Omnicare, Inc. v. Unitedhealth Group, Inc. , 629 F.3d 697 ( 2011 )


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  •                                In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 09-1152
    O MNICARE, INC.,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    U NITEDH EALTH G ROUP, INC.,
    P ACIFIC ARE H EALTH S YSTEMS, INC.,
    and R XS OLUTIONS, INC., d/b/a
    P RESCRIPTION S OLUTIONS,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 06 C 6235—Rebecca R. Pallmeyer, Judge.
    A RGUED N OVEMBER 13, 2009—D ECIDED JANUARY 10, 2011
    BeforeK ANNE and T INDER,                 Circuit     Judges,   and
    G RIESBACH, District Judge.Œ
    Œ
    The Honorable William C. Griesbach, United States District
    Judge for the Eastern District of Wisconsin, sitting by designa-
    tion.
    2                                             No. 09-1152
    T INDER, Circuit Judge. In the months leading up to the
    2006 launch of Medicare Part D, institutional pharmacy
    Omnicare entered into separate service contracts with
    merging Medicare Part D plan sponsors UnitedHealth
    Group and PacifiCare. The terms of the UnitedHealth
    Group contract were favorable to Omnicare; the terms
    of the PacifiCare contract, which Omnicare signed with-
    out negotiation, were significantly less so. Shortly after
    the UnitedHealth Group-PacifiCare merger was finalized,
    UnitedHealth Group abandoned its contract with Omni-
    care and joined PacifiCare’s. Omnicare cried foul and
    filed a Sherman Act claim, alleging that UnitedHealth
    Group and PacifiCare conspired to depress the rate of
    reimbursement it would receive. It also raised a host of
    additional claims, including state antitrust claims and
    common law fraud, conspiracy to commit fraud and
    unjust enrichment claims. The district court granted
    summary judgment to the insurers and denied Omnicare’s
    cross motion for partial summary judgment. Omnicare
    appeals, and we affirm.
    I. Background
    Plaintiff-appellant Omnicare is the nation’s largest
    institutional pharmacy. It provides pharmaceutical
    services to long-term care facilities, such as nursing
    homes, in 47 states. Defendant-appellee UnitedHealth
    Group (“United”) is a large national provider of health
    insurance. It acquired defendant-appellee PacifiCare, a
    smaller, California-based health insurer, on December 20,
    2005. As part of that acquisition, United also became the
    No. 09-1152                                            3
    owner of PacifiCare’s wholly owned subsidiary, defendant-
    appellee RxSolutions, a “pharmacy benefits manager”
    (“PBM”) that negotiates contracts with pharmacies and
    processes claims from plan members. See In re Pharmacy
    Benefits Managers Antitrust Litig., 
    582 F.3d 432
    , 434 (3d
    Cir. 2009) (describing PBMs).
    United and PacifiCare began their merger talks in
    early 2005, while each was developing an individual
    Medicare Part D plan proposal. Medicare Part D, a new
    government-subsidized prescription drug program for
    seniors and disabled individuals, was scheduled to
    “go live” on January 1, 2006, and the Centers for Medi-
    care and Medicaid Services (“CMS”) required private
    insurers to submit their plan proposals for consideration
    by August 1, 2005. Insurers whose plans were approved
    would be permitted to enter into contracts with CMS
    and begin providing benefits to Medicare Part D enrollees
    in January 2006. Before their plans could be approved,
    plan sponsors had to demonstrate to CMS that they had
    in place pharmacy networks capable of serving their
    anticipated enrollees. To assemble these networks, which
    had to include enough retail and institutional pharmacies
    to provide “convenient access” for enrollees, including
    Medicaid-eligible individuals who would be randomly
    assigned to Part D plans in late 2005, plan sponsors had
    to negotiate reimbursement contracts with numerous
    pharmacies. Both United and PacifiCare were negotiating
    contracts with Omnicare during the period of due dili-
    gence preceding their merger.
    PacifiCare employed its in-house PBM RxSolutions
    to conduct its negotiations with Omnicare. By all
    4                                            No. 09-1152
    accounts the negotiations did not proceed smoothly. In
    early June 2005, RxSolutions sent to Omnicare a copy of
    PacifiCare’s “any willing provider” contract, a form
    contract that CMS required Part D plan sponsors to
    develop and make available to any pharmacy willing to
    sign it. Omnicare in turn sent RxSolutions its own form
    contract, which included eighteen “Patient Protections”
    that Omnicare developed to address the special needs
    of long-term care patients. Omnicare and RxSolutions
    attempted to negotiate, but because each insisted on
    using its own form contract as the starting point they
    never made it out of the gate. By mid-July, eight days
    after United and PacifiCare signed their formal merger
    agreement, negotiations between Omnicare and Pacifi-
    Care broke down completely when PacifiCare, citing
    price concerns, walked away from the table. Omnicare
    assured PacifiCare that it would “stand ready to negoti-
    ate,” but PacifiCare eschewed Omnicare’s overtures
    and submitted its Part D bid to CMS without Omnicare
    in its pharmacy network. After its application was
    rejected, PacifiCare reopened negotiations with other
    pharmaceutical service providers, including Omnicare’s
    competitor Managed Healthcare Associates, Inc., to
    remedy deficiencies in its pharmacy network. PacifiCare
    secured CMS approval for its Part D plan in Septem-
    ber 2005 without Omnicare in its network.
    United also enlisted the assistance of a PBM, Walgreens
    Health Initiatives (“WHI”), to negotiate with Omnicare
    on its behalf. After some back-and-forth over reimburse-
    ment rates, WHI and Omnicare were able to agree on a
    contract under which Omnicare would provide pharma-
    No. 09-1152                                                       5
    ceutical services to United’s Part D enrollees who lived
    in Omnicare-contracted long-term care facilities. United,
    to whom the enrollees would pay their premiums, would
    then reimburse Omnicare at a rate of AWP-12% plus a
    fixed dispensing fee per prescription filled.1 This reim-
    bursement rate was comparable to the rates Omnicare
    negotiated with most other health insurers. The United-
    Omnicare contract, which was executed on July 29, 2005,
    included Omnicare’s eighteen “Patient Protections.”
    United submitted its bid to CMS, with Omnicare in
    its pharmacy network, and received approval to operate
    an extensive Part D plan. Shortly after signing its con-
    tract with Omnicare and securing CMS approval, how-
    1
    “AWP” stands for “average wholesale price,” which is the
    published price a pharmacy is supposed to pay when it
    acquires a drug from a wholesaler. The actual prices phar-
    macies pay are typically lower than AWP, which has been
    characterized as a suggested retail price and likened to a
    “sticker price” on a new car. See, e.g., In re Pharm. Indus. Average
    Wholesale Price Litig., 
    582 F.3d 156
    , 165 (1st Cir. 2009). Appellees
    report that the average pharmacy actually pays wholesalers
    AWP-22% for prescription drugs. Assuming this number is
    accurate for the sake of example, Omnicare would pay $78 to
    get a drug with an AWP of $100, but would be reimbursed
    $88, plus a per-transaction dispensing fee, when it sold the
    drug to a United Part D plan enrollee. It is in Omnicare’s inter-
    est to maximize its reimbursement rate by negotiating a low
    percentage discount from AWP and a high dispensing fee. It
    contrast, it is in United’s (and other insurers’) interest to
    minimize the rate it pays to Omnicare by negotiating a high
    percentage discount from AWP and a low dispensing fee.
    6                                               No. 09-1152
    ever, United enlisted outside counsel to advise it on the
    legality of the “Patient Protections” and other Omnicare-
    engineered provisions in the contract. It did not apprise
    Omnicare of its concerns and expressly forbade its
    PBM from doing so.
    While the Part D network negotiations and proposal
    developments were winding down, the merger between
    United and PacifiCare was picking up. Both insurers
    had due diligence teams in place, and by early
    June 2005, the teams were meeting regularly to discuss a
    variety of topics, including PacifiCare’s plans for its
    Part D program. United tried to assuage its concerns
    about PacifiCare’s Part D readiness by giving PacifiCare
    a list of “Part D Questions” to answer. In its responses,
    PacifiCare revealed that its expected reimbursement rate
    for network pharmacies was AWP-16%. PacifiCare
    also provided United with a copy of its standard “any
    willing provider” form contract.
    An actuary employed by a United affiliate met with
    PacifiCare representatives in early July 2005 to discuss the
    potential financial risks associated with Part D. At the
    meeting, PacifiCare disclosed its projected national
    average bids for its Part D plans. The actuary in turn
    provided, in a sealed envelope that was addressed to a
    PacifiCare executive who was not present, corresponding
    information concerning United’s projected Part D plans.
    Following the meeting, the actuary prepared a writ-
    ten summary of the actuarial risks associated with
    PacifiCare’s projected Part D strategy and then disquali-
    fied himself from further Part D involvement. United’s
    No. 09-1152                                              7
    board approved the acquisition in short order after
    being briefed on the actuary’s summary, and PacifiCare
    and United executed a formal merger agreement on
    July 6, 2005. The merger agreement included a provision
    barring PacifiCare from entering contracts under which
    it would incur liabilities of more than $3 million prior
    to the consummation of the merger; a contemporaneous
    “company disclosure letter” also in the record (and re-
    ferred to in the merger agreement) explicitly exempted Part
    D contracts from that prohibition.
    After the merger agreement was signed, but before
    the deal closed, United and PacifiCare discussed how
    they might integrate their operations if the merger were
    approved by the Department of Justice’s Antitrust Divi-
    sion. (The merger was ultimately approved on Decem-
    ber 20, 2005, after United and PacfiCare divested them-
    selves of some overlapping holdings.) In Septem-
    ber 2005, PacifiCare and United executives began colla-
    borating on a memorandum (the “strategic options
    memo” or “SOM”) entitled “United Health Group’s
    Pharmacy Management Options.” The SOM outlined
    various “strategic options” that the merged entities
    could eventually take with regard to RxSolutions, Pacifi-
    Care’s in-house PBM. One of the suggestions made in
    the SOM was to use RxSolutions “as a stalking horse to
    obtain the best service and contracts.” Several iterations
    of the SOM were circulated among United and Pacifi-
    Care executives from September 2005 until at least
    January 2006. Although the “stalking horse” language
    was present in all the drafts, it was used in connection
    with different strategic options as the SOM evolved. The
    8                                              No. 09-1152
    very first circulated draft of the SOM was attached to
    a lengthy e-mail in which a PacifiCare executive pro-
    posed discussing unspecified “sensitive items voice to
    voice” with a United executive.
    United and PacifiCare’s internal communications were
    not known to Omnicare at the time, but their merger was
    widely publicized. See, e.g., Milt Freudenheim, United-
    Health to Buy PacifiCare in Push into Medicare, N.Y. Times,
    July 7, 2005, at C1; Vanessa Fuhrmans, Dennis K. Berman
    & Rhonda Rundle, Two Health Plans Agree on a Deal for $8.1
    Billion—UnitedHealth Adds Heft in California and Medicare
    with move on PacifiCare, Wall St. J., July 7, 2005, at A1.
