Colliers Lanard v. Lloyds of London , 458 F.3d 231 ( 2006 )


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  •                                                                                                                            Opinions of the United
    2006 Decisions                                                                                                             States Court of Appeals
    for the Third Circuit
    8-11-2006
    Colliers Lanard v. Lloyds of London
    Precedential or Non-Precedential: Precedential
    Docket No. 05-3497
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    PRECEDENTIAL
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    Case No: 05-3497
    COLLIERS LANARD & AXILBUND
    v.
    LLOYDS OF LONDON; HALLMARK INSURANCE CO.,
    INC.
    *CERTAIN UNDERWRITERS OF LLOYDS OF
    LONDON,
    Appellant
    *(Pursuant to Rule 12(a), F.R.A.P.)
    ___________________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of New Jersey
    District Court No.: 02-CV-06127
    District Judge: The Honorable Joseph R. Rodriguez
    ___________________
    Argued July 10, 2006
    Before: SMITH, ALDISERT, and ROTH, Circuit Judges
    (Filed: August 11, 2006)
    ___________________
    Counsel:     Vincent F. Reilly
    Patricia M. Henrich (Argued)
    Reilly, Janiczek & McDevitt
    2500 McClellan Boulevard
    Suite 240, Kevon Office Center
    Merchantville, NJ 08109
    Counsel for Appellant
    Alan C. Milstein
    Jeffrey P. Resnick (Argued)
    Sherman, Silverstein, Kohl, Rose &
    Podolsky
    4300 Haddonfield Road
    Suite 311
    Pennsauken, NJ 08109
    Counsel for Appellee
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    SMITH, Circuit Judge.
    Appellant Lloyds of London (“Lloyds”) provided a
    2
    “claims made” professional liability insurance policy1 to
    appellee Colliers, Lanard & Axilbund (“CL&A”), a real estate
    brokerage. The policy provided retroactive coverage for claims
    “provided that the insured had no knowledge of any suit, or any
    act or error or omission, which might reasonably be expected to
    result in a claim or suit as of the date of signing the application
    for this insurance.” CL&A brought a breach of contract action
    in the District Court after Lloyds denied coverage for a claim
    arising from a mistake that CL&A had committed prior to
    obtaining the policy. Following a bench trial, the District Court
    concluded that the policy did not exclude the disputed claim and
    entered judgment in favor of CL&A.
    On appeal, the key issue in this diversity case governed
    by New Jersey law is the proper construction of the policy
    exclusion. We hold that the plain language of the policy
    exclusion mandates a subjective test for the first part of the
    necessary inquiry–whether the insured had knowledge of a suit,
    act, error, or omission–and an objective test for the second part
    of the necessary inquiry–whether the suit, act, error, or omission
    might reasonably be expected to result in a claim or suit. We
    further predict that the New Jersey Supreme Court would hold
    that this clear and unambiguous policy exclusion should be
    1
    A “claims made” policy provides retroactive coverage for
    liability arising out of acts which occurred before the policy
    effective date provided that the claim is brought during the
    policy period.
    3
    applied according to its plain language.
    Consequently, we conclude that the District Court erred
    as matter of law by applying an objective test to the first part of
    its inquiry and a subjective test to the second part of its inquiry.
    Because the District Court’s conclusion that the policy did not
    exclude the disputed claim depended on its application of this
    erroneous test, we will vacate the District Court’s judgment and
    remand for further proceedings.2
    I.
    West Jersey Medical and Professional Plaza (“West
    Jersey”) hired CL&A to be their real estate leasing broker for
    the West Jersey Medical and Professional Plaza in Voorhees,
    New Jersey. CL&A marketed the Plaza and also drafted the
    lease agreements between West Jersey and any tenants that
    CL&A obtained. CL&A in turn received commissions for each
    tenant that it obtained.
    West Jersey dealt solely with Jason Wolf, a salesman for
    CL&A who has a bachelor’s degree in Business Administration
    with a concentration in Real Estate and Business Law and
    additional training in commercial real estate leases. Wolf
    2
    The District Court had diversity jurisdiction pursuant to 28
    U.S.C. § 1332. We have jurisdiction over the final judgment of
    the District Court pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 1291.
    4
    obtained as tenants Schaffer Medical Associates (“Dr.
    Schaffer”) and Albert R. Franciscan, M.D. (“Dr. Franciscan”).
    Wolf prepared leases for these tenants, but essential terms were
    entered incorrectly–an operating expense term that should have
    read $8.84 per square foot was entered at $0.00. Wolf reviewed
    the leases but did not notice the errors. CL&A’s General
    Counsel, George Gordon, also reviewed the leases but did not
    notice the errors. Finally, Steven Shapiro, the managing
    member of West Jersey, also did not notice the errors when he
    reviewed and signed the leases.
