Jaroslawicz v. M&T Bank Corp ( 2020 )


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  •                                  PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    ______________
    No. 17-3695
    ______________
    DAVID JAROSLAWICZ
    v.
    M&T BANK CORPORATION; HUDSON CITY
    BANCORP INC.; *THE ESTATE OF ROBERT G.
    WILMERS, BY ITS PERSONAL REPRESENTATIVES
    ELISABETH ROCHE WILMERS, PETER MILLIKEN,
    AND HOLLY MCALLISTER SWETT; RENE F. JONES;
    MARK J. CZARNECKI; BRENT D. BAIRD; ANGELA C.
    BONTEMPO; ROBERT T. BRADY; T. JEFFERSON
    CUNNINGHAM, III; GARY N. GEISEL; JOHN D.
    HAWKE, JR.; PATRICK W.E. HODGSON; RICHARD G.
    KING; JORGE G. PEREIRA; MELINDA R. RICH;
    ROBERT E. SADLER, JR.; HERBERT L. WASHINGTON;
    DENIS J. SALAMONE; MICHAEL W. AZZARA;
    VICTORIA H. BRUNI; DONALD O. QUEST; JOSEPH G.
    SPONHOLZ; CORNELIUS E. GOLDING; WILLIAM G.
    BARDEL; SCOTT A. BELAIR
    BELINA FAMILY; JEFF KRUBLIT,
    Appellants
    (*Amended pursuant to Clerk’s Order dated 3/1/18)
    ______________
    On Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Delaware
    (D.C. No. 1-15-cv-00897)
    District Judge: Honorable Richard G. Andrews
    ______________
    Argued: July 17, 2018
    Before: McKEE, MATEY, and SILER, JR., † Circuit Judges.
    (Filed: June 18, 2020)
    Deborah R. Gross                 [ARGUED]
    Kaufman Coren & Ress
    2001 Market Street
    Two Commerce Square, Suite 3900
    Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103
    Francis J. Murphy
    Jonathan L. Parshall
    Murphy & Landon
    1011 Centre Road
    Suite 210
    Wilmington, Delaware 19805
    Laurence D. Paskowitz
    Suite 380
    †
    Honorable Eugene E. Siler, Jr., Senior Judge for the
    Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals, sitting by designation.
    2
    208 East 51st Street
    New York, New York 10022
    Counsel for Appellants Belina Family and Jeff Krublit
    George T. Conway, III
    Adam L. Goodman
    Bradley R. Wilson                [ARGUED]
    Jordan L. Pietzsch
    Wachtell Lipton Rosen & Katz
    51 West 52nd Street
    New York, New York 10019
    John C. Cordrey
    Brian M. Rostocki
    Reed Smith
    1201 Market Street
    Suite 1500
    Wilmington, Delaware 19801
    Counsel for Appellees M&T Bank Corporation, The
    Estate of Robert G. Wilmers, Rene F. Jones, Mark J.
    Czarnecki, Brent D. Baird, Angela C.     Bontempo,
    Robert T. Brady, T. Jefferson Cunningham, III, Gary N.
    Geisel, John D. Hawke, Jr., Patrick W. E. Hodgson,
    Richard G. King, Jorge G. Pereira, Melinda R. Rich,
    Robert E. Sadler, Jr., and Herbert L. Washington
    Tracy R. High
    Sullivan & Cromwell
    125 Broad Street
    New York, New York 10004
    3
    Kevin R. Shannon
    Potter Anderson & Corroon
    1313 North Market Street
    Hercules Plaza, 6th Floor
    P.O. Box 951
    Wilmington, Delaware, 19801
    Counsel for Appellees Denis J. Salamone, Victoria H.
    Bruni, Donald O. Quest, Joseph G. Sponholz, Scott A.
    Belair, Michael W. Azzara, William G. Bardel and
    Cornelius E. Golding
    ______________
    OPINION
    ______________
    MATEY, Circuit Judge.
    It is a familiar story in the life of a publicly held
    business. A corporation identifies an opportunity and decides
    to ask its shareholders for their approval to pursue. But the
    business runs in a highly regulated space like finance. So the
    company proceeds through a thick web of laws and regulations
    that detail how to explain both the risks and the rewards of the
    opportunity to the shareholders. With a bit of good fortune, all
    the hard work pays off when the shareholders give their
    blessing. And then, after the deal is done, only the class action
    hurdle remains. That is because for more than five decades,
    these transactions have been subject to a three-tier system of
    enforcement: oversight by Congress, supervision by regulators
    like the Securities and Exchange Commission, and “private
    4
    attorneys general” 1 pursuing “a private right of action.” Gen.
    Elec. Co. v. Cathcart, 
    980 F.2d 927
    , 932 (3d Cir. 1992) (citing
    J.I. Case Co. v. Borak, 
    377 U.S. 426
    , 430–31 (1964)).
    We consider that final frontier of enforcement in this
    appeal. Hudson City Bank (“Hudson”) and M&T Bank
    Corporation (“M&T”) successfully merged in 2015. But their
    union triggered a protest by a few Hudson shareholders, who
    filed a putative class action (together, the “Shareholders”). The
    complaint alleged the banks didn’t disclose material
    information about M&T’s practice of adding fees to no-fee
    “free” checking accounts or its failure to comply with federal
    anti-money laundering regulations. And despite a healthy
    return on their investment, the Shareholders argue these
    omissions or misstatements caused all Hudson shareholders
    financial harm. In a comprehensive opinion, the District Court
    dismissed these claims. We now vacate and remand for further
    proceedings based on prior decisions allowing suits alleging
    inadequate transparency or deception. We reiterate the
    longstanding limitations on securities fraud actions that
    insulate issuers from second-guesses, hindsight clarity, and a
    regime of total disclosure.
    1
    Most ascribe the colorful phrase to Judge Jerome
    Frank. Associated Indus. N.Y. State, Inc. v. Ickes, 
    134 F.2d 694
    ,
    704 (2d Cir. 1943), vacated, 
    320 U.S. 707
     (1943).
    5
    I. BACKGROUND
    A.    The Proposal
    Chartered in 1868, Hudson grew to become one of the
    largest savings banks in New Jersey. Avoiding modern
    products and trends in favor of steady deposits and safe
    mortgages, Hudson enjoyed a strong reputation of stability.
    But, following the 2008 recession, Hudson struggled to hold
    its footing. It launched reforms, shedding debt, eying
    diversification, and considering opportunities to merge.
    Eventually, Hudson found a partner in M&T and the two banks
    struck a deal. Investors appeared to welcome the
    announcement with M&T’s stock price rising on the news.
