California Public Utilities Commission v. FERC ( 2021 )


Menu:
  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued October 8, 2021            Decided December 17, 2021
    No. 20-1388
    CALIFORNIA PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION,
    PETITIONER
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION,
    RESPONDENT
    CALIFORNIA INDEPENDENT SYSTEM OPERATOR CORPORATION,
    INTERVENOR
    On Petition for Review of Orders
    of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    Candace J. Morey argued the cause for petitioner. With
    her on the briefs were Arocles Aguilar and Aaron R.
    Jacobs-Smith.
    Elizabeth E. Rylander, Attorney, Federal Energy
    Regulatory Commission, argued the cause for respondent.
    With her on the brief were Matthew R. Christiansen, General
    Counsel, and Robert H. Solomon, Solicitor,
    Ashley C. Parrish was on the brief for amicus curiae
    Calpine Corporation in support of neither party.
    2
    Before: HENDERSON and KATSAS, Circuit Judges, and
    GINSBURG, Senior Circuit Judge.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge HENDERSON.
    KAREN LECRAFT HENDERSON, Circuit Judge: The Federal
    Energy Regulatory Commission (Commission) approved
    California Independent System Operator Corporation’s
    (CAISO) proposed revision to the compensation structure for
    its Capacity Procurement Mechanism (CPM), a voluntary
    program designed to provide electric capacity necessary to
    maintain grid reliability within CAISO’s network. The
    California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), which
    participated in the Commission’s proceeding, challenges the
    Commission’s approval of CAISO’s proposal. We grant the
    petition and remand with vacatur.
    I.   Background
    The Federal Power Act, 16 U.S.C. §§ 791a et seq., governs
    the transmission and wholesale marketing of electricity in
    interstate commerce and grants the Commission jurisdiction to
    regulate these activities in the public interest, see id. § 824(a),
    (b). Section 205 of the Act requires that “[a]ll rates and charges
    . . . by any public utility for or in connection with the
    transmission or sale of electric energy” must be “just and
    reasonable” and not “undu[ly] preferen[tial].” Id. § 824d(a),
    (b). A public utility seeking to change its rate structure must
    file the proposed changes with the Commission and bears “the
    burden of proof to show that the increased rate or charge is just
    and reasonable.” Id. § 824d(d), (e). “When acting on a public
    utility’s rate filing under section 205, the Commission
    undertakes ‘an essentially passive and reactive role’ and
    restricts itself to evaluating the confined proposal.” Advanced
    Energy Mgmt. All. v. FERC, 
    860 F.3d 656
    , 662 (D.C. Cir.
    3
    2017) (per curiam) (quoting City of Winnfield v. FERC, 
    744 F.2d 871
    , 875–76 (D.C. Cir. 1984)).
    CAISO is the regional independent system operator that
    controls (but does not own) the transmission grid in California.
    See generally Sac. Mun. Util. Dist. v. FERC, 
    474 F.3d 797
    ,
    798–99 (D.C. Cir. 2007). In this role, CAISO has a
    responsibility to ensure sufficient independent generating
    resources—such as nuclear power plants, solar farms and
    natural-gas-fired power plants—are in place to meet
    California’s present-day and future electricity demands. This is
    accomplished through the supply and purchase of electric
    “capacity,” whereby a generating resource “commit[s] to
    produce electricity or forgo the consumption of electricity
    when required” by a load-serving entity—usually the public
    utility that delivers electricity to end users—creating “a kind of
    options contract” between the two parties. Advanced Energy,
    860 F.3d at 659.
    CAISO, working in conjunction with the CPUC,
    administers a resource adequacy program designed to ensure
    that there is sufficient electric generation in CAISO’s markets
    to meet consumer demands under all but the most extreme
    conditions. The resource adequacy program requires utilities to
    procure enough capacity to meet their forecasted peak load plus
    a reserve margin set by the CPUC. Resource adequacy
    obligations are generally met through voluntary bilateral
    agreements between utilities and generating resources.