    At some point prior to July of 2000, Shapiro became
    aware of these errors. He discussed the situation with Wolf,
    who acknowledged the errors. On July 14, 2000, Wolf drafted
    letters to the two tenants, informing them that a “mutual
    mistake” had been made in their leases and proposing remedies.
    In letters dated July 24, 2000, and August 25, 2000,
    respectively, Dr. Schaffer and Dr. Franciscan denied that there
    was a mutual mistake in their leases and rejected Wolf’s
    proposed remedies. Dr. Schaffer’s letter also stated: “Any
    further discussions regarding this matter should be directed to
    our attorney.” At trial, the parties stipulated that “Mr. Gordon,
    who’s the in-house counsel, knew about those letters, and he
    knew about the response to those letters, and in essence he knew
    everything that Mr. Wolf knew.”
    On August 29, 2000, Gordon signed a “Real Estate Errors
    and Omissions Liability Application” for a “claims made”
    policy to be issued by Lloyds, effective for one year as of
    5
    November 4, 2000, with a retroactive date of November 4, 1992.
    CL&A received the policy from Lloyds on December 18, 2000.
    The policy stated that it would provide coverage for claims
    “prior to the effective date of this insurance and subsequent to
    the retroactive date . . . provided that the insured had no
    knowledge of any suit, or any act or error or omission, which
    might reasonably be expected to result in a claim or suit as of
    the date of signing the application for this insurance.”
    On January 10, 2001, West Jersey’s counsel sent a letter
    to CL&A stating that West Jersey was going to seek legal relief
    against all parties related to the leases, including CL&A. On
    January 24, 2001, CL&A was served with a complaint from
    West Jersey, and Gordon informed CL&A’s insurance broker
    about the lawsuit. On February 14, 2001, Lloyds denied
    CL&A’s claim for defense and indemnification in this litigation,
    claiming that CL&A was “aware of issues or circumstances
    which ‘might reasonably be expected to result in a claim or suit
    as of the date of signing the application for this insurance.’”
    CL&A answered West Jersey’s complaint and also filed
    a counterclaim for lost commissions.3 CL&A and West Jersey
    eventually settled. The loss to West Jersey resulting from the
    3
    CL&A’s counterclaim against West Jersey was based on the
    theory that as the signatory of the lease, West Jersey was
    responsible for the mistake, and therefore was also responsible
    to CL&A for lost commissions.
    6
    mistake was estimated at $214,528.00, and CL&A assumed
    $135,290.80 of this liability.4 CL&A also incurred $112,062.09
    in attorneys’ fees.
    On December 30, 2002, CL&A filed a complaint against
    Lloyds in the District Court, seeking to recover the costs that it
    had incurred in defending and settling the West Jersey litigation.
    On April 18, 2005, the District Court conducted a bench trial.
    During the bench trial, Gordon testified that “[m]ost landlords
    and tenants most always settle their disputes.” He also testified
    that he believed that letters of Dr. Schaffer’s kind were
    “typically an invitation to negotiate.” Gordon acknowledged
    that if the tenants maintained their position, “ultimately the
    landlord would be suing the tenant.” Nonetheless, he
    maintained that he did not have the “slightest inkling” that if and
    when litigation ensued, CL&A would be pulled in as a party.
    In its Memorandum and Order of June 8, 2005, the
    District Court relied on a New Jersey Superior Court case,
    Liebling v. Garden State Indemnity, 
    767 A.2d 515
    (N.J. Super.
    2001), in its construction of the policy exclusion.5 The District
    4
    West Jersey also agreed that it owed CL&A $247,398.00 in
    lost commissions. West Jersey thus payed $112,107.20 to
    CL&A as a result of the settlement.
    5
    The District Court also cited First American Title Ins. Co. v.
    Lawson, 
    827 A.2d 230
    (N.J. 2003), and apparently applied this
    case in conjunction with Liebling when interpreting the policy
    7
    Court concluded that “[t]he first part of the question–whether
    Gordon had information of any act, error, or omission within his
    knowledge–is objective.” The District Court further concluded
    that “[t]he second part–whether Gordon reasonably expected
    this information to result in a lawsuit–is a subjective question
    that sought to probe his state of mind.” Accordingly, the
    District Court held that “whether the policy exclusion applies
    here depends on what Gordon ‘in fact’ believed, and not on the
    fact that he is an attorney or that he has significant real estate
    lease experience.” The District Court then held that the
    exclusion was not applicable because “the weight of the
    evidence at trial indicates that Gordon honestly believed that a
    legal claim was unlikely.”
    Consequently, the District Court concluded that Lloyds’
    denial of coverage was a breach of contract. The District Court
    further found that CL&A’s settlement with West Jersey was
    exclusion. The First American Court, however, solely
    considered an insurer’s claim that on the basis of the doctrine of
    equitable fraud, it was entitled to rescind a malpractice policy
    with respect to all of the attorneys in a limited liability
    partnership because of the managing partner’s knowing
    misrepresentations in the insurance application and associated
    warranties. See 
    id. at 238-41.
