Big Tyme Investments v. Edwards ( 2021 )


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  • Case: 20-30526     Document: 00515705864        Page: 1     Date Filed: 01/13/2021
    United States Court of Appeals
    for the Fifth Circuit
    United States Court of Appeals
    Fifth Circuit
    FILED
    January 13, 2021
    No. 20-30526                              Lyle W. Cayce
    Clerk
    Big Tyme Investments, L.L.C., doing business as Big Daddy’s
    Pub & Grub; CD Enterprises of Houma, L.L.C., doing business
    as Larussa’s Lounge; JOM, L.L.C., doing business as Just One
    More; LongShotz 1, L.L.C., doing business as Longshotz;
    Paradise Sports Bar & Daiquiris, L.L.C., doing business as
    Epic Lounge; R&J Lapeyrouse, L.L.C., doing business as
    Jeaux’s New Horizon; R. Heasley, L.L.C., doing business as
    Ram Rod’s Saloon; Tap Dat, L.L.C., doing business as The
    Brass Monkey; The Music Cove, L.L.C.; The Outer
    Limits Bar, L.L.C.,
    Plaintiffs—Appellants,
    versus
    John Bel Edwards, in his official capacity as Governor of the State of
    Louisiana; H. Browning, Jr., in his official capacity as Fire Marshal of
    the State of Louisiana, also known as Butch Browning,
    Defendants—Appellees,
    consolidated with
    No. 20-30537
    910 E Main, L.L.C., doing business as Quarter Tavern; Doug
    McCarthy Enterprises, Incorporated, doing business as 501;
    My Place Bar & Grill, L.L.C.; Pool Dos Sports Bar,
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    No. 20-30526
    c/w No. 20-30537
    L.L.P.; SoCo Sports Bar, L.L.C.; Sandi’s Anchor Lounge,
    L.L.C., doing business as Da Camp; Tipsy Cajun, L.L.C.;
    Wanous, L.L.C., doing business as AJ’s 2nd St. Pub; C K B C P B
    5, L.L.C., doing business as Chatter Box; Big Dan’s Bar,
    Incorporated; City Bar, Incorporated,
    Plaintiffs—Appellants,
    versus
    John Bel Edwards, in his official capacity as Governor of the State of
    Louisiana; H. Browning, Jr., in his official capacity as Fire Marshal of
    the State of Louisiana, also known as Butch Browning,
    Defendants—Appellees.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of Louisiana
    USDC No. 2:20-CV-2150
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Louisiana
    USDC No. 6:20-CV-965
    Before Dennis, Higginson, and Willett, Circuit Judges.
    Stephen A. Higginson, Circuit Judge:
    In this consolidated appeal, 21 bar owners in Louisiana challenge the
    Governor’s restrictions to the operation of bars in response to COVID-19
    (the “Bar Closure Order”). The Bar Closure Order prohibited on-site
    consumption of alcohol and food at “bars,” but permitted on-site
    consumption of alcohol and food at “restaurants.” Two district courts below
    denied the bar owners’ motions for preliminary injunctive relief. The bar
    owners timely appealed, arguing only that the Bar Closure Order’s
    2
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    differential treatment of bars violates the Equal Protection Clause of the
    Fourteenth Amendment. We AFFIRM.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. The Governor’s emergency proclamations
    As all are painfully aware, in early 2020 our nation was gripped with
    an unprecedented public health emergency caused by COVID-19. On March
    11, 2020, the World Health Organization (“WHO”) declared a global
    pandemic in response to the spread of COVID-19. Louisiana, like the rest of
    the United States, was no exception. By mid-March, the state reported the
    “fastest growth rate of confirmed [COVID-19] cases in the world,” and
    ranked third in per capita cases within the United States.
    Since March, cases have continued to increase. At the time this appeal
    was taken, the United States had recorded over 5 million confirmed cases and
    over 160,000 deaths from COVID-19, and Louisiana had recorded nearly
    130,000 cases and over 4,000 deaths. To date, the United States has
    recorded over 22.5 million cases and over 375,000 deaths from COVID-19,
    and Louisiana has reported 352,939 cases and 7,971 deaths. 1
    The same day as the WHO’s declaration, Louisiana Governor John
    Bel Edwards declared the pandemic a statewide public health emergency. 2 In
    1
    Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): Cases and Deaths by State, Ctrs. for
    Disease        Control      &       Prevention,        https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-
    tracker/#cases_casesper100klast7days (last visited Jan. 12, 2021); Louisiana Coronavirus
    Information, Louisiana Dep’t of Health, https://ldh.la.gov/coronavirus/ (last visited Jan.
    12, 2021).
    2
    The Governor issued the first emergency proclamation pursuant to the Louisiana
    Health Emergency Powers Act, LA. R.S. 29:760. A group of Louisiana legislators, in an
    amicus brief, asserts that the Governor has exceeded his authority under that law and the
    Louisiana constitution. However, the bar owners do not challenge the Governor’s authority
    to issue emergency proclamations. We need not address amici’s arguments—which they
    3
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    the months that followed, the Governor issued a series of proclamations to
    slow the spread of COVID-19. The earliest of these proclamations prohibited
    gatherings of ten or more people and shuttered most “nonessential
    businesses,” including closing bars and restricting restaurants to take-out
    and delivery only. See La. Exec. Dep’t, Proclamation No. 30 JBE 2020, §§ 2–
    3 (Mar. 16, 2020); Proclamation No. 33 JBE 2020, §§ 2, 4 (Mar. 22, 2020).
