Southern Bakeries, LLC v. NLRB , 871 F.3d 811 ( 2017 )


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  • United States Court of Appeals
    For the Eighth Circuit
    ___________________________
    No. 16-3328
    ___________________________
    Southern Bakeries, LLC
    lllllllllllllllllllllPetitioner
    v.
    National Labor Relations Board
    lllllllllllllllllllllRespondent
    ------------------------------
    John Hankins
    lllllllllllllllllllllAmicus on Behalf of Petitioner
    ___________________________
    No. 16-3509
    ___________________________
    Southern Bakeries, LLC
    lllllllllllllllllllllRespondent
    v.
    National Labor Relations Board
    lllllllllllllllllllllPetitioner
    ------------------------------
    John Hankins
    lllllllllllllllllllllAmicus on Behalf of Respondent
    ____________
    National Labor Relations Board
    ____________
    Submitted: April 6, 2017
    Filed: September 27, 2017
    ____________
    Before GRUENDER, MURPHY, and KELLY, Circuit Judges.
    ____________
    MURPHY, Circuit Judge.
    Some production and sanitation employees of Southern Bakeries ("Southern"
    or "company") attempted several times to end their representation by the Bakery,
    Confectionary, Tobacco and Grain Millers Union, Local 111 ("union"). The National
    Labor Relations Board ("NLRB" or "Board") twice prevented union decertification
    votes due to Southern's unfair labor practices that would have tainted such votes.
    After employees later filed a withdrawal petition, the company withdrew its
    recognition of the union, and the union again filed an unfair labor practices charge.
    An administrative law judge ("ALJ") determined that Southern had committed a
    number of unfair labor practices that had tainted the withdrawal petition. A divided
    panel of the Board adopted the majority of the ALJ's rulings and, among other things,
    ordered the company to recognize and bargain with the union. Southern now
    petitions for review of the Board's order and the Board cross petitions for
    enforcement. For the reasons that follow, in substantial part we deny Southern's
    petition for review and grant the Board's cross petition to enforce its order. We also
    -2-
    grant the petition for review and deny the cross petition for enforcement as to several
    portions of the Board's order.
    I. Facts
    Southern Bakeries is a commercial bakery that in 2005 purchased its facility
    from Meyer's Bakeries. Southern hired most of the employees and recognized the
    existing union as the bargaining representative for the approximate 200 production
    and sanitation employees. Southern and the union negotiated several subsequent
    collective bargaining agreements. The most recent expired in February 2012.
    In 2009 a Southern employee petitioned the Board for an election to decertify
    the union. Most of the employees voted to retain the union. Another decertification
    petition was filed in December 2011. The union then alleged that Southern had
    engaged in unfair labor practices. No election was held after the Board determined
    that Southern had unlawfully assisted the decertification petition. These charges were
    later settled without Southern admitting fault.
    Southern started restricting the union's access to its bakery in March 2012. The
    previous collective bargaining agreement had allowed the union bakery visits to
    ensure that the agreement was being honored. According to union representative
    Cesar Calderon, however, the union had in practice been free to meet with employees
    in the break area with no restrictions as to topic or frequency. Southern now
    repeatedly told the union that it could only discuss compliance with the previous
    collective bargaining agreement and could not lobby employees about the
    decertification efforts. Southern moved Calderon's visits to a small cubicle with only
    one chair and no table, and director of manufacturing Dan Banks threatened to call
    the police if Calderon met with employees in the break area. Subsequently, on March
    23, Southern banned him from visiting with employees at the bakery after the
    company had allegedly received reports about his harassing employees. After some
    -3-
    seven months he and other union representatives were again allowed to visit with
    employees at the bakery. Southern continued to limit their access and emphasized
    that they were not permitted to solicit union support.
    In May 2012, employee John Hankins filed a third decertification petition with
    the Board. It had been signed by a majority of bargaining unit employees. A
    decertification vote was scheduled for February 2013, but when union representatives
    came to the bakery in January 2013, they discovered that without notice or
    bargaining, Southern had installed surveillance cameras and divided the break area
    with plywood. The company claimed that it had installed the cameras to deter theft
    and replaced the windows with plywood to provide adequate ventilation.
    Southern posted a memo to employees in January 2013 stating that the union
    appeared to have plans to take employees on strike as it had at Hostess bakeries,
    which had resulted in 18,000 lost jobs and 33 closed bakeries. Over the next month,
    Southern executive Rickey Ledbetter gave a series of mandatory speeches that
    between 150 and 170 bargaining union employees were required to hear. In the first
    speech he told them that unions can harm companies in many ways and leave less
    money for employee wages and benefits. Ledbetter specifically referred to Meyer's
    Bakeries and Hostess, stating that the strike at Hostess had caused 18,000 people to
    lose their jobs and 33 bakeries to be closed.
    Ledbetter repeated similar points in later speeches. He said that strikes
    sometimes backfire and hurt employees and their families, that strikers can be
    permanently replaced, and that jobs can be lost at a striking facility. He told the
    employees that "[i]f a strike does succeed in crippling a company," it might thereafter
    be unable to meet customer demands and survive. He also added that Southern
    employees who were not represented by a union had received pay increases each year
    while the bargaining unit employees had not received raises in three of the prior five
    -4-
    years. The union thereafter filed unfair labor practice charges, and the Board declined
    to hold the decertification election that had been scheduled for February 2013.
    Southern disciplined a number of pro union employees between March and
    May 2013. After Sandra Phillips discussed the closure of Hostess with another
    employee and gave him a related newspaper article, she was investigated and received
    a written warning. Vicki Loudermilk and Lorraine Marks were also investigated after
    discussing votes with another employee. After Marks left the production line for an
    emergency bathroom break of fewer than five minutes when no supervisor was
    available to give permission, she was suspended for six days. Southern officials also
    urged individual employees to oppose the union for their wages to increase and to
    avoid the kind of strike that purportedly caused Hostess to fail.
    In June 2013 Hankins submitted a petition to the company signed by a majority
    of the bargaining unit employees. They asked Southern to withdraw recognition of
    the union which Southern did. The union did not regard its withdrawal as legitimate,
    however. Several months later, the company unilaterally raised employee wages by
    an average of 27 cents per hour without notice or bargaining.
    The Board then filed its complaint against Southern. Before the ALJ issued a
    ruling on the charges, however, the Board filed a petition for injunctive relief. The
    district court then enjoined Southern from refusing to recognize the union. This
    injunction was later vacated by our court on the ground that the Board had not
    sufficiently shown a threat of irreparable harm, in part because the union lacked the
    support of most employees. See McKinney ex rel. NLRB v. S. Bakeries, LLC, 
    786 F.3d 1119
     (8th Cir. 2015). Thereafter, the ALJ determined in the administrative
    proceeding that Southern had engaged in a number of unfair labor practices. The
    company and the Board's general counsel each filed exceptions to the ALJ's decision.
    -5-
    A three member panel of the Board largely affirmed in a split decision. The
    majority decided that Southern had interfered with employees' exercise of collective
    bargaining rights, thus violating § 8(a)(1) of the National Labor Relations Act
    ("NLRA" or "Act"). Southern had threatened discipline, job loss, and other
    unspecified reprisal for protected activity; interrogated employees about protected
    activity; created the impression of surveillance of such activity; assured employees
    that continued unionization was futile; promised benefits if they did not retain the
    union; disparaged the union; threatened closure of the company; and implemented a
    rule requiring that employees report harassment. The Board also determined that
    Southern had discriminated against employees to discourage unionization, in
    violation of § 8(a)(3) and (1), by investigating and disciplining Loudermilk, Marks,
    and Phillips because of their union activity. It finally concluded that the company
    had failed to bargain with the union, violating § 8(a)(5) and (1) of the Act, when it
    withdrew recognition from the union, unilaterally installed surveillance cameras in
    the break area, unilaterally changed the union's plant access rights, barring it from
    entering the plant for much of 2012 and after February 2013, and unilaterally
    increased employee wages in September 2013.
    The Board ordered Southern to remedy these violations. Southern was ordered
    to cease its unlawful conduct, bargain with the union, restore union access rights, and
    reverse employee discipline. The third member of the panel concurred in part but
    dissented in part, arguing that although the company's campaign statements were
    lawful, its withdrawal of union recognition had not been because of the unfair labor
    practices it had committed. Southern then filed the current petition for review of the
    Board's order, and the Board filed a cross petition for enforcement. Southern claims
    that the Board erred by concluding that the company violated § 8(a)(1), (3), and (5).
    We will address each set of violations in turn.
    -6-
    II. Analysis
    When reviewing an NLRB order, we "afford[] great deference to the Board's
    affirmation of the ALJ's findings." Cintas Corp. v. NLRB, 
    589 F.3d 905
    , 912 (8th
    Cir. 2009) (internal quotation marks omitted). We will enforce the Board's "order as
    long as the Board has correctly applied the law and its factual findings are supported
    by substantial evidence on the record as a whole." 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted). We have defined substantial evidence to mean "such relevant evidence as
    a reasonable mind might accept as adequate to support a conclusion." 
    Id.
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted). To determine whether the Board's decision is supported
    by substantial evidence, we also consider adverse evidence. See Nichols Aluminum,
    LLC v. NLRB, 
    797 F.3d 548
    , 553 (8th Cir. 2015). Although the Board is permitted
    to draw reasonable inferences and may select between conflicting accounts of the
    evidence, it may not "rely on suspicion, surmise, implications, or plainly incredible
    evidence." 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks omitted). On legal issues, "we defer to the
    Board's interpretation of the Act, so long as it is rational and consistent with that
    law." NLRB v. Am. Firestop Sols., Inc., 
    673 F.3d 766
    , 768 (8th Cir. 2012).
    A. Section 8(a)(1) violations
    Section 7 of the Act guarantees employees the right to organize and bargain
    collectively. See 
    29 U.S.C. § 157
    . Under § 8(a)(1), an employer commits an unfair
    labor practice if it "interfere[s] with, restrain[s], or coerce[s] employees in the
    exercise of their rights" under § 7. Id. § 158(a)(1). Section 8(c) provides that "[t]he
    expressing of any views, argument, or opinion, or the dissemination thereof . . . shall
    not constitute or be evidence of an unfair labor practice . . . if such expression
    contains no threat of reprisal or force or promise of benefit," id. § 158(c), and thereby
    "implements the First Amendment," NLRB v. Gissel Packing Co., 
    395 U.S. 575
    , 617
    (1969).
    -7-
    Southern argues that the Board erred in determining that it violated § 8(a)(1)
    of the NLRA by making a number of unlawful campaign statements that threatened
    plant closure, communicating that unionization was futile, promising benefits if the
    union was decertified, creating a harassment reporting rule, and disparaging the
    union. The company also challenges the Board's determination that it violated
    § 8(a)(1) by creating the impression that union activity was under surveillance,
    interrogating employees, and threatening discipline, job loss, and other reprisals. We
    will consider each of these determinations.
    1. Plant closure threats
    Southern claims that the Board erroneously determined that it violated § 8(a)(1)
    of the Act by threatening plant closure if the union was not decertified. The NLRA
    allows an employer to predict the effects of unionization only if such prediction is
    "carefully phrased on the basis of objective fact to convey an employer's belief as to
    demonstrably probable consequences beyond his control or to convey a management
    decision already arrived at to close the plant in case of unionization." Gissel, 
    395 U.S. at 618
    . Under Gissel, the expression "of the employer's belief, even though
    sincere, that unionization will or may result in the closing of the plant" is a violation
    of § 8(a)(1) "unless, which is most improbable, the eventuality of closing is capable
    of proof." Id. at 618–19 (internal quotation marks omitted); see also NLRB v. Noll
    Motors, Inc., 
    433 F.2d 853
    , 854–56 (8th Cir. 1970).
    In one of the captive audience meetings, Southern executive Rickey Ledbetter
    said to the company's employees:
    From an economic standpoint, we do not want a union because we
    believe it drags our Company down in so many ways. If we can't meet
    or beat the competition we can't survive. Just look at what happened to
    the Hostess Bakeries, Automobile companies and Steel companies.
    Unions strangled these companies to death. . . . There are lots of things
    -8-
    a union can do to hurt these ingredients for success. Higher costs, less
    flexibility, lower productivity and loss of team unity can be crippling to
    a business and cost employees their jobs.
    In another speech, Ledbetter told employees that "[j]ust because the contract is for a
    certain period of time doesn't mean that a company has to stay open or keep all of its
    employees during that period."
    In a similar case, we determined that an employer violated § 8(a)(1) when it
    "called [employees'] attention to other plants in the community where employees had
    been laid off following their vote to unionize." Noll Motors, 
    433 F.2d at 854
    . We
    concluded that "the employer's prediction was not carefully phrased to demonstrate
    probable consequences beyond [its] control nor to convey a management decision
    already arrived at to close the plant in case of unionization." 
    Id. at 856
    . Rather, the
    employer's statements were "phrased to predict that unionization would inevitably
    cause the plant to close, throwing employees out of work regardless of the economic
    realities." Id.; see also NLRB v. Mark I Tune-Up Ctrs., Inc., 
    691 F.2d 415
    , 417 (8th
    Cir. 1982) (per curiam). We also conclude that substantial evidence supports the
    Board's determination that Southern's statements implied an unlawful threat that
    continued unionization would cause the bakery to close and employees to lose their
    jobs. Although the company argues that it also assured employees that it would
    continue to work with them under the same conditions if the union prevailed, these
    assurances did not make its threats of plant closure lawful. Cf. A.P. Green Fire Brick
    Co. v. NLRB, 
    326 F.2d 910
    , 914 (8th Cir. 1964).
    2. Futility statements
    Southern claims that the Board erred by determining that it violated § 8(a)(1)
    by communicating to employees that continued unionization was futile. During
    captive audience meetings, Southern management told employees that the union
    -9-
    could only make promises but could not guarantee that they would come true. The
    company also told employees that the union would only win what the company was
    voluntarily willing to give and that "a union is powerless in guaranteeing changes."
    While the Board found that these statements suggested that unionization was futile,
    it did not determine that they contained a "threat of reprisal or force or promise of
    benefit." 
    29 U.S.C. § 158
    (c). The Board therefore erred in determining that these
    statements violated the NLRA. See id.
    3. Promises of benefits
    The Board also determined that Southern had committed an unfair labor
    practice under § 8(a)(1) by promising employees benefits if they were to decertify the
    union. Southern argues that its speeches merely explained to employees the costs
    associated with dealing with a union and provided wage information for non union
    employees. In one speech, Ledbetter had stated the company's desire to "work
    together" with the union "to make Southern Bakeries a successful, competitive
    company that can provide greater job security and better wages and benefits for all
    of us." Later in the speech, he said, "If you think about the issue logically, you will
    know the answer to the question of what will happen to your wage, benefits and
    working conditions if the . . . union is voted out." These statements implied that
    Southern would provide benefits to employees if they voted out the union and
    therefore provide substantial evidence to support the Board's conclusion.
    4. Harassment reporting rule
    Southern disputes the Board's determination that it violated § 8(a)(1) by
    promulgating an unlawful reporting rule. In the speech at issue, Ledbetter instructed
    employees as follows:
    -10-
    Keep in mind that the company is not the only party to this election that
    has a right to state its views. The union has the same right—and so do
    you. The most important thing you can do for yourself in the weeks
    leading up to the election is learn and consider the facts—not rumors,
    not lies, not groundless fears, but facts. Some of you may have faced
    harassment or intimidation because you signed a decertification petition
    or otherwise oppose the union. If any of you are harassed or threatened
    on any basis during this election campaign, regardless of whether you
    are for or against the union, we want to know about it immediately so we
    can address the problem, just as we always have.
    We will not tolerate the abuse of any employee rights in this work place.
    But to remedy the problem and prevent recurrence, you must bring it to
    our attention.
    We have previously enforced an NLRB order finding that an employer violated
    § 8(a)(1) when it asked "its employees to report union solicitation activities." Bank
    of St. Louis v. NLRB, 
    456 F.2d 1234
    , 1235 (8th Cir. 1972) (per curiam). In that case,
    an executive had "received a report from supervisors that some employees were
    'badgering and pestering' other employees during working hours to sign Union
    authorization cards." 
    Id.
     He had then written a letter to employees stating, "[I]f you
    are threatened in any way or subjected to constant badgering by union proponents to
    sign these cards, please report these matters to your Department Head immediately."
    