    Backstop measures come into play if voluntary
    arrangements turn out to be insufficient to meet resource
    adequacy obligations. When CAISO determines that there is an
    unmet resource adequacy or reliability need, it may rely on its
    capacity procurement authority under the CPM provisions of
    its tariff to designate specific generating resources to provide
    4
    additional capacity. Generating resources seeking a CPM
    designation can enter into a competitive solicitation process.
    Entry into the CPM solicitation process is voluntary but if a
    resource submits a bid, and CAISO accepts the bid, the
    resource must accept the CPM designation. If CAISO
    unilaterally offers a CPM designation to a resource that did not
    participate in the solicitation process, that resource has the
    discretion to decline. The term of a CPM designation can range
    from a minimum of 30 days up to 12 months.
    The central issue before us involves compensation under
    the CPM. When CAISO initially proposed the CPM program
    in 2010, it sought to compensate resources at a minimum price
    of $55 per kilowatt-year (kW-year), which was derived from
    the going-forward costs—defined as fixed operations and
    maintenance costs, ad valorem taxes and administrative costs,
    including insurance—of a reference resource plus a 10%
    adder. 1 A resource with costs above that price would have been
    permitted to submit a cost-justified bid to the Commission. The
    Commission declined to approve CAISO’s proposal, citing
    concerns that the use of going-forward costs alone could “deny
    resources a reasonable opportunity to recover fixed costs” and
    that CAISO had not sufficiently explained “how the use of
    going-forward costs for CPM compensation will provide
    incentives or revenue sufficiency for resources to perform
    long-term      maintenance      or     make      [environmental]
    improvements.” Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., 
    134 FERC ¶ 61,211
    , ¶ 57 (2011) (hereinafter 2011 CPM Order). The
    Commission instructed its staff to convene a technical
    conference to address the Commission’s concerns and discuss
    alternative compensation methodologies. Id. at ¶¶ 55, 58–59.
    In 2012, after the technical conference, CAISO proposed, and
    1
    For the reference resource, CAISO used a 50 megawatt (MW)
    simple-cycle, gas-fired unit built by a merchant generator.
    5
    the Commission approved, a fixed CPM capacity price—
    subject to a four-year expiration date—of $67.50 per kW-year
    for two years, which increased by five per cent to $70.88 for
    the remaining two years. See Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp.,
    
    138 FERC ¶ 61,112
    , ¶¶ 10, 18–19 (2012).
    In 2015, as the 2012 order was set to expire, CAISO
    proposed the now operative CPM compensation structure,
    which relies on competitive bidding. Under this structure, a
    resource can bid up to a “soft-offer cap” of a fixed-dollar
    amount—$6.31 per kW-month (or $75.68 per kW-year). The
    soft-offer cap is based on the going-forward costs of a reference
    resource plus a 20% adder. 2 CAISO reasoned that the 20%
    adder would allow resources with costs higher than the
    reference resource to recover their going-forward costs and
    additional fixed costs, as well as providing investment
    incentives. In the event that the soft-offer cap does not allow a
    resource to recover its going-forward costs, that resource can
    submit a cost-justified filing to the Commission for a higher
    rate. For these “above-cap” bids, CAISO proposed using the
    compensation formula applicable to Reliability Must-Run
    resources, 3 which compensates a resource for its full annual
    cost of service, including a return on and of capital. A
    Commission-approved, resource-specific CPM price remains
    in effect for the remainder of the calendar year, and for the
    subsequent two calendar years, unless superseded by a
    2
    For the soft-offer cap, CAISO used a mid-cost, merchant-
    constructed, 550 MW combined cycle unit as the reference unit. This
    unit represents the largest percentage of non-resource adequacy
    resources eligible to receive CPM designations.
    3
    The Reliability Must-Run program is a mandatory backstop
    program—characterized by CAISO as a “measure of last resort”—
    that authorizes CAISO to designate a generating resource to run that
    does not have a resource adequacy contract, thereby requiring it to
    provide capacity to meet reliability needs.
    6
    subsequent Commission-approved price during that period. In
    addition to their CPM compensation, all CPM resources, no
    matter whether they bid below or above the soft-offer cap,
    retain their market revenues. The Commission approved this
    compensation structure, finding that the soft-offer cap “should
    allow sufficient recovery of fixed costs plus return on capital
    to facilitate incremental upgrades and improvements by
    resources.” Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., 
    153 FERC ¶ 61,001
    , ¶ 29 (2015) (hereinafter 2015 CPM Order).
