Dipendra Tiwari v. Eric Friedlander ( 2022 )


Menu:
  •                                 RECOMMENDED FOR PUBLICATION
    Pursuant to Sixth Circuit I.O.P. 32.1(b)
    File Name: 22a0030p.06
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT
    ┐
    DIPENDRA TIWARI; KISHOR SAPKOTA; GRACE HOME
    │
    CARE, INC.,
    │
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,           │
    │
    >        No. 21-5495
    v.                                                   │
    │
    ERIC FRIEDLANDER, in his official capacity as               │
    Secretary of the Kentucky Cabinet for Health and            │
    Family Services; ADAM MATHER, in his official               │
    capacity as Inspector General of Kentucky,                  │
    Defendants-Appellees,       │
    │
    │
    KENTUCKY HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION,                              │
    Intervenor Defendant-Appellee.           │
    ┘
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the Western District of Kentucky at Louisville.
    No. 3:19-cv-00884—Gregory N. Stivers, District Judge.
    Argued: January 27, 2022
    Decided and Filed: February 14, 2022
    Before: SUTTON, Chief Judge; GUY and DONALD, Circuit Judges.
    _________________
    COUNSEL
    ARGUED: Andrew H. Ward, INSTITUTE FOR JUSTICE, Arlington, Virginia, for Appellants.
    David T. Lovely, CABINET FOR HEALTH AND FAMILY SERVICES, Frankfort, Kentucky,
    for Appellees Friedlander and Mather. David M. Dirr, DRESSMAN BENZINGER LA VELLE
    PSC, Crestview Hills, Kentucky, for Appellee Kentucky Hospital Association. ON BRIEF:
    Andrew H. Ward, INSTITUTE FOR JUSTICE, Arlington, Virginia, Jaimie N. Cavanaugh,
    INSTITUTE FOR JUSTICE, Minneapolis, Minnesota, for Appellants. David T. Lovely,
    CABINET FOR HEALTH AND FAMILY SERVICES, Frankfort, Kentucky, for Appellees
    Friedlander and Mather. David M. Dirr, Christopher B. Markus, DRESSMAN BENZINGER
    LA VELLE PSC, Crestview Hills, Kentucky, for Appellee Kentucky Hospital Association.
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                            Page 2
    _________________
    OPINION
    _________________
    SUTTON, Chief Judge. Dipendra Tiwari and Kishor Sapkota sought to establish a home
    healthcare company, called Grace Home Care, that would focus on serving Nepali-speaking
    individuals in the Louisville area. Like other companies that provide healthcare services, home
    healthcare companies face a number of regulations.          One of them is a certificate-of-need
    requirement, which restricts the number of such companies that may serve each county in
    Kentucky. When the Commonwealth denied their certificate-of-need application, Tiwari and
    Sapkota filed this lawsuit. They claim that the regulation violates their Fourteenth Amendment
    right to earn a living, serves only the illegitimate end of protecting incumbent home healthcare
    companies from competition, and through it all lacks a rational basis. At the motion to dismiss
    stage, the district court allowed the case to proceed to discovery. On summary judgment, the
    district court upheld the law. We affirm.
    I.
    Certificate-of-need   laws   control    the    number    of      healthcare   resources    in   a
    geographical area.   Unlike other licensing laws, these programs require the applicant to
    demonstrate a public need for its service in a given area to “prevent overinvestment in and
    maldistribution of health care facilities.” Colon Health Ctrs. of Am., LLC v. Hazel,
    
    813 F.3d 145
    , 153 (4th Cir. 2016). While certificate-of-need laws have fallen out of favor in
    the last few decades, many States still use them to regulate different parts of the healthcare
    industry.   See id.; Emily Whelan Parento, Certificate of Need in the Post-Affordable Care
    Act Era, 
    105 Ky. L.J. 201
    , 256 (2017). At least 16 States today have certificate-of-need laws
    for home healthcare services. See Parento, supra, at 256; Certificate of Need State
    Laws, Nat’l Conf. of State Legislatures, https://www.ncsl.org/research/health/con-certificate-of-
    need-state-laws.aspx#Interactive%20Map (last visited Feb. 9, 2022).
    Anyone wishing to establish a “health facility” or to make certain substantial changes to
    an existing health facility in Kentucky must obtain approval from the State. Ky. Rev. Stat.
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                    Page 3
    § 216B.061(1); see also id. § 216B.020. A “health facility” broadly includes “any institution,
    place, building, agency, or portion thereof” that is “used, operated, or designed to provide
    medical diagnosis, treatment, nursing, rehabilitative, or preventive care,” among other services.
    Id. § 216B.015(13). A covered entity must apply for a certificate of need to Kentucky’s Cabinet
    for Health Services, the agency that administers the program. Id. § 216B.062; see also id.
    §§ 216B.040(1), 216B.015(6). The application goes through a review process, id. §§ 216B.040,
    216B.095, which requires public notice with the opportunity for “affected persons”—often the
    applicant or a competitor—to request a hearing, id. § 216B.085(1)–(2); 
    900 Ky. Admin. Regs. 6
    :060.
    By statute, the State looks at several factors in reviewing an application:
    (1) “interrelationships and linkages” to existing care; (2) “costs, economic feasibility, and
    resources availability”; (3) “quality of services”; (4) “need and accessibility” in the desired
    geographic area; and (5) “consistency with” the State Health Plan as determined by the Health
    Services agency. Ky. Rev. Stat. § 216B.040(2)(a)(2); see 
    900 Ky. Admin. Regs. 5
    :020.
    The last two factors—“need and accessibility” and “consistency with plans”—tend to be
    the primary guideposts. In calculating need, the Plan compares the forecasted demands of the
    population to the number of people already receiving the service. The State Health Plan also
    contains guidelines and regulations for each type of facility or service.        Ky. Rev. Stat.