    Indeed, when Omnicare “became concerned that
    PacifiCare-insured patients in [long-term care facilities]
    serviced exclusively by Omnicare would be unable to
    obtain their medications after January 1, 2006” because
    Omnicare and PacifiCare still lacked a contract, it
    reached out to United, not PacifiCare. In mid-October,
    Omnicare’s Senior Vice President of Professional Services
    and Purchasing, Tim Bien, sent an e-mail to United, asking,
    “When the deal closes, will PacifiCare be contracted
    with Omnicare as a result of the acquisition?” Craig
    Stephens, Vice President of Industry Relations and Net-
    works at United, received the e-mail and forwarded
    it to United’s in-house counsel, commenting, “Inter-
    esting—should we assume PacifiCare has not agreed
    with Omnicare?” Stephens also conferred with some
    United executives, two of whom Omnicare alleges had
    access to PacifiCare’s Part D pricing information and
    contracting strategy, before sending Bien a reply e-mail
    on October 31. The reply stated in its entirety, “Pacifi-
    No. 09-1152                                            9
    Care’s Part D offering for 2006 is a unique contract
    with CMS. If and when the deal closes, PacifiCare will
    follow their own Part D product strategy throughout the
    2006 calendar year.” Bien forwarded this reply to
    Omnicare’s CEO, adding, “PacifiCare will not be in-
    cluded with the United Part D offering.”
    Omnicare concluded from Stephens’s response that it
    would need a separate contract with PacifiCare if it
    wanted to serve PacifiCare’s Part D enrollees. It then
    took the unusual step of approaching PacifiCare,
    through its agent RxSolutions, to reopen negotiations
    in November 2005. (Most other insurers who did not
    initially contract with Omnicare later approached
    Omnicare if they wanted to add Omnicare to their phar-
    macy networks.) Omnicare asked PacifiCare for its best
    offer. PacifiCare, whose pharmacy network had already
    been approved by CMS, told Omnicare that its
    negotiating position had not changed and responded by
    sending Omnicare another copy of its “any willing pro-
    vider” contract. Omnicare did not send PacifiCare its
    own form contract, make a counteroffer, propose the
    addition of any of its eighteen “Patient Protections,” or
    otherwise seek to negotiate any contractual terms with
    PacifiCare. Its CEO instead simply signed PacifiCare’s
    “any willing provider” contract on December 6, 2005,
    two weeks before the United-PacifiCare merger formally
    closed. Under this contract, Omnicare’s reimburse-
    ment rate was fixed at AWP-16% plus a relatively low
    dispensing fee; this reimbursement rate was the lowest
    rate Omnicare contracted for with any national
    pharmacy but was higher than the rates it contracted
    for with at least three small pharmacies.
    10                                            No. 09-1152
    Two days after Omnicare signed the PacifiCare
    contract, United, at a scheduled meeting, finally informed
    Omnicare of its concerns about the “Patient Protections”
    contained in its contract. United—without the aid of
    WHI—then reopened negotiations with Omnicare in an
    attempt to get the “Patient Protections” excised from
    the contract. The negotiations reached an impasse in
    January 2006, several weeks after the United-PacifiCare
    merger was complete. At that point, United’s Craig
    Stephens e-mailed a PacifiCare employee, asking, “Quick
    question— do you have a Part D network with Omnicare
    for [institutional] pharmacy?” The PacifiCare employee
    responded affirmatively, and the two met to discuss
    the matter. After that discussion, Stephens e-mailed
    United’s in-house counsel: “I learned . . . yesterday that
    [PacifiCare] has a favorable agreement in place with
    Omnicare. We need to understand if we can utilize the
    agreement for our business—this may offer a different
    approach we can take with Omnicare.”
    The PacifiCare-Omnicare agreement contained a pro-
    vision that allowed PBM RxSolutions to add new clients
    to the agreement without obtaining consent from
    Omnicare. It also lacked Omnicare’s “Patient Protections”
    and included a far lower reimbursement rate than the
    one United was presently required to pay Omnicare
    under the WHI-negotiated contract. (It did, however,
    include a provision that allowed Omnicare to terminate
    the contract with or without cause upon 180 days’
    written notice.) United informed Omnicare in late Feb-
    ruary 2006 that, as a newly minted RxSolutions client,
    it was going to join the PacifiCare-Omnicare contract,
    effective April 1, 2006.
    No. 09-1152                                              11
    Omnicare was dissatisfied with this turn of events,
    which would place more than one-third of its Part D
    business under the governance of a pro-insurer contract.
    It threatened United with legal action. United expressed
    its desire to cultivate a “long-lasting relationship with
    Omnicare” and agreed to provide Omnicare with a
    higher reimbursement rate through April while the
    parties tried to reach a contractual middle ground. Never-
    theless, the parties’ negotiations over future reimburse-
    ment rates and other contract terms quickly soured.
    Omnicare followed through on its threat of legal action
    by filing this suit in May 2006.
    In its complaint, originally filed in the Eastern District
    of Kentucky, where its corporate headquarters are
    located, Omnicare alleged that United, PacifiCare, and
    RxSolutions (collectively “Defendants”) violated the
    Sherman Antitrust Act, 
    15 U.S.C. § 1
    , and a parallel state
    statute, the Kentucky Consumer Protection Act, 
    Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 367.175
    . Omnicare alleged that Defen-
    dants formed a “buyers’ cartel” in which they shared
    information and conspired to gain a competitive ad-
    vantage over Omnicare, the seller of pharmaceutical
    services. Omnicare also alleged that Defendants com-
    mitted fraud, conspired to do so, and unjustly enriched
    themselves at Omnicare’s expense by switching United
    to PacifiCare’s more favorable contract. Defendants
    successfully moved to transfer the action to the Northern
    District of Illinois. (The contract United originally signed
    with Omnicare provided that Illinois courts were to
    have exclusive jurisdiction over disputes “arising under
    or in connection with” it.) The transfer was treated as
    12                                            No. 09-1152
    change of venue under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1404
    (a), see Kerobo v.
    Sw. Clean Fuels Corp., 
    285 F.3d 531
    , 535 (6th Cir. 2002),
    and no party now contests its validity.
    Once the case was relocated to the Northern District
    of Illinois, Defendants moved to dismiss Omnicare’s
    antitrust claims pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Pro-
    cedure 12(b)(6). The district court allowed the claims to
    go forward, concluding that Omnicare had “pleaded facts
    which plausibly suggest that the merger agreement
    constituted a contract, combination, or conspiracy
    between UnitedHealth and PacifiCare under section 1 of
    the Sherman Act.” Omnicare, Inc. v. UnitedHealth Group,
    Inc., 
    524 F. Supp. 2d 1031
    , 1039 (N.D. Ill. 2007). After
    extensive discovery, Defendants moved for summary
    judgment on all of Omnicare’s claims. Omnicare cross-
    moved for partial summary judgment, arguing that De-
    fendants’ five affirmative defenses failed as a matter
    of law. The district court fully granted Defendants’
    motion and denied Omnicare’s. Omnicare challenges
    these outcomes.
    II. Discussion
    A. Sherman Act Claims
    1. Overview & Standard of Review
    Omnicare alleges that United and PacifiCare coordi-
    nated their negotiations with Omnicare to avoid
    Omnicare’s “Patient Protections” and depress the reim-
    bursement rates they paid to Omnicare beneath the com-
    petitive level. Their alleged agreement had its genesis in
    No. 09-1152                                             13
    their pre-merger due diligence, during which Omnicare
    contends United learned competitively sensitive infor-
    mation about PacifiCare’s Part D plans. United, armed
    with the knowledge that PacifiCare’s anticipated Part D
    reimbursement rates were significantly lower than its
    own, allegedly agreed with PacifiCare that United
    would enter into a contract with Omnicare while
    PacifiCare played hardball, offering Omnicare only
    its “any willing provider” contract that had a low reim-
    bursement rate and lacked Omnicare’s “Patient
    Protections.” Omnicare alleges that this plan unfolded
    precisely as described in the strategic options memo;
    PacifiCare acted as a “stalking horse,” while United lay
    patiently in wait. When Omnicare inquired about
    PacifiCare’s contracting plans some months later,
    United seized its opportunity and provided Omnicare
    with an intentionally misleading response that induced
    Omnicare to sign PacifiCare’s “any willing provider”
    contract without negotiation. Shortly thereafter, the
    allegations continue, United completed its end of the
    agreement by concocting pretextual reasons to exit
    its contract with Omnicare and then joining PacifiCare’s.
    Omnicare contends that these actions constitute a
    buyers’ cartel that is per se violative of the Sherman Act.
    It disputes the district court’s conclusion that it failed
    to produce sufficient evidence to create a genuine issue
    of material fact as to the existence of an anticompeti-
    tive agreement between United and PacifiCare.
    Omnicare also challenges the district court’s analytical
    methods and evaluation of its evidence. It claims that the
    district court evaluated its evidence in a piecemeal
    14                                             No. 09-1152
    rather than in the proper holistic fashion, see Kochert v.
    Greater Lafayette Health Servs., Inc., 
    463 F.3d 710
    , 717
    (7th Cir. 2006); In re High Fructose Corn Syrup Antitrust
    Litig., 
    295 F.3d 651
    , 655-56 (7th Cir. 2002); ignored, dis-
    counted, and failed to draw favorable inferences from
    evidence it presented; usurped the role of the jury by
    inappropriately weighing evidence; and drew inferences
    in Defendants’ favor.
    We find no merit in Omnicare’s claims that the
    district court bungled its analysis in its thorough
    opinion and order. Even on summary judgment,
    district courts are not required to draw every requested
    inference; they must only draw reasonable ones that
    are supported by the record. See Omosegbon v. Wells,
    
    335 F.3d 668
    , 677 (7th Cir. 2003). The district court’s
    refusal to infer collusion from evidence put forth by
    Omnicare is in accordance with this general principle,
    and, importantly, does not amount to inappropriately
    drawing inferences in favor of Defendants. District
    courts are also not bound to discuss in detail every
    single factual allegation put forth at the summary judg-
    ment stage. Fresenius USA, Inc. v. Baxter Int’l Inc., 
    582 F.3d 1288
    , 1303 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (“[T]here is no require-
    ment that the district court’s opinion discuss every
    single fact alleged.”). Omnicare is correct that district
    courts presiding over summary judgment proceedings
    may not “weigh conflicting evidence,” High Fructose
    Corn Syrup, 
    295 F.3d at 655
    , or make credibility deter-
    minations, see Washington v. Haupert, 
    481 F.3d 543
    , 550
    (7th Cir. 2007), both of which are the province of the
    jury. But the district court here did not make credibility
    No. 09-1152                                               15
    determinations, and it did not inappropriately weigh
    evidence. It instead scrutinized the evidence in what
    was substantively a holistic fashion, adhering closely to
    the governing law we outline below.
    We review the district court’s grant of summary judg-
    ment de novo. See, e.g., Tri-Gen Inc. v. Int’l Union of Oper-
    ating Eng’rs, Local 150, 
    433 F.3d 1024
    , 1030 (7th Cir.
    2006). In doing so, we construe all facts and reasonable
    inferences in favor of the nonmoving party, 
    id.,
     and take
    care not to weigh any conflicting evidence, McCann v.
    Iroquois Mem. Hosp., 
    622 F.3d 745
    , 752 (7th Cir. 2010);
    High Fructose Corn Syrup, 
    295 F.3d at 655
     (describing
    the weighing of evidence as a “trap” to avoid when
    “deciding whether there is enough evidence of price
    fixing to create a jury issue”). But Omnicare cannot
    merely rest on its pleadings; it must affirmatively dem-
    onstrate, by producing evidence that is more than
    “merely colorable,” that there is a genuine issue for trial.
    Anderson v. Liberty Lobby, Inc., 
    477 U.S. 242
    , 249 (1986).