    Id.
     The NLRB "concluded that in the context of the general anti-union tenor of the
    letter, the concluding paragraph could reasonably be interpreted by the employees to
    request the reporting to management of the names of employees who were engaging
    in persistent union solicitation," and we upheld the Board's determination. 
    Id.
    The facts in the present case are similar to those in Bank of St. Louis, and we
    conclude that substantial evidence supports the Board's determination that Ledbetter's
    statements were unlawful. Although the reporting rule was worded in neutral terms,
    it was announced by Ledbetter immediately after his comments about union
    -11-
    harassment of opponents. And while a statement encouraging employees to report
    harassment might appear harmless, Ledbetter's comments may have been understood
    to equate persistent union activity with harassment. The NLRA allows employees to
    "engage in persistent union solicitation even when it annoys or disturbs the
    employees who are being solicited." Brandeis Mach. & Supply Co. v. NLRB, 
    412 F.3d 822
    , 830 (7th Cir. 2005) (quoting Ryder Truck Rental, Inc., 
    341 N.L.R.B. 761
    ,
    761 (2004)). The company encouraged employees to report such purported
    "harassment" and stated that it would "address the problem." These statements may
    reasonably be understood as a threat of reprisal against employees who solicited their
    coworkers to support or oppose the union. Considering the statements in context, we
    conclude that the Board's determination that Ledbetter's statements were unlawful
    threats was supported by substantial evidence, regardless of whether "we might have
    reached a different decision had the matter been before us de novo." Town &
    Country Elec., Inc. v. NLRB, 
    106 F.3d 816
    , 819 (8th Cir. 1997).
    5. Disparagement of union
    The NLRB determined that Southern's campaign statements violated § 8(a)(1)
    of the NLRA by unlawfully disparaging the union in two ways. First, Southern stated
    that "[t]he union appear[ed] to have plans to take our employees out on strike" as it
    had at Hostess, which the Board interpreted as a threat that continued unionization
    would lead to a strike and plant closure. As discussed above, the Board's conclusion
    that this statement threatened plant closure was reasonable. We therefore uphold the
    Board's determination that the statement was unlawful.
    The Board also concluded that Southern unlawfully disparaged the union "by
    appealing to racial prejudice" by its memo to employees stating that it had "raised
    concerns that the [union] was discriminating against Hispanics through targeted
    grievance allegations." The Board determined that this statement was unlawful
    because it was not supported by additional evidence. The Board's practice, however,
    -12-
    is not to "probe into the truth or falsity of parties' campaign statements." U-Haul Co.
    of Nev., Inc., 
    341 N.L.R.B. 195
    , 195 (2004). Moreover, the NLRB has not shown
    that this statement was a threat to employees. See 
    29 U.S.C. § 158
    (c). The Board has
    not identified any case in which such a statement has been deemed unlawful
    disparagement because it alleges racial prejudice. The NLRB therefore erred in
    concluding that this statement was unlawful.
    6. Impression of surveillance
    Southern also argues that the Board erred in concluding that it violated
    § 8(a)(1) by creating the impression that protected activities were under surveillance
    when it installed surveillance cameras in the break area. We have previously
    concluded that "[c]reating an impression that a company keeps its employees' union
    activities under surveillance violates Section 8(a)(1) because it could inhibit the
    employees' right to pursue union activities untrammeled by fear of possible employer
    retaliation." NLRB v. Chem Fab Corp., 
    691 F.2d 1252
    , 1258 (8th Cir. 1982). The
    company does not appear to dispute this rule but instead claims that the ALJ ignored
    evidence suggesting that employees would not have believed they were under
    surveillance.
    The record contains substantial evidence to support the Board's conclusion.
    Southern installed cameras in the union's meeting space during the decertification
    efforts. The company argues that the cameras pointed only at storage racks and were
    installed as a response to employee complaints of theft from these racks. It also
    argues that it disconnected the camera in the small breakroom, covered it with a black
    garbage bag during union meetings, and received no employee complaint about these
    cameras. The company had, however, only disconnected the camera and covered it
    with a plastic bag after the union held at least one meeting with the camera
    uncovered. Based on the timing and location of the cameras, a reasonable employee
    could have felt that the company had surveilled protected activity for at least one
    -13-
    meeting before the camera was covered. Cf. In re Stevens Creek Chrysler Jeep
    Dodge, Inc., 
    353 N.L.R.B. 1294
    , 1295–96 (2009). We therefore conclude that
    substantial evidence supports the Board's conclusion that the cameras created an
    impression of surveillance, at least for a short period of time.
    7. Employee interrogations
    The Board also determined that Southern violated § 8(a)(1) when it unlawfully
    interrogated employees Phillips, Loudermilk, and Marks for engaging in union
    activity. The company argues that this finding violated its due process rights because
    it had lacked notice of the charge since the administrative complaint had mistakenly
    stated that these interrogations occurred during the captive audience meetings. The
    Board determined that even though there was such an error in the complaint, Southern
    had still been put "on notice of the dates, the individuals, and the basic substance of
    the claim, and the parties fully litigated the matter." The Board's decision issued after
    the company had received notice of the substance of the claim and the parties had
    litigated it, and we therefore decline to find a due process violation. See
    McGraw-Edison Co. v. NLRB, 
    419 F.2d 67
    , 77 (8th Cir. 1969).
    8. Threats of discipline, job loss, and other reprisals
    Southern disputes the ALJ's determinations that the company threatened
    employees with discipline, job loss, and other unspecified reprisals if they engaged
    in union activity. The Board adopted these findings by the ALJ after observing that
    the company had merely offered conclusory exceptions and no argument in response
    to the ALJ recommendations (other than with respect to Southern's harassment
    reporting rule). Since the record shows that Southern filed exceptions and arguments
    disputing the ALJ's determination, the Board erred in adopting the ALJ's
    recommendation as unopposed. We therefore decline to enforce this portion of its
    order.
    -14-
    B. Section 8(a)(3) violations
    Southern next challenges the Board's determination with respect to § 8(a)(3)
    and (1) of the Act. The Board determined that Southern violated § 8(a)(3) and (1) by
    investigating and disciplining employees Loudermilk, Phillips, and Marks. The
    company does not meaningfully challenge the Board's conclusion with respect to
    Loudermilk. It does, however, argue that the Board erred with respect to Phillips and
    Marks.
    Section 8(a)(3) of the NLRA prohibits employers from "discriminati[ng] in
    regard to hire or tenure of employment or any term or condition of employment to
    encourage or discourage membership in any labor organization."1 
    29 U.S.C. § 158
    (a)(3). The NLRB applies the Wright Line analysis "when an employer
    articulates a facially legitimate reason for its [disciplinary] decision, but that motive
    is disputed." NLRB v. RELCO Locomotives, Inc., 
    734 F.3d 764
    , 780 (8th Cir. 2013);
    see also Wright Line, 
    251 N.L.R.B. 1083
     (1980), enforced, 
    662 F.2d 899
     (1st Cir.
    1981). Under Wright Line, the Board's general counsel bears the initial burden "to
    establish that the employee's protected activity was a motivating factor in his or her
    eventual [discipline]." RELCO Locomotives, 734 F.3d at 780 (internal quotation
    marks omitted). The general counsel satisfies this burden by making a prima facie
    showing that "(1) the employee was engaged in protected activity; (2) . . . the
    employer knew of the employee's protected activity; and (3) . . . the employer acted
    as it did on the basis of anti-union animus." Id. (alterations in original) (quoting
    NLRB v. Rockline Indus., 
    412 F.3d 962
    , 966 (8th Cir. 2005)). "If the general counsel
    meets this burden, the conduct is unlawful unless the employer proves it would have
    taken the same action absent the protected activity." 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    1
    Retaliation for protected activity that violates § 8(a)(3) is also a violation of
    § 8(a)(1). See Wilson Trophy Co. v. NLRB, 
    989 F.2d 1502
    , 1510 (8th Cir. 1993).
    -15-
    The company argues that the Board lacked sufficient evidence to support the
    determination that it disciplined Phillips for engaging in protected union related
    activity. Southern issued Phillips a written warning after she had brought an article
    about the Hostess closure onto the bakery floor and given it to another employee.
    The company claims that it disciplined Phillips under a legitimate rule banning
    newspapers on the floor in order to protect sanitation and safety. The Board
    determined that the company's investigation and discipline of Phillips showed,
    however, that it had been unlawfully motivated by anti union animus. Phillips
    testified that other unnamed employees regularly brought newspapers onto the floor
    and had not been investigated or punished. This testimony was sufficient to support
    the inference that Southern disciplined Phillips based on anti union animus. The
    company failed to prove it would have similarly disciplined her if she had not passed
    along a union related article. The Board's determination was thus supported by
    substantial evidence.
    Southern similarly claims that the Board lacked sufficient evidence to support
    its determination that the company had unlawfully punished Marks for her union
    activity. Marks was an active union supporter, and the company issued her a one
    week suspension and final warning after she left her work area for five minutes to use
    the restroom, having been unable to find a supervisor to ask for permission. The
    Board adopted the ALJ's determination that this discipline was an unlawful response
    to her union activity and that the company had failed to show that it would have
    issued the same discipline if Marks had not been actively involved in the union. The
    record shows that other employees who took similar breaks had not received such
    harsh punishment. This evidence is sufficient to support the Board's determination
    that Southern was motivated by anti union animus, and the company did not prove
    otherwise.
    -16-
    C. Section 8(a)(5) violations
    Southern finally argues that the Board erred by determining that it failed to
    bargain with the union as required by § 8(a)(5) of the NLRA.2 See 
    29 U.S.C. § 158
    (a)(5). The Board concluded that Southern had failed to meet its § 8(a)(5)
    obligations by installing surveillance cameras in the break area without first
    negotiating with the union,3 restricting union access to the bakery, withdrawing
    recognition of the union in July 2013, and unilaterally increasing employee wages in
    September 2013.4
    1. Union access to bakery
    The Board determined that Southern violated § 8(a)(5) and (1) by limiting the
    union's access to the plant in a number of ways. First, it upheld the ALJ's finding that
    the company had barred the union from entering the bakery to visit with employees
    between March and November 2012. Southern argues that it banned only one union
    representative, Cesar Calderon, from the plant during that period, implying that other
    union representatives would have been allowed to meet with employees at the plant.
    The record shows, however, that Ledbetter refused access to another union official,
    2
    A violation of § 8(a)(5) for failure to bargain with a union is also a violation
    of § 8(a)(1) because it interferes with employees' collective bargaining rights. See
    Metromedia, Inc., KMBC-TV v. NLRB, 
    586 F.2d 1182
    , 1188 (8th Cir. 1978).
    3
    Southern does not dispute that it violated the Act by installing surveillance
    cameras without first bargaining or notifying the union. We therefore uphold the
    Board's determination on this matter.
    4
    The company's only argument with respect to the September 2013 wage
    increase is that since its withdrawal of union recognition was lawful, it was under no
    obligation to bargain before raising wages. Because we uphold the Board's
    determination that the withdrawal of recognition was unlawful, as explained below,
    we also uphold the Board's determination that the wage increase violated § 8(a)(5).
    -17-
    David Woods, in July 2012. Even though Ledbetter offered conflicting testimony to
    the effect that union representatives other than Calderon would have been allowed to
    visit the plant, we conclude that there was sufficient evidence to support the Board's
    determination that the company had restricted all union access during this time.5
    Southern also challenges the Board's conclusion that, even when union
    representatives were allowed to visit the bakery, the company had violated the NLRA
    because it only permitted union visits for the purpose of ensuring that the collective
    bargaining agreement was being followed. Although the agreement provided that a
    union representative would be allowed to visit the Southern plant after giving notice
    to the company for the purpose of ensuring that the agreement was being carried out,
    the Board adopted the ALJ's finding that in practice such visits had not been so
    limited. Under the NLRA, if "an employer has a past practice of providing union
    representatives access to its facilities, that past practice becomes a term and condition
    of employment that cannot be changed without first notifying and bargaining with the
    union to agreement or good faith impasse." Frankl ex rel. NLRB v. HTH Corp., 
    693 F.3d 1051
    , 1064 (9th Cir. 2012). To establish a past practice, however, the party
    bound by such a practice must have been aware of its existence. See In re Regency
    Heritage Nursing & Rehab. Ctr., 
    353 N.L.R.B. 1027
    , 1027–28 (2009).
    We conclude that the Board has not provided evidence that the company was
    aware that the union had been using its visits to conduct any business other than
    monitoring performance of the collective bargaining agreement. The Board therefore
    erred by finding Southern violated the NLRA by making efforts to restrict the union's
    visits other than those described in the collective bargaining agreement. The Board
    5
    Southern also disputes the determination that at other times it barred union
    visits when the company's union steward was not scheduled to work. Since resolution
    of the union steward issue is not necessary to support our decision that the company
    violated § 8(a)(5) by banning union access, we decline to address the issue. See
    NLRB v. Curtin Matheson Sci., Inc., 
    494 U.S. 775
    , 788 n.8 (1990).
    -18-
    however did not err in determining that the company violated § 8(a)(5) and (1) by
    unilaterally restricting union meetings to a cubicle because the union's meeting space
    was a subject of mandatory bargaining. See BASF Wyandotte Corp., 
    274 N.L.R.B. 978
    , 980 (1985), enforced, 
    798 F.2d 849
     (5th Cir. 1986).
    2. Withdrawal of recognition
    The NLRB concluded that Southern committed an additional violation of
    § 8(a)(5) when it withdrew recognition of the union based on the June 2013
    withdrawal petition. The Board concluded that this petition had been tainted by the
    company's unfair labor practices and therefore ordered the company to continue
    recognizing and bargaining with the union. Southern challenges the Board's
    bargaining order.
    A union generally "enjoys a presumption that its majority representative status
    continues." Bryan Mem'l Hosp. v. NLRB, 
    814 F.2d 1259
    , 1262 (8th Cir. 1987). This
    "presumption can only be rebutted by a good faith belief of the employer, based on
    objective factors, that the union has lost its majority status." NLRB v. Am. Linen
    Supply Co., 
    945 F.2d 1428
    , 1433 (8th Cir. 1991). The "employer is not permitted,
    however, to rely on a union's loss of majority support caused by the employer's own
    unfair labor practices." Radisson Plaza Minneapolis v. NLRB, 
    987 F.2d 1376
    , 1383
    (8th Cir. 1993). To determine "whether a causal relationship exists between the
    unremedied unfair labor practices and the subsequent expression of employee
    disaffection with an incumbent union," the Board considers factors including:
    (1) the length of time between the unfair labor practices and the
    withdrawal of recognition; (2) the nature of the violations, including the
    possibility of a detrimental or lasting effect on employees; (3) the
    tendency of the violations to cause employee disaffection; and (4) the
    effect of the unlawful conduct on employees' morale, organizational
    activities, and membership in the union.
    -19-
    In Re Miller Waste Mills, Inc., 
    334 N.L.R.B. 466
    , 468 (2001), enforced, 
    315 F.3d 951
    (8th Cir. 2003).
    Violations are more likely to "have detrimental and lasting effects" if they
    involve "coercive conduct such as discharge, withholding benefits, and threats to
    shutdown the company operation." Tenneco Auto., Inc. v. NLRB, 
    716 F.3d 640
    , 650
    (D.C. Cir. 2013). Here, Southern's unfair labor practices included implicitly
    threatening to close its bakery, promising benefits if the union was decertified,
    punishing employees for union activity, and restricting the union's access to the
    bakery. Given the nature and extent of Southern's unfair labor practices in the months
    leading up to the June 2013 withdrawal petition, as described above, we conclude that
    substantial evidence supports the Board's conclusion that the company had tainted
    such petition.
    Southern argues that the Board erred in ordering it to bargain with the union
    because a majority of bargaining unit employees opposed the union, as shown by the
    December 2011 and May 2012 decertification petitions. The 2011 petition did not
    show that the union lacked majority support, however, because, as the Board
    determined at the time, Southern had assisted in that petition, leading to an unfair
    labor practice charge that was later settled. A decertification petition that has been
    assisted by the employer is tainted and does not show a lack of majority support. See
    Am. Linen, 
    945 F.2d at
    1433–34.
    The 2012 petition also failed to show a lack of majority support for the union
    because Southern's unfair labor practices had tainted this petition. In the company's
    previous appeal of the bargaining injunction, we stated that "the unrefuted evidence
    before us indicates a majority of Southern Bakeries' employees have not supported
    the Union since at least May 2012 when Hankins circulated his first petition."
    McKinney, 786 F.3d at 1124. We explained that "[a]lthough the Director alleged
    Southern Bakeries solicited the 2011 petition, an allegation the Company settled
    -20-
    while denying any fault, the Director has not pointed to evidence suggesting the 2012
    petition is not a genuine reflection of employee sentiment." Id. at 1124 n.5.
    On its current appeal, however, the Board has produced evidence that the
    company first limited—then barred—union access to the bakery during the two
    months before the May 2012 decertification petition. Beginning on March 20,
    Southern had restricted the union representative's access to the breakroom so
    Calderon could then only meet with employees in the adjacent vending machine area.
    Although Banks did offer to contact any employee with whom Calderon wanted to
    meet, he would do so only after Calderon identified the employee as well as the topic
    for discussion. The meeting area was visible to management, and employees were
    aware that anyone in attendance could be observed. Three days later, on March 23,
    Southern banned Calderon from any visits to bakery employees during the work day,
    allegedly because of harassment complaints not found credible by the ALJ. On this
    record there was sufficient evidence to support the Board's findings that the 2012
    petition was tainted by the company's unfair labor practices.
    III. Conclusion
    For these reasons we grant Southern's petition for review in part and deny it in
    part, and grant the Board's cross petition for enforcement in part and deny it in part,
    as described above.
    GRUENDER, Circuit Judge, concurring in part and dissenting in part.
    By its own terms, the National Labor Relations Act (“NLRA”) is designed to
    protect workers, not unions. See 
    29 U.S.C. § 157
    ; see also, e.g., Lechmere, Inc. v.
    NLRB, 
    502 U.S. 527
    , 532 (1992) (“[T]he NLRA confers rights only on employees, not
    on unions or their nonemployee organizers.”). Notwithstanding this clear statutory
    mandate, the Board’s decision protects a union at the expense of employees. It does
    -21-
    so by trumpeting several alleged unfair labor practices (“ULPs”), the majority of
    which are unsupported by substantial evidence. Because I believe that “[t]he wrongs
    of the parent should not be visited on the children, and the violations of [this
    employer] should not be visited on these employees,” Overnite Transp. Co., 
    333 N.L.R.B. 1392
    , 1398 (2001) (Member Hurtgen, dissenting), I respectfully dissent
    from the bulk of the court’s opinion.6
    I.
    Southern Bakeries (“SBC” or “the Company”) operates a commercial bakery
    in Hope, Arkansas. SBC began operations in 2005, when it purchased assets from the
    defunct Meyer’s Bakeries and hired most of its employees. As Meyer’s successor,
    SBC recognized the Bakery, Confectionary, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers
    International Union, Local 111 (“BCTGM” or “the Union”) as the collective-
    bargaining agent for the two hundred or so employees in its production and sanitation
    unit. The Company and the Union subsequently entered into several collective
    bargaining agreements (“CBAs”), the most recent of which expired in February 2012.
    Employee-led efforts to remove BCTGM started a few years after SBC took
    over the bakery. In 2009, an SBC employee filed a “decertification petition” seeking
    to oust BCTGM. The National Labor Relations Board (“NLRB” or “the Board”) held
    an election, but a majority of employees voted to retain the Union. Two years later,
    employee Nadine Pugh led another decertification campaign. Although a majority
    6
    While I might have reached a different conclusion if unencumbered by the
    deference we accord agency determinations, I concur in sections II.A.6-7 and II.B as
    to the findings that Southern created an impression of surveillance, interrogated
    certain employees, and unlawfully investigated and disciplined these employees. I
    also agree that Southern did not communicate that unionization was futile, disparage
    unions, or threaten discipline or other reprisals, per sections II.A.2, II.A.5, and II.A.8.
    -22-
    of unit employees called for BCTGM’s ouster in this new petition, the Union filed
    “blocking charges.” SBC ultimately settled the allegations with the Board without
    admitting fault, but the Board never held an election.
    In May 2012, employee-amicus John Hankins filed yet another decertification
    petition that was signed by 59 percent of unit employees. This prompted the NLRB
    to schedule a new decertification election for February 7, 2013. Over the intervening
    eight months, SBC and the Union continued a long-running dispute over BCTGM’s
    access to the facility. Also during the campaign period, in January and early February
    2013, SBC made its opposition to the Union known in several ways. First, the
    Company posted a memorandum suggesting that the Union was planning to lead a
    strike similar to one it organized at Hostess Bakeries, which SBC tied directly to the
    loss of more than 18,000 jobs at Hostess. Second, SBC’s executive vice president
    and general manager, Rickey Ledbetter, gave a series of captive-audience speeches
    intended to highlight certain negative facts about unionization. These speeches were
    critical of unions in general and of BCTGM in particular. For instance, Ledbetter
    repeatedly referenced the Hostess layoffs and suggested that unions had “strangled”
    Hostess and a variety of companies in other industries. At the same time, Ledbetter
    assured employees that SBC would not retaliate if BCTGM won the election and
    pledged to continue bargaining with the Union if it were retained. Additionally, he
    told employees, “If any of you are harassed or threatened on any basis during this
    election campaign, regardless of whether you are for or against the [U]nion, we want
    to know about it immediately so we can address the problem, just as we always have.
    We will not tolerate the abuse of any employee rights in this work place.” See ante
    at 11 (emphasis added). After these speeches, the Union filed another set of blocking
    charges, and the NLRB once again postponed the election pending an investigation.7
    7
    As this court once observed in another blocking-order case, “it appears clearly
    inferable . . . that one of the purposes of the Union in filing the unfair practice
    charge[s] was to abort [the] petition for an election.” See NLRB v. Hart Beverage
    -23-
    Undeterred, but frustrated by what he considered to be stall tactics, Hankins
    changed strategy. Based on the advice of the National Right to Work Foundation, he
    and another employee circulated a “withdrawal petition,” which would allow for the
    end of BCTGM representation without an election. Out of 200 unit employees, 66
    percent signed the withdrawal petition calling for the Union’s ouster. In July 2013,
    after verifying the authenticity of the signatures, SBC withdrew recognition of
    BCTGM, denied further Union access to the plant, ceased dues checkoffs, and,
    several months later, raised employee wages by an average of 27 cents per hour.
    In response, the NLRB Regional Director filed a consolidated complaint
    against SBC with the Board on January 10, 2014. An administrative law judge
    (“ALJ”) held a four-day hearing on the matter the following month. In mid-July
    2014, the ALJ issued a decision finding that SBC committed a series of ULPs that
    together “spawned significant disaffection.” Specifically, the ALJ held that SBC had
    violated section 8(a)(1) of the NLRA, by interrogating employees about their union
    activities, making unlawful campaign statements, promulgating a
    harassment-reporting rule, and disparaging the Union; sections 8(a)(3) and 8(a)(1),
    by investigating and disciplining certain employees; and sections 8(a)(5) and 8(a)(1),
    by unilaterally installing two cameras in the break area, changing BCTGM’s access
    rights, wrongfully withdrawing recognition of the Union, and unilaterally raising
    employee pay after the BCTGM’s ouster. See ante at 6 (explaining the specific
    allegations in greater detail). Based on these findings, the ALJ ordered SBC to
    recognize and bargain with BCTGM as the collective-bargaining representative for
    unit employees, among other remedies.
    Prior to the issuance of the ALJ decision, in February 2014, the NLRB
    Regional Director sought section 10(j) injunctive relief in federal court to force SBC
    Co., 
    445 F.2d 415
    , 420 (8th Cir. 1971). See generally Brief for John Hankins as
    Amicus Curiae at 2 n.2 (discussing the strategic use of blocking charges).
    -24-
    to bargain with BCTGM. On August 14, 2014, the district court granted the NLRB’s
    request to reinstate the Union with immediate effect. SBC then appealed the grant of
    the injunction, and we reversed in McKinney ex rel. NLRB v. S. Bakeries, LLC, 
    786 F.3d 1119
    , 1126 (8th Cir. 2015). Specifically, we held that the district court abused
    its discretion in granting the injunction because there was no threat of irreparable
    harm in allowing the case to go through the Board’s normal adjudicatory process. 
    Id. at 1125
    . Central to this holding was the fact that “the Union lacked majority support
    for nearly two years before the Director filed her § 10(j) petition.” See id. While
    acknowledging that there was no need to “resolve whether the Company’s allegedly
    unlawful activities caused the employees’ disaffection [reflected in the withdrawal
    petition],” id. at 1124, we found that “the unrefuted evidence before us indicate[d] a
    majority of [SBC] employees ha[d] not supported the Union since at least May 2012
    when Hankins circulated his first petition,” id. In other words, although the February
    2013 vote had been canceled, there was no indication that the petition represented
    anything other than a “genuine reflection of employee sentiment,” id. at 1124 n.5,
    confirming evidence that BCTGM “had long been out of favor,” id. at 1125.
    Meanwhile, both parties filed exceptions to the initial ALJ decision, and a
    three-member panel of the Board adopted the ALJ’s findings and conclusions in
    nearly all respects. S. Bakeries, LLC, 364 N.L.R.B. No. 64, at *1 (Aug. 4, 2016).
    Where the Board departed, it did so in favor of the Union. For example, the Board
    accepted the NLRB General Counsel’s exceptions regarding SBC’s promulgation of
    a harassment-reporting rule and interrogation of employees. Id. at *1, *5-7. It also
    affirmed the ALJ’s determination that SBC engaged in various unlawful campaign
    activities. Id. at *2-5. Member Miscimarra dissented as to the findings concerning
    campaign statements, the harassment-reporting rule, and disparagement of the Union.
    Id. at *9-10 (Member Miscimarra, dissenting in part). Additionally, the Board
    ordered the reinstatement of the Union. SBC now appeals this order, as well as each
    of the ULP findings, and the Board cross-petitions for enforcement of its order.
    -25-
    II.
    My primary concern with the Board’s decision is that, based on a number of
    questionable findings, it imposes BCTGM on an unconsenting group of workers who
    have repeatedly indicated a desire to be free from its representation. Worse still, the
    resulting harm to employees could go on indefinitely, as the bargaining order blocks
    any future decertification election until the NLRB determines that a “reasonable time”
    has passed. See Lee Lumber & Bldg. Material Corp. v. NLRB, 
    117 F.3d 1454
    , 1460
    (D.C. Cir. 1997) (per curiam). Given my view that “the Board’s actions in this matter
    are more consistent with the role of an advocate than an adjudicator,” see Fred Meyer
    Stores, Inc. v. NLRB, 
    865 F.3d 630
    , 642-43 (D.C. Cir. 2017), I would not make
    employees wait any longer to exercise their free will.
    “We review appeals from the National Labor Relations Board with deference,”
    NLRB v. Hardesty Co., Inc., 
    308 F.3d 859
    , 862 (8th Cir. 2002), and “[w]e will enforce
    the Board’s order if [it] correctly applied the law and its factual findings are
    supported by substantial evidence on the record as a whole,” ConAgra Foods, Inc. v.
    NLRB, 
    813 F.3d 1079
    , 1084 (8th Cir. 2016) (quotation omitted); see also Fred Meyer
    Stores, 865 F.3d at 636 (“Judicial review of NLRB determinations in unfair labor
    practice cases is generally limited, but not so deferential that the court will merely act
    as a rubber stamp for the Board’s conclusions.” (citation omitted)). While we defer
    to the Board’s interpretation of the NLRA so long as it is rational and consistent with
    the statute, Cellular Sales of Mo., LLC v. NLRB, 
    824 F.3d 772
    , 775 (8th Cir. 2016),
    we review all other conclusions of law de novo, and we are “not obligated to defer to
    [the Board’s] interpretation of Supreme Court precedent under Chevron or any other
    principle,” Owen v. Bristol Care, Inc., 
    702 F.3d 1050
    , 1054 (8th Cir. 2013) (quotation
    omitted). As for factual findings, we have explained that “[s]ubstantial evidence is
    more than a mere scintilla. It means such relevant evidence as a reasonable mind
    might accept as adequate to support a conclusion.” ConAgra Foods, 813 F.3d at 1084
    (citation omitted). We also are required, however, to consider adverse evidence and
    -26-
    to weigh the strengths and weaknesses of the Board’s inferences. Nichols Aluminum,
    LLC v. NLRB, 
    797 F.3d 548
    , 553 (8th Cir. 2015). While the Board is permitted to
    draw reasonable inferences based on the record, it cannot rely on “suspicion, surmise,
    implications, or plainly incredible evidence.” 
    Id.
     (citation omitted). Because several
    of the Board’s conclusions regarding the alleged violations of sections 8(a)(1) and
    8(a)(5) either are not supported by substantial evidence or are based on a
    misapplication of governing law, I respectfully dissent from the portions of the
    court’s opinion upholding these findings.
    A. Section 8(a)(1) violations
    Section 7 of the NLRA guarantees employees “the right . . . to form, join, or
    assist labor organizations, to bargain collectively . . . and to engage in other concerted
    activities for the purpose of collective bargaining [as well as] the right to refrain from
    any or all of such activities.” 
    29 U.S.C. § 157
    . Section 8(a)(1), in turn, makes it an
    unfair labor practice for employers “to interfere with, restrain, or coerce employees
    in the exercise of [their] rights” under section 7. 
    Id.
     § 158(a)(1). At the same time,
    an employer retains the right to communicate to employees “any of his general views
    about unionism or any of his specific views about a particular union . . . so long as the
    communications do not contain a ‘threat of reprisal or force or promise of benefit.’”
    NLRB v. Gissel Packing Co., 
    395 U.S. 575
    , 618 (1969) (quoting 
    29 U.S.C. § 158
    (c));
    see also Fred Meyer Stores, 865 F.3d at 642 (“[W]ords of disparagement alone
    concerning a union or its officials are insufficient for finding a violation of Section
    8(a)(1).” (citation omitted)); Children’s Ctr. for Behavioral Dev., 
    347 N.L.R.B. 35
    ,
    35 (2006) (“[A]n employer may criticize, disparage, or denigrate a union without
    running afoul of Section 8(a)(1), provided that its expression of opinion does not
    threaten employees or otherwise interfere with the Section 7 rights of employees.”).
    See generally U.S. Const. amend. I.
    -27-
    The Board found that SBC committed eight ULPs under section 8(a)(1), and
    the court affirms five of these determinations. See ante at 9-10, 12-14. I believe that
    the Board erred in its conclusions concerning three of the remaining five purported
    unfair labor practices—that SBC threatened plant closure, promised benefits, and
    promulgated an unlawful rule—because its findings impermissibly relied on
    suspicion and implications and failed to adequately account for adverse evidence.
    1. Threats of plant closure
    The Board’s conclusion that SBC unlawfully threatened plant closure involved
    three related errors. First, the Board incorrectly applied the Supreme Court’s decision
    in NLRB v. Gissel Packing Co. by implying that Ledbetter’s statements were
    predictions about “precise effects.” See 
    395 U.S. at 618
    . Second, the Board
    misinterpreted as threats Ledbetter’s comments about the potential economic effects
    of union retention. Finally, the Board gave insufficient weight to the numerous
    instances in which SBC expressed its commitment to continue bargaining with the
    Union if it were retained, mitigating any reasonable perception of a threat.
    a. No predictions of “precise effects”
    The Board applied the wrong standard in concluding that Ledbetter’s campaign
    statements were unlawful because they were not “carefully phrased on the basis of
    objective fact.” See S. Bakeries, 364 N.L.R.B. No. 64, at *4 (quoting Gissel, 
    395 U.S. at 618
    ). Under Gissel, not all campaign speech is required to meet this stringent
    standard. See 
    395 U.S. at 618
    . Rather, the “carefully phrased” requirement applies
    only to an employer’s statements that “make a prediction as to the precise effects he
    believes unionization will have on his company.” 
    Id.
     (emphasis added).
    Notwithstanding the Board’s insinuations to the contrary, the record betrays no
    indication that Ledbetter made a single “prediction” of the “precise effects” that
    -28-
    retaining BCTGM would have on employees, such as layoffs or closure. Instead, as
    dissenting Member Miscimarra explained, “Ledbetter merely conveyed general views
    about unionization (e.g., that unions have ‘strangled’ companies in various industries)
    and views on a particular union (that the BCTGM had contributed to the demise of
    Hostess).” S. Bakeries, 364 N.L.R.B. No. 64, at *15 (Member Miscimarra, dissenting
    in part). Even Ledbetter’s statements about the potential impact that a retention vote
    could have on SBC’s success in a competitive market were cabined to general
    observations about how unions can affect a company’s ability to compete. “Of course
    the employees are free to draw their own conclusions therefrom, but employee
    conclusions are certainly not to be viewed as employer predictions.” Michael’s
    Markets, 
    274 N.L.R.B. 826
    , 826 (1985); see also Crown Cork & Seal Co. v. NLRB,
    
