Greater Phila Chamber Commerce v. City of Philadelphia ( 2020 )


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  •                                         PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    _____________
    Nos. 18-2175 & 18-2176
    _____________
    GREATER PHILADELPHIA CHAMBER OF
    COMMERCE, Individually and on behalf of its members,
    Appellant in No. 18-2176
    v.
    CITY OF PHILADELPHIA; PHILADELPHIA
    COMMISSION ON HUMAN RELATIONS,
    Appellants in No. 18-2175
    ________________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
    (D.C. No. 2-17-cv-01548)
    District Judge: Honorable Mitchell S. Goldberg
    ________________
    Argued on March 15, 2019
    Before: McKEE, ROTH, and FUENTES, Circuit Judges
    (Opinion filed: February 6, 2020)
    Benjamin H. Field
    Jane L. Istvan
    Nicole S. Morris
    Marcel S. Pratt, Esquire (Argued)
    City of Philadelphia
    Law Department
    1515 Arch Street
    Philadelphia, PA 19102
    Counsel for Appellants/Cross-Appellees
    Adam R. Pulver
    Scott L. Nelson
    Public Citizen Litigation Group
    1600 20th Street NW
    Washington, DC 20009
    Counsel for Amicus Public Citizen Inc.
    Maura Healey
    Elizabeth N. Dewar
    Genevieve Nadeau
    Erin K. Staab
    Office of Attorney General Massachusetts
    One Ashburton Place
    McCormack Building
    Boston, MA 02108
    Counsel for Amicus Commonwealth of Massachusetts;
    District of Columbia; Commonwealth of Puerto Rico;
    Commonwealth of Virginia; State of Connecticut;
    State of Delaware; State of Illinois; State of New
    Jersey; State of New Jersey; State of New York; State
    of Vermont; State of Washington
    Zachary W. Carter
    Richard Dearing
    Devin Slack
    Eric Lee
    Jamison Davies
    New York City Law Department
    Room 6-178
    100 Church Street
    New York, NY 10007
    Counsel for Amicus City of New York; City of
    Berkeley; City of Columbus; City of Oakland; County
    of Santa Clara; City and County of San Francisco;
    City of Seattle; City of South Bend
    Terry L. Fromson
    Amal Bass
    Women’s Law Project
    125 South 9th Street
    Suite 300
    Philadelphia, PA 19107
    Counsel for Amicus Womens Law Project;
    2
    36 Organizations Dedicated to Gender Wage Equity
    Richard A. Samp
    Cory L. Andrews
    Washington Legal Foundation
    2009 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W.
    Washington, DC 20036
    Counsel for Amicus Washington Legal Foundation
    Kellam M. Conover
    Miguel A. Estrada (Argued)
    Amir C. Tayrani
    Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP
    1050 Connecticut Avenue, N.W.
    Washington, D.C. 20036
    Franco A. Corrado
    Marc J. Sonnenfeld
    Morgan, Lewis & Bockius
    1701 Market Street
    Philadelphia, PA 19103
    Kevin M. Siegel
    Suite 201
    10000 Lincoln Drive East
    Marlton, NJ 08053
    Counsel for Appellee/Cross-Appellant
    Michael L. Kichline
    Michael H. McGinley
    Dechert
    2929 Arch Street
    18th Floor, Cira Centre
    Philadelphia, PA 19104
    Counsel for Amicus African American Chambers of
    Commerce of Pennsylvania., New Jersey and
    Delaware
    Robert L. Byer
    John E. Moriarty
    Robert M. Palumbos
    Andrew R. Sperl
    Duane Morris
    3
    30 South 17th Street
    Philadelphia, PA 19103
    ________________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    ________________
    Table of Contents
    I.    BACKGROUND......................................................... 6
    A. The Disparity And The Ordinance ....................... 8
    B. Legislative Background ......................................... 9
    1. Testimony Before the City Council ............. 10
    a. Barbara Price .......................................... 10
    b. Terry Fromson ........................................ 11
    c. Marianne Bellesorte ............................... 14
    d. Rue Landau ............................................. 15
    2. Other Testimony Before the City Council .. 16
    C. The Legal Challenge ............................................ 17
    1. The Madden Affidavit .................................. 18
    2. Declarations Filed by Chamber Members .. 23
    D. The District Court Opinion ................................ 24
    II.    DISCUSSION .......................................................... 25
    A. The Reliance Provision ........................................ 27
    1. The District Court Correctly Concluded an
    Injunction as to the Reliance Provision Fails
    4
    Because the Provision does not Implicate
    Speech ............................................................ 27
    2. None of the Chamber’s Arguments Call into
    Question the District Court’s Conclusions . 29
    B. The Inquiry Provision ......................................... 32
    1. The Legal Standard ...................................... 32
    a. Commercial Speech ................................ 32
    b. Intermediate Scrutiny Under Central
    Hudson is Appropriate ........................... 34
    c. Strict Scrutiny is Inappropriate Here ... 35
    2. The Inquiry Provision Satisfies Central
    Hudson Intermediate Scrutiny .................... 38
    a. The Speech at Issue is not “Related to
    Illegal Activity” ........................................ 39
    b. The City has a Substantial Interest in
    Closing the Wage Gap ............................ 41
    c. The Inquiry Provision Directly Advances
    the City’s Interest in Pay Equity ........... 42
    i. Caselaw Considering Whether a
    Legislature Relied on Substantial
    Evidence to Support a Speech
    Restriction Under Central Hudson
    Demonstrates that the City
    Presented Sufficient Evidence to
    Support the Ordinance ............... 45
    ii. The Evidence Here is Stronger
    Than the Evidence Supporting the
    Restrictions in Florida Bar and
    King .............................................. 55
    5
    d. The Inquiry Provision is not More
    Extensive than Necessary ....................... 61
    III.     CONCLUSION ......................................................... 67
    McKEE, Circuit Judge
    This appeal requires us to decide whether a Philadelphia
    Ordinance that prohibits employers from inquiring into a
    prospective employee’s wage history in setting or negotiating
    that employee’s wage violates the First Amendment. The
    district court held the Ordinance unconstitutional insofar as it
    prohibits that inquiry. However, the court upheld the provision
    of the Ordinance that prohibits reliance on wage history based
    on the court’s conclusion that such reliance did not implicate
    protected speech.
    For the reasons that below, we affirm the court’s order insofar
    as it upholds the Reliance Provision but reverse it insofar as it
    strikes down the Inquiry Provision.
    I.   BACKGROUND
    In 2017, the City of Philadelphia enacted an ordinance to
    address the disparity in the pay of women and minorities that
    is often called the “pay gap.” The Ordinance contains two
    provisions: the “Inquiry Provision,” which prohibits an
    employer from asking about a prospective employee’s wage
    history, and the “Reliance Provision,” which prohibits an
    employer from relying on wage history at any point in the
    process of setting or negotiating a prospective employee’s
    wage. The Greater Philadelphia Chamber of Commerce filed
    this suit, individually and on behalf of some of its members,
    alleging that both provisions of the Ordinance infringe on the
    freedom of speech of the Chamber and its members.
    The Chamber concedes that the pay gap exists, and that the
    City has a substantial governmental interest in addressing it.
    However, the Chamber argues that the City passed the
    Ordinance “with only the barest of legislative records” and,
    therefore, did not present sufficient evidence to establish that
    the Ordinance would satisfy the City’s objective.1
    1
    Chamber Br. at 1.
    6
    Accordingly, the Chamber claims that the Ordinance cannot
    survive its First Amendment challenge under either strict or
    intermediate scrutiny.
    The district court agreed that the Inquiry Provision violated the
    First Amendment speech rights of employers and invalidated
    that part of the Ordinance. But the court concluded that the
    Reliance Provision withstood the Chamber’s First Amendment
    challenge because it did not impact speech.
    As we explain below, we conclude that the district court erred
    in holding that the Inquiry Provision was unconstitutional. We
    believe the court’s analysis of that provision applied a much
    higher standard than required. The Supreme Court has not
    demanded that the enacting authority achieve legislative
    certainty or produce empirical proof that the adopted
    legislation would achieve the stated interest even when
    applying strict scrutiny. Rather, the appropriate inquiry
    requires courts to determine whether the legislature “has drawn
    reasonable inferences based on substantial evidence.”2 The
    Supreme Court has even “permitted litigants to justify
    [analogous] speech restrictions by reference to studies and
    anecdotes pertaining to different locales altogether, or even, in
    a case applying strict scrutiny, to justify restrictions based
    solely on history, consensus, and ‘simple common sense.’”3 In
    short, the Supreme Court has upheld similar restrictions based
    on much less evidence than the City presented here.
    2
    Turner Broad. Sys., Inc. v. F.C.C., 
    520 U.S. 180
    , 195 (1997)
    (“Turner II”) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
    3
    Florida Bar v. Went For It, Inc., 
    515 U.S. 618
    , 628 (1995)
    (internal citations omitted). See also City Br. at 43-44 (citing
    Heffner v. Murphy, 
    745 F.3d 56
    , 92 (3d Cir. 2014), WV Ass’n
    of Club Owners & Fraternal Servs., Inc. v. Musgrave, 
    553 F.3d 292
    , 303–04 (4th Cir. 2009), Coyote Pub., Inc. v. Miller,
    
    598 F.3d 592
    , 608 (9th Cir. 2010) (illustrating recent
    decisions reflecting the Supreme Court’s flexible approach to
    speech restrictions under intermediate scrutiny. As we explain
    below, we conclude that the Ordinance need only satisfy
    intermediate scrutiny.)
    7
    A. The Disparity And The Ordinance
    According to the 2015 census, women in Pennsylvania earned
    79 cents for every dollar earned by similarly situated men.4 For
    women of color, the wage gap is even more profound. Black
    women earn 68 cents for every dollar paid to similarly situated
    men, and Latina women earn 56 cents for every dollar paid to
    similarly situated men.5 The gap begins for women as soon as
    they enter the workforce. In just the first year after college, full-
    time working women earn, on average, just 82% of what their
    male peers earn.6 Overall, women under the age of 35 earn 88-
    91% of what their male peers earn.7 Rather than improve, as
    women gain experience in the work force the situation gets
    worse. Women aged 35 and over earn only 77-81% of what
    male peers earn.8
    In response to this persistent wage disparity, the City of
    Philadelphia enacted the Ordinance at the center of this
    dispute. The Ordinance states:
    It is an unlawful employment practice for an
    employer . . .
    (i) To inquire about a prospective employee’s
    wage history, require disclosure of wage history,
    or condition employment or consideration for an
    interview or employment on disclosure of wage
    4
    See JA119–20 (discussing the City Council’s legislative
    findings supporting the Ordinance).
    5
    
    Id. 6 See,
    e.g., Christianne Corbett & Catherine Hill, Am. Ass’n
    of Univ. Women (“AAUW”), Graduating to a Pay Gap: The
    Earnings of Women and Men One Year After College
    Graduation, at 9 (Oct. 2012),
    https://www.aauw.org/files/2013/02/graduating-to-a-pay-gap-
    the-earnings-of-women-and-men-one-year-after-college-
    graduation.pdf.
    7
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Highlights of Women’s
    Earnings in 2017, at 9 (Aug. 2018),
    https://www.bls.gov/opub/reports/womens-
    earnings/2017/pdf/home.pdf.
    8
    
    Id. 8 history,
    or retaliate against a prospective
    employee for failing to comply with any wage
    history inquiry.
    (ii) To rely on the wage history of a prospective
    employee from any current or former employer
    of the individual in determining the wages for
    such individual at any stage in the employment
    process, including the negotiation or drafting of
    any employment contract, unless such applicant
    knowingly and willingly disclosed his or her
    wage history to the employer, employment
    agency, employee or agent thereof.
    (c) For purposes of this Section 9-1131, “to
    inquire” shall mean to ask a job applicant in
    writing or otherwise. . . . 9
    Employers who violate the Ordinance are subject to
    civil and criminal penalties, including compensatory
    damages, up to $2,000 in punitive damages per
    violation, and an additional $2,000 and 90 days’
    incarceration for a repeat offense.10
    B. Legislative Background
    The City seeks to justify the Ordinance by relying on the
    testimony of witnesses who testified before the City Council
    prior to the enactment of the Ordinance and an affidavit by Dr.
    Janice Madden that the City submitted to the district court in
    response to the Chamber’s constitutional challenge. Dr.
    Madden reviewed thousands of peer-reviewed research studies
    and concluded, among other things, that “there is wage
    discrimination in the labor market, suppressing the prior wages
    of women and minorities” and this “is consistent with the
    findings of thousands of research studies.”11 She concluded
    that “these scholarly studies show . . . that significant and
    substantial wage differentials by race and gender, which are
    9
    Phila. Code § 9-1131.
    10
    
    Id. §§ 9-1105(1)(c)–(d),
    9-1121(2).
    11
    JA297.
    9
    not explained by credentials or qualification, persist.”12 The
    Chamber presented no evidence challenging any of Dr.
    Madden’s conclusions or the studies those conclusions were
    based on.
    1. Testimony Before the City Council
    a. Barbara Price
    Barbara Price, the Public Policy Chair of the American
    Association of University Women, testified before the Council
    and submitted written testimony. She reiterated that “the
    [wage] gap still exists today at 80 cents nationally and 79 cents
    for Pennsylvania, which ranks [Pennsylvania] 27th as a state in
    the country.”13 She confirmed that “[t]he gap remains
    consistent across age groups, levels of education, and for full-
    time workers across a number of occupations.”14 She discussed
    research that showed, after accounting for choice of
    occupation, hours worked, economic sector, experience, grade
    point average, undergraduate institution, marital status and
    other factors, a significant gap between the earnings of men
    and women remained—beginning one year after graduation
    and widening in the years thereafter.15 For example, in
    12
    JA298 (emphasis added).
    13
    Council of the City of Philadelphia Committee on Law and
    Government: Hearing on Bill No. 160840, (Nov. 22, 2016)
    (hereinafter “Hearing Transcript” or “Hr’g Tr.”) at 70,
    available at
    http://legislation.phila.gov/transcripts/Public%20Hearings/la
    wngov/2016/lg112216.pdf; see also JA272-277.
    14
    JA273.
    15
    JA275 (citing AAUW, The Simple Truth About the Gender
    Pay Gap, at 17 (Fall 2014),
    https://fortunedotcom.files.wordpress.com/2014/12/the-
    simple-truth_fall.pdf (“After accounting for college major,
    occupation, economic sector, hours worked, months
    unemployed since graduation, GPA, type of undergraduate
    institution, institution selectivity, age, geographical region,
    and marital status, Graduating to a Pay Gap found that a 7
    percent difference in the earnings of male and female college
    graduates one year after graduation was still unexplained.”).
    10
    Philadelphia, “[t]he single most common occupation for
    Latinas is that of maids, housekeepers, janitors or building
    cleaners where they make up 22 percent of the people
    employed in those jobs.”16 However, “Latinas who work full
    time in these occupations, year round, are paid just 58 cents for
    every dollar paid to White, non-Hispanic men in the same
    occupations.”17 She testified that the pay gap “costs a typical
    woman in Pennsylvania about $918,120 over the course of her
    career.”18
    b. Terry Fromson
    Terry L. Fromson, the Managing Attorney for the Women’s
    Law Project, testified before the City Council that the practice
    of obtaining and using wage history to set pay is one
    contributor to the pay gap.19 She told the City Council that “a
    sizable wage gap exists between men and women in
    Pennsylvania, one that is substantially larger for women of
    color.”20 She testified that unequal pay “has persisted despite
    the existence of equal pay laws banning sex discrimination [in]
    wages for five decades.”21
    She explained that discrepancy in pay continues, in part,
    because current laws targeting discrimination, such as “the
    Equal Pay Act[,] specifically[] allow[] employers to justify
    paying women less than men based on what is described as a
    factor other than sex.”22 Ms. Fromson explained that “many
    courts have interpreted prior wages as a factor other than sex,
    when in fact, it is typically not. It is not gender neutral.”23 She
    elaborated, “[a] woman’s prior pay may very well be based on
    a sex discriminatory assessment of her worth. It reflects
    historical market forces based on sex stereotypes and
    16
    JA273.
    17
    
