Center for Individual Freedom v. Madigan , 697 F.3d 464 ( 2012 )


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  •                               In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 11-3693
    C ENTER FOR INDIVIDUAL F REEDOM ,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    L ISA M ADIGAN, Attorney General
    of the State of Illinois et al.,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 1:10-cv-04383—William T. Hart, Judge.
    A RGUED A PRIL 10, 2012—D ECIDED S EPTEMBER 10, 2012
    Before P OSNER, R OVNER, and H AMILTON, Circuit Judges.
    H AMILTON, Circuit Judge. The Supreme Court’s decision
    in Citizens United v. FEC, 
    130 S. Ct. 876
     (2010), is best
    known for striking down as an unconstitutional restric-
    tion of free speech the federal law that bans corporations
    and labor unions from running campaign-related adver-
    tisements in the lead-up to an election. That holding
    largely overshadowed another part of the decision up-
    2                                                     No. 11-3693
    holding the same law’s campaign finance disclosure
    provisions. Those provisions require any outside entity
    or individual spending significant sums in a federal
    election to file reports with the Federal Election Com-
    mission (FEC) identifying the person or group making
    the expenditure, its amount, and the names of certain
    contributors. Describing disclosure requirements as a
    “less restrictive alternative to more comprehensive reg-
    ulations of speech,” the Citizens United Court wrote
    that “prompt disclosure of expenditures can provide
    shareholders and citizens with the information needed
    to hold corporations and elected officials accountable
    for their positions and supporters. . . . The First Amend-
    ment protects political speech; and disclosure permits
    citizens and shareholders to react to the speech of corpo-
    rate entities in a proper way.” 
    Id. at 916
    . Despite this
    holding, in the aftermath of Citizens United a number
    of suits have been filed challenging federal and state
    disclosure regulations as facially unconstitutional. Of
    the federal courts of appeals that have decided these
    cases, every one has upheld the disclosure regulations
    against the facial attacks.1
    1
    See National Org. for Marriage, Inc. v. Sec’y, No. 11-14193, 
    2012 WL 1758607
    , at *1 (11th Cir. May 17, 2012) (unpublished
    opinion) (rejecting facial and as-applied challenge to Florida
    disclosure laws); The Real Truth About Abortion, Inc. v. FEC, 
    681 F.3d 544
    , 546 (4th Cir. 2012) (rejecting facial and as-applied
    challenge to FEC disclosure regulations pursuant to Federal
    Election Campaign Act); Family PAC v. McKenna, 
    685 F.3d 800
    ,
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3693                                                      3
    This case involves another such challenge. Plaintiff-
    appellant Center for Individual Freedom (the Center)
    seeks to invalidate Illinois disclosure requirements on
    the grounds that they are facially vague and overbroad
    restrictions of speech in violation of the First and Four-
    teenth Amendments. Illinois’s disclosure law is modeled
    on the federal one. It requires groups and individuals that
    accept “contributions,” make “expenditures,” or sponsor
    “electioneering communications” in excess of $3,000 to
    make regular financial disclosures to the State Board of
    Elections. See 10 ILCS 5/9-1.8. The Illinois Election Code
    drew the key definitions of “contribution,” “expenditure,”
    1
    (...continued)
    811 (9th Cir. 2012) (rejecting facial challenge to Washington
    disclosure laws); National Org. for Marriage v. McKee, 
    649 F.3d 34
    ,
    41 (1st Cir. 2011) (rejecting facial challenge to Maine disclosure
    laws); Human Life of Wash. Inc. v. Brumsickle, 
    624 F.3d 990
    , 994-95
    (9th Cir. 2010) (rejecting facial challenge to Washington disclo-
    sure laws); see also Speechnow.org v. FEC, 
    599 F.3d 686
    , 696-98
    (D.C. Cir. 2010) (upholding federal disclosure requirements
    as applied to unincorporated nonprofit association that was
    required by the FEC to register as a political committee). But cf.
    Sampson v. Buescher, 
    625 F.3d 1247
    , 1249 (10th Cir. 2010) (invali-
    dating Colorado campaign finance disclosure requirements
    as applied to neighborhood group that had raised less than
    $1,000 to oppose annexation); New Mexico Youth Organized v.
    Herrera, 
    611 F.3d 669
    , 671 (10th Cir. 2010) (invalidating New
    Mexico disclosure requirements as applied to two nonprofit
    organizations “formed for the purpose of educating young
    New Mexicans about issues such as healthcare, clean elections,
    the economy and the environment”).
    4                                               No. 11-3693
    and “electioneering communication” from federal law.
    The only substantive differences are that the Illinois
    disclosure requirements (1) cover election activity relating
    to ballot initiatives, which have no federal analog; (2) do
    not exempt from regulation those groups that lack the
    “major purpose” of influencing electoral campaigns; and
    (3) cover campaign-related advertisements that appear
    on the Internet. The Center argues that these differences,
    and a few other terms in the Illinois statute, render
    its disclosure regime unconstitutionally vague and
    overbroad on its face.
    To prevail in such a facial challenge, a plaintiff must
    cross a high bar. A statute is facially overbroad only
    when “it prohibits a substantial amount of protected
    speech,” United States v. Williams, 
    553 U.S. 285
    , 292 (2008),
    and unconstitutionally vague only when its “deterrent
    effect on legitimate expression is . . . both real and sub-
    stantial.” Young v. American Mini Theatres, Inc., 
    427 U.S. 50
    , 60 (1976) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The district court granted the state’s motion to dismiss,
    finding that the Center could not meet these standards.
    We affirm.
    I. Factual and Procedural Background
    The Center is a Virginia-based § 501(c)(4) nonprofit
    organization whose stated mission is “to protect and
    defend individual freedoms and individual rights guaran-
    teed by the U.S. Constitution.” To that end, it broad-
    casts advertisements, maintains a website, publishes a
    weekly e-mail newsletter, produces a bi-weekly radio
    No. 11-3693                                                   5
    show, and engages in other forms of mass media com-
    munications. Its tax exempt status under § 501(c)(4) is
    incompatible with partisan political activity, so the
    Center cannot endorse candidates or urge the public to
    “vote for so-and-so.” But apart from a need to avoid
    such “express advocacy,” in the lingo of campaign
    finance law, the Center and other § 501(c)(4) groups
    enjoy fairly wide latitude from the IRS. During election
    seasons, the Center runs advertisements that refer to
    the positions of candidates or to ballot issues and call
    on the audience to take actions such as contacting candi-
    dates.2
    The Center wished to engage in similar advocacy
    during the 2010 elections in Illinois and made plans to
    address “legal reform and other justice-related issues” in
    2
    In one TV spot, for instance, the Center criticized West
    Virginia Attorney General Darrell McGraw during his 2008
    reelection campaign:
    Announcer: They say you can’t teach an old dog new tricks.
    Twenty-eight years of controversy and Darrell McGraw
    is at it again, spending $10 million from a settlement meant
    to help workers and the elderly — instead, divvying it up
    between his trial lawyer buddies and a fund only
    controlled by McGraw. The Wheeling Intelligencer said,
    “Legislators should have put a leash on McGraw long ago.”
    But they say you can’t teach an old dog new tricks. Call
    Darrell McGraw. Tell him to return the people’s money.
    Dkt. No. 73; CFIF Launches Public Education Effort in W. Va.,
    Youtube, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPMwR2gMNTE
    (last visited Aug. 29, 2012).
    6                                               No. 11-3693
    advertisements referring to incumbent officeholders
    who were candidates. But the Center feared that Illinois’s
    newly-amended campaign finance laws would require it
    to register as a “political committee” and to disclose
    its election-related expenditures and its significant con-
    tributors. According to the Center, its donors require
    assurances that their identities will not be disclosed, and
    this anonymity is a condition of their support. The
    Center says it had no choice but to forbear from its
    Illinois “issue advocacy” in 2010, so its political speech
    was chilled by Illinois’s disclosure laws.
    These laws are codified in Article 9 of the Illinois Elec-
    tion Code. Article 9 is long and filled with the jargon
    of contemporary U.S. campaign finance law — “election-
    eering communications,” “independent expenditures,”
    etc. — which we detail in Part IV of this opinion. But
    Article 9’s basic provisions are fairly easy to summarize.
    Each political committee in Illinois must register with
    the Board of Elections, maintain records of every con-
    tribution received and expenditure made “in connec-
    tion with” an election, 10 ILCS 5/9-7, and file a report of
    all such transactions each quarter, 10 ILCS 5/9-10(b).
    This quarterly report must include the total sums
    of contributions received and expenditures made in
    the covered period; accountings of the committee’s funds
    on-hand and investment assets held; and the name
    and address of each contributor who gave more than
    $150 that quarter. 10 ILCS 5/9-11(a). In addition to the
    quarterly report, a political committee must disclose
    any contribution of $1,000 or more (along with the
    name and address of the contributor) within five days of
    No. 11-3693                                                   7
    its receipt, or within two days if received 30 or fewer days
    before an election. 10 ILCS 5/9-10(c). For reporting viola-
    tions, the Board may issue civil fines of no more than
    $5,000 for any one group (except in the case of “willful
    and wanton” violations), or seek to enjoin violators’
    campaign activities in state court. 10 ILCS 5/9-10.3
    Candidates’ campaign organizations and political
    parties of course must register as political committees.
    10 ILCS 5/9-1.8(b), (c). But so too must outside groups
    and private individuals if, within any 12-month period,
    they accept contributions or make expenditures in
    excess of $3,000 “on behalf of or in opposition to” any
    candidate or ballot question. 10 ILCS 5/9-1.8(d), (e). Any
    entity other than a natural person must also register as
    a political committee if it makes “independent expendi-
    tures” of more than $3,000 within one year. 10 ILCS 5/9-
    8.6(b). Illinois has largely borrowed from federal law
    its definition of “electioneering communication,” which
    means a radio, television, or Internet broadcast that
    (1) refers to a “clearly identified” candidate, political
    party, or ballot issue; (2) is made within two months of
    a general election or one month of a primary election,
    (3) is “targeted to the relevant electorate,” and (4) is
    3
    The Board or any political committee may also seek injunc-
    tive relief in state court to compel compliance with Board
    orders or to enjoin an offending committee’s operations. 10 ILCS
    5/9-23, 5/9-24. Filing false or incomplete information in a
    campaign finance report may also constitute a “business
    offense” under the Criminal Code punishable by criminal fine
    of up to $5,000. See 10 ILCS 5/9-26.
    8                                                   No. 11-3693
    unambiguously an “appeal to vote” for or against a
    candidate, party, or ballot issue. 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14.4
    Funds spent on electioneering communications that are
    coordinated with a political committee are treated as
    contributions to that committee, while uncoordinated
    electioneering communications are considered independ-
    ent expenditures. See 10 ILCS 5/9-1.15.
    The Center argues that five of Article 9’s definitions —
    “electioneering communications,” “political committee,”
    “contribution,” “expenditure,” and “independent expendi-
    ture” — are facially vague and overbroad. In July 2010,
    the Center brought suit against the Illinois Attorney
    General and members of the Illinois State Board of Elec-
    tions in their official capacities, see Ex parte Young, 
    209 U.S. 123
     (1908), seeking to invalidate and enjoin Article 9’s
    disclosure requirements as unconstitutional restrictions
    of free speech. After the district court denied the
    Center’s motion for a preliminary injunction, 
    735 F. Supp. 2d 994
     (N.D. Ill. 2010), and this court denied
    its request for an injunction pending appeal, the Center’s
    appeal was dismissed by agreement without prejudice.
    In January 2011, the Center filed an amended complaint
    containing the same allegations but taking into account
    changes to Article 9 that took effect on January 1, 2011.
    The state moved to dismiss, and the Center moved for
    4
    Article 9 expressly excludes from this definition any “news
    story, commentary, or editorial distributed through the
    facilities of any legitimate news organization.” 10 ILCS 5/9-
    1.14(b)(1). The Center does not challenge the reach or applicabil-
    ity of this exemption.
    No. 11-3693                                                  9
    summary judgment. The parties did not dispute any
    material facts. The district court denied the Center’s
    motion for summary judgment and granted the state’s
    motion to dismiss. This appeal followed.
    II. Standing
    We begin, as we must, with the state’s argument that
    the Center lacks standing to bring a constitutional chal-
    lenge against Article 9. Although the state did not raise
    this issue in the district court, standing is a jurisdictional
    requirement that is not subject to waiver. United States
    v. Hays, 
    515 U.S. 737
    , 742 (1995); National Org. for Women,
    Inc. v. Scheidler, 
    510 U.S. 249
    , 255 (1994).
    The standing requirement of Article III is part of the
    restriction of the federal judicial power to “Cases” and
    “Controversies.” U.S. Const. art. III, § 2; Arizona Christian
    School Tuition Org. v. Winn, 
    131 S. Ct. 1436
    , 1441-42 (2011).
    Constitutional standing imposes three core requirements:
    First, the plaintiff must have suffered an “injury in
    fact “— an invasion of a legally protected interest
    which is (a) concrete and particularized, and
    (b) “actual or imminent, not ‘conjectural’ or ‘hypotheti-
    cal.’ ” Second, there must be a causal connection
    between the injury and the conduct complained of —
    the injury has to be “fairly . . . trace[able] to the chal-
    lenged action of the defendant, and not . . . th[e] result
    [of] the independent action of some third party not
    before the court.” Third, it must be “likely,” as op-
    posed to merely “speculative,” that the injury will
    be “redressed by a favorable decision.”
    10                                                  No. 11-3693
    
    Id. at 1442
    , quoting Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 
    504 U.S. 555
    , 560-61 (1992).
    On appeal, the state contends that the Center lacks
    standing because it has neither been subject to any past
    regulation — it has not been ordered to register as a
    political committee, threatened with sanctions, or named
    in a Board complaint — nor “demonstrate[d] any proba-
    bility that its speech will trigger Article 9’s registration
    and reporting requirements” in the future. We construe
    this argument as a challenge to the Center’s injury-in-
    fact showing. (The state does not question whether the
    traceability and redressability prongs are satisfied here.)
    It is well settled that pre-enforcement challenges to
    government regulations can be Article III cases or contro-
    versies. Bandt v. Village of Winnetka, 
    612 F.3d 647
    , 649
    (7th Cir. 2010). A plaintiff “does not have to await the
    consummation of threatened injury to obtain preventive
    relief.” Babbitt v. United Farm Workers Nat’l Union,
    
    442 U.S. 289
    , 298 (1979), quoting Pennsylvania v. West
    Virginia, 
    262 U.S. 553
    , 593 (1923). To satisfy the in-
    jury-in-fact requirement in a pre-enforcement challenge,
    the plaintiff must show only that she faces “a realistic
    danger of sustaining a direct injury as a result of the
    statute’s operation or enforcement.” Id.5
    5
    See also ACLU of Illinois v. Alvarez, 
    679 F.3d 583
    , 590-91 (7th
    Cir. 2012) (“To satisfy the injury-in-fact requirement in a
    preenforcement action, the plaintiff must show ‘an intention
    to engage in a course of conduct arguably affected with a
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3693                                                       11
    The injury-in-fact standard is often satisfied in pre-
    enforcement challenges to limitations on speech. The
    Supreme Court has recognized “self-censorship” as a
    distinct “harm that can be realized even without an
    actual prosecution.” Virginia v. American Booksellers Ass’n,
    
