Justin Atkins v. Timothy Hooper, Warden ( 2020 )


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  •      Case: 19-30018   Document: 00515624910   Page: 1   Date Filed: 11/03/2020
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT
    United States Court of Appeals
    No. 19-30018
    Fifth Circuit
    FILED
    November 3, 2020
    JUSTIN TERRELL ATKINS,                                             Lyle W. Cayce
    Clerk
    Petitioner - Appellant
    v.
    TIMOTHY HOOPER, Warden, Elayn Hunt Correctional Center,
    Respondent - Appellee
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Louisiana
    ON PETITION FOR REHEARING
    Before SOUTHWICK, COSTA, and DUNCAN, Circuit Judges.
    LESLIE H. SOUTHWICK, Circuit Judge:
    The previous opinion is withdrawn. See Atkins v. Hooper, 
    969 F.3d 200
    (5th Cir. 2020). A Louisiana inmate appeals the district court’s denial of
    habeas relief based on a Confrontation Clause violation. We AFFIRM.
    FACTS AND PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
    A jury convicted Justin Terrell Atkins of armed robbery and aggravated
    battery. The conviction was affirmed on appeal, then the Louisiana Supreme
    Court denied review. State v. Atkins, 
    74 So. 3d 238
    (La. Ct. App. 2011), writ
    denied, 
    82 So. 3d 284
    (La. 2012) (mem.). Our factual summary is taken from
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    the Louisiana court of appeal decision.
    Id. at 239.
    The issue in this appeal
    concerns the evidence identifying Atkins.      For purposes of describing the
    events, we assume Atkins was one of the participants.
    Robert Jones, Howard Bishop, and Tom Harris were drinking alcohol
    together at Jones’s house.    Atkins knew that Bishop and Jones had just
    returned to the house after Jones cashed a check. After kicking in the door to
    the house, Atkins demanded money, but Jones refused. Atkins began beating
    Jones with the butt of a firearm. When Harris intervened, Atkins hit him too.
    Bishop witnessed the incident and saw Atkins take money from Jones’s pocket.
    During the robbery, Lawrence Horton was at the door to Jones’s house. Horton
    had followed Jones and Bishop and saw Jones cash his check.
    That night, neither Bishop nor Harris could give the actual names of the
    men involved in the crime. They were able to inform police, though, of their
    nicknames and added that the person who hit Harris and Jones had been
    wearing an orange shirt. Harris within a few days learned Horton’s name and
    informed police. Eight days after the crime, Horton surrendered himself to
    police. When questioned by Detective Jeffrey Dowdy, Horton admitted to being
    one of the offenders but said Atkins was primarily responsible for the crime.
    Detective Dowdy then obtained an arrest warrant for Atkins.            Horton’s
    statements were the first ones to name Atkins and the only ones Detective
    Dowdy used when obtaining an arrest warrant.
    It was almost two weeks after the incident before either Bishop or Harris
    named Atkins.      By that time, Atkins had already been arrested.       Harris
    testified that a neighbor who lived below his apartment provided Harris with
    a picture of a man holding the neighbor’s baby. The man in the photograph
    was Atkins. Harris believed that this photograph was of the person involved
    in the crime who had been wearing an orange shirt. He provided it to police.
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    The officers then asked Bishop to examine a photographic lineup, and Bishop
    chose the picture of Atkins. Whether Harris had earlier shown the photograph
    to Bishop is disputed, as we will discuss. This testimony was presented at trial,
    and a jury convicted Atkins for his role in the crime. The conviction was
    affirmed on direct appeal.
    Atkins filed for state post-conviction relief in which he contended that he
    was denied his right to confront and cross-examine Horton when hearsay
    evidence was presented at trial. The claim focuses on the State’s opening
    statement, the testimony of Detective Dowdy, and the State’s closing
    argument.
    The prosecutor made these assertions in his opening statement:
    Finally, I believe the State will have the testimony of Lawrence
    Horton. Lawrence Horton is a co-defendant in this case. That he
    was arrested for this offense as well as the defendant in this case.
    I believe that he will tell you that he and the defendant met on the
    morning of January 2nd, 2009. That they went ultimately to 1710
    Jackson Street wherein the defendant, Mr. Atkins over here,
    busted the door in at 1710 and robbed and beat the victims while
    he himself, Mr. Horton, served as a lookout. And I believe that will
    – you will anticipate that testimony as well.
    Detective Dowdy at trial was allowed to imply, but not directly state,
    that Horton had told Dowdy that Atkins was his accomplice in the crime:
    Q. Okay. And did you in fact speak with Lawrence Horton?
    A. Yes, sir, I did.
    Q. All right. Was he advised of his rights?
    A. Yes, sir, he was.
    Q. And did he provide a statement to you?
    A. Yes, sir, he did.
    Q. Was the statement inculpatory? Did he –
    A. Yes, sir, it was.
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    Q. Okay. Did he implicate anybody else?
    A. Yes, sir, he did.
    Q. Okay. As a result of this – well, all right, he implicated someone
    else. What did you do next with regard to your investigation?
    A. Based on the – the information that he provided he was arrested
    and again, based on the information that he provided I was able
    to obtain a warrant.
    Q. For whom?
    A. Justin Atkins.
    Harris and Bishop testified for the State, identifying Atkins but
    admitting to being intoxicated at the time of the robbery. The State rested
    without calling Horton after indicating in its opening statement that he would
    testify.   The State’s brief here, written by the assistant district attorney
    handling the trial, said that Horton was interviewed after the opening
    statement. As a result, “the undersigned counsel felt Mr. Horton was not a
    credible witness and decided not to call Mr. Horton.”
    Atkins presented only one witness, Darrell Williams, whose testimony
    contradicted parts of Harris’ and Bishop’s recollections of details leading up to
    the assault and robbery. Williams also testified that a man in an orange shirt
    had been outside Jones’s house just before the attack on Harris and Jones, but
    he could not identify that man as Atkins.       During closing argument, the
    prosecutor stated that Detective Dowdy “interview[ed] Lawrence Horton, who
    [was] known as O and then obtain[ed] an arrest warrant for Justin Atkins, the
    defendant.” Detective Dowdy’s testimony and the State’s effort to make certain
    by its argument that jurors understood the implications about what Horton
    really told Detective Dowdy are the facts underlying the claim before us.
    Atkins was convicted, and the judgment was affirmed on appeal.
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    The state district court denied Atkins’ application for post-conviction
    relief. Both the state court of appeal and supreme court denied Atkins’ writ
    applications. Atkins filed a federal habeas application, claiming that he was
    denied his Sixth Amendment right to confrontation.            A magistrate judge
    recommended that Atkins’ application be denied. The district court adopted
    the report, dismissed Atkins’ application, and denied Atkins a Certificate of
    Appealability. Atkins timely appealed. This court granted Atkins the right to
    appeal his Confrontation Clause claim.
    DISCUSSION
    Atkins contends the state court’s decision denying his Sixth Amendment
    Confrontation Clause claim was contrary to and involved an unreasonable
    application of Supreme Court precedent. Atkins also argues the State waived
    any harmlessness argument and, regardless, the error was harmful. We first,
    though, consider whether the State waived a defense of procedural default.