    The Governor subsequently announced that businesses would reopen
    in phases. Consistent with guidelines from the White House Coronavirus
    Task Force, each phase was tied to gating criteria based on the state’s total
    number of cases, positivity rates, and hospital capacity. In mid-May, as the
    state’s COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations decreased, the Governor
    announced “Phase 1” of reopening Louisiana’s businesses. See La. Exec.
    Dep’t, Proclamation No. 58 JBE 2020 (May 14, 2020). Under Phase 1,
    businesses were permitted to reopen subject to distancing and capacity
    limitations as determined by the state’s Fire Marshal. The proclamation
    included a link to the state’s “Open Safely” website where the Fire
    Marshal’s guidance was published. Under Phase 1, restaurants and bars with
    approved food-service permits could reopen at 25% capacity, though bars
    without a food license remained closed.
    In June, the Governor moved Louisiana into “Phase 2,” which
    allowed bars without food service permits to reopen at 25% capacity, and bars
    with food service permits to operate at 50% of capacity subject to additional
    guidance and restrictions from the Fire Marshal. La. Exec. Dep’t,
    concurrently raised in a separate proceeding in state court—because they are not properly
    before us in this appeal. Moreover, whether the Governor acted within his authority is
    purely an issue of state law, and federal courts are without jurisdiction to enjoin
    enforcement of an executive order allegedly issued in violation of state law. See Pennhurst
    State Sch. & Hosp. v. Halderman, 
    465 U.S. 89
    , 104–06 (1984).
    4
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    Proclamation No. 74 JBE 2020, § 2(G)(1) (June 4, 2020). These provisions
    initially expired on June 26, 2020, but were extended by the Governor’s
    subsequent proclamation until July 24, 2020, “unless terminated sooner”
    based on changes in COVID-19 cases and healthcare capacity. That is
    precisely what happened.
    B. The challenged Bar Closure Order
    Beginning in July, “the COVID-19 situation in Louisiana had steadily
    worsened” and the state showed increased cases, positivity rates, and
    hospitalizations. Unlike the initial March and April surges which were
    limited to urban “hot spots,” the new cases were increasing statewide,
    including in rural parishes and within younger age groups. These trends were
    consistent with data in states “across the Sun Belt” and reports from the
    White House Coronavirus Task Force.
    As a result, on July 11, 2020, the Governor issued new “Phase 2
    mitigation measures” which included the Bar Closure Order challenged
    here. La. Exec. Dep’t, Proclamation No. 89 JBE 2020 (July 11, 2020). The
    Bar Closure Order prohibited on-premises consumption in bars:
    No bar, with or without a food service permit from the
    Louisiana Department of Health, shall allow for on premises
    consumption of any food or drinks. However, any bar shall be
    allowed to provide for takeout through drive-thru or curbside
    delivery, including alcoholic beverages.
    Id. § 2. 3 By contrast, “restaurants” were permitted to continue dine-in
    service at 50% capacity, subject to “applicable guidance from the State Fire
    3
    The “Bar Closure Order” refers only to the proclamation’s provisions affecting
    bars. Other portions of the proclamation restricted gatherings to “no more than 50
    people,” and mandated that “businesses or organizations . . . require all persons who enter
    5
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    Marshal published at opensafely.la.gov.” La. Exec. Dep’t, Proclamation No.
    96 JBE 2020, § 2(B)(2), (D)(1) (July 23, 2020). The revised Fire Marshal
    guidance restricted restaurants to “50% of the normal established capacity”
    and noted that “[b]ar areas of restaurants shall be used for seating/serving
    purposes only and shall not allow for social gatherings.” Additionally, the
    guidance required that “[s]ervice in bar areas must include food items.”
    None of these proclamations defines “bar,” nor does Louisiana law.
    Instead, the state regulates businesses through its Office of Alcohol and
    Tobacco Control (“ATC”), which provides liquor permits in primarily two
    categories: “Class A-General” (“AG”) and “Class A-Restaurant”
    (“AR”). 4 AG permits are primarily for bars: the establishment can sell
    alcohol but is not required to sell food, and unlike AR establishments, minors
    under the age of 18 are not permitted on the premises. See La. Rev. Stat.
    § 26:71.1(1)(d). AR permits are primarily for restaurants and restaurant-bars:
    the    business     must      meet     the    statutory      criteria     for   “restaurant
    establishments,” including that its “average monthly revenue from food and
    nonalcoholic beverages exceeds 50 percent of its total average monthly
    revenue.” La. Rev. Stat. § 26:73(C)(1)(a).
    The bar owners assert that the Bar Closure Order effectively defines
    “bars” as businesses with AG permits. While the Governor denies that he
    intended to distinguish between “stand-alone” bars and restaurant-bars, the
    revised Fire Marshal’s guidance does just that. Specifically, it included a
    letter from the ATC Commissioner noting that “all bars or businesses
    the premises to wear a face covering.” Id. §§ 3, 4. Neither of those restrictions is challenged
    here.
    4
    The ATC also provides “conditional” AR permits. These permits allow AG-
    permitted entities to operate like an AR-permitted establishment if they meet the specified
    requirements of “restaurant establishments.” See La. Rev. Stat. § 26:71.1(4).