    Lloyds did in fact raise a
    rescission claim in the District Court, but it has not renewed that
    issue on appeal. Accordingly, we do not find First American
    instructive with respect to the issues actually presented in this
    appeal.
    8
    reasonable and entered into in good faith, and that Lloyds had
    accepted the amount of CL&A’s attorneys’ fees. Accordingly,
    on June 8, 2005, the District Court entered judgment for CL&A
    and in accordance with the terms of the insurance policy ordered
    Lloyds to pay $247,352.89 (the liability CL&A had assumed for
    West Jersey’s loss plus CL&A’s attorneys’ fees), less applicable
    deductibles, to CL&A. Lloyds appealed.6
    II.
    In an appeal of a final judgment following a bench trial,
    we exercise plenary review over the District Court’s conclusions
    of law. Kosiba v. Merck and Co., 
    384 F.3d 58
    , 64 (3d Cir.
    2004). Findings of fact shall not be set aside unless clearly
    erroneous and due regard must be given to the trial court’s
    judgment as to the credibility of the witnesses. Fed. R. Civ. P.
    52(a). The construction of an unambiguous contract is a matter
    of law and subject to plenary review. U & W Indus. Supply, Inc.
    v. Martin Marietta Alumina, Inc., 
    34 F.3d 180
    , 185 (3d Cir.
    6
    In addition to contesting the District Court’s conclusions
    with respect to the policy exclusion, Lloyds also argued on
    appeal: (1) that a claim by West Jersey had actually been made
    to CL&A prior to the effective date of the policy; and (2) that
    CL&A had not satisfied its burden of proof with respect to
    damages. Although we will vacate the District Court’s
    judgment because it erred with respect to its construction of the
    policy exclusion, we find no merit in either of Lloyd’s additional
    arguments.
    9
    1994).
    With respect to an issue of state law in a diversity case,
    when there is no decision from the state’s highest court directly
    on point, we are charged with predicting how that court would
    resolve the question at issue. See Canal Ins. Co. v.
    Underwriters at Lloyd’s London, 
    435 F.3d 431
    , 436 (3d Cir.
    2006). When predicting how the state’s highest court would
    resolve the issue, we must take into consideration: (1) what that
    court has said in related areas; (2) the decisional law of the state
    intermediate courts; (3) federal cases interpreting state law; and
    (4) decisions from other jurisdictions that have discussed the
    issue. See 
    id. “Although lower
    state court decisions are not
    controlling on an issue on which the highest court of the state
    has not spoken, federal courts must attribute significant weight
    to these decisions in the absence of any indication that the
    highest state court would rule otherwise.” Wisniewski v. Johns-
    Manville Corp., 
    759 F.2d 271
    , 273-74 (3d Cir. 1985).
    III.
    Several principles of New Jersey insurance law govern
    this diversity case. Generally, “when interpreting an insurance
    policy, courts should give the policy’s words their plain,
    ordinary meaning.” NAV-ITS, Inc. v. Selective Ins. Co. of Am.,
    
    869 A.2d 929
    , 933 (N.J. 2005) (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted). “If the policy language is clear, the policy
    should be interpreted as written, [but] [i]f the policy is
    ambiguous, the policy will be construed in favor of the insured.”
    10
    
    Id. (internal citations
    omitted).
    Exclusions in an insurance policy should be narrowly
    construed. 
    Id. at 934
    (citing Princeton Ins. Co. v. Chunmuang,
    
    698 A.2d 9
    , 16 (N.J. 1997)). The insurer has the burden of
    bringing the claim within the exclusion. Princeton 
    Ins., 698 A.2d at 16-17
    . Nonetheless, “exclusions are presumptively
    valid and will be given effect if ‘specific, plain, clear,
    prominent, and not contrary to public policy.’” 
    Id. at 17
    (quoting
    Doto v. Russo, 
    659 A.2d 1371
    , 1378 (N.J. 1995)); see also Am.
    Motorists Ins. Co. v. L-C-A Sales Co., 
    713 A.2d 1007
    , 1013-14
    (N.J. 1998) (finding that a policy exclusion precluded coverage
    because it was “clear and unambiguous” and not contrary to
    public policy).
    New Jersey courts also “endeavor to interpret insurance
    contracts to accord with the objectively reasonable expectations
    of the insured.” See 
    NAV-ITS, 869 A.2d at 934
    (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted). The New Jersey
    Supreme Court has “recognized the importance of construing
    contracts of insurance to reflect the reasonable expectations of
    the insured in the face of ambiguous language and phrasing, and
    in exceptional circumstances, when the literal meaning of the
    policy is plain.” See 
    id. (internal citations
    omitted) (emphasis
    added).
    The New Jersey doctrine allowing the reasonable
    expectations of the insured to override the plain meaning of a
    policy in exceptional circumstances, while often stated, has
    11
    rarely been applied by the New Jersey Supreme Court.
