Mich. Republican Party v. Jocelyn Benson ( 2020 )


Menu:
  •                                RECOMMENDED FOR PUBLICATION
    Pursuant to Sixth Circuit I.O.P. 32.1(b)
    File Name: 20a0117p.06
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT
    ANTHONY DAUNT, TOM BARRETT, AARON BEAUCHINE,               ┐
    KATHY    BERDEN,    STEPHEN   DAUNT,      GERRY            │
    HILDENBRAND, GARY KOUTSOUBOS, LINDA LEE                    │
    TARVER, PATRICK MEYERS, MARIAN SHERIDAN, MARY              │
    SHINKLE, NORM SHINKLE, PAUL SHERIDAN, BRIDGET              │
    BEARD, and CLINT TARVER (19-2377); MICHIGAN                 >        Nos. 19-2377/2420
    │
    REPUBLICAN PARTY, LAURA COX, TERRI LYNN LAND,
    │
    SAVINA ALEXANDRA ZOE MUCCI, DORIAN THOMPSON,
    │
    and HANK VAUPEL (19-2420),
    │
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,         │
    │
    v.                                                  │
    │
    │
    JOCELYN BENSON, in her official capacity as Michigan       │
    Secretary of State; COUNT MI VOTE, doing business as       │
    Voters Not Politicians,                                    │
    Defendants-Appellees.       │
    ┘
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Michigan at Grand Rapids.
    Nos. 1:19-cv-00614 (19-2377); 1:19-cv-00669 (19-2420)—Janet T. Neff, District Judge.
    Argued: March 17, 2020
    Decided and Filed: April 15, 2020
    Before: MOORE, GILMAN, and READLER, Circuit Judges.
    _________________
    COUNSEL
    ARGUED: John J. Bursch, BURSCH LAW, Caledonia, Michigan, for Appellants in 19-2377.
    Gary P. Gordon, DYKEMA GOSSETT PLLC, Lansing, Michigan, for Appellants in 19-2420.
    Heather S. Meingast, OFFICE OF THE MICHIGAN ATTORNEY GENERAL, Lansing,
    Michigan, for Appellee Benson. Paul M. Smith, CAMPAIGN LEGAL CENTER, Washington,
    D.C., for Appellee Count MI Vote. ON BRIEF: John J. Bursch, BURSCH LAW, Caledonia,
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                            Page 2
    Michigan, Jason Torchinsky, HOLTZMAN VOGEL JOSEFIAK TORCHINSKY PLLC,
    Warrenton, Virginia, for Appellants in 19-2377. Gary P. Gordon, Jason T. Hanselman, Scott A.
    Hughes, DYKEMA GOSSETT PLLC, Lansing, Michigan, Charles R. Spies, Robert L. Avers,
    DICKINSON WRIGHT PLLC, Lansing, Michigan, for Appellants in 19-2420. Heather S.
    Meingast, Erik A. Grill, OFFICE OF THE MICHIGAN ATTORNEY GENERAL, Lansing,
    Michigan, for Appellee Benson. Paul M. Smith, Mark P. Gaber, CAMPAIGN LEGAL
    CENTER, Washington, D.C., Graham K. Crabtree, FRASER TREBILCOCK DAVIS &
    DUNLAP, P.C., Lansing, Michigan, Annabelle E. Harless, CAMPAIGN LEGAL CENTER,
    Chicago, Illinois, for Appellee Count MI Vote. Mark Brewer, GOODMAN ACKER, P.C.,
    Southfield, Michigan, Zachary D. Tripp, WEIL, GOTSHAL & MANGES LLP, Washington,
    D.C., Michael B. Kimberly, MCDERMOTT WILL & EMERY, Washington, D.C., for Amici
    Curiae.
    MOORE, J., delivered the opinion of the court in which GILMAN, J., joined.
    READLER, J. (pp. 32–44), delivered a separate opinion concurring in the judgment.
    _________________
    OPINION
    _________________
    KAREN NELSON MOORE, Circuit Judge. These two appeals arise from challenges
    filed by individual plaintiffs and the Michigan Republican Party to Michigan’s new Independent
    Citizens Redistricting Commission. The Commission was established by ballot initiative in the
    2018 Michigan general election. The first lawsuit was filed by Michigan citizens who allege that
    they are unconstitutionally excluded from serving on the Commission due to its eligibility
    criteria, which prohibit eight classes of individuals with certain current or past political ties from
    serving as a commissioner. The second lawsuit was filed by the Michigan Republican Party and
    individual plaintiffs, making the same allegation as the first lawsuit and raising other First
    Amendment allegations regarding the Commission’s selection process, its composition, and its
    restrictions on the commissioners’ ability to speak publicly about redistricting matters.
    The plaintiffs in both cases moved for preliminary injunctions against the implementation
    of the Commission. The district court denied these motions, and the plaintiffs have appealed.
    For the reasons stated below, we AFFIRM the judgment of the district court.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 3
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. Establishment of the Commission
    On November 6, 2018, Michigan voters voted in favor of Proposal 18-2 on the general
    election ballot. MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6. Proposal 18-2 stated the following:
    Proposal 18-2
    A proposed constitutional amendment to establish a commission of citizens with exclusive
    authority to adopt district boundaries for the Michigan Senate, Michigan House of
    Representatives and U.S. Congress, every 10 years.
    This proposed constitutional amendment would:
    •   Create a commission of 13 registered voters randomly selected by the Secretary of
    State:
    o 4 each who self-identify as affiliated with the 2 major political parties; and
    o 5 who self-identify as unaffiliated with major political parties.
    •   Prohibit partisan officeholders and candidates, their employees, certain relatives,
    and lobbyists from serving as commissioners.
    •   Establish new redistricting criteria including geographically compact and
    contiguous districts of equal population, reflecting Michigan’s diverse population
    and communities of interest. Districts shall not provide disproportionate
    advantage to political parties or candidates.
    •   Require an appropriation of funds for commission operations and commissioner
    compensation.
    Should this proposal be adopted?
    []      YES
    []      NO
    Michigan Board of State Canvassers, Official Ballot Wording approved by the Board of State
    Canvassers, August 30, 2018, Voters Not Politicians, https://www.michigan.gov/documents/sos/
    Official_Ballot_Wording_Prop_18-2_632052_7.pdf.           This constitutional amendment (the
    “Amendment”) took effect on December 22, 2018. MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                            Page 4
    B. Structure of the Commission
    Article IV, § 6 of the amended Michigan Constitution sets forth the eligibility criteria for
    membership on the newly created “independent citizens redistricting commission” (the
    “Commission”), as follows:
    (1)   An independent citizens redistricting commission for state legislative and
    congressional districts (hereinafter, the “commission”) is hereby established as a
    permanent commission in the legislative branch. The commission shall consist of
    13 commissioners. The commission shall adopt a redistricting plan for each of the
    following types of districts: state senate districts, state house of representative
    districts, and congressional districts. Each commissioner shall:
    (a) Be registered and eligible to vote in the state of Michigan;
    (b) Not currently be or in the past 6 years have been any of the following:
    (i)    A declared candidate for partisan federal, state, or local office;
    (ii)   An elected official to partisan federal, state, or local office;
    (iii) An officer or member of the governing body of a national, state, or local
    political party;
    (iv) A paid consultant or employee of a federal, state, or local elected official
    or political candidate, of a federal, state, or local political candidate’s
    campaign, or of a political action committee;
    (v)    An employee of the legislature;
    (vi) Any person who is registered as a lobbyist agent with the Michigan
    bureau of elections, or any employee of such person; or
    (vii) An unclassified state employee who is exempt from classification in state
    civil service pursuant to article XI, section 5, except for employees of
    courts of record, employees of the state institutions of higher education,
    and persons in the armed forces of the state;
    (c) Not be a parent, stepparent, child, stepchild, or spouse of any individual
    disqualified under part (1)(b) of this section; or
    (d) Not be otherwise disqualified for appointed or elected office by this
    constitution.
    (e) For five years after the date of appointment, a commissioner is ineligible to
    hold a partisan elective office at the state, county, city, village, or township
    level in Michigan.
    Id.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                             Page 5
    Section 2 of article IV sets forth the process by which the Secretary of State selects
    commissioners, as follows:
    (a) The secretary of state shall do all of the following:
    (i)    Make applications for commissioner available to the general public not
    later than January 1 of the year of the federal decennial census. The
    secretary of state shall circulate the applications in a manner that invites
    wide public participation from different regions of the state. The
    secretary of state shall also mail applications for commissioner to ten
    thousand Michigan registered voters, selected at random, by January 1 of
    the year of the federal decennial census.
    (ii)   Require applicants to provide a completed application.
    (iii) Require applicants to attest under oath that they meet the qualifications
    set forth in this section; and either that they affiliate with one of the two
    political parties with the largest representation in the legislature
    (hereinafter, “major parties”), and if so, identify the party with which
    they affiliate, or that they do not affiliate with either of the major parties.
    (b) Subject to part (2)(c) of this section, the secretary of state shall mail additional
    applications for commissioner to Michigan registered voters selected at random
    until 30 qualifying applicants that affiliate with one of the two major parties
    have submitted applications, 30 qualifying applicants that identify that they
    affiliate with the other of the two major parties have submitted applications,
    and 40 qualifying applicants that identify that they do not affiliate with either
    of the two major parties have submitted applications, each in response to the
    mailings.
    (c) The secretary of state shall accept applications for commissioner until June 1
    of the year of the federal decennial census.
    (d) By July 1 of the year of the federal decennial census, from all of the
    applications submitted, the secretary of state shall:
    (i)    Eliminate incomplete applications and applications of applicants who do
    not meet the qualifications in parts (1)(a) through (1)(d) of this section
    based solely on the information contained in the applications;
    (ii)   Randomly select 60 applicants from each pool of affiliating applicants
    and 80 applicants from the pool of non-affiliating applicants. 50% of
    each pool shall be populated from the qualifying applicants to such pool
    who returned an application mailed pursuant to part 2(a) or 2(b) of this
    section, provided, that if fewer than 30 qualifying applicants affiliated
    with a major party or fewer than 40 qualifying non-affiliating applicants
    have applied to serve on the commission in response to the random
    mailing, the balance of the pool shall be populated from the balance of
    qualifying applicants to that pool. The random selection process used by
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                     Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                       Page 6
    the secretary of state to fill the selection pools shall use accepted
    statistical weighting methods to ensure that the pools, as closely as
    possible, mirror the geographic and demographic makeup of the state;
    and
    (iii) Submit the randomly-selected applications to the majority leader and the
    minority leader of the senate, and the speaker of the house of
    representatives and the minority leader of the house of representatives.
    (e) By August 1 of the year of the federal decennial census, the majority leader of
    the senate, the minority leader of the senate, the speaker of the house of
    representatives, and the minority leader of the house of representatives may
    each strike five applicants from any pool or pools, up to a maximum of 20 total
    strikes by the four legislative leaders.
    (f) By September 1 of the year of the federal decennial census, the secretary of
    state shall randomly draw the names of four commissioners from each of the
    two pools of remaining applicants affiliating with a major party, and five
    commissioners from the pool of remaining non-affiliating applicants.
    Id. Commissioners hold office until the Commission has completed its obligations for the census
    cycle. Id. § 18. They receive compensation equal to at least 25 percent of the governor’s salary,
    and the State reimburses them for costs incurred if the legislature does not appropriate sufficient
    funds to cover these costs. Id. § 5.
    With respect to the Commission’s operations, “[a] final decision of the commission to
    adopt a redistricting plan requires a majority vote of the commission, including at least two
    commissioners who affiliate with each major party, and at least two commissioners who do not
    affiliate with either major party.” Id. § 14(c). Commissioners are required to “abide by the
    following criteria in proposing and adopting” these plans:
    (a) Districts shall be of equal population as mandated by the United States
    constitution, and shall comply with the voting rights act and other federal laws.
    (b) Districts shall be geographically contiguous. Island areas are considered to be
    contiguous by land to the county of which they are a part.
    (c) Districts shall reflect the state’s diverse population and communities of
    interest. Communities of interest may include, but shall not be limited to,
    populations that share cultural or historical characteristics or economic
    interests. Communities of interest do not include relationships with political
    parties, incumbents, or political candidates.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                        Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                                     Page 7
    (d) Districts shall not provide a disproportionate advantage to any political party.
    A disproportionate advantage to a political party shall be determined using
    accepted measures of partisan fairness.
    (e) Districts shall not favor or disfavor an incumbent elected official or a
    candidate.
    (f) Districts shall reflect consideration of county, city, and township boundaries.
    (g) Districts shall be reasonably compact.
    Id. § 13.
    The Amendment includes the following provision regulating the commissioners’ ability
    to speak publicly about their duties:
    The commission, its members, staff, attorneys, and consultants shall not discuss
    redistricting matters with members of the public outside of an open meeting of the
    commission, except that a commissioner may communicate about redistricting
    matters with members of the public to gain information relevant to the
    performance of his or her duties if such communication occurs (a) in writing or
    (b) at a previously publicly noticed forum or town hall open to the general public.
    Id. § 11.
    C. Procedural Posture
    Anthony Daunt, along with numerous other individual plaintiffs, filed a complaint and
    motion for preliminary injunction against Secretary Benson on July 30, 2019, alleging that the
    Commission’s eligibility criteria violated the First and Fourteenth Amendments. Daunt, R. 1
    (Compl. ¶ 2) (Page ID #3); Daunt, R. 4 (Mot. for Prelim. Inj.) (Page ID #53).1 These plaintiffs
    (“Daunt”) alleged that they “each desire[d] to serve on the Commission but are excluded from
    consideration” due to the eligibility criteria. Daunt, R. 1 (Compl. ¶ 39) (Page ID #17).2 The
    district court thereafter granted a motion to intervene as defendant filed by Count MI Vote d/b/a
    1
    Because we consider two appeals, and thus two sets of district-court documents, all record cites identify
    the specific case in which the given record was filed. For purposes of clarity, rather than prefacing all record cites
    by case number, we preface all record cites by the lead plaintiff’s name in the relevant case. For example, rather
    than “No. 19-2377, R. 1,” we use “Daunt, R. 1.”
    2
    The district court’s opinion sets forth in detail the various bases upon which the plaintiffs-appellants are
    excluded from serving on the Commission. Daunt v. Benson, No. 1:19-CV-614, 
    2019 WL 6271435
    , at *6–7 (W.D.
    Mich. Nov. 25, 2019).
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                           Page 8
    Voters Not Politicians (“VNP”), the ballot-proposal committee that filed Proposal 18-2. Daunt,
    R. 23 (Op. & Order at 1) (Page ID #262).
    Three weeks after the Daunt case commenced, the Michigan Republican Party (“MRP”),
    along with numerous individual plaintiffs, filed a complaint and motion for preliminary
    injunction against Secretary Benson on August 22, 2019.            MRP similarly alleged that the
    eligibility criteria of the Amendment violated the First and Fourteenth Amendments, and
    additionally alleged that the Amendment’s provision allowing applicants to self-identify as
    Republicans violated MRP’s freedom of association, that the Commission’s composition was
    viewpoint-discriminatory, and that the speech provision violated the First Amendment. MRP, R.
    1 (Compl. ¶¶ 65–129) (Page ID #15–24); MRP, R. 2 (Mot. for Prelim. Inj. at 2) (Page ID #36).
    The district court thereafter granted VNP’s motion to intervene as defendant. MRP, R. 15 (Order
    at 1) (Page ID #171).
    On September 11, 2019, the district court consolidated Daunt with MRP. Daunt, R. 30
    (Order at 2) (Page ID #334). On November 25, 2019, the district court denied both motions for a
    preliminary injunction. Daunt v. Benson, No. 1:19-CV-614, 
    2019 WL 6271435
     (W.D. Mich.
    Nov. 25, 2019).     Daunt and MRP timely filed notices of appeal pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 1292
    (a)(1). Daunt, R. 69 (Notice of Interlocutory Appeal) (Page ID #974); MRP, R. 65
    (Notice of Interlocutory Appeal) (Page ID #877).
    II. DISCUSSION
    A. Standard of Review
    In deciding whether to grant a preliminary injunction, a court weighs four factors:
    “(1) whether the movant has a strong likelihood of success on the merits; (2) whether the movant
    would suffer irreparable injury absent the injunction; (3) whether the injunction would cause
    substantial harm to others; and (4) whether the public interest would be served by the issuance of
    an injunction.” Bays v. City of Fairborn, 
    668 F.3d 814
    , 818–19 (6th Cir. 2012). “A district
    court’s decision regarding whether to grant a preliminary injunction—and its weighing of the
    four factors—is normally reviewed for an abuse of discretion.” Id. at 819. “In First Amendment
    cases, however, ‘the crucial inquiry is usually whether the plaintiff has demonstrated a likelihood
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                        Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                                     Page 9
    of success on the merits. This is so because . . . the issues of the public interest and harm to the
    respective parties largely depend on the constitutionality of the [state action].’” Id. (quoting
    Hamilton’s Bogarts, Inc. v. Michigan, 
    501 F.3d 644
    , 649 (6th Cir. 2007)). We review for abuse
    of discretion, subjecting factual findings to clear-error review and examining legal conclusions
    de novo. See Libertarian Party of Ohio v. Husted, 
    751 F.3d 403
    , 412 (6th Cir. 2014).
    B. The Eligibility Criteria
    Both Daunt and MRP challenge the constitutionality of the Amendment’s eligibility
    criteria as violative of the First and Fourteenth Amendments. Both the question of the criteria’s
    constitutionality and the analytical framework through which to answer this question are matters
    of first impression not only in this circuit but in the federal courts generally. For the reasons
    explained below, we believe that the eligibility criteria are constitutional under either the
    Anderson-Burdick test or the unconstitutional-conditions doctrine.3                     Because the plaintiffs-
    appellants’ challenge to the eligibility criteria is unlikely to succeed under either framework,
    however, “we need not choose between the two,” Citizens for Legislative Choice v. Miller,
    