    36 F.3d 1130
    , 1134 (D.C. Cir. 1994) (finding that a letter could not be read to
    threaten plant closure because it linked job preservation to the plant’s ability to
    compete regardless of unionization); EDP Med. Comput. Sys., Inc., 
    284 N.L.R.B. 1232
    , 1264 (1987) (holding that employers have a “right to . . . stat[e] ‘economic
    reality’ by informing employees of [unionized companies that had closed].”).
    The Board erroneously imposed Gissel’s “carefully phrased” requirement on
    all campaign speech involving “predictions.” However, as the D.C. and Sixth
    Circuits have held in interpreting Gissel, such general commentary does not trigger
    the “carefully phrased” standard. See, e.g., Flamingo Hilton-Laughlin v. NLRB, 
    148 F.3d 1166
    , 1173 (D.C. Cir. 1998) (concluding that statements such as “loss to
    employees was an inevitable consequence of their unionizing” are “partisan, but
    largely permissible”); NLRB v. Pentre Elec., Inc., 
    998 F.2d 363
    , 369 (6th Cir. 1993)
    (“[A]n employer may make predictions of consequences that will occur no matter
    how well disposed the company is toward unions, and such predictions are not
    unlawful threats of retaliation . . . [where] nothing in the record demonstrates that the
    predicted consequences were driven by [the employer’s] desire to punish employees
    for a pro-union vote.”), abrogated on other grounds by Holly Farms Corp. v. NLRB,
    
