Turlock Irrigation District v. Ferc , 903 F.3d 862 ( 2018 )


Menu:
  •               FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DISTRICT;             No. 16-71380
    MODESTO IRRIGATION DISTRICT,
    Petitioners,         FERC No.
    EL15-55-001
    TRANSMISSION AGENCY OF
    NORTHERN CALIFORNIA; THE M-S-R
    PUBLIC POWER AGENCY; THE CITY              OPINION
    OF REDDING, CALIFORNIA;
    SACRAMENTO MUNICIPAL UTILITY
    DISTRICT,
    Intervenors,
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY
    COMMISSION,
    Respondent,
    PACIFIC GAS AND ELECTRIC
    COMPANY; CALIFORNIA
    DEPARTMENT OF WATER
    RESOURCES,
    Intervenors.
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    2            TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    Argued and Submitted May 14, 2018
    San Francisco, California
    Filed September 6, 2018
    Before: Sidney R. Thomas, Chief Judge, Michelle T.
    Friedland, Circuit Judge, and Thomas S. Zilly, * District
    Judge.
    Opinion by Chief Judge Thomas
    SUMMARY **
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    The panel granted a petition for review brought by the
    Turlock and Modesto Irrigation Districts, and held that the
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”)’s orders
    denying the Districts’ complaint and denying rehearing were
    arbitrary and capricious.
    To supply power to their service areas, the Districts use
    transmission and generation facilities both within and
    outside of their individual electric systems. In order to
    import and export power into and out of their systems, the
    Districts use the California-Oregon Transmission Project,
    *
    The Honorable Thomas S. Zilly, Senior District Judge for the U.S.
    District Court for the Western District of Washington, sitting by
    designation.
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                  3
    which was constructed by the Transmission Agency of
    Northern California with a group of public and private
    utilities, including Pacific Gas & Electric Company
    (“PG&E”) and federal agencies.
    PG&E entered Interconnection Agreements with the
    Districts, providing the terms under which the
    interconnected utility systems owned by the respective
    parties coordinated their operations. The complaint alleged
    that PG&E breached the notice and study provisions of these
    agreements.
    The California Department of Water Resources entered
    into a State Water Contract with PG&E in 1982 to provide
    interconnection services of the Department’s plants and
    facilities in PG&E’s service area. The Department agreed to
    participate in the Remedial Action Scheme, which was an
    automatic protection system designed to detect abnormal or
    predetermined system conditions on a transmission grid and
    take corrective actions to maintain the reliability of the
    system. The State Water Contract expired on December 31,
    2014, and in the Spring of 2014 the Districts raised concerns
    about the impact to their systems. When PG&E determined
    there was not a reasonable likelihood of any Adverse Impact
    to the service territories of the Districts, the Districts filed
    their complaint, which FERC denied.
    The panel held that FERC misinterpreted the definition
    of Adverse Impact, and thus improperly disposed of the
    Districts’ complaints without determining whether changes
    to the Remedial Action Scheme may result in reductions in
    transmission over the California-Oregon Transmission
    Project. The panel further held that FERC applied the wrong
    standard for initiating a study when making its factual
    findings.
    4          TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    On remand, the panel directed FERC to apply the
    broader definition of Adverse Impact that included
    reductions in import capability over the California-Oregon
    Transmission Project and the proper standard for requesting
    a study in determining whether PG&E breached the
    Interconnection Agreements.
    COUNSEL
    Jon R. Stickman (argued) and Kenneth Holmboe, Duncan &
    Allen, Washington, D.C.; Sean M. Neal, Duncan Weinberg
    Genzer & Pembroke P.C., Sacramento, California; for
    Petitioners.
    Carol J. Banta (argued), Ross R. Fulton and Susan Y. Chu,
    Attorneys; Robert H. Solomon, Solicitor; James P. Danly,
    General Counsel; Federal Energy Regulatory Commission,
    Washington, D.C.; for Respondent.
    Alyssa Koo (argued), Pacific Gas and Electric Company,
    San Francisco, California, for Intervenor Pacific Gas and
    Electric Company.
    Lisa S. Gast and Peter J. Scanlon, Duncan Weinberg Genzer
    & Pembroke P.C., Washington, D.C.; Michael R. Postar,
    Matthew R. Rudolphi, and Tyler E. Mansholt, Duncan
    Weinberg Genzer & Pembroke P.C., Washington, D.C.;
    Harvey L. Reiter, Stinson Leonard Street LLP, Washington,
    D.C.; for Intervenors Transmission Agency of Northern
    California; The M-S-R Public Power Agency; The City of
    Redding, California; and Sacramento Municipal Utility
    District.
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                5
    Lisa G. Dowden and Katharine M. Mapes, Spiegel &
    McDiarmid LLP, Washington, D.C., for Intervenor
    California Department of Water Resources.