    2. Governing Law
    Section 1 of the Sherman Act (“§ 1”), 
    15 U.S.C. § 1
    ,
    is designed to prevent businesses from entering into
    collusive agreements, and section 4 of the Clayton Act,
    
    15 U.S.C. § 15
    , provides a private cause of action for the
    enforcement of § 1. (Section 4 also provides treble dam-
    ages and attorneys’ fees to successful antitrust plaintiffs.)
    By its terms, § 1 prohibits “[e]very contract, combina-
    tion . . . or conspiracy, in restraint of trade or commerce,”
    
    15 U.S.C. § 1
    , though courts have long restricted its
    16                                                No. 09-1152
    reach to agreements that unreasonably restrain trade,
    see State Oil Co. v. Khan, 
    522 U.S. 3
    , 10 (1997). Agreements
    to fix prices unambiguously fall within the ambit of § 1.
    United States v. Socony-Vacuum Oil Co., 
    310 U.S. 150
    , 223
    (1940).
    Ordinarily, price-fixing agreements exist between
    sellers who collude to set their prices above or below
    prevailing market prices. But buyers may also violate
    § 1 by forming what is sometimes known as a “buyers’
    cartel.” See Sanner v. Bd. of Trade of City of Chi., 
    62 F.3d 918
    , 927-28 (7th Cir. 1995) (conspiracy to depress
    soybean prices, intended to benefit soybean buyers,
    created cause of action in soybean sellers); Vogel v. Am.
    Soc. of Appraisers, 
    744 F.2d 598
    , 601 (7th Cir. 1984) (“[B]uyer
    cartels, the object of which is to force the prices that
    suppliers charge the members of the cartel below the
    competitive level, are illegal per se. Just as a sellers’
    cartel enables the charging of monopoly prices, a buyers’
    cartel enables the charging of monopsony prices; and
    monopoly and monopsony are symmetrical distortions
    of competition from an economic standpoint.” (citations
    omitted)). That is what Omnicare alleges happened here.
    To prevail under § 1 under any theory, plaintiffs gener-
    ally must prove three things: (1) that defendants had
    a contract, combination, or conspiracy (“an agreement”);
    (2) that as a result, trade in the relevant market was
    unreasonably restrained; and (3) that they were injured.
    Denny’s Marina, Inc. v. Renfro Prods., Inc., 
    8 F.3d 1217
    ,
    1220 (7th Cir. 1993); cf. Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co. v. Zenith
    Radio Corp., 
    475 U.S. 574
    , 585-86 (1986) (“To survive peti-
    No. 09-1152                                                 17
    tioners’ motion for summary judgment, respondents
    must establish that there is a genuine issue of material
    fact as to whether petitioners entered into an illegal
    conspiracy that caused respondents to suffer a cog-
    nizable injury.”). Sometimes the second element is con-
    clusively presumed once the first is proved; certain
    types of trade-restraining agreements, such as horizontal
    price-fixing ones like Omnicare alleges here, are con-
    sidered per se unreasonable. See, e.g., Tri-Gen, 
    433 F.3d at 1032
    . Omnicare was unable to reap the benefit of
    the presumption, however, because the district court
    concluded that Omnicare’s case faltered at the first
    stage. It granted Defendants’ motion for summary judg-
    ment after finding that “Omnicare has failed to produce
    evidence of action by UnitedHealth and PacifiCare that
    is inconsistent with lawful conduct on the part of
    two competing entities engaged in legitimate merger
    discussions and planning.” Omnicare, Inc. v. UnitedHealth
    Group, Inc., 
    594 F. Supp. 2d 945
    , 974 (N.D. Ill. 2009); see
    also Celotex Corp. v. Catrett, 
    477 U.S. 317
    , 322 (1986) (noting
    that summary judgment must be entered “against a
    party who fails to make a showing sufficient to establish
    the existence of an element essential to that party’s case,
    and on which that party will bear the burden of proof
    at trial”).
    To show concerted action, antitrust plaintiffs must
    produce evidence that would allow a jury to infer that
    the alleged conspirators “had a conscious commitment
    to a common scheme designed to achieve an unlawful
    objective.” Monsanto Co. v. Spray-Rite Serv. Corp., 
    465 U.S. 752
    , 764 (1984). That is, the circumstances of the
    18                                               No. 09-1152
    case must reveal “a unity of purpose or a common
    design and understanding, or a meeting of minds in an
    unlawful arrangement.” Am. Tobacco Co. v. United States,
    
    328 U.S. 781
    , 810 (1946). Two separate economic
    decisionmakers must be joined, “depriv[ing] the market-
    place of independent centers of decisionmaking and
    therefore of a diversity of entrepreneurial interests.” Am.
    Needle, Inc. v. Nat’l Football League, 
    130 S. Ct. 2201
    , 2212
    (2010) (quotation and citation omitted); see also Copper-
    weld Corp. v. Independence Tube Corp., 
    467 U.S. 752
    , 769
    (1984) (noting that in an anticompetitive agreement,
    “two or more entities that previously pursued their own
    interests separately . . . combin[e] to act as one for
    their common benefit” in the restraint of trade); cf.
    Kartell v. Blue Shield of Mass., Inc., 
    749 F.2d 922
    , 930 (1st
    Cir. 1984) (Breyer, J.) (“Competitors cannot agree, for
    example, to insist that their contracts . . . contain arbitra-
    tion clauses, even though each individual competitor
    can make up his own mind to insist upon such a term
    in any, or all, of his contracts.”). Essentially, Omnicare
    must demonstrate that there is a genuine issue of
    material fact as to whether PacifiCare’s decision to
    insist upon its “any willing provider” contract in its
    negotiations with Omnicare was made not by PacifiCare
    alone but rather by PacifiCare acting in concert with
    United while the two were horizontal competitors.
    Omnicare’s task—and ours—would be much easier if
    there were a smoking gun buried in the voluminous
    record. See High Fructose Corn Syrup, 
    295 F.3d at 654
     (“[A]n
    admission by the defendants that they agreed to fix
    their prices is all the proof a plaintiff needs.”); see also
    No. 09-1152                                              19
    In re Baby Food Antitrust Litig., 
    166 F.3d 112
    , 118 (3d Cir.
    1999) (“[W]ith direct evidence the fact finder is not re-
    quired to make inferences to establish facts.” (quotation
    omitted)). But Omnicare’s case, like most in this vein,
    is “constructed out of a tissue of [ambiguous] statements
    and other circumstantial evidence.” High Fructose Corn
    Syrup, 
    295 F.3d at 662
    . It therefore must present evi-
    dence from which we can infer that United and Pacifi-
    Care had an anticompetitive agreement. 
    Id. at 654
    . That
    is, Omnicare “must show that the inference of conspiracy
    is reasonable in light of the competing inferences of
    independent action or collusive action that could not
    have harmed” it. Matsushita, 
    475 U.S. at 588
    ; see also Bell
    Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 554 (2007) (“[A]t
    the summary judgment stage a § 1 plaintiff’s offer of
    conspiracy evidence must tend to rule out the pos-
    sibility that the defendants were acting independently.”);
    Miles Distribs., Inc. v. Specialty Constr. Brands, Inc., 
    476 F.3d 442
    , 449 (7th Cir. 2007) (“When a plaintiff attempts
    to defeat summary judgment by highlighting circum-
    stantial evidence of a conspiracy, some of the evidence
    must tend to exclude the possibility that the alleged
    conspirators acted independently rather than in con-
    cert.”). This does not mean that Omnicare must over-
    come a heightened burden to defeat summary judgment,
    see Eastman Kodak Co. v. Image Tech. Servs., Inc., 
    504 U.S. 451
    , 468 (1992); it simply means that “conduct as con-
    sistent with permissible competition as with illegal con-
    spiracy does not, standing alone, support an inference
    of antitrust conspiracy,” Matsushita, 
    475 U.S. at 588
    .
    20                                             No. 09-1152
    Omnicare has produced an extraordinary amount of
    evidence that in its view carries it over this threshold.
    But the mere production of evidence, even, as
    Defendants allege and we have no reason to doubt after
    poring through the dozen boxes constituting the ap-
    pellate record in this case, millions of pages of docu-
    ments and nearly sixty depositions, provides insufficient
    grounds for us to reverse a grant of summary judg-
    ment. Instead, we must determine whether summary
    judgment is appropriate using the two-part inquiry we
    set forth in Market Force Inc. v. Wauwatosa Realty Co., 
    906 F.2d 1167
    , 1171 (7th Cir. 1990); see also Serfecz v. Jewel
    Food Stores, 
    67 F.3d 591
    , 599 (7th Cir. 1995); Res. Supply
    Corp. v. Owens-Corning Fiberglas Corp., 
    971 F.2d 37
    , 49
    (7th Cir. 1992). Under that framework, we first assess
    whether Omnicare’s evidence of agreement is ambigu-
    ous—that is, whether it is equally consistent with the
    Defendants’ permissible independent interests as it is
    with improper activity. Market Force, 
    906 F.2d at 1171
    .
    If we conclude that the evidence could support the con-
    clusion that Defendants were acting independently, we
    then look for any evidence that tends to exclude the
    possibility that Defendants were pursuing independent
    interests. 
    Id.
     In other words, Omnicare must “show that
    the inference of conspiracy is reasonable in light of
    the competing inference of independent action.” Valley
    Liquors, Inc. v. Renfield Imps., Ltd., 
    822 F.2d 656
    , 660-61
    (7th Cir. 1987); see also Matsushita, 
    475 U.S. at
    597 n.21
    (“[C]onduct that is as consistent with permissible com-
    petition as with illegal conspiracy does not, without
    more, support even an inference of conspiracy.”).
    No. 09-1152                                             21
    3. Evidence of Agreement
    Omnicare’s theory is that United and PacifiCare con-
    spired to coordinate their negotiation strategies,
    thereby reducing the price they paid Omnicare for its
    institutional pharmacy services. Thus, to survive summary
    judgment on the first prong of the Denny’s Marina test,
    Omnicare must show that it has produced evidence
    that, when considered collectively, would permit a rea-
    sonable jury to conclude that United and PacifiCare
    agreed to work together to fix prices. We discuss its
    proffered evidence below.
    a. The Strategic Options Memo &
    Accompanying E-mail
    Because Omnicare claims that the strategic options
    memo (SOM) served as a “blueprint for the collusion,”
    Appellant’s Br. 41, we begin there. On September 1,
    2005—about three months after United and Pacifi-
    Care’s first alleged illicit information exchange, about
    two months after the formal merger agreement
    was signed, and about a month after United inked
    its contract with Omnicare—a PacifiCare executive sent
    an e-mail to a United executive. In that e-mail, which
    was by its terms “intended as an update” and referred
    back to a past memorandum that is not part of the
    record, the PacifiCare executive indicated that she had
    spoken with a different United executive and was “in
    agreement” that an unspecified “Part D readiness item . . .
    can and should be done.” She also noted that she
    would schedule a teleconference so the two could “discuss
    22                                             No. 09-1152
    more sensitive items voice to voice,” and attached “a
    draft of a think piece on the PBM”—the first draft of the
    SOM, which proposed, among other PBM strategies,
    using RxSolutions “as a stalking horse to obtain the
    best service and contracts.”