    Id. 18 Id.
    19
    JA268; see also H’rg Tr. at 63-69.
    20
    H’rg Tr. at 65.
    21
    
    Id. at 65–66.
    22
    
    Id. at 66.
    23
    
    Id. 11 assumptions
    about the value of the equal work of one sex over
    the other.”24
    Fromson also gave a detailed explanation of how wage history
    perpetuates and institutionalizes wage discrimination. “Wage
    policies challenged in recent years show how this happens.”25
    One’s initial salary at a given employer is based in part upon
    the salary of the employee’s most recent job. “The wage gap
    data tells us that the woman’s salary is most likely less than the
    man who is equally situated to her.”26 Subsequent pay is then
    based on that starting salary “plus an increment that would be
    applied equally to the men and the women. . . . [E]very time a
    salary increase happens, an equal percentage of prior pay is
    applied. And so, women . . . remain paid less than men.”27 In
    other words, the initial discrepancy in pay is baked into all
    future pay increases, even in workplaces in which pay is
    increased at the same percentage for similarly situated men and
    women.
    Fromson told the Council: “[b]y specifically outlawing the
    practice of relying on prior wages to set a new employee’s pay,
    this [O]rdinance will provide clarity that will relieve women of
    having to gamble on whether a court will properly interpret this
    practice as unlawful” discrimination.28 It will therefore help
    ensure that wage growth and wage decisions are based on
    qualifications and job requirements “rather than a factor that
    likely reflects longstanding gender-based wage disparities in
    the labor market.”29 She also noted that the EEOC recognizes
    24
    
    Id. 25 Id.
    26
    
    Id. at 66–67
    (emphasis added). This testimony does not
    distinguish between salary and wage discrepancy and the text
    of the Ordinance refers only to a wage discrepancy. However,
    we can discern no significant distinction for the purposes of
    our discussion and much of the testimony strongly suggests
    that the compensation gap that Fromson and others referred to
    for salaries is indistinguishable from the compensation gap in
    wages.
    27
    
    Id. at 67.
    28
    
    Id. 29 Id.
    12
    prior salaries of job candidates can reflect sex-based
    compensation discrimination.30
    Fromson informed the Council that Massachusetts had
    approved a similar ban on inquiries into wage history and New
    York City had adopted an executive order to that effect insofar
    as public employees were concerned.31 She added that similar
    legislation was then pending in several jurisdictions including
    New Jersey, the District of Columbia, and New York City (to
    expand to all employers in the city and not just municipal
    employers).32
    Fromson also suggested that the Council consider adding two
    clarifications to the proposed Ordinance based on provisions in
    the Massachusetts law and New York City executive order.
    The first provision would have prohibited employers from
    seeking an employee’s wage history from current or former
    employees. She noted that “while [the Ordinance] prohibits an
    employer from asking a job applicant for wage history, it does
    not bar inquiries directly to current and former employers.”33
    The second suggested change was to allow reliance on wage
    history after an offer of employment and compensation had
    been made.34 She explained that without the second change, the
    proposed legislation allowed employers to consider wage
    history if the employee volunteered it before an offer was
    30
    
    Id. at 66.
    31
    
    Id. at 64.
    32
    
    Id. The state
    of New Jersey has since passed a similar wage
    history inquiry and reliance ban. See Act of July 25, 2019,
    Pub. L. No. 2019, c.199 (N.J. 2019). That act states: “it shall
    be an unlawful employment practice for any employer: (1) to
    screen a job applicant based on the applicant’s salary history,
    including, but not limited to, the applicant’s prior wages,
    salaries or benefits; or (2) to require that the applicant’s salary
    history satisfy any minimum or maximum criteria.” As
    Fromson’s testimony suggests, New Jersey’s recently enacted
    law appears to be part of an emerging trend that recognizes
    the extent to which reliance on wage history inevitably
    perpetuates historic wage disparity.
    33
    H’rg Tr. at 68.
    34
    
    Id. 13 made.35
    Fromson suggested that this “place[d] applicants in an
    untenable position of having to choose between protecting
    what is biased information that may adversely affect their
    future wages or [] risk being denied a job.”36 In her opinion,
    that was “an inherently coercive situation for someone to be
    in.”37
    Ultimately, these added provisions were not incorporated into
    the Ordinance. Councilman William Greenlee, Chairman of
    the Committee of Law and Government, noted that, in
    declining to include these added provisions, the Philadelphia
    Ordinance did not go as far as other proposed wage history
    bans around the country. He told the committee, “the
    Massachusetts law goes a little wider than we do. We’re trying
    to keep it real basic[;] . . . you’ll hear from a witness that thinks
    we don’t make it strong enough, but we’re trying to find that
    great balance that we always try to in legislation. . . .”38 We are
    trying “at this point [to] limit it to stopping the employer from
    asking, directly asking, the prospective employee what they
    make.”39 He also noted “for the record, as far as the Chamber
    of Commerce goes, the Boston Chamber of Commerce
    supported the Massachusetts law. . . . [T]hey obviously did not
    believe it was that injurious to businesses.”40
    c. Marianne Bellesorte
    Marianne Bellesorte, Vice President of Advocacy at Pathways
    PA,41 analyzed wage gap data and concluded that the wage gap
    for women and men of color “are compounded” when these
    individuals are asked to share their wage history.42 She told the
    Council “[o]ne step in addressing wage inequality is ensuring
    35
    
    Id. 36 Id.
    at 68–69.
    37
    
    Id. at 69.
    38
    
    Id. at 15.
    39
    
    Id. 40 Id.
    at 80.
    41
    “PathWays PA works to end the cycle of poverty,
    homelessness, and abuse in the Philadelphia region.” 
    Id. at 74.
    42
    JA276.
    14
    that a history of low salaries does not follow women into a new
    workplace.”43 She emphasized that “the wage gap is not just
    about women. It is also about people of color, men and
    women.”44 She explained how wage inquiries perpetuate
    discrimination for women and minorities: “Inequitable wages
    start right out of college, and they’re compounded when
    women and [minorities] apply for new jobs and are asked to
    share their pay history. Instead of starting their job on an equal
    footing, they enter with a lower salary because it was based on
    previous employment.”45 She continued: “Not surprisingly as
    women get older, the wage gap continues to grow and
    continues to affect women in retirement.”46 Bellesorte also
    explained: “By preventing potential employers [from] asking
    for salary history, Philadelphia’s workers gain the ability to
    earn what their work is actually worth. A woman who starts
    her career at the low end of a salary range will not be held to
    that standard for the rest of her work life.”47
    d. Rue Landau
    Rue Landau, the Executive Director of the Philadelphia
    Commission on Human Relations, told the committee that, “as
    the agency charged with enforcing the Fair Practices
    Ordinance . . . the PCHR understand[s] that the wage gap is
    real.”48 According to Ms. Landau, “women working in
    Pennsylvania are paid only 79 cents for every dollar a man
    earns.49 In real numbers, median annual earnings in
    43
    H’rg Tr. at 74.
    44
    
    Id. at 75.
    45
    
    Id. 46 Id.
    47
    
    Id. at 76.
    48
    
    Id. at 8.
    49
    Jovida Hill, the Executive Director of Philadelphia’s
    Commission on Women, affirmed the testimony of Ms.
    Landau with nationwide empirical evidence. She testified
    that, “[a]ccording to calculations by the National Committee
    on Pay Equity, for a woman with a high school education, the
    difference [in pay arising from the pay gap] can amount to
    $700,000, $1.2 million for a woman with a college degree,
    15
    Pennsylvania are $51,212 for a man and $40,742 for a
    woman.”50 She testified “the practice of asking about an
    applicant’s wage history during the hiring process can
    perpetuate wage inequality, low wages, and poverty. . . . [A]
    jobseeker who has suffered from the wage gap can only be
    harmed when required to disclose her salary history.”51 She
    concluded “the PCHR strongly believes[] that taking out any
    obstacles that employers could use . . . to discriminate is a very
    important thing to do. This is one of these barriers.”52
    2. Other Testimony Before City Council
    The Chamber did not present any witnesses in opposition to the
    Ordinance, but it did submit written testimony from Rob
    Wonderling, President and CEO of the Chamber. He wrote that
    the Ordinance “goes too far in dictating how employers can
    interact with potential hires.”53 Rather surprisingly, he
    submitted that employers use wage history to “have a better
    understanding of whether a candidate is worth pursuing based
    on previous compensation levels as well as the market value or
    salaries for comparable positions.”54 That of course is exactly
    why the City Council was considering the Ordinance. It was
    trying to cut the Gordian knot that continues to tie past
    discriminatory wages to future job opportunities and wages so
    that employers would not decide if a given employee was
    “worth pursuing based on previous compensation levels.”
    Wonderling also asserted that “[i]n speaking with our members
    . . . we hear that compensation decisions are based on a number
    of different factors such as market value, internal equity,
    funding limitations and competition. It is not made based on a
    candidate’s past salary history, gender or race.”55 As discussed
    and $2 million for women with advanced degrees.” H’rg Tr.
    at 12.
    50
    
    Id. 6. 51
       
    Id. at 8.
    52
    
    Id. at 23.
    53
    JA124.
    54
    
    Id. 55 Id.
    This testimony is also surprising since, if salary history
    is not a factor in setting compensation levels, it is not at all
    16
    below, however, this claim was contradicted by the Chamber
    members’ own submissions to the district court in which they
    confirmed that they use wage history to set wages.56
    The Chamber offered no testimony to refute the existence of
    the wage gap, the role of discrimination in the wage gap, or the
    conclusion that prohibiting inquiry into one’s wage history
    could help mitigate the wage gap. Based on this record, on
    December 8, 2016, after weighing the testimony and
    submissions, the City Council unanimously passed the
    Ordinance.57
    C. The Legal Challenge
    In April 2017, the Chamber filed a Complaint and Motion for
    Preliminary Injunction alleging the Ordinance violated the
    First Amendment.58 The district court dismissed the original
    complaint for lack of standing. The Chamber addressed that
    deficiency in a subsequently filed Amended Complaint and
    refiled Motion for a Preliminary Injunction.59
    The City responded to the Amended Complaint by submitting
    the affidavit of Dr. Janice Madden.60
    clear how employers would be harmed or prejudiced by the
    Inquiry Provision.
    56
    See e.g., JA130 (Chamber Member Bittenbender: “Wage
    history information is essential to salary offers in positions
    where Bittenbender is unaware of the market wage.”).
    57
    JA283–89. On January 23, 2017, the bill was signed into
    law. JA122.
    58
    JA072-117.
    59
    JA74. The City has agreed that the Chamber and its
    members have standing to bring suit here. See JA250, ¶ 18;
    see also JA081-117.
    60
    See Affidavit of Janice F. Madden, Ph.D. JA291–306. Dr.
    Madden is a labor economist “with extensive experience in
    the analysis of labor markets and, in particular, gender and
    racial differentials in labor markets.” JA292. She attended the
    Wharton School after completing an M.A. and Ph.D. at Duke
    University and previously earned her B.A. in economics and
    mathematics at the University of Denver. She is a tenured
    faculty member of the University of Pennsylvania and teaches
    17
    1. The Madden Affidavit
    The City retained Dr. Madden, a highly respected labor
    economist, to summarize the research in each of the following
    areas: (1) the extent to which salaries of qualified job
    applicants have historically differed by race or gender; (2) the
    effect of starting salaries on the overall salary differentials of
    comparable qualified employees by race or gender–
    information that can be provided by an applicant’s salary
    history; and (3) whether there are “alternative sources of such
    information” to support the need for, and potential
    effectiveness of, the Ordinance. Her affidavit corroborated the
    testimony of the witnesses who had testified before the City
    Council.61
    She concluded in her affidavit that “there is wage
    discrimination in the labor market[] suppressing the prior
    wages of women and minorities” and that this “is consistent
    with the findings of thousands of research studies.”62 Dr.
    Madden reviewed the research on pay differentials by race and
    gender for workers with equivalent skills and experience. She
    stated that “[h]undreds, possibly thousands, of scholarly
    studies over the years have decomposed the overall gender and
    undergraduate and graduate “courses dealing with economics,
    labor markets, and . . . relevant statistical methods.” 
    Id. In addition,
    Dr. Madden has authored five books on economics
    and discrimination and has testified as an expert witness in
    over 45 cases in federal and state courts. JA292–93.
    61
    Although her affidavit was not before the Council when the
    Ordinance was passed, it was appropriately considered by the
    district court. As we have previously recognized, “[i]f a
    legislative body can produce in court whatever justification is
    required of it under the applicable constitutional doctrine, we
    perceive little to be gained by incurring the expense, effort,
    and delay involved in requiring it to reenact the legislative
    measure after parading its evidence through its legislative
    chamber.” Phillips v. Borough of Keyport, 
    107 F.3d 164
    , 178
    (3d Cir. 1997). The district court was therefore correct in
    “consider[ing] post-enactment evidence offered in support of
    City Council’s decision.” 
    Id. 62 JA297.
    18
    racial pay gaps into the proportion arising from gender and
    racial differences in experience, education, training, work
    hours, occupations and industries.”63 Madden concluded that
    “these scholarly studies show that the pay gap remains when
    comparing only men and women or minorities and non-
    minorities with the same education, experience, training, work
    hours, occupations and industries.”64 These studies found
    “significant and substantial wage differentials by race and
    gender, which are not explained by credentials or qualification,
    persist.”65
    Dr. Madden reached several other conclusions based on her
    survey of the voluminous research supporting the need for the
    Ordinance, including that:
    • “Labor market researchers are in general
    agreement that women and/or members of racial
    and ethnic minorities have received and
    currently receive lower wages than comparably
    qualified and performing men and/or members
    of majority racial and ethnic groups.”66
    • “Antidiscrimination laws, including the Civil
    Rights Act and the Equal Pay Act, have not
    eliminated the lower wages generally received
    by women and minority workers relative to men
    and majority workers of equivalent skill, ability,
    experience, and performance.”67
    • “Starting salaries typically differ by race and
    gender for workers of equivalent skills and
    abilities.”68
    63
    JA298.
    64
    
