Montana Green Party v. Christi Jacobsen ( 2021 )


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  •                  FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY; DANIELLE             No. 20-35340
    BRECK; CHERYL WOLFE; HARRY C.
    HOVING; DOUG CAMPBELL; STEVE                 D.C. No.
    KELLY; ANTONIO MORSETTE;                  6:18-cv-00087-
    TAMARA R. THOMPSON; ADRIEN                    BMM
    OWEN WAGNER,
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    OPINION
    v.
    CHRISTI JACOBSEN, in her official
    capacity as Secretary of State for the
    State of Montana,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Montana
    Brian M. Morris, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted May 6, 2021
    Portland, Oregon
    Filed November 8, 2021
    2            MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    Before: William A. Fletcher and Michelle T. Friedland,
    Circuit Judges, and Frederic Block,* District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge W. Fletcher
    SUMMARY**
    Civil Rights
    The panel affirmed in part and reversed in part the district
    court’s summary judgment in favor of the Montana Secretary
    of State in an action brought by the Montana Green Party and
    eight registered voters seeking declaratory and injunctive
    relief against certain provisions of Montana’s primary ballot
    access scheme.
    Montana law offers two methods for a political party to
    qualify to hold a primary election. First, a party shall hold a
    primary to nominate its candidates if, for any statewide office
    in one of the last two elections, it received votes totaling 5%
    or more of the total votes for the last successful gubernatorial
    candidate. Alternatively, a political party may qualify for a
    primary if it submits a petition to the Secretary of State that
    is signed by a number of registered voters equal to 5% or
    more of the total votes cast for the successful candidate for
    governor at the last general election or 5,000 electors,
    *
    The Honorable Frederic Block, United States District Judge for the
    Eastern District of New York, sitting by designation.
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                      3
    whichever is less. The number must include the registered
    voters in at least one-third of the legislative districts equal to
    5% or more of the total votes cast for the successful candidate
    for governor at the last general election in those districts or
    150 electors in those districts, whichever is less. The
    geographic distribution requirement is tied to the 100 districts
    of Montana’s House of Representatives and requires a
    minimum number of signatures from at least 34 districts.
    The panel first held that amendments to Montana’s
    election law while the case was on appeal did not render the
    appeal moot because the amended law disadvantaged
    plaintiffs to a slightly greater degree than the previous law
    and did not fundamentally change either the challenged
    provisions or the applicable legal analysis.
    The panel affirmed the district court’s grant of summary
    judgment to the Secretary with respect to plaintiffs’ claims of
    right of association and right to cast an effective vote under
    the First and Fourteenth Amendments. Citing Jennes v.
    Fortson, 
    403 U.S. 431
    , 438 (1971), the panel held that
    plaintiffs had not shown that the burden imposed by
    Montana’s ballot access scheme was severe. Montana’s
    statewide signature requirement of 5,000 was only 0.97% of
    the total statewide vote for President in 2016 and only 0.72%
    of the total registered voters in that year. Other aspects of
    Montana’s ballot access scheme, including the filing
    deadline, and the geographic distribution requirement,
    similarly imposed relatively minor burdens. As to the
    geographic distribution requirement, the panel held that
    plaintiffs failed to introduce concrete and specific evidence
    showing that the distribution requirement imposed a severe
    burden. If anything, evidence showed that the requirement
    was not burdensome. The panel accepted Montana’s
    4          MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    argument that its ballot access scheme served the interest of
    ensuring that a new party has broad-based support and that
    only nonfrivolous parties appear on the ballot.
    The panel held that the part of the distribution
    requirement indexed to 5% of the votes for the previous
    gubernatorial winner in each house district violated the “one
    person, one vote” principle in the Equal Protection Clause of
    the Fourteenth Amendment. The panel held that Montana’s
    approach resulted in a significant disparity in how much each
    signature was worth in its house districts. Because Montana’s
    distribution requirement arbitrarily diluted the value of the
    signatures of voters in house districts with a large number of
    supporters of the most recent gubernatorial winner, and
    because the resulting variation from district to district was so
    significant, the panel applied strict scrutiny. The panel
    concluded that the State provided no reason, much less a
    compelling reason, for requiring far more signatures in some
    equal-population districts than in others. Nor had the State
    explained why the number of signatures required should be
    indexed to votes for the last successful gubernatorial
    candidate, a rule that arbitrarily devalued the signatures of
    voters in house districts that most strongly supported the
    current governor. The panel reversed the district court’s
    holding that the challenged provisions did not violate the
    right to equal protection under the Fourteenth Amendment.