    Omnicare asserts that the district court erred in failing
    to “permit[ ] a jury to draw the inference that these dis-
    cussions were collusive.” Appellant’s Br. 42. The
    district court had before it, however, the entirety of the
    e-mail and accompanying memo, as do we, and as
    would the jury. When viewed in context, the statements
    about “agreements” and “sensitive items” are decidedly
    ambiguous. The “agreement” about “Part D readiness”
    appears only to have resulted in the scheduling of a
    meeting between the due diligence teams to further
    discuss risk management. And the unspecified “sensitive
    items” could, as Defendants posit, just as easily be
    related to legitimate business matters such as personnel
    concerns as they could be to an illicit agreement. See
    Market Force, 
    906 F.2d at 1173
     (considering defendants’
    legitimate business explanations for the alleged collusive
    conduct). At best, reasonable jurors could find that the
    statements contained in the e-mail are ambiguous evi-
    dence of vaguely directed joint conduct. See 
    id.
     (“[I]t is
    well established that evidence of informal communica-
    tions among several parties does not unambiguously
    support an inference of a conspiracy.”).
    The strategic options memo, despite its use of the
    loaded “stalking horse” phrase, is equally ambiguous
    evidence of the existence of a price-fixing, negotiation-
    No. 09-1152                                             23
    coordinating agreement between United and PacifiCare.
    Unquestionably, the SOM shows that United and
    PacifiCare were communicating about their future plans.
    It likewise shows that some of their discussions may
    have concerned RxSolutions and a potential plan to use
    it “to obtain the best service and contracts.” Yet Omnicare
    has not demonstrated how these two features of the
    SOM, even when considered with all its other evidence,
    could lead a reasonable jury to infer a price-fixing con-
    spiracy directed at Omnicare. Given the document’s
    prospective language—all versions of the SOM invariably
    discuss options that “need to be considered,” not
    options that are actively being (or have been) pursued—
    a reasonable jury would be hard-pressed to conclude
    that the SOM was drafted to guide PacifiCare’s late-
    2005 dealings with Omnicare. Moreover, the record
    indicates that the SOM continued to be circulated, and
    even distributed at meetings, well after the Part D
    contracts were inked and the merger was finalized; the
    undisputed chronology of the SOM’s distribution under-
    cuts Omnicare’s assertion that it was a “blueprint” for
    conspiracy, particularly where it was not circulated
    until well after the plan as Omnicare envisions it
    would have had to have been underway. Cf. In re Brand
    Name Prescription Drugs Antitrust Litig., 
    288 F.3d 1028
    ,
    1034 (7th Cir. 2002) (noting that drawing an inference
    of knowledge would be “shaky” where the alleged con-
    spiratorial system was adopted before the alleged collu-
    sion began). The SOM’s usefulness as a blueprint—and
    the reasonableness of any inference in that direc-
    tion—is further called into question by its shifting place-
    ment of the “stalking horse” language.
    24                                                  No. 09-1152
    b. Pre-Merger Information Exchange
    Notwithstanding its contention that the SOM was the
    cornerstone of the conspiracy, Omnicare alleges that
    United and PacifiCare began coordinating their negotia-
    tion strategies when they improperly exchanged Part D
    pricing information during the period of due diligence
    preceding their merger.2 Information exchange can
    help support an inference of a price-fixing agree-
    ment, Todd v. Exxon Corp., 
    275 F.3d 191
    , 198 (2d Cir.
    2001) (Sotomayor, J.), but, like all circumstantial evidence
    2
    Omnicare asserts that the district court erred by not consider-
    ing this contention as a stand-alone Sherman Act claim. See
    Appellant’s Br. 47-50; Todd v. Exxon Corp., 
    275 F.3d 191
    , 198-99
    (2d Cir. 2001) (Sotomayor, J.) (discussing information ex-
    change as an “analytically distinct” type of claim based on the
    Sherman Act). Yet Omnicare did not allege a distinct “informa-
    tion exchange” claim in its amended complaint, see First Suppl.
    & Am. Compl. ¶¶ 69-78; Burks v. Wis. Dep’t of Transp., 
    464 F.3d 744
    , 758 n.15 (7th Cir. 2006); Grayson v. O’Neill, 
    308 F.3d 808
    , 817 (7th Cir. 2002) (“[A] plaintiff may not amend his
    complaint through arguments in his brief in opposition to a
    motion for summary judgment.”), and, perhaps more impor-
    tantly, it did allege an agreement to fix prices, not merely an
    exchange of information, see Todd, 
    275 F.3d at 199
    . In any event,
    the district court devoted roughly six pages of its opinion to
    “Premerger Communications and Information Exchange” and
    “Communications Subsequent to Execution of Merger Agree-
    ment.” See Omnicare, 
    594 F. Supp. 2d at 968-74
    . We have no
    doubt that the court considered this facet of Omnicare’s
    claim, even if it failed to do so as explicitly as Omnicare
    would have liked.
    No. 09-1152                                                 25
    of conspiracy, it is not on its own demonstrative of
    anticompetitive behavior, even when pricing data is
    what is exchanged, see Mitchael v. Intracorp, Inc., 
    179 F.3d 847
    , 859 (10th Cir. 1999) (citing Baby Food, 
    166 F.3d at 118
    ; City of Long Beach v. Standard Oil Co., 
    872 F.2d 1401
    , 1406 (9th Cir. 1989) (noting that competitors may
    exchange price information for legitimate business rea-
    sons); cf. Todd, 
    275 F.3d at 199
     (applying the rule of
    reason to analyze Todd’s information exchange claim).
    Omnicare argues that the exchanges here amount
    to something sinister, particularly because United
    may have breached its confidentiality agreements. See
    Omnicare, 
    594 F. Supp. 2d at 969-71
    . In support of its
    contentions, Omnicare points to several specific infor-
    mation exchanges: “Part D Questions” that Pacifi-
    Care answered at United’s request in June 2005; a “Due
    Diligence Summary,” including a table of Part D bid
    comparisons, prepared sometime between June 28
    and July 2, 2005; a Part D risk assessment created by a
    United-affiliated actuary after he met with four Pacifi-
    Care representatives on July 2, 2005; some average
    pricing information about United’s Part D plans that the
    actuary delivered, in a sealed envelope, to a PacifiCare
    representative not present at the meeting; and deposition
    testimony regarding a conversation about the mutual
    difficulties United and PacifiCare were experiencing in
    their negotiations with Omnicare.3
    3
    We note that many of these documents are under seal. We
    therefore discuss them using general, descriptive terms where
    (continued...)
    26                                              No. 09-1152
    We agree with the district court that the nature of
    Omnicare’s information-exchange contentions requires
    us to walk a fine line:
    On the one hand, courts should not allow plaintiffs
    to pursue Sherman Act claims merely because con-
    versations concerning business took place between
    competitors during merger talks; such a standard
    could chill business activity by companies that
    would merge but for a concern over potential litiga-
    tion. On the other hand, the mere possibility of a
    merger cannot permit business rivals to freely ex-
    change competitively sensitive information. This
    standard could lead to “sham” merger negotiations,
    or at least allow for periods of cartel behavior when,
    as here, there is a substantial period of time between
    the signing of the merger agreement and the closing
    of the deal.
    Omnicare, 
    594 F. Supp. 2d at 968
    . Looking at the pricing
    information that was exchanged, however, we cannot
    see how a reasonable jury could conclude that it is
    more consistent with action on the conspiratorial side of
    the line than with action on the innocuous due diligence
    side. PacifiCare answered the “Part D Questions” in
    general terms, and sometimes disclosed less informa-
    tion than was requested because that was “what
    3
    (...continued)
    possible, excerpting only information that does not appear to
    be particularly sensitive. We do the same as the need arises
    elsewhere.
    No. 09-1152                                           27
    the attorneys permitted.” The Due Diligence Sum-
    mary—which discusses information gathered in the
    final month preceding the merger agreement—provides
    more detailed information, but it too is restricted to
    “sample regions,” “high level review,” and “estimates.”
    Even the Summary’s comparison of PacifiCare’s and
    United’s pricing and benefits is restricted to general
    terms—“consistent,” “higher,” “roughly,” and the like.
    The purpose of the meeting the actuary attended
    and summarized was to determine the impact of
    PacifiCare’s Part D offerings on United’s valuation of
    the company for merger purposes. Not only is accurate
    valuation a critical component of the merger process,
    but, like the other pricing information, the valuation
    information was shared among a small number of execu-
    tives on the eve of the merger agreement. Moreover,
    there is no evidence that the actuary relayed the infor-
    mation gleaned from the meeting directly to any
    United executives, let alone those who were not cleared
    to receive it. The record instead shows that he sent the
    report first to PacifiCare’s outside counsel, who re-
    viewed it and excised what he believed to be “competi-
    tively sensitive” details before sending it along to
    United’s outside counsel, who in turn reviewed it
    before sending it to a handful of United executives.
    Even more notably, the individual Omnicare identifies
    as the overseer of United’s Part D-related pharmaceutical
    contracting was not included among the report’s recipi-
    ents.
    The report itself recognizes that its ability to assess
    risk is limited “without knowing the specific regions
    28                                             No. 09-1152
    or [PacifiCare’s] estimate of results by region” and
    delivers its conclusions in general terms. For instance, it
    merely notes that PacifiCare “appears to have appropri-
    ately priced the benefit differences” without divulging
    the nature of the benefits or their prices, and similarly
    opines that PacifiCare has in some instances “taken
    a conservative approach” without providing the
    specific bases for that conclusion. E-mails circulated
    contemporaneously among the United executives who
    received the report place a further damper on a jury’s
    ability to infer long-planned concerted action between
    United and PacifiCare. In particular, one of United’s
    Part D financial executives noted that one factor con-
    tributing to his increasing comfort with PacifiCare’s
    Part D plans was that “in year 2, we can move them
    to our contracts”—the complete opposite of the collusive
    outcome toward which United and PacifiCare were
    allegedly working.
    The conversation between a United executive and a
    PacifiCare executive did not involve price but rather
    concerned the parties’ mutual difficulties reaching
    timely contracts with Omnicare. (Recall that United
    did not sign its contract with Omnicare until late
    July 2005, and pharmacy network proposals were due
    to CMS on August 1.) The extent of the evidence of the
    conversation is six lines of a United executive’s deposi-
    tion, wherein he stated, “I do recall a conversation with
    Jaqueline Kosecoff in the context of difficulties that
    we were having reaching a timely contract with—
    with Omnicare, and I believe that she told me that
    [PacifiCare] was also having difficulties reaching an
    No. 09-1152                                             29
    agreement with the contract.” Phanstiel Dep. 93:22-94:2,
    Feb. 5, 2008. No reasonable jury could conclude that the
    conversation—which is mentioned only once in the
    record—gives rise to an inference of illicit agreement. The
    mere mention of contracting difficulty in the course of a
    merger and development of new Part D plans does
    not indicate the existence of a conspiracy to fix prices,
    nor does it indicate coordination of any pricing, con-
    tracting, or negotiation strategy whatsoever. Moreover,
    it would have had to have taken place sometime
    before United signed its contract with Omnicare,
    which was at least a month before the SOM outlining
    the alleged plan of attack was drafted.
