Sheya Mandebvu v. Eric Holder, Jr. , 755 F.3d 417 ( 2014 )


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  •                         RECOMMENDED FOR FULL-TEXT PUBLICATION
    Pursuant to Sixth Circuit I.O.P. 32.1(b)
    File Name: 14a0126p.06
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT
    _________________
    SHEYA MANDEBVU; MTANDAZO MANDEBVU; ┐
    TINOTENDA MANDEBVU; TATENDA MANDEBVU,               │
    Petitioners, │
    │        No. 11-3969
    │
    v.                                           >
    │
    │
    ERIC H. HOLDER, JR., Attorney General,              │
    Respondent. │
    ┘
    On Petition for Review of a Final Order
    of the Board of Immigration Appeals.
    Nos. A088 187 411; A088 187 412;
    A088 187 413; A099 786 848;
    Argued: October 4, 2012
    Decided and Filed: June 18, 2014
    Before: MERRITT, MOORE, and McKEAGUE, Circuit Judges.
    _________________
    COUNSEL
    ARGUED: Scott E. Bratton, MARGARET WONG & ASSOCIATES CO., LPA, Cleveland,
    Ohio, for Petitioners. Daniel I. Smulow, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE,
    Washington, D.C., for Respondent. ON BRIEF: Margaret Wong, MARGARET WONG &
    ASSOCIATES CO., LPA, Cleveland, Ohio, for Petitioners. Daniel I. Smulow, UNITED
    STATES DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE, Washington, D.C., for Respondent.
    MOORE, J., delivered the opinion of the court, in which MERRITT, J., joined.
    MERRITT, J. (pg. 21), delivered a separate concurring opinion. McKEAGUE, J. (pp. 22B27),
    delivered a separate dissenting opinion.
    1
    No. 11-3969                  Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                       Page 2
    _________________
    OPINION
    _________________
    KAREN NELSON MOORE, Circuit Judge. For more than two decades, Robert Mugabe
    has exercised power as the repressive head of state of Zimbabwe. Although he has permitted
    official national elections in recent years, Mugabe’s Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic
    Front (“ZANU-PF”) party has maintained control of the political process through violence and
    corruption, specifically targeting members of the opposition for killings, abductions, and other
    forms of abuse. Sheya and Mtandazo Mandebvu are two individuals who spoke out in criticism
    of ZANU-PF and Mugabe’s government. After traveling to the United States with their two
    children, Tinotenda and Tatenda,1 the Mandebvus eventually sought asylum and withholding of
    removal because they fear that they will be persecuted for their opposition to ZANU-PF if they
    are forced to return to Zimbabwe.
    The Board of Immigration Appeals (“BIA”) affirmed the Immigration Judge’s (“IJ”)
    denial of the Mandebvus’ applications for asylum and withholding of removal. Because the IJ’s
    decision that the asylum applications were untimely was infected by legal error, we GRANT the
    Mandebvus’ petition with respect to their asylum claims and REMAND the case to the BIA for
    reconsideration. With respect to the claims for withholding of removal, we likewise GRANT the
    Mandebvus’ petition because the record evidence compels the conclusion that it is more likely
    than not that the Mandebvus will be persecuted on the basis of their political opinion or tortured
    if forced to return to Zimbabwe.
    I. BACKGROUND
    In 1999, Sheya and Mtandazo Mandebvu married in Zimbabwe. A.R. 168 (Hr’g Tr. at
    51). They were both schoolteachers. Neither Sheya nor Mtandazo were official members of any
    political party in Zimbabwe, but both were openly critical of ZANU-PF and the Mugabe
    government. Sheya criticized the government to his students and his fellow teachers, prompting
    1
    The Mandebvus have a third child who was born in the United States and is therefore not subject to
    removal.
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 3
    several reprimands from the headmaster of his school. Id. at 172, 174–75 (Hr’g Tr. at 55, 57–
    58). He was also forced to attend several political rallies in support of ZANU-PF. Id. at 171
    (Hr’g Tr. at 54). On July 2, 1999, Sheya left Zimbabwe and entered the United States on a
    student visa. Id. at 169 (Hr’g Tr. at 52). From 1999 to 2006, he attended two universities in
    Ohio, earning a Masters in Marketing and Communication and an MBA in Entrepreneurship. Id.
    at 170 (Hr’g Tr. at 53). He has never returned to Zimbabwe. Id.
    When Sheya immigrated to the United States, Mtandazo stayed in Zimbabwe with their
    children and continued teaching. Like Sheya, she was openly critical of the government and was
    forced to attend ZANU-PF rallies. Id. at 274–76 (Hr’g Tr. at 157–59). After Mtandazo refused
    to attend one rally in August 2000, ZANU-PF Youth Brigade (“Youth Brigade”) members came
    looking for her on suspicion that she supported the Movement for Democratic Change (“MDC”)
    party, an opposition party. Id. at 286–87 (Hr’g Tr. at 169–70). Mtandazo feared that she would
    be killed because at that time newspapers were reporting that ZANU-PF members had begun
    visiting schools and rounding up teachers suspected of opposing ZANU-PF. Id. at 285 (Hr’g Tr.
    at 168). Mtandazo and her children went into hiding for several days before Mtandazo would
    return to her job. Id.; see also id. at 180–81 (Hr’g Tr. at 63–64).
    The confrontation over the political rally was not Mtandazo’s last encounter with ZANU-
    PF. A week later, the Youth Brigade erected a road block and stopped the car in which
    Mtandazo and two other teachers were passengers.           They questioned Mtandazo about her
    political activities and accused her of working for MDC. They also confiscated her cell phone
    on the suspicion that she was using it to communicate with MDC members. Id. at 183, 289
    (Hr’g Tr. at 66, 172). Although the Youth Brigade allowed Mtandazo to leave unharmed, they
    took the other two teachers to a camp, where they were beaten and forced to repeat ZANU-PF
    slogans. Id. at 184, 291 (Hr’g Tr. at 67, 174). Fearing for her life, in September 2000 Mtandazo
    took her children and joined Sheya in the United States. Id. at 185 (Hr’g Tr. at 68).
    The Mandebvus’ family members also drew the attention of ZANU-PF. All five of
    Sheya’s brothers were confronted by ZANU-PF members regarding their suspected support of
    MDC. Thomas participated in demonstrations against the government and organized community
    activities to encourage support for MDC.        Id. at 187–88 (Hr’g Tr. at 70–71).       ZANU-PF
    No. 11-3969            Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                               Page 4
    members beat him and confiscated his truck because they believed he was “being used by white
    farmers.” Id. at 188–89, 321 (Hr’g Tr. at 71–72, 204). Efraim also recruited for MDC. ZANU-
    PF members threatened to kill him and took him to a “reeducation” camp, where he was beaten
    and treated “in a degrading way.” Id. at 197 (Hr’g Tr. at 80). Enywear organized rallies and
    recruited members for MDC. Youth Brigade members beat him and forced him to recite ZANU-
    PF slogans. Id. at 209 (Hr’g Tr. at 92). Kennedy also organized rallies for MDC. ZANU-PF
    members warned him to stop supporting MDC, but it is not clear whether they physically harmed
    him. Id. at 211, 326 (Hr’g Tr. at 94, 209). Onward was monitored by government agents
    because they believed that he was using his position at the University to influence students
    against ZANU-PF. Id. at 201 (Hr’g Tr. at 84). All of Sheya’s brothers and sisters, except for
    Kennedy, have since fled the country or gone into hiding. Id. at 189, 198, 201, 206, 209 (Hr’g
    Tr. at 72, 81, 84, 89, 92).
    The Mandebvus’ parents have also been harassed by ZANU-PF members. In 2008, the
    Youth Brigade stopped a bus on which Sheya’s mother, Edith, was a passenger. They demanded
    that the passengers produce ZANU-PF membership cards, and passengers who could not do so
    were taken away to “reeducation” camps. Edith did not have a membership card. Youth Brigade
    members took her to a camp where she was beaten so severely with iron rods and sticks that she
    later died from her injuries. Id. at 202–05, 327–28 (Hr’g Tr. at 85–88, 210–11). Mtandazo heard
    that her mother was also beaten to death after she complained to ZANU-PF war veterans about
    being removed from food distribution lists. Id. at 216, 299–300 (Hr’g Tr. at 99, 182–83).
    ZANU-PF members have been monitoring the Mandebvus and encouraging their return
    since they fled to the United States. Beginning in 2000, the Youth Brigade started harassing
    Mtandazo’s mother, Edna, asking where Mtandazo was living and instructing Edna to encourage
    Mtandazo to return to Zimbabwe. Id. at 295 (Hr’g Tr. at 178). In December 2005, Sheya’s
    father, Samuel, visited Sheya to celebrate his graduation. Id. at 191–92 (Hr’g Tr. at 74–75).
    When Samuel returned to Zimbabwe in April 2006, he was detained and questioned by
    government officers, who wanted to know Sheya’s address in the United States. Id. at 192 (Hr’g
    Tr. at 75). ZANU-PF officers removed Samuel from his position as head of the village and
    confiscated his cattle. Id. at 193–95 (Hr’g Tr. at 76–78). Mtandazo’s father was similarly
    questioned regarding her whereabouts and activities when he returned to Zimbabwe from visiting
    No. 11-3969              Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                           Page 5
    her in the United States. Id. at 220, 305 (Hr’g Tr. at 103, 188). During this encounter, ZANU-
    PF members beat Mtandazo’s father. Id. at 307 (Hr’g Tr. at 190). As late as the summer of
    2009, Mtandazo’s father reported that government agents continued to search for her. Id. at 304–
    06 (Hr’g Tr. at 187–89).
    As they grew more concerned with deteriorating conditions in Zimbabwe, Sheya and
    Mtandazo became active with an arm of MDC in the United States. Id. at 212–13 (Hr’g Tr. at
    95–96). Eventually, both Sheya and Mtandazo became official members2 and began recruiting
    other new members and organizing meetings. Id. at 213 (Hr’g Tr. at 96). In 2004 or 2005,
    concluding that conditions in Zimbabwe were not improving, the Mandebvus decided that they
    would seek asylum. Id. at 220–21, 331 (Hr’g Tr. at 103–04, 214). They attempted to file for
    asylum in 2005 but, through no fault of their own, the applications were never filed. Id. at 221–
    27 (Hr’g Tr. at 104–10). They did not make another attempt to file their applications at that
    time.
    The Mandebvus were served with notices that they were subject to removal for
    overstaying their visas in August 2007. They filed applications for asylum and withholding of
    removal on September 12, 2008. At a hearing regarding their applications, both Sheya and
    Mtandazo testified about the abuses perpetrated against family members who had remained in
    Zimbabwe. Sheya explained that he feared for his own safety and for that of his family if he
    were to be forced to return to Zimbabwe after so many years:
    I fear that I would be picked up right at the airport. I fear that I would
