Stephen Barbee v. Lorie Davis, Director ( 2018 )


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  •      Case: 15-70022      Document: 00514395721         Page: 1    Date Filed: 03/21/2018
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT
    United States Court of Appeals
    Fifth Circuit
    No. 15-70022                          FILED
    March 21, 2018
    STEPHEN DALE BARBEE,                                                   Lyle W. Cayce
    Clerk
    Petitioner - Appellant
    v.
    LORIE DAVIS, DIRECTOR, TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF CRIMINAL
    JUSTICE, CORRECTIONAL INSTITUTIONS DIVISION,
    Respondent - Appellee
    Appeals from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Texas
    USDC No. 4:09-CV-74
    Before DENNIS, PRADO, and ELROD, Circuit Judges.
    PER CURIAM:*
    Capital habeas petitioner Stephen Dale Barbee appeals the district
    court’s denial of habeas relief, contending that he was denied effective
    assistance of trial counsel inasmuch as lead counsel conceded Barbee’s
    culpability at summation. Barbee argues that his claim is governed by United
    States v. Cronic, 
    466 U.S. 648
    (1984), which holds that if there has been such
    * Pursuant to 5TH CIR. R. 47.5, the court has determined that this opinion should not
    be published and is not precedent except under the limited circumstances set forth in 5TH
    CIR. R. 47.5.4.
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    an abdication of advocacy that the prosecution’s case was not subjected to
    meaningful testing, a defendant need not demonstrate that he was prejudiced
    by counsel’s actions. Barbee further argues that even under Strickland v.
    Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    (1984), which requires an applicant to show both
    objectively deficient performance and prejudice, he is entitled to relief. Barbee
    has not shown that the state habeas court’s conclusions that his claim was
    governed by Strickland, rather than Cronic, or that he was not prejudiced by
    counsel’s concession, were contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application
    of, clearly established federal law, or were based on an unreasonable
    determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented in the state court
    proceeding. See 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d). We thus AFFIRM the district court’s
    denial of habeas relief.
    I
    On February 19, 2005, Barbee was stopped by a sheriff’s deputy walking
    along a service road in a wooded area. Barbee was wet and covered with mud.
    He gave a fake name and fled after the deputy questioned his identity. Later
    that day, police began to investigate the disappearance of Barbee’s ex-
    girlfriend, Lisa Underwood, and her son, Jayden. Several days later, Lisa’s car
    was found in a creek approximately 300 yards from where the sheriff’s deputy
    had stopped Barbee. Police sought to talk to Barbee as a person of interest,
    and he agreed to come in to the police station for questioning.
    According to a detective who testified at trial, Barbee admitted that he
    was the person who had run from the sheriff’s deputy. In the midst of his
    recorded interrogation, Barbee took a bathroom break, and the detective
    escorted him. The detective testified that, while Barbee was in the bathroom,
    he admitted to conspiring with Ronald Dodd, his employee and the boyfriend
    of his ex-wife, to kill Lisa. According to the detective’s testimony, Barbee, who
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    was married, said that he thought Lisa was going to “ruin his family [and] his
    relationship with his wife” by disclosing that he had fathered Lisa’s unborn
    child. The detective testified that Barbee said that he and Dodd planned to
    drive over to Lisa’s house together, and Barbee would “try to pick a fight” with
    Lisa, kill her, and then he and Dodd would use Lisa’s car to dispose of her body.
    According to the detective, Barbee said that he was eventually successful in
    instigating a fight with Lisa and that he killed her by holding her face in the
    carpet until she stopped breathing.    The detective testified that Barbee said
    Jayden came in while he was killing Lisa and that he then killed Jayden by
    holding his hand over Jayden’s mouth.
    After this unrecorded “bathroom confession,” Barbee gave a recorded
    confession to the police, which was ultimately suppressed. He again admitted
    guilt while sitting in the interview room with his wife, Trish. Trish asked
    Barbee how he killed Lisa, and he said, “I held her down too long.” Barbee
    then led the detective to the spot where Jayden and Lisa were buried. Barbee
    later recanted, saying that he confessed because the detective threatened him
    with the death penalty, and because Dodd threatened his family.
    At trial, one of the prosecution’s witnesses was a medical examiner who
    opined that Lisa had been smothered to death. On cross-examination, the
    medical examiner stated that a “person has less cardiovascular reserve while
    pregnant in the third trimester than at other times.” He agreed that it was
    “fair” to say that the more pregnant a woman was, the less time it would take
    for her to suffocate, depending on how she was held. Defense counsel also
    elicited from the medical examiner that the fact that the death was ruled a
    “homicide” did not bear on intent, and that there was no evidence of “what was
    going on” in the “mind” of the person who held Lisa down until she asphyxiated.
