selecting the emission
    limit that it did, and that the EPA arbitrarily approved
    Pennsylvania’s BART analysis regarding PM emissions
    predicated on this threshold.
    In the 2014 Final Rule, the EPA concedes that
    Pennsylvania failed to determine whether the 0.1 lb/MMBtu
    emission limit actually represents BART for those facilities.
    See 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,344
     (“Here, Pennsylvania determined
    that PM BART for most of the subject-to-BART [electricity
    generating units] was their existing permitted emission limits
    9
    After a state has identified the best available control
    technology for reducing emissions at a particular source, it
    must then set an “emission limit.” This limit represents the
    emission-reduction capabilities of the identified control
    technology. See 2014 Final Rule, 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,344
    (stating that “once a state has selected a control technology
    that represents BART, the state must then complete the
    BART analysis by selecting an emission limit that represents
    the emission-reduction capabilities of that control
    technology”).
    22
    of 0.1 lb/MMBtu, which can be achieved by the existing
    [control technology]. While the EPA agrees with the
    commenter that Pennsylvania ideally should have examined
    whether 0.1 lb/MMBtu actually reflects the ‘degree of
    reduction achievable’ for the particular [control technology]
    at each facility, EPA thinks that Pennsylvania’s failure to do
    so was not fatal in this instance . . . .”) (footnote omitted).
    The EPA excuses this failure for two reasons. First, it argues
    that Pennsylvania’s error was essentially harmless, as
    imposing a stricter PM emission limit on these sources would
    have minimal visibility impact in Class I areas since the PM
    emissions from these sources were responsible for only a
    minimal portion of the visibility impairment in these areas.
    Second, the EPA claims that the issue is “largely moot[].” 
    Id. at 24,345
    . Specifically, the agency notes that many of these
    13 power plants have retired or put in motion plans to retire
    or convert to cleaner burning fuels since Pennsylvania
    conducted its BART determinations. The EPA also notes that
    the remaining sources will have to comply with a more
    stringent PM emission limit of 0.03 lb/MMBtu by 2015 due
    to the implementation of the Mercury and Air Toxics
    Standards (“MATS”) Rule. 
    Id. at 24,344
    .
    We find the EPA’s arguments unconvincing. As
    discussed in greater detail infra, Part III.B.7, the EPA’s claim
    of harmless error is unpersuasive since the agency has offered
    scant justification for this position, apart from its own
    assurances that the multiple flaws in Pennsylvania’s analysis
    did not impact the reasonableness of its conclusions.
    Similarly, the EPA has not identified, nor have we located,
    any legal support for the EPA’s contention that it may excuse
    errors in a state’s BART analysis as moot based on events
    that are yet to transpire. To the contrary, the EPA has a
    23
    statutory obligation to disapprove a SIP that does not comply
    with the Clean Air Act and to promulgate a FIP if the
    deficiencies are not timely cured. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)
    (requiring the EPA to review SIPs to ensure compliance); 
    id.
    § 7410(l) (prohibiting the EPA from approving a revision to a
    SIP if it would interfere with any applicable requirement of
    the Clean Air Act).
    3.   Alternative Pollution Control Limits: BACT,
    LAER, and MACT
    The Conservation Groups also contend Pennsylvania’s
    BART analysis regarding PM emissions did not comply with
    the Guidelines because the state did not consider more
    stringent emission limits developed as part of separate air
    quality permitting processes under the Clean Air Act. In
    particular, they argue that limits imposed by other
    programs—known as best available control technology
    (“BACT”), lowest achievable emission rate (“LAER”), and
    maximum achievable control technology (“MACT”)—are
    relevant to the BART analysis because they demonstrate
    achievable emission reductions.10
    10
    BACT is “an emission limitation based on the
    maximum degree of reduction of each pollutant . . . which the
    permitting authority, on a case-by-case-basis, taking into
    account energy, environmental, and economic impacts and
    other costs, determines is achievable for [the] facility . . . .”
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7479
    (3). Under the Clean Air Act’s Prevention
    of Significant Deterioration program, no new major air
    pollutant emitting facility may be constructed unless the
    facility is equipped with BACT. Alaska Dep’t of Envtl.