    B.    The Joint Proxy
    The merger agreement promised Hudson shareholders a
    mixture of cash and M&T stock, and required approval by the
    shareholders of both banks. To provide the required notice,
    Hudson and M&T opted to issue a Joint Prospectus (“Joint
    Proxy”) and filed a single Form S-4 in accordance with SEC
    rules. 2 That form requires issuers to provide, among other
    things, “the information required by Item 503 of Regulation S-
    2
    Firms may use Form S-4 to register securities issued
    in a merger. (Docket Entry Dated July 13, 2018: Letter from
    David R. Fredrickson, Chief Counsel/Associated Director,
    Division of Corporate Finance, United States Securities and
    Exchange Commission (July 12, 2018).) The form also allows
    for the filing of a joint prospectus/proxy statement, as M&T
    and Hudson elected to do here.
    6
    K.” Item 503, since recodified as Item 105, 3 asks for “the most
    significant factors that make an investment in the registrant or
    offering speculative or risky.” 
    17 C.F.R. § 229.105
    . Each “risk
    factor” requires an individual topic heading supported by
    information that is both “concise and organized logically.” 
    Id.
    Specificity is key, as the regulation cautions filers to omit
    “risks that could apply generically to any registrant or any
    offering.” 
    Id.
     And Item 105 is where the Shareholders direct
    their attack, alleging this portion of the Joint Proxy was
    misleading and incomplete. We turn to those disclosures.
    1.     The “Risks Related to M&T”
    As required, the Joint Proxy included a section titled
    “Risks Related to M&T” (App. at 0237), with subsections on
    “Risks Relating to Economic and Market Conditions,” “Risks
    Relating to M&T’s Business,” and “Risks Relating to the
    Regulatory Environment.” (App. at A0237–48.) Discussing
    the regulatory environment, the Joint Proxy noted that “M&T
    is subject to extensive government regulation and supervision”
    because of “the Dodd-Frank Act and related regulations.”
    (App. at A1010 (emphasis omitted).) It cautioned that “M&T
    expects to face increased regulation of its industry as a result
    of current and possible future initiatives.” (App. at A1010.)
    That will lead to “more intense scrutiny in the examination
    process and more aggressive enforcement of regulations on
    both the federal and state levels,” which would “likely increase
    M&T’s costs[,] reduce its revenue[,] and may limit its ability
    to pursue certain desirable business opportunities.” (App. at
    3
    See FAST Act Modernization and Simplification of
    Regulation S-K, 84 FR 12674, 12716–17 (April 2, 2019). We
    will refer to the current regulation.
    7
    A1010.) The Joint Proxy also stated that “from time to time,
    M&T is, or may become, the subject of governmental and self-
    regulatory agency information-gathering requests, reviews,
    investigations and proceedings and other forms of regulatory
    inquiry, including by the SEC and law enforcement
    authorities.” (App. at A0248.) That ongoing oversight, in turn,
    might lead to “significant monetary damages or penalties,
    adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restrictions
    on the way in which M&T conducts its business, or
    reputational harm.” (App. at A0248.) And the Joint Proxy
    noted operational risks “encompass[ing] reputational risk and
    compliance and legal risk, which is the risk of loss from
    violations of, or noncompliance with, laws, rules, regulations,
    prescribed practices or ethical standards, as well as the risk of
    noncompliance with contractual and other obligations.” (App.
    at A0245.) That dense fog of possible problems, as we will see,
    looms large.
    2.      Other Warnings
    A few additional statements related to risk appeared
    elsewhere in the Joint Proxy. A section titled, “Regulatory
    Approvals Required for the Merger” advised that
    “[c]ompletion of the merger . . . [is] subject to the receipt of all
    approvals required to complete the transactions contemplated
    by the merger agreement . . . from the Federal Reserve Board.”
    (App. at A1017.) And the Federal Reserve Board, “[a]s part of
    its evaluation . . . , reviews: . . . the effectiveness of the
    companies in combatting money laundering.” (App. at A1018.)
    While M&T “believe[d]” timely regulatory approval was
    realistic, it was unsure. (App. at A1017; see also App. at
    A1009.) Rather, M&T offered that:
    8
    Although we currently believe we should be able
    to obtain all required regulatory approvals in a
    timely manner, we cannot be certain when or if
    we will obtain them or, if obtained, whether they
    will contain terms, conditions or restrictions not
    currently contemplated that will be detrimental
    to M&T after the completion of the merger or
    will contain a burdensome condition.
    (App. at A1017.)
    3.     The Annual Report
    At M&T’s election, the Joint Proxy incorporated
    M&T’s 2011 Annual Report on Form 10-K as permitted by
    Form S-4. There, M&T warned that the Patriot Act requires
    that “U.S. financial institutions . . . implement and maintain
    appropriate policies, procedures and controls which are
    reasonably designed to prevent, detect and report instances of
    money laundering.” (App. at A1028.) But investors could take
    comfort, the Joint Proxy explained, because M&T’s “approved
    policies and procedures [are] believed to comply with the USA
    Patriot Act.” (App. at A1028.)
    C.    New Disclosures, Governmental Intervention, and
    Regulatory Delay
    M&T filed the Joint Proxy with the SEC, which was
    declared effective on February 22, 2013, mailed it to all
    shareholders five days later, and scheduled a vote on the
    proposal for April. Then, a few days before the ballots, M&T
    and Hudson announced that “additional time will be required
    to obtain a regulatory determination on the applications
    9
    necessary to complete their proposed merger.” (App. at
    A1041.) In a supplemental proxy, M&T revealed that the
    Federal Reserve Board identified “certain regulatory concerns”
    about “procedures, systems and processes relating to M&T’s
    Bank Secrecy Act and anti-money-laundering compliance
    program.” 4 (App. at A1041.) M&T explained that to address
    these concerns, “the timeframe for closing the transaction will
    be extended substantially beyond the date previously
    expected.” (App. at A1041.) As a result, M&T and Hudson
    amended their merger agreement and moved the closure back
    4
    As the Joint Proxy notes, the merger required approval
    by the Federal Reserve Board, among other regulators. As part
    of its review, the Federal Reserve Board assesses the banks’
    effectiveness in combatting money laundering, requiring a
    risk-management program incorporating the Bank Secrecy Act
    and anti-money-laundering (“BSA/AML”) compliance. See
    Uniting and Strengthening America by Providing Appropriate
    Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism (“USA
    PATRIOT”) Act of 2001, Pub. L. No. 107-56, 
    115 Stat. 272
    (codified at various sections of the U.S. Code). Title III of the
    Act, captioned “International Money Laundering Abatement
    and Anti-Terrorist Financing Act of 2001,” amended the Bank
    Secrecy Act, 
    31 U.S.C. § 5311
     et seq., and “imposed more
    stringent requirements aimed at money laundering.” Mendez
    Internet Mgmt. Servs., Inc. v. Banco Santander de P.R., 
    621 F.3d 10
    , 13 (1st Cir. 2010). To ensure compliance, banks must
    collect, process, and update information necessary to make
    money-laundering risk determinations for every customer and
    account. Banks are also required to have in place acceptable
    processes and policies to detect and report related suspicious
    activity.