    disappear or be imprisoned without trial. I fear that I return to a country that is
    still under Mugabe’s regime. I fear that Mugabe’s agents will come after me. I
    even fear that they might kill me.
    ...
    . . . [T]hey don’t view people that come back from America as people that
    would be for the government and so I fear that I would . . . [be] picked up and
    interrogated and . . . even be killed.
    2
    Sheya testified that he became an official member of MDC in 2005, A.R. 212 (Hr’g Tr. at 95), but his
    membership card shows that he did not join until October 2007. Id. at 244 (Hr’g Tr. at 127). He also had difficulty
    recalling the full name of the MDC party. Id. at 178, 249 (Hr’g Tr. at 61, 132). Mtandazo explained that both she
    and Sheya had “minimal” involvement with the party as early as 2003, but did not officially join until 2007. Id. at
    311–12 (Hr’g Tr. at 194–95).
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 6
    ...
    I fear for my family. I fear for my children. I fear that [Mugabe’s people]
    might kill them.
    Id. at 230–31 (Hr’g Tr. at 113–14). Mtandazo also explained that she fears being killed if she
    returns to Zimbabwe “[s]ince they were looking for [her] this whole time.” Id. at 344 (Hr’g Tr.
    at 227).
    Both Sheya and Mtandazo referred to events surrounding the 2008 elections when
    describing their fear of returning to Zimbabwe. Robert Mugabe’s ZANU-PF political party has
    dominated the country’s government since 1987, largely through intimidation and violence.
    However, during the 2008 elections, MDC gained a parliamentary majority for the first time.
    The 2008 presidential election went to a run-off, which Mugabe won only after his challenger
    withdrew in protest against the violence perpetrated by ZANU-PF. See id. at 635 (2008 Country
    Report at 1). During the 2008 elections, ZANU-PF supporters engaged in widespread violence
    and intimidation, including abductions, torture, and killings, in an effort to discourage opponents
    from voting. It is this increase in violence directed against individuals opposed to ZANU-PF that
    convinced the Mandebvus that it was even more likely in 2008 than when they first fled
    Zimbabwe that they would face persecution from the government upon their return. Id. at 231–
    32, 345–46 (Hr’g Tr. at 114–15, 228–29).
    At the removal hearing, Dr. Wenceslous Koswoswe also testified on the Mandebvus’
    behalf. Dr. Koswoswe is a member of the MDC and has conducted research on speech and
    broadcasting restrictions in Zimbabwe.       During a 2003 research trip to Zimbabwe, Dr.
    Koswoswe obtained his MDC membership card and interviewed several MDC members in their
    headquarters. Id. at 370–71 (Hr’g Tr. at 253–54). As he left MDC headquarters, several
    government officials stopped him for questioning and searched his belongings. He was not
    physically harmed during this encounter, and his research was not confiscated or destroyed. Id.
    at 387 (Hr’g Tr. at 270).
    After the hearing, the IJ issued an oral decision. Id. at 84–109 (IJ Dec.). The IJ found the
    Mandebvus and their witnesses highly credible, although he expressed skepticism about the
    sincerity of their support for MDC. He concluded that the asylum application was time-barred
    and that country conditions had not materially changed in a manner sufficient to excuse late
    No. 11-3969          Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                   Page 7
    filing. He also concluded that it was not probable that the Mandebvus would be persecuted or
    tortured if forced to return to Zimbabwe. The Mandebvus appealed to the BIA, which issued a
    decision affirming the IJ. Id. at 3–4 (BIA Dec.). This timely appeal followed.
    On October 4, 2012, after we heard oral argument, we encouraged the parties to explore
    whether there was some means by which the Mandebvus could remain in the United States
    legally. We held the case in abeyance. By April 10, 2013, both of the Mandebvus’ daughters
    had been granted prosecutorial discretion, and they are thus no longer subject to removal. On
    January 7, 2014, the government offered a grant of prosecutorial discretion, subject to certain
    employment restrictions, to the Mandebvus.       Sheya and Mtandazo declined the offer and
    indicated that they wished this case to proceed.         Accordingly, we now adjudicate the
    Mandebvus’ petition for review.
    II. STANDARD OF REVIEW
    When “the BIA adopts and affirms the IJ’s opinion, but provides additional reasons for
    its ruling, we review the IJ’s opinion as well as the BIA’s additional reasons.” Zoarab v.
    Mukasey, 
    524 F.3d 777
    , 780 (6th Cir. 2008); see also Haider v. Holder, 
    595 F.3d 276
    , 281 (6th
    Cir. 2010). All legal determinations made by the IJ or BIA are reviewed de novo. Zoarab, 
    524 F.3d at 780
    . Factual findings are reviewed deferentially under a substantial-evidence standard:
    they are upheld if they are “supported by reasonable, substantial, and probative evidence on the
    record considered as a whole,” Ramaj v. Gonzales, 
    466 F.3d 520
    , 527 (6th Cir. 2006) (quoting
    INS v. Elias-Zacarias, 
    502 U.S. 478
    , 481 (1992)), and may be reversed only if the evidence “not
    only supports a contrary conclusion, but indeed compels it.” Yu v. Ashcroft, 
    364 F.3d 700
    , 702–
    03 (6th Cir. 2004) (quoting Ouda v. INS, 
    324 F.3d 445
    , 451 (6th Cir. 2003)). That is, we uphold
    the BIA’s determinations unless they are “manifestly contrary to law.”                    
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    (b)(4)(C).   Because the IJ found the Mandebvus credible, we accept their factual
    statements as true. Zoarab, 
    524 F.3d at 780
    .
    III. ASYLUM
    The Mandebvus argue that the BIA erred by dismissing their applications for asylum as
    untimely and failing to consider the merits of their asylum claims. An asylum applicant must
    “demonstrate[] by clear and convincing evidence that the application has been filed within 1 year
    No. 11-3969          Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                   Page 8
    after the date of the alien’s arrival in the United States.” 
    8 U.S.C. § 1158
    (a)(2)(B). If an
    applicant does not file within the one-year time limit, his application nonetheless may be
    considered if he “demonstrates to the satisfaction of the Attorney General either the existence of
    changed circumstances which materially affect the applicant’s eligibility for asylum or
    extraordinary circumstances relating to the delay in filing an application.”                   
    Id.
     at
    § 1158(a)(2)(D). The Mandebvus concede that there are no “extraordinary circumstances” to
    justify the delay in filing, but they argue that the uptick in violence during the 2008 Zimbabwean
    elections constitutes “changed circumstances” that excuse non-compliance with the one-year
    deadline.
    The immigration judge explained his finding that the Mandebvus failed to demonstrate
    changed country conditions adequate to satisfy § 1158(a)(2)(D) as follows:
    [T]he respondents argue that the 2008 elections [in Zimbabwe] constitute
    changed circumstances. Changed circumstances have to be a change in
    circumstance that materially affects the asylum eligibility of the individuals
    involved. Now the respondents’ basis for their asylum claim is a fear of
    persecution which they assert they had starting at the latest in 2004, or as early as
    2000 according to Mrs. Mandebvu. They then made an attempt to file for asylum.
    The events following the 2000 [sic] elections, while they did result in an
    incremental change in the conditions in Zimbabwe, certainly, in the judgment of
    the Court, are not a change that materially affects the eligibility of these two
    individuals for asylum. They claim, and their attorney claims, that they were
    eligible before 2008, and they claim that they are eligible after the events in 2008.
    They also claim that their election to join the MDC organization in the
    U.S. will somehow materially affect their eligibility for asylum and if they were
    eligible before, it may be another piece of evidence to help their case for asylum.
    But it certainly does not, in the judgment of the Court, materially affect their
    eligibility for asylum. Such an event would be more in the line of a change of
    government in Zimbabwe, whether respondents would suddenly be subject to
    persecution where they would not have been before or changes in their personal
    circumstances that materially affect their eligibility for asylum, and the Court just
    does not see that the incremental change was not that Zimbabwe changed from a
    nice place to an awful place in 2008; it is that Zimbabwe changed from a not very
    nice place to an even not very nicer place. It got worse incrementally. But the
    Court does not see that as a change in country conditions that materially affects
    the eligibility of these respondents for asylum.
    A.R. 100–01 (IJ Dec. at 17–18) (emphasis added). The BIA echoed the IJ’s assumption that an
    “incremental change” was insufficient to support a finding of changed country conditions:
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                    Page 9
    “While the respondent claims conditions in Zimbabwe changed with the elections of 2008, the
    Immigration Judge found only an incremental change. Before and after the 2008 elections, the
    Country Reports state that the government engaged in pervasive and systematic abuse of human
    rights.” Id. at 4 (BIA Dec. at 2) (citation omitted). Thus, the IJ and the BIA both construed the
    statute as requiring that applicants asserting an exemption from the asylum filing deadline
    because of “changed conditions” be ineligible for asylum before the asserted change.
    Federal courts ordinarily lack jurisdiction to review the BIA’s determination that an
    asylum application was not timely filed. Id. at § 1158(a)(3). However, under the REAL ID Act
    of 2005, we retain our jurisdiction to review applications that were denied for untimeliness if the
    applicant “seeks review of constitutional claims or matters of statutory construction.”
    Khozhaynova v. Holder, 
    641 F.3d 187
    , 191 (6th Cir. 2011) (quoting Shkulaku-Purballori v.
    Mukasey, 
    514 F.3d 499
    , 502 (6th Cir. 2007)). The Mandebvus argue that the IJ erred in
    interpreting the statute when he determined that an “incremental change” in conditions in
    Zimbabwe was categorically insufficient to constitute a change that would materially affect an
    applicant’s eligibility for asylum. See § 1158(a)(2)(D).
    Challenges to the denial of an asylum application as untimely are often dismissed for lack
    of jurisdiction because they ask the court to reweigh the evidence in the petitioner’s favor. See
    Khozhaynova, 
    641 F.3d at 191
     (challenging the district court’s factual determination that the
    petitioner’s responsibility to care for her son did not prevent her from filing for asylum);