    The medical examiner said that he was not sure how long Lisa had been held
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    down before she asphyxiated, but he thought it was “most likely at least two to
    three minutes.” He said he could not “rule out” a shorter time frame, but he
    thought “it would be very unlikely.” Counsel pressed him on the point of his
    uncertainty, eventually eliciting the following: “I think you’re getting out of
    probability realm when you get below two minutes. But yeah, it could be 30
    seconds. . . . I cannot absolutely rule that out.”
    In summation, defense counsel explained to the jury that the charge
    required them to find that Barbee had committed two knowing or intentional
    murders in the same transaction. He defined “intentionally” as having the
    “conscious objective or desire to achieve or cause the result,” and “knowingly”
    as engaging in conduct “reasonably certain to cause the result.”                After
    attempting to impugn the testimony of the detective who testified about
    Barbee’s bathroom confession, counsel conceded that Barbee killed both
    Jayden and Lisa, saying:
    As hard as it is to say, the evidence from the courtroom shows that
    Stephen Barbee killed Jayden Underwood. There is no evidence to
    the contrary.
    The problem in the capital murder case is the evidence in this
    courtroom that you heard doesn’t show that Stephen Barbee had
    the conscious objective or desire or that he knew his conduct was
    reasonably certain to cause the result, those two definitions there.
    And it is supported by the testimony of [the medical examiner who]
    told you that he could not be sure when Lisa Underwood lost
    consciousness . . . .
    Counsel concluded:
    There is evidence of a struggle inside that house. . . . It is not a
    one-sided fight. And Stephen Barbee’s own words to his wife, it
    matches [sic]. That’s the problem from their standpoint. What he
    told Trish Barbee is I held her down too long. That’s exactly what
    matches the testimony of [the medical examiner]. And as hard as
    it is to do, I submit to you that the evidence in this case, the
    conclusive beyond-a-reasonable-doubt evidence, does not support
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    an intentional or knowing murder for Lisa Underwood. Was he
    there? Yes. Did he hold her down? Yes.
    Did he know or intend that she was going to die or was that his
    conscious objective? The answer is no.
    On February 27, 2006, the jury convicted Barbee of capital murder.
    At the punishment phase, the State presented testimony from Barbee’s
    ex-wife, Theresa Dowling, that Barbee had assaulted her during their
    marriage. Dowling also testified that Barbee confessed to her shortly after he
    confessed to the police. The State also presented testimony from a former
    coworker who claimed that Barbee verbally abused her after she refused his
    advances.        Barbee     presented     testimony      from     friends,   family,    and
    acquaintances attesting to his good deeds and good character. 1 Barbee also
    presented testimony from a prison security expert who testified that Barbee
    would be able to successfully serve a life sentence, a confinement officer who
    knew Barbee well, and a confinement officer who had observed Barbee’s good
    behavior while in jail. The jury ultimately sentenced Barbee to death.
    After unsuccessfully seeking state post-conviction relief, Barbee filed
    this 28 U.S.C. § 2254 application, and was granted a stay so he could exhaust
    additional claims that had not been brought in his initial state habeas filing.
    Barbee filed a second state habeas petition asserting additional claims, all of
    which were dismissed or denied by the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals
    (TCCA). Upon return to the district court, the court denied relief and denied
    a certificate of appealability (COA).
    This court granted a COA for Barbee’s claim that counsel rendered
    ineffective assistance by conceding his culpability as to the conduct element of
    the offense at summation, but denied a COA as to the remainder of the claims
    1 Barbee’s presentation at the punishment phase is discussed in further detail in this
    court’s COA opinion. See Barbee v. Davis, 660 F. App’x 293, 318–19 (5th Cir. 2016).
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    he sought to appeal. The parties filed supplemental briefs and presented oral
    argument, addressing the merits of Barbee’s ineffective assistance of counsel
    claim.
    II
    Under the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act (AEDPA),
    Barbee can obtain federal habeas relief only if the adjudication of his claims in
    state court “(1) resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an
    unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined by
    the Supreme Court of the United States; or (2) resulted in a decision that was
    based on an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the evidence
    presented in the state court proceeding.” Robertson v. Cain, 
    324 F.3d 297
    ,
    301–02 (5th Cir. 2003) (quoting 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1)–(2)). “Section 2254(d)
    thus demands an inquiry into whether a prisoner’s ‘claim’ has been
    ‘adjudicated on the merits’ in state court; if it has, AEDPA’s highly deferential
    standards kick in.” Davis v. Ayala, 
    135 S. Ct. 2187
    , 2198 (2015) (quoting
    Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 103 (2011)).
