Loeb Industries Inc v. Sumitomo Corp , 306 F.3d 469 ( 2002 )


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  •                            In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    ____________
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148
    LOEB INDUSTRIES, INCORPORATED, LOS ANGELES SCRAP
    IRON & METAL CORPORATION, and METAL PREP COMPANY,
    INCORPORATED,
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    v.
    SUMITOMO CORPORATION and GLOBAL MINERALS
    AND METALS CORPORATION,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ____________
    LOEB INDUSTRIES, INCORPORATED, LOS ANGELES SCRAP
    IRON & METAL CORPORATION, and METAL PREP COMPANY,
    INCORPORATED,
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    v.
    JPMORGAN CHASE & CO.,Œ
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ____________
    ARGUED SEPTEMBER 5, 2001
    ____________
    Œ
    For purposes of this opinion we are using the current name of
    the bank, which is JPMorgan Chase & Co. That entity includes
    both J.P. Morgan & Co., Inc., and Morgan Guaranty Trust Co. of
    New York.
    2         Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    Nos. 01-3229, 01-3230
    OCEAN VIEW CAPITAL, INCORPORATED, formerly
    known as TRIANGLE WIRE & CABLE, INCORPORATED,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    SUMITOMO CORPORATION OF AMERICA,
    SUMITOMO CORPORATION, GLOBAL MINERALS
    AND METALS CORPORATION, et al.,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ____________
    SUBMITTED SEPTEMBER 13, 2001ŒŒ
    ____________
    No. 01-3485
    VIACOM, INCORPORATED, as successor by
    merger to CBS CORPORATION, formerly known
    as WESTINGHOUSE ELECTRIC CORPORATION,
    and EMERSON ELECTRIC COMPANY,
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    v.
    GLOBAL MINERALS AND METALS CORPORATION
    and CREDIT LYONNAIS ROUSE, LTD.,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ____________
    ARGUED MAY 16, 2002
    ____________
    ŒŒ
    After an examination of the briefs and the record in Nos. 01-
    3229 and 01-3230, we have concluded that oral argument is
    unnecessary. Thus, those appeals are submitted on the briefs
    and the record. See FED. R. APP. P. 34(a)(2).
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485                3
    Appeals from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Wisconsin.
    Nos. 99 C 377, 99 C 468, 99 C 621, 99 C 801, 00 C 274,
    00 C 528—Barbara B. Crabb, Chief Judge.
    ____________
    DECIDED SEPTEMBER 20, 2002
    ____________
    Before CUDAHY, ROVNER, and DIANE P. WOOD, Circuit
    Judges.
    DIANE P. WOOD, Circuit Judge. These cases, which we
    have consolidated for purposes of this opinion, all arise
    out of an alleged conspiracy in the 1990s to fix the price
    of copper futures at artificially high levels on the interna-
    tional exchange markets. This market manipulation nec-
    essarily and directly inflated the price of the products
    purchased by the plaintiffs, buyers of copper cathode,
    copper rod, and scrap copper, who have sued for violations
    of the Sherman Act, RICO, and various state laws. The
    district court dismissed the claims of each of the plain-
    tiffs either on the ground that their claims were barred
    by the indirect purchaser rule of Illinois Brick Co. v. Illi-
    nois, 
    431 U.S. 720
    (1977), or on the ground that their in-
    juries were too remote and speculative under Associated
    General Contractors of Cal. Inc. v. California State Council
    of Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    (1983) (AGC). We find that
    Illinois Brick presents no obstacle to any of the plaintiffs’
    claims but that the claims of the scrap copper dealers are
    precluded under AGC. On the other hand, we conclude that
    the purchasers of copper cathode and rod have suffered
    a direct and independent injury and are the best situ-
    ated participants in the physical copper market to bring
    a lawsuit. We therefore affirm in part, reverse in part, and
    remand in part for further proceedings.
    4        Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    I
    A. The Parties
    The production of copper entails a complicated four-step
    process. First, copper producers extract ore from a copper
    mine and crush or mill it into a gravel-like substance
    known as concentrate. Second, smelters separate out the
    nonferrous metals in the concentrate, producing one-
    meter square plates of anode, which are approximately
    90% copper. Next, the anode is refined electrolytically to
    create sheets of cathode. Finally, the cathode is fed into
    a furnace at a mill and melted into rod or wire. In the
    course of manufacturing cathode and rod, scrap copper
    is also produced, and it too can be sold into the market.
    The plaintiffs in these actions are large companies oc-
    cupying various positions along the copper production
    chain. The plaintiffs in No. 01-3485, Viacom, Incorporated
    (a successor to Westinghouse Electric Corporation) and
    Emerson Electric Company, turn copper cathode into wire
    for resale to merchants. Each purchased hundreds of
    millions of pounds of cathode during the relevant time
    period from integrated producers, who smelt and refine
    copper from their own mines into cathode.
    Ocean View Capital is the plaintiff in Nos. 01-3229 and
    01-3230. Until it went out of business in 1996, it was a
    large Rhode Island-based manufacturer of copper wire
    and cable. Unlike Viacom and Emerson, Ocean View nor-
    mally did not purchase cathode; instead, it bought copper
    that had already been transformed into rod. Some of this
    rod was manufactured by integrated producers. Ocean View
    also contracted frequently with semi-fabricators, which
    own and operate rod mills but do not own mines, concentra-
    tors, smelters, or refineries. Instead, semi-fabricators typ-
    ically purchase cathode from producers or copper traders
    and fabricate the cathode into rod. On some occasions,
    Ocean View varied this process by entering into tolling
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485             5
    agreements with its semi-fabricators under which it pur-
    chased its own cathode from producers or traders and
    then paid the semi-fabricator to convert it into usable rod.
    The plaintiffs in Loeb Industries v. Sumitomo, Nos. 00-
    3979 and 01-1148, are three scrap metal dealers (to whom
    we refer as the “Scrap Dealers”). Each purchases only
    scrap copper; none buys either cathode or rod. The scrap
    is purchased from a variety of sources, including inte-
    grated producers and wire manufacturers, and then re-
    packaged and resold.
    B. The Copper Market
    Despite the fact that copper is sold in a variety of physical
    forms, the summary judgment record (viewed in the light
    most favorable to the plaintiffs) indicates that the pric-
    ing of copper is consistent throughout the industry. Like
    many other commodities, copper is traded on commodities
    exchanges through warrants and futures contracts. Most
    copper futures are traded on either the London Metals
    Exchange (LME) or the Commodities Exchange Divi-
    sion of the New York Mercantile Exchange (known famil-
    iarly as the “Comex”). When futures contracts mature, they
    must either be closed out by an offsetting trade or sat-
    isfied by deliveries of the underlying physical goods. If
    a futures trader is short, she must satisfy her obligation
    under the futures contract by immediately delivering phys-
    ical copper cathode to an LME or Comex warehouse; if a
    trader is long, she may similarly call in physical copper
    cathode from a warehouse. Because of this, the price
    of physical copper, including cathode, rod, and scrap cop-
    per, is directly linked to the LME and Comex price for
    copper futures, and dealers in all forms of physical copper
    quote prices based on rigid formulas related to copper
    cathode futures.
    6        Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    While sales between six plaintiffs and numerous other
    copper industry participants are involved, we will illustrate
    this linkage by discussing only the relationship between
    one of the plaintiffs, Viacom, and the largest integrated
    producer, Asarco. Viacom entered into yearly supply con-
    tracts with Asarco, copies of which are included in the
    record. In these contracts, the price Viacom paid Asarco
    for cathode was made up of two components. First, the
    base price was set by “the arithmetic average of the
    COMEX first position settlements for high-grade copper
    during the calendar month of scheduled shipment.” From
    1990 to 1996, this price fluctuated from about 75¢/lb to over
    $1.40/lb. Added to the base price was a “cathode premium”
    that was set on a monthly or quarterly basis. Asarco’s
    premium fluctuated over the relevant time period from
    2.75¢/lb to 3.5¢/lb. The record also indicates that when the
    base price of copper increased, the premium tended to
    increase as well.
    Viacom bought over half a billion pounds of cathode
    from Asarco. Asarco manufactured most of this cathode,
    but some had been purchased for resale from other mer-
    chants to make up for production shortfalls. Because rec-
    ords of these purchases were not kept, it is impossible to
    tell whether any particular pound of cathode sold to Viacom
    was manufactured by Asarco or merely purchased for
    resale. The defendants concede, however, that some of the
    cathode in question was being sold into the market for the
    first time. While there is some dispute as to the exact
    numbers, taking the evidence in the light most favorable
    to Viacom, Asarco sold it 510 million pounds of cathode
    over the relevant period. During this same time frame,
    Asarco refined 6.4 billion pounds of cathode and purchased
    153 million pounds from third parties. Therefore, even if
    one assumed that every scrap of Asarco’s previously sold
    cathode was shipped to Viacom (instead of to one of its
    many other customers), Viacom still purchased 357 million
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485             7
    pounds of never-before-purchased cathode. Viacom seeks
    damages in this suit only for cathode that was sold to it for
    the first time by its integrated producers.
    Asarco also purchased raw materials, such as concen-
    trate and anode, to supplement its own production and
    keep its smelters and refineries running at full capacity.
    At least 27 million pounds of the cathode Asarco shipped
    to Viacom consisted entirely of Asarco raw materials, but
    the rest may well contain some percentage of previously
    purchased materials. While raw materials are often priced
    in reference to Comex prices, only cathode is actually traded
    on the exchange. Raw material prices also incorporate
    significant and widely varying discounts based on both the
    cost of converting the materials into cathode and current
    refining and smelting capacity. Furthermore, the defen-
    dants’ experts testified that while the prices of raw ma-
    terials “may be indirectly affected by the manipulations,”
    a squeeze or corner on cathode could not directly harm
    the purchasers of pre-cathode raw materials.
    The pricing of rod and scrap are similar except that
    each contains further premiums and discounts off the
    cathode futures price to reflect a variety of additional costs.
    Rod pricing contains an additional rod or shaping premium.
    Scrap copper prices are affected by not only the price of
    cathode but also freight costs, sizing, sorting, packaging,
    and purity requirements.
    Some of Viacom’s suppliers and customers engaged
    in strategic hedging by purchasing “put” options on the
    futures markets. A put option holder has the right, but
    not the obligation, to sell a futures contract at an estab-
    lished “strike” price. If the market price is higher than
    the strike price (because, for example, the price has been
    artificially raised), the holder’s option will expire and its
    only cost will be the price of the option. Asarco purchased
    put options to hedge its output, but it did not hedge
    8        Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    against specific transactions, by, for example, purchasing
    a futures contract for each sale made to Viacom. Its hedg-
    ing activities were also limited to a fraction of its sup-
    ply. One of Viacom’s suppliers, Kennecott, did not hedge
    at all, and Viacom itself never hedged its copper purchases.
    C. The Conspiracy
    Defendant Sumitomo Corporation is a Japanese trading
    corporation that attempted to fix and maintain the price
    of copper at artificially high levels from September 1993
    to June 1996, all with an eye to enriching itself in its
    capacity as a seller of physical copper. Through a series
    of transactions with defendant Global Minerals and
    Metals Corporation, a copper merchant, it hoarded vast
    supplies of physical copper for the purpose of restricting
    supply, and it entered into paper transactions in order to
    show a false increased demand for the metal. In particular,
    Sumitomo established sham long-term contracts that
    purportedly required it to purchase vast quantities of
    copper from Global on a monthly basis over a period of
    three years. These sham contracts enabled Sumitomo
    publicly to justify its accumulation of excessive copper
    forward positions as a hedge. By June 1995, Sumitomo
    held approximately ten percent of the entire long posi-
    tion in Comex copper futures.
    At that time, Sumitomo began to call in shorts to raise
    copper demand to inflated levels and to reap the profits
    from its sales. When these contracts came due, short
    futures traders were forced to cover their positions by
    acquiring physical copper at inflated prices, because no
    new copper was entering the warehouses thanks to
    Sumitomo’s actions. These manipulations caused the price
    of primary copper to rise more than 50% over a two-year
    period. In June 1996, the scheme was uncovered, and the
    trading price for copper dropped by a third almost over-
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485            9
    night. The prices of physical copper cathode, rod, and scrap
    crashed comparably.
    In 1998, the United States Commodities and Futures
    Trading Commission (CFTC) determined that Sumitomo
    had violated the Commodity Exchange Act by raising
    and fixing the price of copper futures and reached a settle-
    ment with the company that required it to pay a $150
    million fine. That finding has spawned a number of anti-
    trust suits against the defendants, including class ac-
    tion lawsuits on behalf of those who traded copper futures
    and on behalf of certain purchasers of primary copper.
    Sumitomo settled its suit with the futures traders for
    approximately $134 million. The defendants have also
    settled a California state court class action brought under
    various state antitrust laws. Many of the plaintiffs’ sellers,
    including Asarco, participated in the lawsuit and re-
    ceived 0.15 cents per dollar of copper purchased.
    II. Proceedings in the District Court
    These lawsuits were all consolidated in the Western
    District of Wisconsin by the Judicial Panel on Multidis-
    trict Litigation. The defendants include not only Sumitomo
    and Global, but also alleged co-conspirators Credit Lyon-
    nais Rouse, Ltd. (CLR), and J.P. Morgan and Morgan
    Guaranty Trust (which have since merged to form JPMor-
    gan Chase & Co. and to whom we refer collectively as
    JPMorgan Chase). The plaintiffs in each case sought
    damages for the allegedly inflated overcharge in the price
    of the copper products they had purchased, which was
    caused by Sumitomo’s actions. The Scrap Dealers also
    sought certification of a class under FED. R. CIV. P. 23
    consisting of all metals dealers who purchased any form
    of physical copper in commercial quantities between 1994
    and 1996. The defendants moved to dismiss each of the
    actions.
    10       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    The district court first denied the motion to dismiss
    Ocean View’s complaint on May 9, 2000. In re Copper
    Antitrust Litig., 
    98 F. Supp. 2d 1039
    (W.D. Wis. 2000). The
    district court found that if the facts alleged in the com-
    plaint were true, Ocean View was a proper party to sue
    under the principles espoused by this court in Sanner v.
    Board of Trade, 
    62 F.3d 918
    (7th Cir. 1995). The court
    also denied a motion to dismiss Viacom’s complaint on
    similar grounds. It allowed both cases to proceed, but
    limited discovery to the issue of standing.
    The court next examined the claim of the Scrap Dealers.
    It denied their motion for class certification, fundamentally
    because it concluded that the proposed named plaintiffs
    could not sue, either for their own injuries or for those
    of others similarly situated, because they fell within the
    ban on indirect purchaser suits established by Illinois
    
