Mack Sims v. William Hyatte ( 2019 )


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  •                               In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 18-1573
    MACK A. SIMS,
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    v.
    WILLIAM HYATTE,
    Respondent-Appellee.
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    Northern District of Indiana, South Bend Division.
    No. 3:14-cv-01936-RLM — Robert L. Miller, Jr., Judge.
    ARGUED NOVEMBER 27, 2018 — DECIDED FEBRUARY 1, 2019
    Before BAUER, HAMILTON, and BARRETT, Circuit Judges.
    BAUER, Circuit Judge. Petitioner-appellant Mack Sims seeks
    a writ of habeas corpus, arguing his due process rights were
    violated because the state withheld evidence favorable to his
    case. In November of 1993, security guard Shane Carey was
    shot in Elkhart, Indiana. Approximately fifteen to twenty
    minutes after the shooting, the Elkhart police found Mack Sims
    near a walking path around twenty feet from where the
    shooting occurred. After Carey identified him at trial as the
    2                                                    No. 18-1573
    shooter, Sims was convicted of attempted murder and sen-
    tenced to a term of imprisonment of 35 years. In 2012, during
    a post-conviction evidentiary hearing, Sims learned the
    prosecution withheld evidence that Carey, the only witness
    who could identify the shooter, was hypnotized before trial to
    enhance his recollection of the shooting. After the Indiana
    courts denied habeas relief, Sims filed a petition for a writ of
    habeas corpus in federal court. The district court held that the
    Indiana court did not unreasonably apply established federal
    law and denied the petition. Because we disagree, we reverse.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. The Night of the Shooting
    In September of 1993, Shane Carey began working as a
    security guard at Sister Virginia’s Adult Basic Education
    (“Sister Virginia’s”) in Elkhart, Indiana. On November 2, 1993,
    the school was in session when Carey arrived for his shift at
    6:00 p.m. Shortly after arriving he traversed the premises and
    returned to his car to read a book after he was satisfied the
    school was safe. Sister Virginia’s parking lot, where his car sat,
    had some lighting but was not well lit.
    Around 7:00 p.m., Carey noticed three black men walk
    behind a nearby building and emerge in the parking lot a few
    minutes later. The men walked toward Carey’s vehicle; two
    walked to the passenger side and one to the driver’s side.
    When about two feet from the car the individual walking
    towards the driver’s side door grabbed a gun from his coat
    and fired it through the window. Carey did not see the gun,
    but soon realized he had been shot in the face. He made his
    way into Sister Virginia’s and emergency help was summoned.
    Carey testified at trial that the shooting took place “shortly
    after 7:00 [p.m.].”
    No. 18-1573                                                     3
    Officers Tom Lerner and William Wargo arrived on the
    scene at 7:27 p.m. Lerner instructed Wargo to secure Carey’s
    vehicle and the area around it while he entered Sister Virginia’s
    to speak with Carey. Carey was having difficulty speaking but
    was able to provide Lerner with a description of the assailant
    as a black male with short hair or a shaved head and a large
    build, possibly in his late twenties, wearing a three-quarter-
    length coat with dark pants and dark combat boots.
    At approximately 7:30 p.m. while standing near Carey’s car,
    Officer Wargo heard a noise near the train tracks about twenty-
    five feet southeast of Carey’s vehicle. Wargo then observed a
    black male crouching behind a dumpster wearing a black
    three-quarter length jacket and hat looking onto the crime
    scene. This individual was near a walking path that ran next to
    the train tracks and was often used by locals. The officers
    ordered the subject out of the bushes and he came forward
    without protest. They identified this individual as Mack Sims
    and patted him down for weapons; none were found.
    Although there were civilian witnesses in the area, none
    were able to give an identifying description of the shooter.
    Police officers searched the surrounding area extensively but
    never found a gun, nor did they recover a shell casing from the
    area or any other physical evidence.
    B. The Trial of Mack Sims
    On November 4, 1993, Sims was charged with attempted
    murder. His trial began on August 23, 1994. The prosecution
    called ten witnesses: six were law enforcement officers that
    described their role in the investigation and three were
    individuals present at Sister Virginia’s the night of the shooting
    that were unable to identify the shooter. Thus, the state relied
    4                                                    No. 18-1573
    almost exclusively on the only witness who could possibly
    identify the shooter, Carey, to establish their case against Sims.
    Carey testified that he got a good look at the assailant. He
    described in court what he saw the night of the shooting in
    more detail than was in the incident report:
    Q: Now, as he approached the car, did you get a look at
    him?
    A: Yeah. I was looking him square in the eyes.
    Q: Describe what you saw.
    A: What I saw was a man with—it was a somewhat full
    face, well—I’d say a well-rounded face. What I mainly
    noticed was the eyes. And I noticed underneath the left
    eye the skin tone, I’d say, or shades were slightly
    different than the other. One side just underneath the
    eye was a little bit lighter and the other side was very
    dark. And I noticed—I did notice the eyes. It was a very
    cold stare.
    Q: Did you see him reach for anything?
    A: I saw him make a hand movement, and that’s about it.
    I saw a flash but nothing more.
    Q: Okay. Do you recognize in this courtroom today the
    person you saw and who shot you on November 2nd,
    1993?
    A: Yes, I do.
    Q: Where is he?
    A: He’s sitting right there in front of me (indicating).
    Mr. Wicks [ the prosecutor]:
    No. 18-1573                                                    5
    I would ask the record reflect the witness has identified
    the defendant, Mack Sims, Your Honor.
    The Court:
    Let the record reflect the witness has identified the
    defendant.
    Carey continued to describe the assailant,
    I noticed the shoes looked somewhat like boots, I would
    say, and dark color pants. What I mainly noticed was
    the coat. The coat was slightly long and dark in color,
    either a dark black or maybe bluish or—like a Navy or
    midnight blue or something to that extent. One of the
    things I did notice on the coat was a patch on the
    arm … It was a small patch. I didn’t really get a good
    look at the shape, but it couldn’t have been more than
    a couple inches in diameter.
    Carey then observed the coat Sims was wearing when he was
    arrested and identified a patch on it as being the one he
    witnessed when the assailant approached his vehicle. Carey
    also testified that detective John Faigh came to speak with him
    at the hospital the day after his surgery. He recalled being
    presented with six photos. Carey chose a photograph from this
    lineup noting that the picture “looked like” the assailant. Carey
    then identified in court the photograph of Sims that he picked
    out of that lineup.
    During cross-examination defense counsel pointed out that
    Carey’s identification of the assailant in the photographic
    lineup was not unequivocal. Carey indicated that he had
    unequivocally identified the assailant in a photographic lineup
    that appeared nowhere in the record:
    6                                                     No. 18-1573
    A: The identification that I was provided with in the
    emergency room was [unequivocal]. They did show me
    something in the emergency room. It was difficult to
    see, but what I did see, that was him.
    Q: Oh, there was another picture that was shown to you?
    A: There was another picture in the emergency room.
    Q: There is nothing in the reports about that: is that
    correct?
    A: Not that I know of.
    Carey was then asked about a situation shortly before trial
    in which he was unable to identify the assailant in a photo-
    graphic lineup:
    Q: And you also recall, maybe even last week, looking at
    a photo lineup when Mr. Wicks was around?
    A: Uh-huh.
    Q: And you again said that it looks like but you couldn’t
    be sure because of some facial hair?
    A: Yeah, the facial hair did throw me off, but I will not
    forget the eyes. The eyes are the one thing that I do
    remember.
    Q: Now you indicated—yeah, you have talked about the
    eyes, but you didn’t say anything in your statement
    about the eyes.
    A: That’s the one thing that I do remember.
    Q: But you didn’t tell the police about it at the time?
    A: No. But like I said, I was also very groggy.
    No. 18-1573                                                    7
    Sims later testified and his mug shot showed that he had facial
    hair, a mustache and goatee, at the time he was arrested.