    144 F.3d 916
    , 920 (6th Cir. 1998), and will instead discuss each one below.
    1. The Anderson-Burdick Test
    In Anderson v. Celebrezze, 
    460 U.S. 780
     (1983), and Burdick v. Takushi, 
    504 U.S. 428
    (1992), the Supreme Court articulated a “flexible standard,” Burdick, 
    504 U.S. at 434
    , for a court
    to evaluate “[c]onstitutional challenges to specific provisions of a State’s election laws,”
    Anderson, 
    460 U.S. at 789
    . The Anderson-Burdick test may apply to First Amendment claims as
    well as to Equal Protection claims. See Obama for Am. v. Husted, 
    697 F.3d 423
    , 430 (6th Cir.
    2012). Although most—if not all—of the cases considered by the Supreme Court and this court
    under the Anderson-Burdick test have involved laws that regulate the actual administration of
    elections, the rationales for applying the Anderson-Burdick test—ensuring that “the democratic
    processes” are “fair and honest,” Storer v. Brown, 
    415 U.S. 724
    , 730 (1974), and “maintain[ing]
    3
    The defendants-appellees also raise the possibility of the court applying the “deferential approach” that we
    discussed in Citizens for Legislative Choice v. Miller, 
    144 F.3d 916
     (6th Cir. 1998). Unlike the well-established
    analytical frameworks we discuss herein, this approach has not been further developed by this court, so we do not
    consider it here.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 10
    the integrity of the democratic system,” Burdick, 
    504 U.S. at
    441—resonate here, too. At
    bottom, the Anderson-Burdick framework is used for evaluating “state election law[s],” Burdick,
    
    504 U.S. at 434
    , and a law restricting membership of the body that draws electoral lines could
    conceivably be classified as an “election law.” The Amendment is designed to further the exact
    goals described above: It requires commissioners to “perform their duties in a manner that is
    impartial and reinforces public confidence in the integrity of the redistricting process.” MICH.
    CONST., art. IV, § 6(10). For these reasons, we proceed to apply the Anderson-Burdick balancing
    test.
    In Anderson, the Supreme Court first articulated this test as follows:
    [A court] must first consider the character and magnitude of the asserted injury to
    the rights protected by the First and Fourteenth Amendments that the plaintiff
    seeks to vindicate. It then must identify and evaluate the precise interests put
    forward by the State as justifications for the burden imposed by its rule. In
    passing judgment, the Court must not only determine the legitimacy and strength
    of each of those interests, it also must consider the extent to which those interests
    make it necessary to burden the plaintiff's rights.
    
    460 U.S. at 789
    . The level of scrutiny under this test “depends upon the extent to which a
    challenged regulation burdens First and Fourteenth Amendment rights.” Burdick, 
    504 U.S. at 434
    . In particular,
    when those rights are subjected to “severe” restrictions, the regulation must be
    “narrowly drawn to advance a state interest of compelling importance.” But when
    a state election law provision imposes only “reasonable, nondiscriminatory
    restrictions” upon the First and Fourteenth Amendment rights of voters, “the
    State’s important regulatory interests are generally sufficient to justify” the
    restrictions.
    
    Id.
     (citations omitted). “Regulations falling somewhere in between—i.e., regulations that impose
    a more-than-minimal but less-than-severe burden—require a ‘flexible’ analysis, ‘weighing the
    burden on the plaintiffs against the state’s asserted interest and chosen means of pursuing it.’”
    Ohio Democratic Party v. Husted, 
    834 F.3d 620
    , 627 (6th Cir. 2016) (quoting Green Party of
    Tennessee v. Hargett, 
    767 F.3d 533
    , 546 (6th Cir. 2014)).            As we explained in Miller,
    determining whether the burden is severe or incidental requires examining “content-neutrality
    and alternate means of access.” 
    144 F.3d at 921
    . A law would not be content-neutral, and would
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 11
    thus impose a severe burden, if it “limit[ed] political participation by an identifiable political
    group whose members share a particular viewpoint, associational preference, or economic
    status.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Anderson, 
    460 U.S. at 793
    ). And a law would impose a severe burden if it
    left “few alternate means of access to the ballot,” “restrict[ing] ‘the availability of political
    opportunity.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting Anderson, 
    460 U.S. at 793
    ).
    On the question of content-neutrality, we concluded in Miller that a lifetime-term-limit
    law did not impose a severe burden because it
    burdens no voters based on “the content of protected expression, party affiliation,
    or inherently arbitrary factors such as race, religion, or gender.” It burdens no
    voters based on their views on any of the substantive “issues of the day,” such as
    taxes or abortion. Apart from the term limits issue, voters who favor experience
    are not in any sense a recognized “group,” and we are aware of no historical bias
    against incumbent politicians or their supporters.
    
    Id. at 922
     (citations omitted). Each of these metrics for assessing content-neutrality yields the
    same result here. The Amendment’s eligibility criteria do not burden the plaintiffs-appellants
    based on their status as Republicans, cf. Elrod v. Burns, 
    427 U.S. 347
    , 355 (1976) (“In order to
    maintain their jobs, respondents were required to pledge their political allegiance to the
    Democratic Party, work for the election of other candidates of the Democratic Party, contribute a
    portion of their wages to the Party, or obtain the sponsorship of a member of the Party . . . .”), or
    “on their views on any of the substantive ‘issues of the day,’” Miller, 
    144 F.3d at 922
    , and
    neither Daunt nor MRP (with respect to its members) argues that there is a “historical bias”
    against them in their capacity as individuals with potential conflicts of interest, 
    id.
     On the
    question of alternate means of availing oneself of political opportunities, the temporal limitation
    of the law in this case belies any suggestion that the burden is severe. See Clements v. Fashing,
    
    457 U.S. 957
    , 967 (1982) (“A ‘waiting period’ is hardly a significant barrier to candidacy.”).
    Moreover, “[p]laintiffs may run for any [nonpartisan] elected office; they may vote, distribute
    campaign literature, [and] voice their political opinions . . . .” Grizzle v. Kemp, 
    634 F.3d 1314
    ,
    1324 (11th Cir. 2011). The burden is not severe.
    On the other end of Anderson-Burdick’s sliding scale, it may appear that the burden
    imposed by the eligibility criteria is not minimal because the criteria do not constitute a
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                        Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                                     Page 12
    “generally applicable, nondiscriminatory” regulation. Obama for Am., 697 F.3d at 433–34; see
    Burdick, 
    504 U.S. at 434
    . Unlike, for example, “a flat ban on all forms of write-in ballots,”
    which treats all voters equally, Burdick, 
    504 U.S. at 438
    , the Amendment targets specific classes
    of citizens based on their past political activities. And although there is no “federally protected
    interest” in holding state office, Moncier v. Haslam, 570 F. App’x 553, 559 (6th Cir. 2014)
    (collecting cases), several of the eligibility criteria clearly correspond to activities protected by
    the First Amendment. See, e.g., Elrod, 
    427 U.S. at
    370–71 (explaining that Supreme Court
    precedent explicitly regarded “political campaigning and management” as “activities . . .
    protected by the First Amendment”); Autor v. Pritzker, 
    740 F.3d 176
    , 182 (D.C. Cir. 2014)
    (“[R]egistered lobbyists are protected by the First Amendment right to petition.”). Yet the
    Supreme Court has deemed similar restrictions on political expression to be minimal. See
    Clements, 
    457 U.S. at 967
     (describing a two-year “waiting period” imposed on current
    officeholders before they could run for state legislature to be a “de minimis burden”); U.S. Civil
    Serv. Comm’n v. Nat’l Ass’n of Letter Carriers, AFL-CIO, 
    413 U.S. 548
    , 550, 556 (1973) (Hatch
    Act’s bar on federal employees “tak[ing] an active part in political management or in political
    campaigns” “did not interfere with a ‘wide range of public activities’”) (quoting United Public
    Workers v. Mitchell, 
    330 U.S. 75
    , 100 (1947)).
    Even if the eligibility criteria imposed a moderate burden on activities actually protected
    by the First Amendment, however, the Amendment would easily satisfy Anderson-Burdick’s
    middle-ground, “flexible analysis,” under which we “weigh[] the burden on the plaintiffs against
    the state’s asserted interest and chosen means of pursuing it.” Green Party of Tennessee,
    767 F.3d at 546. The burden on the plaintiffs-appellants is relatively insignificant, given (1) their
    ability to serve on the Commission after their six-year period of ineligibility expires, (2) the lack
    of any direct prohibition or regulation of pure speech, cf. McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Comm’n,
    