    I.      Waiver of defense of procedural default
    The federal district court strongly recommended that the State analyze
    whether Atkins’ request for relief was barred by procedural default and asked
    the State to address this possible defense. The district court’s urging may have
    been because procedural default was one of the grounds on which the Louisiana
    Supreme Court denied state habeas relief. State ex rel. Atkins v. State, 
    227 So. 3d
    251, 251 (La. 2017). Nevertheless, the State failed to do so at the district
    court, and Atkins now contends the State waived procedural default because
    of this failure. In the State’s response brief, the State did not attempt to raise
    procedural default as a defense, and the State did not respond to Atkins’ waiver
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    argument. Thus, to bar habeas relief based on procedural default, we would
    have to raise and apply the defense sua sponte.
    When considering whether we should identify and apply a procedural
    default in habeas review, we consider whether the applicant had notice that
    the appellate court might consider procedural default and had a reasonable
    opportunity to respond, and whether the government intentionally waived the
    possible default. Smith v. Johnson, 
    216 F.3d 521
    , 524 (5th Cir. 2000). Here,
    the district court identified a possible defense of procedural default and
    instructed the State to raise the defense if the State believed it applied. The
    State thereafter answered Atkins’ habeas application and explicitly spurned
    the suggested defense, stating that “it appears [Atkins] has exhausted his state
    court remedies.” That is enough to convince us not to consider the issue of
    whether Atkins’ habeas application is procedurally defaulted.
    II.      Violation of the Confrontation Clause
    We review a “district court’s findings of fact for clear error and its
    conclusions of law de novo.” Dorsey v. Stephens, 
    720 F.3d 309
    , 314 (5th Cir.
    2013).     Under the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996
    (“AEDPA”), a federal court may not grant habeas relief on a claim that a state
    court has adjudicated on the merits unless that adjudication resulted in a
    decision that was either (1) “contrary to, or involved an unreasonable
    application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme
    Court of the United States” or (2) “based on an unreasonable determination of
    the facts in light of the evidence presented in the State court proceeding.” 28
    U.S.C. § 2254(d).
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    A.    The last reasoned decision
    A component of our review under AEDPA is how a claim was resolved in
    the “last related state-court decision” that provides a “relevant rationale.”
    Wilson v. Sellers, 
    138 S. Ct. 1188
    , 1192 (2018). If the last state-court decision
    for the Section 2254 applicant did not provide a relevant rationale for the
    claim, we “look through” that decision until we find one that does.
    Id. Only then can
    we consider whether the highest state court to decide the claim
    resolved it in a manner contrary to or by an unreasonable application of clearly
    established Supreme Court precedent.
    Id. Atkins’ habeas application
    in the state district court included the same
    Confrontation Clause claim he now pursues in federal court, but Atkins’ state
    application also included claims of ineffective assistance of trial counsel. We
    have no ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claims before us.
    Our search for a reasoned decision starts with the highest state-court
    decision on Atkins’ habeas claims, that of the Louisiana Supreme Court in
    September 2017. State ex rel. Atkins v. State, 
    227 So. 3d
    251 (La. 2017). The
    court denied relief to Atkins for two reasons. First, it concluded that Atkins’
    claims were procedurally defaulted because he “failed to raise his claims in the
    proceedings leading to conviction,” relying on Louisiana Code of Criminal
    Procedure article 930.4(B).
    Id. at 251.
    That is the procedural default that we
    do not inject into this appeal. Second, the court held that Atkins “fail[ed] to
    satisfy his post-conviction burden of proof” under Louisiana Code of Criminal
    Procedure article 930.2.
    Id. Because Atkins was
    claiming more than a
    Confrontation Clause violation, and all claims had already been rejected by
    that court as procedurally defaulted, this brief reference to the burden of proof
    does not inform us whether the court was applying that defect to all the claims.
    Therefore, the Louisiana Supreme Court did not give a decision that was
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    reasoned in AEDPA terms on the Confrontation Clause issue or on
    harmlessness. See, e.g., Jackson v. Johnson, 
    194 F.3d 641
    , 651 (5th Cir. 1999).
    We therefore look through that decision.
    The preceding state-court decision was rather concise, issued by the
    Louisiana Second Circuit Court of Appeal in March 2016:
    Applicant Justin Terrell Atkins seeks supervisory review of
    the trial court’s denial of his uniform application for post-
    conviction relief and “Amended Brief in Support of Application for
    Petition for Post Conviction Relief.” On the showing made, the
    writ is denied. La. C. Cr. P. art. 930.2; La. C.E. 801(C); State v.
    Lewis, 47,853 (La. App. 2d Cir. 2/27/13), 
    110 So. 3d 644
    , 653, writ
    denied, 2013-0672 (La. 10/25/13), 
    124 So. 3d 1092
    ; Woods v.
    Etherton, __U.S.__, 
    136 S. Ct. 1149
    (2016).
    The brevity of this decision imperfectly follows a Louisiana Uniform Rule
    of the Court of Appeal. The Rule provides the following:
    A. [Description of when summary disposition is appropriate.]
    B. The court may dispose of a case by summary disposition with
    or without oral argument at any time after the case is docketed in
    the appellate court. . . .
    C. When a summary disposition is issued, it shall contain:
    (1) a statement describing the nature of the case and the
    dispositive issues without a discussion of the facts;
    (2) a citation to controlling precedent, if any; and
    (3) the judgment of the appellate court and a citation to one or
    more of the criteria under this rule which supports the judgment,
    e.g., “Affirmed in accordance with Uniform Court of Appeal Rule
    2-16.2.A(1).”
    LA. UNIF. R. COURT APP. 2-16.2.
    Among other omissions, the court of appeal did not identify a dispositive
    issue. The State now argues that one dispositive issue was the harmlessness
    of any error; the state court’s failure to identify any issue blunts the contention.
    Nonetheless, we are not the supervisors of a state court’s compliance with its
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    own procedural rules: “federal habeas corpus relief does not lie for errors of
    state law.” Lewis v. Jeffers, 
    497 U.S. 764
    , 780 (1990). We still must find some
    violation of federal law in the court’s judgment before granting any relief.
    The court of appeal first cited Louisiana Code of Criminal Procedure
    article 930.2, as would the state supreme court, which places the burden of
    proof on the applicant for relief.   The court next cited Louisiana Code of
    Evidence article 801(c), which defines hearsay. At most we can discern that
    the definition of hearsay was relevant, and Atkins had the burden of proof as
    to any relevant facts and, perhaps, did not carry that burden well.
    The first of two court opinions cited was State v. Lewis, 
    110 So. 3d 644
    (La. Ct. App. 2013). In Lewis, the defendant raised five issues on appeal.
    Id. at 649–55.
    The court of appeal in Atkins’ case gave a pinpoint citation to the
    page of Lewis discussing the right to confrontation.
    Id. at 653.
    That page
    refers to testimony similar to what is at issue in our case and avers that a
    police officer’s describing his investigation by restating what he was told is
    generally not hearsay.
    Id. Still, there is
    no holding on that page about whether
    the testimony in Lewis contained hearsay.
