Marilyn Mulero v. Sheryl Thompson , 668 F.3d 529 ( 2012 )


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  •                              In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 10-3875
    M ARILYN M ULERO ,
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    v.
    S HERYL T HOMPSON, Warden of the
    Dwight Correctional Center,
    Respondent-Appellee.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 09 CV 03146—Charles R. Norgle, Sr., Judge.
    A RGUED S EPTEMBER 15, 2011—D ECIDED F EBRUARY 7, 2012
    Before B AUER, M ANION, and S YKES, Circuit Judges.
    M ANION, Circuit Judge. Marilyn Mulero was charged
    in Illinois with four counts of murder, two counts of
    conspiracy to commit murder, and one count of
    unlawful use of a firearm by a felon. She entered a
    blind plea of guilty and the counts were then merged,
    resulting in a state trial court entering judgment
    against Mulero on two counts of intentional murder.
    2                                              No. 10-3875
    Mulero was eventually sentenced to life imprison-
    ment—the mandatory minimum sentence for a double
    homicide. After exhausting her state court remedies,
    Mulero filed a petition for habeas relief in the district
    court, alleging her trial attorney provided ineffective
    assistance of counsel. The district court concluded that
    many of Mulero’s ineffective assistance claims were
    defaulted and held that the non-defaulted claims failed
    on the merits. The district court then granted a certif-
    icate of appealability limited to two issues—whether
    Mulero’s attorney was ineffective for, prior to advising
    Mulero concerning her desire to enter a blind plea of
    guilty, 1) failing to investigate witnesses, and 2) failing
    to obtain supporting services. Mulero presents those
    issues on appeal, arguing ten specific alleged failings
    by her attorney. We conclude that Mulero has preserved
    only three of these ten arguments—those she presented
    through one complete round of state court review. Specifi-
    cally, Mulero has preserved only the questions of
    whether her attorney was ineffective for 1) failing to
    investigate witness Jackie Serrano; 2) failing to obtain
    psychological evidence to support an argument that
    Mulero’s confession was involuntary; and 3) failing
    to recognize that witness Yvette Rodriguez had made
    inconsistent statements and had a motive to lie. While
    Mulero preserved these arguments, they all fail on
    the merits. Accordingly, we affirm.
    I.
    Nearly twenty years ago, on May 11, 1992, then-21-year-
    old petitioner Marilyn Mulero, 15-year-old Jacqueline
    No. 10-3875                                             3
    Montanez and 16-year-old Madeline Mendoza, all mem-
    bers of the Maniac Latin Disciples gang, decided to seek
    revenge for the Latin Kings’ murder of their friend,
    “Mudo.” Mulero borrowed her brother’s car and one of
    the trio obtained a small silver automatic gun to carry
    out what they would later describe as a “mission” for
    their “nation.” As they were leaving for their mission,
    the threesome saw Yvette Rodriguez. Rodriguez would
    later testify that they invited her to go “make a hit
    with them and roll on some flakes,” which meant to
    kill or fight the Latin Kings. Rodriguez declined.
    Mulero then drove Montanez and Mendoza into
    Latin Kings territory, where they saw two men in another
    car, Jimmy Cruz and Hector Reyes, whom Montanez
    recognized as Latin Kings. The young women invited
    Cruz and Reyes to “party” with them in nearby
    Humboldt Park. After they all arrived, Montanez went
    into the bathroom with Reyes and shot him in the back
    of the head, killing him. Montanez left the bathroom
    and, according to Mulero’s original confession, then
    handed Mulero the gun and Mulero shot Cruz in the
    back of the head, killing him. The three then drove off.
    At the time of the shooting, about 12:15 a.m. on May 12,
    1992, Jackie Serrano was looking out of the window of
    her nearby apartment. She would later testify that she
    looked into the park after hearing some voices and
    giggling and that she saw three women, one of whom
    was taller than the others, and two men. She saw the
    taller female enter the restroom with a male, and after
    hearing a firecracker sound, Serrano saw her emerge
    4                                             No. 10-3875
    from the restroom alone. Serrano then saw a shorter
    female go behind the second male, observed a flash
    behind that man, and saw him fall to the ground. This
    evidence was consistent with Montanez shooting
    Reyes and Mulero shooting Cruz, as Montanez is 5'7"
    and Mulero is 5'1".
