United States v. Servando Alvarado-Casas , 715 F.3d 945 ( 2013 )


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  •      Case: 12-40295        Document: 00512240551        Page: 1   Date Filed: 05/14/2013
    IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT  United States Court of Appeals
    Fifth Circuit
    FILED
    May 14, 2013
    No. 12-40295                     Lyle W. Cayce
    Clerk
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff - Appellee
    v.
    SERVANDO ALVARADO-CASAS, also known as El Chino,
    Defendant - Appellant
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Southern District of Texas
    Before DAVIS, GRAVES, and HIGGINSON, Circuit Judges.1
    HIGGINSON, Circuit Judge:
    For the first time on appeal, Defendant-Appellant Servando Alvarado-Casas
    challenges his federal guilty plea conviction of conspiracy to commit aggravated
    alien transporting, arguing principally that his plea lacks an adequate factual
    basis, and that the district court misadvised him as to his sentencing exposure,
    rendering his plea involuntary. Concluding that the district court’s error in
    accepting his guilty plea, if any, was not plain, and that its admonishment
    regarding his sentencing exposure, though clear error, did not materially affect
    his decision to plead guilty, we AFFIRM.
    1
    Graves, Circuit Judge, concurs in the judgment only.
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    No. 12-40295
    FACTS AND PROCEEDINGS
    Servando Alvarado-Casas was charged by indictment with twelve counts
    of transporting unlawful aliens causing serious bodily injury to, or placing in
    jeopardy the life of, any person, and one count of conspiring to commit that
    offense. Pursuant to a signed plea agreement, Alvarado-Casas agreed to plead
    guilty to the conspiracy count and to waive his right to appeal his conviction and
    sentence in exchange for the government’s promise to dismiss the remaining
    counts in the indictment and to make certain sentencing recommendations. The
    plea waiver reads as follows:
    Defendant waives his/her right to appeal both the conviction and the
    sentence imposed. Defendant is aware that 
    18 U.S.C. § 3742
     affords
    a defendant the right to appeal the sentence imposed. The
    defendant waives the right to appeal the sentence imposed or the
    manner in which it was determined. The defendant may appeal only
    (a) a sentence imposed above the statutory maximum; or (b) an
    upward departure from the Sentencing Guidelines which had not
    been requested by the United States, as set forth in 
    18 U.S.C. § 3742
    (b). Additionally, the defendant is aware that 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
    ,
    affords the right to contest or “collaterally attack” a conviction or
    sentence after the conviction or sentence has become final. The
    defendant waives the right to contest his/her conviction or sentence
    by means of any post-conviction proceeding.
    At rearraignment, the district court asked Alvarado-Casas if he had read
    the plea agreement, had understood its terms, and had signed it voluntarily.
    Alvarado-Casas responded that he had. The district court admonished Alvarado-
    Casas that he faced up to ten years of imprisonment, and would not be allowed
    to withdraw his guilty plea if the sentence imposed was more severe than he
    expected. Alvarado-Casas responded that he understood. The district court
    explained the elements of the conspiracy offense and asked Alvarado-Casas if he
    understood them. Alvarado-Casas responded that he did. The government then
    gave the following factual basis statement:
    2
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    [O]n November 24th of 2009, border patrol agents advised ICE of a
    motor vehicle accident in which 17 illegal aliens and the driver [of
    the] vehicle had gone off an embankment, approximately a 40-foot
    drop. Border patrol agents and ICE officials responded to the area.
    They were able to determine that the 17 individuals that were in the
    bed of the pickup truck were illegally present in the United States.
    The majority were from Guatemala with, I believe, three Mexican
    citizens. One driver of the vehicle was identified as Patricio
    Rebollar. He, as well as the aliens were all transported to
    surrounding area hospitals. . . . ICE agents spoke to Patricio
    Rebollar, and he advised that he was, in fact, the driver of the
    pickup trunk and that he was transporting illegal aliens. He
    indicated that he was transporting the aliens for an individual that
    he identified as Chino. ICE agents were able to identify the
    individual that he identified as Chino as Servando Alvarado-Casas.
    After confirming that the government’s statement was accurate, Alvarado-Casas
    pleaded guilty to the conspiracy offense, and the court accepted his plea.