    Id. On the next
    page of the opinion,
    the Lewis court held that the police officer’s testimony that strongly implied
    the defendant was the suspect was actually inadmissible hearsay, but the error
    was harmless because of other substantial evidence of guilt.
    Id. at 654.
          The State insists on this appeal that the reference to Lewis constitutes a
    holding on the merits that the testimony in this case was at worst harmless
    error, even if there were a violation of the Confrontation Clause. Our problem
    with this position is three-fold. First, there had not been any argument about
    harmless error in Atkins’ case. The briefing in the state district court did not
    address that possibility, and the district court’s opinion did not discuss it. As
    to Atkins’ appeal, the State never filed a brief, an absence consistent with
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    Uniform Rule of the Court of Appeal 2-16.2(B) that allows the court to enter a
    decision without responsive briefing. The issue of harmless error, therefore,
    had not been part of the case. Second, by not identifying any dispositive issue,
    the court of appeal did not itself indicate that it was relying on harmless error.
    Finally, the cited page of Lewis did not refer to the harmlessness of an error.
    In considering the State’s new argument that the court of appeal held
    any error to be harmless, we have two considerations. On the one hand,
    Congress, by adopting AEDPA, has established rules to prevent federal courts
    from unnecessarily overturning state-court resolution of post-conviction
    claims.   On the other hand, habeas itself is based on important liberty
    interests. For us to conclude that the court of appeal decision we just described
    actually held that the introduction of the officer’s testimony was harmless error
    would create a ruling that the state court did not clearly make. Before giving
    the exceptional level of deference to a state-court holding that AEDPA
    requires, we need better support than exists here to conclude that the state
    court actually made that holding. We thus find that the state court by referring
    to Lewis was deciding on some other basis, perhaps the same that the trial
    court had used —this testimony was not hearsay at all.
    Finally, the court of appeal cited Woods v. Etherton, 
    136 S. Ct. 1149
    (2016). Woods dealt only with a claim of ineffective assistance of appellate
    counsel for failing to raise a Confrontation Clause argument on appeal.
    Id. at 1151
    –53. As an initial matter, the court of appeal opinion does not include a
    pinpoint citation to any portion of the opinion. We consider the case’s general
    holding, which was that the federal circuit court of appeals applied the
    incorrect standard of review under AEDPA.
    Id. at 1152.
    When analyzing
    ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claims under AEDPA, the Supreme Court
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    concluded that “doubly deferential” review is the appropriate standard.
    Id. at 1151
    (quoting Cullen v. Pinholster, 
    563 U.S. 170
    , 190 (2011)).
    Atkins argues that the state court of appeal denied his Confrontation
    Clause claim by incorrectly applying this double deference. Actually, because
    Woods addresses ineffective assistance of counsel, we conclude that the better
    understanding is that the state court was using that precedent to deny the
    similar claim that Atkins brought in state court but is not before us.
    Accordingly, the state court of appeal’s use of Woods is not relevant to the
    Confrontation Clause claim before us.
    We conclude that the state court of appeal did not make an identifiable,
    reasoned decision as to the Confrontation Clause. At most, we could say that
    its citation to Lewis could be a ruling that this testimony was not hearsay at
    all. Because of our uncertainty, we look through that court’s opinion and find
    the state district court’s decision.
    In February 2016, the state district court denied Atkins’ application for
    post-conviction relief with far more explanation than either appellate court.
    The court held that Atkins’ right to confrontation was not violated, reasoning
    that because Detective Dowdy’s testimony did not reference the actual
    statements Horton made during Detective Dowdy’s investigation, no hearsay
    was admitted. The court also found that Detective Dowdy’s testimony was
    “used to explain the sequence of events leading to the arrest of [Atkins] from
    the viewpoint of the arresting officers,” which is permissible under state law.
    Because the state court determined the relevant statements were not hearsay,
    there was no Confrontation Clause violation.          There was no additional
    consideration at this point of any harmless effect.
    The district court’s decision that this testimony was not hearsay is the
    needed ruling that provides a rationale for Atkins’ Confrontation Clause claim.
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    The state court of appeal may also share this rationale. Because we have
    concluded that no state court considered harmlessness, when we analyze that
    issue, there is no state-court decision to receive deference.
    B.    Application of Supreme Court precedent
    The state court’s determination that we now review was a legal one,
    namely, that the relevant testimony was not hearsay. Our review, then, is
    under Section 2254(d)(1) for whether the court’s decision was “contrary to, or
    involved an unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as
    determined by the Supreme Court of the United States.”
    The first standard, that the decision be “contrary to . . . clearly
    established Federal law,” is met if “the state court arrives at a conclusion
    opposite to that reached by [the Supreme Court] on a question of law or if the
    state court decides a case differently than [the Supreme Court] has on a set of
    materially indistinguishable facts.” Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 413
    (2000). The second standard, that the state court made an “unreasonable
    application of clearly established federal law,” is satisfied when that court
    “identifies the correct governing legal principle from [the Supreme Court’s]
    decisions but unreasonably applies that principle to the facts of the prisoner’s
    case.”
    Id. These alternatives require
    more than a federal court’s conclusion
    that the state court erred under clearly established Supreme Court authority.
    The federal court must also conclude the state court’s error was
    “unreasonable.”
    Id. at 411.
          We restate the key components of the challenged testimony. Detective
    Dowdy was asked what he was told by Horton, who had admitted to being
    involved in the offense. The prosecutor prefaced his question by saying that
    Horton “implicated someone else,” and then asked Detective Dowdy, “What did
    you do next with regard to your investigation?” The answer was that, based
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    on what Horton told him, Detective Dowdy obtained a warrant for the arrest
    of Justin Atkins. Jurors surely knew whom Horton implicated.
    We now examine the state-court decision. We already explained that the
    state court of appeal may have decided that the testimony was not hearsay at
    all when it cited a page from Lewis, one of its own opinions. No United States
    Supreme Court authority was cited on the specific page of Lewis that the
    intermediate court referenced, and we find no Supreme Court authority about
    hearsay anywhere in the Lewis opinion. See 
    Lewis, 110 So. 3d at 653
    .
    The state district court’s ruling is the reasoned state-court decision. Two
    fairly brief paragraphs are the entirety of the hearsay discussion. First, under
    a caption of “Law,” the court made these general statements about hearsay:
    A defendant’s confrontation right is only implicated when
    the out-of-court statement is used to prove the truth of the matter
    asserted. Tennessee v. Street, 
    471 U.S. 409
    , 414 (1985). According
    to Bruton v. United States, 
    391 U.S. 123
    , 
    88 S. Ct. 1620
    , 
    20 L. Ed. 2d
    476 (1968), the United States Supreme Court held that a
    defendant’s rights under the confrontation clause of the Sixth
    Amendment to the United States Constitution were violated by the
    introduction, at a joint criminal trial, of a nontestifying
    codefendant’s confession which named and incriminated the
    defendant. “Hearsay is a statement, other than one made by the
    declarant while testifying at the present trial or hearing, offered
    in evidence to prove the truth of the matter asserted.” La. C.E. art.
    801(c).
    The next paragraph was captioned “Analysis.” There, the court held that
    the challenged testimony was not hearsay:
    Mr. Atkins argues that he was referenced to in the testimony
    of Detective Dowdy, Mr. Bishop, Mr. Harris, and in the opening
    and closing statements of the State of Louisiana. However, Mr.
