Hester Prynne v. Gary Settle ( 2021 )


Menu:
  •                                    UNPUBLISHED
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
    No. 19-1953
    HESTER PRYNNE,
    Plaintiff – Appellant,
    v.
    COLONEL GARY T. SETTLE, in his official capacity as Superintendent of the
    Virginia Department of State Police,
    Defendant – Appellee,
    and
    GOVERNOR RALPH S. NORTHAM, in his official capacity as Governor of the
    Commonwealth of Virginia,
    Defendant.
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, at
    Alexandria. Claude M. Hilton, Senior District Judge. (1:19-cv-00329-CMH-JFA)
    Argued: October 29, 2020                                   Decided: February 24, 2021
    Before GREGORY, Chief Judge, AGEE, Circuit Judge, and Stephanie A. GALLAGHER,
    United States District Judge for the District of Maryland, sitting by designation.
    Reversed and remanded in part, affirmed in part by unpublished opinion. Judge Gallagher
    wrote the majority opinion, in which Chief Judge Gregory joined. Judge Agee wrote an
    opinion dissenting in part.
    ARGUED: Timothy P. Bosson, BOSSON LEGAL GROUP PC, Fairfax, Virginia, for
    Appellant. Michelle Shane Kallen, OFFICE OF THE ATTORNEY GENERAL OF
    VIRGINIA, Richmond, Virginia, for Appellee. ON BRIEF: Mark R. Herring, Attorney
    General, Victoria N. Pearson, Deputy Attorney General, Samuel T. Towell, Deputy
    Attorney General, Toby J. Heytens, Solicitor General, Martine E. Cicconi, Deputy Solicitor
    General, Jessica Merry Samuels, Assistant Solicitor General, Zachary R. Glubiak, John
    Marshall Fellow, OFFICE OF THE ATTORNEY GENERAL OF VIRGINIA, Richmond,
    Virginia, for Appellee.
    Unpublished opinions are not binding precedent in this circuit.
    2
    GALLAGHER, District Judge:
    Plaintiff-Appellant Hester Prynne 1 (“Prynne”) appeals from a district court order
    dismissing her claim that the Virginia Sex Offender and Crimes Against Minors Registry
    (“VSOR”) violates the Ex Post Facto Clause of the Constitution and the Due Process
    Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. Because Prynne’s complaint pleaded a plausible ex
    post facto claim, we reverse the district court’s dismissal of that claim. However, we affirm
    the dismissal of Prynne’s substantive due process claims.
    I.
    In 1994, Prynne pleaded guilty to one count of taking indecent liberties with a child
    in a custodial supervisory relationship, in violation of Virginia Code § 18.2-370.1. J.A.
    10–11. While in her twenties, Prynne “had sex one time with a 15-year old male in the
    home where she served as a nanny.” J.A. 10. The court imposed a suspended three-year
    sentence with four years of probation. Id. No sex offender registry existed in Virginia at
    the time.
    A few months after Prynne’s conviction, Virginia enacted VSOR, imposing
    registration requirements on all persons “under community supervision on July 1, 1994”
    for specified offenses, including violations of § 18.2-370.1. J.A. 10–11. The initial law
    required Prynne to register for fifteen years. Three years later, in 1997, Virginia amended
    VSOR, prohibiting registrants from petitioning for removal during the first ten years of
    their registration. J.A. 11. Because Prynne first registered in 1995, she was prohibited
    1
    Hester Prynne is a pseudonym approved by the district court. J.A. 181.
    3
    from petitioning for removal from the registry until 2005. Id. In 2001, however, Virginia
    again amended VSOR, categorizing Prynne’s conviction as a “sexually violent” offense,
    and prohibiting registrants convicted of such offenses from ever petitioning for removal
    throughout their lifetimes. J.A. 11. Thus, Prynne is required to remain on the registry for
    the rest of her life, with no hope of removal, and she is forever categorized on the public
    registry as the most dangerous kind of offender. 2
    Upon initial registration, offenders must provide a host of personal information,
    including name, address, photograph, work or school address, vehicle registration, email
    addresses and other internet aliases, fingerprints, and a DNA sample. J.A. 14–15; 
    Va. Code Ann. §§ 9.1-903
    , 9.1-913. Currently, Prynne is required to reregister every three months. 3
    J.A. 16; Va. Code. Ann. § 9.1-904. She also must appear in person to be photographed at
    least every two years and must submit a new set of fingerprints every ninety days. J.A. 16.
    Additionally, she must expediently report any changes to her registry information,
    2
    Previously, Prynne’s entry on the registry included the designation, “Violent:
    Yes,” based on the categorization of her conviction. J.A. 12 n.2. Since this lawsuit was
    initially filed, as Prynne admitted at oral argument, registrants like Prynne, whose
    convictions were previously labeled as “sexually violent,” are now labeled as “Tier III.”
    
    Va. Code Ann. § 9.1-911
    .
    3
    Registrants, like Prynne, may petition to have the reregistration requirement
    reduced to once a year. To do so, she must submit to “a comprehensive assessment . . . by
    a panel of three certified sex offender treatment providers” and show by “clear and
    convincing evidence” that she “does not suffer from a mental abnormality or personality
    disorder that makes the person a menace to the health and safety of others or significantly
    impairs [her] ability to control [her] sexual behaviors.” 
    Va. Code Ann. § 9.1-909
    .
    4
    including notifying authorities within three days of a change of address and within thirty
    minutes of creating a new email address. J.A. 15; 
    Va. Code Ann. § 9.1-903
    .
    Updates to and verification of registry data must often be done in person. Prynne
    must report to a sex offender investigative officer who is permanently assigned to her case.
    This assigned officer is responsible for verifying Prynne’s registry information and is
    permitted to visit her residence without notice. J.A. 16.
    Additionally, due to her status as a registrant, Prynne is prohibited from entering
    any school grounds, school buses, or day care facilities during “school-related or school-
    sponsored activities.” 
    Va. Code Ann. § 18.2-370.5
    (A). She is also prohibited from
    adopting a child, § 63.2-1205.1, and from working in certain fields including childcare,
    and driving for a rideshare or tow truck service, §§ 46.2-2099.49; 46.2-116. J.A. 19.
    Prynne also must comply with additional requirements to travel. She must notify
    the Virginia State Police ten days prior to moving her residence outside of Virginia. 
    Va. Code Ann. § 9.1-903
    .      When traveling internationally, she must notify federal and
    international law enforcement agencies, and may be barred from entering other countries
    altogether. Travel to other states may also trigger a requirement to register on those states’
    sex offender registries, sometimes even for relatively short stays. J.A. 18; e.g., 
    Fla. Stat. § 943.0435
     (requiring registration within forty-eight hours); 
    Alaska Stat. § 12.63.010
    (requiring registration on the “next working day” after arrival).
    Prynne alleges that VSOR and associated laws have “restricted every aspect of [her]
    life.” Appellant’s Br. 6. She has been asked to move out of a rental property by one
    landlord and has been turned down by other potential landlords after they discovered her
    5
    registry status. J.A. 20. Though she has acted as “a mother figure” to her husband’s
    youngest daughter from a previous marriage, Prynne has been unable to attend her
    stepdaughter’s school functions. 
    Id.
     She also decided not to have her own children, out of
    fear they would be taken away from her due to her status as a registered sex offender. 
    Id. at 21
    . Because many churches operate day cares or Sunday schools, Prynne alleges that
    she has been limited in which church she is able to attend. 
    Id.
     Prynne also claims she was
    fired from her job at an accounting firm because of her placement on the registry and lost
    another job opportunity when a potential employer discovered she was a registered sex
    offender. 
    Id.
     at 21–22. Moreover, she has been “a victim of vigilantism,” harassed and
    “shamed” by neighbors who discovered her registry status. 
    Id. at 22
    .
    Prynne alleges the registry does not actually serve “any non-punitive purpose.” 
    Id. at 20
    . She asserts the registry “has no discernible positive effect on recidivism,” and argues
    empirical evidence indicates that registries like VSOR may actually “exacerbate
    recidivism.” 
    Id.
    Prynne’s complaint alleges three claims: (1) VSOR violates the Ex Post Facto
    Clause, (2) VSOR violates the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, and (3)
    VSOR violates the Ex Post Facto Clause of the Virginia Constitution. J.A. 26–30.
    Defendants filed a Motion to Dismiss pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6).
    The district court granted the motion, finding Prynne failed to state a claim under either
    federal constitutional provision and declining to exercise supplemental jurisdiction over
    the state law claim. J.A. 215. Prynne subsequently appealed.
    6
    II.
    We review a district court’s grant of a motion to dismiss de novo. Ray v. Roane,
    
    948 F.3d 222
    , 226 (4th Cir. 2020). Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6) permits a
    defendant to test the legal sufficiency of a complaint by way of a motion to dismiss. In re
    Birmingham, 
    846 F.3d 88
    , 92 (4th Cir. 2017); Goines v. Valley Cmty. Servs. Bd., 
    822 F.3d 159
    , 165–66 (4th Cir. 2016); Edwards v. City of Goldsboro, 
    178 F.3d 231
    , 243 (4th Cir.
    1999). To survive a motion under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6), a complaint
    must contain facts sufficient to “state a claim to relief that is plausible on its face.” Bell
    Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 570 (2007); Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 684
    (2009); see also Willner v. Dimon, 
    849 F.3d 93
    , 112 (4th Cir. 2017). If a complaint
    provides no more than “labels and conclusions” or “a formulaic recitation of the elements
    of a cause of action,” it is insufficient. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 555
    . Rather, the complaint
    must set forth “enough factual matter (taken as true) to suggest” a cognizable cause of
    action, “even if . . . [the] actual proof of those facts is improbable and . . . recovery is very
    remote and unlikely.” 
    Id. at 556
     (internal quotation marks omitted).
    In reviewing a Rule 12(b)(6) motion, a court “must accept as true all of the factual
    allegations contained in the complaint” and must “draw all reasonable inferences [from
    those facts] in favor of the plaintiff.” E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co. v. Kolon Indus., Inc.,
    
    637 F.3d 435
    , 440 (4th Cir. 2011); see Semenova v. Md. Transit Admin., 
    845 F.3d 564
    , 567
    (4th Cir. 2017); Houck v. Substitute Tr. Servs., Inc., 
    791 F.3d 473
    , 484 (4th Cir. 2015);
    Kendall v. Balcerzak, 
    650 F.3d 515
    , 522 (4th Cir. 2011). But, a court is not required to
    accept legal conclusions drawn from the facts. See Papasan v. Allain, 
    478 U.S. 265
    , 286
    7
    (1986). “A court decides whether [the pleading] standard is met by separating the legal
    conclusions from the factual allegations, assuming the truth of only the factual allegations,
    and then determining whether those allegations allow the court to reasonably infer” that
    the plaintiff is entitled to the legal remedy sought. A Soc’y Without a Name v. Virginia,
    