    24
    In response, the EPA notes that the BART Guidelines
    do not require states to consider the exact emission limits
    determined to be BACT and LAER. Instead, they must
    consider the technologies used to achieve BACT and LAER
    when conducting the first step of the BART analysis:
    identifying all available control technologies for their
    pollution sources. See BART Guidelines, 40 C.F.R. pt. 51,
    app. Y (“Technologies required as BACT or LAER are
    available for BART purposes and must be included as control
    alternatives.”) (emphasis added). Moreover, the EPA notes
    that the stringent emission levels determined to be BACT or
    LAER are not necessarily achievable by BART-eligible
    sources because those programs apply to new and newly
    Conservation v. EPA, 
    540 U.S. 461
    , 468 (2004). In
    “nonattainment areas”—areas that are not in attainment with
    the Clean Air Act’s National Ambient Air Quality
    Standards—new and modified pollution sources are required
    to install LAER, which is more stringent than BACT. See
    Citizens Against Ruining the Env’t v. EPA, 
    535 F.3d 670
    , 673
    n.3 (7th Cir. 2008). Under the Clean Air Act’s National
    Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants program,
    the EPA imposes MACT on major sources of certain
    hazardous air pollutants. MACT “must reflect ‘the maximum
    degree of reduction in emissions’ that the EPA determines is
    ‘achievable,’ taking into consideration ‘the cost of achieving
    such emission reduction, and any non-air quality health and
    environmental impacts and energy requirements.’” Nat’l Res.
    Def. Council v. EPA, 
    749 F.3d 1055
    , 1057 (D.C. Cir. 2014)
    (quoting 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(2)).
    25
    modified sources, while BART governs pollution sources
    constructed before 1977.
    The EPA also notes that, for sources of PM emissions
    that are subject to MACT standards, the BART Guidelines
    permit—but do not require—states to rely on the stringent
    MACT standards for purposes of BART. In other words, the
    Guidelines create a presumption that a state’s reliance on the
    MACT standards satisfies BART, but they do not require the
    state to rely on the MACT standard to satisfy BART. See
    BART Guidelines, 40 C.F.R. pt. 51, app. Y (“We believe that,
    in many cases, it will be unlikely that States will identify
    emission controls more stringent than the MACT standards
    without identifying control options that would cost many
    thousands of dollars per ton.        Unless there are new
    technologies subsequent to [issuance of] the MACT standards
    which would lead to cost-effective increases in the level of
    control, you may rely on the MACT standards for purposes of
    BART.”).
    We agree with the EPA’s reading of the BART
    Guidelines on these points. As a result, we reject the
    Conservation Groups’ contention that Pennsylvania
    improperly failed to consider BACT, LAER, and MACT
    emission limitations.
    4.   Cost-Effectiveness Threshold
    The Conservation Groups argue that Pennsylvania
    failed to properly evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the
    pollution controls available for each BART-eligible source.
    In particular, they note that Pennsylvania did not set a
    “threshold” for cost-effectiveness—that is, an amount of
    money at which it would reject any available control option
    26
    as too expensive. Absent such a threshold, the Conservation
    Groups contend, Pennsylvania had no principled way of
    determining when a pollution control was a cost-effective
    method of improving visibility in affected Class I areas.
    The EPA asserts that nothing in the Clean Air Act
    requires Pennsylvania to set a fixed threshold of cost-
    effectiveness, and that the Guidelines make no mention of
    such a threshold in their instructions on how to evaluate cost-
    effectiveness. See BART Guidelines, 40 C.F.R. pt. 51, app.
    Y; Nat’l Parks Conservation Ass’n v. EPA, 
    788 F.3d 1134
    ,
    1142 (9th Cir. 2015) (“To be sure, the Act and the
    Regulations do not specifically require that EPA explain its
    cost-effectiveness decisions through use of a ‘bright line’
    rule.”). Instead of drawing a line in the sand on cost-
    effectiveness, the EPA notes that Pennsylvania’s SIP
    appropriately determined that pollution “sources with a higher
    degree of potential visibility improvement from control would
    justify higher cost controls,” and that “only low cost controls
    would be justified for sources with a lower degree of potential
    visibility improvement.” App. 100.
    Because we agree that Pennsylvania was not
    compelled to set a threshold for cost-effectiveness, we
    conclude that the EPA did not act arbitrarily by approving
    Pennsylvania’s SIP absent such a threshold.
    5.   Cost-Effectiveness Metric
    The Conservation Groups also assert that Pennsylvania
    used an improper metric when calculating the cost-
    effectiveness of additional pollution controls. Specifically,
    they argue that Pennsylvania evaluated the cost of controls
    based on the dollars-per-deciview metric rather than the
    27
    dollars-per-ton metric required by the Guidelines.11 The
    Conservation Groups contend that Pennsylvania’s use of the
    dollars-per-deciview metric distorted the true cost of pollution
    controls and led to the state’s conclusion that additional
    pollution controls were not warranted at any of the BART-
    eligible sources.