    Id. (emphasis added).
    65
    
    Id. 66 JA294.
    67
    
    Id. 68 Id.
    19
    • “The available evidence shows that when
    employers do not have access to salary history,
    they easily obtain information on past
    performance and skills of applicants and they
    select hires with this information as effectively
    as those using salary histories.”69
    According to Dr. Madden, denying employers information
    about a perspective employee’s wage history does not deprive
    a perspective employer of information needed to make an
    informed employment decision, including determining an
    appropriate wage. Concomitantly, putting such wage history
    beyond the reach of new employers helps break the
    discriminatory chain linking an employee’s new salary to past
    salaries and any discriminatory judgments that may have
    influenced those past salaries.70 The studies cited in Dr.
    Madden’s affidavit included comprehensive reviews of scores
    of other studies. For example, she cites Stanley and Jarrell who
    performed a meta-regression analysis of fifty-five other studies
    and concluded that there is a “wide consensus that gender wage
    discrimination exists” and the “vast empirical economic
    literature, containing hundreds of studies, reveals that women
    are ‘underpaid’ disproportionate to their observed skills.”71
    That study focused on determining the extent of the reported
    gaps. Dr. Madden also relied upon the research of Blau and
    Kahn, who found in their review of data from 1980 to 2010,
    “an unexplained gender wage gap in each year[’s data].”72
    They explained that the “finding of such an unexplained gap is
    69
    JA295.
    70
    JA305-06.
    71
    T.D. Stanley & Stephen B. Jarrell, Gender Wage
    Discrimination Bias? A Meta-
    Regression Analysis, 33 J. Hum. Resources 947, 948 (Fall
    1998) (hereinafter “Stanley & Jarrell”).
    72
    Francine D. Blau & Lawrence M. Kahn, The Gender Wage
    Gap: Extent, Trends, and Explanations, 31, NBER Working
    Paper No. 2193, National Bureau for Economic Research
    (2016), http://www.nber.org/papers/w21913 (published in 55
    J. of Econ. Lit. 789 (2017)) (hereinafter “Blau & Kahn”).
    20
    fairly standard in the literature” and is “taken as an estimate of
    labor market discrimination.”73
    Dr. Madden also cited Wilson and Rodgers who concluded
    “discrimination has consistently played a major role” in “the
    widening of racial wage gaps since 1979.”74 This study focused
    on the minority wage gap and the causes of the gap for specific
    minority sub-groups. It concludes, among other things:
    “Between the Great Recession of 2007–2009 and 2015, gaps
    among new-entrant women expanded more than among any
    other experience/gender group. The same factor that
    dominated prior to 2000—growing labor market
    discrimination—is the primary source of the erosion.”75
    Additionally, “[a]mong black college graduates, growing
    discrimination was essentially the sole cause of the [wage]
    gap’s expansion, far outweighing the advantages black college
    graduates gained as a result of being slightly older (i.e., more
    experienced) than their white counterparts.”76
    Her distilled conclusions of these studies were that “labor
    market discrimination continues to contribute to the wage
    gap;” “discriminatory wages persist;” and the “racial wage gap
    [is] increasing.”77
    To eliminate the effect of variables other than race or gender
    such as: education, experience, training, occupation, and
    industry, which could explain the wage gap, Madden also cited
    the studies relied on by Blau and Kahn whose reviews focused
    on homogenous populations within the same industry. For
    example, they analyzed studies within a group of lawyers and
    MBAs that were able to control for very detailed
    characteristics, including, for example, grade point averages
    73
    
    Id. 74 Valerie
    Wilson & William M. Rodgers III, Black-White
    Wage Gaps Expand with Rising Wage Inequality, 4,
    Economic Policy Inst., (September 19, 2016)
    https://www.epi.org/files/pdf/101972.pdf (hereinafter
    “Wilson & Rodgers”).
    75
    
    Id. at 5.
    76
    
    Id. at 27.
    77
    JA298 n.3.
    21
    while in school.78 “The studies of lawyers and MBAs . . . find
    that, even if one accounts for variables related to family status,
    like work force interruption and fewer hours worked,
    unexplained gender earnings differences remain which are
    potentially due to discrimination.”79 Among lawyers, “men
    earned 11 percent more, controlling for an extensive list of
    worker qualifications and other factors, including grades while
    in law school, detailed work history data, and type and size of
    employer.”80 Among MBAs, “men earned nearly 7 percent
    more even accounting for work force interruptions, fewer
    hours worked, and gender differences in business school GPAs
    and finance courses taken.”81
    Blau and Kahn also reviewed experimental studies that
    similarly concluded discrimination is a primary cause of the
    wage gap. The authors believed that experiments “provide[]
    particularly persuasive evidence of discrimination . . .
    [because] they offer estimates of the role of discrimination that
    are potentially less contaminated by unmeasured factors.”82
    For example, the authors describe an experimental study that
    not only replicated the gender wage gap in otherwise identical
    candidates, but also showed that starting salaries for women in
    the study were set far lower than the (otherwise identical) male
    candidates. In the experiment, employers reviewed “the
    application materials of (fictitious) [applicants] who[m] they
    were told . . . applied for a science laboratory manager
    position.”83 Study participants “rated the male applicant as
    significantly more competent and suitable for the position than
    the (identical) female applicant. Participants also set a starting
    salary for male applicants that was almost $4,000 higher than
    the salary offered to female applicants and offered more career
    mentoring to the male applicants.”84 Blau and Kahn conclude
    this research “strongly suggests that discrimination cannot be
    78
    Blau & Kahn at 32.
    79
    
    Id. 80 Id.
    81
    
    Id. 82 Id.
    83
    
    Id. at 33.
    84
    
    Id. 22 discounted
    as contributing to the persistent gender wage
    gap.”85
    In addition to synthesizing the conclusions reached in various
    studies, some of which are highlighted above, Dr. Madden’s
    affidavit relies on her “consulting experience with a wide range
    of employers over forty years.”86 That experience corroborates
    that “gender and racial pay gaps between otherwise equivalent
    workers largely arise from gender and racial differences in the
    salary set at hire.”87
    2. Declarations Filed by Chamber Members
    Members of the Chamber filed declarations in support of their
    Motion for Preliminary Injunction. Those declarations
    asserted that a wage history ban would harm businesses
    because they use wage history as a factor in making salary
    offers and for other purposes.88 For example, Chamber
    Member Bittenbender stated that “[w]age history information
    is essential to salary offers in positions where [it] is unaware of
    the market wage.”89 Similarly, Comcast asserted it “frequently
    inquires” about an applicant’s “previous compensation and
    wage history,” among other things, to “understand the level of
    responsibility the applicant had,” evaluate the value the prior
    employer placed on the candidate, and “determine market
    wage for similar positions.”90 Similarly, the Children’s
    Hospital of Philadelphia submitted that it “relies on wage
    history in making a salary offer.”91 The Chamber and its
    members, however, presented no evidence that refuted or
    challenged the testimony before the City before passing the
    Ordinance. That evidence showed that prior wages of women
    and minorities is more indicative of compounded
    discrimination than an accurate assessment of the individual’s
    value to their prior employer. Thus, information obtained to
    85
    
    Id. at 50.
    86
    JA300.
    87
    
    Id. 88 See
    JA126–247.
    89
    JA130.
    90
    JA137–38.
    91
    JA147.
    23
    assess the applicant’s market value only perpetuates wage
    disparity.
    D. The District Court Opinion
    As we noted at the outset, the district court granted the
    Chamber’s motion for a preliminary injunction as to the
    Inquiry Provision. The court held that it likely violated the
    Chamber’s and its members’ free speech rights. However, it
    found that the Reliance Provision–which prohibits relying on
    an applicant’s wage history at any point in the process–
    regulated conduct rather than speech. Accordingly, the court
    refused to enjoin that provision.92
    The court reasoned that the Reliance Provision, is “not subject
    . . . to First Amendment scrutiny” because the provision “does
    not ‘on its face, implicate the spoken or written word.’”93
    Instead, “[t]o the extent the Reliance Provision is content- or
    speaker-based,” the court found the Reliance Provision
    “targets conduct and not speech.”94 Because the Chamber did
    not meet its burden of showing that the provision implicates
    speech, no First Amendment analysis was required.95
    However, the court found that the Inquiry Provision did
    implicate speech and that it could not survive even the less
    stringent intermediate scrutiny required under the First
    Amendment.96 Thus the court did not discuss the actual level
    of scrutiny required to withstand the Chamber’s First
    Amendment challenge.97 Rather, the court held that the
    Ordinance was unconstitutional under the less stringent
    92
    See Chamber of 
    Commerce, 319 F. Supp. 3d at 779
    .
    93
    
    Id. at 801,
    803.
    94
    
    Id. at 803–04.
    95
    
    Id. at 804.
    96
    
    Id. at 785.
    97
    
    Id. (“[B]ecause I
    conclude infra that the Inquiry Provision
    does not pass muster under the Central Hudson framework, I
    need not determine whether the Central Hudson test has been
    broadened for content- or speaker-based restrictions. I will
    thus apply Central Hudson’s intermediate scrutiny to the
    Inquiry Provision.”).
    24
    standard of Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. v. Public
    Service Commission of New York.98 That decision rested on the
    court’s belief that the City had not presented substantial
    evidence to support a conclusion that the Inquiry Provision
    would help close the wage gap.99
    The district court determined that the requirements for a
    preliminary injunction were met with respect to the Inquiry
    Provision because “the Chamber ha[d] alleged a real and actual
    deprivation of its and its members' First Amendment rights
    through declarations.”100 Accordingly, it found, “the City
    cannot claim a legitimate interest in enforcing an
    unconstitutional law” because “there is a significant public
    interest in upholding First Amendment principles.”101
    This appeal and cross appeal followed. The Chamber argues
    that the district court erred in refusing to enjoin the Reliance
    Provision and that both provisions should have been reviewed
    under strict scrutiny. The City alleges the district court erred in
    enjoining the Inquiry Provision.
    II.   DISCUSSION
    A preliminary injunction “is an extraordinary remedy, which
    should be granted only in limited circumstances.”102 As the
    98
    
    447 U.S. 557
    (1980).
    99
    Chamber of 
    Commerce, 319 F. Supp. 3d at 800
    (“I
    conclude that there is insufficient evidence to establish the
    alleged harm of discriminatory wages being perpetuated in
    subsequent wages such that they contribute to a
    discriminatory wage gap.”).
    100
    
    Id. at 807
    (citing e.g., Wonderling Decl. ¶¶ 16, 22 (“If the
    Ordinance is allowed to stand, it will harm the Chamber’s
    members named in the First Amended Complaint as well as
    other members within the Chamber’s broader membership by
    preventing them from making wage-history inquiries that they
    otherwise normally would make.”)).
    101
    
    Id. 807–08. 102
        Instant Air Freight Co. v. C.F. Air Freight, Inc., 
    882 F.2d 797
    , 800 (3d Cir. 1989) (internal citations omitted).
    25
    district court explained, the moving party must establish four
    factors to get a preliminary injunction:
    (1) the likelihood that the plaintiff will prevail on
    the merits at final hearing; (2) the extent to which
    the plaintiff is being irreparably harmed by the
    conduct complained of; (3) the extent to which
    the defendant will suffer irreparable harm if the
    preliminary injunction is issued; and (4) [that]
    the public interest [weighs in favor of granting
    the injunction].103
    Generally, the moving party must establish the first two factors
    and only if these “gateway factors” are established does the
    district court consider the remaining two factors.104 The court
    then determines “in its sound discretion if all four factors, taken
    together, balance in favor of granting the requested preliminary
    relief.”105
    In First Amendment cases the initial burden is flipped. The
    government bears the burden of proving that the law is
    constitutional; thus, the plaintiff “must be deemed likely to
    prevail” if the government fails to show the constitutionality of
    the law.106 This is because “‘the burdens at the preliminary
    injunction stage track the burdens at trial,’” and the burden of
    proving the constitutionality of a law rests with the
    government.107
    103
    A.T.&T. Co. v. Winback & Conserve Program, Inc., 
    42 F.3d 1421
    , 1427 (3d Cir. 1994) (internal citations omitted)
    (quoting Merch. & Evans, Inc. v. Roosevelt Bldg. Prods., 
    963 F.2d 628
    , 632–33 (3d Cir. 1992)).
    104
    Reilly v. City of Harrisburg, 
    858 F.3d 173
    , 179 (3d Cir.
    2017), as amended (June 26, 2017).
    105
    
    Id. 106 Id.
    at 180 (quoting Ashcroft v. ACLU, 
    542 U.S. 656
    , 666
    (2004)).
    107
    
    Id. (quoting Gonzales
    v. O Centro Espirita Beneficente
    Uniao do Vegetal, 
    546 U.S. 418
    , 429 (2006)).
    26
    Therefore, in First Amendment cases, the moving party must
    first “mak[e] a colorable claim” that the law restricts some
    form of speech.108 The government must then “justify its
    restriction on speech under whatever level of scrutiny is
    appropriate (intermediate or strict) given the restriction in
    question.”109 If the government succeeds in showing
    constitutionality, “then the motion for a preliminary injunction
    fails because there is no likelihood of success on the merits.”110
    If the government cannot establish that the law is
    constitutional, the challenger must still demonstrate irreparable
    harm, though that is generally presumed where the moving
    party’s freedom of speech right is being infringed.111
    We review the grant or denial of a preliminary injunction for
    “an abuse of discretion, an error of law, or a clear mistake in
    the consideration of proof.”112 We review de novo the lower
    court’s conclusions of law but review its findings of fact for
    clear error.113
    A. The Reliance Provision
    1. The District Court Correctly Concluded that
    an Injunction as to the Reliance Provision
    Fails Because the Provision Does Not
    Implicate Speech
    As explained above, the Reliance Provision makes it illegal for
    employers to “rely on the wage history of a prospective
    employee from any current or former employer of the
    individual in determining the wages for such individual at any
    stage in the employment process, including the negotiation or
    108
    
    Id. at 180
    n.5 (quoting Thalheimer v. City of San Diego,
    
    645 F.3d 1109
    , 1116 (9th Cir. 2011)).
    109
    
    Id. 110 Id.
    111
    
    Id. 112 Doe
    by & through Doe v. Boyertown Area Sch. Dist., 
    897 F.3d 518
    , 526 (3d Cir. 2018) (citing Kos Pharm., Inc. v.
    Andrx Corp., 
    369 F.3d 700
    , 708 (3d Cir. 2004)).
    113
    