    “[A] state court’s decision will be an unreasonable application of clearly
    established federal law whenever the state court identifies the correct
    governing legal principle from the Supreme Court’s decisions but applies that
    principle to the facts of the prisoner’s case in an ‘objectively unreasonable’
    manner.” 
    Robertson, 324 F.3d at 302
    (citing Kutzner v. Johnson, 
    242 F.3d 605
    ,
    608 (5th Cir. 2001)).     “[I]t is not an unreasonable application of clearly
    established Federal law for a state court to decline to apply a specific legal rule
    that has not been squarely established by [the Supreme] Court.” 
    Harrington, 562 U.S. at 101
    . “Under § 2254(d), a habeas court must determine what
    arguments or theories supported[,] or . . . could have supported, the state
    court’s decision; and then it must ask whether it is possible fairminded jurists
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    could disagree that those arguments or theories are inconsistent with the
    holding in a prior decision of [the] Court.” 
    Id. at 102.
          A state court’s factual findings are “presumed to be correct,” and an
    applicant has “the burden of rebutting the presumption of correctness by clear
    and convincing evidence.” § 2254(e)(1). “The presumption of correctness not
    only applies to explicit findings of fact, but it also applies to those unarticulated
    findings which are necessary to the state court’s conclusions of mixed law and
    fact.” Valdez v. Cockrell, 
    274 F.3d 941
    , 948 n.11 (5th Cir. 2001). The state
    court’s conclusion that counsel rendered effective assistance “is a mixed
    question of law and fact.” See 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 698
    .
    III
    Barbee argues that his claim is governed by Cronic, which holds that
    when there is a “breakdown of the adversarial process,” prejudice is 
    presumed. 466 U.S. at 657
    –58. Alternatively, Barbee argues that counsel’s summation
    amounted to ineffective assistance of counsel under Strickland “because trial
    counsels’ ‘strategy’ of an accidental death was based on a misunderstanding of
    the law,” was not supported by the evidence, and was not accompanied by
    evidence of Barbee’s low risk of future dangerousness.
    A
    In Cronic, the Supreme Court held that where “counsel entirely fails to
    subject the prosecution’s case” to meaningful testing, “the adversary process
    itself [is] presumptively unreliable,” and a defendant, therefore, need not
    demonstrate the impact of the failure in order to succeed on his claim. 
    Id. at 658–59.
    The Supreme Court has described Cronic as “a narrow exception to
    Strickland’s holding that a defendant who asserts ineffective assistance of
    counsel must demonstrate not only that his attorney’s performance was
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    deficient, but also that the deficiency prejudiced the defense.” Florida v. Nixon,
    
    543 U.S. 175
    , 190 (2004).
    The Supreme Court has held that Cronic was inapplicable even where
    counsel failed to adduce mitigating evidence and waived closing argument,
    explaining, “When we spoke in Cronic of the possibility of presuming prejudice
    based on an attorney’s failure to test the prosecutor’s case, we indicated that
    the attorney’s failure must be complete.” See Bell v. Cone, 
    535 U.S. 685
    , 696–97
    (2002). Similarly, this court held that Cronic was inapplicable where counsel
    conceded that a defendant committed murder, but not capital murder, over the
    defendant’s objections, Haynes v. Cain, 
    298 F.3d 375
    , 381–82 (5th Cir. 2002)
    (en banc), explaining that “defense counsel must entirely fail to subject the
    prosecution’s case to meaningful adversarial testing for the Cronic exception
    to apply,” 
    id. at 381
    (citing Gochicoa v. Johnson, 
    238 F.3d 278
    , 285 (5th Cir.
    2000)).
    In Florida v. Nixon, the Supreme Court held that even defense counsel’s
    full concession of guilt is not necessarily an indication that “counsel has
    entirely failed to function as the client’s advocate,” and that the Strickland
    standard applies to cases in which counsel informs the client of her strategic
    decision to concede guilt and focus on the penalty phase. 
    Nixon, 543 U.S. at 189
    –91. Nixon suggests that most tactical decisions by counsel will be subject
    to the Strickland ineffective-assistance-of-counsel analysis, rather than the
    Cronic structural-error analysis, whether or not they involve an admission of
    guilt. Nixon also suggests that the fact that a client has not approved of a
    strategy does not necessarily trigger the application of Cronic: “When counsel
    informs the defendant of the strategy counsel believe[d] to be in the defendant’s
    best interest and the defendant is unresponsive, counsel’s strategic choice is
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    not impeded by any blanket rule demanding defendant’s explicit consent.”