    After the shooting, Rodriguez saw Mulero, Montanez,
    and Mendoza back in their neighborhood, and Mulero
    and Montanez were bragging about having murdered
    Cruz and Reyes. Later that evening, police arrested Rod-
    riguez on a drug offense and Rodriguez identified
    Mulero, Montanez, and Mendoza as the perpetrators of
    Cruz’s and Reyes’s murders. The next day, officers
    arrested Mulero and Montanez, and a few days later
    they arrested Mendoza.
    Following her arrest and substantial questioning,
    Mulero gave a court-reported statement to a Chicago
    detective and an assistant state’s attorney. In her state-
    ment, she acknowledged her involvement as detailed
    above. Additionally, after she confessed to the murders,
    while being escorted through the police station, a televi-
    sion news camera captured Mulero shouting gang
    slogans, “KK,” which means “king killers,” and flashing
    gang signals with her hands.
    The state charged Mulero with four counts of murder,
    two counts of conspiracy to commit murder, and one
    count of unlawful use of a firearm by a felon. On June 5,
    1992, a Cook County Public Defender appeared on
    behalf of Mulero. The Public Defender represented
    Mulero until around early 1993, and during that time,
    No. 10-3875                                            5
    among other things, the Public Defender had an investiga-
    tor speak with Serrano and filed a motion to suppress
    Mulero’s confession. Then sometime in early to mid-1993,
    a couple for whom Mulero used to babysit hired a
    private attorney, Jeremiah Lynch, to represent Mulero.
    Lynch apparently filed an amended motion to suppress
    and then argued that motion. In June 1993, the state
    court denied the motion to suppress Mulero’s confession,
    finding that Mulero’s statement to the police was
    voluntary and that there were no promises, misrepre-
    sentations, or fabrications by the police.
    Two months later, in August 1993, Montanez was
    convicted of the murders of Cruz and Reyes and sen-
    tenced to life imprisonment. (Because Montanez was a
    minor, she did not qualify for the death penalty.) At
    Montanez’s trial, the prosecution presented Montanez’s
    court-reported statement, which was consistent with
    Mulero’s confession, and testimony from, among others,
    Rodriguez and Serrano. Following Montanez’s convic-
    tion, Mendoza pleaded guilty on September 22, 1993, to
    one count of murder of Cruz and one count of conspiracy
    to murder Reyes. At her change of plea hearing, Mendoza
    swore under oath that Montanez had shot Reyes and
    that Mulero had shot Cruz. Less than a week later, on
    September 27, 1993, Mulero pleaded guilty to all counts
    without the benefit of a plea agreement—this is referred
    to as a blind plea.
    At her change of plea hearing, Mulero testified that
    she was pleading guilty because she knew she was guilty
    and that it was her idea to plead guilty. Following
    6                                              No. 10-3875
    Mulero’s guilty plea, the counts were merged, resulting
    in a state trial court entering judgment against Mulero
    on two counts of intentional murder. After pleading
    guilty, Mulero proceeded to the sentencing phase of
    the proceedings. In Illinois, the only possible sen-
    tences for two counts of intentional murder were life
    imprisonment without possibility of parole, or death. On
    November 12, 1993, a jury sentenced Mulero to death.
    On December 17, 1993, Lynch filed a motion for a new
    sentencing hearing, arguing that the trial court had erred
    in allowing the prosecution to argue at the sentencing
    hearing that Mulero was not truly remorseful for the
    crimes because she had filed a motion to suppress her
    confession. The trial court denied that motion and
    entered the sentence of death against Mulero.
    Mulero appealed her death sentence directly to the
    Illinois Supreme Court. She also, on January 6, 1994, filed
    a pro se motion to withdraw her guilty plea. In her
    motion to withdraw her guilty plea Mulero argued, among
    other things, that Lynch had coerced her into pleading
    guilty. Counsel was later appointed to represent Mulero
    and to argue this motion. At the trial court’s hearing on
    Mulero’s motion to withdraw her guilty plea, Lynch
    testified at length. Lynch stated that he was hired by a
    family for whom Mulero used to babysit and that he
    took over the case from the Public Defender’s office.
    Lynch noted that he visited the crime scene twice, re-
    viewed discovery, and reviewed the Public Defender’s
    file, including a statement from one of the Public De-
    fender’s investigators who had interviewed Serrano.