    Id. 27 drafting
    of any employment contract.”114 The district court
    correctly concluded that this provision does not regulate
    speech. Accordingly, the court did not need to conduct a First
    Amendment analysis. As the court explained, the Reliance
    Provision does not “on its face, implicate the spoken or written
    word.”115 In arguing to the contrary, the Chamber claimed that
    the “Provision restricts [the] ability to communicate and/or
    convey a message.”116 The court found that here, unlike the
    situation in Wollschlaeger v. Governor of Florida117 and
    Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project,118 the conduct that the
    Reliance Provision regulates “is not executed through
    speech.”119
    In Wollschlaeger, certain provisions of the Florida Firearms
    Owners’ Privacy Act (FOPA), prohibited medical
    professionals from, among other things, entering information
    about a patient’s gun ownership into medical records, or
    inquiring about gun ownership, and discriminating against a
    gun owner, unless the action was relevant to the patient’s care.
    In explaining why the case was not helpful, the district court
    correctly distinguished the “more specific actions” of “physical
    entry. . . into a patient log, making a written inquiry[] [and]
    asking a question” which “implicate[] speech on their face”
    from prohibiting reliance in the Ordinance.120 The district court
    also explained that not all of the provisions in Wollschlaeger
    were subject to First Amendment scrutiny. Like the Reliance
    Provision here, the Wollschlaeger court had concluded that the
    anti-discrimination provision of the FOPA did not “on its face,
    implicate the spoken or written word,” and therefore scrutiny
    under the First Amendment was not appropriate.121
    114
    Phila. Code. § 9-1131.
    115
    Chamber of 
    Commerce, 319 F. Supp. 3d at 803
    .
    116
    
    Id. 117 848
    F.3d 1293 (11th Cir. 2017).
    118
    
    561 U.S. 1
    (2010).
    119
    Chamber of 
    Commerce, 319 F. Supp. 3d at 803
    –04.
    120
    
    Id. at 803–04.
    121
    
    Id. at 803.
    28
    The statute at issue in Humanitarian Law Project banned
    providing “material support” to terrorist organizations.122 The
    Supreme Court found that the statute did implicate speech
    because it prohibited legal training and advice, which was
    support given “in the form of speech.”123 In rejecting the
    Chamber’s challenge to the Reliance Provision, the district
    court     correctly   concluded     that     “[h]ere,    unlike
    in [Humanitarian Law Project], the conduct is not executed
    through speech. Reliance on wage history does not demand
    speech the way that providing legal advice necessarily
    does.”124
    2. None of the Chamber’s Arguments Call into
    Question the District Court’s Conclusion
    The Chamber does not present any arguments before us that
    seriously challenge the district court’s reasoning or analysis of
    the Reliance Provision. The district court’s discussion of that
    provision is thorough, accurate, and persuasive. As the district
    court explained, the Reliance Provision does not restrain any
    expressive message.
    The Chamber argues that in “formulating a proposed salary,” a
    prospective employer is “communicating a message about how
    much that applicant’s labor is worth to the employer.”125 But
    the Reliance Provision does not restrict an employer from
    communicating an applicant’s worth. An employer may still
    discuss an applicant’s value based on his or her qualifications
    and abilities. The Ordinance simply attempts to prevent the
    employer from unknowingly incorporating past wage
    discrimination into the terms of an applicant’s job offer. The
    employer remains free to communicate its own valuation of the
    employee by making as many offers at whatever salary it
    
    122 561 U.S. at 28
    .
    123
    
    Id. 124 Chamber,
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    . at 804 (The “provisions [at
    issue] prohibited significantly more specific actions that
    implicated speech on their face[,] to the extent the Reliance
    Provision is content- or speaker-based, it targets conduct and
    not speech.”).
    125
    Chamber Br. at 29.
    29
    deems appropriate. The Ordinance merely attempts to ensure
    that any such offers are not unwittingly tethered to past
    discriminatory wage discrepancies.
    The Chamber also argues that because the Reliance Provision
    is “triggered” during the negotiation of a contract, it
    necessarily implicates speech.126 Consequently, the Chamber
    cites Valle Del Sol Inc. v. Whiting,127 and Centro de la
    Comunidad Hispana de Locust Valley v. Town of Oyster
    Bay,128 for the well settled proposition that negotiating the
    terms of an employment arrangement–either orally or in
    writing–is speech subject to the protections of the First
    Amendment.
    This argument relies upon a misreading of the Ordinance. The
    Reliance Provision is triggered not during negotiation but by
    the employer’s reliance on the employee’s wage history “at any
    stage in the employment drafting process.”129 The Chamber
    focuses on the phrase, “including the negotiating or drafting of
    the employment contract,” but that is merely one of the many
    “stage[s] of the employment process” during which the
    provision applies. It is not, as the Chamber argues, the conduct
    that makes the provision applicable.
    Moreover, even if the Chamber is correct that the Reliance
    Provision is “triggered” by negotiation, “it has never been
    deemed an abridgment of freedom of speech or press to make
    a course of conduct illegal merely because the conduct was in
    part initiated, evidenced, or carried out by means of language,
    126
    Chamber Br. at 29 (“[T]he conduct triggering coverage
    under the statute consists of communicating a message.”).
    127
    
    709 F.3d 808
    , 819 (9th Cir. 2013).
    128
    
    868 F.3d 104
    (2d Cir. 2017).
    129
    Phila Code § 9-1131. “To rely on the wage history of a
    prospective employee from any current or former employer of
    the individual in determining the wages for such individual at
    any stage in the employment process, including the
    negotiation or drafting of any employment contract, unless
    such applicant knowingly and willingly disclosed his or her
    wage history to the employer, employment agency, employee
    or agent thereof.” 
    Id. 30 either
    spoken, written, or printed.”130 As explained by the
    Supreme Court in National Institute of Family & Life
    Advocates v. Becerra,131 regulations that have an incidental
    impact on speech are not unconstitutional violations of the
    freedom of speech. The district court recognized that, to the
    extent that the Reliance Provision has an arguable effect on
    speech, it is incidental to the targeted reliance and does not
    place the provision under First Amendment scrutiny.
    Moreover, Valle Del Sol and Centro de la Comunidad Hispana
    de Locust Valley both dealt with ordinances that regulated day
    laborers’ abilities to advertise their availability for work.132
    Advertising is prototypical speech that depends on spoken or
    written communication. Here, by contrast, the only activity
    being regulated by the Reliance Provision is the act of relying
    on wage history to set a salary. Under the Ordinance, the
    speech component of the negotiation process, i.e., the
    communication of a wage offer and any resulting discussion,
    is left intact. Other courts have reached similar results in
    analogous contexts.133
    Accordingly, as the Chamber has not shown a likelihood of
    success on the merits of its constitutional challenge to this part
    of the Ordinance; the district court correctly refused to enjoin
    enforcement of the Reliance Provision.
    130
    Expressions Hair Design v. Schneiderman, 
    137 S. Ct. 1144
    , 1151 (2017) (quoting Rumsfeld v. Forum for Acad. &
    Inst’l Rights, Inc., 
    547 U.S. 47
    , 62 (2006)). During oral
    argument, the City Solicitor for the City of Philadelphia
    offered a very good analogy: An anti-discrimination
    Ordinance that prohibits hiring discrimination based on race
    does not implicate speech even though it may cause an
    establishment to remove a “Colored Applicants Only” sign.
    131
    
    138 S. Ct. 2361
    (2018).
    
    132 709 F.3d at 832
    ; 868 F.3d at 113.
    133
    See, e.g., International Franchise Association, Inc. v. City
    of Seattle, 
    803 F.3d 389
    , 408 (9th Cir. 2015) (explaining that
    the minimum wage law at issue there was an “economic
    regulation that does not target speech or expressive conduct”).
    31
    B. The Inquiry Provision
    As discussed above, the Inquiry Provision of the Ordinance
    prohibits “ask[ing] a job applicant in writing or otherwise . . .
    about [the applicant’s] wage history, requir[ing] disclosure of
    wage history, or condition[ing] employment or consideration
    for an interview or employment on disclosure of wage
    history[.]”134 Unlike the Reliance Provision, the Inquiry
    Provision clearly regulates speech because it prevents
    employers from asking potential applicants specific questions.
    The district court was therefore correct in concluding that it
    was first necessary to determine the appropriate level of
    scrutiny to apply to that provision.
    1. The Legal Standard
    The City argues that the speech at issue is commercial speech
    and therefore intermediate scrutiny under the test outlined in
    Central Hudson is appropriate. The Chamber argues that even
    if the speech at issue is commercial speech, we should apply
    strict scrutiny because the Inquiry Provision restricts
    expression based on content and speaker. We agree with the
    district court that the Inquiry Provision regulates commercial
    speech and that intermediate scrutiny under Central Hudson is
    the appropriate level of review.
    a. Commercial Speech
    The Supreme Court has described commercial speech as
    “expression related solely to the economic interests of the
    speaker and its audience.”135 A “proposal of possible
    employment . . . [is a] classic example[] of commercial
    speech.”136 Additionally, courts have recognized commercial
    134
    Phila. Code. § 9-1131.
    135
    Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 561
    .
    136
    Pittsburgh Press Co. v. Pittsburgh Comm’n on Human
    Relations, 
    413 U.S. 376
    , 385 (1973) (“Each is no more than a
    proposal of possible employment. The advertisements are
    thus classic examples of commercial speech.”); see also
    Bigelow v. Virginia, 
    421 U.S. 809
    , 821 (1975) (finding the
    speech at issue “classic examples of commercial speech, for
    32
    speech in a range of employment-related contexts, including
    communications that advertise labor availability and terms of
    employment,137 as well as agreements “under which services
    will be exchanged for compensation.”138
    We have recognized three factors that aid the inquiry into
    whether speech is commercial: “(1) is the speech an
    advertisement; (2) does the speech refer to a specific product
    or service; and (3) does the speaker have an economic
    motivation for the speech[?] . . . An affirmative answer to all
    three questions provides ‘strong support’ for the conclusion
    that the speech is commercial.”139 However, all three
    characteristics need not be present for a given expression to
    qualify as commercial speech.140
    Expression pertaining to a possible offer of employment
    involves (1) an advertisement by the prospective employee to
    the employer; (2) the focus of the employee’s services for hire;
    and (3) by definition, an economic motive. The district court
    appreciated that the Inquiry Provision pertains only to
    communications between an employer and prospective
    employee and implicates no interests beyond the contract of
    employment. Because the speech occurs in the context of
    employment negotiations, the economic motive is clear. The
    regulated speech is part of a “proposal of possible
    employment.” Thus, the district court correctly concluded:
    [T]he Inquiry Provision prohibits Philadelphia-
    based employers from asking potential hires
    about their previous wage history. This inquiry
    occurs in the context of a job application or job
    interview, both of which propose a commercial
    each was no more than a proposal of possible employment”)
    (internal quotations omitted).
    137
    Valle Del Sol 
    Inc, 709 F.3d at 818
    –19.
    138
    Nomi v. Regents for Univ. of Minn., 
    796 F. Supp. 412
    , 417
    (D. Minn. 1992) vacated on other grounds, 
    5 F.3d 332
    (8th
    Cir. 1993).
    139
    U.S. Healthcare, Inc. v. Blue Cross of Greater Phila., 
    898 F.2d 914
    , 933 (3d Cir. 1990) (citing Bolger v. Youngs Drug
    Prods. Corp., 
    463 U.S. 60
    , 66–67 (1983)).
    140
    
    Id. 33 transaction
    . . . [where] “all affected speech is
    either speech soliciting a commercial transaction
    or speech necessary to the consummation of a
    commercial transaction.”141
    b. Intermediate Scrutiny         under    Central
    Hudson Is Appropriate
    “The Central Hudson analysis is commonly referred to
    as ‘intermediate scrutiny.’”142 Because commercial speech is
    “linked inextricably with the commercial arrangement it
    proposes, . . . the State’s interest in regulating the underlying
    transaction may give it a concomitant interest in the expression
    itself.”143 “The Constitution therefore accords a lesser
    protection to commercial speech than to other constitutionally
    guaranteed expression.”144
    In Central Hudson, the Public Service Commission of New
    York City had attempted to address a fuel shortage in New
    York by promulgating an ordinance banning electricity-supply
    utilities from placing advertisements that promoted the use of
    electricity.145 A utility company challenged the ordinance
    arguing that it infringed on the company’s free speech rights
    because the ordinance banned speech based on the specific
    content of the speech and the identity of the speaker. In
    resolving the First Amendment issue, the Supreme Court
    “articulated a test for determining whether a particular
    commercial       speech    regulation     is     constitutionally
    146
    permissible[.]”     Courts must determine whether: (1) the
    speech concerns lawful activity and is not misleading; (2) the
    asserted governmental interest is substantial; (3) the regulation
    141
    Chamber of Commerce, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 783 (citing
    Valle Del 
    Sol, 709 F.3d at 818
    ).
    142
    Retail Digital Network, LLC v. Prieto, 
    861 F.3d 839
    , 844
    (9th Cir. 2017) (citing Florida 
    Bar, 515 U.S. at 623
    ).
    143
    Chamber of Commerce, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 784 (citing
    Edenfield v. Fane, 
    507 U.S. 761
    , 767 (1993)).
    144
    Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 552
    –53.
    145
    
    Id. at 559.
    146
    Thompson v. W. States Med. Ctr., 
    535 U.S. 357
    , 367
    (2002).
    34
    directly advances the governmental interest asserted; and
    (4) “whether it is not more extensive than is necessary to serve
    that interest.”147 As elaborated on below, under this test, the
    “fit” between the proposed restriction and the government’s
    interest need not be the least restrictive means. It need only be
    a “reasonable fit between the legislature’s ends and the means
    chosen to accomplish those ends.”148
    c. Strict Scrutiny Is Inappropriate Here
    The Chamber argues that because the Ordinance only applies
    to employers and is focused squarely on content (wage
    history), strict scrutiny should have been applied.149 But as we
    described above, the Supreme Court has consistently applied
    intermediate scrutiny to commercial speech restrictions, even
    those that were content- and speaker-based, particularly when
    the challenged speech involves an offer of employment.150
    We realize, of course, that it may be appropriate to apply strict
    scrutiny to a restriction on commercial speech that is
    viewpoint-based.151 If the regulation has the practical effect of
    147
    Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 566
    .
    148
    Lorillard Tobacco Co. v. Reilly, 
    533 U.S. 525
    , 528 (2001).
    149
    Chamber Br. at 24. The Ordinance’s speech restrictions,
    the Chamber argues, are content-based due to their
    “appli[cation] to particular speech because of the topic
    discussed—namely, wage history.” 
    Id. 150 See,
    e.g., Greater New Orleans Broad. Ass’n, Inc. v.
    United States, 
    527 U.S. 173
    , 176, 183–84 (1999) (applying
    intermediate scrutiny to prohibition on broadcast advertising
    of legal casino gambling); Rubin v. Coors Brewing Co., 
    514 U.S. 476
    , 478, 482, 488 (1995) (applying intermediate
    scrutiny to law prohibiting display of alcohol content on beer
    labels); Florida 
    Bar, 515 U.S. at 620
    , 635 (1995) (applying
    intermediate scrutiny to prohibition on attorneys sending
    written solicitations to prospective clients relating to an
    accident or disaster).
    151
    See Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. v. F.C.C. (“Turner
    I”), 
    512 U.S. 622
    , 658 (“Congress may not abridge the rights
    of some persons to engage in political expression in order to
    35
    promoting some messages or some speakers based on the
    content of the speech or the identity of the speaker, something
    more than intermediate scrutiny may be necessary to survive a
    First Amendment inquiry. “[S]peaker-based laws demand
    strict scrutiny when they reflect the Government’s preference
    for the substance of what the favored speakers have to say (or
    aversion to what the disfavored speakers have to say).”152
    The Supreme Court addressed this in R.A.V. v. City of St. Paul,
    Minnesota.153 It explained that the rule that content-based
    speech restrictions are subject to strict scrutiny is “not
    absolute” and is inapplicable when the restriction does not
    “‘raise[] the specter that the Government may effectively drive
    certain ideas or viewpoints from the marketplace.’”154
    Here, the Inquiry Provision precludes all employers from
    inquiring into wage history, without focusing on any particular
    viewpoint or favoring any particular employer or job. It also
    applies to all employees without regard to the employee’s prior
    salary or job title. It does limit the prospective employer’s
    speech, but only because that limitation prevents the tentacles
    of any past wage discrimination from attaching to an
    employee’s subsequent salary. This simply does not implicate
    the kind of viewpoint or speaker discrimination that the
    Chamber relies on in its attempt to distinguish Central Hudson
    and have us apply strict scrutiny.
    The Chamber points to Sorrell v. IMS Health, Inc,155 in support
    but Sorrell is unhelpful because the restriction there was
    viewpoint-based and “heightened scrutiny” was therefore
    necessary. In Sorrell, Vermont had passed a law restricting the
    sale, disclosure, and use of pharmacy records that revealed the
    prescribing practices of individual doctors.156 However, the
    enhance the relative voice of other segments of our society.”)
    (internal quotations omitted).
    152
    