    Viewed separately and collectively, Omnicare’s evi-
    dence of information exchange would not enable rea-
    sonable jurors to infer that United and PacifiCare inap-
    propriately shared information damaging to competi-
    tion in and of itself (Omnicare’s alleged standalone
    claim), nor that the information exchanged facilitated
    the development or advancement of a coordinated negoti-
    ating and pricing strategy. It similarly does not tend to
    exclude the possibility that United and PacifiCare were
    acting to advance their own legitimate interests. It
    may illuminate other evidence, however, so we keep it
    in mind as we work toward completing the evidentiary
    picture.
    c. Merger Agreement & Carve-Out
    United and PacifiCare executed their formal merger
    agreement on July 6, 2005. Section 5.01 of the agreement
    30                                            No. 09-1152
    prohibited PacifiCare from incurring any contract
    liability of $3 million or more before the consummation
    of the merger without United’s written approval. Sec-
    tion 5.01 would thus on its face effectively prevent
    PacifiCare from entering into any Part D agreements
    without United’s review and approval. But section 5.01
    also created an exception to its blanket prohibition: a
    “company disclosure letter,” referred to by the parties as
    the “carve-out.” The carve-out provided that Pacifi-
    Care (and its subsidiaries, including PBM RxSolutions)
    “may enter into or amend any Contracts relating to
    their Part D standalone business that are variable cost or
    based on sales production” without permission from
    United. Omnicare contends that the carve-out was a
    consequence of the illicit information exchange that
    occurred during the Defendants’ due diligence. See
    Part II.A.3.b, supra. It also presents an expert opinion
    that the proper inference to be drawn from the existence
    of the carve-out is that “United had become com-
    fortable with PacifiCare’s Part D contracting strategy
    based upon the confidential information it had obtained.”
    Omnicare directs our attention to testimony from a
    United Rule 30(b)(6) witness, who stated that United
    agreed to the carve-out because it had reviewed
    PacifiCare’s pricing information. That testimony could
    support the reasonable inference that PacifiCare and
    United were cooperating illicitly. But it must be con-
    sidered not only in light of the information exchanged,
    which was not on its face improper, but also in light of
    the remainder of the witness’s testimony, wherein
    he stated, in the very same sentence, that United re-
    No. 09-1152                                             31
    viewed the information only at a “very high level” of
    generality. He further explained that United and Pacifi-
    Care recognized the impropriety of sharing “specific
    Part D information with each other . . . between signing
    and close.” If jurors were to find that witness credible,
    his uncontested statements about the scope of United’s
    review, as well as the evidence of the information
    United actually received, would limit their ability to
    draw an inference of collusion from the mere existence
    of the carve-out.
    The inference advocated by Omnicares expert is a
    reasonable one jurors could make. It is supported both
    by the context of the merger regardless of the level
    of detail of the information United received, it received
    it in confidence during due diligence and by the testi-
    mony of the Rule 30(b)(6) witness. The problem for
    Omnicare is that jurors would have to draw additional
    inferences from the expert’s suggested inference to con-
    clude that the carve-out was demonstrative of an agree-
    ment related not to the merger but rather to Part D negoti-
    ating and contracting strategy. Such inferences might
    be reasonable; after all, the carve-out specifically
    addresses Part D. There is countervailing evidence,
    namely that the carve-out by its terms excuses PacifiCare
    from involving United in its Part D plans, but weighing
    evidence is a task for the jury, not for this court.
    We are tasked, however, with considering Defendants’
    assertions that the carve-out was as compatible with
    their legitimate business activity as it is with Omnicare’s
    theory. Market Force, 
    906 F.2d at 1171
    . Here, Defendants
    32                                             No. 09-1152
    point to the Rule 30(b)(6) witness’s testimony, which
    they assert demonstrates United’s recognition that “it
    was clearly inappropriate to share specific Part D infor-
    mation with each other between signing and close.” This
    recognition, they contend, leads to an inference that the
    carve-out operated to ensure the independence of the
    parties’ Part D dealings. This inference is grounded in
    the record; reasonable jurors could find it as persuasive
    as Omnicare’s contentions that the carve-out proved
    just the opposite. We are therefore confronted with an
    ambiguity that can be resolved in Omnicare’s favor only
    if it produces some evidence that tends to exclude the
    possibility that United and PacifiCare were pursuing
    independent interests. See 
    id. at 1173
    . Because we con-
    sider Omnicare’s evidence holistically, the absence of a
    specific piece of exclusionary evidence at this juncture
    does not necessarily undermine Omnicare’s case.
    d. PacifiCare’s Negotiating Tactics
    Negotiations between Omnicare and RxSolutions
    (on behalf of PacifiCare) started off well enough in spring
    2005, with a cordial exchange of e-mails and telephone
    calls that eventually resulted in an exchange of form
    contracts. A few friendly but firm e-mails followed, in
    which each expressed a preference for its own form
    contract. RxSolutions explained that PacifiCare expected
    to enter into agreements with nearly 2000 pharmacies
    and therefore could not take the time to modify Omni-
    care’s proposed contract to its liking. Omnicare acknowl-
    edged PacifiCare’s concerns but nonetheless urged
    No. 09-1152                                              33
    PacifiCare to look over its contract and inform Omnicare
    of its most salient objections to provide a starting
    point for negotiations. The record contains a document in-
    dicating that RxSolutions and PacifiCare may have
    made at least some effort to comply with Omnicare’s
    request, but Omnicare claims that it first received this
    document during discovery, and we draw the inference
    in Omnicare’s favor. E.g., Miles, 
    476 F.3d at 448
    . At any
    rate, by July 6, the day of PacifiCare’s merger with
    United, negotiations between Omnicare and RxSolutions
    had deteriorated significantly. Omnicare’s negotiations
    log indicates that the parties were “[w]ay off on price” and
    had a phone call that did not go well. Roughly one
    week later, on July 14, RxSolutions informed Omnicare
    that PacifiCare had decided to walk away from the
    table. RxSolutions cited Omnicare’s proposed reimburse-
    ment rate as the basis for PacifiCare’s exit from negotia-
    tions. Omnicare did not propose a lower rate, but it
    assured RxSolutions that it would “stand ready to negoti-
    ate” if PacifiCare chose to do so.
    PacifiCare instead submitted its Part D bid to CMS
    without Omnicare in its network. CMS rejected the bid,
    but gave PacifiCare a three-day window in which to
    shore up its institutional pharmacy network. To do so,
    PacifiCare reopened its negotiations with Managed
    Health Care Associates, a large institutional pharmacy
    that competes with Omnicare, and struck a deal to get
    Managed Health Care Associates in its network.
    PacifiCare promptly resubmitted its bid and received
    CMS approval in September 2005.
    34                                            No. 09-1152
    On November 8, 2005, CMS issued a statement
    regarding its “convenient access” standard. The state-
    ment encouraged Part D plan sponsors to contract with
    long-term-care pharmacies to ensure that their plan
    members residing in institutional facilities could easily
    access their necessary medications. The statement
    also informed pharmacies that it was “imperative” for
    them to “not withhold contracts” to similarly foster
    access for the most fragile Part D participants, and it
    emphasized at least twice that the contracting process
    should be “ongoing” and could continue “before and after
    the benefit begins on January 1, 2006.” Shortly after
    this statement was issued, and two weeks after it
    received an e-mail from United regarding PacifiCare’s
    future Part D plans, see infra Part II.A.3.e, Omnicare
    contacted RxSolutions to reopen negotiations with
    PacifiCare. PacifiCare responded by offering Omnicare
    the same “any willing provider” contract Omnicare
    had previously rejected. This time, however, Omnicare
    did not ask PacifiCare to look at its own form contract or
    to consider an alternative reimbursement structure or
    other contractual provisions. It instead informed Pacifi-
    Care on December 5 that it was “prepared to sign”
    PacifiCare’s “any willing provider” contract and did so
    the next day.
    Omnicare contends that this sequence of events only
    makes sense if PacifiCare was coordinating its negotia-
    tions strategy with United. It points to PacifiCare’s
    “abrupt” termination of negotiations in July and its lack
    of a contingency plan to provide medication to its Part D
    enrollees residing in Omnicare-serviced facilities as
    No. 09-1152                                               35
    evidence of PacifiCare’s irrational behavior. It also
    points to expert testimony that PacifiCare should
    have been more risk averse in the face of an impending
    acquisition that would net it $1.2 billion in market capital-
    ization, and in light of the possibility that CMS could
    revoke its Part D contract if it could not provide medica-
    tion to its enrollees. Omnicare also claims that Pacifi-
    Care was the only Part D plan that steadfastly refused
    to negotiate with it, particularly after CMS assigned
    plans their Medicaid-eligible participants.
    Validating Omnicare’s contentions would require
    reasonable jurors to draw inferences beyond those
    possible even within the pro-nonmovant confines of
    summary judgment. First, Omnicare’s characterization
    of PacifiCare’s withdrawal from negotiations as “abrupt”
    is a stretch in light of the evidence detailing the parties’
    negotiations process. Omnicare’s own log of its negotia-
    tions with PacifiCare reveals that fissures began
    emerging in the parties’ relationship shortly after they
    exchanged form contracts. The log notes that a phone
    conversation the week prior to PacifiCare’s withdrawal
    “did not go well” because the parties were “[w]ay off on
    price.” It also reveals that Omnicare was aware that
    PacifiCare was “talking to [Omnicare’s] competitors” from
    the time of the parties’ very first conference call in early
    April 2005. Perhaps PacifiCare’s decision to end negotia-
    tions nonetheless came as a surprise to Omnicare, but
    the record does not support the inference that it was
    irrational and therefore entered at the behest of United.
    Second, Omnicare relies on PacifiCare’s failure to
    craft a “contingency plan” as evidence that United was
    36                                             No. 09-1152
    acting covertly as its safety net. Yet the November state-
    ment from CMS made clear that the contracting phase
    of the Part D launch could, and likely should, continue
    past the formal launch date of January 1, 2006. No evi-
    dence supports the conclusion that CMS required Part D
    plans to develop contingency plans if they were unable
    to enter into satisfactory contracts with every pharmacy
    with which they engaged in negotiations.
    Omnicare did introduce evidence showing that
    many long-term care facilities enter into exclusive con-
    tracts with institutional pharmacies, and that it is costly
    for the facilities to switch or add providers. It argues
    that PacifiCare must have known, given Omnicare’s
    substantial market share, that some of its randomly
    assigned Part D participants would reside in Omnicare-
    contracted facilities; it was therefore irrational for
    PacifiCare not to contract with Omnicare unless Pacifi-
    Care was acting in concert with United. This argument
    has some persuasive force, though it ignores record
    evidence from CMS explaining that the Part D convenient
    access standards were designed to “promote competi-
    tion” and “give each facility access to a broader range of
    potential [long-term care] pharmacies than is the case
    today.” In light of the statements from CMS, both about
    increased competition and continued contracting, and
    against the uncertain landscape of a completely new
    program, PacifiCare’s behavior would not necessarily
    be contrary to its economic interest and thus exclusive of
    independent conduct. Indeed, PacifiCare succeeded in
    securing CMS approval of its Part D pharmacy network
    without Omnicare, and the record shows that it was not
    No. 09-1152                                           37
    the only Part D plan sponsor that was able to get
    approval under such conditions.
    To rebut this evidence tending to show that PacifiCare
    acted rationally and independently, see Market Force, 
    906 F.2d at 1173
    , Omnicare asserts that PacifiCare’s behavior
    was particularly suspect in two crucial respects. First,
    Omnicare contends that PacifiCare was the only large
    Part D plan sponsor that did not take the initiative to
    reopen negotiations with Omnicare after receiving its
    list of randomly assigned Medicaid-eligible enrollees.
    Second, it argues that because PacifiCare was in the
    midst of being acquired, it should have been particularly
    risk-averse so as to ensure the consummation of the
    merger.