    Brick, 431 U.S. at 720
    . The court decided in addition that
    the proposed class would be unmanageable, because it
    would be impossible to ascertain class membership. It then
    turned to the defendants’ 12(b)(6) motion to dismiss. The
    court found that the Scrap Dealers’ bare-bones allegations
    were sufficient to state a claim, but that in light of deposi-
    tion testimony and other facts adduced during litigation of
    the class certification question, it would nonetheless grant
    the motion based once again on the perceived Illinois Brick
    flaw. The court did not, in so ruling, follow the command
    of Rule 12(b)(6) to convert the motion to dismiss into a
    motion for summary judgment under Rule 56, despite its
    reliance on matters outside the complaint. The court also
    dismissed the Scrap Dealers’ RICO allegations on the same
    grounds.
    Soon thereafter the district court granted JPMor-
    gan Chase’s motion to dismiss all claims that the Scrap
    Dealers had brought against it on the ground that the
    plaintiffs were subject to offensive issue preclusion on the
    pivotal question of their status as indirect purchasers.
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          11
    After discovery closed in the remaining cases, the defen-
    dants filed for summary judgment. On July 23, 2001, the
    district court granted summary judgment to all of the de-
    fendants on Ocean View’s claims, finding that Ocean View
    had no right to sue under the antitrust laws both because
    it was an indirect purchaser (Illinois Brick) and because
    its injuries were too remote (AGC).
    A month later, the district court granted summary
    judgment to Global and CLR on Viacom’s claim. In con-
    trast to its conclusions in Loeb and Ocean View, the court
    here rejected the argument that the claim was barred
    by Illinois Brick. Instead, it applied the factors set forth
    in AGC and determined that a manipulation of the fu-
    tures market would have effects too “subtle and complex”
    to warrant recovery for these cathode purchasers. The
    district court primarily relied on the following factors: (1)
    the huge number of exchange-based pricing formulas
    available on Comex; (2) the various premiums and dis-
    counts available in the industry; (3) potential duplication
    of recovery due to purchases of cathode and raw ma-
    terials by the integrated producers who sold to Viacom;
    (4) potential duplication of recovery due to hedging; and
    (5) the complexity of the damages calculation. For similar
    reasons, the district court also granted summary judg-
    ment to the defendants on Viacom’s RICO claims. With the
    federal claims gone, it finally dismissed Viacom’s state
    law claims without prejudice.
    III. Use of Rule 12(b)(6)
    Before turning to the important antitrust issues under-
    lying all of these appeals, we must deal with an issue of
    federal civil procedure unique to the appeal of the Scrap
    Dealers. They argue that the district court committed
    reversible error by relying on outside materials in evalu-
    ating the motion to dismiss without giving them notice
    12       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    and an opportunity to submit additional materials. As
    they correctly point out, Rule 12(b) requires that if the
    district court wishes to consider material outside the
    pleadings in ruling on a motion to dismiss, it must treat
    the motion as one for summary judgment and provide
    each party notice and an opportunity to submit affidav-
    its or other additional forms of proof. Fleischfresser v. Di-
    rectors of School Dist. 200, 
    15 F.3d 680
    , 684 (7th Cir. 1994).
    This requirement of a reasonable opportunity to respond
    is mandatory, not discretionary. Edward Gray Corp. v.
    National Union Fire Ins. Co., 
    94 F.3d 363
    , 366 (7th Cir.
    1996).
    In this case, the district court stated that, considering
    only the bare pleadings, it would find that the Scrap
    Dealers had stated a claim. Notwithstanding this con-
    clusion, relying on the materials and affidavits produced
    for the earlier class certification hearing, it instead
    granted the defendants’ motion dismissing the case. We
    agree with the Scrap Dealers that this was error, and that
    the district court should have given them notice of its
    intentions and an opportunity to respond and produce
    additional facts going beyond whatever might have been
    appropriate for class certification purposes.
    The question, however, is what the consequence of this
    error should be. The Scrap Dealers assume that reversal
    should be automatic, but this position overlooks the com-
    mand of 28 U.S.C. § 2111, which directs appellate courts
    to apply the harmless error rule to anything that does
    not affect the “substantial rights of the parties.” We are
    not aware of any case that holds that the command of
    Rule 12(b)(6) to convert a motion to dismiss into a sum-
    mary judgment motion is somehow exempt from § 2111.
    The question for us is therefore whether the district
    court’s error affected the Scrap Dealers’ substantial rights.
    To answer that question, we must consider whether the
    Scrap Dealers have shown us any evidence raising a
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          13
    question of material fact that they would have submitted
    to the district court had they been given proper notice of
    the de facto conversion. Burick v. Edward Rose & Sons,
    