    484 U.S. 383
    , 393 (1988).6 The chilling of protected speech
    may thus alone qualify as a cognizable Article III
    injury, provided the plaintiffs “have alleged an actual
    and well-founded fear that the law will be enforced
    against them.” 
    Id.
    The Center has made this showing. It has a history
    of broadcasting messages concerning public policy and
    political candidates across the United States. It has alleged
    that while it wishes to engage in similar advocacy in
    Illinois, it has curtailed its speech because it fears being
    (...continued)
    constitutional interest, but proscribed by a statute, and
    [that] there exists a credible threat of prosecution thereunder.’ ”),
    quoting Babbitt, 
    442 U.S. at 298
    .
    6
    See also Dombrowski v. Pfister, 
    380 U.S. 479
    , 486-87 (1965)
    (“Because of the sensitive nature of constitutionally protected
    expression, we have not required that all of those subject to
    overbroad regulations risk prosecution to test their rights. For
    free expression of transcendent value to all society, and not
    merely to those exercising their rights — might be the loser. . . .
    We have fashioned . . . exception[s] to the usual rules gov-
    erning standing . . . because of the danger of tolerating, in the
    area of First Amendment freedoms, the existence of a penal
    statute susceptible of sweeping and improper application.”)
    (internal citations and quotation marks omitted).
    12                                              No. 11-3693
    regulated as a political committee. The Center’s President
    submitted an affidavit stating that but for Article 9,
    his organization would have spoken out during the
    2010 Illinois elections using “the typical form of issue
    ad,” that “[f]unding was available,” and that its “wish
    to speak in Illinois remained live.” The Center’s
    standard issue advertisements are run during election
    season, identify an issue of public policy, give concrete
    examples to “illustrate the policy” using candidates
    with whom the public is familiar, and call on the
    audience to take some “action other than voting, e.g.
    contacting named candidates and encouraging them
    to continue or embrace the policy.” The Center’s typical
    issue ads meet enough of the statutory elements to
    qualify, at least arguably, as electioneering communica-
    tions under Illinois law, and the Center would easily
    pass the $3,000 registration threshold. The Center’s self-
    censorship was based on an objectively reasonable,
    “actual[,] and well-founded fear that the law will be
    enforced against” it. American Booksellers, 
    484 U.S. at 393
    .
    The state asserts that Wisconsin Right to Life, Inc. v.
    Paradise, 
    138 F.3d 1183
     (7th Cir. 1998), shows that the
    Center lacks a sufficiently well-founded fear of being
    subject to regulation. In that case, we held that the
    plaintiff did not have standing to challenge Wisconsin’s
    political committee registration requirements because
    successive advisory opinions of the Wisconsin Attorney
    General and regulations promulgated by the state
    election board already established that the definition of
    political committee did not apply to groups like the
    plaintiff. 
    Id. at 1185
    . These formal determinations by
    No. 11-3693                                                    13
    the state authorities meant that the plaintiff’s fear of
    prosecution under the law was not “objectively ‘well-
    founded,’ ” 
    id.,
     quoting American Booksellers, 
    484 U.S. at 393
    ,
    that the lawsuit was an attempt “to resolve a con-
    troversy that has not yet arisen and may never arise,”id.
    at 1187-88, and that the plaintiff therefore lacked standing.7
    This case is quite different for there has been no
    determination by any Illinois official that the Center and
    other such groups do not qualify as political committees
    under Article 9. The named defendants are the Illinois
    Attorney General and members of the Board of Elections.
    They have not denied that the Center’s past out-of-state
    “issue ads” could qualify as electioneering communica-
    tions under the Illinois disclosure laws. Unlike Paradise,
    there is a sufficiently realistic possibility that the Center
    would be subject to Article 9’s registration and reporting
    requirements if it engages in the type of political
    advocacy it often does and wishes to in Illinois. That is
    7
    Technically, the Paradise holding was on the redressability
    prong rather than the injury-in-fact prong of the standing rule.
    The only real potential threat of injury to the plaintiff came
    from private actors, whom the Wisconsin statute empowered
    to bring enforcement suits in state court against unregistered
    organizations that ran illegal campaign advertising. A
    potential injury from a decision by a state court in private
    litigation was not redressable by a federal court order
    because a state court is not required to accept an inferior
    federal court’s determination that a statute is unconstitu-
    tionally overbroad. We therefore held that the third prong
    of Article III standing (redressability) was not met. Id. at 1187.
    14                                               No. 11-3693
    enough to establish that the Center has an objectively
    reasonable fear of being subject to Illinois’s registration
    and reporting requirements if it engages in its intended
    speech, and that the Center chose to avoid those
    alleged burdens. “Such self-censorship in the face of
    possible legal repercussions suffices to show Article III
    injury.” National Org. for Marriage v. McKee, 
    649 F.3d 34
    , 48-
    49 (1st Cir. 2011) (finding that nonprofit group had stand-
    ing to challenge state disclosure laws in pre-enforce-
    ment action); accord, Human Life of Wash. Inc. v. Brumsickle,
    
    624 F.3d 990
    , 1001 (9th Cir. 2010) (same). We find that
    the Center has Article III standing to challenge the con-
    stitutionality of Illinois’s disclosure law.
    III. Scope of Review: Facial Challenge
    Next we must clarify the scope of the legal challenge
    before us. The Center describes its suit as both a facial and
    an as-applied challenge, arguing that Article 9 is uncon-
    stitutionally vague and overbroad “both facially and as
    applied to independent issue advocacy groups such
    as CFIF.” It is true that facial challenges and as-applied
    challenges can overlap conceptually. See Doe v. Reed, 
    130 S. Ct. 2811
    , 2817 (2010) (acknowledging that plaintiffs’
    claim “has characteristics of both” as-applied and facial
    challenge); Richard Fallon, As-Applied and Facial Challenges
    and Third-Party Standing, 
    113 Harv. L. Rev. 1321
    , 1341
    (2000) (“[F]acial challenges are less categorically distinct
    from as-applied challenges than is often thought.”). But
    there is a difference: Where the “claim and the relief that
    would follow . . . reach beyond the particular circum-
    No. 11-3693                                                15
    stances of the[] plaintiffs,” “[t]hey must . . . satisfy [the]
    standards for a facial challenge to the extent of that reach.”
    Doe v. Reed, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2817
     (2010).
    This is not a case where a group has actually engaged
    in a particular form of speech that is subject to regulation
    and seeks to challenge the applicability of the law to
    itself and other groups who have engaged in similar
    expressive activity. Cf. FEC v. Wisconsin Right to Life,
    
    551 U.S. 449
     (2007) (as-applied challenge to federal statute
    banning electioneering communications brought by
    advocacy group that had run TV advertisements it
    believed would be covered by the statute if group con-
    tinued to run them during 60-day pre-election blackout
    period). Here, the Center has not broadcast any communi-
    cations in Illinois, so it would be impossible for this
    court to fashion a remedy tailored to its own particular
    speech activities and those of similar groups, for we
    have only a general idea of what its hypothetical broad-
    casts would say. The Center has not laid the foundation
    for an as-applied challenge here. We analyze its claims
    under the standards governing facial challenges.
    Those standards set a high bar. In reversing a decision
    striking down a state election law in a facial challenge,
    the Supreme Court explained:
    Facial challenges are disfavored for several reasons.
    Claims of facial invalidity often rest on speculation.
    As a consequence, they raise the risk of premature
    interpretation of statutes on the basis of factually
    barebones records. Facial challenges also run contrary
    to the fundamental principle of judicial restraint
    16                                                 No. 11-3693
    that courts should neither “’anticipate a question of
    constitutional law in advance of the necessity of
    deciding it’ ” nor “formulate a rule of constitutional
    law broader than is required by the precise facts to
    which it is to be applied.” Ashwander v. TVA, 
    297 U.S. 288
    , 347 (1936) (Brandeis, J., concurring). Finally,
    facial challenges threaten to short circuit the demo-
    cratic process by preventing laws embodying the
    will of the people from being implemented in a
    manner consistent with the Constitution.
    Washington State Grange v. Wash. State Republican Party,
    
    552 U.S. 442
    , 450-51 (2008) (some citations, brackets, and
    internal quotation marks omitted). In determining whether
    a law is unconstitutional on its face, then, “we must
    be careful not to go beyond the statute’s facial require-
    ments and speculate about ‘hypothetical’ or ‘imaginary’
    cases.” 
    Id. at 450
    , citing United States v. Raines, 
    362 U.S. 17
    ,
    22 (1960). With these principles in view, we turn to the
    merits of the Center’s facial challenge to Article 9. We
    review de novo the district court’s treatment of the con-
    stitutional questions presented. E.g., Anderson v. Milwaukee
    County, 
    433 F.3d 975
    , 978 (7th Cir. 2006).
    IV. Overbreadth and Void-for-Vagueness Claims
    The Supreme Court has recognized a particular type
    of facial challenge in the First Amendment context
    under which a law may be struck down entirely as
    impermissibly overbroad. Under this overbreadth
    doctrine, “a statute is facially invalid if it prohibits a
    No. 11-3693                                                     17
    substantial amount of protected speech.” United States v.
    Williams, 
    553 U.S. 285
    , 292 (2008). The overbreadth doctrine
    is “’strong medicine’ ” that should be “employed . . . with
    hesitation, and then ‘only as a last resort.’ ” New York v.
    Ferber, 
    458 U.S. 747
    , 769 (1982), quoting Broadrick v.
    Oklahoma, 
    413 U.S. 601
    , 613 (1973). Accordingly, courts
    “vigorously enforce[ ] the requirement that a statute’s
    overbreadth be substantial, not only in an absolute
    sense, but also relative to the statute’s plainly legitimate
    sweep.” Williams, 
    553 U.S. at 292
    .
    Since its seminal modern campaign finance decision
    in Buckley v. Valeo, 
    424 U.S. 1
    , 19 (1976), the Supreme
    Court has consistently distinguished between laws that
    restrict the amount of money a person or group can
    spend on political communication and laws that simply
    require disclosure of information by those who spend
    substantial sums on political speech affecting elections.8
    8
    See, e.g., Citizens United, 
    130 S. Ct. 876
     (striking down federal
    ban on electioneering communications by corporations and
    labor unions but upholding disclosure requirements as applied
    to such entities); McConnell v. FEC, 
    540 U.S. 93
     (2003) (striking
    down federal ban on political donations by minors but up-
    holding law’s disclosure provisions), overruled in part on
    other grounds, Citizens United, 
    130 S. Ct. at 913
    ; FEC v. Massachu-
    setts Citizens for Life, 
    479 U.S. 238
    , 262 (1986) (striking down
    requirement that corporations set up segregated fund for
    independent expenditures in connection with any federal
    election as applied to nonprofit advocacy group while
    pointing approvingly to “disclosure provisions” that will
    (continued...)
    18                                                   No. 11-3693
    Unlike contribution and expenditure limits, disclosure
    laws “impose no ceiling on campaign-related activities,”
    id. at 64, and “do not prevent anyone from speaking.”
    Citizens United, 
    130 S. Ct. at 914
    , quoting McConnell v.
    FEC, 
    540 U.S. 93
    , 124 (2003), overruled in part on other
    grounds, Citizens United, 
    130 S. Ct. at 913
    . Disclosure
    laws are thus a “less restrictive alternative to more com-
    prehensive regulations of speech.” Citizens United,
    
    130 S. Ct. at 915
    . For that reason, the Court does not
    subject disclosure requirements to the same standard of
    (...continued)
    “provide precisely the information necessary to monitor
    MCFL’s independent spending activity and its receipt of
    contributions”); Citizens Against Rent Control v. City of Berkeley,
    
    454 U.S. 290
    , 298 (1981) (striking down ordinance capping
    contributions to ballot initiative committees while noting
    that the ordinance’s disclosure requirements were alone
    adequate to fulfill the city’s informational interest in knowing
    “whose money supports or opposes a given ballot measure”);
    First National Bank of Boston v. Bellotti, 
    435 U.S. 765
    , 790 n.29
    (1978) (striking down Massachusetts law prohibiting corpora-
    tions from making contributions or expenditures to influence
    the outcome of initiatives and referenda but noting: “Identifica-
    tion of the source of advertising may be required as a means
    of disclosure, so that the people will be able to evaluate
    the arguments to which they are being subjected.”); Buckley,
    
    424 U.S. at 68
     (invalidating federal expenditure limits
    but upholding disclosure requirements, which “certainly in
    most applications appear to be the least restrictive means of
    curbing the evils of campaign ignorance and corruption
    that Congress found to exist”).
    No. 11-3693                                                      19
    strict scrutiny that applies to contribution and expendi-
    ture limits but rather to “exacting scrutiny,” which
    requires only “a ‘substantial relation’ between the dis-
    closure requirement and a ‘sufficiently important’ gov-
    ernmental interest.” Citizens United, 130 S. Ct. at 914,
    quoting Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 64, 66
    .9 We apply exacting
    scrutiny to the Center’s facial challenges to Article 9,
    examining whether the disclosure requirements are
    substantially related to a sufficiently important govern-
    mental interest.
    In this case, the state interest at stake is that of
    “provid[ing] the electorate with information as to
    where political campaign money comes from and how it
    is spent.” Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 66
     (internal quotation
    marks omitted). This “informational interest” is suf-
    ficiently important to support disclosure requirements.
    See, e.g., 
    id. at 66-67
    . In Buckley, the Court recognized
    that campaign finance disclosure was a critical tool for
    maintaining transparency in the political marketplace:
    “In a republic where the people are sovereign, the
    ability of the citizenry to make informed choices among
    candidates for office is essential, for the identities of those
    9
    See also Doe v. Reed, 
    130 S. Ct. 2811
    , 2818 (2010) (“We have a
    series of precedents considering First Amendment challenges
    to disclosure requirements in the electoral context. These
    precedents have reviewed such challenges under what has
    been termed ‘exacting scrutiny.’ ”); Buckley v. American Con-
    stitutional Law Foundation, Inc., 
    525 U.S. 182
    , 202 (1999) (“’exact-
    ing scrutiny’ is necessary when compelled disclosure of cam-
    paign-related payments is at issue”).
    20                                              No. 11-3693
    who are elected will inevitably shape the course that
    we follow as a nation.” Id. at 14-15.1 0 Disclosure require-
    ments advance the public’s interest in information
    by “allow[ing] voters to place each candidate in the
    political spectrum more precisely than is often possible
    solely on the basis of party labels and campaign
    speeches.” Id. at 67. By revealing “the sources of a candi-
    date’s financial support,” disclosure laws “alert the
    voter to the interests to which a candidate is most likely
    to be responsive and thus facilitate predictions of future
    performance in office.” Id.
    The Supreme Court has repeatedly recognized this
    informational interest and the unique role that disclosure
    plays in furthering it.1 1 Our court, too, has acknowledged
    the importance of disclosure regulations in providing
    “additional information useful to the consumer” of politi-
    cal messaging. Majors v. Abell, 
    361 F.3d 349
    , 352 (7th Cir.
    2004). In Majors, we upheld an Indiana law requiring
    political ads to identify the persons who paid for them:
    The avidity with which candidates for public office
    seek endorsements is evidence (as if any were needed)
    10
    See also Letter from James Madison to W.T. Barry (Aug. 4,
    1822), in 9 Writings of James Madison 103 (Gaillard Hunt, ed.
    1910) (“A popular Government, without popular information, or
    the means of acquiring it, is but a prologue to a Farce or a
    Tragedy; or perhaps, both. Knowledge will forever govern
    ignorance: And a people who means to be their own Governors,
    must arm themselves with the power which knowledge gives.”).
    11
    See, e.g., cases cited above in note 8.
    No. 11-3693                                                     21
    that the identity of a candidate’s supporters — and
    opponents — is information that the voting public
    values highly. In areas of inquiry where logic or
    exact observation is unavailing, a speaker’s credibility
    often depends crucially on who he is. As Aristotle
    said, “persuasion is achieved by the speaker’s
    personal character when the speech is so spoken as
    to make us think him credible. We believe good men
    more fully and more readily than others: this is true
    generally whatever the question is, and absolutely
    true where exact certainty is impossible and
    opinions are divided.”
    
