United States v. Hernandez-Vasquez ( 2007 )


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  •                    FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,                     No. 06-50198
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    v.                               D.C. No.
    04-CR-0180 DMS
    JOSE HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ,
    OPINION
    Defendant-Appellant.
    
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Southern District of California
    Dana M. Sabraw, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted
    May 15, 2007—Pasadena, California
    Filed October 31, 2007
    Before: Raymond C. Fisher and Richard R. Clifton,
    Circuit Judges, and Jeremy Fogel,* District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge Fogel
    *The Honorable Jeremy Fogel, United States District Judge for the
    Northern District of California, sitting by designation.
    14307
    14310          UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    COUNSEL
    Robert A. Garcia, San Diego, California, counsel for the
    appellant.
    Carol C. Lam, U.S. Attorney, Bruce M. Castetter and Neville
    S. Hedley (argued), Assistant U.S. Attorneys, San Diego, Cal-
    ifornia, for the appellee.
    OPINION
    FOGEL, District Judge:
    Defendant-Appellant Jose Hernandez-Vasquez appeals the
    order of the district court permitting Appellee, the United
    States (“the Government”), to medicate him involuntarily to
    render him competent for trial. We vacate and remand.
    BACKGROUND
    Defendant was indicted on January 28, 2004 as a
    previously-deported alien found in the United States in viola-
    tion of 8 U.S.C. § 1326.1 Defendant is subject to a maximum
    prison term of twenty years, and the Government calculates
    his likely sentencing range under the advisory sentencing
    guidelines as 92-115 months. On May 6, 2004, Defendant
    moved for a competency examination. On September 17,
    2004, the district court found Defendant incompetent to stand
    trial and committed him to the custody of the Attorney Gen-
    1
    Defendant previously was convicted of the following crimes: aggra-
    vated assault on a corrections officer in Arizona (twice); lewd and lascivi-
    ous acts with a child under the age of fourteen, in violation of Cal. Penal
    Code § 288(a), for which he received a three-year custodial sentence; and
    misdemeanor annoying children and trespassing. Defendant was ordered
    removed from the United States by an Immigration Judge on August 1,
    2003, and was removed on November 8, 2003.
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ           14311
    eral pursuant to 18 U.S.C. § 4241. Defendant subsequently
    was transferred to the United States Medical Center for Fed-
    eral Prisoners in Springfield, Missouri.
    On March 3, 2006, the Government requested an evidenti-
    ary hearing on its motion to medicate Defendant involuntarily
    to render him competent to stand trial. Alternatively, the Gov-
    ernment requested an order directing the Medical Center to
    evaluate Defendant for dangerousness. At a hearing held on
    March 24, 2006, the district court granted the motion to medi-
    cate Defendant involuntarily. The district court issued a writ-
    ten order to that effect on March 29, 2006, and Defendant
    timely appealed. On April 5, 2006, a motions panel of this
    Court stayed the involuntary medication order pending the
    outcome of this appeal. Consequently, Defendant has not yet
    been medicated pursuant to the terms of the district court’s
    order.
    DISCUSSION
    The parties agree that Sell v. United States, 
    539 U.S. 166
    (2003), governs the instant dispute. In that case, the United
    States moved to medicate a criminal defendant involuntarily
    to restore his competency for trial. On appeal from the trial
    court’s order granting the Government’s motion, which the
    Eighth Circuit had affirmed, the Supreme Court considered
    “whether the Constitution permits the Government to admin-
    ister antipsychotic drugs involuntarily to a mentally ill crimi-
    nal defendant — in order to render that defendant competent
    to stand trial for serious, but nonviolent, crimes.” 
    Sell, 539 U.S. at 169
    . The Court concluded that the Constitution allows
    the Government to do so “in limited circumstances.” 
    Id. [1] The
    Supreme Court began its analysis in Sell by review-
    ing its earlier decisions in Washington v. Harper, 
    494 U.S. 210
    (1990), and Riggins v. Nevada, 
    504 U.S. 127
    (1992). In
    Harper, the Supreme Court recognized that an individual has
    a significant liberty interest under the Due Process Clause of
    14312        UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    the Fourteenth Amendment in avoiding the unwanted admin-
    istration of antipsychotic drugs. 