    10
    several months. 5 The shareholder vote, however, remained as
    scheduled. And these revelations did not deter the
    shareholders, who overwhelmingly approved the merger. But
    it took nearly two and a half more years before regulators
    allowed the deal to close.
    While the banks awaited the conclusion of the Federal
    Reserve review, M&T received more bad news. The Consumer
    Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”) announced an
    enforcement action against M&T for offering customers free
    checking before switching them to fee-based accounts without
    notice. A practice, the CFPB noted, that was in place when the
    merger was first proposed, and that had impacted nearly 60,000
    customers. M&T agreed to pay $2.045 million to settle the
    allegations, the approximate amount of the customer injuries.
    D.     The Shareholder Suit
    A few weeks before the merger closed, David
    Jaroslawicz, a Hudson shareholder, filed a putative class action
    against M&T, Hudson, and their directors and officers
    (together, “M&T”). He claimed that the Joint Proxy omitted
    material risks associated with the merger in violation of the
    Securities Exchange Act, 15 U.S.C. § 78n(a)(1) and 17 C.F.R.
    5
    M&T provided more context a few days later during
    an earnings conference call, explaining that the compliance
    issues were significant enough to “impact [the] ability to close
    the merger . . . in the near term.” (App. at A1048.) And M&T
    noted it needed “to implement [a] plan for improvement . . . to
    the satisfaction of . . . the regulators prior to obtaining
    regulatory approvals for the merger.” (App. at A1048.)
    11
    § 240.14a-9(a). He also brought a claim for breach of fiduciary
    duty under Delaware law. 6
    After the Shareholders filed an amended complaint,
    M&T moved to dismiss for failure to plead an actionable claim.
    The District Court granted that motion, but allowed the
    Shareholders to amend. After the Shareholders amended, M&T
    again moved to dismiss. The District Court granted M&T’s
    motion. See Jaroslawicz v. M&T Bank Corp., 
    296 F. Supp. 3d 670
     (D. Del. 2017).
    In their Second Amended Complaint, the Shareholders
    presented two theories of M&T’s liability for the Joint Proxy’s
    deficiencies. First, because the Joint Proxy did not discuss
    M&T’s non-compliant BSA/AML practices and deficient
    consumer checking program, the Shareholders contend that
    M&T failed to disclose material risk factors facing the merger,
    as required by Item 105. Second, they assert that M&T’s
    failure to discuss these allegedly non-compliant practices
    rendered M&T’s opinion statements about its adherence to
    regulatory requirements and the prospects for prompt approval
    of the merger, misleading.
    The District Court held that the Joint Proxy sufficiently
    disclosed the regulatory risks associated with the merger. The
    Court also held that M&T did not have to disclose the
    consumer checking violations exposed after the merger
    announcement. And, applying Omnicare, Inc. v. Laborers
    District Council Construction Industry Pension Fund, 575
    6
    The District Court later appointed the Belina family to
    serve as lead plaintiffs for the class action.
    
    12 U.S. 175
     (2015), the Court found no misleading opinions. The
    Court again allowed the Shareholders to amend the pleadings,
    but the Shareholders asked for a final order of dismissal with
    prejudice to file this appeal. 7
    II. JURISDICTION AND THE STANDARD OF REVIEW
    The District Court had jurisdiction under 15 U.S.C.
    § 78aa, and 
    28 U.S.C. §§ 1331
     and 1337. We have jurisdiction
    under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    . As the Shareholders bring their appeal
    from the District Court’s final order granting a motion to
    dismiss with prejudice, we exercise plenary review. See In re
    NAHC, Inc. Sec. Litig., 
    306 F.3d 1314
    , 1322–23 (3d Cir. 2002).
    But we are to accept the facts in the light most favorable to the
    non-moving party. Jones v. ABN Amro Mortg. Grp., Inc., 
    606 F.3d 119
    , 123 (3d Cir. 2010). Dismissal is proper only where
    the complaint fails to state a claim “that is plausible on its
    face.” Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 678 (2009) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). A claim is plausible “when the
    plaintiff pleads factual content that allows the courts to draw
    7
    Following a panel decision of this Court, M&T
    petitioned for en banc review or a panel rehearing, and we
    granted the latter request. See Jaroslawicz v. M&T Bank Corp.,
    
    925 F.3d 605
     (3d Cir. 2019). In its petition for rehearing, M&T
    waived the argument that the Shareholders’ Second Amended
    Complaint failed to plausibly allege loss causation. (Appellees’
    Reh’g Pet. at 6.)
    13
    the reasonable inference that the defendant is liable for the
    misconduct alleged.” 8 
    Id.
    III. THE SHAREHOLDERS’ TWIN THEORIES OF LIABILITY:
    ACTIONABLE OMISSIONS AND MISLEADING OPINIONS
    A.     The Shareholders Plausibly Allege an Actionable
    Omission or Misrepresentation
    1.     Actionable Omissions and Misrepresentations
    Defined
    We start by setting some boundaries. The Shareholders
    have pleaded claims under Section 14(a) of the Securities
    Exchange Act of 1934, as codified at 15 U.S.C. § 78n(a), and
    the regulations promulgated by the Commission. But that
    statute does not provide for a private right of action. And since
    “Congress creates federal causes of action,” where “the text of
    a statute does not provide a cause of action, there ordinarily is
    no cause of action.” Johnson v. Interstate Mgmt. Co., 
    849 F.3d 1093
    , 1097 (D.C. Cir. 2017); see also Antonin Scalia & Bryan
    A. Garner, Reading Law: The Interpretation of Legal Texts 313
    (2012) (“A statute’s mere prohibition of a certain act does not
    imply creation of a private right of action for its violation.”).
    8
    The District Court reviewed the allegations under the
    general pleading standard of Federal Rule of Civil Procedure
    8, but M&T argues that all § 14(a) claims are subject to the
    heightened pleading requirements of the Private Securities
    Litigation Reform Act, 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(b)(1). Still, the
    parties agree on the statements alleged to have been
    misleading, do not dispute their specificity, and thus do not
    argue that the pleading standard is determinative.
