United Refining Co v. EPA ( 2023 )


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  •                                       PRECEDENTIAL
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE THIRD CIRCUIT
    _______________________
    No. 21-3218
    _______________________
    UNITED REFINING COMPANY,
    Petitioner
    v.
    UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
    AGENCY
    _______________________
    On Petition for Review of a Decision of the
    Environmental Protection Agency
    __________________________
    Argued December 14, 2022
    Before: RESTREPO, McKEE, and SMITH,
    Circuit Judges
    (Filed April 5, 2023)
    Mark W. DeLaquil [Argued]
    Baker & Hostetler
    1050 Connecticut Avenue, N.W.
    Suite 1100
    Washington, DC 20036
    Counsel for Petitioner
    Patrick R. Jacobi [Argued]
    United States Department of Justice
    Environmental Defense Section
    999 18th Street
    South Terrace, Suite 370
    Denver, CO 80202
    Counsel for Respondent
    __________________________
    OPINION OF THE COURT
    __________________________
    SMITH, Circuit Judge.
    Petitioner United Refining Co. (“United”) challenges
    the Environmental Protection Agency’s (“EPA”) denial of
    United’s request for a hardship exemption from EPA’s
    Renewable Fuel Standard program. United chiefly argues that
    EPA arbitrarily relied on what United characterizes as an
    “accounting trick” that artificially inflated United’s running
    average net refining margin and thus led EPA to deny United’s
    2
    exemption request. We are not persuaded that this
    discretionary agency decision—or any other aspect of EPA’s
    decision-making process that United now challenges on
    review—provides a basis for setting aside EPA’s denial of
    United’s exemption request. We will, therefore, deny United’s
    petition for review.
    I.     Background
    A. Statutory and Regulatory Framework
    The Renewable Fuel Standard (“RFS”) program
    requires gasoline and diesel fuel refiners, blenders, and
    importers (“obligated parties”) to ensure that a certain portion
    of their annual transportation fuel production consists of
    renewable fuels. Congress authorized the creation of the RFS
    program in 2005 with the long term goal of shifting the United
    States toward greater reliance on sustainable domestically-
    produced energy. See Energy Policy Act of 2005, Pub. L. No.
    109–58, § 1501, 119 Stat 594, 1067–76 (2005) (codified at 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)). The statute set out annual target volumes of
    renewable fuel production for each year through 2022. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(2)(B)(i). For the purpose of the statute, the
    category of renewable fuels includes biodiesel, biogas, ethanol,
    and certain other fuels produced from biomass. 
    Id.
     §
    7545(o)(1)(B)–(F). Congress tasked EPA with enacting
    regulations to bring about a gradual increase in the volume of
    renewable transportation fuel sold in the continental United
    States. Id. § 7545(o)(2)(A)(i).
    3
    1. How the RFS program works
    Under the RFS program, EPA annually sets standards
    dictating, in percentage terms, what component of each
    obligated party’s transportation fuel production must consist of
    renewable fuels. Id. § 7545(o)(3). For example, EPA’s 2019
    standards required renewable fuels to comprise 10.97 percent
    of each obligated party’s transportation fuel output. See
    Renewable Fuel Standard Program: Standards for 2019 and
    Biomass-Based Diesel Volume for 2020, 
    83 Fed. Reg. 63,740
    –
    41 (Dec. 11, 2018). All obligated parties must meet the same
    percentage threshold.
    EPA has created a credit-trading system to track
    compliance with the RFS program using Renewable
    Identification Numbers (“RINs”). See 
    40 C.F.R. § 80.1401
    ; 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(5)(A) (authorizing creation of credit trading
    program). A RIN is a unique serial number assigned to each
    gallon of renewable fuel that is produced in or imported to the
    United States. 
    40 C.F.R. § 80.1426
    . Each RIN remains
    associated with a discrete gallon of renewable fuel until the
    fuel’s owner “separates” the RIN from the fuel. 
    Id.
     § 80.1429.
