Nric v. Npcc ( 2013 )


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  •                FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    NORTHWEST RESOURCE                       No. 10-72104
    INFORMATION CENTER, INC.,
    Petitioner,
    v.                        OPINION
    NORTHWEST POWER AND
    CONSERVATION COUNCIL,
    Respondent,
    NORTHWEST RIVERPARTNERS;
    BONNEVILLE POWER
    ADMINISTRATION; PUBLIC POWER
    COUNCIL,
    Respondents-Intervenors.
    Appeal from the
    Northwest Power and Conservation Council
    Argued and Submitted
    June 7, 2013—Seattle, Washington
    Filed September 18, 2013
    2        NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    Before: Arthur L. Alarcón, Ronald Lee Gilman*,
    and Sandra S. Ikuta, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Gilman;
    Partial Concurrence and Partial Dissent by Judge Ikuta
    SUMMARY**
    Northwest Power Act
    The panel affirmed the Sixth Northwest Power Plan,
    adopted by the Northwest Electric Power and Conservation
    Council, concerning a “due consideration” challenge to the
    accommodation of fish and wildlife interests with
    hydropower interests in the Columbia River Basin, and
    remanded on a limited basis for additional consideration.
    Petitioner, an environmental group, alleged that the
    Council failed to give “due consideration” to the
    accommodation of fish and wildlife interests in the Columbia
    River Basin when the Council adopted the Plan that laid out
    biological objectives, principles, and strategies designed to
    benefit fish and wildlife but did not prescribe specific
    operations. The panel held that it would not second-guess the
    due consideration that the Council gave to fish and wildlife
    interests in the adoption of the Plan where plaintiffs did not
    *
    The Honorable Ronald Lee Gilman, Senior Circuit Judge for the U.S.
    Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, sitting by designation.
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL          3
    point to any part of the Pacific Northwest Electric Poser
    Planning and Conservation Act that required the Council to
    reconsider fish and wildlife measures in light of its evaluation
    of the regional power system from the subsequent power-
    planning process. The panel remanded the Plan to the
    Council for the limited purposes of allowing public notice
    and comment on the proposed methodology for determining
    quantifiable environmental costs and benefits, and
    reconsidering the inclusion in the Plan of a market price-
    based estimate of the cost of accommodating fish and wildlife
    interests.
    Judge Ikuta concurred in part and dissented in part. Judge
    Ikuta agreed with the majority to the extent it remanded the
    Plan to the Council to correct its error in failing to circulate
    the statutorily required methodology section for notice and
    comment, and agreed with the majority's conclusion that the
    Council gave due consideration to the accommodation of fish
    and wildlife interests in the Columbia River Basin when it
    adopted the Plan. Judge Ikuta dissented from the remainder
    of the majority's decision.
    COUNSEL
    Stephen D. Mashuda (argued) and Kevin E. Regan,
    Earthjustice, Seattle, Washington, for Petitioner.
    John L. Shurts (argued) and Sandra L. Hirotsu, Northwest
    Power and Conservation Council, Portland, Oregon, for
    Respondent.
    Beth S. Ginsberg (argued) and Jason T. Morgan, Stoel Rives,
    LLP, Seattle, Washington, for Respondents-Intervenors.
    4   NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    OPINION
    GILMAN, Senior Circuit Judge:
    The present case is the latest round of environmental
    litigation in the 33-year history of the Pacific Northwest
    Electric Power Planning and Conservation Act (the Power
    Act), 
    16 U.S.C. §§ 839
    –839h. That statute established the
    Northwest Power and Conservation Council (the Council), an
    interstate agency composed of state-appointed representatives
    from Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and Washington that Congress
    tasked with promulgating both “a regional conservation and
    electric power plan” and “a program to protect, mitigate, and
    enhance fish and wildlife.” 16 U.S.C. § 839b(d)(1),
    839b(h)(1)(A).
    The Power Act was designed to resolve the conflict
    between the Columbia River Basin’s two great natural
    resources: hydropower and salmon. Nw. Res. Info. Ctr. v.
    Nw. Power Planning Council, 
    35 F.3d 1371
    , 1375, 1377 (9th
    Cir. 1994). Over the years, the Council’s efforts to fulfill its
    duties have been challenged in federal court by various
    regional stakeholders, including environmental groups, power
    companies, state governments, Indian nations, and power-
    consuming industrial interests. See id.; Seattle Master
    Builders Ass’n v. Pac. Nw. Elec. Power & Conservation
    Planning Council, 
    786 F.2d 1359
     (9th Cir. 1986).
    This case presents a challenge by an environmental group,
    the Northwest Resource Information Center (NRIC), to the
    Sixth Northwest Power Plan (the Plan) that the Council
    adopted in May 2010. NRIC’s key complaint is that the
    Council failed to give due consideration to the
    accommodation of fish and wildlife interests when it adopted
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL        5
    the Plan. For the reasons set forth below, we AFFIRM the
    Plan with respect to NRIC’s “due-consideration” challenge,
    but REMAND the Plan to the Council for the limited
    purposes of (1) allowing public notice and comment on the
    proposed methodology for determining quantifiable
    environmental costs and benefits, and (2) reconsidering the
    inclusion in the Plan of a market-price-based estimate of the
    cost of accommodating fish and wildlife interests.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. Statutory background
    Prior decisions of this court have discussed the history,
    purpose, and operation of the Power Act. See, e.g., Nw.
    Envtl. Def. Ctr. v. Bonneville Power Ass’n, 
    117 F.3d 1520
    ,
    1525–26, 1530–31 (9th Cir. 1997); Nw. Res. Info. Ctr.,
    
    35 F.3d at
    1377–79. The key source of conflict is that the
    extensive system of hydroelectric dams in the Columbia
    River Basin has been “a major factor in the decline of some
    salmon and steelhead runs to a point of near extinction.” Nw.