    Additionally, Carey testified that the photograph of Sims in
    the emergency room that was not part of the record was shown
    to him by itself and not as part of a photographic lineup:
    Q: And you indicated now that there was another picture
    that you were shown, a single picture you were shown,
    in the emergency room?
    A: I was shown that in the emergency room. If I recall,
    my—my parents were in the emergency room, but I’m
    not sure if they were in there when they showed me
    this picture. They did show me a picture in the emer-
    gency room.
    Carey stated the lighting in the parking lot was “some-
    what—subdued would be the word I’d use, somewhat faint.”
    Carey also testified that he was not wearing his glasses the
    night of the shooting, although his vision was not so poor that
    he was required to wear them to drive.
    Defense counsel impeached Carey regarding inconsisten-
    cies in his description of the assailant. The defense pointed out
    that the description of the assailant included that he had short
    hair or was bald. However, Sims later testified that his hair was
    not short or shaved but was curly and longer at the time he
    was arrested. The defense pressed Carey on his description of
    the shoes worn by the assailant. Carey had described the
    assailant as wearing black combat boots; Sims later testified
    that he was wearing black and white Nike sneakers. The
    defense also noted that Carey had indicated the assailant was
    wearing black pants, but Sims testified that he was wearing
    blue jeans. The defense asked Carey if there was a hood on the
    coat, to which Carey responded that his memory had im-
    8                                                     No. 18-1573
    proved over time on the matter: “I recall—I did not recall it at
    the time. Later on I did recall a hood, and it was part of the
    way up.” During direct examination Sims testified that he was
    wearing an Orlando Magic baseball cap when he was arrested.
    Furthermore, the defense pointed out that the distinct patch
    detailed in direct examination and used to identify Sims’s coat
    was never mentioned in his description of the assailant.
    After Carey stepped down from the witness stand the
    defense moved for a mistrial based upon the testimony elicited
    from Carey:
    [Carey] testified that while he was in the emer-
    gency room immediately after being shot that he
    was shown a single photograph of the defen-
    dant. The defendant would indicate to the Court
    that the type of identification process, being a
    single photograph, is prejudicial and suggestive
    and clearly taints any subsequent identification
    that may have been made in this
    matter … Based on that single photographic
    identification, I believe that the in-court identifi-
    cation was tainted by the suggestive nature of
    the initial identification.
    The court denied the motion stating there was no evidence
    from the state or defendant that indicated a single photograph
    was ever shown to the victim. The court stated the only way it
    could be assumed that a single photograph lineup occurred
    was by accepting everything Carey said was true, which was
    not required. The court also found the in-court identification
    No. 18-1573                                                                 9
    sufficient to overcome any undue suggestiveness of a single
    photograph lineup.1
    Closing argument took place on August 24, 1994. The
    prosecution leaned heavily, almost exclusively, on Carey’s
    testimony: “He has identified as the shooter this defendant,
    Mack Sims, and he has never hesitated a bit in that identifica-
    tion. And that, of course, is what this case is about is the
    validity of that identification.” The jury found Sims guilty of
    attempted murder.
    C. The Sentencing and Appeal Process
    Sims was sentenced to 35 years’ imprisonment on Decem-
    ber 1, 1994. The defense filed a motion for a new trial on
    December 29, 1994, arguing “the Court erred when it allowed
    the identification evidence of Shane Carey in that it was tainted
    1
    It is worth noting at this point that gleaning from the record precisely
    when photographic lineups were conducted and their result is difficult. It
    appears the first occurred on the night of the shooting. Carey could not
    recall this lineup taking place, had glass in his eyes (from the shooting
    because the shot came through the window), and no record of the lineup
    appeared in the police report, but Faigh testified that Carey identified the
    picture of Sims as the shooter. The second lineup occurred a day or two
    later in the hospital and Carey merely indicated that the picture of Sims
    “looked like” the shooter. Carey also testified he was shown a single picture
    of Sims in the hospital. Although he was unable to recall precisely when
    this occurred, he remembered his parents were present in the room. The
    third lineup took place two weeks later and its result is not indicated in the
    record. Carey simply testified, “about two weeks later ... I talked to John
    Faigh—and he put me under quite a bit of stress when he asked me. He was
    asking me a number of questions that irritated me to no end to say the least.
    And I don’t know what he was trying to accomplish, but I was not happy.”
    A fourth lineup occurred with Wicks and resulted in a positive identifica-
    tion. Finally, a fifth lineup occurred in which Carey admitted he was
    thrown off by a picture of Sims that included facial hair.
    10                                                  No. 18-1573
    by an impermissibly suggestive pre-trial viewing of a picture
    of the Defendant by Mr. Carey.” On July 15, 1995, the trial
    court dismissed the motion. Its response in full was: “The court
    has examined this alleged error and having further examined
    its notes, now determines that it believes that no error was
    committed or that no impermissible suggestive identification
    took place and that there is no merit to specification no. 1.”
    Sims did not fare much better on appeal. In an unpublished
    opinion, the Court of Appeals of Indiana opined that the
    “[e]xtra-judicial exhibition of a single photograph to a victim
    is an unduly suggestive identification procedure.” However,
    the court noted the strength of Carey’s in-court testimony, in
    particular that he looked Sims directly in the eye, noticed the
    light-colored patch of skin under one eye, and Sims was only
    two or three feet away from Carey when he was shot. These
    factors considered with the identification of Sims in photo-
    graphic lineups convinced the court that the totality of the
    circumstanced provided a sufficient basis, independent of the
    improper photograph display, to support the admissibility of
    the in-court identification of Sims.
    D. Post-Conviction Proceedings
    On February 8, 2012, in what was supposed to be an
    evidentiary hearing regarding a post-conviction relief petition
    filed by Sims, the information that formed the basis of this case
    was revealed. Graham Polando, a deputy prosecuting attorney
    for the state of Indiana stated in open court the following: “I
    consulted with Judge [Charles] Wicks who was the trial deputy
    [for Sim’s attempted murder trial in 1994], he asked me not to
    disclose what he told me, but he indicated that the victim in
    this case identified the … defendant, Mr. Sims, only after
    hypnotism.” This fact was never disclosed to defense counsel.
    No. 18-1573                                                   11
    On June 8, 2012, the Elkhart County Superior Court held an
    evidentiary hearing to address the hypnotism issue. Carey
    testified that when viewing the lineup administered by
    detective Faigh the day after the shooting, he merely stated the
    individual “looked like” the assailant because “at the time [he]
    was not extremely sure.” Carey also testified that the prosecut-
    ing attorney in the case, Wicks, brought up the idea of hypno-
    sis saying “they could put [him] under hypnosis … but
    [indicated] there might be a problem in court in the future.”
    Carey responded that he did not have a problem with any
    future legal issues regarding the hypnosis so long as he was
    able to recall the person who shot him. Carey also testified that
    Wicks set up the appointment and the state paid for it.
    Carey testified that he attended one session of hypnosis in
    which he “fell asleep … [and] literally entered a dream state in
    which I … recall[ed] the shooting itself. And during that time
    I had another opportunity to uh, see the person that shot me.”
    Sims’s attorney then asked Carey:
    Q: Okay. So it was really only after this hypnosis that you
    were sure of the person was that shot you?
    A: Yeah.
    Carey indicated the session took place months before trial
    “when [Wicks] and I first started talking about who the
    perpetrator was.” After the session, Wicks created another
    photographic lineup and this time Carey was able to identify
    Sims due to the skin coloration on the face of the assailant that
    Carey noticed while reliving the night of the shooting under
    hypnosis. In fact, Carey stated that only “after the hypnotism
    the birthmark really stood out.”