    Almuhtaseb v. Gonzales, 
    453 F.3d 743
    , 748 (6th Cir. 2006). For example, in Almuhtaseb, we
    considered the asylum claim of a Palestinian woman who argued that she would be persecuted if
    she were forced to return to the West Bank, where violence had escalated in the period of time
    before she filed her application.      In determining that we lacked jurisdiction to entertain
    Almuhtaseb’s appeal, we reasoned that “an assessment of Almuhtaseb’s argument regarding
    changed circumstances would require us to consider evidence regarding the nature of the
    violence in the West Bank to determine whether, as a matter of fact, Palestinians had become
    targets of violence on the basis of their nationality and political views.” 
    Id. at 748
    .
    Unlike the claim presented in Almuhtaseb’s petition, the Mandebvus’ appeal does not
    require this court to revisit the evidence submitted in support of their claim. We accept (1) the
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 10
    IJ’s factual conclusion that there was only an “incremental change” in conditions that “changed
    [Zimbabwe] from a not very nice place to an even not very nicer place” and (2) his
    characterization that the Mandebvus argued they were eligible for asylum both before and after
    the events of 2008. A.R. 100–01 (IJ Dec. at 17–18). We may do so because, even if we accept
    all of the IJ’s factual conclusions regarding country conditions as true, we may still determine
    that the IJ erred as a legal matter. The Mandebvus’ appeal asks us to determine as a matter of
    law whether the IJ improperly required that they prove something not required by the statute.
    Therefore, the Mandebvus’ challenge relates to the construction of the relevant statutory
    language, and we have jurisdiction to review it.
    Turning to the merits of the Mandebvus’ claim, we conclude that the IJ’s construction of
    the statute was impermissibly narrow. The IJ concluded that an “incremental change” from poor
    country conditions to worse country conditions was insufficient to constitute “changed
    circumstances which materially affect the applicant’s eligibility for asylum,” § 1158(a)(2)(D),
    because it did not tip the scale such that “respondents would suddenly be subject to persecution
    where they would not have been before.” A.R. 101 (IJ Dec. at 18). That is, the IJ interpreted the
    statutory language to require that an asylum applicant, in order to excuse a delay in filing beyond
    the one-year deadline, demonstrate that he would not have been eligible for asylum had he
    applied before the change in country conditions. The Mandebvus argue that they are eligible for
    the changed-circumstances filing extension even if they would have been eligible for asylum
    before the events that changed their circumstances.
    As “[i]n all cases of statutory construction, the starting point is the language employed by
    Congress. Where the statute’s language is plain, the sole function of the courts is to enforce it
    according to its terms.” Tran v. Gonzales, 
    447 F.3d 937
    , 940 (6th Cir. 2006) (quoting Vergos v.
    Gregg’s Enters., Inc., 
    159 F.3d 989
    , 990 (6th Cir. 1998)). There is nothing in the plain language
    of the statute that requires an applicant to show that he was ineligible for asylum when he arrived
    in the United States before he can take advantage of “changed circumstances” to extend the
    deadline for filing an application.    The changed circumstances must “materially affect the
    applicant’s eligibility for asylum,” but it is not evident that a changed condition that strengthens
    an applicant’s already existing claim for asylum categorically fails to have such a material effect.
    In reaching our conclusion, we find persuasive a series of cases from the Ninth Circuit rejecting
    No. 11-3969          Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 11
    the IJ’s interpretation of the statute as unduly narrow. See Singh v. Holder, 
    656 F.3d 1047
     (9th
    Cir. 2011); Vahora v. Holder, 
    641 F.3d 1038
     (9th Cir. 2011); Fakhry v. Mukasey, 
    524 F.3d 1057
    (9th Cir. 2008).
    In Fakhry, a Senegalese man who had joined a democratic resistance group before fleeing
    to the United States applied for asylum. He did not apply within one year of arriving in the
    United States, even though he was afraid to return to Senegal from the moment he entered this
    country, and he always intended to seek asylum. Fakhry, 
    524 F.3d at 1060
    . Fakhry eventually
    applied for asylum after the U.S. government began removal proceedings against him, arguing
    that his opposition group was still being persecuted by the Senegalese government and that
    conditions had worsened.        The IJ concluded that Fakhry could not assert “changed
    circumstances” to excuse his delay in filing for asylum because there was never a drastic change
    that altered Fakhry’s “constant interest in remaining in the United States.” 
    Id. at 1061
    . On
    appeal, the court concluded “that there is no support in the statute, case law, or purposes of the
    statute for the IJ’s holding that Fakhry did not qualify for the changed circumstances exception
    solely because his subjective intent to apply for asylum—and subjective fear—existed before the
    expiration of the one-year asylum application period.” 
    Id. at 1064
    . The court reasoned that the
    standard applied by the IJ was contrary to the statute because it would contradict the purpose of
    the changed-circumstances exception “to excuse late applications when an alien previously had a
    weak or nonexistent case for asylum.” 
    Id. at 1063
    .
    In Vahora, the court elaborated on its conclusion in Fakhry, explaining that a rule
    requiring asylum applicants to show that they did not fear persecution before the purported
    changed circumstances would be at odds with Congress’s intent in enacting the changed-
    circumstances exception:
    Our law does not require that ‘changed circumstances’ constitute an
    entirely new conflict in an asylum applicant’s country of origin, nor does it
    preclude an individual who has always feared persecution from seeking asylum
    because the risk of that persecution increases. . . . An applicant is not required to
    file for asylum when his claim appears to him to be weak; rather he may wait until
    circumstances change and the new facts make it substantially more likely that his
    claim will entitle him to relief. In such cases, we may recognize changed
    circumstances.
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                Page 12
    Vahora, 
    641 F.3d at 1044
     (internal citations omitted). The court relied heavily on statements
    made by members of Congress during debate, which demonstrate that the purpose of the
    changed-circumstances exception is broad and encompasses most situations that would provide
    “good cause” for failing to apply within one year of arrival. 
    Id. at 1045
    . Indeed, Senator Orrin
    Hatch, a major proponent of the one-year deadline, emphasized that the changed-circumstances
    exception would permit an applicant to apply for asylum if he “obtains more information about
    likely retribution he or she might face if the applicant returned home.” 
    Id.
     (quoting 142 Cong.
    Rec. S11839–40) (emphasis added). Notably, the applicant need not obtain information that a
    new threat of persecution exists after a change in circumstances; rather, he may claim the
    changed-circumstances exception if he obtains “more information” that strengthens his fear of
    persecution, a fear that may already have existed. See Singh, 
    656 F.3d at 1053
     (“[A] petitioner
    might still qualify for the changed circumstances exception even if the relevant circumstances do
    not create a new basis of persecution but simply provide further evidence of the type of
    persecution already suffered.”) (emphasis added).        We find the Ninth Circuit’s reasoning
    persuasive, and we adopt its construction of the changed-circumstances provision.
    The IJ and the BIA determined that the Mandebvus’ asylum applications were untimely
    because they provided evidence of only “incremental change”—that is, change that strengthened
    the fear of persecution that already existed—which they deemed categorically insufficient to
    demonstrate “the existence of changed circumstances which materially affect the applicant[s’]
    eligibility for asylum.” 
    8 U.S.C. § 1158
    (a)(2)(D). In doing so, they misconstrued the statutory
    language and applied an unduly narrow legal standard. Accordingly, we grant the Mandebvus’
    petition with regard to their asylum claim and remand to the BIA to consider, utilizing the
    correct legal standard, whether the Mandebvus have demonstrated changed circumstances that
    materially affect their eligibility for asylum.    If the BIA determines on remand that the
    Mandebvus have timely filed their applications for asylum, it may then address the asylum
    claims on their merits and grant the applications for asylum if appropriate.
    IV. WITHHOLDING OF REMOVAL UNDER THE INA
    The Mandebvus also argue that, even if they did not timely apply for asylum, they are
    entitled to withholding of removal. An alien seeking withholding of removal under the INA
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                Page 13
    must demonstrate that “it is more likely than not that his ‘life or freedom would be threatened in
    that country [of removal] because of the alien’s race, religion, nationality, membership in a
    particular social group, or political opinion.’” Haider, 595 F.3d at 283 (quoting 
    8 U.S.C. § 1231
    (b)(3)(A)). Thus, the court must find both (1) that the petitioner faces abuse on account of
    a protected ground and (2) that the abuse rises to the level of persecution.
    The IJ acknowledged that the Mandebvus were “perceived as anti-government” because
    they were teachers who made statements that were critical of ZANU-PF to their students. A.R.
    102 (IJ Dec. at 19). However, he concluded that the Mandebvus could not show that they would
    be persecuted in the future on the basis of political opinion because they had not shown that they
    were high-level members of MDC who would be targeted by the government. First, the IJ found
    the Mandebvus’ claims of membership in the MDC “highly questionable” because they officially
    joined the party only after removal proceedings had been initiated against them. Id. at 105 (IJ
    Dec. at 22). Even if they were legitimately members of the MDC, the IJ reasoned that members
    of the MDC were not necessarily targeted for persecution:
    If the membership in the MDC makes a person such a magnet for abuse by
    the government, one would have expected that the doctor [who was carrying on
    research critical of the government] would have been a prime candidate when he
    was confronted by police in 2003. At least he would have been a candidate to
    have his research product confiscated and destroyed, arrested for some period of