    Id.,
     quoting Aristotle, Rhetoric, in 2 The Complete Works
    of Aristotle 2152, 2155 (Jonathan Barnes ed. 1984); see also
    Abrams v. United States, 
    250 U.S. 616
    , 630 (Holmes, J.,
    dissenting) (“Of course, the identity of the source is
    helpful to evaluating ideas.”). We agree that this is a
    sufficiently important governmental interest to support
    Illinois’s disclosure requirements, and we proceed
    below under the exacting-scrutiny framework to examine
    whether there is a substantial relation between
    Illinois’s informational interest and the features of
    Article 9 that the Center contends are overbroad.1 2
    12
    The state also invokes two other interests in support of Article
    9, stating that disclosure laws both prevent corruption and its
    appearance and enable enforcement of other campaign
    finance laws, such as those imposing dollar limits on direct
    contributions to campaigns. Buckley recognized that disclosure
    requirements can advance these substantial interests, as
    (continued...)
    22                                                  No. 11-3693
    Before doing so, however, we briefly describe the Cen-
    ter’s alternative theory, that certain provisions of Article 9
    are unconstitutionally vague. Like the overbreadth doc-
    trine, the void-for-vagueness doctrine protects against
    the ills of a law that “fails to provide a person of ordinary
    intelligence fair notice of what is prohibited, or is so
    standardless that it authorizes or encourages seriously
    discriminatory enforcement.” FCC v. Fox Television
    Stations, Inc., 
    132 S. Ct. 2307
    , 2317 (2012), quoting
    Williams, 
    553 U.S. at 304
    . The “vagueness doctrine ad-
    dresses at least two connected but discrete due process
    concerns: first, that regulated parties should know what
    is required of them so they may act accordingly;
    second, precision and guidance are necessary so that
    those enforcing the law do not act in an arbitrary or
    discriminatory way.” 
    Id.,
     citing Grayned v. City of
    Rockford, 
    408 U.S. 104
    , 108-09 (1972). In cases where the
    “statute abuts upon sensitive areas of basic First Amend-
    ment freedoms,” Grayned, 
    408 U.S. at 108-09
     (brackets
    omitted), “rigorous adherence to those requirements is
    (...continued)
    well. See 
    424 U.S. at 67-68
     (concluding that “disclosure require-
    ments deter actual corruption and avoid the appearance of
    corruption by exposing large contributions and expenditures
    to the light of publicity” and that “recordkeeping, reporting, and
    disclosure requirements are an essential means of gathering
    the data necessary to detect violations of the contribution
    limitations described above”). Because the informational
    interest is sufficient to support Illinois’s laws, we do not
    reach whether these other interests also support Article 9.
    No. 11-3693                                                    23
    necessary to ensure that ambiguity does not chill pro-
    tected speech.” Fox Television Stations, 
    132 S. Ct. at 2317
    .
    Even under the heightened standard for the First Amend-
    ment, though, the potential chilling effect on protected
    expression must be both “real and substantial” to invali-
    date a statute as void for vagueness in a facial challenge.
    Erznoznik v. City of Jacksonville, 
    422 U.S. 205
    , 216 (1975).
    In addition, a “plaintiff who engages in some conduct
    that is clearly proscribed cannot complain of the vague-
    ness of the law as applied to the conduct of others.” Village
    of Hoffman Estates v. Flipside, Hoffman Estates, 
    455 U.S. 489
    , 495 (1982).
    In sum, both the vagueness and overbreadth questions
    involve the same preliminary inquiry into whether the
    statute will have a substantial effect on constitutionally
    protected activity: “In a facial challenge to the over-
    breadth and vagueness of a law, a court’s first task is
    to determine whether the enactment reaches a sub-
    stantial amount of constitutionally protected conduct.”
    Flipside, 
    455 U.S. at 494
     (footnote omitted). If it does not,
    then under either theory the facial challenge must fail.
    In the First Amendment context, vagueness and over-
    breadth are two sides of the same coin, and the two sorts
    of challenges are often conceived of as “alternative and
    often overlapping” theories for relief on the same claim.
    Jordan v. Pugh, 
    425 F.3d 820
    , 827 (10th Cir. 2005)
    (McConnell, J.).13
    13
    See also Kolender v. Lawson, 
    461 U.S. 352
    , 359 n.8 (1983) (“[W]e
    have traditionally viewed vagueness and overbreadth as
    (continued...)
    24                                                     No. 11-3693
    The Center has presented its overbreadth and
    vagueness claims as one undifferentiated argument,
    asserting that Article 9’s provisions are both “vague and
    overbroad.” This is not unusual, see Human Life, 624 F.3d
    at 1020, and does not call for criticism. This case does not
    require us to parse fine distinctions between the two
    theories. Whether the argument is styled as overbreadth
    or vagueness, the central question in this facial challenge
    is whether the provisions at issue potentially reach a
    “substantial” amount of protected speech.
    Campaign finance disclosure requirements have
    existed at the federal level since 1910. See Campaign
    Expenses Publicity Act of 1910, Pub. L. No. 274, 
    36 Stat. 822
    . The modern federal disclosure regime was part of the
    (...continued)
    logically related and similar doctrines.”); Entertainment Produc-
    tions, Inc. v. Shelby Cnty., 
    588 F.3d 372
    , 379 (6th Cir. 2009) (“When
    a law implicates First Amendment freedoms, vagueness poses
    the same risk as overbreadth, as vague laws may chill citizens
    from exercising their protected rights.”); Richard H. Fallon, Jr.,
    Making Sense of Overbreadth, 
    100 Yale L.J. 853
    , 904 (1991) (“First
    Amendment vagueness doctrine — as distinct from ordinary
    or non-First Amendment vagueness doctrine — is best conceptu-
    alized as a subpart of First Amendment overbreadth doctrine.”);
    Note, The First Amendment Overbreadth Doctrine, 
    83 Harv. L. Rev. 844
    , 873 (1970) (“when the Supreme Court has spoken
    of the facial vagueness of statutes touching first amendment
    rights, it has seldom if ever been referring to a constitu-
    tional vice different from the latent vagueness of an over-
    broad law”).
    No. 11-3693                                              25
    Federal Election Campaign Act of 1971 (FECA), Pub. L.
    No. 92-225, 
    86 Stat. 3
    , as amended by the Bipartisan
    Campaign Reform Act of 2002 (BCRA), Pub. L. No. 107-155,
    
    116 Stat. 81
     (2002) (codified as amended at 
    2 U.S.C. §§ 431
    -
    34). Because the Supreme Court has upheld FECA’s
    disclosure requirements, we need not invent the wheel
    in this case. Instead, we identify the ways in which Illi-
    nois’s disclosure law is broader or more vague than
    FECA and then consider whether each difference is
    constitutionally permissible. Article 9 differs from fed-
    eral disclosure provisions in two significant respects.
    First, Article 9 extends the disclosure of expenditures
    and contributions to ballot initiative campaigns. Second,
    Article 9 regulates as a political committee any organiza-
    tion that exceeds the dollar-limit spending thresholds,
    while under federal law only those groups with the
    “major purpose” of influencing elections must register as
    political committees. In addition to these substan-
    tive differences, Article 9’s definitions of several key
    terms — “electioneering communication,” “expenditure,”
    “contribution,” and “independent expenditure” — differ
    slightly from their federal law analogs. We first
    analyze the two broader questions on ballot initiatives
    and the major-purpose test before turning to the
    statutory details.
    A. Disclosures for Ballot Issue Campaigns
    1. Contributions and Expenditures
    In Illinois, individuals and groups must register as
    “ballot initiative committees” when they accept contribu-
    26                                                  No. 11-3693
    tions or make expenditures in support of or in opposition
    to any question of public policy in amounts exceeding
    $3,000 in a 12-month period. 10 ILCS 5/9-1.8(e). Federal
    law does not provide for ballot initiatives and referenda,
    so FECA contains no corresponding requirements. The
    issue here is whether this additional feature of Article 9’s
    disclosure regime is substantially related to Illinois’s
    interest in maintaining an informed electorate.
    Educating voters is at least as important, if not more
    so, in the context of initiatives and referenda as in candi-
    date elections. In direct democracy, where citizens are
    “responsible for taking positions on some of the day’s
    most contentious and technical issues, ‘[v]oters act as
    legislators,’ while ‘interest groups and individuals ad-
    vocating a measure’s defeat or passage act as lobbyists.’ ”
    Human Life, 624 F.3d at 1006, quoting California Pro-Life
    Council, Inc. v. Getman, 
    328 F.3d 1088
    , 1105 (9th Cir. 2003);
    see also Doe v. Reed, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2833
     (Scalia, J., concurring)
    (“When a . . . voter signs a referendum petition . . ., he
    is acting as a legislator.”). In an initiative campaign,
    “average citizens are subjected to advertising blitzes of
    distortion and half-truths and are left to figure out for
    themselves which interest groups pose the greatest
    threats to their self-interest.” Human Life, 624 F.3d at 1006,
    quoting David S. Broder, Democracy Derailed: Initiative
    Campaigns and the Power of Money 18 (2000). Because
    the issues can be complex and the public debate con-
    fusing, voters’ interest in knowing the source of messages
    promoting or opposing ballot measures is especially
    salient in such campaigns.
    No. 11-3693                                                 27
    Disclosure laws are substantially related to the public’s
    interest in information during ballot initiative cam-
    paigns. Research shows that one of the most useful heuris-
    tic cues influencing voter behavior in initiatives
    and referenda is knowing who favors or opposes a mea-
    sure. See Elizabeth Garret & Daniel A. Smith, Veiled
    Political Actors and Campaign Disclosure Laws in Direct
    Democracy, 4 Election L.J. 295, 296-98 (2005); Michael S.
    Kang, Democratizing Direct Democracy: Restoring Voter
    Competence Through Heuristic Cues and “Disclosure Plus”, 
    50 UCLA L. Rev. 1141
    ,1157 (2003). 1 4 Because nominally
    independent political operations can hide behind “mis-
    leading names to conceal their identity,” McConnell, 
    540 U.S. at 128
    , often only disclosure of the sources of their
    14
    A classic study of voting on insurance-related ballot
    initiatives compared three groups of voters: (1) voters who
    knew nothing about the initiatives’ details but knew the
    insurance industry’s preference, (2) highly informed voters
    who consistently gave correct answers to detailed questions
    about the subject matter, and (3) voters who knew nothing
    about the ballot question or about the insurance industry’s
    preferences. The first two groups of voters demonstrated
    similar voting patterns, while the third group that was com-
    pletely in the dark had very different voting patterns. The
    study author concluded that the position of an economic group
    with known preferences on an issue can serve as an effective
    shortcut for ordinary voters, substituting for encyclopedic
    information about the electoral choice. See Arthur Lupia,
    Shortcuts Versus Encyclopedias: Information and Voting Behavior
    in California Insurance Reform Elections, 88 Am. Pol. Sci. Rev.
    63, 71-72 (1994).
    28                                                 No. 11-3693
    funding may enable the electorate to ascertain the identi-
    ties of the real speakers. See Citizens Against Rent Control
    v. City of Berkeley, 
    454 U.S. 290
    , 298 (1981) (in ballot mea-
    sure campaigns, “when individuals or corporations
    speak through committees, they often adopt seductive
    names that tend to conceal the true identity of the
    source”).15
    The Supreme Court long ago approved Congress’s
    authority to require federal lobbyists to make financial
    disclosures because “full realization of the American
    ideal of government by elected representatives depends
    to no small extent on [Congress’s] ability to properly
    evaluate [the] pressures” to which it is regularly sub-
    jected. See United States v. Harriss, 
    347 U.S. 612
    , 625 (1954).
    15
    The McConnell Court gave examples of a few such stealthily-
    named groups, including “Citizens for Better Medicare,” which
    “was not a grassroots organization of citizens, as its name
    might suggest, but was instead a platform for an association of
    drug manufacturers.” 
    540 U.S. at 128
    . Since the rise of the
    super PAC in the wake of Citizens United, the use of nondescript
    names by PACs acting as proxies for specific candidates has
    become commonplace. From their names alone, who could
    guess that “Priorities USA Action” and “Restore Our Future”
    were each formed to support one of the major candidates for
    president this year? Or that “Americans for a Better Tomorrow,
    Tomorrow” is a super PAC formed by political satirist
    Stephen Colbert to mock the current state of American
    campaign finance law? See Colbert Super PAC SHH! — 501c4
    Disclosure, The Colbert Report (Apr. 3, 2012), available at
    http://www.colbertnation.com/the-colbert-report-videos/4116
    73/april-03-2012/colbert-super-pac-shh----501c4-disclosure.
    No. 11-3693                                                29
    For the same reasons, when Illinois citizens “act[ ] as
    legislators” during initiative campaigns, see Doe v.
    Reed, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2833
     (Scalia, J., concurring in the judg-
    ment), the State requires those who “attempt to influence
    legislation” being considered on the ballot to disclose
    a “modicum of information from those who for hire
    attempt to influence legislation or who collect or spend
    funds for that purpose” — namely, “who is putting up
    the money, and how much.” See Harriss, 
    347 U.S. at 625
    .
    This “enables the electorate to make informed decisions
    and give proper weight to different speakers and mes-
    sages.” Citizens United, 
    130 S. Ct. at 916
    . Such regulation
    is substantially related to Illinois’s interest in preserving
    an informed electorate. Accord, Family PAC v. McKenna,
    685 F.3d at 811; Human Life, 624 F.3d at 1008.
    Although the Supreme Court has not directly passed
    on state disclosure requirements for ballot initiatives, it
    has discussed such laws approvingly. See Citizens
    Against Rent Control v. City of Berkeley, 
    454 U.S. at 298
    (striking down cap on contributions but noting that law’s
    disclosure requirements adequately fulfilled need for
    information in ballot measure contests); First Nat’l Bank
    of Boston v. Bellotti, 
    435 U.S. 765
    , 792 n.32 (1978) (striking
    down state law prohibiting corporate contributions or
    expenditures to influence referenda: “Identification of the
    source of advertising may be required as a means of
    disclosure, so that the people will be able to evaluate the
    arguments to which they are being subjected.”); Buckley v.
    American Constitutional Law Foundation, Inc., 
    525 U.S. 182
    ,
    202-03 (1999) (striking down state law requiring propo-
    nents of initiatives to report the names, addresses, and
    30                                                No. 11-3693
    earnings of all paid circulators, who had to wear name
    badges while gathering signatures; disclosure require-
    ments remained in effect to aid voters in evaluating
    messages). These three cases strongly suggest that disclo-
    sure laws are substantially related to the state’s infor-
    mational interest in the context of ballot initiative cam-
    paigns.
    To be sure, requiring disclosure in the ballot initiative
    context may burden First Amendment rights in two
    ways. First, disclosure requirements may deter contribu-
    tions or expenditures by some individuals and groups
    who would prefer to remain anonymous. See Buckley v.
    Valeo, 
    424 U.S. at 68
    . Second, “disclosure requirements
    can chill donations to an organization by exposing donors
    to retaliation.” Citizens United, 
    130 S. Ct. at 916
    ; see, e.g.,
    Brown v. Socialist Workers ‘74 Campaign Comm. (Ohio), 
    459 U.S. 87
    , 100 (1982) (First Amendment prohibits states
    from compelling disclosures of campaign finance infor-
    mation from minor political party where there is a “rea-
    sonable probability” that identified persons would be
    subject to “threats, harassment, and reprisals”).
    On the record in this facial challenge, however, we
    must treat these burdens as modest. “[D]isclosure re-
    quirements may burden the ability to speak, but they
    impose no ceiling on campaign-related activities, and do
    not prevent anyone from speaking.” Citizens United,
    