    Lynch also indicated that Serrano’s statement might
    No. 10-3875                                             7
    have implicated the taller woman (and thus not Mulero)
    as the shooter of the second victim outside the rest-
    room, but that Serrano’s statement was not definitive
    on whether Mulero or the taller woman had done the
    second shooting. Lynch also testified that he had
    reviewed the various police reports, including reports
    by two different officers which contained conflicting
    stories from Rodriguez—one which stated that Mulero
    had shot one of the victims and the other which
    indicated that Montanez had shot both victims. Lynch
    further stated that the State had made no plea offer
    and refused to participate in a pre-trial plea conference.
    Additionally, Lynch testified that when he met with
    Mulero in August 1993, Mulero directed him to enter a
    guilty plea on her behalf. Lynch stated that he was sur-
    prised by Mulero’s request and told her to think about
    it. He also explained that he did not want to discuss a
    plea at that time because Mulero’s request at this meeting
    came directly on the heels of Montanez’s recent con-
    viction and following the court’s previous denial of
    Mulero’s motion to suppress. Lynch added that he also
    wanted to think more about such a strategy.
    When they next met, Lynch and Mulero discussed
    for about an hour the pros and cons of entering a blind
    plea of guilty. Lynch noted the risk in entering such a
    plea was that Mulero could be sentenced to death. But
    he also noted that there might be an advantage in
    pleading guilty because it might convince the jury to
    spare Mulero’s life because it could show that, after
    having had time to think about her actions, Mulero was
    8                                             No. 10-3875
    truly remorseful. And thus her plea would offset the
    negative impression naturally flowing from the news
    videotape which showed Mulero as proud of her ac-
    tions. Lynch testified that in addition to discussing
    the pros and cons in general, he also discussed the
    strength of the case against Mulero and the weight of
    the evidence. Lynch explained that the discovery and
    other evidence included: Mulero’s court-reported con-
    fession and her claims of coercion, Montanez’s confes-
    sion, the videotape evidence, Rodriquez’s statements—
    including the conflicting aspects of those statements
    concerning whether there was one shooter or two—
    Serrano’s eyewitness account, and the Public Defender’s
    investigator’s statement that Serrano may have im-
    plicated the taller woman as the shooter of the second
    victim. Lynch stressed that he did not tell Mulero one
    way or the other what to do—as he said, he made no
    recommendation “whatsoever” about whether Mulero
    should plead guilty. Rather, as Lynch explained, after
    discussing the evidence with her, Mulero decided on
    her own that she wanted to plead guilty.
    Mulero also testified at the hearing on her motion to
    withdraw her guilty plea. People v. Mulero, 
    680 N.E.2d 1329
    , 1345 (Ill. 1997). She testified that it was Lynch’s
    idea for her to plead guilty and that she pleaded guilty
    because trial counsel did not give her “much of a choice.”
    
    Id.
     In addition, in support of her motion to withdraw her
    guilty plea, Mulero presented the testimony of a psycho-
    logist, Michael Kovar. 
    Id.
     Dr. Kovar testified that he
    conducted several psychological tests on Mulero, which
    showed that she was highly suggestible and easily
    No. 10-3875                                                9
    misled. 
    Id.
     He further concluded that Mulero had de-
    ficiencies in “the ‘fund’ of information, vocabulary, and
    commonsense reasoning.” 
    Id.
     And “[b]ased on his test
    findings, her mental status, her history and her overall
    presentation, Dr. Kovar concluded that [Mulero’s] plea
    of guilty was not knowingly and intelligently made,
    given defendant’s lack of competence at the time she
    pled guilty.” 
    Id.
     Dr. Kovar further diagnosed Mulero
    as “having a depressive disorder, a general anxiety disor-
    der, and presently manifesting borderline intellectual
    functioning.” 
    Id.
    The state trial court denied Mulero’s motion to with-
    draw her guilty plea on December 7, 1994. The state
    court found Dr. Kovar’s testimony not credible, noting he
    was “not a psychiatrist” and “not a medical doctor.” The
    judge then elaborated on his reasons for rejecting
    Dr. Kovar’s testimony and Mulero’s motion to with-
    draw her guilty plea, stating:
    [Dr. Kovar] suggests to this Court that he knew what
    her mental state was and her suggestability when
    she had conversations with her lawyer and when
    she pled guilty in front of me, and I recall it very, very
    well and I have an advantage on some of the parties.