    The first contention is not supported by the record.
    Omnicare points to a single e-mail from Humana, a
    large insurer and Part D plan sponsor, in which
    Humana expressed its post-CMS-approval willingness to
    reach an agreement with Omnicare. We must infer that
    this e-mail, which is presented in isolation, was a sua
    sponte undertaking on the part of Humana. But Omni-
    care produces no other evidence showing that
    other insurers in fact took the first steps toward post-
    approval negotiations. Perhaps Humana’s overtures, and
    not PacifiCare’s lack thereof, were the aberration; we
    cannot tell from the record, and we therefore cannot
    conclude that the Humana e-mail tends to exclude
    the possibility that PacifiCare was acting in its own
    independent interest.
    Support for the second contention is somewhat more
    salient. Omnicare has submitted an expert report from
    38                                             No. 09-1152
    Professor John Coates in which he opines that acquisi-
    tion targets generally behave conservatively. In his
    view, PacifiCare would not have pursued a “risky
    strategy of offering Omnicare nothing but an
    ‘any willing provider’ contract” absent an agreement on
    negotiation strategy with United. Appellant’s Br. 35.
    Assuming that Coates’ report is admissible, cf. Brooke
    Group Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 
    509 U.S. 209
    , 242 (1993), it supports Omnicare’s theory of the
    case. Yet its ultimate relevance hinges on the determina-
    tion that what PacifiCare did was, in fact, risky. Omnicare
    has produced evidence showing that Part D was critical
    to the United-PacifiCare merger and that PacifiCare
    stood to gain over $1 billion if the merger panned out.
    This evidence supports the inference that PacifiCare’s
    behavior, even if rational, was not without its share of
    risk. Defendants, on the other hand, suggest that Pacifi-
    Care executives were simply “anxious to impress their
    new owners with their negotiating skills” and bar-
    gained hard to achieve that end. Appellees’ Br. 31. In
    light of these competing inferences, we ask whether
    there is any evidence that tends to exclude the possi-
    bility that PacifiCare was acting in accordance with its
    independent aims. Market Force, 
    906 F.2d at 1171
    .
    Here, Omnicare comes up short, at least with respect
    to the issue of negotiation in isolation. Omnicare’s
    theory is that PacifiCare acted the way it did because
    it knew that if its strategy failed, it could join United’s
    contract with Omnicare or at the very least that United
    would not abandon the merger given its complicity.
    But the contract governing United’s relationship with
    No. 09-1152                                                39
    Omnicare provided that no modifications could be made
    to the list of contracted plans without Omnicare’s
    written consent, which was to be awarded in Omnicare’s
    sole discretion. Regardless of any conspiracy, Omnicare
    had full power over which insurers could become
    parties to the United contract. This renders the existence
    of a fall-back plan between United and PacifiCare es-
    sentially useless; the parties “ ‘must make a substantial
    investment with no assurance that it will pay off.’ ”
    Matsushita, 
    475 U.S. at 588
     (quoting Frank H. Easterbrook,
    Predatory Strategies and Counterstrategies, 
    48 U. Chi. L. Rev. 263
    , 268 (1981)). We thus find it difficult to conclude
    that inferring anticompetitive agreement from Pacifi-
    Care’s negotiation tactics, though perhaps reasonable, is
    as reasonable as inferring it acted independently. See
    Matsushita, 
    475 U.S. at 588
    . Again, however, we will
    reevaluate the import of PacifiCare’s hard-line bar-
    gaining as part of our holistic assessment of the evi-
    dence. See infra Part II.A.3.h.
    e. The October E-mails
    In mid-October 2005, Omnicare’s Tim Bien became
    concerned that PacifiCare Part D enrollees who resided
    in Omnicare-serviced institutions would be unable to
    get their medications once Part D went live because
    PacifiCare had no agreement in place with Omnicare.
    To determine if United intended to add PacifiCare en-
    rollees to its pre-existing contract with Omnicare,
    and thus put his concerns to rest, Bien sent an informal
    e-mail to United’s Craig Stephens on October 17. That
    40                                            No. 09-1152
    e-mail read, “Craig, Is there a sense of when United
    will close the acquisition of PacifiCare? When the deal
    closes, will PacifiCare be contracted with Omnicare as
    a result of the acquisition? Thanks for your help on this.
    Tim Bien.” After a week passed with no response
    from Stephens, Bien sent a follow-up e-mail in which
    he reproduced the first e-mail and asked, “Can you
    give me anything on this?” Before responding to Bien,
    Stephens consulted with two of his superiors, both of
    whom had learned some information about PacifiCare
    during due diligence. He also forwarded the e-mail to
    United’s in-house counsel, adding, “Interesting—should
    we assume Pacificare has not agreed with Omnicare?” In-
    house counsel’s response is not included in the record,
    though in-house counsel recalled reviewing a draft of
    Stephens’s response e-mail, which was sent to Bien on
    October 31. In that e-mail, Stephens stated, “PacifiCare’s
    Part D offering for 2008 is a unique contract with CMS.
    If and when the deal closes, PacifiCare will follow their
    own Part D product strategy throughout the 2006
    calendar year.”
    Bien forwarded this reply to Omnicare’s CEO, adding,
    “PacifiCare will not be included with the United Part D
    offering.” The CEO later stated at his deposition that
    he took the e-mail to mean that PacifiCare “would be
    an independent, freestanding, unique contract in 2006,
    having nothing to do with United, and that on that basis
    it would be all right for us to cover those few percent
    of our patients in the PacifiCare plans through an [’any
    willing provider’] agreement since they wouldn’t give
    us anything else.” One week after Stephens sent his
    No. 09-1152                                            41
    reply e-mail, CMS issued a statement encouraging Part D
    plans and pharmacies to continue their negotiations.
    The week after that, Omnicare contacted PacifiCare to
    reopen negotiations and received PacifiCare’s “any
    willing provider” contract in return.
    Omnicare identifies Stephens’s October 31 e-mail as
    the primary catalyst for its future dealings with Pacifi-
    Care. It contends that because the e-mail was drafted
    after consultation with individuals who had access to
    PacifiCare’s pricing data, and was sent “with knowledge
    that Omnicare was deciding whether to seek a separate
    contract with PacifiCare,” Appellant’s Br. 39, it supports
    an inference “that United wanted to deceive Omnicare
    into entering an ‘any willing provider’ contract with
    PacifiCare,” id. at 40. Indeed, Omnicare asserts that
    Bien’s inquiry gave United the opportunity to set its
    collusive plan with PacifiCare in motion.
    Omnicare’s suggested inferences may be a bit of a
    stretch for reasonable jurors. Though United was able to
    offer Omnicare an answer on PacifiCare’s behalf, there
    is no evidence that the answer was based on any
    improper information. See supra Part II.A.3.b (discussing
    Omnicare’s evidence of pre-merger information ex-
    change). Similarly, the record contains no evidence that
    United consulted with PacifiCare about the response,
    which would be expected if the two were working
    together to elicit action from Omnicare. There is also
    no evidence indicating whether or how United knew
    Omnicare’s motivation for sending the e-mail; it is not
    clear how United would know what Omnicare’s negotia-
    42                                           No. 09-1152
    tions plans were, or could predict the extent to which a
    two-line e-mail might influence the sophisticated com-
    pany’s behavior. Even if we assume, generously, that
    Omnicare reopened negotiations with PacifiCare on
    the basis of this e-mail, it’s not clear how United could
    have reasonably expected, or even intended, the e-mail
    to dictate Omnicare’s subsequent decision to contract
    with PacifiCare without negotiation.
    The e-mails therefore do little to demonstrate that
    United and PacifiCare had any sort of agreement. They
    are, however, consistent with independent action. Omni-
    care unilaterally initiated the communications that
    precipated the e-mail; PacifiCare had not been acting
    like a “stalking horse,” seeking out a contract with
    Omnicare. United responded to Omnicare’s e-mails
    without consulting alleged partner PacifiCare. Moreover,
    it responded to the question Omnicare asked, that is,
    whether United planned to add PacifiCare onto its con-
    tract. Though United did not respond immediately,
    sending a response after consulting with a legal depart-
    ment is well within the norms of independent behav-
    ior. And United’s response was truthful: PacifiCare
    did have its own contract with CMS, and the carve-out
    to the merger agreement gave it free rein to conduct
    its Part D negotiations independently. Nothing about
    United’s response to Omnicare’s e-mails tends to ex-
    clude independent action.
    f. The Contract Rate
    The penultimate step in the alleged conspiracy be-
    tween United and PacifiCare was Omnicare’s signing of
    No. 09-1152                                              43
    PacifiCare “any willing provider” contract, which con-
    tained a reimbursement rate below that which Omnicare
    received in connection with most other Part D plans.
    Omnicare contends that the rate is so far below that
    which would be expected in a competitive market that
    an inference that United and PacifiCare colluded to
    generate it is reasonable on the basis of the rate alone.
    In support of its contention, Omnicare points to a
    report from its economics expert, Professor Daniel
    Rubinfeld, which shows that the rate in the PacifiCare
    contract was significantly lower than both the rates
    Omnicare negotiated with other Part D plan sponsors
    and the ones that PacifiCare negotiated with other phar-
    macies. Omnicare also asserts that PacifiCare was the
    only Part D plan to “demand from the largest institu-
    tional pharmacy a sub-competitive rate on a non-
    negotiable basis, a fact that tends to exclude indep-
    endent action.” Appellant’s Br. 44. Omnicare also raises
    a host of challenges to the district court’s handling of its
    contention about the rate and the evidence it put forth
    to support it; it claims that the district court usurped
    the role of the jury; ignored evidence, including Profes-
    sor Rubinfeld’s regression analysis; and overstated
    the significance of PacifiCare’s CMS approval.
    We proceed directly to Omnicare’s contention that
    the district court substantively erred in its assessment of
    the contract rate. (If the district court did misstep in
    its treatment of the evidence, which we do not believe
    it did, see supra Part II.A.1, our de novo review should
    go far toward rectifying any errors.) The district court
    concluded that the contract rate was largely the result
    44                                             No. 09-1152
    of Omnicare’s failure to engage PacifiCare in negotia-
    tions. Indeed, Omnicare conceded at oral argument that
    the alleged “stalking horse” strategy would have im-
    ploded if it had simply declined to sign PacifiCare’s
    “any willing provider” contract. “If the contract really
    made no economic sense, as Omnicare now contends, one
    would not have expected Omnicare to enter into that
    contract so readily.” Omnicare, 
    594 F. Supp. 2d at 967
    . But
    that is what Omnicare did, and we cannot ignore the
    impact that a lack of negotiation had on the agreed-
    upon rate. Professor Rubinfeld, whose regression analysis
    Omnicare characterizes as supportive of its claim that
    the rate should have been higher, specifically noted that
    his analysis “assumed that the bargaining process be-
    tween PacifiCare and Omnicare is similar to the bar-
    gaining process between other [insurers] and Omnicare.”
    Omnicare has not produced any evidence that any of
    its other contracts, providing for rates within the fair
    market norm, were signed without negotiation. To the
    contrary, it notes that other large Part D plan sponsors
    with whom it signed contracts late in the game “agreed to”
    rates in line with what Omnicare generally expected,
    indicating that at least some back-and-forth occurred.
    Appellant’s Br. 45 (emphasis added).