    18 F.3d 514
    , 516 (7th Cir. 1994). If there are no potential
    disputed material issues of fact, then the court’s reli-
    ance on materials outside the pleadings is not by itself
    ground for reversal despite the failure to follow appro-
    priate procedures. Ribando v. United Airlines, Inc., 
    200 F.3d 507
    , 510 (7th Cir. 1999). Here, the dispute over
    whether the Scrap Dealers were proper plaintiffs to sue
    under the antitrust laws was a hard-fought issue in the
    class certification hearings, and the Scrap Dealers de-
    voted substantial portions of both their reply brief and
    supplemental brief to the issue. Furthermore, the dis-
    trict court provided an after-the-fact opportunity to the
    Scrap Dealers to bring additional materials to its atten-
    tion in the subsequent litigation against JPMorgan Chase.
    See Edward Gray 
    Corp., 94 F.3d at 366
    (reversing where
    plaintiff had no opportunity to submit materials that did
    create a factual dispute). In light of these facts, we are
    confident that the Scrap Dealers had a full opportunity to
    bring all material factual disputes to the court’s attention.
    Therefore, we will review dismissal of all of these actions,
    as we would any other ruling on summary judgment,
    drawing all disputed or potentially disputed factual infer-
    ences in favor of the plaintiffs and deciding de novo whether
    the defendants were entitled to judgment on the law.
    Simmons v. Chicago Bd. of Educ., 
    289 F.3d 488
    , 491 (7th
    Cir. 2002).
    The Scrap Dealers also contend as a threshold matter
    that the district court’s reliance on materials submitted
    for the class certification hearing to rule against them
    on summary judgment violates the dictates of Eisen v.
    Carlisle & Jacquelin, 
    417 U.S. 156
    (1974). This over-reads
    Eisen, in our opinion. Eisen merely indicates that a court
    may not refuse to certify a class on the ground that it
    14       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    thinks the class will eventually lose on the merits. 
    Id. at 177-78;
    see also Szabo v. Bridgeport Mach., Inc., 
    249 F.3d 672
    , 677 (7th Cir. 2001). It says nothing about wheth-
    er courts may use evidence produced at a prior class
    certification hearing for other purposes, including for a
    decision on summary judgment. We see no reason why
    these affidavits should be treated any differently from
    other parts of the record which may be considered in later
    rulings. See Kochlacs v. Local Bd. No. 92, 
    476 F.2d 557
    ,
    558 n.1 (7th Cir. 1973). We may therefore rely on the
    materials and affidavits submitted at the class certifica-
    tion hearing in determining whether the district court’s
    decision to grant the defendants’ motion in the Scrap Deal-
    ers’ action was correct.
    IV. Illinois Brick
    While the Clayton Act permits civil suits by “any per-
    son who shall be injured in his business or property,” 15
    U.S.C. § 4, courts have long acknowledged that not every
    person, however tangentially injured by an antitrust
    violator, may recover treble damages. Blue Shield of Va.
    v. McCready, 
    457 U.S. 465
    , 477 (1982). Numerous doc-
    trines have arisen to clarify the circumstances under
    which a particular person may recover from an antitrust
    violator. At times these doctrines are rather incautiously
    lumped together under the umbrella term of “antitrust
    standing.” However, the Supreme Court has generally
    been careful to limit the actual question of standing to
    the simple inquiry of whether a plaintiff has suffered a
    redressable injury in fact, entitling the federal courts to
    hear such a “case or controversy” under Article III. See
    Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 560 (1992).
    There is no dispute that the plaintiffs in these cases
    have been injured by paying an inflated price for copper;
    their Article III standing is therefore secure. The difficult
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485         15
    question is statutory, because the Sherman Act has addi-
    tional rules for determining “whether the plaintiff is the
    proper party to bring a private antitrust action.” 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 535
    n.31. For example, the injury must be an
    “antitrust injury” caused by anti-competitive behavior as
    opposed to mere economic loss. Brunswick v. Pueblo Bowl-
    O-Mat, Inc., 
    429 U.S. 477
    , 487-89 (1977). Two other limita-
    tions on which parties may bring suit for antitrust viola-
    tions are central here: the proximate cause requirements
    of 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 544-45
    , and the direct purchaser
    rule of Illinois 
    Brick, 431 U.S. at 729-30
    .
    Illinois Brick holds that the direct purchaser from the
    alleged antitrust violator(s) is the one with the right of
    action; those further removed from the illegal arrange-
    ment may not (under the federal antitrust laws, at least)
    bring their own 
    actions. 431 U.S. at 729
    . In Illinois Brick
    itself, the defendants were companies who sold bricks to
    masonry contractors at allegedly inflated prices. The
    contractors in turn allegedly “passed on” those over-
    charges to the plaintiffs who purchased their constructed
    buildings. 
    Id. at 726.
    In an earlier decision, Hanover Shoe,
    Inc. v. United Shoe Mach. Corp., 
    392 U.S. 481
    (1968), the
    Supreme Court had decided that defendants could not
    escape liability on the ground that the plaintiff had passed
    on the anticompetitive overcharge. By parity of reason-
    ing, the Court decided in Illinois Brick that the persons
    authorized to sue under the antitrust laws in this type
    of case were the direct purchasers. Hence, the contrac-
    tors were permitted to sue and recover in full for the
    price inflation, including any “pass-on.”
    Illinois Brick does not stand for the proposition, as the
    defendants would seem to have it, that a defendant can-
    not be sued under the antitrust laws by any plaintiff
    to whom it does not sell (or from whom it does not pur-
    chase). Such a rule would eliminate in one fell swoop all
    competitor suits based on exclusionary practices—a step
    16       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    that some antitrust theorists have urged, but a step that
    the Supreme Court has never taken. To the contrary, the
    Court has made it clear that it does not read Illinois
    Brick so broadly. For instance, the plaintiff in McCready,
    who purchased the defendant’s health services from her
    employer, alleged that a conspiracy between the defen-
    dant and psychiatrists increased her costs for visiting
    a 
    psychologist. 457 U.S. at 468-70
    . The defendant con-
    tended that after Illinois Brick only the employer who
    purchased the health plan should be permitted to sue,
    but the Court disagreed. It held that the chain-of-distri-
    bution inquiry in Illinois Brick was meant only to pre-
    clude duplicate recovery. While the employer might have
    suffered some economic injury (through, for example, pay-
    ing higher wages to attract skilled workers in order to
    compensate for the illegally inferior benefits), its harm
    was distinct from the plaintiff’s injury, her own out-of-
    pocket payments for psychological services. 
    Id. at 475.
      While it is not identical to this case, McCready is help-
    ful insofar as it recognizes that different injuries in dis-
    tinct markets may be inflicted by a single antitrust con-
    spiracy, and thus that differently situated plaintiffs
    might be able to raise claims. The injuries suffered by
    the copper traders who purchased inflated futures con-
    tracts from the defendants are distinct from any harm
    inflicted on Viacom when it paid inflated cash prices for
    cathode, or on Ocean View, to the extent it purchased
    copper rod from integrated producers. Other cases also
    demonstrate that the Supreme Court has been willing to
    entertain suits between plaintiffs and defendants not
    in privity with each other. Allied Tube & Conduit Corp.
    v. Indian Head, Inc., 
    486 U.S. 492
    (1988) (plastic conduit
    manufacturer suing competitor steel conduit manufacturer);
    National Collegiate Athletic Ass’n v. Board of Regents, 
    468 U.S. 85
    (1984) (university suing association that prohib-
    ited it from entering a television contract); Klor’s Inc. v.
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485           17
    Broadway-Hale Stores, Inc., 
    359 U.S. 207
    (1959) (store
    suing competitor over refusal to deal).
    The reason the plaintiffs’ suit in Illinois Brick failed
    was not because the defendants did not sell to them.
    Rather, it was because the defendants did sell to a third
    party who (after Hanover Shoe) could recover for any
    injury they claimed. The same paradigm applies in all of
    the cases cited by the defendants: Party A, the antitrust
    violator, sells to Party B, and then Party C, a down-stream
    purchaser from B, seeks to recover the implicit over-
    charges that B passed on to C. See, e.g., Kansas v. UtiliCorp
    United, Inc., 
    497 U.S. 199
    , 207 (1990) (public utilities
    but not residential customers to whom they sell may sue
    natural gas companies); In re Brand Name Prescription
    Drugs Antitrust Litig., 
    123 F.3d 599
    , 606 (7th Cir. 1997)
    (drug wholesalers but not retail pharmacies to whom
    they sell may recover from manufacturers); McCarthy v.
    Recordex Serv., Inc., 
    80 F.3d 842
    , 852-54 (3d Cir. 1996)
    (attorneys may recover overcharges for copies, but the
    clients to whom they offer services may not); In re Beef
    Indus. Antitrust Litig., 
    710 F.2d 216
    , 218 (5th Cir. 1983)
    (packers who sell to grocers may recover for their unlaw-
    ful conduct but feeders who sell to packers may not).
    Here, in contrast, the plaintiffs are not indirect pur-
    chasers along a supply chain. As far as the plaintiffs’
    claims are concerned, Global, CLR, and Sumitomo did
    not sell cathode to integrated producers who in turn sold
    to any of the plaintiffs. Instead, the alleged conspiracy
    operated in the separate but related futures market,
    through which it sought directly to manipulate the price
    of copper the plaintiffs were buying. (It is true that
    Sumitomo Corporation made some sales of cathode, pri-
    marily overseas, to reap the benefit of its illegal futures
    market scheme. None of the plaintiffs, however, is seek-
    ing recovery on the basis of any of these cash market
    sales; all rest solely on the manipulation of sales of futures
    18       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    contracts. Sanner v. Board of Trade, 
    62 F.3d 918
    , 929 (7th
    Cir. 1995), discussed below, recognizes such a theory,
    and we see no reason why the mere existence of separate
    independent physical transactions should in any way
    change the analysis.)
    The defendants repeatedly urge that the availability
    of recovery for copper futures traders who bought and
    sold from the defendants in that market should bar re-
    covery for any plaintiff in the cash market. But this kind
    of an absolutist approach is ruled out by Sanner, which
    recognized at least one situation in which the futures
    market and physical market must be evaluated separately.
    The serious question here is whether these plaintiffs
    have presented another such instance.
    In Sanner, a group of soybean farmers sued the Chicago
    Board of Trade alleging that the Board conspired with
    several individuals artificially to lower the price of soy-
    bean futures. The farmers suffered damages when they
    were forced to sell their soybeans into the cash market
    at correspondingly low prices. 
    Id. at 921.
    The district
    court granted a motion to dismiss, finding as a matter
    of law that the farmers’ injuries were indirect because
    the farmers did not participate in the futures market, that
    the causal chain between the cash and futures prices
    was too attenuated, and that damages were too specula-
    tive. 
    Id. at 926.
      This court reversed the dismissal. On the assumption
    (given the procedural posture of the case) that the farm-
    ers’ allegations about the relation between the cash and
    futures markets were true, and that those market prices
    “tend[ed] to move in lockstep,” we determined that the
    farmers had suffered sufficiently direct injuries from the
    conspiracy to proceed with their case. 
    Id. at 929-30.
    We
    rejected the proposition that “participants in the futures
    market were more directly injured,” so as to preclude
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          19
    recovery by farmers in the cash market and denied
    the defendants’ claim that we should assume at the mo-
    tion to dismiss stage that damages would be too specula-
    tive. 
    Id. at 931.
    From the perspective of Illinois Brick, the
    Sanner court expressly found that in the context of a
    market manipulation scheme, damages inflicted on the
    physical commodity market were not derivative of in-
    juries in the futures market. Unlike Illinois Brick, the
    harms incurred in the physical market during a market
    manipulation are not “secondary consequences arising
    from an injury to a third party.” 
    Id. at 929.
    Instead, they
    form a separate and compensable injury.
    The defendants’ reading of Illinois Brick is inconsis-
    tent with Sanner. Their claims to the contrary, there is
    no indication in Sanner that the plaintiff soybean farm-
    ers were in privity with the Board of Trade, and as a fac-
    tual matter the assertion is surely wrong. The Board and
    its members did not sell soybeans to the farmers; like
    the defendants here they dealt solely with futures con-
    tracts. If Illinois Brick bars all recovery here, it should
    have barred recovery in Sanner and should also bar re-
    covery in group boycott and other restraint of trade set-
    tings.
    To put it another way, Hanover Shoe, Illinois Brick, and
    McCready make plain that the antitrust laws create a
    system that, to the extent possible, permits recovery
    in rough proportion to the actual harm a defendant’s
    unlawful conduct causes in the market without com-
    plex damage apportionment. This scheme at times fa-
    vors plaintiffs (Hanover Shoe) and at times defendants
    (Illinois Brick), but it never operates entirely to preclude
    market recovery for an injury. Applying those prin-
    ciples and the decision in Sanner to this case, we con-
    clude that the evidence viewed favorably to the plaintiffs
    shows that damage from the defendants’ conduct was
    felt in two separate markets: the futures market and the
    20        Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    physical copper market.ŒŒŒ We have identified those
    who may recover in the futures market and must now
    turn to the more difficult question of establishing the
    proper plaintiff in the physical market. The defendants’
    answer (nobody) is not supported by Illinois Brick—or
    economics or fairness for that matter. Instead, we must
    be guided in our inquiry by the analytical framework
    and factors set out in AGC.
    V. Associated General Contractors
    AGC requires a court to examine through a case-by-case
    analysis the link between a plaintiff’s harm and a defen-
    ŒŒŒ
    The fact that the defendants were hoping to profit in the
    physical market, ultimately, through their manipulation of the
    separate futures market, also has implications for their argu-
    ments related to the so-called “umbrella standing” theory. The
    defendants object to the possibility that they might be held
    responsible for higher copper prices throughout the physical
    market, rather than just for the sales they made. If this were an
    ordinary cartel case, in which cartel members A and B sell to
    customers X and Y, and then non-cartel member firm C makes
    sales at or near the enhanced cartel price to customer Z, the
    question arises whether A and B are liable to Z for the over-
    charges it paid. See generally, ABA Section of Antitrust Law, 1
    Antitrust Developments (Fourth) at 778-79 & n.128 (1997) (col-
    lecting cases on umbrella standing). Here, however, we have a
    conspiracy to rig prices for the entire physical market, accom-
    plished through manipulation of the Comex futures market.
    Another possible analogy might be to rigging product standards,
    which affects everyone who tries to participate in a particular
    product market. In the latter case, the defendants who manipu-
    lated the standards cannot be heard to complain that they
    should be immune from damages for a product they did not sell.
    We leave this issue open for further exploration at the district
    court level, now that we have clarified how the direct purchaser
    rule and the remoteness doctrine of AGC apply here.
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          21
    dant’s 
    wrongdoing. 459 U.S. at 535-36
    . We are to consider
    a number of factors in this analysis, notably (1) the causal
    connection between the violation and the harm; (2) the
    presence of improper motive; (3) the type of injury and
    whether it was one Congress sought to redress; (4) the
    directness of the injury; (5) the speculative nature of
    the damages; and (6) the risk of duplicate recovery or
    complex damage apportionment. 
    Id. at 537-45;
    Sanner, 62
    F.3d at 927
    . The defendants concede only the second fac-
    tor: they admit that each of the plaintiffs has adduced
    evidence sufficient to survive summary judgment that
    they intended artificially to inflate the price of both cop-
    per futures and physical copper in order to reap millions
    of dollars in profits. They contest each of the other points.
    The first and third factors are discussed only cursorily
    by the defendants and can be dealt with adequately in
    the course of our analysis of the remaining three. For
    example, the defendants claim that there is no causal
    connection between their actions and any of the plain-
    tiffs’ harms because the plaintiffs’ injuries are indirect
    (the fourth factor), and they argue that Congress had
    no intention of redressing this sort of injury because it is
    indirect and speculative (the fifth factor). We therefore
    devote our attention to the other three factors, consider-
    ing in the case of each plaintiff whether its injury was
    indirect and unpredictable, risked duplicate recovery,
    and would lead to speculative and complex damage ap-
    portionment. We begin with the claims of the Scrap Deal-
    ers.
    A. Scrap Dealers (Loeb, Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148)
    The Scrap Dealers face problems with all three of the
    contested AGC factors. First, whether or not they were
    in some sense original purchasers of physical copper, that
    fact alone is not enough to establish that their injury
    22       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    flowed directly from the defendants’ market manipula-
    tions. An injury is still indirect if a plaintiff fails to es-
    tablish a chain of causation between the harm it has suf-
    fered and the defendant’s wrongful acts. 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 541
    . The directness inquiry further focuses on the pres-
    ence of more immediate victims of an antitrust viola-
    tion in a better position to maintain a treble damages
    action. “The existence of an identifiable class of persons
    whose self-interest would normally motivate them to
    vindicate the public interest in antitrust enforcement
    diminishes the justification for allowing a more remote
    party . . . to perform the office of a private attorney gen-
    eral.” 
    Id. at 542.
      There are numerous other parties who have suffered
    more direct injuries at the hands of the defendants than
    the Scrap Dealers suing here. Among them (though as
    we explain below not limited to them) are the Comex
    copper futures traders who have already filed and settled
    their claims with the defendants. But even in the physical
    copper market itself, the Scrap Dealers are quintessen-
    tial examples of indirect victims of antitrust injury. Al-
    though the copper distribution chain is exceedingly com-
    plex, even in the simplest possible version, an integrated
    producer such as Asarco will refine copper into cathode
    and sell it to a manufacturer, such as Viacom, Emerson,
    or Ocean View. The manufacturer will in turn transform
    the cathode into some product using copper and sell it
    down to the retail level. In the process, it may generate
    unused scrap copper, at which point the Scrap Dealers
    finally appear on the scene to buy the scrap. It is for
    these last purchases that the plaintiffs seek to recover
    damages. But distributors and manufacturers have al-
    ready entered into monetary transactions involving this
    same copper, and indeed we are faced in this very
    case with suits filed by some of those manufacturers. It is
    apparent that these companies at the least have suf-
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          23
    fered more direct injuries than the Scrap Dealer plaintiffs.
    This stands in marked contrast to Sanner, where the
    soybean farmers were clearly the most directly injured
    participants in the cash market because they were the
    only cash sellers of soybeans. 
    Sanner, 62 F.3d at 927
    .
    The speculative nature of the damages the Scrap Deal-
    ers have suffered also supports our conclusion that they
    cannot maintain this action. See 
    id. at 542-43
    (denying a
    claim that rested on an “abstract conception or speculative
    measure of harm”). The Scrap Dealers’ economic experts
    have stated that they can tie a rise in the price of copper
    futures directly to price increases for physical copper
    through econometric analysis. Defendants argue to the
    contrary that a host of other factors are also at play,
    destroying the closeness of any link. Even accepting the
    Scrap Dealers’ position on this point, as we must at
    this stage of the litigation, it is difficult to know whether
    they have suffered any economic loss at all as a result of
    the defendants’ actions. After all, the Scrap Dealers, mid-
    dlemen who resell their scrap copper soon after they pur-
    chase it, are alleging that the defendants’ market manip-
    ulations caused the price of copper to increase steadily
    from 1994 to 1996. Therefore, on most or all the sales
    the Scrap Dealers made in that time frame, which
    they contend are inflexibly linked to prevailing Comex
    prices, they should have made a slight profit because of
    Sumitomo’s actions. Only when the price of copper plum-
    meted in June 1996 would the Scrap Dealers have taken
    a bath in the resale market. And depending on how much
    copper the Scrap Dealers had on hand as compared to
    the number of transactions they made as the price of
    copper was increasing, it is possible that some of them
    may have suffered no true economic loss at all. In short,
    the exact nature of the damages they have suffered is
    speculative.
    24       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    The Scrap Dealers attempt to counter this problem by
    arguing that damages can be set simply by computing the
    difference between the price of copper that should have
    prevailed on a given day absent Sumitomo’s manipulations
    and the actual price for every copper transaction. This
    assertion, however, plunges the Scrap Dealers headlong
    into conflict with the sixth AGC factor, the problems of
    duplicate damage recovery and complex damage appor-
    tionment. The Scrap Dealers argue that they—and all
    other commercial purchasers of physical copper—should
    be permitted to recover damages equal to three times the
    overcharge caused by Sumitomo’s scheme for every single
    sale of copper in the mid-1990s. But this proposition ig-
    nores the fact that the same piece of physical copper
    may be resold many times in a given year as it is refined,
    distributed, turned into scrap, sold between scrap dealers,
    re-refined, and sold for scrap again. As mentioned above,
    every time a scrap dealer resold scrap copper during the
    two years at issue, it recouped the vast majority of its
    losses. Since defendants are not permitted to mount any
    sort of cost recovery defense along these lines, see Han-
    over 
    Shoe, 392 U.S. at 491-94
    , this would cause the Scrap
    Dealers to receive a damages award far in excess of any
    economic loss the defendants caused them. While Sanner
    permitted farmers to recover their soybean losses, it did
    not let millers, wholesalers, or retailers of soybeans also
    assert claims. It would be a significant extension of
    Sanner to allow these plaintiffs to sue, and it is one we
    decline to make.
    The Scrap Dealers repeatedly argue that there are
    no duplicate damages in this case because their pricing
    decisions are based exclusively on Comex prices rather
    than a pass-on of historical costs. We fail to see why this
    fact should lead us to ignore the Supreme Court’s com-
    mand to prevent the duplicate recovery of antitrust in-
    juries wherever possible. 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 544
    ; Greater
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485           25
    Rockford Energy & Tech. Corp. v. Shell Oil Co., 
    998 F.2d 391
    , 396 (7th Cir. 1993). The Scrap Dealers’ contention that
    absent a pass-on of historical costs their injuries are
    “separate and distinct” defies economic reality. If a scrap
    dealer purchased a ton of copper when the Comex price
    was artificially inflated by $400, and the price subse-
    quently rose another $200 prior to resale, it has reaped
    a $200 gain, not a $400 loss. The Scrap Dealers’ own
    witnesses admitted that there is no pass-on only “if the
    current Comex price has moved in an adverse direction.”
    Yet the evidence shows that Sumitomo’s actions caused
    the Comex price to rise throughout the period at issue
    in this case, making us skeptical that the Scrap Dealers
    have suffered any real loss at all.
    The fact that the Scrap Dealers here are further down
    the chain of copper users than others also will increase
    the economic complexity of apportioning damages. Even
    the marketing manager of Loeb admitted that such fac-
    tors as “freight costs, the sizing, sorting, packaging, purity
    requirements, length of time it took to get paid, [and] the
    risk of getting paid” all factored into Loeb’s pricing deci-
    sions. While it might be possible for economists to factor
    out each of these considerations for all prior sales involv-
    ing copper, the Supreme Court has decreed a simpler
    solution: simply restrict the right to recover to those who
    are more directly affected by the defendants’ actions.
    