    I was here for these proceedings. And I was also
    here when Mr. Jeremiah Lynch tried the case. I found
    him to be a very professional, credible, excellent
    lawyer, probing cross-examination, conducted him-
    self in an extremely credible manner. He hasn’t been
    here in the last few days to see his reputation and
    his ability besmirched, but I believe him and I heard
    10                                                No. 10-3875
    him testify relative to this motion and he was an
    extremely credible, straightforward, truthful witness.
    And he said one key thing. That Marilyn Mulero it
    was her idea to plead guilty, not his, and her idea
    to plead guilty came after she lost a motion to sup-
    press the court reporter [sic] confession in which
    she admitted the offense and after her co-defendant
    Jacqueline Montanez, also known as Loco, was
    found guilty in about half an hour on the same evi-
    dence. She suggested to Jeremiah Lynch that if she
    were to plead guilty what would that mean, and she
    had numerous discussions on the pros and cons
    of pleading guilty. . . . [S]he knew that there was testi-
    mony from a newsreel in a videotape taken by one
    of the media in which after the statement she and
    Montanez come [sic] out of a room and cockily
    wearing gang clothes, giving gang signals so to
    show no remorse whatsoever, and they discussed
    and Mr. Lynch testified to this, what the advantage
    would be to plead guilty, and that would be that
    she would show the jury that she had remorse for
    what she did because it was almost a foregone con-
    clusion that she did it and perhaps that would be
    in her benefit to plead guilty. . . . That was her
    choice. She entered that plea in front of me. She was
    admonished as to what the penalties were, what
    her rights were. She indicated to me that she under-
    stood and I believed her, and I’ve been talking
    to defendants for a long time, that she did it know-
    ingly, voluntarily and intelligently. And she also did
    it after numerous, numerous conversations with her
    No. 10-3875                                           11
    attorney. And it was a remarkable decision at the
    time. There were advantages to it. Her perceived
    advantages. They didn’t work out that way but at
    the time she did it she did it from an intelligent,
    informed viewpoint that perhaps this was the best
    way to go. And there’s no question that Mr. Lynch
    in my view, and this is the only case he tried in
    front of me, but the way he conducts himself as a
    competent attorney. That’s what lawyers are for.
    He told her the pros and the cons. He didn’t tell her
    you got to go this way. She’s the one that made
    that decision. And I’ll tell you why I know that. Be-
    cause Lynch said it and I believe him, but more im-
    portantly, she said it. In front of the jury after
    taking the same oath that she took here today and
    proceeded to lie. Her motion to withdraw the guilty
    plea is denied.
    After Mulero lost her motion to withdraw her guilty
    plea, she appealed the denial to the Illinois Supreme
    Court, arguing that the trial court erred in ruling that
    Dr. Kovar’s testimony was not credible based solely on
    the fact that he was a clinical psychologist and not a
    medical doctor. Mulero, 
    680 N.E.2d at 1344
    . The
    Supreme Court rejected Mulero’s challenge to the state
    court’s ruling on her motion to withdraw her guilty
    plea in Mulero, holding that although the court had
    “improperly commented about [Dr. Kovar] not being
    a medical doctor or a psychiatrist, [t]he record, how-
    ever, demonstrates that the trial judge did not reject
    Dr. Kovar’s credibility because he was not a medical
    doctor or a psychiatrist. Rather, the trial judge did not
    12                                             No. 10-3875
    agree with Dr. Kovar’s conclusions because of his own
    observations of defendant while presiding over the pro-
    ceedings in this case, and because he found [Lynch] to
    be credible.” 
    Id. at 1345
    . The Supreme Court then con-
    cluded that “the trial judge properly rejected
    Dr. Kovar’s credibility in light of other evidence” and
    found there was no basis for granting a new hearing on
    the motion to withdraw Mulero’s guilty plea. 
    Id. at 1341
    .
    While Mulero lost her challenge to the denial of her
    motion to withdraw her guilty plea, she prevailed on
    her challenge to her death sentence. The Illinois
    Supreme Court overturned her death sentence, holding
    that the trial court had erred in allowing the prosecution
    to introduce into evidence Mulero’s motion to sup-
    press—either for substantive or impeachment purposes
    at sentencing. 
    Id. at 1340
    . The Supreme Court then re-
    manded the case for a new sentencing hearing. 
    Id.