    OPINION
    THOMAS, Chief Judge:
    In this petition for review, we consider whether the
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”) acted
    arbitrarily and capriciously in denying a complaint brought
    by the Turlock and Modesto Irrigation Districts
    (collectively, the “Districts”). The complaint alleged that
    Pacific Gas & Electric Company (“PG&E”) breached
    agreements between the Districts and PG&E. We conclude
    that FERC’s orders denying the complaint and denying
    rehearing were arbitrary and capricious, and we grant the
    Districts’ petition.
    I
    A
    PG&E provides wholesale and retail electric service in
    northern and central California. PG&E owns an extensive
    electric transmission system within that area, which was
    turned over to the operational control of the California
    Independent System Operator (“Cal-ISO”) in 1998. Cal-
    ISO provides transmission service over PG&E’s system.
    The Districts generate, transmit, and distribute electric
    power within their service areas. Each District retains
    operational control of its own transmission system. The
    Districts jointly own Westley Substation and three 230 kV
    transmission lines, the Westley-Parker, Westley-Walnut,
    6           TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    and Parker-Walnut lines. These lines move power from the
    Westley Substation to the Districts’ service areas. Westley
    Junction is the point of interconnection between PG&E’s
    system and each District’s system. In addition, the Districts
    jointly own the Westley-Tracy Transmission Project, which
    interconnects with the Western Area Power Administration
    (“Western”) system at Tracy Substation.
    To supply power to their service areas, the Districts use
    transmission and generation facilities both within and
    outside of their individual electric systems. In order to
    import and export power into and out of their systems, the
    Districts use the California-Oregon Transmission Project
    (“California-Oregon Project”).        The California-Oregon
    Project is a 500 kV line that extends approximately
    340 miles from the Captain Jack Substation in southern
    Oregon to the Olinda Substation in northern California and
    then on to its terminus near PG&E’s Tesla Substation in
    central California. The California-Oregon Project was
    constructed by the Transmission Agency of Northern
    California (“Transmission Agency”) with a group of public
    and private utilities, including PG&E and federal agencies.
    Neither of the Districts has an ownership share in the
    California-Oregon Project. However, each District is a
    member of the Transmission Agency, and their interests in
    the California-Oregon Project arise through their
    membership in the Transmission Agency. This membership
    gives each District the right to use a share of the California-
    Oregon Project’s transmission capacity. The California-
    Oregon Project provides the District with access to power
    generators in Oregon and Washington. The Districts rely on
    power imported from Oregon and Washington to reliably run
    their electric systems.
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                          7
    B
    PG&E has entered into an Interconnection Agreement
    with Modesto and another with Turlock.                The
    Interconnection Agreements provide the terms under which
    the interconnected utility systems owned by the respective
    parties coordinate their operations. The two agreements
    contain nearly identical terms, and we refer to them
    collectively. 1
    At issue in this case are the notice and study provisions
    in Section 9.11 of the Agreements. Section 9.11.1(a)
    requires a “Primary Party” to notify a “Coordinating Party”
    if the Primary Party intends to make a “Modification, New
    Facility Addition, or Long-Term Change to Operations” that
    “may reasonably result in an Adverse Impact to the System
    of the Coordinating Party.” A “Primary Party” is a party that
    proposes to enact the Modification, New Facility Addition,
    or Long-Term Change to Operations; here, that party is
    PG&E. The “Coordinating Party” is the party whose System
    may be subject to an Adverse Impact from the change; here,
    those parties are the Districts.
    A “Modification” is the “removal of, or physical change
    to, any element of either Party’s then currently existing
    System”; this includes changes to any “electric transmission
    facility.” A “Long-Term Change to Operations” is an action
    taken by a party that “materially alters, on a long-term basis,
    the configuration or other operational characteristics of its
    System.” One action that may qualify as a Long-Term
    1
    Following the practice of the parties, we capitalize terms that are
    defined in the Interconnection Agreements.
    8             TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    Change to Operations is “materially modifying a Remedial
    Action Scheme.” 2
    An “Adverse Impact” is an effect on the Coordinating
    Party’s “System” that either “materially degrades reliability”
    or “materially reduces” the ability of the Coordinating Party
    to “physically transfer power into, out of, or within” its
    System. A party’s “System” consists of all properties and
    assets “which are leased to, licensed to, owned (or jointly-
    owned) by, or controlled” by that party.