    
    Nixon, 543 U.S. at 192
    .
    The state habeas court determined, without analysis, that Strickland,
    rather than Cronic, applied to Barbee’s ineffective assistance claim. Barbee
    argues that his counsel’s concession of guilt “resembles the complete
    breakdown in the adversarial process that Cronic envisions” inasmuch as
    counsel’s theory was “both unsupported by defense evidence and contrary to
    the coroner’s testimony.” He contends that Nixon is distinguishable as, in that
    case, “there was overwhelming evidence of Nixon’s guilt and other factors not
    present here.” Finally, Barbee asserts that Cronic should apply to his claim
    because counsel’s closing argument in this case was the “functional equivalent”
    of an involuntary guilty plea or coerced confession.
    Barbee attempts to distinguish Nixon, inter alia, on the grounds that
    Barbee “received no meaningful guilt-phase advocacy” and his counsel’s
    concession was the “functional equivalent of a guilty plea.”         However, as
    compared with the defendant in Nixon, Barbee received at least as much if not
    more “meaningful” guilt-phase advocacy. Nixon’s attorney determined that,
    “given the strength of the evidence, [his client’s] guilt was not subject to any
    reasonable dispute.” 
    Nixon, 543 U.S. at 180
    –81. As a result, counsel “cross-
    examined [State] witnesses only when he felt their statements needed
    clarification . . . and he did not present a defense case,” although he objected to
    the introduction of crime scene photographs and “actively contested several
    aspects of the jury instructions during the charge conference.” 
    Id. at 183.
          By contrast, Barbee’s counsel hired a false confession expert to analyze
    Barbee’s confessions; sought to discredit the unrecorded bathroom confession
    and the police report documenting that confession; sought to exclude Barbee’s
    inculpatory statements (successfully, in the case of Barbee’s recorded
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    confession to detectives); and extensively cross-examined prosecution
    witnesses. Moreover, in Nixon, counsel fully conceded his client’s guilt as to
    all elements “beyond any 
    doubt,” 543 U.S. at 182
    , while Barbee’s counsel
    argued that “the evidence in this case, the conclusive beyond-a-reasonable-
    doubt evidence, does not support an intentional or knowing murder for Lisa
    Underwood.”
    Barbee contends that counsel’s accidental-death theory would not have
    removed the possibility of being convicted for capital murder under the jury
    charge. In Texas, intentional murder requires intent as to the result of the
    conduct, not just the conduct. See Martinez v. State, 
    763 S.W.2d 413
    , 419 (Tex.
    Crim. App. 1988) (en banc) (“Intentional murder . . . is a ‘result of conduct’
    offense; that is, not only must an accused be found to have intended to engage
    in the act that caused the death, he must also have specifically intended that
    death result from that conduct.”). However, the definition of “intentional” in
    the jury charge included the “conscious objective or desire to engage in the
    conduct.”
    While the jury charge definition of “intentional” may have erroneously
    suggested to the jury that it only needed to find “intent” as to Barbee’s conduct,
    the full jury charge suggested that “intentionally” applied to “cause[d] the
    death,” 2 indicating that the jury did not apply the instruction in a legally
    impermissible way. See Cupp v. Naughten, 
    414 U.S. 141
    , 146–47 (1973) (“[A]
    2   The charge instructed the jury to find Barbee guilty if it found that he
    intentionally or knowingly cause[d] the death of an individual, Lisa
    Underwood[,] by smothering her with the weight of his body or with an object
    unknown to the Grand Jury or by a combination of the two, and during the
    same crimonal [sic] transaction, [Barbee] intentionally or knowingly caused
    the death of another individual, Jayden Underwood, by smothering him with
    his hand or by means unknown to the Grand Jury or by a combination of the
    two.
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    single instruction to a jury may not be judged in artificial isolation, but must
    be viewed in the context of the overall charge.”). Indeed, the TCCA has rejected
    a challenge to a jury charge similar to Barbee’s, finding that in the phrase
    “intentionally or knowingly cause the death,” “[t]he terms ‘intentionally’ and
    ‘knowingly’ directly modif[ied] the phrase ‘cause the death’” and it was
    therefore “obvious that the ‘result of conduct’ and ‘cause the result’ language
    are the applicable portions of the full code definitions.” Velez v. State, No. AP-
    76,051, 2012 Tex. Crim. App. Unpub. LEXIS 607, at *79–80 (Tex. Crim. App.