    time. But none of those things happened, and he was not even threatened on
    account of his membership in the MDC.
    Id. at 106 (IJ Dec. at 23). The IJ ultimately concluded that, because “neither respondent in this
    case has ever held any sort of a leadership position or a high-profile role in the MDC either in
    Zimbabwe or in the United States,” the evidence was not sufficient to show that it is more likely
    than not that they would be persecuted upon their return to Zimbabwe. Id. at 107 (IJ Dec. at 24).
    The BIA accepted the IJ’s reasoning, noting that “a generalized or random possibility of
    persecution is generally insufficient to establish persecution.” Id. at 4 (BIA Dec. at 2). Thus,
    both the IJ and the BIA denied withholding of removal because they concluded that the
    Mandebvus failed to show that any abuse leveled against them in the future would be because of
    political opinion.
    No. 11-3969            Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 14
    A. Protected Ground: Political Opinion
    The Mandebvus argue that ZANU-PF targeted them for abuse because they were
    perceived as anti-government. See Haider, 595 F.3d at 284 (holding that imputed political
    opinion is a protected ground). The IJ found that the Mandebvus, because of their profession and
    their specific conduct (e.g., refusing to attend ZANU-PF rallies, criticizing the government to
    students and fellow teachers) would be “perceived as being both political and opposition political
    by those in power.” Id. at 102 (IJ Dec. at 19). Furthermore, the IJ explicitly acknowledged that
    “persons perceived as being in opposition to the government have been subjected to physical
    abuse by Z[ANU]-PF, by the police and by others in government. They have been beaten. Some
    have been killed.” Id. at 107 (IJ Dec. at 24). Yet, the IJ concluded that the Mandebvus could not
    show they would likely be persecuted because of political opinion unless they manifested that
    opinion through affirmative conduct, namely by joining and becoming leaders of MDC. By
    requiring a specific form of affirmative political conduct as proof of political opinion, the IJ
    erred.
    A petitioner claiming protected status based on political opinion does not need to show
    that he took the affirmative action of joining a political party. Rather, the petitioner needs to
    show only that he expressed political opinion, which may include affirmative or negative
    conduct:
    A political opinion can be expressed negatively as well as affirmatively.
    A refusal to support a cause—by staying home on election day, by refusing to
    take an oath of allegiance, or by refusing to step forward at an induction center—
    can express a political opinion as effectively as an affirmative statement or
    affirmative conduct.
    INS v. Elias-Zacarias, 
    502 U.S. 478
    , 486 (1992) (Stevens, J., dissenting); see also Yidong Bu v.
    Gonzales, 
    490 F.3d 424
    , 431 (6th Cir. 2007) (holding that opposition to government corruption
    may constitute political opinion). Opposition to a political party is a means of expressing
    political opinion as surely as is support of a different party, and either may be the basis of a claim
    for withholding of removal.
    To be sure, it may sometimes be difficult to determine whether a petitioner’s criticism of
    his persecutor is true political opposition or whether it is born from personal conflict. See Marku
    No. 11-3969          Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                Page 15
    v. Ashcroft, 
    380 F.3d 982
    , 987 (6th Cir. 2004). However, when there is no evident basis for
    personal conflict and the abusive conduct follows a confrontation charged with political
    meaning, the only fair inference is that the abuse was a result of political opinion. This is
    especially true when the opposition conduct is “relatively public.” Zoarab, 524 F.3d at 782
    (finding no evidence that a petitioner who called the prince of the United Arab Emirates corrupt
    was expressing opposition to the government, as opposed to confronting the prince over a
    business deal gone sour, because the petitioner did not make any public statements of political
    opposition).
    The Mandebvus have provided overwhelming evidence that individuals who expressed
    opposition to ZANU-PF were targeted for abuse. For example, Sheya’s mother was riding a bus
    that was stopped by ZANU-PF members, who demanded that she produce a membership card
    showing her support for and affiliation with the party.       When she failed to produce the
    membership card—a demonstration that she was not affiliated with ZANU-PF—she was beaten
    so badly that she later died from her injuries. The passengers who were able to produce
    membership cards were not beaten or otherwise abused. The evidence in the record reveals that
    the ZANU-PF members who singled out Sheya’s mother for physical abuse knew only one fact
    about her: that she did not support their political party. Thus, the sole conclusion that we can
    draw is that they beat and killed her because of her political opposition. As another example, all
    of Sheya’s brothers were targeted for abuse, even though not all of them publicly supported
    MDC, because they were each perceived as opposing ZANU-PF and the Mugabe government.
    It is clear from the IJ’s factual findings that the Mandebvus themselves made many
    public statements critical of ZANU-PF, even before they began to support MDC. Both Sheya
    and Mtandazo expressed criticism of ZANU-PF to students and fellow teachers. This public
    expression of political opposition was not without consequence. ZANU-PF members regularly
    forced teachers to attend party rallies and killed or injured the teachers who refused to do so.
    Indeed, Mtandazo was forced into hiding when she refused to attend a rally and was warned that
    ZANU-PF members were looking for her. There can be no doubt that the teachers who refused
    to attend ZANU-PF’s political rallies were targeted for harassment because of their political
    views. On another occasion, Mtandazo’s cell phone was confiscated because Youth Brigade
    members suspected that she was an MDC supporter and that she used the phone for MDC
    No. 11-3969            Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                               Page 16
    business. The IJ determined that it was “really not clear from the evidence” why the ZANU-PF
    members thought that Mtandazo was an organizer for the MDC, and thus the IJ appeared to
    discount the incident. A.R. 103 (IJ Dec. at 20). But it is not relevant why members of ZANU-PF
    concluded that Mtandazo had joined an opposition party; the relevant point is that they did in fact
    perceive her as opposed to ZANU-PF, and that they confiscated her property because of her
    perceived political affiliation.
    These incidents exemplify the abuses suffered by individuals who oppose ZANU-PF:
    party members target not only individuals who take affirmative action by joining MDC, but also
    individuals, such as Sheya’s mother, who take negative action by failing to support ZANU-PF.
    Therefore, the IJ erred by requiring the Mandebvus to demonstrate affirmative political action—
    specifically, conspicuous involvement in the MDC—as proof of political opinion. It is simply
    not relevant that the Mandebvus never held a high-profile role in the MDC. The proper inquiry
    is whether it is more likely than not that the Mandebvus will be persecuted for their conduct in
    opposition to ZANU-PF, including their general statements critical of the government and its
    policies, their failure to join ZANU-PF, and their involvement with MDC in the United States.
    In addition to discounting improperly the Mandebvus’ opposition conduct that did not
    take the form of formal support of MDC, the IJ ignored certain critical pieces of evidence that
    strongly indicate that the Mandebvus will be targeted by ZANU-PF. The Mandebvus presented
    credible evidence that ZANU-PF members have been searching specifically for them since they
    fled Zimbabwe.      Beginning in 2000, ZANU-PF members repeatedly contacted Mtandazo’s
    mother to ask where Mtandazo had gone and to encourage her return. When Sheya’s father
    returned to Zimbabwe after visiting the United States, several government agents interrogated
    him regarding Sheya’s address and activities. Mtandazo’s father was also questioned regarding
    her activities and whereabouts when he returned to Zimbabwe after visiting the Mandebvus in
    the United States. Only a month before the hearing in this case, Mtandazo’s father told her that
    the government was still searching for her. This evidence strongly shows that the Mandebvus
    are not subject to merely a “generalized or random possibility of persecution,” see A.R. 4 (BIA
    Dec. at 2), but rather are the specific targets of the ZANU-PF. This questioning appears to be
    part of ZANU-PF’s pattern of monitoring the activities of individuals who publicly voice
    opposition to its policies. The record evidence reveals only one reason that the Zimbabwean
    No. 11-3969            Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 17
    government would want to find the Mandebvus: their perceived political opposition to the
    ZANU-PF party, the government, and its policies. The evidence demonstrates that, not only are
    the Mandebvus likely targets for persecution in a generic sense by virtue of their past political
    opposition, but also that they are likely targets in a very specific sense.
    The immigration courts’ decisions are entitled to deference only if they are “supported by
    reasonable, substantial, and probative evidence on the record considered as a whole.” Ramaj,
    466 F.3d at 527 (emphasis added) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted). Because the
    IJ failed to consider several critical pieces of evidence and improperly required the Mandebvus
    to provide certain other evidence, his decision was not supported by substantial evidence. The
    record evidence compels us to conclude that ZANU-PF was motivated by the Mandebvus’
    opposition to the government—that is, their political opinion—to target them for abuse.
    B. Future Persecution
    Because we conclude that ZANU-PF will target the Mandebvus because of their political
    opinion, we also consider whether the abuse directed at individuals who oppose ZANU-PF rises
    to the level of persecution. The Mandebvus have conceded that they are not claiming past
    persecution, and thus they cannot rely on the presumption that they will face persecution in the
    future if returned to Zimbabwe. See 
    8 C.F.R. § 208.16
    (b)(1)(i). Therefore, the Mandebvus bear
    the burden of demonstrating that “it is more likely than not” that they will be targeted for
    persecution on the basis of a protected characteristic. 
    Id.
     at § 208.16(b)(2).
    The INA does not contain a definition of the word “persecution.” Mikhailevitch v. INS,
    