    At sentencing, the district court adopted the presentence report (“PSR”)
    and calculated Alvarado-Casas’s Guidelines range to be 188 to 235 months of
    imprisonment based on a total offense level of 34 and a criminal history category
    of III.2 Alvarado-Casas made a number of objections, including that separate
    adjustments to his offense level for use and transportation of a minor constituted
    impermissible double counting.           The district court overruled the “double
    counting” objection, and sentenced Alvarado-Casas to 190 months of
    imprisonment. Alvarado-Casas did not file a timely notice of appeal.
    In June 2008, Alvarado-Casas filed a § 2255 motion challenging his
    conviction and sentence on the ground that his counsel provided constitutionally
    ineffective assistance by failing to file a timely notice of appeal. After holding
    an evidentiary hearing, the district court dismissed the § 2255 motion without
    2
    The PSR conservatively estimates that the sophisticated alien smuggling operation,
    led by Alvarado-Casas with assistance from a Mexican cartel, smuggled over 2,500 unlawful
    aliens to the United States over a five-year period, and received between $1,000 and $10,000
    per alien.
    3
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    prejudice, granted Alvarado-Casas leave to file an “out-of-time” direct appeal,
    and appointed counsel for that purpose.3 This appeal followed.
    DISCUSSION
    On appeal, Alvarado-Casas argues that: (1) his conviction lacks an
    adequate factual basis because the stipulated facts did not establish that he
    personally caused serious injury to, or placed in jeopardy the life of, another
    person during and in relation to the offense; (2) his guilty plea was involuntary
    because the district court misadvised him of the nature of the conspiracy offense
    and the statutory maximum it carried and failed to ensure that he understood
    the consequences of waiving his right to appeal; and (3) his sentence was
    improperly calculated because it was based on separate adjustments to his
    offense level for use and transportation of a minor, which, he contends,
    constituted impermissible double counting.
    I.     Factual Basis
    Rule 11 of the Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure was designed to
    “ensure that a guilty plea is knowing and voluntary, by laying out the steps a
    trial judge must take before accepting such a plea.” United States v. Vonn, 
    535 U.S. 55
    , 58 (2002). One such step is determining that a defendant’s guilty plea
    is supported by an adequate factual basis. Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(b)(3) (“Before
    entering judgment on a guilty plea, the court must determine that there is a
    factual basis for the plea.”).        The factual basis requirement “protect[s] a
    defendant who may plead with an understanding of the nature of the charge, but
    without realizing that his conduct does not actually fall within the definition of
    the crime charged.” United States v. Spruill, 
    292 F.3d 207
    , 215 (5th Cir. 2002)
    3
    Because the issue was not briefed by the parties, we take no position on the propriety
    of granting leave to file an out-of-time appeal as relief for a Sixth Amendment violation or
    whether doing so concomitant with dismissing a defendant’s motion to vacate conforms with
    Federal Rule of Appellate Procedure 4(a)(6).
    4
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    (quoting United States v. Johnson, 
    546 F.2d 1225
    , 1226–27 (5th Cir. 1977))
    (internal quotation marks omitted). In reviewing guilty pleas for compliance
    with Rule 11(b)(3), the court evaluates whether “the factual conduct to which the
    defendant admits is sufficient as a matter of law to constitute a violation of the
    statute.” United States v. Marek, 
    238 F.3d 310
    , 314 (5th Cir. 2001) (en banc)
    (emphases omitted).
    The offense of conspiracy to transport unlawful aliens, 
    8 U.S.C. § 1324
    (a)(1)(A)(ii) and (v)(I), makes it a crime for a person to conspire to transport
    an alien within the United States, knowing or recklessly disregarding the fact
    that the alien was unlawfully present, with intent to further the alien’s unlawful
    presence. Fifth Circuit Pattern Criminal Jury Instructions § 2.03 (2012). A
    person convicted of conspiracy to transport unlawful aliens is subject to a
    statutory maximum sentence of 10 years of imprisonment, 
    8 U.S.C. § 1324
    (a)(1)(B)(I), unless “during and in relation to” the offense, “the person causes
    serious bodily injury (as defined in section 1365 of Title 18) to, or places in
    jeopardy the life of, any person,” in which case the statutory maximum increases
    to 20 years of imprisonment, § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii). This “serious bodily injury”
    aggravator is an element of a aggravated offense and, as such, must be alleged
    in the indictment and proved beyond a reasonable doubt. See United States v.