    But in 2018, while CAISO sought approval for a related
    CPM tariff amendment, several interested parties—including
    the CPUC and CAISO’s Department of Market Monitoring
    (DMM), its independent market monitor—raised concerns
    about whether above-cap CPM resources should be
    compensated for their full annual cost of service given they
    retain all market revenues. Rejecting CAISO’s proposed
    amendment, the Commission “strongly encourage[d] CAISO
    and stakeholders” to “revisit[] the issue of the adequacy of
    CPM . . . compensation.” Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., 
    163 FERC ¶ 61,023
    , ¶ 48 (2018).
    In February 2020, after conducting a two-year stakeholder
    review of the CPM process, CAISO filed a tariff amendment
    with the Commission reflecting two mutually exclusive
    proposals for compensating above-cap resources. The first
    option (Option A) would allow an above-cap resource to
    submit a cost-justified bid based on the resource’s
    demonstrated going-forward costs plus a 20% adder. The
    second option (Option B) would provide the same going-
    forward cost recovery as Option A but without the adder.
    Under either option, an above-cap resource would still retain
    its market revenues. CAISO indicated that it favored Option A
    because it aligned with how the existing soft-offer cap is
    calculated and would be consistent with the Commission’s
    7
    guidance—namely its 2011 and 2015 CPM Orders—that the
    CPM compensation scheme should include some meaningful
    fixed cost recovery beyond going-forward costs and provide
    incentives for resources to make upgrades and undertake long-
    term maintenance. Accordingly, CAISO requested that the
    Commission review Option B only if it did not accept Option
    A.
    Numerous parties filed comments to CAISO’s proposal,
    including the CPUC, DMM and Pacific Gas and Electric
    Company (PG&E). The CPUC and DMM argued that
    CAISO’s proposal misapplied or misinterpreted earlier
    Commission orders regarding the soft-offer cap, the 20% adder
    and the need for recovery of fixed costs beyond going-forward
    costs. All three parties argued that CAISO failed to explain
    why a 20% adder was an appropriate level relative to the
    potential costs of long-term maintenance and environmental
    upgrades that would not be recovered under the rest of the CPM
    payment for going-forward costs plus the resource’s market
    revenues.
    In May 2020, the Commission approved Option A as just
    and reasonable and expressly declined to reach the merits of
    Option B. See Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., 
    171 FERC ¶ 61,172
    , ¶ 35 & n.53 (2020) (hereinafter 2020 CPM Order).
    The Commission determined that Option A would allow
    participating resources “the opportunity for sufficient recovery
    of fixed costs plus a return on capital to facilitate incremental
    upgrades and improvement by the resources.” 
    Id.
     It further
    concluded that the inclusion of a 20% adder for above-cap,
    cost-justified bids was “consistent with Commission precedent
    on CPM compensation,” citing its 2015 CPM order approving
    the soft-offer cap, which contained a 20% adder. Id. at ¶ 36.
    Then-Commissioner (now Chairman) Glick dissented from the
    Commission’s order, concluding that CAISO failed to explain
    8
    why, in figuring an above-cap resource’s going-forward costs,
    a 20% adder in addition to retained market revenues was just
    and reasonable. Id. (Glick, Comm’r, dissenting) at ¶¶ 4–5.
    Further, Commissioner Glick found reliance on the
    Commission’s 2015 CPM order misplaced, as the 20% adder
    was included in the generic soft-offer cap to ensure that the cap
    covered comparable resources’ going-forward costs, a
    consideration irrelevant under either Option A or B because an
    above-cap resource will recover its demonstrated going-
    forward costs. Id. (Glick, Comm’r, dissenting) at ¶ 6.
    The CPUC requested rehearing. On July 30, 2020, in the
    absence of Commission action on the CPUC’s request, the
    request was deemed denied by operation of law. See Cal.
    Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., 
    172 FERC ¶ 62,052
     (2020). The
    CPUC timely petitioned this Court for review.