    655 F.3d 342
    , 346 (4th. Cir. 2011).
    III.
    The Ex Post Facto Clause prohibits the government from passing any law that
    retrospectively “inflicts a greater punishment” on a person than that available when a crime
    was committed. Calder v. Bull, 
    3 U.S. 386
    , 390 (1798); U.S. Const. art. I, § 9, cl. 3. The
    Supreme Court has espoused a two-pronged test for determining whether a statute imposes
    punishment. Smith v. Doe, 
    538 U.S. 84
    , 92 (2003); United States v. Wass, 
    954 F.3d 184
    ,
    189 (4th Cir. 2020). First, a court must determine “[i]f the intention of the legislature was
    to impose punishment.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 92
    . If, instead, the court finds the legislature
    intended to impose a civil regulatory scheme, the court moves to the second prong of the
    inquiry, and examines whether the statute is “so punitive either in purpose or effect as to
    negate [the State’s] intention’ to deem it ‘civil.’” 
    Id.
     (alteration in original) (quoting
    Kansas v. Hendricks, 
    521 U.S. 346
    , 361 (1997)). The Smith Court identified the factors
    enumerated in Kennedy v. Mendoza-Martinez, 
    372 U.S. 144
    , 168–69 (1963), as providing
    “a useful framework” to analyze whether a statute has a punitive effect. 
    538 U.S. at 96
    (describing “the Mendoza-Martinez factors”). The most relevant factors applicable to
    examining a sex offender registry statute include:
    8
    “whether, in its necessary operation, the regulatory scheme:” (1) “has
    been regarded in our history and traditions as punishment;” (2) “imposes
    an affirmative disability or restraint;” (3) “promotes the traditional aims
    of punishment;” (4) “has a rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose;”
    or (5) “is excessive with respect to this purpose.”
    Wass, 954 F.3d at 193 (quoting Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 105
    ). Although “only the clearest proof”
    of punitive effect will allow a court to disregard the intent of the legislature, Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 92
    , Prynne need not definitively prove her case to survive a motion to dismiss. See
    Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 547
     (explaining plaintiffs must instead “nudge[] their claims across
    the line from conceivable to plausible”). “Our role in reviewing the grant of a 12(b)(6)
    motion is merely to determine whether the plaintiff[] stated a plausible claim, such that
    [she] should be permitted to proceed to discovery.” Doe v. Miami-Dade Cnty., 
    846 F.3d 1180
    , 1186 (11th Cir. 2017) (reversing dismissal of claim that the Florida sex offender
    registry violates the Ex Post Facto Clause). Upon reviewing Prynne’s complaint, we find
    she has met that low bar, and can pursue her ex post facto challenge.
    A.
    As a preliminary matter, for VSOR to violate the Ex Post Facto Clause, it must
    operate retroactively.   It is undisputed that the registry did not exist when Prynne
    committed the crime and that, nevertheless, many of the requirements and restrictions of
    VSOR now apply to her. Notably, however, some of the more onerous VSOR restrictions
    do not apply retroactively and, thus, cannot be the basis of an ex post facto claim. E.g.,
    
    Va. Code Ann. §§ 18.2-370.2
     to 18.2-370.3 (prohibiting certain registrants from residing
    within 500 feet or loitering within 100 feet of schools and parks). Our analysis proceeds
    only upon the VSOR provisions that apply retroactively to Prynne.
    9
    B.
    The district court properly found that VSOR was not enacted with the intent of
    imposing punishment, but of creating a civil regulatory regime. Prynne alleges in her
    Complaint that “[s]everal aspects of the Registry point to its punitive purpose, including
    the law’s application only to those convicted of crimes, the fact that the state’s criminal
    justice system administers and enforces it, the law’s punitive effects . . . , and others.” J.A.
    22. However, the Supreme Court and this Court have found registries that apply only to
    previously convicted persons and are administered in part by the courts or law enforcement
    agencies are nevertheless not intended as punishment. See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at
    95–96;
    United States v. Under Seal, 
    709 F.3d 257
    , 264 (4th Cir. 2013). Moreover, the Virginia
    Legislature “expressed the objective of the law in the statutory text itself.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 93
     (finding the statement of purpose of the law persuasive in determining intent). The
    statute states, “The purpose of [VSOR] shall be to assist the efforts of law-enforcement
    agencies and others to protect their communities and families from repeat offenders and to
    protect children . . . .” 
    Va. Code Ann. § 9.1-900
    . Although protecting the public may also
    be one purpose of criminal laws, as the Court noted in Smith, “where a legislative restriction
    ‘is an incident of the State’s power to protect the health and safety of its citizens,’ it will
    be considered ‘as evidencing an intent to exercise that regulatory power, and not a purpose
    to add to the punishment.’” 
    538 U.S. at
    93–94 (quoting Flemming v. Nestor, 
    363 U.S. 603
    ,
    616 (1960)). Thus, the text of the VSOR expresses its civil purpose.
    Additionally, the bulk of VSOR requirements are found in Title 9.1 of the Virginia
    Code, which deals with “Commonwealth Public Safety,” indicating the legislature’s intent
    10
    to create a civil regime. See Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 94
     (finding “the manner of codification . . .
    probative of the legislature’s intent”); Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 264 (“While not controlling,
    the manner in which [the statute] was codified in [the public health and welfare section of
    the United States Code] is indicative of Congress’ intent that [the statute]’s registration
    provisions are civil in nature.”). Some associated provisions are found in Title 18.2,
    “Crimes and Offenses Generally.” See Va. Code § 18.2-370.5 (prohibiting registrants from
    entering schools, school buses, and day cares). Still, “[t]he partial codification of the Act
    in the State’s criminal procedure code is not sufficient to support a conclusion that the
    legislative intent was punitive.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 95
    . Thus, we conclude that VSOR was
    intended as a civil sanction. Therefore, to state a valid ex post facto claim, Prynne must
    plausibly allege the statute has a punitive effect that negates this intent.
    C.
    This Court has held that the federal Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act
    (“SORNA”) did not have a punitive effect sufficient to violate the Ex Post Facto Clause.
    Wass, 954 F.3d at 193. However, Prynne has identified requirements in VSOR, distinct
    from SORNA, and has alleged that those additional requirements, and Virginia’s statute
    as a whole, have an exceedingly punitive impact. 4 In the proceeding analysis, we review
    Prynne’s complaint in light of the most relevant Mendoza-Martinez factors to determine
    4
    We recognize that this Court upheld a dismissal of an ex post facto challenge to
    VSOR in Ballard v. F.B.I., Chief. 102 F. App’x 828, 829 (4th Cir. 2004) (per curiam)
    (unpublished) (finding summarily the “statute does not violate the Ex Post Facto
    Clause”). That decision, however, is not binding on this or any court.
    11
    whether she has pleaded a plausible claim. 5 In doing so, we do not intend to imply how
    the factors should be weighed at a later stage of the litigation.
    First, Prynne alleges the statute’s requirements resemble traditional forms of
    punishment, specifically “shaming, banishment, probation/parole, and others.” J.A. 23. In
    Smith and Under Seal, the Court concluded the registry statutes at issue were unlike
    shaming because the registries simply collected already public information and posted it
    on a website, and “[o]ur system does not treat dissemination of truthful information in
    furtherance of a legitimate governmental objective as punishment.” Under Seal, 709 F.3d
    at 265 (quoting Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
    ). Prynne, however, argues that in addition to the
    compilation of otherwise public information, VSOR independently defines and classifies
    each registrant as a Tier I, II, or III offender. In Prynne’s case, she permanently has a “Tier
    III” label on her public registry profile, indicating she is the most dangerous type of
    registrant. Prynne argues this public marker does not reflect a “truthful” or accurate
    assessment of the threat she poses to the community. Additionally, though the Smith Court
    concluded the Alaska registry was not sufficiently akin to parole or probation, Prynne
    contends VSOR imposes greater, “Orwellian-level” supervision on its registrants.
    5
    There are two additional Mendoza-Martinez factors: “whether the regulation
    comes into play only on a finding of scienter” and “whether the behavior to which it applies
    is already a crime.” Wass, 954 F.3d at 193 n.11 (quoting Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 105
    ). The
    parties do not dispute VSOR satisfies these factors. However, this Court has given them
    little consideration when analyzing sex offender registry laws because, as the Smith Court
    explained, “The regulatory scheme applies only to past conduct, which was, and is, a crime.
    This is a necessary beginning point, for recidivism is the statutory concern.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 105
    ; see also Wass, 954 F.3d at n.11 (citing Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 264 n.5).
    12
    Appellant’s Br. 15. In addition to a host of reporting requirements, many of which must
    be done in person, a specific Virginia State Police officer is permanently assigned to
    Prynne’s case. This officer must verify Prynne’s registration information by visiting her
    work and home addresses, without notice, twice a year. 6 Thus, Prynne has identified
    aspects of VSOR, distinct from other registries reviewed by this Court, and has plausibly
    alleged their resemblance to traditional forms of punishment.
    Second, Prynne alleges VSOR imposes affirmative disabilities and restraints. In
    Under Seal, this Court found SORNA did not subject the appellant registrant to an
    affirmative disability or restraint because SORNA “does not restrain activities sex
    offenders may pursue” or require them to “seek permission” before acting. 709 F.3d at
    265 (quoting Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 100
    ). Additionally, the Court explained that in-person
    reporting requirements “may be more inconvenient,” but are not punitive restraints. 
    Id.
    (quoting United States v. W.B.H., 
    664 F.3d 848
    , 857 (11th Cir. 2001)). Besides requiring
    in-person reporting, though, the VSOR affirmatively prohibits Prynne from entering
    certain properties like schools and daycares, without prior permission. The suggestion that
    these distinctions could prove to be affirmative disabilities is, thus, plausible.
    6
    The dissent focuses on the limited effect of the assignment of a specific officer to
    Prynne’s case, as opposed to the semi-annual unannounced inspections that the officer is
    required to perform. Dissenting Op. at 38–39. The random, in-person checks, some of
    which occur in public at Prynne’s place of employment, are far more akin to the “active
    supervision” that is performed by a probation officer than mere data collection. See, e.g.,
    Shaw v. Patton, 
    823 F.3d 564
    –65 (“Historically, a probation officer [takes] on a far more
    active role in a probationer’s life than simply collecting information for a database.”).
    13
    Third, Prynne alleges VSOR promotes traditional aims of punishment, specifically
    general deterrence and retribution. J.A. 25. One contemplating committing an offense
    which requires registration under VSOR may be discouraged from doing so by the negative
    consequences the registry imposes, thus achieving a deterrent objective. That only persons
    who commit a crime are required to register, and that the registry imposes harsher
    requirements for crimes deemed more malicious, reflects a retributive scheme. However,
    these objectives may be equally “consistent with the regulatory objective.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 102
    . Thus, for this factor to be given significant weight, Prynne will have to establish
    more than “the mere presence” of a deterrent or retributive effect. Under Seal, 709 F.3d at
    265 (quoting Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 102
    ). Nevertheless, at this stage of the case, Prynne’s
    allegations plausibly support her claim.
    Finally, Prynne alleges that the registry serves no nonpunitive purpose and,
    alternatively, that the punitive effect on her is excessive with respect to the promotion of
    any nonpunitive goal.      However, because courts give significant deference to the
    legislature, “[a] statute is not deemed punitive simply because it lacks a close or perfect fit
    with the nonpunitive aims it seeks to advance.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 103
    . In evaluating
    excessiveness, the question is not “whether the legislature has made the best choice
    possible,” but instead, “whether the regulatory means chosen are reasonable in light of the
    nonpunitive objective.” 
    Id. at 105
    .
    Unlike in Smith, where registrants argued the Alaska registry scheme was invalid
    because it was not “narrowly drawn” to achieve an otherwise “valid, and rational purpose”
    of promoting public safety, 
    id. at 102
    , here, Prynne claims that VSOR is not even
    14
    “rationally related to that end.” Appellant’s Br. 20. Indeed, Prynne maintains the registry,
    as a whole, is simply “not effective” and “accomplishes only punitive purposes,”
    particularly as applied to “a female, over-50 registrant” even less likely to reoffend. J.A.
    25. Moreover, Prynne argues, some of the more onerous reporting requirements, such as
    submitting new fingerprints every ninety days, cannot rationally improve public safety—
    “those are not changing!” Appellant’s Br. 24. As opposed to the modest or nonexistent
    benefit to the public, Prynne alleges the registry imposes incredibly punitive hardships on
    her and other registrants. Indeed, Prynne claims it “affects every area of life, including
    [her] decisions about her residence, her family life, her religious community, and her
    employment.” J.A. 20. She claims she has been “shamed” in her neighborhood, and has
    lost employment and housing opportunities due to the registry. J.A. 21–22. The “random
    home checks” by the State Police Officer assigned to her case “are an embarrassing part of
    life.” J.A. 16. The registry’s restrictions, she argues, have caused her exclusion from
    “many ordinary and important incidents of community life.” J.A. 21. Accepting Prynne’s
    factual allegations as true, Prynne has presented a plausible claim that the registry affects
    her in an excessively punitive way, despite its intended non-punitive purpose.
    It is clear that states may pass retroactive sex offender registry laws, but Smith and
    its progeny “should not be understood as writing a blank check to states” to freely impose
    retroactive restrictions on sex offenders. Does #1-5 v. Snyder, 
    834 F.3d 696
    , 705 (6th Cir.
    2016). One attempting to invalidate such putatively “civil” regulatory regimes must do so
    by the “clearest proof” that the statute inflicts punishment. 
    538 U.S. at 105
    . Still, “difficult
    is not the same as impossible.” Snyder, 834 F.3d at 705 (holding Michigan sex offender
    15
    registry violated the Ex Post Facto Clause). In examining a motion to dismiss, “[w]e shall
    not attempt to forecast what further investigation may demonstrate.” Colon Health Ctrs.
    of Am., LLC v. Hazel, 
    733 F.3d 535
    , 546 (4th Cir. 2013). The Court makes no suggestion
    as to whether Prynne’s claim will ultimately prove successful at a later stage of the
    litigation. However, her allegations focusing on distinct elements of VSOR’s requirements
    “raise a right to relief above the speculative level,” and should survive the relatively low
    bar of a motion to dismiss. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 555
    . Therefore, we reverse the district
    court’s dismissal of her ex post facto claim.
    IV.
    The Due Process Clause “provides heightened protection against government
    interference with certain fundamental rights and liberty interests.”          Washington v.
    Glucksberg, 
    521 U.S. 702
    , 720 (1997). A law that “significantly interfere[s]” with a
    person’s fundamental right must withstand strict scrutiny, meaning it must be narrowly
    tailored to serve a compelling state interest. Bostic v. Schaefer, 
    760 F.3d 352
    , 377 (4th Cir.
    2014) (quoting Zablocki v. Redhail, 
    434 U.S. 374
    , 386–87 (1978)). Prynne asserts VSOR
    violates her fundamental rights to travel, work, parent, and privacy. Additionally, Prynne
    claims the registry as a whole cannot withstand rational basis review. Upon reviewing
    each argument in turn, we conclude she has not stated a plausible claim for relief under the
    Due Process Clause.
    A.
    The right to interstate travel is a fundamental right. E.g., Griffin v. Breckenridge,
    