    Harper, 494 U.S. at 221-22
    .
    The Court concluded, however, that a state’s interest in
    administering medication to a dangerous inmate is legitimate
    and important, 
    id. at 225-26,
    and held that the Due Process
    Clause allows a state “to treat a prison inmate who has a seri-
    ous mental illness with antipsychotic drugs against his will, if
    the inmate is dangerous to himself or others and the treatment
    is in the inmate’s medical interest.” 
    Id. at 227.
    In Riggins, the
    Supreme Court overturned an order permitting involuntary
    medication to render a defendant competent for trial on the
    basis that the district court “did not acknowledge the defen-
    dant’s liberty interest in freedom from unwanted antipsycho-
    tic 
    drugs.” 504 U.S. at 137
    . It concluded that “[t]his error may
    well have impaired . . . constitutionally protected trial rights,”
    by affecting the defendant’s demeanor, testimony, ability to
    follow proceedings, and communications with counsel. 
    Id. Sell synthesized
    these two decisions as follows:
    Harper and Riggins[ ] indicate that the Constitution
    permits the Government involuntarily to administer
    antipsychotic drugs to a mentally ill defendant facing
    serious criminal charges in order to render that
    defendant competent to stand trial, but only if the
    treatment is medically appropriate, is substantially
    unlikely to have side effects that may undermine the
    fairness of the trial, and, taking account of less intru-
    sive alternatives, is necessary significantly to further
    important governmental trial-related interests.
    This standard will permit involuntary administration
    of drugs solely for trial competence purposes in cer-
    tain instances. But those instances may be rare. That
    is because the standard says or fairly implies [that
    the trial court must make four findings.]
    
    Sell, 539 U.S. at 179-80
    .
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ            14313
    First, the court must find that “important governmental
    interests are at stake.” 
    Id. at 180
    (emphasis in original).
    The Government’s interest in bringing to trial an
    individual accused of a serious crime is important.
    That is so whether the offense is a serious crime
    against the person or a serious crime against prop-
    erty. In both instances the Government seeks to pro-
    tect through application of the criminal law the basic
    need for security.
    Courts, however, must consider the facts of the indi-
    vidual case in evaluating the Government’s interest
    in prosecution. Special circumstances may lessen the
    importance of that interest. . . . The potential for
    future [civil] confinement affects, but does not
    totally undermine, the strength of the need for prose-
    cution. The same is true of the possibility that the
    defendant has already been confined for a significant
    amount of time (for which he would receive credit
    toward any sentence ultimately imposed, see 18
    U.S.C. § 3585(b)). Moreover, the Government has a
    concomitant, constitutionally essential interest in
    assuring that the defendant’s trial is a fair one.
    
    Id. (internal citations
    omitted).
    “Second, the court must conclude that involuntary medica-
    tion will significantly further those concomitant state inter-
    ests.” 
    Id. at 181
    (emphasis in original). Specifically, the court
    must find that “the administration of the drugs is substantially
    likely to render the defendant competent to stand trial” and
    “substantially unlikely to have side effects that will interfere
    significantly with the defendant’s ability to assist counsel in
    conducting a trial defense.” 
    Id. “Third, the
    court must conclude that involuntary medica-
    tion is necessary to further those interests.” 
    Id. (emphasis in
    14314        UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    original). It must be shown that any alternative, less intrusive
    methods are unlikely to achieve substantially the same results;
    and the court must consider less intrusive means for adminis-
    tering the drugs, such as a court order “backed by the con-
    tempt power.” 
    Id. Finally, the
    court must find that “administration of the
    drugs is medically appropriate, i.e., in the patient’s best medi-
    cal interest in light of his medical condition.” 
    Id. (emphasis in
    original).