    Nonetheless, in Sparks v. St. Paul Insurance Co., 
    495 A.2d 406
    (N.J. 1985), the New Jersey Supreme Court held that a clear
    policy exclusion which did not “conform to the objectively
    reasonable expectations of the insured” and which was
    “violative of the public policy of [New Jersey]” could be
    construed in a manner which varied from its plain terms. See 
    id. at 414-16.
    In light of these decisions, we predict that the New Jersey
    Supreme Court would hold that a clear and unambiguous policy
    exclusion should be applied according to the plain language of
    the exclusion unless it violates public policy as well as the
    objectively reasonable expectations of the insured. In other
    words, we hold that under New Jersey law, the “exceptional
    circumstances” that might allow a court to construe a clear and
    unambiguous policy exclusion in accordance with the
    objectively reasonable expectations of the insured, rather than
    in accordance with the plain language of the exclusion, arise
    only when a literal application of the exclusion would also
    violate public policy. Cf. Princeton 
    Ins., 698 A.2d at 17
    ; cf. also
    Am. 
    Motorists, 713 A.2d at 1013-14
    .
    IV.
    As a matter of law, we hold that the policy exclusion in
    this case is clear and unambiguous, and that its plain language
    mandates a subjective test for the first part of the necessary
    inquiry and an objective test for the second part of the inquiry.
    12
    As an initial observation, such a test flows directly from the text
    of the exclusion (“provided that the insured had no knowledge
    of any suit, or any act or error or omission, which might
    reasonably be expected to result in a claim or suit as of the date
    of signing the application for this insurance”). The first
    condition in the exclusion is satisfied if the insured had
    knowledge of the relevant suit, act, error, or omission.
    Accordingly, we conclude that this part of the exclusion depends
    on the insured’s actual knowledge, or subjective awareness, of
    the relevant suit, act, error, or omission. The second condition
    in the exclusion, in contrast, is satisfied if the suit, act, error, or
    omission might reasonably be expected to result in a claim or
    suit. This language does not require that the insured actually
    form such an expectation, and we conclude that this part of the
    exclusion gives rise to an objective test: whether a reasonable
    professional in the insured’s position might expect a claim or
    suit to result.
    These conclusions are supported by our analysis in Selko
    v. Home Insurance Company, 
    139 F.3d 146
    (3d Cir. 1998).7
    The attorney malpractice policy in Selko stated that an act, error,
    or omission that had occurred prior to the policy period would
    be covered “provided that prior to the effective date of this
    policy . . . the insured had no basis to believe that the insured
    7
    Although Selko was decided under Pennsylvania law, we
    find our reasoning in that case instructive on the textual issues
    in the present case.
    13
    had breached a professional duty.” 
    Id. at 149
    n.1. We held that
    the “plain meaning” of this “basis to believe” clause gave rise to
    a two-step inquiry: (1) the subjective question of whether the
    insured knew of certain facts; and (2) the objective question of
    whether a reasonable lawyer in possession of such facts would
    have had a basis to believe that the insured breached a
    professional duty. 
    Id. at 151-52.
    We further held that this
    “mixed standard . . . is not merely one of several possible
    interpretations but is . . . the interpretation plainly signaled by
    the contract language.” 
    Id. at 152
    n.3. In short, we held that this
    mixed standard arose plainly and unambiguously from the
    language of the exclusion.
    Notably, in Selko this reformulation of the policy
    exclusion into a two-part inquiry required an inferential step,
    since the policy language itself contained a unitary clause (that
    “the insured had no basis to believe that the insured had
    breached a professional duty”). In the present case, no such
    inferential step is required, because the structure and text of the
    exclusion itself incorporates such a two-part inquiry.
    Finally, we note that the New Jersey Superior Court’s
    decision in Liebling, upon which the District Court relied,
    specifically addressed our decision in Selko. Notably, the
    Liebling court did not contradict our decision in Selko with
    respect to what the plain language of such a policy exclusion
    would require. The attorney malpractice policy in Liebling
    provided that “[w]e do not insure here any claim . . . of which .
    . . [a]ny insured, at the inception date of this contract, knew or
    14
    reasonably could have foreseen that any such act, error, or
    omission might be expected to give rise to a claim otherwise
    insured 
    here.” 767 A.2d at 522
    . The Liebling court observed
    that in Selko, we construed a “similarly worded exclusion[] as
    creating an objective standard for denial of coverage . . . .” 
    Id. (citing Selko,
    139 F.3d at 146). The Liebling court held that
    “[r]eturning to the language of the exclusion discussed in Selko,
    we acknowledge that the court’s interpretation is sound as a
    matter of logic.” 
    Id. at 523.
    Consequently, the Liebling court
    endorsed our reasoning in Selko insofar as it was based on the
    plain implications of the language of the exclusion.
