United States v. Gilbert Lundstrom , 880 F.3d 423 ( 2018 )


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  • United States Court of Appeals
    For the Eighth Circuit
    ___________________________
    No. 16-1860
    ___________________________
    United States of America
    lllllllllllllllllllll Plaintiff - Appellee
    v.
    Gilbert G. Lundstrom
    lllllllllllllllllllll Defendant - Appellant
    ___________________________
    No. 16-2313
    ___________________________
    United States of America
    lllllllllllllllllllll Plaintiff - Appellee
    v.
    Gilbert G. Lundstrom
    lllllllllllllllllllll Defendant - Appellant
    ____________
    Appeals from United States District Court
    for the District of Nebraska - Lincoln
    ____________
    Submitted: June 6, 2017
    Filed: January 19, 2018
    ____________
    Before WOLLMAN, ARNOLD, and GRUENDER, Circuit Judges.
    ____________
    WOLLMAN, Circuit Judge.
    Gilbert Lundstrom, the former Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the
    Board of TierOne Bank, was charged in a thirteen-count indictment with conspiracy
    to commit wire fraud affecting a financial institution, to commit securities fraud, and
    to falsify bank entries, 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 1349
    , 371; wire fraud affecting a financial
    institution, 
    id.
     § 1343; securities fraud; id. § 1348; and falsifying bank entries, id.
    § 1005. The superseding indictment alleged that beginning in or around 2008,
    Lundstrom and others at TierOne devised and executed a scheme to defraud the
    bank’s shareholders and to mislead its regulators by concealing millions of dollars in
    losses related to the failure of certain real estate loans. TierOne’s former President
    and Chief Operating Officer, James Laphen, and former Senior Vice President and
    Chief Credit Officer, Don Langford, pleaded guilty to their roles in the conspiracy
    and, along with other witnesses, testified at the three-week jury trial that resulted in
    Lundstrom’s conviction on twelve counts.
    The district court1 sentenced Lundstrom to 132 months’ imprisonment and
    ordered him to pay $3.1 million in restitution. Lundstrom appeals, challenging the
    denial of his motion for judgment of acquittal, the admission of certain evidence, the
    denial of his motion for a bill of particulars, the jury instructions, the application of
    1
    The Honorable John M. Gerrard, United States District Judge for the District
    of Nebraska.
    -2-
    two sentencing enhancements, the substantive reasonableness of his sentence, and the
    calculation of the restitution award. We affirm.
    Background
    We relate the facts in the light most favorable to the jury’s verdict. See United
    States v. Kelley, 
    861 F.3d 790
    , 796 (8th Cir. 2017) (standard of review). TierOne,
    a commercial bank and financial institution, was headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska,
    and historically focused its lending business on residential loans in Nebraska and
    nearby states. TierOne was required by federal banking laws and regulations to
    disclose its financial condition to the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS), which also
    conducted onsite examinations at least annually and requested written responses to
    other periodic inquiries. Lundstrom became TierOne’s president in 1994 and its CEO
    around 2000. TierOne became a public company in 2002, raising $200 million in
    capital from stock sales to investors. After becoming a public company, TierOne was
    also required to disclose its financial condition to the Securities Exchange
    Commission (SEC) by filing, among other documents, annual and quarterly reports
    that included financial statements audited by an outside accounting firm. As
    TierOne’s CEO, Lundstrom was required to certify that the reports filed with the SEC
    did not contain any material misstatements or omissions of fact.
    Under Lundstrom’s leadership, TierOne expanded its traditional residential
    lending business to include lending for “less conservative” commercial and
    construction projects, many of which were located outside TierOne’s traditional
    midwest lending area (Turbo Assets). TierOne opened “loan production offices”
    around the country, whose sole purpose was to generate Turbo Assets. The Turbo
    Assets strategy had a dramatic impact on TierOne’s loan portfolio: the bank held
    almost $2.5 billion in commercial and construction loans in 2005, compared to $500
    million in 1999. Turbo Assets became the bank’s “biggest growth sector,” while
    residential loans fell from 45% of the bank’s loan portfolio in 2000 to only 12% in
    2005.
    -3-
    Although Turbo Assets originating from loan production offices in Arizona,
    Florida, Nevada, and North Carolina initially performed well, TierOne was also
    exposed to greater risk as a result of the lending strategy. These commercial and
    construction loans involved large sums of money that the bank would recoup only
    after the borrower completed its development or construction project and sold it for
    a price sufficient to cover the amount borrowed.2 As the real estate markets in some
    of TierOne’s new lending territories began to deteriorate in or around 2007, real
    estate prices began to decline, and the builders and developers who had borrowed
    from TierOne had difficulty finding buyers for their projects. When those projects
    did not sell, or sold at reduced prices, the borrowers were less likely to repay their
    loans, in which case TierOne was faced with the prospect of foreclosing on the
    property pledged as collateral for the loan. TierOne’s portfolio of foreclosed
    properties grew from $18.7 million in October 2008 to $63.7 million in October 2009,
    forcing the bank to assume responsibility for taxes, maintenance, utilities, and general
    upkeep on the foreclosed properties. TierOne was also required to take
    “write-downs” or losses on its financial statements if the value of its loan collateral
    or foreclosed properties declined.
    In April 2008, the OTS conducted an onsite field visit to TierOne, following
    which it downgraded the bank’s financial-health rating based on “problems . . . of a
    serious nature” in the deteriorating quality of the bank’s loan portfolio. The OTS
    instructed TierOne to increase its “core capital ratio” to 8.5% to ensure that the bank
    had sufficient capital available to absorb potential losses in its loan portfolio.
    Lundstrom agreed in writing to maintain the 8.5% ratio. The OTS conducted a
    comprehensive examination of TierOne’s capital and asset positions later in June
    2008, which included a review of the reserves the bank had set aside to cover losses
    2
    A commercial loan generally includes money to fund both construction and
    the interest accruing on the loan. The borrower thus does not make payments on
    either principal or interest until the project is completed.
    -4-
    on nonperforming loans.3 In October 2008, the OTS issued a Report of Examination
    (Report), concluding that TierOne’s reserves were underfunded and that the bank was
    not employing a reliable methodology by which to calculate reserves on its
    nonperforming loans. The Report found that TierOne’s “[a]ppraisals of land
    development and construction loans [were] inadequate and unsupported.” Without
    a reliable appraisal, TierOne could not accurately value the collateral underlying a
    given loan and thus could not accurately value its assets in its financial reports. The
    Report also found that TierOne’s “[m]anagement [had] failed to implement an
    appropriate appraisal review process” and that its methodology for calculating
    reserves required improvement.
    The Report identified deficiencies in TierOne’s Las Vegas commercial and
    construction loans, noting that the bank had issued loans without appraisals or with
    unsupported or stale appraisals. It also observed that TierOne had exacerbated losses
    on certain loans by continuing to disburse funds, despite indications that a project’s
    value had declined. The Report recommended that TierOne increase its reserves as
    a loan migrated toward nonperforming status. TierOne’s financial-health rating was
    downgraded based on its “seriously weak” financial condition that threatened “the
    ultimate viability of the bank.” Lundstrom reviewed and signed the Report.
    TierOne’s Board of Directors entered into a Supervisory Agreement, “a formal
    enforcement action,” with the OTS in January 2009, committing to correct certain
    deficiencies identified in the Report. Among other commitments, TierOne agreed to
    3
    Assume, for example, that a bank loaned $1 million to a borrower who
    pledged land valued at $1.2 million as collateral. If the land’s value dropped to
    $900,000 over the course of the loan and the borrower had difficulty repaying the
    loan, the bank would reclassify the loan as “nonperforming,” set aside $100,000 to
    cover its loss, and record the loss on its financial statements. Thus, for a real estate
    loan, the value of the underlying collateral affects the reserve for that particular loan
    and the for the bank’s overall loan portfolio.