    The court reconvened the hearing on June 12 and Charles
    Wicks, the prosecutor in Sims’s case and now a Judge for the
    12                                                No. 18-1573
    Elkhart County Superior Court, testified. He stated that he
    could not recall whether Carey disclosed he had been hypno-
    tized. A few breaths later Wicks defended not disclosing the
    hypnotism asserting it was not exculpatory in nature because
    Carey never wavered in his identification of Sims as the
    assailant. Wicks then testified that he gave Carey the informa-
    tion of the individual that performed the hypnotism because
    even though Carey had given a “fairly complete summary of
    what happened to him that evening, he said he would like to
    be able to recollect the evening better.” The hypnotist was
    George Atkins, a licensed physician’s assistant who Wicks
    knew from Kiwanis Club and had used in the past to help
    personal injury clients recall traumatic events.
    Later in the hearing the court questioned deputy prosecut-
    ing attorney Polando regarding the statement Wicks made to
    him, asking whether the following quotation was correct: “‘I
    never told Jim Stevens’ (meaning Deputy Public Defender
    Stevens), ‘that the victim was … only able to identify Mr. Sims
    after he was hypnotized.” Polando confirmed this was correct,
    and added that Wicks also told him not to tell anyone. When
    Wicks retook the stand he stated he did not recall saying this
    to Polando.
    On September 6, 2012, the Elkhart Superior Court entered
    an order denying Sims’s Second Amended Petition for Post-
    Conviction Relief. In its order, the court identified the main
    issue as “whether Carey was able to sufficiently identify
    Petitioner before hypnosis.” The court then discounted Wicks’
    statement to Polando that Carey was only able to identify Sims
    after hypnosis because Wicks “had not had time to consider the
    case before speaking with DPA Polando.” The court also gave
    weight to the fact that other evidence contradicted this state-
    ment. The court noted that Officer Lerner testified that Carey
    No. 18-1573                                                  13
    could identify the assailant from the beginning and that his
    description of the assailant matched Sims. The court then cited
    with approval the photographic lineup presented to Carey the
    day after the shooting in which Carey noted the picture of Sims
    “looked like” the assailant. The court concluded “[f]rom the
    record of the case, Carey was able to identify the Petitioner
    well before hypnosis.”
    After outlining the test established by Brady v. Maryland,
    
    373 U.S. 83
    , 87 (1963), the court noted the evidence was
    favorable to the defense, at a minimum as impeaching evi-
    dence, that would have been beneficial to the defense to
    discredit the state’s only eye-witness. The court then immedi-
    ately concluded that the evidence was not material because
    there was not a reasonable probability that disclosure would
    have changed the result of the proceeding. It was persuaded
    because the defense vigorously cross-examined Carey at trial
    and the Indiana Rules of Evidence only rendered inadmissible
    testimony of a witness as to matters recalled only through
    hypnosis. Thus, the court reasoned, Carey’s testimony would
    not have been found inadmissible because Carey could
    sufficiently identify his assailant prior to hypnosis. The court
    also noted that Carey never identified anyone other than Sims
    from a photographic lineup and that his description of the
    assailant did not substantially change after hypnosis.
    On July 15, 2013, the Court of Appeals of Indiana affirmed
    this decision. The court noted that under Indiana law, evidence
    derived from a hypnotically entranced witness should be
    excluded because the evidence is affected by confabulation, a
    process that causes the subject to fill in memory gaps with
    fantasy. The court also noted that because the subject is
    confident that the recalled memories are based in fact and
    accurate, the witness will likely be impervious to cross-exami-
    14                                                    No. 18-1573
    nation. However, the court held that the state had carried its
    burden of demonstrating by clear and convincing evidence the
    witness’s in-court identification had a factual basis independ-
    ent of the hypnosis and therefore would have been admissible
    under the Indiana Rules of Evidence. The court noted that
    Carey testified at trial that he was able to look directly into the
    face and eyes of his assailant and that Carey’s description of
    Sims the night of the shooting matched Sims. The court also
    noted Carey identified Sims three times in photographic
    lineups before he underwent hypnosis. The court found that
    Carey’s identification had a sufficient pre-hypnosis foundation
    to have been admissible because Carey “was subjected to
    vigorous cross-examination regarding his numerous identifica-
    tions of Sims.” The court also gave weight to Carey’s testimony
    at the evidentiary hearing that the hypnosis did not help him
    identify Sims, but rather made him “extremely sure” of his
    identification.
    After the Indiana Supreme Court denied relief, Sims filed
    a petition for a writ of habeas corpus in federal court. The
    district court found that the Indiana Court of Appeals’ decision
    was neither contrary to, nor involved an unreasonable applica-
    tion of, clearly established federal law. The court also found
    that the state court’s decision was not based on an unreason-
    able determination of the facts. Accordingly, the district court
    denied habeas relief, but certified its appealability pursuant to
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2253
    (c), finding that reasonable jurists could differ
    on whether the post-conviction relief court erred in finding
    relief was not warranted.
    II. ANALYSIS
    We review de novo a district court’s denial of a petition for
    writ of habeas corpus. Carter v. Thompson, 
    690 F.3d 837
    , 843 (7th
    No. 18-1573                                                   15
    Cir. 2012). This review is governed by the Anti-terrorism and
    Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996 (“AEDPA”). The statute
    significantly limits the scope of our review; “habeas relief
    cannot be granted for persons in custody pursuant to a
    judgment of a state court unless the adjudication of the claim:
    ‘(1) resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an
    unreasonable application of, clearly established federal law, as
    determined by the Supreme Court of the United States; or
    (2) resulted in a decision that was based on an unreasonable
    determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented in
    the State court proceeding.’” Czech v. Melvin, 
    904 F.3d 570
    , 573
    (7th Cir. 2018) (quoting 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)). A federal court
    may issue a writ of habeas corpus under the “contrary to”
    clauses of AEDPA if the state court applied a rule different
    from law set forth in Supreme Court precedent, or if it decides
    a materially indistinguishable case differently than the Su-
    preme Court. Bell v. Cone, 
    535 U.S. 685
    , 694 (2002) (citing
    Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 405–406 (2000) (O’Connor, J.,
    concurring). A state court decision is an “unreasonable
    application” if it correctly identifies the governing legal rule,
    but applies it unreasonably. Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    ,
    408–409 (2000).
    On appeal, Sims’s principal argument is that the state
    withholding the evidence that Carey was hypnotized prior to
    trial violated Sims’s constitutional rights as established in
    Brady. Under Brady, a defendant’s due process rights are
    violated if the state withholds favorable evidence from the
    defense that is material to the defendant’s guilt or punishment.
    Brady, 
    373 U.S. at 87
    . The state court found, and the parties do
    not dispute, the hypnosis evidence would have been favorable
    to the defendant and it was not disclosed by the state. We
    agree. Therefore, the only issue before us is whether the
    16                                                            No. 18-1573
    Indiana court’s decision, that suppression of evidence that the
    state’s star witness was hypnotized was not material under
    Brady, is contrary to or an unreasonable application of clearly
    established federal law.2 Because the Indiana court’s decision
    was both, we reverse the district court and grant the writ.
    A. “Clearly Established” Federal Law
    The Supreme Court has clearly established that strong and
    non-cumulative impeachment evidence related to an important
    trial witness is material under Brady. A new trial is not
    “automatically require[d] … whenever a combing of the
    prosecutors’ files after the trial has disclosed evidence possibly
    useful to the defense but not likely to have changed the verdict.
    A finding of materiality of the evidence is required under
    Brady.” Giglio v. United States, 
    405 U.S. 150
    , 154 (1972) (internal
    citations and quotations omitted). Evidence is material under
    Brady if “there is a reasonable probability that, had the evi-
    dence been disclosed, the result of the proceeding would have
    been different.” Kyles v. Whitley, 
    514 U.S. 419
    , 433. A “reason-
    able probability” exists if the suppression of the favorable
    evidence “undermines confidence in the outcome of the trial.”
    
    Id.
     (quoting United States v. Bagley, 
    473 U.S. 667
    , 678 (1985)).
