Park Pet Shop, Inc. v. City of Chicago , 872 F.3d 495 ( 2017 )


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  •                                In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________________
    No. 15-3711
    PARK PET SHOP, INC., et al.,
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    v.
    CITY OF CHICAGO, et al.,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ____________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 15 C 1450 — Jorge L. Alonso, Judge.
    ____________________
    ARGUED MAY 24, 2016 — DECIDED SEPTEMBER 21, 2017
    ____________________
    Before ROVNER, SYKES, and HAMILTON, Circuit Judges.
    SYKES, Circuit Judge. This case challenges Chicago’s
    “puppy mill” ordinance, which limits the sources from
    which pet stores may obtain dogs, cats, and rabbits for
    resale. The ordinance provides that pet retailers in the city
    “may offer for sale only those dogs, cats, or rabbits” ob-
    tained from an animal control or care center, pound, or
    kennel operated by local, state, or federal government or “a
    2                                                 No. 15-3711
    humane society or rescue organization.” CHICAGO, ILL., CODE
    § 4-384-015(b) (2016).
    Two Chicago pet stores and a Missouri dog breeder sued
    to invalidate the ordinance. They allege that it exceeds
    Chicago’s home-rule powers under the Illinois Constitution
    and violates the implied limits on state power imposed by
    the Commerce Clause of the United States Constitution. The
    district court dismissed the suit for failure to state a claim.
    We affirm. The Illinois Constitution permits home-rule
    units like Chicago to regulate animal control and welfare
    concurrently with the state. And the puppy-mill ordinance
    doesn’t discriminate against interstate commerce, even in
    mild practical effect, so it requires no special cost-benefit
    justification under the Commerce Clause. Rational-basis
    review is the default standard, and the ordinance easily
    passes that test.
    I. Background
    In 2014 the Chicago City Council acted to address con-
    cerns that pet stores in the city sourced their animals from
    large mill-style breeders, which are notorious for deplorable
    conditions and abusive breeding practices, including over-
    breeding, inbreeding, crowded and filthy living conditions,
    lack of appropriate socialization, and inadequate food,
    water, and veterinary care. The Council determined that
    mill-bred pets develop health and behavioral problems,
    creating economic and emotional burdens for pet owners
    and imposing financial costs on the City as owners abandon
    their physically or emotionally challenged pets or surrender
    them to the shelter operated by the City’s Commission on
    Animal Care and Control. Nearly a third of all animals that
    No. 15-3711                                                   3
    come into the City’s care are owner surrenders—the second
    largest source of dogs and cats taken in by the Commission
    (strays are the largest). Chicago budgets about $300,000 each
    year for its shelter service and spends more than $500,000
    every year to euthanize animals.
    The Council determined that extinguishing the supply of
    puppy-mill pets to local pet stores would serve several
    important policy goals. Among other things, it would
    (1) limit financial support to mill operators; (2) reduce the
    financial and emotional toll on Chicago consumers who
    purchase mill-bred pets with latent physical and behavioral
    problems; (3) boost placement of shelter pets; and (4) reduce
    the City’s animal-care and euthanization costs. The Council
    also determined that banning the retail sale of mill-bred pets
    may also promote pet adoption from the City’s shelter,
    which would benefit Chicago residents because the $65 pet
    adoption fee both offsets the cost to taxpayers of operating
    the shelter and gives Chicagoans ready access to cheaper
    pets.
    The Council accordingly adopted the following ordi-
    nance restricting the sources from which pet stores in the
    city may obtain dogs, cats, or rabbits for resale:
    (b) Restrictions on the retail sale of animals. A
    retailer may offer for sale only those dogs, cats,
    or rabbits that the retailer has obtained from:
    (1) an animal control center, animal care
    facility, kennel, pound or training facility
    operated by any subdivision of local, state
    or federal government; or
    4                                                   No. 15-3711
    (2) a humane society or rescue organiza-
    tion.