    403 U.S. 88
    , 105 (1971). The Constitution protects “the right of a citizen of one State to
    16
    enter and to leave another State.” Saenz v. Roe, 
    526 U.S. 489
    , 500 (1999); e.g., Edwards
    v. California, 
    314 U.S. 160
     (1941) (holding it unconstitutional for a state to prohibit
    bringing an “indigent,” nonresident into the state). Prynne claims her right to travel is
    burdened by VSOR because she must notify other states she visits of her registry status,
    which often triggers those states to require her to register on their corresponding registries.
    Additionally, if she endeavors to relocate her residence to a different state, she must first
    notify Virginia State Police, so the agency can notify her intended future residence of her
    registry status. Though these requirements might discourage her from traveling to avoid
    the hassle of the notification requirements, VSOR does not actually prohibit Prynne from
    leaving Virginia or entering any other state.       Thus, the statute does not restrict her
    fundamental right to interstate travel. 7
    B.
    There is no broadly defined fundamental right to work. As the Supreme Court has
    explained, “the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process Clause includes some generalized
    due process right to choose one’s field of private employment, but a right which is
    nevertheless subject to reasonable government regulation.” Conn v. Gabbert, 
    526 U.S. 7
    Other courts have held the same when evaluating comparable registry regimes.
    See Doe v. Moore, 
    410 F.3d 1337
    , 1348–49 (11th Cir. 2005) (holding Florida sex offender
    registry does not infringe on fundamental right to travel by inconvenient reporting
    requirements); United States v. Shenandoah, 
    595 F.3d 151
    , 162 (3d Cir. 2010) (holding
    SORNA requirements to register after traveling to a new state are an “inconvenience” but
    not an infringement on the right to travel), abrogated on other grounds, Reynolds v. United
    States, 
    565 U.S. 432
     (2012); United States v. Byrd, 419 F. App’x 485, 491–92 (5th Cir.
    2011) (“[R]egistration requirements do not implicate the fundamental right to travel . . . .”).
    17
    286, 291–92 (1999) (interpreting Meyer v. Nebraska, 
    262 U.S. 390
    , 399 (1923)); see also
    Litman v. Harris, 
    768 F.3d 1237
    , 1242 (9th Cir. 2014) (“[A] restriction on the conduct of
    a profession will run afoul of substantive due process rights only if it is irrational.”
    (alteration in original) (quoting In re Crawford, 
    194 F.3d 954
    , 961 (9th Cir. 1999)). Prynne
    contends VSOR violates her right to work because her placement on the registry, and the
    attendant requirements to verify and publish her place of employment, “makes quality
    employment almost prohibitively difficult to find.” Appellant’s Br. 33. As the district
    court noted, a private employer’s decision not to hire a person on the registry due to these
    requirements is “neither mandated nor regulated by the Commonwealth,” and thus not a
    proper premise for a due process claim. 8
    C.
    The Supreme Court has recognized the fundamental right to have biological
    children, e.g., Skinner v. Oklahoma, 
    316 U.S. 535
    , 541 (1942) (prohibiting sterilization),
    and the fundamental right to raise one’s own children, e.g., Troxel v. Granville, 
    530 U.S. 57
    , 65 (2000) (prohibiting interference with the “care, custody, and control” of one’s
    children). Prynne claims “the Registry has legally sterilized” her because “[t]he Registry
    intimidated [her] into not having biological children” of her own and has prevented her
    8
    Prynne does not appear to dispute the district court’s conclusion that VSOR’s
    prohibition on working in certain occupations, including as a tow truck or rideshare driver,
    does not violate the Due Process Clause. In any event, we agree with the district court’s
    conclusion that these restrictions, which prevent registrants from being unsupervised or
    isolated with potential victims, constitute “reasonable government regulation.” See Conn,
    
    526 U.S. at 292
    .
    18
    from pursuing “parental rights with her step-children.” Appellant’s Br. 34–35. However,
    no Virginia law prohibits Prynne or any other registrant from having children, nor does it
    deny parental rights to registrants who have children. Thus, Prynne, and not the State,
    determined she would not parent biological children. VSOR does restrict registrants from
    visiting certain places where children are present, including schools while in session.
    Although, the Court has not recognized the right to parent stepchildren as a fundamental
    right, even if it had, a claim that these provisions have burdened her ability to parent her
    stepdaughter would fail for lack of standing. VSOR allows registrants to petition for
    exceptions to these prohibitions, and Prynne has not attempted to take advantage of those
    provisions. Thus, she has pleaded only a “hypothetical” injury and has not shown “either
    traceability or redressability.” See Doe v. Va. Dep’t. of State Police, 
    713 F.3d 745
    , 754–
    56 (4th Cir. 2013) (dismissing right to parent substantive due process claim for lack of
    standing where mother had not petitioned for permission to visit school or church
    properties). 9 Prynne’s right to parent claim was properly dismissed.
    D.
    The Due Process Clause protects one’s individual privacy interest “in avoiding
    disclosure of personal matters.” Walls v. City of Petersburg, 
    895 F.2d 188
    , 192 (4th Cir.
    1990).       “The more intimate or personal the information, the more justified is the
    9
    To the extent that Prynne premises her right to parent claim on the prohibition on
    adopting or fostering a child, we also conclude the claim was properly dismissed. There is
    no recognized fundamental right to adopt or foster children, and the prohibition is rationally
    related to the government’s aim of protecting vulnerable children from sex offenses.
    19
    expectation that it will not be subject to public scrutiny.” 
    Id.
     Still, even a right to keep
    personal matters private “is not absolute.” 
    Id.
     And, where information is already public,
    there is no harm to an individual’s privacy interest in disseminating the information. See
    Paul v. Davis, 
    424 U.S. 693
    , 713 (1976) (rejecting claim that constitutional right to privacy
    prohibited a state’s publication of “a record of an official act such as an arrest”); Doe v.
    Moore, 
    410 F.3d 1337
    , 1345 (11th Cir. 2005) (holding distributing public information
    “does not infringe the fundamental constitutional rights of liberty and privacy.”); see also
    Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 101
     (explaining harm to a registrant is not attributable to the
    dissemination requirements of the registry where “the fact of conviction” itself is already
    a matter of public record). VSOR largely does just that—republishes information already
    found within the public records. To the extent that any of the information in the registry
    could be deemed nonpublic, such as a registrant’s work or home address or appearance,
    the public disclosure is justified by the government’s interest in protecting the public by
    alerting them of the location of known sex offenders. See A.A. ex rel. M.M. v. New Jersey,
    
    341 F.3d 206
    , 211–12 (3d Cir. 2003). 10
    10
    Prynne’s argument that Carpenter v. United States, 
    138 S. Ct. 2206
     (2018), and
    Jones v. United States, 
    565 U.S. 400
     (2012), imply VSOR’s collective reporting
    requirements are an unconstitutional invasion of privacy are also unavailing. First, the
    electronic GPS-monitoring at issue in Carpenter and Jones that provided the government
    the minute-by-minute GPS location of an individual is vastly more intrusive than VSOR’s
    requirement that Prynne self-report information like her home and work addresses after
    they have changed. Moreover, those cases address the right to be free from unreasonable
    searches under the Fourth Amendment and do not address the right to privacy embodied in
    the Due Process Clause.
    20
    E.
    Where a fundamental right or suspect classification is not at issue, a statute “is
    accorded a strong presumption of validity.” Heller v. Doe by Doe, 
    509 U.S. 312
    , 319
    (1993). The law should be upheld unless there is no “reasonably conceivable state of facts
    that could provide a rational basis for [the statute].” 
    Id. at 320
    ; United States v. Timms,
    