    The Liebling court, however, went on to reach a different
    conclusion about the applicable test:
    Nevertheless, we reject [the mixed test in Selko]
    because it does not meet the reasonable
    expectations of an attorney seeking the protection
    afforded by malpractice insurance. That view
    was eloquently articulated in Estate of Logan v.
    Northwestern Nat. Cas. Co., 
    144 Wis. 2d 318
    , 
    424 N.W.2d 179
    (1988), an opinion with which we
    entirely agree.
    
    Id. This passage
    implies that the Liebling court did not hold,
    contra to Selko, that the language of the exclusion in Liebling
    was ambiguous. Nor did the Liebling court hold that the
    language of the exclusion had a different plain meaning than the
    one we identified in Selko. Rather, the Liebling court apparently
    15
    relied in this passage on the New Jersey doctrine that in
    exceptional circumstances, even the plain language of an
    exclusion can be set aside if it is contrary to the objectively
    reasonable expectations of the insured.
    The Liebling court subsequently made its reliance on this
    doctrine explicit. At the end of the section discussing the
    exclusion, the court noted that the New Jersey Supreme Court
    had stated that “‘[a]t times, even an unambiguous [insurance]
    contract has been interpreted contrary to its plain meaning so as
    to fulfill the reasonable expectations of the insured[.]’” 
    Id. at 524
    (citing Werner Indus., Inc. v. First State Ins. Co., 
    548 A.2d 188
    (N.J. 1988)). The Liebling court then stated:
    Based on that settled principle and the reasoning
    of the Supreme Court of Wisconsin in Logan, we
    hold that the “reasonably could have foreseen”
    exclusion in Garden State’s policy shall be
    deemed to mean that coverage may be denied
    only if the insured knew or believed that there had
    been a deviation from professional standards and
    that based on all the known circumstances it was
    likely that a malpractice claim would be made.
    
    Id. Accordingly, the
    Liebling court’s reasoning depended on the
    proposition that the exclusion should be interpreted in a manner
    contrary to its plain meaning in order to fulfill the reasonable
    expectations of the insured. We turn now to the application of
    that doctrine to the exclusion in this case.
    16
    V.
    In accord with our analysis of the decisions of the New
    Jersey Supreme Court, and because the exclusion in this case
    was clear and unambiguous, we must determine if applying the
    exclusion according to its plain meaning would violate public
    policy as well as the objectively reasonable expectations of the
    insured.
    A.
    Both Sparks and a companion case, Zuckerman v.
    National Union Fire Insurance Co., 
    495 A.2d 395
    (N.J. 1985),8
    considered the public policy implications of exclusions in
    “claims made” insurance policies. In Zuckerman, the New
    Jersey Supreme Court held that an attorney malpractice policy
    that afforded “unlimited retroactive coverage, excluding only
    those claims based on past conduct that the insured knew, or
    could have reasonably foreseen, might lead to a claim or suit”
    was reasonable9 and not a violation of public policy. 
    See 495 A.2d at 403-05
    . The Zuckerman court reasoned:
    The reasonableness of excluding claims based on
    prior conduct that the insured could reasonably
    have foreseen might serve as the basis for a future
    8
    The Liebling court did not cite or discuss Sparks or
    Zuckerman.
    9
    This is not the same inquiry as to whether the objectively
    reasonable expectations of the insured were fulfilled. That issue
    did not arise in Zuckerman. 
    See 495 A.2d at 403-04
    (“There is
    no suggestion that appellant’s reasonable expectations of
    coverage were unfulfilled.”).
    17
    claim is apparent. The insurance company is
    entitled to protect itself against the professional
    who, recognizing his past error or omission,
    rushes to purchase a “claims made” policy before
    the error is discovered and a claim asserted
    against him. This insurance company concern has
    been termed the “moral hazard.”
    
    Id. at 403
    n.3 (citations omitted). Further noting that the scope
    of the coverage was “consistent with the coverage customarily
    provided by ‘claims made’ policies” and that “[t]he retroactive
    coverage [was] substantially unrestricted,” the Zuckerman court
    found “no considerations of public policy that would inhibit our
    enforcement of the ‘claims made’ policy issued to the
    appellant.” 
    Id. at 404.
    In Sparks, however, the New Jersey Supreme Court
    found that a different exclusion in a “claims made” medical
    malpractice policy did violate public 
    policy. 495 A.2d at 414
    -
    16. The Sparks court concluded that the exclusion in that case
    rendered the policy at issue “substantially different from the
    standard ‘claims made’ policy.” 
    Id. at 414.
    Specifically, the
    court observed that due to the terms of the exclusion:
    During the first year that the policy was in force,
    it provided no retroactive coverage for
    occurrences prior to the effective date of the
    policy. Thus, it afforded the insured only minimal
    protection against professional liability claims.