    14
    But during an “ancien regime,” courts followed a different
    path, often finding “as a routine matter . . . impl[ied] causes of
    action not explicit in the statutory text itself.” Ziglar v. Abbasi,
    
    137 S. Ct. 1843
    , 1855 (2017). And while courts have since
    “adopted a far more cautious course before finding implied
    causes of action,” 
    id.,
     in securities fraud actions under § 14(a)
    what was then is still now. Cathcart, 980 F.2d at 932 (citing
    Borak, 
    377 U.S. at
    430–31); see also Halliburton Co. v. Erica
    P. John Fund, Inc., 
    573 U.S. 258
    , 284 (2014) (Thomas, J.,
    concurring) (“[T]he implied 10b-5 private cause of action is ‘a
    relic of the heady days in which this Court assumed common-
    law powers to create causes of action[.]’”) (quoting Corr.
    Servs. Corp. v. Malesko, 
    534 U.S. 61
    , 75 (2001) (Scalia, J.,
    concurring)). So while courts have since “sworn off the habit
    of venturing beyond Congress’s intent,” the Shareholders’ suit,
    for now, still finds room in the half-empty “last drink” poured
    in Borak. Alexander v. Sandoval, 
    532 U.S. 275
    , 287 (2001);
    see also Wisniewski v. Rodale, Inc., 
    510 F.3d 294
    , 298 (3d Cir.
    2007) (noting Borak arrived during an “older and less
    restrictive approach to implied private rights of action”).
    Reconsideration of that interpretation is beyond our role, Bosse
    v. Oklahoma, 
    137 S. Ct. 1
    , 2 (2016), even if perhaps not beyond
    the horizon. See Emulex Corp. v. Varjabedian, 
    139 S. Ct. 1407
    (2019).
    2.      The Elements of an Omissions Claim
    Section 14(a) makes it unlawful to solicit a proxy “in
    contravention of such rules and regulations as the [SEC] may
    prescribe as necessary or appropriate in the public interest or
    for the protection of investors.” 15 U.S.C. § 78n(a)(1). It
    “seeks to prevent management or others from obtaining
    authorization for corporate actions by means of deceptive or
    15
    inadequate disclosures in proxy solicitations.” Seinfeld v.
    Becherer, 
    461 F.3d 365
    , 369 (3d Cir. 2006) (internal quotations
    marks omitted). In turn, Rule 14a-9, promulgated by the SEC
    under the authority of Section 14(a), bars “false or misleading”
    material statements and omissions in a proxy. 9 The
    Shareholders allege that M&T violated Rule 14a-9, and thus
    Section 14(a), by issuing a Joint Proxy lacking material
    information.
    We have outlined a three-step test for liability under
    Section 14(a), requiring a showing that: “(1) a proxy statement
    contained a material misrepresentation or omission which (2)
    caused the plaintiff injury and (3) that the proxy solicitation
    itself, rather than the particular defect in the solicitation
    materials, was an essential link in the accomplishment of the
    transaction.” Tracinda Corp. v. DaimlerChrysler AG, 
    502 F.3d 212
    , 228 (3d Cir. 2007) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    And omissions in a proxy statement can violate Section 14(a)
    and Rule 14a-9 in one of two ways: where “[(a)] the SEC
    regulations specifically require disclosure of the omitted
    information in a proxy statement, or [(b)] the omission makes
    other statements in the proxy statement materially false or
    misleading.” Seinfeld, 
    461 F.3d at 369
     (internal quotation
    marks omitted).
    9
    “No solicitation subject to this regulation shall be
    made by means of any proxy statement . . . containing any
    statement which, at the time and in the light of the
    circumstances under which it is made, is false or misleading
    with respect to any material fact, or which omits to state any
    material fact necessary in order to make the statements therein
    not false or misleading[.]” 
    17 C.F.R. § 240
    .14a-9(a).
    16
    But not every omission or misrepresentation will
    support a claim for damages. Tracinda Corp., 
    502 F.3d at 228
    .
    Rather, stated or omitted information must be “material,” and
    we have set forth a two-part definition. 
    Id.
     First, we determine
    whether “there is a substantial likelihood that a reasonable
    shareholder     would      consider     [the     omission      or
    misrepresentation] important in deciding how to vote.” 
    Id.
    (quoting Shaev v. Saper, 
    320 F.3d 373
    , 379 (3d Cir. 2003)).
    That involves an assessment of whether “the disclosure of the
    omitted fact or misrepresentation would have been viewed by
    the reasonable investor as having significantly altered the total
    mix of information made available.” EP Medsystems, Inc., v.
    EchoCath, Inc., 
    235 F.3d 865
    , 872 (3d Cir. 2000) (internal
    quotation marks and brackets omitted).
    Second, we assess the materiality of a statement “at the
    time and in the light of the circumstances under which it is
    made.” Seinfeld, 
    461 F.3d at 369
     (quoting 
    17 C.F.R. § 240
    .14a-
    9(a)). So “liability cannot be imposed on the basis of
    subsequent events,” In re NAHC, 
    306 F.3d at 1330
    , and the
    Monday morning quarterback remains on the bench.
    3.     The Second Amended Complaint Plausibly
    Alleges Actionable Omissions
    With the rules set, we turn to the words in the complaint
    and in the governing regulations.
    17
    i.     SEC Regulations and Interpretive
    Guidance
    The Shareholders allege M&T violated Section 14(a)
    because the Joint Proxy omitted material “risk factors” as
    required by Item 105, such as the condition of M&T’s
    regulatory compliance program, and its failure to disclose such
    risks made other statements misleading. As with statutory
    interpretation, our review of a regulation centers on the
    ordinary meaning of the text “and the court must give it effect,
    as the court would any law.” Kisor v. Wilkie, 
    139 S. Ct. 2400
    ,
    2415 (2019). That analysis uses all the “‘traditional tools’ of
    construction.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. Nat. Res.
    Def. Council, Inc., 
    467 U.S. 837
    , 843 n.9 (1984)). The text of
    Item 105 directs issuers to:
    [w]here appropriate, provide under the caption
    “Risk Factors” a discussion of the most
    significant factors that make an investment in the
    registrant or offering speculative or risky. This
    discussion must be concise and organized
    logically. Do not present risks that could apply
    generically to any registrant or any offering.