    UtiliCorp, 497 U.S. at 208-11
    (noting policy rationales for
    denying recovery even to those plaintiffs whose damages
    could be easily calculated). This description applies fully
    to the plaintiffs here. Because the Scrap Dealers have
    suffered an indirect injury causing them at best specula-
    tive damages that would lead to a strong possibility of
    duplicative recovery, we agree with the district court
    that they may not pursue their claims.
    26       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    B. Viacom and Emerson (No. 01-3485)
    1.
    Many of the successful arguments from Loeb are echoed
    by the defendants in the Viacom action, but after a careful
    review of the record we find that the facts of the latter case
    compel a different result. The defendants’ first argument
    for denying recovery to Viacom and Emerson (to whom we
    will refer as “Viacom” except when distinctions between
    the two companies are important) is that Viacom has
    shown no evidence of direct and predictable harm stem-
    ming from the defendants’ conduct. As we stated earlier,
    directness relates to the question whether there exists a
    chain of causation between a defendant’s action and a
    plaintiff’s injury or (in contrast) if the connection is based
    instead only on “somewhat vaguely defined links.” 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 540
    . Global and CLR, the only defendants
    remaining in the Viacom action after Sumitomo’s settle-
    ment, begin their attack by pointing out that the prices
    of copper cathode on the LME and Comex often diverged.
    We fail to see why this matters. Sumitomo purchased
    futures on Comex to drive up the price on that particu-
    lar exchange artificially, and the prices Viacom paid for
    copper were directly based on Comex prices. The fact
    that Sumitomo also bought and sold futures on the LME
    and may have caused additional harms to physical cop-
    per purchasers who based their decisions on LME
    prices has no impact on Viacom’s ability to recover un-
    der the AGC factors.
    Next, the defendants rely on the fact that Viacom’s
    purchases included not only a price linked to Comex but
    “a variety of discounts or premiums that, in response to
    changes in supply and demand, varied over time and
    among suppliers.” The defendants’ experts have opined
    that, through adjustments of premiums in response to
    supply and demand factors, the actual impact on the physi-
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485         27
    cal copper market of their illegal futures market activities
    is likely to be indirect and unpredictable.
    While all of this might be so as a theoretical matter, on
    summary judgment it is our duty to evaluate the evidence
    in the record that Viacom presented. And that evidence
    paints a starkly different picture. Viacom has introduced
    into the record both its contracts and its suppliers’ pub-
    lished premiums. After a careful review of these mate-
    rials, we are convinced that Viacom has established di-
    rect injury. In its contracts, Viacom purchased all but
    a de minimis amount of copper through the two-part
    formula we described earlier, consisting of (1) a base price
    equal to the Comex first position copper settlement price,
    and (2) a cathode premium, negotiated on a monthly
    or quarterly basis. Over the six years at issue here, the
    settlement price fluctuated from about 75¢ to $1.40 per
    pound. During the same years, the premium ranged
    from 2.75 to 3.50¢/lb. (Viacom does not seek recovery based
    on changes in premium prices; the complaint is based
    only on those caused by variations in the base price.)
    The district court ruled that the base price and cathode
    premium were “inseparable.” After a careful review of
    the record in the light most favorable to the plaintiffs,
    we are unable to agree with this characterization. All of
    the contracts specify that the payment price is deter-
    mined by adding these two separately described compo-
    nents, and the values of both numbers throughout the
    relevant time period should be available through discov-
    ery. The district court also seems to have thought that
    the premium could in some cases be a discount off the
    Comex price. There is no evidence to support this; to the
    contrary, all of the evidence, including defendants’ coun-
    sels’ concession at oral argument, indicates that the pre-
    mium was always a positive number. While Viacom ap-
    pears to have been awarded volume and cash payment
    discounts in some instances, there is no indication that
    28       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    these discounts were tied to market conditions, and the
    defendants do not focus on such discounts in their briefs.
    Furthermore, the cathode premium was a small fraction
    of the Comex price. In fact, the evidence shows that as
    the Comex price increased, the premium also increased.
    Thus, there is no possibility that the two components
    “offset” or that the premium somehow compensated for the
    defendants’ manipulated price inflation. (Even if, counter-
    factually, the Comex price had for example risen by 65¢
    and, to compensate, the base price dropped a penny, this
    could at best represent a mitigation of damages. But this
    would not make the injury any less direct.) The district
    court’s conclusion on this point, which relied mainly on the
    testimony of an expert who had not even looked at Viacom’s
    contracts, is both factually mistaken and fails to take the
    evidence in the light most favorable to Viacom. The pres-
    ence of a small cathode premium does not negate the fact
    that the prices of cathode and cathode futures “tend to move
    in lockstep.” Instead, the price reference in Viacom’s con-
    tracts supports just such lockstep linkage. Our case law has
    never required that the cash and futures prices be identical
    to support recovery. It is only necessary that the relation-
    ship be direct, as it is here. See 
    Sanner, 62 F.2d at 929
    .
    Furthermore, the experts note that Comex quotes 24
    different exchange prices at any given time and that the
    defendants’ actions could have affected each of those
    prices differently. Accepting the truth of this statement,
    we do not see why it compels a finding that Viacom’s
    injury is indirect. According to the record evidence, out
    of this menu of prices, Viacom used just one (the month-
    ly settlement price) as the basis for all but a minuscule
    number of its contract purchases, and Emerson used only
    two. While acknowledging this, the defendants contend
    that other cathode purchasers could have used different
    or widely varying systems. Perhaps they did, and if so
    perhaps they should be found to be improper plaintiffs
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485         29
    under the antitrust laws, though that is an issue for
    another day. But this fact does not weaken the direct
    causal chain between the defendants’ actions and these
    particular plaintiffs’ harm and is no more reason to
    deny Viacom and Emerson recovery than the fact that
    some purchasers might have bought cathode at prices
    not tied to those on either Comex or the LME.
    Similarly, we reject the defendants’ argument that
    because a number of Viacom’s contracts contained clauses
    permitting the parties to renegotiate the base price if
    they believed that Comex prices did not accurately re-
    flect market conditions, Viacom’s injuries are somehow
    remote and indirect. It is undisputed that, because of
    the success of the defendants’ conspiracy, Viacom and
    its integrated suppliers were never aware of the artifi-
    cial Comex inflation and so never took advantage of
    this clause. Instead, Viacom based all of the purchases
    for which it seeks recovery directly on Comex.
    We also believe that, contrary to the defendants’ con-
    tentions, our holding on this point is entirely consistent
    with the Second Circuit’s decision in Reading Indus., Inc.
    v. Kennecott Copper Corp., 
    631 F.2d 10
    , 13-14 (2d Cir.
    1980). There, the plaintiff, a refiner of scrap copper, al-
    leged that the defendant-integrated producers had con-
    spired to keep the price of refined copper low and that
    this conspiracy injured it by artificially raising the price
    of scrap. 
    Id. at 12.
    The court found the injury indirect
    because it “depend[ed] upon a complicated series of mar-
    ket interactions,” including the actions and pricing deci-
    sions of refiners, fabricators, dealers, speculators, and
    consumers of copper. 
    Id. at 13.
    Such “conjectural theories
    of injury and attenuated economic causality” were enough
    to render Reading’s injury indirect. 
    Id. at 14.
      Other than the fact that both Reading and the present
    case involve price-fixing conspiracies in the physical cop-
    30       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    per market, we find little similarity between them. The
    injury here does not depend on the speculative actions
    of innumerable market decision makers. It flows in-
    stead directly from the contracts between Viacom and its
    suppliers. It is this contractual linkage, absent in Reading,
    that prevents other market variables from miring a trier
    of fact here in “intricate efforts to recreate the possible
    permutations in the causes and effects of a price change.”
    