    Id. 153 505
    U.S. 377 (1992).
    154
    
    Id. at 387–88
    (quoting Simon & Schuster, Inc. v. Members
    of N.Y. State Crime Victims Bd., 
    502 U.S. 105
    , 115 (1991)).
    155
    
    564 U.S. 552
    (2011).
    156
    
    Id. at 557.
    36
    law contained exceptions that, for example, allowed entities
    engaging in “educational communications” to purchase the
    information, but barred disclosure when the recipients would
    use the information for marketing.157 Additionally, “Vermont
    could supply academic organizations with prescriber-
    identifying information to use in countering the messages of
    brand-name pharmaceutical manufacturers and in promoting
    the prescription of generic drugs,” but the law prevented
    pharmaceutical manufacturers from using the information for
    their own marketing purposes.158 Thus, the statute
    “disfavor[ed] marketing, i.e., speech with a particular content,
    as well as particular speakers, i.e., entities engaged in
    marketing on behalf of pharmaceutical manufacturers.”159
    Strict scrutiny was therefore required.
    Moreover, even though the statute there was neither viewpoint
    neutral nor speaker neutral, it is not even clear that the Court
    applied strict scrutiny there. As the district court astutely
    recognized here, Sorrell merely stands for the proposition that
    some level of scrutiny above rational basis review applied. The
    district court explained: “Sorrell references a ‘heightened
    scrutiny,’ but it is just as likely that this is the same as
    intermediate scrutiny, which is stricter than rational basis
    scrutiny.”160 Moreover, after Sorrell, courts have continued to
    apply Central Hudson intermediate scrutiny to commercial
    speech restrictions and rejected the notion that Sorrell requires
    strict scrutiny in these cases just as the district court
    explained.161 That said, we need not resolve that issue here
    157
    
    Id. at 564.
    158
    
    Id. 159 Id.
    at 552.
    160
    Chamber of Commerce, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 784; see also
    
    Prieto, 861 F.3d at 847
    (“There is nothing novel in Sorrell’s
    use of the term ‘heightened scrutiny’ to distinguish from
    rational basis review.”).
    161
    See, e.g., 
    Prieto, 861 F.3d at 848
    –49 (rejecting notion that
    Sorrell’s reference to ‘heightened” scrutiny was intended to
    apply a standard to commercial speech cases that is greater
    than intermediate scrutiny); 1-800-411-Pain Referral Serv.,
    LLC v. Otto, 
    744 F.3d 1045
    , 1055 (8th Cir. 2014) (“The
    upshot is that when a court determines commercial speech
    37
    because it is clear that the restrictions in the Ordinance are
    viewpoint neutral and do not merit strict scrutiny. Accordingly,
    we agree with the district court’s decision to subject the
    Ordinance only to intermediate scrutiny under Central
    Hudson.
    2. The Inquiry Provision Satisfies Central
    Hudson Intermediate Scrutiny
    Under Central Hudson, speech “at least must concern lawful
    activity and not be misleading[]” to qualify for protection.162 If
    the speech concerns illegal activity or is misleading, then it is
    not subject to First Amendment protection at all and our
    inquiry ends.163 If the subject is not unlawful and the message
    not misleading, we must then determine whether the
    government has a substantial interest in the restriction. If it
    does, the challenged restriction must directly advance that
    interest.164 If it does directly advance the interest, the final
    prong of the Central Hudson inquiry requires us to decide if
    the restriction is nevertheless more extensive than necessary to
    serve the government’s substantial interest.165 The last two
    elements of the analysis are related because they “basically
    involve a consideration of the ‘fit’ between the legislature’s
    ends and the means chosen to accomplish those ends.”166
    Determining whether the restriction is more extensive than
    restrictions are content- or speaker-based, it should then
    assess their constitutionality under Central Hudson.”).
    162
    Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 566
    .
    163
    
    Id. 164 Id.
    165
    
    Id. 166 Posadas
    e Puerto Rico Assoc. v. Tourism Co. of Puerto
    Rico, 
    478 U.S. 328
    , 341 (1986).
    38
    necessary, is not to be confused with the “least restrictive
    alternative” inquiry required to survive strict scrutiny.167
    a. The Speech at Issue Is Not “Related to
    Illegal Activity”
    The City has argued that inquiring about wage history is
    “related to illegal activity” because the Inquiry Provision
    prohibits acquiring information that cannot be legally used
    because of the restrictions in the Reliance Provision. In
    rejecting that argument, the district court explained that not all
    uses of wage history are illegal: “For example, acquisition of
    wage history is allowed in other contexts such as for gathering
    market information;” and, “the existence of a wage history is
    not in and of itself illegal.”168 The district court correctly
    concluded: “[s]imply because wage history could be relied
    upon in fashioning a salary in violation of the Reliance
    Provision does not render all other legal activity related to
    wage history illegal.”169 Accordingly, the Court held that the
    167
    See Lorillard 
    Tobacco, 533 U.S. at 556
    (“[I]t [is] clear that
    ‘the least restrictive means’ is not the standard; instead, the
    case law requires a reasonable ‘fit between the legislature’s
    ends and the means chosen to accomplish those ends, . . . a
    means narrowly tailored to achieve the desired objective’”).
    Under strict scrutiny the government faces a more difficult
    burden, it “must show that the ‘regulation is necessary to
    serve a compelling state interest,’” Burson v. Freeman, 
    504 U.S. 191
    , 198 (1992), and the regulation must be the least
    restrictive means of achieving the interest. McCullen v.
    Coakley, 
    573 U.S. 464
    , 478 (2014).
    168
    Chamber, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 786.
    169
    
    Id. (emphasis added);
    see also Dunagin v. City of Oxford,
    
    718 F.2d 738
    , 743 (5th Cir. 1983) (en banc) (“The
    commercial speech doctrine would disappear if its protection
    ceased whenever the advertised product might be used
    illegally.”).
    39
    language the provision targets does not “concern unlawful
    activity.”170 We agree.
    The City relies in part upon Pittsburgh Press v. Human
    Relations Commission,171 in arguing that speech can be
    “related to unlawful activity” if only some of its uses are
    prohibited. In Pittsburgh Press, one of the provisions in a
    Pittsburgh Ordinance prohibited discrimination in employment
    and another prohibited “any notice or advertisement relating to
    ‘employment’ or membership which indicates any
    discrimination because of . . . sex.”172 The Pittsburgh
    Commission on Human Relations was in charge of
    implementing the Ordinance. The Commission concluded that
    Pittsburgh Press had violated the Ordinance through its
    practice of placing “help-wanted” advertisements in sex-
    specific columns (i.e., “Male Help Wanted,” “Female Help
    Wanted”). The final Commission Order, however, did not
    prohibit all sex-specific advertisements; it exempted certain
    jobs such as: “employment in domestic service,” and “jobs for
    which the Commission ha[d] certified a bona fide occupational
    exception,” and allowed exempted entities to advertise in a
    sex-specific manner.173 Pittsburgh Press sued, arguing that the
    Commission’s Order violated the First Amendment by
    restricting its editorial choices.
    The Supreme Court agreed, concluding that “[t]he
    advertisements, as embroidered by their placement,
    signaled that the advertisers were likely to show an illegal sex
    preference in their hiring decisions.”174 Accordingly, the Court
    170
    Chamber, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 787. Under the district
    court’s reasoning, on the other hand, a law that prohibited the
    advertising of the sale of cocaine, for example, would present
    a speech restriction that always and only related to illegal
    activity because there are no other legal uses/purposes behind
    the sale of cocaine.
    171
    
    413 U.S. 376
    (1973).
    172
    
    Id. at 378.
    The Ordinance also prohibited “aid[ing] . . . in
    the doing of any act declared to be an unlawful employment
    practice under the Ordinance.”
    173
    
    Id. at 380.
    174
    
    Id. at 389.
    40
    found that “any First Amendment interest [that] might be
    served by [the advertisements] . . . [wa]s altogether absent
    when the commercial activity itself [wa]s illegal.”175
    The City argues Pittsburgh Press is analogous because even
    though there were legal uses for sex-specific advertisements—
    i.e., the specific exemptions recognized by the Commission—
    the Court still concluded that sex-specific advertising was
    related to illegal activity and was therefore not protected by the
    First Amendment. Similarly, here, the City would have us
    decide that even though every inquiry into a prospective
    applicant’s wage history would not necessarily lead to a
    violation of law, reliance on that history would be illegal. Thus,
    the City urges us to hold that the Ordinance “concerns unlawful
    activity.”
    We, however, agree with the district court’s conclusion that
    commercial speech should not lose the protection of the First
    Amendment simply because a legislature has prohibited one of
    many uses of the regulated speech.176 As the district court
    reasoned, and as the Chamber argues, if the City’s position is
    upheld, a city could perform an easy end-run around First
    Amendment scrutiny by passing a speech restriction in
    conjunction with a law that made one use of the regulated
    speech illegal. The result would be that the prohibited speech
    would always “relate to unlawful activity” and therefore fail
    the first prong of the Central Hudson analysis.
    b. The City has a Substantial Interest in
    Closing the Wage Gap
    The Chamber does not dispute the district court’s conclusion
    that remedying wage discrimination and promoting wage
    equity is a substantial government interest, and we agree.
    Accordingly, we need not discuss the second prong of the
    Central Hudson inquiry.
    175
    
    Id. 176 Chamber
    of Commerce, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 787.
    41
    c. The Inquiry Provision Directly Advances
    the City’s Interest in Pay Equity
    The third prong of Central Hudson requires us to determine
    whether the Inquiry Provision directly “advances the
    Government’s interest in a direct and material way.”177 To
    survive that inquiry, the City must show that the “the harms it
    recites are real and that its restriction will in fact alleviate each
    of them to a material degree.”178 “[S]peculation or conjecture”
    cannot satisfy this burden.179 A court’s inquiry under this prong
    “is not a license to reweigh the evidence de novo, or to replace
    [legislators’] factual predictions with our own.”180 Rather, a
    court’s task is merely to determine whether the legislature has
    “drawn reasonable inferences based on substantial
    evidence.”181 This is the heart of the current dispute. The
    district court did not believe that the City produced sufficient
    evidence to establish that the Inquiry Provision would advance
    its substantial interest in mitigating the racial and gender-based
    pay gap. The court’s skepticism is summed up in the following
    passage from its opinion:
    While the conclusion that a discriminatory wage
    gap could be affected by prohibiting wage
    history inquiries was characterized by respected
    professionals as a logical, common sense
    outcome, more is needed. Like the Rubin case,
    the testimony in support of this theory is riddled
    with conclusory statements, amounting to
    “various tidbits” and “educated guesses.”
    Importantly, aside from Dr. Madden’s affidavit,
    the information relied upon by the City does not
    address the possibility that disparate wages
    could also be based on factors having nothing to
    177
    Florida 
    Bar, 515 U.S. at 625
    (internal citations omitted).
    178
    Id.at 626.
    179
    
    Id. 180 Turner
    I, 512 U.S. at 666
    .
    181
    Turner 
    II, 520 U.S. at 195
    (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted).
    42
    do with discrimination, such as qualifications,
    experience, or any number of other factors.182
    We disagree.
    It is clear to us that Dr. Madden’s affidavit would, by itself,
    satisfy the inquiry. However, that is not the point. Dr.
    Madden’s affidavit simply corroborated the testimony given to
    the City Council prior to it enacting the Ordinance with
    additional empirical evidence. The issue is the apparent failure
    by the district court to afford the testimony and studies
    presented to the City Council sufficient probative value given
    its equation of it with conclusory statements and educated
    guesses.
    The Supreme Court has “permitted litigants to justify speech
    restrictions by reference to studies and anecdotes pertaining to
    different locales altogether, or even, in a case applying strict
    scrutiny, to justify restrictions based solely on history,
    consensus, and ‘simple common sense.’”183 And it has often
    done so on records far less compelling than the record
    supporting the Inquiry Provision of this Ordinance. The Court
    has explained that “the quantum of empirical evidence
    [required]. . . var[ies] up or down with the novelty and
    plausibility of the justification raised.”184 And, especially
    relevant here, it has recognized that “[a] municipality
    considering an innovative solution may not have data that
    could demonstrate the efficacy of its proposal because the
    182
    Chamber of Commerce, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 797–98
    (emphasis added) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    183
    Florida 
    Bar, 515 U.S. at 628
    (citing Burson v. Freeman,
    