    6
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    holding a Class A-General permit, with or without a food service permit . . .
    shall be required to close.” A subsequent letter advised that bars could apply
    for “Restaurant Conditional Permits,” or conditional AR permits, under
    which they could “operate under the guidelines issued to restaurants.”
    C. Procedural History
    Appellants (the “bar owners”) are 21 businesses that operate bars in
    the Eastern and Western Districts of Louisiana. At the time the Governor
    issued the Bar Closure Order, each bar operated with an AG permit; since
    the filing of this appeal at least five have obtained conditional AR permits.
    The bar owners filed identical suits in the Eastern and Western
    Districts of Louisiana seeking to enjoin the Governor and Fire Marshal (the
    “appellees”) from enforcing the Bar Closure Order. 5 Following expedited
    evidentiary hearings, both Judge Feldman in the Eastern District and Judge
    Summerhays in the Western District denied the bar owners’ motions for
    preliminary injunctive relief because they were unlikely to succeed on the
    merits of their due process and equal protection claims.
    The evidentiary hearings focused on the testimony of Dr. Alexander
    Billioux, the Assistant Secretary of the Office of Public Health of the
    Louisiana Department of Health. The Governor also testified before the
    Western District.
    Both district courts agreed with the bar owners that the Bar Closure
    Order classified businesses based on whether they had an AG or AR permit,
    5
    The complaints sought declaratory and injunctive relief under Ex Parte Young and
    damages based on the Due Process, Equal Protection, and Takings Clauses of the Fifth and
    Fourteenth Amendments, as well as state-law takings claims. The bar owners then moved
    for preliminary injunctive relief based on their due process and equal protection claims. On
    appeal, they raise only their equal protection claim.
    7
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    but concluded that this differential treatment was not unconstitutional. In
    finding that the Governor’s Bar Closure Order was rationally related to the
    goal of protecting public health, both district courts primarily relied on the
    testimony of Dr. Billioux, who provided the following justifications for
    closing bars:
    • The “primary purpose” of bar goers is “to socialize”; bars
    often have loud music, which requires their patrons to
    “move closer to each other”; and with increased intoxica-
    tion, patrons are “less likely to maintain appropriate social
    distance and to wear masks.”
    • Bar patrons are “younger adults” who are “more likely to
    be asymptomatic carriers of COVID-19 and therefore more
    likely to patronize bars without realizing that they are
    spreading the virus.” Relatedly, state data also “showed a
    dramatic increase in cases among 18-29-year-olds.”
    • Despite limited data, statewide contact tracing linked a sig-
    nificant percentage of COVID-19 cases to bars.
    • The White House and CDC recommended closing bars,
    and the White House Coronavirus Task Force “repeatedly
    recommended to the State of Louisiana that bars be closed
    because of Louisiana’s increasing COVID-19 caseload.”
    • Reports showed that foreign countries, including South Ko-
    rea and the United Kingdom, were successful in controlling
    the spread of COVID-19 by shutting down “bars and night-
    clubs.”
    By contrast, Dr. Billioux testified that the “primary purpose” of
    restaurant-goers is to “sit at a table with one group” and “eat[] a meal.” The
    Governor similarly testified that these different environments motivated his
    decision to close bars, but that the “risk of spreading the virus is not as
    pronounced in a restaurant, where couples, families, or small groups sit by
    themselves, socially distant from others eating at the restaurant.” This, too,
    8
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    was consistent with recommendations from the White House Coronavirus
    Task Force and guidance issued by other states. For example, one report
    from the California Department of Health detailed the increased risks posed
    by patrons in bar settings. The Governor testified that these reports similarly
    informed the Bar Closure Order in Louisiana.
    The bar owners appealed only their equal protection claim. They do
    not challenge the “stated goal of protecting the public by closing bars,” but
    rather only “whether the differential classification of bars is rationally related
    to that goal.”
    II. STANDARD OF REVIEW
    We have jurisdiction to review denials of preliminary injunctive relief
    pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 1292
    (a)(1). We review the denial of a preliminary
    injunction for abuse of discretion. Moore v. Brown, 
    868 F.3d 398
    , 402 (5th Cir.
    2017) (per curiam). “Factual findings are reviewed for clear error, while legal
    conclusions are reviewed de novo.” 
    Id. at 403
    . 6
    A preliminary injunction is warranted only “if the movant establishes:
    (1) a substantial likelihood of success on the merits, (2) a substantial threat of
    irreparable injury if the injunction is not issued, (3) that the threatened injury
    if the injunction is denied outweighs any harm that will result if the injunction
    is granted, and (4) that the grant of an injunction will not disserve the public
    interest.” Speaks v. Kruse, 
    445 F.3d 396
    , 399–400 (5th Cir. 2006) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). “A preliminary injunction is an extraordinary
    remedy that should not be granted unless the party seeking it has clearly
    6
    The Eastern District of Louisiana also denied permanent injunctive relief. We
    have jurisdiction pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    , and we review the denial of permanent
    injunctive relief for abuse of discretion under the same standards. Regions Bank of La. v.
    Rivet, 
    224 F.3d 483
    , 488 (5th Cir. 2000).
    9
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    carried the burden of persuasion on all four requirements.” Dennis Melancon,
    Inc. v. City of New Orleans, 
    703 F.3d 262
    , 268 (5th Cir. 2012) (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted).