    514 U.S. 334
    , 345 (1995), and (3) the absence of any fundamental right to be a member of the
    Commission, see Snowden v. Hughes, 
    321 U.S. 1
    , 6–7 (1944).4 By contrast, Michigan has a
    compelling interest “in limiting the conflict of interest implicit in legislative control over
    4
    Still, one would search in vain for any indication in this opinion that we will relax judicial scrutiny in the
    area of states structuring their governments “absent the infringement of a dramatic federal interest or a significant
    violation of constitutional rights.” Concurring Op. at 37.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                         Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                                     Page 13
    redistricting.” Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona Indep. Redistricting Comm’n, 
    135 S. Ct. 2652
    , 2676 (2015) (quoting Bruce Cain, Redistricting Commissions: A Better Political Buffer?
    121 YALE L. J. 1808, 1808 (2012)) (alteration omitted). Furthermore, “[a]s a sovereign polity,
    Michigan has a fundamental interest in structuring its government.” Miller, 
    144 F.3d at 923
    .
    The challenged provisions of the Amendment directly advance both of these interests.
    Accordingly, the district court did not abuse its discretion in concluding that the plaintiffs-
    appellants are unlikely to succeed on their First and Fourteenth Amendment claims against the
    eligibility criteria under the Anderson-Burdick test.
    2. Unconstitutional Conditions
    The other potential framework through which to evaluate the plaintiffs-appellants’
    challenge to the eligibility criteria is the unconstitutional-conditions doctrine.                       Rather than
    claiming a First Amendment right to sit on the Commission,5 the plaintiffs-appellants claim First
    Amendment rights to engage in the political activities that make them ineligible for the
    governmental benefit of membership on the Commission. In Perry v. Sindermann, 
    408 U.S. 593
    (1972), the Supreme Court held that the government
    may not deny a benefit to a person on a basis that infringes his constitutionally
    protected interests—especially, his interest in freedom of speech. For if the
    government could deny a benefit to a person because of his constitutionally
    protected speech or associations, his exercise of those freedoms would in effect be
    penalized and inhibited. This would allow the government to “produce a result
    which (it) could not command directly.” Such interference with constitutional
    rights is impermissible.
    
    Id. at 597
     (quoting Speiser v. Randall, 
    357 U.S. 513
    , 526 (1958)). In other words, “[w]hat the
    First Amendment precludes the government from commanding directly, it also precludes the
    government from accomplishing indirectly.” Rutan v. Republican Party of Illinois, 
    497 U.S. 62
    ,
    77–78 (1990).
    5
    This distinguishes their case from Nevada Comm’n on Ethics v. Carrigan, 
    564 U.S. 117
     (2011), in which
    legislators unsuccessfully claimed that conflict-of-interest rules preventing them from voting on legislation violated
    their alleged First Amendment right to cast such legislative votes. Carrigan’s genealogy of conflict-of-interest rules
    is instructive, as discussed below, but its rejection of the idea that the First Amendment protects one’s ability to cast
    a legislative vote is inapposite here. Daunt’s and MRP’s First Amendment claim deals with activities outside of the
    Commission, not whether they are entitled to sit on the Commission. See Daunt Br. at 28 (acknowledging that
    “there is no constitutional right to government employment”).
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                        Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                                   Page 14
    As discussed above, supra Part II.B.1, it is clear that at least some of the activities
    restricted by the eligibility criteria are protected by the First Amendment. In light of the
    government’s interest in avoiding partisan conflicts of interests and unsavory patronage
    practices, however, the Supreme Court has repeatedly held that these types of restrictions do not
    run afoul of the First Amendment or the Equal Protection Clause. First, in United Public
    Workers of America (C.I.O.) v. Mitchell, 
    330 U.S. 75
     (1947), the Supreme Court addressed the
    constitutionality of the following sentence of the Hatch Act: “No officer or employee in the
    executive branch of the Federal Government . . . shall take any active part in political
    management or in political campaigns.” 
    Id. at 82
    . The Court upheld the provision, explaining
    that
    Congress and the President are responsible for an efficient public service. If, in
    their judgment, efficiency may be best obtained by prohibiting active participation
    by classified employees in politics as party officers or workers, we see no
    constitutional objection.
    
    Id. at 99
    . Far from a wholesale ban on political expression, the provision “le[ft] untouched full
    participation by employees in political decisions at the ballot box and forb[ade] only the partisan
    activity of federal personnel deemed offensive to efficiency.” 
    Id.
     The Court dismissed the
    suggestion that no harm could be done by federal employees engaging in these activities in their
    “free time” outside work hours. 
    Id. at 95
    . “The influence of political activity by government
    employees, if evil in its effects on the service, the employees or people dealing with them, is
    hardly less so because that activity takes place after hours.” 
    Id.
    The Supreme Court again addressed this provision of the Hatch Act in United States Civil
    Service Commission v. National Association of Letter Carriers, 
    413 U.S. 548
     (1973), and
    reaffirmed Mitchell.6 In Letter Carriers, the Court was unequivocal in approving of Congress’s
    power to cleanse the civil service of partisan conflicts of interests, stating that if Congress
    6
    On the same day that it decided Letter Carriers, the Supreme Court upheld an Oklahoma statute that
    “restrict[ed] the political activities of the State’s classified civil servants in much the same manner that the Hatch
    Act proscribe[d] partisan political activities of federal employees.” Broadrick v. Oklahoma, 
    413 U.S. 601
    , 602
    (1973). The relevant portions of the Broadrick decision, see 
    id.
     at 616–18, mirror the Letter Carriers analysis, so
    we discuss only the latter.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                      Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                                  Page 15
    forbade activities such as organizing a political party or club; actively
    participating in fund-raising activities for a partisan candidate or political party;
    becoming a partisan candidate for, or campaigning for, an elective public office;
    actively managing the campaign of a partisan candidate for public office;
    initiating or circulating a partisan nominating petition or soliciting votes for a
    partisan candidate for public office; or serving as a delegate, alternate or proxy to
    a political party convention[,]
    such actions would “unquestionably be valid.” Id. at 556. The Court explained that “the
    judgment of Congress, the Executive, and the country appears to have been that partisan political
    activities by federal employees must be limited if the Government is to operate effectively and
    fairly, elections are to play their proper part in representative government, and employees
    themselves are to be sufficiently free from improper influences.” Id. at 564.
    Finally, in Clements v. Fashing, 
    457 U.S. 957
     (1982), the Supreme Court relied on
    Mitchell and Letter Carriers to uphold two sections of the Texas Constitution, the first of which
    prohibited certain officials from holding a seat in the state legislature prior to the expiration of
    their terms of office, and the second of which required an officeholder to resign before running
    for any other elected office.           Whether under the Equal Protection Clause or the First
    Amendment, the Court held, “the burden on appellees’ First Amendment interests in candidacy
    are so insignificant that the classifications of § 19 and § 65 may be upheld consistent with
    traditional equal protection principles.” Id. at 971.7 The Court plurality’s application of rational-
    basis review under the Equal Protection Clause “dispose[d] of” the challengers’ First
    Amendment claim. Id.
    Mitchell, Letter Carriers, and Clements squarely foreclose the present challenge to the
    Amendment’s eligibility criteria. Just as the Supreme Court in these cases permitted federal and
    state governments to restrict the “partisan political activity” of federal employees, Mitchell,
    
    330 U.S. at 100
    , and state officeholders, Clements, 
    457 U.S. at 972
    , we discern no constitutional
    limitation on Michigan making the forbearance from such activity a condition of sitting on an
    7
    Even Justice Brennan’s dissenting opinion in Clements, which faulted the plurality for focusing its
    rational-basis review on whether the “class of candidates or voters that was burdened was somehow suspect” (for
    example, based on their wealth) instead of focusing on “the impact on the First Amendment rights of candidates and
    voters,” acknowledged that “some greater deference may be due the State because these restrictions affect only
    public employees.” 
    457 U.S. at
    977–78 n.2 (Brennan, J., dissenting).
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                   Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                              Page 16
    independent redistricting commission. MRP’s attempt to distinguish these cases is unpersuasive.
    It points out that the Amendment, unlike the regulations in the abovementioned cases, does not
    limit itself to “address[ing] undue influence, or its appearance, on current public employees and
    officials” due to its retroactive effect. MRP Br. at 15. But Michigan’s interest in addressing the
    appearance of undue influence—whether or not members of the Commission are “actively
    partisan,” Mitchell, 
    330 U.S. at
    98—permits it to disqualify not only active partisans but also
    those whose recent partisan involvement, or whose association with active partisans, could create
    the appearance that the Commission is staffed by political insiders.              See Letter Carriers,
    