    June 13, 2012).
    Furthermore, counsel’s argument unambiguously reflected a “result of
    conduct” understanding of mens rea, an understanding that was not
    contradicted by the prosecutor. Cf. Kinnamon v. Scott, 
    33 F.3d 462
    , 465–66
    (5th Cir. 1994) (finding “no reasonable likelihood that the jury applied” a
    charge “in a constitutionally impermissible way” where, inter alia, “[t]he
    prosecutor did not attempt to exploit any uncertainty in the charge”).
    Therefore, Barbee has not shown it was unreasonable for the state habeas
    court to conclude that counsel’s concession was a “defensive theory,” rather
    than a full concession that Barbee committed capital murder. 3                           See
    § 2254(d)(2).
    3 Barbee also claims that he could have been found guilty under counsel’s theory based
    on the definition of “knowingly” in the jury charge, which included “aware[ness] of the nature
    of his conduct” and “aware[ness] that his conduct is reasonably certain to cause the result.”
    However, Barbee does not explain how the jury could have accepted counsel’s theory that
    Barbee accidentally held Lisa down too long and also found that he was “reasonably certain”
    that he was killing her. Finally, Barbee contends that he could have been convicted of capital
    murder based on the intentional murder of Jayden, because even Lisa’s accidental killing
    would constitute “murder” under other sections of the Texas Penal Code. However, Barbee’s
    indictment and jury charge stated that both murders were intentional or knowing. Thus, the
    jury could not have convicted him under this theory. See, e.g., Ross v. State, 
    487 S.W.2d 744
    ,
    745 (Tex. Crim. App. 1972) (reversing conviction where jury “charge erroneously authorized
    the [defendant’s] conviction under a theory not charged in the indictment”).
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    Barbee next argues that this case is distinguishable from Nixon because
    the evidence against Barbee was not as strong as the evidence against Nixon.
    However here, as in Nixon, counsel faced significant evidence of their client’s
    guilt. Such evidence included the testimony of a police detective that Barbee
    confessed to him and the recorded inculpatory statements Barbee made to his
    wife, which were played for the jury. Barbee also led the police to the bodies
    and exhibited specific knowledge about the burial sites. Further, Barbee had
    a motive to kill Lisa, as he had been unfaithful to his wife and Lisa was
    pressuring him to admit it. In light of the strength of the prosecution’s case,
    counsel’s concession appears to have been a calculated strategy to elicit an
    acquittal. 4
    As to Barbee’s argument that counsel’s theory was entirely unfounded,
    it is not unreasonable to conclude that the record does, in fact, support
    counsel’s theory. See § 2254(d). The medical examiner said that he was not
    sure how long Lisa would have been held down before she asphyxiated,
    eventually conceding he could not rule out that she had only been held down
    for thirty seconds. This theory was also consistent with Barbee’s recorded
    statement to his wife, which suggested that he killed Lisa accidentally.
    Finally, Barbee makes a number of arguments in support of his assertion
    that counsel was obligated to obtain his consent before conceding his guilt. The
    record does support that Barbee was not “fully” consulted or, at least, did not
    expressly consent to the strategy. During the state habeas proceedings, trial
    counsel testified that he told Barbee that he planned to pursue the accidental-
    death theory. But counsel also testified that he did not specifically ask for
    4 We note that, under Nixon, even counsel’s concession that her client committed
    capital murder may be a strategic 
    decision. 543 U.S. at 190
    –91 (observing that Cronic’s
    application, vel non, is influenced by “the gravity of the potential sentence in a capital trial
    and the proceeding’s two-phase structure”).
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    Barbee’s permission to proceed with the theory and that Barbee did not want
    to sign a strategy memo explaining the theory.                 Barbee stated in a 2010
    declaration that he “was shocked” when he heard counsel’s summation because
    counsel “never told [Barbee] he was going to say this.”
    Nixon holds that counsel need not obtain affirmative consent to concede
    guilt. 