    664 F.3d 436
    , 447 (4th Cir. 2012); see also Glucksberg, 51 U.S. at 728 (evaluating statute
    under rational basis review after determining it did not implicate a fundamental right).
    Moreover, “[a] legislative choice is not subject to courtroom factfinding and may be based
    on rational speculation unsupported by evidence or empirical data.” Heller, 
    509 U.S. at 320
    . Prynne maintains that even if VSOR does not impermissibly burden a fundamental
    right, it would nonetheless be unconstitutional under rational basis review. The lifetime
    requirement that she register as a sex offender, she argues, is “irrational” because the
    registry does not actually achieve its purpose of preventing recidivism and because Prynne,
    in particular, is “not a recidivism risk.” Appellant’s Br. 42–43. However, the Court is
    compelled “to accept a legislature’s generalizations” and finds the State’s contention that
    VSOR protects the public by reducing sex offenses a “conceivable basis” for the law.
    Heller, 409 U.S. at 321; see also Smith, 
    538 U.S. at
    102–03 (finding Alaska sex offender
    registry served a legitimate purpose “by alerting the public to the risk of sex offenders in
    their communit[y]” (alteration in original)); Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 265. Indeed, in the
    eyes of the legislators who enacted VSOR, that Prynne has lived “a model life” since her
    conviction, supports the conclusion that the registry helps prevent recidivism. Thus, as the
    21
    district court concluded, VSOR passes rational basis review and does not unduly burden
    Prynne’s rights under the Due Process Clause.
    V.
    In sum, for the reasons stated above, the Court reverses the district court’s dismissal
    of Prynne’s ex post facto claim and remands for further proceedings, and affirms the district
    court’s dismissal of the substantive due process claims.
    REVERSED AND REMANDED IN PART,
    AND AFFIRMED IN PART
    22
    AGEE, Circuit Judge, concurring in part and dissenting in part:
    Because the majority opinion misapplies the standard for determining whether a
    complaint survives a Rule 12(b)(6) motion to dismiss, and because Prynne’s complaint
    fails to plausibly allege facts that would constitute a violation of the Fourteenth
    Amendment’s Ex Post Facto Clause, I respectfully dissent from that part of the decision.
    However, I concur in the majority opinion’s judgment affirming dismissal of Prynne’s
    substantive due process claims.
    I.
    A.
    Rule 12(b)(6) tests the legal sufficiency of the complaint rather than resolving
    contests about the facts or merits of the claim. King v. Rubenstein, 
    825 F.3d 206
    , 214 (4th
    Cir. 2016). The Court reviews a district court’s dismissal of a Rule 12(b)(6) claim de novo,
    applying the exacting standard set out in Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    (2007), and Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
     (2009). Under this framework, a complaint will
    be dismissed unless it “contain[s] sufficient factual matter, accepted as true, to state a claim
    to relief that is plausible on its face.” Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. at 678
    . 1 To be “plausible,” allegations
    “must be enough to raise a right to relief above the speculative level,” Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 1
    I have omitted internal quotation marks, alterations, and citations here and
    throughout this opinion, unless otherwise noted.
    23
    at 556, and must allow “the court to draw the reasonable inference that the defendant is
    liable for the misconduct alleged,” Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. at 678
    .
    In determining whether a plaintiff has satisfied this plausibility standard, the Court
    views the “well-pled facts . . . in the light most favorable to the plaintiff.” Brockington v.
    Boykins, 
    637 F.3d 503
    , 505 (4th Cir. 2011). But the Court is not required to defer to a
    complaint’s legal conclusions, “and a formulaic recitation of the elements of a cause of
    action will not do.” Twombly, 
    550 U.S. at 555
    ; see Nemet Chevrolet, Ltd. v.
    Consumeraffairs.com, Inc., 
    591 F.3d 250
    , 255 (4th Cir. 2009) (“[L]egal conclusions,
    elements of a cause of action, and bare assertions devoid of further factual enhancement
    fail to constitute well-pled facts for Rule 12(b)(6) purposes.”).
    Ordinarily, reciting the standard of review introduces the principles to be applied in
    the analysis that follows it. But here, this recitation serves a secondary purpose: to establish
    the majority opinion’s failure to properly apply this framework. To be sure, the majority
    quotes the pertinent Twombly–Iqbal standard, but then proceeds to set the bar at ground
    level, accepting Prynne’s legal conclusions just as readily as her threadbare assertions of
    fact. Properly applying the Twombly–Iqbal framework demonstrates the hollowness of
    Prynne’s allegations and confirms the propriety of dismissal under Rule 12(b)(6).
    B.
    Drawing on factors developed in earlier Ex Post Facto Clause challenges, the
    Supreme Court’s decision in Smith v. Doe, 
    538 U.S. 84
     (2003), instructs the analysis of
    challenges to sex offender registry statutes. The first part of the inquiry “ascertain[s]
    whether the legislature meant the statute to establish ‘civil’ proceedings” or punitive
    24
    criminal proceedings. 
    Id. at 92
    . Prynne concedes that this Court is bound by Smith and
    that, under that precedent, this Court is compelled to conclude that the General Assembly
    of Virginia intended to enact a civil scheme. Opening Br. 11 n.3. Thus, I agree with the
    majority opinion’s analysis at Section III.B concluding that the record shows the Virginia
    legislature intended to enact a civil regulatory system through the Virginia Sex Offender
    and Crimes Against Minors Registry (“VSOR”). See also Va. Code § 9.1-900 (describing
    a civil legislative purpose).
    This conclusion does not end the analysis, however, because the companion part of
    the inquiry asks whether the civil system is nonetheless “so punitive either in purpose or
    effect as to negate the State’s intention to deem it civil.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 92
    . Given the
    deference afforded to legislative intent, “only the clearest proof will suffice to override
    [that intent] and transform what has been denominated a civil remedy into a criminal
    penalty.” 
    Id.
     To identify circumstances in which “clearest proof” exists, the Supreme Court
    has identified five “useful guideposts” that are “neither exhaustive nor dispositive.” They
    ask whether the statutory scheme, “in its necessary operation,”: (1) “has been regarded in
    our history and traditions as a punishment”; (2) “imposes an affirmative disability or
    restraint”; (3) “promotes the traditional aims of punishment”; (4) “has a rational connection
    to a nonpunitive purpose”; or (5) “is excessive with respect to this purpose.” 
    Id. at 97
    .
    This second part of the inquiry is where I disagree with the majority’s analysis. In
    short, Prynne has not plausibly alleged an Ex Post Facto Clause violation because she has
    not alleged facts that could satisfy her obligation of demonstrating “the clearest proof” that
    VSOR is so punitive in its effect as to overcome the legislature’s intent to create a civil
    25
    system. This is not to say that Prynne was required to come forward with “the clearest
    proof” to survive the motion to dismiss. Rather, she had to plausibly allege facts to support
    a claim that Virginia has enacted a regulatory scheme that is so punitive in its purpose and
    effect as to overcome the legislature’s clearly intended purpose of enacting a civil
    regulation. See Does v. Wasden, 
    982 F.3d 784
    , 791 (9th Cir. 2020) (“[T]he ‘clearest proof’
    standard refers to a plaintiff’s ultimate burden to sustain an ex post facto challenge. . . . To
    survive a motion to dismiss, . . . Appellants only had to plausibly allege that the [registry],
    on its face, is punitive in effect.”). Because the complaint does not do so, the district court
    properly dismissed it under Rule 12(b)(6). I address each of the Smith factors in turn.
    1. No Resemblance to Historical Punishment
    Smith explained that examining whether a regulatory scheme “has been regarded in
    our history and traditions as a punishment . . . can be useful because a State that decides to
    punish an individual is likely to select a means deemed punitive in our tradition, so that the
    public will recognize it as such.” 
    538 U.S. at 97
    . Although Smith noted that sex offender
    registries are “of fairly recent origin,” which suggests they do “not involve a traditional
    means of punishing,” it left open the possibility that particularly stringent provisions in a
    registry may cause it to resemble historical punishment. 
    Id.
     Prynne alleges VSOR
    resembles three traditional forms of punishment: public shaming, banishment, and
    probation/parole. But VSOR’s provisions are not analogous to these historical penalties
    and thus do not support a claim that it constitutes criminal punishment for ex post facto
    purposes.
    26
    a. Shaming
    Prynne claims that VSOR’s provisions “inflict a modern version of public shaming”
    because “registrants stand permanently before the world, pictured on an easily searchable
    ‘sex offender’ website with a recitation of their crime.” J.A. 23 ¶ 111. This assertion ignores
    Smith and subsequent cases rejecting parallels between online dissemination of factual
    information in sex offender registries and shaming a person by subjecting them to public
    ridicule in a historical sense.
    The colonial punishment of shaming was “meant to inflict public disgrace” and
    “held the person up before his fellow citizens for face-to-face” confrontation between the
    offender and the general public. Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 97, 98
     (emphasis added). “Shaming”
    took many forms, sometimes being accompanied by a physical punishment such as
    whipping, but in all events involving publicity because that is what provoked the shame.
    E.B. v. Verniero, 
    119 F.3d 1077
    , 1115–16 (3d Cir. 1997) (Becker, J., concurring and
    dissenting). 2
    2
    Perhaps the best-known example of public shaming comes from The Scarlet Letter,
    which uncoincidentally is the basis for Prynne’s pseudonym: Hester Prynne. After being
    convicted of the crime of adultery, the court opted against imposing the death penalty and
    instead sentenced Prynne “to stand only a space of three hours on the platform of the
    pillory, and then and thereafter, for the remainder of her natural life, to wear a mark of
    shame upon her bosom.” Nathaniel Hawthorne, The Scarlet Letter 63 (Brian Harding ed.,
    Oxford Univ. Press 1990) (1850). Hawthorne described the purpose of this punishment in
    bringing the criminal face-to-face with her fellow citizens for public ridicule: “There can
    be no outrage, methinks, against our common nature,—whatever be the delinquencies of
    the individual,—no outrage more flagrant than to forbid the culprit to hide his face for
    shame; as it was the essence of this punishment to do.” Id. at 55.
    27
    Beginning in Smith, courts have contrasted the punishment of shaming from sex
    offender registries by explaining that registries lack “the publicity and the resulting stigma”
    that is the purpose behind shaming. 
    538 U.S. at 99
    ; see also United States v. Under Seal,
    