    II. Analysis
    We have jurisdiction under the Federal Power Act, 16
    U.S.C. § 825l(b). We review Commission orders under the
    familiar arbitrary and capricious standard and uphold the
    Commission’s factual findings if they are supported by
    substantial evidence. See West Deptford Energy, LLC v. FERC,
    
    766 F.3d 10
    , 17 (D.C. Cir. 2014); see also 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2).
    To that end, the Commission “must be able to demonstrate that
    it has made a reasoned decision based upon substantial
    evidence in the record,” Del. Div. of Pub. Advoc. v. FERC, 
    3 F.4th 461
    , 465 (D.C. Cir. 2021) (quoting N. States Power Co.
    v. FERC, 
    30 F.3d 177
    , 180 (D.C. Cir. 1994)), and “articulate a
    satisfactory explanation for its action including a rational
    connection between the facts found and the choice made,” Pac.
    Gas & Elec. Co. v. FERC, 
    373 F.3d 1315
    , 1319 (D.C. Cir.
    2004) (alteration omitted) (quoting Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n
    of U.S., Inc. v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43
    9
    (1983)). Although the Commission is afforded substantial
    deference in rate-related matters, as such matters “are either
    fairly technical or ‘involve policy judgments that lie at the core
    of the regulatory mission,’” S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth. v. FERC, 
    762 F.3d 41
    , 55 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (per curiam) (quoting Alcoa Inc.
    v. FERC, 
    564 F.3d 1342
    , 1347 (D.C. Cir. 2009)), “it bears
    repeating that ‘courts have never given regulators carte
    blanche,’” Emera Me. v. FERC, 
    854 F.3d 9
    , 22 (D.C. Cir. 2017)
    (quoting Elec. Consumers Res. Council v. FERC, 
    747 F.2d 1511
    , 1514 (D.C. Cir. 1984)).
    A. Commission’s Reliance on its 2015 CPM Order
    In approving Option A, the Commission relied chiefly on
    its 2015 CPM Order approving the soft-offer cap, which
    includes a 20% adder. The Commission inferred from its 2015
    order that applying the same adder to above-cap CPM bids
    would be just and reasonable:
    [T]he inclusion of a 20% adder on top of
    demonstrated going forward fixed costs is
    consistent with Commission precedent on CPM
    compensation. In 2015, the Commission
    accepted CAISO’s currently effective soft offer
    cap, which is based on the going-forward costs
    of a reference unit plus a 20% adder, finding
    that this method for calculating the soft offer
    cap allowed for sufficient recovery of fixed
    costs plus a return on capital to facilitate
    incremental upgrades and improvement by
    resources. . . . Thus, the Commission has found
    that it is just and reasonable in the context of
    CPM compensation to allow resources the
    opportunity to recover costs beyond their going-
    10
    forward costs and that a 20% adder is sufficient
    for this purpose.
    2020 CPM Order, at ¶ 36. In the CPUC’s view, the
    Commission’s reliance on the 2015 CPM Order in this manner
    was not the product of reasoned decision-making. We agree.
    As this Court has noted, “[t]here is no question that the
    Commission may attach precedential, and even controlling
    weight to principles developed in one proceeding and then
    apply them under appropriate circumstances in a stare decisis
    manner.” La. Intrastate Gas Corp. v. FERC, 
    962 F.2d 37
    , 44
    (D.C. Cir. 1992) (alteration in original) (quoting Mich. Wis.
    Pipe Line Co. v. Fed. Power Comm’n, 
    520 F.2d 84
    , 89 (D.C.
    Cir. 1975)). But application of precedent is warranted only if
    “the factual composition of the case to which the principle is
    being applied bear[s] something more than a modicum of
    similarity to the case from which the principle derives.” 
    Id.
    (alteration in original) (quoting Mich. Wis. Pipe Line, 
    520 F.2d at 89
    ); see also Me. Pub. Serv. Co. v. FERC, 
    964 F.2d 5
    , 9 (D.C.
    Cir. 1992) (Commission’s mere citation to an earlier order
    using particular percentage in rate calculation necessarily left
    Court “in the dark about why the Commission thought [that]
    percentage appropriate here”).