    § 216B.015(28).
    Dipendra Tiwari and Kishor Sapkota sought to establish a home healthcare company in
    Louisville. Named Grace Home Care, the company would provide healthcare services at the
    patient’s home and serve, among other patients, those who spoke Nepali. Home healthcare, as
    Kentucky defines it, includes skilled nursing; therapeutic services such as physical, speech, or
    occupational therapy; and home healthcare support: bathing, using the bathroom, and taking
    medication. Kentucky’s Health Plan requires new entrants to show that at least 250 patients need
    the service while it requires existing companies to show that at least 125 patients need the
    expanded service.
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                     Page 4
    Unique among home healthcare companies, Grace Home Care wishes to focus its
    services on Louisville’s Nepali residents. Because positive health outcomes often occur when
    the patient is comfortable with the provider, Tiwari and Sapkota thought Grace Home Care could
    deliver superior care for these Kentuckians by pairing them with home healthcare workers who
    spoke their language and understood their culture.
    In March 2018, Grace Home Care submitted its certificate-of-need application. As
    permitted under state law, Baptist Health, which also runs a home healthcare company in
    Louisville, intervened and argued that Grace Home Care’s application did not fit the State’s
    Health Plan because Jefferson County’s need calculation fell below the threshold for new
    providers. Grace Home Care did not respond, and the State denied the application.
    At that point, Tiwari, Sapkota, and Grace Home Care could have challenged this
    administrative decision in state court. Under Kentucky law, they could have claimed that the
    decision was “[a]rbitrary,” unsupported by substantial evidence, or otherwise unlawful. Ky.
    Rev. Stat. § 13B.150. But they did not file such a challenge.
    They instead filed this lawsuit against various Kentucky agencies and officials in federal
    court. They claim that the certificate-of-need law, as applied to home healthcare companies,
    violates the Due Process, Equal Protection, and Privileges or Immunities Clauses of the
    Fourteenth Amendment. The Kentucky Hospital Association successfully moved to intervene as
    a defendant.
    At the outset, the State and the Hospital Association moved to dismiss the complaint
    under Rule 12(b)(6) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. The district court rejected the
    motions in a thoughtful and thorough opinion. In the absence of discovery, it found plausible the
    complaint’s allegations that the statutory scheme did not serve a rational purpose, reasoning that
    the law seemed to inhibit rather than further the law’s proposed justifications, including lower
    costs and better care. Tiwari v. Friedlander, No. 19-CV-884, 
    2020 WL 4745772
    , at *5–14
    (W.D. Ky. Aug. 14, 2020). As a result, the court ruled, the plaintiffs adequately stated a claim
    for relief under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process and Equal Protection Clauses. 
    Id.
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                       Page 5
    The lawsuit proceeded to discovery and before long dueling summary judgment motions,
    which featured competing expert reports.        In the face of this expanded record, the court
    determined that the State’s justifications for the law rationally supported it.          Tiwari v.
    Friendlander, No. 19-CV-00884, 
    2021 WL 1407953
    , at *13 (W.D. Ky. Apr. 14, 2021).
    II.
    Due Process. The Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment prevents a State
    from “depriv[ing] any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law.” U.S.
    Const. amend. XIV. The textual focus of the clause is procedural—to require elemental process
    before the State takes the property of its citizens, infringes on their liberty, or deprives them of
    life. But this case does not implicate a process dispute. Tiwari and Sapkota do not complain
    about the nature of the State’s procedures for obtaining a license in the sense of fair notice, an
    opportunity to be heard, or other procedures for determining who gets a license and who doesn’t.
    Tiwari and Sapkota instead complain about something else—the substance of Kentucky’s
    certificate-of-need law. They claim that it violates the liberty guarantee of the Due Process
    Clause. Over time, some substantive due process guarantees have become anchored in the
    language of the Bill of Rights. If, for example, Kentucky had denied this certificate-of-need
    application based on the applicant’s unwillingness to speak favorably about the Governor, that
    denial would violate substantive due process, namely the free-speech guarantee of the First
    Amendment as incorporated through the liberty clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. But
    Tiwari and Sapkota do not rest their substantive due process claim on any of the first eight
    provisions of the Bill of Rights, nearly all of which the U.S. Supreme Court has incorporated into
    the Due Process Clause.
    That leaves another possibility—that the certificate-of-need requirement violates a
    fundamental right unanchored in the Bill of Rights but recognized by the U.S. Supreme Court all
    the same. Infringements on such fundamental rights receive skeptical review from the courts.
    But the claimants do not make any such argument.
    That brings us to the last possibility. Even if the claimants do not allege that Kentucky
    has violated a provision of the Bill of Rights or another fundamental right, they still may invoke
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                         Page 6
    the Fourteenth Amendment to target laws that impose substantive restrictions on individual
    liberty, including the right to engage in a chosen occupation. See Conn v. Gabbert, 
    526 U.S. 286
    , 291–92 (1999); Greene v. McElroy, 
    360 U.S. 474
    , 492 (1959); Truax v. Raich, 
    239 U.S. 33
    ,
    41 (1915). The threshold for invalidating a state law on this basis is high. Economic regulations,
    even those affecting an individual’s liberty to work in a given area, violate due process only
    when they “impose[] burdens without any rational basis for doing so.” Sheffield v. City of Fort
    Thomas, 
    620 F.3d 596
    , 613 (6th Cir. 2010) (quotation omitted). In contrast to laws that are
    presumptively problematic—say laws that allocate benefits based on race, religion, or speech—
    economic laws carry “a presumption of legislative validity,” requiring the challenger to show
    that there is “no rational connection between the enactment and a legitimate government
    interest.” Am. Express Travel Related Servs. Co. v. Kentucky, 
    641 F.3d 685
    , 689 (6th Cir. 2011).