    504 U.S. 191
    , 211 (1992)) (Blackmun, J., plurality opinion))
    (emphases added). See also City Br. at 43–44 (citing Heffner
    v. Murphy, 
    745 F.3d 56
    , 92 (3d Cir. 2014), WV Ass’n of Club
    Owners & Fraternal Servs., Inc. v. Musgrave, 
    553 F.3d 292
    ,
    303–04 (4th Cir. 2009), Coyote Pub., Inc. v. Miller, 
    598 F.3d 592
    , 608 (9th Cir. 2010) to show recent decisions reflecting
    the Supreme Court’s flexible approach to speech restrictions
    under intermediate scrutiny).
    184
    Nixon v. Shrink Mo. Gov’t PAC, 
    528 U.S. 377
    , 391 (2000).
    43
    solution would, by definition, not have been implemented
    previously.”185
    This record contains a plethora of evidence that (1) the wage
    gap is substantial and real (indeed, the parties concede this
    point); (2) numerous experiments have been conducted, which
    controlled for such variables as education, work experience,
    academic achievement, etc. and still found a wage gap; (3)
    researchers over many years have attributed the gap, in
    substantial part, to discrimination; (4) existing civil rights laws
    have been inadequate to close the wage gap; and, critically, (5)
    witnesses who reviewed the data concluded that relying on
    wage history can perpetuate gender and race discrimination.
    Based on that substantial evidence, the City Council made a
    reasonable judgment that a wage history ban would further the
    City’s goal of closing the gap and ameliorating the
    discrimination inherent in the disparate wages.
    The district court believed that the evidence before the City
    didn’t account for variables other than gender and race.
    However, Barbara Price presented the Council with evidence
    to the contrary, and the studies of Blau and Khan summarized
    in the Madden affidavit isolated out the variables of gender and
    race, thereby ensuring they did not affect the results.186 This
    evidence showed that even after accounting for such variables
    as choice of occupation, hours worked, economic sector,
    experience, GPA, undergraduate institution, and marital status,
    there is a significant gap between the earnings of men and
    women beginning one year after graduation and widening in
    the years thereafter.187
    The City merely “dr[ew] reasonable inferences based on
    substantial evidence[]’”188 that the Inquiry Provision would
    address the wage gap, and the district court erred when it
    “reweigh[ed] the evidence” and “replace[d] [the City’s] factual
    predictions with [its] own.”189
    185
    City of Los Angeles v. Alameda Books, Inc., 
    535 U.S. 425
    ,
    439–40 (2002).
    186
    Blau and Khan at 32; see also fn. 60, 
    75, supra
    .
    187
    See JA275.
    188
    Turner 
    II, 520 U.S. at 181
    (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted).
    189
    Turner 
    I, 512 U.S. at 666
    .
    44
    i. Caselaw Considering Whether a
    Legislature      Relied      on
    Substantial Evidence to Support
    a Speech Restriction Under
    Central Hudson Demonstrates
    that    the   City    Presented
    Sufficient Evidence to Support
    the Ordinance.
    Our review of caselaw examining whether a legislature had
    sufficient evidence to support a challenged legislative
    enactment demonstrates that the Inquiry Provision is
    constitutional. In Burson v. Freeman,190 Central Hudson itself,
    and Tennessee Secondary School Athletic Association v.
    Brentwood Academy,191 the Supreme Court upheld laws
    restricting commercial speech even though they were
    supported by much less evidence than the City produced to
    demonstrate the need for the Inquiry Provision.
    In Burson, the Court considered whether a 100-foot bubble
    zone that prohibited political speech outside of polling places
    was constitutional.192 The Tennessee statute at issue implicated
    three fundamental First Amendment concerns because it
    regulated political speech, speech in a public forum, and the
    content of speech.193 The Court subjected the ordinance to
    strict scrutiny but still upheld it.194 We realize that the Court
    in Burson relied upon a “modified ‘burden of proof’” because
    the First Amendment right at issue there “threaten[ed] to
    interfere with the act of voting itself.”195 Nevertheless, the
    analysis in Burson provides helpful guidance in determining
    whether the City’s evidence was sufficient to survive the third
    prong of the Central Hudson inquiry.
    190
    
    504 U.S. 191
    (1992).
    191
    
    551 U.S. 291
    (2007).
    192
    
    Burson, 504 U.S. at 211
    .
    193
    
    Id. at 196.
    194
    
    Id. at 197,
    211.
    195
    
    Id. at 208
    n.11.
    45
    The Burson court explained that it “never has held a State to
    the burden of demonstrating empirically the objective effects”
    of a speech regulation.196 Accordingly, the Court relied on
    history, common sense, and one witness, noting that it would
    be “difficult for the states to put on witnesses who [could]
    testify as to . . . the exact effect” of the proposed law.197 In fact,
    rather than demand strict empirical evidence that the
    challenged restriction on speech advanced the underlying
    governmental interest, the Court’s analysis rested on the
    presumed logic of a 100-foot barrier around a polling place for
    the purpose of allowing voters fifteen seconds of uninterrupted
    contemplation before casting their ballots.198 There was no
    empirical evidence that voters needed fifteen seconds of
    uninterrupted contemplation to cast an informed ballot, nor
    was there any evidence that voters would use the fifteen
    seconds it took to traverse the 100-foot buffer zone for
    contemplation, as opposed to conversation, daydreaming, or
    reading a newspaper.
    The Supreme Court’s decision in Tennessee Secondary, is also
    informative. There, the Court accepted commonsense
    conclusions in the absence of empirical data in considering
    whether the enforcement of a rule governing interscholastic
    sports violated the First Amendment.199 The rule under review
    prohibited high school coaches from using “undue influence”
    when recruiting middle school students for athletic
    programs.200 Much like the record here, the evidence before the
    Court consisted of testimonial and documentary evidence,
    including letters sent by a school football coach to a group of
    unenrolled eighth-grade boys inviting them to participate in
    spring practice sessions.201 In upholding the sanction imposed
    on the coach’s speech, the Court noted that it “need[ed] no
    empirical data to credit [the agency’s] commonsense
    conclusion” that the speech at issue—an inquiry by a would-
    196
    
    Id. at 208
    (quoting Munro v. Socialist Workers Party, 
    479 U.S. 189
    , 195 (1986)) (internal quotations omitted).
    197
    
    Id. at 208
    -211.
    198
    
    Id. 199 551
    U.S. at 294.
    200
    
    Id. 201 Id.
    at 294-95.
    46
    be authority figure of a prospective team member—could exert
    the type of undue influence prohibited by the rule.202
    Finally, in Central Hudson, the Court held that a prohibition
    on advertising by utilities was supported by substantial
    evidence.203 Rather than require strict empirical proof, the
    Court relied on the commonsense conclusion that “[t]here is an
    immediate connection between advertising and demand for
    electricity.”204
    As we have summarized, the City did offer substantial
    evidence in the form of testimony and metanalysis of relevant
    research to support the need for the Inquiry Provision.
    Reasonable minds can debate whether the City’s evidence
    placed the need for, and potential effectiveness of, the Inquiry
    Provision beyond doubt. However, given the discussion in
    Burson, Tennessee Secondary, and Central Hudson, certainty
    of proof or empirical data is not required here. Rather,
    substantial evidence of the possibility that the speech
    restriction could favorably impact a concern that the state actor
    had a fundamental interest in addressing is sufficient. The City
    easily satisfied that standard. In concluding otherwise, the
    district court imposed too high a burden on the City.
    As noted earlier, all parties agree that there is a longstanding
    disparity in the pay of women and minorities compared to
    wages of White males. The district court readily accepted the
    existence of this pay gap.205 Moreover, the Chambers’ CEO
    202
    
    Id. at 300.
    203
    447 U.S. at 568
    .
    204
    
    Id., 447 U.S.
    at 569. Although the Court eventually found,
    under the fourth prong, that the law at issue was overbroad
    because it “suppresse[d] speech that in no way impairs the
    State’s interest in energy conservation,” 
    id. at 570,
    under the
    third prong, the Court simply recognized the “immediate
    connection” that limiting advertising would have on demand
    for electricity. 
    Id. at 569.
    205
    Chamber of Commerce, 
    319 F. Supp. 3d
    at 792
    (“[P]ractically all of the . . . testimony amplifies a point that
    really is not in dispute – that there is a gender pay disparity.”)
    Although this excerpt from the district court opinion refers
    47
    stated that Chamber members relied on wage history “to have
    a better understanding of whether a candidate is worth pursuing
    based on previous compensation levels.”206 Nevertheless, the
    district court relied primarily on four cases in concluding that
    the City failed to meet its burden:207 Edenfield v. Fane,208
    Rubin v. Coors Brewing Co.,209 Pitt News v. Pappert 210 and
    Wollschlaeger. However, the City’s proof here is much more
    robust than the records before those courts.
    In Edenfield and Rubin the restrictions on commercial speech
    were facially based on unsubstantiated fears supported by
    conclusory statements. In Edenfield, a Certified Public
    Accountant challenged a rule created by the Florida Board of
    Accountancy that prohibited CPAs from soliciting clients in-
    person.211 The Florida Board believed that in-person
    solicitation would lead to unethical conduct by CPAs.212 In
    striking down the restriction on commercial speech, the Court
    reasoned that the only evidence presented in support of the
    Florida Board’s position came from an affidavit by one of its
    former chairmen.213 He stated the solicitation ban was
    specifically only to the gender disparity, it is clear that the
    court also accepted the existence of a racial disparity. The
    court’s concern was not with the existence of these
    disparities, but with whether the City had established a
    sufficient “fit” between the Inquiry Provision and these
    disparities to support its conclusions that the Inquiry
    Provision was necessary to address the disparities.
    206
    JA124.
    207
    Chamber of 
    Commerce, 319 F. Supp. at 794
    (“Edenfield,
    Rubin, Pitt News, and Wollschlaeger instruct that some
    evidence is required for the legislature to conclude that the
    law at issue will directly advance the government’s
    substantial interest. Theories and unsupported opinions will
    not suffice to demonstrate that the asserted harms are real.”).
    208
    
    507 U.S. 761
    (1993).
    209
    
    514 U.S. 476
    (1995).
    210
    
    379 F.3d 96
    (3d Cir. 2004).
    210
    
    Id. at 107–08.
    211
    
    Edenfield, 507 U.S. at 764
    .
    212
    
    Id. 213 Id.
    at 764, 771-72.
    48
    necessary to “prevent overreaching and vexatious conduct by
    the CPA.”214 His conclusion in his affidavit depended on the
    unsubstantiated theory that a CPA who solicits clients would
    be beholden to the client and thus willing to bend the rules.215
    Consequently, the Court refused to credit his affidavit.216
    In Rubin, the Federal Alcohol Administration Act prohibited
    beer labels from displaying alcohol content for fear of a
    “strength war” among brewers.217 The justification for the law
    was the purported “common-sense” conclusion that if the
    alcohol content were not advertised, customers would be less
    likely to buy the product based on the alcohol content.218 The
    Court found that the Act did not directly advance the stated
    purpose because the government’s regulatory scheme was
    “irrational.”219 Malt liquor, wine, and other alcohol sellers
    could and did label their bottles with the strength of the
    drink.220 The government, the Court noted, had relied on
    “anecdotal evidence and educated guesses” in contending that
    competition based on alcohol content was occurring and found
    that these “various tidbits” could not overcome the irrationality
    of the scheme.221 Thus, the very existence of a “strength war”
    was in doubt and no evidence was offered to establish that any
    such phenomena actually existed. Whereas, here, the wage gap
    that the Inquiry Provision seeks to address is a given, and the
    reasoned conclusions presented to the City Council were
    entitled to more credit than owed to the educated guesses
    before the Federal Alcohol Administration.
    The law we struck down in Pitt News, was similarly based
    solely upon “speculation and conjecture.” The law was
    premised on the assumption that prohibiting alcohol ads from
    appearing in university publications would “slacken the
    demand for alcohol by Pitt students” and help curb underage
    214
    
    Id. at 765.
    215
    
    Id. 216 Id.
    at 775-76.
    
    217 514 U.S. at 478
    –79.
    218
    
    Id. at 487
    219
    
    Id. at 488.
    220
    
    Id. at 486–89.
    221
    
    Id. at 490.
    49
    drinking.222 We found that the legislature’s conclusion was
    “counterintuitive and unsupported by any evidence.”223 There
    was no evidence, for example, that the removal of the ads
    would make it harder to find places near campus to buy
    alcohol. Furthermore, not only were students able to see
    alcohol ads in many other publications and on television, more
    that 75% of the university population was of the legal drinking
    age.224
    Finally, Wollschlaeger is similarly unpersuasive because of the
    tenuous reasoning supporting the restriction on commercial
    speech. There, the Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit
    struck down a law that had been enacted based solely on a few
    anecdotes.225 Certain Florida laws prevented doctors from
    asking patients “whether they own firearms or have firearms in
    their homes, or from recording answers to such questions.”226
    The legislature asserted that the law was necessary to protect
    gun-owning Floridians from the “private encumbrances” on
    their Second Amendment Rights that allegedly came from
    being subject to such questions by physicians.227 The
    legislature had relied on “six anecdotes and nothing more” to
    justify enacting the restrictions.228 In striking down the
    legislation, the court observed that while anecdotes can provide
    evidence, there was “no other evidence, empirical or
    otherwise” presented by the legislature, and the six anecdotes
    could not show that the harms were “real, [and] not merely
    conjectural,” such that the regulations “will in fact alleviate
    [the] harms in a direct and material way.”229 Thus the
    Wollschlaeger court required something more than anecdotal
    evidence and less than empirical evidence if the restriction was
    to survive the third prong of the Central Hudson inquiry.
    