    Res. Info. Ctr., 
    35 F.3d at 1376
     (quoting 126 Cong. Rec.
    H10687 (1980)). Hydroelectric dams have a destructive
    cumulative effect on salmon and steelhead fish (collectively
    referred to as “anadromous fish” because they spawn in
    freshwater, reach maturity in saltwater, and then return to
    freshwater to reproduce) mostly because they impede the path
    of juvenile fish to the ocean. 
    Id.
     at 1376 & n.5.
    The “devastating losses of salmon and steelhead in the
    mid-1970s” prompted Congress to enact the Fish and Wildlife
    Coordination Act, 
    16 U.S.C. §§ 661
    –666c, in 1976. Nw. Res.
    Info. Ctr., 
    35 F.3d at 1377
    . But that statute’s mandate of
    giving “equal consideration” to fish and wildlife on the one
    6   NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    hand and hydropower projects on the other proved
    inadequate. 
    Id.
     Congress also began considering revisions to
    the electric-power policies in the Northwest region because
    of “forecasts predicting serious power shortages during
    critical water years expected in the 1980’s.” 
    Id.
     The Power
    Act, enacted in 1980, was a legislative response to both
    issues. It “marked an important shift in federal policy” by
    creating a “new obligation on the region and various Federal
    agencies to protect, mitigate, and enhance fish and wildlife”
    while not jeopardizing “an adequate, efficient, economical,
    and reliable power supply.” 
    Id.
     at 1377–78 (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    Under the Power Act, the Council must first develop and
    adopt a fish and wildlife program. See 16 U.S.C.
    § 839b(h)(2)–(9) (mandating the process for adopting a fish
    and wildlife program before finalizing a conservation and
    electric power plan). The Council, in doing so, must seek
    recommendations from federal and state fish and wildlife
    agencies and from the region’s Indian tribes concerning
    (1) measures that can be implemented to advance fish and
    wildlife interests; (2) objectives for the development and
    operation of hydroelectric projects in the Columbia River
    Basin that promote such interests; and (3) research and
    development to, among other things, protect “anadromous
    fish at, and between, the region’s hydroelectric dams.” Id.
    § 839b(h)(2)(A)–(C).        Federal and regional water-
    management agencies, regional electric-power-producing
    agencies and customers, and the general public may also
    submit recommendations to the Council. Id. § 839b(h)(3).
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL          7
    After these recommendations undergo a public notice-
    and-comment process, see 16 U.S.C. § 839b(h)(4), the
    Council is required to develop a fish and wildlife program
    based on the recommendations, public commentary, and
    consultations with the federal and state fish and wildlife
    agencies, the “appropriate Indian tribes,” the federal agencies
    responsible for operating or regulating hydroelectric facilities
    in the region, and “any customer or other electric utility
    which owns or operates any such facility.” See id.
    § 839b(h)(5) (referring back to the “agencies, tribes, and
    customers” listed in § 839b(h)(4)(A)). One of the key federal
    agencies involved in this process is the Bonneville Power
    Administration (BPA), a power-marketing agency within the
    United States Department of Energy that is charged with
    implementing conservation measures and acquiring resources
    in accordance with the Council’s power plan. See Aluminum
    Co. of Am. v. Bonneville Power Admin., 
    903 F.2d 585
    , 588
    (9th Cir. 1989) (describing the BPA); 16 U.S.C. § 839d(a)
    (setting forth the BPA’s role in implementing the Council’s
    power plan).
    In the event that stakeholder recommendations conflict,
    the Council is charged with resolving any inconsistency by
    “giving due weight to the recommendations, expertise, and
    legal rights and responsibilities of the Federal and the
    region’s State fish and wildlife agencies and appropriate
    Indian tribes.” 16 U.S.C. § 839b(h)(7). The Council may
    reject any recommendations made by such agencies and
    tribes, but it must justify the rejection with a written
    explanation of why the recommendation does not comport
    with the objectives of the fish and wildlife program as
    outlined in the Power Act or why the recommendation would
    be less effective than the adopted recommendations. Id.
    8   NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    Congress also set forth in the Power Act a substantive
    mandate for the fish and wildlife program: “The program
    shall consist of measures to protect, mitigate, and enhance
    fish and wildlife affected by the development, operation, and
    management of [hydroelectric] facilities while assuring the
    Pacific Northwest an adequate, efficient, economical, and
    reliable power supply.” 16 U.S.C. § 839b(h)(5). The Council
    must include such measures that it determines will
    (A) complement the existing and future
    activities of the Federal and the region’s State
    fish and wildlife agencies and appropriate
    Indian tribes;
    (B) be based on, and supported by, the best
    available scientific knowledge;
    (C) utilize, where equally effective alternative
    means of achieving the same sound biological
    objective exist, the alternative with the
    minimum economic cost;
    (D) be consistent with the legal rights of
    appropriate Indian tribes in the region; and
    (E) in the case of anadromous fish—
    (i) provide for improved survival of such
    fish at hydroelectric facilities located on the
    Columbia River system; and
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL         9
    (ii) provide flows of sufficient quality and
    quantity between such facilities to improve
    production, migration, and survival of such
    fish as necessary to meet sound biological
    objectives.
    16 U.S.C. § 839b(h)(6).
    The fish and wildlife program exists apart from, but is
    also mandatorily incorporated into, the regional conservation
    and electric power plan that the Power Act requires the
    Council to adopt. See 16 U.S.C. § 839b(e)(3)(F) (requiring
    that a power plan include a fish and wildlife program).
    Similar to § 839b(h)’s requirements for the fish and wildlife
    program, the Power Act sets forth procedural and substantive
    requirements for the hydroelectric power plan. See id.
    § 839b(d)–(e).
    Procedurally, the Council must review its power plan at
    least once every five years. 16 U.S.C. § 839b(d)(1). The
    power plan may also “be amended from time to time.” Id.