    Id. In sum,
    Viacom’s contracts and the other record evi-
    dence establish a direct relation between the defendants’
    illegal scheme and Viacom’s harm. The contract price it
    paid its suppliers for copper was directly and explicitly
    based on the Comex monthly settlement price, and there-
    fore the defendants’ manipulations directly and predictably
    had an impact on that price. Amarel v. Connell, 
    102 F.3d 1494
    , 1512 (9th Cir. 1997) (injury direct where price of
    milled rice directly affected price of paddy rice); 
    Sanner, 62 F.3d at 929
    . Any variations in the cathode premium
    moved in the same direction as the manipulation and
    could not have limited or mitigated this harm. For these
    reasons, Viacom has established the directness element
    of AGC.
    2.
    We turn next to the district court’s other major reason
    for granting the defendants summary judgment: its belief
    that opening the door to Viacom’s suit would inevitably
    lead to either duplicate recovery or complex damage ap-
    portionment. See 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 544
    . The court cited
    at least three manifestations of this problem, all involv-
    ing Viacom’s integrated suppliers, such as Asarco. First,
    it believed that Viacom’s claim would duplicate Asarco’s
    because Asarco could assert claims for its raw material
    purchases from third parties, and those raw material
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          31
    prices are tied to Comex. Second, because Asarco pur-
    chased some cathode from third parties, both it and Viacom
    would be permitted to recover and duplicate each other’s
    damages. Third, Viacom’s claim would duplicate Asarco’s
    because Asarco hedged by purchasing put options on
    Comex. In addition to those three points, the court
    noted that Asarco has recovered damages in a California
    state court class action, and it thought that this too
    should preclude Viacom from recovering.
    We begin with the defendants’ claim that Asarco’s
    purchase of raw materials, such as ore, concentrate, blister,
    and anode, all of which it transformed into cathode,
    should bar recovery. This does not follow. Practically
    every product is created through the use of some kind
    of raw materials, but that fact does not prevent the di-
    rect purchaser of the finished product from suing its
    manufacturer under the antitrust laws, as long as the
    direct purchaser is not trying to attack a price-fixing
    arrangement at the raw materials level. The defendants’
    own experts testified that while raw material prices “may
    be indirectly affected” by price manipulations, a squeeze
    or corner on cathode—the only copper product traded
    on Comex and the LME—would not directly harm purchas-
    ers of these raw materials. Instead, raw material prices
    vary widely and contain various discounts off the Comex
    price to account for such factors as the expected cost of
    conversion into cathode, which in turn varies based on
    supply, demand, and current refining and smelting ca-
    pacity.
    We agree with the broad proposition that a party cannot
    recover when others more directly injured are better
    able to state a claim. 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 544-45
    . Indeed,
    we have just applied this very principle to deny recovery
    to the Scrap Dealers, who are farther down the chain of
    resale, even though scrap prices too are tied to Comex. For
    parallel reasons, raw materials purchasers are also ill-
    32       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    suited to bring an antitrust claim. Permitting both raw
    materials purchasers and cathode purchasers in the same
    line of distribution to recover would lead to duplicate
    damages in violation of the Illinois Brick rule. The solu-
    tion to this problem, however, is not to deny a right to
    recover to everyone. Such a draconian rule would give
    a green light to antitrust scofflaws to conspire to fix
    prices in a particular market and would create incen-
    tives to engage in antitrust conspiracies in markets with
    complicated distribution structures. Instead, the proper
    course is to recognize only the best of the several poten-
    tial plaintiffs who otherwise satisfy the requirements
    for bringing suit under the antitrust laws. Because raw
    materials prices will vary in comparison to Comex prices
    much more than will the price of physical cathode, physi-
    cal cathode purchasers such as Viacom are better situated
    than raw materials purchasers to pursue a claim in the
    physical market. This logically implies that raw mate-
    rials purchasers up the chain from cathode sales could
    not satisfy AGC, just as we found to be the case for the
    downstream Scrap Dealers. In between, however, lies
    the physical market transaction at the heart of the de-
    fendants’ scheme—the purchase of cathode. There are
    no better parties than these purchasers to pursue a
    claim, and it is therefore they who are proper plaintiffs.
    More bite lies in the argument that recovery should
    be denied because some of the cathode Asarco sold Via-
    com was purchased before, although this claim is not
    as strong as it might at first appear. As the district court
    noted, some if not most of the cathode Viacom purchased
    had never before been purchased in cathode form. Asarco
    sold Viacom 510 million pounds of cathode between 1990
    and 1996. During that time frame, Asarco refined 6.4 bil-
    lion pounds of cathode and purchased 153 million pounds
    from third parties, about 2.3% of its output. Because cop-
    per is fungible, one cannot tell whether any given Viacom
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485         33
    purchase of cathode consisted of cathode refined by Asarco
    or previously purchased product.
    We do not believe the mere existence of third-party
    cathode presents such a risk of duplicate recovery as to
    justify the extreme step of denying recovery altogether. Had
    the Board of Trade in Sanner produced evidence that
    farmers on some rare occasions bought soybeans from
    neighboring farms and then resold them along with the
    soybeans they grew themselves, that would not have
    provided a reason to deny recovery entirely. Similarly, if
    Viacom can prove at trial that 97.7% of all copper Asarco
    sold it was cathode it had refined itself, then Viacom
    should be permitted to recover 97.7% of its proved damages
    from cathode purchases. Cf. Paper Sys., Inc. v. Nippon
    Paper Indus. Co., 
    281 F.3d 629
    , 633 (7th Cir. 2002) (carving
    out indirect purchases while still leaving open possibility
    of recovery for direct purchases). The physical copper
    market is complicated, but not so complicated that one
    cannot estimate to a reasonable degree of accuracy the
    amount of damage a party has sustained. It is certainly
    acceptable through expert economic testimony to make
    a reasonable estimation of actual damages through prob-
    ability and inferences. See Zenith Radio Corp. v. Hazeltine
    Research, Inc., 
    395 U.S. 100
    , 124 (1969). “Where the tort
    itself is of such a nature as to preclude the ascertain-
    ment of the amount of damages with certainty it would
    be a perversion of fundamental principles of justice to
    deny all relief to the injured person.” Story Parchment Co.
    v. Paterson Parchment Paper Co., 
    282 U.S. 555
    , 563 (1931).
    While we are not permitted to make complex damage
    apportionments in antitrust cases, 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 544
    ,
    nothing about these calculations is inordinately complex.
    One need only know two pieces of information: the amount
    of cathode purchased by Viacom and the amount of
    cathode purchased and sold by those who sold cathode to
    Viacom. From there, reasonable estimates of damages
    34       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    are the order of the day. Because this estimation is not
    overly complex and will not lead to duplicate damages, it
    provides a sufficient basis at this stage for the case to
    proceed to the merits.
    The defendants’ next major attack rests on hedging.
    Commodities exchanges function in part to protect partici-
    pants in a physical market by shifting some of the risk
    (and damage) caused by fluctuations in price to partici-
    pants in the futures market. Extending this principle,
    Global and CLR claim that through an extremely compli-
    cated set of economic interactions between the cash and
    futures markets, the damages experienced in the physical
    cathode market will be duplicated in their entirety by
    damages suffered in the futures market. Therefore, only
    futures traders, and not cash market participants, should
    be permitted to recover.
    The hedging theories advocated by the defendants are
    based on economic theory, with no specific application of
    that theory here that would correlate sales in the cash
    market and sales in the futures market. Notably, Viacom’s
    individual purchases from its suppliers were not hedged.
    Neither Viacom nor Asarco purchased a futures contract
    as a hedge every time they exchanged copper. Had they
    done so, then perhaps one might be able to “match” each
    physical market transaction to a futures contract sale
    and argue that the opportunity for a trader to recover
    the overcharge in a federal lawsuit should preclude recov-
    ery for the overcharged physical market participant. Emer-
    son’s supplier, Phelps Dodge, did hedge some of its sales
    to Emerson. On remand, the district court should ex-
    plore further whether these hedging transactions would
    lead to some degree of duplicate recovery and a correspond-
    ing need to reduce damages. Nevertheless, since our re-
    view of the record indicates that not all of Phelps Dodge’s
    sales were hedged, we conclude that Emerson is an appro-
    priate plaintiff for the same reasons as Viacom.
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485           35
    In any event, the kind of futures matching the defen-
    dants’ postulate does not reflect the way that most hedg-
    ing works in the copper futures market. Asarco did not
    buy futures. Instead, it purchased put options. Put options
    are strategic hedges designed to protect against a general
    risk of declining cathode prices. With a put option, Asarco
    had the right, but not the obligation, to sell a futures
    contract if the price fell below a certain “strike” price. See
    United States v. Catalfo, 
    64 F.3d 1070
    , 1072 (7th Cir. 1995).
    But as the defendants were artificially inflating the price
    of cathode throughout the period at issue here, the price
    never would have fallen below the strike price. Therefore,
    no sale ever would have gone forward and the only dam-
    ages Asarco would have suffered from the conspiracy
    would have been the cost of the put option, or, more prop-
    erly, the amount by which the price of the put option
    changed because the price of copper was artificially high.
    The defendants and their experts have made no at-
    tempt to correlate the damages Asarco could theoretically
    recover on the futures market for its put options to the
    specific damages sought here by Viacom, and the relation-
    ship is far from intuitively obvious. Instead, the experts
    trace the potential for hedging by numerous parties up-
    stream and downstream from Viacom and contend that
    because so many participants in the copper industry use
    so many different forms of hedging there will be “inevit-
    able” duplication between the cash and futures markets.
    This sort of potential duplication bears no resemblance
    to the duplication rejected in Illinois Brick and 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 544
    , nor do we think that it independently pro-
    vides a reason to deny recovery to Viacom. In Illinois Brick,
    any “pass-on” of damages would (because of Hanover
    Shoe) already be taken into account in its entirety in the
    recovery to another potential party, the direct 
    purchaser. 431 U.S. at 737-38
    . This simply is not the case here. Asarco
    strategically hedged only about half its output. The de-
    36       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    fendants claim that potential hedging by those parties to
    whom Viacom sold and from whom Asarco purchased raw
    materials is also relevant, but this cannot be so under
    Sanner. There we held that injuries incurred in futures
    market purchases not linked to any particular cash market
    purchases did not “duplicate” and were not more “direct”
    than the cash market 
    injuries. 62 F.3d at 929-30
    . Because
    there are two separate markets, each with compensable
    injuries, the opportunity for recovery in one market does
    nothing to alleviate the harm in the other. For similar
    reasons, the fact that Comex futures traders have re-
    ceived money in a now-settled lawsuit says nothing
    about the ability of Viacom or other similarly situated
    plaintiffs in the cash market to recover.
    Finally, the defendants note that Asarco and three of
    the manufacturers’ other suppliers have recovered in a
    lawsuit brought in California state court. This lawsuit
    was brought pursuant to California law, which permits
    suit by indirect purchasers. Union Carbide Corp. v. Supe-
    rior Ct., 
    679 P.2d 14
    , 16 (Cal. 1984). However, the sup-
    posed “duplication” here comes from different bodies in
    our federal system seeking to remedy separate harms. It
    presents no risk of duplicate recovery for the same
    injury under the same law and is thus no bar to the plain-
    tiffs’ recovery. See Browning-Ferris Indus. v. Kelco Dis-
    posal, Inc., 
    492 U.S. 257
    (1989) (upholding award of both
    federal antitrust and state tort damages); California v. ARC
    Am. Corp., 
    490 U.S. 93
    (1989) (permitting states to re-
    quire offenders to pay both state damages to indirect
    purchasers and federal treble damages to direct purchas-
    ers). If the resolution of the state court action poses a
    problem at all to these plaintiffs, it would be in the
    nature of claim or issue preclusion. See Matsushita Elec-
    tric Indus. Co. v. Epstein, 
    516 U.S. 367
    (1996); Marrese v.
    American Acad. of Orthopaedic Surgeons, 
    470 U.S. 373
    (1985). It is possible that the defendants have waived
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          37
    their right to assert any such defense; it is not mentioned
    in their briefs before this court. Accordingly, we express
    no opinion at this time on the merits of any preclusion
    argument.
    In sum, of all participants in the physical market, Via-
    com and other first purchasers of cathode are the only
    plaintiffs possibly situated to recover damages against
    the defendants for the anti-competitive harms they
    have inflicted on the physical market for copper cathode.
    Faced with the option of permitting a clear, non-speculative
    harm to the cash market to go unremedied or of allow-
    ing the plaintiffs’ suit to go forward, we elect the latter.
    As narrowed to first purchases, there is no danger of
    duplication of recovery, and so, under AGC and Sanner, the
    claim should proceed to trial.
    3.
    The final broad claim of the defendants is that recov-
    ery of damages in this case simply would be too specula-
    tive and complex to warrant allowing this suit to proceed.
    Cf. 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 542
    . Based on the evidence adduced
    by Viacom, however, we disagree. The main complica-
    tion will come from attempting to discern how much of
    the Comex price of copper at a given time represented
    an overcharge due to the defendants’ manipulation and
    how much stemmed from normal economic forces. This
    difficulty, however, occurs in every price-fixing case. It is
    no different from the task of gauging the damages recov-
    erable by Comex futures traders, whom defendants have
    conceded to be proper plaintiffs. Through discovery, eco-
    nomic experts can evaluate the impact of the defendants’
    illegal actions on the futures market and come to rea-
    soned conclusions. Cf. 
    Sanner, 62 F.3d at 930
    (rejecting
    claim that damages analysis in a market manipulation
    is “beyond the ken of the federal courts”). At that point,
    38       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    recovery could be calculated by reviewing all of Via-
    com’s contracts (assuming they are similar to the ones
    already in the record) and assessing damages based on
    the already computed overcharge. Since the only other
    factors involved in setting the price of Viacom’s cathode
    are items which have no relation to the Comex price, such
    as freight charges and cash payment discounts, and the
    cathode premium, for which Viacom does not seek to
    recover, there should be no problems as a theoretical mat-
    ter with making these calculations. The mere fact that
    each individual transaction relevant to an antitrust
    scheme must be examined on a case-by-case basis to
    assess damages does not thereby render those damages
    speculative. American Ad Mgmt., Inc. v. General Tel. Co.
    of Cal., 
    190 F.3d 1051
    , 1059 (9th Cir. 1999).
    We fully recognize that perfecting such economic analysis,
    tracking every pound of cathode refined or purchased
    by Viacom’s suppliers, and locating every cathode con-
    tract Viacom entered into over a six-year span will not
    be easy. But complex litigation is hardly new for the fed-
    eral courts, whether it is in the field of antitrust, environ-
    mental clean-ups, pension law, or accounting frauds.
    The key here is that the damages are not inherently
    speculative in the sense that AGC used that term. 
    See 459 U.S. at 542
    . Nor, as in Illinois Brick or Hanover Shoe,
    is a party asking a jury or the district court to perform
    some form of econometric analysis to deduce whether
    all, some, or none of an overcharge was passed on down
    a chain of distribution. Illinois 
    Brick, 431 U.S. at 727
    .
    Instead, one need only determine through available rec-
    ords what percentage of cathode bought by Viacom rep-
    resents first purchases. This is not speculative or com-
    plex, only time-consuming, and we are confident that
    the parties and their counsel are up to the task.
    The defendants’ entire case theory, apparent not only
    here but also through their discussion of duplication
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          39
    and hedging, seems to be the troubling one because their
    scheme was so evil, went undetected for so long, and caused
    so much economic loss throughout the cash market, that
    we should simply give them a pass from the antitrust
    laws. This is not now and never has been the law. Since the
    days of Eastman Kodak Co. v. Southern Photo Materials
    Co., 
    273 U.S. 359
    , 379 (1927), it has been established that
    in complicated antitrust cases plaintiffs are permitted to
    use estimates and analysis to calculate a reasonable ap-
    proximation of their damages. While we fully agree that we
    should not use the massiveness of defendants’ conspiracy as
    an excuse to punish them unduly (by, for example, permit-
    ting the Scrap Dealers in Loeb to recover for harms that
    would duplicate those of Viacom), the sensible solution is to
    let one—but only one—level of purchasers in the physical
    copper market recover. Based on all the evidence avail-
    able on summary judgment, the best plaintiff in this mar-
    ket is the first purchaser of copper cathode, and Viacom
    and Emerson are prototypical examples of such plaintiffs.
    The district court erred in dismissing the case at this
    stage, and we must therefore reverse its judgment.
    C. Ocean View (Nos. 01-3229, 01-3230)
    We turn to the final plaintiff, Ocean View. We have
    already rejected the defendants’ principal argument for
    affirming summary judgment in this case, that the ac-
    tion is barred by the Illinois Brick direct purchaser rule.
    For the same reasons discussed in connection with Via-
    com’s action, there is no party along a chain of distribu-
    tion between Ocean View and any of the defendants
    who can recover for an alleged overcharge. Therefore,
    Illinois Brick is inapplicable. Instead, this case is con-
    trolled by the basic premise of 
    Sanner, 62 F.3d at 929
    -30,
    which holds that a cash market participant injured by
    40       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    a party’s illegal actions in the futures market may, in
    some instances, sue that party under the federal antitrust
    laws. The controlling factors in this inquiry are those
    set out in 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 537-45
    . The defendants al-
    lege that under an analysis of these factors, Ocean
    View’s claim should still be precluded, while Ocean View
    contends that it should be entitled to recover for every
    copper rod it has ever purchased, or, in the alternative,
    that it may recover at least for those instances where
    it was the first purchaser of copper in cathode form.
    As with the Scrap Dealers, we must reject Ocean View’s
    proposition that it can recover for rod manufactured
    from cathode purchased by others, such as its semi-fabrica-
    tors. Such an injury would be indirect because the semi-
    fabricator would serve as a more immediate victim of
    the antitrust violation intended to affect the cash and
    futures markets for cathode. 
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 541
    -42;
    supra at 22-23. Semi-fabricators who purchased cathode
    would stand in shoes similar to those of Viacom, purchas-
    ing large quantities of cathode to reshape and sell as rod
    or wire. Because they are well-situated to bring any
    claim for inflation in the physical market, there is no
    need for Ocean View, as a more remote party, to step in
    “to vindicate the public interest in antitrust enforcement.”
    