    Only claims asserted during the policy year, based
    on negligence that occurred during the policy
    year, and that were subsequently communicated
    to the company during the policy year were under
    18
    the umbrella of coverage.
    
    Id. at 414-15.
    The court further reasoned:
    The realities of professional malpractice,
    however, suggest that it would be the rare
    instance in which an error occurred and was
    discovered with sufficient time to report it to the
    insurance company, all within a twelve-month
    period. The victims of professional malpractice
    are frequently unaware of any negligence until
    their injury becomes manifest long after the error
    or omission was committed.
    
    Id. at 415.
    As a general principle of public policy, the court
    concluded that “[b]ecause insurance contracts are contracts of
    adhesion, the terms of which are not customarily bargained for,
    courts have a special responsibility to prevent the marketing of
    policies that provide unrealistic and inadequate coverage.” 
    Id. at 415.
    Accordingly, the court held that “[t]o enforce policies
    that provide such unrealistically narrow coverage to
    professionals, and, derivatively, to the public they serve, would
    in our view cause the kind of broad injury to the public at large
    contemplated by the doctrine that precludes the enforcement of
    contracts that violate public policy.” 
    Id. Taken together,
    Zuckerman and Sparks imply that an
    exclusion in a “claims made” policy which is properly designed
    to prevent the “moral hazard” of a professional “recognizing his
    past error or omission” and “rush[ing] to purchase a ‘claims
    made’ policy before the error is discovered and a claim is
    asserted against him” is reasonable and not a violation of public
    policy. However, the policy must in fact provide retroactive
    19
    coverage, and therefore the terms of the exclusion cannot
    operate as a complete bar to retroactive coverage.
    In light of these principles, we hold that applying the
    exclusion in the present case according to the mixed subjective-
    objective standard arising under the exclusion’s plain language
    would not constitute a violation of New Jersey public policy.
    Again, although decided under Pennsylvania law, we find our
    reasoning in Selko instructive on this issue.
    Specifically, we explained in Selko why using an
    objective standard for the second part of the inquiry was
    reasonable in the context of a “claims made” policy:
    It is reasonable for the insurer to refuse coverage
    for claims based on preexisting but undisclosed
    misconduct by an insured attorney. Nor is it
    unreasonable to tie such an exclusion to an
    even-handed “reasonable attorney” assessment,
    rather than to speculation concerning the
    individual attorney’s subjective understanding.
    The latter approach, by rewarding the attorney
    who is ignorant of the law, or by encouraging
    disingenuous, after-the-fact justifications, could
    result in totally capricious and unpredictable
    outcomes. Under the mixed standard we believe
    the Pennsylvania court would adopt, coverage
    does not turn on psychoanalysis, yet the attorney
    is not made accountable for matters he did not
    know about, nor for known matters that would not
    cause a reasonable attorney to foresee a 
    claim. 139 F.3d at 152
    . This same reasoning can be applied to any
    20
    similar exclusion in a “claims made” professional liability
    policy: an exclusion which depended on a subjective standard
    for the second part of the inquiry would reward ignorance and
    encourage professionals to engage in disingenuous statements
    and after-the-fact justifications, which in turn would lead to
    unpredictable outcomes.
    Moreover, implicit in our reasoning in Selko was the
    same concern for “moral hazards” as expressed by the New
    Jersey Supreme Court in Zuckerman. In particular, a
    professional who became subjectively aware of an error and
    who then rushed to obtain a “claims made” policy might later
    disingenuously assert that he or she was not subjectively aware
    of the possibility that a claim or suit might arise from the error.
    Notably, this moral hazard does not exist if the professional is
    not subjectively aware that an error has occurred, because in that
    case the professional would have no reason to anticipate a need
    for professional liability insurance. Conversely, however, once
    a professional is subjectively aware of an error, the professional
    has an incentive to seek new or additional professional liability
    insurance. This is true even if the professional does not know
    whether or not the error may lead to an actual claim. Further,
    even if in truth the professional was subjectively aware that the
    error might lead to an actual claim, as we noted in Selko, under
    a subjective standard the professional would have a greater hope
    of disingenuously convincing a court that he or she was not
    aware of the legal implications of the error.10
    10
    We note that the District Court’s finding with respect to
    Gordon’s subjective belief about the likelihood of a claim
    against CL&A depended heavily on Gordon’s own self-serving
    testimony. We further note that although the District Court’s
    determinations as to credibility are entitled to our deference, on
    21
    Accordingly, a policy exclusion which requires an
    objective test for the second part of the necessary inquiry
    constitutes a reasonable attempt by the insurer to limit this moral
    hazard. Consequently, in light of the reasonable concerns of
    insurers as expressed in Zuckerman, we predict that the New
    Jersey Supreme Court would hold that a mixed subjective-
    objective test, arising under an exclusion in a “claims made”
    professional liability policy, does not violate New Jersey public
    policy.
    B.