    Our recent decision in Delaware Division of Public
    Advocate v. FERC, 
    3 F.4th 461
     (D.C. Cir. 2021), is instructive.
    There, the Commission approved the system operator’s
    inclusion of an automatic 10% adder for energy market bids by
    resources in the same category as the reference resource—a
    combustion turbine plant. Id. at 464, 468–69. In approving the
    automatic adder, the Commission relied almost entirely on its
    earlier approval of an optional 10% adder for all bidding
    resources under the same program. Id. at 468–69. As we
    summarized, the Commission approved the automatic adder
    11
    because “the adder’s general use was already approved as just
    and reasonable,” id. at 469, and because the automatic adder
    made the formula for the reference resource “consistent with
    existing energy market rules,” id. (quoting PJM
    Interconnection, LLC, 
    167 FERC ¶ 61,029
    , ¶ 128 (2019)). In
    light of substantial record evidence showing that the automatic
    adder “would run counter to a combustion turbine’s economic
    interest,” creating the distinct possibility that “no or few actual
    combustion turbine plants [would] ever use the 10% adder,” we
    concluded that the Commission’s mere citation to its earlier
    order—absent further explanation or analysis—was arbitrary
    and capricious. Id. at 469.
    Here, as in Delaware Division, the Commission failed to
    grapple with the distinction between bids submitted below or
    above the soft-offer cap, resulting in the Commission’s reliance
    on precedent “without recognition of the substantial
    differences between the two cases.” Mich. Wis. Pipe Line, 
    520 F.2d at 89
    . Regarding the soft-offer cap, the 20% adder serves
    to provide cost recovery beyond going-forward costs, thereby
    allowing resources to undertake incremental improvements
    and upgrades. See 2015 CPM Order, at ¶ 29. But the adder also
    serves to facilitate bidding—up to the soft-offer cap—among
    resources with going-forward costs different from those of the
    reference resource. Id. at ¶ 13. As a result, a resource’s
    recovery of additional fixed costs is necessarily constrained by
    the resource’s relationship to the reference resource and the
    soft-offer cap itself: While a resource with going-forward costs
    at or below the reference resource can take full advantage of
    the 20% adder, a resource with going-forward costs above
    those of the reference resource but less than the soft-offer cap
    is not guaranteed the same opportunity for cost recovery.
    The adder in Option A, by contrast, allows for additional
    cost recovery that is not so similarly constrained. Because a
    12
    resource compensated under Option A is guaranteed to recoup
    its demonstrated going-forward costs, any differences in cost
    recovery relative to the reference unit—a concern motivating
    the inclusion of the adder for below-cap resources—are
    rendered irrelevant. All above-cap resources will therefore be
    permitted to use the full 20% adder to finance incremental
    investments and upgrades, an opportunity not afforded to all
    below-cap resources. Further, because the adder is tied directly
    to a resource’s going-forward costs and not limited by an offer
    cap, its inclusion effectively renders the compensation formula
    uncapped; the greater a facility’s going-forward costs, the more
    it stands to recover through its cost-justified bid. This uncapped
    recovery stands in stark contrast to the soft-offer cap, which is
    meant to cap maximum bids evenly in order to facilitate
    competition among resources.
    In short, the soft-offer cap produces a fixed, resource-
    agnostic maximum rate meant to facilitate a competitive
    bidding process among many resource classes but Option A
    results in a variable, resource-specific and uncapped maximum
    rate intended to compensate particular resources. Rather than
    discussing these material differences in deciding whether to
    approve the Option A adder, the Commission simply cited its
    2015 CPM Order, invoking a sort of “consistency” rationale,
    and left it at that. See 2020 CPM Order, at ¶¶ 36–37. That
    simply will not do and does not evince the type of reasoned
    decision-making necessary to withstand scrutiny. See Del. Div.
    of Pub. Advoc., 3 F.4th at 469 (rejecting Commission’s
    conclusion that adder was just and reasonable simply because
    it was “consistent with existing energy market rules”) (citation
    omitted); see also State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 43
     (finding agency
    action arbitrary and capricious if agency “failed to consider an
    important aspect of the problem”).