    AGC, 459 U.S. at 542
    .
    Additionally, granting recovery to both a semi-fabricator
    for its cathode purchase and Ocean View for its purchase
    of that same cathode reshaped as rod would lead to
    either duplicate recovery or complex damage apportion-
    ment in violation of the principles underlying 
    AGC. 459 U.S. at 544
    . We have already rejected the claim that
    the copper market should not be subject to a ban on dupli-
    cate recovery because copper pricing decisions are based
    on Comex and not a “pass on” of historical costs, supra at
    24-25. To avoid such duplicate recovery one must either
    attempt to apportion damages along a chain of distribu-
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          41
    tion, forbidden by AGC, or deny the right to sue to all
    but one plaintiff along the chain of distribution.
    The best-situated plaintiff to recover is the first pur-
    chaser of copper cathode, the specific commodity the de-
    fendants targeted in their futures market conspiracy.
    For such a plaintiff, it is possible both to avoid duplicate
    recovery problems and at the same time to ensure that
    antitrust harm perpetrated in the cash market will not
    go unremedied. Based upon on our review of the record,
    we are satisfied that in at least some cases Ocean View
    did purchase cathode refined by integrated producers.
    The existence of such purchases is enough to get Ocean
    View in the door; recovery should not be denied simply
    because a plaintiff may not receive damages as high as
    it would like. The quantity of such sales, and thus the
    eventual damages Ocean View might get if it manages
    to prove the rest of its case, can await further discovery.
    Like Viacom, Ocean View will have the burden of ascer-
    taining what percentage of the cathode sold by these
    producers was refined by them and not purchased from
    third parties. If, as defendants fear, many of these rec-
    ords are lost, that fact will come out in discovery, and
    they may move for a missing evidence instruction or
    perhaps even summary judgment on the merits.
    We have already rejected most of the other claims the
    defendants make for denying Ocean View recovery, includ-
    ing the proposition that the integrated producers’ purchase
    of copper raw materials should somehow render them
    improper plaintiffs, supra at 31, and the claim that hedg-
    ing on the copper futures markets by some physical mar-
    ket participants renders the injury indirect or duplicative,
    supra at 34-36. Finally, we have found that the damages
    claimed are not too speculative or complex, supra at 37-38.
    At this point we can think of only one possible distinction
    between Ocean View and Viacom that deserves further
    comment. That is the fact that while Viacom purchased
    42       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    cathode, Ocean View bought cathode that had been tolled
    into rod. The parties do not focus on this distinction
    much in their briefs, and the defendants concede that
    there is no physical difference between cathode and rod
    other than the product’s shape. Based upon our review
    of the contracts in the record, the price Ocean View paid
    its integrated producers for rod appears to be identical
    to that paid by Viacom for cathode except for the exis-
    tence of an additional rod premium. We assume, since
    the defendants do not contend otherwise, that like the
    cathode premium, the rod premium is a small fraction of
    the total price paid and tends to increase as the Comex
    price increases, so that it does not in some way offset
    the Comex inflation or render the injury indirect. In that
    case, the similarities between cathode and rod are close
    enough that, in instances where the same integrated
    producer refines raw materials into cathode and then
    shapes it into rod, Ocean View, as the first purchaser
    after the materials are formed into cathode, can state a
    claim, regardless of whether that copper is then in the form
    of cathode or rod. Cf. In re Sugar Indus. Antitrust Litig.,
    