    -5-
    allocate adequate capital for its reserves, reaffirmed its earlier commitment to
    maintain a core capital ratio of 8.5%, and pledged to establish procedures that would
    require current and well-supported appraisals on applicable loans. TierOne also
    acquiesced to enhanced regulatory scrutiny, in particular agreeing to prepare complete
    and accurate minutes of its Board of Directors meetings and to transmit copies of
    those minutes to the OTS. Lundstrom signed the Supervisory Agreement in his
    capacity as Chairman and CEO, consenting on behalf of TierOne to comply with the
    terms of the Agreement.
    As required by the Supervisory Agreement, TierOne hired an outside
    consulting firm to review its portfolio of loans exceeding $1 million. The firm
    recommended to Lundstrom in January 2009 that TierOne downgrade thirty loans,
    including the reclassification to “substandard” of nine loans totaling $130 million.
    TierOne rejected the recommendation, thereby avoiding the need to increase reserves
    by $5-7 million to account for the potential losses on the downgraded loans.
    It was against this backdrop that the government alleged that Lundstrom and
    other TierOne executives—President James Laphen, Director of Lending Gale
    Furnas, Chief Credit Officer Don Langford, and Chief Financial Officer Eugene
    Witkowicz—conspired to understate reserves and defer the recognition of losses
    associated with TierOne’s nonperforming loans and foreclosed properties by delaying
    appraisals on the underlying collateral or the foreclosed properties. The majority of
    TierOne’s inventory of foreclosed properties eventually had outdated appraisals and
    inflated values that did not reflect the impact of the downturn in the real estate
    market.
    Laphen testified that he, Lundstrom, and Furnas agreed on the plan to defer
    new appraisals to the third quarter of 2009, just before the OTS was scheduled to
    conduct its next onsite examination. Langford confirmed that the plan was adopted
    under “direction [from] the corner offices,” i.e., from Lundstrom and Laphen. Laphen
    -6-
    explained that delaying appraisals allowed TierOne to defer the recognition of losses
    attributable to its nonperforming loans and foreclosed properties while management
    attempted to raise capital and improve the bank’s balance sheet. Had the new
    appraisals been obtained and the resulting losses recognized, the bank would have
    been required to set aside additional reserves, with the result that its earnings and
    available capital would have decreased, which, in turn, would likely have caused the
    bank’s core capital ratio to fall below the 8.5% mandated by the OTS. The delay in
    obtaining appraisals also prevented TierOne from foreclosing on additional
    nonperforming loans because a current appraisal was required to initiate a foreclosure
    proceeding.
    The government presented detailed testimony about how the plan was
    implemented with respect to several specific loans. When the construction loan came
    due in August 2008 on Towne Vistas, a 62-unit condominium project in Las Vegas,
    Nevada, Lundstrom and other executives agreed to extend the due date on the loan
    and to provide an additional $5 million in financing without a new appraisal, thereby
    increasing the loan balance to more than $32 million. The OTS had questioned the
    validity of the bank’s appraisal on the Towne Vistas project in its Report, noting that
    the appraisal was outdated, provided an overly aggressive valuation, and had not been
    properly reviewed by management. TierOne falsely reported in its response that it
    had ordered a new appraisal and had obtained additional collateral on the project. In
    April 2009, Laphen received notice from the borrower that the project’s value had
    declined so dramatically that it was worth roughly $10 million less than the amount
    of the loan. Laphen forwarded this notice to Lundstrom, but instead of treating the
    loan as “delinquent,” recognizing the loss, and increasing reserves by $10 million,
    Lundstrom and Laphen elected to continue disbursing loan proceeds to the borrower.
    TierOne had loaned roughly $20 million to developer Carlos Escapa for
    multiple Las Vegas projects. The OTS expressed concern about these loans, and
    Laphen responded in July 2008 that TierOne planned to foreclose on the properties.
    -7-
    The foreclosure did not occur, however, and in August 2008, Laphen informed
    Lundstrom that Escapa had indicated that he needed an additional $800,000 to
    complete the projects. In September 2008, Laphen informed Lundstrom by email that
    the loan funds disbursed on several of Escapa’s projects exceeded the estimated sales
    prices for those projects. TierOne did not obtain new appraisals to verify the market
    value of those properties, nor did it set aside additional reserves to account for the
    potential losses. In February 2009, the bank was required to pay $450,000 in
    outstanding taxes on Escapa’s projects in order to avoid a tax lien and foreclosure by
    the state. Laphen testified that a potential buyer expressed interest in purchasing
    several of Escapa’s properties. Furnas rejected the offers at Lundstrom’s direction,
    however, because the offers were below the value TierOne was carrying on its books
    for these properties. The bank was “not in a position to accept this amount of loss”
    because it would “probably” have decreased the bank’s core capital ratio below 8.5%.
    Langford also testified that accepting the offers would have resulted in “a loss of
    millions of dollars” and a requirement that the bank “set aside additional reserves.”
    According to Langford, Lundstrom decided in May 2009 that Escapa should continue
    to list his properties at the inflated prices so “the foreclosure and appraisals could be
    pushed into the third quarter.” TierOne expected to lose $6.5 million on Escapa’s
    loans, but it did not increase reserves by that amount because its core capital ratio
    would have fallen below 8.5%.
    TierOne loaned $21.5 million for a Kansas condominium development called
    Mansions at Canyon Creek. The OTS Report indicated that the Canyon Creek loan
    appeared to be impaired and that “[i]mpairment analysis should be performed at
    maturity in October 2008 by obtaining new appraisal.” Lundstrom certified in
    TierOne’s response to the Report that the bank had “satisfied” this deficiency, but in
    fact had not obtained a new appraisal. On March 3, 2009, roughly one month after
    providing this response to the OTS, Lundstrom approved an agreement to modify and
    extend the loan, including a provision that “[r]eceipt of [a new] appraisal shall not be
    a condition of closing.” When the borrowers fell roughly $500,000 into arrears two
    -8-
    months later, Lundstrom approved a second modification to the loan, advancing an
    additional $162,000 to pay the borrower’s outstanding taxes. TierOne did not order
    a new appraisal prior to either loan modification. By June 2009, TierOne anticipated
    a loss of almost $6 million on the Canyon Creek project but did not reclassify the loan
    as impaired because, according to Langford, it “was too big a loss to add to the bucket
    of losses,” and it would have reduced the bank’s core capital ratio below 8.5%.
    Langford testified that after a December 2008 meeting to discuss the bank’s
    problem loans, Lundstrom asked Furnas for an estimate of the bank’s aggregate
    exposure in unrecognized losses. Furnas replied that the bank had $60-75 million in
    unrecognized losses in its portfolios. Laphen and Langford testified that around
    March 2009, Lundstrom directed Furnas to prepare a detailed, loan-by-loan analysis
    of TierOne’s loan portfolio to determine a dollar figure for potential losses and the
    increase in reserves that the bank would “likely” have to set aside “in the next 6
    months.” Laphen informed Lundstrom that he was concerned about the preparation
    of this analysis because, if “it showed additional losses, the bank should have
    recognized those losses” in contravention of “the plan to not get appraisals until just
    before the examiners came.”
    As instructed, Furnas and others reviewed each of TierOne’s loan files,
    including outdated appraisals and outstanding balances, and Furnas prepared a
    spreadsheet titled, “Potential Reserve Additions Needed Due to Timing of New
    Appraisals.” The spreadsheet provided a range of potential losses that the bank could
    face over the second, third, and fourth quarters of 2009, depending on the quarter in
    which the bank “expected to receive a new appraisal” for the collateral underlying
    each loan. The spreadsheet estimated that the bank would likely suffer the greatest
    loss and require the greatest increase in reserves in the third quarter of 2009, when
    the conspirators “expected to have to get new appraisals for the OTS visit.” Furnas’s
    spreadsheets stated that the bank stood to lose (and would be required to increase
    reserves by) a total of $35 million over the last three quarters of 2009 in the “best”
    -9-
    case, $60 million in the “expected” case, and $113 million in the “worst” case.
    Langford testified that it “wasn’t possible” for the bank to recover the full amount of
    its loans and that there was “[n]o chance” the bank could avoid recording losses and
    increasing reserves when new appraisals were obtained that showed substantially
    lower values on loan collateral. The spreadsheet also listed the date of the most
    recent appraisal on the collateral underlying each loan, revealing that many appraisals
    had not been updated since 2005 or 2006.