    In responding to this argument during the notice-and-
    comment period and now on appeal, the EPA has taken
    seemingly inconsistent positions. In the text of the 2014 Final
    Rule, the EPA states, without elaboration, that Pennsylvania’s
    use of the dollars-per-deciview metric was “flawed.” 2014
    Final Rule, 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,342
     (stating that “EPA agrees
    with the commenters that Pennsylvania’s reliance on the
    [dollars-per-deciview] metric was flawed for multiple
    reasons”).     On appeal, however, the EPA responds that
    the Guidelines specify that cost-effectiveness calculations be
    expressed in terms of dollars-per-ton, but they do not forbid
    the consideration of the dollars-per-deciview metric as well.12
    11
    As its name implies, the dollars-per-ton metric is a
    measurement of the costs associated with removing a ton of a
    particular pollutant from a source’s emission. The dollars-
    per-deciview metric, by contrast, considers the costs
    associated with pollution reduction that would result in a 1.0
    deciview visibility improvement. The dollars-per-ton metric
    is frequently abbreviated as “$/ton,” while the dollars-per-
    deciview metric is abbreviated as “$/dv.”
    12
    As the Tenth Circuit has noted, the Guidelines
    “permit the BART-determining authority to use dollar per
    deciview as an optional method of evaluating cost
    effectiveness.” Oklahoma v. EPA, 
    723 F.3d 1201
    , 1221 (10th
    28
    Cir. 2013) (citing 40 C.F.R. pt. 51, app. Y(IV)(E)(1)). As to
    the issue of whether states are required to use the dollars-per-
    ton metric in evaluating cost-effectiveness, however, “[t]he
    guidelines themselves are a bit unclear.” 
    Id.
     at 1221 n.13.
    The Tenth Circuit explains:
    In     the   section     on    cost
    effectiveness,    the    guidelines
    mention only the dollar-per-ton
    metric. 40 C.F.R. pt. 51 app.
    Y(IV)(D)(4)(c).      However, the
    guidelines later state that, in
    evaluating     alternatives,   “we
    recommend you develop a chart
    (or charts) displaying for each of
    the alternatives” that includes,
    among other factors, the cost of
    compliance         defined       as
    “compliance—total        annualized
    costs ($), cost effectiveness
    ($/ton), and incremental cost
    effectiveness ($/ton), and/or any
    other cost-effectiveness measures
    (such as $/deciview).” 
    Id.
     app.
    Y(IV)(E)(1) (emphasis added).
    
    Id.
    29
    The EPA also notes that Pennsylvania considered both
    metrics with respect to 33 of its 34 BART-eligible sources.
    Resp. Br. 46.
    Our review of the EPA’s decision is limited to the
    reasoning supplied in its final rule, not the justifications
    subsequently crafted and proffered by the agency’s appellate
    counsel. See Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n, 
    463 U.S. at 50
     (“It is
    well-established that an agency’s action must be upheld, if at
    all, on the basis articulated by the agency itself.”) (citations
    omitted); Safe Air for Everyone v. EPA, 
    488 F.3d 1088
    , 1091
    (9th Cir. 2007) (stating that “our review of an administrative
    agency’s decision begins and ends with the reasoning that the
    agency relied upon in making that decision”). As a result, we
    are left with the EPA’s conclusion that Pennsylvania’s use of
    the dollars-per-deciview metric is “flawed” in multiple
    unidentified respects and no meaningful explanation as to
    why the EPA ignored these flaws. This rationale is
    insufficient to justify the EPA’s approval of Pennsylvania’s
    analysis of cost-effectiveness.
    6.   Cumulative Visibility Impact
    As part of its source-specific BART analysis,
    Pennsylvania was required to calculate the visibility
    improvement that could be achieved in Class I areas by
    implementing additional pollution controls at its BART-
    eligible sources. The state’s calculations for each source,
    however, took into account only the potential impact such
    controls would have on the visibility in the Class I area most
    severely impacted by the source. Pennsylvania did not
    consider the “cumulative visibility impact”—that is, it did not
    calculate the total visibility improvement for all affected
    Class I areas that would result from installing additional
    30
    controls at each source. As a result, the Conservation Groups
    argue, Pennsylvania underestimated the visibility impact of
    each source and, correspondingly, underestimated the cost-
    effectiveness of additional control technologies.