    Once a RIN is separated from the fuel, it becomes a fungible
    credit that an obligated party may redeem with EPA (or, in the
    agency’s parlance, “retire”) or transfer to another private party.
    Id. §§ 80.1427, 80.1429(c)–(e); 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(5)(A).
    An obligated party demonstrates compliance with the
    RFS program by annually redeeming a quantity of RINs equal
    to its renewable fuel obligations under the RFS program. 
    40 C.F.R. § 80.1427
    , 80.1451. An obligated party may generate
    enough RINs to satisfy its RFS obligations simply by
    4
    producing renewable fuels or by purchasing and blending
    renewable fuels into conventional transportation fuel. An
    obligated party also may purchase additional RINs on the
    market. If an obligated party produces or purchases more RINs
    than it needs, it may sell the excess RINs to other private
    parties. But RINs are time-limited, and “may only be used to
    demonstrate [RFS] compliance . . . for the calendar year in
    which they were generated or the following calendar year.” 
    Id.
    § 80.1427(a)(6)(i).
    2. Exemptions for small refineries
    Recognizing that refineries with limited production
    capacity lack economies of scale and so would face additional
    hurdles in complying with the RFS program, Congress
    authorized EPA to waive the requirements of the RFS program
    for small refineries. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(9). The statute defines
    “small refinery” to mean any refinery with a maximum
    production capacity of 75,000 or fewer barrels per day. 
    Id.
     §
    7545(o)(1)(K). Congress initially exempted all small refineries
    from their RFS compliance obligations until 2011. Id.
    § 7545(o)(9)(A)(i). Congress tasked the Department of Energy
    (“DOE”) with studying “whether compliance with [the RFS
    program] would impose a disproportionate economic hardship
    on small refineries.” Id. § 7545(o)(9)(A)(ii)(I). Congress
    instructed EPA to consider the results of DOE’s study and, if
    the agency identified potential disproportionate hardships on
    small refineries, to extend the small refinery exemption beyond
    2011. Id. § 7545(o)(9)(A)(ii)(II). In the alternative, Congress
    authorized EPA to grant temporary discretionary exemptions
    to any small refineries for whom compliance with the RFS
    5
    program would present a “disproportionate economic
    hardship.” Id. § 7545(o)(9)(B)(i). During the period at issue
    here, EPA had allowed the blanket exemption for all small
    refineries to lapse and considered each individual refinery’s
    hardship exemption petition on a case-by-case basis.
    The practical effect of a hardship exemption is that the
    exempt refinery need not comply with EPA’s renewable fuel
    standards for the year of exemption and so need not redeem
    any RINs for that year. If a refinery has produced or purchased
    RINs while its exemption petition is pending before the
    agency, the exemption enables it to sell those unneeded RINs
    to other parties. On the flip side, if a refinery has not produced
    or purchased any RINs or has produced or purchased too few
    RINs to meet its compliance obligations, the exemption spares
    it the expense of purchasing RINs. In either event, a hardship
    exemption represents a significant benefit to the refinery.
    3. How EPA evaluates small refinery exemption
    petitions
    To receive a hardship exemption, a small refinery must
    submit to EPA a petition demonstrating “disproportionate
    economic hardship.” 
    40 C.F.R. § 80.1441
    (e)(2). The petition
    “must specify the factors that demonstrate a disproportionate
    economic hardship and must provide a detailed discussion
    regarding the hardship the refinery would face” if it were
    forced to comply with the RFS program. 
    Id.
     § 80.1441(e)(2)(i).
    EPA regulations thus require the refinery to provide all
    relevant data to the agency. But the regulations do not require
    the refinery to support its petition with legal arguments, nor do
    6
    they prescribe any additional actions that the refinery may take
    after submitting the exemption petition.