    Atkins’ rights were not violated, as no references were made to the
    statements made by Mr. Horton and thus hearsay was not evident.
    Although Detective Dowdy did make statements in reference to the
    conversation between Atkins and Mr. Horton, this conversation
    was used to explain the sequence of events leading to the arrest of
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    the defendant from the viewpoint of the arresting officers. State v.
    
    Calloway, 324 So. 2d at 809
    . Thus, Mr. Atkins’ claims in this
    respect are meritless.
    We examine the two cited Supreme Court opinions.             In Street, the
    Confrontation Clause issue arose from the fact that the confession of an
    accomplice who incriminated Street was introduced. Its admission was for the
    “nonhearsay purpose of rebutting [Street’s] testimony that his own [later]
    confession was a coerced ‘copy’ of” the accomplice’s confession.” 
    Street, 471 U.S. at 417
    . An instruction was given, informing jurors to consider the accomplice’s
    confession only as rebuttal to Street’s claim and not for the confession’s
    truthfulness.
    Id. at 412.
    The Supreme Court upheld the conviction, concluding
    that admission of the entire statement with a limiting instruction was
    necessary and constitutional.
    Id. at 415, 417.
    “Had the prosecutor been denied
    the opportunity to present [the accomplice’s] confession in rebuttal so as to
    enable the jury to make the relevant comparison, the jury would have been
    impeded in its task of evaluating the truth of respondent’s testimony and
    handicapped in weighing the reliability of his confession.”
    Id. at 415.
          The other Supreme Court decision cited by the state district court
    involved a joint trial of two defendants; a witness stated that one of the two
    confessed to him that both had committed the offense. 
    Bruton, 391 U.S. at 124
    .
    The trial court instructed jurors that they could consider that testimony only
    as to the defendant who made the statement; the Supreme Court held the risk
    was too great that jurors would be unable to restrict their use of the confession.
    Id. at 135–36.
    The Court reversed the conviction.
    The district court in Atkins’ habeas suit did not reveal how it was
    applying Street and Bruton. The State’s brief in response to Atkins’ application
    in the state district court contained an explanation of Street that was quoted
    in that court’s opinion: “A defendant’s confrontation right is only implicated
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    when the out-of-court statement is used to prove the truth of the matter
    asserted. Tennessee v. Street, 
    471 U.S. 409
    , 414 (1985).” The State did not
    otherwise refer to Street. To support its substantive analysis, the brief cited
    Calloway, the same precedent the state district court then relied on to dismiss
    Atkins’ claim. The Calloway opinion allowed the arresting officer to testify
    that he stopped the black Cadillac in which the defendants were travelling
    because of a radio report of suspects being in such a vehicle. State v. Calloway,
    
    324 So. 2d 801
    , 809 (La. 1975). The testimony of what officers heard over the
    radio was admissible to explain the events leading to the arrest.
    Id. The state habeas
    court concluded that Detective Dowdy’s recounting of
    his conversation with Horton was not hearsay because “this conversation was
    used to explain the sequence of events leading to the arrest of the defendant
    from the viewpoint of the arresting officers.” The holding was almost an exact
    quote from Calloway, which in turn had relied on a state-court precedent.
    Id. Regardless of whether
    that was a fair application of Calloway, we need to
    examine whether the state district-court decision was “contrary to, or involved
    an unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined
    by the Supreme Court of the United States.” § 2254(d)(1).
    The first decision, Street, involved an unusual set of facts. The Supreme
    Court held that “there were no alternatives that would have both assured the
    integrity of the trial’s truth-seeking function and eliminated the risk of the
    jury’s improper use of evidence.” 
    Street, 471 U.S. at 415
    . As to Atkins, even
    though showing the sequence of events leading to a suspect’s arrest may help
    jurors understand the story of the investigation, the testimony was hardly an
    indispensable component of the prosecution’s case.
    As to Bruton, the other Supreme Court opinion that the state habeas
    court cited, we do not see that it was even being applied. Perhaps the court
    15
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    No. 19-30018
    cited it as a contrast both to Street and to Atkins’ situation. The Bruton opinion
    does demonstrate one clear, but distinguishable, situation in which reversal is
    required based on the Confrontation Clause. The state court cited these two
    United States Supreme Court opinions, but its holding was based on the
    Calloway Louisiana Supreme Court opinion, which allowed officers to recount
    hearsay to explain certain investigatory steps.
    We interpret the state court as having made two holdings. First,
    Detective Dowdy’s testimony was not hearsay because “no references were
    made to the statements made by Mr. Horton and thus hearsay was not
    evident.” We agree to the extent that Detective Dowdy’s testimony did not
    restate or paraphrase at any length what Horton had told him. Nonetheless,
    the jurors were given a clear message about a specific piece of information
    Horton conveyed, namely, that Atkins was his accomplice.        We do not see a
    holding in Street, Bruton, or any Supreme Court opinion, in which the Court
    permits a-wink-and-a-nod testimony from a police officer such that jurors are
    able to understand what has been said about a defendant in an out-of-court
    statement without the officer’s having to say so explicitly. The second holding
    was that because “this conversation was used to explain the sequence of events
    leading to the arrest of the defendant from the viewpoint of the arresting
    officers,” it was not hearsay. Neither Street nor Bruton made such a holding.
    Both decisions recognized that a prosecutor’s professed purpose that the out-
    of-court statements are not being used for their truth does not automatically
    foreclose Confrontation Clause concerns.
    We conclude that Street and Bruton do not even address the
    Confrontation Clause issue raised by Atkins’ claims. To the extent the state
    district court was applying either opinion, it was an unreasonable application
    to hold they controlled as to these different facts. A precedent much closer
    16
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    No. 19-30018
    factually and analytically to what occurred here is the decision in Gray v.
    Maryland, 
    523 U.S. 185
    (1998). When a police officer read a codefendant’s
    confession into evidence at trial, the incriminating statements about the
    defendant were also read, but the witness said “deleted” or “deletion” instead
    of the defendant’s name.
    Id. at 188.
    The Court reasoned that such redacted
    statements “obviously refer directly to someone, often obviously the defendant,
    and . . . involve inferences that a jury ordinarily could make immediately, even
    were the confession the very first item introduced at trial.”
    Id. at 196.
    The
    admission of the codefendant’s confession containing unstated but transparent
    references to the defendant violated the Confrontation Clause.
    Id. at 195.
          Even closer factually is one of this court’s opinions in which a detective
    testified that he “had a conversation with [the witness] and during this
    conversation, learned some information,” and from that information, the
    detective testified he “was able to develop a suspect.” Taylor v. Cain, 
    545 F.3d 327
    , 331 (5th Cir. 2008). The prosecutor then asked, “as per this end of your
    investigation, what was the name of your suspect?”
    Id. The detective named
    the defendant.
    Id. That testimony violated
    the defendant’s right to confront
    his accusers.
    Id. at 336.