    517 U.S. 392
    , 409 (1996). These circuits instead preserve the “highly desirable
    -29-
    [exchange of ideas wherein] employees involved in a union campaign . . . hear all
    sides of the question in order that they may exercise the informed and reasoned
    choice that is their right.” NLRB v. Lenkurt Elec. Co., 
    438 F.2d 1102
    , 1108 (9th Cir.
    1971). As such, I would follow these courts in concluding that there are campaign
    predictions, like Ledbetter’s, that do not trigger the “carefully phrased” requirement.
    b. Economic predictions and historic references
    The Board also erred by misconstruing SBC’s campaign statements as threats
    of plant closure. While there is often a risk that employer predictions concerning the
    consequences of unionization could be interpreted as a pledge to effectuate them, that
    danger alone is insufficient to convert such predictions into unlawful threats of
    reprisal. See NLRB v. Village IX, Inc., 
    723 F.2d 1360
    , 1367 (7th Cir. 1983)
    (distinguishing between predictions of inevitability and threats of retaliation). Based
    on their plain meaning, the comments at issue here merely conveyed SBC’s opinions
    as to the potential economic repercussions that might accompany union retention,
    based in part on a historical reference to the Hostess layoffs and other past plant
    closures. Nevertheless, in a single, conclusory sentence, the court suggests that
    SBC’s references to the Hostess closure and Ledbetter’s speeches were “phrased to
    predict that unionization would inevitably cause the plant to close” and thus
    constituted an implicit threat against union retention. See ante at 9 (quoting NLRB
    v. Noll Motors, Inc., 
    433 F.2d 853
    , 856 (8th Cir. 1970)).
    Yet, “as the dictionaries tell us, a ‘threat of reprisal’ means a ‘threat of
    retaliation’ and this in turn means not a prediction that adverse consequences will
    develop but a threat that they will be deliberately inflicted in return for an injury—‘to
    return evil for evil.’” Crown Cork & Seal Co., 
    36 F.3d at 1138
     (citation omitted).
    “For a statement to constitute a threat, it must at least purport to describe an action
    the speaker or author of the statement may take.” S. Bakeries, 364 N.L.R.B. No. 64,
    at *12 (Member Miscimarra, dissenting in part). Neither the court nor the Board
    -30-
    point to a single instance where Ledbetter predicted “the precise effects that
    continued unionization would have on the Hope bakery, and he certainly did not
    either state or predict that the Hope bakery would close unless employees voted to
    decertify the Union.” Id. at *15. In discussing how SBC might respond to retention,
    Ledbetter did not so much as hint at retaliation or otherwise imply that the Company
    would “throw employees out of work regardless of the economic realities.” See
    Gissel, 
    395 U.S. at 619
    . Rather, he described only what the Union might do and the
    economic impact that could result.
    An employer is free to tell employees “what he reasonably believes will be the
    likely economic consequences of unionization that are outside his control,” as
    distinguished from “threats of economic reprisal to be taken solely on his own
    volition.” 
    Id. at 619
     (citation omitted). Otherwise, “[i]f § 8(c) does not permit an
    employer to counter promises of pie in the sky with reasonable warnings that the pie
    may be a mirage, it would indeed keep Congress’ wor[d] of promise to the ear but
    break it to the hope.” NLRB v. River Togs, Inc., 
    382 F.2d 198
    , 202 (2nd Cir. 1967).
    Accordingly, I believe the Board erred by inferring unlawful threats from SBC’s
    economic predictions about unionization and references to relevant historic events.
    c. Commitment to continued good-faith bargaining
    The final consideration weighing against the Board’s finding that SBC
    threatened plant closure is that SBC repeatedly and consistently committed to bargain
    with the Union if employees voted for retention. In his speeches, Ledbetter reiterated
    this point in various ways, such as: “I want to stress that if the [U]nion were somehow
    to win the election and continue to represent you, we wouldn’t reduce wages,
    benefits, or working conditions just because the [U]nion won.” These and other
    similar pledges led Member Miscimarra to conclude that SBC effectively conveyed
    the sentiment that “[the Company] would continue to bargain in good faith with the
    Union . . . [and] would not retaliate by making unfavorable changes ‘just because the
    -31-
    [U]nion won.’” S. Bakeries, 364 N.L.R.B. No. 64, at *16 (Member Miscimarra,
    dissenting in part). The Board inexplicably discounted these statements solely on the
    basis of the general anti-union tenor of the campaigning speeches. This represents
    a failure to properly consider adverse evidence.
    In sum, I believe the Board’s conclusion that SBC implicitly threatened plant
    closure is not supported by substantial evidence because the campaign statements at
    issue did not involve predictions of precise effects, because these statements cannot
    reasonably be interpreted as threats, and further, because SBC assured employees of
    its willingness to continue bargaining with the Union if it were to win retention.
    2. Promises of benefits
    The Board’s finding that SBC unlawfully promised benefits is likewise
    unsupported by substantial evidence. As noted above, SBC has a statutorily protected
    right to comment on the potential economic consequences of unionization. See River
    Togs, 
    382 F.2d at
    202 (citing 
    29 U.S.C. § 158
    (c)). Further, employers “may make
    truthful statements to employees concerning benefits available to their represented
    and unrepresented employees, may compare wages and benefits at their unionized and
    non-unionized facilities, and may offer an opinion, based on such comparisons, that
    employees would be better off without a union.” Unifirst Corp., 
    346 N.L.R.B. 591
    ,
    593 (2006). Here, SBC provided employees with wage information for non-
    represented employees, which showed that these workers received higher pay and
    more frequent raises than their unionized colleagues. Also, in one speech, Ledbetter
    said, “If you think about the issue logically, you will know the answer to the question
    of what will happen to your wage, benefits and working conditions if the . . . [U]nion
    is voted out.” Yet, earlier in the same speech, he described SBC’s desire to work with
    the Union to find a balance between competitiveness, wages, and job security.
    -32-
    The Board read these expressions as an implied promise of wage increases in
    exchange for decertification. In reality, however, the statements merely explained
    that SBC would have more money if not for the expenses associated with
    unionization—such as administrative costs and legal fees—and suggested that some
    of the added funds could flow to employees. Of course, employees also would enjoy
    direct savings by avoiding union dues. In these respects, this case is similar to Deer
    Creek Mining Co., 
    308 N.L.R.B. 743
     (1992). There, the Board found no implied
    promise in an employer’s verbal acknowledgement that “the costs of existing union
    benefits plans were so high that the [employer] could not afford to pay them without
    reducing existing wages.” Id. at 743. Similarly, Ledbetter’s statements conveyed
    objective economic facts beyond SBC’s control. As such, substantial evidence does
    not support the conclusion that SBC made an implied promise of benefits.
    3. Harassment-reporting rule
    While I accept the Board’s finding that SBC’s application of its
    harassment-reporting policy violated section 8(a)(3), I disagree that the promulgation
    of this rule was itself an independent violation of section 8(a)(1)—if indeed
    Ledbetter’s comment can be interpreted as a rule at all. See S. Bakeries, 364 N.L.R.B.
    No. 64, at *17-18 (Member Miscimarra, dissenting in part) (“Ledbetter did not issue
    a generally applicable directive or rule, and he did not threaten anyone with discipline
    if they neglected to report being harassed or threatened. Rather, Ledbetter indicated
    a desire to know if anyone were threatened or harassed.”). It strains credulity to
    suggest that encouraging employees to report harassment would “reasonably tend to
    chill employees in the exercise of their Section 7 rights,” see Lafayette Park Hotel,
    