    EPA evaluates hardship petitions “in consultation with
    the Secretary of Energy” and considers DOE’s research on the
    economic hardships faced by small refineries as well as “other
    economic factors.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(9)(B). EPA refers each
    exemption petition to DOE, which in turn scores the petition
    on a matrix (the “DOE Matrix”). The DOE Matrix aims to
    capture DOE’s aforementioned findings on the RFS program’s
    economic effects on small refineries. The DOE Matrix scores
    a refinery along several different metrics, such as the refinery’s
    production capacity, its financial condition, its access to capital
    and other lines of business, the effect of state regulations on its
    operations, and the effect of the RFS program on the refinery’s
    operations and competitiveness. DOE scores each metric
    between 0 and 10 and then aggregates the scores to yield two
    overarching indices: one index designed to capture the
    disproportionate structural impact of regulation on the refinery
    and one index designed to capture the refinery’s business
    viability. DOE recommends that EPA grant a full exemption to
    refineries earning a score greater than 1 on both indices, a 50
    percent exemption to refineries earning a score greater than 1
    on one index, or no exemption to refineries that earn a score
    less than 1 on both indices. After reviewing DOE’s
    recommendation, EPA decides whether to grant the exemption
    petition and then notifies the refinery of its decision. Unlike
    DOE, EPA has construed § 7545 to authorize only a full
    exemption or no exemption and thus does not grant 50 percent
    exemptions even when DOE recommends that it do so. For
    example, in the 2018 compliance year, EPA granted full
    7
    exemptions to all refineries for which DOE recommended a 50
    percent exemption.
    Of particular relevance to this case, one metric that DOE
    considers when evaluating hardship petitions is the refinery’s
    “relative refining margin.” This metric compares the refinery’s
    average net profit per barrel for the previous three compliance
    years against the industry average net profit per barrel over the
    same period. A refinery whose net profit per barrel was above
    the industry average receives a score of 0; a refinery whose net
    profit per barrel was positive but below the industry average
    receives a score of 5; and a refinery whose net profit per barrel
    was negative receives a score of 10.
    B. United’s Petition
    United operates a small refinery in Pennsylvania and
    produces fuel that it sells in Pennsylvania, New York, and
    Ohio. United has periodically sought and received hardship
    exemptions since the creation of the RFS program, most
    recently in the 2017 and 2018 compliance years. United
    acquired 2017 and 2018 RINs before EPA granted its
    exemption petitions for those years. EPA delayed granting the
    2017 and 2018 exemption petitions, and United retained its
    RINs while its petitions were under review. EPA eventually
    granted United’s 2017 and 2018 exemption petitions in early
    2019. United then sold its 2017 and 2018 RINs.
    In 2019, as in previous years, United sought an
    exemption from the requirements of the RFS program. But
    rather than accepting the data in United’s petition at face
    value—as it apparently had done in previous years—EPA
    8
    responded by asking United to “let [EPA] know how United
    [had] accounted for the financial benefit of its 2018 RFS
    exemption.” J.A. 249. Specifically, EPA asked United to
    explain whether it sold “any 2017 or 2018 RINs that were
    [subject to] the [2018] exemption, and if so, where in the
    margin spreadsheet were the sale proceeds included.” J.A. 249.
    In response, United submitted an amended financial
    statement which explained that revenue from RINs generated
    in a particular year was included in net revenues for that year,
    even if the RINs in fact were sold in a later calendar year. The
    revised financial statement listed United’s proceeds from the
    sale of 2017 and 2018 RINs as separate line items in the
    financial statements for 2017 and 2018, respectively. United’s
    updated accounting resulted in higher net refining margins for
    2017 and 2018 as compared to United’s originally submitted
    financial statement, but a lower net refining margin for 2019.
    Notably, the DOE Matrix considers a refinery’s average
    refining margin for the three years before the year of the
    petition, which in this case meant looking to United’s (high)
    margins from 2016 through 2018 and disregarding its (low)
    2019 margin. As a result, United’s amended figures showed a
    three-year refining margin that was higher than the margin in
    United’s original submission and, crucially, higher than the
    industry average for that period.
    EPA referred United’s amended submission to DOE,
    which evaluated United’s submission under the DOE Matrix.