    Williams, 
    449 F.3d 635
    , 644–45 (5th Cir. 2006) (citing Apprendi v. United States,
    
    530 U.S. 460
     (2000)). For ease of reference, we will refer to this aggravated
    offense as “conspiracy to commit aggravated alien transporting.”
    Alvarado-Casas argues that his conviction for conspiracy to commit
    aggravated alien transporting lacks an adequate factual basis, reasoning that (1)
    the offense requires proof that he personally and directly caused serious bodily
    injury to, or placed in jeopardy the life of, any person, and (2) the factual basis
    statement made by the government at the rearraignment hearing establishes that
    Patricio Rebollar, the driver of the truck, and not Alvarado-Casas, the ringleader
    5
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    of the alien trafficking operation, caused the serious bodily injury to, and placed
    in jeopardy the lives of, the aliens involved.4 Alvarado-Casas points out that
    unlike most federal bodily injury and death enhancements, which are triggered
    if bodily injury or death “results” from the offense,5 the enhancement provision at
    issue here is triggered only if “the person,” the specific defendant whose guilt is at
    issue, “causes serious bodily injury . . . to, or places in jeopardy the life of, any
    person,” § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii) (emphasis added).               As evidence that this is a
    distinction with a difference, Alvarado-Casas contrasts § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii) to §
    1324(a)(1)(B)(iv), which provides that “a violation . . . resulting in the death of any
    person [shall] be punished by death or imprisoned for any term of years or for life.”
    It is reasonable to infer from the difference in wording of these parallel provisions
    of the same statute, he contends, that Congress intended for criminal liability to
    attach under § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii) only where a defendant personally and directly
    causes serious bodily injury to, or places in jeopardy the life of, another person.
    The government responds that the offenses require only proximate or legal cause.6
    4
    Alvarado-Casas initially argued that the factual basis statement did not establish that
    anyone caused another person serious bodily injury during and in relation to the offense, but
    later conceded this point during oral argument.
    5
    See 
    18 U.S.C. § 43
    (b)(3)–(4); 
    18 U.S.C. § 115
    (b)(1)(B)(iii)–(iv); 
    18 U.S.C. § 117
    (a)(2);
    
    18 U.S.C. § 241
    ; 
    18 U.S.C. § 242
    ; 
    18 U.S.C. § 245
    (b); 
    18 U.S.C. § 247
    (d)(1)–(2); 
    18 U.S.C. § 248
    (b); 
    18 U.S.C. § 351
    (b); 
    18 U.S.C. § 670
    (c)(1); 
    18 U.S.C. § 844
    (d); 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)(5)(B);
    
    18 U.S.C. § 1038
    (a)(1)(B)–(C); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1091
    (b)(1); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1347
    (a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1365
    (a)(3); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1389
    (a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1581
    (a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1584
    (a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1589
    (d);
    
    18 U.S.C. § 1590
    (a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1751
    (b), (d); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1752
    (b)(1)(B); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1864
    (b)(1)–(3); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1952
    (a)(3)(B); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1958
    (a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2113
    (e); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2119
    (2)–(3); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2155
    (a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2237
    (b)(2)–(3); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2281
    (a)(1); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2291
    (d); 18 U.S.C. § 2332a(a)–(b); 18 U.S.C. § 2332b(c)(1)(a); 18 U.S.C. § 2340A(a); 
    18 U.S.C. § 2441
    (a); 
    21 U.S.C. § 841
    (b)(1); 
    21 U.S.C. § 960
    (b)(1)–(3).
    6
    The government argues, in the alternative, that it was not necessary to charge and
    prove that Alvarado-Casas personally caused serious bodily injury because, under Pinkerton
    v. United States, 
    328 U.S. 640
     (1946), he is liable for the reasonably foreseeable acts of his
    co-conspirators. But Pinkerton liability arises only when a conspirator is charged with a
    substantive offense arising from the actions of a co-conspirator, not where, as here, a
    conspirator is charged solely with conspiracy. United States v. Armstrong, 
    619 F.3d 380
    , 387
    6
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    Alvarado-Casas may challenge the factual basis underlying his guilty plea
    notwithstanding his unconditional appeal waiver, United States v. Baymon, 
    312 F.3d 725
    , 727 (5th Cir. 2002) (“[E]ven if there is an unconditional plea of guilty
    or a waiver of appeal provision in a plea agreement, this Court has the power to
    review if the factual basis for the plea fails to establish an element of the offense
    which the defendant pled guilty to.”), but because he raises this issue for the first
    time on appeal, our review is for plain error, United States v. London, 
    568 F.3d 553
    , 558 (5th Cir. 2009). More specifically, to prevail on this claim, Alvarado-
    Casas must show that (1) the district court erred in accepting his guilty plea
    without a factual basis, (2) the error was plain, (3) there is a reasonable
    probability that but for the error, he would not have pleaded guilty, and (4) the
    error seriously affected the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of the
    proceedings. 