    Furnas told Langford that Lundstrom “didn’t think that it was necessary or
    appropriate to present” the spreadsheet information to the Board. Furnas and
    Langford disagreed with Lundstrom, and Furnas presented the information during a
    Board meeting. Contrary to typical practice, the spreadsheet was not included in the
    Board’s official meeting binder. Instead, Laphen and Langford testified, copies of
    the spreadsheet were distributed at the meeting, with Lundstrom insisting that the
    copies be collected after the meeting. The minutes from this meeting reported only
    that Furnas and Langford provided an “Analysis of Critical Loans in [the] Portfolio.”
    Furnas updated his spreadsheets in May 2009 in preparation for a meeting with
    Lundstrom, revising the loss/reserve calculations to reflect $36 million in the “best”
    case, $60 million in the “expected” case, and $114 million in the “worst” case.
    Furnas presented the updated spreadsheet during the May 2009 Board meeting. The
    draft minutes from that meeting initially noted that the Board had discussed
    “obtaining appraisals on nonperforming loans at the present time or in a subsequent
    quarter.” The secretary responsible for preparing the official minutes indicated in her
    notes, however, that Lundstrom had personally directed her to remove mention of
    Furnas’s presentation from the official minutes. Her handwritten notes state that “Gil
    [Lundstrom] did not put in” any reference to the appraisal discussion. At the June
    2009 Board meeting, Furnas reported that his worst-case projections “were proving
    to be more accurate” and that the Board should plan for that eventuality. Despite this
    warning, Lundstrom took no action to require TierOne to recognize the projected
    -10-
    losses or allocate additional reserves, a course of action that would have caused the
    bank’s core capital ratio to fall below 8.5%.
    David Frances, who was hired by TierOne in August 2008 to manage its
    inventory of problem loans, was concerned about the bank’s outdated appraisals and
    delayed recognition of losses. Frances sent an email to Langford and Furnas in
    February 2009, expressing concern that TierOne “continue[d] to expose [itself]
    adversely . . . with outdated appraisals” on loan collateral whose value had declined.
    Frances acknowledged that the “write-downs” that TierOne would be required to
    recognize after obtaining new appraisals “would likely be astronomical,” but, he
    queried, “in good conscience[,] how long can we continue to believe these
    [properties] are properly reserved?” Frances recommended that TierOne obtain an
    updated appraisal whenever a loan was evaluated for impairment. Laphen testified
    that he sent Frances’s email to Lundstrom, who took no action in response to the
    concerns raised therein.
    Frances sent another email to Langford and Furnas on August 3, 2009, which
    stated that the bank “continue[d] to fail to properly risk rate [its] loans and . . . [to]
    refuse to update collateral valuations, out of the fear of what impact these actions may
    have on reserve levels.” Frances wrote that he was “unable to support the timing of
    reappraisals to delay loss recognition or increases to the reserves into later quarters.”
    Laphen testified that he and Furnas discussed the email in Furnas’s office shortly
    after it was sent and that he went to Lundstrom’s office immediately thereafter to
    deliver the information. Frances resigned a few weeks later, “frustrated” with
    TierOne’s “unwillingness to . . . order[] new appraisals on loans that were
    experiencing financial difficulty,” “concerned that [the bank was] misleading the
    public,” and worried about his professional reputation. Laphen forwarded Frances’s
    resignation email to Lundstrom.
    -11-
    As CEO of TierOne, Lundstrom was required to certify on each of the bank’s
    SEC filings that the “report d[id] not contain any untrue statement of material fact or
    omit t[o] state[] [a] material fact,” and that the statements set forth therein were “not
    misleading.” He was further required to certify that the report disclosed “[a]ll
    significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in design or operation of internal
    control over financial reporting,” as well as “[a]ny fraud, whether or not material, that
    involves management or other employees” with financial reporting responsibilities.
    Lundstrom provided similar certifications to the outside accountants, who reviewed
    TierOne’s financial statements prior to their inclusion in the bank’s SEC filings.
    Lundstrom did not disclose the bank’s outdated appraisals, overvalued loan and
    foreclosed-property portfolios, and understated reserves, despite his knowledge of
    these facts from Frances’s emails, Furnas’s spreadsheets, and discussions with other
    bank executives. Laphen testified that, had this information been disclosed to
    TierOne’s outside accountants, they would have had “a great deal of difficulty
    certifying” the accuracy of the financial statements included in the bank’s SEC
    filings.
    In late July 2009, as the bank was preparing its second quarter filing with the
    OTS, Laphen and Furnas met with Lundstrom to “go over loan loss provisions,” i.e.,
    reserves, and provisions for foreclosed-property losses for the quarter. Lundstrom
    reviewed a draft of the OTS filing, which revealed that the “potential charge-offs, the
    charges to income,” would leave TierOne “short about $4 million” in its capital ratios
    and cause its core capital ratio to fall to 8.37% for the quarter. Lundstrom remarked
    to Laphen that the bank “couldn’t afford this” outcome, which Laphen interpreted as
    Lundstrom’s “direction to not have . . . losses that large.” Laphen testified that the
    next day he spoke with Chief Financial Officer Witkowicz, who “had come up with
    an approach that would . . . allow the capital ratios to stay within compliance.”
    Witkowicz proposed “a series of changes to small expense items” and a $3.5 million
    change to TierOne’s unallocated reserves, i.e., the capital that the bank had allotted
    for general losses, but not for losses associated with particular loans. Witkowicz’s
    -12-
    plan reduced by $3.5 million the sum that TierOne had allotted for unallocated
    reserves. These numbers corresponded to Lundstrom’s handwritten notes on the draft
    OTS filing. After these adjustments were made, TierOne exceeded the 8.5% core
    capital ratio by $309,000, and Lundstrom certified to the accuracy of the figures in
    the bank’s second quarter 2009 OTS filing. Lundstrom also certified in TierOne’s
    second quarter 2009 report to the SEC that the bank had fulfilled all its obligations
    under the Supervisory Agreement with the OTS, including its obligation to maintain
    a core capital ratio of at least 8.5%.
    TierOne issued press releases when filing reports with the OTS or the SEC,
    typically announcing that the bank continued to maintain strong capital levels relative
    to peer institutions and continued to meet or exceed its regulatory requirements. The
    press release for the second quarter of 2009 stressed that TierOne had maintained its
    8.5% core capital ratio. In addition to the press release, Lundstrom emailed all
    TierOne employees, many of whom were also shareholders, stating that the bank
    “ha[d met] and continues to meet or exceed all regulatory capital requirements.”
    Shareholders and potential investors relied on TierOne’s regulatory filings with the
    OTS and the SEC, as well as its press releases to the public, when they decided to
    purchase or hold shares of TierOne stock. Shareholders also learned of TierOne’s
    financial condition during annual shareholder meetings. During his presentation at
    the May 2009 meeting, Lundstrom denied that TierOne had applied for funds from
    the federal Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), which provided financial
    assistance to certain banks after regulators determined that eligibility requirements
    had been met. In fact, however, TierOne had submitted a TARP application in
    November 2008, seeking $86.3 million in assistance. On May 11, 2009, ten days
    before the shareholder meeting, the OTS had informed Lundstrom that it would reject
    TierOne’s TARP application based on the bank’s poor financial condition.
    Lundstrom withdrew the application before it could be officially rejected by the OTS.
    -13-
    The OTS returned to TierOne in August 2009 to conduct “a limited review of
    certain loans to analyze . . . whether . . . the bank was carrying those loans at the
    appropriate value,” as required under the Supervisory Agreement. An examiner
    specifically questioned the Towne Vistas loan, which had not been reappraised in the
    year since the OTS had first instructed to the bank to obtain a new appraisal.
    Lundstrom expressed no surprise at the bank’s failure to obtain a new appraisal and
    did not order an investigation into that failure. The OTS began its annual
    examination of the bank in October 2009. When questioned, Lundstrom denied any
    effort to delay new appraisals. Following the examination, the OTS issued
    “exceptions”—formal allegations regarding conduct of the bank’s management.