          Our description of one of our own precedents may seem irrelevant, as
    Section 2254(d)(1) does not permit relief unless a state-court decision is
    inconsistent with clearly established Supreme Court authority. Nonetheless,
    the Supreme Court recognizes that a circuit court of appeal, in “accordance
    with [the] usual law-of-the-circuit procedures, [may] look to circuit precedent
    to ascertain whether it has already held that the particular point in issue is
    clearly established by Supreme Court precedent.” Marshall v. Rodgers, 
    569 U.S. 58
    , 64 (2013). But “it may not canvass circuit decisions to determine
    17
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    No. 19-30018
    whether a particular rule of law is so widely accepted among the Federal
    Circuits that it would, if presented to this Court, be accepted as correct.”
    Id. Similarly, we have
    described the proper understanding as being that
    “circuit precedent cannot create clearly-established law” for purposes of Section
    2254(d)(1), but a circuit court may properly rely on one of its own decisions if
    that precedent held that a Supreme Court precedent clearly established a point
    of law. Carter v. Stephens, 
    805 F.3d 552
    , 556 (5th Cir. 2015). Our Taylor v.
    Cain opinion concluded that upholding the admission of this evidence was an
    unreasonable application of the law clearly established in Ohio v. Roberts, 
    448 U.S. 56
    , 65 (1980). 
    Taylor, 545 F.3d at 335
    –36.
    Having gone this far in the analysis of the Confrontation Clause, we go
    no further. To summarize, we have explained that the state district court did
    not apply relevant Supreme Court precedent.          We identified a different
    Supreme Court precedent, existing at the time of the state-court decision under
    review here, that has considerable relevance to the Confrontation Clause issue.
    Exactly how it applies would need to be analyzed. We also identified a Fifth
    Circuit precedent on similar facts that purported to apply clearly established
    authority from the Supreme Court. We would need to consider whether each
    specific relevant holding in Taylor at least stated it was relying on clearly
    established Supreme Court authority. We leave open these questions because
    we conclude the answers will not affect the outcome of the appeal. What does
    control is the final issue we consider: was any error harmful?
    III.   Harm from Confrontation Clause error
    Confrontation Clause violations are subject to harmless-error analysis.
    Horn v. Quarterman, 
    508 F.3d 306
    , 322 n.24 (5th Cir. 2007).            The State
    concedes that it did not raise harmlessness in this case but urges us to consider
    18
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    the possibility anyway. We have held that we have the discretion to reach the
    issue even sua sponte. Jones v. Cain, 
    600 F.3d 527
    , 541 (5th Cir. 2010). We
    find it desirable in most AEDPA cases to consider harmlessness. For a federal
    court to order relief on a ground that was harmless is the kind of needless
    interference with a state-court judgment that AEDPA seeks to avoid. We will
    exercise our discretion and consider harmless error.
    We first identify the standard we should apply in determining whether
    the constitutional violation amounted to harm. We reiterate that no state-
    court decision evaluated harmlessness.        Without a reasoned state-court
    decision on the issue, no deference is due under AEDPA. Gonzales v. Thaler,
    
    643 F.3d 425
    , 430 (5th Cir. 2011).
    Generally, when a federal court reviews a state-court judgment of
    conviction, “a constitutional trial error is not so harmful as to entitle a
    defendant to habeas relief unless there is more than a mere reasonable
    possibility that it contributed to the verdict.” Billiot v. Puckett, 
    135 F.3d 311
    ,
    318 (5th Cir. 1998) (quoting Woods v. Johnson, 
    75 F.3d 1017
    , 1026–27 (5th Cir.
    1996)). In federal habeas review, the error must have “had substantial and
    injurious effect or influence in determining the jury’s verdict.”       Brecht v.
    Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
    , 623 (1993) (quoting Kotteakos v. United States, 
    328 U.S. 750
    , 776 (1946)). “Actual prejudice” must be shown.
    Id. at 637.
    The
    Brecht standard applies even when, as here, the state court did not analyze the
    issue. Fry v. Pliler, 
    551 U.S. 112
    , 121–22 (2007).
    We introduced this part of the explanation with a caveat, that generally
    this is the approach. What may be different here is the fact that the State
    forfeited the issue. In other words, the question is whether the State’s failure
    to raise harmlessness any earlier in the proceedings changes how we review
    harmlessness. Whether the State’s silence was an intentional waiver of a
    19
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    No. 19-30018
    recognized potential issue is unclear. “Forfeiture is the failure to make the
    timely assertion of a right; waiver is the intentional relinquishment of a known
    right.” United States v. Rodriguez, 
    602 F.3d 346
    , 351 (5th Cir. 2010) (quoting
    United States v. Arviso–Mata, 
    442 F.3d 382
    , 384 (5th Cir. 2006)). Our caselaw
    states that a “waived” issue, when the term is being used to refer to an issue
    intentionally not pressed on the court, usually will not be reviewed.
    Id. at 350– 51.
    As we have already indicated, though, we can raise harmlessness sua
    sponte. 
    Jones, 600 F.3d at 541
    . Whatever the cause of the State’s failure, we
    can reach the issue.
    In some situations, failure to raise an issue until the appeal results in
    review only for plain error. See United States v. Castellon-Aragon, 
    772 F.3d 1023
    , 1024 (5th Cir. 2014). Here, though, we are not considering a newly
    argued error that might justify reversing the district court after every
    previously raised argument failed to do so. Instead, we are considering a new
    issue that might allow us to avoid setting aside the lower court’s judgment.
    Plain error is not the standard.
    The Seventh Circuit set rules for reaching a previously unmentioned
    harmlessness issue when considering the direct appeal of a federal criminal
    conviction. See United States v. Giovannetti, 
    928 F.2d 225
    , 227 (7th Cir. 1991). 1
    The court determined that for reaching forfeited arguments of harmless error
    in that context, “the controlling considerations are the length and complexity
    of the record, whether the harmlessness of the error or errors found is certain
    or debatable, and whether a reversal will result in protracted, costly, and
    ultimately futile proceedings in the district court.”
    Id. We conclude that
    the
    1This court approvingly cited the Giovannetti opinion in its discussion of whether we
    have the “discretion to decide legal issues that are not timely raised,” also doing so in a direct
    appeal of a federal conviction. See United States v. Vontsteen, 
    950 F.2d 1086
    , 1091–92 (5th
    Cir. 1992) (en banc). The analysis was not of harmless error.
    20
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    Seventh Circuit’s opinion, which predated Brecht by two years and did not
    involve review of a state conviction, necessarily did not, indeed could not, take
    into account that the “application of a less onerous harmless-error standard on
    habeas [review of a state conviction] promotes the considerations underlying
    our habeas jurisprudence.” 
    Brecht, 507 U.S. at 623
    . We do not find Giovannetti
    persuasive for adopting a heightened standard in the habeas context from that
    identified in Brecht.
    We return to the precedent that identified our discretion to reach a
    forfeited issue of harmless error. 
    Jones, 600 F.3d at 541
    . There, the State
    argued for the first time in its surreply in district court that any Confrontation
    Clause violation, similar to the testimony here, was at worst harmless error.
    Id. at 540–41.
    This court discussed Brecht in some depth, without suggesting
    that because the issue had not been properly raised by the State, Brecht might
    not apply. See
    id. at 540.