    326 N.L.R.B. 824
    , 825 (1998), enforced, 
    203 F.3d 52
     (D.C. Cir. 1999). The court
    cites Bank of St. Louis v. NLRB in support of its position that the promulgation of a
    harassment-reporting requirement constitutes a ULP. See ante at 11 (citing 
    456 F.2d 1234
    , 1235 (8th Cir. 1972) (per curiam)). However, Bank of St. Louis involved a rule
    requiring employees to report only union-solicitation activities. 
    456 F.2d at 1235
    .
    -33-
    Ledbetter’s neutral harassment-reporting policy—which covered all employees,
    “whether [they were] for or against the union”—is far different.
    Furthermore, employees could not “reasonably construe” the plain wording of
    SBC’s purported rule to prohibit protected speech, as it targeted only harassment,
    which falls outside the protection of section 7. The Board ignores the fact that
    “[h]arassment and intimidation are not protected union activities” and that “offensive,
    hostile language and threats are not protected even if under the guise of union
    activity.” NLRB v. Arkema, Inc., 
    710 F.3d 308
    , 316 (5th Cir. 2013). Although
    employees are certainly allowed to engage in union solicitation and employers cannot
    treat this protected activity as harassment, SBC has a right and a responsibility to
    create a workplace environment free from harassment and threats. See Martin Luther
    Mem’l Home, Inc., 
    343 N.L.R.B. 646
    , 648-49 (2004) (holding that rules prohibiting
    harassment were lawful because “employees have a right to a workplace free of
    unlawful harassment, and both employees and employers have a substantial interest
    in promoting a workplace that is ‘civil and decent’” (citation omitted)). The timing
    of Ledbetter’s statement coincided with the period when harassment was most likely
    to occur, the prohibited conduct is clearly distinguishable from legitimate solicitation,
    and the context of the alleged rule, taken together, suggest that SBC wanted to protect
    against abusive activity in light of an increasingly acrimonious campaign. Moreover,
    the policy contained no threat of sanction and applied to both sides of the debate; it
    simply was an invitation to employees on all sides to bring incidents of harassment
    to the attention of the Company. This neutral wording also belies the argument that
    the policy was promulgated in response to protected activity. Unlike the court, I
    would not require employers to hesitate before acting to maintain order in the
    workplace for fear of being held to task by the Board.
    B. Section 8(a)(5) violations
    Section 8(a)(5) makes it “an unlawful labor practice for an employer . . . to
    refuse to bargain collectively with the representatives of his employees.” 29 U.S.C.
    -34-
    § 158(a)(5). An employer violates this section by failing to notify or bargain with a
    union before changing the terms and conditions of employment. While I agree with
    the court that SBC impermissibly installed two surveillance cameras in the break area
    without negotiation, I respectfully dissent from its findings that the Company violated
    section 8(a)(5) by restricting Union access to the facility, withdrawing recognition of
    the Union in July 2013, and increasing wages shortly thereafter.
    1. Union access rights
    First, the Board lacked substantial evidence to support its finding that SBC
    “prohibit[ed] all access between March and November 2012, and at other times
    thereafter.” S. Bakeries, 364 N.L.R.B. No. 64, at *31-32 (emphasis added). At most,
    SBC temporarily barred one BCTGM representative (Cesar Calderon) after repeatedly
    warning him of numerous violations of the CBA and denied access to a second
    representative (David Woods) until he read the terms of the CBA—both while
    expressing a willingness to allow visits from other nonemployee union
    representatives. As the D.C. Circuit recently explained, “nonemployee union agents
    on an employer’s premises for the purpose of communicating with represented
    employees are engaged in activities protected by Section 7 of the [NLRA] only to the
    extent that they comply with the parties’ contractual access clause.” Fred Meyer
    Stores, 865 F.3d at 637. Accordingly, “to establish a NLRA violation, the General
    Counsel of the NLRB carries the burden to show the Union representatives were in
    compliance with the parties’ Access Agreement.” Id. (citation omitted). Because the
    CBA created only a limited visitation right “for the purpose of seeing that the
    Agreement is being observed” and because BCTGM violated the terms of the CBA
    on numerous occasions, I believe SBC had the right to exclude the two
    representatives in question. More importantly, the Board offered no evidence
    rebutting SBC’s claim that it would have allowed other Union representatives to visit
    during the alleged period of exclusion. Thus, because the Board failed to meet its
    -35-
    burden and because substantial evidence does not support its factual determinations,
    I would conclude that SBC did not violate section 8(a)(5) by restricting union access.
    2. Withdraw of recognition
    Second, I disagree that SBC unlawfully withdrew recognition from BCTGM
    as the unit’s collective-bargaining representative because the Union had lost majority
    support, thereby compelling—or, at the very least, permitting—the Company to take
    this course of action. See Tenneco Auto., Inc. v. NLRB, 
    716 F.3d 640
    , 648 (D.C. Cir.
    2013) (“When an employer has objective evidence that a union has lost majority
    support, such as ‘a petition signed by a majority of the employees in the bargaining
    unit,’ it may unilaterally withdraw recognition.” (citation omitted)); Levitz Furniture
    Co., 
    333 N.L.R.B. 717
    , 724 (2001) (holding that, “[u]nder Board law, if a union
    actually has lost majority support”—as opposed to its status merely being in
    doubt—“the employer must cease recognizing it” (emphasis added)). As the court
    correctly notes, however, employers are not permitted “to rely on a union’s loss of
    majority support caused by the employer’s own unfair labor practices.” See ante at
    9 (quoting Radisson Plaza Minneapolis v. NLRB, 
    987 F.2d 1376
    , 1383 (8th Cir.
    1993)). Thus, the crux of this issue—and the very heart of this appeal—centers on
    whether the Company’s ULPs caused employees disaffection with the Union.
    Because I believe that the Board lacked substantial evidence to establish a causal link
    between any remaining unfair labor practices and the Union’s loss of support, I would
    reverse the Board decision as to this finding and vacate its order reinstating BCTGM.
    “Gissel bargaining orders,” which compel employers to recognize a union, are
    an “extreme remedy” and are “justified only in ‘exceptional circumstances’” because
    they deny employees free choice regarding unionization. Skyline Distribs. v. NLRB,
    