    CHICAGO, ILL., CODE § 4-384-015(b) (2016).
    Two Chicago pet stores—Park Pet Shop and Pocket
    Pets—joined forces with Cedar Woods Farm, a Missouri dog
    breeder, seeking to invalidate the ordinance. They allege that
    it exceeds Chicago’s home-rule powers under the Illinois
    Constitution and amounts to an unconstitutional regulation
    of interstate commerce in violation of the dormant aspect of
    the Commerce Clause. Amended complaints followed—the
    operative version is the second amended complaint—and
    the City moved to dismiss for failure to state a claim. See
    FED. R. CIV. P. 12(b)(6). The district judge granted the motion,
    holding that the ordinance is a valid exercise of the City’s
    home-rule authority under the Illinois Constitution and is
    not an unconstitutional regulation of interstate commerce
    under the Commerce Clause. The judge entered final judg-
    ment for the City, and the plaintiffs appealed.
    II. Discussion
    We review a dismissal order without deference to the
    district court’s decision, accepting as true the well-pleaded
    facts in the complaint and drawing reasonable inferences in
    the plaintiffs’ favor. Roberts v. City of Chicago, 
    817 F.3d 561
    ,
    564 (7th Cir. 2016). To survive a motion to dismiss under
    Rule 12(b)(6), the complaint must allege “enough facts to
    state a claim to relief that is plausible on its face.” Bell Atl.
    Corp. v. Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 570 (2007). “A claim has facial
    plausibility when the plaintiff pleads factual content that
    allows the court to draw the reasonable inference that the
    No. 15-3711                                                   5
    defendant is liable” as alleged in the complaint. Ashcroft v.
    Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 678 (2009).
    A bit of background about Chicago’s regulatory scheme
    helps to place the state and federal constitutional claims in
    proper context. To operate a pet shop in Chicago requires a
    license from the City. CHICAGO, ILL., CODE § 4-384-020(a)
    (2016). The City’s animal-care ordinance defines “pet shop”
    broadly as “any person primarily engaged in the business of
    selling or offering to sell animals suitable for use as pets,”
    but excludes “the isolated or occasional sale of animals by a
    person who sells only such animals that he has produced
    and raised” and “any person engaged in the business of
    breeding who owns, has possession of, or harbors 5 or fewer
    female dogs or cats capable of reproductions and sells only
    those breeding dogs or cats or their offspring.” 
    Id. § 4-384-
    010. Also excluded are “any animal control center, animal
    care facility, kennel or pound or training facility” operated
    by a local, state, or federal government. 
    Id. Licensees must
    comply with a host of regulations gov-
    erning the housing and care of animals offered for sale. For
    example, the ordinance imposes requirements designed to
    ensure a sanitary environment for the animals. 
    Id. § 4-384-
    050. It sets basic standards of animal care. 
    Id. § 4-384-
    055. It
    regulates cage size and quality. 
    Id. § 4-384-
    100. And it re-
    quires licensees to submit to regular inspections by city
    inspectors. 
    Id. § 4-384-
    130.
    Though Chicago’s existing regulatory scheme was al-
    ready extensive, the puppy-mill ordinance is a far more
    significant restriction. It narrowly limits the sources from
    which pet retailers may obtain animals for resale: “A retailer
    may offer for sale only those dogs, cats or rabbits” obtained
    6                                                    No. 15-3711
    from an animal care or control facility operated by a unit of
    local, state, or federal government or from “a humane
    society or rescue organization.” 
    Id. § 4-384-
    015(b). A “retail-
    er” is “any person licensed or required to be licensed under
    this chapter who offers for sale any dog, cat or rabbit in the
    City.” 
    Id. § 4-384-
    015(a).
