Anheuser-Busch v. Schmoke ( 1996 )


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  •                                           Filed:     November 20, 1996
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
    Nos. 94-1431(L)
    Anheuser-Busch, Incorporated,
    Plaintiff - Appellant,
    versus
    Kurt L. Schmoke, etc., et al,
    Defendants - Appellees.
    O R D E R
    The Court amends its opinion filed November 13, 1996, as
    follows:
    On page 3, section 3 -- the counsel information is deleted and
    replaced with the following:
    Eric Michael Rubin, Walter E. Diercks, Jeffrey Harris,
    RUBIN, WINSTON, DIERCKS, HARRIS & COOKE, Washington,
    D.C.; John Joseph Walsh, Steven G. Brody, CADWALADER,
    WICKERSHAM & TAFT, New York, New York; Thomas M. Wood,
    IV, NEUBERGER, QUINN, GIELEN, RUBIN & GIBBER, P.A.,
    Baltimore, Maryland; P. Cameron DeVore, DAVIS, WRIGHT,
    TREMAINE, Seattle, Washington, for Appellant. Neal M.
    Janey, City Solicitor, Burton Harry Levin, Principal
    Counsel, DEPARTMENT OF LAW, Baltimore, Maryland, for
    Appellees. Richard E. Wiley, Lawrence W. Secrest, III,
    Daniel E. Troy, Luis de la Torre, Frank Winston, Jr.,
    WILEY, REIN & FIELDING, Washington, D.C.; J. Joshua
    Wheeler, Robert M. O'Neil, THOMAS JEFFERSON CENTER FOR
    THE PROTECTION OF FREE EXPRESSION, Charlottesville,
    - 2 -
    Virginia, for Amici Curiae Media Institute, et al.
    Daniel J. Popeo, David A. Price, Richard A. Samp,
    WASHINGTON LEGAL FOUNDATION, Washington, D.C., for Amicus
    Curiae Washington Legal Foundation.       Christopher J.
    Fritz, Julie Ellen Squire, Thomas C. Dame, GALLAGHER,
    EVELIUS & JONES, Baltimore, Maryland, for Amici Curiae
    Coalition for Beautiful Neighborhoods, et al. George
    Hacker, CENTER FOR SCIENCE IN THE PUBLIC INTEREST,
    Washington, D.C., for Amicus Curiae Center for Science.
    John F. Kamp, Washington, D.C.; Gilbert H. Weil, New
    York, New York; Burt Neuborne, New York, New York, for
    Amici Curiae Association of National Advertisers, Inc.
    For the Court - By Direction
    /s/ Patricia S. Connor
    Clerk
    PUBLISHED
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
    ANHEUSER-BUSCH, INCORPORATED,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    KURT L. SCHMOKE, in his official
    capacity as Mayor of Baltimore
    City; MAYOR AND CITY COUNCIL OF
    BALTIMORE CITY; CITY COUNCIL OF
    BALTIMORE CITY; DAVID TANNER, in
    his official capacity as the General
    Superintendent of Zoning
    Administration and Enforcement,
    Defendants-Appellees,
    and
    JOHN JOSEPH CURRAN, Attorney
    General of the State of Maryland, in
    his official capacity,
    No. 94-1431
    Defendant.
    THE ASSOCIATION OF NATIONAL
    ADVERTISERS, INCORPORATED; THE
    AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF
    ADVERTISING AGENCIES; THE MEDIA
    INSTITUTE; NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF
    BROADCASTERS; THE THOMAS
    JEFFERSON CENTER FOR THE
    PROTECTION OF FREE EXPRESSION;
    WASHINGTON LEGAL FOUNDATION;
    CENTER FOR SCIENCE IN THE PUBLIC
    INTEREST; COALITION FOR BEAUTIFUL
    NEIGHBORHOODS; BALTIMORE CITY
    WIDE LIQUOR COALITION FOR BETTER
    LAWS AND REGULATIONS,
    Amici Curiae.
    PENN ADVERTISING OF BALTIMORE,
    INCORPORATED,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    MAYOR AND CITY COUNCIL OF
    BALTIMORE CITY, A Municipal
    Corporation,
    Defendant-Appellee,
    and
    JOHN JOSEPH CURRAN, Attorney
    General of the State of Maryland, in
    his official capacity,
    Defendant.