    146 F.3d 384
    , 389 (6th Cir. 1998). However, we have imbued the term with meaning in past
    cases:   “[P]ersecution requires more than a few isolated incidents of verbal harassment or
    intimidation, unaccompanied by any physical punishment, infliction of harm, or significant
    deprivation of liberty. . . . [T]he types of actions that might cross the line from harassment to
    persecution include: detention, arrest, interrogation, prosecution, imprisonment, illegal searches,
    confiscation of property, surveillance, beatings, or torture.” Stserba v. Holder, 
    646 F.3d 964
    ,
    972 (6th Cir. 2011) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted). It is evident from this list
    that physical “harm need not be life threatening to constitute persecution, . . . [and i]n some
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                  Page 18
    cases, an applicant need not prove physical harm at all.” Haider, 595 F.3d at 286 (internal
    citations omitted).
    The Mandebvus have provided ample evidence that individuals who oppose ZANU-PF
    are subjected to persecution, not merely occasional verbal reprimands. The Mandebvus have
    identified many individuals who opposed ZANU-PF and consequently suffered beatings,
    abductions, and confiscation of their property. As we discussed above, ZANU-PF members
    forcibly took teachers who opposed the party to camps for “reeducation,” which frequently
    involved beatings and killings.       The Mandebvus’ family members offer proof that such
    persecution was directed against identifiable individuals who opposed ZANU-PF:               Sheya’s
    mother was taken to a camp and beaten so severely that she later died. At least three of Sheya’s
    brothers, Thomas, Efraim, and Enywear, were also beaten for acting as community organizers
    and recruiters on behalf of MDC. Another of Sheya’s brothers, Onward, was threatened and
    placed under surveillance when the government suspected him of using his position as a
    university professor to criticize the government and influence students. Onward fled the country
    before he was subject to any physical attacks. Sheya’s father was also persecuted by ZANU-PF
    after he opposed their policies regarding food distribution: he was relieved of his duties as head
    of the village and his cattle were confiscated. And ZANU-PF members confiscated property
    from Mtandazo because they suspected her of supporting MDC.                Although not all of the
    Mandebvus’ family members were physically harmed—some were “merely” threatened, had
    their activities monitored, or had valuable property taken by ZANU-PF members—as a matter of
    law, persecution is not limited to only physical abuses or imprisonment. See Stserba, 
    646 F.3d at 972
    . Nearly every individual identified by the Mandebvus as opposed to ZANU-PF has suffered
    at least one form of persecution.
    To be sure, there is evidence that at least one supporter of MDC, Dr. Kaswoswe, was not
    persecuted. When Dr. Kaswoswe traveled to Zimbabwe in 2003 to conduct research with
    opposition leaders in the MDC, he was briefly detained by government officials for questioning,
    but he was not harmed. He was also permitted to keep his research material, which was highly
    critical of the government. But there could be any number of reasons that ZANU-PF might show
    restraint in its interactions with a highly educated doctoral candidate, in a position to expose their
    abuses to a broad global audience. That one known MDC member was not abused does not
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                               Page 19
    make it improbable that the Mandebvus would be persecuted if forced to return to Zimbabwe.
    We do not require a petitioner to show that every single person who could claim protected status
    has been and will be persecuted before we will grant relief.
    Furthermore, in the wake of the 2008 elections, it is even more likely that individuals
    opposed to ZANU-PF will be targeted for persecution. The U.S. Department of State’s Country
    Report for Zimbabwe describes worsening conditions during the elections, as ZANU-PF
    struggled to retain control of the government:       “The ruling party’s dominant control and
    manipulation of the political process through violence, intimidation, and corruption effectively
    negated the right of citizens to change their government. Unlawful killings and politically
    motivated abductions increased. State-sanctioned use of excessive force increased, and security
    forces tortured members of the opposition, student leaders, and civil society activists with
    impunity.” A.R. 635 (2008 Country Report at 1). Even if Dr. Kaswoswe’s treatment is evidence
    that it was not probable in 2003 that that the Mandebvus would have been persecuted, it is not
    persuasive evidence that the Mandebvus will not be probable targets for persecution in light of
    the increased violence surrounding the 2008 elections.
    Under these circumstances, we can “state with conviction” that ZANU-PF was motivated
    to persecute the Mandebvus because of their political opinion. Zoarab, 524 F.3d at 780 (quoting
    Marquez v. INS, 
    105 F.3d 374
    , 381 (7th Cir. 1997)). Accordingly, we grant the Mandebvus’
    petition with respect to their claims for withholding of removal. We remand to the BIA with
    instructions to grant withholding of removal if it determines that the Mandebvus are not entitled
    to asylum.
    V. WITHHOLDING OF REMOVAL UNDER THE CAT
    The Mandebvus also argue that they are eligible for withholding of removal under the
    Convention Against Torture (“CAT”). An alien qualifies for withholding of removal under the
    CAT if he demonstrates that “‘it is more likely than not that [he] would be tortured if removed to
    the proposed country of removal.’” Haider, 595 F.3d at 289 (quoting 
    8 C.F.R. § 208.16
    (c)(2)).
    Torture is an extreme form of abuse, “by which severe pain or suffering, whether physical or
    mental, is intentionally inflicted on a person . . . at the instigation of or with the consent or
    acquiescence of a public official.” 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.18
    (a)(1). During the 2008 elections, ZANU-
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 20
    PF members increased their use of torture against political opponents: “[ZANU-PF] set up
    numerous torture camps throughout the country . . . . One NGO report stated that at least
    6,300 victims of torture and assault received medical treatment during the year, nearly double the
    3,463 victims recorded in 2007. Torture and other assault methods commonly reported included
    beating victims with sticks, whips and cables; suspension; burning; electric shock; and falanga
    (beating the soles of the feet).” A.R. 638–39 (2008 Country Report at 4–5). Thus, it is quite
    possible that the Mandebvus would be subject to torture upon their return. See Mushayahama v.
    Holder, 469 F. App’x 443, 459–60 (6th Cir. 2012) (discussing the many kinds of torture
    prevalent in Zimbabwe).
    In spite of the Country Report documenting the deplorable conditions in Zimbabwe,
    neither the IJ nor the BIA discussed these conditions before summarily concluding that “the
    evidence does not show that it is more likely than not that either respondent . . . will be tortured
    for any reason if they are returned to Zimbabwe.” A.R. 108 (IJ Dec. at 25). Because the
    decision does not indicate that the BIA considered “all evidence relevant to the possibility of
    future torture,” and because it “might have adjudicated [the] claim differently” if it had done so,
    see Mostafa v. Ashcroft, 
    395 F.3d 622
    , 626 (6th Cir. 2005) (quotation marks and citations
    omitted), we remand the claim for withholding of removal under the CAT to the BIA with
    instructions to consider the CAT claim in light of the relevant country conditions.
    VI. CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we GRANT the Mandebvus’ petition and REMAND for
    further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                  Page 21
    _________________
    CONCURRENCE
    _________________
    MERRITT, Circuit Judge, concurring. I join Judge Moore’s opinion sending this case
    back to the BIA for reconsideration. In addition to the reasons she gives based on asylum, the
    most recent State Department Country Report for 2013 for Zimbabwe states that President
    Robert Mugabe was reelected on July 31, 2013, in an election that “was neither fair nor
    credible,” using “a process effectively negating the right of citizens to choose their government.”
    The 2013 Report describes the current situation in the country as follows:
    The most important human rights problems remained the government’s targeting
    for torture, abuse, arrest, and harassment members of non-ZANU-PF parties and
    civil society activists; partisan application of the rule of law by security forces and
    the judiciary; the government’s compulsory acquisition of private property and
    restrictions on civil liberties.
    A 21-page Report follows this language. It describes in detail human rights violations
    that run the gamut from widespread rape to widespread slavery. This is certainly no place for the
    United States to send this family of five, who are non-ZANU-PF with a history of political
    activism. The Report describes violations of the Convention Against Torture that this family
    could probably not escape. The BIA should reconsider its former position when it took no
    action. The 2013 Country Report would be a good place for the BIA to start its reconsideration.
    No. 11-3969          Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 22
    _________________
    DISSENT
    _________________
    DAVID W. McKEAGUE, Circuit Judge, dissenting. I respectfully dissent. Unlike the
    majority, I believe that we lack jurisdiction to review the Board’s denial of the Mandebvus’
    asylum applications. And while I do not make light of the Mandebvus’ situation, I also believe,
    given the deferential standard of review, that the Mandebvus have failed to qualify for
    withholding of removal under the INA as well as relief under the CAT.
    I.
    First the Mandebvus contest the denial of their asylum applications. Our jurisdiction to
    review untimely asylum applications like the Mandebvus’ is statutorily limited. See 
    8 U.S.C. § 1158
    (a)(3). We only have jurisdiction to review such applications “when the appeal seeks
    review of constitutional claims or matters of statutory construction, not when the question is
    discretionary or factual.” Khozhaynova v. Holder, 
    641 F.3d 187
    , 191 (6th Cir. 2011) (quoting
    Shkulaku–Purballori v. Mukasey, 
    514 F.3d 499
    , 502 (6th Cir. 2007)). The Mandebvus argued