    All laws, whether the challenge arises under the Due Process or Equal Protection Clause, must
    satisfy rational-basis review, and as a result we look to cases resolved in this area under both
    Clauses.
    Right or wrong, rational-basis review epitomizes a light judicial touch. See F.C.C. v.
    Beach Commc’ns, Inc., 
    508 U.S. 307
    , 313–14 (1993); Williamson v. Lee Optical of Okla., Inc.,
    
    348 U.S. 483
    , 487–88 (1955). So long as some “plausible” reason exists for the law—any
    plausible reason, even one that did not inspire the enacting legislators—the law must stand, no
    matter how unfair, unjust, or unwise the judges may see it as citizens. Heller v. Doe, 
    509 U.S. 312
    , 320, 324, 330 (1993); Nordlinger v. Hahn, 
    505 U.S. 1
    , 11, 17–18 (1992). States need not
    “convince the courts of the correctness of their legislative judgments,” Minnesota v. Clover Leaf
    Creamery Co., 
    449 U.S. 456
    , 464 (1981), and courts cannot subject legislative choices “to
    courtroom fact-finding,” Beach Commc’ns, 
    508 U.S. at 315
    .                A legislature’s “rational
    speculation unsupported by evidence or empirical data” suffices. 
    Id.
     An essential premise of all
    this is not that legislatures are beyond enacting silly or ineffective laws; it is that “even
    improvident decisions will eventually be rectified by the democratic process.” Vance v. Bradley,
    
    440 U.S. 93
    , 97 (1979). So it is that a law may be incorrigibly foolish but constitutional.
    To critics of rational-basis review, the standard is too daunting.        Whereas a claim
    implicating a fundamental right requires the State to run the gauntlet of strict scrutiny, a claim
    No. 21-5495                      Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                    Page 7
    implicating rational-basis review seems to require the individual to run the gauntlet of strict
    scrutiny—so many and so modest are the explanations for upholding such laws. But that
    exaggerates. While the route is difficult, it is not beyond category. Laws premised on utterly
    illogical grounds or fantasy premises will not be upheld.
    In this area, as in many areas, the concrete tends to inform the abstract. Take the measure
    of some cases that rejected a rational-basis challenge to a statute. At stake in Clover Leaf
    Creamery was whether a Minnesota statute that banned sales of milk in plastic containers
    rationally served the goal of protecting the environment. 
    449 U.S. at
    458–60. The Minnesota
    Supreme Court invalidated the law based on “impressive supporting evidence” showing that non-
    plastic containers did more harm than good for the environment. 
    Id.
     at 463–65. The U.S.
    Supreme Court reversed, concluding that, even if the statute did not ultimately serve the desired
    end of protecting the environment, it was “at least debatable” for the legislature to think so. 
    Id. at 469
     (quotation omitted).      “Whether in fact the Act will promote more environmentally
    desirable milk packaging is not the question,” the Court concluded, so long as the legislature
    “could rationally have decided that” the law would serve that interest. 
    Id. at 466
    .
    At stake in Vance v. Bradley was whether a federal statute that required Foreign Service
    employees to retire at the age of 60 rationally served any legitimate end. 
    440 U.S. at
    94–95. The
    government defended the age-based restriction on the theory that it rationally related to the
    officers’ ability to perform their tasks abroad. 
    Id.
     at 103–04. The Court upheld the law despite
    the plaintiffs’ considerable evidence that many overseas posts do not pose security or safety
    concerns, that many Foreign Service personnel under 60 have health problems, that many
    employees in the area had successfully worked long after 60 in the past, and that age is not
    related to susceptibility to certain diseases and ailments commonly linked to life overseas. 
    Id. at 110
    . Reasoning that the challengers had the burden of showing that “the legislative facts on
    which the classification is apparently based could not reasonably be conceived to be true,” 
    id. at 111
    , the Court upheld the retirement requirement because Congress arguably could believe that
    those over 60 were more susceptible to these risks, which “immunize[d]” the law “from
    constitutional attack,” 
    id. at 112
    .
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                      Page 8
    Western & Southern Life Insurance Co. v. State Board of Equalization of California
    came to a similar conclusion. 
    451 U.S. 648
     (1981). It concerned a “retaliatory” tax placed on
    out-of-state insurance companies designed to deter States from imposing steep taxes on
    California insurers. 
    Id. at 650
    , 669–70. Although scholars and economists “doubt[ed] the
    wisdom” of the tax and believed it was “not an effective means for” accomplishing this goal, the
    Court upheld it under rational-basis scrutiny because the legislature still “rationally could have
    believed that the retaliatory tax would promote its objective.” 
    Id.
     at 670–72.
    Not all laws have cleared this low bar, however. Several cases go the other way. Hence
    the Court concluded it was constitutionally irrational to believe that public officials’ familiarity
    with a community depends on their owning property there. Quinn v. Millsap, 
    491 U.S. 95
    , 107–
    08 (1989). Hence the Court concluded it was constitutionally irrational for a State to conclude
    that granting tax benefits only to those veterans who have lived in the State after a fixed year
    before the law’s passage would encourage new veterans to move there. Hooper v. Bernalillo
    Cnty. Assessor, 
    472 U.S. 612
    , 619 (1985). Hence the Court concluded it was constitutionally
    irrational for a county to believe that assessing recently sold property based on purchase price
    would lead to a uniform assessment of all property given the disparate treatment for comparable
    unsold property. Allegheny Pittsburgh Coal Co. v. Cnty. Comm’n, 
    488 U.S. 336
    , 345 (1989).