    99 F.3d 403
    , 411 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (citations omitted); see also 
    id. at 410
     (“[A]
    bargaining order is not a snake-oil cure for whatever ails the workplace.” (citation
    omitted)). In fact, “[t]here could be no clearer abridgment of § 7 of the Act . . . [than]
    -36-
    grant[ing] exclusive bargaining status to an agency selected by a minority of its
    employees, thereby impressing that agent upon the nonconsenting majority.” Int’l
    Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union v. NLRB, 
    366 U.S. 731
    , 737 (1961). For this
    reason, “courts have been strict in requiring the Board to justify [such] orders” and
    have required an explanation as to why a less intrusive remedy would be inadequate.
    Skyline Distribs., 
    99 F.3d at 410-11
    . Gissel bargaining orders cannot be enforced
    simply because an employer engaged in even “numerous unfair labor practices,” see
    Harper & Row Publishers, Inc. v. NLRB, 
    476 F.2d 430
    , 435 (8th Cir. 1973), as “not
    every unfair labor practice will taint evidence of a union’s subsequent loss of majority
    support,” Lexus of Concord, Inc., 
    343 N.L.R.B. 851
    , 852 (2004). Instead, “the Board
    has the burden of adducing substantial evidence to support its finding that an
    employer’s unfair labor practices have ‘significantly contributed’ to the erosion of a
    union’s majority support.” Tenneco, 716 F.3d at 648 (citation omitted).
    Where, as here, “the unfair labor practices do not involve a general refusal to
    recognize and bargain with the union, ‘there must be specific proof of a causal
    relationship between the unfair labor practice[s] and the ensuing events indicating a
    loss of support.’” Champion Enters., Inc., 
    350 N.L.R.B. 788
    , 791 (2007) (citation
    omitted).8 Thus, although I acknowledge that SBC committed a few ULPs, the
    8
    I acknowledge that some of our sister circuits have adopted a presumption that
    the commission of any ULP taints subsequent expressions of employee disaffection,
    even without proof of causation. See, e.g., Columbia Portland Cement Co. v. NLRB,
    