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                           5
    COUNSEL
    James C. Linger (argued), James Carter Linger Law Offices,
    Tulsa, Oklahoma; Quentin M. Rhoades, Rhoades Siefert &
    Erickson PLLC, Missoula, Montana; for Plaintiff-Appellant.
    Hannah E. Tokerud (argued) and Patrick M. Risken, Assistant
    Attorneys General; Austin Knudsen, Attorney General;
    Attorney General’s Office, Helena, Montana; for Defendant-
    Appellee.
    OPINION
    W. FLETCHER, Circuit Judge:
    The Montana Green Party (“Green Party”) and eight
    registered Montana voters (collectively, “Plaintiffs”) brought
    suit against the Montana Secretary of State1, seeking
    declaratory and injunctive relief against certain provisions of
    Montana’s primary ballot access scheme. See 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-601
    (2)(a), (b), (c), & (d) (2007). The district
    court granted summary judgment to the Secretary, holding
    that the challenged provisions of the scheme (1) do not
    violate the right of association and the right to cast an
    effective vote under the First and Fourteenth Amendments,
    and (2) do not violate the right to equal protection under the
    Fourteenth Amendment.
    1
    When the district court issued the decision below, Corey Stapleton
    occupied the office of the Secretary of State of Montana. On January 4,
    2021, Christi Jacobsen was sworn into the position. We GRANT the joint
    motion (DE 32) to substitute her as defendant.
    6          MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    We affirm as to the first holding, but reverse as to the
    second.
    I. Mootness
    While this case was on appeal, Montana amended its
    election law, changing in some respects the provisions
    challenged by Plaintiffs. See 2021 Mont. Laws, ch. 399 (S.B.
    350). We asked the parties to submit supplemental briefs
    addressing whether the amendments mooted Plaintiffs’
    appeal. Plaintiffs contend that the amendments have not
    rendered their appeal moot. In Northeastern Florida Chapter
    of Associated General Contractors of America v. City of
    Jacksonville, 
    508 U.S. 656
     (1993), a challenged ordinance
    was amended during the course of litigation, lessening the
    burden imposed on the challengers. The Court held that the
    amendment did not render the challenge moot, writing, “The
    new ordinance may disadvantage [the challengers] to a lesser
    degree than the old one, but . . . it disadvantages them in the
    same fundamental way.” 
    Id. at 662
    . In the case before us,
    the amended law disadvantages the Plaintiffs to a slightly
    greater degree than the previous law. The amendments do
    not fundamentally change either the challenged provisions or
    the applicable legal analysis. We therefore conclude that the
    amendments do not render Plaintiffs’ appeal moot.
    II. Background
    Montana law offers two methods for a political party to
    qualify to hold a primary election. First, a party shall hold a
    primary to nominate its candidates if, for any statewide office
    in one of the last two elections, it received votes totaling 5%
    or more of the total votes for the last successful gubernatorial
    candidate. 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-601
    (1) (2021). (This
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                    7
    provision was not changed by the 2021 amendment.) As of
    2018 (the relevant date when this case was presented to the
    district court), the last successful gubernatorial candidate had
    been Steve Bullock, who had received 255,933 votes in the
    2016 election. The five-percent threshold required a minor
    party to have received 12,797 votes statewide in order to
    qualify for a primary. Neither the Green Party nor any other
    minor party qualified for a primary under this provision in
    2018. Indeed, no minor party has qualified for a primary
    under this provision since 2004, when the Green Party held a
    primary by virtue of its strong showing in the 2000 election.
    Alternatively, a political party may qualify for a primary
    if it submits a petition to the Secretary of State that is:
    signed by a number of registered voters equal
    to 5% or more of the total votes cast for the
    successful candidate for governor at the last
    general election or 5,000 electors, whichever
    is less. The number must include the
    registered voters in at least one-third of the
    legislative districts equal to 5% or more of the
    total votes cast for the successful candidate
    for governor at the last general election in
    those districts or 150 electors in those
    districts, whichever is less.
    2021 Mont. Laws, ch. 399 (S.B. 350), § 1(2) (emphasis
    added). (The only change effected by the 2021 amendment
    was to replace “more than” with “at least.” See 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-601
    (2)(b) (2009).) The petition alternative is
    used only by minor political parties such as the Green Party.