    The ordinance thus effectively prohibits large commer-
    cial breeders from supplying dogs, cats, and rabbits to pet
    retailers in the city. This dramatically changes the business
    model of Chicago’s pet retailers, so it’s no surprise that
    litigation commenced soon after the City adopted the ordi-
    nance. This suit alleges that the ordinance is constitutionally
    infirm in two respects—one state, one federal. We’ll begin
    with the state constitutional claim.
    A. Home-Rule Authority Under the Illinois Constitution
    As a home-rule municipality under the Illinois Constitu-
    tion, Chicago “may exercise any power and perform any
    function pertaining to its government and affairs including,
    but not limited to, the power to regulate for the protection of
    the public health, safety, morals and welfare; to license; to
    tax; and to incur debt.” ILL. CONST. art. VII, § 6(a). This
    constitutional provision “was written with the intention that
    home rule units be given the broadest powers possible.”
    Scadron v. City of Des Plaines, 
    606 N.E.2d 1154
    , 1158 (Ill. 1992).
    The state constitution further provides that a municipality
    with home-rule status may “exercise and perform concur-
    rently with the State any power or function of a home rule
    unit to the extent that the General Assembly by law does not
    specifically limit the concurrent exercise or specifically
    declare the State’s exercise to be exclusive.” ILL. CONST.
    art. VII, § 6(i).
    No. 15-3711                                                    7
    To determine whether the puppy-mill ordinance is a
    permissible exercise of Chicago’s home-rule powers, we
    follow the Illinois Supreme Court’s instructions and evaluate
    the “nature and extent of the problem” at hand and whether
    the state has a “vital interest and a traditionally exclusive
    role” in regulating it. City of Chicago v. StubHub, Inc.,
    
    979 N.E.2d 844
    , 852–53 (Ill. 2011). These are commonly
    referred to as the Kalodimos factors. Kalodimos v. Village of
    Morton Grove, 
    470 N.E.2d 266
    (Ill. 1984) (developing the
    doctrine).
    The puppy-mill ordinance is aimed at reducing the social
    problems and economic costs associated with mill-bred pets:
    the emotional and financial costs incurred by individual
    Chicagoans who find themselves with sick or troubled pets
    and the financial strain on the public fisc caused by mill-bred
    animals. State and local governments alike are vitally con-
    cerned with issues of animal control and welfare, and both
    governments have long regulated animal welfare concur-
    rently. See, e.g., County of Cook v. Village of Bridgeview,
    
    8 N.E.3d 1275
    , 1279 (Ill. 2014), appeal denied, 
    23 N.E.3d 1200
    (Ill. 2015) (“In Illinois, the problem of animal control, over-
    population, and the spread of rabies is both a local and
    statewide concern.”). State government has never had an
    exclusive role in addressing animal-control issues; concur-
    rent regulation is the norm.
    In areas of concurrent authority, the Illinois Constitution
    expressly requires a clear statement from the state legislature
    to oust a municipality’s home-rule power. See 5 ILL. COMP.
    STAT. 70/7 (2015) (“No law enacted after January 12, 1977,
    denies or limits any power or function of a home rule unit,
    pursuant to paragraphs (g), (h), (i), (j), or (k) of Section 6 of
    8                                                    No. 15-3711
    Article VII of the Illinois Constitution, unless there is specific
    language limiting or denying the power or function and the
    language specifically sets forth in what manner and to what
    extent it is a limitation on or denial of the power or function
    of a home rule unit.”). No state animal-control statute explic-
    itly ousts or limits Chicago’s power to regulate in this area.
    To the contrary, state law preserves municipal power to
    regulate animal care and welfare:
    Nothing in this Act shall be held to limit in
    any manner the power of any municipality or
    other political subdivision to prohibit animals
    from running at large, nor shall anything in
    this Act be construed to, in any manner, limit
    the power of any municipality or other politi-
    cal subdivision to further control and regulate
    dogs, cats or other animals in such municipali-
    ty or other political subdivision provided that
    no regulation or ordinance is specific to breed.