    Omnicare has produced some evidence from which
    reasonable jurors could infer that PacifiCare rebuffed
    its good-faith negotiating efforts, including PacifiCare’s
    assertion that its “any willing provider” contract was
    its “best offer,” and deposition testimony from a Pacifi-
    Care employee stating that he would not have recom-
    mended that PacifiCare go back to Omnicare if it refused
    No. 09-1152                                           45
    the “any willing provider” contract. Yet, as discussed
    above, PacifiCare’s hard-line negotiating and attempts
    to get the lowest rates possible were not inconsistent
    with its independent economic interest and therefore
    do not give rise to a material issue regarding the ex-
    istence of a conspiracy. That is particularly true given
    PacifiCare’s approval by CMS. Omnicare attempts to
    minimize the significance of this fact (and indeed claims
    that the district court overemphasized it), but Omnicare
    characterizes the January 1, 2006, Part D launch date as
    a hard-and-fast negotiating deadline after which ap-
    proval would be immediately revoked if problems
    arose. This characterization is belied by statements
    from CMS that Omnicare itself placed in the record.
    Omnicare also attempts to de-emphasize the existence
    of other contracts it entered at similarly unfavorable
    rates. Those contracts, made with a few small Part D
    plans, indicate that the rate contained in PacifiCare’s
    contract is not per se anticompetitive on its face. Omni-
    care asserts that its “transactions costs in negotiating
    with either of these two [insurers] would outweigh any
    benefit gained through negotiating a competitive rate.”
    Appellant’s Br. 47. The testimony from Omnciare’s CEO
    indicates that it may have made a similar calculus
    with PacifiCare, despite having full knowledge of Pacifi-
    Care’s impending merger with United and presumable
    awareness that the “any willing provider” contract gave
    PacifiCare the ability to add parties at will. (Omnicare
    conceded as much at oral argument, asserting, “It was a
    rational economic decision to sign the PacifiCare con-
    tract on PacifiCare’s terms” to “pick up additional reve-
    46                                            No. 09-1152
    nue” after it had contracted with “everyone else.”) The
    mere fact that Omnicare opted not to negotiate
    the rate provision in PacifiCare’s proffered contract
    does not render it “non-negotiable” or “sub-competitive.”
    Nor does it support an inference of collusion.
    g. United’s Behavior Toward Omnicare
    United executed its WHI-negotiated contract with
    Omnicare in late July 2005. According to Omnicare,
    United began trying to exit the contract after (inappro-
    priately) learning in due diligence that PacifiCare
    planned to get Omnicare to sign its “any willing provider”
    contract. To that end, United concocted some pretextual
    legal concerns about Omnicare’s “Patient Protections,”
    which may have actually been “business concerns,” and
    withheld those concerns from Omnicare until it con-
    tracted with PacifiCare in December 2005. United also
    instructed WHI, its PBM and negotiator of the contract,
    to remain tight-lipped about its contractual concerns.
    Mere days after the PacifiCare-Omnicare contract was
    in place, United voiced its concerns to Omnicare. It
    then abandoned its contract in favor of PacifiCare’s two
    months later. Omnicare points to the “suspicious timing”
    of all these events as indicative of collusion.
    For its part, United contends that its concerns about
    the “Patient Protections”—namely, that they were viola-
    tive of Medicare Part D regulations—were genuine,
    arose earlier, and were shared by other Part D plan spon-
    sors. (Omnicare concedes the latter point.) It also main-
    tains that it did not know about PacifiCare’s contract
    No. 09-1152                                           47
    when it brought its concerns to Omnicare’s attention,
    and the record shows that it attempted to allay its con-
    cerns and preserve its relationship with Omnicare by
    trying to renegotiate its own contract. United offers no
    explanation for the timing of its initial discussion with
    Omnicare, or for instructing WHI not to contact Omnicare.
    Both parties omit some important details from their
    discussion of United’s behavior. Fortunately, the well-
    developed record fills in many of the gaps. According
    to documents in the record, United’s inside counsel was
    exploring the possibility of having WHI renegotiate
    its contract with Omnicare in early September 2005.
    United also enlisted outside counsel to review the con-
    tract at that time. Outside counsel provided United with
    its opinion that the Patient Protections were suspect
    two months later, on November 9, 2005. (Counsel at
    WHI also independently concluded that there were
    potential legal issues with the Patient Protections, at
    least as they related to United.) United was unable to
    personally approach Omnicare, however, until later
    in November; its contract with WHI forbade it from
    conducting its own negotiations without permission
    from WHI, which was not orally granted until Novem-
    ber 22, 2005. In early December, United specifically in-
    structed WHI not to “discuss the details with Omni-
    care until further notice;” it wanted “NO communication
    to Omnicare that we will be removing ourselves from
    the WHI contract.” United also told WHI, however, that
    it “believe[d] Omnicare is looking for common ground
    to implement” and had decided to “not be aggressive
    on the call unless they shoot first.”
    48                                          No. 09-1152
    United and Omnicare reopened negotiations with
    a phone conference on December 8, 2005. The record
    indicates that the call was scheduled in advance, as
    e-mails sent on December 7 mention it, but it is
    unclear when the date was set. (If the call was planned
    prior to December 6, it would significantly undermine
    any inferences that could be drawn from the “suspicious
    timing” of United’s behavior, because Omnicare would
    have known United had contractual concerns prior to
    signing PacifiCare’s contract on December 6.) Notes
    from the call indicate that Omnicare was amenable to
    renegotiating directly with United, though the record
    shows that WHI proposed a revised agreement in late
    December, in which the reimbursement rates paid to
    Omnicare remained at their original levels but from
    which the Patient Protections were excised. Notes from
    the December 8 call also show that Omnicare mentioned
    the possibility of adding PacifiCare to any renegotiated
    United contract.
    When Omnicare’s narrative is supplemented with
    record evidence omitted from its original timeline, the
    inference of “suspicious timing” becomes more difficult
    for a reasonable jury to make. United was unable to
    raise its concerns with Omnicare prior to November 22,
    2005. And it raised its concerns before the merger had
    been fully approved by the Department of Justice; if
    talks with Omnicare went poorly and the merger fell
    through, United would not have had any PacifiCare
    contract option available to fall back on. There is no
    evidence showing that either United or PacifiCare had
    any influence over Omnicare’s decision whether—or
    No. 09-1152                                            49
    when—to sign PacifiCare’s “any willing provider” con-
    tract. The December 8 conference call was scheduled at
    least a day in advance, presumably at a mutually agree-
    able time, and it resulted in efforts by United to revise
    the contract. Only United’s instructions to WHI remain
    arguably “suspicious.”
    United’s behavior toward Omnicare cannot on the
    whole be construed as indicative of its involvement in
    an anticompetitive agreement with PacifiCare. United’s
    stated concerns about the “Patient Protections” were
    sufficiently prevalent that CMS later addressed them
    in an “FAQ” format. Perhaps most tellingly, over the
    course of a few months, United, occasionally with the
    aid of WHI, worked toward a new contract with
    Omnicare, though Omnicare rejected the revisions. If
    United planned all along to abandon its contract to
    join PacifiCare’s, it would be irrational for it to invest
    significant time and resources into negotiating a new,
    less favorable contract from which it only intended to
    extricate itself. Outside of United’s strongly worded
    instructions to WHI, which themselves tell us nothing
    about United’s consortium with PacifiCare, there is
    little about United’s behavior that excludes the possi-
    bility that it was acting independently.
    h. The Big Picture
    The bulk of Omnicare’s evidence, when viewed
    alone, does not satisfy the Market Force test. However, we
    must look at it all together before closing the door on
    Omnicare’s Sherman Act claim. See High Fructose Corn
    50                                            No. 09-1152
    Syrup, 
    295 F.3d at 655
    ; supra Part II.A.1. To recap,
    Omnicare’s theory is that United and PacifiCare col-
    luded, before and during their 2005 merger, to depress
    the prices they would pay for Omnicare’s pharmaceu-
    tical services. The alleged conspiracy achieved its
    ultimate goal in February 2006, when United switched
    its Part D enrollees serviced by Omnicare to PacifiCare’s
    much more favorable contract. Omnicare contends that
    the design of the “evolving scheme,” Appellant’s Br. 23,
    was set forth in the strategic options memo and was
    furthered by continual exchanges of sensitive pricing
    information. These exchanges of information formed
    the backbone of the collusion. They resulted in a carve-
    out to the United-PacifiCare merger agreement, permitted
    both PacifiCare and United to behave irrationally
    in their dealings with Omnicare, and even underlay
    United’s inducement of Omnicare to sign PacifiCare’s
    “any willing provider” contract, which it then joined.
    Omnicare claims that the rate at which it is now reim-
    bursed by both United and PacifiCare is far below what
    it should be.
    Omnicare’s richly detailed narrative is complex and
    compelling. But Omnicare cannot get to trial based on the
    elegance of its theory alone. To survive summary judg-
    ment, it “must show that the inference of conspiracy
    is reasonable in light of the competing inferences of
    independent action or collusive action that could not
    have harmed” it. Matsushita, 
    475 U.S. at 588
    . Not only
    that, its “offer of conspiracy evidence must tend to rule
    out the possibility that the defendants were acting inde-
    pendently.” Bell Atl. Corp., 
    550 U.S. at 554
    . When consid-
    No. 09-1152                                              51
    ered alongside the competing inference of independent
    action, the inference of conspiracy is the less reasonable
    of the two. Likewise, the ample evidence offered by
    Omnicare does not on the whole tend to negate the rea-
    sonable inference of independent action.
    Much of Omnicare’s theory is predicated on an imper-
    missible flow of competitively sensitive information
    between United and PacifiCare. But Omnicare’s evi-
    dence purporting to show this illicit exchange demon-
    strates only a circulation of generalized and averaged high-
    level pricing data, policed by outside counsel, that is
    more consistent with independent than collusive action.
    Without evidentiary support for a conspiratorial infor-
    mation exchange, Omnicare’s claims detailing how
    United and PacifiCare put this information to use
    become less plausible as well. For instance, if executives
    did not possess inappropriate information, the strategic
    options memo loses some of its inculpatory value, as
    does the merger agreement carve-out.
    The conspiracy theory is further impugned when all the
    actions composing the alleged conspiracy are mapped
    sequentially, and superimposed upon a chronological
    timeline of Part D launch events and other events omitted
    from the collusion narrative. The information exchange
    allegedly began in spring 2005, but the evidence to
    which Omnicare points (the Part D questions, the Due
    Diligence Summary, etc.) did not come into existence
    until the last few weeks of the months-long due diligence
    process. Candid e-mails circulated among United ex-
    ecutives immediately before the merger indicate that
    52                                            No. 09-1152
    the long-range plan at that time was to let PacifiCare
    hash out its own contracts while working to move it to
    United’s contract for 2007; they were consistent with
    Stephens’s representations in the October e-mail. The
    strategic options memo, which Omnicare presents as a
    “blueprint,” was not drafted until the alleged collusion
    was well underway, after United already had a contract
    with Omnicare, and before Omnicare took the initiative
    to reopen negotiations with PacifiCare. It is difficult to
    reconcile the theory of an affirmative, ongoing con-
    spiracy aimed at using RxSolutions as a stalking horse
    with evidence showing that the very target of the con-
    spiracy, Omnicare, was the party that made overtures
    toward RxSolutions. Even if PacifiCare and United
    were privy to one another’s information, there is no
    evidence or even allegation that they were steering
    Omnicare’s behavior.