    8           MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    The petition provision has two requirements. First, the
    total number of petition signatures statewide must be at least
    the lesser of: (a) 5,000, or (b) 5% of the total votes cast for
    the most recent successful gubernatorial candidate. Because
    the most recent operative 5% threshold in 2018 (based on the
    2016 election) was 12,797, the lesser number of 5,000
    satisfied the requirement. Second, the provision includes a
    geographic distribution requirement tied to the 100 districts
    of Montana’s House of Representatives. The district
    boundaries were redrawn after the 2010 Census, and will be
    redrawn again in light of the 2020 Census. The populations
    in each district are very close to equal immediately after
    redistricting in the wake of a census, but can become less
    equal in the subsequent ten years due to population
    movement. A petition complies with the distribution
    requirement if, for 34 of the 100 house districts, it includes
    signatures numbering the lesser of (a) 150, or (b) 5% of the
    votes cast in that district for the most recent successful
    gubernatorial candidate.
    Because the distribution requirement is tied to the votes
    cast in each house district for the winner of the gubernatorial
    race, the required number depends on the political orientation
    of a district, and varies substantially from one district to
    another. This may be illustrated by a comparison of the votes
    received in 2016 in House District (“HD”) 35, a rural district
    on the border with North Dakota, with those received in HD
    100, a district in downtown Missoula.2 In HD 35, Steve
    Bullock, the Democratic gubernatorial candidate, received
    1,085 votes, while Greg Gianforte, the Republican candidate,
    2
    Mont. Sec. of State, 2016 Statewide General Election Canvass by
    House District, at 16, 19, https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/attachm
    ents/2016StatewideHD.pdf.
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                    9
    received 3,577 votes. In HD 100, Bullock received 4,916
    votes, while Gianforte received 894 votes. As a result, the
    “votes cast for the successful candidate for governor at the
    last general election” in these districts varied dramatically—
    from 1,085 in HD 35 to 4,916 in HD 100. HD 35 therefore
    required only 55 petition signatures, while HD 100 required
    150 signatures (the ceiling number). In the lead-up to the
    2018 election, 21 house districts required between 55 and 99
    petition signatures, 53 house districts required between 100
    and 140 signatures, and 26 house districts required 150
    signatures.
    When Montana first adopted its distribution requirement
    in 1981, the signature requirement in each district could only
    be satisfied by 5% of the votes for the previous gubernatorial
    winner. See 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-601
     (1997). In 1999,
    the legislature added the 150-signature ceiling as a
    disjunctive option. See 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-601
    (1999). Montana has no petition distribution requirement for
    statewide independent candidates or independent presidential
    candidates.
    Under the law in effect for the 2018 election, a political
    party had to present the signed petitions and accompanying
    affidavits to the relevant county election administrators no
    later than 92 days before the date of the primary. 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-601
    (2)(c), (2)(d) (2009).                Election
    administrators were required to verify the signatures and
    forward petitions to the Secretary of State no later than
    85 days before the primary. 
    Id.
     If a party qualified for listing
    in a primary, the Secretary approved the petition and certified
    the party for the primary. If a party did not qualify, voters
    remained free to write in a vote for a candidate from that
    party. 
    Id.
     § 13-10-211.
    10         MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    Sections 13-10-601(2)(c) and (2)(d) were modified by the
    2021 amendment. Petitions now must be submitted to county
    administrators no later than 123 days before the election.
    Petitions and accompanying affidavits must be submitted to
    the relevant county officials “no later than 4 weeks before the
    final date for filing the petition with the secretary of state as
    provided in [section 4(2)].” Section 4(2) requires election
    administrators to verify the signatures and forward petitions
    to the Secretary “at least 95 days before the date of the
    primary.” 2021 Mont. Laws, ch. 399 (S.B. 350), §§ 1(3),
    4(2).
    In 2018, the deadline for filing petitions was March 5.
    Before that date, the Green Party had submitted 10,160
    signatures to county election administrators, collected from
    at least 38 house districts. (As will be discussed in a moment,
    the signatures from eight of those districts were challenged.