    If a Coordinating Party has a “reasonable belief” that a
    Primary Party did not provide the notice required by Section
    9.11.1(a) and proceeded with a Modification, New Facility
    Addition, or Long-Term Change to Operations that “may
    result or may have resulted in an Adverse on the System of
    the Coordinating Party,” then the Coordinating Party may
    demand that the Primary Party conduct a study pursuant to
    Section 9.11.1(b). Moreover, pursuant to Section 9.11.2,
    any party can request a joint study of any proposed
    Modification, New Facility Addition, or Long-Term Change
    to Operations of its System that “may reasonably be
    expected to result in an Adverse Impact.”
    C
    The California Department of Water Resources (“the
    Department”) entered into a contract with PG&E in 1982
    (the “State Water Contract”). Under the State Water
    Contract, PG&E provided the Department with
    interconnection services of the Department’s plants and
    facilities in PG&E’s service area and firm physical electric
    2
    No party contends that a “New Facility Addition” is at issue in this
    petition.
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                           9
    transmission service. In order to address the Department’s
    needs to transmit large amounts of electric power, the
    Department agreed to participate in a Remedial Action
    Scheme.
    A Remedial Action Scheme is an automatic protection
    system designed to detect abnormal or predetermined system
    conditions on a transmission grid and take corrective actions
    to maintain the reliability of the system. A Remedial Action
    Scheme typically consists of controllers or advanced
    microprocessor devices that monitor the system and that
    issue digital signals to initiate the operation of transmission
    devices. The Department’s participation in the Remedial
    Action Scheme entailed interrupting the Department’s
    pumping loads and generation. Its participation had the
    effect of increasing the transfer capability of the California-
    Oregon Intertie 3 to the benefit of all users.
    Under its own terms, the State Water Contract would
    expire on December 31, 2014. Before the termination, the
    Department notified PG&E that it would not continue
    participating in the Remedial Action Scheme upon the
    expiration of the State Water Contract. Though the
    Department would stop participating, the physical Remedial
    Action Scheme infrastructure would remain in place. PG&E
    would not modify or remove any of the physical assets of the
    Remedial Action Scheme system when the State Water
    Contract terminated. PG&E would only re-program the
    3
    The California-Oregon Intertie is the northern part of a three-line
    system that transfers electricity between the Pacific Northwest and
    central California. The California-Oregon Project is one of the three lines
    that is part of the California-Oregon Intertie.
    10         TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    controllers’ logic so that system conditions would no longer
    initiate actions that cut off the Department’s facilities.
    In spring 2014, the Districts approached Cal-ISO and
    PG&E to raise concerns regarding the potential impact to
    their Systems from losing The Department’s participation in
    the Remedial Action Scheme upon the termination of the
    State Water Contract. The subsequent discussions among
    the Districts and PG&E focused on two areas where the
    Districts were concerned that Adverse Impacts might occur:
    (1) in the service territories of each District (including the
    jointly-owned Westley substation and 230 kV transmission
    lines), and (2) at the California-Oregon Intertie, including
    the California-Oregon Project.
    PG&E determined there was not a reasonable likelihood
    of any Adverse Impact to the service territories of the
    Districts due to the termination of the Department’s
    participation in the Remedial Action Scheme. Based on the
    design of the Remedial Action Scheme, PG&E determined
    that the expiration of the State Water Contract would not
    impact the transmission lines that interconnected to the
    Districts’ Systems. In addition, while there could be
    minimal impacts to the grid south of the Districts’ Systems,
    PG&E determined that Cal-ISO would manage the grid
    through congestion management without affecting the
    Districts’ Systems. PG&E concluded that losing the
    Department’s participation in the Remedial Action Schemes
    was not likely to impact the reliability of either District’s
    service territory or reduce either District’s ability to
    physically transfer power into, out of, or within either its
    service territory.
    Nonetheless, the Districts maintained concerns about the
    potential impact on the California-Oregon Project and, in
    turn, their ability to transfer power into their Systems.
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC               11
    PG&E responded that the California-Oregon Project was not
    a part of the Districts’ Systems and therefore not covered by
    the Interconnection Agreements. PG&E also noted that the
    majority owner of the California-Oregon Project, the
    Transmission Agency of Northern California (of which the
    Districts are members), was studying impacts to the
    California-Oregon Project. PG&E felt it was unnecessary to
    perform additional studies with the Districts to assess the
    potential loss of The Department of Water Resources’s
    participation in the Remedial Action Scheme on the
    California-Oregon Project. PG&E refused to participate in
    the studies requested by the Districts.
    D
    In March 2015, the Districts filed a complaint against
    PG&E. The Complaint argued that: (1) PG&E breached the
    notice requirement of Section 9.11.1(a) by failing to provide
    reasonable and timely notice of its actions; (2) PG&E
    breached the study requirements of Sections 9.11.1(b) and
    9.11.2 by refusing to participate in the requested study; and
    (3) PG&E anticipatorily breached the mitigation and
    compensation requirements of Section 9.11.3 by refusing to
    mitigate any Adverse Impacts that the requested study might
    identify.