    Nearly half a century ago, the Supreme Court held “[w]hen
    the reliability of a given witness may well be determinative of
    guilt or innocence, nondisclosure of the evidence affecting
    2
    Although the Court must generally discuss whether the error was
    harmless in its review of a petition for a writ of habeas corpus, the Supreme
    Court has made it clear that such an inquiry is unnecessary in Brady cases
    because the materiality standard contemplated by Brady is a higher burden
    on defendants than harmless error. Kyles v. Whitley, 
    514 U.S. 419
    , 435–36.
    Thus, if a petitioner establishes materiality under Brady, harmless error has
    been established and no further analysis is necessary.
    No. 18-1573                                                      17
    credibility” justifies a new trial under Brady. Giglio, 
    405 U.S. at 154
    . In Giglio, the defendant was convicted of passing forged
    money orders. 
    Id. at 151
    . The prosecution’s case centered
    around the testimony of the defendant’s co-conspirator, Robert
    Taliento, who was the only witness able to link the defendant
    to the crime. 
    Id.
     Taliento confessed and described the scheme
    to a grand jury. 
    Id.
     At trial, Taliento testified and identified the
    defendant as the instigator of the scheme. 
    Id.
     Defense counsel
    vigorously cross-examined Taliento seeking to impeach him
    regarding a possible arrangement for prosecutorial leniency if
    he agreed to testify. 
    Id.
     Taliento testified that no agreement had
    been reached, but the defendant later discovered he agreed to
    testify before the grand jury if the state agreed not to prosecute
    him. 
    Id.
     at 151–52. Even though the impeachment evidence
    only went to his credibility, the Court found the information
    was material under Brady. 
    Id. at 154
    .
    Conversely, cases in which the Supreme Court has found
    the suppression of impeachment evidence was not material
    under Brady are easily distinguishable. For example, in Turner,
    the Court found suppressed impeachment evidence was not
    material because it was “largely cumulative of impeachment
    evidence petitioners already had and used at trial,” and
    because the impeachment evidence only involved minor
    witnesses. Turner v. United States, 
    137 S. Ct. 1885
    , 1894 (2017).
    Thus, the Supreme Court has long recognized that suppres-
    sion of strong and non-cumulative evidence related to the
    credibility of an important witness is material under Brady, at
    least when the witness’s testimony is critical to the prosecu-
    tion’s case. See also Kyles, 
    514 U.S. at
    441–42 (holding that the
    state’s case relied heavily on the testimony of eyewitnesses
    who identified the defendant as the murderer, therefore failure
    to disclose impeachment evidence related to those witnesses
    18                                                   No. 18-1573
    was material under Brady) and Wearry v. Cain, 
    136 S. Ct. 1002
    ,
    1007 (2016) (withholding impeachment evidence of state’s star
    witness violated Brady).
    B. “Unreasonable Application of” and “Contrary to”
    Controlling Precedent
    A close reading of the Indiana Court of Appeals’ decision
    shows where that court went astray from the law established
    by the Supreme Court of the United States. The state court
    actually acknowledged that “[e]vidence derived from a
    hypnotically entranced witness is inherently unreliable as not
    having probative value and is therefore inadmissible.” 
    990 N.E.2d 523
    , 
    2013 WL 3526759
     at *4 (Ind. Ct. App. 2013), citing
    Rowley v. State, 
    483 N.E.2d 1078
    , 1081 (Ind. 1985). Rowley, in
    turn, followed Strong v. State, 
    435 N.E.2d 969
    , 970 (Ind. 1982),
    which reviewed case law from around the country in rejecting
    hypnotically enhanced testimony. Rowley and Strong had gone
    on to hold that a witness who has undergone hypnosis may
    testify to identify a wrongdoer in a criminal trial, nevertheless,
    if the prosecution can show by clear and convincing evidence
    that the in-court identification has a sufficient independent
    factual basis.
    In Sims’s case, the Indiana Court of Appeals veered away
    from the Brady materiality standard. Instead of deciding
    whether the concealed evidence was important enough to
    undermine confidence in the result of the trial without it, the
    state court analyzed whether Carey’s in-court identification of
    Sims had a sufficient independent factual basis so as to have
    been admissible. We assume that the finding of admissibility
    was correct under state law. But the state court then made the
    leap that was contrary to, and an unreasonable application of,
    Brady and its progeny: it concluded that because Carey’s
    No. 18-1573                                                    19
    testimony would still have been admissible, “it is not reason-
    ably probable that the outcome of Sims’s trial would have been
    different had Carey’s hypnosis been disclosed.”
    That was a clear error. Brady’s materiality standard is not an
    admissibility test. It requires the court to gauge the potential
    effects on the outcome of the trial if the concealed information
    had been available to the defendant. See Smith, 56 U.S. at
    75–76; Kyles, 
    514 U.S. at
    453–54; Strickler, 527 U.S. at 289–90.
    The Indiana court did identify Brady’s overarching rule, but
    failed to correctly apply, or even recognize, the materiality
    standard outlined by the Supreme Court. Courts must consider
    the overall strength of the prosecution case, the importance of
    the particular witness’s credibility to the prosecution case, the
    strength of the concealed impeachment material, and how the
    concealed material compares to other attacks the defense was
    able to make on the witness’s credibility. See Kyles, 
    514 U.S. at 441, 445, 451, 454
    ; Giglio, 
    405 U.S. at
    154–55; Smith, 565 U.S. at
    76; Wearry, 
    136 S. Ct. at
    1006–07.
    Giglio, Kyles, Wearry, and Smith all involved concealment of
    strong and non-cumulative impeachment evidence for the
    witnesses whose credibility was critical to the prosecution
    cases. They provide a body of clearly established law showing
    when impeachment evidence is material under Brady. Turner
    and Strickler, by contrast, show that concealed impeachment
    evidence may not be material when the prosecution case is
    strong apart from the witness in question and when the
    concealed impeachment evidence would have added little
    weight to the defendant’s attacks on the witness’s credibility.
    Concealing the hypnosis of Carey in this case falls on the
    material side of the line mapped by these Supreme Court cases.
    Without Carey’s identification of Sims as the shooter, the
    20                                                   No. 18-1573
    prosecution had no case. No physical evidence tied Sims to the
    shooting. His presence by the dumpster shortly after the
    shooting was suspicious, of course, but far short of what would
    have been needed to convince a jury to convict.
    The fact that Carey had been hypnotized would have
    undermined his credibility and changed his cross-examination
    quite dramatically. As the Supreme Court explained in Rock v.
    Arkansas, 
    483 U.S. 44
    , 59–60 (1987), there are several serious
    problems that undermine the accuracy and credibility of
    hypnotically enhanced testimony:
    Responses of individuals to hypnosis vary
    greatly. The popular belief that hypnosis guar-
    antees the accuracy of recall is as yet without
    established foundation and, in fact, hypnosis
    often has no effect at all on memory. The most
    common response to hypnosis, however, ap-
    pears to be an increase in both correct and
    incorrect recollections. Three general character-
    istics of hypnosis may lead to the introduction of
    inaccurate memories: the subject becomes
    “suggestible” and may try to please the hypno-
    tist with answers the subject thinks will be met
    with approval; the subject is likely to “confabu-
    late,” that is, to fill in details from the imagina-
    tion in order to make an answer more coherent
    and complete; and, the subject experiences
    “memory hardening,” which gives him great
    confidence in both true and false memories,
    making effective cross-examination more diffi-
    cult.
    No. 18-1573                                                                21
    Essentially, “[n]ot only do hypnotized witnesses find it
    difficult to distinguish their original memories from those
    brought out under hypnosis, but they also tend to become
    more confident about their recall despite the fact that it might
    contain false recollections.” Edie Greene, Kirk Heilbrun,
    William H. Fortune, & Michael T. Nietzel, Wrightsman’s
    Psychology and the Legal System 140 (6th ed. 2007); see also
    Steven Jay Lynn, Elza Boycheva, Amanda Deming, Scott O.
    Lilienfeld, & Michael N. Hallquist, Forensic Hypnosis: The
    State of the Science, in Psychological Science in the Courtroom:
    Consensus and Controversy, 85 (Jennifer L. Skeem, Kevin S.