    The record reveals the identity of those districts. The record
    does not reveal the identity of the other 30 districts.) Of the
    10,160 signatures, 699 were collected by the Green Party and
    its representatives. The other 9,461 were obtained by a
    Nevada political consulting organization called Advanced
    Micro Targeting (“AMT”). Larson v. State, 
    434 P.3d 241
    ,
    248 & n.2 (Mont. 2019). AMT collected these signatures by
    employing thirteen signature-gatherers working for three
    weeks in four populous counties: Cascade, Missoula, Lewis
    and Clark, and Yellowstone. 
    Id. at 248
    . It is not clear in the
    record who hired AMT. According to a stipulation filed in
    the district court:
    The Green Party was aware of the theory that
    AMT was trying to get the Party on the ballot
    to affect the United States Senate race in
    Montana. The Green Party never spoke with
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                  11
    AMT, did not hire AMT, and did not
    appreciate AMT’s “assistance” because it
    threw the Green Party into “politics-as-usual”
    game-playing instead of convincing voters of
    the merits of the Party’s ideals.
    After verifying 7,386 signatures on the petitions, county
    administrators timely forwarded the petitions to the Secretary
    of State. On March 12, Secretary Stapleton concluded that
    the Green Party had satisfied the petition requirements,
    including the geographic distribution requirement in 38 house
    districts. He approved the Green Party for the ballot.
    The Montana Democratic Party and three voters filed suit
    in state court challenging some of the petition signatures.
    The court invalidated 87 signatures from eight house districts
    after finding signature irregularities such as a lack of a
    printed name or a false affidavit by the signature gatherer.
    Larson, 434 P.3d at 250. The Montana Supreme Court
    affirmed. Id. at 247. As a result, the Green Party met the
    distribution requirement in only thirty districts, and the
    Secretary of State decertified the Green Party from the 2018
    ballot. With just thirteen additional valid signatures in four
    of the districts, the Green Party would have met the
    distribution requirement.
    III. Procedural Background
    On August 13, 2018, the Green Party and eight registered
    Montana voters brought suit in federal district court against
    the Secretary of State in his official capacity. Three of the
    voter-plaintiffs had signed 2018 petitions: Danielle Breck, of
    Missoula; Harry C. Hoving of Billings; and Antonio Morsette
    of Box Elder.
    12         MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    Plaintiffs argued that Montana’s primary ballot access
    scheme—in particular, the combined effect of the signature
    requirement, the filing deadline, and the distribution
    requirement—violated their rights of association and
    effective voting under the First and Fourteenth Amendments,
    and violated their right to equal protection under the
    Fourteenth Amendment. Both parties moved for summary
    judgment.
    On February 28, 2020, the magistrate judge recommended
    that the district court grant summary judgment to the
    Secretary. On March 20, the district court adopted the
    findings and recommendations of the magistrate judge and
    entered judgment for the Secretary. Plaintiffs timely
    appealed. We have jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. § 1291
    .
    IV. Analysis
    We review de novo a grant of summary judgment.
    Kaahumanu v. Hawaii, 
    682 F.3d 789
    , 796 (9th Cir. 2012).
    A. Right of Association and Right to Cast an Effective
    Vote
    Ballot access restrictions potentially burden two different
    rights: “the right of individuals to associate for the
    advancement of political beliefs, and the right of qualified
    voters, regardless of their political persuasion, to cast their
    votes effectively.” Anderson v. Celebrezze, 
    460 U.S. 780
    ,
    787 (1983) (quoting Williams v. Rhodes, 
    393 U.S. 23
    , 30
    (1968)). These rights are protected by the First Amendment,
    as incorporated into the Fourteenth Amendment.
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                     13
    In determining the constitutionality of election laws, we
    analyze a ballot access scheme as a whole. Ariz. Libertarian
    Party v. Reagan, 
    798 F.3d 723
    , 730 (9th Cir. 2015). We
    weigh “the character and magnitude of the asserted injury”
    against “the precise interests put forward by the State as
    justifications for the burden imposed by its rule.” Burdick v.
    Takushi, 
    504 U.S. 428
    , 434 (1992) (quoting Anderson,
    
    460 U.S. at 789
    ). Plaintiffs bear the burden of making a
    factual showing of injury. Democratic Party of Haw. v.
    Nago, 
    833 F.3d 1119
    , 1123–24 (9th Cir. 2016). When
    plaintiffs’ rights are subject to “severe” restrictions, the law
    must be “narrowly drawn to advance a state interest of
    compelling importance.” Burdick, 
    504 U.S. at 434
    . When a
    law imposes only “reasonable, nondiscriminatory
    restrictions” on voters’ rights, the State’s “important
    regulatory interests are generally sufficient to justify” the law.