    Laphen and Langford testified that Lundstrom was “intimately involved” in the
    process, editing, signing, and submitting the bank’s final response to the OTS’s
    exceptions. In addition to the exceptions, the OTS instructed Lundstrom by email to
    obtain an opinion from the bank’s outside accountants, addressing whether $88.3
    million in losses scheduled to be recognized in December 2009 should have been
    recorded in earlier quarters and whether the bank’s previous financial statements
    should be restated to reflect such a correction. Lundstrom did not contact the bank’s
    outside accountants, instead responding to the OTS that the accountants could not
    opine on the issue because “an individual asset analysis” was not possible because
    such data “was not a driver of [TierOne’s] macro review process.” In fact, however,
    an “individual asset analysis” was possible and had been performed by Furnas, who
    had set forth that loan-by-loan analysis in his spreadsheets. Lundstrom did not inform
    the OTS about Furnas’s analysis or the spreadsheets. TierOne’s outside accountants
    later resigned, citing the bank’s failure to disclose Furnas’s spreadsheets in its
    resignation letter.
    The OTS eventually learned about Furnas’s spreadsheets from Frances. An
    OTS examiner had searched the binders and official minutes from the bank’s Board
    meetings for copies of the spreadsheets, but Lundstrom had instructed the Board
    secretary not to include those documents in the official Board record. The examiner
    -14-
    finally obtained copies of the spreadsheets from Langford. During a meeting with
    Lundstrom after the OTS had obtained copies of Furnas’s spreadsheets, Laphen
    suggested that Lundstrom tell the OTS that the spreadsheets had not been prepared
    to quantify potential losses or reserve requirements but for consideration by an
    investment firm TierOne had hired to facilitate a potential sale of the bank. Laphen
    admitted that this explanation was untrue. When the OTS later asked Lundstrom
    about Furnas’s spreadsheets, Lundstrom responded as Laphen had suggested, i.e., that
    Furnas had prepared the spreadsheets in advance of meetings with the investment
    firm and that they were intended to provide loss projections in the event that TierOne
    implemented an aggressive liquidation strategy for its loan portfolio prior to a sale of
    the bank.
    As contemplated under the conspirators’ plan, new appraisals on the bank’s
    foreclosed properties and loan collateral were ordered beginning in the third quarter
    of 2009. Langford described the resulting effect on the bank’s finances as “horrific”
    and “remarkably close” to, or even worse than, the worst-case scenario set forth in
    Furnas’s spreadsheets. TierOne was required to file a restatement with the SEC in
    October 2009 that corrected its second quarter 2009 filing to reflect an “additional
    loss provision” of $13.9 million. The restatement also disclosed that the bank’s core
    capital ratio had fallen below 8.5% as of June 30, 2009. Following the receipt of the
    new appraisals that were obtained in November 2009, TierOne reported an additional
    $120 million in losses and a corresponding increase in reserves for the third quarter
    of 2009, with the result that the bank’s core capital ratio had dropped to 4%.
    Lundstrom was replaced as CEO in January 2010. The OTS closed the bank
    in June 2010, with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) being named
    as its Receiver. TierOne filed for bankruptcy shortly thereafter. Its stock price fell
    below $1 per share and was delisted from the NASDAQ Exchange. Many TierOne
    employees lost their jobs and many TierOne shareholders lost the money they had
    invested in the bank’s stock.
    -15-
    Motion for Judgment of Acquittal
    Lundstrom first argues that the district court erred in denying his motion for
    judgment of acquittal. We review de novo the denial of a motion for judgment of
    acquittal that challenges the sufficiency of the evidence to support a conviction. See
    Kelley, 
    861 F.3d 790
    , 796 (8th Cir. 2017). We consider the evidence, and all
    reasonable inferences that may be drawn therefrom, in the light most favorable to the
    jury’s verdict. 
    Id.
     We do not weigh the evidence or assess the credibility of the
    witnesses. United States v. Wallace, 
    852 F.3d 778
    , 783 (8th Cir. 2017). If evidence
    consistent with guilt exists, we will not reverse simply because the facts and
    circumstances may also be consistent with some innocent explanation. See Kelley,
    861 F.3d at 796. Under this “very strict standard of review,” id. (citation omitted),
    we will reverse “only if no reasonable jury could have found [the defendant] guilty,”
    United States v. Delgrosso, 
    852 F.3d 821
    , 829 (8th Cir. 2017).
    Lundstrom contends that the government failed to demonstrate that he
    possessed the “requisite knowledge of any conspiracy or the requisite intent to
    defraud investors or bank regulators.” Br. of Appellant at 14. He argues that the
    government failed to present direct evidence that he had knowingly agreed to any
    plan to delay appraisals for the purpose of deferring losses and increases to reserves
    or that he had done so with the intent to defraud shareholders and regulators. Such
    evidence was not required, however, for “[c]ircumstantial evidence alone can prove
    the elements of conspiracy,” including knowledge. United States v. Foster, 
    740 F.3d 1202
    , 1205 (8th Cir. 2014) (quoting United States v. Dotson, 
    570 F.3d 1067
    , 1068
    (8th Cir. 2009)). “Even when there is no direct proof of a conspiracy, ‘the jury is free
    to consider all the evidence—direct and indirect—presented of the defendant’s
    statements and actions’ and they may ‘draw reasonable inferences from the evidence
    presented about what the defendant’s state of mind was when he did or said the things
    presented in the evidence.’” United States v. Turner, 
    583 F.3d 1062
    , 1067 (8th Cir.
    2009) (quoting United States v. Wilson, 
    103 F.3d 1402
    , 1406-07 (8th Cir. 1997)).
    Moreover, conspiracy “may be implied by the surrounding circumstances or by
    -16-
    inferences from the actions of the parties.” United States v. Boesen, 
    491 F.3d 852
    ,
    857 (8th Cir. 2007) (quoting United States v. Fitz, 
    317 F.3d 878
    , 881 (8th Cir. 2003)).
    Similarly, an intent to defraud “need not be shown by direct evidence,” but may
    instead “be inferred from all the facts and circumstances surrounding the
    defendant[’s] actions.” 
    Id.
     (citation omitted); see also United States v. Louper-
    Morris, 
    672 F.3d 539
    , 556 (8th Cir. 2012) (“Fraudulent intent need not be proved
    directly and can be inferred from the facts and circumstances surrounding a
    defendant’s actions.” (citation omitted)); United States v. Krug, 
    822 F.3d 994
    , 999-
    1000 (8th Cir. 2016) (same).
    We conclude that the evidence was sufficient for the jury to find beyond a
    reasonable doubt that Lundstrom possessed the knowledge and intent required to
    sustain his convictions.
    Laphen testified that he, “Lundstrom, Furnas, Langford and others . . . agreed
    to delay the ordering of certain appraisals, and that [this] delay resulted in delaying
    [TierOne’s] recognition of losses . . . and improper reporting to . . . shareholders.”
    He further explained that delaying appraisals allowed the bank “to delay the taking
    of losses,” providing the bank “time to try to raise capital” to improve its balance
    sheet. Laphen recalled a conversation with Lundstrom “in which [Lundstrom] was
    aware and a part of [this] process.” Moreover, Langford testified that Furnas told him
    that TierOne “[couldn’t] afford any more . . . write-downs based on getting appraisals
    that we could avoid getting . . . because of management discretion in the timing” of
    appraisals. Furnas told Langford that the bank would thus delay new appraisals to the
    third quarter of 2009 and that these directions originated “from the corner officers”
    on the eighth floor—offices occupied by Lundstrom and Laphen. Frances’s emails
    identified multiple loans and properties on which appraisals were, or would be, “older
    than 12 months . . . as of March 2009.”