    At the second sentencing hearing, Mulero’s new attor-
    ney, in arguing in favor of life imprisonment, suggested
    that Mulero did not really shoot Cruz, although he ac-
    knowledged that she was nonetheless legally accountable
    for the murders under Illinois law. The second jury sen-
    tenced Mulero to life imprisonment without possibility
    of parole. Mulero’s Public Defender filed an Anders
    brief, and the state appellate court affirmed Mulero’s life
    sentence, holding there were no arguable issues for
    appeal. See People v. Mulero, No. 1-99-0825 (Ill. App. Ct.
    1999). Mulero did not file a Petition for Leave to Appeal
    to the Illinois Supreme Court.
    Mulero then filed four separate versions of a state post-
    conviction petition between 1996 and 2006. In these
    No. 10-3875                                              13
    petitions, she alleged that her trial attorney, Lynch, was
    ineffective in numerous ways. Each petition included
    some overlap, but also made slightly different claims.
    The state trial court denied her petitions for post-convic-
    tion relief and Mulero appealed to the Illinois appellate
    court, which affirmed. The Illinois Supreme Court then
    denied Mulero leave to appeal.
    After the state courts denied Mulero’s claims of ineffec-
    tive assistance of counsel, she filed a petition for habeas
    corpus in federal district court, again alleging ineffective
    assistance of trial counsel from Lynch. She alleged numer-
    ous supposed deficiencies, but the district court found
    many of the claims procedurally defaulted and rejected
    the remaining claims. The district court then issued
    a certificate of appealability limited to two issues:
    1) whether Lynch’s limited investigation into the facts
    of the murders, particularly his admitted failure to inter-
    view any witnesses, constitutes ineffective assistance
    of counsel; and 2) whether Lynch’s failure to procure any
    supporting services, including experts or investigators,
    in violation of ABA death penalty case Guidelines, consti-
    tutes ineffective assistance of counsel. Mulero appeals.
    II.
    As noted, the district court certified two issues for
    appeal, the first concerning Lynch’s failure to investigate
    and the second concerning his failure to obtain sup-
    porting services. In her brief on appeal, Mulero presents
    ten different alleged deficiencies by Lynch related to
    his claimed unconstitutional failure to investigate and
    14                                                 No. 10-3875
    failure to obtain supporting services.1 The government
    responds that Mulero has procedurally defaulted on all
    but three issues. We agree.
    To preserve a federal claim for habeas review:
    [i]f the claim comes from the Illinois state courts, the
    petitioner must have presented each claim in the
    habeas petition to the Illinois Appellate Court and to
    the Illinois Supreme Court in a petition for discretion-
    ary review. O’Sullivan v. Boerckel, 
    526 U.S. 838
    , 844-45
    (1999). As part of this requirement, a petitioner must
    have fairly presented both the operative facts and
    legal principles that control each claim to the state
    judiciary. Wilson v. Briley, 
    243 F.3d 325
    , 327 (7th Cir.
    2001). A petitioner’s failure to fairly present each
    habeas claim to the state’s appellate and supreme
    court in a timely manner leads to a default of the
    claim, thus barring the federal court from reviewing
    the claim’s merits. O’Sullivan, 
    526 U.S. at 848
    .
    Smith v. McKee, 
    598 F.3d 374
    , 382 (7th Cir. 2010).
    1
    Specifically, Mulero argues that Lynch was ineffective because
    he did not 1) interview witnesses; 2) discover key impeachable
    evidence; 3) use a key witness’s contradictory statement;
    4) investigate the crime scene; 5) investigate bullet angulation
    evidence; 6) reasonably consult with Mulero; 7) meaningfully
    consult with the prior lawyer who worked on Mulero’s case;
    8) consult with co-counsel; 9) attend conferences or seminars
    to educate himself on how to effectively represent Mulero; and
    10) consult with a mitigation expert to prepare himself for
    the sentencing phase of Mulero’s trial.
    No. 10-3875                                            15
    In this case, as the government correctly points out,
    Mulero only presented three of the claimed deficiencies
    through one complete round of state court review. Mulero
    does not really argue otherwise; instead she merely
    counters that the district court concluded that she had
    preserved all issues related to Lynch’s failure to
    investigate witnesses and failure to obtain supporting
    services. See Petitioner’s Reply Brief at 5-7. But “we
    review a district court’s procedural default ruling de
    novo.” Ward v. Jenkins, 
    613 F.3d 692
    , 696 (7th Cir. 2010).