    
    Id.
     (quoting Anderson, 
    460 U.S. at 788
    ); see Dudum v. Arntz,
    
    640 F.3d 1098
    , 1114 (9th Cir. 2011) (noting that narrow
    tailoring is not required).
    Plaintiffs have not shown that the burden imposed by
    Montana’s ballot access scheme is severe. In Jenness v.
    Fortson, 
    403 U.S. 431
    , 438 (1971), the Supreme Court upheld
    a Georgia law requiring independent candidates to file a
    nominating petition signed by at least 5% of the number of
    registered voters in the last general election for the office in
    question. Montana’s scheme is far less burdensome. Its
    statewide signature requirement of 5,000 was only 0.97% of
    the total statewide vote for President in 2016 and only 0.72%
    of the total registered voters in that year. See Ariz.
    Libertarian Party v. Hobbs, 
    925 F.3d 1085
    , 1092 (9th Cir.
    2019) (noting that courts consider the percentage of the total
    “available pool” of signers).
    14         MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    Other aspects of Montana’s ballot access scheme
    similarly impose relatively minor burdens. See Jenness,
    
    403 U.S. at 438
     (emphasizing that Georgia’s law imposed no
    “suffocating restrictions” on petitions). In 2018, petitions had
    to be submitted to county administrators 92 days before the
    primary. See 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-601
    (2)(c), (2)(d)
    (2009). Under the 2021 amendments, petitions must be
    submitted 123 days before the primary. See 2021 Mont.
    Laws, ch. 399 (S.B. 350), §§ 1(3), 4(2). Both deadlines
    afford signature gatherers more time than deadlines that we
    have upheld in other cases. See, e.g., Ariz. Green Party v.
    Reagan, 
    838 F.3d 983
    , 987, 992 (9th Cir. 2016) (upholding a
    filing deadline 180 days before the primary). While
    collecting signatures might be difficult during Montana
    winters, signatures may be gathered at any time before the
    deadline. Montana also allows write-in votes, so voters may
    vote for their preferred candidates even when their preferred
    party does not qualify for a primary. See 
    Mont. Code Ann. § 13-10-211
    . In 2018, several of the voter-plaintiffs availed
    themselves of this opportunity.
    At first glance, Montana’s geographic distribution
    requirement may appear significantly burdensome. While we
    have described distribution requirements as “commonplace,”
    most other States base their distribution requirements on
    federal congressional districts rather than on state legislative
    districts. See Angle v. Miller, 
    673 F.3d 1122
    , 1130–31 (9th
    Cir. 2012) (upholding a distribution requirement based on
    active registered voters in each of Nevada’s three
    congressional districts); see also, e.g., 
    Ohio Rev. Code Ann. § 3517.01
    (A)(1)(b)(ii) (requiring 500 signatures from each of
    8 of Ohio’s 15 congressional districts). Montana’s rule is
    based on house districts—a far smaller unit—and requires a
    minimum number of signatures from at least 34 districts.
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                       15
    Plaintiff Breck testified that it is difficult as a practical matter
    to decide which districts a minor party should target for
    obtaining signatures. Because house district lines are not the
    same as county lines, organizers who have collected
    signatures from several districts may have to turn in the
    petitions to multiple county election officials. In some cases,
    it may be unclear to signature gatherers in which house
    district a voter resides, making it difficult to determine
    whether the voter’s signature qualifies for the targeted
    district.
    However, Plaintiffs did not introduce concrete and
    specific evidence showing that the distribution requirement
    imposed a severe burden. See Ariz. Green Party, 838 F.3d
    at 990; Ariz. Libertarian Party, 798 F.3d at 731. They failed
    to introduce evidence showing how many people were
    collecting signatures, when they began collecting signatures,
    how long it took for them to collect the signatures, or the cost
    of collecting signatures. See Ariz. Green Party, 838 F.3d
    at 990 (characterizing the burden as “purely speculative”
    because of similar evidentiary failures). If anything, evidence
    now in the record shows that the requirement is not
    burdensome. The Green Party (with the “assistance” of
    AMT) very nearly complied with the distribution requirement
    in 2018, missing the threshold by “a mere 13 petition
    signatures.” Given that Montana house districts are small and
    have roughly equal populations, many districts are in and
    around the populous areas of the State. As a result, the
    distribution requirement does not require petition gatherers to
    spend significant efforts collecting signatures in far-flung,
    sparsely populated areas. We note, for example, that AMT
    collected its 9,461 signatures in only four populous counties.