    Id.
     at 558–59 (citing United States v. Dominguez Benitez, 
    542 U.S. 74
     (2004)).
    An error is plain, in this context, if it is “clear or obvious” what the
    government must prove to establish the offense, and, notwithstanding that
    clarity, the district court accepts a defendant’s guilty plea without an adequate
    factual basis. United States v. Garcia-Paulin, 
    627 F.3d 127
    , 132 (5th Cir. 2010);
    see also United States v. Caraballo-Rodriguez, 
    480 F.3d 62
    , 70 (1st Cir. 2007)
    (explaining that factual basis error is plain if the defendant’s proposed
    interpretation “is compelled by the language of the statute itself, construction
    (5th Cir. 2010) (confirming that “Pinkerton liability attaches only to substantive crimes”); Fifth
    Circuit Pattern Jury Instructions (Criminal Cases) § 2.22 (2012). In order to trigger Pinkerton
    liability in this case, the government would have needed to charge Alvarado-Casas with a
    substantive count of aggravated alien transporting, under § 1324(a)(1)(A)(ii) and (a)(1)(B)(iii),
    and proffer at rearraignment that Alvarado-Casas, as a conspirator, was liable for the serious
    bodily injury directly caused by Rebollar’s reckless driving. See United States v. Bonetti, 
    277 F.3d 441
    , 447 (4th Cir. 2002) (affirming jury trial conviction, under Pinkerton, where the
    prosecution charged the defendant with a substantive count of harboring an unlawful alien,
    in violation of 
    8 U.S.C. § 1324
    (a)(1)(A)(iii), and then presented sufficient evidence that the
    defendant, as a conspirator, was liable for the serious bodily injury directly caused by his wife).
    7
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    of the statute in light of the common law, or binding judicial construction of the
    statute”) (emphasis omitted).        Conversely, if a defendant’s factual basis
    challenge is “novel” or “not entirely clear under existing authority,” United
    States v. Trejo, 
    610 F.3d 308
    , 319 (5th Cir. 2010), or, put differently, if the district
    court’s factual basis finding is “subject to reasonable dispute,” United States v.
    Broussard, 
    669 F.3d 537
    , 550–51 (5th Cir. 2012), a district court’s error in
    accepting the guilty plea is not plain.
    We perceive no plain error in the district court’s acceptance of Alvarado-
    Casas’s sworn statement of guilt, as his proposed interpretation of §
    1324(a)(1)(B)(iii) is not compelled by the plain language of the statute or a
    binding judicial construction of it. Admittedly, by its terms, § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii)
    appears to limit liability for causing serious bodily injury to the specific
    defendant whose guilt is at issue. See discussion supra pp. 5–6. But even if we
    were compelled by the language of § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii) to conclude that the
    offense has a personal causation component, that would not resolve the issue
    before us; we would still need to decide the degree of causation required (e.g.,
    direct causation, but-for causation, substantial-factor causation, command
    causation, proximate causation, etc.), an issue not resolved by the plain language
    of the statute or our construction hitherto of it.         We have twice affirmed
    convictions for aggravated alien transporting, but in each instance, the
    defendant was personally involved in the accident that resulted in serious bodily
    injury so we had no cause to decide the degree-of-causation issue presented here.
    See United States v. De Jesus-Ojeda, 
    515 F.3d 434
    , 444–45 (5th Cir. 2008)
    (affirming jury trial conviction for aggravated alien transporting where the
    defendant “personally placed [unlawful aliens] on and in an inner tube and
    pulled them across the Rio Grande at night in water over their heads”); United
    States v. Garcia-Flores, 207 F. App’x 397, 400–01 (5th Cir. 2006) (per curiam)
    (affirming guilty plea conviction for aggravated alien transporting, on plain error
    8
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    review, where the defendant, while unlawfully transporting unlawful aliens in
    his truck, got into a car accident). These decisions establish that direct, personal
    causation satisfies the causation element of the statute, but they do not foreclose
    the possibility that the causation element could be satisfied by a showing of
    other, more remote degrees of causation, such as proximate causation or
    command causation.7 See Trejo, 
    610 F.3d at 320
     (noting that “although [the cases
    cited by the defendant] rely on evidence beyond the bare drug transportation
    itself, none of them stand for the proposition that such evidence is required as
    a matter of law”).