    See 543 U.S. at 189
    . Nixon suggests that counsel’s consultation played
    a role in that holding, but does not establish that Cronic necessarily applies
    when counsel pursue a strategy in the absence of full consultation, or in
    circumstances suggesting that a client would disagree with that strategy. See
    
    id. (stating counsel
    “was obliged to . . . explain his proposed trial strategy to
    Nixon”). And Barbee does not cite any Supreme Court case that so held. 5
    Given the unsettled nature of the law on this point, we cannot say that the
    absence of full consultation or consent supports that the state habeas court’s
    adjudication of this claim was contrary to, or an unreasonable application of,
    clearly established Supreme Court precedent. See § 2254(d)(1). And, given the
    ambiguity of the record, we cannot say that the state court made an
    unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented. See
    § 2254(d)(2). As Barbee has not shown that he is entitled to habeas relief on
    the basis of Cronic under the deferential standards imposed by AEDPA, we
    now turn to the reasonableness of the state court’s application of Strickland. 6
    5  In fact, there is circuit precedent to the contrary. See United States v. Thomas, 
    417 F.3d 1053
    , 1059 (9th Cir. 2005) (“[F]ailure to consult and obtain consent in and of itself does
    not render [counsel’s] strategic decision presumptively prejudicial.”).
    6 We recognize that the Supreme Court will likely provide additional guidance in its
    decision in McCoy v. Louisiana. See State v. McCoy, 
    218 So. 3d 535
    (La. 2016), cert. granted,
    
    138 S. Ct. 53
    (2017). However, AEDPA requires that we evaluate Barbee’s application based
    on the law that was clearly established at the time of the state-court adjudication. See Greene
    v. Fisher, 
    565 U.S. 34
    , 38 (2011). As McCoy is a direct appeal, see 
    138 S. Ct. 53
    , the Court is
    not likely to shed light on the precise question before us: whether the state habeas court’s
    resolution of Barbee’s ineffective assistance of counsel claim was unreasonable in light of
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    B
    To establish an ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claim under Strickland
    v. Washington, Barbee must “show that counsel’s performance was deficient”
    and demonstrate “that the deficient performance prejudiced the 
    defense.” 466 U.S. at 687
    . With respect to deficient performance, Barbee “must show that
    counsel’s representation fell below an objective standard of reasonableness.”
    
    Id. at 688.
    To demonstrate prejudice, Barbee “must show that there is a
    reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the result
    of the proceeding would have been different.” 
    Id. at 694.
    Because his claim is
    governed by AEDPA, Barbee must show that the state habeas court’s
    adjudication of his Strickland claim “was contrary to, or involved an
    unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined by
    the Supreme Court,” or that it “was based on an unreasonable determination
    of the facts in light of the evidence presented in the State court proceeding.”
    § 2254(d).
    The state habeas court found that Barbee failed to show deficient
    performance because, it concluded, counsel’s tactic was reasonable in light of
    the evidence and the circumstances. The court further found that Barbee had
    not established prejudice, finding that Barbee’s alternative theory was not
    supported by the evidence and therefore “was not a viable jury argument.”
    Assuming without deciding that counsel’s performance was deficient
    under these circumstances, we conclude, as explained below, that Barbee has
    not shown that it was unreasonable for the state habeas court to determine
    that he was not prejudiced by counsel’s closing argument. See id.; 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 691
    (“An error by counsel, even if professionally unreasonable, does
    clearly established law at the time of its ruling. See § 2254(d). We therefore decline to
    withhold our judgment pending the Court’s decision in McCoy.
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    not warrant setting aside the judgment of a criminal proceeding if the error
    had no effect on the judgment.”).
    Barbee first argues that he was prejudiced by counsel’s concession
    because it removed any “lingering juror uncertainty” about his guilt.         He
    contends that this is one of the most important factors that leads jurors to
    impose a life sentence rather than death, and that lingering doubt “was an
    important factor [in his case], as no forensic evidence tied Barbee to the crime
    and there was evidence of Ron Dodd’s culpability.” However, Barbee points to
    no caselaw in support of his position that residual doubt at the punishment
    phase is a viable prejudice theory, let alone “clearly established Federal law,
    as determined by the Supreme Court of the United States.” See § 2254(d)(1).
    And, in any event, Barbee’s case for lingering doubt at the punishment phase
    is not persuasive given the considerable record support for his guilt:         in
    addition to the evidence of guilt discussed above, Barbee’s ex-wife, Theresa
    Dowling, testified at the punishment phase that Barbee called her the night of
    the murders and confessed to accidentally killing Lisa by holding her down too
    long, and to accidentally killing Jayden in an effort to keep him quiet. Thus,
    Barbee has not shown it was unreasonable for the state court to conclude he
    was not prejudiced in this respect. See § 2254(d).