    that “changed circumstances” in Zimbabwe excused their late filing, but the IJ and the Board
    disagreed. See 
    8 U.S.C. § 1158
    (a)(2)(D). Notably, “‘the existence of ‘changed circumstances’
    that materially affect eligibility for asylum is a predominantly factual determination, which will
    invariably turn on the facts of a given case.’” Almuhtaseb v. Gonzales, 
    453 F.3d 743
    , 748 (6th
    Cir. 2006) (quoting Ramadan v. Gonzales, 
    427 F.3d 1218
    , 1221–22 (9th Cir. 2005)).
    Applying that standard here, it is clear that the IJ’s “incremental change” determination is
    a factual finding that this court lacks jurisdiction to review. See Khozhaynova, 
    641 F.3d at 191
    .
    The IJ did not state that an incremental change in country conditions could never constitute
    changed circumstances within the meaning of the statute; the IJ simply noted that “[c]hanged
    circumstances have to be a change in circumstance that materially affects the asylum eligibility
    of the individuals involved.” A.R. at 100 (emphasis added). This is squarely in line with the
    statute, which excuses late filing when an applicant can demonstrate “changed circumstances
    which materially affect the applicant’s eligibility for asylum[.]” 
    8 U.S.C. § 1158
    (a)(2)(D)
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 23
    (emphasis added). Assessing the facts of this case, the IJ determined that the “events following
    the 2000 elections, while they did result in an incremental change in the conditions in Zimbabwe,
    certainly, in the judgment of the Court, are not a change that materially affects the eligibility of
    these two individuals for asylum.” A.R. at 100 (emphasis added). The Mandebvus’ argument is
    not one involving an issue of statutory construction—it is a direct challenge to the IJ and Board’s
    factual determinations that the changed conditions in Zimbabwe did not materially affect the
    Mandebvus’ eligibility for asylum.
    I do not agree with the majority that either the IJ or the Board assumed that an
    incremental change was categorically insufficient to support a finding of changed country
    conditions. The IJ considered the factual evidence presented by the Mandebvus, yet “d[id] not
    see that as a change in country conditions that materially affects the eligibility of these
    respondents for asylum.” A.R. at 100–01 (emphasis added). Similarly, the Board examined the
    facts presented in the Zimbabwe Country Report and also found that the Mandebvus did not
    establish “a change in circumstances . . . [that justified] the delayed filing.” A.R. at 4. The issue
    here is not whether incremental changes in a country could ever constitute changed
    circumstances, but whether conditions in Zimbabwe deteriorated to the point where they had a
    material effect on the Mandebvus’ eligibility for asylum. Both the IJ and the Board found that
    they did not. This is a contested factual determination about the nature of ongoing violence that
    we are without jurisdiction to review. See Almuhtaseb, 
    453 F.3d at 748
    . (“Because [the
    applicant’s] claim relies on contesting . . . factual determinations rather than on statutory
    construction or a constitutional claim, we are without jurisdiction to review the Board’s
    determination denying her asylum.”). I would therefore dismiss this part of their petition.
    II.
    The Mandebvus next contest the IJ and Board’s denial of withholding of removal under
    the INA. The Mandebvus bore the burden of demonstrating that it was “more likely than not”
    that they would be persecuted on the basis of their political opinions if they returned to
    Zimbabwe. See 
    8 U.S.C. § 1208.16
    (b)(2); Khozhaynova, 
    641 F.3d at
    192–93 (discussing the
    clear probability standard). We review a denial of withholding of removal for substantial
    evidence, meaning we afford deference to the IJ and Board’s decisions and must affirm unless
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 24
    any reasonable adjudicator would be “compelled to conclude to the contrary.”              
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    (b)(4)(B) (emphasis added); see also Stserba, 
    646 F.3d at
    971–72 (observing that reversal
    is only appropriate if the decision was manifestly contrary to law). Because I believe that
    substantial evidence supports the IJ and Board’s findings, I would affirm.
    At the onset, I disagree with the majority’s characterization of the IJ’s discussion of the
    Mandebvus’ political activism. The IJ acknowledged that some individuals associated with the
    opposition government had been beaten or killed, but the IJ stated that “according to both
    respondents, [the Mandebvus] were perceived as being both political and opposition political by
    those in power.” A.R. at 102 (emphasis added); see also Maj. Op. at 18 (discussing this
    statement). I would not rely on this statement as an indication that the IJ made a finding that this
    was in fact true, especially because the IJ’s observation that the Mandebvus’ membership was
    “highly questionable” as well as other reasoning in the decision indicates the opposite. I note
    that the IJ carefully considered the Mandebvus’ specific conduct and reasoned, for example, that
    it was “really not clear from the evidence” why the ZANU-PF confiscated Mrs. Mandebvu’s cell
    phone at a roadblock one week after she attended a political rally, and that it could be “because
    they knew her, because they knew she was a teacher, or simply because she was in possession of
    a cell phone.” A.R. at 103.
    While I agree with the majority that the Mandebvus presented evidence that some
    individuals who expressed opposition to the ZANU-PF were targeted for abuse, I cannot ignore
    that other individuals who expressed opposition to the ZANU-PF were not targeted for abuse.
    As the majority notes, Dr. Kaswoswe, a witness for the Mandebvus, was not persecuted upon his
    return to Zimbabwe despite the fact that he was far more politically active than the Mandebvus,
    carried an opposition party card, interviewed opposition party members, conducted dissertation
    research critical of the government, and admitted that he was a member of the opposition party.
    Dr. Kaswoswe’s safe return to Zimbabwe, particularly in light of how he demonstrated his
    political opposition to the ZANU-PF more brazenly than the Mandebvus, supports the IJ’s
    conclusion that the Mandebvus failed to show that they would “more likely than not” face
    persecution. It is not the only conclusion that can be derived from the evidence, but that alone
    does not make this conclusion unreasonable. In light of the deferential standard of review, that is
    enough to warrant affirmance.
    No. 11-3969           Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                 Page 25
    The majority seems to suggest that the IJ concluded that the evidence was insufficient
    simply because the Mandebvus did not hold leadership positions in the opposition party. While
    the IJ did “note” this fact, the IJ’s conclusion was clearly the product of a careful weighing of the
    evidence, which is made obvious by reviewing the IJ’s reasoning in full:
    If the membership in the MDC makes a person such a magnet for abuse by
    the government, one would have expected that the doctor, or then doctoral
    candidate would have been a prime candidate when he was confronted by police
    in 2003. At least he would have been a candidate to have his research product
    confiscated and destroyed, arrested for some period of time. But none of those
    things happened, and he was not even threatened on account of his membership in
    the MDC.
    Now, the supporting documents in this case do show that MDC members
    and other persons perceived as being in opposition to the government have been
    subjected to physical abuse by Zanu-PF, by the police and by others in
    government. They have been beaten. Some have been killed. The Court would
    note, however, that neither respondent in this case has ever held any sort of a
    leadership position or a high-profile role in the MDC either in Zimbabwe or in the
    United States. And, again, the Court finds their election to suddenly become a
    full-fledged, card-carrying member of the MDC only after being placed in
    proceedings, to be suspicious to the point of being almost humorous. Certainly
    either or both of the respondents could be perceived as being opposed to the
    government in power in Zimbabwe at this time and certainly the possibility exists
    that one or both of them would be arrested, detained, beaten or even killed.
    That said, in the judgment of the Court the evidence is not sufficient in this
    case to show that it is more likely than not, in other words that there is a clear
    probability, a 51 percent or better chance, that the life or freedom of either
    respondent would be threatened in Zimbabwe on account of their membership,
    either real or perceived, their membership in the MDC and as a consequence the
    perception that they are opposition, they form a part of the opposition to the
    government in power.
    A.R. at 106–07 (emphasis added). It is clear to me that while the IJ recognized that the
    possibility of persecution on the basis of membership alone existed, the IJ concluded that the
    evidence was insufficient to meet the “more likely than not” standard. I cannot say that the
    evidence compels a contrary conclusion, and so I would affirm.
    III.
    The Mandebvus lastly contest the IJ and Board’s denial of withholding of removal under
    the CAT. In order to meet their burden, the Mandebvus “must ‘establish that it is more likely
    No. 11-3969              Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                                          Page 26
    than not that [they] would be tortured if removed to the proposed country of removal.’” Dugboe
    v. Holder, 
    644 F.3d 462
    , 472 (6th Cir. 2011) (quoting 
    8 C.F.R. § 208.16
    (a)(2)). This requires the
    applicant to establish a “particularized threat of torture.” Castellano-Chacon v. INS, 
    341 F.3d 533
    , 551 (6th Cir. 2003). “Torture” means:
    [A]ny act by which severe pain or suffering, whether physical or mental, is
    intentionally inflicted on a person for such purposes as obtaining from him or her
    or a third person information or a confession, punishing him or her for an act he
    or she or a third person has committed or is suspected of having committed, or
    intimidating or coercing him or her or a third person, or for any reason based on
    discrimination of any kind, when such pain or suffering is inflicted by or at the
    instigation of or with the consent or acquiescence of a public official or other
    person acting in an official capacity.
    