    Other like-reasoned cases featured laws that contained logically untenable connections to their
    purported aims. See, e.g., Williams v. Vermont, 
    472 U.S. 14
    , 23–25 (1985) (invalidating a
    Vermont vehicle-use tax that impermissibly treated citizens differently based on when they
    became residents); Plyler v. Doe, 
    457 U.S. 202
    , 228–30 (1982) (invalidating a Texas law that
    withheld from school districts funds for the education of the children of illegal immigrants);
    Zobel v. Williams, 
    457 U.S. 55
    , 60–64 (1982) (invalidating an Alaska dividend distribution
    program that impermissibly based payments on length of residence); Chappelle v. Greater Baton
    Rouge Airport Dist., 
    431 U.S. 159
    , 159 (1977) (per curiam) (invalidating a law that required
    parish commission appointees to own property there); Lindsey v. Normet, 
    405 U.S. 56
    , 77–78
    (1972) (invalidating an Oregon law that required tenants to pay a double-rent fee in order to
    appeal a judgment); James v. Strange, 
    407 U.S. 128
    , 131, 141–42 (1972) (invalidating a Kansas
    recoupment statute that denied indigent defendants various protective exemptions provided for
    others); Turner v. Fouche, 
    396 U.S. 346
    , 363–64 (1970) (invalidating a requirement that
    No. 21-5495                     Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                     Page 9
    members of a county board of education own real property). Through them all, these cases
    involved situations in which the law failed to serve a legitimate end or the law in application did
    not have a rational connection to its purpose.
    Of special interest to us are the fortunes of licensing laws, which have much in common
    with certificate-of-need laws.    Many cases uphold these laws, often because the licensing
    requirements arise in a heavily regulated field.         See, e.g., Williamson, 
    348 U.S. at 490
    (eyeglasses); N.D. State Bd. of Pharmacy v. Snyder’s Drug Stores, Inc., 
    414 U.S. 156
    , 158, 164–
    67 (1973) (pharmacies); Dent v. West Virginia, 
    129 U.S. 114
    , 122 (1889) (physicians); New
    Orleans v. Dukes, 
    427 U.S. 297
    , 303–06 (1976) (per curiam) (street vendors); Sensational
    Smiles, LLC v. Mullen, 
    793 F.3d 281
    , 284–88 (2d Cir. 2015) (dentistry); Powers v. Harris, 
    379 F.3d 1208
    , 1211 (10th Cir. 2004) (casket sales).
    But to the extent Justice Douglas meant to predict that the “day is gone” when Fourteenth
    Amendment challenges to state licensing laws could succeed, Williamson, 
    348 U.S. at 488
    , that
    did not turn out to be accurate. Our court and others have granted relief in the context of
    licensing laws that serve only protectionist goals and otherwise lack a rational basis for the lines
    they draw or the burdens they impose. See Craigmiles v. Giles, 
    312 F.3d 220
    , 224–29 (6th Cir.
    2002) (invalidating a statute that permitted only licensed funeral home directors, but no one else,
    to sell caskets); St. Joseph Abbey v. Castille, 
    712 F.3d 215
    , 223–27 (5th Cir. 2013) (same);
    Merrifield v. Lockyer, 
    547 F.3d 978
    , 991–92, 991 n.15 (9th Cir. 2008) (invalidating a statute that
    exempted some pest control operators from licensing but not others); see generally Cass R.
    Sunstein, Naked Preferences and the Constitution, 
    84 Colum. L. Rev. 1689
     (1984) (claiming that
    the Constitution should bar purely protectionist laws that do not serve a public good). Some
    state courts, for what it is worth, have come to similar conclusions in challenges to licensing
    regulations, though usually based on state constitutions and usually based on what appears to be
    a more rigorous form of scrutiny. See, e.g., Patel v. Tex. Dep’t of Licensing and Regul.,
    
    469 S.W.3d 69
    , 90 (Tex. 2015) (invalidating “oppressive” licensing requirements for eyebrow
    threaders because they went beyond any rational relationship to consumer protection and safety);
    see 
    id.
     at 110–18 (Willett, J., concurring); Ladd v. Real Est. Comm’n, 
    230 A.3d 1096
    , 1106,
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                     Page 10
    1111–13 (Pa. 2020) (invalidating licensing requirements for short-term vacation property
    managers on similar grounds).
    Measured by the general rational-basis test and the specific ways in which it has been
    applied, Kentucky’s certificate-of-need law passes, perhaps with a low grade but with a pass all
    the same. As for the goal of the law, the State contends that it furthers healthcare in Kentucky.
    All agree that this aim is legitimate. The only question is whether the law serves this objective,
    whether a rational connection exists between its ends and its avowed means—namely, increasing
    cost efficiency, improving quality of care, and improving the healthcare infrastructure in place.
    Start with cost efficiency. One could plausibly think that, by tailoring services to need in
    a given market, current providers could use the larger market share and increased patient volume
    that come with the entry restriction to operate more efficiently and to ensure a wide range of
    services in areas with smaller populations. Providers could use their enhanced purchasing power
    to buy supplies and equipment at reduced prices. The increased patient volume also could permit
    the companies to spread fixed costs across more patients.
    Move to quality of care. The State could plausibly think that a higher patient volume for
    all certified providers in the market will lead to higher quality service.        Whether by the
    downstream benefits of achieving scale or the quality-improving expertise and specialization that
    come from repeated services within a market, the State could plausibly think that the certificate-
    of-need program would increase quality in one way or another.
    Home healthcare services are heavily regulated too. Deemed medical services under
    Kentucky law, they may be performed only with a doctor’s prescription. See 
    902 Ky. Admin. Regs. 20
    :081 § 2. Prices in this market often are determined by the government (Medicare and
    Medicaid) or private insurance companies, and patients usually pay a minor cost of the care.