    Barbee next claims that the accidental-death theory ran counter to the
    medical examiner’s testimony, causing counsel to lose considerable credibility
    with the jury at the punishment phase. Again, Barbee points to no caselaw in
    support of his contention that loss of credibility with the jury can support
    Strickland prejudice. Moreover, as discussed above, counsel’s strategy was not
    without support. The medical examiner testified that he was not entirely sure
    how long Lisa would have been held down before she asphyxiated, eventually
    conceding he could not rule out that she had only been held down for thirty
    15
    Case: 15-70022       Document: 00514395721          Page: 16     Date Filed: 03/21/2018
    No. 15-70022
    seconds.    While the jury may not have thought it likely that Barbee had
    accidentally killed Lisa in light of the medical examiner’s statements, the
    theory was not “counter to” his statements.             This theory was also consistent
    with Barbee’s recorded statement to his wife that he “held [Lisa] down too long”
    and with Dowling’s testimony that Barbee confessed to accidentally killing
    Lisa. Barbee’s brief argument points to nothing tending to show that the jury’s
    distrust of counsel swayed its decisions at the penalty phase. This argument
    is, therefore, also unavailing. 7
    Finally, Barbee suggests that he was prejudiced by counsel’s failure to
    present the theory that Ronald Dodd committed the murders instead of the
    accidental death theory. Counsel stated that their efforts to pursue a different
    defense strategy were hampered by Barbee’s shifting version of events and by
    his “refus[al] to testify.”        Barbee argued in his COA brief that it was
    unreasonable for the state habeas court to credit this statement because the
    record shows that Barbee was always steadfast in his assertions to counsel
    that he was innocent of both murders. Even if Barbee consistently maintained
    complete innocence to counsel, the record does show that proceeding with a
    theory of actual innocence would have been challenging given his recorded
    conversation with his wife in which he stated, “I held her down too long.”
    Barbee declined to testify to explain what he contends were false confessions.
    This lends credence to trial counsel’s statements that it would have been
    7 Barbee contends that, as a result of counsel’s concession at summation, counsel failed
    to present evidence that Barbee would not be a future danger. Barbee argues that this was
    prejudicial because, at the time, he was “a 38-year old successful business owner with
    absolutely no prior criminal record.” Barbee does not explain how counsel’s concession led to
    their failure to present evidence that Barbee would not be a future danger. Thus, this
    argument is forfeited for inadequate briefing. See, e.g., SEC v. Life Partners Holdings, Inc.,
    
    854 F.3d 765
    , 784 (5th Cir. 2017).
    16
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    No. 15-70022
    difficult to present an “actual innocence” theory rather than a “legal innocence”
    theory.
    Moreover, the only alternative defense Barbee proposes is that Dodd
    committed the murders. The state habeas court found, “The ‘Ron Dodd did it’
    theory was not a viable jury argument.”        That court pointed to Barbee’s
    confessions, his admitted presence near the place Lisa’s car was found, and his
    knowledge of the location of the bodies as evidence inconsistent with the theory
    that Dodd committed the murders.
    Barbee gave the following version of events in a 2010 declaration in
    support of his alterative theory of the crime: On the evening of February 18,
    2005, Barbee was at Dowling and Dodd’s house and asked Dodd to accompany
    him to Lisa’s house, as he “wanted to see how she was doing.” Dodd drove
    Barbee to Lisa’s house and dropped him off. Barbee later called Dodd, who
    came to pick him up, and they returned to Dowling’s house together. Dodd
    asked if Barbee wanted Dodd to talk to Lisa about getting a paternity test, and
    Barbee agreed, so they drove back to Lisa’s house together. Barbee stayed in
    Dodd’s truck while Dodd entered Lisa’s house because he did not want Lisa to
    see that he had been crying. Dodd was inside the house for fifteen or twenty
    minutes, then came out and said, “Your problems are solved, go get her truck.”
    Barbee claims not to have understood what Dodd meant, but he got out
    of Dodd’s truck, went to the door of Lisa’s house, and Dodd drove off. Barbee
    went into the house and found Lisa and Jayden dead. He “panicked as [he]
    thought [he] was going to be blamed for it.” He put the bodies in Lisa’s vehicle
    and drove away. Barbee called Dodd, who met him and helped him remove the
    bodies from the vehicle. Dodd threw a shovel to Barbee and left. After burying
    the bodies, Barbee called Dodd, who agreed to pick him up on the highway.
    While on the way to meet Dodd, Barbee was stopped by a deputy sheriff. He
    17
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    No. 15-70022
    gave the deputy a false name and fled. He met Dodd and they returned to
    Dowling’s house where Dowling washed Dodd’s clothing.