    130 S. Ct. at 914
     (citations and internal quotation marks
    omitted). The burden of public identification may
    foreclose application of disclosure laws to individual
    pamphleteers, see McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Comm’n, 514
    No. 11-3693                                               
    31 U.S. 334
     (1995), or small neighborhood groups that raise
    less than $1000, see Sampson v. Buescher, 
    625 F.3d 1247
     (10th
    Cir. 2010), for in these cases the state’s interest in dis-
    seminating such information to voters is at a low ebb. See
    McIntyre, 514 U.S. at 348-49. Here, however, the Center
    is a far cry from the lone pamphleteer in McIntyre,
    and its broad “interest in anonymity” does not justify
    invalidating disclosure laws in a facial challenge
    brought by a national political advocacy organization
    that seeks to use the mass media in Illinois to spread its
    political messages on a broad scale. That is exactly the
    sort of campaign-related advertising about which
    Illinois has a substantial interest in providing informa-
    tion to its public.
    Similarly, the record in this facial challenge does
    not support any prospect of retaliation that could bar
    application of Article 9. In Doe v. Reed, the Supreme
    Court upheld the constitutionality of a state law that
    allowed for public disclosure of petition signers’ names
    and addresses. The Court held that disclosure of the
    names and addresses of petition signers would not ordi-
    narily create a “reasonable probability” that they would
    be harassed. 130 S. Ct. at 2820-21, quoting Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 74
    . The same result applies here. The Center has
    “provided us scant evidence or argument,” id. at 2821,
    beyond bare speculation, that Article 9 would be at all
    likely to precipitate “threats, harassment, or reprisals”
    against it or other similarly situated advocacy groups.
    See Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 74
    .
    Article 9’s application to contributions and expenditures
    related to ballot initiatives is substantially related to
    32                                                  No. 11-3693
    Illinois’s strong interest in maintaining an informed
    electorate, and this interest strongly outweighs any bur-
    dens on protected speech, at least in the absence of
    facts that might be offered in support of a much
    narrower as-applied challenge.1 6
    2. Electioneering Communications on Ballot Issues
    Article 9 also requires groups to register as ballot initia-
    tive committees when they spend more than $3,000
    on electioneering communications that advocate for or
    against ballot issues. 10 ILCS 5/9-1.8(e). This provision
    likewise advances the state’s interest in ensuring voters
    are informed about ballot initiatives. The Center argues
    that the requirement imposes significant burdens on
    speakers because the definition of electioneering com-
    munication does not adequately distinguish ballot initia-
    tive campaign advocacy from pure issue discussion.
    The Center’s argument relies principally on two
    Supreme Court cases — Buckley v. Valeo and FEC v. Wis-
    consin Right to Life, Inc., 
    551 U.S. 449
     (2007). The Buckley
    Court upheld all of the disclosure and reporting require-
    ments in FECA. To avoid the regulation of pure “issue
    discussion,” though, the Court placed a narrowing con-
    struction on the term “expenditure” “to reach only
    funds used for communications that expressly advocate
    the election or defeat of a clearly identified candidate.”
    16
    The failure of the Center’s “broad based challenge does not
    foreclose success” on a future as-applied challenge to Article 9.
    See Doe, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2821
    .
    No. 11-3693                                                   33
    Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 80
     (footnote omitted) (emphasis
    added). This was the genesis of a distinction Buckley
    had earlier drawn in the context of independent ex-
    penditures between issue discussion and express advo-
    cacy. The latter, the Court said, would typically involve the
    use of unequivocal words and phrases “such as ‘vote
    for,’ ‘elect,’ ‘support,’ ‘cast your ballot for, ‘Smith for
    Congress,’ . . . ‘defeat,’ ‘reject’ ”— a list that has come to be
    known as Buckley’s “magic words.” 
    Id.
     at 44 n.52. For many
    years the Court adhered to the distinction, but it repeatedly
    emphasized that “the express advocacy limitation . . . was
    the product of statutory interpretation rather than a con-
    stitutional command.” McConnell, 
    540 U.S. at 191-92
    ; see
    also Wisconsin Right to Life, 
    551 U.S. at
    475 n.71 (principal
    opinion of Roberts, C.J.) (reiterating that Buckley’s
    “magic words” definition “does not dictate a constitu-
    tional test” and the “express advocacy restriction was
    an endpoint of statutory interpretation, not a first
    principle of constitutional law”).
    In Wisconsin Right to Life, the Supreme Court’s lead
    opinion held that the federal ban on corporate and labor
    disbursements for campaign-related broadcasts could
    be applied only to advertisements that were “express
    advocacy” or its “functional equivalent.” 
    551 U.S. at 465
    ,
    citing McConnell, 
    540 U.S. at 206
    . A broadcast is the
    “functional equivalent of express advocacy only if the
    ad is susceptible of no reasonable interpretation other
    than as an appeal to vote for or against a specific candi-
    date.” Id. at 469-70. While “[c]ourts need not ignore
    basic background information that may be necessary to
    put an ad in context,” id. at 474 , “there generally should
    34                                               No. 11-3693
    be no discovery or inquiry into the sort of contextual
    factors” that would go to either the speaker’s “subjective”
    intent or the likely “effect” of the ad on the electorate,
    id. at 474 n.7. The Center contends that Article 9’s defini-
    tion of electioneering communication is inconsistent
    with Buckley and Wisconsin Right to Life because it
    considers whether a broadcast refers to a “clearly
    identified question of public policy that will appear on
    the ballot.” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14. The Center calls this “an
    intent-or-effect standard that requires a judgment as
    to how a listener will understand speech,” since the
    public discussion of certain policy issues could be con-
    sidered discussion of a ballot question.
    For two reasons, we disagree. First, Citizens United
    made clear that the wooden distinction between express
    advocacy and issue discussion does not apply in the
    disclosure context.
    In Citizens United, which came after Wisconsin Right to
    Life, the Court explicitly rejected the plaintiff’s attempt to
    graft the express advocacy/issue discussion dichotomy
    onto the constitutional law of campaign finance disclo-
    sure. 130 S. Ct. at 915. The Court reaffirmed that
    disclosure is a less restrictive alternative to more compre-
    hensive regulations of speech. In Buckley, the Court
    upheld a disclosure requirement for independent expen-
    ditures even though it invalidated a provision that
    imposed a ceiling on those expenditures. In McConnell,
    three Justices who would have found § 441b to be
    unconstitutional nonetheless voted to uphold BCRA’s
    disclosure and disclaimer requirements. And the Court
    No. 11-3693                                                     35
    has upheld registration and disclosure requirements
    on lobbyists, even though Congress has no power to
    ban lobbying itself. For these reasons, we reject Citizens
    United’s contention that the disclosure requirements
    must be limited to speech that is the functional equiva-
    lent of express advocacy.
    Id. at 915 (citations omitted). Accordingly, mandatory
    disclosure requirements are constitutionally permissible
    even if ads contain no direct candidate advocacy and
    “only pertain to a commercial transaction.” Id. at 915.
    Whatever the status of the express advocacy/issue dis-
    cussion distinction may be in other areas of campaign
    finance law, Citizens United left no doubt that disclosure
    requirements need not hew to it to survive First Amend-
    ment scrutiny. With just one exception, every circuit
    that has reviewed First Amendment challenges to dis-
    closure requirements since Citizens United has concluded
    that such laws may constitutionally cover more than
    just express advocacy and its functional equivalents, and
    in each case the court upheld the law.1 7
    17
    See National Org. for Marriage, Inc. v. Sec’y, No. 11-14193, 
    2012 WL 1758607
    , at *1 (11th Cir. May 17, 2012) (unpublished
    opinion); The Real Truth About Abortion, Inc. v. FEC, 
    681 F.3d 544
    ,
    551-52 (4th Cir. 2012); National Org. for Marriage v. McKee, 
    649 F.3d 34
    , 54-55 (1st Cir. 2011); Human Life of Wash. Inc. v.
    Brumsickle, 
    624 F.3d 990
    , 1016 (9th Cir. 2010). The exception is
    the Tenth Circuit. In Sampson v. Buescher, 
    625 F.3d 1247
     (10th
    Cir. 2010), the court struck down disclosure requirements as
    applied to a neighborhood group that had raised less than
    (continued...)
    36                                                 No. 11-3693
    Second, even if disclosure requirements were constitu-
    tionally applicable only to express advocacy and its
    functional equivalent, Illinois’s definition of “electioneer-
    ing communication” is limited by language nearly
    identical to that used in Wisconsin Right to Life to define
    the functional equivalent of express advocacy. Compare
    10 ILCS 5/9-1.14 (the broadcast must be “susceptible to
    no reasonable interpretation other than as an appeal to
    vote for or against a clearly identified candidate, . . . a
    political party, or a question of public policy that will
    appear on the ballot”), with Wisconsin Right to Life, 
    551 U.S. at 669-70
     (principal opinion) (“a court should find
    that an ad is the functional equivalent of express
    advocacy only if the ad is susceptible of no reasonable
    interpretation other than as an appeal to vote for or
    against a specific candidate”). Moreover, Article 9’s
    (...continued)
    $1,000 to oppose annexation. In New Mexico Youth Organized
    v. Herrera, 
    611 F.3d 669
    , 677 n.4 (10th Cir. 2010), the court
    invalidated state disclosure requirements as applied to a
    nonprofit because it believed “that for a regulation of
    campaign related speech to be constitutional it must be unam-
    biguously campaign related.” Herrera was decided and argued
    after Citizens United, but briefing had been completed prior
    to the Supreme Court’s decision. The only reference to Citizens
    United was a brief statement in a footnote that “[a]lthough that
    opinion left many issues unresolved, we believe that require-
    ment — that for a regulation of campaign related speech to be
    constitutional it must be unambiguously campaign related
    standard [sic] — as it pertains to this case has not been
    changed.” 
    Id.
     at 677 n.4.
    No. 11-3693                                                   37
    definition tracks BCRA’s in every respect, as each is
    limited by the same five factors: (1) by medium,1 8 (2) by
    total amount spent,1 9 (3) temporally,2 0 (4) geographically,2 1
    and (5) by content.2 2 Although there are some dif-
    ferences with the federal statute’s definition, which we
    consider below in Section IV.C, the point is that Article 9
    is carefully drawn to track a definition already approved
    by the Supreme Court in Wisconsin Right to Life. Even
    if disclosure requirements could reach only so far as
    express advocacy or its functional equivalent, on its
    face, Article 9 regulates no more than that and so is not
    facially overbroad.
    18
    Compare 
    2 U.S.C. § 434
    (f)(3)(A) (“any broadcast, cable or
    satellite communication”), with 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14(a) (“any
    broadcast, cable, or satellite communication, including radio,
    television, or Internet communication”).
    19
    Compare 
    2 U.S.C. § 434
    (f) ($10,000 triggers reporting require-
    ments), with 10 ILCS 5/9-8.6 ($3,000 triggers reporting require-
    ments).
    20
    Compare 
    2 U.S.C. § 434
    (f)(3)(A)(i)(II) (appears within 60 days
    of a general election or 30 days of a primary), with 10 ILCS 5/9-
    1.14(a)(2) (same).
    21
    Compare 
    2 U.S.C. § 434
    (f)(3)(A)(i)(III) ( “is targeted to the
    relevant electorate” ), with 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14(a)(3) (same).
    22
    Compare 
    2 U.S.C. § 434
    (f)(3)(A)(i)(I) (“refers to a clearly
    identified candidate”), with 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14(a)(1) (“refers to a
    clearly identified candidate,” “political party,” or “question
    of public policy that will appear on the ballot”) (numbering
    omitted).
    38                                              No. 11-3693
    3. Vagueness
    The Center’s final concern about Article 9’s regulation
    of ballot initiative activity is that it is triggered by con-
    tributions or expenditures received or made “with
    the purpose of securing a place on the ballot for, [or]
    advocating the defeat or passage of” any ballot initiative,
    “regardless of whether petitions have been circulated
    or filed with the appropriate office or whether the
    question has been adopted and certified by the
    governing body.” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.8(e). The Center first
    argues that the “in support of or in opposition to”
    language is vague. In McConnell, however, the Court
    found that very similar language was not unconstitu-
    tionally vague. See 
    540 U.S. at
    170 n.64 (“The words ‘pro-
    mote,’ ‘oppose,’ ‘attack,’ and ‘support’ clearly set forth
    the confines within which potential party speakers
    must act in order to avoid triggering the provision. These
    words ‘provide explicit standards for those who apply
    them’ and ‘give the person of ordinary intelligence a
    reasonable opportunity to know what is prohibited.’ ”),
    quoting Grayned v. City of Rockford, 
    408 U.S. 104
    , 108-09
    (1972). This part of McConnell remains valid after Citizens
    United, and it forecloses the Center’s argument that
    subsection 1.8(e)’s support/opposition language is uncon-
    stitutionally vague. Accord, National Org. for Marriage,
    