    Finally, past experience suggests that the burden of
    Montana’s ballot access laws is not severe. See Storer v.
    16         MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    Brown, 
    415 U.S. 724
    , 742 (1974). Minor parties have
    satisfied the petition requirement at least seven times since
    1982.
    Because Plaintiffs have not shown a severe burden on
    ballot access, Montana may justify its election scheme by
    pointing to “important regulatory interests.” Burdick,
    
    504 U.S. at 434
     (quoting Anderson, 
    460 U.S. at 788
    ). States
    have an important interest in requiring that a party make
    “some preliminary showing of a significant modicum of
    support” so the state can “avoid[] confusion, deception, and
    even frustration of the democratic process.” Jenness,
    
    403 U.S. at 442
    . A distribution requirement may be justified
    by the interest of ensuring that a party has more than
    “localized support.” Angle, 
    673 F.3d at 1135
    . Where the
    burden imposed on ballot access is not severe, we generally
    do not require “a particularized showing” of a State’s
    justifications. Hobbs, 925 F.3d at 1094 (quoting Munro v.
    Socialist Workers Party, 
    479 U.S. 189
    , 194 (1986)).
    We accept Montana’s argument that its ballot access
    scheme serves the interest of “ensuring that a new party has
    broad-based support and that only nonfrivolous parties appear
    on the ballot.” Similarly, we conclude that the 128-day filing
    deadline is justified on the ground that election administrators
    need time to perform the many required tasks after a party
    submits its petitions to county officials.
    Where the burden is not severe, a ballot access scheme
    need not be narrowly tailored. See Dudum, 
    640 F.3d at 1114
    .
    While Montana’s house districts are small, they are not an
    unreasonable basis for the distribution requirement. In 2018,
    Montana could not base its requirement on congressional
    districts, as it then had only one. As of the 2022 election,
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                    17
    Montana will have two congressional districts, but that will
    not fundamentally change the analysis. We note that
    Montana has not imposed a distribution requirement for
    statewide independent candidates or for independent
    presidential candidates, which suggests that it is not equally
    concerned about all candidates who may be “frivolous” or
    who lack “broad-based support.” But this differential
    treatment makes little difference at a low level of scrutiny.
    We therefore affirm the district court’s grant of summary
    judgment to the Secretary with respect to Plaintiffs’ claims of
    right of association and right to cast an effective vote under
    the First and Fourteenth Amendments.
    B. Right to Equal Protection
    Plaintiffs also argue that the distribution requirement tied
    to 5% of the votes for the most recent gubernatorial winner
    violates the “one person, one vote” principle in the Equal
    Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. See
    Reynolds v. Sims, 
    377 U.S. 533
     (1964). We agree with
    Plaintiffs.
    1. Article III Standing
    As a preliminary matter we address Article III standing.
    We agree with the Secretary that the Green Party lacks
    Article III standing to challenge the 5% alternative
    requirement under the Equal Protection Clause. Compared to
    the previous flat per-district requirement of 150 signatures,
    the later-enacted 5% requirement advantages the Green Party
    in house districts where it results in a requirement of less than
    150 signatures.
    18          MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    The Secretary has not argued that the individual plaintiffs
    lack Article III standing, but we are obliged to raise the issue
    sua sponte. See Chapman v. Pier 1 Imps. (U.S.) Inc.,
    
    631 F.3d 939
    , 954 (9th Cir. 2011) (en banc). At least one of
    the individual plaintiffs has standing. While the record does
    not reveal in which house districts the voter-plaintiffs reside,
    one of the three who signed a petition (Breck) is a resident of
    Missoula. We take judicial notice of maps and official
    election results from the Montana Department of State
    website.3 See Dudum, 
    640 F.3d at
    1101 n.6 (taking judicial
    notice of official election results); Fed. R. Evid. 201(b)(2), (d)
    (explaining that courts may take judicial notice, “at any stage
    of the proceeding,” of a fact “not subject to reasonable
    dispute because it . . . can be accurately and readily
    determined from sources whose accuracy cannot reasonably
    be questioned”). In 2018, the greater Missoula area
    encompassed eleven house districts: HDs 89, 90, 91, 92, 94,
    95, 96, 97, 98, 99, and 100. Official 2016 gubernatorial
    results in these districts indicate that these eleven house
    districts had signature requirements between 138 and 150,
    significantly more than the requirements in many of the other
    districts. Because Breck’s signature on the petition was
    weighted substantially less than those of voters in those other
    districts, and will do so in the future, the inequality caused,
    and will cause, her injury in fact.