    Price shopping for healthcare services is the exception, not the rule. Heavy regulation of supply
    and pricing often comes with heavy regulation of the number of suppliers in the market.
    Kentucky also has not made an eccentric policymaking decision. Far from being alone in
    applying certificate-of-need requirements to the home healthcare industry, it has considerable
    company in doing so, as at least 16 States have made this decision. See Parento, supra, at 256;
    No. 21-5495                   Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                   Page 11
    Certificate of Need State Laws, supra. Nor are we alone in upholding such laws against
    Fourteenth Amendment challenges. Other circuits have reached the same conclusion. See
    Birchansky v. Clabaugh, 
    955 F.3d 751
    , 757–58 (8th Cir. 2020); Colon Health Ctrs. of Am., LLC
    v. Hazel, 
    733 F.3d 535
    , 547–48 (4th Cir. 2013). Certificate-of-need “laws in general have been
    recognized as a valid means of furthering a legitimate state interest.” Planned Parenthood of
    Greater Iowa, Inc. v. Atchison, 
    126 F.3d 1042
    , 1048 (8th Cir. 1997) (collecting cases). No court
    to our knowledge has invalidated a healthcare certificate-of-need law under the rational-basis
    requirements of the Fourteenth Amendment.
    Tiwari and Sapkota have several responses, many formidable.
    First, they point to considerable evidence showing that, in practice, certificate-of-need
    laws often undermine the very goals they purport to serve—lower costs and better care—whether
    with respect to healthcare in general or home healthcare in particular. There indeed is a rich
    body of economic scholarship questioning the value of certificate-of-need laws and often
    showing their pernicious effects, particularly when it comes to incumbency protection and undue
    barriers to new entrants in the market. See, e.g., Thomas Stratmann & Jacob W. Russ, Do
    Certificate-of-Need Laws Increase Indigent Care? (Mercatus Ctr. Geo. Mason, Working Paper
    No. 14-20, 2014). Particularly galling for entrepreneurs like Tiwari and Sapkota is the reality
    that only those with these certificates can reap the often-government-fixed rates for healthcare—
    a market in which little price shopping occurs—and the reliable profits that follow. Barriers to
    entry thus operate as an additional monopolistic coating on an already controlled market. The
    district court’s motion-to-dismiss opinion ably lays out the powerful case against these laws—
    cataloguing the ill effects they wreak on entrepreneurs and consumers alike and observing how
    Kentucky’s law seemingly “worsens all problems it purports to fix.” Tiwari, 
    2020 WL 4745772
    ,
    at *2, *8–11.
    History has not been good to certificate-of-need laws either. They became a sensation in
    the 1970s, when Congress used its conditional spending power to require States to enact them.
    Through the National Health Planning and Resources Development Act of 1974, Congress
    required States to enact such laws in return for federal healthcare funding. See id. at *4;
    Slaughter v. Dobbs, No. 20-CV-789, 
    2022 WL 135424
    , at *2 (S.D. Miss. Jan. 13, 2022). Eight
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                   Page 12
    years later, as a result, every State in the country, save for Louisiana, had adopted a healthcare
    certificate-of-need program. Slaughter, 
    2022 WL 135424
    , at *2.
    What went up eventually went down. In 1987, based on experiences gone awry and
    considerable critical scholarship, Congress repealed the law and its requirement that States adopt
    such laws. 
    Id.
     The most populous State in the country and one not congenitally adverse to
    regulation, California, also repealed its restrictions. Parento, supra, at 222. Since 1987, the
    federal government—across different agencies and ideologically diverse administrations—
    continues to advocate against these laws, noting their tendency to increase costs while decreasing
    access and quality of care. Even so, 35 States still have some form of certificate-of-need laws,
    and as noted 16 States still apply them to home healthcare companies. But the public defenders
    of such laws are a shrinking minority.
    While we cannot claim to have the expertise of the economists or other scholars critical
    of these laws or the knowledge of the federal and state legislators that have repealed them, we
    can say that the judgment that this was a failed experiment has the ring of truth to it. Were we
    Kentucky legislators ourselves, we would be inclined to think that certificate-of-need laws
    should be the exception, not the rule, and perhaps have outlived their own needs.
    The problem for the challengers is that this is not the inquiry. “The Constitution does not
    prohibit legislatures from enacting stupid laws.” N.Y. State Bd. of Elections v. López Torres,
    
    552 U.S. 196
    , 209 (2008) (Stevens, J., concurring). A claimant does not prevail in a rational-
    basis case simply by severing the stated links between a law and its rationales with on-the-
    ground evidence that undermines the law—or showing that the lived experiences of the law have
    not delivered on its promises. The courts would be busy indeed if a law could be invalidated
    whenever evidence proves that it did not work as planned. Our custom instead is to assume that
    democracy eventually will fix the problem. That is because our Federal “Constitution presumes
    that, absent some reason to infer antipathy,” flawed laws will “eventually be rectified by the
    democratic process.” Vance, 
    440 U.S. at 97
    .
    The other problem with this argument turns on the limited role the Fourteenth
    Amendment has to play in this area. Whatever the substantive limits of the Due Process Clause
    No. 21-5495                     Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                     Page 13
    may be, they do not establish a cost-benefit imperative. The defect with certificate-of-need laws
    is rarely that there is no rational benefit to them in a heavily regulated industry like healthcare.