    13
    B. Lack of Substantial Evidence
    Apart from the Commission’s misplaced reliance on its
    2015 CPM Order, the record contains no evidence or findings
    to support its decision. Like every agency, the Commission
    “must be able to demonstrate that it has made a reasoned
    decision based upon substantial evidence in the record.” Del.
    Div. of Pub. Advoc., 3 F.4th at 465 (quoting N. States Power,
    
    30 F.3d at 180
    ); see also Emera Me., 854 F.3d at 28 (“FERC
    must adequately explain how the evidence it relied on
    ‘support[ed] the conclusion it reached.’”) (alteration in
    original) (quoting Wis. Gas Co. v. FERC, 
    770 F.2d 1144
    , 1156
    (D.C. Cir. 1985)). We have construed the substantial evidence
    standard to require “such relevant evidence as a reasonable
    mind might accept as adequate to support a conclusion,” Butler
    v. Barnhart, 
    353 F.3d 992
    , 999 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (quoting
    Richardson v. Perales, 
    402 U.S. 389
    , 401 (1971)), something
    “more than a scintilla” but “less than a preponderance of the
    evidence,” FPL Energy Me. Hydro LLC v. FERC, 
    287 F.3d 1151
    , 1160 (D.C. Cir. 2002). Here, no matter how we formulate
    the substantial evidence standard, the Commission fails to meet
    its mandate.
    Stripped of its citation to the 2015 CPM Order, the
    Commission’s order has little else, if anything, to support it.
    Neither CAISO, in proposing Option A, nor the Commission,
    in approving Option A, relied on findings supporting its
    conclusion that a 20% adder for above-cap resources would be
    a just and reasonable mechanism to provide them “the
    opportunity for sufficient recovery of fixed costs plus a return
    on capital to facilitate incremental upgrades and improvement
    by the resources.” 2020 CPM Order, at ¶ 35. For example, there
    are no findings on which cost categories resources should have
    the “opportunity” to recover, what amount of recovery for such
    costs would “facilitate” the desired incremental improvements
    14
    and upgrades or what relationship a fixed 20% adder—as
    opposed to a different adder or simply market revenues—bears
    to those identified cost categories or desired improvements and
    upgrades. See 
    id.
     (Glick, Comm’r, dissenting), ¶ 4 (“[T]here is
    nothing in the record to support the Commission’s finding that
    it is just and reasonable to allow resources that bid above the
    soft offer cap to recover 120 percent of the short-term fixed
    costs.”); J.A. 067 (DMM arguing that “[t]he CAISO filing does
    not include any explanation or analysis of how or why a 20%
    adder is an appropriate level relative to potential costs of ‘long
    term maintenance’ and ‘environmental upgrades’”). It is
    difficult for us to ascertain “a rational connection between the
    facts found and the choice made” when both the Commission
    and CAISO failed to establish the basic facts. See State Farm,
    
    463 U.S. at 43
     (citation omitted).
    Moreover, several parties that participated in the
    Commission’s proceeding pointed out the dearth of supporting
    evidence in the record but the Commission largely ignored
    them. See TransCanada Power Mktg. Ltd. v. FERC, 
    811 F.3d 1
    , 12 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (“It is well established that the
    Commission must ‘respond meaningfully to the arguments
    raised before it.’”) (quoting Pub. Serv. Comm’n v. FERC, 
    397 F.3d 1004
    , 1008 (D.C. Cir. 2005)). The CPUC, DMM and
    PG&E all noted the lack of analysis as to why market revenues
    alone—which are uncapped and not netted against other CPM
    compensation—would provide insufficient cost recovery for
    incremental upgrades and improvements, thereby necessitating
    a 20% adder. See J.A. 055–56 (CPUC Comments); J.A. 067–
    68 (DMM comments); J.A. 094–98 (PG&E Comments).
    Indeed, PG&E provided modeling indicating the significant
    likelihood that a facility’s full cost of service would be
    recovered from going-forward costs and market revenues
    alone—i.e., before the inclusion of any adder. J.A. 094–95.