    After identifying these four required findings, the Supreme
    Court stressed that a Sell inquiry is independent of the proce-
    dure that allows involuntary medication of dangerous inmates
    under Harper. In fact, the Court stated explicitly that consid-
    eration of an involuntary medication order based on danger-
    ousness is preferable to consideration of an order intended to
    render a defendant competent for trial:
    A court need not consider whether to allow forced
    medication [to render a defendant competent for
    trial], if forced medication is warranted for a differ-
    ent purpose, such as the purposes set out in Harper
    related to the individual’s dangerousness, or pur-
    poses related to the individual’s own interests where
    refusal to take drugs puts his health gravely at risk.
    There are often strong reasons for a court to deter-
    mine whether forced administration of drugs can be
    justified on these alternative grounds before turning
    to the trial competence question.
    For one thing, the inquiry into whether medication
    is permissible, say, to render an individual non-
    dangerous is usually more “objective and manage-
    able” than the inquiry into whether medication is
    permissible to render a defendant competent. The
    medical experts may find it easier to provide an
    informed opinion about whether, given the risk of
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ            14315
    side effects, particular drugs are medically appropri-
    ate and necessary to control a patient’s potentially
    dangerous behavior (or to avoid serious harm to the
    patient himself) than to try to balance harms and
    benefits related to the more quintessentially legal
    questions of trial fairness and competence.
    For another thing, courts typically address invol-
    untary medical treatment as a civil matter, and jus-
    tify it on these alternative, Harper-type grounds.
    ...
    . . . Even if a court decides medication cannot be
    authorized on the alternative grounds, the findings
    underlying such a decision will help to inform expert
    opinion and judicial decisionmaking in respect to a
    request to administer drugs for trial competence pur-
    poses. . . . We consequently believe that a court,
    asked to approve forced administration of drugs for
    purposes of rendering a defendant competent to
    stand trial, should ordinarily determine whether the
    Government seeks, or has first sought, permission
    for forced administration of drugs on these other
    Harper-type grounds; and, if not, why not.
    
    Id. at 181
    -83 (internal citations omitted)(emphasis in origi-
    nal). In remanding the case to the district court, the Sell Court
    noted that the Government could pursue multiple grounds for
    forced medication on remand, “including the danger Sell
    poses to himself or others.” 
    Id. at 186.
    Because certain aspects of Sell are particularly relevant to
    the instant appeal, we discuss them in depth below and apply
    them to the instant case. But before we do, we must address
    a threshold question: Whether the district court had an obliga-
    tion to apply Harper and make a dangerousness inquiry
    before proceeding under Sell.
    14316        UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    I
    [2] As we have held previously, “[t]he Supreme Court
    clearly intends courts to explore other procedures, such as
    Harper hearings (which are to be employed in the case of
    dangerousness) before considering involuntary medication
    orders under Sell.” United States v. Rivera-Guerrero, 
    426 F.3d 1130
    , 1137 (9th Cir. 2005) (parenthetical in original).
    Because Sell orders are “disfavored,” 
    id., the district
    court, in
    an ordinary case, should refrain from proceeding with the Sell
    inquiry before examining dangerousness and other bases to
    administer medication forcibly. Accordingly, prior to under-
    taking the Sell inquiry, a district court ordinarily should make
    a specific determination on the record that no other basis for
    forcibly administering medication is reasonably available. If
    a district court does not conduct a dangerousness inquiry
    under Harper, it should state for the record why it is not doing
    so.