    The real problem, and the most potent explanation for criticizing them, is that the costs of these
    laws—needless barriers to entry, protectionism for incumbents, the improbability of lowering
    prices by decreasing supply—outweigh their modest regulatory benefits. Yet it is precisely such
    weighing of costs and benefits that is so beyond judicial capacity. Who among us can identify a
    principled basis for concluding that some laws involve an irrational weighing of costs and
    benefits while others do not? Once we identify a plausible rational benefit of a law, the
    policymaking calculation of whether to adopt the law in the face of competing costs is eminently
    a legislative task, not a judicial one. Any other approach would require us not just to decide
    whether a plausible rational basis exists but then to balance out the totality of costs and benefits,
    a value-laden task that no two judges could ever do in the same way—and that even the same
    judge might do differently at different times during his tenure. It is one thing when legislatures
    enact laws on an ad hoc and inconsistent basis. It is quite another when judges remove them
    from the democratic process on an ad hoc and inconsistent basis.
    Second, this last question and answer largely resolve the challengers’ next two concerns.
    With respect to quality of care, Tiwari and Sapkota push back that certificate-of-need laws are
    illogical, not just bad policy. They again provide ample evidence that incumbents with reduced
    competition tend to provide lower quality services. And we again do not balk at the general
    notion that increased competition usually improves quality of care and lowers prices.
    Cf. Craigmiles, 
    312 F.3d at 226
     (noting that “a more competitive casket market would likely lead
    to that consumer procuring a higher quality casket”). Nor can we deny that the conceivable
    benefits of these laws would seem to diminish in the comparatively cheaper, simpler, and more
    labor-intensive home healthcare market. Providers of home healthcare, for example, rarely have
    large upfront capital costs, as say a hospital would. But we cannot say that it is irrational for a
    legislator to think otherwise about the law’s merits, at least in the healthcare market, a market
    that has been heavily regulated for decades and in which the State is a buyer and a seller. The
    ways of Adam Smith, for good or ill, do not describe the ways of the healthcare market in
    America circa 2022.
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                     Page 14
    None of Tiwari and Sapkota’s evidence puts the law’s connection to quality beyond
    dispute, even if it strengthens considerably one side of the policy dispute. Healthcare is uniquely
    complex, with “its own idiosyncrasies,” and with many different metrics upon which to gauge
    success. Colon Health Ctrs., 813 F.3d at 158. It is at least rationally possible for legislators in
    Kentucky (and 15 other States) to think that “the unique aspects of the heath care market [] affect
    the behaviors of consumers and producers in ways not encountered in other industries.” R.84-4
    at 15.
    The State, moreover, has some evidence of its own on this score. Economies of scale, it
    notes, permit providers to reinvest profits from higher patient volumes into other areas of the
    business, say by buying expensive technology to improve patient care across the State or by
    providing better training for new employees. “[T]here is a relationship between the number of
    patients” a company serves, the State’s expert plausibly says, “and its ability to offer programs
    and services that enhance the quality of care.” Id. at 23. One certified home healthcare company
    says that it leverages the scale of its patient population to offer specialized programs for various
    conditions that home healthcare patients may face. The same company also claims that it would
    not be able to absorb the costs of technological investments—like electronic health records,
    tablets for caregivers, or remote telehealth equipment—without the patient volume that the
    Kentucky law helps to maintain.       It is even possible that scale makes it easier for some
    companies to do what the claimants hope to do here—hire employees who can meet the language
    and cultural needs of their clients. While the denial of this license would seem to hurt efforts to
    match Nepali patients with home healthcare workers who speak their language in Louisville, it is
    at least conceivable that a system that encourages scale will further the broader goal of having
    healthcare companies that have employees who can match service options to service needs.
    Third, and relatedly, Tiwari and Sapkota point to studies and expert testimony showing
    that certificate-of-need laws end up leading to higher healthcare costs for the State and its
    consumers—the opposite of the avowed goal of the law.             Time and experience, they say,
    have shown that what once might have been constitutional no longer is.                Thus: “[T]he
    constitutionality of a statute predicated upon the existence of a particular state of facts may be
    challenged by showing to the court that those facts have ceased to exist.” United States v.
    No. 21-5495                     Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                        Page 15
    Carolene Prods. Co., 
    304 U.S. 144
    , 153 (1938). We don’t disagree. But the possibility of
    changed circumstances doesn’t change something else either—the modest nature of the rational-
    basis inquiry. Even if time has shown that certificate-of-need laws do not lower costs for
    patients, that does not mean they do not create cost efficiency for providers. That is one rational
    explanation of the law, and no evidence categorically defeats the point—or for that matter
    categorically defeats the idea that the limitation on the number of home healthcare companies
    would lead to stabler and more efficient care. Tiwari and Sapkota’s evidence does not reject
    beyond question the notion that a legislator could at least rationally think that the law would
    facilitate cost efficiency and that cost efficiency could benefit the public down the road.
    Tiwari and Sapkota insist that their evidence is more reliable and more extensive than the
    State’s. But it is “not within” this court’s “competency” to consider who has the most reasonable
    view. Vance, 
    440 U.S. at 112
     (quotation omitted). Confirming the difficulty of this endeavor,
    both parties’ experts agree that the studies assessing certificate-of-need laws are imperfect on
    many dimensions. The dynamic complexities of this market, the many metrics upon which that
    care can be measured, and the reality that a State need not proffer more than “rational
    speculation unsupported by evidence or empirical data” all make it difficult to push this law
    outside the universe of rationality. Beach Commc’ns, 
    508 U.S. at 315
    .
    Fourth, Tiwari and Sapkota point to our decision in Craigmiles, which invalidated a law
    allowing only licensed funeral directors to sell caskets. 
    312 F.3d at
    228–29. Yet the differences
    between that case and this one illustrate the forbidden side of the line. At issue in Craigmiles
    was a Tennessee law that permitted only licensed funeral directors to sell caskets. In doing so,
    the law purported to regulate public health and safety and protect consumers by dictating who
    could sell caskets, but it did so without regulating the products’ quality in any way. 
