Atm Magfoor Rahman Sarkar v. Merrick Garland ( 2022 )


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  •                FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    ATM MAGFOOR RAHMAN SARKAR;                No. 17-72212
    HASNA HENA RAHMAN; SAIQA
    RAHMAN; SAHRIAR RAHMAN,                   Agency Nos.
    Petitioners,          A070-952-103
    A070-952-104
    v.                        A070-952-105
    A070-952-107
    MERRICK B. GARLAND, Attorney
    General,
    Respondent.           OPINION
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Board of Immigration Appeals
    Argued and Submitted March 10, 2022
    Pasadena, California
    Filed July 1, 2022
    Before: Sandra S. Ikuta, Kenneth K. Lee, and
    Danielle J. Forrest, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Forrest
    2                     SARKAR V. GARLAND
    SUMMARY *
    Immigration
    The panel denied the parties’ motion for judicial
    administrative closure of the case and denied Atm Magfoor
    Rahman Sarkar, his wife, and their children’s petition for
    review of the Board of Immigration Appeals’ denial of their
    third motion to reopen.
    Although this case had been pending for nearly five
    years, shortly before oral argument both Sarkar and the
    Government moved to administratively close the case
    because the Government had deemed Sarkar a low
    enforcement priority. The panel denied the parties’ motion,
    concluding that the panel’s inherent authority to manage its
    docket, including by granting administrative closures, would
    not be served by keeping this case on the panel’s docket
    indefinitely. The panel wrote that the Government has
    numerous means to avoid enforcement against Sarkar if that
    is what it wants, and it declined to add judicial administrative
    closure to the list of the Government’s tools.
    Sarkar did not dispute that his third motion to reopen was
    untimely and numerically barred. Instead, Sarkar argued
    that new evidence showing the growing influence of Jihadist
    extremists in Bangladesh increased his risk of being targeted
    on account of his political beliefs and membership in the
    Jatiya party. The panel concluded that the BIA did not abuse
    its discretion in concluding that Sarkar’s new evidence was
    not material to Sarkar and was insufficient to demonstrate a
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                        3
    prima facie claim for asylum, withholding of removal, and
    Convention Against Torture relief.
    The panel explained that none of the evidence that Sarkar
    produced related to membership in the Jatiya party or
    members of that party who speak up against Islamic
    extremism. Although Sarkar contended that the changes in
    marriage laws, the removal of certain poems and stories from
    educational textbooks, and a terrorist attack that killed
    mostly foreigners showed a change in Bangladesh’s
    acceptance of radical Islam, he failed to show that those
    conditions more severely impacted him and his family than
    the population at large.
    The panel agreed with the BIA that Sarkar’s new
    evidence did not demonstrate an individualized risk of
    persecution or that he would be subject to a pattern or
    practice of persecution based on his political affiliation. The
    panel explained that Sarkar had not submitted evidence of
    direct and specific facts establishing that he had a reasonable
    fear of persecution, and his affidavit and articles were too
    speculative to be credited as a basis for his fear of future
    persecution. The panel concluded that Sarkar’s evidence
    also failed to establish a nexus between a reasonable fear of
    future persecution and his proposed protected grounds.
    Rather, the evidence pointed to generalized crime and
    societal shifts that did not target Sarkar or those in his
    proposed social groups.
    The panel agreed with the BIA that Sarkar’s evidence
    also did not establish that he is now more likely than not to
    face torture if returned to Bangladesh.
    4                     SARKAR V. GARLAND
    COUNSEL
    Ruben N. Sarkisian (argued), Glendale, California, for
    Petitioners.
    Raya Jarawan (argued) and Colette J. Winston, Trial
    Attorneys; Jeffery R. Leist, Senior Litigation Counsel;
    Anthony C. Payne, Assistant Director; Brian M. Boynton,
    Acting Assistant Attorney General; Office of Immigration
    Litigation, Civil Division, United States Department of
    Justice, Washington, D.C.; for Respondent.
    OPINION
    FORREST, Circuit Judge:
    Atm Magfoor Rahman Sarkar, his wife, and their two
    children petition for review of the Board of Immigration
    Appeals’s (BIA) order denying their third motion to reopen
    removal proceedings. 1 Although this case has been pending
    for nearly five years, shortly before oral argument both
    Sarkar and the Government moved to administratively close
    this case because the Government has deemed Sarkar a low
    enforcement priority. On the merits, it is undisputed that
    Sarkar’s third motion to reopen is untimely and numerically
    barred. Nonetheless, he argues that he is entitled to relief
    because he has presented new and material country-
    conditions evidence that establishes his prima facie
    eligibility for asylum, withholding of removal, and relief
    under the Convention Against Torture (CAT). We have
    jurisdiction under 
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    , and we deny the parties’
    1
    Rahman Sarkar is the lead Petitioner; his wife and children seek
    derivative relief. We refer only to the lead Petitioner for simplicity.
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                      5
    motions for administrative closure as well as Sarkar’s
    petition for review.
    I. BACKGROUND
    Sarkar, a native and citizen of Bangladesh, entered the
    United States as a nonimmigrant visitor in 1991. After he
    overstayed his visitor authorization, the Government issued
    a Notice to Appear charging him as deportable under
    