    No. 94-1432
    THE ASSOCIATION OF NATIONAL
    ADVERTISERS, INCORPORATED; THE
    AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF
    ADVERTISING AGENCIES; THE MEDIA
    INSTITUTE; NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF
    BROADCASTERS; THE THOMAS
    JEFFERSON CENTER FOR THE
    PROTECTION OF FREE EXPRESSION;
    WASHINGTON LEGAL FOUNDATION;
    CENTER FOR SCIENCE IN THE PUBLIC
    INTEREST; COALITION FOR BEAUTIFUL
    NEIGHBORHOODS; BALTIMORE CITY
    WIDE LIQUOR COALITION FOR BETTER
    LAWS AND REGULATIONS,
    Amici Curiae.
    On Remand from the United States Supreme Court.
    (S. Ct. No. 95-685)
    Decided on Remand: November 13, 1996
    2
    Before NIEMEYER and HAMILTON, Circuit Judges, and
    BUTZNER, Senior Circuit Judge.
    _________________________________________________________________
    Affirmed by published opinion. Judge Niemeyer wrote the majority
    opinion, in which Judge Hamilton joined. Senior Judge Butzner wrote
    a dissenting opinion.
    _________________________________________________________________
    COUNSEL
    Eric Michael Rubin, Walter E. Diercks, Jeffrey Harris, RUBIN, WIN-
    STON, DIERCKS, HARRIS & COOKE, Washington, D.C.; John Joseph Walsh,
    Steven G. Brody, CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM & TAFT, New York, New
    York; Thomas M. Wood, IV, NEUBERGER, QUINN, GIELEN, RUBIN &
    GIBBER, P.A., Baltimore, Maryland; P. Cameron DeVore, DAVIS, WRIGHT,
    TREMAINE, Seattle, Washington, for Appellant. Neal M. Janey, City Solicitor,
    Burton Harry Levin, Principal Counsel, DEPARTMENT OF LAW, Baltimore,
    Maryland, for Appellees. Richard E. Wiley, Lawrence W. Secrest, III,
    Daniel E. Troy, Luis de la Torre, Frank Winston, Jr., WILEY, REIN &
    FIELDING, Washington, D.C.; J. Joshua Wheeler, Robert M. O'Neil, THOMAS
    JEFFERSON CENTER FOR THE PROTECTION OF FREE EXPRESSION,
    Charlottesville, Virginia, for Amici Curiae Media Institute, et al.
    Daniel J. Popeo, David A. Price, Richard A. Samp, WASHINGTON LEGAL
    FOUNDATION, Washington, D.C., for Amicus Curiae Washington Legal
    Foundation. Christopher J. Fritz, Julie Ellen Squire, Thomas C. Dame,
    GALLAGHER, EVELIUS & JONES, Baltimore, Maryland, for Amici Curiae
    Coalition for Beautiful Neighborhoods, et al. George Hacker, CENTER
    FOR SCIENCE IN THE PUBLIC INTEREST, Washington, D.C., for Amicus
    Curiae Center for Science. John F. Kamp, Washington, D.C.; Gil-
    bert H. Weil, New York, New York; Burt Neuborne, New York, New
    York, for Amici Curiae Association of National Advertisers, Inc.
    _________________________________________________________________
    3
    OPINION
    NIEMEYER, Circuit Judge:
    On May 13, 1996, the Supreme Court handed down its decision in
    44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island, 
    116 S. Ct. 1495
    (1996), and a
    week later vacated our decision in this case and remanded it to us "for
    further consideration in light of 44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island."
    
    116 S. Ct. 1821
    . We have read the opinion in 44 Liquormart and have
    considered its impact on the judgment in this case. For the reasons
    that follow, we conclude that 44 Liquormart does not require us to
    change our decision. Accordingly, we affirm the district court's judg-
    ment for the reasons previously given and readopt our previous deci-
    sion.* See Anheuser-Busch, Inc. v. Schmoke, 
    63 F.3d 1305
    (4th Cir.
    1995) (Anheuser-Busch I).