    Id. at 225
    .
    Absent any difference in the caskets sold, no plausible connection could exist between a casket’s
    safety and its seller, whether the seller was a funeral home or a casket maker or a dealer. The
    court found the law unconstitutionally irrational and impermissibly protectionist—and rightly so.
    
    Id. at 229
    . A law that serves protectionist ends and nothing else—in that instance to insulate
    funeral homes from competition in selling caskets—does not satisfy rational-basis review.
    That essentially is a form of class legislation that the Fourteenth Amendment originally
    No. 21-5495                      Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                    Page 16
    banned—and still should ban. See John O. McGinnis, Reforming Constitutional Review of State
    Economic Legislation, 14 Geo. J.L. & Pub. Pol’y 517, 529 (2016).
    Consistent with Craigmiles, we agree that a law defended on protectionist grounds
    alone—denying individuals a right to ply their trade solely to protect incumbents—would not
    satisfy rational-basis review. It is no doubt true that governments sometimes play favorites and
    sometimes enact protectionist laws, often fairly described as nothing more than wealth transfers.
    Think tax breaks for some companies but not others. Think subsidies for a stadium for a for-
    profit sports team. Think redistributionist tax policies and tax credits. And so on. But when
    courts uphold these laws, they tend to do so on the ground that a public interest (other than
    protectionism or a wealth transfer for its own sake) supports the law. See St. Joseph Abbey,
    712 F.3d at 222–23 (rejecting mere protectionism as a legitimate government interest);
    Merrifield, 
    547 F.3d at
    991–92, 991 n.15 (same); Powers, 
    379 F.3d at
    1225–26 (Tymkovich, J.,
    concurring) (same); Sensational Smiles, 793 F.3d at 288 (Droney, J., concurring in part) (same);
    see also Hettinga v. United States, 
    677 F.3d 471
    , 481 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (Brown, J., concurring).
    But that is not this case. Protectionist though this law may be in some of its effects, that
    is not the only effect it has or the only goal it serves. As a matter of history, law, economics, and
    common sense, there is a lifetime of difference between the providing of healthcare and the
    making of caskets. In the intensely regulated market of healthcare, Kentucky has shown that its
    regulations potentially advance a legitimate cause. Courts no doubt will continue to encounter
    regulations that fall short of any rational basis. This is just not one of those cases.
    Fifth, Tiwari and Sapkota target another protectionist feature of the law. They argue that
    the law favors incumbents over new entrants based on the lower patient-need threshold to enter a
    market (125 versus 250). This disparity not only favors incumbents, but it also would allow a
    sharp-elbowed incumbent theoretically to expand whenever the 125-patient threshold was
    reached, forever prohibiting a start up from obtaining permission to enter the market by meeting
    the 250-patient threshold. But a rational basis, even if a debatable one, supports the discrepancy.
    The State set the baseline 250-patient threshold at a level where a company “would have
    sufficient volume to be able to maintain financial viability.” R.84-6 at 20. New entrants will
    likely have more overhead and more difficulty spreading those costs than existing market
    No. 21-5495                     Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                       Page 17
    participants with higher patient volumes. Hence the lower threshold for the incumbent. The
    disparity comports with the law’s justifications, or at least a legislator plausibly could think so.
    Sixth, Tiwari and Sapkota try to recalibrate the rational-basis test itself. True enough,
    many thoughtful commentators, scholars, and judges have shown that the current deferential
    approach to economic regulations may amount to an overcorrection in response to the Lochner
    era at the expense of otherwise constitutionally secured rights. See, e.g., David E. Bernstein, The
    Due Process Right to Pursue a Lawful Occupation: A Brighter Future Ahead?, 126 Yale L.J.
    Forum 287, 287–302 (2016); Randy E. Barnett, Our Republican Constitution: Securing the
    Liberty and Sovereignty of We the People 222–47 (2016); Hettinga, 
    677 F.3d at
    480–83 (Brown,
    J., concurring). We appreciate the points and might add a few others. Is it worth considering
    whether a similar form of protectionism should receive more rigorous review under the dormant
    Commerce Clause solely when the entrant happens to be from another State?                   Put more
    specifically, should Tiwari and Sapkota’s challenge have a better chance of success if they move
    to Indiana? Cf. Walgreen Co. v. Rullan, 
    405 F.3d 50
    , 59–60 (1st Cir. 2005). And is there
    something to Justice Frankfurter’s criticism of the dichotomy between economic rights and
    liberty rights, see, e.g., Dennis v. United States, 
    341 U.S. 494
    , 526–27 (1951) (Frankfurter, J.,
    concurring), a dichotomy first identified in Carolene Products, 
    304 U.S. at
    152 n.4? One could
    imagine Susette Kelo, and for that matter Tiwari and Sapkota, thinking their cases involved a
    liberty right. Cf. Kelo v. City of New London, 
    545 U.S. 469
    , 487–90 (2005). But any such
    recalibration of the rational-basis test and any effort to create consistency across individual rights
    is for the U.S. Supreme Court, not our court, to make.
    Seventh, the claimants point to a recent Mississippi district court decision that allowed a
    challenge to a home healthcare certificate-of-need law to proceed. Slaughter, 
    2022 WL 135424
    ,
    at *1.    Addressing only the “sufficiency of the Complaint,” the court concluded that the
    challengers plausibly alleged that a rational basis did not support the law. 
    Id.
     at *3–6. In one
    sense, that case, like the motion-to-dismiss opinion in this case, Tiwari, 
    2020 WL 4745772
    , at
    *5–14, confirms what we accept today: Certificate-of-need laws teeter on the edge of rationality.