    In July 2015, FERC issued the Complaint Order denying
    the Complaint. Modesto Irrigation Dist. and Turlock
    Irrigation Dist. v. Pac. Gas & Elec. Co., 152 FERC ¶ 61,016
    (2015) (“Complaint Order”). FERC held that because the
    California-Oregon Project is not a facility within the
    Districts’ Systems, any reductions on transfer capability
    caused by reprogramming of the Remedial Action Scheme
    would not qualify as Adverse Impacts on the Districts’
    Systems. FERC also found that the record did not reflect
    any “likely” downstream Adverse Impacts on the Districts’
    12          TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    Systems from reprogramming of the Remedial Action
    Scheme.       FERC adopted findings of the Cal-ISO
    Transmission Planning Process studies and PG&E’s own
    analyses that reprogramming of the Remedial Action
    Scheme “was not likely” to impact the Districts’ Systems or
    their ability to transfer power into, out of, or within those
    Systems. In August 2015, the Districts requested rehearing
    of FERC’s Complaint Order. In March 2016, FERC denied
    rehearing and affirmed its ruling from the Complaint Order.
    Modesto Irrigation Dist. and Turlock Irrigation Dist. v. Pac.
    Gas & Elec. Co., 154 FERC ¶ 61,215 (2016) (the “Rehearing
    Order”). The Districts timely petitioned for review of
    FERC’s two orders.
    II
    We have jurisdiction over this petition pursuant to
    16 U.S.C. § 825l. We review FERC’s orders determine
    whether its action was “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of
    discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.”
    5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A); see also Fall River Rural Elec. Coop.,
    Inc. v. FERC, 
    543 F.3d 519
    , 525 (9th Cir. 2008). “A court
    is not to ask whether a regulatory decision is the best one
    possible or even whether it is better than the alternatives.”
    FERC v. Elec. Power Supply Ass’n, 
    136 S. Ct. 760
    , 782
    (2016). Rather, the court must uphold a decision if the
    agency has “examined the relevant considerations and
    articulated a satisfactory explanation for its action, including
    a rational connection between the facts found and the choice
    made.” 
    Id. (alteration brackets
    omitted) (quoting Motor
    Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of United States, Inc. v. State Farm Mut.
    Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983)). Our review “is
    limited to . . . the administrative record,” Envtl. Coal. of Ojai
    v. Brown, 
    72 F.3d 1411
    , 1414 (9th Cir. 1995), and to those
    “grounds upon which . . . the record discloses that [the
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC               13
    agency’s] action was based.”       SEC v. Chenery Corp.,
    
    318 U.S. 80
    , 87 (1943).
    We generally review FERC’s interpretations of contracts
    de novo, but we defer to FERC’s interpretation when it relies
    on FERC’s technical expertise. See Pac. Gas & Elec. Co. v.
    FERC, 
    746 F.2d 1383
    , 1387 (9th Cir. 1984) (holding that
    FERC’s interpretation was entitled to deference because it
    was “clearly based upon the agency’s expertise in electricity
    transmission regulation”); cf. Texas Gas Transmission Corp.
    v. Shell Oil Co., 
    363 U.S. 263
    , 268–70 (1960) (affirming the
    de novo standard of review applied by the appellate court to
    an agency’s interpretation of a non-technical contract
    clause); Nicor Expl. Co. v. FERC, 
    50 F.3d 1341
    , 1347 (5th
    Cir. 1995) (in natural gas context, noting that “we generally
    do not defer to the Commission’s interpretation of gas
    supply contracts unless the Commission relied on its factual
    or technical expertise in reaching its conclusions.”).
    III
    FERC’s orders were based on its interpretation of the
    term “Adverse Impact” in the Interconnection Agreements.
    FERC concluded that PG&E had not breached its obligations
    under the study requirements, because the California-
    Oregon Project was not part of the Districts’ Systems and
    thus any transmission constraints on the Project would not
    be Adverse Impacts. This conclusion depended on FERC’s
    overly narrow interpretation of an Adverse Impact., and we
    thus hold that FERC’s orders were arbitrary and capricious.
    A
    Section 4.2 of the Interconnection Agreements defines
    an Adverse Impact as:
    14         TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    An effect on a Coordinating Party’s System
    resulting from a Modification, New Facility
    Addition, or Long-Term Change to
    Operations to the Primary Party’s System
    that: (1) materially degrades reliability of the
    Coordinating        Party’s     System        or
    (2) materially reduces the ability of the
    Coordinating Party’s System to physically
    transfer power into, out of, or within said
    System as compared to the transmission
    system and generation facilities that are
    agreed by the Parties to be in service before
    implementation        of     the      proposed
    Modification, New Facility Addition, or
    Long-Term Change to Operations . . . .