    Three of DOE’s scoring determinations are relevant to this
    appeal. First, DOE found that United’s amended financial
    statements placed its three-year refining margin above the
    9
    industry average and therefore warranted a score of 0 for that
    metric. Second, DOE assigned United scores of 0 for the access
    to capital and other lines of business metrics because United is
    a direct subsidiary of Red Apple Group, a large private
    corporation with diversified business activities. Finally, DOE
    assigned United a score of 0 for the state regulations metric
    because United is located in Pennsylvania, a state that does not
    impose exceptionally restrictive regulations on refineries.
    Based on these scores and United’s scores on the rest of the
    DOE Matrix, DOE at first recommended that United not
    receive a hardship exemption.
    DOE subsequently changed its recommendation to
    account for the effects of COVID-19. Recognizing that the
    pandemic caused widespread disruption to global energy
    markets, DOE updated its recommendation and suggested that
    United receive a 50 percent exemption for the 2019 compliance
    year.
    EPA was less forgiving—it denied United any
    exemption. Though EPA noted that DOE’s updated
    recommendation accounted for the effects of COVID-19, EPA
    declined to consider events “that did not emerge until 2020, the
    year after the petition in question.” J.A. 11 n.3 (emphasis in
    original). EPA accepted the rest of DOE’s recommendation
    and determined that United was not entitled to a hardship
    exemption for the 2019 compliance year.
    II.    Jurisdiction
    United timely filed its petition for review. We have
    jurisdiction to review EPA’s order pursuant to 
    42 U.S.C. § 10
    7607(b)(1). Venue is proper because EPA’s order pertained to
    United’s refinery in Pennsylvania. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1).
    III.   Discussion
    We review EPA’s action applying the Administrative
    Procedure Act (“APA”), under which we will set aside EPA’s
    order if it was “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or
    otherwise not in accordance with law.” 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A).
    Under this standard, we ask whether the agency has “failed to
    consider an important aspect of the problem,” whether the
    agency’s decision is “unreasoned,” or whether the agency has
    “relied on factors which Congress has not intended it to
    consider.” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of U.S., Inc. v. State
    Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983). We also ask
    whether the agency’s decision is supported by sufficient
    “relevant evidence as a reasonable mind might accept as
    adequate to support a conclusion.” Biestek v. Berryhill, 
    139 S. Ct. 1148
    , 1154 (2019) (cleaned up). But we may not “substitute
    [our] judgment for that of the agency,” and will uphold the
    agency’s decision so long as it was reasonable. Citizens to
    Pres. Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe, 
    401 U.S. 402
    , 416 (1971).
    Here, none of United’s challenges to the denial of its 2019
    exemption petition is persuasive under the APA’s narrow
    standard of review.
    A. EPA reasonably attributed RIN sale revenue to
    the year of generation rather than the year of
    sale.
    The gravamen of United’s petition for review is that
    EPA acted arbitrarily and capriciously by attributing United’s
    11
    proceeds from selling 2017 and 2018 RINs to the years in
    which the RINs were generated even though United sold the
    RINs in 2019. On review before this Court, EPA argues that
    United forfeited this challenge by failing to object to EPA’s
    accounting methodology during the proceeding before the
    agency. We reject EPA’s forfeiture argument and so consider
    United’s objection on the merits. But on the merits, United’s
    challenge fails.
    1. United did not forfeit its objection to EPA’s
    accounting method.
    To start, United did not forfeit its objection to EPA’s
    decision to attribute RIN sale revenue to the year of generation
    because RFS exemption petitions do not require issue
    exhaustion. As a general matter, “federal appellate courts do
    not consider issues that have not been passed on by the
    agency,” as it would be unfair to force the agency to litigate
    issues that it did not have the opportunity to address in the first
    instance. Sw. Pa. Growth All. v. Browner, 
    121 F.3d 106
    , 112
    (3d Cir. 1997) (cleaned up). But this is only a “general rule.”
    United States v. L.A. Tucker Truck Lines, Inc., 
    344 U.S. 33
    , 37
    (1952). Most “requirements of administrative issue exhaustion
    are . . . creatures of statute” or agency regulations. Sims v.