    Yet, notwithstanding the Commission’s acknowledgment of
    15
    the parties’ arguments on this issue, 2020 CPM Order, at
    ¶¶ 12–14, it otherwise failed to address them, see
    TransCanada, 811 F.3d at 12 (faulting Commission because it
    “simply never addressed” petitioner’s argument). 4
    Further, the CPUC and DMM raised concerns that the
    inclusion of a 20% adder that bears no clear relationship to
    particular cost categories or improvements could result in
    compensation for costs not incurred, rendering the rate
    potentially unjust or unreasonable. See J.A. 054–55 (CPUC
    Comments); J.A. 067 (DMM Comments). As a practical
    matter, the CPUC noted in its comments, a resource making a
    cost-justified bid “should know what long-term upgrades and
    maintenance and other capital investments should be expected
    in the coming year,” making a fixed adder for yet uncertain
    costs inappropriate and potentially excessive. J.A. 054–55. As
    this Court has often noted, “rates that permit excessive profits
    are not just and reasonable.” TransCanada, 811 F.3d at 12. 5 To
    4
    The Commission has previously indicated that compensation
    in voluntary backstop programs “must at a minimum allow for the
    recovery of the generator’s going-forward costs, with parties having
    the flexibility to negotiate a cost-based rate up to the generator’s full
    cost of service.” See New York Indep. Sys. Operator, Inc., 
    155 FERC ¶ 61,076
    , ¶ 100 (2016) (emphasis added) (quoting New York Indep.
    Sys. Operator, Inc., 
    150 FERC ¶ 61,116
    , ¶ 17 (2015)). If the 20%
    adder would push above-cap compensation beyond full cost of
    service—as some parties argue is the case—the Commission’s lack
    of engagement is troubling.
    5
    On appeal, the Commission argues that it will ensure that a
    resource making a cost-justified filing has sufficiently demonstrated
    its asserted going-forward costs and that its filing is otherwise just
    and reasonable. But the Commission’s discretion is not as expansive
    as it makes it seem. Under Option A, which is set out in CAISO’s
    tariff, a resource is entitled to the 20% adder without any showing of
    additional need. The Commission’s review is accordingly limited to
    whether (1) the resource’s asserted costs fall within the three
    16
    the extent that the Commission discussed this argument, it
    characterized the argument as “unpersuasive” because the
    Commission did not deem it “strictly necessary to include an
    accurate estimate of” costs beyond going-forward costs in its
    2015 CPM Order. 2020 CPM Order, at ¶ 38. But this response
    largely skirts the question of excessive compensation or lack of
    supporting evidence as simply a quibble over accuracy. See
    TransCanada, 811 F.3d at 12 (dismissing Commission
    argument as “specious because it does not address the valid
    concern raised by” party). Further, it misapplies the 2015 CPM
    Order: The fact that the Commission did not require CAISO to
    document which cost categories the adder was meant to
    compensate for a resource-agnostic soft-offer cap meant to
    cover many resource classes does not necessarily mean that
    such a showing is not needed for individualized, cost-justified
    filings.
    Rather than responding to the parties’ comments and
    marshalling supporting evidence, the Commission elected
    instead to repeat the phrase “the opportunity for sufficient
    recovery,” 2020 CPM Order, at ¶ 35, as a sort of “talismanic
    phrase that does not advance reasoned decision making,”
    TransCanada, 811 F.3d at 13; see also New England Power
    Generators Ass’n, Inc. v. FERC, 
    881 F.3d 202
    , 211 (D.C. Cir.
    2018) (Commission cannot satisfy its mandate to engage with
    parties’ comments by relying on “conclusory statements that
    dismissed [a party’s] concerns without providing reasoned
    analysis”).
    categories comprising going-forward costs and (2) the CPM price
    was properly calculated using the approved formula—i.e., Option A.
    The Commission therefore offers only a tautology: Its review will
    ensure the generator’s offer is just and reasonable, assuming that the
    above-cap formula itself is just and reasonable.
    17
    For the foregoing reasons, the petition for review is
    granted. We therefore vacate the Commission’s order and
    remand the case for proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    So ordered.