    [3] At the hearing in this case, the district court undertook
    the Sell inquiry without making any findings regarding the
    availability or appropriateness of other means forcibly to
    medicate Defendant. It did so, however, only after the Gov-
    ernment had made clear that it did not intend to seek involun-
    tary medication on dangerousness grounds, a position that it
    has reiterated on this appeal. As it emphasized in its brief to
    this court: “Although the Government offered evidence of
    [Defendant’s] potential danger to others while in custody, [it]
    did not seek to have [Defendant] forcibly medicated based on
    dangerousness, and Dr. Wolfson shied away from [Defen-
    dant’s] dangerous conduct while in custody as a basis for
    forcibly medicating him.” [Red Br. 21]
    [4] Because the Government disclaimed any opportunity to
    make a showing of dangerousness under Harper, we cannot
    fault the district court for honoring the parties’ agreement to
    proceed directly to the Sell inquiry. We emphasize, however,
    that Sell inquiries are disfavored in part because the medical
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ                    14317
    opinions required for a Sell order are more multi-faceted, and
    thus more subject to error, than those required for a Harper
    analysis. See 
    Sell, 539 U.S. at 182
    (“For one thing, the inquiry
    into whether medication is permissible, say, to render an indi-
    vidual nondangerous is usually more objective and manage-
    able than the inquiry into whether medication is permissible
    to render a defendant competent.”). A defendant’s liberty
    interest in avoiding unnecessary involuntary medication is too
    important to allow for situations in which the court is asked
    to undertake the more error-prone analysis for what may be
    arbitrary or tactical reasons. Because we vacate the district
    court’s order on other grounds, on remand the district court
    may wish to inquire further as to the Government’s reasons
    for not seeking involuntary medication on the basis of danger-
    ousness, and should note for the record its reasons for not pro-
    ceeding under Harper, before undertaking the Sell inquiry.2
    II
    We now move to the district court’s application of the Sell
    factors. Neither the Supreme Court nor this circuit has speci-
    fied the standard of review applicable to a Sell order. Two of
    our sister circuits, however, have passed on this question. In
    United States v. Gomes, 
    387 F.3d 157
    (2d Cir. 2004), the Sec-
    ond Circuit held that the first Sell factor — the seriousness of
    the underlying crime — is a legal question subject to de novo
    review, and that the remaining Sell factors are factual ques-
    tions that should be reviewed for clear error. See 
    id. at 160.
    The Tenth Circuit, however, held that both the first and sec-
    ond Sell factors are legal questions that should be reviewed de
    novo. See United States v. Bradley, 
    417 F.3d 1107
    , 1113 (10th
    Cir. 2005).
    2
    In light of the time elapsed since the hearing before the district court,
    the Government may have adopted a different position as to Defendant’s
    dangerousness. Even if it takes the position that Defendant is not danger-
    ous, the district court should inquire into the reasons for such a position.
    14318        UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    We agree with the Second Circuit. While the importance of
    an asserted governmental interest is an issue that this court is
    well-equipped to review and evaluate for itself in the first
    instance, the question of whether medicating a particular
    defendant involuntarily would “significantly further” the
    asserted governmental interests at stake typically involves
    substantial questions of fact. Resolution of such questions is
    best left to the district court and must be accorded deference
    on appeal. Accordingly, we follow the Second Circuit’s
    approach and review the district court’s determinations with
    regard to the first Sell factor de novo, and the remaining Sell
    factors for clear error. See 
    Gomes, 387 F.3d at 160
    .
    III
    [5] Sell does not identify a requisite degree of specificity
    concerning the drugs to be used for involuntary medication.
    However, it does imply that a court should consider these
    issues at a detailed level: “The specific kinds of drugs at issue
    may matter here as elsewhere. Different kinds of antipsycho-
    tic drugs may produce different side effects and enjoy differ-
    ent levels of success.” 
    Id. at 181
    ; see also 
    Rivera-Guerrero, 426 F.3d at 1140
    (discussing Sell and stating that
    “[s]pecificity as to the medications to be administered is criti-
    cal”); 
    id. at 1142
    (stating that the court must develop a record
    that gives “attention to the type of drugs proposed, their dos-
    age, and the expected duration of a person’s exposure”) (cita-
    tion omitted).
    [6] Sell’s discussion of specificity would have little mean-
    ing if a district court were required to consider specific drugs
    at a Sell hearing but then could grant the Bureau of Prisons
    unfettered discretion in its medication of a defendant. While
    Sell appropriately does not direct district courts to microman-
    age the decisions of medical professionals, reading it as
    imposing no limits upon the discretion of the treating physi-
    cians would render judicial inquiry about specific drugs aca-
    demic. A broad grant of discretion to medical professionals
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ            14319
    also risks distracting such professionals from Sell’s narrow
    purpose of restoring a defendant’s competency for trial. See
    
    Sell, 539 U.S. at 185
    (“The failure to focus upon trial compe-
    tence could well have mattered. Whether a particular drug
    will tend to sedate a defendant, interfere with communication
    with counsel, prevent rapid reaction to trial developments, or
    diminish the ability to express emotions are matters important
    in determining the permissibility of medication to restore
    competence, but not necessarily relevant when dangerousness
    is primarily at issue.”) (internal citation omitted).