    Public hearings must precede any adoption of a power plan or
    any “substantial, nontechnical amendments” thereto and must
    conform to the section of the Administrative Procedure Act
    governing rulemaking. Id. § 839b(d)(1) (referencing 
    5 U.S.C. § 553
    ). Once adopted, all conservation and resource
    acquisitions undertaken by the BPA must be consistent with
    the Council’s power plan (unless otherwise specified in the
    Power Act). 
    Id.
     § 839b(d)(2).
    The Power Act also prescribes general substantive
    requirements for the power plan, starting with prioritizing
    resources into a hierarchy. “Priority shall be given: first, to
    conservation; second, to renewable resources; third, to
    10 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    generating resources utilizing waste heat or generating
    resources of high fuel conversion efficiency; and fourth, to all
    other resources.” 16 U.S.C. § 839b(e)(1). Resources that the
    Council determines to be “cost-effective,” a term defined
    elsewhere in the Power Act, id. § 839a(4)(A), are given
    priority over resources that are not cost-effective, id.
    § 839b(e)(1).
    The power plan must also establish a “general scheme”
    for the BPA to meet its power-providing obligations through
    conservation and resource acquisition.          16 U.S.C.
    § 839b(e)(2). This scheme must reflect the Council’s “due
    consideration” for the following:
    (A) environmental quality, (B) compatibility
    with the existing regional power system,
    (C) protection, mitigation, and enhancement
    of fish and wildlife and related spawning
    grounds and habitat, including sufficient
    quantities and qualities of flows for successful
    migration, survival, and propagation of
    anadromous fish, and (D) other criteria which
    may be set forth in the plan.
    Id.
    The Power Act then lists seven specific items that the
    power plan must include: (1) an energy conservation
    program that includes model conservation standards,
    (2) research and development recommendations, (3) “a
    methodology for determining quantifiable costs and benefits,”
    (4) “a demand forecast of at least twenty years . . . and a
    forecast of power resources estimated by the Council to be
    required to meet the [BPA’s] obligations,” (5) “an analysis of
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 11
    reserve and reliability requirements and cost-effective
    methods of providing reserves designed to insure adequate
    electric power at the lowest probable cost,” (6) the fish and
    wildlife program adopted pursuant to § 839b(h), and (7) a
    methodology for calculating surcharges recommended under
    § 839b(f), if any. 
    16 U.S.C. § 839
    (b)(e)(3). Congress left to
    the Council’s discretion the level of detail that the power plan
    provides with respect to these seven elements. 
    Id.
    B. The Sixth Northwest Power Plan (the Plan)
    In December 2007, the Council published a paper that
    identified the major issues for consideration in its next power
    plan. The Council also asked for stakeholder feedback on
    those issues and other relevant topics. Meanwhile, the
    Council’s primary focus was on the fish and wildlife
    program, culminating in the June 2009 adoption of a new
    program (the 2009 Program).
    Unlike past programs, the 2009 Program did not include
    plans of detailed hydrosystem operations for fish and wildlife
    because the federal agencies that operate and regulate the
    federal dams in the Columbia River Basin had already
    produced detailed plans for the operations of each facility
    intended to improve conditions for fish and wildlife affected
    by the hydrosystem. These plans, set forth and reviewed in
    biological opinions from the National Oceanic and
    Atmospheric Administration Fisheries and the U.S. Fish and
    Wildlife Service, focus on benefitting fish populations listed
    as threatened or endangered under the Endangered Species
    Act.
    12 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    Rather than prescribe specific operations, the 2009
    Program lays out biological objectives, principles, and
    strategies designed to benefit fish and wildlife. These
    strategies included transporting and providing safe bypasses
    for fish around dams, as well as spilling water over dams to
    allow for their passage. NRIC did not submit any
    recommendations or comments during the public process that
    led to the 2009 Program, nor did it seek judicial review once
    the 2009 Program was adopted.
    In September 2009, the Council issued a draft version of
    the Plan. A period for public comments followed, and the
    Council held public hearings in Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and
    Washington. The Plan notes that the Council consulted “with
    various governments, entities and individuals in the region,
    and accepted and considered substantial written and oral
    comments.” In February 2010, the Council voted to adopt the
    Plan, and notice of that adoption was published on May 4,
    2010.
    Pursuant to the Power Act, the Plan incorporates by
    reference the 2009 Program and provides a power-demand
    forecast, an assessment of current and potential resources, a
    conservation program, an analysis of reserve and reliability
    requirements, and an appendix describing a methodology for
    determining quantifiable environmental costs and benefits.
    The methodology appendix, however, did not appear in the
    September 2009 draft version of the Plan, an omission first
    brought to light by public comments.
    Although not required by the Power Act, the Plan also
    includes the BPA’s market-price-based estimate of the
    financial cost of the fish and wildlife measures adopted in the
    2009 Program. The BPA’s cost estimate, which is
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 13
    $750–$900 million annually, appeared in the draft version of
    the Plan, but it was part of a lengthy explanation of (1) an
    alternative method for estimating the cost of the 2009
    Program that was substantially lower, and (2) the several
    purposes served by providing such a cost estimate. Using a
    “replacement resource cost” methodology, the draft version
    of the Plan estimated the 2009 Program’s cost at $300 million
    annually, less than half of the cost estimate provided by the
    BPA. Neither that specific estimate nor any mention of other
    cost-estimate methodologies appear in the final version of the
    Plan.
    C. Procedural background
    NRIC timely filed its petition to challenge the Plan in this
    court after the Council published its notice of adoption. See
    16 U.S.C. §§ 839f(e)(1)(A), 839f(e)(5) (providing that the
    adoption of a power plan is a final action subject to judicial
    review and that suits to challenge final actions of the Council
    are to be brought in the federal court of appeals for the
    region).       This court allowed the BPA, Northwest
    RiverPartners (an interest group of regional utilities, ports,
    businesses, and farmers), and the Public Power Council (a
    trade association representing regional consumer-owned
    utilities) to intervene and file response briefs in addition to
    the brief filed by the Council.