    -17-
    It was Lundstrom himself who directed Furnas to prepare spreadsheets to
    quantify the losses embedded in TierOne’s loan portfolio. As recounted above, not
    only did Lundstrom take no corrective action upon receiving the requested
    information, he opposed the disclosure of the spreadsheets to the Board of Directors
    and, that effort failing, insisted that the spreadsheets be distributed and re-collected
    during the Board meeting, rather than being placed in the Board binders, where they
    would be subject to OTS inspection and ordered that a reference to the Board’s
    discussion at its May 2009 meeting on nonperforming loans be removed from the
    official minutes.
    As also recounted above, the jury heard testimony that Lundstrom personally
    approved actions that deferred TierOne’s recognition of losses on the Towne Vistas,
    Escapa, and Canyon Creek projects after the OTS questioned the viability of those
    loans or the validity of the appraisals on the property underlying them. He agreed not
    to get a new appraisal, opting instead to extend the Towne Vistas loan and provide
    an additional $5 million in financing without obtaining a new appraisal, while at the
    same time reporting to the OTS that TierOne had “satisfied” the OTS’s concerns
    about the project. Rather than initiating foreclosures on properties underlying certain
    Escapa loans, the bank then attempted to sell those properties at the inflated values
    listed in their outdated appraisals in an effort to delay the foreclosures until the third
    quarter of 2009. Lundstrom falsely informed the OTS that the bank had “satisfied”
    the directive that it obtain a new appraisal on the underlying collateral supporting the
    Canyon Creek loan and instead had approved a loan modification with the specific
    stipulation that “[r]eceipt of [an] appraisal shall not be a condition of closing.”
    The evidence that Lundstrom took specific steps to conceal TierOne’s losses
    and deteriorating financial health from shareholders and regulators further supports
    the jury’s finding that Lundstrom knew about and entered into a conspiracy with
    others to commit fraud and to submit false information to the OTS and the SEC and
    that he intended to and did commit the charged offenses.
    -18-
    Despite his knowledge of the bank’s outdated appraisals, overvalued loan and
    foreclosed-property portfolios, and understated reserves, Lundstrom certified a July
    2009 OTS report which stated that TierOne had adequate reserves and an 8.51% core
    capital ratio which was followed that day by a press release announcing that TierOne
    was “in compliance” with the 8.5% ratio.
    Likewise, TierOne’s August 2009 mandatory SEC filing stated that TierOne
    had “met or exceeded the[] elevated ratios mandated by the OTS,” had “fulfilled all
    of the obligations set forth in the [S]upervisory [A]greement,” and “continue[d] to
    comply with the ongoing reporting requirements.” The filing further stated that
    TierOne “review[ed] [its] other real estate owned,” i.e., its foreclosed-property
    portfolio, “for impairment in value whenever events or circumstances indicate that
    the carrying value . . . may not be recoverable.” Lundstrom certified that this SEC
    filing “fairly present[ed] in all material respects the financial condition” of the bank,
    despite his knowledge of the nonperforming loans, outdated appraisals, and
    inadequate reserves set forth in Furnas’s spreadsheet and Frances’s emails.
    Lundstrom’s certified filings with the OTS at the end of July and August 2009
    stated that TierOne had maintained a core capital ratio above 8.5%, despite his
    knowledge from Furnas’s spreadsheets that this statement was inaccurate. His
    response to an OTS inquiry in September 2009 stated “that it is probable that
    [TierOne] will ultimately collect all amounts due” on the Canyon Creek loan. The
    jury heard evidence, however, that Lundstrom knew that this statement was
    inaccurate, for he knew that the Canyon Creek project was worth $6 million less than
    the outstanding loan balance and that the borrowers had already failed to comply with
    an earlier modification of the loan.
    Lundstrom’s response to an OTS inquiry in October 2009 stated that TierOne’s
    outside accountants could not perform the requested individual analysis of the bank’s
    loan portfolio because of the bank’s particular bookkeeping protocol. The evidence
    -19-
    showed, however, that not only was Lundstrom aware that had TierOne had never
    asked the accountants to conduct the analysis, but also that Furnas had in fact
    performed the loan-by-loan analysis that the OTS had requested. Lundstrom’s
    December 2009 response to the OTS stated that management “ha[d] implemented the
    various plans and polices and undertaken the analysis required by the provisions in
    its Supervisory Agreement.” The jury could reasonably conclude from this evidence
    that his representations were false and that Lundstrom had knowingly submitted them
    with the intent to mislead the OTS.
    As Laphen testified, while Lundstrom’s statement during a 2009 shareholder
    meeting that “TierOne is not seeking to participate in the TARP program” may have
    been “technically true,” it was misleading because shareholders would not have
    known that TierOne had applied for TARP funds and had withdrawn the application
    only after learning that it would have been denied by the OTS. A reasonable jury
    could conclude that Lundstrom’s statements gave shareholders the false impression
    that the bank’s financial strength did not warrant TARP assistance.
    Lundstrom’s arguments on appeal mirror those that he made to the jury: that
    he had Furnas prepare the spreadsheets as a valuation model for consultants; that it
    was implausible that he would request the preparation of spreadsheets that revealed
    allegedly criminal conduct and permit their presentation to the Board; and that he
    disclosed to the OTS in August 2009 that it was the bank’s practice to estimate
    declines in real estate prices by discounting appraisal values that were older than six
    months rather than to obtain new appraisals. It was for the jury to consider and
    determine the truth of Lundstrom’s assertions. See United States v. Hodge, 
    594 F.3d 614
    , 618 (8th Cir. 2010) (“A jury’s credibility determinations are well-nigh
    unreviewable because the jury is in the best position to assess the credibility of
    witnesses and resolve inconsistent testimony.”). The jury ultimately rejected
    Lundstrom’s theory that he did not have the requisite knowledge and intent and
    accepted the government’s competing theory that he did. See Krug, 822 F.3d at 1000
    -20-
    (concluding that the evidence was sufficient to support a guilty verdict, where the
    evidence was consistent with both the defendant’s and the government’s theories of
    the case).
    To summarize, the evidence at trial established that Lundstrom and other
    TierOne executives agreed to delay new appraisals of assets in the bank’s loan and
    foreclosed-property portfolios in order to avoid recognizing losses on those assets and
    setting aside additional reserves to account for those losses. Lundstrom helped
    execute the plan by refusing to authorize new appraisals, by approving extensions or
    modifications of nonperforming loans without obtaining new appraisals, and by
    delaying foreclosures on nonperforming loans. The evidence pointed inexorably to
    the conclusion that Lundstrom knew of the deteriorating quality of the bank’s loan
    and foreclosed-on property portfolios and its precarious overall financial condition,
    and that he then offered false representations in regulatory filings and press releases
    about TierOne’s capital position and regulatory compliance. We thus conclude that
    the evidence was sufficient to permit a reasonable jury to conclude beyond a
    reasonable doubt that Lundstrom possessed the knowledge and intent necessary to
    sustain his convictions, and the district court thus did not err in denying his motion
    for judgment of acquittal.
    Bill of Particulars
    Lundstrom contends that the district court erred in denying his motion for a bill
    of particulars, which argued that the indictment and discovery materials were not
    sufficiently detailed to allow him to prepare for trial. A bill of particulars is not a
    discovery device to be used to require the government to provide a detailed disclosure
    of the evidence that it will present at trial. United States v. Wessels, 
    12 F.3d 746
    , 750
    (8th Cir. 1993). We review for abuse of discretion the denial of a motion for a bill of
    particulars and will not overturn a conviction based on such a denial unless the
    defendant suffered prejudice due to actual surprise at trial. United States v.
    Livingstone, 
    576 F.3d 881
    , 883 (8th Cir. 2009).
    -21-
    In denying the motion, the magistrate judge noted that the government had
    provided Lundstrom with a searchable electronic database of discovery documents,
    a Bates-stamped index of database materials, a lengthy index of paper documents, an
    index of exhibits labeled during an earlier SEC enforcement proceeding, and copies
    of depositions of former TierOne employees and outside accountants taken during the
    SEC proceedings. The magistrate judge further noted that the government had
    disclosed a list of 400 “hot documents,” which represented the materials most
    relevant to the government’s case. The government also identified the key documents
    that corresponded to each count of the indictment.