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.18
    (a)(1). An act of torture “must be specifically intended to inflict severe
    physical or mental pain or suffering,” 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.18
    (a)(5), and “must be directed against a
    person in the offender's custody or physical control.” 
    Id.
     at § 1208.18(a)(6). We review the
    finding below for substantial evidence, see Bonilla-Morales v. Holder, 
    607 F.3d 1132
    , 1139–
    1140 (6th Cir. 2010), and must affirm unless any reasonable adjudicator would be “compelled to
    conclude to the contrary.” 
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    (b)(4)(B) (emphasis added).
    The Mandebvus argue that they qualify for CAT relief because “they have relatives who
    have been tortured,” “torture camps were set up in Zimbabwe,” “[t]he government engages in
    torture,” and the “police and security forces engage[] in torture.” Accordingly, the Mandebvus
    allege, they are more likely than not going to be tortured. In light of the record, I cannot say that
    the evidence is sufficiently compelling so as to overturn the finding below. The Mandebvus
    have simply not established, given the substantial evidence standard of review, that it is more
    likely than not that they will be tortured if they return to Zimbabwe.1 They have not personally
    been subject to torture in the past, and the evidence that other members of the Mandebvu family
    1
    The majority states that the Board did not discuss the conditions discussed in the Country Report before
    concluding that the evidence did not show that it was more likely than not that the Mandebvus would be tortured if
    they returned to Zimbabwe. But the Board reasoned as follows:
    Before and after the 2008 elections, the Country Reports state that the government
    engaged in pervasive and systematic abuse of human rights. We further find, as did the
    Immigration Judge, that the respondent failed to establish either a change in circumstances in
    Zimbabwe or extraordinary circumstances justifying the delayed filing.
    A.R. at 4 (emphasis added). In light of the fact that the Board expressly considered the Country Report, I
    do not agree that the Board’s decision does not indicate that it considered this evidence.
    No. 11-3969             Mandebvu et al. v. Holder                              Page 27
    have been harassed or assaulted is not sufficient to establish that the Mandebvus themselves will
    more likely than not be tortured. Further, we have recognized that even if a petitioner establishes
    that a particular group of which he or she is a member has suffered torture, that is not sufficient
    to show it is more likely than not that the petitioner would be subject to such treatment. See
    Almuhtaseb, 
    453 F.3d at 751
     (statements that Israelis have tortured Palestinians in the past, even
    if taken at face value, did not show petitioner would be subject to torture). Accordingly,
    evidence that the police or security forces sometimes engage in torture, even torture of MDC
    members and supporters, is not enough to show that the Mandebvus will more likely than not be
    subject to torture. Because I cannot say that the evidence compels a contrary conclusion, I would
    affirm.
    IV.
    Because I believe that we are without jurisdiction to review the denial of the Mandebvus’
    asylum applications, I would DISMISS that part of their petition. Further, because the
    Mandebvus failed to show that they will “more likely than not” face persecution or torture if they
    return to Zimbabwe, I would AFFIRM the decision of the BIA to deny withholding of removal
    under the INA and the CAT.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 11-3969