    II. ANALYSIS
    A. Standard of review
    The Administrative Procedure Act, 
    5 U.S.C. §§ 701
    –06,
    governs review of actions taken by the Council. Seattle
    Master Builders Ass’n v. Pac. Nw. Elec. Power &
    14 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    Conservation Planning Council, 
    786 F.2d 1359
    , 1366 (9th
    Cir. 1986); 16 U.S.C. § 839f(e)(2). The Council’s adoption
    of the Plan will not be set aside unless the Plan is found to be
    “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not
    in accordance with law.” See 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    ; Seattle Master,
    
    786 F.2d at 1366
    .
    In contrast, this court generally reviews de novo any legal
    questions arising from an agency decision, such as the proper
    interpretation of a statutory provision. Seattle Master,
    
    786 F.2d at 1366
    . “[W]e look first to the statute’s language,”
    which “must ordinarily be regarded as conclusive.” Nw. Res.
    Info. Ctr. v. Nw. Power Planning Council, 
    35 F.3d 1371
    ,1383
    (9th Cir. 1994) (internal quotation marks omitted). But
    substantial deference is accorded “to the interpretation given
    statutes by the officers or agency charged with their
    administration.” Nw. Envtl. Def. Ctr. v. Bonneville Power
    Admin., 
    117 F.3d 1520
    , 1530 (9th Cir. 1997) (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    B. Due consideration
    NRIC first argues that the Plan fails to give “due
    consideration . . . for . . . protection, mitigation, and
    enhancement of fish and wildlife” as the Power Act requires.
    See 16 U.S.C. § 839b(e)(2). “Due consideration,” according
    to NRIC, obligates the Council to independently consider and
    give significant weight to the needs of anadromous fish when
    formulating a power plan. NRIC contends that this obligation
    stands separate from the requirement that a power plan
    incorporate a fish and wildlife program.             See id.
    § 839b(e)(3)(F). The upshot of NRIC’s interpretation is that
    if the Council learns through developing a power plan that
    existing or future power resources, including the
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 15
    implementation of conservation measures, create the capacity
    for further fish and wildlife enhancements, then the Council
    must consider whether such enhancements would serve the
    Power Act’s goal of furthering fish and wildlife interests
    while maintaining an adequate, efficient, economical, and
    reliable power supply.
    The Council agrees with NRIC “that the consideration
    due under the [Power] Act is a serious substantive obligation”
    and in the past has recognized that such consideration is in
    addition to the Power Act’s mandate of adopting a fish and
    wildlife program. But it rejects NRIC’s contention that the
    Power Act requires, or even allows, the Council to revisit the
    fish and wildlife measures adopted in the 2009 Program. The
    Council instead argues that it gave fish and wildlife interests
    due consideration in three ways: (1) through the evaluation
    of two of the many alternative power-resource scenarios
    analyzed for inclusion in the Plan, (2) by developing a
    resource plan that accommodates the 2009 Program’s fish and
    wildlife measures, and (3) by considering the impact of
    potential new power resources both on environmental quality
    and on fish and wildlife.
    But the Council’s first and second suggested methods for
    providing due consideration to fish and wildlife interests miss
    the mark. The first method is easily dismissed because the
    Council fails to show how its evaluation of two particular
    power-resource scenarios was at all relevant to its due-
    consideration obligation, particularly with respect to
    providing “sufficient quantities and qualities of [river] flows
    for successful migration, survival, and propagation of
    anadromous fish.” See 16 U.S.C. § 839b(e)(2). One of these
    resource scenarios posited removing the four federal dams in
    the lower Snake River (a major tributary in the Columbia
    16 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    River Basin), while the other considered the hypothetical
    retirement of a number of coal-fired plants throughout the
    region.
    The Council contends that its due-consideration
    obligation did not require an analysis of either scenario. It
    further argues that it is not authorized to include in a power
    plan’s resource scheme a recommendation to shut down an
    existing power resource. But an analysis of resource
    scenarios that the Council claims is beyond its power to adopt
    has only a tenuous bearing on the Council’s duty to set forth
    a resource scheme that gives due consideration to fish and
    wildlife interests. The Council itself notes that “[t]he
    resource scheme actually adopted by the Council in the power
    plan did not call for or assume that the events would happen;
    these alternative scenarios (and others) were developed to
    provide useful information to the region to inform further
    thinking and planning.” In other words, the alternative
    scenarios were not developed to give due consideration to
    fish and wildlife interests in the resource scheme actually
    adopted. A post-hoc reliance on these alternative-scenario
    analyses is thus unavailing.
    The Council’s second argument—that it provided due
    consideration to fish and wildlife enhancements through its
    adoption of the 2009 Program—is likewise inadequate.
    Developing a resource plan that accommodates the fish and
    wildlife program satisfies the two statutory mandates listed
    below and thus cannot constitute complying with the due-
    consideration mandate if that mandate is properly understood
    as an independent obligation. See Kenaitze Indian Tribe v.
    Alaska, 
    860 F.2d 312
    , 317 (9th Cir. 1988) (declining to adopt
    a statutory interpretation that would render one portion of the
    statute redundant when “another interpretation . . . avoids
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 17
    such redundancy”). Those other statutory mandates are
    (1) the requirement that the power plan include a fish and
    wildlife program, 16 U.S.C. § 839b(e)(3)(F), and (2) the
    requirement that the plan’s power-demand forecast account
    for the effects of the fish and wildlife program on the
    availability of power resources, id. § 839(b)(e)(3)(D).
    The Council further argues that the 2009 Program places
    “hard nonpower constraints on the hydrosystem,” thus
    demonstrating the Council’s due consideration. But the two
    separate Power Act provisions identified above already
    require building the power plan around those measures.