    Explain how the risk affects the registrant or the
    securities being offered. Set forth each risk factor
    under a subcaption that adequately describes the
    risk. . . . The registrant must furnish this
    information in plain English.
    
    17 C.F.R. § 229.105
    . While “regulations can sometimes make
    the eyes glaze over,” Kisor, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2415
    , readers easily
    understand Item 105 to require issuers to disclose the most
    significant factors known to make an investment speculative or
    18
    risky. And those factors should be (a) concise and organized;
    (b) specific, not generic; and (c) include an explanation
    connecting the risks to the offer. 10 
    17 C.F.R. § 229.105
    .
    Language in guidance details these requirements. See
    Kisor, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2415
     (discussing the traditional “legal
    toolkit” of “text, structure, history, and purpose of a
    regulation”); see also Krieger v. Bank of Am., N.A., 
    890 F.3d 429
    , 438–39 (3d Cir. 2018) (discussing agency guidance to
    inform ordinary meaning). A 1999 legal bulletin is particularly
    helpful. See SEC Division of Corporation Finance: Updated
    Staff Legal Bulletin No. 7, “Plain English Disclosure,” Release
    No. SLB-7, 
    1999 WL 34984247
     (June 7, 1999). Under the
    section titled “Risk Factor Guidance,” the SEC explains that
    “issuers should not present risks that could apply to any issuer
    or any offering.” Id. at *1. The SEC also explains that Item 105
    risk factors fall loosely into three broad categories:
    Industry Risk — risks companies face by virtue
    of the industry they’re in. For example, many
    [real estate investment trusts] run the risk that,
    10
    The parties do not argue that Section 229.105 creates
    an independent cause of action. Cf. Oran v. Stafford, 
    226 F.3d 275
    , 287–88 (3d Cir. 2000) (concluding that Item 303 does not
    create an independent cause of action for private plaintiffs).
    And we note that neither the language of Section 229.105, nor
    the SEC’s interpretative guidance suggests that it does. 
    Id. at 287
    . So our inquiry turns on whether the duty of disclosure
    mandated by Item 105, if violated, constitutes a material
    omission or misrepresentation under the standards of Section
    14(a) and its regulations.
    19
    despite due diligence, they will acquire
    properties with significant environmental issues.
    Company Risk — risks that are specific to the
    company. For example, a [real estate investment
    trust] owns four properties with significant
    environmental issues and cleaning up these
    properties will be a serious financial drain.
    Investment Risk — risks that are specifically
    tied to a security. For example, in a debt offering,
    the debt being offered is the most junior
    subordinated debt of the company.
    When drafting risk factors, be sure to specifically
    link each risk to your industry, company, or
    investment, as applicable.
    
    Id.
     at *5–6.
    The bulletin includes a few illustrations contrasting a
    generic discussion with a satisfactory disclosure. Id. at *1, *6–
    7. Here’s one example:
    Before:
    Competition
    The lawn care industry is highly competitive.
    The Company competes for commercial and
    retail customers with national lawn care service
    providers, lawn care product manufacturers with
    service components, and other local and regional
    20
    producers and operators. Many of these
    competitors have substantially greater financial
    and other resources than the Company.
    After:
    Because we are significantly smaller than the
    majority of our national competitors, we may
    lack the financial resources needed to capture
    increased market share.
    Based on total assets and annual revenues, we are
    significantly smaller than the majority of our
    national competitors: we are one-third the size of
    our next largest national competitor. If we
    compete with them for the same geographical
    markets, their financial strength could prevent us
    from capturing those markets.
    For example, our largest competitor did the
    following when it aggressively expanded five
    years ago:
    • launched extensive print and television
    campaigns to advertise their entry into new
    markets;
    • discounted their services for extended periods
    of time to attract new customers; and
    • provided enhanced customer service during the
    initial phases of these new relationships.
    21
    Our national competitors likely have the
    financial resources to do the same, and we do not
    have the financial resources needed to compete
    on this level.
    Because our local competitors are better
    positioned to capitalize on the industry’s fastest
    growing markets, we may emerge from this
    period of growth with only a modest increase in
    market share, at best.
    Industry experts predict that the smaller,
    secondary markets throughout the mid-west will
    soon experience explosive growth. We have
    forecasted that about 17% of our future long-
    term growth will come from these markets.
    However, because it is common practice for
    lawn care companies in smaller markets to
    acquire      customers      through      personal
    relationships, our competitors in nearly half of
    these mid-west markets are better positioned to
    capitalize on this anticipated explosive growth.
    Unlike us, these local competitors live and work
    in the same communities as their and our
    potential customers.
    For the foreseeable future, the majority of our
    sales people who cover these markets will work
    out of our two mid-west regional offices because
    we lack the financial resources to open local
    offices at this time. As a result, we may
    substantially fail to realize our forecasted 17%
    long-term growth from these markets.
    22
    Id. at *6. In short, while Item 105 seeks a “concise”
    discussion, free of generic and generally applicable risks, it
    requires more than a short and cursory overview and instead
    asks for a full discussion of the relevant factors. 11 
    17 C.F.R. § 229.105
    . That, as we will see, is where the Joint Proxy fell,
    in a word, short.
    ii.    Interpretative Guidance from Other
    Courts
    Two cases considering the scope of adequate
    disclosures under Item 105 are also instructive. In Silverstrand
    Investments v. AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc., the First Circuit
    identified plausible allegations that a pharmaceutical
    company’s offering documents failed to adequately convey
    risks associated with a clinical drug. 
    707 F.3d 95
    , 108 (1st Cir.
    2013). In the offering, the company included details about the
    FDA approval process and the results of clinical trials. 
    Id.
     at
    98–99. But the company did not disclose almost two dozen
    “Serious Adverse Events” it had reported to the FDA. Id. at 99.
    Instead, the offering noted only “ongoing FDA regulatory
    requirements” that carry the risk of “restrictions on our ability
    to market and sell” and other “sanctions.” Id. Reviewing both
    the language of the regulation and the SEC’s interpretive
    11
    As the SEC explains, “[t]he goal of plain English is
    clarity, not brevity. Writing disclosure in plain English can
    sometimes increase the length of particular sections of your
    prospectus. You will likely reduce the length of your plain
    English prospectus by writing concisely and eliminating
    redundancies — not by eliminating substance.” See SEC Legal
    Bulletin No. 7, 
    1999 WL 34984247
    , at *5.
    23
    guidance, the First Circuit held that “a complaint alleging
    omissions of Item [105] risks needs to allege sufficient facts to
    infer that a registrant knew, as of the time of an offering, that .