    I
    In Anheuser-Busch I, we upheld against a constitutional challenge
    a city ordinance prohibiting the placement of stationary, outdoor
    advertising that advertises alcoholic beverages in certain areas of Bal-
    timore 
    City. 63 F.3d at 1317
    . The ordinance was designed to promote
    the welfare and temperance of minors exposed to advertisements for
    alcoholic beverages by banning such advertisements in particular
    areas where children are expected to walk to school or play in their
    neighborhood. 
    Id. at 1314-17.
    Applying the four-prong test for evalu-
    ating commercial speech announced in Central Hudson Gas & Elec.
    Corp. v. Public Serv. Comm'n, 
    447 U.S. 557
    (1980), we concluded,
    _________________________________________________________________
    * In readopting our opinion, we do not continue to rely on Posadas de
    Puerto Rico Associates v. Tourism Co. of P.R., 
    478 U.S. 691
    (1984), in
    view of the doubt placed on that opinion by a majority of the Court in
    44 Liquormart. 
    See 116 S. Ct. at 1511
    (Stevens, J., concurring in the
    judgment) (joined by Kennedy, Thomas, and Ginsburg, JJ.) and 116 S.
    Ct. at 1522 (O'Connor, J., concurring in the judgment) (joined by Rehn-
    quist, C.J., and Souter and Breyer, JJ.). Because we do not defer blindly
    to the legislative rationale, but rather agree with it based on our own
    independent conclusion about the fit between legislative objective and
    the regulation used to achieve that objective, the holding in Posadas is
    not necessary to our opinions upholding Baltimore City's ordinance.
    4
    in respect to the disputed prongs, that the ban of outdoor advertising
    of alcoholic beverages in limited areas directly and materially
    advances Baltimore's interest in promoting the welfare and temper-
    ance of minors. See Anheuser-Busch 
    I, 63 F.3d at 1314
    . After our own
    independent assessment, we recognized the reasonableness of Balti-
    more City's legislative finding that there is a "definite correlation
    between alcoholic beverage advertising and underage drinking." 
    Id. We also
    concluded that the regulation of commercial speech is not
    more extensive than necessary to serve the governmental interest. 
    Id. at 1316-17.
    Recognizing that in the regulation of commercial speech
    there is some latitude in the "fit" between the regulation and the
    objective, we concluded that "no less restrictive means may be avail-
    able to advance the government's interest." 
    Id. at 1316.
    While we
    acknowledged that the geographical limitation on outdoor advertising
    may also reduce the opportunities for adults to receive the informa-
    tion, we recognize that there were numerous other means of advertis-
    ing to adults that did not subject the children to "involuntary and
    unavoidable solicitation [while] . . . walking to school or playing in
    their neighborhood." 
    Id. at 1314.
    Based on our close look at Balti-
    more's asserted goal and the billboard zoning used to achieve that
    objective, we concluded:
    Although no ordinance of this kind could be so perfectly
    tailored as to all and only those areas to which children are
    daily exposed, Baltimore's efforts to tailor the ordinance by
    exempting commercial and industrial zones from its effort
    renders it not more extensive than is necessary to serve the
    governmental interest under consideration.
    
    Id. at 1317.
    II
    In 44 Liquormart, by contrast, the State prohibited all advertising
    throughout Rhode Island, "in any manner whatsoever," of the price of
    alcoholic beverages except for price tags or signs displayed with the
    beverages and not visible from the 
    street. 116 S. Ct. at 1501
    . The
    State contended that the ban served the State's interest in promoting
    temperance by keeping alcoholic prices high and therefore consump-
    tion low. See 
    id. The district
    court found as a fact, however, that the
    5
    ban "has no significant impact" on consumption. Liquormart, Inc. v.
    Racine, 
    829 F. Supp. 543
    , 549 (D.R.I. 1993). The State also argued
    that the Twenty-first Amendment's delegation to the states of the
    power "to prohibit commerce in, or the use of, alcoholic beverages,"
    U.S. Const. amend. XXI, § 2, favors the state's ban of price advertis-
    ing of alcoholic beverages. 
    See 116 S. Ct. at 1502
    .
    The Supreme Court held the blanket ban unconstitutional simply as
    "an abridgement of speech protected by the First Amendment" and
    rejected the claim that the Twenty-first Amendment "save[d] Rhode
    Island's ban on liquor price 
    advertising." 116 S. Ct. at 1501
    , 1514-15.