    3
    See Mont. Sec. of State, Montana Legislative Districts for Elections
    Held in 2014-2022, https://sosmt.gov/Portals/142/Elections/Documents/
    Legislative-Map.pdf; Mont. Sec. of State, 2016 Statewide General
    Election Canvass by House District, at 19, https://sosmt.gov/wp-conten
    t/uploads/attachments/2016StatewideHD.pdf.
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                   19
    2. One Person, One Vote
    The “one person, one vote” principle extends to
    signatures on nominating petitions because such petitions are
    “an integral part of [an] elective system.” Moore v. Ogilvie,
    
    394 U.S. 814
    , 818 (1969). In Moore, the Supreme Court
    struck down an Illinois statute that required an independent
    candidate to collect signatures of 200 voters from each of at
    least 50 of the state’s 102 counties. 
    Id. at 815
    . The statute
    violated “one person, one vote” because the counties had
    disparate populations, and the statute applied “a rigid,
    arbitrary formula to sparsely settled counties and populous
    counties alike.” 
    Id. at 818
    . The Court held that the statute
    was not justified by the state’s purported goal of “requir[ing]
    statewide support for launching a new political party rather
    than support from a few localities.” 
    Id.
    We apply strict scrutiny to “state laws treating nomination
    signatures unequally on the basis of geography.” Idaho
    Coalition United for Bears v. Cenarrusa, 
    342 F.3d 1073
    ,
    1077 (9th Cir. 2003). In Idaho Coalition, we struck down an
    Idaho statute requiring initiative petitions to include
    signatures from 6% of the population in each of 22 of the
    state’s 44 counties. 
    Id.
     at 1076–77. Because 60% of Idaho’s
    population resided in just nine of its 44 counties, the rule
    “favor[ed] voters in sparsely populated areas over those in
    more densely populated areas.” 
    Id. at 1075
    . We concluded
    that Idaho’s goals—“preventing a long and confusing list of
    initiatives from appearing on the ballot, protecting against
    fraud, informing the electorate, ensuring the ‘integrity’ of the
    ballot process, and promoting ‘grassroots direct legislation
    efforts’”—could be advanced “as effectively and efficiently”
    by a system treating voters equally in the various counties.
    
    Id. at 1079
    .
    20        MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    In ACLU of Nevada v. Lomax, 
    471 F.3d 1010
    , 1020–21
    (9th Cir. 2006), Nevada’s “13 Counties Rule” required
    initiative proponents to gather signatures of 10% of the
    registered voters who voted in the last general election, in
    each of 13 of the State’s 17 counties. Because Nevada’s
    counties had unequal populations, we applied strict scrutiny
    and struck down the Rule. But we later upheld Nevada’s
    distribution requirement after the State revised it to rely on
    equally populated congressional districts. See Angle,
    
    673 F.3d 1122
    . Nevada’s new “All Districts Rule” required
    the signatures of 10% of the registered voters who had voted
    in the last general election in each of the State’s
    congressional districts. Applying rational basis review, we
    upheld this requirement because it “grant[ed] equal political
    power to congressional districts having equal populations.”
    
    Id. at 1129
     (emphasis omitted). The parties in Angle did not
    mention the fact that the congressional districts inevitably
    would have had at least slightly different numbers of
    registered voters who had voted in the last general election.
    In our decision, we did not mention or consider the potential
    significance of this difference.
    The Montana signature requirement—like Nevada’s All
    Districts Rule, which we upheld in Angle—applies to equally
    populated districts. However, for two reasons, Montana’s
    requirement—unlike Nevada’s All Districts Rule—does not
    “grant[] equal political power” to those districts. 
    Id.
     First,
    the signature requirement in Nevada turned on the total
    number of people who voted in the most recent election. By
    contrast, the requirement in Montana turns on the number of
    people who voted for the winner of that election. By tying
    the signature requirement to the partisan character of each
    district rather than to the total number of votes cast, the
    Montana scheme applies a non-neutral criterion that results in
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                          21
    substantial partisan-based variation from district to district.