    649 F.3d at 62-64
     (rejecting vagueness challenge to
    terms “promoting,” “support,” and “opposition”).
    The Center also contends that the definition is vague
    because it could apply to advocacy on any issue that
    might one day become the subject of a ballot initiative,
    No. 11-3693                                                   39
    and the statute “provides no guidance . . . for determining
    when such a policy issue becomes a regulated ‘question
    of public policy.’ ” For example, a group might spend
    $3,000 producing an ad that denounces high sales taxes,
    only to find six months later that a sales tax cut will be
    on the ballot as an initiative. The Center argues that
    under Article 9, that group might be found to have
    violated the statute if it failed to register as a ballot initia-
    tive committee and make required disclosures.
    Courts do not decide facial challenges on the basis
    of such speculative hypotheticals. As the district court
    observed, campaign-related broadcasts are considered
    electioneering communications only when they are made
    within 60 days of a general election or 30 days of a pri-
    mary, “at which point it would already be known if an
    initiative is on the ballot.” As for expenditures that are
    not for electioneering communications (for example,
    glossy mailers, bumper stickers, buttons, and other cam-
    paign paraphernalia), Article 9’s definition of “ballot
    initiative committee” is quite plainly aimed at regulating
    groups that are either campaigning in favor of or
    against actual ballot measures or actively advocating or
    opposing placing a specific question on the ballot. We
    have no reason to suppose the Board would construe or
    enforce the provision more expansively, so we cannot
    say that the definition of ballot initiative committee is
    substantially overbroad in relation to its plainly legitimate
    sweep, see United States v. Stevens, 
    130 S. Ct. 1577
    , 1587
    (2010), or that its “deterrent effect on legitimate expres-
    sion is . . . both real and substantial.” Young v. American
    Mini Theatres, Inc., 
    427 U.S. 50
    , 60 (1976). Illinois’s regula-
    40                                              No. 11-3693
    tion of expenditures for, contributions to, and electioneer-
    ing communications about ballot initiative campaigns
    is not facially overbroad or vague.
    B. Definition of Political Committee: The “Major Purpose”
    Test
    The Center argues that Illinois’s disclosure requirements
    are vague and overbroad because they regulate as
    political committees groups that do not have as their
    “major purpose” the election of a candidate. Recall that
    outside groups are required to register as political com-
    mittees if within a 12-month period they make or receive
    more than $3,000 worth of contributions, expenditures,
    or independent expenditures for electioneering com-
    munications. See 10 ILCS 5/9-1.8, 5/9-8.6(b). The Center
    contends that Supreme Court precedent strictly cabins
    regulation of political committees to organizations that
    are “under the control of a candidate” or whose
    “major purpose” is “the nomination or election of a
    candidate.” Article 9’s political committee provision
    covers additional entities, and thus, the Center contends,
    the provision is fatally overbroad. We disagree.
    Like the express advocacy/issue discussion distinction,
    the Center’s proposed major purpose test also has its
    origins in Buckley. The Buckley Court reviewed FECA’s
    reporting requirements on political committees, which
    the statute defined as “any committee, club, association,
    or other group of persons which receives contributions
    or makes expenditures during a calendar year in an
    aggregate amount exceeding $1,000.” Buckley, 424 U.S. at
    No. 11-3693                                                41
    79 n.105, quoting 
    2 U.S.C. § 431
    (d) (current version at
    § 431(4)(A)). A parallel provision of FECA defined “contri-
    bution” and “expenditure” as the “use of money or other
    valuable assets ‘for the purpose of . . . influencing’ the
    nomination or election of candidates for federal office.” Id.
    at 77, quoting 
    2 U.S.C. § 431
    (e), (f) (current version at
    § 431(8), (9)). In the context of this definition, the Court
    concluded that the disclosure requirements could
    present “vagueness problems, for ‘political committee’ is
    defined only in terms of amount of annual ‘contributions’
    and ‘expenditures,’ and could be interpreted to reach
    groups engaged purely in issue discussion.” Id. at 79. To
    avoid these line-drawing problems, the Court construed
    the term political committee more narrowly:
    To fulfill the purposes of the Act, [political committees]
    need only encompass organizations that are under
    the control of a candidate or the major purpose of which
    is the nomination or election of a candidate. Expendi-
    tures of candidates and of “political committees” so
    construed can be assumed to fall within the core
    area sought to be addressed by Congress. They are,
    by definition, campaign related.
    Id. (emphasis added). The Court has referred to this
    narrowing construction in subsequent opinions. See, e.g.,
    McConnell, 
    540 U.S. at
    170 n.64; FEC v. Massachusetts
    Citizens for Life, 
    479 U.S. 238
    , 252 n.6 (1986) (plurality
    opinion). The Center draws from this the conclusion
    that the First Amendment imposes a bright-line prohibi-
    tion against applying disclosure requirements to a
    group whose “major purpose” is other than the nomina-
    tion or election of candidates.
    42                                                   No. 11-3693
    The argument reads Buckley too broadly. First, as is
    clear from the quoted portion, the “major purpose”
    limitation, like the express advocacy/issue discussion
    distinction, was a creature of statutory interpretation,
    not constitutional command. See National Org. for
    Marriage, 
    649 F.3d at 59
     (“We find no reason to believe
    that this so-called ‘major purpose’ test, like the other
    narrowing constructions adopted in Buckley, is anything
    more than an artifact of the Court’s construction of a
    federal statute.”); Human Life, 624 F.3d at 1009-10
    (“Buckley’s statement . . . does not indicate that an entity
    must have that major purpose to be deemed constitution-
    ally a political committee.”).2 3 Buckley’s limiting construc-
    tion was drawn for the statute before it, and the
    Supreme Court has never applied a “major purpose” test
    to a state’s regulation of political committees. See National
    Org. for Marriage, 
    649 F.3d at 59
    .
    23
    See also Vermont Right to Life Committee, Inc. v.
    Sorrell, ___ F. Supp. 2d ___, 
    2012 WL 2370445
    , at *15 (D. Vt. 2012)
    (upholding Vermont campaign finance disclosure laws and
    concluding that the “major purpose limiting construction was
    the product of a vague statute, not of the First Amendment”).
    But see New Mexico Youth Organized v. Herrera, 
    611 F.3d 669
    , 677-
    78 (10th Cir. 2010) (invalidating state disclosure law as
    applied to organization because it did not “satisfy the ‘major
    purpose’ test,” which “sets the lower bounds for when regula-
    tion as a political committee is constitutionally permissible”);
    North Carolina Right to Life, Inc. v. Leake, 
    525 F.3d 274
     (4th Cir.
    2008) (concluding before Citizens United that state disclosure
    law violated the First Amendment because “an entity must
    have ‘the major purpose’ of supporting or opposing a can-
    didate to be designated a political committee”).
    No. 11-3693                                                   43
    For four reasons, we do not think this limitation
    extends to Illinois’s disclosure requirements. First, when
    Buckley was decided, political committees faced much
    greater burdens under FECA’s 1974 amendments than
    Illinois’s disclosure requirements impose. For instance,
    FECA then included hard limits on the size of contribu-
    tions to political committees, and on how much they
    could contribute to other political committees. See
    Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 35
    .2 4 When regulation as a political
    committee entails adherence to these and other more
    burdensome requirements, there is more room to argue
    that the major purpose test might be needed under the
    First Amendment than when the law imposes only dis-
    closure obligations. For instance, the Supreme Court
    in Massachusetts Citizens for Life held that a federal law
    prohibiting corporations from making independent
    expenditures except through segregated funds was uncon-
    stitutional as applied to a nonprofit political advocacy
    organization, but the Court expressly acknowledged
    that the organization could be required to comply with
    FECA’s disclosure regime. See 
    479 U.S. at 262
     (“These
    24
    In Illinois’s 2009 amendments to its campaign finance law,
    the legislature imposed hard limits on the amount political
    committees could accept from any one individual, entity, or
    other political committee. 10 ILCS 5/9-8.5(d). These limits
    went into effect in January 2011 but were invalidated as uncon-
    stitutional as applied to non-candidate, non-political party
    “political action committees.” See Personal PAC v. McGuffage, ___
    F. Supp. 2d __, 
    2012 WL 850744
     (N.D. Ill. March 13, 2012).
    The state did not appeal.
    44                                              No. 11-3693
    reporting obligations provide precisely the information
    necessary to monitor MCFL’s independent spending
    activity and its receipt of contributions. The state
    interest in disclosure therefore can be met in a manner
    less restrictive than imposing the full panoply of regula-
    tions that accompany status as a political committee
    under the Act.”). Massachusetts Citizens for Life shows
    that there is nothing constitutionally magical about being
    labeled as a political committee; what matters are the
    burdens that attend the classification.
    Second, Article 9 defines political committee more
    narrowly than FECA by covering only groups that accept
    contributions or make expenditures “on behalf of or in
    opposition to” a candidate or ballot initiative. This defini-
    tion is more targeted to campaign-related speech than
    FECA’s definition of contribution and expenditure,
    which applies to anything of value given or received
    “for the purpose of . . . influencing” an election. 
    2 U.S.C. § 431
    (8), (9). Again, in McConnell, the Court held that
    similar language (words such as “’promote,’ ‘oppose,’
    ‘attack,’ and ‘support’ ”) “provide[d] explicit standards”
    and was not vague. See 
    540 U.S. at
    170 n.64. The Illinois
    limit of “on behalf of or in opposition to” confines
    the realm of regulated activity to expenditures and con-
    tributions within the core area of genuinely campaign-
    related transactions.
    Third, as the First Circuit noted in upholding Maine’s
    campaign finance disclosure law, application of the major
    purpose test would “yield perverse results.” “[A] small
    group with the major purpose of electing a . . . state
    No. 11-3693                                                   45
    representative that spends [$3,000] for ads could be
    required to register” as a political committee, while a
    “mega-group that spends $1,500,000 to defeat the same
    candidate,” but spends far more on non-campaign-
    related activities, “would not have to register because
    the defeat of that candidate could not be considered the
    [mega-group’s] major purpose.” National Org. for Marriage,
    
    649 F.3d at 59
    , quoting National Org. for Marriage v. McKee,
    723 F. Supp. 2d at 264; see also Vermont Right to Life Com-
    mittee, ___ F. Supp. 2d at __, 
    2012 WL 2370445
    , at *16
    (noting the “peculiar results” the major purpose test
    would produce inasmuch as “a group that spends $1.5 MM
    of a total of $6 MM on promoting candidates probably
    would not qualify, but one that spends $1500 of a total
    budget of $2000 probably would”).
    Fourth, limiting disclosure requirements to groups
    with the major purpose of influencing elections would
    allow even those very groups to circumvent the law with
    ease. Any organization dedicated primarily to electing
    candidates or promoting ballot measures could easily
    dilute that major purpose by just increasing its non-
    electioneering activities or better yet by merging
    with a sympathetic organization that engaged in
    activities unrelated to campaigning.2 5 It is easy to imagine
    25
    See Human Life, 624 F.3d at 1012; North Carolina Right to Life,
    
    525 F.3d at 332
     (Michael, J., dissenting) (warning that major-
    purpose standard “effectively encourages advocacy groups
    to circumvent the law by not creating political action
    committees and instead to hide their electoral advocacy from
    (continued...)
    46                                                  No. 11-3693
    how implementing the kind of major-purpose test the
    Center advances could devolve into an administrative
    nightmare. The First Amendment does not require a
    state to build such an escape hatch into reasonable disclo-
    sure laws.26 The Supreme Court has frequently warned
    of the “hard lesson of circumvention” in campaign
    finance regulation. McConnell, 
    540 U.S. at 165
    ; see also
    Citizens United, 130 S. Ct. at 912; Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 62
    . In
    political campaigns, it seems, “[m]oney, like water, will
    always find an outlet.” McConnell, 
    540 U.S. at 224
    ; see
    generally Samuel Issacharoff & Pamela S. Karlan, The
    Hydraulics of Campaign Finance Reform, 
    77 Tex. L. Rev. 1705
    (1999).27 Illinois’s disclosure provisions attempt to reduce
    (...continued)
    view by pulling it into the fold of their larger organizational
    structure”). Contra 
    id.,
     