    413 U.S. at 565
     (“[I]t is not only important that the Government and its employees in fact avoid
    practicing political justice, but it is also critical that they appear to the public to be avoiding it.”).
    Efforts to purge conflicts of interest from the democratic process “have been commonplace for
    over 200 years,” Nevada Comm’n on Ethics v. Carrigan, 
    564 U.S. 117
    , 122 (2011), and we are
    loath to disturb this longstanding practice, particularly when “public confidence in the integrity
    of the redistricting process” is at stake. MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6(10); see Rucho v. Common
    Cause, 
    139 S. Ct. 2484
    , 2507 (2019) (noting states’ interests in “restricting partisan
    considerations in districting” and citing Michigan Commission Amendment as example).
    Beyond these Supreme Court cases, decisions of our sister circuits demonstrate that even
    when laws establish eligibility criteria for elected officeholders, thus burdening not only the
    candidates themselves but voters who may have otherwise sought to elect them, see Bullock v.
    Carter, 
    405 U.S. 134
    , 143 (1972), courts have applied a less-than-exacting standard of review.
    For instance, in evaluating a statute involving eligibility criteria for elected office, the Eleventh
    Circuit in Grizzle v. Kemp, 
    634 F.3d 1314
     (11th Cir. 2011), declined to subject the statute to
    strict scrutiny. In Grizzle, the plaintiffs were disqualified from running for election to Georgia
    school boards because they had “immediate family member[s]” employed by their districts’
    school systems. 
    Id. at 1316
    . After discussing numerous cases applying rational-basis review to
    laws establishing eligibility criteria for public office, the Eleventh Circuit followed suit,
    explaining that “the State may regulate one step at a time in order to address what it deems the
    most pressing issues.” 
    Id. at 1325
    . And in Fletcher v. Marino, 
    882 F.2d 605
     (2d Cir. 1989), the
    Second Circuit applied rational-basis review to a law restricting certain political party officers
    from being elected to community school boards. 
    Id. at 613
    ; see 
    id. at 612
     (“[L]aws that
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                           Page 17
    implicate, in a limited fashion, a person’s rights to participate in politics and to serve as an
    elected official have survived review under the First Amendment and have not been subjected to
    strict scrutiny.”). The laws at issue in these cases are highly similar to the eligibility criteria at
    issue here. In fact, the most salient difference—that the laws in these cases involved elected
    positions, whereas the Amendment does not—makes the argument for applying rational-basis
    review even stronger here, given that the eligibility criteria do not burden any voter’s access to
    the ballot.   Under rational-basis review, for the reasons discussed supra Part II.B.1, the
    Amendment is constitutional.
    Furthermore, we note that the eligibility criteria do not represent some out-of-place
    addition to an unrelated state program; they are part and parcel of the definition of this
    Commission, of how it achieves independence from partisan meddling. This is critical to the
    constitutionality of a challenged program under the unconstitutional-conditions doctrine, as the
    Supreme Court’s government-funding cases make clear. The Court has explained that although
    the Spending Clause of the Federal Constitution “includes an ancillary power to ensure that those
    funds are properly applied to the prescribed use,” Rust v. Sullivan, 
    500 U.S. 173
    , 195 n.4 (1991),
    the government may not create as a funding condition “the affirmation of a belief that by its
    nature cannot be confined within the scope of the Government program.” Agency for Int’l Dev.
    v. All. for Open Soc’y Int’l, Inc., 
    570 U.S. 205
    , 221 (2013) (hereinafter “AOSI”). In AOSI, this
    meant that a Policy Requirement conditioning the grant of public-health funds on recipients
    “explicitly agree[ing] with the Government’s policy to oppose prostitution and sex trafficking”
    was unconstitutional. Id. at 213. The Supreme Court explained in AOSI that “the Policy
    Requirement goes beyond preventing recipients from using private funds in a way that would
    undermine the federal program. It requires them to pledge allegiance to the Government’s policy
    of eradicating prostitution.” Id. at 220. As in AOSI, here “[t]he line is hardly clear,” id. at 215,
    but in our view, the Amendment does not go beyond preventing would-be commissioners from
    engaging in activity that would undermine the independence of Michigan’s redistricting
    commission, nor does it require them to pledge allegiance to any governmental policy. Far from
    limiting the exercise of constitutional rights as extraneous conditions, the eligibility criteria
    themselves “define the limits” of the Commission. Id. at 214.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                    Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                        Page 18
    Also instructive in the unconstitutional-conditions context are the Supreme Court’s
    political patronage cases, which address the propriety of “the conditioning of public employment
    on political faith.” Elrod, 
    427 U.S. at 357
    ; see Branti v. Finkel, 
    445 U.S. 507
     (1980); Rutan, 
    497 U.S. 62
    . In Elrod, the Supreme Court held that the practice of patronage dismissals—firing
    public employees because they were not loyal to the incumbent party—violated the First and
    Fourteenth Amendments because these dismissals “severely restrict[ed] political belief and
    association.”      
    427 U.S. at 372
    .    In Branti, the Court followed Elrod in holding that “the
    continued employment of an assistant public defender cannot properly be conditioned upon his
    allegiance to the political party in control of the county government.” 
    445 U.S. at 519
    . And in
    Rutan, the Court held that “the rule of Elrod and Branti extends to promotion, transfer, recall,
    and hiring decisions based on party affiliation and support.” 
    497 U.S. at 79
    . Throughout these
    cases, the Court considered whether, as an exception to this general rule against patronage
    practices, “the hiring authority can demonstrate that party affiliation is an appropriate
    requirement for the effective performance of the public office involved,” Branti, 
    445 U.S. at 518
    ,
    namely for certain “high-level employees,” Rutan, 
    497 U.S. at 74
    , but never applied this
    exception.
    On the one hand, this line of cases is clearly distinguishable, given that it involved
    individuals who faced adverse employment actions because of their association with a particular
    political party.     In this case, by contrast, Daunt and others like him are barred from the
    Commission because of their associations with professional politics, regardless of which party
    they or their family member supported. Being fired from one’s job because one is a Republican
    “unquestionably inhibits protected belief and association,” Elrod, 
    427 U.S. at 359
    , in a way that
    the Amendment unquestionably does not. At first blush these cases appear to point in the
    opposite direction of Mitchell, Letter Carriers, and Clements, which upheld restrictions on who
    could hold office. Upon closer examination, however, the patronage cases actually reaffirm the
    principles articulated in Mitchell, Letter Carriers, and Clements. Indeed, the Supreme Court
    explained in Elrod that “the activities that were restrained by the legislation involved in [Mitchell
    and Letter Carriers] are characteristic of patronage practices”—that is, the same patronage
    practices that the Court in Elrod so harshly criticized. 
    427 U.S. at 367
    . In other words, barring
    governmental employees from “taking an active part in political management or political
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                           Page 19
    campaigns,” Letter Carriers, 
    413 U.S. at 554
    , served to “safeguard the core interests of
    individual belief and association” that patronage-based systems undermined. Elrod, 
    427 U.S. at 371
    . The Elrod/Branti/Rutan line of patronage cases thus supports the conclusion that the
    eligibility criteria do not impose an unconstitutional condition on the plaintiffs-appellants.
    ***
    Under either of the foregoing analytical frameworks, the Amendment’s eligibility criteria
    pass muster. The district court did not abuse its discretion in denying a preliminary injunction.
    C. MRP’s Freedom-of-Association Claim
    MRP argues that the provision of the Amendment allowing applicants to self-identify as
    being affiliated with the Republican Party violates MRP’s freedom of association. We conclude
    that MRP is unlikely to succeed on the merits of this claim because its argument overextends the
    Supreme Court’s decision in California Democratic Party v. Jones, 
    530 U.S. 567
     (2000), and
    mischaracterizes the nature of the Commission.
    In Jones, the Supreme Court invalidated California’s “blanket primary” system, in which
    all voters could vote for any candidate for nomination to public office, regardless of the
    candidate’s party affiliation. The Court reasoned:
    In no area is the political association’s right to exclude more important
    than in the process of selecting its nominee. That process often determines the
    party’s positions on the most significant public policy issues of the day, and even
    when those positions are predetermined it is the nominee who becomes the party’s
    ambassador to the general electorate in winning it over to the party’s views. . . .
    Unsurprisingly, our cases vigorously affirm the special place the First
    Amendment reserves for, and the special protection it accords, the process by
    which a political party “select[s] a standard bearer who best represents the party’s
    ideologies and preferences.”
    
    Id. at 575
     (quoting Eu v. San Francisco Cty. Democratic Cent. Comm., 
    489 U.S. 214
    , 224
    (1989)). The Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the blanket-primary system was thus
    based on the California system’s interference with a party’s ability to select its nominee in a
    representative election.   A decade later, in Washington State Grange v. Washington State
    Republican Party, 
    552 U.S. 442
     (2008), the Supreme Court explicitly cabined its Jones holding
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 20
    to prohibit only those primary systems that allow voters of any affiliation to “choose parties’
    nominees.” 
    Id. at 453
    . Unlike in Jones, the Washington primary system in Washington State
    Grange simply provided that “[t]he top two candidates from the primary election proceed to the
    general election regardless of their party preferences,” and “[w]hether parties nominate their own
    candidates outside the state-run primary is simply irrelevant.” 
    Id.
     In other words, “[t]he essence
    of nomination—the choice of a party representative—does not occur under [Washington’s
    primary system]. The law never refers to the candidates as nominees of any party, nor does it
    treat them as such.” 
    Id.
    This narrow inquiry into whether the challenged system actually involves the selection of
    a party’s nominees dooms MRP’s freedom-of-association claim. As Secretary Benson argues,
    “in relying on Jones, MRP’s claim rests almost entirely upon the premise that Commission
    members are something that the Constitution says they cannot be—party officials.” Benson Br.
    at 69. On the other hand, even if the self-designated “Republicans” on the Commission are not
    technically elected to represent the Republican Party or labeled as such upon their installment,
    the Amendment’s effort to ensure ideological diversity on a Commission that debates “inherently
    political” issues confirms that these Republican commissioners are, in some sense,
    representatives of a Republican point of view. MRP Br. at 8. We agree that, in some sense, the
    Commission’s design reflects a general commitment to representing different perspectives. VNP
    even acknowledges that the Commission’s structure “serves to ensure that the Commission’s
    decisions reflect some level of bipartisan or cross-partisan support.” VNP Br. at 39. Even if the
    commissioners are constitutionally bound to avoid drawing maps that disproportionately favor a
    political party, MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6(13)(d), it is diverse ideological representation—and
    consensus, see id. § 6(14)(c) (requiring a final decision on a redistricting plan to have the support
    of at least two commissioners who identify with each of the major parties and at least two who
    do not affiliate with either major party)—that will theoretically prevent such results.
    Yet Jones and Washington State Grange permit freedom-of-association claims in this
    context only when a narrower form of political representation is at issue. In particular, these
    cases speak of an elected “standard bearer,” Jones, 
    530 U.S. at 575
     (quoting Eu, 
    489 U.S. at 224
    ), whose representation can result in “political power in the community,” 
    id.
     (quoting
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                           Page 21
    Tashjian v. Republican Party of Conn., 
    479 U.S. 208
    , 216 (1986)). Political parties must be able
    to retain control over their nominees for elected office precisely because these nominees are
    supposed to approach their work in accordance with a particular political ideology. By contrast,
    the commissioners here are not elected, and their duties do not include translating “common
    principles” with party adherents into “concerted action.” Tashjian, 
    479 U.S. at 216
    . Standard
    bearers in Jones were supposed to fight for partisan ends; commissioners here are prohibited
    from doing so.
    Moreover, MRP conflates identification with the Republican Party and identification with
    MRP.    Applicants do not have the option of self-identifying as affiliates of the Michigan
    Republican Party; all they can do is check a box next to the statement, “I affiliate with the
    Republican Party.”       See Application for Michigan Independent Citizens Redistricting
    Commission at 3, The Office of Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, https://www.michigan.gov/d
    ocuments/sos/Michigan__Independent__Citizens_Redistricting_Commission_booklet_669598_7
    .pdf. MRP does not explain why, as a state affiliate of the Republican Party, it should have the
    right to control the affiliation of Michigan citizens with the national party. Indeed, as VNP
    points out, MRP may diverge from the Republican National Committee on an issue related to
    those before the court in this case. Whereas MRP seeks strict-scrutiny review of Michigan’s
    partisan-balanced Commission, the Republican National Committee has filed an amicus brief
    with the Supreme Court urging it to apply a “comparatively lenient standard of review” when
    considering the constitutionality of Delaware’s political-balance requirement for state judicial
    service, Amicus Curiae Brief of the Republican National Committee in Support of Petitioner at 5,
    No. 19-309, Carney v. Adams, 
    140 S. Ct. 602
     (2019).                 Particularly in light of apparent
    differences between the MRP and the Republican Party generally, it is unclear why the former
    would have the right to say who cannot affiliate with the latter.
    Furthermore, MRP’s argument that commissioners will be standard bearers because they
    must weigh political matters in “public meetings, available for all to see,” MRP Br. at 8, is
    directly foreclosed by Washington State Grange. In that case, the Supreme Court considered the
    Washington Republican Party’s argument that “even if the [state’s] primary does not actually
    choose parties’ nominees, it nevertheless burdens their associational rights because voters will
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                           Page 22
    assume that candidates on the general election ballot are the nominees of their preferred parties.”
    
    552 U.S. at 454
    . The Court characterized this as a concern that “voters will be confused by
    candidates’ party-preference designations.” 
    Id.
     Such concern, the Court explained, was “sheer
    speculation”:
    It “depends upon the belief that voters can be ‘misled’ by party labels. But ‘[o]ur
    cases reflect a greater faith in the ability of individual voters to inform themselves
    about campaign issues.’” There is simply no basis to presume that a well-
    informed electorate will interpret a candidate’s party-preference designation to
    mean that the candidate is the party’s chosen nominee or representative or that the
    party associates with or approves of the candidate. This strikes us as especially
    true here, given that it was the voters of Washington themselves, rather than their
    elected representatives, who enacted [the challenged law].
    