    222 379 F.3d at 107
    .
    223
    
    Id. (emphasis added).
    224
    
    Id. at 108.
    225
    848 F.3d at 1319
    .
    226
    
    Id. at 1303.
    227
    
    Id. at 1312.
    228
    
    Id. (emphasis added).
    229
    
    Id. (quoting Turner
    II, 
    512 U.S. 622
    at 664).
    50
    The City’s proof of the nexus between its substantial interest
    in eliminating the real phenomenon of a racial and gender-
    based wage gap and the need for the limitations that are at the
    heart of the Inquiry Provision is in a different category than the
    cases we have just discussed. There is testimony here that the
    gender disparity in pay in Pennsylvania has existed for the past
    five decades despite the passage of laws over that period to
    remedy such discrimination.230 Terry Fromson explained how
    this wage gap is compounded through institutional
    discrimination and explained how other states have addressed
    this issue.231 Marianne Bellesorte researched the wage gap for
    women and men of color, and explained how the inequities
    began right out of college and continued to affect women, in
    particular, until retirement. Finally, Jovida Hill and Rue
    Landau provided empirical evidence that substantiated the
    distilled conclusions of Fromson and Bellesorte.232 This
    testimony is much more than “conclusory statements, . . . and
    ‘educated guesses[.]’”233 Moreover, Dr. Madden’s affidavit
    amplified this testimony by viewing it through the empirical
    lens of thousands of studies she summarized.234 There is
    therefore ample evidence to establish the fit between the
    Inquiry Provision and the societal evil it was intended to
    address.
    Our conclusion that the district court imposed too high a
    burden on the City’s proof is consistent with the en banc
    opinion of the Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit in Rizo v.
    Yovino.235 There, the en banc court held that an employer’s
    reliance on the plaintiff’s prior salaries to justify paying a
    female less than her male cohort’s salary was a violation of the
    230
    H’rg Tr. at 66.
    231
    
    Id. at 75.
    232
    
    Id. at 8-12.
    233
    Chamber of Commerce, 319 F. Supp. At 798.
    234
    JA297.
    235
    
    887 F.3d 453
    , 460–61 (9th Cir. 2018) (en banc) (holding
    that a female employee’s prior salary does not qualify as a
    “factor other than sex” under the federal Equal Pay Act that
    can justify paying her less than a male employee who
    performs substantially equal work), vacated on other grounds
    by Yovino v. Rizo, 
    139 S. Ct. 706
    (2019).
    51
    Equal Pay Act.236 The court’s explanation was straightforward.
    “The question before us is . . . simple: can an employer justify
    a wage differential between male and female employees by
    relying on prior salary? . . . [T]he answer is clear: No.”237
    There, the employer had argued that the plaintiff’s disparate
    salary was not barred by The Equal Pay Act because, in paying
    her a wage based on her prior salaries, the differential was
    based on a factor other than sex which is explicitly allowed
    under the Equal Pay Act.238 The court held that that
    consideration of salary history “allow[s] employers to
    capitalize on the persistence of the wage gap and perpetuate
    that gap ad infinitum.”239 Other courts have reached the same
    conclusion.240
    Notwithstanding our recitation of the impressive record that
    supports this Ordinance, we think it important to emphasize
    that neither scores of empirical studies nor proof to scientific
    certainty is necessary to carry the City’s burden here. Even
    though we find the City’s evidence here more than sufficient
    to carry its burden under the third prong of Central Hudson, it
    is important not to lose sight of the fact that where a legislature
    presents an “innovative solution,” the Supreme Court has
    recognized that it “may not have data that could [conclusively]
    demonstrate the efficacy of its proposal because the solution
    would, by definition, not have been implemented
    236
    
    Id. at 456
    (citing 29 U.S.C. § 206(d)(1)).
    237
    
    Id. 238 29
    U.S.C. § 206(d)(1)(iv) allows “a differential based on
    any factor other than sex.”
    239
    
    Rizo, 887 F.3d at 456
    –57 (emphasis added).
    240
    See, e.g., Irby v. Bittick, 
    44 F.3d 949
    , 955 (11th Cir. 1995)
    (“if prior salary alone were a justification, the exception
    would swallow up the rule and inequality in pay among
    genders would be perpetuated”); Riser v. QEP Energy, 
    776 F.3d 1191
    , 1199 (10th Cir. 2015) (Equal Pay Act “precludes
    an employer from relying solely upon a prior salary to justify
    pay disparity”) (citation omitted); but see, e.g., Wernsing v.
    Dep’t of Human Servs., 
    427 F.3d 466
    , 468-70 (7th Cir. 2005)
    (holding that prior salary alone can justify wage disparities).
    52
    previously.”241 Nevertheless, the City did produce such
    evidence here and clearly carried its burden. However, as we
    held in King v. Governor of the State of New Jersey,242 and as
    we recount in detail below, legislatures are not
    “constitutionally required to wait for conclusive scientific
    evidence before acting to protect [their] citizens from serious
    threats of harm.”243
    In Alameda Books, the City of Los Angeles enacted legislation
    that prohibited “more than one adult entertainment business”
    from inhabiting “the same building, structure or portion
    thereof.”244 The Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit
    invalidated this restriction on speech finding that “the city
    failed to present evidence upon which it could reasonably rely
    to demonstrate that its regulation of multiple-use
    establishments [wa]s “designed to serve” the city’s substantial
    interest in reducing crime.”245 The Supreme Court disagreed.
    The Court concluded that the City had presented sufficient
    evidence upon which to base the speech restriction. Justice
    O’Connor, joined by the Chief Justice, Justice Scalia and
    Justice Thomas, explained that the respondents “ask[ed] the
    city to demonstrate, not merely by appeal to common sense,
    but also with empirical data, that its ordinance will successfully
    lower crime.”246 But they concluded that “[o]ur cases have
    never required that municipalities make such a showing,
    certainly not without actual and convincing evidence from
    plaintiffs to the contrary.”247
    241
    City of Los Angeles v. Alameda Books, Inc., 
    535 U.S. 425
    ,
    439–40 (2002).
    242
    
    767 F.3d 216
    (3d Cir. 2014), abrogated on other grounds
    by Nat'l Inst. of Family & Life Advocates v. Becerra, 138 S.
    Ct. 2361 (2018).
    
    243 767 F.3d at 239
    .
    244
    Alameda 
    Books, 535 U.S. at 429
    .
    245
    
    Id. at 433.
    246
    
    Id. at 439.
    247
    
    Id. The court
    noted, “Respondents’ claim assumes that the
    . . . study proves that all adult businesses, whether or not they
    are located near other adult businesses, generate crime. This
    is a plausible reading of the results from the 1977 study, but
    53
    Here, as in Alameda Books, the Plaintiff has offered no proof
    to counter the City’s conclusion about the need for, or
    effectiveness of, the Inquiry Provision. In fact, as we have
    explained, some of the Plaintiff’s proof substantiates the City’s
    position. A lack of contrary evidence lightens the legislature’s
    burden.248
    The substantial legislative record here is simply not analogous
    to the “irrational,” “conclusory,” “speculative,” and purely
    anecdotal evidence presented in Edenfield, Rubin, Pitt News
    and Wollschlaeger. Nonetheless, the Chamber argues, that
    even though “conclusive scientific evidence of the Ordinance’s
    effect is not required, ‘substantial evidence’ means ‘some
    concrete evidence is required.’”249 In support, the Chamber
    cites to “a 106-page summary of [a] 2-year study,”250 relied
    upon in Florida Bar and the “empirical judgments” of “a
    number of well-known, reputable professional and scientific
    organizations,” from our decision in King.251
    respondents do not demonstrate that it is a compelled reading.
    Nor do they provide evidence that refutes the city’s
    interpretation of the study, under which the city’s prohibition
    should on balance reduce crime.” 
    Id. at 438.
    Accordingly, the
    Court concluded that the City had supported the law with
    sufficient evidence.
    248
    See Nixon v. Shrink Missouri Government PAC, 
    528 U.S. 377
    , 394 (2000) (“[t]here might, of course, be need for a more
    extensive evidentiary documentation if respondents had made
    any showing of their own to cast doubt on the apparent
    implications of [the government’s] evidence and the record
    here”).
    249
    Chamber Br. at 49.
    250
    
    Id. 251 767
    F.3d at 238.
    54
    ii. The Evidence Here is Stronger
    Than the Evidence Supporting
    the Restrictions in Florida Bar
    and King
    The Chamber makes much of Florida Bar, and the district
    court cited it as demonstrative of the type of “extensive” record
    necessary to sustain a speech infringement.252 There, the
    Florida Bar Association enacted rules banning direct-mail
    solicitation of clients in the 30 days following an accident or
    disaster. Members of the Florida bar sued, claiming that the
    law infringed their right of commercial speech. In rejecting that
    challenge, the Court relied upon the Bar Association’s citation
    to a 106-page study purporting to show the harm that the Bar
    was attempting to mitigate.253 However, a closer look at the
    study reveals that it contained information that was less
    relevant, less methodologically sound, and much less
    informative than the evidence supporting the Inquiry Provision
    here.
    The Majority of the Court described the study as “contain[ing]
    . . . statistical and anecdotal [data] . . . supporting the Bar’s
    contentions” that the direct-mail solicitations in the wake of
    accidents “reflects poorly on the profession.”254 The Court
    accepted that evidence as sufficiently probative even though
    much of the data in the surveys did not address the specific
    issues the restriction was supposed to address. The Court
    pointed to a subset of the findings from the study: it cited one
    survey of Florida adults that “indicated . . . Floridians ‘have
    negative feelings about those attorneys who use direct mail
    advertising.’”255 It also provided a handful of statistics about
    Floridians’ views of lawyer advertising.256 However, only one
    question referred to the reputation of the legal community–the
    252
    
    Chamber, 319 F. Supp. at 796
    , 800 (“Unlike in Florida
    Bar, there are no comprehensive studies demonstrating the
    alleged harm.”).
    253
    Florida 
    Bar, 515 U.S. at 627
    .
    254
    
    Id. at 626.
    255
    
    Id. at 626-27.
    256
    
    Id. 55 harm
    that the law was apparently aiming to remedy.257 It
    appeared from the responses to that question that direct mail
    solicitation in general, rather than solicitation in the 30 days
    following an accident, was what lowered the views of the legal
    profession (and did so in only one quarter of those
    surveyed).258 The primary evidence relied upon by the Court,
    did not squarely address the harm that the rule was enacted to
    remedy.
    Despite the fact that the study gave “few indications of the
    sample size or selection procedures employed” and even
    though “no copies of the actual surveys employed,” were
    presented to the Court, the Court held that the Bar adequately
    supported the law.259 In dissent, Justice Kennedy noted that the
    record: (1) contained no explanation of methodology, sampling
    or framework; (2) dealt primarily with television and phone
    book advertising, which were not at issue; and (3) only two
    pages of the more than 100 focused on direct-mail
    solicitation.260 He concluded by saying that the “few pages of
    self-serving and unsupported statements by the State” should
    have been clearly insufficient to “demonstrate that a regulation
    directly and materially advances the elimination of a real
    257
    
    Id. 258 The
    report did include “excerpts from complaints of
    direct-mail recipients,” 
    id. at 627,
    some of whom complained
    about solicitation in the wake of an injury or accident, but the
    Bar presented no evidence that a solicitation ban only in the
    first 30 days after an accident would do anything to mitigate
    these complaints. Additionally, the comments included
    favorable statements about direct mail solicitation as well. 
    Id. at 641.
    259
    
    Id. at 640
    (Kennedy, J. dissenting).
    260
    
    Id. at 640
    –41 (Kennedy, J. dissenting) (“[N]o actual
    surveys, few indications of sample size or selection
    procedures, no explanations of methodology, and no
    discussion of excluded results [were presented]. . . . [N]o
    description of the statistical universe or scientific framework
    that permits any productive use of the information [was
    presented].”).
    56
    harm.”261 Yet the Court upheld the statute on the basis of this
    evidence.262
    Even if we view the supporting evidence in Florida Bar in the
    most favorable light possible, we still conclude that the City
    has made a stronger evidentiary showing here. The studies
    presented by the City address the specific issue that the
    Ordinance was enacted to remedy—discriminatory wage gaps.
    And, unlike the study before the Court in Florida Bar, the
    studies the City relied upon are peer-reviewed research studies,
    many of which were meta-studies that summarized the findings
    of hundreds of other such studies.263 The studies support the
    City’s conclusion that the wage gap is not attributable to
    “legitimate” factors such as education, experience or
    qualifications.264 Moreover, researchers’ conclusions that
    discrimination is the likely cause of the gaps has been present
    in the academic literature for decades.265 The conclusion that
    the wage gap is most likely the result of discrimination is also
    consistent with voluminous unrebutted independent evidence
    of workplace discrimination.266
    261
    Id.
    262
    
    Id. at 641.
    263
    See, e.g., Stanley & Jarrell (meta-analysis of more than 50
    studies investigating the wage gaps).
    264
    See, e.g., 
    id. at 948
    (concluding there is a “wide consensus
    that gender wage discrimination exists” and the “vast
    empirical economic literature, containing hundreds of studies,
    reveals that women are ‘underpaid’ disproportionate to their
    observed skills”).
    265
    See, e.g., Blau & Kahn at 32 (finding from 1980 to 2010,
    “an unexplained gender wage gap in each year[’s data],” and
    explaining that the “finding of such an unexplained gap is
    fairly standard in the literature” and is “taken as an estimate
    of labor market discrimination”).
    266
    See e.g., Arin N. Reeves, “Written in Black and White:
    Exploring Confirmation Bias in Racialized Perceptions of
    Writing Skills,” Nextions Yellow Paper Series (2014)
    (concluding from the results of a controlled experiment on
    law firm partners reviewing an identical memo from African-
    American Thomas Meyer and Caucasian Thomas Meyer that
    the greater number of negative comments and a .9 reduction
    57
    The Chamber also cites our decision in King v. Governor of the
    State of New Jersey267 as another case in which the legislature
    presented substantial evidence to support a law. The Chamber
    argues, unconvincingly, that the showing in King was more
    robust than the City’s evidentiary showing here. In King, we
    upheld a New Jersey law prohibiting sexual orientation change
    efforts (“SOCE”) therapy to persons under the age of 18 over
    a challenge by individuals and organizations providing such
    counseling.268
    in score on a scale of 5 for African-American Thomas Meyer
    was the result of “commonly held racially-based perceptions
    about writing ability . . . unconsciously impact [law firm
    partners’] ability to objectively evaluate a lawyer’s writing.
    Most of the perceptions uncovered in research thus far
    indicate that commonly held perceptions are biased against
    African Americans and in favor of Caucasians.”). The results
    of this controlled experiment are consistent with others like it
    conducted in various fields designed to ensure that the only
    variable that could explain the more positive reaction to
    White employees was the perceived race or gender of the
    person they were being compared to. In a similar, well
    publicized experiment published under the title: “Are Emily
    and Greg More Employable Than Lakisha and Jamal? A Field
    Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination,” researchers
    Marianne Bertrand and Sendhil Mullainathan of the
    University of Chicago and MIT, found “large racial
    differences in callback rates. Applicants with White names
    need[ed] to send about 10 resumes to get one callback
    whereas applicants with African-American names need[ed] to
    send about 15.” The fictional White applicant therefore had a
    50 percent greater probability of getting a call back than the
    fictional African-American applicant. Marianne Bertrand &
    Sendhil Mullainathan, Are Emily and Greg More Employable
    Than Lakisha and Jamal? A Field Experiment on Labor
    Market Discrimination, NBER Working Paper No. 9873,
    National Bureau for Economic Research (2003),
    https://www.nber.org/papers/w9873.pdf.
    