    Sell appears to anticipate physicians’ resistance to specific
    judicial direction regarding treatments that are acceptable for
    the purpose of rendering a defendant competent to stand trial:
    The medical experts may find it easier to provide an
    informed opinion about whether, given the risk of
    side effects, particular drugs are medically appropri-
    ate and necessary to control a patient’s potentially
    dangerous behavior (or to avoid serious harm to the
    patient himself) than to try to balance harms and
    benefits related to the more quintessentially legal
    questions of trial fairness and competence.
    
    Id. at 182.
    The Court noted the “strong reasons” that often
    exist for justifying forced medication on other grounds, 
    id., and observed
    that instances in which an order for involuntary
    medication would be appropriate under Sell “may be rare.” 
    Id. at 180
    . Read together, these statements indicate that the
    proper approach to physicians’ understandable chafing under
    the particularized judicial direction required by Sell is not to
    grant physicians unlimited discretion in their efforts to restore
    a defendant to competency for trial but rather, if the facts war-
    rant, to find another legal basis for involuntary medication.
    [7] Accordingly, we hold that a Sell order must provide
    some limitations on the specific medications that may be
    administered and the maximum dosages and duration of treat-
    14320            UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    ment. At a minimum, to pass muster under Sell, the district
    court’s order must identify: (1) the specific medication or
    range of medications that the treating physicians are permitted
    to use in their treatment of the defendant, (2) the maximum
    dosages that may be administered, and (3) the duration of
    time that involuntary treatment of the defendant may continue
    before the treating physicians must report back to the court on
    the defendant’s mental condition and progress. By setting
    such parameters within which physicians must operate, dis-
    trict courts will leave physicians enough discretion to act
    quickly to respond to changes in the defendant’s condition.
    Moreover, the Government or the defendant may move to
    alter the court’s order as the circumstances change and more
    becomes known about the defendant’s response to the medi-
    cation.
    [8] Turning to the facts of this case, we note that the order
    at issue provides only that “[t]he method of treatment and
    type of medication to be used shall be at the discretion of the
    treating medical professionals within the Bureau of Prisons.”
    While the record reflects that during the Sell hearing the dis-
    trict court stated its expectation that the Government would
    pursue an agreed-upon course of treatment,3 the court’s writ-
    ten order does not limit meaningfully the discretion delegated
    to the Government’s physicians. The fact that the order
    3
    The district court commented as follows in connection with its findings
    under the second Sell factor:
    [A]s I indicated earlier, Dr. Wolfson’s approach, to me, appears
    eminently reasonable and appropriate. To start with a second-
    generation medication, to see if there is improvement, if there is
    insight on the part of Mr. Hernandez, and then to gradually — or
    to at that point take inventory and see whether a different type of
    medication is necessary, or whether the medication prescribed by
    Dr. Wolfson is, in fact, working.
    If it is not, I would then leave it to his discretion to determine
    in what manner and whether to more aggressively treat Mr. Her-
    nandez, perhaps through the intramuscular approach, the injec-
    tion approach, with the other more aggressive medications.
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ           14321
    requires the physicians to report back to the Court, while
    appropriate, is insufficient. While Sell does not require that a
    court micromanage all aspects of a defendant’s treatment, nor
    does it allow such non-specific delegation of authority as to
    a treatment plan. Accordingly, we vacate and remand.
    IV
    Because we vacate the district court’s order for lack of the
    requisite specificity, we need not reach Defendant’s argument
    that the government’s interest in prosecuting him under
    § 1326 was insufficient to justify involuntary medication. See
    
    Sell, 539 U.S. at 180
    . However, because the issue is likely to
    arise on remand, we offer some guidance to the district court
    regarding the proper framework within which to analyze this
    question. See United States v. Brooke, 
    4 F.3d 1480
    , 1488 (9th
    Cir. 1993).