    FERC never offers an explicit interpretation of this
    provision. However, we can discern FERC’s interpretation
    from the conclusions in its orders and from its assertions at
    oral argument. As FERC interprets the provision, an
    Adverse Impact must be a direct, physical effect on a line or
    component inside a District’s System. It cannot be a
    physical effect on a line or component outside of a District’s
    System that makes it more difficult for a District to transfer
    power into its System. For example, a Long-Term Change
    to Operations that causes constraints on the California-
    Oregon Project and reduces the Districts’ ability to transfer
    power over from the Pacific Northwest into their Systems
    would not be an Adverse Impact. This implicit interpretation
    can be found in FERC’s Rehearing Order, where it states that
    it “found it dispositive that the California-Oregon
    Transmission Project was not part of the Districts’ Systems.”
    Rehearing Order at P 26. FERC concluded that the Districts
    had not shown that PG&E had breached the Interconnection
    Agreements “because the Districts failed to establish that an
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                        15
    Adverse Impact to their Systems might result in the first
    instance.” Rehearing Order at P 27.
    This interpretation is grounded in a distinction between
    “reliability impacts” and reductions in import capability. By
    “reliability impacts,” FERC seems to mean the degradation
    of physical components of the Districts’ own Systems. By
    reductions in import capability (sometimes referred to as
    “operational” impacts), FERC seems to mean transmission
    constraints on the broader power grid that make it difficult
    for the Districts to access the power from where they want,
    when they want, within their contractual rights. 4 For
    example, FERC’s Rehearing Order states:
    Moreover, while there may be capacity
    reductions on the California-Oregon
    Transmission     Project,   the   Districts’
    allocation of transmission capacity on that
    facility is governed by the Districts’
    membership in TANC and TANC’s rights
    and obligations under the Operation
    Agreement. Those rights are not considered
    4
    As FERC notes, this distinction has appeared in prior orders. See
    Transmission Agency of N. Cal. v. Pac. Gas & Elec. Co., 148 FERC
    ¶ 61,150, 61,782 (2014) (distinguishing system reliability concerns from
    “concerns regarding a potential reduction in import capability that could
    follow the discontinuation of the . . . remedial action schemes”);
    Transmission Agency of N. Cal. v. Pac. Gas & Elec. Co., 150 FERC
    ¶ 61,133, 61,948 (2015) (“While operational flexibility is related to
    reliability in a general sense, the concepts are not interchangeable. We
    reemphasize that there is a difference between impacts to reliability and
    impacts to operational flexibility stemming from potential reductions in
    import capability.” (footnotes omitted)).
    16           TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    part of the Districts’ Systems as defined in the
    Interconnection Agreements.
    Rehearing Order at P 27. FERC later stated that it
    “recognize[s] the significance of import capability over [the
    California-Oregon Transmission Project] and the associated
    benefits of accessing economy capacity and energy and
    coordinating actions; however, these operational aspects are
    separate from reliability impacts.” Rehearing Order at P 34.
    Under FERC’s interpretation, only reliability impacts can
    qualify as Adverse Impacts.
    FERC’s orders thus distinguished between impacts to the
    internal reliability of the Districts’ Systems and impacts to
    the Districts’ ability to import power into their Systems.
    Under FERC’s interpretation, only the former can qualify as
    Adverse Impacts.
    B
    As noted above, we may defer to FERC’s interpretation
    of a contract when that interpretation reflects the agency’s
    expertise. Pac. Gas & Elec. 
    Co., 746 F.2d at 1387
    . Here,
    FERC’s specialized knowledge of interconnected electrical
    systems may very well have informed its understanding of
    what qualifies as an “Adverse Impact” and, specifically, as a
    “reliability impact.” But FERC forfeited any deference it
    might otherwise have been owed by failing to demonstrate
    how its interpretations reflect its expertise in this area, or are
    typical of how those terms are used in the industry—or,
    indeed, by failing to even explain clearly how it interprets
    the terms at all. 5 There in fact is a statutory definition of the
    5
    Because, as we explain below, FERC’s apparent understanding of
    “reliability impacts” necessarily informs the understanding of the
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                        17
    term “reliable operation,” Federal Power Act, 16 U.S.C.
    § 824o, that arguably supports FERC’s understanding of
    “reliability impacts,” but it was not mentioned in FERC’s
    orders or in its briefs. See Orr v. Plumb, 
    884 F.3d 923
    , 932
    (9th Cir. 2018) (“The usual rule is that arguments raised for
    the first time on appeal or omitted from the opening brief are
    deemed forfeited.”). Because FERC’s interpretations are
    therefore not “clearly based upon the agency’s expertise in
    electricity transmission regulation,” our review is de novo.
    See Pac. Gas & Elec. 