    The opinion for the Court did not provide a rationale for its conclu-
    sion that the ban violated the First Amendment, and no opinion
    addressing the First Amendment violation commanded a majority of
    the Court. Under Marks v. United States, 
    430 U.S. 188
    (1977), when
    a fragmented Court decides a case and no single rationale explaining
    the result enjoys the assent of five Justices, "the holding of the Court
    may be viewed as that position taken by those Members who con-
    curred in the judgments on the narrowest grounds." 
    Id. at 193.
    Applying the Marks rule, eight justices in three separate opinions
    concluded that the mechanism of keeping alcoholic prices high as a
    way to keep consumption low imposes too broad a prohibition on
    speech to be justified by the end. See 44 Liquormart, 
    116 S. Ct. 1509
    -
    10 (Stevens, J., concurring in the judgment); 
    id. at 1519
    (Thomas, J.,
    concurring in the judgment); 
    id. at 1521-22
    (O'Connor, J., concurring
    in the judgment). Justice Stevens, joined by Justices Kennedy, Souter,
    and Ginsburg, noted that "without any findings of fact, or indeed any
    evidentiary support whatsoever, we cannot agree with the assertion
    that the price advertising ban will significantly advance the State's
    interest in promoting temperance." 
    Id. at 1509.
    Justice Stevens also
    noted that alternative forms of regulation were available that would
    not impinge speech and would "be more likely to achieve the State's
    goal of promoting temperance. As the State's own expert conceded,
    higher prices can be maintained either by direct regulation or by
    increased taxation." 
    Id. at 1510.
    Similarly, Justice O'Connor, writing
    an opinion in which Chief Justice Rehnquist, Justice Souter and Jus-
    tice Breyer joined, concluded,
    If the target is simply higher prices generally to discourage
    consumption, the regulation imposes too great, and unneces-
    6
    sary, a prohibition on speech in order to achieve it. . . .
    "[T]he objective of lowering consumption of alcohol by
    banning price advertising could be accomplished by estab-
    lishing minimum prices and/or by increasing sales taxes on
    alcoholic beverages."
    
    Id. at 1521-22
    (O'Connor, J., concurring in the judgment) (quoting 44
    Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island, 
    39 F.3d 5
    , 7 (1st Cir. 1994) (quot-
    ing Rhode Island's expert witness)). Justice O'Connor concluded that
    because the regulation fails "even the less stringent standard set out
    in Central Hudson, nothing here requires adoption of a new analysis
    for the evaluation of commercial speech regulation." 
    Id. at 1522
    (O'Connor, J., concurring in the judgment). Eight justices thus con-
    cluded that keeping legal users of alcoholic beverages ignorant of
    prices through a blanket ban on price advertising does not further any
    legitimate end. See 
    id. at 1509-10
    (Stevens, J., concurring in the judg-
    ment); 
    id. at 1518
    (Thomas, J., concurring in the judgment); 
    id. at 1521-22
    (O'Connor, J., concurring in the judgment).
    III
    While Rhode Island's blanket ban on price advertising failed
    Central Hudson scrutiny, Baltimore's attempt to zone outdoor alco-
    holic beverage advertising into appropriate areas survived our "close
    look" at the legislature's means of accomplishing its objective in
    Anheuser-Busch I. Baltimore's ordinance expressly targets persons
    who cannot be legal users of alcoholic beverages, not legal users as
    in Rhode Island. More significantly, Baltimore does not ban outdoor
    advertising of alcoholic beverages outright but merely restricts the
    time, place, and manner of such advertisements. And Baltimore's
    ordinance does not foreclose the plethora of newspaper, magazine,
    radio, television, direct mail, Internet, and other media available to
    Anheuser-Busch and its competitors.