    510 ILL. COMP. STAT. 5/24 (2015).
    The plaintiffs point to Village of Bridgeview as support for
    their home-rule challenge, but that case is inapposite. At
    issue there was a dispute between Cook County and the
    Village of Bridgeview, a municipality within the county’s
    
    borders. 8 N.E.3d at 1277
    –78. The two governmental units
    had promulgated conflicting regulations aimed at eradicat-
    ing the problem of rabid feral cats. 
    Id. To resolve
    the regula-
    tory conflict, the state appellate court had to decide which
    governmental unit had a more traditional role and vital
    interest in controlling and preventing the spread of rabies.
    No. 15-3711                                                     9
    The court held that rabies control is a matter of statewide
    concern and “do[es] not strictly pertain to the government
    and affairs of Bridgeview as a home rule unit.” 
    Id. at 1280.
    The court noted as well that the state and county govern-
    ments had a “more traditional role” in addressing problems
    of rabies control. 
    Id. Moreover, county
    government has a
    “greater geographical reach” and “can more comprehensive-
    ly and effectively address feral cat control than local munici-
    palities.” 
    Id. at 1279.
    In short, the Kalodimos factors all point-
    ed in the same direction: the county ordinance prevailed
    over the village ordinance. 
    Id. at 1280.
        No similar regulatory conflict exists here. Illinois is not
    trying to regulate in this space, much less regulate exclusive-
    ly. The puppy-mill ordinance does not exceed the City’s
    home-rule authority under the Illinois Constitution.
    B. Dormant Commerce Clause
    The Commerce Clause grants Congress the power to
    “regulate Commerce … among the several States,” U.S.
    CONST. art. I, § 8, cl. 3, but the Supreme Court has long held
    that a “dormant” or “negative” component of the Clause
    implicitly limits the states from “erecting barriers to the free
    flow of interstate commerce” even where Congress hasn’t
    acted, see, e.g., Raymond Motor Transp., Inc. v. Rice, 
    434 U.S. 429
    , 440 (1978). The doctrine is not generally applicable. It
    does not apply to every state and local law that affects inter-
    state commerce. “Because even ‘local’ activities displace the
    movement of goods, services, funds, and people, almost
    every state and local law—indeed almost every private
    transaction—affects interstate commerce.” Nat’l Paint &
    Coatings Ass’n v. City of Chicago, 
    45 F.3d 1124
    , 1130 (7th Cir.
    1995). Dormant Commerce Clause doctrine applies only to
    10                                                No. 15-3711
    laws that discriminate against interstate commerce, either
    expressly or in practical effect. 
    Id. at 1130–31.
        We have explained that state and local laws fall into one
    of three categories for purposes of dormant Commerce
    Clause analysis. “The first category comprises laws that
    explicitly discriminate against interstate commerce”; laws of
    this type are treated as presumptively unconstitutional. 
    Id. at 1131.
    “The second category comprises laws that appear to be
    neutral among states but that bear more heavily on interstate
    commerce than on local commerce.” 
    Id. Facially nondiscrim-
    inatory laws sometimes have a discriminatory effect on
    interstate commerce, and “[w]hen the effect is powerful,
    acting as an embargo on interstate commerce without hin-
    dering intrastate sales,” the law is treated as the equivalent
    of a facially discriminatory statute. 