    Moreover, the fish and wildlife measures in the 2009 Program
    account for the Power Act’s command that fish and wildlife
    protection not jeopardize an efficient and reliable power
    supply. See 16 U.S.C. § 839b(h)(5). The Power Act does not
    authorize the Council to adopt a fish and wildlife program
    that maximizes fish protection in an absolute sense, but rather
    requires the Council to adopt the best measures possible in
    light of the Power Act’s energy goals. See id. § 839b(h)(5).
    So while the Council equates accounting for the measures
    in the 2009 Program with providing due consideration for fish
    and wildlife interests, those measures in fact are already
    limited by the Power Act’s countervailing interest in assuring
    that the region has appropriate power resources.
    Characterizing those measures as “hard nonpower constraints
    on the hydrosystem” thus belies the fact that the measures
    themselves already reflect both fish and wildlife interests and
    power interests.
    18 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    Finally, the Council suggests that it provided due
    consideration to fish and wildlife interests and to
    environmental quality by assessing the impact that potential
    new power resources might have on those interests. The
    Council’s “primary example” of this method of due
    consideration is the “Protected Areas” policy, which guards
    44,000 miles of regional streams against new hydroelectric
    development. But that policy, as the citation in the Council’s
    response brief indicates, is part of the 2009 Program. The
    Council does not explain how one aspect of the 2009 Program
    can satisfy an obligation in the power-plan process that the
    Council has recognized is separate from its duty to adopt and
    incorporate a fish and wildlife program into the power plan.
    Putting the Protected Areas policy aside, however, the
    Council’s basic point holds true: The Power Act’s due-
    consideration requirement is aimed specifically at new
    power-resource acquisitions, not at existing resources. This
    is reflected in the statute’s requirement that “[t]he plan shall
    set forth a general scheme for implementing conservation
    measures and developing resources pursuant to section 839d
    . . . with due consideration by the Council for . . . protection,
    mitigation, and enhancement of fish and wildlife.” 16 U.S.C.
    § 839b(e)(2) (emphasis added). Section 839d, in turn,
    governs the BPA’s conservation measures and resource
    acquisitions. Id. § 839d(a)–(b) (ordering the BPA to
    implement conservation measures and acquire resources in
    accordance with the Council’s power plan).
    The language of 16 U.S.C. §§ 839b(e)(2) and 839d thus
    forecloses NRIC’s argument that the Council must reconsider
    the fish and wildlife measures adopted in the 2009 Program
    in order to satisfy the due-consideration requirement. Those
    measures concern adjustments to the existing hydrosystem,
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 19
    whereas the Power Act ties the due-consideration requirement
    specifically to future conservation and resource acquisition.
    To be sure, the Power Act does not appear to prohibit such
    reconsideration, see id. § 839b(h)(9) (providing the time
    frame within which “[t]he Council shall adopt such program
    or amendments thereto” (emphasis added)), but the Council’s
    duty of providing due consideration to fish and wildlife
    interests in setting a general agenda for future conservation
    and resource acquisition does not require reconsideration of
    the 2009 Program.
    NRIC has shown why consideration of additional fish and
    wildlife measures in the existing hydrosystem is not an
    unreasonable proposition. From the Fifth Northwest Power
    Plan to the current Plan, the amount of power that the Council
    estimates that the region can conserve in a cost-effective
    manner has doubled from approximately 2,950 average
    megawatts to 5,900 average megawatts, such that
    conservation alone can meet 85 percent of the region’s
    demand growth for the next 20 years. In comparison, fish
    and wildlife measures in the 2009 Program “reduce
    hydroelectric generation by about 1,200 average megawatts
    relative to operation with no constraints for fish and wildlife.”
    The increase in estimated conservation capacity from the last
    power plan to the current Plan is therefore more than double
    the power impact that current fish and wildlife measures have
    on the hydrosystem.
    Assuming that the new conservation estimates were
    unknown to the Council when formulating the 2009 Program,
    that program underestimated the degree to which the region
    could accommodate fish and wildlife measures while
    maintaining an adequate power supply. The Plan itself notes
    that fish and wildlife measures must take into account the
    20 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    region’s power supply, but that evaluations of the power
    system are “necessarily preliminary” during the consideration
    of the fish and wildlife program. And although total
    electricity demand is not the only relevant factor when
    evaluating the power system—the Council must account for
    variables like peak demand periods and fluctuating wind
    generation—a substantial increase in potential conservation
    should nonetheless be relevant to fish and wildlife planning.
    But articulating a retroactive approach that the Council
    chose not to follow is insufficient to meet NRIC’s burden of
    showing that the Council acted in a manner that was
    “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not
    in accordance with law.” See 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    . NRIC has not
    pointed to any part of the Power Act that requires the Council
    to reconsider fish and wildlife measures in light of its
    evaluation of the regional power system from the subsequent
    power-planning process. Absent such a showing, we will not
    second-guess the due consideration that the Council gave to
    fish and wildlife interests in the adoption of the Plan.
    C. Methodology
    NRIC next argues that the Council’s failure to include a
    methodology for evaluating environmental costs and benefits
    in the draft version of the Plan was both contrary to the Power
    Act and arbitrary and capricious. It also contends that the
    methodology included in Appendix P of the final version of
    the Plan “fails to provide a rational method for calculating
    environmental costs and benefits of resources or measures
    necessary to meet the goals of the [Power] Act.”
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 21
    “The choice of methodology is a highly technical question
    which falls within the unique expertise of the Council.”
    Seattle Master Builders Ass’n v. Pac. Nw. Elec. Power &
    Conservation Planning Council, 
    786 F.2d 1359
    , 1370 (9th
    Cir. 1986) (upholding the Council’s methodology for
    determining the cost-effectiveness of conservation measures).
    “Unless an abuse of discretion is demonstrated, this court will
    not substitute its judgment on particular . . . methodology.”
    
    Id.
    One of the required elements of a power plan is “a
    methodology for determining quantifiable environmental
    costs and benefits under section 839a(4) of this title.”