    In the 2014 Final Rule, the EPA admits that
    Pennsylvania should have calculated the cumulative visibility
    impact from its sources. 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,342
     (“EPA also
    agrees with the commenters that, in considering the visibility
    improvement expected from the use of controls, Pennsylvania
    should have taken into account the visibility impacts at all
    impacted Class I areas rather than focusing solely on the
    benefits at the most impacted area.”). The EPA contends this
    error, among others, was harmless, a contention we address
    below.
    7.   Harmless Error
    To justify its approval of Pennsylvania’s admittedly
    flawed BART analysis, the EPA advances a harmless error
    argument. In particular, the EPA contends it reasonably
    approved Pennsylvania’s conclusion that pollution controls
    were not warranted as the overall picture that emerged from
    the state’s analysis demonstrated that the improvement in
    visibility at affected Class I areas as a result of the controls
    would be minimal. Based on the administrative record before
    us, however, that conclusion is a bridge too far.
    In the 2014 Final Rule, the EPA concedes that
    Pennsylvania’s BART determinations contained “systemic
    deficiencies” and a “large number” of errors. 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,341
    , 24,343 (quotation marks omitted). On a broad scale,
    the EPA acknowledges that Pennsylvania’s SIP lacked
    necessary     technical    information   and    supporting
    31
    documentation, and that it was insufficiently thorough. 
    Id. at 24,342
     (noting that “many of the comments criticizing
    Pennsylvania’s BART determinations are correct,” and that
    “the Pennsylvania regional haze SIP contains very limited
    information describing Pennsylvania’s analyses and
    consideration of the BART factors”); 
    id.
     (stating
    “Pennsylvania should have provided a more thorough and
    detailed analysis of costs and visibility impacts in its regional
    haze SIP”). More specifically, the EPA concedes that
    Pennsylvania erred at multiple steps of the BART analysis.
    For example, by failing to consider the cumulative visibility
    impact of each source, Pennsylvania understated the impact
    that pollution originating within its borders had on Class I
    areas beyond those borders. 
    Id.
     (“EPA also agrees . . . that . .
    . Pennsylvania should have taken into account the visibility
    impacts at all impacted Class I areas rather than focusing
    solely on the benefits at the most impacted area.”). The EPA
    also admits that Pennsylvania’s cost-effectiveness
    calculations were flawed. 
    Id.
     (“Similarly, EPA agrees with
    the commenters that Pennsylvania’s reliance on the $/dv
    metric was flawed for multiple reasons.”); 
    id.
     (agreeing with
    the commenters “that many of the [pollution] controls under
    consideration [by Pennsylvania] were likely cost-effective
    measures,” even though the state rejected them as too
    expensive).
    Tellingly, the EPA concedes that these various failures
    impaired its ability to independently assess Pennsylvania’s
    analysis. In the agency’s own words, it has a duty under the
    Clean Air Act “to exercise independent technical judgment in
    evaluating the adequacy of a state’s regional haze SIP,
    including its BART determinations.” Approval, Disapproval
    and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; State of
    32
    Wyoming; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan;
    Federal Implementation Plan for Regional Haze, 
    79 Fed. Reg. 5,032
    , 5,064 (Jan. 30, 2014). Here, however, with
    respect to the control technologies considered by
    Pennsylvania and the costs associated with those controls, the
    EPA concedes that “the cursory information available in the
    record does not allow for an assessment of how these
    numbers were derived or whether Pennsylvania’s analyses
    were reasonably done.” 2014 Final Rule, 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,342
    . Regarding Pennsylvania’s determination of potential
    visibility improvements in Class I areas, the EPA similarly
    notes that “it is difficult to assess the estimates of the
    improvements in visibility associated with various controls
    given the limited information in the SIP as to the assumptions
    relied on in the modeling and the summary nature of the
    results provided.” 
    Id.
     Likewise, regarding Pennsylvania’s
    estimates of the costs of implementing certain pollution
    controls, the EPA laments: “Unfortunately, where controls
    were estimated to be more cost-effective, EPA cannot assess
    the extent to which Pennsylvania’s analyses are reasonable
    estimates for purposes of making a BART determination.”
    
    Id.
    Despite the multitude of problems with Pennsylvania’s
    SIP, and the EPA’s admitted inability to adequately assess the
    state’s analysis, the EPA asserts that “the information that
    Pennsylvania did provide” is sufficient to conclude “that
    Pennsylvania’s ultimate BART determinations were
    nevertheless reasonable.” 