    Id.
     at 454–55 (citations omitted). In similar fashion, it was the voters of Michigan themselves,
    rather than their elected representatives, who enacted the Amendment. Even a commissioner’s
    public identification as a Republican would not create a presumption that Michigan’s “well-
    informed electorate” will believe that this commissioner is a delegate of the Michigan
    Republican Party. This concern over confusion is even less significant here than in Washington
    State Grange, because here the relevant individual’s self-identification with a political party
    exists outside the context of a representative election—there is no risk that a voter will
    accidentally vote for an individual who has fraudulently identified themselves as an affiliate of
    the Republican Party.
    MRP further argues that “randomly selecting commissioners from th[e] pool cannot cure
    the harm” of initially allowing applicants to “self-designate as affiliates of MRP.” MRP Br. at
    11. This statement ignores the full scope of the Amendment. To assert that “the damage is
    done” after the initial self-affiliation stage, MRP Br. at 11, overlooks the party’s ability—through
    its affiliated legislators—to strike up to ten applicants from the randomly selected pool of 200
    applicants. MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6(2)(d)(ii), (e). MRP contends that it “will have no reliable
    means to determine an applicant’s true political affiliation,” MRP Br. at 11, but the
    commissioner application includes a section in which the applicant is asked to respond to the
    following two prompts: “Why do you want to serve on the Michigan Independent Citizens
    Redistricting Commission?” and “Describe why or how you affiliate with either the Democratic
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                    Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                        Page 23
    Party, the Republican Party, or why you don’t affiliate with either.” Appl. at 5. If a Republican
    legislator finds an applicant’s response to be objectionable or unsatisfying, or if the legislator is
    suspicious of an applicant’s failure to fill out this section at all, the legislator may strike this
    applicant. See Brennan Center Br. at 24 (“These peremptory strikes ensure that legislative
    leaders can eliminate potential Commissioners whose presence on the Commission they would
    find particularly objectionable . . . .”).
    In sum, MRP fails to demonstrate that it has a First Amendment right to control the self-
    affiliation of commissioner-applicants with the Republican Party. Accordingly, the district court
    did not abuse its discretion in concluding that MRP is unlikely to succeed on its freedom-of-
    association claim.
    D. MRP’s Freedom-of-Speech Claim
    MRP argues that “[t]he Amendment imposes a content-based regulation that prohibits
    speech regarding an entire topic, one involving core political speech that is at the heart of First
    Amendment protection.” MRP Br. at 27. As recounted above, the Amendment states that
    commissioners
    shall not discuss redistricting matters with members of the public outside of an
    open meeting of the commission, except that a commissioner may communicate
    about redistricting matters with members of the public to gain information
    relevant to the performance of his or her duties if such communication occurs (a)
    in writing or (b) at a previously publicly noticed forum or town hall open to the
    general public.
    MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6(11). In MRP’s view, the absence of any language that limits this
    restraint to speech made by commissioners in their official capacity makes this a content-based
    regulation “target[ing] a specific subject matter—redistricting,” rendering it subject to strict
    scrutiny. MRP Br. at 28. Contra Daunt, 
    2019 WL 6271435
    , at *21 (“The restriction at issue
    applies only to official speech made by commissioners in their official capacity.”). Secretary
    Benson responds that MRP lacks standing to bring this claim, and that the Amendment either
    restricts only the official speech of commissioners or it permissibly limits their private speech on
    a matter of public concern under Garcetti v. Ceballos, 
    547 U.S. 410
     (2006). See Benson Br. at
    82–86. To these arguments VNP adds that the court should construe the Amendment to avoid
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 24
    constitutional difficulty if possible, and that the speech provision can be upheld as a “time, place,
    and manner” restriction. VNP Br. at 47. We first address whether MRP has standing to bring
    this claim, and then turn to the merits.
    1. Associational Standing
    Article III requires that a plaintiff have “(1) suffered an injury in fact, (2) that is fairly
    traceable to the challenged conduct of the defendant, and (3) that is likely to be redressed by a
    favorable judicial decision.” Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 
    136 S. Ct. 1540
    , 1547 (2016), as revised
    (May 24, 2016) (citing Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 560–61 (1992)). An injury, for
    standing purposes, means the “invasion of a legally protected interest which is (a) concrete and
    particularized, and (b) ‘actual or imminent.’” Lujan, 
    504 U.S. at 560
     (citations omitted). An
    association has the right to sue in lieu of its individual members when: “(a) its members would
    otherwise have standing to sue in their own right; (b) the interests it seeks to protect are germane
    to the organization’s purpose; and (c) neither the claim asserted nor the relief requested requires
    the participation of individual members in the lawsuit.” Hunt v. Wash. State Apple Advert.
    Comm’n, 
    432 U.S. 333
    , 343 (1977).
    MRP can adequately demonstrate that its members would otherwise be able to satisfy
    Lujan’s requirements for Article III standing.       Beginning with injury-in-fact, the injury is
    “concrete and particularized”: It would harm MRP members’ “concrete, personal interest” in
    speaking about redistricting matters if selected for the Commission, Allen, 468 U.S. at 756; see
    Morrison v. Bd. of Educ. of Boyd Cty., 
    521 F.3d 602
    , 610 (6th Cir. 2008) (identifying
    “enforcement of a challenged statute” as a concrete harm). It is also imminent: Applications for
    the Commission are now available, and MRP members who might otherwise apply for the
    Commission might opt not to apply because joining the Commission will allegedly impair their
    interest in speaking about redistricting. The injury-in-fact is therefore imminent because the
    members’ “‘intention to engage in a course of conduct’ implicating the [First Amendment] and []
    the threat of enforcement of the challenged law against the [members] is ‘credible.’” Platt v. Bd.
    of Comm’rs on Grievances & Discipline of Ohio Supreme Court, 
    769 F.3d 447
    , 451–52 (6th Cir.
    2014) (quoting Babbitt v. United Farm Workers Nat’l Union, 
    442 U.S. 289
    , 298 (1979)).
    Secretary Benson and VNP do not argue that MRP has failed to prove that this injury is fairly
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 25
    traceable to Benson’s allegedly unlawful conduct and that the injury is likely to be redressed by
    the requested relief, and it is clear that MRP’s challenge satisfies both of these prongs of the
    standing analysis.
    MRP is also able to demonstrate that the interests that it seeks to protect—the free-speech
    rights of its members who might serve on the Commission—are germane to the organization’s
    purpose. As a political party, MRP has an interest in its members—including those serving on
    the Commission—speaking freely about the highly contentious subject of redistricting, a subject
    that directly affects MRP’s political power. Finally, this claim does not require the participation
    of individual MRP members. For these reasons, we conclude as a preliminary matter that MRP
    has associational standing to challenge the speech provision of the Amendment.
    2. Merits
    We agree with the district court that the speech provision is constitutional, but not for the
    reason it articulated. The district court concluded that the provision “applies only to official
    speech made by commissioners in their official capacity,” Daunt, 
    2019 WL 6271435
    , at *21, but
    did not explain how the plain text of the provision supported that reading. In support of this
    reading, VNP argues that the provision’s language allowing the commissioners to discuss
    redistricting in order “to gain information relevant to the performance of his or her duties” limits
    the scope of the entire provision to speech involving official duties. VNP Br. at 47 (quoting
    MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6(11)). But we believe the opposite to be true. The quoted language
    appears in an exception, suggesting that all discussion of redistricting matters with the public is
    prohibited other than official speech in certain designated forums.         Indeed, a flat bar on
    commissioners otherwise discussing redistricting matters with the public is precisely what
    Secretary Benson defends. Benson Br. at 86 (“With 13 members, there will be 13 individual
    views about the process, and individual statements about the redistricting without other members
    present may result in misleading or inaccurate information being presented to the public as the
    Commission’s official position.”). Secretary Benson also offers an even more speech-restrictive
    argument: In contending that MRP fails to explain how commissioners could possibly speak
    about redistricting matters “in any manner other than in their official capacity,” id. at 84, she
    assumes that any speech about redistricting by a commissioner is per se official speech, in stark
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 26
    contradiction to the teachings of Garcetti and its progeny, which emphasize that “a citizen who
    works for the government is nonetheless a citizen,” Garcetti, 
    547 U.S. at 419
    , and may speak as
    a citizen even on matters relating to her or his job, see Lane v. Franks, 
    573 U.S. 228
    , 238 (2014)
    (“Truthful testimony under oath by a public employee outside the scope of his ordinary job
    duties is speech as a citizen for First Amendment purposes. That is so even when the testimony
    relates to his public employment or concerns information learned during that employment.”).
    Neither this argument nor the district court’s narrow reading finds support in the plain text of the
    provision or in the employee-speech cases.
    In our view, the challenged provision indeed circumscribes some speech made in a
    commissioner’s capacity as a private citizen, but nevertheless survives constitutional scrutiny
    under Garcetti.   Specifically, the provision imposes speech restrictions that are tailored to
    ensuring that the Commission “operate[s] efficiently and effectively,” Garcetti, 
    547 U.S. at 419
    ,
    in two distinct ways. First, it prevents the “extract[ion] [of] gossip from commissioners.”
    Benson Br. at 87. The potential for commissioners, while speaking in their private capacities, to
    disclose “sensitive, confidential, or privileged information,” Lane, 573 U.S. at 242, relating to
    the redistricting commission supports the state’s interest in closely regulating the speech of these
    commissioners.    See Sims v. Metro. Dade County, 
    972 F.2d 1230
    , 1237 (11th Cir. 1992)
    (“[W]hen the employee serves in a sensitive capacity that requires extensive public contact, the
    employee’s private speech may pose a substantial danger to the agency’s successful
    functioning.”).    Second, the provision ensures that outsiders do not “influence the[]
    [commissioners’] votes out of public view.” Benson Br. at 87. MRP argues that the Amendment
    is not “narrowly tailored” and that Michigan law already contains a “less restrictive alternative”
    to the Amendment, MRP Br. at 30, but this cites an inapplicable standard. The question is not
    whether the speech provision survives strict scrutiny, but “whether [Michigan] had an adequate
    justification for treating the [commissioners] differently from any other member of the general
    public,” Garcetti, 
    547 U.S. at 418
    , who are free to discuss redistricting matters without
    consequence. Although the provision does burden the commissioners’ freedom to speak openly
    about redistricting, this burden is outweighed by Michigan’s more-than-adequate justifications
    for limiting speech by commissioners on redistricting matters.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                        Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                                     Page 27
    For these reasons, the district court did not abuse its discretion in concluding that MRP is
    unlikely to prevail on the merits of its freedom-of-speech claim against the speech provision of
    the Amendment.
    E. MRP’s Viewpoint-Discrimination Claim
    MRP argues that “the Amendment expressly discriminates against applicants based on
    their political viewpoint, specifically favoring those applicants who do not affiliate with either
    major political party over applicants who affiliate with either major party.” MRP Br. at 24. This
    argument falls significantly short of demonstrating a likelihood of success on the merits.
    Although Secretary Benson suggests that MRP’s argument is “ambiguous on what
    ‘viewpoint’ [MRP] seek[s] to claim as being affected by the amendment,” Benson Br. at 80, in
    our view MRP’s argument is relatively clear: The “‘do not affiliate with either major political
    party’ perspective,” MRP Br. at 25, which is guaranteed five seats, is favored over the
    Republican perspective, which is guaranteed four seats. That this “non-affiliated” perspective is
    also similarly favored over the Democratic perspective does not, by itself, foreclose the
    possibility that impermissible viewpoint discrimination is afoot.8 Indeed, on this limited point,
    the Supreme Court has acknowledged that a party may claim viewpoint discrimination even
    when it is not the only one targeted for censorship. See Rosenberger v. Rector & Visitors of
    Univ. of Va., 
    515 U.S. 819
    , 831–32 (1995) (“The dissent’s declaration that debate is not skewed
    so long as multiple voices are silenced is simply wrong; the debate is skewed in multiple
    ways.”).
    Yet in order for MRP to demonstrate that the Amendment constitutes targeting by the
    government of “particular views taken by speakers on a subject,” 
    id. at 829
    , it would need to
    demonstrate that something about allocating five seats to “not affiliated” individuals constitutes
    differential treatment of Republicans on the basis of their views. Were these five seats allocated
    to members of an identifiable third party, this showing would not be difficult, as members of this
    hypothetical third party—associated with particular views—would be numerically favored over
    8
    In this section, we refer to the “not-affiliated” perspective as shorthand for “not affiliate[d] with either of
    the two major parties,” as opposed to “not affiliated with any party.” See MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6(2)(a)(iii).
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                   Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                             Page 28
    self-identified Republicans with their associated views. MRP’s claim, by contrast, must ascend a
    significantly steeper hill, given that the non-affiliated pool of applicants will be filled by
    individuals with either a third-party affiliation or with no party at all. Still, the fact that the third
    pool is open to any “non-affiliated” applicant does not itself make MRP’s viewpoint-
    discrimination argument impossible, even with the knowledge that Democrats and Republicans
    are treated equally under the Amendment.              If the Commission had, for example, 100
    commissioners, with only two slots open for members of the two largest parties, and the
    remaining ninety-eight seats reserved for individuals who did not affiliate with either major
    party, this structure would begin to look more like one that discriminated against majoritarian
    viewpoints. Yet the Amendment provides for affiliates of the two largest parties to represent
    eight out of thirteen seats on the Commission (a majority), so discrimination against the
    Republican viewpoint as a majority viewpoint is absent. And MRP does not explain how
    discrimination against the Republican viewpoint itself has occurred absent a showing that “the
    five unaffiliated commissioners will constitute a monolithic bloc . . . .” VNP Br. at 41.
    In our view, the Supreme Court’s “secondary effects” doctrine, articulated in City of
    Renton v. Playtime Theatres, Inc., 
    475 U.S. 41
     (1986), provides a useful analogue for
    alternatively evaluating MRP’s argument.           In Renton, the Supreme Court reviewed and
    reaffirmed its prior holding that a zoning ordinance “designed to combat the undesirable
    secondary effects” of a business that purveyed sexually explicit material would not be struck
    down as an attempt to prevent the dissemination of this type of speech. 
    Id. at 49
    . The Court
    explained that the government could accord differential treatment to a content-defined subclass
    of speech because that subclass was associated with specific “secondary effects” of the speech,
    meaning that the differential treatment was “justified without reference to the content of the . . .
    speech.” 
    Id. at 48
     (quoting Va. Pharmacy Bd. v. Va. Citizens Consumer Council, Inc., 
    425 U.S. 748
    , 771 (1976)).
    That subclass of speech, in this case, would be speech associated with the two largest
    parties, and the Amendment’s regulation of it would be “justified without reference to the
    content of the . . . speech.” 
    Id.
     The language of the Amendment makes this plain. It allocates
    commissioner seats based not on identifiable political parties, but on the content-neutral majority
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                       Page 29
    or minority status of the party with which the applicant identifies. The limitation on seats for
    Democratic- and Republican-affiliating applicants is not designed to prevent the dissemination of
    these parties’ ideas, but rather to combat the undesirable “secondary effect” of excluding those
    who do not affiliate with the two major parties (or conversely, the effect of disproportionately
    including those who affiliate with the two major parties). The fact that the Amendment could
    have the effect of limiting a Republican viewpoint is not the basis upon which the differential
    treatment is justified. The Amendment is structured to distinguish between applicants based
    upon their identification with the two major parties or their non-affiliation. “These bases for
    distinction refute the proposition that the selectivity of the restriction is ‘even arguably
    “conditioned upon the sovereign’s agreement with what a speaker may intend to say.”’” R.A.V.
    v. City of St. Paul, 
    505 U.S. 377
    , 390 (1992) (quoting Metromedia, Inc. v. San Diego, 
    453 U.S. 490
    , 555 (1981) (Stevens, J., dissenting in part)).
    Another reason MRP’s viewpoint-discrimination argument is unlikely to succeed is that
    the non-affiliating “viewpoint” has no greater sway in the actual decisionmaking of the
    Commission than the Democratic or Republican viewpoint. A final decision of the Commission
    in adopting a redistricting plan requires a majority vote that includes at least two commissioners
    affiliated with each of the major parties and at least two who do not affiliate with either major
    party. MICH. CONST., art. IV, § 6(14)(c). The non-affiliating “viewpoint” is thus treated the
    same as the two other viewpoints.
    MRP promotes the selection schemes of the Idaho and Arizona redistricting
    commissions, but both schemes virtually guarantee that the resulting commissions will be
    predominantly filled with adherents of the two largest political parties. Idaho’s scheme puts full
    appointment power in the hands of the legislative leaders and state chairmen of the “two largest
    political parties,” ID. CONST., art. III, § 2(2), and Arizona’s lets the majority and minority
    legislative leaders—i.e. the heads of the two largest political parties—pick four commissioners,
    who in turn select a fifth commissioner who is not registered with a party already “represented”
    on the commission, AZ. CONST., art. IV, pt. 2, § 1(6), (8). Even Arizona’s scheme leaves the
    choice of who will serve as the non-major-party commissioner up to the four commissioners who
    are registered with the two largest parties. Id. at § 1(8). Michigan’s effort to ensure that a
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 30
    sizeable minority of the members of its redistricting commission are non-affiliated with the two
    major parties does not run afoul of the First Amendment, particularly given the Supreme Court’s
    repeated recognition of state and local governments’ interests in guaranteeing minority
    representation. See, e.g., Hechinger v. Martin, 
    411 F. Supp. 650
     (D.D.C. 1976), aff’d, 
    429 U.S. 1030
     (1977) (mem.) (affirming a three-judge district court’s conclusion that D.C. act
    guaranteeing representation of political minorities on the city council was constitutional);
    LoFrisco v. Schaffer, 
    341 F. Supp. 743
     (D. Conn.), aff’d, 
    409 U.S. 972
     (1972) (mem.) (affirming
    a three-judge district court’s conclusion that state minority representation statutes were
    constitutional).
    For these reasons, the district court did not abuse its discretion in concluding that MRP is
    unlikely to succeed on its viewpoint-discrimination argument.
    F. The Remaining Preliminary-Injunction Factors
    “[O]ur cases warn that a court must not issue a preliminary injunction where the movant
    presents no likelihood of merits success.” La.-Pac. Corp. v. James Hardie Bldg. Prod., Inc., 
    928 F.3d 514
    , 517 (6th Cir. 2019); see Hall v. Edgewood Partners Ins. Ctr., Inc., 
    878 F.3d 524
    , 527
    (6th Cir. 2017) (“As long as there is some likelihood of success on the merits, these factors are to
    be balanced, rather than tallied.”); Planned Parenthood Minn., N.D., S.D. v. Rounds, 
    530 F.3d 724
    , 752 (8th Cir. 2008) (“Whether the grant of a preliminary injunction furthers the public
    interest in such a case is largely dependent on the likelihood of success on the merits because the
    protection of constitutional rights is always in the public interest.”). Without any likelihood of
    success in demonstrating the existence of a constitutional violation, Daunt and MRP fail to
    demonstrate that they will suffer irreparable injury in the absence of a preliminary injunction. As
    for the remaining parts of the preliminary-injunction analysis, the public-interest factor
    “merge[s]” with the substantial-harm factor when the government is the defendant, Nken v.
    Holder, 
    556 U.S. 418
    , 435 (2009), and neither of these factors can be satisfied when the
    challenged provisions are constitutional.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                        Page 31
    III. CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, the district court did not abuse its discretion in denying the
    plaintiffs-appellants’ motions for a preliminary injunction.      Accordingly, we AFFIRM the
    judgment of the district court.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                         Page 32
    _______________________________________
    CONCURRING IN THE JUDGMENT
    _______________________________________
    CHAD A. READLER, Circuit Judge, concurring in the judgment.               I concur in the
    judgment, which affirms the denial of preliminary relief to Plaintiffs. In the face of somewhat
    novel claims, the majority opinion appropriately pays deference to a sovereign state’s decision as
    to self-governance. I write separately to emphasize one broad area of agreement with the
    majority opinion, and one area of pointed disagreement.
    1. Starting with a point of disagreement. While all agree the deference due Michigan
    compels today’s result, the legal framework for reaching that conclusion is not the Anderson-
    Burdick test. Anderson-Burdick is tailored to the regulation of election mechanics. Crawford v.
    Marion Cty. Election Bd., 
    553 U.S. 181
    , 190 (2008) (“In later election cases we have followed
    Anderson’s balancing approach.”); Burdick v. Takushi, 
    504 U.S. 328
    , 433 (1992) (applying
    Anderson and noting that “[e]lection laws will invariably impose some burden upon individual
    voters”); Stein v. Thomas, 672 F. App’x 565, 570 (6th Cir. 2016) (“When evaluating whether
    state election procedures violate First and Fourteenth Amendment election rights, we use
    [Anderson-Burdick].”).     Following the Supreme Court’s lead, we have thus utilized that
    framework in cases where it is alleged that a state election law burdens voting, from ballot-
    access laws, Green Party of Tenn. v. Hargett, 
    791 F.3d 684
    , 693 (6th Cir. 2015), to early-voting
    regulations, Obama for Am. v. Husted, 
    697 F.3d 423
    , 430 (6th Cir. 2012), to prohibitions on
    party-line voting. Mich. State A. Philip Randolph Inst. v. Johnson, 
    833 F.3d 656
    , 662 (6th Cir.
    2016).
    But Michigan’s redistricting initiative does not regulate the mechanics of an election. Far
    from it, in fact. It simply sets the qualifications for Michigan residents who, if they satisfy
    certain eligibility criteria and are selected by the Secretary of State, will serve as commissioners
    who, working together as a commission, will draw electoral districts for the State, districts in
    which as-yet-unknown candidates will seek legislative office in a general election, following
    party primaries. In other words, the only sense that an election comes into play is the one that
    will ensue once these many tasks are completed.          And neither the commissioners nor the
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                           Page 33
    commission, it bears noting, will have an impact or influence on how that election is
    administered. As the majority opinion thus seemingly acknowledges, it is quite a jurisprudential
    leap to view this case through Anderson-Burdick’s election-focused lens. See Majority Op. at
    10, 12 (noting that Anderson-Burdick “may apply” here because the law in question “could
    conceivably be classified as an ‘election law’”).
    Fairly understood, today’s case raises a question regarding Michigan’s chosen means of
    self-governance, not its election mechanics. Unlike the narrow set of election cases in which the
    right to vote arguably is at issue, this case, and others like it, more broadly address limitations on
    public service. See Citizens for Legislative Choice v. Miller, 
    144 F.3d 916
    , 924 (6th Cir. 1998)
    (noting the difference between “election process” cases and term-limit cases, with the later
    “implicat[ing] a different, and in some respects far more important interest: the State’s power to
    prescribe qualifications for its officeholders”). And as there is “no federally protected interest in
    seeking” public office, “Anderson and Burdick bear little weight” in resolving state law
    limitations on public service, whether they limit service in a judicial position or as a districting
    commissioner. Moncier v. Haslam, 570 F. App’x 553, 559 (6th Cir. 2014) (declining to apply
    Anderson-Burdick to a challenge to state judicial qualifications law as the framework does not
    “mandate[] that states organize their governments in a particular manner”); see also McIntyre v.
    Ohio Elections Comm’n, 
    514 U.S. 334
    , 344–45 (1995) (declining to apply Anderson-Burdick
    where “we are not faced with an ordinary election restriction”); Schmitt v. LaRose, 
    933 F.3d 628
    ,
    644 (6th Cir. 2019) (Bush, J., concurring) (noting that “this circuit has generally limited the
    application of Anderson and Burdick to . . . laws that burden candidates from appearing on the
    ballot”); Bates v. Jones, 
    131 F.3d 843
    , 859 (9th Cir. 1997) (Rymer & O’Scannlain, JJ.,
    concurring) (“I would not start by analyzing Proposition 140 under the Anderson/Burdick test,
    because terms limits are a qualification for office—not for access to the ballot.”). If Anderson-
    Burdick can be stretched this far, why would it not reach any situation that tangentially touches
    elected office? Laws, for instance, that regulate campaign finance, the conduct of legislators, or
    the terms of service of elected judges. Seemingly none would be immune from Anderson-
    Burdick’s growing reach.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 34
    The temptation to overindulge in the Anderson-Burdick test has not gone unnoticed. For
    example, although we have frequently applied Anderson-Burdick in resolving Equal Protection
    claims, we recently questioned “whether the Supreme Court ever intended Anderson-Burdick to
    apply to Equal Protection claims,” as the Supreme Court has “only applied the framework in the
    context of generally applicable laws.” Mays v. LaRose, 
    951 F.3d 775
    , 783 n.4 (6th Cir. 2020).
    One reason Anderson-Burdick is a poor vehicle in that context is that it can take “some legal
    gymnastics to quantify the ‘burden’ that the State’s disparate treatment places on” one’s “right to
    vote,” when a law treats groups differently, but does not necessarily “burden” either one. Id.; see
    Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 207
     (Scalia, Thomas, & Alito, JJ., concurring) (“Insofar as our election-
    regulation cases rest upon the requirements of the Fourteenth Amendment, weighing the burden
    of a nondiscriminatory voting law upon each voter and concomitantly requiring exceptions for
    vulnerable voters would effectively turn back decades of equal-protection jurisprudence.”)
    (internal citations omitted). Here too, the Michigan redistricting initiative has no actual impact
    (let alone burden) on voting. Rather, it is an exercise in regulating the qualifications for public
    service. In that setting, just as in the Equal Protection setting, we would be wise to forego
    Anderson-Burdick.
    My concern is more than conceptual. For Anderson-Burdick is a dangerous tool. In
    sensitive policy-oriented cases, it affords far too much discretion to judges in resolving the
    dispute before them. Anderson-Burdick relies on a sliding scale to weigh the burden a law
    imposes against the corresponding state interests in imposing the law. See Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 190
    ; Timmons v. Twin Cities Area New Party, 
    520 U.S. 351
    , 358 (1997) (“[W]e weigh . . . the
    burden the State’s rule imposes on [First and Fourteenth Amendment] rights against the interests
    the State contends justify that burden . . . .” (citing Burdick, 
    504 U.S. at 434
    )). We have thus
    described “the Anderson-Burdick test” as a quintessential “balancing test.” Ohio Council 8 Am.
    Fedn. of State v. Husted, 
    814 F.3d 329
    , 334–35 (6th Cir. 2016) (holding that “the state’s interest
    is sufficient to outweigh that minimal burden”). But the test otherwise does little to define the
    key concepts a court must balance, including when a burden becomes “severe.” See Crawford,
    