    16 U.S.C. § 839b(e)(3)(C). As with the other elements listed
    in § 839b(e)(3), the Power Act instructs the Council to set
    forth the methodology “in such detail as the Council
    determines to be appropriate.” Section 839a(4) provides the
    definition of “cost-effective,” which calls for comparing
    resources on the basis of “incremental system cost,” where
    the “system cost” of a resource is an “estimate of all direct
    costs . . . , including . . . quantifiable environmental costs and
    benefits.” Id. § 839a(4)(A)–(B).
    1. Procedural challenge
    No methodology for determining quantifiable
    environmental costs and benefits appeared in the draft plan,
    and the Council did not submit for public comment the
    methodology it included in Appendix P to the final version of
    the Plan. The Council acknowledges that the omission of its
    methodology from the draft plan was an “unfortunate error,”
    but characterizes the omission as an irrelevant procedural
    point. Essentially, the Council asks us to find that its error
    was harmless. This court has held that “[a]n agency may rely
    22 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    on harmless error only when its mistake is one that clearly
    had no bearing on the procedure used or the substance of
    [the] decision reached.” Sagebrush Rebellion, Inc. v. Hodel,
    
    790 F.2d 760
    , 765 (9th Cir. 1986) (ellipsis and internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    Omission of the methodology from the draft plan was
    harmless, the Council argues, because its methodology was
    self-evident from the draft plan. The Council, however, has
    cited no part of the draft plan to support that assertion.
    Rather, the citations to the record in the Council’s brief
    reflect the Council’s recognition of the omission and its
    decision to include the methodology as an appendix to the
    final version of the Plan.
    The Council likewise contends that no amount of
    additional public notice and comment would have led the
    Council to adopt the type of methodology that NRIC argues
    is appropriate. But that post-hoc litigation position, even if
    true, is insufficient to demonstrate that the error “clearly had
    no bearing on the procedure used or the substance of [the]
    decision reached.” See Sagebrush Rebellion, 
    790 F.2d at 765
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Including the methodology in the draft version of the
    Plan, which draft went through the notice-and-comment
    process, might not have produced any substantial differences
    from the methodology that appears in the final version of the
    Plan, but the Council has not clearly established that this is
    so. See Riverbend Farms, Inc. v. Madigan, 
    958 F.2d 1479
    ,
    1487 (9th Cir. 1992) (explaining that “harmless error analysis
    in administrative rulemaking must . . . focus on the process as
    well as the result” because otherwise “an agency could
    always claim that it would have adopted the same rule even
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 23
    if it had complied with the APA procedures”). For this
    reason, we will remand the Plan to the Council for the limited
    purpose of adopting a methodology through the appropriate
    notice-and-comment process. See 16 U.S.C. § 839b(d)(1)
    (outlining the process for adopting any significant changes to
    the power plan).
    2. Substantive challenge
    NRIC also challenges the substance of the methodology
    adopted by the Council, arguing that the methodology “fails
    to provide a rational method for calculating environmental
    costs and benefits of resources or measures necessary to meet
    the goals of the [Power] Act.” Because we hold that this
    aspect of the Plan must be remanded to remedy the
    procedural defect, and because the notice-and-comment
    process might result in a change to the substantive
    methodology, we decline to address NRIC’s challenge based
    on the current wording of Appendix P.
    D. Inclusion of the BPA’s cost estimate
    NRIC’s final challenge to the Plan centers on the
    Council’s decision to include the BPA’s estimate that the cost
    of the 2009 Program totals $750 – $900 million per year.
    That estimate, based in part on market prices applied to
    foregone power generation, appears in the Plan at least four
    times. No other estimate of the financial cost of the fish and
    wildlife program to the BPA’s operation of the hydrosystem
    appears in the Plan. NRIC argues that the inclusion of what
    it calls an “inflated” cost estimate will influence the Council’s
    and the public’s perception of what fish and wildlife
    measures are possible while maintaining a power supply that
    is economical.
    24 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    In contrast, the draft version of the Plan included a much
    lower estimate of the 2009 Program’s cost ($300 million),
    which reflects “a long-term amortized replacement resource
    cost.” The draft of Appendix M then noted that assessing the
    costs in terms of market prices is “sometimes” important,
    such as when the BPA calculates the credit it receives for
    expenses made for nonpower-related operations. Finally, the
    draft noted that “[t]he traditional ‘market price’ calculation of
    the total effect on generation from fish and wildlife
    operations is essentially irrelevant to the power plan’s
    resource development efforts.”
    The reason for removing the discussion of fish and
    wildlife costs from Appendix M, according to the Council,
    was that the discussion elicited contentious comments on a
    subject that the Council deemed irrelevant. Concentrating on
    the cost issue arguably “threatened to interfere with the
    Council’s focus on . . . the resource strategy.” But that
    reasoning does not explain why the Council retained the
    BPA’s cost estimate in Appendix M and also inserted it
    elsewhere in the Plan. The Council provides no reasoned
    basis, either in the record or in its brief, for why it eliminated
    the lower, resource-replacement cost estimate but mentioned
    the BPA’s higher, market-rate estimate multiple times.
    A decision by an agency is arbitrary when it fails to
    “articulate a satisfactory explanation for its action[,]
    including a rational connection between the facts found and
    the choice made.” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of the U.S., Inc.
    v. State Farm Mut. Auto Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983)
    (internal quotation marks omitted). Rather than articulate a
    rationale for its decision to retain the BPA’s cost estimate, the
    Council argues that the estimate had no bearing on the
    development of the Plan. From that premise, the Council
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 25
    concludes that including the estimate in the Plan was not
    unreasonable or arbitrary. The Council’s argument, however,
    conflates the issue of whether the inclusion of the BPA’s
    estimate was arbitrary with the question of the estimate’s
    ultimate effect on the Plan, and no legal authority is cited to
    support its argument.