    979 F.2d 460
    , 465 (6th Cir. 1992) (citing Fifth and Sixth Circuit cases requiring only
    that a ULP “reasonably tended to contribute to employee disaffection” and rejecting
    the need for a stricter causal showing). However, I would follow the D.C. Circuit’s
    approach, which insists on direct proof of a causal nexus between alleged ULPs and
    a union’s loss of majority support. The former approach, adopted by the Board,
    would allow any ULP, no matter how trivial, to thwart decertification. The folly of
    this approach becomes clear by imagining, for example, that the only unfair labor
    practice SBC committed was replacing the break-room window with plywood.
    Certainly, no one would find this to be a sufficient basis for concluding that SBC
    caused a loss of union support, but the Board’s approach requires precisely that result.
    -37-
    question is not whether the Company engaged in unfair labor practices; it is whether
    there is substantial evidence showing that these labor practices caused or reasonably
    could have caused employee disaffection with the Union.
    I believe that the Board committed two errors in finding such a causal nexus
    here. First, the Board ignored our decision in McKinney, which found that BCTGM
    had lost majority support long before the May 2012 decertification petition. See 786
    F.3d at 1124. If the Union already had lost majority support, it is unclear to me how
    SBC could have caused this disaffection through subsequent acts. Second, although
    the ALJ decision correctly identified the correct framework for analyzing causation
    based on the oft-cited opinion in Master Slack Corp., 
    271 N.L.R.B. 78
    , 84 (1984), its
    analysis was conclusory at best, and neither the Board nor the court offer any
    additional basis for finding causation.
    a. Eighth Circuit precedent confirms pre-ULP loss of majority support
    “[E]vidence that employee disaffection arose prior to, and independently of,
    the [employer’s] unfair labor practice conduct is relevant [to the inquiry into
    causation]” and thus the Board has an obligation to consider it as adverse evidence.
    Lexus of Concord, Inc., 343 N.L.R.B. at 852-53. In McKinney, we found that “the
    unrefuted evidence . . . indicate[d that] a majority of Southern Bakeries’ employees
    ha[d] not supported the Union since at least May 2012 when Hankins circulated his
    first petition.” 786 F.3d at 1124. This petition was signed by 59 percent of unit
    employees. Additionally, dating back to 2009, SBC workers struggled to oust the
    Union with steadily growing momentum. This undisputed history demonstrates the
    Union lost majority support prior to May 2012. The Board failed to adequately
    address this adverse evidence, thereby calling into question its causal determination.
    While McKinney did not find it immediately necessary to “resolve whether the
    Company’s allegedly unlawful activities [before the 2012 decertification petition]
    -38-
    caused the employees’ disaffection,” id., it did note that “the Director has not pointed
    to evidence suggesting the 2012 petition is not a genuine reflection of employee
    sentiment,” id. at 1124 n.5. I believe this still to be the case. In attempting to
    undermine the petition as a valid expression of employee will, the court latches onto
    the only ULP alleged to have occurred prior to May 2012—the temporary bar on
    BCTGM representative Cesar Calderon’s access to the bakery. See ante at 20-21.
    This, the court suggests, was sufficient to cause the employee disaffection that gave
    rise to the decertification petition. See ante at 21. As an initial matter, based on my
    analysis in the previous section, I do not believe that substantial evidence supports
    the Board’s finding that the restriction on Calderon’s access was an unfair labor
    practice. However, even if it was a ULP, I do not believe that the Union lost majority
    support simply because one of its representatives was absent for a few weeks—if so,
    its foothold at SBC was tenuous indeed. Therefore, McKinney demonstrates that
    BCTGM lost majority support irrespective of any ULP committed after May 2012,
    and the Board failed to adduce substantial evidence undermining that conclusion.
    b. Master Slack factors
    Separate and apart from McKinney, I disagree with the Board’s finding that
    substantial evidence established a causal nexus between unfair labor practices and
    employee disaffection. This is especially true given that the ULPs actually supported
    by substantial evidence are fewer and much less severe than what the Board originally
    found. Based on my analysis, I believe that SBC committed only three ULPs that
    could have affected the June 2013 withdraw petition: (1) creating an impression of
    surveillance, (2) interrogating several pro-Union employees, and (3) disciplining
    those same employees. These three ULPs are simply too isolated and minor to have
    caused the Union’s loss of majority support. However, even assuming that the court
    is correct in upholding the additional three ULPs of threatening plant closure,
    promising benefits, and promulgating an unlawful rule, the Board still failed to meet
    -39-
    its burden of adducing substantial evidence to show a causal nexus between these
    labor practices and employee disaffection.
    The Board did not even engage with the issue of causation in its decision,
    instead adopting the ALJ’s analysis of the issue in its entirety. The ALJ began by
    correctly identifying the Master Slack factors as the governing approach for deciding
    whether a causal relationship exists. Under this framework the Board considers: “(1)
    the length of time between the unfair labor practices and the withdrawal of
    recognition; (2) the nature of the illegal acts, including the possibility of their
    detrimental or lasting effect on employees; (3) any possible tendency to cause
    employee disaffection from the union; and (4) the effect of the unlawful conduct on
    employee morale, organizational activities, and membership in the union.” Master
    Slack, 271 N.L.R.B. at 84. However, the ALJ dedicated a mere four sentences to its
    causal analysis, which included little more than a conclusory recitation of the alleged
    ULPs. Without a deeper examination of how the Company’s actions could have
    influenced the employees, I cannot agree with the court’s bald declaration that the
    ALJ’s causal-disaffection determination was supported by substantial evidence. See
    ante at 20. Indeed, a fuller Master Slack analysis suggests the opposite conclusion.
    First, the length of time between the alleged ULPs and the circulation of the
    withdrawal petition weighs in favor of the Union. Although there is some uncertainty
    as to what constitutes a sufficiently short amount of time, compare Columbia
    Portland Cement Co. v. NLRB, 
    979 F.2d 460
    , 465 (6th Cir. 1992) (holding violations
    within one year had sufficient temporal proximity), with Tenneco, 716 F.3d at 649
    (“[A] lapse of months fails to support, and typically weighs against, a finding of close
    temporal proximity.”), it is clear that a strong temporal nexus exists where an
    employer’s unlawful conduct was ongoing at the time of the petition, see Goya Foods
    of Fla., 
    347 N.L.R.B. 1118
    , 1121 (2006), enforced, 
    525 F.3d 1117
     (11th Cir. 2008).
    I agree with the Board’s finding that SBC violated section 8(a)(3) in March and May
    -40-
    2013, just before the withdrawal petition was circulated. Thus, temporal proximity
    supports the Board’s finding of a causal nexus, at least for some of the ULPs.
    The second and third factors—the nature of the violations and their likelihood
    to cause employee disaffection—cut against finding a causal nexus. The ULPs here
    are so innocuous that they could not have had a lasting impact on employees or
    caused widespread loss of Union support. Moreover, neither the ALJ nor the court
    point to evidence that employees were even aware of the offending labor practices.
    Instead, the ALJ relied on sheer speculation to bridge the gap between the charged
    ULPs and employee’s choice by simply pronouncing that SBC’s unfair labor practices
    were “so voluminous and egregious that they naturally spawned significant
    disaffection.” This approach plainly fails to establish “specific proof of a causal
    relationship.” See Champion Enters., 350 N.L.R.B. at 791. Even assuming that SBC
    committed all of the ULPs that the court upholds, the Board failed to produce
    substantial evidence suggesting that these practices had an effect sufficient “to cause
    a large majority of the employees to sign a decertification petition.”9 Tenneco, 716
    F.3d at 650-51. Compared with instances where employers terminated employees,
    refused to bargain with a union, or unilaterally granted benefits to employees, the
    9
    Although there is precedent indicating the coercive nature of several of these
    ULPs, I do not believe such violations can serve as per se proof of causation. This
    is especially true where, as here, there is evidence that most employees were not even
    aware of the practices or at least of their alleged anti-union impetus. For example,
    SBC did not make a public example in disciplining the pro-Union employees, and
    Hankins testified that their names never came up during the withdrawal-petition
    process. Similarly, although there was an ongoing dispute about the Union’s access
    rights, there is nothing in the record showing that BCTGM was ever denied access
    for legitimate purposes or that the alleged limitations “actually prevented
    communications between the employees and the Union.” See Tenneco, 716 F.3d at
    650-51. The Union was even provided with a list of the employees eligible to vote
    in the election and thus had the means of contacting them directly, unlike Tenneco.
    -41-
    Board’s attempt at bundling a group of fairly minor ULPs to create the illusion of a
    coercive atmosphere holds little water.
    The fourth factor—the effect of unlawful conduct on union membership—also
    cuts in favor of SBC because the Board again failed to identify evidence linking the
    impression of surveillance or disciplining of three employees to the Union’s loss of
    majority support. The Board’s reliance on the fact that Union support declined after
    a few alleged ULPs confuses temporal correlation with causation, “rest[ing] more on
    suspicion than on reasonable inference and upon resort to that shopworn logical
    fallacy, post hoc ergo propter hoc.” See Riveredge Hosp., 
    205 N.L.R.B. 931
    , 935
    (1973). Once again, even accepting the additional ULPs the court upholds, there is
    no evidence of causation beyond mere temporal correlation. Indeed, in light of the
    years-long trend of diminishing support for BCTGM, it is difficult to find that the
    ULPs had any effect on employee sentiment. Thus, nothing more than pure inference
    justifies the conclusion that the ULPs caused employee disaffection with the Union.
    Despite the lip service paid to the Master Slack factors, the ALJ seemingly
    rested its causality determination on the same paternalistic assumption that undergirds
    many NLRB decisions in this context—that employees are incapable of navigating
    the election process and making a reasonable, independent decision that advances
    their own best interest. Admittedly, there can be a fine line between coercion and
    persuasion in the context of an employer-employee relationship, and employers
    certainly are capable of unfairly influencing employee sentiment through ULPs. See,
    e.g., UARCO, 286 N.L.R.B. at 79 (“[T]he Board has often found that employees, who
    are particularly sensitive to rumors of plant closings . . . take such hints as coercive
    threats rather than honest forecasts.”). Nevertheless, “[i]t is the very essence of
    election campaigning . . . to convince the voter not to support the other party,”
    Mediplex of Conn., Inc., 
    319 N.L.R.B. 281
    , 289 (1995), and an employer’s ULPs
    should not be assumed to have caused employee disaffection unless there is evidence
    that the specific labor practices influenced, or reasonably could have influenced,
    -42-
    employees’ choice. Attempts to persuade frequently involve disparaging the other
    side’s position, and we must give unions and employers latitude to engage in a
    spirited debate given the importance of the issues at stake. See, e.g., MikLin
    Enterprises, Inc. v. NLRB, 
    861 F.3d 812
    , 837 (8th Cir. 2017) (en banc) (Kelly, J.,
    dissenting) (“By limiting the content of employees’ communications to attacks on the
    employer’s labor practices . . . the court deprive[s] employees of . . . their most cogent
    argument . . .[,] dampen[s] the ardor of labor debate[,] and truncate[s] the free
    discussion envisioned by the Act.” (quotations omitted)).
    When coupled with the findings from McKinney showing that a majority of
    employees stopped supporting the Union well before most of the alleged ULPs, the
    Board utterly disregarded “material evidence that belie[d] any causal relationship
    between the Company’s unfair labor practices and the employees’ petition for
    decertification” and failed to satisfy the Master Slack factors. See Tenneco, 716 F.3d
    at 649. Based on this record, I do not believe that there is substantial evidence of a
    causal relationship between SBC’s unfair labor practices and the Union’s loss of
    majority support. Therefore, I would not enforce this portion of the Board’s order.10
    III.
    The Board’s decision suggests that SBC can neither reference the potential
    negative economic impacts of retaining the Union “regardless of the truth of those
    claims because it will upset the tranquility of the voter,” Mediplex, 319 N.L.R.B. at
    289, nor commit even a single ULP without automatically trammeling the right of
    employees to rid themselves of an unwanted Union. Unfortunately, what often gets
    lost in disputes like this are the unique interests of employees, as distinct from either
    10
    Based on the foregoing analysis, I reject the Board’s determination that the
    wage increases violated section (8)(a)(5), as SBC was no longer obligated to bargain
    with the Union when it granted the raises. See ante at 17 n.4. Accordingly, I also
    would not enforce this portion of the Board’s order.
    -43-
    those of the companies or unions themselves, despite the NLRA’s clear mandate “to
    protect the rights of individual employees.” 
    29 U.S.C. § 141
    (b). And because either
    the Union or SBC may be more closely aligned with those interests depending on the
    circumstances, we should be more concerned with enabling employees to
    “recogniz[e] campaign propaganda for what it is” rather than protecting them from
    the exchange of ideas. See U-Haul Co. of Nevada, Inc., 
    341 N.L.R.B. 195
    , 195
    (2004). In fact, in the present case, there is good reason to believe that the employees
    were more sophisticated than most regarding the decision of whether to retain union
    representation, as they had been through a previous decertification election in 2009
    and witnessed firsthand that SBC did not close its doors or otherwise retaliate after
    BCTGM prevailed.
    This case “demonstrates the lengths to which the Board will go to contort an
    evenhanded Act into an anti-employer manifesto,” DirecTV, Inc. v. NLRB, 
    837 F.3d 25
    , 47 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (Brown, J., dissenting). Rather than checking this agency
    overreach, the court’s decision today rubber-stamps a bargaining order that sacrifices
    the will of employees for the sake of union incumbency.
    ______________________________
    -44-
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 16-3328