    Only the first prong—the likelihood of success on the merits of the bar
    owners’ equal protection claim—is at issue in this appeal. “If the party
    requesting a preliminary injunction cannot show a substantial likelihood of
    success on the merits, the injunction should be denied and there is no need
    for the court to address the other requirements for a preliminary injunction.”
    Butts v. Aultman, 
    953 F.3d 353
    , 361 (5th Cir. 2020) (citing Lake Charles
    Diesel, Inc. v. Gen. Motors Corp., 
    328 F.3d 192
    , 203 (5th Cir. 2003)).
    III. MOOTNESS
    While this appeal was pending, appellees moved to dismiss the appeal
    as moot because the Bar Closure Order was superseded by the Governor’s
    “Phase 3” proclamations. 7 “Whether an appeal is moot is a jurisdictional
    matter, since it implicates the Article III requirement that there be a live case
    or controversy.” United States v. Heredia-Holguin, 
    823 F.3d 337
    , 340 (5th Cir.
    2016) (en banc) (quoting Bailey v. Southerland, 
    821 F.2d 277
    , 278 (5th Cir.
    1987)). A matter is moot “when it is impossible for a court to grant any
    effectual relief whatever to the prevailing party.” Knox v. Serv. Emps. Int’l
    Union, Local 1000, 
    567 U.S. 298
    , 307 (2012) (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted).
    Appellees argue that, as recently articulated by our court, “a case
    challenging a statute, executive order, or local ordinance usually becomes
    7
    At the time the bar owners filed suit at the end of July 2020, the Bar Closure Order
    was set to expire on August 6, 2020. The Governor, in two subsequent proclamations,
    renewed the challenged restrictions until September 11, 2020, which thus remained in
    effect until after the district courts denied injunctive relief and the bar owners initiated this
    appeal.
    10
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    moot if the challenged law has expired or been repealed.” Spell v. Edwards,
    
    962 F.3d 175
    , 179 (5th Cir. 2020). Moreover, they say that each of the
    appellant bars can now reopen, albeit still at lower capacity than restaurants.
    The bar owners counter that the Phase 3 orders perpetuate the same
    differential treatment between “bars” and “restaurants” as the challenged
    Bar Closure Order. We agree that the bar owners’ equal protection claim is
    not moot.
    Under Phase 3, which began on September 11, 2020, “bars” can
    reopen for on-premises consumption at 25% capacity. La. Exec. Dep’t,
    Proclamation No. 117 JBE 2020, § 2(B)(3) (Sept. 11, 2020). However, such
    reopening was subject to the parish maintaining a 5% positivity rate for two
    consecutive weeks and that parish affirmatively allowing on-premises
    consumption in bars to resume. Id. “Restaurants,” in turn, can operate at
    75% capacity, subject to the applicable Fire Marshal guidance but not the
    additional parish-based restrictions. Id. § 2(D)(1). 8
    Both parties rely on our court’s recent decision in Spell v. Edwards,
    which dismissed as moot a Louisiana pastor’s challenge to the first stay-at-
    home order’s ten-person restriction on in-person gatherings. 962 F.3d at 177.
    During the pendency of that appeal, the stay-at-home order expired and was
    8
    We heard oral argument on whether the Phase 3 restrictions mooted the appeal.
    After this appeal was submitted, the Governor subsequently tightened restrictions once
    again based on the “alarming and steep rise in cases, test positivity, hospitalizations, and
    deaths,” and an increasing “third surge of COVID-19” within the state. La. Exec. Dep’t,
    Proclamation No. 168 JBE 2020 (Nov. 24, 2020). Pursuant to this “modified” Phase 2
    order, “bars” are prohibited from indoor, on-premises consumption but may remain open
    for outdoor service with limited capacity, subject to the additional positivity rate and opt-
    in requirements announced in Phase 3. Id. § 2(B). “Restaurants,” however, can continue
    to provide indoor service at 50% capacity. Id. § 2(D)(1). These restrictions were
    subsequently renewed and will remain in effect until January 13, 2021. La. Exec. Dep’t,
    Proclamation No. 209 JBE 2020, § 7 (Dec. 22, 2020).
    11
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    replaced by the Governor’s phased reopening which permitted churches to
    operate at greater capacity. Id. at 178. By the time of the appeal, churches
    could operate at up to 50% capacity. Id. Consequently, because the stay-at-
    home order and the challenged ten-person limit “expired,” we concluded
    that the pastor’s claims were moot. Id. at 179.
    Spell is instructive but readily distinguishable. Here, the Governor’s
    subsequent orders continue to differentiate between “bars” and
    “restaurants” in their respective operating capacities and reopening gating
    criteria. Consequently, even though the restrictions on “bars” may have
    lessened, the crux of the bar owners’ equal protection claim remains
    unchanged. See Ne. Fla. Chapter of Associated Gen. Contractors of Am. v. City
    of Jacksonville, 
    508 U.S. 656
    , 662 (1993) (“The new ordinance may
    disadvantage them to a lesser degree than the old one, but . . . it disadvantages
    them in the same fundamental way.”). 9
    IV. DISCUSSION
    Satisfied of our jurisdiction to consider the bar owners’ appeal, we
    turn to the merits. First, the bar owners argue that the district courts erred in
    applying Jacobson v. Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 
    197 U.S. 11
     (1905), and
    this court’s recent decision in In re Abbott, 
    954 F.3d 772
     (5th Cir. 2020), as
    controlling their equal protection challenge to the Governor’s public health
    9
    The bar owners alternatively contend that their challenge to the Bar Closure is
    not moot because it is capable of repetition yet evading review. In Spell, because the
    Governor’s subsequent orders significantly expanded in-person gatherings available to
    houses of worship, we held that it was “speculative, at best, that the Governor might
    reimpose the ten-person restriction or a similar one.” Spell, 962 F.3d at 180. By contrast,
    each of the Governor’s subsequent proclamations has made no similar progression with
    respect to the differential treatment of bars and restaurants, as illustrated most recently by
    the state’s return to a “modified” Phase 2.