    525 F.3d at 296
     (majority opinion)
    (rejecting dissent’s warning as “hyperbolic” and stating that
    “the dissent fails to set forth any meaningful limit on the
    consignment of our most basic political speech to layer
    upon layer of intense regulation”).
    26
    The FEC applies the “major purpose” test on a “case-by-case”
    basis, see The Real Truth About Abortion, __ F.3d at __, 
    2012 WL 2108217
    , at *1, and in practice the test appears to be quite
    complex, see Shays v. Federal Election Comm’n, 
    511 F. Supp. 2d 19
    ,
    31 (D.D.C. 2007).
    27
    At the federal level, increasingly the outlets found by cam-
    paign money are blind alleys; the hydraulics of campaign
    finance have propelled funds to pseudonymous super PACs and
    § 501(c)(4) groups. See Dan Eggen, Behind the Ads, Faceless
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3693                                                      47
    27
    (...continued)
    Donors, W ASH . P OST , Apr. 26, 2012, at A1. By one account, in the
    2010 elections less than 10% of the $75 million outside groups
    spent on electioneering communications came from entities
    that disclosed their donors. See 2010 Outside Spending,
    by Groups, Center for Responsive Politics, http://www.
    opensecrets.org/outsidespending/summ.php?disp=O (last vis-
    ited Aug. 29, 2012). And already this year, groups that do not
    disclose their donors have spent $172 million on television,
    radio, and Internet advertising. See Paul Blumenthal, ‘Dark
    Money’ Hits $172 Million in 2012 Election, Half of Independent
    Group Spending, H UFFINGTON P OST (July 29, 2012, 6:17pm),
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/29/dark-money-2012-
    election_n_1708127.html. The reason for this blind spot is that
    FEC regulations require corporations and labor organizations
    making electioneering communications to report the identities
    of donors giving at least $1,000 only when the donation “was
    made for the purpose of furthering electioneering communica-
    tions.” 
    11 C.F.R. § 104.20
    (c)(9) (emphasis added). While any
    person or entity spending at least $10,000 on electioneering
    communications must disclose their spending, unions and
    corporations need not disclose who has contributed to pay for
    these ads, “unless the donor is dumb enough specifically to
    direct the organization to use the money for a particular ad.”
    Richard L. Hasen, Show Me the Donors: What’s the Point of
    Campaign Finance Disclosure? Let’s Review, S LATE (Oct. 14, 2010),
    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2010
    /10/show_me_the_donors.html.
    A district court recently invalidated the FEC-created loophole
    as an unreasonable construction of the FECA statute. See Van
    Hollen v. FEC, __ F. Supp. 2d __, 
    2012 WL 1066717
     (D.D.C. 2012),
    (continued...)
    48                                                     No. 11-3693
    this risk of circumvention by defining political committee
    to include groups that either coordinate expenditures
    with campaigns and parties or that run ads that are
    unambiguous appeals to vote a particular way.
    In light of these considerations, the line-drawing con-
    cerns that led the Court to adopt the major purpose
    limitation for contribution and expenditure limits in
    Buckley do not control our overbreadth analysis of
    the disclosure requirements of Article 9. Instead, as the
    Supreme Court has instructed in applying exacting scru-
    tiny, our inquiry depends on whether there is a sub-
    stantial relation between Illinois’s interest in informing
    its electorate about who is speaking before an election
    and Article 9’s regulation of campaign-related spending
    by groups whose major purpose is not electoral politics.
    We find that there is.
    In Illinois, the voting “public has an interest in
    knowing who is speaking about a candidate shortly
    before an election,” Citizens United, 130 S. Ct. at 915,
    whether that speaker is a political party, a nonprofit
    27
    (...continued)
    stay pending appeal denied, No. 12-5117, 12-5118, 
    2012 WL 1758569
    (D.C. Cir. May 14, 2012) (“On the merits, intervenors fail to
    demonstrate a strong likelihood that the district court erred in
    interpreting . . . the plain text of section 201 of the Bipartisan
    Campaign Reform Act (’BCRA’), which requires that dis-
    closures ‘shall contain . . . the names . . . of all contributors who
    contributed an aggregate amount of $1,000 or more to the
    person” purchasing “electioneering communications.’ ”),
    quoting 
    2 U.S.C. § 434
    (f)(2)(F).
    No. 11-3693                                               49
    advocacy group, a for-profit corporation, a labor union,
    or an individual citizen. The need for an effective and
    comprehensive disclosure system is especially valuable
    after Citizens United, since individuals and outside
    business entities may engage in unlimited political ad-
    vertising so long as they do not coordinate tactics with
    a political campaign or political party. See Citizens
    United, 130 S. Ct. at 916 (“A campaign finance system
    that pairs corporate independent expenditures with
    effective disclosure has not existed before today. . . . With
    the advent of the Internet, prompt disclosure of expendi-
    tures can provide shareholders and citizens with the
    information needed to hold corporations and elected
    officials accountable for their positions and supporters.”).
    Already in the 2012 federal elections, outside spending
    has approached $300 million nationwide.2 8
    Amidst this cacophony of political voices — super
    PACs, corporations, unions, advocacy groups, and in-
    dividuals, not to mention the parties and candidates
    themselves — campaign finance data can help busy
    voters sift through the information and make informed
    political judgments. Transparency in campaign finance
    allows the public to weigh the “credib[ility]” of the
    speaker and thus the “persuas[iveness]” of the message,
    and that is so “generally whatever the question is,” Aris-
    totle, Rhetoric, in 2 The Complete Works of Aristotle 2152,
    28
    See Outside Spending, Center for Responsive Politics,
    http://www.opensecrets.org/outsidespending/index.php (last
    visited Aug. 29, 2012).
    50                                                 No. 11-3693
    2155 (Jonathan Barnes ed. 1984)., quoted in Majors v.
    Abell, 
    361 F.3d 349
    , 352 (7th Cir. 2004) (upholding state
    statute requiring political ads to identify sponsors).
    Such transparency helps the public hold political
    speakers accountable for making false, manipulative, or
    otherwise unseemly ads that they might otherwise run
    with impunity. As Justice Brandeis observed, “Sunlight
    is said to be the best of disinfectants; electric light the
    most efficient policeman.” Louis Brandeis, Other People’s
    Money 62 (1933), quoted in Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 67
    .
    We conclude that Article 9’s regulation as political
    committees of groups that lack the major purpose of
    influencing elections does not condemn the disclosure
    law as unconstitutionally overbroad.
    C. “Electioneering Communication”
    In addition to its two major substantive challenges to
    Article 9, the Center asserts that several other provi-
    sions are facially vague and overbroad. The first is the
    definition of “electioneering communication,” which
    applies to expenditures and contributions to determine
    whether an entity is a regulated political committee
    that must disclose its finances and donors. Illinois defines
    “electioneering communication” as:
    any broadcast, cable, or satellite communication,
    including radio, television, or Internet communication,
    that (1) refers to a clearly identified candidate . . .,
    clearly identified political party, or a clearly identified
    question of public policy that will appear on the
    No. 11-3693                                                   51
    ballot, (2) is made within 60 days before a general
    election . . . or 30 days before a primary election, (3) is
    targeted to the relevant electorate, and (4) is suscepti-
    ble to no reasonable interpretation other than as an
    appeal to vote for or against a clearly identified candi-
    date . . ., a political party, or a question of public
    policy.
    10 ILCS 5/9-1.14 (some internal numbering omitted). This
    definition is taken almost verbatim from the federal
    definition that was upheld (to the extent it triggered
    disclosure requirements) in Citizens United. Federal law
    defines “electioneering communication” as:
    any broadcast, cable, or satellite communication
    which —
    (I) refers to a clearly identified candidate for Fed-
    eral office;
    (II) is made within —
    (aa) 60 days before a general . . . election candi-
    date; or
    (bb) 30 days before a primary . . . election . . .;
    and
    (III) . . . is targeted to the relevant electorate.
    ...
    . . . [A] communication which refers to a clearly
    identified candidate for Federal office is “targeted
    to the relevant electorate” if the communication
    can be received by 50,000 or more persons —
    52                                                No. 11-3693
    . . . in the district [or state] the candidate seeks to
    represent . . . .
    
    2 U.S.C.A. § 434
    (f)(3)(A)-(C).
    The Center maintains that Article 9’s definition of
    “electioneering communication” is vague and overbroad.
    The Supreme Court has already found the federal defini-
    tion to be neither overbroad nor vague in the context of
    disclosure requirements, see, e.g., Citizens United, 130
    S. Ct. at 916, so in assessing Article 9 we focus on the
    ways in which the Illinois statute is broader or less
    precise than the federal one and then inquire whether
    each difference is constitutionally permissible.
    There are three differences between the federal and
    Article 9 definitions of “electioneering communications.”
    First, the Illinois statute covers communications related
    to ballot measure campaigns. We determined above
    that this element of Article 9 does not render the
    statute vague or overbroad, see parts IV.A.2 & .3, and do
    not repeat our analysis here. Second, Article 9 covers
    “Internet speech,” which is not regulated by the
    federal statute. Third, Illinois does not limit the phrase
    “targeted to the relevant electorate” by reference to
    minimum audience size. We now address these last
    two differences.
    1. Internet Communications
    The Center contends that Article 9’s regulation of
    certain Internet speech as electioneering communica-
    tions renders it unconstitutionally broad because
    No. 11-3693                                             53
    Internet speech, in contrast to radio and television broad-
    casts, is not confined to particular audience markets or
    moments in time. Without firm temporal or geographic
    limitations, the Center argues, Article 9 potentially
    sweeps in an untold amount of online speech that has
    nothing to do with Illinois elections. The Center notes
    that “many Internet communications” — for example,
    postings on the Center’s website, emails to the Center’s
    membership distribution lists, or messages through
    social networking sites — “are equally accessible from
    almost anywhere in the world” and may even persist
    forever in cyber-space through the use of a so-called “Way-
    Back Machine” that stores web sites even after they
    have been removed by their creators or sponsors. The
    consequence, it suggests, is that “politically-oriented
    websites around the world must review their content
    before each Illinois election to identify and remove any
    prior posting referring to someone who now is an Illinois
    candidate or something that now is an Illinois ballot
    question.” Keeping in mind that this is a facial chal-
    lenge, we are not persuaded that this prospect
    invalidates the entire law.
    First, requiring disclosure of genuinely campaign-
    related Internet communications undoubtedly advances
    Illinois’s important interest in informing its voters
    about who is speaking before an election. In recent years,
    a large and growing proportion of electioneering has
    been occurring online. In 2008, for the first time, “more
    than half the voting-age population used the internet
    to connect to the political process during an election
    54                                                  No. 11-3693
    cycle.” 2 9 That portion is almost certainly higher today. By
    one estimate, the two major parties’ presidential cam-
    paigns will spend $159 million more on web ads in
    2012 than in 2008 — a sevenfold increase. 3 0 Thanks to
    advanced Internet marketing strategies, campaigns and
    other political actors have now “acquired the technical
    capacity to target Web ads with the precision of mail or
    a door-to-door canvass.” 3 1 Campaigns, parties, and advo-
    cacy groups have increasingly turned to the Internet to
    reach the electorate with campaign messages, and
    Illinois voters have just as much a stake in knowing who
    is behind such messages as when they are broadcast
    in traditional media.
    On the other hand, we agree with the Center that
    the potential reach of Illinois’s disclosure law could be
    problematic if distant speakers were actually subject to
    regulation because their Internet postings inadvertently
    29
    Aaron Smith, The Internet’s Role in Campaign 2008 3 (Pew
    Internet & Amer. Life Project, Apr. 2009), available at
    http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1192/internet-politics-campaign-
    2008.
    30
    See Obama Outspends Romney on Online Ads, CNN
    (June 3, 2012), http://www.cnn.com/2012/06/
    03/politics/online-campaign-spending/index.html.
    31
    Sasha Issenberg, The Creepiness Factor, S LATE (Apr. 26, 2012),
    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/victory_lab/
    2012/04/web_based_political_ads_why_they_scare_the_obama_
    and_romney_campaigns.html.
    No. 11-3693                                                  55
    or obliquely coincided with the subjects of Illinois ballot
    measures. The state’s interest in informing its voters of
    the identities, financial outlays, and funding sources of
    such marginal political messengers does not rise to
    the importance the First Amendment demands. Yet the
    Center has identified no case in which the State
    Election Board has asked out-of-state speakers to
    register as political committees for disseminating emails,
    tweets, zombie web pages, or any other Internet com-
    munications that merely mentioned Illinois candidates
    or discussed issues related to Illinois ballot measures.
    Nor could the Board legally do so, for under Article 9
    Internet ads count as electioneering communications
    only when they are both “targeted to the relevant
    [Illinois] electorate” and “susceptible to no reasonable
    interpretation other than as an appeal to vote for or
    against a clearly identified candidate . . ., a political party,
    or a question of public policy.” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14. The
    Center’s notion that the Board might consider an out-of-
    state advocacy group’s web ad generally endorsing
    low taxes to be an unambiguous appeal to vote for a
    “ballot question to balance the Illinois budget” sounds far-
    fetched.
    With no evidence that the Board would actually
    construe Article 9 in this surprising way, such remote,
    hypothetical applications do not justify invalidating
    Illinois’s disclosure provisions for facial overbreadth.
    See Washington State Grange v. Wash. State Republican
    Party, 
    552 U.S. 442
    , 450 (2008) (“[W]e must be careful not
    to go beyond the statute’s facial requirements and specu-
    late about ‘hypothetical’ or ‘imaginary’ cases.”), quoting
    56                                               No. 11-3693
    United States v. Raines, 
    362 U.S. 17
    , 22 (1960); see also
    Robert Bork, The Tempting of America 169 (1990) (“Judges
    and lawyers live on the slippery slope of analogies;
    they are not supposed to ski it to the bottom.”). For a facial
    challenge to prevail, a statute’s overbreadth must be
    “substantial, not only in an absolute sense, but also
    relative to the statute’s plainly legitimate sweep.” United
    States v. Williams, 
    553 U.S. 285
    , 292 (2008). Cf. Yazoo &
    Mississippi Valley R.R. Co. v. Jackson Vinegar Co., 
    226 U.S. 217
    , 220 (1912) (“How the state court may apply
    [a statute] to other cases, whether its general words may
    be treated as more or less restrained, and how far parts
    of it may be sustained if others fail are matters upon
    which we need not speculate now.”). Neither the Board
    nor Illinois courts have had “occasion to construe the
    law in the context of actual disputes arising from the
    electoral context, or to accord the law a limiting construc-
    tion to avoid constitutional questions.” Washington State
    Grange, 
    552 U.S. at 450
    . It would be premature for this
    court to presume that the Board would disregard the
    obvious limits of the statutory text and seek to
    apply Article 9 in such a sweeping fashion.
    The Center complains that it is too difficult to know
    when an “electioneering communication” is “made” on the
    Internet. Timing is important because of the duties that
    apply during the 30-day and 60-day windows before
    elections. See 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14(a). The district court and
    the defendants assert that a communication is “made”
    on a website both when it is first posted and while
    it remains available on the website. That is a sensible
    reading, just as a physical billboard is considered a com-
    No. 11-3693                                               57
    munication made by the advertiser as long as it is dis-
    played. The Center wonders if it would still be
    responsible for later communications (within the 30-
    day and 60-day windows) if others copy its ads and
    post them on other websites. If that happens, the Center
    would not be “making” those later communications
    and would not be responsible for them.
    We do not anticipate that Article 9 will restrict or chill
    a substantial amount of protected speech because
    it treats certain Internet speech as electioneering com-
    munications. On its face, this element of the statute
    is neither vague nor overbroad.
    2. Targeted to the Relevant Electorate
    Article 9 does not numerically define “target[ing]
    the relevant electorate” as does FECA, which requires
    that the communication be capable of being “received by
    50,000 or more persons.” 
    2 U.S.C. § 434
    (f)(3)(C). Illinois
    has good reasons for omitting a number. Its elections
    involve much smaller electorates, and it does not have
    an agency like the Federal Communications Commission
    that would let it monitor how large an audience a
    given broadcast reaches. This difference does not
    defeat Illinois’s substantial interest in informing its elec-
    torate for the purposes of this facial challenge. In ad-
    judicating facial challenges, federal courts do not
    assume that state officials will construe state law in the
    most expansive way imaginable. On the contrary, it “is
    reasonable to assume . . . that a state court presented with
    a state statute . . . will attempt to construe the statute
    58                                                No. 11-3693
    consistently with constitutional requirements.” City of
    Akron v. Akron Ctr. for Reproductive Health, Inc., 
    462 U.S. 416
    , 441 (1983), overruled in part on other grounds by
    Planned Parenthood v. Casey, 
    505 U.S. 833
    , 881-83 (1992)
    (as stated in plurality opinion). We agree with the state
    that a “reasonable, and constitutional construction of
    ‘targeted to the relevant electorate’ means a broadcast
    communication receivable within the geographical area
    where potential voters on that candidate or issue live.” The
    absence of a numeric baseline does not condemn
    the phrase “targeted to the relevant” as facially invalid.
    Article 9’s definition of “electioneering communications”
    is not facially vague or overbroad.
    D. Contribution and Expenditure
    Article 9 defines “contribution” as a “gift . . . or anything
    of value, knowingly received in connection with the
    nomination for election, election, or retention of any
    candidate or person to or in public office or in connec-
    tion with any question of public policy.” 10 ILCS 5/9-
    1.4(A)(1). “Expenditure” means “gift of money, or
    anything of value, [made] in connection with the nomina-
    tion for election, election, or retention of any person to
    or in public office or in connection with any question
    of public policy.” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.5(A)(1). The “transfer
    of funds by a political committee to another political
    committee” automatically qualifies as a contribution (for
    the transferee) and an expenditure (for the transferor).
    10 ILCS 5/9-1.5(A)(3), 5/9-1.4(A)(3). An expenditure “made
    in cooperation, consultation, or concert with another
    No. 11-3693                                              59
    political committee” is considered a contribution to that
    committee. 10 ILCS 5/9-1.4(A)(5). The Center challenges
    three aspects of these definitions as unconstitutionally
    vague.
    1. In Connection With, Supporting, or Opposing
    First, the Center argues that the requirement that a
    contribution or expenditure be “in connection with” an
    election or ballot initiative is “so vague and broad as to
    provide no meaningful guidance.” By itself, the “in con-
    nection with” language would be of little help. But as
    the district court correctly observed, the scope of the
    “contribution” and “expenditure” definitions is further
    limited by the narrower definition of “political commit-
    tee,” which applies only to contributions or expendi-
    tures that are made “on behalf of or in opposition to a
    candidate” (for political action committees) or made “with
    the purpose of securing a place on the ballot for [or]
    advocating the defeat or passage of . . . the question of
    public policy” (for ballot initiative committees). 10 ILCS
    5/9-1.8(d), (e). The only regulatory consequence of a
    transaction qualifying as a contribution or expenditure
    is when it triggers registration requirements for political
    committees, so the more circumscribed language in
    that latter provision is what matters for the vagueness
    analysis. Following McConnell, we concluded above that
    the “in support of or opposition” language in the
    definition of “ballot initiative committee” is clear enough.
    See part IV.A.3. The same goes for the “on behalf of or
    in opposition to a candidate” language in the definition
    60                                             No. 11-3693
    of “political action committee.” All of these definitions
    “give the person of ordinary intelligence a reasonable
    opportunity to know what is prohibited.” Grayned, 
    408 U.S. at 108
    .
    2.   Transfer of Funds from One Political Committee
    to Another
    Next, the Center attacks Article 9’s treatment of any
    “transfer of funds by a political committee to another
    political committee” as a contribution or expenditure.
    The Center claims this provision may apply to transfers
    with groups that qualify as political committees under
    the statute but have not yet registered, so it requires
    people “to judge whether a source or recipient of funds
    may later be judged to have made a $3,000 contribution,
    expenditure, or otherwise became a political committee.”
    Thus, the Center fears, it “could find itself classified as
    an Illinois political committee depending on how regula-
    tors later assess some other group’s speech or other
    activities that [the Center] could not have known
    about.” This result seems highly unlikely because it over-
    looks an important aspect of the transfer of funds provi-
    sions. A transfer counts as a contribution and expendi-
    ture only if it is already between two entities that each
    qualify as political committees. See 10 ILCS 5/9-1.4(A)3
    and -1.5(A)(3). That makes sense only if they each
    already qualify as political committees independent of the
    particular transfer. The transfer to or from some other
    entity that is a political committee would not make the
    other entity a political committee. (Otherwise, for
    No. 11-3693                                                61
    example, a contractor who produced an ad attacking a
    candidate for a political committee would itself be trans-
    formed into a political committee.) The mere possibility
    that the Board might enforce the statute in such an
    unfair way as the Center says it fears is a good example
    of the sort of “hypothetical or imaginary” situation with
    which courts do not concern themselves in facial chal-
    lenges. Washington State Grange, 
    552 U.S. at 450
    . If the
    Board sought to enforce Article 9 as the Center says it
    fears, that might well provide a strong basis for an as-
    applied challenge.
    3. Coordinated Expenditures
    Finally, the statute treats as a contribution any “election-
    eering communication made in concert or cooperation with
    or at the request, suggestion, or knowledge of a candidate,
    a political committee, or any of their agents.” 10 ILCS 5/9-
    1.4(A)(1.5) (emphases added). The Center contends that
    the italicized words are vague because they do not
    specify the “degree of actual agreement required.” Since
    before Buckley, however, FECA has provided that “ex-
    penditures made by any person in cooperation, consulta-
    tion, or concert, with, or at the request or suggestion of,
    a candidate, his authorized political committees, or
    their agents, shall be considered to be a contribution to
    such candidate.” 2 U.S.C. § 441a(a)(7)(B)(i); see Buckley,
    