    Thus, we owe no deference to the district court’s view of
    default, but rather review the state court record with
    fresh eyes. We have done so and, in fact, Mulero only
    presented three claimed deficiencies through one
    round of Illinois review. Specifically, Mulero argued to
    the Illinois appellate court that Lynch was ineffective
    because he did not: 1) discover that Serrano claimed
    to have seen the taller woman shoot Cruz; 2) obtain
    psychological evidence to support an argument that
    Mulero’s confession was involuntary; and 3) recog-
    nize that he could call into question the only real
    remaining evidence against Mulero—Rodriguez’s state-
    ments—based on inconsistencies in her statements and
    bias. Brief and Argument of Petitioner-Appellant to
    Illinois appellate court at 10-17. While Mulero did
    present numerous other claims of ineffective assistance
    of counsel to the Illinois state trial court and in her
    petition for review to the Illinois Supreme Court, those
    other claims were not developed in her briefs to the
    Illinois appellate court challenging the denial of her
    petition for post-conviction review. Accordingly, only
    16                                               No. 10-3875
    the three issues noted above are preserved for our
    habeas review.2
    For the three preserved issues, our habeas review is
    governed by the Antiterrorism and Effective Death
    Penalty Act of 1996 (AEDPA). “Under the AEDPA, a
    petitioner for habeas relief must establish that the state
    court proceedings resulted in a decision that (1) was
    ‘contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of,
    clearly established Federal law, as determined by the
    Supreme Court’; or (2) was ‘based on an unreasonable
    determination of the facts in light of the evidence pre-
    sented in the State court proceeding.’ ” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)(1)-(2).
    In her habeas petition, Mulero challenged her state
    court conviction based solely on § 2254(d)(1) and then
    based only on the “unreasonable application” prong of
    (d)(1). Under the “unreasonable application” clause,
    habeas relief is appropriate “if the state court correctly
    identifies the governing legal principle from [Supreme
    Court] decisions but unreasonably applies it to the facts
    of the particular case.” McCarthy v. Pollard, 
    656 F.3d 478
    ,
    483 (7th Cir. 2011) (internal quotation omitted). Impor-
    tantly, “[t]he focus of the reasonableness inquiry is on
    2
    While on appeal Mulero makes passing reference to her
    innocence, she does not argue that her default should be
    excused because of cause and prejudice or a fundamental
    miscarriage of justice, and accordingly there is no basis to
    excuse her default. See Promotor v. Pollard, 
    628 F.3d 878
    , 887
    (7th Cir. 2010).
    No. 10-3875                                               17
    whether the state court’s application of clearly estab-
    lished federal law is objectively unreasonable, not whether
    it applied clearly established federal law correctly.” 
    Id.
    The federal law at issue here is Strickland v. Washington,
    
    466 U.S. 668
     (1984), which governs ineffective assistance
    of counsel claims. Under Strickland’s familiar two-part
    test, an attorney renders ineffective assistance of counsel
    if 1) the attorney’s performance fell below “an objective
    standard of reasonableness,” 
    id. at 688
    , and 2) there is
    a “reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofes-
    sional errors, the result of the proceeding would have
    been different.” 
    Id. at 694
    . “To satisfy Strickland in the
    context of a guilty plea, a petitioner must show that coun-
    sel’s advice regarding the plea was objectively unrea-
    sonable and that there is a reasonable probability that
    but for counsel’s error, [petitioner] would not have pled
    guilty, but would have insisted upon a trial.” Ward,
    
    613 F.3d at 698
    .
    The Supreme Court in Hill v. Lockhart, 
    474 U.S. 52
    , 59
    (1985), explained that “the ‘prejudice’ inquiry will closely
    resemble the inquiry engaged in by courts reviewing
    ineffective assistance challenges to convictions obtained
    through a trial.” 
    Id. at 59
    . The Court gave the following
    example:
    [W]here the alleged error of counsel is a failure to
    investigate or discover potentially exculpatory evi-
    dence, the determination whether the error “preju-
    diced” the defendant by causing him to plead guilty
    rather than go to trial will depend on the likelihood
    that discovery of the evidence would have led
    18                                              No. 10-3875
    counsel to change his recommendation as to the plea.
    This assessment, in turn, will depend in large part on
    a prediction whether the evidence likely would have
    changed the outcome of a trial.
    
    Id.