    Because neither the plain language of the statute nor our interpretation
    of it compels the conclusion that Alvarado-Casas must have been the direct
    cause of the serious bodily injury to be criminally liable under § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii),
    we conclude that the district court’s error in accepting Alvarado-Casas’s plea, if
    any, was not plain. See Broussard, 
    669 F.3d at 550
     (“[A]s we have never
    addressed whether obtaining a phone number and having conversations with a
    minor about meeting for illicit sexual activity constitutes a substantial step
    toward persuading a minor to engage in illicit sexual activity under §
    2422(b)—nor has any intervening decision clarified the issue—any error on the
    7
    Alvarado-Casas suggests that because we have yet to uphold a conviction for
    aggravated alien smuggling against a factual basis challenge where, as here, the defendant
    was not the direct or immediate causer of the serious bodily injury, the district court’s error
    is clear and obvious, citing Garcia-Paulin. 
    627 F.3d at 132
     (holding that district court’s
    acceptance of a defendant’s guilty plea to bringing an unlawful alien into the United States,
    under 
    8 U.S.C. § 1324
    (a)(1)(A)(I), was plain error in part because the defendant did not
    accompany or arrange to have a person accompany the alien across the border, and “[w]e have
    found no case where a defendant has been convicted under clause (I) of this statute for
    ‘bringing’ an alien into the United States except where the defendant accompanied or arranged
    to have the alien accompanied (as in a smuggling operation) across the border”). Although the
    absence of precedent is relevant to our plainness analysis, 
    id.,
     it is not dispositive. Were it,
    the plainness of an error could depend more on the frequency of prosecution than the clarity
    of the issue presented. We reiterate that factual basis error is not plain unless the defendant’s
    proposed interpretation is compelled by the plain language of the statute or a binding judicial
    construction of it.
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    district court’s part in accepting Broussard’s plea on the factual basis established
    by the evidence could not be plain.”); 
    id.
     at 550–51 (“[A]ny error the district court
    may have committed was not plain as we have never addressed whether an
    alleged violation of § 14:81.3 of the Louisiana Revised Statutes constituted
    ‘sexual activity for which any person can be charged with a criminal offense’
    under § 2422(b).”); Trejo, 
    610 F.3d at 319
     (“Variously describing Trejo’s claim as
    ‘novel’ and ‘not entirely clear under the existing case authority,’ we doom the
    case for plain error.”); see also Caraballo-Rodriguez, 
    480 F.3d at
    70–76
    (concluding that any error could not be plain because the defendant’s proposed
    reading of the statute was not compelled by its plain language or a binding
    judicial construction of it).
    II.     Voluntariness
    In addition to determining whether a factual basis exists for the plea,
    courts are required by Rule 11 to advise the defendant of “the nature of each
    charge to which the defendant is pleading,” Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(b)(1)(G), the
    “maximum possible penalty, including imprisonment,” Fed. R. Crim. P.
    11(b)(1)(H), and “the terms of any plea-agreement provision waiving the right
    to appeal or to collaterally attack the sentence,” Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(b)(1)(N).
    Alvarado-Casas submits that the district court erred by (1) misadvising
    him of the nature of the charge to which he was pleading guilty, in violation of
    Rule 11(b)(1)(G); (2) misadvising him of the statutory maximum sentence for
    that offense, in violation of Rule 11(b)(1)(H); and (3) failing to ensure that he
    understood the consequences of waiving his right to appeal, in violation of Rule
    11(b)(1)(N). Although his appeal waiver does not bar our review of his claims of
    Rule 11 error, because Alvarado-Casas raises these claims for the first time on
    appeal, review is for plain error. United States v. Oliver, 
    630 F.3d 397
    , 411 (5th
    Cir. 2011). More specifically, to prevail on his claim that his guilty plea was
    involuntary, Alvarado-Casas must show that (1) the district court committed
    10
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    Rule 11 error, (2) the error was plain, (3) there is a reasonable probability that
    but for the error, he would not have pleaded guilty, and (4) the error seriously
    affected the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of the proceedings. 