    Barbee claims that he has adduced significant evidence in support of this
    theory, namely: (1) the affidavit of Dowling’s father, who said, “[m]y son Danny
    Dowling told me that Ron Dodd had told him right after the murders that he
    had to punch Lisa in the face 25–26 times before ‘the fucking bitch would go
    down,’” and a declaration from a post-conviction investigator stating that “both
    Jerry Dowling and his son Danny Dowling had said that Ron Dodd said he had
    to punch Lisa Underwood 25–26 [times] in the face before the ‘fucking bitch
    would go down’”; (2) Dowling’s statement to the investigator that she washed
    Dodd’s clothes on the night of the murders and Dodd’s statement to the
    investigator that he had his vehicle power-washed shortly thereafter; (3) a
    statement from Barbee’s niece that Dowling, who was living with Dodd, often
    told her “how much she hated him [Barbee] and wanted him ‘gone’”; (4)
    evidence of Dowling and Dodd’s financial motive to frame Barbee for murder; 8
    (5) evidence of “financial misdeeds” by Dowling that would have provided
    additional motive for Dodd to have framed Barbee; (6) Dodd’s history of
    criminal    violence;    (7)   evidence    that    Barbee    would     avoid    physical
    confrontations; and (8) evidence that points to the falsity of Barbee’s
    confession. Even assuming that this evidence is properly before us, it does not
    show that the Dodd theory was more likely to succeed than the accident theory.
    With regard to the purported confession from Dodd to Danny Dowling,
    there is no first-hand statement from Danny. And it is neither clear that
    Danny would have testified, nor that his testimony would have been favorable
    8  Barbee obtained a declaration from his mother as well as a statement from an
    investigator to the effect that Dowling and Dodd had a financial motive to have Barbee out
    of the way, including a $500,000 “bonding policy” that Dowling purportedly converted to a
    “universal life insurance policy” with Dowling as the sole beneficiary.
    18
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    No. 15-70022
    to Barbee’s theory: When the post-conviction investigator asked Danny who
    had made the statement about punching Lisa, Danny said that “he just
    couldn’t remember, and didn’t want anything to do with this case.”
    Dowling’s statement that Dodd wanted his clothes washed the night of
    the murders and Dodd’s statement that he had his vehicle power-washed
    shortly after the murders are just as consistent with Barbee’s confession as
    they are with his exculpatory version of events, as in both versions he alleged
    that Dodd helped him bury the bodies. These statements are also second-hand,
    coming from an investigator’s report.
    The evidence of pecuniary interests and Dowling’s dislike of Barbee
    perhaps tend to show that Dowling and Dodd had a motive to murder Barbee,
    but not that they had a motive to murder Lisa and Jayden. And even if they
    had a motive to frame Barbee by killing the Underwoods, Barbee had a more
    plausible motive to kill Lisa inasmuch as she was demanding that he tell his
    wife about the pregnancy.
    Dodd’s criminal history reflects that he had several prior convictions for
    assault and harassment. But Texas’s evidentiary rules, as a general matter,
    prohibit propensity evidence. See TEX. R. EVID. 404(b). And even if it were
    admissible, this evidence has little probative value.
    Barbee’s evidence that he would “avoid physical confrontations” also has
    little probative value, 9 and it is contradicted by Dowling’s testimony that she
    and Barbee had multiple physical fights when they were married, and that on
    one occasion he followed a driver and attempted to “get out to hit” the driver.
    9  Barbee points to a statement from a schoolmate saying, “I have had no contact with
    [Barbee] since high school, [but] based on my knowledge of him when he was young, I do not
    think [Barbee] has a high probability of committing future violent acts”; a statement from
    his aunt that he “was never abusive” and would “walk away from any kind of confrontation”;
    and a statement from the girlfriend of a former roommate, who saw Barbee “every weekend
    for a period of about 2–3 months” and “never saw [Barbee] angry.”
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    No. 15-70022
    Barbee’s evidence with respect to the purported falsity of his confession
    includes his own declaration that he was coerced into confessing by the police;
    a declaration from his niece, in which she says that Barbee told her he
    confessed to protect his family because Dodd threatened to hurt them; and the
    declaration of an author who states that Barbee confessed because “Dodd had
    threatened to hurt his family.” These statements all originate with Barbee,
    and none of them fully explains why he would have confessed to his wife.
    In light of the weakness of the evidence supporting his alternative-
    suspect theory and the strength of the evidence against him, it was not
    unreasonable for the state habeas court to conclude that Barbee’s alternative-
    suspect theory was not a “viable jury argument.” Accordingly, Barbee has not
    demonstrated that it was unreasonable for the state habeas court to find that
    Barbee was not prejudiced by counsel’s closing argument. See § 2254(d).
    ***
    For these reasons, we AFFIRM the district court’s denial of habeas relief.
    20