    Apfel, 
    530 U.S. 103
    , 107 (2000). And where, as here, there is
    no statutory or regulatory requirement that a litigant raise an
    issue in front of the agency before seeking judicial review of
    that issue, the decision of whether to impose an issue
    exhaustion requirement “is a matter of sound judicial
    discretion.” Cerro Metal Prods. v. Marshall, 
    620 F.2d 964
    , 970
    (3d Cir. 1980).
    12
    When deciding whether to impose an issue exhaustion
    requirement in the absence of a statutory directive, we look to
    “the nature of the claim presented,” the “characteristics of the
    particular administrative procedure” at issue, and the
    competing individual and governmental interests at play. Cirko
    ex rel. Cirko v. Comm’r of Soc. Sec., 
    948 F.3d 148
    , 153 (3d
    Cir. 2020) (cleaned up). But we do not weigh these factors
    equally, and Supreme Court precedent teaches that the
    characteristics of the proceeding—that is, whether the
    proceeding is more like a common law adversarial proceeding
    or a civil law inquisitorial proceeding—predominate. See Carr
    v. Saul, 
    141 S. Ct. 1352
    , 1360 (2021) (treating the
    characteristics of the proceeding as dispositive). This stands to
    reason, as “[t]he basis for a judicially imposed issue-
    exhaustion requirement is an analogy to the rule that appellate
    courts will not consider arguments not raised before trial
    courts.” Sims, 
    530 U.S. at 109
    . And “[t]he critical feature that
    distinguishes adversarial proceedings from inquisitorial ones is
    whether claimants bear the responsibility to develop issues for
    adjudicators’ consideration.” Carr, 141 S. Ct. at 1358.
    Here, the character of the hardship exemption
    proceeding tilts decidedly against imposing an issue
    exhaustion requirement, as a refinery petitioning for RFS
    exemption bears no responsibility—indeed, has no
    opportunity—to develop legal issues in front of the agency. A
    refinery bears the initial burden of submitting a petition that
    “specif[ies] the factors that demonstrate a disproportionate
    economic hardship” under the DOE Matrix and discusses “the
    hardship the refinery would face in” complying with the RFS
    program. See 
    40 C.F.R. § 80.1441
    (e)(2)(i). But this
    13
    information is purely factual, and a refinery need not submit
    any legal arguments in support of its petition. After the refinery
    has submitted the petition, the ball is in EPA’s court: EPA
    develops the administrative record, coordinates with DOE to
    assess the submission under the DOE Matrix, reviews DOE’s
    recommendation, and decides whether to grant or deny the
    requested exemption. At no point in the proceeding does EPA
    ask for oral or written arguments on whether the refinery ought
    to be exempt from the RFS program. Indeed, United avers that
    it was unaware of EPA’s choice of accounting methodology
    until EPA issued a final decision denying United’s exemption
    petition.
    In this respect, RFS exemption petitions are similar to
    the Social Security ALJ proceedings that the Supreme Court,
    like this Court, determined to be non-adversarial. Like a small
    refinery seeking exemption from the RFS program, a Social
    Security claimant bears the initial burden of submitting a form
    that articulates the basis for relief. Carr, 141 S. Ct. at 1359.
    And as with an RFS exemption petition, the rest of a Social
    Security appeal is “driven by the agency rather than the
    claimant” insofar as the agency adjudicator bears the burden of
    developing issues. Cirko, 948 F.3d at 156. To be sure, an RFS
    exemption request is longer and more factually complex than
    the “roughly three lines” available for a Social Security
    claimant to state his case. Carr, 141 S. Ct. at 1359. But length
    alone does not alter the fundamental balance between a
    petitioner who is responsible for providing initial data and an
    agency that is, thereafter, responsible for everything else. Thus,
    RFS exemption petitions, no less than Social Security appeals,
    14
    are inquisitorial in character and do not give rise to an issue
    exhaustion requirement.