    Id.
     at
    411–12.
    A.    Nature of the Offense
    At the rearraignment hearing, the district court described the elements of
    conspiracy to commit aggravated alien transporting, but did not specify that to
    be found guilty of that crime, Alvarado-Casas personally and directly must have
    caused the serious bodily injury to, or placed in jeopardy the life of, another
    person. As explained previously, if this was error, it was not plain error, and
    thus does not entitle Alvarado-Casas to relief on plain error review. See
    discussion supra pp. 8–9.
    B.    Statutory Maximum
    The district court misadvised Alvarado-Casas that he faced a maximum
    of ten years of imprisonment, when, in fact, conspiracy to commit aggravated
    alien transporting carries a statutory maximum of twenty years of
    imprisonment, § 1324(a)(1)(B)(iii). The error was compounded, Alvarado-Casas
    argues, by defense counsel’s “promise[] that the sentence impose[d] by the court
    w[ould] not be more than 10 years.” Alvarado-Casas asserts that if he had
    known that he faced a statutory maximum of 20 years of imprisonment, he
    would not have pleaded guilty. The government’s principal response is that the
    error, if any, had no effect on Alvarado-Casas’s decision to plead guilty. As
    evidence, the government points out that (1) the PSR, which Alvarado-Casas
    reviewed and discussed with counsel before sentencing, correctly stated that he
    faced a statutory maximum of 20 years of imprisonment, (2) Alvarado-Casas did
    not object to that aspect the PSR, and (3) Alvarado-Casas did not immediately
    object to the sentence imposed, even though it exceeded the 10-year maximum
    he purportedly believed was the extent of his sentencing exposure.
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    We agree with Alvarado-Casas that it was error for the district court to
    inform him that he faced only a ten-year maximum sentence, and that the error
    was clear and obvious. See United States v. Still, 
    102 F.3d 118
    , 123 (5th Cir.
    1996) (“[A] plain reading of Rule 11 requires the district court to inform the
    defendant of the . . . maximum possible penalty applicable to each count to which
    the defendant is pleading guilty.”); see also United States v. Toruno, 229 F. App’x
    296, 297 (5th Cir. 2007) (per curiam) (“The parties do not dispute that the
    district court incorrectly admonished [the defendant] regarding the maximum
    term of imprisonment and that the error was clear and obvious.”).
    We disagree, however, that Alvarado-Casas has carried his burden of
    establishing a reasonable probability that but for the error, he would not have
    pleaded guilty. Alvarado-Casas does not point to record evidence that he was
    prepared and willing to go to trial, United States v. Molina, 
    469 F.3d 408
    , 412
    (5th Cir. 2006) (affirming guilty plea conviction, despite Rule 11 error, because
    the defendant “d[id] not direct this court to any portion of the record supporting
    the proposition that the maximum sentence for count three affected his plea
    decision”), and the PSR, which he acknowledged reviewing, corrected any
    misapprehensions he may have had about his sentencing exposure, United States
    v. Vasquez-Bernal, 
    197 F.3d 169
    , 171 (5th Cir. 1999) (affirming guilty plea
    conviction, despite Rule 11 error, in part because “the presentence report
    specifically detailed the punishment range applicable to [the defendant]’s crime”).
    It is true, as Alvarado-Casas points out, that “the 190-month prison
    sentence actually imposed is 70 months greater than the 10-year maximum
    possible prison sentence of which his counsel and the district court advised him,”
    and that one consideration in our inquiry is the extent to which a defendant’s
    perceived sentencing exposure diverges from his true sentencing exposure,
    United States v. Guerra, 
    94 F.3d 989
    , 995 (5th Cir. 1996). But it oversimplifies
    the matter to focus on this discrepancy alone, and ignore other factors that
    12
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    No. 12-40295
    loomed large in the decisional calculus.        In exchange for his guilty plea,
    Alvarado-Casas received three acceptance-of-responsibility points, which
    lowered his Guidelines range from 262–327 months to 188–235 months, a
    decrease of six to seven years at both ends. Moreover, as part of the plea
    agreement, the government agreed to dismiss twelve substantive counts of
    aggravated alien transporting, each of which carried a sentencing exposure of
    twenty years of imprisonment. Thus, even if Alvarado-Casas were prepared to
    go to trial, it is not reasonably probable that he would have declined the plea
    deal and exposed himself to a higher potential Guidelines range and maximum
    sentence. See Caraballo-Rodriguez, 
    480 F.3d at 76
     (holding that even if the
    district court erred in accepting defendant’s guilty plea without a factual basis,
    there was no reasonable probability that but for the alleged error the defendant
    would not have pleaded guilty, in light of the “extremely favorable plea deal”
    that was “structured to find a significantly less serious offense to which he could
    plead”). Our conclusion is buttressed by Alvarado-Casas’s decision not to move
    under Rule 11(d)(2) to withdraw his plea after the PSR made him aware of his
    true sentencing exposure.