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    orders. Second, even under Jacobson and Abbott, they argue that the Bar
    Closure Order’s differential treatment violates their equal protection rights.
    A. Jacobson and Abbott
    Our court recently articulated that a state’s emergency response to
    public health crises, including pandemics such as COVID-19, is reviewed
    under the framework originally set forth by the Supreme Court in Jacobson.
    See Abbott, 954 F.3d at 786. Both district courts, necessarily adhering to our
    court’s pronouncement that “Jacobson remains good law,” id. at 785, ap-
    plied the Jacobson and Abbott framework to the bar owners’ challenge here.
    Jacobson involved a challenge to Massachusetts’s 1902 compulsory
    vaccination law during a smallpox epidemic. Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 26
    . In
    that case, the plaintiff argued that the law violated his Fourteenth Amend-
    ment right “to care for his own body and health.” 
    Id.
     The Supreme Court
    rejected the claim, emphasizing that “a community has the right to protect
    itself against an epidemic of disease which threatens the safety of its mem-
    bers.” 
    Id. at 27
    . In upholding the state’s law, the Court concluded that judi-
    cial review is limited to whether “a statute purporting to have been enacted
    to protect the public health, the public morals, or the public safety, has no
    real or substantial relation to those objects, or is, beyond all question, a
    plain, palpable invasion of rights secured by the fundamental law.” 
    Id. at 31
    .
    In Abbott, our court explained that “Jacobson instructs that all
    constitutional rights may be reasonably restricted to combat a public health
    emergency.” Abbott, 954 F.3d at 786 (emphasis in original). Like Jacobson,
    Abbott involved a substantive due process challenge to a state’s public health
    order. Specifically, the Abbott plaintiffs challenged the Texas Governor’s
    March 22, 2020 executive order, GA-09, which temporarily postponed
    “non-essential surgeries and procedures,” including abortions, in order to
    preserve hospital capacity and personal protective equipment in light of the
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    COVID-19 pandemic. Id. at 777, 780. The district court partially enjoined the
    order as unconstitutionally imposing an “outright ban” on pre-viability
    abortions in contravention of Supreme Court precedent. Id. at 781. A divided
    panel of our court granted Texas’s petition for a writ of mandamus because
    the district court “fail[ed] to apply (or even acknowledge) the framework
    governing emergency exercises of state authority during a public health crisis,
    established . . . in Jacobson.” Id. at 783.
    The panel pronounced that “when faced with a society-threatening
    epidemic, a state may implement emergency measures that curtail
    constitutional rights so long as the measures have at least some ‘real or
    substantial relation’ to the public health crisis and are not ‘beyond all
    question, a plain, palpable invasion of rights secured by the fundamental
    law.’” Id. at 784 (quoting Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ). Consequently, under
    Jacobson, “the district court was empowered to decide only whether GA-09
    lacks a ‘real or substantial relation’ to the public health crisis or whether it is
    ‘beyond all question, a plain, palpable invasion’ of the right to abortion.” Id.
    at 786 (quoting Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ).
    In Abbott, the majority concluded that the answer to both was “no.”
    
    Id.
     As to the first inquiry, the majority found that the order was a “valid
    emergency response to the COVID-19 pandemic” that was “supported by
    findings” related to the shortage of medical supplies and hospital capacity.
    Id. at 787. Though a “drastic measure,” the majority concluded that it
    “cannot be maintained on the record before us that [it] bears ‘no real or
    substantial relation’ to the state’s goal of protecting public health in the face
    of the COVID-19 pandemic.” Id. (quoting Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ).
    As to the second inquiry, the majority concluded that because GA-09
    only “temporar[ily] postpone[d] . . . non-essential medical procedures,
    including abortion, subject to facially broad exceptions,” it did not
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    “constitute anything like an ‘outright ban’ on pre-viability abortion.” Id. at
    789. As a result, the majority held that the order “cannot be affirmed to be,
    beyond question, in palpable conflict with the Constitution.” Id. (quoting
    Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ). Additionally, the district court “failed to analyze
    GA-09 under Casey’s undue-burden test.” Id. at 790.
    Here, while both parties initially agreed that Jacobson and Abbott ap-
    plied to the Bar Closure Order, the bar owners now argue it does not apply
    to their equal protection claim. Alternatively, they assert that the district
    courts misapplied Abbott and Jacobson by granting “elevated deference” to
    the Governor beyond even modern rational basis jurisprudence. We disa-
    gree on both fronts. 10
    To start, the bar owners assert that Jacobson and Abbott, both of which
    dealt with fundamental rights under substantive due process, do not apply to
    their equal protection claim. However, Abbott and its application of Jacobson
    govern our review of emergency public health measures, regardless of the
    rights at stake. Abbott, 954 F.3d at 786.