    579 F.2d 13
    , 17-18 (3d Cir. 1978) (finding no distinc-
    tion for AGC purposes between price-fixed sugar and
    candy incorporating that price-fixed sugar sold into the
    market for the first time).
    VI.
    In addition to their points under Illinois Brick and
    AGC, the various plaintiffs make arguments specific to
    their own cases. Most of these involve procedural issues. We
    consider these points in turn, on an issue-by-issue basis.
    A. RICO and State Law Claims
    We begin once again with the Loeb action. Our determina-
    tion that the AGC factors prevent the Scrap Dealers
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485           43
    from pursuing their antitrust claims disposes of their re-
    maining claims against Sumitomo and Global for viola-
    tions of RICO and state law. It is also dispositive of all
    claims against JPMorgan Chase.
    The district court dismissed the Scrap Dealers’ RICO
    claims on the ground that the AGC factors apply equally
    to RICO. The Scrap Dealers, however, argue that even
    if their antitrust claim fails, their RICO case should
    proceed. This claim lacks merit. Civil RICO was modeled
    after the Clayton Act. Holmes v. Security Investor Protec-
    tion Corp., 
    503 U.S. 258
    , 267-69 (1992). To satisfy its re-
    quirement of proximate causation, the Scrap Dealers
    must allege a relation between their injury and the defen-
    dants’ violation that is neither indirect nor remote. Interna-
    tional Bhd. of Teamsters, Local 734 Health & Welfare Trust
    Fund v. Phillip Morris, Inc., 
    196 F.3d 818
    , 825 (7th Cir.
    1999) (applying AGC factors to a proximate causation
    analysis). Since we have already determined that the
    Scrap Dealers’ injury is too indirect and remote under
    AGC for antitrust purposes, we conclude that the rela-
    tion is similarly too remote for RICO purposes.
    The Scrap Dealers also assert that the district court
    erred in finding that they had abandoned their state law
    claims. On this point, they appear to be correct. There
    is certainly no evidence in the record that the Scrap
    Dealers voluntarily dismissed or failed to pursue their
    various state law claims. The defendants argue that
    these claims were abandoned when the Scrap Dealers
    attempted to certify a class for the federal antitrust
    claims but not for the state claims. But no inference of
    abandonment should flow from a limited request for a
    class action; to the contrary, FED. R. CIV. P. 23(c)(4)(A)
    specifically recognizes that “an action may be brought
    or maintained as a class action with respect to particular
    issues.” It would be entirely consistent with the rule to
    seek certification on issues governed by federal law,
    44       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    while declining to do so for more particularized state law
    issues. Nevertheless, the fact remains that we have dis-
    missed all of the Scrap Dealers’ federal claims against
    Sumitomo and Global. Since the Scrap Dealers have
    asserted no independent basis for federal subject matter
    jurisdiction, it is entirely appropriate to dismiss the
    state law claims, though without prejudice. See 28 U.S.C.
    § 1367(c)(3); Oates v. Discovery Zone, 
    116 F.3d 1161
    , 1173
    n.12 (7th Cir. 1997).
    B. Issue Preclusion: JPMorgan Chase
    The district court dismissed the Scrap Dealers’ claims
    against JPMorgan Chase on issue preclusion grounds. To
    prove that issue preclusion applies, the defendant must
    establish that (1) the plaintiff was fully represented in
    the prior litigation, (2) the issues to be precluded are
    identical to those in the prior litigation, (3) the issues were
    actually litigated and decided on the merits, and (4) reso-
    lution of the issue was necessary to the judgment. People
    Who Care v. Rockford Bd. of Educ., 
    68 F.3d 172
    , 178 (7th
    Cir. 1995). The Scrap Dealers’ claims against JPMorgan
    Chase arise from an alleged conspiracy between JPMorgan
    Chase and Sumitomo in which JPMorgan Chase’s metals
    desk somehow furthered the conspiracy through its own
    copper purchases on the LME. The issue the defendants
    sought to preclude, that of the Scrap Dealers’ ability to
    recover as a proper plaintiff under the antitrust laws, was
    actually litigated and decided on the merits in their suit
    against Sumitomo. That is enough to bind the Scrap
    Dealers, who have now had their day in court, with respect
    to JPMorgan Chase as well.
    The Scrap Dealers argue, however, that their day in
    court was flawed, because they did not have an opportu-
    nity to litigate these issues fully before the district
    court. Their only support for this contention is the fact
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485         45
    that the district court turned Sumitomo’s motion to dis-
    miss into a summary judgment motion without notice
    to them. As we have already noted, this action by the
    district court, while in error, did not prejudice the
    Scrap Dealers. The antitrust issues were fully litigated
    by counsel, albeit at the class certification stage. Besides
    this, the district court gave the Scrap Dealers an opportu-
    nity for a hearing prior to dismissing the JPMorgan Chase
    claims at which they were invited to bring forth any
    additional arguments that would call into question the
    district court’s prior grant of judgment to the defendants.
    The Scrap Dealers produced no new evidence at that
    time that would call into question the factual basis for
    that determination. Therefore, we affirm the district
    court’s decision to dismiss all claims brought by the Scrap
    Dealers against JPMorgan Chase on issue preclusion
    grounds.
    C. Statement of Claim Against CLR
    CLR advances one final argument in support of the
    judgment in both Viacom and Ocean View, which applies
    only to itself and not to its co-defendants. The district
    court stated in the Viacom action that, while it would not
    “address the issue in any detail,” it believed that Via-
    com had made an inadequate showing that CLR’s activ-
    ities in any way affected the prices Viacom paid for copper.
    CLR urges this as an alternate ground for affirmance.
    The procedural history of this argument is complex
    and seems to have engendered a great deal of enmity
    between the parties. The parties filed cross-motions for
    summary judgment on the standing question in the Viacom
    action. In its lengthy joint motion with Global, CLR never
    argued that its role in the conspiracy was too attenuated
    to have directly affected the Comex price. The issue was
    first raised in CLR’s response to Viacom’s cross-motion.
    46       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    Viacom, in reply, pointed to evidence in the record that
    addressed this new argument. The district court struck
    these submissions as untimely. This, however, was in
    error. Viacom had no obligation to produce specific evi-
    dence of CLR’s role to survive CLR’s motion for sum-
    mary judgment since the issue was never raised by CLR
    at that stage. Aviles v. Cornell Forge Co., 
    183 F.3d 598
    , 604-
    05 (7th Cir. 1999). Because CLR raised this argument
    in an untimely manner, the district court should not have
    considered it as a ground for summary judgment with-
    out giving Viacom “notice and a fair opportunity to pre-
    sent arguments and evidence in response.” 
    Id. By strik-
    ing the materials Viacom submitted, the district court
    denied just that opportunity. Of course, since we are
    remanding this case on other grounds, the issue may
    resurface again after further discovery. At that point,
    considering all evidence in the record, the district court
    may properly evaluate—after considering all record evi-
    dence—whether either Viacom or Ocean View has pre-
    sented enough to connect CLR to any violation of the
    antitrust laws. For the foregoing reasons, we also deny
    CLR’s motion to strike.
    D. Aiding and Abetting: JPMorgan Chase
    Another minor issue crops up only in Ocean View, but
    it too can be disposed of easily. JPMorgan Chase asserts
    that the district court incorrectly denied its motion to dis-
    miss on the ground that the complaint failed to state a
    claim against it because it only aided and abetted the
    conspiracy between Sumitomo and Global. But Ocean View
    is not attempting to state an “aiding and abetting” case. Its
    allegation is that JPMorgan Chase was a participant in the
    conspiracy to manipulate the copper market. To state such
    a claim, Ocean View need only prove that JPMorgan Chase
    knew Sumitomo intended to restrain trade, intended that
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485          47
    trade be restrained, and materially contributed to that
    restraint. 7 Phillip E. Areeda, Antitrust Law: An Analysis
    of Antitrust Principles and Their Application, ¶1474a
    (1986); Poller v. Columbia Broad. Sys., Inc., 
    368 U.S. 464
    ,
    470 (1962). A broad reading of the complaint alleges this
    and more. It states that JPMorgan Chase, aware that
    Sumitomo was manipulating futures prices, provided
    services and loans at well above-market prices to finance
    and hide Sumitomo’s activities. JPMorgan Chase also
    allegedly stonewalled and lied to regulators and otherwise
    helped Sumitomo in an attempt to avoid investigations,
    all the while profiting handsomely on its deal. Of course,
    after merits discovery, it may come to pass that Ocean View
    lacks the evidence to establish any of these claims. But
    accepting the allegations as true, it is entitled to proceed.
    E. Reinstatement of Claims
    Only a few brief housekeeping matters remain. In both
    Viacom and Ocean View, the district court also granted
    the defendants summary judgment on their RICO and
    fraud claims because RICO contains rules similar to the
    Clayton Act for identifying proper plaintiffs. International
    Bhd. of 
    Teamsters, 196 F.3d at 825
    . Having found that the
    plaintiffs here may pursue their antitrust claims, the RICO
    claims must be reinstated as well. The same goes for the
    state law claims. They were dismissed without prejudice in
    Viacom only because all federal claims had dropped out of
    the case. Finally, in Ocean View, the district court dis-
    missed Ocean View’s claim under Rhode Island state law on
    the ground that Rhode Island law imposed standing re-
    quirements similar to those of federal law. Expressing no
    opinion on the merits of that determination, we note that
    since we have found that Ocean View may proceed on at
    least some of its claims under federal law, the dismissal of
    the Rhode Island claim on similar grounds must be recon-
    sidered.
    48       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    VII.
    To summarize, we MODIFY the dismissal of the state law
    claims in No. 00-3979 to reflect that this dismissal was
    without prejudice. In all other respects we AFFIRM the
    judgment of the district court. We also AFFIRM the judg-
    ment in No. 01-1148. On the other hand, we find that
    Viacom, Emerson, and Ocean View are not indirect pur-
    chasers under Illinois Brick, and their injury is direct,
    predictable, and unlikely to produce duplicate recovery
    or speculative damages. Therefore, in Nos. 01-3229, 01-
    3230, and 01-3485, we REVERSE the judgment of the dis-
    trict court and REMAND for further proceedings.
    CUDAHY, Circuit Judge, concurring in Nos. 00-3979 and
    01-1148 and concurring in the judgments in Nos. 01-3485,
    01-3229 and 01-3230. I join in the outcomes reached by
    the majority in the several cases, but I write separately
    to question the appropriateness of finding a “lockstep”
    relationship between the copper futures and cash mar-
    kets in the analysis of the claims of Viacom, Emerson
    and Ocean View.
    The analysis and outcome in Sanner (which relied on the
    allegations of a complaint, not a summary judgment rec-
    ord) were based on the thesis that the futures market and
    the cash market tended to move in “lockstep.” Thus, the re-
    lationship of futures prices of soybeans on the Chicago
    Board of Trade and the cash price of soybeans to be real-
    ized by farmers could be assumed to be simple, direct
    and absolutely predictable. “The futures market and
    the cash market for soybeans are . . . ‘so closely related’
    that the distinction between them is of no consequence
    Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485         49
    to antitrust standing 
    analysis.” 62 F.3d at 929
    . Based
    on the complaint, there could be no question that a given
    manipulation of the futures market produced a precisely
    proportionate consequence in the cash market.
    This is hardly the case with the Comex and the market
    for physical copper. Even though the majority attempts
    to minimize the departures from a fully direct relation-
    ship between the futures and the physicals market (and
    takes issue with the more critical analysis of these rela-
    tionships by the district court), under either view “lock-
    step” becomes more a slogan than a fact. And, of course, it
    was the existence of a “lockstep” relation that apparently
    excused Sanner from the strictures of Illinois Brick v.
    Illinois, 
    431 U.S. 720
    (1977) and squared it with Associ-
    ated General Contractors of California, Inc. v. California
    State Council of Carpenters, 
    459 U.S. 519
    (1983). The
    existence, in the case before us, of a negotiable premium
    (or discount) as part of the price is enough in itself to
    remove this relationship from the “lockstep” category.
    And, if the language of Kansas v. Utilicorp United, Inc.,
    