    Douglas, & Scott O. Lilienfeld 2009) (“23 studies have shown
    that hypnosis either increases confidence relative to a
    nonhypnotic group, or participants confidently report inaccu-
    rate memories of events they earlier denied occurred when
    they were not hypnotized”).
    The concealed hypnosis thus explains Carey’s puzzling
    statement at trial that his memory of the incident actually
    improved over time.3 But more fundamentally, it calls into
    question everything Carey said at trial. Based on the Supreme
    Court’s view of hypnosis, Carey would not know what he was
    able to recall independent of the hypnosis, nor what he was
    able to recall because of the hypnosis, or whether any of his
    testimony was true or based on fantasy. This is made more
    troubling by the fact that Carey provided significantly more
    information at trial than he did any time before trial. Carey
    discussed in detail looking the assailant square in the eyes, that
    he remembered witnessing a small patch on the assailant’s
    jacket, that he remembered a small birthmark on the assailant’s
    3
    As noted above, Carey stated at trial, “I recall—I did not recall it at the
    time. Later on I did recall a hood, and it was part of the way up.”
    22                                                       No. 18-1573
    face. As the defense pointed out at trial, none of these details
    were in Carey’s description to Officer Lerner nor did they
    appear in the police report. It is reasonable to infer the jury
    found these details persuasive without knowing that Carey’s
    recollection of them might have been due entirely to the
    hypnosis session.
    The “memory hardening” effect of hypnosis can explain
    Carey’s admission during post-conviction proceedings that he
    was sure of who the person was who shot him only after being
    hypnotized. The effect Carey’s increased confidence likely had
    on the jury helps to undermine our confidence in the verdict.
    Decades of research confirms that the confidence with which
    eyewitnesses identify criminal defendants can be a powerful
    predictor of verdicts regardless of the accuracy of the identification.
    The more confident the eyewitness is in his identification, the
    more likely the jury is to believe that the identification is
    accurate and to convict the defendant. See Brian L. Cutler,
    Steven D. Penrod, & Thomas E. Stuve, Juror Decision Making
    in Eyewitness Identification Cases, 12 Law and Human
    Behavior 41 (1988); Steven G. Fox & H.A. Walters, The Impact
    of General versus Specific Expert Testimony and Eyewitness
    Confidence upon Mock Juror Judgment, 10 Law and Human
    Behavior 215 (1986); Michael R. Leippe, Andrew P. Manion, &
    Ann Romanczyk, Eyewitness Persuasion: How and How Well Do
    Fact Finders Judge the Accuracy of Adults’ and Children’s Memory
    Reports?, 63 Journal of Personality & Social Psychology 181
    (1992); Lynn et al. at 85; Gary L. Wells, What Do We Know About
    Eyewitness Identification?, 48 American Psychologist 553, 564
    (1993); Gary L. Wells, R.C.L. Lindsay, & Tamara J. Ferguson,
    Accuracy, Confidence, and Juror Perceptions in Eyewitness Identifi-
    cation, 64 Journal of Applied Psychology 440 (1979).
    No. 18-1573                                                   23
    It is not difficult to imagine what Sims’s lawyer could have
    done at trial with the knowledge that Carey had been hypno-
    tized. The known effects of hypnosis could explain Carey’s
    confidence, his claim that his memory of the shooting had
    improved over time, and the otherwise benign changes in his
    descriptions of the shooter. Reasonable judges cannot be
    confident that, if the jury had known that Carey had been
    hypnotized before he identified Sims at trial, they would have
    found his identification beyond reasonable doubt.
    Given the well-known problems that hypnosis poses for
    witnesses’ memories, we can be confident that Carey’s identifi-
    cation testimony would have been subjected to withering
    cross-examination. As noted, the prosecution’s case against
    Sims depended completely on Carey’s credibility, which the
    suppressed hypnosis evidence would have severely under-
    mined. The evidence would have cast doubt for the jury not
    only on Carey’s in-court identification, but also on Carey’s
    credibility as a witness more generally, including the accuracy
    of his prior identifications of Sims. The jury saw Carey identify
    Sims only once, in court. The prior identifications were heard
    only secondhand. If the jurors had known that Carey needed
    to be hypnotized to make the in-court identification, they
    would have been less likely to believe Carey was confident that
    Sims was his assailant, and therefore that his identification was
    accurate. From there and without the ability to observe Carey
    make his prior, untainted identifications, the jury could easily
    have questioned Carey’s overall credibility as an eyewitness.
    The Indiana appellate court noted that Carey was able to
    describe the clothing and physical attributes of the assailant
    who matched Sims’s clothing and physical attributes when he
    was discovered on the scene. However, the trial court tran-
    script illustrates the defense cross-examined Carey vigorously
    24                                                  No. 18-1573
    and pointed out several instances in which his description of
    the assailant did not match Sims’s clothing or physical attrib-
    utes the night of the incident. The undisputed details merely
    provide the shooter was a black male with a large build
    wearing a three quarter length coat. This is not the kind of
    identification that instills confidence especially in a case that
    the prosecution described as being all about “the validity of
    Carey’s identification.”
    The state court noted Carey identified Sims three times in
    photographic lineups before hypnosis. Carey had glass in his
    eyes and did not recall the first lineup and was unable to
    identify the shooter in a lineup two days later. Furthermore,
    significant doubt was cast on these lineups by the fact that
    Carey testified that he was initially only shown a single
    picture. The defense moved for a mistrial, which was denied,
    and the issue was affirmed on appeal. However, the Indiana
    Court of Appeals affirmed this decision because they were
    convinced the totality of the circumstances constituted a
    sufficient independent basis to cure any unduly suggestive
    procedures. But the suppressed evidence of hypnosis now
    brings this ruling into question.
    The dissent assails our opinion by asserting that Carey
    never wavered in his identification of Sims. This does not
    explain why Wicks felt it necessary to take the risk of setting
    up a hypnosis session for Carey without disclosing it. Nor does
    it appear to take into account the instances in which Carey
    equivocated. Furthermore, the only indication as to when the
    hypnosis session took place is Carey’s testimony at the post-
    conviction evidentiary hearing that it was months before trial
    when he and Wicks “first started talking about who the
    perpetrator was.”
    No. 18-1573                                                   25
    Finally, these problems with hypnosis undercut the Indiana
    court’s final reason for refusing post-conviction relief: Carey’s
    testimony indicated he was able to identify the assailant, but
    hypnosis was able to make him “extremely sure.” No one
    knows what effect the hypnosis had on Carey and it also belies
    the record for reasons discussed above.
    Considering the overall weakness of the prosecution case
    without Carey, the importance of his testimony, the explosive
    strength of the concealed hypnosis evidence, and the relatively
    mild impeachment of Carey that the defense managed at trial,
    habeas relief is required. The post-Brady cases involving strong
    concealed impeachment material for key prosecution wit-
    nesses—Smith, Giglio, Wearry, and Kyles—show beyond
    reasonable dispute that the prosecutor’s deliberate conceal-
    ment of the hypnosis evidence undermined confidence in the
    verdict that has kept Sims in prison for more than twenty
    years.
    III. CONCLUSION
    Given the suppression of the evidence was clearly a
    violation under Brady, the writ of habeas corpus should have
    been granted. Therefore, we reverse and remand the case to the
    district court with instructions to grant the writ of habeas
    corpus.
    26                                                 No. 18-1573
    BARRETT, Circuit Judge, dissenting. I dissent from the
    majority opinion because it fails to give the Indiana Court of
    Appeals the deference required by 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d). Under
    that provision, a federal court may grant habeas relief only if
    the state court proceedings (1) “resulted in a decision that was
    contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of,
    clearly established Federal law, as determined by the
    Supreme Court of the United States”; or (2) “resulted in a
    decision that was based on an unreasonable determination of
    the facts in light of the evidence presented in the State court
    proceeding.” The majority holds that the Indiana Court of
    Appeals’ decision satisfies § 2254(d)(1). I disagree. Even
    though I think that the undisclosed evidence of Carey’s
    hypnosis constitutes a Brady violation, it was neither contrary
    to, nor an unreasonable application of, clearly established
    federal law for the Indiana Court of Appeals to conclude
    otherwise.