    553 U.S. at 191
     (stating that in prior cases the Supreme Court did not “identify any litmus test for
    measuring the severity of a burden that a state law imposes on a political party, an individual
    voter, or a discrete class of voters”); Buckley v. Am. Constitutional Law Found., 
    525 U.S. 182
    ,
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 35
    208 (1999) (Thomas, J., concurring) (“When an election law burdens voting and associational
    interests, our cases are much harder to predict, and I am not at all sure that a coherent distinction
    between severe and lesser burdens can be culled from them.”); Timmons, 
    520 U.S. at 359
     (noting
    that “[n]o bright line separates permissible election-related regulation from unconstitutional
    infringements on First Amendment freedoms” (citing Storer v. Brown, 
    415 U.S. 724
    , 730
    (1974))); Citizens in Charge, Inc. v. Husted, 
    810 F.3d 437
    , 443 (6th Cir. 2016) (noting that “[t]he
    distinction between ‘severe burdens’ and ‘lesser’ ones is often murky” (citing Buckley, 
    525 U.S. at 207
     (Thomas, J., concurring))). Absent stricter rules and guidelines for courts to apply,
    Anderson-Burdick leaves much to a judge’s subjective determination.
    Compare Anderson-Burdick to a more bright-line rule a court might employ in this
    setting.     Bright-line rules “have numerous advantages.” Alex Kozinski, My Pizza with Nino,
    12 CARDOZO L. REV. 1583, 1588–89 (1990). One is predictability. Id.; see also Perdue v. Kenny
    A. ex rel Winn, 
    559 U.S. 542
    , 551–52 (2010) (rejecting a 12-factor balancing test in favor of an
    “objective” calculation that “cabins the discretion of trial judges, permits meaningful judicial
    review, and produces reasonably predictable results”). Another is restraint: “they constrain
    future decisionmakers so they cannot introduce their own personal preferences into the
    decision.” Kozinski, supra, at 1589. Yet another is that “they enhance the legitimacy of
    decisions because they make it clear to the litigants that their case was decided through neutral
    application of a rule rather than on the basis of a judge’s personal preference.” Id.; see also
    Lexmark Int’l, Inc. v. Static Control Components, Inc., 
    572 U.S. 118
    , 136 (2014) (declining to
    apply a balancing test to determine if a plaintiff can sue under the Lanham Act as “experience
    has shown that . . . open-ended balancing tests . . . can yield unpredictable and at times arbitrary
    results”). With advance understanding of the legal rules to be applied, a state can govern
    accordingly. See Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 208
     (Scalia, Thomas, & Alito, JJ., concurring) (“Judicial
    review of [state legislatures’] handiwork must apply an objective, uniform standard that will
    enable them to determine, ex ante, whether the burden they impose is too severe.”).
    But advance understanding is not a virtue of Anderson-Burdick review.             See 
    id.
    (criticizing the lead opinion’s application of Anderson-Burdick because “[t]he lead opinion’s
    record-based resolution of these cases . . . provides no certainty”); see also Edward. B. Foley,
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                         Page 36
    Voting Rules and Constitutional Law, 81 GEO. WASH. L. REV. 1836, 1859 (2013). Rather, tests
    like Anderson-Burdick allow a judge “easily [to] tinker[] with levels of scrutiny to achieve [his
    or her] desired result.” Whole Woman’s Health v. Hellerstedt, 
    136 S. Ct. 2292
    , 2327 (2016)
    (Thomas, J., dissenting); see also United States v. Virginia, 
    518 U.S. 515
    , 567 (1996) (Scalia, J.,
    dissenting) (noting that varying levels of scrutiny add “a further element of randomness” in “that
    it is largely up to us which test will be applied in each case”). Anderson-Burdick’s “touchstone”
    may well be “its flexibility in weighing competing interests,” Ohio Democratic Party v. Husted,
    