    Moreover, in Baltimore City's case, neither the state nor the city
    is attempting to undermine democratic processes and circumvent pub-
    lic scrutiny by substituting a ban on advertising for a ban on the prod-
    uct, as the 44 Liquormart Court feared was the case with Rhode
    
    Island. 116 S. Ct. at 1508
    (Stevens, J., concurring in the judgment);
    see also 
    id. at 1517
    (Thomas, J., concurring in the judgment) (citing
    7
    "the dangers of permitting the government to do covertly what it
    might not have been able to muster the political support to do
    openly"; Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 566
    n.9; Virginia Pharmacy
    Board v. Virginia Citizens Consumer Council, 
    425 U.S. 748
    , 780 n.8
    (1976) (Stewart, J., concurring). Rather, in Baltimore City, like in
    other communities, the possession and consumption of alcoholic bev-
    erages by minors has been already banned directly and forthrightly
    through legislation. See Md. Code Art. 27, §§ 400-403A. Baltimore's
    restrictions thus reinforce the democratic decisionmaking mecha-
    nism's conclusion as to the dangerousness of underage drinking by
    protecting children from exposure to advertising which the legislature
    reasonably considers harmful in itself to children's maturation. And
    far from undermining the free dissemination of information to inde-
    pendently choosing consumers, Baltimore's ordinance supports the
    full development of its young so that they will be able to assess their
    market options intelligently and independently.
    In addition to the reasons given in Anheuser-Busch I and given
    here based on our consideration of 44 Liquormart, the differences
    between the Baltimore and Rhode Island regulations further support
    the constitutionality of Baltimore's ordinance. In contrast to Rhode
    Island's desire to enforce adult temperance through an artificial bud-
    getary constraint, Baltimore's interest is to protect children who are
    not yet independently able to assess the value of the message pres-
    ented. This decision thus conforms to the Supreme Court's repeated
    recognition that children deserve special solicitude in the First
    Amendment balance because they lack the ability to assess and ana-
    lyze fully the information presented through commercial media. In the
    context of cable television, the Supreme Court recently upheld restric-
    tions on programming imposed by the Cable Television Consumer
    Protection and Competition Act as a means of protecting children
    from indecent programming. See Denver Area Educ. Telecommunica-
    tions Consortium, Inc. v. FCC, 
    116 S. Ct. 2374
    , 3286 (1996) (plural-
    ity opinion). In the context of the radio medium, the Court has
    approved extra restrictions on indecent speech because of the perva-
    siveness of the medium and the presence of children in the audience.
    See FCC v. Pacifica Foundation, 
    438 U.S. 726
    , 750-51 (1978) (com-
    paring indecent speech during hours when children are listening to the
    proverbial pig in the parlor); see also Action for Children's Television
    v. FCC, 
    58 F.3d 654
    , 657 (D.C. Cir. 1995) (upholding the Public
    8
    Telecommunications Act against a First Amendment challenge based
    on the state's compelling interest in protecting minors), cert. denied,
    
    116 S. Ct. 701
    (1996). Similarly, the Supreme Court has sustained a
    law which protected children from nonobscene literature. See
    Ginsburg v. New York, 
    390 U.S. 629
    , 639-40 (1968). And, while it
    has acknowledged a right to private possession of adult pornography
    in the home, see Stanley v. Georgia, 
    394 U.S. 557
    , 566 (1968), the
    Court has clearly distinguished child pornography and allowed a
    stronger legislative response "to destroy a market for the exploitative
    use of children." Osborn v. Ohio, 
    495 U.S. 103
    , 109 (1990); see also
    New York v. Ferber, 
    458 U.S. 747
    , 759 (1982). The underlying reason
    for the special solicitude of children was articulated long ago: "A
    democratic society rests, for its continuance, upon the healthy, well-
    rounded growth of young people into full maturity as citizens." Prince
    v. Massachusetts, 
    321 U.S. 158
    , 168 (1944).
    Baltimore's ordinance attempts to protect its children in a manner
    and with a motive distinct from those evidenced by Rhode Island in
    44 Liquormart and in accord with an unbroken chain of Supreme
    Court cases which indicate its desire to ensure that children do not
    become lost in the marketplace of ideas. Accordingly, on reconsidera-
    tion of our Central Hudson analysis of the time, place, and manner
    restriction in Anheuser-Busch I in light of 44 Liquormart, we again
    affirm the judgment of the district court.
    IT IS SO ORDERED
    BUTZNER, Senior Circuit Judge, dissenting:
    I dissent because I believe we should vacate the district courts'
    judgments and remand these cases for evidentiary hearings. I address
    in this dissent both the cases pertaining to advertising of alcoholic
    beverages and the case pertaining to the advertising of cigarettes.