    To be sure, certain other factors counsel for requiring
    issue exhaustion in the RFS exemption petition context. Most
    notably, the nature of United’s claim—an APA challenge to
    the reasonableness of the agency’s action—is of the sort that
    EPA ought to pass on in the first instance. While “agency
    adjudications are generally ill suited to address structural
    constitutional challenges,” Carr, 141 S. Ct. at 1360, they are
    generally well suited to address challenges to agency actions
    that “involve[] exercise of the agency’s discretionary power or
    . . . allow the agency to apply its special expertise,” McCarthy
    v. Madigan, 
    503 U.S. 140
    , 145 (1992). Nor would it have been
    futile for United to challenge EPA’s accounting methodology
    in the context of the agency proceeding, as it is well within
    EPA’s authority to reconsider its approach to adjudicating RFS
    exemption petitions. See Carr, 141 S. Ct. at 1361 (noting that
    “futility exception to exhaustion requirements” applies when
    adjudicator is “powerless to grant the relief requested”). In a
    different context, these factors might “tip the scales” in favor
    of imposing an exhaustion requirement. Id. at 1360. But they
    do not overcome the basic unfairness of preventing a regulated
    party from litigating an issue that it had neither the obligation
    nor the opportunity to raise during the agency proceeding.
    We therefore hold that United has not forfeited its
    ability to challenge EPA’s method of accounting for RIN sale
    proceeds.
    15
    2. Attributing RIN sales to the year of generation
    was reasonable.
    As a threshold matter, we are not convinced that EPA
    ever decided to attribute United’s RIN sale revenue to the year
    of generation rather than the year of sale. EPA merely asked
    United to explain “how United [had] accounted for the
    financial benefit of its 2018 RFS exemption,” including
    whether United sold “any 2017 or 2018 RINs” and “where in
    the margin spreadsheet” it had accounted for proceeds from
    those sales. J.A. 249. Rather than provide narrow clarifying
    answers to the questions posed, United chose to respond to this
    request for explanation by submitting an updated financial
    statement. And it was this amended financial statement that,
    for the first time, “assume[d] that RINS associated with” a
    given calendar year “were sold and included in net revenue in”
    that year. J.A. 415. Thus it was United, not EPA, that decided
    to attribute RIN sale proceeds to the year of generation. In this
    respect, EPA’s reliance on United’s recalculated financial
    statement seems less a choice of accounting methodology than
    a decision to take the refinery’s most up-to-date submission at
    face value.
    In any event, it was reasonable to determine that
    attributing RIN sale revenue to the year of generation would
    provide the best picture of a refinery’s economic situation. As
    our sister circuits have recognized, “EPA retains substantial
    discretion to decide how to evaluate hardship petitions.”
    Hermes Consol., LLC v. E.P.A., 
    787 F.3d 568
    , 575 (D.C.
    Cir. 2015); see also Lion Oil Co. v. E.P.A., 
    792 F.3d 978
    , 983
    (8th Cir. 2015). EPA faced a choice between attributing RIN
    16
    sale proceeds to the year in which the RINs were sold or the
    year in which the RINs were generated. The former accounting
    method provides a more accurate depiction of a refinery’s
    actual annual cash flows. But the latter accounting method,
    which generally attributes the income from RIN sales to the
    same year in which the refinery incurred costs to generate those
    RINs, provides a more accurate depiction of the refinery’s
    financial health if it were excluded from the RFS program in
    the first instance. Either insight strikes us as a defensible way
    to determine whether compliance with the RFS program
    “would impose a disproportionate economic hardship” on the
    refinery, 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(9)(A)(ii)(I), as the statute
    instructs EPA to do, 
    id.
     § 7545(o)(9)(B)(ii). And “it is the
    agency’s prerogative to choose between two competing,
    justifiable . . . considerations.” Stardyne, Inc. v. N.L.R.B., 
    41 F.3d 141
    , 148 n.6 (3d Cir. 1994).