    More fundamentally, and contrary to the bar owners’ assertion,
    neither Jacobson nor Abbott compel a lower level of scrutiny than rational
    basis review. The bar owners concede that at most rational basis review
    applies to their equal protection claim. Consequently, we need not consider
    their broader critique that Jacobson or Abbott compel a lower standard of
    10
    The bar owners’ attempt to change legal theories on appeal is not well taken.
    Before the district courts, the bar owners asserted that the Bar Closure Order violated their
    “fundamental” rights. On appeal, the bar owners now argue that their equal protection
    claim is based solely on their “nonfundamental” rights, and thus Jacobson and Abbott do
    not apply. While we review legal determinations de novo, “[t]he Court will not allow a
    party to raise an issue for the first time on appeal merely because a party believes that he
    might prevail if given the opportunity to try a case again on a different theory.” Leverette v.
    Louisville Ladder Co., 
    183 F.3d 339
    , 342 (5th Cir. 1999).
    15
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    No. 20-30526
    c/w No. 20-30537
    review when heightened scrutiny applies. Cf. Roman Catholic Diocese of
    Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 
    141 S. Ct. 63
    , 67 (2020) (per curiam) (applying strict
    scrutiny to a church and synagogue’s challenge under the Free Exercise
    Clause of the First Amendment to the New York Governor’s COVID-19
    order restricting the number of in-person congregants). 11
    Abbott sets forth a two-part inquiry for reviewing the Bar Closure
    Order here. The first inquiry asks whether the Bar Closure Order lacks a
    “real or substantial relation” to the COVID-19 crisis in Louisiana. Abbott,
    954 F.3d at 784 (quoting Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ). It is undisputed that the
    Bar Closure Order is substantially related to curbing the spread of COVID-
    19 in Louisiana. The second inquiry asks whether the Bar Closure Order is
    “beyond all question, a plain, palpable invasion of rights secured by the
    fundamental law.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ). In other words:
    whether the Bar Closure Order is “beyond question, in palpable conflict with
    the Constitution.” Id. at 787-88 (emphasis omitted) (quoting Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ).
    This second inquiry requires courts to consider the alleged
    constitutional harm, and then evaluate that harm in accordance with
    established principles of constitutional interpretation. See also Roman
    Catholic Diocese, 141 S. Ct. at 70 (Gorsuch, J., concurring) (“Jacobson didn’t
    seek to depart from normal legal rules during a pandemic, and it supplies no
    precedent for doing so. Instead, Jacobson applied what would become the
    traditional legal test associated with the right at issue.”). For example, in
    Abbott, the court explained that the district court failed to apply Casey’s
    undue-burden test, and therefore failed to balance GA-09’s “temporary
    11
    Likewise, we similarly need not decide in this case the extent to which Roman
    Catholic Diocese casts doubt, if any, on our court’s earlier reliance on Jacobson in cases
    where heightened scrutiny does apply. And neither party asks us to do so here.
    16
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    No. 20-30526
    c/w No. 20-30537
    burdens on abortion against its benefits in thwarting a public health crisis.”
    954 F.3d at 778. Here, the bar owners challenge the Bar Closure Order under
    the equal protection clause. In evaluating whether the Bar Closure Order’s
    distinction between AG- and AR-permitted businesses was “beyond all
    question, a plain, palpable invasion of rights,” both district courts highlighted
    the rational justifications for this non-suspect classification; neither court
    applied a “sub-rational” level of review. We would reach the same
    conclusion applying settled rational basis review.
    B. Equal Protection Claim
    “The Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment
    commands that no State shall ‘deny to any person within its jurisdiction the
    equal protection of the laws,’ which is essentially a direction that all persons
    similarly situated should be treated alike.” City of Cleburne v. Cleburne Living
    Ctr., 
    473 U.S. 432
    , 439 (1985) (quoting Plyler v. Doe, 
    457 U.S. 202
    , 216
    (1982)).
    To establish their equal protection claim, the bar owners must show
    that “two or more classifications of similarly situated persons were treated
    differently” under the Bar Closure Order. Gallegos–Hernandez v. United
    States, 
    688 F.3d 190
    , 195 (5th Cir. 2012) (citing Stefanoff v. Hays Cty., 
    154 F.3d 523
    , 525–26 (5th Cir. 1998)). Once that threshold showing is made, the
    court determines the appropriate level of scrutiny for our review. “If neither
    a suspect class nor a fundamental right is implicated, the classification need
    only bear a rational relationship to a legitimate governmental purpose.”
    Butts, 953 F.3d at 358 (citing Richard v. Hinson, 
    70 F.3d 415
    , 417 (5th Cir.
    1995)).
    Both parties dispute the threshold question of whether the Bar
    Closure Order treats similar businesses differently. It clearly does. The Bar
    Closure Order and the Governor’s subsequent proclamations effectively
    17
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    No. 20-30526
    c/w No. 20-30537
    classify businesses based on whether they have an AG permit (“bars”) or an
    AR permit (“restaurants”). The appellees deny that the Bar Closure Order
    treats “bars” differently because even “restaurant bars are prohibited from
    operating as a bar.” This misses the point. The incorporated Fire Marshal
    guidance expressly restricts AG-permitted establishments while allowing
    businesses with AR or conditional AR permits to reopen.
    Because this classification is based on a business permit, and does not
    differentiate on the basis of a suspect class, rational basis review applies. Such
    a classification does not “run afoul of the Equal Protection Clause if there is
    a rational relationship between the disparity of treatment and some legitimate
    governmental purpose.” Heller v. Doe, 
    509 U.S. 312
    , 320 (1993).