    For example, the court stated that “the prejudice of
    constitutional error in a state-court criminal trial is measured by the
    ‘substantial and injurious effect [or influence in determining the jury’s verdict]’
    standard of Brecht v. Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
    , 
    113 S. Ct. 1710
    , 
    123 L. Ed. 2d 353
    (1993).’’ Id. (quoting 
    Taylor, 545 F.3d at 336
    ). In Jones, the court analyzed
    the possibility of harmlessness enough to say: “we are convinced that the error
    here was not harmless” and, accordingly, do not “undertake a full analysis in
    light of the State’s waiver.”
    Id. at 541. 2
           Though we interpret Jones to have implied that the usual Brecht
    standard applies even when considering a late-brought argument of
    harmlessness, we see no clear precedential holding in Jones to that effect. We
    2 The Seventh Circuit, despite Giovannetti, has held that Brecht applies in reviewing
    a state conviction, even if the state forfeited the issue of harmlessness. See Rhodes v.
    Dittmann, 
    903 F.3d 646
    , 665 (7th Cir. 2018) (refusing to apply the Giovannetti standard of
    “certainty” as to harmlessness).
    21
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    so hold now. Whether raised late by the State or even if only noticed by the
    court sua sponte, the same considerations apply as were explained in Brecht.
    Reaching harmlessness and applying the usual review standard might
    appear to be giving more lenient treatment to the State’s defaults than is given
    to those of defendants. True, applicants for habeas relief are often barred
    under AEDPA from raising new arguments. We see no inequity, though, in
    reaching harmless error in this appeal. The prohibition on reprosecution after
    an acquittal, i.e., the double jeopardy bar, makes harmless error relevant only
    to a conviction. If a jury acquits, even multiple trial errors harmful to the
    prosecution cannot disturb that verdict. On appeal from a conviction, though,
    reaching harmlessness and applying the usual standard of review even when
    the issue has not been properly raised avoids reversals and retrials when the
    violation did not affect the initial proceedings. See 
    Giovannetti, 928 F.2d at 227
    . A more general loosening of the tight AEDPA rules for review of a
    conviction is for Congress.
    We now examine the harm from this potential error. The testimony
    which is the focus of the Confrontation Clause claim occurred because jurors
    were effectively informed that Horton told Detective Dowdy that Atkins was
    the second culprit. Whether that testimony had a substantial, injurious effect
    depends largely on the extent of other testimony identifying Atkins. Those
    with first-hand knowledge of the events were Jones, Bishop, and Harris. All
    three had been drinking alcohol just prior to the assault. According to a police
    officer, after the attack, the victims “had some bleeding head wounds.” The
    three men all smelled of alcohol and had slurred speech, and all were “highly
    intoxicated.” Jones died before trial, and the other two testified.
    The victims knew Horton prior to the assault. Harris and Horton had
    been roommates for about six months, and on the morning of the assault and
    22
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    No. 19-30018
    theft, Harris had told Horton to move out of the apartment. Despite these
    connections, none of the victims could provide officers with more than Horton’s
    nickname on the night of the crime. Harris testified that Atkins, whom he
    knew as J Money, “had been in the neighborhood a couple of times with”
    Horton. Bishop similarly testified to knowing Horton and to seeing Atkins a
    few times prior to the crime.       During trial, both Harris and Bishop
    unequivocally identified Atkins as the assailant whom they had earlier known
    only as J Money.
    There were some challenges made at trial to the identification.         In
    addition to their intoxication, Harris after the assault “had trauma to his
    head,” was bleeding, had bloodshot eyes, slurred his speech, and “had extreme
    trouble standing up.” The defense, by calling Williams, sought to raise doubts
    about the victims’ ability to have perceived the events, then to testify
    accurately about them, such as whether the door to the house was open or not,
    and whether there were other, unidentified people there before the robbery.
    We recount the process that led to Atkins being identified as Horton’s
    accomplice. On the night of the offense, Harris and Bishop identified their
    attackers as J Money and O. Three days later, Detective Dowdy again met
    with Harris and Jones. Harris for the first time stated that he had learned the
    actual name of one of the individuals involved in the crime. He discovered
    Horton’s name after finding documents left in their previously shared
    apartment. It was almost two weeks before either witness identified Atkins.
    Harris testified at trial that a week after the assault, the couple who lived
    below his apartment told him that the other offender had been with them at
    some point, and someone had taken a photograph of him with the baby who
    lived in the lower-level apartment. This neighbor supposedly “knew what
    happened” and that is why the neighbor gave Harris the photograph. It was
    23
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    No. 19-30018
    this photograph that Harris provided to officers. Detective Dowdy created a
    photographic lineup with the neighbor’s picture for Bishop to review. Bishop
    selected Atkins’ photograph. This lineup would have been tainted if Harris
    had earlier shown the photograph to Bishop. At trial, Harris said he showed
    Bishop the photograph before giving it to police, but Bishop testified that
    though he knew about the photograph, he had not seen it before the
    photographic lineup.
    The validity of the lineup was challenged on direct appeal. The state
    court of appeal held that the “lineup was fair and reasonable,” and jurors were
    able to judge the credibility of both Harris and Bishop in their identifications.
    
    Atkins, 74 So. 3d at 241
    . It does not appear the claim was made to that court
    that Bishop was shown the photograph before the lineup. We do not consider
    how that omission would affect the deference that otherwise would be owed to
    the court of appeal on a finding of fact. The court also found that Bishop and
    Harris “already knew Atkins and his accomplice.”
    Id. (emphasis and footnote
    removed).       This finding of prior knowledge is not an “unreasonable
    determination of the facts,” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(2), and is owed deference.
    In summary, the two witnesses who were victims of the crime had some
    familiarity with Atkins before the offense. Each positively identified Atkins.
    On cross-examination, defense counsel did not seriously challenge either
    witness’s ability to identify the attacker on any grounds, including
    intoxication.    At least one witness, and perhaps both, knew the person’s
    nickname, J Money. Harris and Bishop were intoxicated, perhaps significantly
    so. We have no evidence to support, though, that their powers of perception
    were so affected as to be unable to recognize that someone they had seen at
    least on a few earlier occasions was attacking them. The cross-examination of
    the two witnesses raised no reasonable questions about the identifications
    24
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    No. 19-30018
    other than the potentially tainted photographic lineup. Harris, though, was
    not affected by that possibility, only Bishop. We conclude that any error was
    harmless because it did not have a “substantial and injurious effect or
    influence in determining the jury’s verdict.” 
    Kotteakos, 328 U.S. at 776
    .
    * * *
    No judge in active service having requested a poll of the court on the
    petition for rehearing en banc, that petition is DENIED.       The petition is
    converted to one for rehearing by the panel, and that petition is GRANTED.
    We AFFIRM the district court’s denial of relief.
    25
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    No. 19-30018
    GREGG COSTA, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part:
    There are winners and losers in litigation. So the measure of the justice
    system is not whether the losing party is happy with the result. It’s whether
    that party got a fair shake.     And fair treatment depends on the neutral
    application of procedural rules. That evenhandedness is part of what is meant
    by the “rule of law” or “equal justice under law,” ideals that are guiding lights
    of our justice system.