    267 767 F.3d at 216
    .
    268
    
    Id. at 221.
    58
    The legislative record there “demonstrate[d] that over the last
    few decades a number of well-known, reputable professional
    and scientific organizations ha[d] publicly condemned the
    practice of SOCE.”269 And we, in reviewing that record,
    specifically noted that the American Psychological
    Association, the American Psychiatric Association, and the
    Pan American Health Organization “have warned of the ‘great’
    or ‘serious’ health risks accompanying SOCE counseling,
    including depression, anxiety, self-destructive behavior, and
    suicidality.”270 We also noted, “[m]any such organizations
    have also concluded that there is no credible evidence that
    SOCE counseling is effective.”271
    We also found, that “the bulk of empirical evidence regarding
    the . . . harmfulness of SOCE counseling currently falls short
    of the demanding standard imposed by the scientific
    community.”272 We recognized there was a “limited amount of
    methodologically sound research” on the counseling and that
    “the few early research investigations . . . refus[ed] to make a
    definitive statement about whether SOCE is safe or harmful . .
    . due to a lack of scientifically rigorous studies.”273
    Nevertheless, we concluded the legislature was not
    “constitutionally require[d] to wait for conclusive scientific
    evidence before acting to protect its citizens from serious
    threats of harm.”274 Instead, we were convinced by the
    legislature’s “highly plausible” judgment that SOCE could be
    harmful to minors, and concluded that the statute “directly
    advanced” New Jersey’s stated interest.275
    Here, the district court concluded that many of the studies cited
    by the City did not conclusively prove that discrimination is
    the sole cause of the wage gap. That level of certainty is not
    required. The City made a well-reasoned judgment based on
    the testimony presented to it and the unrefuted existence of the
    wage gap that banning wage history inquiries would prevent
    269
    
    Id. at 238.
    270
    
    Id. 271 Id.
    272
    
    Id. at 239.
    273
    
    Id. (emphasis added)
    (citation omitted).
    274
    Id.
    275
    
    Id. at 239.
                                   59
    further perpetuation of gender and race discrimination in this
    context.
    Moreover, we won’t ignore the fact that the very nature of
    discrimination in employment is such that showing
    discrimination by negative inference is often necessary. As the
    Supreme Court has recognized in the context of gender
    discrimination in the workplace, “[a]s should be apparent, the
    entire purpose of the McDonnell Douglas prima facie case is
    to compensate for the fact that direct evidence of
    intentional discrimination is hard to come by.”276 We, too,
    have previously recognized, “the instances in which employers
    . . . openly [discriminate against] employees appear to be
    declining. Regrettably, however, this in no way suggests that
    discrimination based upon an individual’s race, gender, or age
    is near an end.”277 “It has become easier to coat various forms
    of discrimination with the appearance of propriety, or to
    ascribe some other less odious intention to what is in reality
    discriminatory behavior.”278
    Accordingly, demonstrating discrimination by controlling for
    legitimate factors like education, training, experience, age,
    skills, and other factors that could otherwise “legitimately”
    explain wage gaps, and through experimental evidence, are
    essential means of showing discrimination. Because “direct
    evidence . . . is hard to come by,” negative inferences can be
    persuasive evidence of discrimination, especially where they
    are entirely unrebutted.279
    276
    Price Waterhouse v. Hopkins, 
    490 U.S. 228
    , 271 (1989)
    superseded by statute as stated in Burrage v. U.S., 
    571 U.S. 204
    , 214 n. 4 (2014) (permitting a showing that
    discrimination was a “motivating” or “substantial factor to
    shift the burden of persuasion to the employer, which was
    made moot after Congress amended the statute to remove but-
    for causality).
    277
    Aman v. Cort Furniture, 
    85 F.3d 1074
    , 1081 (3d Cir.
    1996).
    278
    
    Id. at 1082
    (emphasis added).
    279
    Price 
    Waterhouse, 490 U.S. at 272
    .
    60
    As some of the studies on subliminal or implicit bias which we
    have discussed establish, bias is often not even something that
    that the actor is aware of.280 This makes it exceedingly difficult
    to address such issues as wage disparity because simply
    educating employers about the pay gap will not deter an
    employer who is not even aware of the fact that s/he is setting
    a discriminatory salary. Indeed, without challenging the
    existence of the pay gap, the CEO for the Chamber without
    pause admitted that Chamber members gain a “better
    understanding of whether a candidate is worth pursuing based
    on previous compensation.” Consequently, as the Court of
    Appeals for the Ninth circuit recognized in in Rizo v. Yovino,
    and as the Managing Attorney for the Women’s Law Project,
    Ms. Fromson, testified here, criteria that may at first appear to
    be race and gender neutral (such as wage history) may be
    proxies for race or gender.
    d. The Inquiry Provision is Not More
    Extensive Than Necessary
    “The last step of the Central Hudson analysis complements the
    third step, asking whether the speech restriction is not more
    extensive than necessary to serve the interests that support
    it.”281 However, “‘the least restrictive means’ is not the
    standard; instead, the case law requires a reasonable ‘fit
    between the legislature’s ends and the means chosen to
    accomplish those ends, . . . a means narrowly tailored to
    achieve the desired objective.’”282 The “scope” of the law must
    be “in proportion to the interest served.”283 The Court does not
    280
    For a thorough discussion of the prevalence and impact of
    such subliminal bias, see Mahzarin R. Banaji and Anthony G.
    Greenwald, Blind Spot: Hidden Biases of Good People
    (2013).
    281
    Lorillard 
    Tobacco, 533 U.S. at 556
    (internal quotations
    omitted).
    282
    
    Id. (citing Florida
    Bar, 515 U.S. at 632
    ).
    283
    Board of Trustees of State Univ. of New York v. Fox, 
    492 U.S. 469
    , 479–80 (1989) (citing In re R.M.J., 
    455 U.S. 191
    ,
    203 (1982)); see also Matal v. Tam, 
    137 S. Ct. 1744
    , 1764
    (2017) (“[t]he regulatory technique may extend only as far as
    61
    “impose upon [regulators] the burden of demonstrating that . .
    . the manner of restriction is absolutely the least severe that will
    achieve the desired end.”284 Instead, the legislation must
    provide “a fit that is not necessarily perfect, but reasonable;”
    one that “represents not necessarily the single best disposition”
    but a “proportion[ate]” one.285 Understandably, the district
    court here did not reach the third or fourth prong of the Central
    Hudson inquiry because it found that the Ordinance failed
    under prong two.
    However, the last two prongs “are not entirely discrete.”286
    These two prongs “have been considered, somewhat in
    tandem, [as courts must] determine if there is a sufficient ‘fit
    between the [regulator’s] ends and the means chosen to
    accomplish those ends[.]’”287 Given our conclusion that the
    City has satisfied its burden of establishing the relationship
    between the legislative objective of mitigating the wage-gap
    and the remedy afforded by the Inquiry Provision, we will
    address the fourth prong.
    The Inquiry Provision is narrowly tailored. It only prohibits
    employers from inquiring about a single topic, while leaving
    employers free to ask a wide range of other questions,
    including qualifications, work history, skills and any other job-
    related questions relevant to performance or fit with the
    the interest it serves.”) (citing Central 
    Hudson, 477 U.S. at 565
    ).
    284
    Board of 
    Trustees, 492 U.S. at 480
    .
    285
    
    Id. The Court
    does not invalidate a commercial speech
    restriction “that went only marginally beyond what would
    adequately have served the governmental interest,” rather
    “almost all of the restrictions disallowed under Central
    Hudson’s fourth prong have been substantially excessive . . .
    .” 
    Id. at 479.
    286
    Greater New Orleans Broadcasting Ass’n, Inc. v. United
    States, 
    527 U.S. 173
    , 183 (1999).
    287
    Bad Frog Brewery, Inc. v. New York State Liquor Auth.,
    
    134 F.3d 87
    , 98 (2d Cir. 1998) (quoting Puerto Rico 
    Assocs. 478 U.S. at 341
    ).
    62
    company.288 Additionally, the provision does not prohibit
    employers from obtaining market salary information from
    other sources. The Ordinance simply seeks to insulate any
    discriminatory impact of prior salary levels on subsequent
    wages. The Ordinance is thus more narrowly tailored than
    similar wage history Ordinances that have been passed since
    2017.289 As enacted, it simply prohibits employers from
    inquiring about wage history at a specific point in time—after
    a prospective employee has applied for a job and before s/he is
    hired and a wage is set—when the City has determined that the
    risk is greatest for conduct that perpetuates discrimination.
    Moreover, applicants can voluntarily provide salary history if
    they feel it is in their best interest.290
    The Chamber argues that the Ordinance is not sufficiently
    tailored because it indisputably “regulate[s] speech that poses
    no danger to the asserted [governmental] interest.”291
    According to the Chamber, the Ordinance does not achieve its
    interest “when it is applied to White male job applicants, whose
    salaries the City acknowledges are not tainted by past
    288
    We caution, however, that, as the discussion of the Court
    of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit in Rizo makes clear, some
    questions may raise the specter of a wage inquiry, even
    though not expressed in so many words.
    289
    See e.g., H’rg Tr., at 15–16 (“Actually, the Massachusetts
    law goes a little wider than we do. We’re trying to keep it real
    basic, and I think you’ll hear from a witness that thinks we
    don’t make it strong enough, but we’re trying to find that
    great balance that we always try to in legislation and at least
    at this point limit it to stopping the employer from asking,
    directly asking, the prospective employee what they make.
    Massachusetts law goes a little farther as far as how far the
    employer can inquire, and we’re not ready to go there yet and
    we think that could have added more controversy to the bill. .
    . . [W]e want to try to keep it real basic as far as the inquiry of
    past wages.”).
    290
    This, of course, does not suggest that an employer can
    goad or cajole an employee into disclosing prior wages or
    salary.
    291
    Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 565
    .
    63
    discrimination.”292 At oral argument, the Chamber even went
    so far as to argue that the Ordinance should therefore not apply
    to White men. The suggestion was offered in all seriousness,
    and it shows the difficulty of, and very limited avenues for,
    addressing this persistent problem.
    Counsel for the Chamber actually suggested that the City set
    up a system in which employers are free to ask salary histories
    of White male job applicants but are precluded from doing the
    same for women and minorities. Aside from the clear equal
    protection implications, the suggestion for such a carve-out
    fails to understand the nature of the wage gap. As amici point
    out, a system that perpetuates higher salaries for men based on
    their higher salary histories is no better than one that
    perpetuates lower salaries for women and minorities based on
    their lower salary histories.293 Indeed, it is the very same
    system. Asking White men their prior salary and allowing it to
    impact an offer of employment would ensure that the historic
    salary advantage enjoyed by White males would continue.
    Employers operating under such a scheme would unwittingly
    be helping White males to continue to enjoy salary advantages
    on new jobs because they would be carried over from their
    prior jobs.
    More importantly, even were we to credit the Chamber’s
    suggestion, we would nevertheless not be free to ignore the
    Supreme Court’s decision in Florida Bar where the Court
    considered and rejected a similar overbreadth argument. The
    Respondents in Florida Bar argued that the ban on
    communications to all accident victims within 30 days of an
    accident was overbroad because it did not distinguish between
    those whom the provision was aiming to protect—injury
    victims who were especially vulnerable—and “those accident
    victims who are ready, willing and able to utilize a lawyer’s
    advice.”294 Rather than require the Bar Association to “draw[]
    difficult lines,” the Court concluded that the blanket “ban
    applicable to all post-accident or disaster solicitations for a
    brief 30–day period” was sufficiently narrowly tailored.295
    292
    Chamber Br. at 55.
    293
    See Br. of Amicus City of NY et al.
    
    294 515 U.S. at 632
    .
    295
    
    Id. at 633.
                                  64
    Thus, even if we were to credit the Chamber’s argument that
    the law is overbroad, it would not prevent the Inquiry Provision
    from surviving intermediate scrutiny. The Supreme Court has
    refused to invalidate restrictions on commercial speech “that
    [go] only marginally beyond what would adequately have
    served the governmental interest.”296 We have no trouble
    concluding that the City has demonstrated a “proportionate” fit
    between its substantial interest and its legislative attempt to
    advance that interest.
    The Chamber also argues that “underinclusiveness plagues the
    Ordinance. Despite the City’s assumption that the wage history
    of female and minority applicants is ‘tainted’ by past
    discrimination, the Ordinance permits employers to base a
    salary offer on wage-history information that an applicant
    voluntarily discloses.”297 However, underinclusiveness is only
    important to our inquiry if it “raises serious doubts about
    whether the government is in fact pursuing the interest it
    invokes, rather than disfavoring a particular speaker or
    viewpoint.”298 There is no suggestion of such insincerity here.
    Moreover, the alleged underinclusiveness is more of a strength
    than an infirmity. It allows a female or minority who may have
    historically been paid above the normal salary levels because
    of extraordinary qualifications to inform a potential employer
    of that salary history rather than remain silent and risk
    forfeiting the higher salary that s/he may well deserve.
    296
    
    Fox, 492 U.S. at 479
    .
    297
    Chamber Br. at 57-58.
    298
    Brown v. Entm’t Merchs. Ass’n, 
    564 U.S. 786
    , 801–02
    (2011). See also 
    R.A.V., 505 U.S. at 387
    (“[T]he First
    Amendment imposes not an ‘underinclusiveness’ limitation
    but a ‘content discrimination’ limitation upon a State’s
    prohibition of proscribable speech. There is no problem
    whatever, for example, with a State’s prohibiting obscenity
    (and other forms of proscribable expression) only in certain
    media or markets, for although that prohibition would be
    ‘underinclusive,’ it would not discriminate on the basis of
    content.”).
    65
    Even when this is not the case, Central Hudson does not
    require that the Ordinance “redress the harm completely.”299
    The City may choose to regulate only “part” of the speech that
    causes harm.300 Here, as part of the regulatory scheme, the City
    has chosen to allow owners of their own prior salary data to
    remain in control of that information and thereby allow the
    employee to decide whether s/he wants to disclose it.
    The Chamber also suggests that more rigorous enforcement of
    current antidiscrimination laws is an alternative that the City
    must attempt before passing an Ordinance such as this.
    Intermediate scrutiny, however, does not require that the City
    adopt such regulatory measures only as a last alternative or that
    the City demonstrate that the legislation is the least restrictive
    response.301 Moreover, it is clear on this record and from some
    of the cases we have discussed (see Rizo) that the wage gap has
    survived other remedial measures, including the Equal Pay
    Act.302 The testimony supporting the Inquiry Provision
    establishes that, despite the presence of antidiscrimination
    laws, that “[t]he gender wage gap has narrowed by less than
    one-half a penny per year in the United States since 1963.”303
    299
    Mariani v. United States, 
    212 F.3d 761
    , 774 (3d Cir.
    2000).
    300
    
    Id. 301 See
    Fox, 492 U.S. at 476
    –78.
    302
    The Chamber also cited to our recent decision in Bank of
    Hope in its Rule 28(j) letter to argue that the City was
    required to attempt a host of other alternatives before
    implementing the Ordinance. Central Hudson scrutiny does
    not require the City to adopt the least restrictive means to
    achieve its goal. Moreover, in Bank of Hope v. Miye Choni,
    
    938 F.3d 389
    (3d Cir. 2019). We concluded that there
    “neither the magistrate judge nor the district court considered
    a single alternative.” 
    Id. at 396.
    In contrast, the City here,
    considered and appropriately rejected a number of
    alternatives, including the patently deficient alternatives
    suggested by the Chamber, such as simply enforcing current
    antidiscrimination laws, which have been insufficient to
    meaningfully close the wage gap.
    303
    § 9-1131(1); see also JA299-300 (summarizing testimony
    before the City regarding existing laws that have
    insufficiently closed the pay gap).
    66
    The City enacted the Inquiry Provision in an attempt to address
    this persistent problem and the record is clearly sufficient to
    withstand this First Amendment challenge to it.
    III.   CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we will affirm the district court’s
    denial of a preliminary injunction as to the Reliance Provision
    and we will vacate the district court’s grant of a preliminary
    injunction as to the Inquiry Provision and remand with
    directions to the district court to deny the preliminary
    injunction as to the Inquiry Provision.
    67
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 18-2175

Filed Date: 2/6/2020

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 2/6/2020

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