    424 U.S. at 46
    . With the exception of the word, “knowl-
    edge,” Article 9’s definition of coordination is no less
    clear than the federal definition, which has long passed
    muster in the Supreme Court. See, e.g., McConnell, 540
    62                                              No. 11-3693
    U.S. at 219-23. We therefore reject the Center’s argu-
    ment that the terms, “in concert or cooperation with,”
    “request,” and “suggestion,” are unconstitutionally vague.
    As for the word “knowledge,” we agree with the Center
    that standing alone, it would sweep in a wide range
    of expenditures as coordinated expenditures (and thus
    as indirect contributions to campaign committees). For
    instance, if a candidate learned that an outside group
    had produced a favorable TV ad, would the candidate
    have “knowledge” that the electioneering communica-
    tion was made? This would not be enough to say that
    the ad was coordinated with the campaign. Recognizing
    this problem, the district court adopted the limiting
    construction that “affirmative acquiescence is required,
    not mere after the fact knowledge that the advocacy
    has occurred.” Although we are somewhat puzzled by
    the phrase “affirmative acquiescence,” we think the
    main thrust of this limiting construction is sound. Under
    the canon of noscitur a sociis, the fact that “several items
    in a list share an attribute counsels in favor of inter-
    preting the other items as possessing that attribute as
    well.” Beecham v. United States, 
    511 U.S. 368
    , 371 (1994).
    Thus, the Illinois legislature’s placement of “knowledge”
    in a series after “request” and “suggestion” indicates
    that we should interpret the last, more general word, to
    be similar to its more specific neighbors. 3 2 Both “request”
    32
    This construction is especially appropriate given that the
    “knowledge” requirement is omitted from an otherwise
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3693                                                       63
    and “suggest” necessarily imply actual prior communica-
    tion between the purchaser of the electioneering com-
    munication and the candidate, committee, or an agent
    thereof. The use of the term “knowledge” is clearly in-
    tended to ensure that coordination cannot be achieved
    by a proverbial “wink and nod,” such as where the sup-
    posedly independent group gives a candidate’s cam-
    paign advance, secret notice of its planned advertising
    campaign to attack the opponent in a particular way,
    but without actually drawing an explicit response from
    the candidate’s campaign.3 3
    In the context of “request” and “suggest,” the word
    “knowledge” may fairly be construed as requiring
    advance and non-public communication with the candi-
    (...continued)
    parallel provision of Article 9 defining “independent expendi-
    ture.” See 10 ILCS 5/9-1.15 (defining “independent expendi-
    ture” as an expenditure for electioneering communication
    “that is not made in connection, consultation, or concert with
    or at the request or suggestion of the public official or
    candidate, . . ., political committee, . . . campaign, . . . or [any]
    agent [thereof]”).
    33
    For example, the FEC’s regulations on coordinated expendi-
    tures state that the definition “is not satisfied if the infor-
    mation material to the creation, production, or distribu-
    tion of the communication was obtained from a publicly
    available source,” but that “[a]greement or formal col-
    laboration between the person paying for the communica-
    tion and the candidate . . . is not required.” 
    11 C.F.R. § 109.21
    (d)(2), (e).
    64                                                  No. 11-3693
    date or entity on whose behalf the electioneering com-
    munication is supposedly made. Where an otherwise
    ambiguous provision is readily susceptible to a limiting
    construction that cures the vagueness concerns, we
    should adopt it. See Buckley, 
    424 U.S. at 77-78
     (“Where
    the constitutional requirement of definiteness is at
    stake, we have the further obligation to construe
    the statute, if that can be done consistent with the legisla-
    ture’s purpose, to avoid the shoals of vagueness.”). Ac-
    cordingly, we interpret “knowledge” in light of its
    adjacent terms and conclude that the coordination lan-
    guage of Article 9 is clear enough to provide a rea-
    sonably intelligent person “fair warning” of what sort
    of conduct is covered. See Grayned, 
    408 U.S. at 108
    .
    E. Independent Expenditures
    An “independent expenditure” is an expenditure for
    an electioneering communication or any form of express
    advocacy that is not coordinated with a candidate
    or a campaign.34 Unlike coordinated expenditures, an
    34
    Article 9 defines “independent expenditure” as “any payment,
    gift, donation, or expenditure of funds (i) by a natural person
    or political committee for the purpose of making elec-
    tioneering communications or of expressly advocating for or
    against the nomination for election, election, retention, or
    defeat of a clearly identifiable public official or candidate or
    for or against any question of public policy to be submitted to
    the voters and (ii) that is not made in connection, consultation,
    (continued...)
    No. 11-3693                                                    65
    “independent expenditure is not considered a contribu-
    tion to a political committee.” 10 ILCS 5/9-8.6(a). When,
    however, in a 12-month period a person or organization
    makes more than $3,000 worth of independent expendi-
    tures “supporting or opposing a public official or candi-
    date,” 10 ILCS 5/9-8.6, this triggers Article 9’s disclosure
    requirements.35 The Center contends that the phrase
    “supporting or opposing a public official or candidate” is
    impermissibly vague because the “supporting or op-
    posing” language is unclear, and because the provision
    appears to apply to advocacy for or against public
    officials who are not candidates.
    (...continued)
    or concert with or at the request or suggestion of the public
    official or candidate, the public official’s or candidate’s desig-
    nated political committee or campaign, or the agent or agents
    of the public official, candidate, or political committee or
    campaign.” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.15.
    35
    After exceeding the threshold, any natural person making
    such independent expenditures “must file a written disclosure
    with the State Board of Elections within 2 business days . . .
    identify[ing] the natural person, the public official or candidate
    supported or opposed, the date, amount, and nature of each
    independent expenditure, and the natural person’s occupa-
    tion and employer.” 10 ILCS 5/9-8.6(a). “Any entity other than
    a natural person that makes expenditures of any kind in an
    aggregate amount exceeding $3,000 during any 12-month
    period supporting or opposing a public official or candidate
    must organize as a political committee” and “report all
    such independent expenditures as required under” Article 9.
    10 ILCS 5/9-8.6(b), (c).
    66                                                No. 11-3693
    First, the “supporting or opposing” language has no
    effect on the scope or substance of these independent
    expenditure reporting requirements. Not just any unco-
    ordinated campaign-related expenditure is an “independ-
    ent expenditure” — only those made either (1) for “elec-
    tioneering communications” or (2) for “expressly ad-
    vocating for or against the . . . election . . . or defeat of a
    clearly identifiable public official or candidate.” 10 ILCS
    5/9-1.15. Recall that a broadcast counts as an elec-
    tioneering communication only if it “refers to a clearly
    identified candidate” and is “susceptible to no reasonable
    interpretation other than as an appeal to vote for or
    against” that candidate. 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14(a). This
    standard — as well as the standard for express advocacy —
    is much more demanding than the requirement that ex-
    penditures merely be “supporting or opposing a public
    official or candidate.” When the multiple statutory terms
    and definitions are assembled, then, the “supporting or
    opposing” language is redundant and does not render
    the definition of “independent expenditure” unconstitu-
    tionally vague or overbroad. See Human Life, 624 F.3d at
    1021 (“otherwise imprecise terms may avoid vagueness
    problems when used in combination with terms that
    provide sufficient clarity”), quoting Gammoh v. City of
    La Habra, 
    395 F.3d 1114
    , 1120 (9th Cir. 2005).
    As for the phrase “public official,” we agree with the
    Center that a strictly literal interpretation of the provi-
    sion would include independent expenditures made for
    “expressly advocating for or against the . . . election
    or defeat of a clearly identifiable public official” who is
    not currently a candidate, but who may run for re-election
    No. 11-3693                                               67
    in some future year.3 6 It is clear, however, from both
    the text of this section and Article 9 as a whole, which
    repeatedly refers to incumbent candidates as “public
    officials,” that the legislature intended the phrase “public
    official” in section 9-8.6 to mean a public official who
    is also a candidate. That is the limiting construction
    the district court adopted, and it is a sound one. So nar-
    rowed, the provision of Article 9 imposing disclosure
    requirements for “independent expenditures” is not
    vague or overly broad.
    Conclusion
    “Whatever differences may exist about interpretations
    of the First Amendment, there is practically universal
    agreement that a major purpose of that Amendment was
    to protect the free discussion of governmental affairs.
    This of course includes discussions of candidates, . . . and
    all such matters relating to political processes.” Mills v.
    Alabama, 
    384 U.S. 214
    , 218-19 (1966). The First Amend-
    ment helps to ensure that our “constitutionally protected
    ‘discussion of governmental affairs’ is an informed one.”
    Globe Newspaper Co. v. Superior Court, 
    457 U.S. 596
    , 605
    (1982), quoting Mills, 
    384 U.S. at 218
    . Campaign finance
    disclosure requirements can advance the democratic
    36
    It could not apply to expenditures made for “electioneering
    communications,” of course, because these require reference
    to a “clearly identified candidate” and an unambiguous
    “appeal to vote” for or against that candidate. 10 ILCS 5/9-
    1.14(a) (emphasis added).
    68                                              No. 11-3693
    virtues in informed and transparent public discourse
    without impairing other First Amendment values.
    Although “disclosure is a less restrictive alternative
    to more comprehensive regulations of speech,” Citizens
    United, 130 S. Ct. at 915, we are not unmindful of the
    costs it may generate in foregone speech from those
    who wish to remain anonymous, in the loss of privacy,
    and from social friction. See, e.g., McIntyre v. Ohio
    Elections Comm’n, 
    514 U.S. 334
     (1995) (striking down
    state law requiring identification of authorship on all
    campaign-related publications as applied to distribution
    of unsigned leaflets by individual pamphleteer); see
    generally Symposium, Privacy, Democracy, and Elections,
    19 Wm. & Mary Bill Rights J. 857 (2011). We also take
    the Center at its word that its donors are so adamant
    about remaining anonymous that subjecting it to the
    Illinois reporting requirements will deter it from
    engaging in its preferred form of public advocacy. That
    is regrettable, but it is the Center’s and its donors’ choice
    to make. As Justice Scalia has written, participation in
    the political process takes “civic courage, without which
    democracy is doomed.” Doe v. Reed, 
    130 S. Ct. at 2837
    (Scalia, J., concurring in the judgment). While there is
    also a “respected tradition of anonymity in the advocacy
    of political causes” in this country, see McIntyre, 
    514 U.S. at 343
    , that tradition does not mean voters must
    remain in the dark about “who is speaking about a candi-
    date shortly before an election.” Citizens United, 130 S. Ct.
    at 915. Campaign finance disclosure laws must strike a
    balance between protecting individual speakers from
    invasions of privacy and harassment on the one hand,
    No. 11-3693                                              69
    and enabling transparency and accountability in political
    campaigns on the other. Illinois’s laws do so sufficiently
    to survive this facial challenge.
    The judgment of the district court is A FFIRMED.
    P OSNER, Circuit Judge, concurring in part and dissenting
    in part. I agree with much in the majority opinion,
    but several provisions of the Illinois statute seem to me
    to burden the plaintiff’s freedom of speech unduly;
    we should invalidate them.
    The Center for Individual Freedom is a nonprofit organi-
    zation engaged in public advocacy. It makes advertise-
    ments and disseminates them in television, print, online,
    and other media; it maintains a website; and it produces
    a radio show. It conducts some of its activities during
    election campaigns, often commending to the electorate
    candidates whom it thinks likely if elected to support
    the policies it advocates. But it is not affiliated with and
    does not coordinate its activities with any candidate,
    campaign, or political party and is thus an “independent”
    advocacy group within the meaning of Citizens United
    v. Federal Election Commission, 
    130 S. Ct. 876
    , 910 (2010),
    and Buckley v. Valeo, 
    424 U.S. 1
    , 45-47 and n. 53 (1976)
    (per curiam). It therefore is not subject to all the reg-
    70                                               No. 11-3693
    ulations that states are allowed to impose on political
    committees that are affiliated with candidates, campaigns,
    or parties. A state is permitted, however, to compel
    public disclosure of election-related activities of indep-
    endent groups, on the theory that such disclosure
    helps the electorate evaluate candidates for public office,
    
    id. at 66, 81
    , though a state may not limit donations to
    an independent advocacy organization or the expendi-
    tures that such an organization can make, or ban its
    speech. See SpeechNow.org v. Federal Election Commission,
    