    I.
    The Indiana Court of Appeals’ decision to deny Sims’s
    petition for post-conviction relief was not “contrary to”
    clearly established law as determined by the Supreme Court
    of the United States. A decision is “contrary to” clearly
    established federal law if it (1) “applies a rule different from
    the governing law set forth in our cases” or (2) “decides a case
    differently than [the Supreme Court] ha[s] done on a set of
    materially indistinguishable facts.” Bell v. Cone, 
    535 U.S. 685
    ,
    694 (2002). To apply this standard, we must first consider
    what rule has been clearly set forth in the Supreme Court’s
    caselaw.
    The three elements of a Brady violation have been clearly
    established, including the materiality prong at issue here. See,
    No. 18-1573                                                    27
    e.2727g., Goudy v. Basinger, 
    604 F.3d 394
    , 400 (7th Cir. 2010).
    Evidence is material if there is “a reasonable probability that,
    had the evidence been disclosed, the result of the proceeding
    would have been different.” Turner v. United States, 
    137 S. Ct. 1885
    , 1893 (2017) (internal quotation marks and citation
    omitted). A “reasonable probability” is one that “undermines
    confidence in the outcome of the trial.” Kyles v. Whitley, 
    514 U.S. 419
    , 434 (1995) (internal quotation marks omitted)
    (quoting United States v. Bagley, 
    473 U.S. 667
    , 678 (1985)). In
    addition, the holding in Giglio v. United States, 
    405 U.S. 150
    ,
    154 (1972), that impeachment evidence “falls within the Brady
    rule,” is likewise clearly established. See Bagley, 
    473 U.S. at 676
    ; Collier v. Davis, 
    301 F.3d 843
    , 848 (7th Cir. 2002).
    The majority’s first error comes in its description of the
    general rule that Brady establishes with respect to
    impeachment evidence. The Supreme Court has not held, as
    the majority would have it, that “‘[w]hen the reliability of a
    given witness may well be determinative of guilt or
    innocence, nondisclosure of the evidence affecting credibility’
    justifies a new trial under Brady.” Maj. Op. at 18 (emphasis
    added) (citing Giglio, 
    405 U.S. at 154
    ). The italicized phrase is
    the majority’s; the full sentence from Giglio is this: “[w]hen the
    reliability of a given witness may well be determinative of
    guilt or innocence, nondisclosure of the evidence affecting
    credibility falls within [Brady’s] general rule.” See Giglio, 
    405 U.S. at 154
     (quotation omitted). Again, that general rule asks
    whether the undisclosed evidence is material. And
    materiality—whether the evidence at issue is exculpatory or
    impeaching—is always a fact-intensive inquiry, as the
    sentences in Giglio immediately following the one that the
    majority quotes make clear:
    28                                                       No. 18-1573
    When the reliability of a given witness may well be
    determinative of guilt or innocence, nondisclosure
    of evidence affecting credibility falls within [Brady’s]
    general rule. We do not, however, automatically require
    a new trial whenever a combing of the prosecutors’ files
    after the trial has disclosed evidence possibly useful to the
    defense but not likely to have changed the verdict. A
    finding of materiality of the evidence is required under
    Brady.
    
    Id. at 154
     (emphasis added) (internal quotation marks,
    citations, and alteration omitted). In other words,
    impeachment evidence related to a key witness is material
    only if it undermines confidence in the verdict. See 
    id.
     at 154–
    55 (suppressed evidence of bias that called into question a key
    witness’s entire testimony was material); see also Kyles, 
    514 U.S. at
    441–42 (undisclosed contradictory statements by a key
    witness that arguably pointed to a suspect other than the
    defendant were material because they “substantially
    reduced” or “destroyed” the witness’s value). To be sure,
    impeachment evidence related to a key witness is more likely
    to be material than impeachment evidence related to a bit
    player. But contrary to the majority’s suggestion, the Supreme
    Court has never announced a hard-and-fast rule requiring a
    new trial when non-cumulative evidence related to the
    credibility of an important witness is suppressed. Even when
    it comes to a star witness, Giglio and its progeny require courts
    to evaluate whether the suppressed evidence is in fact
    material—not merely to assume it.
    The majority’s second error lies in its assertion that the
    Indiana Court of Appeals confused the Brady materiality
    standard with the Indiana Rules of Evidence. The Supreme
    No. 18-1573                                                    29
    Court has explained that “[a] federal habeas court may issue
    the writ under the ‘contrary to’ clause if the state court applies
    a rule different from the governing law set forth in our
    cases….” Bell, 
    535 U.S. at 694
    . According to the majority, the
    state court made that very error here—it says that the state
    court concluded that the suppressed evidence was not
    material because Carey’s identification would still have been
    admissible under state law. Maj. Op. at 20. But that
    fundamentally misreads the state court opinion. The Indiana
    Court of Appeals did explain that “[e]vidence derived from a
    hypnotically entranced witness” is inadmissible under state
    law unless “the State … demonstrate[s] by clear and
    convincing evidence that the witness’s ‘in-court identification
    has a factual basis independent of the hypnotic session.’” Ind.
    Ct. App. Op. at 7–8 (quoting Rowley v. State, 
    483 N.E.2d 1078
    ,
    1081 (Ind. 1985)). Yet it did not analyze Sims’s Brady claim
    under that standard. When it moved to the Brady issue, the
    court squarely identified and applied Brady.
    The Indiana Court of Appeals began by describing the trial
    court’s post-conviction decision, which held that while the
    evidence of hypnosis satisfied the first two prongs of Brady
    because it was both favorable and suppressed, it failed to
    satisfy the third prong because it was not material. See Ind. Ct.
    App. Op. at 8. The trial court fully recited the Brady standard,
    including the rule that “[e]vidence is material if there is a
    reasonable probability that disclosure would have changed
    the result in the proceeding.” After discussing the evidence in
    detail, the trial court concluded: “The evidence presented
    provides sufficient confidence in the verdict. The record
    reveals that Carey was able to identify Defendant before
    hypnosis. Thus the Court finds that the hypnosis disclosure
    30                                                 No. 18-1573
    would not have changed the outcome, and its nondisclosure
    did not amount to a Brady violation.”
    The Indiana Court of Appeals reviewed this reasoning,
    setting much of it forth verbatim, and agreed that the
    evidence was not material given the counterbalancing
    strength of the admissible identification: Carey got a good
    look at the assailant, gave a detailed description that matched
    Sims, and identified Sims in multiple pre-hypnosis photo
    lineups. It concluded that “the findings of fact and the record
    as a whole support the post-conviction court’s determination
    that it is not reasonably probable that the outcome of Sims’s
    trial would have been different had Carey’s hypnosis been
    disclosed.” Ind. Ct. App. Op. at 10. That is the Brady standard.
    See Turner, 137 S. Ct. at 1893 (explaining that evidence is
    material if there is “a reasonable probability that, had the
    evidence been disclosed, the result of the proceeding would
    have been different” (quotation omitted)). The majority is
    plainly correct that “Brady’s materiality standard is not an
    admissibility test,” Maj. Op. at 20, but neither the Indiana
    Court of Appeals nor the trial court treated it like one.
    A state court decision is “contrary to” clearly established
    law “if the state court applies a rule different from the
    governing law set forth in [the Supreme Court’s] cases, or if it
    decides a case differently than [the Supreme Court] ha[s]
    done on a set of materially indistinguishable facts.” Bell, 
    535 U.S. at 694
    . Here, there is no question that the state court
    applied the Brady materiality standard, and there is no
    attempt to identify a Supreme Court case with materially
    indistinguishable facts. Thus, the state court decision was not
    “contrary to” clearly established federal law.