    We conclude that the district court did not abuse its discretion in overruling
    Lundstrom’s objections to the magistrate judge’s ruling. See 
    id.
     (affirming denial of
    a motion for bill of particulars where “the government explained its theory of the
    case” and “provided [the defendant] with considerable discovery”). The
    government’s disclosures were sufficient to enable Lundstrom to understand the
    nature of the charges against him, prepare a defense, and avoid any surprise. See 
    id.
    Hearsay - “Agent or Employee”
    Lundstrom next challenges several of the district court’s evidentiary rulings,
    which we review for abuse of discretion. See United States v. Stong, 
    773 F.3d 920
    ,
    923 (8th Cir. 2014).4 He first argues that the district court improperly admitted
    hearsay statements of Tom McCool and problem-loan manager David Frances as
    statements of an “agent or employee” under Federal Rule of Evidence 801(d)(2)(D).
    Prior to trial, the district court conditionally admitted these statements under Rule
    801(d)(2)(E) as statements by co-conspirators during the course of and in furtherance
    of the conspiracy. The court granted Lundstrom a continuing objection to this ruling.
    4
    The government argues that a clear-error standard of review applies to the
    district court’s finding that an agency relationship exists, citing Industrial Indemnity
    Co. v. Harms, 
    28 F.3d 761
    , 762 (8th Cir. 1994). We need not resolve the issue,
    however, for the admission of these statements was proper under either standard.
    -22-
    The jury heard testimony from Laphen that TierOne had hired McCool as a credit
    specialist to negotiate with borrowers and to solicit purchase offers for the bank’s
    portfolio of nonperforming loans and foreclosed properties in Las Vegas. Laphen
    testified that he received an email from McCool stating that TierOne’s outdated
    appraisal of the Towne Vistas project overvalued the project by at least $10 million.
    Langford testified that McCool provided regular updates to him and other TierOne
    executives by phone and email. Langford further testified that after receiving an
    email from McCool in July 2008, Langford understood that “land prices [in Las
    Vegas] had just been decimated” and that the bank should “expect[] a significant
    downfall” in the value of the Towne Vistas project. Langford testified that McCool
    participated in TierOne’s problem-asset meetings, which Lundstrom also attended.
    The government called Frances to testify, and also introduced the two emails that
    Frances had sent to Langford and Furnas, each of which complained about TierOne’s
    appraisal practices, loan-rating procedures, and valuation deficiencies, and each of
    which was forwarded to Lundstrom.
    At the close of trial, the district court determined that the government’s
    evidence was insufficient to establish that McCool and Frances were members of the
    conspiracy and that their statements thus were not admissible under Rule 801(d)(2)(E)
    as co-conspirator statements. The court concluded, however, that these statements
    were admissible under Rule 801(d)(2)(D) because McCool and Frances each qualified
    as Lundstrom’s “agent or employee” and their statements were made on a matter
    within the scope of that agency or employment relationship.
    Even assuming that the district court erred in admitting these statements, we
    conclude that the error was harmless. An evidentiary error is harmless if the record
    demonstrates that the defendant’s substantial rights were unaffected and that the error
    “did not influence or had only a slight influence on the verdict.” United States v.
    Lewis, 
    483 F.3d 871
    , 875 (8th Cir. 2007) (citation omitted). The “[i]mproper
    admission of evidence which is cumulative of matters shown by admissible evidence
    -23-
    is harmless error.” 
    Id.
     (citation omitted). The information set forth in McCool’s
    emails was cumulative of and less damaging than that set forth in Furnas’s
    spreadsheets. Likewise, any error in admitting Frances’s two emails was harmless
    because Frances testified extensively at trial regarding the statements set forth therein,
    thereby “vitiat[ing] the main concern of the hearsay rule, which is the lack of any
    opportunity for the adversary to cross-examine [an] absent declarant.” United States
    v. Renville, 
    779 F.2d 430
    , 440 (8th Cir. 1985).
    Hearsay - “Business Records”
    Lundstrom next argues that the district court improperly admitted certain
    reports written by OTS employees as business records under Federal Rule of
    Evidence 803(6). He contends that reports prepared by government agencies do not
    qualify as business records under Rule 803(6) and that the OTS reports at issue here
    contained extraneous and unfairly prejudicial statements by OTS employees.
    The district court ruled that the reports were admissible as business records,
    provided that the government satisfied the requirements of Rule 803(6).5 The court
    further stated that Lundstrom’s separate objection regarding the danger of unfair
    prejudice under Federal Rule of Evidence 403 “depend[ed] on the purposes for the
    offer and the contents of the OTS reports.” The court gave Lundstrom “an
    opportunity to examine the reports and propose redactions,” noting that it would rule
    on his contemporaneous objections during trial if the parties could not agree on
    redactions. Lundstrom did not renew his Rule 403 objections or raise any challenge
    to the redactions when these documents were discussed during testimony at trial.
    5
    To be admissible under Rule 803(6), a document must have been prepared
    contemporaneously by an individual with knowledge and kept in the course of
    regularly conducted activity and as a regular practice, and the documents’ custodian
    or another qualified individual must testify that these conditions were satisfied. The
    document will be admitted unless the opponent shows that the documents’ source or
    method of preparation were untrustworthy.
    -24-
    Lundstrom asserts that the reports prepared by government agencies cannot be
    admitted as business records under Rule 803(6), given that the public records
    exception to the rule against hearsay—Rule 803(8)(A)(iii)—excludes “factual
    findings from a legally authorized” investigation when a report containing such
    findings is offered against a criminal defendant.
    We have affirmed the admission of government reports under Rule 803(6) in
    criminal cases. In United States v. Williams, 
    720 F.3d 674
    , 698-99 (8th Cir. 2013),
    we concluded that law-enforcement fingerprint cards from a prior arrest were
    business records admissible under Rule 803(6) in a later drug-distribution and money-
    laundering prosecution. We reasoned that the fingerprint cards “were created as part
    of a routine booking procedure and not in anticipation of litigation, i.e., ‘for the
    administration of an entity’s affairs and not for the purpose of establishing or proving
    some fact at trial.’” 
    Id. at 698
     (quoting Melendez-Diaz v. Massachusetts, 
    557 U.S. 305
    , 324 (2009)). Thus, the cards were admissible as business records “because they
    were created ‘in the regular course of business’” and not “‘solely for an evidentiary
    purpose.’” Id. at 699 (quoting Melendez-Diaz, 
    557 U.S. at 321-22
    , and Bullcoming
    v. New Mexico, 
    564 U.S. 647
    , 664 (2011)). In United States v. Voice, 
    622 F.3d 870
    ,
    879 (8th Cir. 2010), we held that the defendant’s sex-offender registration document
    was admissible as a business record under Rule 803(6) in a SORNA prosecution
    because the registration was maintained by the state’s division of criminal
    investigation in normal course of business and not in anticipation of litigation.
    We conclude that the foregoing considerations likewise rendered admissible
    the OTS reports at issue here. OTS examiners supervise banks to ensure their
    soundness and compliance with financial laws and regulation; they do not conduct
    criminal investigations, collect evidence, or bring criminal charges. Accordingly, the
    OTS reports were admissible as business records under Rule 803(6) because the
    reports were created for the administration of the OTS’s affairs and not for the
    purpose of establishing facts at trial.
    -25-
    Rule 803(8)(A)(iii) does not require the exclusion of the OTS Reports. Rule
    803(8)(A)(iii) was intended to protect a criminal defendant’s Confrontation Clause
    rights by ensuring that a police report could not be admitted unless its author testified.
    See United States v. Hayes, 
    861 F.3d 1225
    , 1229-31 (10th Cir. 1988). We believe
    that the rule should apply to reports prepared by law enforcement officials at the
    scene of a crime or in investigating a crime, and not to reports authored by other
    government agents regarding routine matters in nonadversarial settings. Even
    assuming that Rule 803(8)(A)(iii) applies here, however, the rule does not require the
    exclusion of the OTS reports because the authors testified and were subject to cross-
    examination. See United States v. Sokolow, 
    91 F.3d 396
    , 405 (3d Cir. 1996); United
    States v. King, 
    613 F.2d 670
    , 673-74 (7th Cir. 1980). In any event, any error in
    admitting the OTS reports was harmless, for the content of these reports was
    cumulative of other trial testimony and evidence.