    Id. On the
    other hand, laws that are facially nondiscrimina-
    tory but have “mild disparate effects and potential neutral
    justifications” are analyzed under Pike v. Bruce Church, Inc.,
    
    397 U.S. 137
    (1970), which established a balancing test that
    requires the reviewing court to weigh the burden on inter-
    state commerce against the nature and strength of the state
    or local interest at stake. Nat’l 
    Paint, 45 F.3d at 1131
    . More
    specifically, Pike holds that when a state or local statute
    regulates even-handedly to effectuate a legiti-
    mate local public interest, and its effects on in-
    terstate commerce are only incidental, it will be
    upheld unless the burden imposed on such
    commerce is clearly excessive in relation to the
    putative local benefits. If a legitimate local
    purpose is found, then the question becomes
    one of degree. And the extent of the burden
    No. 15-3711                                                           11
    that will be tolerated will of course depend on
    the nature of the local interest involved, and on
    whether it could be promoted as well with a
    lesser impact on interstate 
    activities. 397 U.S. at 142
    (citation omitted). Importantly for our pur-
    poses, however, Pike balancing is triggered only when the
    challenged law discriminates against interstate commerce in
    practical application. Pike is not the default standard of
    review for any state or local law that affects interstate com-
    merce. Nat’l 
    Paint, 45 F.3d at 1131
    .
    “If the first category may be called disparate treatment,
    and the second disparate impact, the third category com-
    prises laws that affect commerce without any reallocation
    among jurisdictions”—in other words, laws “that do not
    give local firms any competitive advantage over those
    located elsewhere.” 
    Id. In this
    third category, “the normal
    rational-basis standard is the governing rule.” 
    Id. “Unless the
    law discriminates against interstate commerce expressly
    or in practical effect, there is no reason to require special
    justification.” 
    Id. at 1132.
    To put the point in plainer terms:
    “No disparate treatment, no disparate impact, no problem
    under the dormant commerce clause.” 1 
    Id. 1 As
    Judge Hamilton reads the legal terrain, National Paint is no longer
    valid in light of intervening developments in dormant Commerce Clause
    doctrine—specifically, the Supreme Court’s decisions in Department of
    Revenue of Kentucky v. Davis, 
    553 U.S. 328
    (2008), and United Haulers
    Association v. Oneida–Herkimer Solid Waste Management Authority, 
    550 U.S. 330
    (2007). Dissent at p. 17. We disagree. We do not read the quoted
    passages of Davis and United Haulers as extending Pike balancing to all
    state laws—even those that have no discriminatory effect on interstate
    commerce. Read in context, the Court’s references to “nondiscriminato-
    12                                                        No. 15-3711
    The puppy-mill ordinance does not expressly discrimi-
    nate against interstate commerce. By limiting Chicago pet
    stores to dogs, cats, and rabbits sourced from public or
    private nonprofit shelters, the ordinance evenhandedly
    prohibits all large commercial breeders—whether located in
    Illinois or out of state—from selling dogs, cats, and rabbits to
    Chicago pet stores. Because there is no disparate treatment,
    the ordinance does not fall within the first category.
    It does not fall within the second category either. The
    puppy-mill ordinance does not have a disparate impact on
    out-of-state breeders; breeders in Illinois enjoy no competi-
    tive advantage over their counterparts outside the state. All
    breeders are similarly disadvantaged. And unless the chal-
    lenged law discriminates against interstate commerce in
    practical effect, the dormant Commerce Clause does not
    come into play and Pike balancing does not apply.
    The plaintiffs ask us to infer that Chicagoans will re-
    spond to the puppy-mill ordinance in part by turning direct-
    ly to breeders for their purebred pets. Indulging that infer-
    ence doesn’t support a conclusion that the ordinance has a
    discriminatory effect on interstate commerce. While it’s
    plausible to infer that Chicago consumers may prefer to
    patronize breeders located closer to the city over those that
    are farther away, that inference would show only that the
    ordinance may confer a competitive advantage on breeders
    that are not too distant from Chicago. But those breeders are
    as likely to be located in nearby Wisconsin or Indiana as they
    ry” laws in these passages must be understood to mean facially nondis-
    criminatory laws that have discriminatory practical effects on interstate
    commerce—or in the National Paint taxonomy, state laws that have a
    disparate impact on interstate commerce.