    No. 18-1573                                                  31
    II.
    The majority’s stronger argument is that the Indiana Court
    of Appeals unreasonably applied Brady’s materiality prong to
    this set of facts. Section 2254(d)(1) prohibits us from
    approaching this question de novo; thus, we cannot simply
    ask whether the suppressed evidence of hypnosis creates a
    reasonable probability of a different result. Instead, we must
    ask the question that § 2254(d)(1) demands: whether it was
    unreasonable for the state court to conclude that evidence of
    hypnosis did not create a reasonable probability of a different
    result.
    This is a high bar: the state court’s application of federal
    law “must be objectively unreasonable, not merely wrong;
    even clear error will not suffice.” Woods v. Donald, 
    135 S. Ct. 1372
    , 1376 (2015) (per curiam) (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted). A prevailing habeas petitioner must “show
    that the state court’s ruling on the claim being presented in
    federal court was so lacking in justification that there was an
    error well understood and comprehended in existing law
    beyond any possibility for fairminded disagreement.”
    Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 103 (2011); see also Kidd v.
    Lemke, 
    734 F.3d 696
    , 703 (7th Cir. 2013) (“We must deny the
    writ if we can posit arguments or theories that could have
    supported the state court’s decision, and if fairminded jurists
    could disagree about whether those arguments or theories are
    inconsistent with Supreme Court holdings.”). The Indiana
    Court of Appeals’ conclusion that the evidence of hypnosis
    was not material—and thus that failure to disclose the
    evidence did not amount to a Brady violation—does not rise
    to that level.
    32                                                            No. 18-1573
    The majority finds fault in multiple aspects of the Indiana
    Court of Appeals’ reasoning. Many of its concerns, however,
    are objections to the facts found by that court. And without
    clear and convincing evidence that the state court was wrong,
    its factual determinations are not open for debate. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (e)(1) (“[A] determination of a factual issue made
    by a State court shall be presumed to be correct. The applicant
    shall have the burden of rebutting the presumption of
    correctness by clear and convincing evidence.”). 1
    Notably, the majority almost entirely discounts the facts
    that support the Indiana Court of Appeals’ conclusion that the
    suppressed evidence was immaterial. The state court found
    that Carey looked directly into the face of Sims in fair, outside
    lighting at the time of the shooting; offered a detailed
    description of Sims on-scene; identified Sims in a photo array
    at the hospital emergency room; and identified Sims again
    two days later in a photo array at the prosecutor’s office. The
    description and identifications are crucial because they all
    occurred well before Carey underwent a session of hypnosis
    and thus bolster the reliability of the in-court identification
    despite the evidence of hypnosis.
    1 Though the majority does not hold, and Sims does not argue, that
    the state court decision was “based on an unreasonable determination of
    the facts” under § 2254(d)(2), some of the language in the opinion seems
    to at least raise the question. It is therefore worth noting that
    unreasonableness under § 2254(d)(2) is a very stringent standard. A
    factual determination is unreasonable if it is “arbitrary,” Ben-Yisrayl v.
    Buss, 
    540 F.3d 542
    , 549 (7th Cir. 2008), but not if reasonable minds could
    disagree on the finding in question, Wood v. Allen, 
    558 U.S. 290
    , 301 (2010).
    In addition, we have held that Ҥ 2254(e)(1) provides the mechanism for
    proving unreasonableness.” Ben-Yisrayl, 
    540 F.3d at 549
    .
    No. 18-1573                                                           33
    The majority is particularly skeptical of the Indiana Court
    of Appeals’ finding that Carey identified Sims three times in
    photo lineups before hypnosis. Maj. Op. at 25–26. It claims
    that “significant doubt was cast on these lineups by the fact
    that Carey testified that he was initially only shown a single
    picture.” 
    Id.
     But there was a factual dispute on this point that
    the Indiana Court of Appeals resolved: it concluded that
    Carey was presented with a picture lineup in the hospital
    emergency room. 2 The majority has not attempted to
    demonstrate by clear and convincing evidence that this
    finding is wrong—nor could it, because Sims has not
    attempted to do so. Thus, we must accept the state court’s
    finding that Carey positively identified Sims in multiple pre-
    hypnosis photo lineups.
    Relatedly, the majority also suggests that Carey was able
    to identify Sims only after hypnosis. See Maj. Op. at 23, 26; see
    also 
    id.
     at 12–13. In the majority’s view, this conclusion is most
    consistent with the trial record and best explains why Carey
    or the prosecutor would have “felt it necessary” to undergo
    2 This issue was first raised when Sims moved for a mistrial after
    testimony from Carey in which “he indicated that he might have been
    shown a single picture of Sims before he was shown photo arrays which
    included Sims’s picture.” The trial court denied the motion and the court
    of appeals affirmed, noting that “there was other testimony and evidence
    to the effect that Carey had never been shown a single photograph, but
    was only shown arrays of six or seven photos,” and that in any event,
    “there was a sufficient basis, independent of any improper photo display,
    to support the admissibility of the in-court identification of Sims.” The
    issue arose again in the post-conviction proceedings, in which the state
    courts found that “when the police arrived at the hospital emergency
    room, they showed Carey photos of Sims and several other men, and
    Carey positively identified Sims as his assailant.”
    34                                                            No. 18-1573
    hypnosis at all. Id. at 26. But just as § 2254 does not permit us
    to review a state court’s application of federal law de novo, it
    also does not permit us to reweigh evidence according to our
    own best reading of the trial record. Both the state trial court
    and the Indiana Court of Appeals explicitly rejected the
    notion that Carey identified Sims only after hypnosis: “the
    contention that Carey was ‘only’ able to identify Petitioner
    following the hypnosis is at odds with other credible
    evidence … in the record.… From the record of the case,
    Carey was able to identify Petitioner well before hypnosis.”
    Ind. Ct. App. Op. at 6–7 (quoting the trial court); see also id. at
    9–10. The majority is not free to question this finding.
    After deciding for itself which facts are undisputed, the
    majority frames the materiality question this way: could a
    fairminded judge be confident in Sims’s conviction where the
    only evidence was Sims’s proximity to the scene of the crime
    and Carey’s solid but imperfect on-scene description? See Maj.
    Op. at 21, 25 (acknowledging Sims’s suspicious proximity to
    the scene and citing Carey’s description as the only other
    “undisputed details”). But that framing stacks the deck by
    sifting out evidence on which the state court relied in
    applying Brady—most significantly, Carey’s identification of
    Sims in the photo arrays. Absent clear and convincing
    evidence that the state court’s factual findings were wrong—
    which again, is not something that the majority undertakes to
    show—we are required to take the facts as the state court
    found them. 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (e)(1). 3
    3 The majority claims that I “assail [its] opinion” by contesting its factual
    findings with my own. Maj. Op. at 26. But that misses the point entirely.
    Section 2254 requires us to accept the facts as the state court presented
    them and determine whether, on those facts, the state court’s legal
    No. 18-1573                                                             35
    Doing that leaves us with the following facts. Carey gave
    an on-scene description of the shooter that matched, in many
    respects, a person crouching in the bushes behind a nearby
    dumpster. But the match was not perfect: Carey described a
    person with short hair and wearing boots, and Sims was
    apprehended apparently wearing a hat or hood and Nikes.
    Carey identified Sims in multiple pre-hypnosis photo arrays
    and “never identified any other as his assailant.” At some
    point, before trial, Carey underwent a single session of
    hypnosis to improve his memory of the event. There is no
    record of what happened during this session. At trial, Carey
    gave a more robust description of his assailant than the one
    given on-scene—adding details like the discoloration under
    Sims’s eye and the patch on his jacket—but he did not
    contradict his initial description. He testified that his memory
    of certain details had improved over time. Defense counsel
    cross-examined Carey on all inconsistencies with and
    additions to his initial description of the shooter. An officer
    testified that, from the very beginning, Carey said that he
    could identify the assailant, and that Carey’s description of
    the assailant matched Sims. The government never found the
    gun used to shoot Carey. The jury found Sims guilty of
    attempted murder.