    In summary, although Alvarado-Casas can show clear error in this regard,
    it does not entitle him to relief because he has not satisfied his burden of
    showing that but for the error, he would not have pleaded guilty. See Molina,
    
    469 F.3d at 412
    ; Vasquez-Bernal, 
    197 F.3d at 171
    ; Caraballo-Rodriguez, 
    480 F.3d at 76
    .
    C.    Appeal Waiver
    At the rearraignment hearing, the district court did not specifically focus
    Alvarado-Casas on, or determine that he understood, the appeal waiver
    provision.     The court did, however, confirm at both rearraignment and
    sentencing that Alvarado-Casas reviewed the plea agreement with counsel,
    understood its terms, and signed it voluntarily. That is sufficient. United States
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    No. 12-40295
    v. Portillo, 
    18 F.3d 290
    , 293 (5th Cir. 1994) (“[W]hen the record of the Rule 11
    hearing clearly indicates that a defendant has read and understands his plea
    agreement, and that he raised no question regarding a waiver-of-appeal
    provision, the defendant will be held to the bargain to which he agreed,
    regardless of whether the court specifically admonished him concerning the
    waiver of appeal.”). Accordingly, we perceive no error, plain or otherwise.
    III.     Double counting
    The Sentencing Guidelines call for a two-level adjustment to a defendant’s
    offense level if the defendant “smuggled, transported, or harbored a minor who
    was unaccompanied by the minor’s parent or grandparent,” U.S.S.G. §
    2L1.1(b)(4) (the “transportation of a minor adjustment”), and a separate
    two-level adjustment if the defendant “used or attempted to use a person less
    than eighteen years of age to commit the offense or assist in avoiding detection
    of, or apprehension for, the offense,” U.S.S.G. § 3B1.4 (the “use of a minor
    adjustment”). The commentary to the use of a minor adjustment instructs that
    the adjustment should not be applied “if the Chapter Two offense guideline
    incorporates this factor.” U.S.S.G. § 3B1.4 cmt. n.2.
    Alvarado-Casas argues that because his transportation of a minor
    adjustment, a Chapter Two adjustment, incorporates the involvement of a
    minor, the application of both enhancements constituted impermissible double
    counting. In response, the government invokes the appeal waiver provision of
    Alvarado-Casas’s plea agreement, and argues that it bars his sentencing
    challenge.
    If invoked by the government, an appeal waiver bars a defendant from
    challenging his sentence if “the waiver was knowing and voluntary” and it
    “applies to the circumstances at hand, based on the plain language of the
    agreement.” United States v. Bond, 
    414 F.3d 542
    , 544 (5th Cir. 2005). The
    appeal waiver in Alvarado-Casas’s plea agreement provides, in pertinent part:
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    No. 12-40295
    “The defendant waives the right to appeal the sentence imposed or the manner
    in which it was determined. The defendant may appeal only (a) a sentence
    imposed above the statutory maximum; or (b) an upward departure from the
    Sentencing Guidelines which had not been requested by the United States.” The
    plain language of the provision covers this challenge to his sentence, which was
    below the statutory maximum and not the product of an upward departure.
    Moreover, “[b]ecause [Alvarado-Casas] indicated that he read and understood
    the agreement, which includes an explicit, unambiguous waiver of appeal, the
    waiver was both knowing and voluntary.” 
    Id.
     Accordingly, the appeal waiver
    bars Alvarado-Casas’s sentencing challenge.
    CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we conclude that the district court’s acceptance
    of Alvarado-Casas’s guilty plea, if error, was not plain error; the district court’s
    admonishment regarding Alvarado-Casas’s sentencing exposure, though clear
    error, did not materially affect his decision to plead guilty; and the appeal waiver
    bars Alvarado-Casas’s challenge to his sentence. AFFIRMED.
    15