    At bottom, United’s argument hinges on an assumption
    that the original financial statement that it submitted to EPA—
    which attributed RIN sale revenues to the year of sale rather
    than the year of generation—represented the refinery’s
    authentic financial situation without agency meddling. But one
    could equally argue that the opposite is true. United’s original
    financial statement reflected the fact that United used some of
    its 2017 and 2018 income to purchase RINs—themselves a
    creature of EPA regulations—and that United then realized
    income from selling those RINs in 2019. In this respect, even
    United’s original financial statement reflected the effect of
    EPA regulations on the firm’s financial situation. By contrast,
    United’s updated financial statement reallocated certain line
    items to approximate the refinery’s balance sheet in the
    17
    absence of the RFS program and thereby provided an insight
    into the refinery’s financial situation in a pre-regulation state
    of nature. At the very least, United’s updated financial
    statement was no less authentic a depiction of the refinery’s
    financial health than was its original financial statement.
    EPA’s approach also enabled “apples-to-apples”
    comparisons among small refineries. Broadly speaking, a small
    refinery must choose between two strategies for RFS
    compliance. On the one hand, the refinery can produce or
    purchase RINs throughout the year with the plan of selling
    those RINs if and when EPA grants its exemption petition. On
    the other hand, the refinery can hold off on producing or
    purchasing RINs and hope to purchase any necessary RINs if
    and when EPA denies its exemption petition. A refinery
    adopting this latter strategy would have comparatively higher
    margins in earlier years due to its lack of RFS compliance costs
    and lower margins in subsequent years due to its lack of
    income from RIN sales. A fair and consistent outcome requires
    EPA to adopt some sort of methodology to standardize profits
    between otherwise similarly situated small refineries that
    happen to have adopted divergent compliance strategies. In
    allocating United’s RIN sale proceeds to the year of
    generation, EPA has done just that.
    Nor did attributing RIN sales to the year of generation
    prevent a fair comparison between United’s margins and the
    overall industry average. To be sure, most refineries are not
    exempt from the RFS program and so must bear the full cost
    of RFS compliance each year. Like those non-exempt
    refineries, United incurred RFS compliance costs during 2017
    18
    and 2018. But unlike those refineries, United was able to offset
    its compliance costs by selling 2017 and 2018 RINs after
    receiving RFS exemptions for those years. EPA reasonably
    viewed this benefit as a relevant consideration when assessing
    how United’s refining margin—a heuristic for the refinery’s
    overall financial stability—stacked up against the competition.
    To the extent that EPA’s request for United to account
    for its proceeds from RIN sales represented a change in agency
    practice, any such change was permissible. EPA has never
    promulgated a rule on how to account for RIN sales in
    calculating refining margins. Nor was EPA obligated to issue
    such a rule or guidance in advance, as agencies retain “the
    informed discretion” to implement policy via discrete
    adjudications rather than broad-based rulemaking. Sec. &
    Exch. Comm’n v. Chenery Corp., 
    332 U.S. 194
    , 203 (1947).
    EPA faced a decision between two possible methods of
    carrying out its statutory directive to safeguard small refineries
    from any “disproportionate economic hardship” imposed by
    the RFS program. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(9)(A)(ii)(I). The
    agency’s choice—to attribute United’s RIN sale proceeds to
    the year in which the RINs were generated—was a reasonable
    means of accomplishing that task. We ask no more of an
    agency charged with administering a broad and complex
    statutory program, and will not disturb EPA’s decision.
    19
    B. EPA’s denial of United’s exemption petition was
    not otherwise arbitrary or capricious.
    1. EPA need not have considered the effect of the
    COVID-19 pandemic.
    As the D.C. Circuit has explained, “EPA retains broad
    discretion to choose which economic factors it will (and will
    not) consider” in evaluating an RFS exemption petition.
    Hermes, 
    787 F.3d at 577
     (cleaned up). And here, EPA
    reasonably exercised that discretion by declining to consider
    an economic factor that postdated the compliance year in
    question.
    Nor did EPA act arbitrarily in declining to follow
    DOE’s recommendation to consider the effect of the COVID-
    19 pandemic. To be sure, Congress instructed EPA to
    “consult[]” with DOE when evaluating RFS exemption
    petitions. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7545
    (o)(9)(B)(ii). But as our sister
    circuits have recognized, EPA need not “blindly adopt” DOE’s
    recommendations. Ergon-W. Va., Inc. v. E.P.A., 
    896 F.3d 600
    ,
    610 (4th Cir. 2018) (quoting City of Tacoma v. FERC, 
    460 F.3d 53
    , 76 (D.C. Cir. 2006)).