    Second, the distribution requirement in Angle was tied to
    federal congressional districts. By contrast, the Montana
    requirement is tied to much smaller state house districts, with
    the result that there is potential for even greater variation
    from district to district.
    Montana’s approach results in a significant disparity in
    how much each signature is “worth” in its house districts. In
    2018, the highest signature requirement in Montana
    (150 signatures) was 2.73 times the lowest requirement
    (55 signatures). In effect, the signature of a voter in a district
    with the lowest requirement counted nearly three times more
    than the signature in a district with the highest requirement.
    We note that the variation in Angle—which the attorneys in
    that case did not bring to our attention, and which we did not
    consider—was significantly less. According to the website
    of the Nevada Secretary of State, the congressional district
    with the greatest number of actual voters when Angle was
    being litigated (District 3, with 423,674 voters) had
    1.44 times more active voters than the district with the fewest
    active voters (District 1, with 293,814 voters).4 Because
    Montana’s distribution requirement arbitrarily dilutes the
    value of the signatures of voters in house districts with a large
    number of supporters of the most recent gubernatorial winner,
    and because the resulting variation from district to district is
    so significant, we apply strict scrutiny.
    The 5% provision of Montana’s distribution requirement
    fails strict scrutiny. The State has provided no reason, much
    4
    Nev. Sec. of State, Voter Registration Statistics, January 2010,
    https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/voter-registration-statistics/
    2010-statistics/voter-registration-statistics-jan-2010-congress.
    22        MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN
    less a compelling reason, for requiring far more signatures in
    some equal-population districts than in others. Nor has the
    State explained why the number of signatures required should
    be indexed to votes for the last successful gubernatorial
    candidate, a rule that arbitrarily devalues the signatures of
    voters in house districts that most strongly supported the
    current governor.
    The out-of-circuit cases cited by the Secretary do not
    compel a contrary conclusion. In Libertarian Party v. Bond,
    
    764 F.2d 538
    , 544 (8th Cir. 1985), the Eighth Circuit upheld
    a Missouri distribution requirement that mandated signatures
    equal to a certain percentage of the total votes in each
    congressional race in the gubernatorial race. In Semple v.
    Griswold, 
    934 F.3d 1134
    , 1137 (10th Cir. 2019), the Tenth
    Circuit upheld a ballot initiative requiring initiative
    proponents to collect signatures from 2% of registered voters
    in each of Colorado’s 35 senate districts. Both the total
    number of prior votes cast, as in Bond and Angle, and the
    total number of registered voters, as in Semple, are neutral
    criteria, unrelated to partisan considerations. Moreover, as
    the court in Bond observed, the “‘percentage of votes’
    formula is a reasonable method of measuring the number of
    potential petition signers in each district.” Bond, 
    764 F.2d at 544
    . The same is true of the registered voters formula in
    Semple. By contrast, Montana’s formula is linked to the
    partisan composition of the different house districts, and is
    not a reasonable approximation of the number of potential
    petition signers in each district.
    We note, in addition, that the formulae in Bond and
    Semple resulted in relatively minor differences among
    districts. The largest signature threshold in Bond was only
    1.25 times that of the smallest, and the largest in Semple was
    MONTANA GREEN PARTY V. JACOBSEN                  23
    just 1.64 times that of the smallest. See Bond, 
    764 F.2d at 540, 544
    ; Semple, 934 F.3d at 1138. These differences are
    much less than in Montana in 2018, when, as we noted above,
    one person’s signature counted as much as 2.73 times as that
    of another person.
    We hold that the part of the distribution requirement
    indexed to 5% of the votes for the previous gubernatorial
    winner in each house district violates equal protection. We
    therefore reverse the district court’s grant of summary
    judgment to the Secretary with respect to Plaintiffs’ claim
    under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth
    Amendment. Neither party has addressed the question
    whether the invalid distribution requirement is severable from
    the rest of Montana’s primary ballot access scheme.
    Conclusion
    On the First and Fourteenth Amendment claims, we
    affirm the district court’s grant of summary judgment. On the
    Fourteenth Amendment equal protection claim, we reverse
    the district court. We remand for proceedings consistent with
    this opinion. The parties shall bear their own costs.
    AFFIRMED IN PART, REVERSED IN PART, AND
    REMANDED.