    The Indiana trial court drew two important conclusions
    from these facts in its post-conviction review. First, it decided
    that the government had proven by clear and convincing
    evidence that Carey’s in-court identification of Sims had a
    sufficient factual basis independent of hypnosis. Second, the
    conclusions constituted an unreasonable application of federal law. I don’t
    contest any of the majority’s factual findings, only its authority to make
    them.
    36                                                  No. 18-1573
    court noted that the distinctive elements of Carey’s trial
    testimony, compared to his initial description, “were fully
    developed, examined and vigorously discussed in cross
    examination,” which gave the jury the opportunity to weigh
    Carey’s credibility regarding the differences. Given that the
    government would still have been able to introduce a strong,
    reliable in-court identification of Sims and that, in the court’s
    view, many of the problems raised by hypnosis were already
    addressed by robust cross-examination, the court held that
    the “evidence presented provides sufficient confidence in the
    verdict.” The Indiana Court of Appeals agreed. It emphasized
    the independent strength of the in-court identification and the
    “vigorous cross-examination” of Carey before holding that “it
    is not reasonably probable that the outcome of Sims’s trial
    would have been different had Carey’s hypnosis been
    disclosed.” Ind. Ct. App. Op. at 10.
    That decision does not involve an objectively
    unreasonable application of clearly established federal law.
    The state courts suggested that the undisclosed evidence
    would have been largely cumulative, and therefore not
    material, because the defense was already able to cross-
    examine Carey about the differences in his testimony. The
    Supreme Court has held that “largely cumulative”
    impeachment evidence is not material. See Turner, 137 S. Ct.
    at 1894. The majority acknowledges Turner’s holding but
    disagrees that the hypnosis evidence would have been
    cumulative. In its view, the newly discovered evidence of
    hypnosis would have “changed [Carey’s] cross-examination
    quite dramatically” and “calls into question everything Carey
    said at trial.” Maj. Op. at 21, 23. But neither outcome is
    obviously true.
    No. 18-1573                                                             37
    Indeed, had the evidence of hypnosis been disclosed,
    defense counsel would have likely emphasized the dangers of
    hypnotically-refreshed testimony discussed in Rock v.
    Arkansas. See 
    483 U.S. 44
    , 59–60 (1987). At best, however, the
    effect of that argument would have been to undermine the
    reliability and credibility of any part of Carey’s testimony that
    could not be traced to his memory prior to hypnosis. It was
    not objectively unreasonable, then, for the state court to
    conclude that the impeachment evidence was largely
    cumulative: the vulnerable parts of Carey’s testimony—
    describing the discoloration under Sims’s eye and the patch
    on his jacket—were already undermined by defense counsel’s
    cross-examination stressing that such details appeared
    nowhere in Carey’s on-scene description.
    But that debate is at the periphery. Under Indiana law
    evidence derived from hypnosis is inadmissible. See Ind. Ct.
    App. Op. at 7 (citing Rowley, 483 N.E.2d at 1081). Thus, the
    question is not whether cross-examination of hypnotically-
    refreshed testimony would have been effective—notably, the
    question that Rock speaks to.4 The question is whether without
    the hypnotically-refreshed testimony, a reasonable jurist
    could be confident in the conviction. Acknowledging the
    effectiveness of defense counsel’s cross-examination was one
    4 Rock’s discussion of the dangers of hypnotically-refreshed testimony
    and the ineffectiveness of cross-examination on such testimony took place
    in the context of considering the admissibility of post-hypnosis testimony.
    See 
    483 U.S. 44
    , 53, 61 (1987) (distinguishing between post-hypnosis
    testimony and testimony that a litigant could “prove to be the product of
    prehypnosis memory” for the purposes of its analysis). Notably, Rock’s
    holding actually offered some protection for hypnotically-refreshed—that
    is, derived from hypnosis—testimony. See 
    id. at 61
     (post-hypnosis
    testimony is not categorically unreliable).
    38                                                    No. 18-1573
    way for the state court to test this question—i.e., because the
    defense counsel cast substantial doubt on the reliability of the
    hypnotically-refreshed testimony, a reasonable jurist could be
    confident that the pre-hypnosis evidence and testimony
    drove the verdict.
    As an additional ground for its immateriality decision,
    however, the state court considered the pre-hypnosis
    evidence—and admissible identification related to that
    evidence—in isolation and expressed confidence that the jury
    would have still decided to convict. The only additional boost
    that the evidence of hypnosis would have given Sims’s
    defense counsel on cross-examination under these
    circumstances would have been to raise questions about why
    Carey underwent hypnosis in the first place. Certainly, the
    jury might have some discomfort with the fact that Carey felt
    the need to undergo hypnosis—as the majority does, and as I
    do. But the key is the reliability of Carey’s identification of
    Sims.
    Evidence of hypnosis and Carey’s reduced credibility over
    time could not have retroactively undermined the reliability
    of his contemporaneous description of the events and the
    assailant or his multiple pre-hypnosis photo-lineup
    identifications of Sims. Cf. Neil v. Biggers, 
    409 U.S. 188
    , 199–
    200 (1972) (identifying “the opportunity of the witness to
    view the criminal at the time of the crime, the witness’ degree
    of attention, the accuracy of the witness’ prior description of
    the criminal, the level of certainty demonstrated by the
    witness …, and the length of time between the crime and the
    [identification]” as factors relevant to reliability). Nor could it
    have changed the fact that the police discovered Sims peering
    down on the scene behind a nearby dumpster. Thus, unlike
    No. 18-1573                                                   39
    the cases that the majority cites, in which the undisclosed
    evidence either contradicted the witness’s in-court
    identification or shattered the credibility of a witness with no
    contemporaneous        corroboration      for     his    in-court
    identification, Carey’s contemporaneous description and pre-
    hypnosis identifications were independently reliable and
    consistent with his in-court identification. Cf. Wearry v. Cain,
    
    136 S. Ct. 1002
    , 1004–05 (2016) (per curiam) (undisclosed
    statements suggested that the witness was attempting to
    frame the defendant; undisclosed evidence suggested that the
    witness was biased; undisclosed medical evidence suggested
    that it would have been impossible for the defendant to have
    done the things that the witness described); Smith v. Cain, 
    565 U.S. 73
    , 74–76 (2012) (witness’s undisclosed contemporaneous
    statements directly contradicted the testimony supporting his
    in-court identification); Kyles, 
    514 U.S. at
    441–42 (witness’s
    undisclosed contemporaneous statements contradicted the
    in-court identification).
    In short, the state court concluded that the evidence of
    hypnosis was not only cumulative but also comparatively
    weak in light of the strength and reliability of Carey’s pre-
    hypnosis description and identifications. That conclusion is
    not “beyond any possibility for fairminded disagreement.”
    See Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 103
    . Here, Carey’s hypnotically-
    refreshed testimony was not “the only evidence linking [Sims]
    to the crime.” See Smith, 
    565 U.S. at 76
    . With a solid on-scene
    description, multiple untainted photo-array identifications,
    and an in-court identification by the victim—not to mention
    Sims’s suspicious behavior and proximity to the scene of the
    crime—a fair-minded jurist could be confident in the jury’s
    verdict, even if we are not. See Kidd, 734 F.3d at 703.
    40                                                No. 18-1573
    ***
    Again, if I were deciding the question de novo, I would
    agree with the majority that the suppressed evidence of
    hypnosis undermined confidence in the verdict. But because
    I can’t say that the Indiana Court of Appeals’ decision was “so
    lacking in justification that there was an error well
    understood and comprehended in existing law beyond any
    possibility for fairminded disagreement,” Harrington, 
    562 U.S. at 103
    , I would affirm the district court’s denial of Sims’s
    habeas corpus petition.