    Co., 746 F.2d at 1387
    .
    Interpreting the contract de novo, we conclude that the
    contract’s use of the term Adverse Impact can include
    reductions in import capability over the California-Oregon
    Project.
    1
    As relevant here, Section 4.2 defines an Adverse Impact
    as an effect on a District’s System from a Long-Term
    Change to Operations that “(1) materially degrades
    reliability of the [District’s] System or (2) materially reduces
    the ability of the [District’s] System to physically transfer
    power into, out of, or within said System . . .” (emphasis
    added). The disjunctive “or” makes clear that reliability
    degradation is only one type of Adverse Impact. A reduction
    in the ability to transfer power into or out of a District’s
    System is a second, and distinct, type of Adverse Impact.
    FERC and PG&E urge us to read the second prong as
    essentially a repetition of the first: that is, as only concerning
    degradation of the physical components of a District’s
    “ability to physically transfer” aspect of the definition of “Adverse
    Impact,” the ambiguity in FERC’s order infects its interpretation of the
    entire definition.
    18         TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    System. However, the use of “or” makes clear that if
    reliability impacts involve degradation of physical
    components internal to the Districts’ Systems (as FERC
    asserts), then reductions in transfer capability must involve
    something different. We conclude that the plain meaning of
    Section 4.2 includes impacts outside of the Districts’
    Systems that reduce their ability to transfer power over the
    California-Oregon Project and into their Systems. These
    “operational” effects, although they do not directly impact
    the physical components of the Districts’ Systems, are
    effects on those Systems under Section 4.2, and they can
    constitute Adverse Impacts.
    2
    The interaction between Section 4.2 and Appendix B of
    the Interconnection Agreements bolsters this conclusion.
    Section 4.2 of Modesto’s Interconnection Agreement
    provides that “the Parties agree that the projects listed in
    Appendix B shall not result in an Adverse Impact on either
    Party’s System.” Section 4.2 of Turlock’s Interconnection
    Agreement provides that certain commitments made
    elsewhere “act to mitigate any Adverse Impacts caused by
    the projects listed in Appendix B,” and thus that “Adverse
    Impacts caused by projects under construction and listed in
    Appendix B will not need to be further mitigated.” The clear
    implication of these provisions is that the projects listed in
    Appendix B are the kinds of projects that otherwise could
    cause Adverse Impacts.
    Significantly, Appendix B includes the Panoche Energy
    Center (“Panoche”). The Districts submitted an affidavit
    from Larry Gilbertson, Assistant General Manager for the
    Turlock Irrigation District, who explained that the
    interconnection of Panoche to PG&E’s System would not
    cause any overloads on the Districts’ facilities within their
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                19
    service areas. Gilbertson Aff. at ¶¶ 30–31. However, the
    interconnection of Panoche could have exacerbated loading
    on PG&E’s System, which would in turn reduce the
    Districts’ ability to transfer power into or out of their
    Systems. 
    Id. PG&E agreed
    to preempt such Adverse
    Impacts by undertaking a project to rebuild one of its lines
    to prevent constraints on power transfer. 
    Id. Thus, the
    parties included Panoche in Appendix B
    because it was the kind of project that could have caused an
    Adverse Impact, but which the parties agreed to exempt from
    notice and study requirements of the Interconnection
    Agreement. That the parties believed that Panoche could
    cause an Adverse Impact even though it would have no
    physical effect on components of the Districts’ Systems
    suggests that the definition of an Adverse Impact
    encompasses not merely physical effects within the
    Districts’ Systems, but also effects outside the Districts’
    Systems that constrain their ability to transfer power into or
    out of their Systems.
    3
    Furthermore, FERC’s definition of an Adverse Impact
    would render meaningless another provision of the
    Interconnection Agreements. One of the events that can
    trigger an Adverse Impact is a “Long-Term Change to
    Operations.” The Interconnection Agreements provide a
    non-exhaustive list of “examples of actions and events that
    qualify as a Long-Term Change to Operations,” the first of
    which is “disarming or materially modifying a Remedial
    Action Scheme.” Turlock Interconnection Agreement,
    § 4.24; see also Modesto Interconnection Agreement,
    § 4.23. As FERC acknowledged in its Rehearing Order, the
    purpose of the Remedial Action Scheme is to support daily
    operating limits of north-to-south imports through the
    20          TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    California-Oregon Intertie, which includes the California-
    Oregon Project and two other PG&E lines. Rehearing Order
    at P 2. All of these lines are external to the Districts’
    Systems.
    Under FERC’s interpretation of Adverse Impact,
    overloads on the California-Oregon Project could never
    qualify as Adverse Impacts, even if they limited the ability
    of the districts to transfer power into or out of their Systems.