    599 F.3d 686
    , 694-96 (D.C. Cir. 2010) (en banc).
    Illinois regulates what it calls “political committees,” and
    the term includes not only partisan committees but
    also any independent organization or individual that
    “accepts contributions or makes expenditures during
    any 12-month period in an aggregate amount ex-
    ceeding $3000 on behalf of or in opposition to a candidate
    or candidates for public office” or “in support of or in
    opposition to any question of public policy to be
    submitted to the electors,” or that “makes electioneering
    communications,” exceeding the monetary threshold,
    that are “related to” a candidate or to a question of
    public policy. 10 ILCS 5/9-1.8(d), (e). A “contribution” is
    among other things “anything of value that constitutes
    an electioneering communication made in concert or
    cooperation with or at the request, suggestion, or knowl-
    edge of a candidate, a political committee, or any of their
    agents,” or “a transfer of funds received by a political
    committee from another political committee.” 10 ILCS 5/9-
    1.4(A)(1.5), (3). An “expenditure” is anything of
    value given “in connection with the nomination for
    No. 11-3693                                                71
    election, election, or retention of any person to or in
    public office,” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.5(A)(1), or “that constitutes
    an electioneering communication made in concert or
    cooperation with or at the request, suggestion, or knowl-
    edge of a candidate, a political committee, or any of
    their agents.” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.5(A)(2). And finally an “elec-
    tioneering communication” is any broadcast, cable,
    satellite, or Internet communication that refers to a
    “clearly identified candidate,” “clearly identified
    political party,” or “clearly identified question of public
    policy that will appear on the ballot,” provided that
    the communication is made within 60 days before a
    general election or 30 days before a primary election,
    is “targeted to the relevant electorate,” and “is sus-
    ceptible to no reasonable interpretation other than as an
    appeal to vote for or against a clearly identified candi-
    date…or a question of public policy.” 10 ILCS 5/9-1.14(a).
    A political committee must register with the Illinois
    Board of Elections, 10 ILCS 5/9-3(a), and file quarterly
    reports that open its finances to public scrutiny. For each
    report must reveal “all financial activity,” as the state
    website puts it (Illinois State Board of Elections, “Political
    Committee Report Filing Forms,” http://elections.il.gov/
    CampaignDisclosure/PoliticalCommittee.aspx (visited
    Aug. 23, 2012)), in the previous quarter—must reveal
    the total contributions it received, along with all other
    receipts, and the total expenditures it made, including
    investments and loans; along with the names, addresses,
    and other identifying details of donors, and of recipients
    of the committee’s expenditures. 10 ILCS 5/9-10(b), -11(a).
    72                                                No. 11-3693
    Having to disclose the names of donors is the most
    onerous requirement that the statute imposes on a
    political committee because many donors don’t want to
    be publicly identified as contributing to an organiza-
    tion engaged in public advocacy regarding issues of
    public policy, which usually are controversial. Indeed CIF
    alleges without contradiction that its donors require
    assurances that their identities will not be disclosed, and
    that this anonymity is a condition of their support. So CIF
    very much does not want to be classified as a political com-
    mittee and one way to avoid that fate is to avoid any
    activity that might, even if there is no certainty that
    it would, require CIF to register.
    The vagueness of a number of key provisions of the
    Illinois law is therefore worrisome. A vague statute
    can deter lawful activity. Cautious persons will want
    to avoid even a small probability of being found to
    have violated it, and the safest way to do that is to
    avoid lawful activity that is just across the line from
    the unlawful—to create a buffer zone around the
    statutory core, just as cautious men decide not to have
    sex with young-looking women who probably are not
    below the age of consent but may be. When the lawful
    activity likely to be deterred by a vague statute is not
    extramarital sex but the exercise of free speech—a right
    at the apex of modern constitutional solicitude—a
    finding of vagueness is apt to doom the statute. FCC v.
    Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    132 S. Ct. 2307
    , 2317-18 (2012).
    The vague provisions in the Illinois election statute
    may cause CIF to refrain from constitutionally protected
    No. 11-3693                                              73
    advocacy that the state has no power to regulate
    because the advocacy could not influence an election.
    Nor can a federal court make a binding interpretation
    of a state statute, endeavoring to trim its vague provi-
    sions; if it attempts a narrowing interpretation that devi-
    ates widely from the statute’s apparent meaning it is
    taking a big risk that the state will reject the interpreta-
    tion. Stenberg v. Carhart, 
    530 U.S. 914
    , 944-45 (2000). That
    risk will in turn operate as a deterrent to the advocacy
    group’s relying on the federal court’s interpretation.
    With an election looming, advocacy groups can’t
    wait for the Supreme Court of Illinois to interpret
    all the vague provisions of the election statute in cases
    instituted in the state court system that are likely to
    take years to reach and be decided by the state’s highest
    court.
    These are the vague provisions:
    1. A transfer of funds from a political committee to
    a political committee qualifies as a contribution re-
    gardless of amount. A political committee must report
    all receipts, not just contributions as defined by the
    statute, see 10 ILCS 5/9-11(a)(10), and in addition must
    report “the name and address of each political commit-
    tee from which the reporting committee received, or to
    which that committee made, any transfer of funds.”
    10 ILCS 5/9-11(a)(6). So if by virtue of other contributions
    or other activities CIF were to be classified as a political
    committee, it would have to identify any other political
    committees from which it received money. It might not
    know a donor was a political committee, and that would
    74                                             No. 11-3693
    be no defense, because the statute does not require knowl-
    edge or even suspicion that the transferor is a political
    committee—there is no state of mind requirement at
    all. The transferee would have to investigate the
    financial activity of each donor (including an individual,
    who as a “natural person” can constitute a political com-
    mittee) to determine whether the donor was a political
    committee. It might be a committee that had improperly
    failed to register; that would be no defense. Yet it would
    be afraid to list a donor as a political committee
    unless confident that it was one, as otherwise it might
    get into trouble with the donor. Damned if it does,
    damned if it doesn’t.
    An unregistered entity doesn’t have to disclose its
    contributions and expenditures, so it would rarely be
    clear whether an entity qualified as a political committee.
    Very little of the information required to determine
    the status of a donor is public. This is an additional
    reason why advocacy groups like CIF might forgo dona-
    tions from unfamiliar donors. But by reducing the
    group’s resources, this cautious response to the
    vagueness of the statute would curtail its advocacy.
    An alternative reading of the “transfer of funds” provi-
    sion is that receipt of money from a political committee
    makes the recipient a political committee. Illinois may
    have been concerned that interest groups would
    transfer money in chains ending with a committee that
    didn’t have to register; to target those chains and thus
    close a potential loophole in the statute, the Illinois
    courts might read the statute to reach all members of the
    No. 11-3693                                               75
    chain. This interpretation would have an even greater
    tendency to discourage an advocacy group from
    accepting donations from unfamiliar individuals or
    organizations.
    2. Any “electioneering communication” made with the
    “knowledge” of a candidate is an expenditure that if
    it exceeds the low statutory threshold makes the
    advertiser a political committee. The word “knowledge”
    can’t be interpreted to require that the advertiser have
    communicated with the candidate, because knowledge
    can be acquired in other ways. My colleagues think the
    Illinois courts would interpret the word “knowledge,”
    which appears at the end of the sequence “request, sug-
    gestion, and knowledge,” to mean the same thing as
    the two preceding words because it is the “more
    general word.” But it’s no more general than the other
    words; the three words are simply different from one
    another. It’s not like a statute that refers to “automobiles,
    trucks, tractors, motorcycles, and other motor-powered
    vehicles”; in that sequence “motor-powered vehicles” is
    indeed more general than the itemized examples, but
    presumably not intended to be so encompassing a
    catchall as to include airplanes, since all the preceding
    terms in the sequence denote different forms of land-
    based transportation. Cf. McBoyle v. United States, 
    283 U.S. 25
     (1931) (Holmes, J.).
    So an organization that wanted to avoid crossing
    the $3000 threshold would if cautious refrain from broad-
    casting ads entirely, rather than just avoid coordinating
    their ads with the candidate.
    76                                            No. 11-3693
    The district judge was troubled by this provision and
    to save it interpreted “knowledge” to mean “affirmative
    acquiescence.” But what does that mean? That the candi-
    date was delighted to learn of an ad that praised him
    or a policy he was pushing?
    3. If an “electioneering communication” is deemed to be
    “made” whenever a user accesses a website, cf. Flava
    Works, Inc. v. Gunter, No. 11-3190, 
    2012 WL 3124826
    , at *7
    (7th Cir. Aug. 2, 2012), then even an appeal to vote that
    is posted more than 30 or 60 days before the election
    (depending on whether it is a primary or a general elec-
    tion) will constitute an expenditure that, if it exceeds
    the modest threshold in the statute, will make the com-
    municator a political committee and thus require it to
    register. A television advertiser controls the dates on
    which his ad is shown; but an Internet ad or web posting
    remains online and accessible until removed. The ad-
    vertiser may delete the ad from his website, but it may
    already have been copied and posted on a hundred other
    websites. Should the advertiser be thought to be con-
    tinuing to make an electioneering communication by
    failing to ensure that his ad posted during the safe
    harbor periods is no longer accessible to voters? And
    how can he do that? On these critical questions, the
    statute is silent. The only sure way to avoid having to
    register as a political committee is therefore to avoid
    endorsing an Illinois candidate online at any time.
    The Illinois courts might interpret “made” to refer only
    to the original posting of the ad. But this would open up
    a loophole; the advocacy group might have posted the
    No. 11-3693                                                77
    ad shortly before the 30- or 60-day cutoff and deleted it
    just before the cutoffs, confident that the campaign
    favored by the ad would copy it and post it so that it
    would be seen right up to election day. Because the
    state courts might well decide to close this loophole by
    interpreting “made” to include the initial posting, advo-
    cacy groups would be running a legal risk by posting
    online ads even long before the date of the election, and
    might therefore be deterred from doing so.
    4. Any payment “in connection with” an election (in-
    cluding payment for ads) counts as an expenditure. “In
    connection with” could apply to communications not
    made for the purpose of influencing the election, such as
    speech on issues of policy that happen to be salient
    in the campaign. An advocacy group might intend
    its message to reach a wider audience. It might even
    be advocating a position embraced by neither candidate.
    Disclosure of such a group’s finances would not be
    closely related to the state’s interest in informing the
    electorate about a candidate’s supporters. Yet the
    statute may require it.
    Speech can have all sorts of connections to an election:
    it may mention an election, describe a candidate and his
    positions, or simply refer to a policy that is at issue in the
    campaign. A dry discussion of economic indicators
    might be seen as being “in connection with” an election
    in which the main issue was economic policy. Because
    disclosure requirements are not constitutionally limited
    to express advocacy for a candidate, see Citizens United
    v. Federal Election Commission, 
    supra,
     130 S. Ct. at 915,
    78                                             No. 11-3693
    there is no telling how far Illinois’s definition reaches
    into the realm of issue advocacy. Once again, to be sure
    of not having to register, an organization like CIF
    might decide to avoid speaking about any policy issues
    during election campaigns. It might go silent during
    campaigns.
    5. Expenditures made “in connection with” an elec-
    tion count towards the $3000 threshold for registering
    only if they are made “on behalf of or in opposition to”
    a candidate, and that might seem to take care of the
    concerns I just expressed with respect to “in connection
    with.” But speech supporting or opposing a policy associ-
    ated with a candidate could be seen as being on behalf
    of or in opposition to that candidate, especially if the
    policy is the candidate’s signature issue. The term thus
    does not clearly exclude most issue advocacy, and
    groups such as CIF might therefore avoid speaking
    on issues that could be associated with a particular candi-
    date. Imagine a single-issue candidate: a songbird en-
    thusiast, he wants the owners of cats to be forbidden
    to allow their pets out of doors, since cats, indifferent
    to avian beauty and melody, kill birds for food and
    sport. If the humane society buys ads that declare its
    passionate support for the songbirds, isn’t there a sense
    in which it is advocating for the election of the song-
    birds’ candidate and therefore making an expenditure on
    his behalf and in opposition to his opponent? Or should
    “on behalf of” be interpreted to mean motivated by a
    desire to help the candidate rather than the cause the
    candidate supports? Who knows?
    No. 11-3693                                              79
    McConnell v. Federal Election Commission, 
    540 U.S. 93
    ,
    170 n. 64 (2003), overruled on other grounds in Citizens
    United v. Federal Election Commission, 
    supra,
     held that a
    federal law that contained the words “promotes,” “sup-
    ports,” “attacks,” and “opposes” was not vague; and the
    phrase “on behalf of or in opposition to” is similar. But
    the federal law involved speech referring to particular
    candidates and made by state political parties the
    actions of which are presumed to be coordinated with
    candidates. The Illinois law applies to all who want to
    speak on public issues but furnishes no clue to how
    related to a candidate’s position their speech must be to
    trigger the disclosure requirements. The statute is not
    limited to groups that coordinate their activity with a
    candidate or expressly advocate for him. And it is not, as
    in the counterpart federal statute, 
    2 U.S.C. § 431
    (8)(A)(i),
    limited to speech made “for the purpose of influencing”
    an election, since there is no state of mind limitation in
    the Illinois statute, so no basis for using purposiveness
    to limit relatedness.
    The more arbitrary the meaning that must be assigned
    to a state statute to avoid constitutional problems, the
    less confident we can be that the state courts would adopt
    it. If independent advocacy groups share these doubts,
    caution may make them steer well clear of the statutory
    conditions for having to register as a political committee,
    with all the burdens entailed by registration.
    When the five vague statutory provisions that I have
    been discussing are considered in combination, it be-
    comes apparent that their cumulative effect on advocacy
    by CIF and similar organizations could be considerable.
    80                                              No. 11-3693
    To avoid the burden of registration, such groups may
    take measures to curb their advocacy even if those mea-
    sures may not in fact (that is, in law) be required in order
    to avoid having to register. That is the vice of vague-
    ness—that it causes an organization or an individual
    to give a law a wide berth, in this instance by forgoing
    constitutionally protected speech. We should insist,
    in the name of the First Amendment, that the Illinois
    legislature speak with greater clarity.
    9-10-12