    709 F.3d 257
    , 265 (4th Cir. 2013) (rejecting the argument that the federal Sex Offender
    Registration and Notification Act (“SORNA”) resembled public shaming because its
    requirements “have not been regarded in our national history and traditions as
    punishment”). Instead, registries “disseminat[e] accurate information about a criminal
    record, most of which is already public.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
    . And while there may be
    collateral societal consequences to that information being made available, they are not
    things the Commonwealth of Virginia has made “an integral part of the objective of the
    regulatory scheme.” 
    Id. at 99
    .
    Importantly, the Supreme Court reached this conclusion even though the registry
    information in Smith was disseminated on the Internet. 
    Id. at 98
     (“Our system does not treat
    dissemination of truthful information in furtherance of a legitimate governmental objective
    as punishment.’”). In so holding, it contrasted a typical registration entry from an online
    site that would allow the public to “shame the offender by, say, posting comments
    underneath his record.” 
    Id. at 99
    . The Court likened a registry to a criminal records database
    rather than “a scheme forcing an offender to appear in public with some visible badge of
    past criminality.” Id.; accord Femedeer v. Haun, 
    227 F.3d 1244
    , 1251 (10th Cir. 2000)
    (observing that making a registry available on the internet does not mean that it is
    “broadcast in a manner approaching the historical examples of public shaming” in part
    because “Internet notification works merely [as] a technological extension, not a sea
    28
    change, in our nation’s long history of making information public regarding criminal
    offenses”). Although there have been technological changes since Smith was decided in
    2002, the fundamentals of posting registries on the Internet remain the same, and Smith
    rejected the notion that widespread or convenient access of the registry causes it to
    resemble historical shaming. See State v. Petersen-Beard, 
    377 P.3d 1127
    , 1134 (Kan. 2016)
    (“Smith did not base its conclusion on some old-fashioned, dial-up modem/floppy disk
    notion of the World Wide Web; nor did it consider accessing offender information on the
    Internet nothing more than a walk to the courthouse to thumb through publicly available
    paper files. Smith’s rationale withstands the more recent development of a mobile,
    smartphone Internet.”).
    To the extent Prynne’s arguments simply disagree with Smith, they fail. She does
    point to two differences between her case and Smith, but neither causes VSOR to resemble
    public shaming. First, the registry in Smith apparently did not involve the creation of any
    content beyond the criminal record for inclusion in the registry database. In contrast,
    VSOR’s online database includes the independent designation that Prynne’s offense of
    conviction has been classified as a “Tier III” offense, the most serious classification on the
    registry. See Va. Code § 9.1-911 (“The Registry shall also include a separate indication
    that the person has been convicted of a Tier III offense.”). 3 But this administrative notation
    3
    In 2020, after briefing in the appeal was finished, Virginia amended Va. Code
    § 9.1-911 to the language cited. Previously, the statute did not refer to tiers of offenses, but
    instead used the descriptive label of whether the individual had been convicted of a
    “sexually violent offense.” Va. Code § 9.1-911 (2003) (“The Registry shall also include a
    separate indication that a person has been convicted of a sexually violent offense.”). Thus,
    (Continued)
    29
    provides users with publicly available information about the statute of conviction, which
    they could otherwise obtain by cross-referencing an offender’s crime of conviction with
    VSOR’s classification of that offense for purposes of determining which provisions apply
    to each classification of registrant. This practical and perfunctory data point disseminates
    accurate information that would be publicly available elsewhere by accessing Prynne’s
    criminal record and consulting the Code of Virginia. In no way does the Tier III notation
    hold Prynne up to public ridicule akin to the colonial punishment of shaming. Accord
    Verniero, 
    119 F.3d at
    1099–1100 (concluding that a registry disseminating accurate public
    record information about a registrant’s “past criminal activities and a risk assessment by
    responsible public agencies based on that information” does not result in a “sting” akin to
    “ridicule and shaming”). 4 Because this designation still constitutes the mere “dissemination
    before the 2020 amendments, the words “Violent: Yes” appeared on Prynne’s registry page
    to indicate that she had been convicted of an offense the legislature classified as a sexually
    violent offense for purposes of VSOR. This change does not affect the analysis because
    this prior wording is not the equivalent of public shaming for the same reasons the Tier III
    designation is not.
    4
    VSOR operates in a fundamentally different manner than the sex offender registry
    at issue in Does #1–5 v. Snyder, 
    834 F.3d 696
     (6th Cir. 2016), in which that court held that
    Michigan’s registry did resemble traditional shaming because “the ignominy under [the
    registry] flows not only from the past offense, but also from the statute itself.” 
    Id. at 703
    .
    As examples, the Sixth Circuit noted that Michigan’s registry required individuals to
    classify as Tier III sex offenders even when their crime of conviction “would not ordinarily
    be considered sex offenses” and it also required registration by juvenile offenders whose
    “criminal record would not be available to the public” apart from the registry’s retroactive
    application. 
    Id. at 703
    .
    Prynne has not alleged that VSOR requires individuals to register as sex offenders
    when the otherwise-publicly available information about them would not already inform
    the public of that fact. Certainly, it is not true of her because her conviction, committed as
    an adult, was for taking indecent liberties with a child by a person in a custodial or
    (Continued)
    30
    of information,” it cannot be the basis of a plausible argument that VSOR is a modern
    corollary to public shaming.
    Second, Prynne contends VSOR materially differs from the Alaska registry at issue
    in Smith because it requires updates to the database to be automatically provided to schools,
    foster homes, assisted-living, and nursing facilities. See Va. Code § 9.1-914. But a select
    active notification still consists of the public dissemination of publicly available
    information, which Smith and Under Seal concluded was dissimilar to shaming. It neither
    produces a public confrontation nor holds Prynne out as an object of ridicule to the
    community at large. See Anderson v. Holder, 
    647 F.3d 1165
    , 1173 (D.C. Cir. 2011)
    (holding that active notification, while “more burdensome to sex offenders than the passive
    notification scheme in Smith” was not punitive); People v. Malchow, 
    739 N.E.2d 433
    , 439–
    40 (Ill. 2000) (concluding an active notification system that “provide[d] for a limited
    dissemination of matters of public record . . . . clearly is not analogous to stigmatization
    penalties”). As such, this component of VSOR cannot serve as a basis for Prynne’s
    argument that the system resembles a traditional punishment.
    supervisory relationship. See Va. Code § 18.2-370.1. In short, the “Tier III” designation on
    the registry database does not create a new stigma. Instead, it reflects that Virginia has
    classified convictions for Va. Code § 18.2-370.1, categorically, as one of the most serious
    sex offenses. Moreover, Prynne has not brought a claim challenging Virginia’s decision to
    classify her offense as a Tier III offense, and the Supreme Court of Virginia has previously
    rejected that argument. See McCabe v. Commonwealth, 
    650 S.E.2d 508
     (Va. 2007)
    (holding that the reclassification of Va. Code § 18.2-370.1 convictions to the designation
    “sexually violent offense” for purposes of VSOR did not violate the rights of individuals
    previously classified as “sex offender[s]” on the registry).
    31
    b. Banishment
    Nor does VSOR resemble banishment, wherein “[t]he most serious offenders . . .
    could neither return to their original community nor, reputation tarnished, be admitted
    easily into a new one.” Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
    . In brief, banishment has been universally
    recognized as compelled exile from the body politic. See United States v. Ju, 
    198 U.S. 253
    ,
    269–70 (1905) (describing it as “punishment inflicted upon criminals, by compelling them
    to quit a city, place, or country, for a specified period of time, or for life”); accord Shaw v.
    Patton, 
    823 F.3d 556
    , 566 (10th Cir. 2016) (describing it as “expulsion, or deportation by
    the political authority on the ground of expediency; punishment by forced exile, either for
    years or for life; a punishment inflicted upon criminals, by compelling them to quit a city,
    place or country, for a specified period of time”).
    Prynne alleges VSOR resembles this historical punishment because it “banishes”
    her from entering schools, daycares, and churches operating a school or daycare. Even
    accepting that characterization as true, none of VSOR’s challenged provisions require
    Prynne or other registrants to leave the community--a fundamental difference from
    banishment regardless of any additional distinguishing characteristics. Indeed, several
    circuit courts have recognized that even some residency restrictions—which the provisions
    at issue here do not approach—do not resemble the historical punishment of banishment.
    E.g., Shaw, 823 F.3d at 568 (“Shaw has not been expelled from an entire community; he
    claims only that ‘vast spaces’ have been ‘declared off limits.’ His inability to inhabit these
    areas might substantially affect his residential choices, but this impediment—regardless of
    its severity—does not constitute expulsion from a community.”); Doe v. Miller, 
    405 F.3d 32
    700, 719– (8th Cir. 2005) (concluding a residency restriction is not analogous to
    banishment because, among other things, it “does not ‘expel’ the offenders from their
    communities or prohibit them from accessing areas near schools or child care facilities for
    employment, to conduct commercial transactions, or for any purpose other than
    establishing a residence”). 5
    More problematic for Prynne, the text of the relevant VSOR provisions shows that
    she has not been permanently barred from the three locations she identifies. 6 As discussed
    in greater detail in the next section, VSOR restricts Prynne from being on school and
    daycare properties during certain times corresponding to when minors will be present, but
    it contains exceptions for permitted purposes as well as the opportunity to obtain a court-
    order permitting her presence, and there are no blanket prohibitions on church attendance.
    A statute with these nuances does not correspond to “banishment.” What is more, presence
    5
    Some courts have found that certain residency restrictions sufficiently resemble
    banishment so as to cause this factor to favor the registrant. Even accepting that something
    short of compelled expulsion from the community may resemble banishment for purposes
    of this inquiry, that would still be a substantially more restrictive provision than the VSOR
    ones challenged here. For example, in Snyder, the Sixth Circuit concluded that Michigan’s
    registry resembled banishment and thus favored the registrant’s argument that it was
    punitive. 834 F.3d at 701. While acknowledging that Michigan’s registry did not do what
    the traditional punishment of banishment entailed, it nonetheless concluded the
    “geographical restrictions [were] nevertheless very burdensome, especially in densely
    populated areas.” Id. Prynne has not alleged any facts approaching that level of burden.
    6
    In considering a Rule 12(b)(6) motion to dismiss, courts are not required to accept
    as true a complaint’s characterizations of the governing law, but instead, must look to the
    text of the challenged provisions. See Nemet Chevrolet, Ltd., 
    591 F.3d at 255
     (stating the
    court does not defer to a complaint’s legal conclusions when deciding a Rule 12(b)(6)
    motion); accord Neitzke v. Williams, 
    490 U.S. 319
    , 326 (1989) (“Rule 12(b)(6) authorizes
    a court to dismiss a claim on the basis of a dispositive issue of law.”).
    33
    on school and daycare properties has historically been regulated in diverse ways to keep
    minors safe wholly apart from the specific restriction applicable to sex offender registrants,
    further removing this provision from the historical punishment of banishment. Va. Code
    § 18.2-128 (penalizing “[a]ny person” from being on school property at night “for any
    purpose other than to attend a meeting” or at any time after being “direct[ed] to vacate the
    property by a person authorized to give such direction” or “in violation of . . . any posted
    notice which contains such information, posted at a place where it reasonably may be seen”
    (emphasis added)); Fairfax Cnty. Public Schools, Visitors to Schools Sch. Bd. Policy 1360
    (2021) (directing all visitors to “go immediately to the principal’s office and obtain a
    visitor’s pass” on penalty of being “considered trespassers” in violation of Va. Code § 18.2-
    128); see also Va. Code § 18.2-308.1 (prohibiting any person who knowingly carries a
    firearm or other weapons from going on school property and subjecting them to criminal
    penalties).
    In addition to VSOR’s text not doing what Prynne asserts it does, her complaint
    acknowledges that many of her decisions related to community involvement are not
    compelled by VSOR, but instead are voluntary personal decisions. For instance, she claims
    “she must avoid interactions with children,” J.A. 21 ¶ 97, and that “[e]ven if the letter of
    the law would not prohibit a particular activity, prudence requires [her] and her husband
    to eschew many ordinary and important incidents of community life, to avoid either
    children or the appearance of impropriety,” J.A. 21 ¶ 98 (emphasis added). While it’s
    commendable that Prynne does not desire to violate the terms of the registry, VSOR
    requires only what its text demands. Prynne cannot hold the Commonwealth liable for
    34
    punishing her for constraints that she alone has imposed on herself. Those precautions do
    not arise from a VSOR provision compelling her expulsion as would have been true if she
    were subjected to the historical practice of banishment.
    Prynne also alleges that she “has lost housing opportunities and jobs” as a
    consequence of private landlords and employers learning of her status, and that she “has
    been a victim of vigilantism” after “neighbors learned of her registry status.” Opening Br.
    17; J.A. 21 ¶ 99 – 22 ¶ 105. Much like Prynne’s own decisions, allegations concerning the
    choices of private citizens do not plausibly allege the existence of a state-imposed
    punishment akin to banishment. See Millard v. Camper, 
    971 F.3d 1174
    , 1182 (10th Cir.
    2020) (“[T]he Appellees’ struggles here did not stem from affirmative state action . . . but
    instead from third parties and businesses implementing their own procedures . . . . which
    does not constitute ‘banishment.’”); Doe v. Pataki, 
    120 F.3d 1263
    , 1284 (2d Cir. 1997)
    (“With banishment, the state acts to remove the offender. By contrast, if a sex offender is
    evicted by his landlord or pressured to move from his residence by his neighbors . . ., those
    private actions, however unfortunate, are not the intended consequences of the [registry],
    and the historical analogy [to banishment] fails.”).
    In short, banishment entails “a sanction designed to remove an individual from a
    specific geographic area.” Shaw, 823 F.3d at 566. Prynne has not alleged any circumstances
    arising from VSOR’s challenged provisions that impose such a punishment.
    c. Probation and Parole
    Lastly for this factor, Prynne maintains that VSOR’s “reporting requirements
    resemble the criminal punishment of probation or parole.” Opening Br. 14. As support, she
    35
    points to VSOR’s in-person reporting requirements, the criminal penalties associated with
    a failure to comply, and, in particular, the assignment of a specific officer to monitor her
    compliance. Both the Supreme Court’s and this Court’s precedent have previously held
    that all but one of these provisions do not create a system resembling probation and parole.
    Prior cases have addressed—and rejected—the first two alleged corollaries, and VSOR’s
    assignment of a particular officer to a registrant does not so alter the existing precedent that
    it could sustain Prynne’s claim.
    For the most part, the distinguishing characteristics between probation or parole, on
    the one hand, and the requirements of sex offender registries, on the other, hold equally
    true of VSOR. As Smith recognized, individuals on probation or parole are subjected to
    mandatory conditions of release, regular supervision, and revocation of release in the event
    of an infraction. See 
    538 U.S. at 101
    . Those conditions typically involve significant
    limitations on daily life, “such as mandating employment, requiring consent before moving
    or changing jobs, and forbidding drug and alcohol use.” Millard, 971 F.3d at 1182–83. In
    the same way, law enforcement plays a “far more active role . . . in a probationer’s life” by
    overseeing their reentry, meeting regularly, and providing the requisite consent to changes
    in living or working conditions. Id.
    Although VSOR imposes additional obligations on Prynne than the registry in
    Smith, they still fall well-short of the sort of active law enforcement supervision typical of
    probation and parole. For instance, VSOR does not constrain where Prynne lives or require
    her to work. Nor does it require her to obtain permission before making these decisions
    about her life. As with other registries deemed not to be akin to probation or parole, VSOR
    36
    requires Prynne only to report changes in address, employment, and other circumstances
    after they occur. Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 101
    ; see also Shaw, 823 F.3d at 565 (discussing ways
    in which probation historically involved prior consent and conditions that intrude well
    beyond regular reporting obligations). The monitoring of compliance alleged to occur
    under VSOR also falls well short of the regular coordination typical of probation and
    parole. See Va. Code § 9.1-907(C) (requiring semiannual “physical[] verif[ication]” of
    registrant’s information).
    Additionally, as was true of the registry at issue in Smith, any prosecution under
    VSOR for failure to comply with its requirements “is a proceeding separate from the
    individual’s original offense” rather than arising directly from the originally imposed
    punishment. Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 102
    . That new criminal penalties can arise for failure to
    follow registration requirements does not reflect that the registry system is punishment for
    the original offense, as would be true of the penalties associated with violations of
    probation or parole. United States v. Wass, 
    954 F.3d 184
    , 190, 191 (4th Cir. 2020)
    (reiterating the Court’s rejection of the argument that SORNA is punitive for subjecting
    registrants to new criminal penalties for non-compliance because it “punishes conduct that
    occurs after its enactment” and “constitutes a new criminal offense” as opposed to altering
    the form of punishment for the pre-SORNA offense as in the case of revocation of
    supervised release); Shaw, 823 F.3d at 566 (distinguishing failure-to-register offense from
    the registry because compliance with “reporting requirements are regulatory requirements
    separate from [a registrant’s] underlying sex-offense conviction,” while probation and
    parole violations result in revocation of release and “imprisonment for the underlying
    37
    offense”). Accordingly, the threat of future criminal punishment for failure to comply with
    the registry is not akin to the threat of revocation of probation or parole as stricter
    punishment for the original offense that results from failure to comply with the terms of
    release. But see Snyder, 834 F.3d at 703 (concluding the registry at issue resembled
    probation and parole because “the basic mechanism and effects have a great deal in
    common” even though “the level of individual supervision is less than is typical of parole
    or probation”).
    As noted, according to Prynne, the one allegedly novel feature of VSOR is that a
    specific officer is assigned to each registrant. That characteristic, however, does not by its
    nature transform the registry into a punitive regimen resembling probation or parole. 7
    Prynne’s reliance on this feature misdirects attention from the salient inquiry in
    determining resemblance—i.e., the substantive obligations on both the Commonwealth and
    the individual—to a superficial similarity in how the two systems are administered. Put
    another way, this factual similarity matters only if it makes VSOR more akin to the
    punishment of probation or parole. E.g., Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 98
     (rejecting “[a]ny initial
    resemblance” to punishments as “misleading” after conducting a substantive comparison
    7
    Prynne does not cite any provision of VSOR that mandates the assignment of a
    specific officer to her case, and the Commonwealth does not specifically respond to this
    argument. VSOR’s language refers to reporting to a designated agency as opposed to a
    particular, assigned individual. It may well be that Prynne is referring to something in
    practice that is not specifically required by VSOR. Notwithstanding this concern about
    what VSOR requires, the above analysis assumes for purposes of this appeal that a specific
    individual is assigned to receive a registrant’s updates and perform the semiannual
    compliance check.
    38
    (emphasis added)). It does not. As a result, this allegation cannot materially change the
    inquiry or provide plausible factual support for Prynne’s claim.
    To begin, Prynne does not allege any facts suggesting that the assignment of a
    specific officer creates any more onerous requirements on her for purposes of compliance.
    VSOR’s registration and update requirements direct individuals to register or provide
    updates to “the designated law-enforcement agency of that state,” “the local law-
    enforcement agency,” or “the Department of State Police” as opposed to needing to
    coordinate with a specific individual. Va. Code §§ 9.1-903 to -906. Prynne has not alleged
    that she faces any greater burden from having been assigned to a specific officer than to
    the department as a whole. Her registry obligations remain the same.
    Prynne emphasizes that the “personally assigned” “enforcement officer”
    “monitor[s] compliance with” VSOR. Opening Br. 14. But the assignment of a single
    officer makes no difference to the inevitable efforts of every state or federal department
    tasked with monitoring compliance. Nor does the assignment of a single officer increase
    the level of monitoring conducted by the Commonwealth, which—as discussed earlier—
    does not entail the sort of supervision or control that occurs during probation and parole.
    The substantive compliance measures render a specific registry analogous to or
    distinguishable from probation or parole, not who within the State performs that task. 8
    8
    In Shaw v. Patton, 
    823 F.3d 556
     (10th Cir. 2016), the Tenth Circuit distinguished
    Oklahoma’s registry from the historical use of probation on several grounds, one of which
    was the observation that “no specific officer with the Department of Corrections is assigned
    to consult with Mr. Shaw or to supervise him.” 
    Id. at 564
    . While that may have been one
    factor in Shaw’s analysis, it was not dispositive to the inquiry. In fact, Shaw’s substantive
    (Continued)
    39
    In sum, this characteristic does not alter the analysis and therefore cannot aid Prynne
    in demonstrating that VSOR is punitive as a result of being a corollary to probation or
    parole.
    ****
    For these reasons, the challenged VSOR provisions do not resemble any traditional
    method of punishment. As such, this factor cannot weigh in Prynne’s favor and the majority
    opinion errs in concluding otherwise.
    2. No Affirmative Disability or Restraint
    Turning to the second Smith factor, a comparison of Prynne’s allegations, VSOR,
    and the relevant case law shows that she has not plausibly alleged the existence of an
    affirmative disability or restraint that would be deemed punitive. A consistent thread
    throughout the case law has been the recognition that just because a sex offender registry
    imposes burdens on a registrant’s life, that does not mean those burdens are cognizable as
    affirmative disabilities or restraints. But instead of grappling with this settled precedent
    analysis is entirely consistent with the distinction made earlier between the administrative
    aspects of the registry and the substantive compliance measures undertaken by the state, as
    the court recognized:
    Historically, a probation officer [takes] on a far more active role in a
    probationer’s life than simply collecting information for a database. Thus,
    when a probation officer does not actively supervise a probationer, the
    subject is not ‘under probation,’ as it was historically understood. The
    absence of supervision distinguishes Mr. Shaw’s reporting requirements
    from the historical understanding of probation.
    