    The Supreme Court has provided only limited guidance as
    to what constitutes a serious crime for the purpose of a find-
    ing of an important government interest under the first prong
    of Sell:
    The Government’s interest in bringing to trial an
    individual accused of a serious crime is important.
    That is so whether the offense is a serious crime
    against the person or a serious crime against prop-
    erty. In both instances the Government seeks to pro-
    tect through application of the criminal law the basic
    need for security.
    
    Sell, 539 U.S. at 180
    .
    No circuit court has interpreted Sell as allowing a categori-
    cal analysis of a crime’s seriousness, such as a distinction
    between crimes malum in se and malum prohibitum. Simi-
    larly, we read Sell’s reference to crimes against property and
    the person as describing only a subset of the crimes serious
    14322           UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    enough to support an important government interest in prose-
    cution. A contrary reading would ignore the breadth of the
    Supreme Court’s concern that the Government be able to
    bring an accused to trial, which it described as “fundamental
    to a scheme of ordered liberty and prerequisite to social jus-
    tice and peace.” 
    Id. at 180
    (citations and quotation marks
    omitted). Sell does not suggest that non-property, non-violent
    crimes, such as those arising under federal drug or immigra-
    tion laws, are not fundamental to a scheme of ordered liberty.
    Instead, common to each of the appellate decisions interpret-
    ing Sell is a recognition that courts must consider the facts of
    individual cases in evaluating the Government’s interest in
    prosecution. Such relevant circumstances include the time a
    defendant has served while awaiting trial and the possibility
    of future civil confinement. See 
    id. at 180.
    Other circuit courts have refrained from specifying a length
    of sentence that renders a crime serious. The Fourth Circuit
    has held that “it is appropriate to focus on the maximum pen-
    alty authorized by statute in determining if a crime is ‘serious’
    for involuntary medication purposes.” United States v. Evans,
    
    404 F.3d 227
    , 237 (4th Cir. 2005). It reached this conclusion
    on the basis of the Supreme Court’s Sixth Amendment juris-
    prudence with respect to the right to trial by jury.4 The Fourth
    Circuit rejected the argument that it should focus on a defen-
    dant’s probable guideline sentencing range, concluding that
    4
    “Although the Court in Sell offered no guidance on how to determine
    the seriousness of an offense, the Supreme Court has described ‘serious’
    crimes in other contexts. In Duncan v. Louisiana, 
    391 U.S. 145
    , 
    88 S. Ct. 1444
    , 
    20 L. Ed. 2d 491
    (1968), for example, the Supreme Court observed
    that the Sixth Amendment’s right to trial by jury exists only in ‘serious’
    criminal cases. 
    Id. at 158,
    88 S. Ct. 1444
    . It admonished that “the penalty
    authorized for a particular crime is of major relevance in determining
    whether it is serious.” 
    Id. at 159,
    88 S. Ct. 1444 
    (emphasis added). In fact,
    it explicitly rejected [the] argument that the proper focus of whether a
    crime is ‘serious’ for purposes of the Sixth Amendment right to trial is the
    actual ‘length of punishment.’ 
    Id. at 162
    n.35, 
    88 S. Ct. 1444
    .” 
    Evans, 404 F.3d at 237
    (4th Cir. 2004) (emphasis in original).
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ            14323
    such an approach would be unworkable because at the invol-
    untary medication “stage in the proceedings, there is no way
    of accurately predicting what that range will be.” 
    Id. at 238.
    The Fourth Circuit did not specify what maximum punish-
    ment would render a crime “serious,” but decided that it is
    “beyond dispute that the Government does have an important
    interest in trying a defendant charged with a felony carrying
    a maximum punishment of 10 years imprisonment.” 