    497 U.S. 199
    , 216 (1990) about the undesirability of ex-
    ceptions to Illinois Brick were to be applied here, the
    outcome might be in doubt.
    With respect to the possibility of duplicative recovery,
    Sanner is also quite distinguishable. There the plaintiff-
    farmers produced the commodity, bought none of it and
    there was no trade in any precursor raw material. Here
    the plaintiff-manufacturers bought from integrated pro-
    ducers, which purchased from others substantial quantities
    of copper cathode and pre-cathode copper raw material
    (the price of which also tended to follow the copper futures
    market).
    I believe, therefore, that the case before us, although it
    seeks to apply Sanner’s principle, may be a major step
    beyond Sanner. The outcome, however, may be justified
    50       Nos. 00-3979, 01-1148, 01-3229, 01-3230, 01-3485
    insofar as there is sufficient evidence that the defendants
    engaged in massive physical cathode transactions and
    intended to manipulate physical prices as well as futures
    prices and thus to injure purchasers such as the plain-
    tiffs. See 
    Sanner, 62 F.3d at 929
    (“even if we were to as-
    sume . . . that there is a distinction between markets that
    is relevant to antitrust standing, the farmers here have
    alleged that one of the CBOT’s objectives in adopting
    the Resolution was to prompt a price decline in the cash
    market for soybeans.”).
    A true Copy:
    Teste:
    ________________________________
    Clerk of the United States Court of
    Appeals for the Seventh Circuit
    USCA-97-C-006—9-20-02
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 00-3979

Citation Numbers: 306 F.3d 469

Judges: Per Curiam

Filed Date: 9/20/2002

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

Authorities (44)

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Harvey J. Sanner, Warren D. Jones, Also Known as Corky, H. ... , 62 F.3d 918 ( 1995 )

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Alfredo Aviles v. Cornell Forge Company , 183 F.3d 598 ( 1999 )

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