    No. 15-3711                                                    13
    are in suburban Chicago or downstate Illinois. So the suppo-
    sition that Chicagoans will turn directly to breeders for their
    pure-bred pets does not establish that the ordinance has a
    discriminatory effect on breeders located out of state.
    Perhaps Chicago consumers might respond to the ordi-
    nance by turning to small breeders rather than traveling to a
    large breeder outside Chicago (whether in state or out of
    state). But that would have the effect of simply shifting sales
    among different sources of pets without regard to location.
    “Favoritism for [small breeders over pet stores and large
    breeders] does not pose a constitutional problem … .” Baude
    v. Heath, 
    538 F.3d 608
    , 615 (7th Cir. 2008). Again, dormant
    Commerce Clause doctrine is concerned only with regula-
    tion that discriminates against out-of-state firms. Nat’l 
    Paint, 45 F.3d at 1131
    –32; Amanda Acquisition Corp. v. Universal
    Foods Corp., 
    877 F.3d 496
    , 505 (7th Cir. 1989).
    Perhaps Chicagoans might turn not to breeders (whether
    large or small, in state or out of state) but to pet stores in the
    surrounding suburbs or directly to the City’s shelter or a
    shelter operated by a local private nonprofit. This just shifts
    business within the state; it has no effect on interstate com-
    merce. See Missouri Pet Breeders Ass’n v. County of Cook, 106 F.
    Supp. 3d 908, 923 (N.D. Ill. 2015) (“[N]either of these out-
    comes imposes a burden on interstate commerce [because]
    business would simply shift between entities within
    Illinois.” (citing Exxon Corp. v. Governor of Maryland, 
    437 U.S. 117
    , 126 n.16 (1978))).
    The plaintiffs argue that the puppy-mill ordinance is a de
    facto ban on pets bred out of state. It is not. Chicago has not
    attempted to regulate beyond its borders. The ordinance
    doesn’t ban animals from out-of-state breeders, either ex-
    14                                                No. 15-3711
    pressly or in practical effect. It affects large breeders—
    wherever they’re located—in exactly the same way. Both can
    sell directly to Chicago consumers, but they may not sell to
    city-licensed pet retailers.
    Finally, the plaintiffs maintain that dismissal on the
    pleadings is improper because Pike balancing requires a
    factual record. It’s true as a general matter that “[a]ny bal-
    ancing approach, of which Pike is an example, requires
    evidence.” 
    Baude, 538 F.3d at 612
    . As we’ve explained,
    however, Pike balancing is required only if the challenged
    law has a discriminatory effect on interstate commerce. And
    conclusory allegations of disparate impact are not sufficient;
    to survive the City’s motion to dismiss, the plaintiffs needed
    to plead specific facts to support a plausible claim that the
    ordinance has a discriminatory effect on interstate com-
    merce. Adams v. City of Indianapolis, 
    742 F.3d 720
    , 733 (7th
    Cir. 2014). Because they haven’t done so, Pike balancing is
    not required. See New York Pet Welfare Ass’n v. City of New
    York, 
    850 F.3d 79
    , 90–91 (2d Cir. 2017) (affirming a
    Rule 12(b)(6) dismissal of an analogous challenge to a
    puppy-mill ordinance).
    Accordingly, the ordinance falls into the third category,
    which comprises state and local laws that “affect commerce
    without any reallocation among jurisdictions”; that is, laws
    that “do not give local firms any competitive advantage over
    those located elsewhere.” Nat’l 
    Paint, 45 F.3d at 1131
    . For
    laws in this category, the default rational-basis standard of
    review applies. 
    Id. No surprise,
    the ordinance easily survives
    review for rationality. Chicago’s justifications for the ordi-
    nance are plentiful and plausible. The City’s policy goals are
    to reduce financial support for mill breeders, curb the emo-
    No. 15-3711                                                 15
    tional and financial burdens on consumers who unwittingly
    buy mill-bred pets, and reduce the cost of sheltering and
    euthanizing unwanted problem pets. These are unquestion-
    ably legitimate governmental interests, and it’s rational to
    think that the puppy-mill ordinance will serve them.