    The district court, whose judgment we review, noted that the par-
    ties agree that "the [Anheuser-Busch] advertising at issue is not
    unlawful or misleading, and that the City's interest in promoting the
    welfare and temperance of minors is substantial . . . ." Anheuser-
    Busch, Inc. v. Mayor and City Council, 
    855 F. Supp. 811
    , 813 (D.Md.
    1994). This agreement established that the advertising satisfies the
    9
    first two parts of the test the Supreme Court prescribed for determin-
    ing whether regulation of commercial speech violates the First
    Amendment. See Central Hudson Gas & Elec. Corp. v. Public Serv.
    Comm'n, 
    447 U.S. 557
    , 566 (1980). The difficulty in these cases, and
    in the related case pertaining to cigarette advertising,* arises from the
    third and fourth parts of the Central Hudson inquiry. These are
    "whether the regulation directly advances the governmental interest
    asserted, and whether it is not more extensive than is necessary to
    serve that interest." Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 566
    . In the cigarette
    advertising case, the district court noted that the parties agree with the
    first--but not the second--part of the Central Hudson test. Penn
    
    Advertising, 862 F. Supp. at 1406
    . This slight difference in the pos-
    ture of the cases does not change my analysis of the proper response
    to the Supreme Court's remand.
    My dissent concerns how we should respond to the Supreme
    Court's remand and what procedures we should follow at this stage
    of the litigation. My dissent does not undertake to express an opinion
    on the merits of these cases. I wholeheartedly agree with Baltimore's
    officials, the amici who support them, and the parties that minors
    should not be encouraged directly or subliminally to drink or smoke.
    Nevertheless, balancing the First Amendment's protection of com-
    mercial speech against the city's restriction of the advertising at issue
    requires answering the third and fourth inquiries of Central Hudson.
    To obtain a sound basis for deciding these inquiries, district and
    reviewing courts need factual records. The district courts reached
    their decisions in Anheuser-Busch and Penn Advertising without an
    evidentiary hearing. Instead, the courts relied in large part on Posadas
    de Puerto Rico Assoc. v. Tourism Co. of P.R., 
    478 U.S. 328
    (1986),
    and deferred to the Baltimore City Council's legislative record and
    findings. Unfortunately, the district courts did not have the benefit of
    44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode Island, 
    116 S. Ct. 1495
    (1996).
    In 44 Liquormart, the district court did not accept Rhode Island's
    legislative determination that banning the advertising of liquor prices
    _________________________________________________________________
    * Penn Advertising of Baltimore, Inc. v. Mayor and City Council, 
    862 F. Supp. 1402
    (D. Md. 1994), aff'd, 
    63 F.3d 1318
    (4th Cir. 1995),
    vacated and remanded sub nom. Penn Advertising of Baltimore, Inc. v.
    Schmoke, 
    116 S. Ct. 2575
    (1996).
    10
    would reduce consumption. Instead, the district court conducted an
    evidentiary hearing and reached the conclusion, which was based on
    testimony at the hearing, that the ban was unconstitutional. 44 Liquor-
    mart, Inc. v. Racine, 
    829 F. Supp. 543
    (D.R.I. 1993). The court of
    appeals reversed, accepting as reasonable Rhode Island's submission
    that competitive price advertising would increase consumption. It
    held that the statute was constitutional. 44 Liquormart, Inc. v. Rhode
    Island, 
    39 F.3d 5
    (1st Cir. 1994). In turn, the Supreme Court reversed,
    criticizing the court of appeals' reliance on legislative findings to
    determine whether the ban of commercial speech infringed the First
    Amendment. 44 
    Liquormart, 116 S. Ct. at 1503-04
    (Stevens, J.) and
    1515 (O'Connor, J., concurring in the judgment). By deciding not to
    remand for an evidentiary hearing despite the teaching of 44
    Liquormart, I am concerned that our court is following the First Cir-
    cuit's path.