    834 F.3d 620
    , 627 (6th Cir. 2016), but judicial flexibility in picking winners and losers in
    sensitive disputes rarely furthers the interests of justice. See Antonin Scalia, The Rule of Law as
    A Law of Rules, 56 U. CHI. L. REV. 1175, 1187 (1989) (noting that “balancing modes of analysis”
    should “be avoided where possible”). In the name of “flexibility,” Anderson-Burdick risks
    trading precise rules and predictable outcomes for the imprecision and unpredictability of how
    the judicial-assignment wheel turns. Cf. Edwards v. Aguillard, 
    482 U.S. 578
    , 640 (1987) (Scalia,
    J. & Rehnquist, C.J., dissenting) (arguing that the Supreme Court should “sacrifice some
    ‘flexibility’ for ‘clarity and predictability’” by “[a]bandoning Lemon’s purpose test”). Indeed,
    one commentator has described Anderson-Burdick as “such an imprecise instrument that it is
    easy for the balance to come out one way in the hands of one judge, yet come out in the exact
    opposite way in the hands of another.” Foley, supra, at 1859. And that is especially worrisome
    in the context of cases that, even in a deeply-attenuated sense, impact an election. In those
    delicate matters, we should be hesitant to embrace a test so “indeterminate” that it results in “the
    federal constitutional law that [supervises] the operation of a state’s electoral process ha[ving]
    little objectivity or predictability.”   Id.; see Hellerstedt, 
    136 S. Ct. at 2328
     (Thomas, J.,
    dissenting) (“The Court should abandon the pretense that anything other than policy preferences
    underlies its balancing of constitutional rights and interests in any given case.”). I am thus
    understandably reluctant to apply Anderson-Burdick even in resolving election disputes, let alone
    extending it to today’s non-election setting.
    A preferable means of “[j]udicial review of [a state’s] handiwork,” to my mind, would
    “apply an objective, uniform standard” for measuring an election regulation. Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 208
     (Scalia, Thomas, & Alito, JJ., concurring). For in the absence of objective limiting
    principles, we risk “the validity of a doctrine” before us being resolved on the unbecoming basis
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                            Page 37
    of “whose ox it gores.” Wells v. Simonds Abrasive Co., 
    345 U.S. 514
    , 525 (1953) (Jackson,
    Black, & Minton, JJ., dissenting). Perhaps the best means of tempering that risk is judicial
    decisionmaking that turns on the application of historical understandings and foundational
    principles, as well as one that affords appropriate deference to a state’s strong interest in self-
    governance. See Miller, 
    144 F.3d at 925
     (identifying a “workable, deferential test for evaluating
    state decisions regarding their governmental structure,” one that “grants the States the required
    deference”).
    2. In many respects, the majority opinion relies upon a framework based in history and
    long-standing principles.     Which takes me to an area of agreement and some relevant
    background. Through a series of decisions, the Supreme Court has considered what standards a
    court is to apply when considering challenges to the drawing of legislative district lines. The
    most recent of those decisions explained that many of these disputes are non-justiciable political
    questions, to be resolved by the political branches of government, not the federal courts. Rucho
    v. Common Cause, 
    139 S. Ct. 2484
    , 2506–07 (2019).               In so holding, the Supreme Court
    foreshadowed states “actively addressing [political gerrymandering] on a number of fronts,”
    identifying those who already were “restricting partisan considerations in districting . . . by
    placing power to draw electoral districts in the hands of independent commissions.” 
    Id. at 2507
    .
    Even before Rucho, Michigan had taken up that suggestion. Through a ballot initiative,
    Michigan voters vested district-line-drawing duties in a citizen commission.                   Federal
    constitutional litigation ensued. By virtue of that litigation, we are now asked to resolve whether
    Michigan drew constitutionally-appropriate lines of qualification for its district line-drawers.
    Just as there are no perfect electoral map lines, nor are there perfect lines delineating who
    should undertake that line-drawing process. See 
    id.
     at 2499–2501 (commenting on the difficulty
    of defining a “fair” way to draw legislative lines). But whether a state’s task be district-line-
    drawing or setting the rules for its elections, I (like the majority opinion) am reluctant to interfere
    with a state’s effort to structure its system of government, to which we owe significant
    deference, absent the infringement of a dramatic federal interest or a significant violation of
    constitutional rights. See Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 208
     (Scalia, Thomas, & Alito, JJ., concurring)
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                           Page 38
    (observing that “detailed judicial supervision of the election process would flout the
    Constitution’s express commitment of the task to the States. See Art. I, §4”).
    Time and again, the Supreme Court has reminded us to afford appropriate deference to
    the policy decisions of a sovereign state in structuring its government, including how it seeks to
    administer elections. See, e.g., Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 181
     (upholding an Indiana voter
    identification law); N.Y. State Bd. of Elections v. Lopez Torres, 
    552 U.S. 196
     (2008) (upholding
    New York’s convention system for selecting a party’s judicial nominees); Clingman v. Beaver,
    