    Because the plaintiffs did not plead a plausible claim that
    the puppy-mill ordinance violates either the Illinois Consti-
    tution or the dormant Commerce Clause, the case was
    properly dismissed for failure to state a claim.
    AFFIRMED.
    16                                                   No. 15-3711
    HAMILTON, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part. I agree that the
    Illinois Constitution does not bar Chicago’s ordinance. On
    two points critical to the federal Commerce Clause claim,
    however, I view the law differently than my colleagues do, so
    I respectfully dissent regarding the federal claim.
    First, the Supreme Court itself has not yet confined the
    balancing test under Pike v. Bruce Church, Inc., 
    397 U.S. 137
    (1970), as narrowly as my colleagues suggest. The majority
    writes that Pike balancing comes into play “only when the law
    discriminates against interstate commerce in practical applica-
    tion.” Ante at 11 (emphasis in original), citing National Paint
    & Coatings Ass’n v. City of Chicago, 
    45 F.3d 1124
    , 1131 (7th Cir.
    1995). In Pike itself, however, the Court wrote that this balanc-
    ing test applies where “the statute regulates even-handedly to
    effectuate a legitimate local public interest, and its effects on
    interstate commerce are only 
    incidentalY.” 397 U.S. at 142
    (em-
    phasis added). In such cases, and this is one, the law will be
    upheld “unless the burden imposed on such commerce is
    clearly excessive in relation to the putative local benefits.” 
    Id. The majority
    tries to confine Pike balancing to cases of
    “discrimination,” but it can do so only by using a notion of
    “discrimination” so broad that it applies to “even-handed”
    legislation with “only incidental” effects on interstate com-
    merce. The majority would apply Pike only when the chal-
    lenged law gives “local firms any competitive advantage over
    those located elsewhere.” Ante at 11, quoting National 
    Paint, 45 F.3d at 1131
    .
    The Supreme Court’s more recent discussions of Pike, since
    we decided National Paint in 1995, are difficult to reconcile
    with this approach. For example, the Court has explained that
    federal courts “generally leave the courtroom door open to
    No. 15-3711                                                    17
    plaintiffs invoking the rule in Pike, that even nondiscriminatory
    burdens on commerce may be struck down on a showing that
    those burdens clearly outweigh the benefits of a state or local
    practice.” Department of Revenue of Kentucky v. Davis, 
    553 U.S. 328
    , 353 (2008) (emphasis added); see also United Haulers
    Ass’n v. Oneida-Herkimer Solid Waste Mgmt. Auth., 
    550 U.S. 330
    ,
    346 (2007) (plurality opinion of Roberts, C.J.) (“Under the Pike
    test, we will uphold a nondiscriminatory statute like this one
    ‘unless the burden imposed on [interstate] commerce is
    clearly excessive in relation to the putative local benefits.’”)
    (emphasis added). Given these developments, we should no
    longer use National Paint to avoid Pike balancing in Commerce
    Clause cases like this one.
    I confess that I write this with some diffidence and a sense
    of irony. Pike balancing has been criticized harshly in courts
    and the academy, and I am among those who have suggested
    it should ultimately be abandoned. See CTS Corp. v. Dynamics
    Corp. of America, 
    481 U.S. 69
    , 95 (1987) (opinion of Scalia, J.)
    (Pike balancing inquiry is “ill suited to the judicial function
    and should be undertaken rarely if at all”); Lebamoff Enter-
    prises, Inc. v. Huskey, 
    666 F.3d 455
    , 468–69 (7th Cir. 2012) (Ham-
    ilton, J., concurring in the judgment) (endorsing criticism);
    Wiesmueller v. Kosobucki, 
    571 F.3d 699
    , 704 (7th Cir. 2009) (“The
    judiciary lacks the time and the knowledge to be able to strike
    a fine balance between the burden that a particular state reg-
    ulation lays on interstate commerce and the benefit of that
    regulation to the state’s legitimate interests.”); Regan, The Su-
    preme Court and State Protectionism: Making Sense of the
    Dormant Commerce Clause, 
    84 Mich. L
    . Rev. 1091, 1207–08
    (1986) (introducing review of Supreme Court cases); see also
    Department of Revenue v. 