    2. EPA reasonably relied on DOE’s evaluation of
    United’s hardship petition.
    United argues that EPA mistakenly relied on DOE’s
    analysis of United’s business viability. Because this action
    proceeds against EPA and not against DOE, our review is
    limited to whether EPA’s reliance on DOE’s evaluation was
    arbitrary or capricious, not whether DOE’s evaluation of
    20
    United’s hardship petition was itself arbitrary or capricious.
    See Ergon-W. Va., 
    896 F.3d at 610
    . In any event, “the two
    inquiries overlap” given that the reasonableness of DOE’s
    recommendation necessarily informs our analysis of whether
    EPA reasonably relied on that recommendation. City of
    Tacoma, 
    460 F.3d at 75
    .
    United specifically challenges EPA’s reliance on three
    of DOE’s determinations. First, United argues that, because it
    sells fuel in New York and Ohio and not just in Pennsylvania,
    the agencies should have considered how consumer
    preferences and fuel regulations in New York and Ohio impact
    United’s business. Second, United argues that the agencies
    should have given more weight to certain expenses that United
    incurred from ongoing maintenance projects and an
    unanticipated shutdown of operations. Third, United objects to
    the agencies’ decision to attribute to United the capital
    characteristics and business diversification of United’s parent
    corporation.
    These arguments are unpersuasive. United does not
    argue that EPA or DOE “entirely failed to consider” the effect
    of neighboring state regulations or unexpected business events
    on a refinery’s profits, nor that the capital characteristics of a
    refinery’s parent corporation are a “factor[] which Congress
    has not intended [EPA] to consider.” State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 43
    . Rather, United objects to the manner in which the agencies
    chose to evaluate those factors when considering United’s
    exemption petition. But we may not “substitute [our] judgment
    for that of the agency” and instead may ask only whether the
    agency’s decision was reasonable. Citizens to Pres. Overton
    21
    Park, 
    401 U.S. at 416
    . And all of the agency decisions that
    United challenges satisfy that deferential standard.
    First, EPA reasonably ignored the effect of New York
    and Ohio market preferences and regulations on United’s
    business. DOE has chosen to limit its consideration of state
    regulations and market preferences to those of the state in
    which the refinery is located. This decision hardly strikes us as
    contestable given the administrative complexity that inevitably
    would ensue if DOE and EPA were to consider the regulations
    and market preferences of every state in which a refinery’s
    products are sold.
    Nor was it unreasonable for DOE and EPA to disregard
    United’s 2019 expenses associated with a capital project and
    an unplanned shutdown. DOE reasonably determined that
    United’s ongoing upgrades and maintenance were not the sort
    of short-term crisis that ought to bear on whether a refinery
    receives an RFS exemption. And DOE justifiably declined to
    consider the losses from United’s brief unplanned shutdown
    in 2019 after determining that those losses were immaterial.
    EPA’s reliance on these assessments likewise was reasonable.
    Lastly, EPA reasonably considered the capital
    characteristics and business diversification of United’s parent
    corporation when evaluating United’s access to capital and
    lines of business. United is a direct subsidiary of a large private
    refining company that owns several gas stations, produces
    other types of fuel along with transportation fuel, and ranks
    among the largest privately held corporations in the country.
    Because United “does not have a public debt rating” of its own,
    DOE sensibly looked to the parent company’s credit rating and
    22
    access to capital. J.A. 421. And because United’s parent
    company has several diversified lines of business, DOE treated
    United as having access to upstream and downstream lines of
    business and further determined that United was not “solely
    dependent on transportation fuel margins.” J.A. 422. In short,
    it was reasonable for DOE and EPA to treat a wholly owned
    subsidiary as having the capital characteristics and diversified
    business of its parent company.
    IV.    Conclusion
    For the foregoing reasons, we will deny United’s
    petition for review.
    23