    Id.
     at 564–65.
    40
    describing what sorts of restrictions do not constitute an affirmative disability or restraint
    for purposes of this inquiry, the majority opinion mistakenly accepts that the types of
    burdens VSOR imposes could satisfy this inquiry. However, when placed under the
    microscope of settled law, the challenged provisions do not constitute affirmative
    disabilities or restraints for purposes of this inquiry.
    In Smith, the Supreme Court explained that the relevant inquiry considers “how the
    effects of the [registry] are felt by those subject to it. If the disability or restraint is minor
    and indirect, its effects are unlikely to be punitive.” 
    538 U.S. at
    99–100. As was true in
    Smith and Under Seal, VSOR “imposes no physical restraint, and so does not resemble
    imprisonment, which is the paradigmatic affirmative disability or restraint.” 
    Id. at 100
    ;
    Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 265. Despite this disconnect, Prynne asserts that VSOR
    “affirmatively restrains and disables [her] conduct” in three ways: (1) by “banish[ing]” her
    “from schools, churches and daycares”; (2) by barring her from “a laundry list of public
    transportation and childcare-related jobs”; and (3) by “impos[ing] extensive in-person
    reporting requirements.” Opening Br. 17. VSOR’s prohibitions, however, fall well short of
    plausibly being punitive affirmative disabilities or restraints. Accordingly, Prynne’s
    contentions lack merit.
    a.
    Although VSOR prohibits registered sex offenders from being on school or daycare
    property during operational hours without advanced authorization, this standard registry
    provision is not an affirmative disability or restraint. At the outset, the complaint cites Va.
    Code §§ 18.2-370.2 to -370.5 and mentions provisions restricting residency for some
    41
    individuals and prohibiting loitering, among other restraints. Those provisions are not
    retroactively applicable to Prynne and therefore cannot violate the Ex Post Facto Clause,
    as the majority opinion appropriately recognizes. See Maj. Op. 9.
    Prynne is, however, subject to a narrower set of retroactively applicable restrictions,
    which prohibit Tier III offenders from being on school or daycare property, including
    school buses, when school or school-sponsored activities are underway:
    Every adult who is convicted of a Tier III offense . . . shall be prohibited from
    entering or being present (i) during school hours, and during school-related
    or school-sponsored activities upon any property [s]he knows or has reason
    to know is a public or private elementary or secondary school or child day
    center property; (ii) on any school bus as defined in § 46.2-100; or (iii) upon
    any property, public or private, during hours when such property is solely
    being used by a public or private elementary or secondary school for a
    school-related or school-sponsored activity.
    Va. Code § 18.2-370.5(A). Several exceptions are noted, including authorization to be on
    school property to vote or if the individual is an enrolled student at the school. § 18.2-
    370.5(B). Further, individuals can seek a court order allowing them to be on school
    property upon providing notice and showing good cause. § 18.2-370.5(B)–(C).
    Prynne has not alleged facts demonstrating that this provision constitutes an
    affirmative disability or restraint of the sort that could convert VSOR into a punitive
    regimen for ex post facto purposes. Although the complaint broadly posits that this
    provision “severely limit[s] the ability of parents on the Registry to aid their children in the
    normal incidents of childhood or education,” J.A. 17 ¶ 63, by the statute’s plain terms,
    registrants can seek a court order exempting them from this restriction. There are no factual
    allegations that suggest the exemption process is a sham or registrants are regularly unable
    42
    to obtain exemptions. And as for Prynne’s specific circumstances, the complaint does not
    allege that she ever attempted to obtain such an order, let alone that she was denied
    authorization. Instead, her allegations refer only obliquely to being “unable to attend most
    of her step-daughter’s school functions.” J.A. 20 ¶ 94 (emphasis added).
    What’s more, the provision offers no basis for Prynne’s contention that it prohibits
    registrants from attending worship services. To be sure, she alleges that she “feel[s] unable
    to attend many in-person church services, because they inevitably have religious education
    for children on the premises.” J.A. 17 ¶ 65 (emphasis added). But the restriction applies to
    school and daycare properties only during hours when those activities are occurring and it
    applies to other properties only “when such property is solely being used by a public or
    private . . . school for a school-related or school-sponsored activity.” § 18.2-370.5(A)
    (emphasis added). Prynne’s unfounded speculation about whether she can engage in certain
    religious activities has no bearing on whether the registry statute constitutes an affirmative
    disability or restraint. VSOR is silent about attending church services. And without factual
    allegations to support Prynne’s sweeping and unsupported assertions that church
    attendance could be impeded by this restriction, she has not plausibly alleged the existence
    of an affirmative disability or restraint.
    All told, the narrowness of the actual restriction—applying only to presence on
    school and daycare properties when being used as such (i.e., when minors are on the
    property)—coupled with the opportunity to request an exemption, removes it from the sort
    of affirmative disability or restraint that could support an ex post facto claim. See Vasquez
    v. Foxx, 
    895 F.3d 515
    , 521–22 (7th Cir. 2018) (affirming dismissal of an ex post facto
    43
    claim in part because a registry’s residency restriction does not constitute an affirmative
    disability or restraint on sex offenders because it did not come close to resembling
    imprisonment); Shaw, 823 F.3d at 568–69 (same); State v. Kirby, 
    120 N.E.3d 574
    , 480
    (Ind. Ct. App. 2019) (concluding a school property restriction was not an affirmative
    disability or restraint despite the plaintiff wanting to observe his son participate in school
    activities because it did not restrict residency, impose any cost directly or indirectly, and
    schools restrict all manner of individuals from visiting their premises without being
    deemed punitive).
    Conversely, this restriction is far less onerous than the sort that courts have
    concluded, at the motion to dismiss stage, plausibly constitute an affirmative disability or
    restraint that could be punitive in nature. For example, the Eleventh Circuit held that a
    group of plaintiffs who were on Florida’s registry and had experienced homelessness as a
    result of the scheme’s residency restrictions, which were “among the strictest in the
    nation,” had sufficiently alleged an affirmative disability or restraint so as to survive a
    Rule 12(b)(6) motion. Doe v. Miami-Dade Cnty., 
    846 F.3d 1180
    , 1185–86 (11th Cir. 2017).
    There, the plaintiffs alleged that the residency restrictions had forced them to live in
    homeless encampments because they could not live with family or locate affordable
    housing options in the permitted geographical areas despite multiple attempts to do so. 
    Id. at 1185
    . In view of these allegations, the court concluded that plaintiffs had plausibly
    alleged the existence of an affirmative disability or restraint arising from a residency
    restriction that so affected “available, affordable housing options” as to “drastically
    exacerbat[e] transience and homelessness” experienced by the plaintiffs. 
    Id.
    44
    Similarly, although at a different procedural posture, the Supreme Court of Indiana
    held that a registrant had shown the existence of an affirmative disability or restraint
    because the registry’s residency restriction prohibited him from “liv[ing] in a house he
    own[ed] and in which he ha[d] resided for approximately 20 years,” thus requiring him to
    “incur the cost of obtaining other housing and relocating his residence.” State v. Pollard,
    