    With these principles in mind, we turn to Mulero’s
    three ineffective assistance of counsel arguments.
    Initially, we note that the Illinois state trial court did
    not address the first prong of Strickland. In other words,
    the state court never determined whether Lynch’s guid-
    ance in advising Mulero concerning her desire to enter
    a blind plea fell below “an objective standard of reason-
    ableness.” Because the state court did not address
    this question, our review would be de novo. Sussman v.
    Jenkins, 
    636 F.3d 329
    , 350 (7th Cir. 2011). But we need
    not reach that question because, as discussed below,
    Mulero cannot establish that the state court’s conclu-
    sion that she did not suffer prejudice was unreasonable.
    First, Mulero argued that Lynch was ineffective for
    failing to investigate Serrano and to obtain from Serrano
    a statement that she had seen the taller woman (i.e.,
    Montanez) shoot Cruz. In support of this argument,
    Mulero pointed to affidavits sworn by an investigator
    and an intern, in which they stated that on July 17, 1997,
    Serrano informed them that she saw the taller of the
    three women walk behind Cruz and shoot him. While it
    is true that Lynch did not speak with Serrano or hire an
    investigator to do so, the Public Defender from whom
    Lynch took over the case had hired an investigator.
    Lynch knew that the investigator had concluded that
    No. 10-3875                                                    19
    Serrano’s statement indicated that she might have seen
    the taller woman shoot the man outside the restroom.
    But Lynch also determined that Serrano’s statement was
    not definitive. Lynch testified that he spoke with Mulero
    about the inconsistencies in Serrano’s statements and
    that she nonetheless wanted to plead guilty. And the
    state court found Lynch’s testimony credible. Given that
    Lynch and Mulero already knew of the inconsistencies
    in Serrano’s eyewitness reports based on a report by an
    investigator hired by Mulero’s original attorney, there
    are no reasonable grounds to believe that further inves-
    tigation would have changed Lynch’s advice about en-
    tering a blind plea or Mulero’s decision to enter such
    a plea. Nor is there any reason to believe that obtaining
    another out-of-court statement from Serrano would
    have altered the strength of the case against Mulero:
    Notwithstanding Serrano’s supposed statements in 1997
    to an investigator and intern hired by Mulero’s latest
    attorney that the taller woman shot Cruz, Serrano
    testified at Montanez’s re-trial in November 1999 3 that
    one of the shorter women was the second shooter.4
    3
    Montanez’s 1993 conviction was overturned in People v.
    Montanez, 
    652 N.E.2d 1271
    , 1274 (Ill. App. 1995). Following a
    second jury trial in November 1999, Montanez was again
    convicted of the murders and sentenced to life imprisonment.
    4
    As we explained in Mendiola v. Schomig, 
    224 F.3d 589
    , 592 (7th
    Cir. 2000), there may be many reasons why a witness would
    tell a defendant’s friends or attorney what they want to hear:
    “the formality of a court, the presence of the litigants, and the
    (continued...)
    20                                              No. 10-3875
    Mulero’s second claimed deficiency—that Lynch failed
    to obtain psychological evidence to support an argument
    that Mulero’s confession was involuntary—fares no
    better. In his motion to suppress, Lynch argued that
    Mulero’s confession was psychologically coerced, but the
    state court rejected this argument. Lynch also testified
    that he discussed making a coerced-confession argument
    with Mulero, but he doubted it would succeed given
    her boastful display to the television cameras following
    her confession. Moreover, the psychological evidence
    later obtained from Dr. Kovar was rejected as not
    credible by the state trial court and the Illinois Supreme
    Court found that in light of the other evidence, the
    trial court had properly rejected Dr. Kovar’s credibility.
    Additionally, the assistant state’s attorney for Cook
    County to whom Mulero confessed testified at her sen-
    tencing hearing that during her confession Mulero was
    very calm and in control of herself and did not indicate
    any remorse for her actions. He added that it appeared
    that Mulero was very proud of what she had done. This
    testimony also would negate a coerced-confession argu-
    4
    (...continued)
    gaze of a judge induce witnesses to hew more closely to the
    truth than they do when speaking in private and attempting to
    appease the losing side’s advocate”; “[s]ome witnesses fall
    prey to influences—perhaps the persuasive influence of a
    skilled advocate asking leading questions, perhaps the less
    wholesome influence of the defendant’s friends. . . . People
    fear the Latin Kings for a reason.” Or, as in this case, the
    Maniac Latin Disciples.