    Because we predict that a mixed subjective-objective test
    arising under an exclusion in a “claims made” policy would not
    violate New Jersey public policy, we further predict that the
    New Jersey Supreme Court would hold that the extraordinary
    circumstances in which the plain language of the exclusion
    might give way to the objectively reasonable expectations of the
    insured do not exist in this case. We further predict that in any
    event, the New Jersey Supreme Court would also hold that a
    mixed subjective-objective test does not violate the objectively
    reasonable expectations of the insured.
    The New Jersey Supreme Court in Sparks explained why
    the basis of the record before us, we have significant doubts
    about the plausibility of Gordon’s testimony. We note in
    particular that Wolf, apparently with Gordon’s knowledge, had
    perceived the need to offer a legal theory–“mutual
    mistake”–which apparently was designed to shift partial
    responsibility for CL&A’s drafting errors to the tenants.
    22
    the exclusion in that case, in addition to violating public policy,
    also violated the reasonable expectations of medical
    professionals because it in effect operated to entirely bar
    retroactive claims. The Sparks court reasoned that absent
    unusual circumstances, a medical professional could reasonably
    opt for the prospective coverage provided by “occurrence”
    policies (in which claims arising from an error which happened
    during the policy period would be covered regardless of when
    the error was actually discovered) or for the retroactive coverage
    by “claims made” policies, but could not reasonably opt for a
    policy which provided neither prospective nor retroactive
    coverage. 
    See 495 A.2d at 415
    . This reasoning is inapplicable
    to the present case, because Lloyd’s policy generally provided
    retroactive coverage.
    As previously noted, however, the New Jersey Superior
    Court in Liebling held that the mixed subjective-objective test
    which we adopted in Selko would not meet the reasonable
    expectations of the insured. Although we acknowledge that the
    Superior Court’s decisions are entitled to substantial weight in
    our prediction of New Jersey law, its decisions are not
    controlling, and we conclude that in this instance, we have
    sufficient indications that the New Jersey Supreme Court would
    rule otherwise.11
    11
    We note that the New Jersey Supreme Court summarily
    denied certification in Liebling. 
    782 A.2d 424
    (N.J. 2001)
    (table). We give no weight to this denial of certification because
    the relevant legal conclusion in Liebling was not dispositive in
    Liebling itself. Although the Liebling court held that the insurer
    must show that the insured subjectively believed that it was
    likely a claim would be made, the court also found that the
    insured did in fact have such a subjective belief. 
    See 767 A.2d at 525
    . Moreover, the Liebling court found in the alternative
    23
    In its analysis of the reasonable expectations of the
    insured, the Liebling court did not rely on Sparks, nor on any
    other New Jersey cases, but rather on Logan, a Wisconsin
    Supreme Court case. 
    See 767 A.2d at 523-24
    . The attorney
    malpractice policy in Logan allowed retroactive coverage
    provided that before the policy’s effective date, “the Insured had
    no basis to believe that the Insured had breached a professional
    
    duty.” 424 N.W.2d at 185
    . The insurer in Logan argued that “a
    claim should be excepted from coverage if the insured knew or
    should have known that the insured had breached a professional
    duty.” 
    Id. at 186.
    The Wisconsin Supreme Court reasoned that this
    objective standard, as proposed by the insurer, would be
    “inconsistent with the purpose of the policy and what an insured
    would have understood the exception to provide.” 
    Id. Specifically, the
    Logan court held that “whether an insured had
    a ‘basis to believe’ must be tested by whether the insured knew
    or believed that the insured had committed a breach of his or her
    that “no reasonable attorney [would] have felt secure from a
    claim.” 
    Id. Accordingly, a
    reversal by the New Jersey Supreme
    Court with respect to the relevant point of law would not have
    affected the Liebling court’s ultimate conclusion that the policy
    exclusion did apply. Further, the Liebling court also held that
    the insured was entitled to recission of the entire policy on the
    ground of equitable fraud (due to the insured’s knowingly false
    answer to an application question regarding the insured’s
    awareness of possible claims). 
    Id. Consequently, for
    multiple
    reasons, a reversal on the relevant point of law would not have
    led to a different outcome in Liebling, and therefore we decline
    to attach any significance to the New Jersey Supreme Court’s
    decision not to review the Superior Court’s judgment in that
    case.
    24
    professional duty.” 
    Id. In support
    of this holding, the Logan
    court reasoned:
    The difficulty with applying an objective standard
    is apparent when examined in the context of a
    hypothetical error or omission by an attorney. For
    example, an attorney commits a breach of his or
    her professional duty by not filing a suit within
    the one year statute of limitations. The attorney
    did not file within the year because he or she
    believed erroneously that the statute of limitations
    was three years. The statute was specific, and the
    attorney should have known that the statute of
    limitations was one year. Under an objective
    standard, any subsequent policy would except
    coverage for a claim based on failing to file the
    suit within one year because, prior to the effective
    date of the subsequent policy, the attorney should
    have known that he or she had breached a
    professional duty by failing to file the suit within
    the one year statute of limitations. Thus, because
    the attorney did not know the correct statute of
    limitations, but should have known the correct
    statute, the attorney not only committed a breach
    of his or her professional duty, but he or she is
    also denied insurance coverage.