    In 44 Liquormart, the Court criticized its own opinion in 
    Posadas, 478 U.S. at 342
    , 344, because it had "accepted as reasonable, without
    further inquiry, Puerto Rico's assertions that the regulations furthered
    the government's interest and were no more extensive than necessary
    to serve that interest." 44 
    Liquormart, 116 S. Ct. at 1522
    (O'Connor,
    J., concurring in the judgment). At least seven members of the Court
    expressly decided not to follow Posadas, concluding that a legisla-
    ture's decision to suppress commercial speech, even if reasonable, is
    not entitled to deference. 44 
    Liquormart, 116 S. Ct. at 1510-11
    (Ste-
    vens, J., concurring in the judgment) and 1522 (O'Connor, J., concur-
    ring in the judgment). Rather than accept at face value the
    legislature's proffered justification for a speech regulation, courts
    should take a "closer look" and carefully examine "the relationship
    between the asserted goal and the speech restriction used to reach that
    
    goal." 116 S. Ct. at 1522
    (O'Connor, J., concurring in the judgment).
    In other words, courts should examine the evidence presented by the
    parties to make an independent determination about whether the
    underlying facts satisfy the Central Hudson test. 
    See 116 S. Ct. at 1509-10
    (Stevens, J., concurring in the judgment).
    The independent evaluation that is now required is not possible in
    the absence of a factual record. It is true that the positions taken by
    Baltimore may turn out to be supported by a preponderance of the
    evidence. But speculation about what might be is not enough to
    11
    resolve issues of First Amendment coverage that must ultimately turn
    on factual findings. In order to meet its burden under Central Hudson,
    the city must show "not merely that its regulation will advance its
    interest, but also that it will do so `to a material degree.'" 44
    
    Liquormart, 116 S. Ct. at 1509
    (Stevens, J., concurring in the judg-
    ment) (quoting Edenfield v. Fane, 
    507 U.S. 761
    , 771 (1993)). Even
    assuming, as common sense might suggest, that Baltimore's restric-
    tions will reduce underage drinking to some degree, without any find-
    ings of fact we cannot determine whether the effect will be
    significant. See 44 
    Liquormart, 116 S. Ct. at 1509
    (Stevens, J., con-
    curring in the judgment). Accordingly, each party should be given the
    opportunity to present evidence on this issue and to test the strength
    of the opposing party's evidence.
    Baltimore must also show that its speech regulation is narrowly tai-
    lored. Anheuser-Busch argued that the city could implement other
    measures that would reduce underage drinking as effectively as the
    advertising restrictions without regulating speech. The company spe-
    cifically suggested education programs and increased law enforce-
    ment efforts. Cf. 44 
    Liquormart, 116 S. Ct. at 1510
    (Stevens, J.,
    concurring in the judgment) and 1521-22 (O'Connor, J., concurring
    in the judgment). The company's position must be viewed in light of
    the numerous exceptions to the ordinance that inevitably will allow
    a substantial amount of alcohol advertising to reach a great number
    of minors. The company's argument should be evaluated on the
    strength of the facts that support and negate it. The parties should be
    given the opportunity to present and contest those facts.
    The same reasoning applies to Baltimore's restriction on cigarette
    advertising. Whether that restriction advances the asserted govern-
    mental interest and whether it is unnecessarily extensive raise factual
    questions that only an evidentiary hearing can answer. For example,
    Baltimore's transit buses, which carry children as well as adults, are
    exempted from the ordinance that restricts advertising of cigarettes.
    The ordinance permits such advertising at a ball park where minors
    watch games. What effect these and similar facts have on the validity
    of the city ordinance should be weighed by a court.
    A charge that advertising restrictions infringe rights guaranteed by
    the First Amendment requires careful evaluation assessing the credi-
    12
    bility of witnesses and weighing the evidence. These functions should
    be performed by a judge--not by a city council. See 44 
    Liquormart, 116 S. Ct. at 1511
    (Stevens, J., concurring in the judgment). The court
    should base its evaluation of the case on the facts underlying the dis-
    pute and the reasonable inferences drawn from those facts rather than
    the version of the facts that appears in the allegations and legislative
    findings. By affirming the district court's judgment without adducing
    and examining the facts, a reviewing court engages in the type of def-
    erential review that 44 Liquormart deems improper.
    Present in this litigation are questions about the credibility of
    expert witnesses and genuine issues of material fact concerning the
    inferences that reasonably can be drawn from the evidence. Because
    of these circumstances, neither summary judgment nor dismissal
    under Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6) is appropriate.
    I would vacate the district court's judgment and remand these cases
    for evidentiary hearings.
    13