    In another sense, that case confirms what we cannot resolve today:               How will all other
    certificate-of-need laws fare under that review?        Mississippi’s restriction, it deserves note,
    No. 21-5495                     Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                     Page 18
    ventured beyond Kentucky’s, banning all new entry into the market for the last several decades
    regardless of any “need” for the service. Slaughter, 
    2022 WL 135424
    , at *2. As the court put it,
    “Mississippi’s 40-year-old moratoria is an outlier.” Id. at *5.
    Eighth, Tiwari and Sapkota ask for a trial about the competing evidence, arguing that the
    record creates a triable issue of fact over the rationality of this law. We agree with one premise
    of this argument but not another. Under the circumstances of this case and of the Mississippi
    case, we agree with the district courts’ initial decisions to reject the States’ motions to dismiss.
    These cases both warranted discovery and the gathering of evidence and expert reports about the
    potential rationality of these laws. But it does not follow that, after discovery, a trial was in
    order. Summary judgment is an apt vehicle for resolving rational-basis claims. That’s because
    the question is not whether a law in fact is rational. It’s whether a legislator could plausibly
    think so. As to that modest inquiry, ample evidence supports the point—and a trial over whether
    the evidence shows that, at day’s end, this or that legislator was in fact wrong is beside the point.
    Under rational-basis review, a law will survive constitutional scrutiny so long as the existence of
    a rational connection to its aim “is at least debatable.” W. & S. Life Ins., 
    451 U.S. at 674
    (quotation omitted).    Courts cannot subject legislative choices “to courtroom fact-finding,”
    Beach Commc’ns, 
    508 U.S. at 315
    , and any factual dispute as to a law’s rationality indeed
    “immunizes from constitutional attack the [legislative] judgment,” Vance, 
    440 U.S. at 112
    .
    Because Tiwari and Sapkota’s evidence does not push the rationality of this law beyond dispute,
    our Due Process Clause precedent dooms this claim “no matter what evidence they put in at the
    trial on the merits.” Chi. Bd. of Realtors, Inc. v. City of Chicago, 
    819 F.2d 732
    , 745 (7th Cir.
    1987).
    Equal Protection. Tiwari and Sapkota also claim that the certificate-of-need law violates
    equal protection by irrationally exempting two entities—physician’s offices and “continuing care
    retirement communities”—from its scope. See Ky. Rev. Stat. § 216B.020(1), (2)(a). What we
    have said so far goes a long way to rejecting this claim too. The Constitution, once again, “does
    not require” Kentucky “to draw the perfect line” or “even to draw a line superior to some other
    line it might have drawn.” Armour v. City of Indianapolis, 
    566 U.S. 673
    , 685 (2012). So long as
    the Commonwealth has not drawn categories “along suspect lines,” its classifications will
    No. 21-5495                    Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                    Page 19
    survive scrutiny “if there is a rational relationship between the disparity of treatment and some
    legitimate governmental purpose.” 
    Id. at 680
     (quotation omitted).
    As for physician’s offices, at least three explanations stand out for treating them
    separately: the modest supply of physicians in parts of Kentucky, the more urgent need for
    physicians than home healthcare agencies throughout the State, and the more heavily regulated
    nature of the requirements for becoming a physician. Ample rational bases exist for treating
    doctors’ offices and home healthcare companies differently.
    As for continuing care retirement communities, they are distinct in some of these ways
    and others too. They have a continuum of care depending on the needs of their residents. Ky.
    Rev. Stat. § 216B.015(11). True, these facilities sometimes provide services to their residents
    comparable to the services home healthcare companies provide. But the facilities serve only the
    residents that already live there, and they provide a vast array of services, both medical and
    nonmedical, that home healthcare companies do not. Moreover, these facilities do not receive
    Medicaid funding, meaning that the State does not subsidize this care in the same way it
    subsidizes home healthcare providers. Each distinction suffices to uphold the classifications.
    The State could have “drawn [the line] differently” no doubt and perhaps should have.
    U.S. R.R. Ret. Bd. v. Fritz, 
    449 U.S. 166
    , 179 (1980). But that consideration is one for the
    legislature, not the judiciary, to make. 
    Id.
     The State need not “choose between attacking every
    aspect of a problem or not attacking the problem at all.” Dandridge v. Williams, 
    397 U.S. 471
    ,
    486–87 (1970).
    Privileges or Immunities. Tiwari and Sapkota raise a claim under the Privileges or
    Immunities Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. But they concede that this claim is foreclosed
    by the Slaughter-House Cases, 83 U.S. (16 Wall.) 36 (1872).
    ***
    While this opinion rejects the claims of Tiwari and Sapkota today, that is not necessarily
    the end of the road. Not only do they have the recourse of further review in the federal courts,
    but it is well to remember that state-law options remain available to them. They may file another
    No. 21-5495                      Tiwari, et al. v. Friedlander, et al.                Page 20
    certificate-of-need application. And if the State denies it, they may seek review in state court
    based on the procedural and substantive guarantees of state administrative law. As shown,
    Kentucky law does not countenance “arbitrary” decisions by state agencies, a standard that may
    be more toothsome than rational-basis review. The second option is the State Constitution. In
    the context of rational-basis review, it has happened before that the U.S. Supreme Court has
    denied relief under federal law with respect to an economic right, see Fitzgerald v. Racing Ass’n
    of Cent. Iowa, 
    539 U.S. 103
    , 110 (2003), only to see the state courts grant relief for the same
    claim under the State’s Constitution, see Racing Ass’n of Cent. Iowa v. Fitzgerald, 
    675 N.W.2d 1
    , 3 (Iowa 2004). While judicial modesty often carries the day in a forum for 51 jurisdictions
    and 330 million people, Beach Commc’ns, 
    508 U.S. at 314
    , that is not always the case under
    state law in state court for one State.
    We affirm.