    
    Id. In short,
    the Logan court was noting that retroactive
    coverage for professional errors would be illusory if such
    coverage could be denied on the ground that a reasonable
    professional would have known that the error had been
    committed prior to obtaining the policy.
    25
    In that sense, however, the Logan court was addressing
    only what we identified in Selko as the first part of the necessary
    inquiry–whether the professional was subjectively aware of the
    relevant error. In contrast, the hypothetical scenario considered
    by the Logan court did not address the second part of the
    inquiry–whether the error could reasonably be expected to result
    in a claim. Accordingly, the concerns expressed by the Logan
    court on the basis of this hypothetical scenario do not extend to
    a case in which a professional is subjectively aware that he has
    committed a professional error, and the only remaining question
    is whether that error could be expected to result in a claim.
    In applying Logan, the Liebling court failed to draw this
    distinction. Rather, the Liebling court concluded:
    Based on . . . the reasoning of the Supreme Court
    of Wisconsin in Logan, we hold that the
    “reasonably could have foreseen” exclusion in
    [the] policy shall be deemed to mean that
    coverage may be denied only if the insured knew
    or believed that there had been a deviation from
    professional standards and that based on all the
    known circumstances it was likely that a
    malpractice claim would be 
    made. 767 A.2d at 524
    (emphasis added). Once the insured is
    subjectively aware that “there ha[s] been a deviation from
    professional standards,” however, the concerns of the Wisconsin
    Supreme Court in Logan are no longer applicable. In contrast,
    the moral hazard identified by the New Jersey Supreme Court in
    Zuckerman does become applicable at that point, because a
    professional already has an incentive to seek new or additional
    retroactive insurance once the professional is aware of the error,
    26
    and even if the professional is unsure whether a claim will
    result.
    In short, by extending the reasoning of the Logan court
    to the second part of the necessary inquiry, the Liebling court
    failed to give due regard to the reasonable purposes that can be
    served by exclusions in “claims made” policies as explained by
    the New Jersey Supreme Court in Zuckerman.12 Consequently,
    we conclude that we have sufficient indications from the New
    Jersey Supreme Court that it would hold, contra to Liebling, that
    the mixed subjective-objective test arising under the plain
    language of the exclusion in our case did not violate the
    objectively reasonable expectations of the insured.
    VI.
    12
    We note that the policy in Zuckerman excluded “only those
    claims based on past conduct that the insured knew, or could
    have reasonably foreseen, might lead to a claim or suit.” 
    See 495 A.2d at 403
    . Although the Zuckerman court did not address
    this issue, it appears to us that this exclusion gave rise to an
    objective test, insofar as it excluded claims based on past
    conduct that the insured “could have reasonably foreseen” might
    lead to a claim. Indeed, the Zuckerman court used this same
    formulation when addressing the reasonableness of such
    exclusions. See 
    id. at 403
    n.3 (“The reasonableness of excluding
    claims based on prior conduct that the insured could reasonably
    have foreseen might serve as the basis for a future claim is
    apparent.”). Accordingly, although the Zuckerman court did not
    specifically address the reasonableness of an objective test for
    the second part of the necessary inquiry, we find it notable that
    the Zuckerman court approved what appears to us to be an
    objective test.
    27
    In sum, we predict that the New Jersey Supreme Court
    would hold that the mixed subjective-objective test arising from
    the clear and unambiguous policy exclusion in our case violates
    neither New Jersey public policy nor the objectively reasonable
    expectations of the insured. Accordingly, we further predict that
    the New Jersey Supreme Court would hold that this policy
    exclusion should be applied according to its plain language.
    Consequently, the District Court erred by holding that it should
    apply an objective test to the first part of the inquiry and a
    subjective test to the second part of the inquiry, because given
    the plain language of the exclusion, the District Court should
    have applied a subjective test to the first part of the inquiry and
    an objective test to the second part of the inquiry.
    Because the District Court’s dispositive reasoning
    depended on its application of an erroneous test, we will vacate
    the District Court’s judgment and remand for further
    proceedings.13
    13
    We note that given the record before us, we have some
    doubt about whether a triable issue remains after our holding.
    In particular, in our view a reasonable professional in Gordon’s
    position, with Gordon’s knowledge that CL&A had committed
    the drafting error and that the tenants had rejected CL&A’s
    “mutual mistake” theory, would have expected that a claim or
    suit against CL&A might arise. Nonetheless, we will leave to
    the District Court the decision as to whether it should grant
    judgment as a matter of law in favor of Lloyds, or whether a
    new trial conducted in light of the proper standard is warranted.
    28