    Id.
     Without citation to supporting
    authorities or further explanation, the EPA broadly claims
    that, “based on the cost estimates for other BART sources in
    other states” it has reviewed, “Pennsylvania’s cost numbers
    appear to be generally consistent for such controls . . . .” 
    Id.
    33
    The EPA further concludes that “[w]here Pennsylvania
    estimated the costs of controls to be in the tens of thousands
    or hundreds of thousands of dollars per ton of pollutant
    removed, Pennsylvania’s conclusions that such controls are
    not cost-effective seem reasonable, even assuming that the
    true cost[s] of controls are likely less than what Pennsylvania
    estimated.” 
    Id.
    As a reviewing court, we must ensure that the EPA
    “articulate[s] a satisfactory explanation” for its decision to
    approve Pennsylvania’s SIP, “including a rational connection
    between the facts found and the choice made.” Prometheus
    Radio Project, 
    373 F.3d at
    389–90 (citation and quotation
    marks omitted). The EPA’s conclusory assertions on the
    issue of control costs and its invocation of its own experience
    addressing cost estimates do not suffice. See Natural Res.
    Def. Council, Inc. v. Hodel, 
    865 F.2d 288
    , 298 (D.C. Cir.
    1988) (per curiam) (“[C]onclusory remarks . . . do not equip a
    decisionmaker to make an informed decision about alternative
    courses of action or a court to review the [agency’s]
    reasoning.”); see also Ass’n of Private Colleges & Univs. v.
    Duncan, 
    870 F. Supp. 2d 133
    , 154 (D.D.C. 2012) (“That this
    explanation could be used to justify any [determination] at all
    demonstrates its arbitrariness.”); Nat’l Parks Conservation
    Ass’n, 788 F.3d at 1145 (remanding where the “reasoning
    fails to reveal to a reader how EPA determined that the cost
    of controls were not justified”).
    The EPA also asserts that “[w]hen the other key BART
    factor—visibility—is taken into account, . . . an overall
    picture emerges that supports Pennsylvania’s BART
    determinations.” 2014 Final Rule, 
    79 Fed. Reg. 24,342
    . In
    essence, the EPA contends that, given Pennsylvania’s
    calculations showing that its BART-eligible sources had
    34
    minimal visibility impact at Class I areas, it was reasonable to
    conclude that additional pollution controls were unwarranted.
    We are unpersuaded by this reasoning. As noted
    above, the 2014 Final Rule repeatedly criticizes
    Pennsylvania’s      SIP      calculations     and supporting
    documentation, noting that the SIP is so lacking that it is
    difficult to assess the visibility impact calculations
    Pennsylvania did conduct. What the EPA could determine,
    however, was that Pennsylvania underestimated the impact of
    pollution from its sources because it failed to calculate the
    cumulative visibility impact from each source. The EPA now
    urges us to rely on these very same visibility impact
    calculations to conclude that the “overall picture” supports
    Pennsylvania’s BART analysis. The EPA unconvincingly
    insists we rely on what it has said is flawed.13
    13
    The EPA also argues that because 26 of
    Pennsylvania’s 34 BART-eligible sources had less than a 0.5
    deciview impact on any Class I area, the state could have
    exempted these 26 sources from its BART analysis. Under
    the agency’s own regulations and the BART Guidelines,
    however, a state need not exempt these sources. See, e.g.,
    Regional Haze Regulations, 
    70 Fed. Reg. 39,104
    , 39,107
    (“States certainly have the discretion to consider that all
    BART-eligible sources within the State are ‘reasonably
    anticipated to cause or contribute’ to some degree of visibility
    impairment in a Class I area.”); BART Guidelines, 40 C.F.R.
    pt. 51, app. Y (“Once you have compiled your list of BART-
    eligible sources, you need to determine whether . . . to make
    BART determinations for all of them . . . .”).
    35
    In the end, the EPA has identified a host of problems
    with Pennsylvania’s BART analysis. What it has not done,
    however, is provide a sufficient explanation as to why it
    overlooked these problems and approved Pennsylvania’s SIP.
    Because we, as a reviewing court, need an agency to show its
    work before we can accept its conclusions, we will remand
    this case to the EPA for further consideration.
    IV.
    For the aforementioned reasons, we will vacate the
    2014 Final Rule to the extent it approved Pennsylvania’s
    source-specific BART analysis and remand to the EPA for
    further proceedings consistent with this Opinion.
    36