    Because the purpose of the Remedial Action Scheme is only
    to protect against such overloads, FERC’s interpretation
    would render meaningless the inclusion of “modifying a
    Remedial Action Scheme” in the definition of Long-Term
    Change to Operations. We will not interpret a contract so as
    to render one of its provisions meaningless. See, e.g.,
    Brinderson-Newberg Joint Venture v. Pac. Erectors, Inc.,
    
    971 F.2d 272
    , 278–79 (9th Cir. 1992) (rejecting
    interpretation of contract that “violates a fundamental rule of
    contract interpretation because it would render other
    portions of the contract meaningless” (citing Cal. Civ. Code
    § 1641)).
    4
    The plain text of Section 4.2, in conjunction with other
    provisions of the Interconnection Agreements, make clear
    that FERC’s interpretation of “Adverse Impact” is too
    narrow. “Reliability” impacts may be limited to effects on
    the physical functioning of components internal to the
    Districts’ Systems, but reliability impacts are only one side
    of the Adverse Impact coin. Impacts to the California-
    Oregon Project that make it more difficult for the Districts
    to transfer power into their Systems from their resources in
    the Pacific Northwest can also constitute Adverse Impacts.
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                   21
    C
    Adverse Impacts can include changes that risk
    overloading the California-Oregon Project and limiting the
    Districts’ ability to transfer power into, out of, or within their
    Systems. FERC’s orders denying the complaint and denying
    rehearing relied on a contrary interpretation. See Rehearing
    Order at P 26 (holding that it is “dispositive that the
    California-Oregon Transmission Project was not part of the
    Districts’ Systems”). Because these orders misinterpreted
    the Interconnection Agreements that FERC was construing,
    they were arbitrary and capricious.
    IV
    In making factual findings, FERC applied the wrong
    standard for initiating a study under the Interconnection
    Agreements. Aside from their misinterpretation of Adverse
    Impact, the orders were thus arbitrary and capricious for this
    additional reason.
    A
    In a series of provisions, the Interconnection Agreements
    set low thresholds for requiring PG&E to provide notice of
    a study or for the Districts to demand a study in the absence
    of such notice. Section 9.11.1(a) provides that, if PG&E
    intends to make a Long-Term Change to Operations “that
    may reasonably result in an Adverse Impact” to a District’s
    System, it must provide that District with written notice.
    Section 9.11.1(b) provides that if PG&E does not provide
    such notice, a District may demand a study if it has a
    “reasonable belief” that the Long-Term Change to
    Operations “may result or may have resulted in an Adverse
    Impact” on its System. Finally, Section 9.11.2 provides that,
    if requested by a District, PG&E must participate in a joint
    22          TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    study of any proposed changes “that may reasonably be
    expected to result in an Adverse Impact.” This joint study
    requirement is meant to verify a party’s belief that an
    Adverse Impact may occur as a result of a change. Section
    9.11.2 further explains that a joint study will “determine the
    potential for, and magnitude of, such Adverse Impact and
    identify feasible avoidance or mitigation measures for the
    impact.” Collectively, these provisions set low thresholds
    for the showing a District must make to demand a study or
    joint study. They plainly do not require a party requesting a
    study to show that an Adverse Impact is likely before the
    study has been conducted.
    At certain points in its orders, FERC properly recited or
    paraphrased the language from the Interconnection
    Agreements setting out the low standard for demanding a
    study. See Complaint Order at PP 12, 25; Rehearing Order
    at n.7, PP 26, 36. However, when it made factual findings,
    FERC held the Districts to a higher standard. In finding that
    PG&E’s actions did not constitute a breach of Section 9.11,
    FERC held that “while it is possible that transmission
    constraints on facilities outside the Districts’ Systems could
    present reliability concerns and require mitigation measures
    . . . the record does not demonstrate that changes to the
    remedial action scheme discussed herein will have such a
    result.” Rehearing Order at P 28 (emphasis added). FERC
    also stated that “‘the record reflects no supporting evidence
    regarding the likely impact on [the Districts’] Systems’ due
    to the remedial action scheme reprogramming.” Rehearing
    Order at P 29 (emphasis added). FERC thus appears to have
    required the Districts to meet a higher threshold than that
    provided by the Interconnection Agreements (and recited
    earlier in its orders). Rather than requiring the Districts to
    show that they have a reasonable belief that ending the
    Remedial Action Scheme “may result” or “may reasonably
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                 23
    be expected to result in an Adverse Impact,” FERC appeared
    to require that the Districts establish conclusively that an
    Adverse Impact was likely without the benefit of a study
    being conducted.