    . . a risk factor existed.” Id. at 103. And given the many adverse
    reports the company submitted to the FDA, the court
    concluded the allegations “more than suffice” to plead a
    plausible claim of undisclosed risk. Id. at 104.
    Compare those facts to City of Pontiac Policemen’s and
    Firemen’s Retirement System v. UBS AG, 
    752 F.3d 173
    , 183–
    84 (2d Cir. 2014), alleging that UBS engaged in a tax evasion
    scheme. Following the indictment of UBS employees, the
    company disclosed “multiple legal proceedings and
    government investigations” showing exposure “to substantial
    monetary damages and legal defense costs,” along with
    “criminal and civil penalties, and the potential for regulatory
    restrictions.” Id. at 184 (internal brackets omitted). Not
    enough, argued plaintiffs, claiming UBS was also required to
    disclose that the fraudulent activity was, in fact, still ongoing.
    Id. The Second Circuit sharply disagreed because “disclosure
    is not a rite of confession, and companies do not have a duty to
    disclose uncharged, unadjudicated wrongdoing.” Id. (internal
    quotation marks and footnote omitted). To the contrary, by
    disclosing the litany of possible problems that could flow from
    these investigations, UBS complied with the directive of Item
    105. Id.
    Both decisions rest soundly on the text of Item 105.
    First, a cause of action for failing to disclose a material risk
    naturally requires an allegation that a known risk factor existed
    at the time of the offering. Silverstrand, 707 F.3d at 103.
    Second, in keeping with Item 105’s call for a concise, not all-
    inclusive disclosure, registrants need not list speculative facts
    24
    or unproven allegations, even if they fit within one of the
    identified factors. City of Pontiac, 752 F.3d at 184. And the
    two standards reflect the outcomes. The registrant in
    Silverstrand allegedly knew that the FDA would scrutinize the
    reported effects of its product, a gaze that carried specific risks
    to their business. So allegations of failing to disclose that factor
    was enough to state a claim. Compare that to the filer in City
    of Pontiac who packed the proxy with a host of risks focused
    on the company, its practices, the problems, and the possible
    penalties. Asking for more, as the Second Circuit noted, would
    create a new obligation grounded in guesswork.
    iii.   M&T’s Disclosure in the Joint Proxy
    Lacks Description and Context of Its
    Compliance Risks
    With these parameters, the shortcomings in M&T’s
    proxy become clear. M&T omitted company-specific detail
    about its compliance program. Yet M&T knew that the state of
    its compliance program would be subject to extensive review
    from federal regulators. And it understood that failure to pass
    regulatory scrutiny could sink the merger. Taken together,
    M&T had a duty to disclose more than generic information
    about the regulatory scrutiny that lay ahead. Instead, and
    contrary to the ordinary language of Item 105, it offered
    breadth where depth is required.
    Start with the allegations about the BSA/AML
    compliance program. The Joint Proxy stated that “[c]ompletion
    of the merger . . . [is] subject to the receipt of all [regulatory]
    approvals,” a process that includes review of “the effectiveness
    of the companies in combatting money laundering.” (App. at
    A1017–18.) It noted that “we cannot be certain when or if we
    25
    will obtain [the regulatory approvals] or, if obtained, whether
    they will contain terms, conditions, or restrictions not currently
    contemplated.” (App. at A1017). And, “[l]ike all businesses,
    M&T is subject to operational risk, which represents the risk
    of loss resulting from human error, inadequate or failed
    internal processes and systems, and external events.” (App. at
    A0245.) Such “[o]perational risk,” the Joint Proxy noted, “also
    encompasses reputational risk and compliance and legal risk,
    which is the risk of loss from violations of, or noncompliance
    with, laws, rules, regulations, prescribed practices or ethical
    standards, as well as the risk of noncompliance with
    contractual and other obligations.” (App. at A0245.) And
    “[a]lthough M&T seeks to mitigate operational risk through a
    system of internal controls . . . , no system of controls . . . is
    infallible.” (App. at A0246). Any “[c]ontrol weaknesses or
    failures or other operational risks could result in charges,
    increased operational costs, harm to M&T’s reputation or
    foregone business opportunities.” (App. at A0246.)
    So M&T identified that the merger hinged on obtaining
    regulatory approval. And it singled out that determining the
    effectiveness of its BSA/AML program would be crucial to
    obtaining that approval. In fact, in “every case under the Bank
    Merger Act” the “[Federal Reserve] Board must take into
    consideration . . . records of compliance with anti-money-
    laundering laws.” 12 (App. at 1083 (emphasis added).) As M&T
    12
    Other sources similarly support this conclusion. In its
    2010 BSA/AML Examination Manual, the Federal Financial
    Institutions Examination Council (“FFIEC”) called Title III of
    the USA PATRIOT Act “arguably the single most significant
    AML law that Congress enacted since the BSA itself.” FFIEC,
    26
    even noted, the Board is responsible for evaluating BSA/AML
    compliance under the authority of two separate statutes:
    Section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956 and
    Section 18(c) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act. (App. at
    A1018.) And so we have no difficulty concluding that the
    regulatory review process posed a significant risk to the merger
    that would make it speculative or risky. Put another way, M&T
    mentioned that regulatory hoops stood between the proposed
    merger and a final deal.
    But M&T failed to discuss just how treacherous
    jumping through those hoops would be. Instead, M&T offered
    Bank Secrecy Act/ Anti-Money Laundering Examination
    Manual 8 (2010), https://www.occ.treas.gov/static/ots/exam-
    handbook/ots-exam-handbook-1400.pdf.
    In both the 2010 Manual and the updated 2014 Manual,
    the FFIEC warned that bank management “must be vigilant”
    in BSA/AML compliance and stated: “Banks should take
    reasonable and prudent steps to combat money laundering and
    terrorist financing and to minimize their vulnerability to the
    risk associated with such activities. Some banking
    organizations have damaged their reputations and have been
    required to pay civil money penalties for failing to implement
    adequate controls within their organization resulting in
    noncompliance with the BSA.” See FFIEC, Bank Secrecy Act/
    Anti-Money Laundering Examination Manual 10 (2010),
    https://www.occ.treas.gov/static/ots/exam-handbook/ots-
    exam-handbook-1400.pdf, and FFIEC, Bank Secrecy Act/
    Anti-Money Laundering Examination Manual 6 (2015) (V2),
    https://bsaaml.ffiec.gov/manual.
    27
    information generally applicable to nearly any entity operating
    in a regulated environment. In fact, M&T said that: “[l]ike all
    businesses,” it was subject to regulatory risk. (App. at A0245.)