    To be sure, “we must take ‘due account’ of the harmless
    error rule” when we review agency final actions under the
    Administrative Procedure Act. California Wilderness Cal. v.
    U.S. Dep’t of Energy, 
    631 F.3d 1072
    , 1090 (9th Cir. 2011);
    see 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
     (requiring a reviewing court to take “due
    account . . . of the rule of prejudicial error”). As noted above,
    this court has defined “harmless error” in the administrative-
    rulemaking context as an error that “clearly had no bearing on
    the procedure used or the substance of [the] decision
    reached.” Sagebrush Rebellion, Inc. v. Hodel, 
    790 F.2d 760
    ,
    765 (9th Cir. 1986) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Although the burden is on the party attacking the agency
    decision to show that the error was harmful, Cal. Wilderness,
    
    631 F.3d at 1091
    , we “must exercise great caution in applying
    the harmless error rule in the administrative rulemaking
    context” because “[h]armless error is more readily abused
    there than in the civil or criminal context,” 
    id. at 1090
    (internal quotation marks omitted). “‘[T]he “burden” of
    showing that an error was harmful is not . . . a particularly
    onerous requirement.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting Shineski v. Sanders,
    
    556 U.S. 396
    , 410 (2009)).
    The Council argues that it “did not consider or rely on
    how [the BPA] reports the costs of the Council’s fish and
    wildlife program in developing or adopting the resource
    strategy or other required elements of the Sixth Power Plan.”
    But even if we assume that assertion to be true, the decision
    26 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    is nonetheless harmful because the final action that we are
    obligated to review under 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
     is the adoption of
    the Plan as a whole, not merely the Plan’s “resource strategy”
    or its “other required elements.”
    As much as the Council stresses both in the Plan and in its
    brief before this court that the financial cost of the 2009
    Program was irrelevant to the development of the Plan’s
    resource decisions, assessing that cost remains important.
    The Council itself identified “at least four different purposes
    for assessing the cost of fish and wildlife operations” in the
    draft of the Plan that was submitted for public comment.
    Moreover, the overarching purpose of the Power Act is the
    protection of fish and wildlife while maintaining an adequate
    and economical power supply. See Nw. Res. Info. Ctr. v. Nw.
    Power Planning Council, 
    35 F.3d 1371
    , 1378–79 (9th Cir.
    1994).
    The Council’s implicit endorsement of a cost estimate of
    fish and wildlife measures that is more than double the
    estimate produced by an alternative methodology is directly
    relevant to the fundamental balance that the Power Act
    commands the Council to achieve. Whether those measures
    cost $750 million annually rather than $300 million annually
    will quite likely affect where that balance is struck when the
    Council and the region’s stakeholders develop future fish and
    wildlife programs and power plans. The Council’s contention
    that the BPA cost estimate had “no bearing” on the Plan as a
    whole thus rings hollow when in fact the Council
    incorporated the estimate multiple times into both the Plan’s
    body and Appendix M.
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 27
    Because the Council has provided no basis for adopting
    the BPA’s cost estimate throughout the Plan, and because
    “[w]e may not supply a reasoned basis for the agency’s action
    that the agency itself has not given,” Motor Vehicle Mfrs.
    Ass’n of the U.S., Inc. v. State Farm Mut. Auto Ins. Co.,
    
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983), the Council’s unsupported decision
    was arbitrary. NRIC, moreover, has borne its relatively light
    burden of showing that the Council’s arbitrary decision was
    harmful. See Shineski, 
    556 U.S. at 410
    .
    This conclusion, however, does not require setting aside
    the entire Plan. On remand, the Council must reconsider the
    parts of the Plan that contain the BPA’s cost estimate. The
    Council is not foreclosed from including that estimate in the
    Plan, but it must develop a reasoned basis for doing so. Nor
    is the Council required to include the resource-replacement
    cost estimate developed in the draft of Appendix M, but the
    decision to include or exclude that estimate must be grounded
    in reasoning reflected in a record that this court may review.
    See, e.g., Ariz. Cattle Growers’ Ass’n v. U.S. Fish & Wildlife,
    Bureau of Land Mgmt., 
    273 F.3d 1229
    , 1236 (9th Cir. 2001)
    (explaining that “[t]he reviewing court may not substitute
    reasons for agency action that are not in the record,” and that
    “[j]udicial review is meaningless” if the court cannot “review
    the record to ensure that agency decisions are founded on a
    reasoned evaluation of the relevant factors” (internal
    quotation marks omitted)).
    As a final note, we respectfully disagree with the partial
    dissent’s characterization of our analysis on this issue as one
    of “passion” and “zeal” to edit the Council’s work product.
    We instead view the Council’s unexplained inclusion of the
    BPA’s cost estimate to the exclusion of the substantially
    lower resource-replacement cost estimate as both an implicit
    28 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    finding of fact under 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2) of the Administrative
    Procedure Act and a “fail[ure] to consider an aspect of the
    problem” under Great Yellowstone Coalition v. Lewis,
    
    628 F.3d 1143
    , 1148 (9th Cir. 2010). We thus agree with our
    dissenting colleague’s closing comment that “[w]e are not yet
    commissioned to serve as a Judicial Editorial Review Board,”
    but we find the comment inapposite.
    III. CONCLUSION
    For all of the reasons set forth above, we AFFIRM the
    Plan with respect to NRIC’s due-consideration challenge, but
    REMAND the Plan to the Council for the limited purposes of
    (1) allowing public notice and comment on the proposed
    methodology for determining quantifiable environmental
    costs and benefits, and (2) reconsidering the inclusion in the
    Plan of the BPA’s estimate of the 2009 Program’s cost to
    hydrosystem operations. Each party will bear its own costs
    on appeal.
    IKUTA, Circuit Judge, concurring in part and dissenting in
    part:
    “No passion in the world is equal to the passion to alter
    someone else’s draft.”1 This passion has proven irresistible
    to the majority, who today claims the power to edit out a
    factual statement in an agency’s work product if it suspects
    the statement or turn of phrase might subtly promote a
    particular point of view.