    908 N.E.2d 1145
    , 1150 (Ind. 2009). As part of its analysis, the Indiana court also observed
    that the challenged provision contained no exceptions for established residences that pre-
    dated the arrival of a school or youth program center within the restricted distance. Id.; see
    also Commonwealth v. Baker, 
    295 S.W.3d 437
    , 445 (Ky. 2009) (holding that a registry’s
    residency restriction “place[d] significant limitations on where a registrant may live” and
    created a “constant threat of eviction because there is no way for him or her to find a
    permanent home”).
    But Prynne alleges nothing near the constraints found in these cases. In short, the
    VSOR provision does not come close to placing an affirmative disability or restraint like
    those considered in Doe and Pollard that would rise to the level of plausibly constituting
    punishment. As a result, Prynne’s allegations cannot support an Ex Post Facto Clause
    violation.
    b.
    The complaint also alleges VSOR registration prohibits Prynne from becoming
    licensed or obtaining employment in certain fields. She claims that Virginia law prohibits
    her from teaching children; operating a daycare; working for a rideshare service, Va. Code
    45
    § 46.2-2099.49(C)(1); and driving a tow truck, Va. Code § 46.2-116(C). 9 But the Supreme
    Court has long rejected the contention that prohibitions on certain types of employment
    constitute an affirmative disability or restraint. In Smith, the Supreme Court reiterated that
    “sanctions of occupational debarment” are “nonpunitive.” 
    538 U.S. at 100
    ; Shaw, 823 F.3d
    at 569 (“[T]he Supreme Court has held that a lifelong bar on work in a particular industry
    does not constitute an affirmative disability or restraint that is considered punitive.”).
    For example, in Hudson v. United States, 
    522 U.S. 93
     (1997), the Supreme Court
    rejected a petitioner’s argument that being “prohibited from further participating in the
    banking industry” constituted an “affirmative disability or restraint” because it was
    “certainly nothing approaching the ‘infamous punishment’ of imprisonment.” 
    Id. at 104
    ;
    see also De Veau v. Braisted, 
    363 U.S. 144
    , 160 (1960) (plurality op.) (rejecting argument
    that a statute prohibiting felons from being employed on the waterfront in the Port of New
    York violated the Ex Post Facto Clause because its aim was not “to punish [ex-felons] for
    past activity” but to ascertain “the proper qualifications for a profession” and “effectuat[e]
    . . . that scheme”); Hawker v. People of N.Y., 
    170 U.S. 189
    , 191–94 (1898) (rejecting
    9
    More broadly, the complaint observes that many employers simply do not hire
    individuals who are on the registry. But the alleged decision of a private employer not to
    hire someone is not something that would result in the Commonwealth’s liability under the
    Ex Post Facto Clause. See Millard, 971 F.3d at 1183 (observing that a private employer’s
    decision not to hire a registrant is an effect that is “less harsh” than collateral consequences
    of state action the Supreme Court has held do not violate the Ex Post Facto Clause); Pataki,
    
    120 F.3d at 1280
     (observing that a private employer’s decision not to hire a registrant is
    not state action, but rather the act of a “private third part[y]” that would be publicly
    available and disclosed as a result of the underlying conviction anyway, and “flow
    essentially from the fact of the underlying conviction” rather than the individual’s mere
    presence on the registry).
    46
    argument that a state law prohibiting ex-felons from practicing medicine violated the Ex
    Post Facto Clause because it fell within the state’s police power to “prescribe the
    qualifications of” individuals authorized to work in certain professions and to “require both
    qualifications of learning and of good character” by “prescribing in a general way” that
    good character consists of, inter alia, not having been convicted of certain crimes).
    Based on the Supreme Court’s clear guidance, Prynne has not plausibly alleged that
    the State has imposed an affirmative disability or restraint as a result of prohibitions on her
    employment.
    c.
    As for VSOR’s in-person reporting requirements, Prynne correctly observes that the
    Supreme Court’s affirmative disability analysis in Smith considered reporting requirements
    that did not have to be fulfilled in person. But many circuit courts since Smith, including
    this Court, have recognized that, although in-person reporting can be more burdensome, it
    is not dispositive to whether a requirement places an affirmative disability or restraint
    resembling punishment. As this Court held when rejecting a similar argument about
    SORNA, being required “to appear periodically in person to verify . . . information and
    submit to a photograph . . . is not an affirmative disability or restraint” because
    “‘[a]ppearing in person may be more inconvenient, but requiring it is not punitive.’” Under
    Seal, 709 F.3d at 265 (quoting United States v. W.B.H., 
    664 F.3d 848
    , 857 (11th Cir. 2001));
    Am. Civil Libs. Union of Nev. v. Masto, 
    670 F.3d 1046
    , 1056 (9th Cir. 2012) (observing
    that Smith’s discussion of registration requirements that do not need to be in person “did
    47
    not amount to a holding that in person registration necessarily constitutes an affirmative
    disability”).
    None of the in-person reporting requirements Prynne challenges impose greater
    burdens than the sorts of restrictions courts have routinely held do not constitute an
    affirmative disability or restraint. For example, the complaint cites VSOR’s quarterly in-
    person photograph and registration renewal provisions as well as its requirement to update
    the registry when certain information changes within three business days. But we have
    previously held that SORNA’s identical in-person registration and update requirements do
    not impose affirmative restraints and disabilities. Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 265; see 
    34 U.S.C. §§ 20913
     (registration and update requirements), 20918 (periodic in-person
    verification requirements). 10 In addition to observing that an inconvenience does not make
    a provision punitive, this Court relied on the rationale that the in-person updates are not to
    “seek permission” before carrying on with their lives, but rather to report changes after
    they occurred. Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 265. 11
    This conclusion is consistent with the holdings of numerous circuit courts
    considering various sex offender registries’ similar or identical in-person reporting
    requirements and concluding that they are not the sort of affirmative disability or restraint
    10
    In 2017, Congress recodified these provisions from 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 16913
     and
    16916, the provisions cited in Under Seal, to their present location. The relevant
    substantive provisions of SORNA were not altered.
    11
    The Alaska registry at issue in Smith also required quarterly updates though those
    did not have to be in-person. 428 U.S. at 101.
    48
    that would constitute punishment. E.g., Shaw, 823 F.3d at 568–69 (collecting cases for the
    proposition that “[o]ther circuits have ordinarily held that in-person reporting requirements
    are not considered punitive,” and observing that harsher restrictions than in-person
    reporting have been deemed non-punitive, so they are also non-punitive); Masto, 670 F.3d
    at 1056–57 (holding that a “requirement that sex offenders present themselves for
    fingerprinting”—for the highest level of offender, “[n]ot less frequently than every 90
    days”—is “more inconvenient,” but “is not akin to imprisonment” and so “does not
    constitute an affirmative disability”); W.B.H., 664 F.3d at 857 (“Appearing in person may
    be more inconvenient, but requiring it is not punitive.”).
    ****
    In sum, the restrictions Prynne complains of do not rise to the level that could
    plausibly entail an affirmative disability or restraint. They do not approach imprisonment,
    the “paradigmatic” affirmative disability or restraint, and they also impose less severe
    restraints than those this Court and others have held do not rise to that level. Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 100
    . As such, Prynne’s allegations cannot support an ex post facto claim.
    3. Does Not Promote the Traditional Aims of Punishment
    Turning to the third Smith factor, Prynne broadly asserts that VSOR promotes the
    punitive goals of “incapacitation, deterrence, and retribution.” Opening Br. 20. This is
    sufficient for the majority, which deems the fact that VSOR applies only to individuals
    convicted of sex offenses and tailors the duration of the obligations to the nature of the
    offense sufficient at this stage to support her claim. Nonetheless, it is constrained to
    49
    acknowledge “Prynne will have to establish more than ‘the mere presence of’” those effects
    for this factor to carry “significant weight.” Maj. Op. 14.
    For the reasons already discussed, however, the challenged VSOR provisions can
    neither incapacitate nor punish Prynne in a manner akin to traditional forms of punishment.
    That they apply only to individuals convicted of a sex offense is of no moment because
    that is true of every sex offender registry in every ex post facto case. Clearly, the Supreme
    Court would have required more than this fact for a registry to be deemed prohibitively
    retributive. Similarly, tailoring the registry’s requirements to the legislature’s
    determinations concerning the severity of an individual’s underlying conviction does not
    mean that the registry has a retributive purpose either. To suggest otherwise, as the majority
    opinion does, ignores Smith’s discussion of why sex offender registries are not retributive
    as a result of tailoring their requirements—including the duration of the obligations—to
    the registrant’s offense of conviction. As the Supreme Court explained:
    The Court of Appeals was incorrect to conclude that the Act’s registration
    obligations were retributive because the length of the reporting requirement
    appears to be measured by the extent of the wrongdoing, not by the extent of
    the risk posed. The Act, it is true, differentiates between individuals
    convicted of aggravated or multiple offenses and those convicted of a single
    nonaggravated offense. The broad categories, however, and the
    corresponding length of the reporting requirement, are reasonably related to
    the danger of recidivism, and this is consistent with the regulatory objective.
    