    The bar owners concede that the Bar Closure Order serves a
    legitimate government interest. We therefore address the only remaining
    issue challenged on appeal: whether the differential classification is rationally
    related to that goal.
    The bar owners principally argue that the differential treatment of
    their businesses is irrational because the Governor denies that he intended to
    treat any “bar” differently. In other words, they contend that by denying that
    the classification exists, any rationale for the classification is an invalid
    pretext. 12 Consequently, they say, the Governor is not entitled to any
    “theoretical deference” for distinguishing between AG- and AR-permitted
    businesses.
    12
    The bar owners do not challenge that the Fire Marshal’s guidance is not
    controlling or that the Governor’s incorporation of it violated state law. Nor, as both
    district courts correctly noted, would such a claim be actionable in federal court. See
    Pennhurst, 
    465 U.S. at 104
    .
    18
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    c/w No. 20-30537
    To start, we do not interpret the Governor’s statements so broadly.
    The Governor did not disclaim that bars and restaurants are not treated
    differently; rather, he indicated that it was unnecessary to “list out the type
    of bars” by “permit type” because he intended all bars to cease “functioning
    as a bar, whether it’s inside a restaurant or if it’s a stand-alone business.”
    While the Governor argued that the proclamation itself does not classify
    “bars” based on permit type, he acknowledged that the incorporated
    guidance from the Fire Marshal imposed additional restrictions.
    In any event, a classification survives rational basis review “if there is
    any reasonably conceivable state of facts that could provide a rational basis
    for the classification.” F.C.C. v. Beach Commc’ns, Inc., 
    508 U.S. 307
    , 313
    (1993). Moreover, we have held that “[a]s long as there is a conceivable
    rational basis for the official action, it is immaterial that it was not the or a
    primary factor in reaching a decision or that it was not actually relied upon by
    the decisionmakers or that some other nonsuspect irrational factors may have
    been considered.” Reid v. Rolling Fork Pub. Util. Dist., 
    854 F.2d 751
    , 754 (5th
    Cir. 1988) (emphasis omitted).
    Nor is this a case where we are asked to “accept nonsensical
    explanations for regulation.” St. Joseph Abbey v. Castille, 
    712 F.3d 215
    , 226
    (5th Cir. 2013). As always, any “hypothetical rationale, even post hoc, cannot
    be fantasy” or be “betrayed by the undisputed facts.” 
    Id. at 223
    . Here, the
    bar owners do not meaningfully refute any of the appellees’ theoretical or
    empirical rationales for the permit-based classification, let alone carry their
    burden “to negative every conceivable basis which might support it.”
    Armour v. City of Indianapolis, Ind., 
    566 U.S. 673
    , 685 (2012) (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted).
    Unlike AG-permitted bars whose primary purpose is to serve alcohol,
    AR-permitted businesses must serve more food than alcohol to meet their
    19
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    c/w No. 20-30537
    monthly revenue requirements. Even if the Bar Closure Order’s
    classifications are based solely on the premise that venues whose primary
    purpose and revenue are driven by alcohol sales rather than food sales are
    more likely to increase the spread of COVID-19, such a rationale, as
    described by Dr. Billioux and the Governor and credited by both district
    courts, is sufficiently “plausible” and not “irrational.” Nordlinger v. Hahn,
    
    505 U.S. 1
    , 11 (1992). In sum, the Bar Closure Order’s differential treatment
    of bars operating with AG permits is at least rationally related to reducing the
    spread of COVID-19 in higher-risk environments. See also League of Indep.
    Fitness Facilities & Trainers, Inc. v. Whitmer, 814 F. App’x 125, 128 (6th Cir.
    2020) (Michigan governor’s “rational speculation” that the COVID-19 risks
    associated with gyms based on their environment, the proximity of its
    patrons, and the primary exercise activities involved was sufficient to justify
    closing indoor gyms while permitting other indoor facilities to remain open
    (quoting Beach Commc’ns, 508 U.S. at 315)).
    Finally, the Bar Closure Order is not unconstitutional because some
    “bars” may nonetheless continue to operate under AR or conditional AR
    permits. 13 “A classification does not fail rational-basis review because it is not
    made with mathematical nicety or because in practice it results in some
    inequality.” Veritext Corp. v. Bonin, 
    901 F.3d 287
    , 291 (5th Cir. 2018)
    (alteration omitted) (quoting Heller, 
    509 U.S. at 319
    ). Imperfect
    classifications that are underinclusive or overinclusive pass constitutional
    muster. See, e.g., Vance v. Bradley, 
    440 U.S. 93
    , 108 (1979) (“Even if the
    classification involved here is to some extent both underinclusive and
    overinclusive, and hence the line drawn by Congress imperfect, it is
    13
    Presumably, any business that does so must comply with both the legislature’s
    and ATC’s permitting requirements in addition to the applicable reopening requirements.
    20
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    c/w No. 20-30537
    nevertheless the rule that in a case like this perfection is by no means
    required.” (internal quotation marks and citation omitted)).
    *      *       *
    We are sympathetic to the bar owners, their employees, and other
    businesses who are hurting financially and face great adversity during this
    time. Judges Feldman and Summerhays, however, expedited evidentiary
    hearings, and based on the testimony credited at those hearings refused to
    second-guess the Governor’s determination regarding the health and safety
    of the state. Judges “are not public health experts, and we should respect the
    judgment of those with special expertise and responsibility in this area.”