    Davis, 553 U.S. at 353
    –56 (describing
    18                                                   No. 15-3711
    difficulty in applying Pike to state law exempting in-state gov-
    ernment bonds from state income tax, and deferring to Con-
    gress to make policy choice). For now, though, the Supreme
    Court has left Pike open as a potential path to challenge eco-
    nomic regulations that do not discriminate against interstate
    commerce but that have incidental and perhaps unintended
    effects on interstate commerce.
    Second, the majority errs by applying a stringent version
    of Iqbal and Twombly to find that plaintiffs have not plausibly
    alleged sufficiently burdensome effects on interstate com-
    merce. Ante at 13–14, citing Adams v. City of Indianapolis, 
    742 F.3d 720
    , 733 (7th Cir. 2014) (applying stringent pleading
    standard to affirm dismissal of Title VII claim of disparate ra-
    cial impact). Plaintiffs’ complaint offers a plausible forecast of
    those effects, though. The operative complaint alleges that the
    ordinance prohibits out-of-state breeders from selling pets in
    Chicago except by direct sales to customers, who would have
    to visit the breeder to pick up the purchased pet or otherwise
    arrange for delivery. ¶ 72. Perhaps the effects would be like
    those for distant in-state breeders, but that would be an em-
    pirical question. The complaint also alleges that the ordinance
    will be counter-productive, depriving consumers of pure-
    bred puppies, depriving consumers of a regulated and ac-
    countable sources for such puppies, and leaving consumers
    with the only practical alternative of going to less regulated
    and less accountable brokers and breeders on the internet and
    elsewhere. ¶ 74.
    Those allegations might or might not be true, but they
    seem to me at least plausible. It’s easy to imagine that the Chi-
    cago ordinance will not actually reduce the demand for high-
    cost, pure-bred pets. Meeting that demand might well be
    No. 15-3711                                                   19
    much more difficult and expensive, with greater effects on
    out-of-state breeders and without obvious gain in terms of
    health and safety or humane treatment of animals. In addi-
    tion, plaintiffs offer at least some allegations of a discrimina-
    tory purpose, alleging that when the ordinance was enacted,
    the city clerk portrayed the ordinance as aligning Chicagoans
    against the interests of an out-of-state industry with its “pow-
    erbase in Iowa, Missouri and Indiana.” ¶ 66 & Ex. B.
    To affirm dismissal on the pleadings, the majority relies
    further on National Paint, but there we addressed factual find-
    ings made after a trial. We wrote: “Pike may be impossible to
    apply without some factual inquiries (albeit limited as Clover
    Leaf Creamery requires).” National 
    Paint, 45 F.3d at 1132
    . Plain-
    tiffs lost in National Paint because they had offered no evi-
    dence of impacts on interstate commerce. Id.; see also 
    id. at 1134
    (Rovner, J., concurring) (noting that district court may
    need to conduct evidentiary hearing or trial to test the actual
    benefits and burdens of legislation if there is an allegation of
    a disparate impact on interstate commerce); Baude v. Heath,
    
    538 F.3d 608
    , 612 (7th Cir. 2008)(Pike “requires evidence”). I
    don’t know whether the plaintiffs in this case could ultimately
    meet the demands of the Pike balancing test. They should be
    permitted to try, though, particularly now that the ordinance
    has taken effect and evidence of actual effects should be avail-
    able. I would reverse the dismissal for failure to state a claim
    and remand for further proceedings.