    Jury Instructions
    Lundstrom next argues that the district court improperly instructed the jury. We
    review the district court’s jury instructions for abuse of discretion, affirming if the
    instructions as a whole “fairly and adequately submitted the issues to the jury.”
    United States v. Whitehill, 
    532 F.3d 746
    , 751 (8th Cir. 2008) (citation omitted).
    Lundstrom first challenges the district court’s willful-blindness instruction,
    which told the jury that it could find that Lundstrom “acted knowingly” if it found
    “beyond a reasonable doubt that [he] believed there was a high probability that his
    representations to regulators or the public were false or fraudulent, and that he took
    deliberate actions to avoid learning of that fact.” A willful-blindness instruction is
    appropriate when “the defendant asserts a lack of guilty knowledge, but the evidence
    supports an inference of deliberate ignorance.” Whitehill, 
    532 F.3d at 751
     (citation
    omitted). “Ignorance is deliberate if the defendant[] w[as] presented with facts
    putting [him] on notice [that] criminal activity was particularly likely and yet
    intentionally failed to investigate.” Id.; see also United States v. Novak, 866 F.3d
    -26-
    921, 927 (8th Cir. 2017) (affirming willful-blindness instruction and noting that “even
    if the jury believed [the defendant’s] implausible” explanation, “there was sufficient
    evidence that he deliberately turned a blind eye to . . . clearly illicit activity to
    warrant” a willful-blindness instruction).
    The evidence set forth in detail above established that Lundstrom was aware
    of the decline in the real estate market and the resulting effect that the decline had on
    the value of TierOne’s loan and foreclosed-property portfolios. He attended problem-
    loan meetings, at which these portfolios were discussed, and he was forwarded
    McCool’s emails, which set forth appraisal values and purchase offers below those
    carried on TierOne’s books. Lundstrom was also presented with evidence that
    TierOne’s regulatory reports did not disclose these losses or accurately calculate the
    bank’s reserves. The OTS identified deficiencies in the bank’s appraisal and reserve
    processes in its 2008 Report. Frances stated in two emails, both of which were
    forwarded to Lundstrom, that TierOne had not properly reported losses or allocated
    sufficient reserves. Furnas’s spreadsheets—titled “Potential Reserve Additions
    Needed Due to Timing of New Appraisals”—estimated millions of dollars in
    unrecorded losses and understated reserves. Lundstrom also received an internal
    report for the second quarter of 2009, showing that TierOne had fallen $3.9 million
    short of its capital requirements and that its core capital ratio had slipped below 8.5%.
    Although Lundstrom denied any knowledge of the plan to delay appraisals,
    defer recognition of losses, and understate reserves, he was presented with facts
    sufficient, at a minimum, to put him on notice that “criminal activity was particularly
    likely.” Whitehill, 
    532 F.3d at 751
    . Lundstrom testified to his lack of knowledge,
    asserting that he relied on other TierOne executives and employees to manage the
    bank’s appraisal processes, oversee the bank’s loan and foreclosed-property
    portfolios, and ensure that the bank’s financial statements were accurate. But the jury
    did not have to accept Lundstrom’s explanations, particularly in light of the evidence
    that he undertook a “deliberate effort to avoid learning that TierOne’s financial
    -27-
    reports were inaccurate.” D. Ct. Order of Feb. 11, 2016, at 8. In light of the evidence
    of what could be fairly described as Lundstrom’s almost frantic efforts to forestall the
    day of financial reckoning that he must have known was approaching, the district
    court did not abuse its discretion in issuing the willful-blindness jury instruction.
    Lundstrom also challenges the district court’s refusal to issue an
    advice-of-counsel jury instruction. Such an instruction may be appropriate if a
    defendant establishes that he “fully disclosed all material facts to his attorney before
    seeking advice” and that he “actually relied on his counsel’s advice in the good faith
    belief that his conduct was legal.” United States v. Rice, 
    449 F.3d 887
    , 897 (8th Cir.
    2006).
    Lundstrom testified in general that TierOne retained attorneys to assist with
    regulatory issues and to review the bank’s press releases, that he consulted counsel
    before soliciting potential investors, that the Board’s outside directors retained
    counsel to prepare an OTS-requested report evaluating Lundstrom’s performance, and
    that the bank’s investor-relations department consulted counsel when drafting
    Lundstrom’s presentation for the 2009 shareholders meeting. This testimony does not
    establish that Lundstrom consulted an attorney regarding any of his conduct specific
    to the charges at issue, and even if it did, Lundstrom “is not immunized from criminal
    prosecution merely because he consulted an attorney in connection with a particular
    transaction.” 
    Id. at 896-97
    . Instead, he must show that he fully and accurately
    disclosed all material facts to counsel and that he actually relied on counsel’s advice
    when making representations to regulators and shareholders. Lundstrom has failed
    to point to evidence in the record sufficient to satisfy these requirements, and so the
    district court properly declined to issue the requested instruction.
    Sentencing
    Lundstrom challenges his sentence, arguing that the district court committed
    procedural error in calculating the amount of loss attributable to his offense conduct
    -28-
    under § 2B1.1(b)(1) of the U.S. Sentencing Guidelines Manual (U.S.S.G. or
    Guidelines) and in applying the leadership enhancement under § 3B1.1(a) of the
    Guidelines. In determining whether a district court committed procedural sentencing
    error, “‘we review [the] court’s interpretation and application of the guidelines de
    novo and its factual findings for clear error.’” United States v. Jenkins, 
    578 F.3d 745
    ,
    749 (8th Cir. 2009) (citation omitted).
    A district court’s calculation of loss under § 2B1.1(b)(1) is a finding of fact that
    we review for clear error, “affording appropriate deference to the . . . court’s
    determination based on its unique position to assess the evidence and estimate the
    loss.” Id. The district court calculated the amount of loss attributable to Lundstrom’s
    offense conduct to be $24.4 million, which resulted in a 20-level enhancement under
    § 2B1.1(b)(1) (instructing the court to increase base offense level by 20 if loss was
    more than $9.5 million but less than $25 million). Lundstrom contends that the
    district court should have used available “actual data” to calculate the loss and that
    the court’s use of an “estimate methodology,” namely, the modified recessionary
    method, resulted in a “grossly overstated” loss amount. He also contends that the
    court failed to account for losses caused not by the fraud scheme, but by the overall
    adverse market conditions during the period encompassing the fraud scheme.
    “A district court’s method of calculating loss ‘must be reasonable, but the loss
    need not be determined with precision.’” United States v. Jokhoo, 
    806 F.3d 1137
    ,
    1140 (8th Cir. 2015) (citation omitted). For purposes of determining “the fraudulent
    . . . deflation in the value of a publicly traded” stock, the Guidelines state that a court
    “may use any method that is appropriate and practicable under the circumstances,”
    including “a method under which the actual loss attributable to the change in value”
    of the stock is determined by “calculating the difference between the average price
    of the security . . . during the period that the fraud occurred and the average price of
    the security . . . during the 90-day period after the fraud was disclosed to the market.”
    U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1, cmt. n.3(F)(ix). The difference in average price is then multiplied
    -29-
    by the number of shares outstanding to arrive at an estimate of actual loss. Id. In
    determining whether the resulting sum is a reasonable estimate of actual loss, the
    court “may consider” whether that sum “includes significant changes in value not
    resulting from the offense,” including “changes caused by external market forces.”
    Id.
    The district court employed the method described in the Guidelines. It first
    identified the fraud period as February 23, 2009, the date on which TierOne first
    issued fraudulent public statements that shareholders could have relied on in deciding
    to purchase TierOne shares, through November 10, 2009, the date on which TierOne
    filed a form with the SEC disclosing to the market its true financial state. The court
    then calculated the average price of TierOne stock during the fraud period ($2.29) and
    during the 90-day period immediately thereafter ($0.78). It multiplied the difference
    between those two figures ($1.51) by the average number of TierOne shares
    outstanding during the fraud period, excluding the number of shares owned by the
    conspirators, (16,183,181) to arrive at a $24.4-million loss amount.