    A neutral justice system cannot apply a double standard for procedural
    rules such as the one that should resolve this case: “Ordinarily a party may not
    present a wholly new legal issue in a reviewing court.” CHARLES ALAN WRIGHT
    & ARTHUR R. MILLER, 9C FEDERAL PRACTICE & PROCEDURE § 2588. That rule
    is a—perhaps the—bedrock principle of appellate review.           See generally
    Raising New Issues on Appeal, 64 HARV. L. REV. 652, 652–55 (1951). The
    preservation requirement is “as old as the common-law system of appellate
    review.” Robert J. Martineau, Considering New Issues on Appeal: The General
    Rule and the Gorilla Rule, 40 VAND. L. REV. 1023, 1061 (1987); see Clements v.
    Macheboeuf, 
    92 U.S. 418
    , 425 (1875); 2 WILLIAM BLACKSTONE, COMMENTARIES
    *455; Andrey Spektor & Michael A. Zuckerman, Ferrets and Truffles and
    Hounds, Oh My: Getting Beyond Waiver, 18 GREEN BAG 2d 77, 79–81 (2014).
    The rule against hearing new issues on appeal comes up so often that it
    goes by many names. Waiver is the most common term, though forfeiture is
    more accurate (as we are talking about failing to raise an issue in the trial
    court, not affirmatively abandoning it). United States v. Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    ,
    733 (1993).   It’s also called the preservation rule.    Ian Speir & Nima H.
    Mohebbi, Preservation Rules in the Federal Court of Appeals, 16 J. APP.
    PRACTICE & PROCESS 281 (2015). Most punchy is “raise-or-lose.” United States
    v. Roberts, 
    119 F.3d 1006
    , 1013 (1st Cir. 1997); Tory A. Weigand, Raise or Lose:
    26
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    Appellate Discretion and Principled Decision-Making, 17 SUFFOLK J. TRIAL &
    APP. ADVOC. 179 (2012). Regardless of the label used, “[t]he rule that points
    not argued will not be considered is more than just a prudential rule of
    convenience; its observance, at least in the vast majority of cases, distinguishes
    our adversary system of justice from the inquisitorial one.” United States v.
    Burke, 
    504 U.S. 229
    , 246 (1992) (Scalia, J., concurring).
    The state violated this basic preservation requirement when it comes to
    the harmlessness argument it now so vigorously pushes. There was not a peep
    about harmlessness in the district court.      As a result, the original panel
    opinion—issued after a full airing of the case, including oral argument—
    decided not to forgive the state’s forfeiture of the issue. Atkins v. Hooper, 
    969 F.3d 200
    , 210 (5th Cir. 2020). We recognized the discretion we have to do so
    but saw “no reason for exercising it here.”
    Id. I
    would stand by that sound
    determination.
    The panel majority, however, does a 180 on rehearing. There is nothing
    wrong with that as a general matter. For more than 99% of cases, the court of
    appeals is the end of the road. The rehearing stage is usually the last chance
    to get the case right. Judges thus must guard against the certitude and pride
    that can get in the way of correcting one’s mistakes.                Openness to
    reconsideration is a good thing. But this reversal is not due to any error,
    factual or legal, that the rehearing petition identified. Instead, the panel
    majority flips a judgment call on whether to forgive the state’s failure to
    preserve the harmlessness issue. The rehearing petition does not cite any new
    factors that should influence that decision. The majority cites one thing that
    has been true of this case from the very beginning: it is a habeas petition. Maj.
    Op. 18.
    27
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    I see three problems with the notion that it is “desirable in most AEDPA
    cases to consider harmlessness” even when it was not raised in the trial court.
    Id. First, the discretionary
    nature of recognizing forfeiture is not unique to
    AEDPA. A court always has discretion to forgive forfeiture (or even waiver).
    Exxon Shipping Co. v. Baker, 
    554 U.S. 471
    , 487 (2008); Singleton v. Wulff, 
    428 U.S. 106
    , 121 (1976); 
    Weigand, supra, at 180
    –81, 187–97 (chronicling Supreme
    Court caselaw on discretion to overlook forfeiture); Spektor & 
    Zuckerman, supra, at 79
    , 82. No court says there is some special rule for habeas that
    requires consideration of harmlessness when the state fails to assert it. See
    Jones v. Cain, 
    600 F.3d 527
    , 540–41 (5th Cir. 2010); Rhodes v. Dittmann, 
    903 F.3d 646
    , 664 (7th Cir. 2018) (recognizing discretion in this area and citing
    cases from the Fifth, Sixth, and Tenth Circuits holding the same). Nor, until
    today, has any court created a presumption to forgive a failure to raise
    harmlessness in AEDPA cases. The traditional default rule is against allowing
    a party to present an issue for the first time in the appellate court. See, e.g.,
    Poliquin v. Garden Way, Inc., 
    989 F.2d 527
    , 531 (1st Cir. 1993) (Boudin, J.)
    (noting that it “is and should be uncommon” for courts to forgive waived or
    forfeited issues).   As we have said, forfeiture should be forgiven only in
    “extraordinary circumstances.” Does 1-7 v. Abbott, 
    945 F.3d 307
    , 312 (5th Cir.
    2019) (quotation marks omitted). And like most discretionary decisions, the
    decision to excuse a forfeiture should be “exercised on the facts of individual
    cases” rather than dictated by “general rule[s].” 
    Singleton, 428 U.S. at 121
    ;
    id. (noting two factbound
    situations when forgiving forfeiture might be
    appropriate: “where the proper resolution is beyond any doubt . . . or where
    ‘injustice might otherwise result’” (quoting Hormel v. Helvering, 
    312 U.S. 552
    ,
    557 (1941))). There is no textual or precedential support for a categorical
    28
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    presumption that points in the opposite direction of the general forfeiture rule
    and excuses the state’s failure to raise harmlessness in AEDPA cases. See
    
    Rhodes, 903 F.3d at 664
    (“Procedural rules apply to the government as well as
    to defendants.” (quotation marks omitted)).
    Second, the lack of textual support for special leniency when it comes to
    the state’s forfeiture of harmlessness contrasts sharply with AEDPA’s explicit
    provision for leniency for exhaustion: “A State shall not be deemed to have
    waived the exhaustion requirement or be estopped from reliance upon the
    requirement unless the State, through counsel, expressly waives the
    requirement.” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(b)(3); see Taylor v. Cain, 
    545 F.3d 327
    , 333
    (5th Cir. 2008).    In other words, AEDPA says the state cannot forfeit
    exhaustion, it must affirmatively waive exhaustion. There is nothing like that
    in the statute for harmlessness. “We do not lightly assume that Congress has
    omitted from its adopted text requirements that it nonetheless intends to
    apply, and our reluctance is even greater when Congress has shown elsewhere
    in the same statute that it knows how to make such a requirement manifest.”
    Jama v. Immigration & Customs Enforcement, 
    543 U.S. 335
    , 341 (2005).
    Lastly, and circling back to my opening point, the leniency the majority
    affords the government’s forfeiture is hardly, if ever, shown when habeas
    prisoners fail to raise an issue in the district court. One can look far and wide
    yet not find a decision from our court excusing a prisoner’s failure to preserve.