    Roman Catholic Diocese, 141 S. Ct. at 68; see also S. Bay United Pentecostal
    Church v. Newsom, 
    140 S. Ct. 1613
    , 1614 (2020) (Mem.) (Roberts, C.J.,
    concurring) (“The precise question of when restrictions on particular social
    activities should be lifted during the pandemic is a dynamic and fact-intensive
    matter subject to reasonable disagreement. Our Constitution principally
    entrusts ‘[t]he safety and the health of the people’ to the politically
    accountable officials of the States ‘to guard and protect.’”).
    Appellees’ motion to dismiss the appeal as moot is DENIED. The
    district courts’ orders denying injunctive relief are AFFIRMED.
    21
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    No. 20-30526
    c/w No. 20-30537
    Don R. Willett, Circuit Judge, concurring:
    As the majority opinion ably explains, we are not the first Fifth Circuit
    panel to weigh the constitutionality of a state’s response to COVID-19. That
    task fell to In re Abbott in April 2020 during the early stages of the pandemic. 1
    Reviewing Texas’s order postponing non-essential surgeries, In re Abbott
    discerned a governing rule from a 1905 Supreme Court case, Jacobson v.
    Massachusetts: “[W]hen faced with a society-threatening epidemic, a state
    may implement emergency measures that curtail constitutional rights so long
    as the measures have at least some ‘real or substantial relation’ to the public
    health crisis and are not ‘beyond all question, a plain, palpable invasion of
    rights secured by the fundamental law.’” 2
    Jacobson was decided 116 years ago. And I do not believe it supplies
    the standard by which courts in 2021 must assess emergency public health
    measures. 3 Jacobson predates modern constitutional analysis, particularly the
    judge-invented tiers of scrutiny that distinguish between strongly and weakly
    protected rights (and between protected and unprotected classes). This
    elaborate three-tiered regime of judicial interest-balancing, a twentieth-
    1
    In re Abbott, 
    954 F.3d 772
     (5th Cir. 2020).
    2
    
    Id. at 784
     (quoting Jacobson v. Commonwealth of Mass., 
    197 U.S. 11
    , 31 (1905)).
    3
    I am not the first to express doubts about Jacobson, generally, or In re Abbott’s
    application of it, specifically. See Calvary Chapel Dayton Valley v. Sisolak, 
    140 S. Ct. 2603
    ,
    2608 (2020) (mem.) (Alito, J., dissenting from the denial of application for injunctive relief)
    (“And in any event, it is a mistake to take language in Jacobson as the last word on what the
    Constitution allows public officials to do during the COVID–19 pandemic.”); S. Bay
    United Pentecostal Church v. Newsom, 
    959 F.3d 938
    , 943 n.2 (9th Cir. 2020) (Collins, J.,
    dissenting) (“For the reasons stated, I am unable to agree with the Fifth Circuit’s
    conclusion that Jacobson instructs that all constitutional rights may be reasonably restricted
    to combat a public health emergency.” (internal quotation marks omitted)); see also Planned
    Parenthood of Greater Tex. v. Kauffman, __ F.3d __, 
    2020 WL 6867212
    , at *29 n.1 (Nov.
    23, 2020) (en banc) (Ho, J., concurring).
    22
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    century innovation rather than something enshrined in the Constitution,
    pervades contemporary constitutional decisionmaking. 4 And In re Abbott, in
    harkening back to Jacobson for the “governing framework” 5—indeed,
    declaring that “Jacobson governs a state’s emergency restriction of any
    individual right” 6—seems to whoosh past this formalist post-Jacobson
    architecture that dictates different rules for different rights.
    That said, it’s unclear what, if anything, Jacobson added to the analysis
    in In re Abbott, given that, under Jacobson’s second inquiry, the panel
    ultimately applied the current constitutional test (deferential rational-basis
    review) to the challenged government action. 7 But applying the modern test
    at Jacobson step two (whether measures are “beyond all question, in palpable
    conflict with the Constitution”) renders superfluous Jacobson step one
    (whether measures “have at least some ‘real or substantial relation’ to the
    public health crisis”). 8 That’s because today’s constitutional tests consider
    the government’s interest in restricting rights, such as protecting public
    health. So as applied in In re Abbott, Jacobson’s “governing framework” is
    just a roundabout way of conducting a conventional constitutional analysis.
    In my view, In re Abbott misdescribed Jacobson as a stand-alone test, rather
    than as merely a recognition of a state’s authority to enact temporary
    measures during emergent public health crises.
    4
    See Whole Woman’s Health v. Hellerstedt, 
    136 S. Ct. 2292
    , 2327 (2016) (Thomas,
    J., dissenting) (“Though the tiers of scrutiny have become a ubiquitous feature of
    constitutional law, they are of recent vintage.”).
    5
    In re Abbott, 954 F.3d at 795.
    6
    Id. at 778 n.1 (emphasis in original).
    7
    Id. at 787–88 (applying the undue-burden standard to a postponement of abortion
    procedures).
    8
    Id. at 784 (quoting Jacobson, 
    197 U.S. at 31
    ).
    23
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    c/w No. 20-30537
    Summing up: Stare decisis requires us to apply rational-basis review
    (the most obeisant form of judicial scrutiny) to economic legislation like the
    Bar Closure Order, but we should eschew any suggestion that Jacobson
    requires us to do so.
    24