    1
    Attributed to H.G. Wells. See A Letter from the Publisher, Time
    Magazine, Sep. 25, 1972.
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 29
    The work product at issue here is a regional conservation
    and electric power plan, which Congress has directed the
    Pacific Northwest Electric Power and Conservation Planning
    Council (the Council) to prepare and adopt. 16 U.S.C.
    § 839b(d)(1). Under the Northwest Power Act, the Council
    must prepare a plan that provides a scheme “for
    implementing conservation measures and developing
    resources . . . with due consideration by the Council for . . .
    [the] protection, mitigation, and enhancement of fish and
    wildlife.” Id. § 839b(e)(2)(C). The plan must include a
    number of elements, including a program “to protect,
    mitigate, and enhance fish and wildlife” on the Columbia
    River, id. §§ 839b(h)(1)(A), (e)(2)(F), and “a methodology
    for determining quantifiable environmental costs and
    benefits,” id. § 839b(e)(3)(C). Once the plan is adopted, it
    controls all actions of the Bonneville Power Administration
    (BPA), which administers the electric power generated by
    federal facilities in the Pacific Northwest. Ass’n of Pub.
    Agency Customers, Inc. v. Bonneville Power Admin.,
    
    126 F.3d 1158
    , 1163 (9th Cir. 1997).
    The majority detects three errors in the plan. First, the
    majority correctly concludes that the Council failed to
    circulate the statutorily required methodology section for
    notice and comment. Maj. Op. at 22–23. Although this error
    was undoubtedly harmless, our case law requires us to
    presume prejudice when there is a procedural error that
    results in lack of notice and comment. See Cal. Wilderness
    Coal. v. U.S. Dep’t of Energy, 
    631 F.3d 1072
    , 1090 (9th Cir.
    2011). Therefore, I agree with the majority to the extent it
    remands the plan to the Council to correct its error.
    30 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    But the majority then proceeds to fault the Council for its
    decision to report BPA’s estimates of the costs associated
    with the environmental program that must be included in the
    plan. The plan states:
    Bonneville estimates that the total financial
    effect of replacing lost hydropower capability
    and funding direct fish and wildlife program
    expenditures totals from $750 million to $900
    million per year (a range affected by, among
    other things, water conditions and electric
    prices). The power system is less economical
    as a result of fish and wildlife program costs,
    but still economical in a broad affordability
    sense when compared to the costs of other
    reliable and available power supplies.
    It is not surprising that the appellant here, Northwest
    Resource Information Center (NRIC), objects to BPA’s cost
    estimate for the environmental program. After all, NRIC
    asserts that its “corporate function and purposes and
    continued existence depend substantially on the salmon’s
    continued survival and eventual restoration,” and describes
    itself as a major player in the struggle to protect anadromous
    salmon and steelhead in the Columbia River.                An
    organization founded in response to threats to the Northwest
    region’s salmon population may rightly be concerned that
    BPA’s cost estimate will have a “chilling effect” on efforts to
    expand the Council’s fish and wildlife program beyond its
    current scope.
    But the Council’s decision to report BPA’s cost estimate
    is well within the scope of editorial choices an agency may
    make when writing a congressionally mandated plan, and any
    NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL 31
    inferences this language raises are irrelevant to judicial
    review under the Administrative Procedures Act. Our review
    extends only to “agency action, findings, and conclusions.”
    
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2). The Council’s report of the BPA’s cost
    estimate is none of these.
    The majority struggles to find a rationale for invalidating
    the Council’s report of BPA’s cost estimate, asserting the
    Council’s action was arbitrary because it “will quite likely
    affect where [the] balance is struck when the Council and the
    region’s stakeholders develop future fish and wildlife
    programs and power plans.” Maj. Op. at 26. This speculative
    prediction, whether or not true, does not give the majority a
    legal basis for requiring the Council to edit the statement out.
    A federal court may reverse agency action under the APA
    standard only if “the agency relied on factors Congress did
    not intend it to consider, entirely failed to consider an aspect
    of the problem, or offered an explanation that runs counter to
    the evidence before the agency or is so implausible that it
    could not be ascribed to a difference in view or the product of
    agency expertise.” Greater Yellowstone Coalition v. Lewis,
    
    628 F.3d 1143
    , 1148 (9th Cir. 2010). Given that the Council
    did not rely on the BPA’s cost estimate, but merely quoted it,
    there is no basis for reversal regardless whether NRIC thinks
    the estimate is bunk.
    In short, despite the majority’s editorial zeal, a federal
    court cannot strike down a sentence in an agency’s report
    because it does not like its spin. We are not yet
    32 NW RES. INF. CTR. V. NW POWER & CONSERV. COUNCIL
    commissioned to serve as a Judicial Editorial Review Board.
    Therefore, I dissent from the rest of the majority’s decision.2
    2
    I also disagree with the majority’s failure to accord the proper
    deference to the Council’s explanation of how it provided due
    consideration for fish and wildlife in the plan. The Council stated that it
    provided due consideration by incorporating the environmental program
    required by § 839b(h)(1)(A) into the plan, considering “the potential
    effects of new wave energy developments on near-shore fish and wildlife
    resources,” and analyzing two hypothetical alternative resource scenarios
    (removing federal dams and shutting down coal-fired power plants). The
    statute does not define due consideration or explain what the Council must
    do to satisfy this obligation, and I see no obvious reason why the
    Council’s interpretation is not reasonable. Because “[t]he preparation and
    consideration of the plan is a matter within Council authority over which
    the Act accords the Council considerable flexibility,” Seattle Master
    Builders Ass’n v. Pac. Nw. Elec. Power & Conservation Planning
    Council, 
    786 F.2d 1359
    , 1367 (9th Cir. 1986), the majority should have
    deferred to the Council’s reasonable interpretation here.