    We routinely apply forfeiture to habeas prisoners, without even contemplating
    using our discretion to excuse it. See, e.g., Howard v. Davis, 
    959 F.3d 168
    , 172
    (5th Cir. 2000); Malone v. Wilson, 791 F. Appx 505, 506 (5th Cir. 2020);
    Thompson v. Davis, 
    916 F.3d 444
    , 460 (5th Cir. 2019). We apply the raise-or-
    lose rule to prisoners so strictly that it was not enough when one facing a life
    sentence raised an issue “in general” (and cited the right statutory subsection
    29
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    in his opening brief), because his argument was “inconsistent” and unclear.
    Poree v. Collins, 
    866 F.3d 235
    , 250 (5th Cir. 2017).
    If anything, this double standard—what’s good for the prisoner is not
    good for the government—has it backwards. Courts have long recognized that
    parties with liberty interests at stake present the strongest case for excusing
    forfeiture. United States v. Atkinson, 
    297 U.S. 157
    , 160 (1936) (stating that
    “[i]n exceptional circumstances, especially in criminal cases,” appellate courts
    could “notice errors to which no exception has been taken”); Raising New Issues
    on 
    Appeal, supra, at 653
    (“[R]aising new issues in criminal cases . . . rests on
    the same considerations as are present in civil cases, but has the additional
    factor that the result may be so drastic for the defendant and the burden to the
    state of a new trial so minor that courts tend to be more lenient in hearing a
    new matter on his behalf.”); see also 
    Weigand, supra, at 292
    –93 (noting that
    there is usually more reluctance to find plain error in civil cases because liberty
    interests are generally “absent”). What is more, in habeas litigation the state
    has counsel with subject matter expertise; the prisoner is typically litigating
    pro se.   Yet despite our “traditional disposition of leniency toward pro se
    litigants,” Spotville v. Cain, 
    149 F.3d 374
    , 377 (5th Cir. 1998), we routinely
    enforce against them AEDPA’s “procedural pitfalls that prevent prisoners from
    challenging potentially unconstitutional convictions,” 
    Rhodes, 903 F.3d at 664
    .
    Neutral application of the law requires the same vigilance when it comes to a
    procedural pitfall of the state’s own making. A presumption that excuses the
    state, but not pro se litigants, for failing to raise an issue in the district court
    is not consistent with “equal justice under law.” Cf. 
    Martineau, supra, at 1061
    (arguing that “inconsistency” in applying forfeiture “is destructive of the
    adversary system, causes substantial harm to the interests that the general
    rule is designed to protect, and is an open invitation to the appellate judges to
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    Case: 19-30018       Document: 00515624910          Page: 31     Date Filed: 11/03/2020
    No. 19-30018
    ‘do justice’ on ad hoc rather than principled bases”); 
    Weigand, supra, at 180
    –
    81 (recognizing that inconsistent application of forfeiture rules casts doubt on
    the courts’ legitimacy).
    For these reasons, I would stick with the original decision not to excuse
    the state’s unjustified failure to raise harmlessness in the trial court. Applying
    our   prescribed      case-by-case      discretion    rather     than    an    extratextual
    presumption for AEDPA cases, this does not come close to the “extraordinary
    circumstances” that would justify forgiving the forfeiture. Does 
    1-7, 945 F.3d at 312
    (cleaned up).
    The only conceivable justification would be if the Confrontation Clause
    error were harmless “beyond any doubt.” 1 
    Singleton, 428 U.S. at 121
    . When
    the outcome of a retrial is “certain,” it would be inefficient to waste everyone’s
    time with a redo. United States v. Giovannetti, 
    928 F.2d 225
    , 227 (7th Cir.
    1991) (Posner, J.). 2 The need for the forfeited harmlessness issue to be “beyond
    any doubt” or “certain” casts the issue in a much different light than the
    majority’s assessment, which gives the state a free pass and considers
    harmlessness as if the state had followed the rules and raised it from the
    beginning. Taking the hearsay out of the equation, the state’s case depended
    on the testimony of two eyewitnesses who were drunk when the crime took
    1  Other situations to excuse forfeiture, when a manifest injustice would result or the
    neglected issue is a pure question of law, do not apply. See Law Funder, L.L.C. v. Munoz,
    
    924 F.3d 753
    , 759 (5th Cir. 2019).
    2 The majority opinion casts doubt on Giovannetti because it was pre-AEDPA. But its
    certainty standard is the same “beyond any doubt” standard that the Supreme Court has
    recognized as one of the extraordinary circumstances that, as a general matter, may excuse
    forfeiture. 
    Singleton, 428 U.S. at 121
    . The majority opinion skips over the need for an
    extraordinary circumstance to justify looking past forfeiture (unless it’s saying that there is
    always an extraordinary circumstance in an AEDPA case). That failure to identify a case-
    specific extraordinary circumstance is the source of my disagreement, not the application of
    Brecht once there is a valid reason for overlooking forfeiture.
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    Case: 19-30018     Document: 00515624910      Page: 32   Date Filed: 11/03/2020
    No. 19-30018
    place and who could not give Atkins’s name when first questioned. Maj. Op.
    22–23.   The prosecution thought the accomplice Horton’s identification of
    Atkins was important enough to its case that it featured it as the coup de grace
    in opening, introduced it in violation of the Confrontation Clause during trial,
    and again mentioned it at closing. The state’s continued reliance on Horton’s
    out-of-court tying of Atkins to the crime is not surprising—testimony of an
    accomplice is potent evidence. Indeed, if the Confrontation Clause error were
    obviously harmless, why didn’t the panel recognize that the first time?
    Because harmlessness is not “beyond any doubt,” we should not forgive the
    state’s failure to timely raise it. 
    Singleton, 428 U.S. at 121
    ; see also 
    Giovanetti, 928 F.2d at 227
    (refusing to forgive government’s forfeiture of harmlessness in
    collateral review case because outcome of question was not certain).
    Atkins is the rare habeas prisoner who can overcome the numerous
    statutory obstacles that AEDPA places on those seeking to vacate their
    convictions based on the violation of important constitutional rights, which
    confronting one’s accusers surely is.      Judges, scholars, and commentators
    criticize AEDPA for erecting too many of those hurdles. See, e.g., Davis v.
    Straub, 
    430 F.3d 281
    , 296 (6th Cir. 2005) (Merritt, J., dissenting); Lincoln
    Caplan, The Destruction of Defendants’ Rights, NEW YORKER (June 21, 2015)
    (arguing that AEDPA “gutted the federal writ of habeas corpus”); Bryan A.
    Stevenson, Confronting Mass Imprisonment and Restoring Fairness to
    Collateral Review of Criminal Cases, 41 HARV. C.R.-C.L. REV. 339, 360–62
    (2006). But when it comes to the requirements that AEDPA actually imposes,
    those complaints should be directed at Congress. 
    Stevenson, supra, at 360
    –61
    (calling for repeal of the law). What courts should not be doing is inventing
    new requirements not found in AEDPA’s text (perhaps in its emanations or
    penumbras?)—like a rule that lets the state off the hook when it forfeits an
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    argument, even though we regularly hold other litigants to what they argue in
    the trial court.
    33