    Other critical links in the conspiracy narrative lose
    much of their force when Omnicare’s independence is
    factored in. First, Stephens’s e-mail, which in Omni-
    care’s view set the stage for the final acts of the con-
    spiracy, was precipitated by e-mails sent by Omnicare.
    Second, United’s “suspicious” withholding of its con-
    cerns is only suspicious in light of Omnicare’s execution
    of PacifiCare’s “any willing provider” contract mere days
    earlier. And even then, when the fact that the merger
    had not yet been approved is added to the narrative,
    United’s timing appears even more likely to have
    been independently motivated, an inference bolstered
    further by its subsequent attempts to renegotiate its
    contract with Omnicare. (The timing of its disclosure
    No. 09-1152                                             53
    was also affected by its outside counsel and contract with
    WHI, two facts Omnicare omitted from its allegations.)
    Third, Omnicare was the party that refused to sign
    United’s revised version of the contract, with knowl-
    edge that PacifiCare’s contract did not have any sort of
    restrictions on who could join it. Of course, this is not
    to say that Omnicare made its proverbial bed and is
    barred from recovery. (Though we note that “[t]he anti-
    trust laws are not panaceas for all business affronts
    which seem to fit nowhere else.” ECOS Elecs. Corp. v.
    Underwriters Labs., 
    743 F.2d 498
    , 501 (7th Cir. 1984).) Yet
    many key events in the alleged conspiracy could not
    have happened without the specific inputs provided by
    Omnicare, and that makes the competing inference of
    independent action on the parts of Defendants more
    difficult for Omnicare to overcome.
    After considering the totality of Omnicare’s evidence,
    both separately and holistically, we cannot conclude
    that it would permit a reasonable jury to dismiss the
    inference that United and PacifiCare were acting in
    their independent interests. Omnicare thus cannot
    satisfy the first requirement of its Sherman Act claim,
    the existence of a contract, combination, or conspiracy.
    We therefore affirm the district court’s grant of summary
    judgment in Defendants’ favor on this claim.
    B. State Law Claims
    In addition to its federal Sherman Act claim, Omnicare
    also alleged that Defendants violated an antitrust provi-
    sion of Kentucky’s Consumer Protection Act, Ky. Rev.
    54                                              No. 09-1152
    Stat. § 367.175, committed (and conspired to commit)
    common law fraud, and were unjustly enriched by their
    actions. The district court properly invoked its supple-
    mental jurisdiction over these claims, see 
    28 U.S.C. § 1367
    ,
    and ultimately granted Defendants’ motion for sum-
    mary judgment on all of them.
    Omnicare challenges only the dismissal of its fraud and
    unjust enrichment claims. Though it asserted in its brief
    that the district court improperly applied Illinois rather
    than Kentucky law to these claims, at oral argument
    Omnicare conceded that it did not “matter at all” which
    law applied because both lead to substantially similar
    results. “We routinely permit parties to voluntarily aban-
    don previously briefed issues at oral argument as a
    means of focusing the issues on appeal.” Anchor Glass
    Container Corp. v. Buschmeier, 
    426 F.3d 872
    , 877 (7th Cir.
    2005). We therefore take Omnicare at its word and
    accept without further investigation the district court’s
    conclusion that Illinois law applies to the state law
    claims. Id.
    1. Fraud
    Omnicare’s fraud claim implicates a far smaller
    universe of evidence than does its Sherman Act claim.
    Indeed, it rests on a single document, Craig Stephens’s
    October 31, 2005, e-mail to Tim Bien, and a single sentence
    within that document, the second one. In that e-mail,
    Stephens, of United, told Bien, of Omnicare, that
    “PacifiCare’s Part D offering for 2006 is a unique contract
    with CMS. If and when the deal closes, PacifiCare
    No. 09-1152                                            55
    will follow their own Part D product strategy through-
    out the 2006 calendar year.” The two-sentence e-mail
    was sent in response to Bien’s even briefer query, “When
    the deal closes, will PacifiCare be contracted with
    Omnicare as a result of the acquisition?”
    For Omnicare to prove at trial that Stephens’s e-mail
    constituted fraud under Illinois law, it would have to
    demonstrate that United, acting through Stephens,
    made a false statement of material fact, with knowledge
    or belief that the statement was false, and with the
    intent to induce Omnicare to reasonably rely and act on
    the statement. It would also have to show that United
    actually achieved such reliance, and caused injury to
    Omnicare. Reger Dev., LLC v. Nat’l City Bank, 
    592 F.3d 759
    , 766 (7th Cir. 2010) (reciting Illinois law and citing
    Redarowicz v. Ohlendorf, 
    441 N.E.2d 324
    , 331 (Ill. 1982)).
    Omnicare contends it could do just that. It asserts that
    the second sentence of the e-mail was literally false or
    at least misleading because United and PacifiCare em-
    ployed a concurrent Part D strategy after April 1, 2006,
    the date when United officially joined PacifiCare’s con-
    tract. It also alleges that United knew that the statement
    was false, that the e-mail was part of a broader scheme
    to induce Omnicare to sign PacifiCare’s “any willing
    provider” contract and eventually move United’s Part D’s
    enrollees to it, and that Omnicare was injured by the
    noncompetitive rate that it agreed to when it did in fact
    sign the contract.
    The district court concluded that Omnicare was unable
    to demonstrate a genuine issue of material fact as to
    56                                               No. 09-1152
    the first element, falsity of the statement, and granted
    Defendants’ motion for summary judgment. See Celotex
    Corp., 
    477 U.S. at 322
    . Omnicare disputes that conclu-
    sion. It likewise takes issue with the district court’s
    related conclusion that Omnicare failed to establish that
    United and PacifiCare coordinated their Part D plans.
    We review the district court’s grant of summary judg-
    ment de novo, making all reasonable inferences in
    Omnicare’s favor. See, e.g., Tri-Gen, 
    433 F.3d at 1030
    .
    Omnicare contends that Stephens’s representation was
    literally false, or, in the alternative, that it has raised a
    material issue of fact as to whether United and Pacifi-
    Care pursued separate Part D strategies throughout
    2006. Omnicare fails to recognize, however, that
    Stephens’s statement, even if false, was at best “a false
    statement of intent regarding future conduct rather than
    present or past facts.” Trade Fin. Partners, LLC v. AAR Corp.,
    
    573 F.3d 401
    , 413 (7th Cir. 2009). Such statements are
    considered “promissory fraud,” which as a general rule
    is “not actionable under Illinois law unless the plaintiff
    also proves that the act was a part of a scheme to de-
    fraud.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Ass’n Benefit Servs., Inc. v. Caremark
    Rx, Inc., 
    493 F.3d 841
    , 853 (7th Cir. 2007)); HPI Health Care
    Servs., Inc. v. Mt. Vernon Hosp., Inc., 
    545 N.E.2d 672
    , 682
    (Ill. 1989). As discussed at length above, Omnicare has
    not put forth sufficient evidence to prove that Pacifi-
    Care and United were engaged in a scheme to defraud
    it, and consequently it cannot demonstrate that
    Stephens’s e-mail was part of any broader scheme. Thus,
    even if the district court was wrong in concluding that
    Stephens’s statement was a true response to Bien’s
    No. 09-1152                                             57
    query, it properly prevented Omnicare’s fraud claim
    from moving forward. By virtue of our de novo review,
    we may affirm summary judgment on any basis sup-
    ported in the record, Holmes v. Vill. of Hoffman Estates,
    
    511 F.3d 673
    , 681 (7th Cir. 2007), and we do so here.
    2. Unjust Enrichment
    Omnicare also contends that United and PacifiCare
    have been unjustly enriched as a result of their illegal
    conspiracy against it. The district court granted summary
    judgment to Defendants on this claim, reasoning that
    Omnicare could not demonstrate an illegal conspiracy
    and thus could not possibly demonstrate that De-
    fendants were thereby enriched. The district court also
    noted, in the alternative, that plaintiffs proceeding
    under Illinois law cannot raise unjust enrichment claims
    when “there is a specific contract that governs the rela-
    tionship of the parties.” Omnicare, 
    594 F. Supp. 2d at 980
    (quoting Stathis v. Geldermann, Inc., 
    692 N.E.2d 798
    , 812
    (Ill. App. Ct. 1998)).
    Omnicare challenges the district court’s second ratio-
    nale. It asserts that a case decided after the Stathis
    case cited by the district court clarified that unjust en-
    richment claims are sustainable even where a contract
    exists if the plaintiff alleges that it was fraudulently
    induced into entering the contract. Appellant’s Br. 54.
    Omnicare does not challenge, however, the district court’s
    “fundamental[ ]” reason, Omnicare, 594 F. Supp. 2d. at 981,
    for granting Defendants’ summary judgment motion on
    its unjust enrichment claim.
    58                                              No. 09-1152
    Omnicare’s unjust enrichment claim unambiguously
    (and fatally) rests upon the existence of a scheme
    among Defendants. “[W]hen the plaintiff’s particular
    theory of unjust enrichment is based on alleged fraud-
    ulent dealings and we reject the plaintiff’s claims that
    those dealings, indeed, were fraudulent, the theory of
    unjust enrichment that the plaintiff has pursued is no
    longer viable.” Ass’n Ben. Servs., Inc. v. Caremark Rx, Inc.,
    
    493 F.3d 841
    , 855 (7th Cir. 2007). As Omnicare cannot
    prove the existence of a conspiracy, it follows that it
    cannot demonstrate that Defendants were enriched
    thereby. We therefore affirm the district court’s grant
    of summary judgment on Omnicare’s unjust enrichment
    claim.
    C. Motion for Partial Summary Judgment
    Omnicare filed a motion for partial summary judg-
    ment (alternatively denominated as a motion to strike)
    as to five of Defendants’ affirmative defenses that it
    contended could not succeed as a matter of law. The
    district court denied the motion without explanation in
    the concluding paragraph of its opinion and order. See
    Omnicare, 
    594 F. Supp. 2d at 981
    . We review a district
    court’s denial of a motion for partial summary judg-
    ment the same way we review its grant of a motion for
    summary judgment: de novo, with all inferences
    construed in favor of the nonmoving party. Belcher v.
    Norton, 
    497 F.3d 742
    , 747 (7th Cir. 2007). There is no need
    to undertake such a review here, however, in light of our
    resolution of Defendants’ motion for summary judgment
    No. 09-1152                                            59
    in their favor. Omnicare’s allegations have been resolved
    and it is no longer necessary for Defendants to affirma-
    tively defend themselves against them. Omnicare’s
    motion challenging these defenses is consequently ren-
    dered moot and its dismissal warrants no further con-
    sideration.
    III. Conclusion
    The evidence in the record before us does not create
    a genuine issue of material fact as to the existence of an
    anticompetitive agreement among Defendants. Omnicare
    therefore cannot prove that Defendants violated section 1
    of the Sherman Act, and the district court properly
    granted summary judgment in Defendants’ favor on
    that claim. The lack of an agreement between PacifiCare
    and United necessarily undermines Omnicare’s re-
    maining state law claims, which were also properly
    dismissed at the summary judgment stage. In light of
    the dismissal of Omnicare’s claims, Omnicare’s motion
    for partial summary judgment on the issue of Defen-
    dants’ affirmative defenses cannot proceed either. We
    thus A FFIRM the judgment of the district court.
    1-10-11
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 09-1152

Citation Numbers: 629 F.3d 697

Judges: Griesbach, Kanne, Tinder

Filed Date: 1/10/2011

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 8/3/2023

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