    No. 10-3875                                             21
    ment. Under these circumstances, the state court did not
    act unreasonably in concluding that had Lynch obtained
    additional psychological evidence, it would not have
    changed his advice or convinced Mulero to change her
    mind about entering a blind plea of guilty.
    Finally, Mulero argued to the state court that Lynch
    should have recognized that he could call into question
    the only real remaining evidence against Mulero—incon-
    sistencies in Rodriguez’s statements and bias. Specif-
    ically, Mulero pointed to contradictory statements by
    Rodriguez—statements indicating that Mulero shot one
    victim and Montanez the other, and another statement
    indicating that Montanez shot both victims. Mulero
    also stressed that Rodriguez gave her statements to
    officers only after having been arrested for drug offenses.
    Lynch, though, testified that he had reviewed the
    Public Defender’s file and discovery and knew of the
    inconsistencies in Rodriguez’s police statements, and
    that he also knew that she was in custody on drug charges
    at the time she implicated Mulero. Lynch further
    stated that in discussing a potential guilty plea with
    Mulero, he discussed the case she was facing and the
    discovery evidence. Thus, there is no reason to believe
    that Lynch did not recognize that he could challenge
    Rodriguez’s testimony if Mulero pleaded not guilty and
    proceeded to trial. There is also no reason to be-
    lieve that had Lynch independently confirmed the incon-
    sistencies, Mulero’s decision to enter a blind plea would
    have changed. Nor is there any reason to think that
    additional investigation of Rodriguez would result in
    Mulero’s acquittal if she had decided to plead not guilty.
    22                                                 No. 10-3875
    In the end, what we have is an overwhelming pros-
    ecutorial case against Mulero, which included: Mulero’s
    own confession to police and an assistant state’s attor-
    ney; her post-confession behavior captured on camera;
    Montanez’s confession implicating Mulero; Serrano’s
    statements implicating Mulero; and Rodriguez’s state-
    ments of the trio’s statements before and after the shoot-
    ing. Lynch could have attempted to call into question this
    evidence at trial, but he advised Mulero of the evidence
    and the pros and cons of pleading guilty and she nonethe-
    less decided to plead guilty. Further investigation would
    not have added anything to this assessment. Moreover,
    the inconsistencies in Serrano’s and Rodriguez’s prior
    statements, which Mulero points to as evidence that
    she did not shoot Cruz, do not help Mulero because
    under Illinois law, Mulero was accountable whether or
    not she pulled the trigger—the only difference being
    whether she qualified for the death penalty. Under
    these circumstances, even if Lynch’s performance was
    objectively unreasonable because he did not recom-
    mend against a blind guilty plea in light of the inconsis-
    tencies in Serrano’s and Rodriguez’s testimony, it is not
    reasonable to believe that Mulero suffered any prejudice.
    Rather, the best that Mulero could hope for is what
    she got—life in prison and not the death penalty.5
    5
    Finally, we note that Mulero, in passing, requests that this
    court remand her case for a hearing, should this court not find
    habeas relief appropriate. Mulero did not develop this argu-
    ment, however, so it is waived. In any event, Mulero is not
    (continued...)
    No. 10-3875                                              23
    III.
    Nearly twenty years ago, Mulero pleaded guilty in
    Illinois state court to two counts of murder and received
    a sentence of life imprisonment. Even assuming her
    attorney was deficient in failing to further investigate
    inconsistencies or a motive to lie in statements by two
    witnesses, or was deficient in failing to obtain psycho-
    logical or IQ evidence to challenge Mulero’s confession,
    the state court did not err in concluding that Mulero
    suffered no prejudice. The evidence against Mulero
    was overwhelming and there is no reasonable likelihood
    that, in light of this overwhelming evidence, any further
    investigation would have convinced Mulero to instead
    plead not guilty and then alter the outcome of the pro-
    ceedings, i.e., her conviction on two counts of murder
    and life sentence. Accordingly, Mulero is not entitled to
    habeas relief. We A FFIRM .
    5
    (...continued)
    entitled to a hearing. AEDPA governs the availability of
    evidentiary hearings on federal habeas review, and generally
    bars them except in narrow exceptions inapplicable to
    Mulero. See 
    28 U.S.C. §§ 2254
    (e)(2)(A), (B).
    2-7-12