    538 U.S. at 102
     (emphases added). As this language in Smith demonstrates, the majority
    opinion turns the retributive purpose inquiry on its head by holding that the very
    characteristics that rendered the Alaska registry at issue in Smith non-punitive somehow
    50
    disconnect into qualities that could potentially transform VSOR into retribution. It clearly
    errs in so doing.
    Further, in Smith, the Supreme Court discounted the significance of a generalized
    deterrent effect to this particular inquiry. As it explained, “[a]ny number of governmental
    programs might deter crime without imposing punishment,” and to hold otherwise “would
    severely undermine the Government’s ability to engage in effective regulation.” Id.; see
    also Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 265 (citing Smith to conclude that “SORNA does not promote
    the traditional aims of punishment”); Doe v. Bredesen, 
    507 F.3d 998
    , 1005–06 (6th Cir.
    2007) (same, for Tennessee’s registry).
    VSOR’s express and undisputed objective is to protect its citizens and promote
    safety, a civil purpose that falls squarely within the Commonwealth’s police powers. This
    plainly permissible civil purpose is consistent with expressed purposes of the sex offender
    registries at issue in Smith and Under Seal. Cf. Vasquez, 895 F.3d at 522 (observing that
    Illinois’ residency restrictions are “clearly not retributive” because, “[a]s in Smith, the
    obvious aim of the statute is to protect children from the danger of recidivism by convicted
    child sex offenders”); Anderson, 647 F.3d at 1173 (rejecting punitive purpose argument as
    to D.C.’s sex offender registry because it “exacts no greater retribution than the civil and
    nonpunitive statute at issue in Smith”).
    In short, precedent forecloses Prynne’s conclusory assertions about VSOR
    promoting retributive and deterrent aims. Accordingly, this factor cannot support her claim.
    51
    4. A Rational Connection to a Legitimate, Non-Punitive Purpose
    For the fourth Smith factor, Prynne’s complaint raises no plausible claim that the
    registry lacks a “rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose.” 
    538 U.S. at 97
    . This is “a
    most significant factor” to the analysis, 
    id. at 102
    , but it is also not a demanding standard,
    Miller, 405 F.3d at 721.
    In many cases, the existence of a non-punitive goal is not seriously challenged given
    that by the time this factor is discussed, courts have already recognized that the legislature
    articulated a rational, non-punitive basis for enacting what it intended to be a civil
    regulatory scheme. And as Smith noted, “imposition of restrictive measures on sex
    offenders adjudged to be dangerous is a legitimate non-punitive governmental goal and has
    been historically so regarded.” Id. at 93. This Court has followed suit, acknowledging
    SORNA’s “rational connection to a legitimate, non-punitive purpose—public safety—
    which is advanced by notifying the public to the risk of sex offenders in their community.”
    Under Seal, 709 F.3d at 265.
    As was true of other registries, VSOR is rationally related to the legitimate,
    nonpunitive goal of public safety. Indeed, that’s the goal the Virginia General Assembly
    plainly had in mind when enacting VSOR, as it explained the registry’s purpose: “to assist
    the efforts of law-enforcement agencies and others to protect their communities and
    families from repeat offenders and to protect children from becoming victims of criminal
    offenders by helping to prevent such individuals from being allowed to work directly with
    children.” Va. Code § 9.1-900. This is a quintessential non-punitive goal. Shaw, 823 F.3d
    at 573–74; Femedeer, 
    227 F.3d at 1253
    .
    52
    Prynne does not plausibly allege that VSOR lacks a rational relationship to this goal.
    Contrary to Prynne’s assertions, she has not plausibly alleged facts demonstrating that
    VSOR “actually increases recidivism.” Opening Br. 21. At most, the complaint cites law
    review articles and studies suggesting that sex offender registries “may actually increase
    recidivism,” J.A. 24 ¶ 117 (emphasis added), or “may well have increased (and almost
    certainly have not reduced) the frequency of sex crimes by convicted sex offenders,” J.A.
    24 ¶ 119 (emphasis added). These allegations include the inherently equivocal word “may,”
    which is used to indicate possibility or probability. See May, Webster’s New Int’l
    Dictionary (3d ed. 1961). Nor are any of these studies alleged to have looked at VSOR
    specifically, as the complaint broadly states that they examined sex offender registries “like
    Virginia’s.” J.A. 24–25, ¶¶ 117, 120. But even if a handful of studies question how effective
    a registry is in accomplishing its non-punitive objective, that does not render the system
    punitive.
    The Supreme Court has reiterated that “[a] statute is not deemed punitive simply
    because it lacks a close or perfect fit with the nonpunitive aims it seeks to advance.” Smith,
    
    538 U.S. at 103
    . Instead, what is required is a reasonable relationship between the registry
    and the legislature’s goals. E.g., Under Seal, 795 F.3d at 266; see also Bedesen, 
    507 F.3d at 1006
     (“Where there is such a rational connection to a nonpunitive purpose, it is not for
    the courts to second-guess the state legislature’s policy decision as to which measures best
    effectuate that purpose.”). Even if Prynne were correct that the legislature overestimated
    the registry’s effect on public safety, that would in no way rebut the existence of a
    legitimate, non-punitive purpose in establishing it. E.g., Masto, 670 F.3d at 1057; Verniero,
    53
    
    119 F.3d at 1098
     (observing that allegations that “a more effective predictor might be
    devised . . . is not enough to make the objective purpose of the predictor adopted a punitive
    one”). An ineffective civil scheme is still civil in nature so long as the legislature’s purpose
    and the registry’s effect was not punitive.
    At bottom, Prynne has not plausibly alleged that VSOR lacks a rational relationship
    to the non-punitive goal of public safety, so this “most significant” factor weighs against
    the existence of an Ex Post Facto Clause violation.
    5. Not Excessive Compared to Non-Punitive Purpose
    The last Smith factor is whether the registry is “excessive in relation to its [civil]
    regulatory purpose.” 
    538 U.S. at 103
    . Contrary to Prynne’s assertion, the excessiveness
    inquiry examines the State’s choices in establishing VSOR as a whole and does not require
    it to justify Prynne’s individual inclusion on the registry.
    Smith—and the prior Supreme Court cases it cites—unequivocally recognize that
    “[t]he Ex Post Facto Clause does not preclude a State from making reasonable categorical
    judgment that conviction of specified crimes should entail particular regulatory
    consequences.” 
    Id.
     As the Court explained, “[d]oubtless, one who has violated the criminal
    law may thereafter reform and become in fact possessed of good moral character. But the
    legislature has power in cases of this kind to make a rule of universal application,”
    including the “determination to legislate with respect to convicted sex offenders as a class,
    rather than require individual determination of their dangerousness.” 
    Id. at 104
    ; see
    Hawker, 
    170 U.S. at 197
     (upholding as non-punitive a law prohibiting the convicted felons
    from practicing medicine); De Veau, 
    363 U.S. at 160
     (plurality opinion) (upholding as non-
    54
    punitive laws prohibiting convicted felons from serving as officers or agents of a union);
    Masto, 670 F.3d at 1057 (“Plaintiffs’ argument that [the registry] is overbroad because it
    will force many non-dangerous offenders to register is squarely foreclosed by Smith.”);
    Miller, 405 F.3d at 721 (“The absence of a particularized risk assessment . . . does not
    necessarily convert a regulatory law into a punitive measure[.]”). Applied here, that means
    that the Virginia legislature acted well within its authority to determine that individuals
    convicted of Va. Code § 18.2-370.1 should be classified as “Tier III” offenders and subject
    to VSOR’s more stringent requirements.
    Viewed through that lens, Prynne’s allegations do not demonstrate that VSOR is
    excessive compared to the non-punitive goal of public safety. For example, Prynne
    contends that being subject to lifetime registration is inherently excessive. But the Alaska
    registry at issue in Smith entailed lifetime registration, and the Supreme Court undertook
    the same review discussed here without indicating that this fact affected the analysis. See
    
    538 U.S. at 98
    ; see also W.B.H., 664 F.3d at 859 (“[In Smith], the Court found unpersuasive
    arguments that the Alaska law was excessive because of its reporting requirements (for
    life, in some instances) and the registry’s wide dissemination (to the world via the
    internet).”). But even if a particular provision were deemed excessive when imposed for
    life in a particular case, that one-off aspect of the analysis tipping in her favor would not,
    as a matter of law, alter the analysis as a whole so as to satisfy Prynne’s ultimate obligation.
    Prynne’s other arguments do not pass muster either. For example, she argues that
    in-person reporting is excessive because “the same information could be conveyed by mail
    or electronically.” Opening Br. 23. But the Supreme Court in Smith plainly stated that the
    55
    inquiry is not “whether the legislature has made the best choice possible to address the
    problem it seeks to remedy,” but whether the “regulatory means chosen are reasonable.”
    
    538 U.S. at 105
     (“[The excessiveness inquiry] is not an exercise in determining whether
    the legislature has made the best choice possible to address the problem it seeks to remedy.
    The question is whether the regulatory means chosen are reasonable in light of the
    nonpunitive objective.”). In-person reporting can be a reasonable choice and furthers the
    stated regulatory goals, as this Court and others have previously recognized. E.g., Under
    Seal, 709 F.3d at 266; Shaw, 823 F.3d at 576.
    Further, Prynne’s allegation that VSOR is excessive because it prohibits entry on
    certain properties without exceptions “for attending church, going to vote, or performing
    one’s job” ignores VSOR’s plain language. Opening Br. 24. As discussed earlier, VSOR
    contains no such ban. Namely, it does not ban church attendance, it contains an exception
    for voting, and it provides a means for registrants to obtain a court order allowing
    permission to enter upon the requisite showing of good cause. These allegations simply
    misapprehend VSOR’s text.
    Prynne’s remaining arguments mostly take issue with the legislature’s contrary
    determinations about the relevance of certain information collected and disseminated to
    fulfill its purposes. Disagreement does not demonstrate excessiveness. Smith, 
    538 U.S. at 103
     (“A statute is not deemed punitive simply because it lacks a close or perfect fit with
    the nonpunitive aims it seeks to advance. . . . [I]mprecision . . . does not suggest that the
    Act’s nonpunitive purpose is a sham or mere pretext.”). Further, VSOR requires registrants
    to submit a new set of fingerprints every 90 days. But VSOR allows registrants to obtain a
    56
    court order exempting them from that requirement, and Prynne’s complaint indicates that
    she has an order to that effect. She therefore lacks standing to challenge VSOR’s fingerprint
    “requirement because it imposes no additional burden on [her].” Anderson, 647 F.3d at
    1172.
    Lastly, Prynne contends the registry is excessive to its nonpunitive goals by
    reiterating that a few studies suggest that sex offenders are not as likely to reoffend as
    previously thought and that sex offender registries may not be as effective at reducing
    recidivism. As discussed, these studies do not cast doubt on the legislature’s ability to
    conclude otherwise or indicate a punitive system despite intending to fashion a civil one.
    Put simply, she has not alleged that VSOR’s provisions are so excessive compared to their
    regulatory purpose that this factor alone would transform VSOR as a whole into a punitive
    regime.
    II.
    For the reasons stated above, none of Prynne’s allegations—individually or
    collectively—provides a basis for overcoming the presumption that the Virginia General
    Assembly’s stated civil purpose for enacting VSOR is actually punitive. As such, she has
    not plausibly alleged that VSOR violates the Ex Post Facto Clause, and the district court
    properly dismissed her complaint under Rule 12(b)(6) for failure to state a claim. I would
    therefore affirm the judgment of the district court and respectfully dissent in part.
    57