Citation Numbers: 755 F.3d 417

Judges: McKEAGUE, Merritt, Moore

Filed Date: 6/18/2014

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 8/31/2023

Authorities (22)

Liri Norek Marku v. John Ashcroft, Attorney General ... , 380 F.3d 982 ( 2004 )

Guennadi Y. Mikhailevitch v. Immigration and Naturalization ... , 146 F.3d 384 ( 1998 )

Sahar Ouda v. Immigration and Naturalization Service , 324 F.3d 445 ( 2003 )

Bonilla-Morales v. Holder , 607 F.3d 1132 ( 2010 )

ellen-b-vergos-united-states-trustee-for-region-8-v-greggs-enterprises , 159 F.3d 989 ( 1998 )

Quang Ly Tran v. Alberto R. Gonzales, Attorney General , 447 F.3d 937 ( 2006 )

Hoda Mostafa (03-4004) Abdolmajid Alsaf (03-4006) v. John ... , 395 F.3d 622 ( 2005 )

Rolando Augustine Castellano-Chacon v. Immigration and ... , 341 F.3d 533 ( 2003 )

Shkulaku-Purballori v. Mukasey , 514 F.3d 499 ( 2007 )

Guang Run Yu v. John Ashcroft, Attorney General of the ... , 364 F.3d 700 ( 2004 )

Zoarab v. Mukasey , 524 F.3d 777 ( 2008 )

Yidong Bu v. Alberto Gonzales, Attorney General , 490 F.3d 424 ( 2007 )

Khozhaynova v. Holder , 641 F.3d 187 ( 2011 )

Dugboe v. Holder , 644 F.3d 462 ( 2011 )

Fakhry v. Mukasey , 524 F.3d 1057 ( 2008 )

Arsenio Marquez and Victoria Marquez v. Immigration and ... , 105 F.3d 374 ( 1997 )

Neama El Sayed Ramadan Gasser Hisham El Gendy v. Alberto R. ... , 427 F.3d 1218 ( 2005 )

Jihan Hatem Almuhtaseb v. Alberto Gonzales, Attorney General , 453 F.3d 743 ( 2006 )

Singh v. Holder , 656 F.3d 1047 ( 2011 )

Stserba v. Holder , 646 F.3d 964 ( 2011 )

View All Authorities »