    Contrary to Item 105’s directive, M&T’s explanation of the
    regulatory review process offered no details and no more than
    “[g]eneric or boilerplate discussions [that] do not [explain] . . .
    the risks.” Silverstrand, 707 F.3d at 103.
    Indeed, M&T’s generic statement about money
    laundering compliance is not far from the risk statement
    offered in SEC guidance as inadequate. As recommended by
    the SEC’s guidance, M&T should have “specifically link[ed]”
    its general statements to “each risk to [its] industry, company,
    or investment” using details that connected the pending merger
    review to its existing and anticipated business lines. 13 SEC
    Legal Bulletin No. 7, 
    1999 WL 34984247
    , at *6. But such
    concise and plain discussions of the significance of regulatory
    review, framed in the context of M&T’s particular business
    and industry, are absent from the Joint Proxy. As a result, the
    Shareholders have plausibly alleged that had M&T disclosed
    the state of its BSA/AML program in the context of regulatory
    scrutiny that program would face, “there is a substantial
    likelihood that a reasonable shareholder would [have]
    consider[ed] it important in deciding how to vote.” 14 Seinfeld,
    13
    The only specificity on the subject appears in M&T’s
    incorporated 2011 Annual Report stating, in sharp contrast,
    that it had in place “approved policies and procedures believed
    to comply with the USA Patriot Act.” (App. at A1028.)
    14
    M&T insists that even if the Proxy Statement
    warnings could insufficiently state the BSA/AML deficiencies,
    28
    
    461 F.3d at 369
    .
    M&T’s discussions about the problems surrounding its
    consumer checking practice are likewise deficient. Here, the
    Shareholders claim that M&T was, in fact, aware of the
    malpractice. The Second Amended Complaint alleges that
    M&T’s faulty practice—first offering free checking, then
    switching customers to accounts carrying fees—pre-dated the
    merger agreement. The Joint Proxy did not mention the non-
    compliant practice or the company’s steps to remediate the
    action. And unlike the BSA/AML deficiencies, M&T did not
    later attempt to cure its omission—even as it became aware that
    the merger faced indefinite delays upon learning of the
    regulatory investigation into the BSA/AML deficiencies. The
    Shareholders ask that we infer that the consumer checking
    practices cast doubt on M&T’s controls and compliance
    systems, and posed an independent regulatory risk to the
    merger material enough that a reasonable shareholder would
    consider it important in deciding how to vote. On these facts,
    that inference is reasonable.
    at least the “supplemental disclosures” ensured that “no
    reasonable shareholder would have been misled about the
    regulatory hurdles the merger faced.” (Response Br. at 35.) But
    the supplemental disclosures plausibly failed to cure the defect
    that had already occurred given the omitted risks—both on the
    lateness of its release and the sufficiency of the information
    conveyed. Least to say, the effect of the supplemental
    disclosures raises an issue of fact, which precludes dismissal
    for now.
    29
    iv.    Concision is Not Clairvoyance
    M&T contends that this appeal “presents the question
    whether filers of stock-based merger proxies are obligated, . . .
    to predict regulatory action before it occurs.” (Appellees’
    Supp. Br. at 1.) Indeed, Item 105 does not. Another regulation,
    Item 103, does require disclosure of potential or present
    litigation or regulatory enforcement. 
    17 CFR § 229.103
    . So the
    “risk factors” requiring disclosure under Item 105 are separate
    from legal risks under Item 103. But M&T’s contention
    assumes that only risks that are, or later blossom into,
    regulatory enforcement actions require disclosure. Item 105 is
    not so narrowly drawn, and we cannot read a line into the law
    where one does not exist. See Rotkiske v. Klemm, 
    140 S. Ct. 355
    , 360–61 (2019) (“It is a fundamental principle of statutory
    interpretation that ‘absent provision[s] cannot be supplied by
    the courts.’”) (quoting Scalia & Garner, supra, at 94).
    To be clear, we do not hold that the regulatory
    enforcement actions by themselves required M&T to disclose
    these issues. 15 Later litigation or regulatory enforcement does
    15
    Our decision in General Electric Co. v. Cathcart does
    not aid M&T. In Cathcart, we held that “speculative disclosure
    [of potential legal claims] is not required under Section 14(a).”
    980 F.2d at 935. But Cathcart arose from the alleged failure to
    disclose hypothetical future legal claims, particularly claims
    against individual directors and officers—not against the
    company itself. Id. at 935–36. We concluded that the
    defendants had no duty to disclose potential liability without
    pending or threatened litigation. Id. at 931. In doing so, we
    found that a reasonable shareholder would not find the
    30
    not create a retroactive duty to disclose. But like the defendants
    in Silverstrand, M&T knew the regulators would be looking
    into its compliance program, and specifically its BSA/AML
    effectiveness. They said so themselves. And they knew the
    failure to obtain regulatory approval would be significant,
    possibly fatal, to the merger. Yet, unlike the defendants in City
    of Pontiac, M&T offered little more than generic statements
    about the process of regulatory review. The Shareholders also
    allege that M&T knew that its consumer checking program
    skirted regulatory standards, as they claim M&T curtailed its
    misconduct shortly after signing the merger agreement. Like
    BSA/AML compliance, we can infer this practice posed a
    separate and significant regulatory risk to the merger, as
    personal checking is a principal business component of any
    possibility of future claims against directors and officers to be
    material—as opposed to litigation against the company—
    unless it ripened into pending or threatened litigation. Id. at
    936–37 (concluding that otherwise requiring General Electric
    to disclose potential litigation against all of its 280,000
    employees would “bury the shareholders in [an] avalanche of
    trivial information”). And Cathcart distinguished its
    determination of materiality in the context of liability of
    directors and officers from materiality in the context of
    mergers, “in which the shareholders would understandably
    focus on the operation of the company as a whole.” Id. at 937.
    Here, it was not the future threat of regulatory action that
    triggered the need for disclosure under Item 105. Rather, it was
    the failure to disclose the risks associated with the compliance
    program. It is thus plausible to conclude that a reasonable
    shareholder would consider the failure of M&T’s internal
    compliance program on these issues to be a material element
    about the company’s operations.
    31
    consumer bank. And so regulatory review of a bank’s
    consumer checking practices as part of a merger would not be
    unexpected. But whether M&T had actual knowledge of the
    shortcomings in its BSA/AML compliance or its consumer
    checking practices is of no moment; it is the risk to the merger
    posed by the regulatory inspection itself that triggered the need
    for disclosures under Item 105. And the Shareholders have
    stated allegations that support a reasonable inference that the
    omission of information related to these risks was material, as
    evidenced by the threat to the merger caused by the
    pervasiveness of these deficiencies. This theory may not
    survive discovery, but it is enough for plaintiffs to meet their
    pleading burden.