    Id. The Second
    and Tenth Circuits also have refrained from establish-
    ing a generic test for seriousness, but, in contrast to the Fourth
    Circuit, have not rejected the sentencing guidelines as a guide
    to the seriousness of a crime. See 
    Valenzuela-Puentes, 479 F.3d at 1226
    (reasoning that “[w]hether a crime is ‘serious’
    relates to the possible penalty the defendant faces if con-
    victed, as well as the nature or effect of the underlying con-
    duct for which he was charged,” and analyzing seriousness in
    light of both the statutory maximum and the likely guideline
    sentence); 
    Gomes, 387 F.3d at 160
    (describing “the serious-
    ness of the crime and [the defendant’s] perceived dangerous-
    ness to society [as] evident from the substantial sentence [the
    defendant] faces if convicted” and noting that the defendant
    “faces a possible statutory minimum of fifteen years’ impris-
    onment”), cert. denied, 
    543 U.S. 1128
    (2005).
    Although the sentencing guidelines no longer are manda-
    tory, they are the best available predictor of the length of a
    defendant’s incarceration. While the statutory maximum may
    be more readily ascertainable, any difficulty in estimating the
    likely guideline range exactly is an insufficient reason to
    ignore Sell’s direction that courts should consider the specific
    circumstances of individual defendants in determining the
    seriousness of a crime. Accordingly, we disagree with the
    Fourth Circuit and conclude that the likely guideline range is
    the appropriate starting point for the analysis of a crime’s seri-
    ousness. It is not, however, the only factor that should be con-
    sidered. Because the sentencing guidelines do not reflect the
    full universe of relevant circumstances, two indictments alleg-
    14324        UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ
    ing crimes with equal likely guideline ranges will not always
    be equally serious within the meaning of Sell.
    In the instant case, the district court did not indicate in its
    order the basis upon which it concluded that there is an
    important government interest at stake in prosecuting Defen-
    dant. However, it did state at the Sell hearing that it had con-
    sidered both the current charge against Defendant and
    Defendant’s criminal history. Specifically, the district court
    indicated that the Government’s interest in prosecuting
    Defendant for a § 1326 violation — when taken in conjunc-
    tion with other relevant factors such as Defendant’s prior
    offenses, the predatory nature of those offenses, and the close-
    ness in time of the prior offenses to the current prosecution —
    was sufficiently important to justify involuntary medication
    for the purpose of rendering Defendant competent for trial. In
    performing this fact-intensive inquiry, the district court likely
    approximated the analysis it would have performed had it
    used the sentencing guidelines as its starting point, and its
    ultimate conclusion was sound. Accordingly, we approve of
    the district court’s conclusion in this respect and hold that, at
    least under some circumstances, a violation of § 1326 may
    constitute a “serious” crime sufficient to justify involuntary
    medication under Sell. We also agree with the district court
    that, at the time of the Sell hearing, this case presented such
    a circumstance. However, we recognize that in light of the
    additional time Defendant has served in custody during the
    pendency of this appeal, at least some of the relevant facts ini-
    tially presented to the district court with respect to seriousness
    may require reevaluation. Whether this is the case, and what
    the outcome of such reevaluation should be, are questions we
    leave for the district court to address on remand.
    We also note the Government’s suggestion to the district
    court that “dangerousness can be a factor . . . in looking at
    whether [Defendant] should be forcibly medicated [under
    Sell].” The district court did not accept or reject the Govern-
    ment’s position explicitly, but rather concluded that it could
    UNITED STATES v. HERNANDEZ-VASQUEZ                   14325
    consider dangerousness in the context of how a prior criminal
    history would affect the applicable guideline sentencing
    range. On remand, the district court should remain mindful of
    the Supreme Court’s distinction between the purposes and
    requirements of involuntary medication to restore competency
    and involuntary medication to reduce dangerousness. It
    should take care to separate the Sell inquiry from the Harper
    dangerousness inquiry and not allow the inquiries to collapse
    into each other.
    V
    Based upon the foregoing discussion, we vacate the district
    court’s order permitting the Government to medicate Defen-
    dant involuntarily to render him competent for trial and
    remand for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.5
    VACATED AND REMANDED WITH INSTRUC-
    TIONS.
    5
    We do not reach Defendant’s argument that the Government did not
    show that the anti-psychotic drugs it would use are likely to render Defen-
    dant competent to stand trial or his argument that such drugs are inappro-
    priate given his medical history.