    The Administrative Procedure Act requires that agencies
    engaged in “reasoned decisionmaking.” State 
    Farm, 463 U.S. at 52
    . The Supreme Court has held that it is a breach of
    the requirement of reasoned decisionmaking to “apply[] . . .
    a standard of proof which is in fact different from the . . .
    standard formally announced.” Allentown Mack Sales &
    Serv., Inc. v. NLRB, 
    522 U.S. 359
    , 374 (1998). By applying
    a different standard of proof than the one provided in the
    Interconnection Agreements and enunciated earlier in its
    orders, FERC breached the requirement of reasoned
    decisionmaking. Its orders were arbitrary and capricious.
    B
    FERC’s arguments to the contrary are not persuasive.
    FERC first argues that we should defer to its interpretation
    of what is needed to show that a change “may result” in an
    Adverse Impact, because it applied its expertise in electricity
    regulation in determining the meaning of that phrase.
    However, as with its interpretation of an Adverse Impact,
    FERC did not explicitly rely on any technical expertise in
    interpreting the “may result” language. In the absence of
    evidence that FERC’s interpretation was “clearly based” on
    its technical expertise, we do not defer to that interpretation.
    See Pac. Gas & Elec. 
    Co., 746 F.2d at 1387
    .
    FERC then argues that while it did not recite the “may
    result” language throughout its orders, it did not purport to
    alter that evidentiary requirement. We cannot conclude,
    however, that FERC merely overstated its factual findings.
    We can only judge FERC’s orders on the basis of the
    24          TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    administrative record before us, 
    Chenery, 318 U.S. at 87
    , and
    that record does not show FERC assessing whether the
    Districts met the lower “may result” threshold.
    Moreover, were we to take FERC at its word and conduct
    substantial-evidence review under the “may result” standard,
    we would still conclude that FERC’s orders are arbitrary and
    capricious. Given the low threshold for demanding a study,
    the undisputed record indicates that Districts met their
    burden. The Districts established that they had a reasonable
    belief that PG&E’s reprogramming of the Remedial Action
    Scheme would result in transmission constraints on the
    California-Oregon Project. Turlock affiant Gilbertson stated
    that if the reprogramming went unmitigated, it would “likely
    cause significant reductions in” transmission capacity and
    scheduling capacity in the California-Oregon Project.
    Gilbertson Aff. at ¶ 75. Modesto affiant Gregory Salyer
    stated that reprogramming would “provide a high likelihood
    of significant, decreased transfer capability” over the
    California-Oregon Project. Salyer Aff. at ¶ 26. In an
    affidavit submitted to FERC, PG&E even conceded that
    reprogramming the Remedial Action Scheme could cause
    constraints on the California-Oregon Project. Affiant
    Anupama Pandey stated that “the loss of [The Department
    of Water Resources’s] participation in [the Remedial Action
    Scheme] will have a limited impact on the” California-
    Oregon Project, including a “curtailment” of the California-
    Oregon Project in certain instances. Pandey Aff. at ¶ 33.
    FERC’s own orders establish that the Districts met the
    low threshold for requesting a study. Immediately before
    concluding that there was no evidence that changes to the
    Remedial Action Scheme “will” or are “likely” to have an
    Adverse Impact, FERC stated that “it is possible that
    transmission constraints on facilities outside of the Districts’
    TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC                      25
    Systems could present reliability concerns and require
    mitigation measures.” Rehearing Order at P 28. This
    finding of a “possible” Adverse Impact alone would likely
    satisfy the low threshold for requesting a study under either
    Section 9.11.1(b) or Section 9.11.2. FERC also observed
    that “there may be capacity reductions on the California-
    Oregon Transmission Project” as a result of Remedial
    Action Scheme reprogramming, before dismissing such
    effects as outside the scope of an Adverse Impact. 6
    Rehearing Order at P 27. This finding, too, would likely
    satisfy the low threshold for requesting a study.
    C
    FERC applied the wrong standard for initiating a study
    under the Interconnection Agreements. Its orders rested on
    a conclusion that the Districts had not met a higher standard
    for initiating a study. Those orders were arbitrary and
    capricious.
    V
    FERC misinterpreted the definition of Adverse Impact,
    and thus improperly disposed of the Districts’ complaint
    without determining whether changes to the Remedial
    Action Scheme may result in reductions in transmission
    capacity over the California-Oregon Project. FERC also
    applied the wrong standard for initiating a study when
    making its factual findings. Thus, we grant the petition and
    remand to FERC for further proceedings. On remand, FERC
    should apply the broader definition of Adverse Impact that
    includes reductions in import capability over the California-
    6
    As 
    discussed supra
    section III.B, this conclusion was based on a
    misinterpretation of the definition of Adverse Impact.
    26        TURLOCK IRRIGATION DIST. V. FERC
    Oregon Project and the proper standard for requesting a
    study in determining whether PG&E breached the
    Interconnection Agreements.
    PETITION GRANTED.