    544 U.S. 581
     (2005) (upholding Oklahoma’s semi-closed primary system); Gregory v. Ashcroft,
    
    501 U.S. 452
     (1991) (upholding age limits for state judges); see also Rucho, 
    139 S. Ct. at
    2506–
    07 (holding that “partisan gerrymandering claims present political questions beyond the reach of
    the federal courts”); accord Brief of Amicus Curiae Brennan Center for Justice, at 24 (noting
    “Michigan’s fundamental interest in ensuring free and fair elections for Michigan voters”).
    Generally speaking, our Court has fairly honored those state interests. See Mays, 951 F.3d at
    787, 792 (upholding Ohio’s absentee ballot regulations in the face of a constitutional challenge
    and noting “several justifications for Ohio’s disparate treatment of confined electors” and
    “Ohio’s interest in orderly election administration”); George v. Hargett, 
    879 F.3d 711
    , 730 (6th
    Cir. 2018) (upholding Tennessee law on vote-counting method partially because “any [] ‘burden’
    was reasonably justified by the State’s interest in ensuring that a proposed constitutional
    amendment enjoy widespread support as a prerequisite to adoption”); Comm. to Impose Term
    Limits on the Ohio Supreme Ct. v. Ohio Ballot Bd., 
    885 F.3d 443
    , 448 (6th Cir. 2018) (upholding
    Ohio law requiring that a ballot initiative contain only a single proposed amendment in part
    because of “legitimate and strong state interests”); Ohio Democratic Party, 834 F.3d at 635
    (upholding a law cutting the number of days for early voting opportunities in view of “Ohio’s
    proffered interests of preventing voter fraud, increasing voter confidence by eliminating
    appearances of voter fraud, and easing administrative burdens on boards of elections,” which are
    “undoubtedly important regulatory interests”) (internal quotations omitted); Ohio Council 8 Am.
    Fedn. of State, 814 F.3d at 338 (upholding Ohio law precluding judicial candidates from listing
    their party affiliation on general-election ballots in light of Ohio’s “important interest of reducing
    partisanship in judicial elections”); Libertarian Party of Ky. v. Grimes, 
    835 F.3d 570
    , 578 (6th
    Cir. 2016) (recognizing “Kentucky’s interests in avoiding voter confusion, ballot overcrowding,
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 39
    and frivolous candidacies” in upholding a 2% automatic ballot-access law); Estill v. Cool, 320 F.
    App’x 309, 311–12 (6th Cir. 2008) (per curiam) (upholding Ohio ballot-access-restriction law as
    it furthered “Ohio’s interest in ensuring qualified Sheriff candidates”); Miller, 
    144 F.3d at 925
    (upholding legislative term limits for state legislators on the basis of Michigan’s compelling
    interest “in structuring its government”). Whether the state practice relates to structuring its
    government through limits on state legislative terms or the use of a redistricting commission, or
    whether the state practice hews more closely to traditional election mechanics, such as verifying
    who is voting or setting the amount of time for doing so, we owe deference to the strong state
    interests at play, absent a clear constitutional command to the contrary. See Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 191
     (noting that three separate state interests justified the imposition of voter ID law’s
    burdens); Ohio Democratic Party, 834 F.3d at 626, 632; but see Ohio State Conf. of the NAACP
    v. Husted, 
    769 F.3d 385
     (6th Cir. 2014) (finding likely constitutional violation despite State’s
    strong interest in establishing the terms of early voting), vacated by Husted v. Ohio State Conf. of
    the NAACP, 
    573 U.S. 988
     (2014).
    We heed that instruction again today. In upholding Michigan’s decision to organize its
    system of government through the use of a bipartisan redistricting commission, we honor our
    nation’s historical deference to a state’s interest in self-government, something the Supreme
    Court has routinely emphasized in upholding the most analogous state laws to have come before
    it.
    Conflict-of-Interest Laws. In Nev. Comm’n on Ethics v. Carrigan, the Supreme Court
    upheld a state conflict-of-interest law restricting a policymaker’s participation in the
    governmental process. 
    564 U.S. 117
     (2011). At issue in Carrigan was a Nevada law prohibiting
    legislators from voting on, or advocating for, issues in which they were thought to have a conflict
    of interest. 
    Id. at 119
    . Critical to the Supreme Court’s resolution was the understanding that “[a]
    universal and long-established tradition of prohibiting certain conduct creates a strong
    presumption that the prohibition is constitutional . . . .” 
    Id. at 122
    . In upholding the law, the
    Supreme Court thus emphasized our nation’s long history of conflict-of-interest regulations, both
    at the state and federal level, that preclude individuals from participating in the governmental
    process. 
    Id.
     at 122–25 (noting that “[f]ederal conflict-of-interest rules . . . date back to the
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                 Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 40
    founding” and that “[a] number of States, by common-law rule, have long required recusal of
    public officials with a conflict”). Contrary decisions cited by Carrigan, the Supreme Court
    explained, even if “relevant,” would nonetheless “be too little and too late to contradict the long-
    recognized need for legislative recusal.” 
    Id. at 125
    ; see also Richardson v. Ramirez, 
    418 U.S. 24
    , 48 (1974) (upholding a state law barring felons from voting based upon the fact that, at the
    time of the adoption of the Fourteenth Amendment, “29 States had provisions in their
    constitutions which prohibited, or authorized the legislature to prohibit, exercise of the franchise
    by persons convicted of felonies or infamous crimes”).
    As Carrigan demonstrates, historic foundational practices are a consistent benchmark for
    assessing whether a state action is constitutional. And in that respect, Carrigan’s lessons apply
    here twofold.    One, conflict-of-interest regulations have a long historical pedigree, which
    bolsters their constitutionality. Michigan no doubt had those historical concepts in mind when it
    restricted from its line-drawing commission those whom the State believed were most likely to
    have biased or improper motivations. As those efforts accord with longstanding practices more
    generally, Carrigan, 
    564 U.S. at
    122–25, I see no reason for a federal court to second guess
    Michigan’s decision. See Kraham v. Lippman, 
    478 F.3d 502
    , 504 (2d Cir. 2007) (upholding a
    New York judicial rule that limited “high-ranking political party officials, their families, and the
    members, associates, counsel, and employees of their law firms from receiving New York State
    court fiduciary appointments”).
    Two, Carrigan more broadly reminds us of the respect we owe state decisionmaking.
    Few if any foundational practices are more cherished than the dual-sovereign system upon which
    our Republic was established. Printz v. United States, 
    521 U.S. 898
    , 918 (1997). In this system,
    “the States . . . retained a ‘residuary and inviolable sovereignty.’” 
    Id.
     at 918–19 (quoting The
    Federalist No. 39, at 245 (J. Madison)); see also Oregon v. Mitchell, 
    400 U.S. 112
    , 124 (1970)
    (“[T]he Constitution was also intended to preserve to the States the power that even the Colonies
    had to establish and maintain their own separate and independent governments . . . .”). That
    inviolable sovereignty affords states the opportunity to act as “laboratories of democracy,”
    crafting rules and practices tailored to their unique political and cultural settings. Garber v.
    Menendez, 
    888 F.3d 839
    , 844 (6th Cir. 2018). When a state exercises its sovereign power
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                  Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                          Page 41
    through its chosen structure and composition of government, we must respect that expression of
    sovereignty, unless “the Constitution itself demands otherwise.” Mitchell, 
    400 U.S. at 124
    . And
    here, that is all Michigan desires to do: set regulations for its self-governance. With an eye to
    longstanding principles, we appropriately defer today to Michigan’s preferred method of self-
    governance.
    Limitations on Officeholders and Public Employees. History compels the same result as
    to a state’s limitations on public employment, including those who hold public office. In
    Clements v. Fashing, 
    457 U.S. 957
     (1982), the Supreme Court upheld, against First and
    Fourteenth Amendment challenges, a state law requiring Texas officeholders to complete their
    current terms of office (if the term overlaps with terms of legislators) before they may serve in
    the Texas Legislature.      Like limitations on candidates to serve on a state redistricting
    commission, the existence of barriers to a candidate’s access to the ballot “does not of itself
    compel close scrutiny.” 
    Id. at 963
     (quoting Bullock v. Carter, 
    405 U.S. 134
    , 143 (1972)).
    Although the law at issue in Clements prohibited certain public officials from running for the
    Texas Legislature for two years, that prohibition was easily justified by the State’s “interests in
    maintaining the integrity of” its current officeholders, “ensuring they will neither abuse [their]
    position[s] nor neglect [their] duties because of [their] aspirations for higher office.” Id. at 968.
    That includes counteracting the temptation “to render decisions and take actions that might serve
    more to further [one’s] political ambitions than the responsibilities of his office.” Id. And it
    matters not that a State’s regulatory regime addresses some issues, but not others.              For
    Fourteenth Amendment purposes, “the Equal Protection Clause allows the State to regulate ‘one
    step at a time, addressing itself to the phase of the problem which seems most acute.’” Id. at 969
    (quoting Williamson v. Lee Optical of Okla. Inc., 
    348 U.S. 483
    , 489 (1955)). A State thus “need
    not run the risk of losing an entire remedial scheme simply because it failed, through
    inadvertence or otherwise, to cover every evil that might conceivably have been attacked.” 
    Id.
     at
    969–70 (quoting McDonald v. Bd. of Election Comm'rs, 
    394 U.S. 802
    , 809 (1969)).
    Like conflict-of-interest rules, limitations on who may serve in public office are as old as
    the Republic. At the founding, the Framers incorporated age requirements for holding federal
    office: 25 for the House of Representatives, 30 for the Senate, and 35 for the President.
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                   Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                            Page 42
    U.S. CONST. art. I, § 2, cl 2, art. I, § 3, cl 3, art. II, § 1, cl 5. The Framers placed citizenship and
    habitation requirements on service in the House and Senate, and a natural-born-citizenship
    requirement on who can be elected President. See id. Likewise, the Framers established unique
    measures for selecting members to the two houses of Congress: one chosen by the voters, one by
    the state. Compare U.S. CONST. art. I, § 2, cl 1 (“The House of Representatives shall be
    composed of Members chosen every second Year by the People of the several States . . . .”), with
    U.S. CONST. art. I, § 3, cl 1 (“The Senate of the United States shall be composed of two Senators
    from each State, chosen by the Legislature thereof . . . .”), abrogated by U.S. CONST. amend.
    XVII). And the Framers also deemed it necessary to limit federal elected officials to one office
    at a time. See U.S. CONST. art. I, § 6, cl 2 (“No Senator or Representative shall, during the Time
    for which he was elected, be appointed to any civil Office under the Authority of the United
    States . . . and no Person holding any Office under the United States, shall be a Member of either
    House during his Continuance in Office.”).
    So too for limitations on a broader range of public servants. The Supreme Court has
    repeatedly upheld limitations on the conduct of unelected public employees as well.                 For
    instance, the Supreme Court upheld the Hatch Act’s “restrictions on federal employees’ political
    activities,” and it did the same for “challenges to state statutes that impose similar restrictions on
    state employees.” Molina-Crespo v. U.S. Merit Sys. Prot. Bd., 
    547 F.3d 651
    , 656 (6th Cir. 2008)
    (collecting cases). In so doing, the Supreme Court rooted its reasoning in our nation’s historical
    practice. The Hatch Act’s restrictions, it explained, “no more than confirm the judgment of
    history, a judgment made by this country over the last century that it is in the best interest of the
    country, indeed essential, that federal service should depend upon meritorious performance
    rather than political service . . . .” U.S. Civ. Serv. Comm’n v. Nat’l Ass’n of Letter Carriers,
    
    413 U.S. 548
    , 557 (1973). To the same end, in applying the Hatch Act to a state employee
    whose agency received federal funds, we noted that “[t]he [Hatch] Act’s prohibition on
    candidacy for elective office is rationally related to the government’s interest because it allows
    the government to remove actual or apparent partisan influence from the administration of
    federal funds.” Molina-Crespo, 
    547 F.3d at 654, 658
    .
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                   Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                            Page 43
    All of this is in accord with the longstanding history of and deference to the state interest
    at issue today—how a state selects its officeholders, in this case, its redistricting commissioners.
    The authority of a state’s citizens to “determine the qualifications of their most important
    government officials . . . is an authority that lies at ‘the heart of a representative government.’”
    Ashcroft, 
    501 U.S. at 463
     (quoting Bernal v. Fainter, 
    467 U.S. 216
    , 221 (1984)). And it should
    go without saying that those state judgments are best made by the States, not unelected federal
    judges. Accord Crawford, 
    553 U.S. at 208
     (Scalia, Thomas, & Alito, JJ., concurring) (“It is for
    [the] state . . . to weigh the costs and benefits of possible changes to their election codes . . . .”).
    The Fifth Circuit emphasized this very point in upholding a Louisiana prohibition on dual-office
    holding: “We do not doubt that the Louisiana Legislature could have drawn narrower definitional
    lines. As has often been pointed out, however, courts are ill equipped to judge the wisdom of
    such legislative line drawings.” Arceneaux v. Treen, 
    671 F.2d 129
    , 134 (5th Cir. 1982) (citing
    N.Y. City Transit Auth. v. Beazer, 
    440 U.S. 568
    , 592–93 (1979)).               States thus “deserve[]
    deference in structuring [their] government”—in fact, the Constitution demands it.              Miller,
    
    144 F.3d at
    925 (citing U.S. CONST. amend. X). Out of respect for the sovereignty of states, we
    routinely defer to a state’s preference for structuring its government, for instance, whether one is
    too old to serve in elected office, Ashcroft, 
    501 U.S. at 473
     (finding a law restricting judicial
    office seekers to those under 70 to be constitutional), or how long one may serve in a state office.
    Miller, 
    144 F.3d at
    924–25 (finding lifetime term limits constitutional and noting that we “should
    uphold a qualification ‘unless the qualification is plainly prohibited by some other provision in
    the Constitution’” (quoting Bates, 
    131 F.3d at 859
     (Rymer & O’Scannlain, JJ., concurring))).
    That structuring aspect is at play here in two respects. At issue is how Michigan selects
    public officials to serve on a public body (the redistricting commission). And once selected,
    those commissioners will assist in crafting the legislative districts from which other public
    officials are chosen. That the Michigan electorate enacted the commission and its membership
    rules directly only strengthens the rationale for allowing these restrictions to stand. See Ashcroft,
    
    501 U.S. at 471
     (upholding a voter-adopted state constitutional provision; “[w]e will not overturn
    such a law unless the varying treatment of different groups or persons is so unrelated to the
    achievement of any combination of legitimate purposes that we can only conclude that the
    people’s actions were irrational”) (internal edits omitted). Michigan voters decided to prohibit
    Nos. 19-2377/2420                   Daunt et al. v. Benson et al.                      Page 44
    those they deemed to be “political insiders” from drawing legislative lines. Whether one views
    that decision for the better or worse, it plainly is not “irrational.” 
    Id.
    That is why, setting aside my disagreement over Anderson-Burdick, it is refreshing to see
    the Court embrace as a central principle a state’s prerogative in organizing its government,
    including its election system. That principle is a paramount aspect of state sovereignty, and a
    cornerstone of federalism.
    For these reasons, I concur in today’s result.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 19-2420

Filed Date: 4/15/2020

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 4/15/2020

Authorities (61)

Grizzle v. Kemp , 634 F.3d 1314 ( 2011 )

willie-e-sims-jr-individually-and-in-his-capacity-as-a-minister-of-the , 972 F.2d 1230 ( 1992 )

Hamilton's Bogarts, Inc. v. Michigan , 501 F.3d 644 ( 2007 )

Molina-Crespo v. United States Merit Systems Protection ... , 547 F.3d 651 ( 2008 )

bonnie-kraham-v-jonathan-lippman-sued-in-his-individual-and-official , 478 F.3d 502 ( 2007 )

osceola-l-fletcher-gloria-b-corley-joseph-jeffries-el-nilda-munoz , 882 F.2d 605 ( 1989 )

PLANNED PARENT. MN, N. DAKOTA, S. DAKOTA v. Rounds , 530 F.3d 724 ( 2008 )

citizens-for-legislative-choice-a-michigan-non-profit-corporation-michigan , 144 F.3d 916 ( 1998 )

97-cal-daily-op-serv-9535-97-daily-journal-dar-15471-tom-bates , 131 F.3d 843 ( 1997 )

Snowden v. Hughes , 64 S. Ct. 397 ( 1944 )

Eu v. San Francisco County Democratic Central Committee , 109 S. Ct. 1013 ( 1989 )

Washington State Grange v. Washington State Republican Party , 128 S. Ct. 1184 ( 2008 )

Perry v. Sindermann , 92 S. Ct. 2694 ( 1972 )

Hechinger v. Martin , 411 F. Supp. 650 ( 1976 )

New York City Transit Authority v. Beazer , 99 S. Ct. 1355 ( 1979 )

Babbitt v. United Farm Workers National Union , 99 S. Ct. 2301 ( 1979 )

Crawford v. Marion County Election Board , 128 S. Ct. 1610 ( 2008 )

Anderson v. Celebrezze , 103 S. Ct. 1564 ( 1983 )

Bernal v. Fainter , 104 S. Ct. 2312 ( 1984 )

Rucho v. Common Cause , 204 L. Ed. 2d 931 ( 2019 )

View All Authorities »