Citation Numbers: 871 F.3d 811

Filed Date: 9/27/2017

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

Authorities (37)

National Labor Relations Board v. Wright Line, a Division ... , 662 F.2d 899 ( 1981 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Goya Foods , 525 F.3d 1117 ( 2008 )

National Labor Relations Board v. River Togs, Inc. , 382 F.2d 198 ( 1967 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Basf Wyandotte Corp. , 798 F.2d 849 ( 1986 )

Columbia Portland Cement Company, Petitioner/cross-... , 979 F.2d 460 ( 1992 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Pentre Electric, Inc. , 998 F.2d 363 ( 1993 )

National Labor Relations Board v. American Linen Supply ... , 945 F.2d 1428 ( 1991 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Village Ix, Incorporated, ... , 723 F.2d 1360 ( 1983 )

National Labor Relations Board v. American Firestop ... , 673 F.3d 766 ( 2012 )

A. P. Green Fire Brick Company v. National Labor Relations ... , 326 F.2d 910 ( 1964 )

metromedia-inc-kmbc-tv-v-national-labor-relations-board-local-union , 586 F.2d 1182 ( 1978 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Noll Motors, Inc. , 433 F.2d 853 ( 1970 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Hart Beverage Co. , 445 F.2d 415 ( 1971 )

brandeis-machinery-supply-company-a-wholly-owned-subsidiary-of-bramco , 412 F.3d 822 ( 2005 )

radisson-plaza-minneapolis-v-national-labor-relations-board-hotel , 987 F.2d 1376 ( 1993 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Chem Fab Corporation , 691 F.2d 1252 ( 1982 )

Bryan Memorial Hospital v. National Labor Relations Board , 814 F.2d 1259 ( 1987 )

Wilson Trophy Company v. National Labor Relations Board, ... , 989 F.2d 1502 ( 1993 )

National Labor Relations Board v. Mark I Tune-Up Centers, ... , 691 F.2d 415 ( 1982 )

town-country-electric-inc-v-national-labor-relations-board , 106 F.3d 816 ( 1997 )

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