    As a result, the Second Amended Complaint plausibly
    alleges that the BSA/AML deficiencies and consumer
    checking practices posed significant risks to the merger before
    M&T issued the Joint Proxy. And based on these allegations,
    it’s also plausible that disclosing the weaknesses present in
    M&T’s BSA/AML and consumer compliance programs
    “would have been viewed by the reasonable investor as having
    significantly altered the total mix of information made
    available.” EP Medsystems, Inc., 
    235 F.3d at 872
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted). Thus, the Shareholders have met
    their pleading burden.
    B.     The Shareholders Allege No Misleading Opinions
    We agree with the District Court that the Shareholders
    failed to allege an actionably misleading opinion statement.
    The Supreme Court’s decision in Omnicare provides the
    relevant framework, holding that an opinion statement is
    misleading if it “omits material facts” about the “inquiry into
    32
    or knowledge concerning a statement of opinion.” 575 U.S. at
    189. But liability attaches only “if those facts conflict with
    what a reasonable investor would take from the statement
    itself.” Id. Alleging an actionable claim under this theory “is
    no small task,” id. at 194, because a reasonable investor
    “understand[s] that opinions sometimes rest on a weighing of
    competing facts; indeed, the presence of such facts is one
    reason why an issuer may frame a statement as an opinion.” 16
    Id. at 189–90.
    The Shareholders’ allegations do not meet this rigorous
    benchmark. First, they point to M&T’s opinion on when it
    believed the merger might close and the state of its BSA/AML
    compliance program in its 2011 Annual Report. 17 The
    16
    We have not considered whether Omnicare applies to
    claims brought under the Exchange Act and under
    Section 14(a). But it is unnecessary to resolve that question
    here. Even assuming Omnicare’s holding applies, the
    Shareholders have failed to allege an actionably misleading
    opinion.
    17
    The Joint Proxy states that “[a]lthough we currently
    believe we should be able to obtain all required regulatory
    approvals in a timely manner, we cannot be certain when or if
    we will obtain them or, if obtained, whether they will contain
    terms, conditions or restrictions not currently contemplated
    that will be detrimental to or have a material adverse effect on
    M&T or its subsidiaries after the completion of the merger.”
    (App. at A1009 (emphasis added); see also App. at A1017).) It
    adds “[t]he Registrant and its impacted subsidiaries have
    approved policies and procedures that are believed to be
    33
    Shareholders argue both are misleading because the opinions
    turned out to be wrong. But Omnicare rejected that premise,
    holding “a[] [plaintiff] cannot state a claim by alleging only
    that an opinion was wrong . . . .” 575 U.S. at 194. As there is
    no allegation that M&T offered an insincere opinion, it “is not
    an untrue statement of material fact, regardless [of] whether an
    investor can ultimately prove the belief wrong.” Id. at 186
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Second, the Shareholders allege the Joint Proxy omitted
    facts about the process M&T followed to form its opinions.
    They allege, again in conclusory fashion, that M&T and
    Hudson acted negligently in reviewing M&T’s compliance
    program. The Second Amended Complaint alleges that while
    “M&T conducted intensive due diligence” of Hudson “from
    June 2012 through August 27, 2012,” by contrast, Hudson did
    not begin its “reverse due diligence” until August 20, 2012,
    which lasted “at most five business days.” (App. at A0935.)
    These efforts, the Shareholders allege, were not enough, and
    show that the opinion statements were insufficient. But the
    Shareholders omit particular facts about the banks’ conduct.
    To begin, the Joint Proxy disclosed the duration of the
    due diligence efforts. “[T]o avoid exposure for omissions,” a
    speaker “need only divulge an opinion’s basis, or else make
    clear the real tentativeness of its belief.” Omnicare, 575 U.S.
    at 195. Thus, even if a reasonable investor would have
    expected the banks to conduct diligence over a longer period,
    the Joint Proxy provided enough information to understand
    what the banks did, information enough to decide how to vote.
    compliant with the USA Patriot Act.” (App. at A1028
    (emphasis added).)
    34
    And, in any event, general allegations of negligence do not
    suffice. See id. at 195–96. In all, the opinions flowed from the
    Joint Proxy’s description of the increased scrutiny across the
    industry. Cautionary language surrounds the opinions, warning
    of the uncertainty of projections about regulatory approval.
    Under Omnicare, these opinions inform, rather than mislead, a
    reasonable investor. And so we will affirm the District Court’s
    dismissal of the Shareholders’ misleading opinion claims.
    IV. CONCLUSION
    We conclude with caveats, cautions, and qualms. First,
    that the Shareholders have adequately pleaded facts that, if
    true, might warrant remedy naturally says nothing at this stage
    of the litigation about their ultimate truth. Second, that M&T
    might have pursued different choices managing its business is
    not the focus of our decision. Rather, it is that M&T had an
    obligation to speak concisely about the risks surrounding their
    plans.
    Finally, our application of now well-established
    principles of securities fraud class actions does not alleviate
    our worry over the many well-argued doubts about these kinds
    of aggregate claims. See, e.g., John C. Coffee, Jr., Reforming
    the Securities Class Action: An Essay on Deterrence and Its
    Implementation, 
    106 Colum. L. Rev. 1534
    , 1536 (2006)
    (explaining “class actions produce wealth transfers among
    shareholders that neither compensate nor deter”). Despite
    reams of academic study, steady questions from the courts, and
    periodic Congressional attention, the number of securities class
    35
    actions continues to rise each year. 18 Whether that tide
    represents an efficient current or “muddled logic and armchair
    economics,” Halliburton, 573 U.S. at 297 (Thomas, J.,
    concurring), is the sort of question that deserves a more
    searching inquiry. In the meantime, we will affirm the District
    Court’s dismissal of the Shareholders’ claims that M&T made
    misleading opinion statements, and vacate the dismissal of the
    claims about M&T’s risk disclosure obligations.
    18
    “Since 2012, securities-fraud suits have steadily
    increased each year; most recently, there was a 7.5% year-
    over-year increase in 2016 and an additional 15.1% jump in
    2017.” Congress, the Supreme Court, and the Rise of
    Securities-Fraud Class Actions, 
    132 Harv. L. Rev. 1067
    , 1070
    (2019) (citing Cornerstone Research, Securities Class Action
    Filings: 2017 Year in Review 39 (2018)).
    36