    Lundstrom argues that the district court erred by refusing to calculate the loss
    based on individual shareholder trading data. The court explained, however, that this
    data “[wa]s insufficient because it d[id] not account for shareholders who held stock
    during the fraud period in reliance on the fraud, and the evidence presented at trial
    clearly established that such shareholders existed and owned substantial holdings of
    TierOne stock.” As the district court recognized, mathematical certainty is not
    required in loss calculation. Instead, “a reasonable estimate of the loss based on the
    available evidence will suffice.” United States v. Wells, 
    127 F.3d 739
    , 748 (8th Cir.
    1997). We conclude that the court did not clearly err in adopting the loss-calculation
    methodology set forth in the Guidelines.
    Lundstrom also contends that the district court made no effort to distinguish
    between loss caused by the fraud scheme and loss caused by the adverse economic
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    and market conditions existing at that time. On the contrary, the district court
    considered the evidence offered by Lundstrom that detailed share prices of banks that
    he offered as comparators to TierOne, but concluded that the government’s evidence
    was “more representative of the impact of general market forces on TierOne’s share
    price.” When parties present conflicting expert testimony, “[i]t is the province of the
    [factfinder] to decide which expert[] [was] more credible and persuasive.” Stults v.
    Am. Pop Corn Co., 
    815 F.3d 409
    , 417 (8th Cir. 2016). We discern no clear error in
    the district court’s methodology or in its ultimate determination of the loss
    attributable to Lundstrom’s conduct. See United States v. Hance, 
    501 F.3d 900
    , 909
    (8th Cir. 2007) (“The trial court must use a rational calculation method that yields a
    reliable estimate of the loss; however, the methodology does not have to be
    mathematically precise.”).
    Lundstrom also challenges the district court’s application of a 4-level
    leadership enhancement under Guidelines § 3B1.1(a), arguing that he must have
    “directed or procured the aid of underlings” to be considered an organizer or leader
    for purposes of the enhancement. Under § 3B1.1(a), a defendant’s offense level is
    increased by 4 if he “was an organizer or leader of a criminal activity that involved
    five or more participants or was otherwise extensive.”
    The record is sufficient to establish not only that Lundstrom directed or
    enlisted subordinates, but that the fraud was “otherwise extensive.” Lundstrom
    directed and procured the aid of Laphen, Furnas, Langford, and Witkowicz to delay
    appraisals in order to avoid the recognition of losses and an increase in reserves. The
    fraud scheme was also “otherwise extensive” in light of the number of innocent
    participants unwittingly involved in the scheme, i.e., the Board secretary who filed
    minutes with the OTS, the loan officers who were unable to obtain updated
    appraisals, the outside accountants who relied on false information to certify financial
    reports for regulatory filings, and the bank employees who received Lundstrom’s
    email encouraging them to inform customers that TierOne had met its regulatory
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    requirements. See U.S.S.G. § 3B1.1 cmt. n.3 (noting that use of “the unknowing
    services of many outsiders” may render criminal activity “otherwise extensive”). The
    district court did not clearly err in applying the § 3B1.1 leadership enhancement.
    Lundstrom also argues that his 132-month sentence is substantively
    unreasonable. He contends that the district court failed to give the appropriate
    consideration to his age and to the nature and circumstances of his offense required
    by 
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a). “We review the substantive reasonableness of a sentence for
    abuse of discretion,” keeping in mind the district court’s “wide latitude to weigh the
    § 3553(a) factors in each case and assign some factors greater weight than others in
    determining an appropriate sentence.” United States v. Deering, 
    762 F.3d 783
    , 787
    (8th Cir. 2014) (citation omitted).
    The district court determined that Lundstrom’s total offense level was 45,
    which, coupled with a Category I criminal history, resulted in a Guidelines sentencing
    range of life imprisonment. Because the statutory maximum sentence applicable to
    Lundstrom’s offense conduct was 360 months, however, the Guidelines range became
    360 months. U.S.S.G. § 5G1.2(b). The court heard argument from both parties
    regarding a downward variance, including a discussion of Lundstrom’s age, health,
    and personal circumstances, as well as a discussion of general and specific deterrence
    and sentencing disparities. The court then stated that it had “taken all of the [§]
    3553(a) factors into consideration,” including Lundstrom’s “history and personal
    characteristics,” his “age and . . . medical condition,” and the “letters of reference
    from substantial members of [the] community.” The court then granted Lundstrom
    a 228-month downward variance before imposing concurrent sentences of 132
    months on each count of conviction.
    Where, as here, a district court varies below a properly calculated Guidelines
    sentence, it is “nearly inconceivable that the court abused its discretion in not varying
    downward still further.” Deering, 762 F.3d at 787 (citation omitted). Having
    -32-
    reviewed the sentencing record and the district court’s thorough explanation of the
    sentence imposed, we conclude that the court did not abuse its discretion or impose
    a substantively unreasonable sentence.
    Restitution
    Finally, Lundstrom argues that the district court erred by not accounting for the
    effects of external market forces in its calculation of the $3,122,696 restitution award.
    “[W]e review a finding as to the amount of loss for clear error . . . .” United States
    v. Chalupnik, 
    514 F.3d 748
    , 752 (8th Cir. 2008).
    Under the Mandatory Victims Restitution Act (MVRA), the district court “shall
    order” a defendant convicted of certain offenses to “make restitution to the victim of
    the offense.” 18 U.S.C. § 3663A(a)(1), (c)(1). “Restitution is compensatory, not
    punitive” and must be proved by a preponderance of the evidence. United States v.
    Chaika, 
    695 F.3d 741
    , 747-48 (8th Cir. 2012). “In a fraud case, [restitution] is limited
    to the actual loss ‘directly caused by the defendant’s criminal conduct in the course
    of the scheme alleged in the indictment.’” 
    Id.
     (citation and emphasis omitted). The
    calculation of loss for sentencing purposes does not control the calculation of loss for
    restitution purposes. See 
    id.
    To establish the appropriate amount of restitution, the government presented
    evidence of claims data collected in a securities class action brought by TierOne
    shareholders against the bank’s executives. That claims data identified the TierOne
    shares purchased during the February 23, 2009, through November 10, 2009, fraud
    period and sold after the public disclosure of the fraud, as well as the sum each
    shareholder lost per share. The government then offset the resulting loss calculation
    by a portion of the class-action settlement to arrive at a restitution amount of
    $3,122,696.
    -33-
    As he did before the district court, Lundstrom argues that this methodology
    fails to account for any external market forces that caused shareholder losses. The
    district court rejected this argument, finding that Lundstrom’s fraud “did not cause
    shareholders to lose money by decreasing the value of TierOne’s shares; it caused
    them to lose money by inducing them to purchase shares based on information that
    grossly overestimated the value of these shares.” In other words, Lundstrom’s fraud
    induced shareholders to purchase TierOne stock when they otherwise would not have.
    Two TierOne shareholders testified that they purchased shares after reviewing
    TierOne’s financial reports, press releases, or annual meeting presentations, each of
    which conveyed the false impression that TierOne maintained a strong capital
    position. Where a defendant’s fraudulent conduct enticed victims to enter the market
    in the first place, the defendant assumes responsibility for their losses, including those
    resulting from market forces. See, e.g., United States v. Robers, 
    698 F.3d 937
    , 944
    (7th Cir. 2012) (“The declining [real estate] market only became an issue because of
    [the defendant’s] fraud,” and thus, the defendant, “not his victims, should bear the
    risk of market forces beyond his control.”), aff’d, 
    134 S. Ct. 1854
    , 1859 (2014);
    United States v. Paul, 
    634 F.3d 668
    , 678 (2d Cir. 2011) (“The fact that independent
    market forces may have contributed to the decline in SLM stock held by [the victims]
    is irrelevant to the restitution calculation.”).
    The judgment is affirmed.
    ______________________________
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