    8 U.S.C. § 1231
    (a)(1)(B). Sarkar admitted the allegations
    against him and conceded removability and applied for
    political asylum based on his participation in the Jatiya
    Party.
    After failing to appear and being ordered removed in
    absentia in 1997, the immigration court granted a motion to
    reopen and held a hearing on Sarkar’s claims. In 1998, an
    Immigration Judge (IJ) denied his application for asylum and
    ordered him removed to Bangladesh. The IJ found Sarkar’s
    political persecution claims “unbelievable” and “at the
    minimum exaggerated if not fabricated.” The IJ also noted
    that the evidence contradicted Sarkar’s claims. The BIA
    affirmed the IJ’s decision without opinion. Sarkar did not
    appeal.
    About six months later, Sarkar moved to reopen with the
    BIA citing changed country conditions. The BIA denied the
    motion because it was untimely and failed to show any
    material change in the conditions in Bangladesh. We denied
    Sarkar’s petition for review concluding that the BIA did not
    abuse its discretion. See Sarkar v. Gonzales, 114 F. App’x
    959 (9th Cir. 2004) (unpublished). Several years later,
    Sarkar filed a second motion to reopen alleging ineffective
    assistance of counsel. The BIA denied this second motion to
    reopen, and we again denied Sarkar’s petition for review.
    See Sarkar v. Holder, 444 F. App’x 207 (9th Cir. 2011)
    6                   SARKAR V. GARLAND
    (unpublished). We held that the BIA did not abuse its
    discretion because Sarkar presented insufficient evidence to
    show that he was prejudiced by his former counsel’s actions.
    
    Id. at 208
    .
    In 2017, Sarkar filed a third motion to reopen, which is
    the subject of this petition. In this motion, he argued that
    changed circumstances in Bangladesh “put him directly at
    risk of serious injury or death due to his opposition to Islamic
    Extremists, as well as the Bangladeshi political parties
    catering to the religious extremists.” Sarkar attached four
    exhibits to his motion. The first exhibit is his own
    declaration, in which he stated that “recent developments in
    my country of Bangladesh have escalated the terrible
    conditions to a new level, creating changed conditions which
    place me in fear of returning to my country.”
    Sarkar described his upbringing and the shift in
    Bangladeshi politics, which “propelled” him to join the
    Jatiya Party and go into hiding for several years. He
    contended that “[w]hile Islamic extremists have always
    existed in Bangladesh, . . . [he] ha[s] begun to witness from
    afar, slow but steady capitulations by the government to
    extremists.” He pointed to “seemingly small,” but
    dangerous, government actions, such as “weakening our
    landmark legislation against underage marriage.” While in
    the United States, Sarkar declares that he has “become
    known in the Bangladeshi expatriate community as a fierce
    opponent of religious extremism,” evidenced by his “heated
    arguments” at his local mosque. Thus, he concludes that he
    remains safe only because he resides in the United States,
    and he fears not having police protection if returned to
    Bangladesh.
    The second exhibit is an online article titled “Bangladesh
    Weakens Longstanding Law Against Underage Marriage.”
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                        7
    This article highlights the government’s change to a
    “landmark law against underage marriage,” allowing “girls
    under the age of 18 to marry in some circumstances.”
    According to this article, the change was supported by
    powerful Islamist organizations.
    The third exhibit is also an online article acknowledging
    “the removal of 17 poems and stories” in educational
    textbooks. This removal—“barely noticeable to the general
    public”—reportedly stemmed from demands made by a
    group of Islamic religious scholars. The article contends that
    the removal “goes far beyond textbooks” and reflects a
    larger change in the government’s acquiescence to extreme
    Islamic groups.
    The final exhibit, titled “The Rise of Islamic Extremism
    in Bangladesh,” points to violent attacks on those who
    “rais[e] their voices against extremist ideology.” It
    highlights an “attack on innocent civilians in an upscale
    bakery” killing 22 people, “mainly foreigners.” This attack
    allegedly stemmed from a shift in Bangladesh politics.
    Although there are indications that newer attacks were
    carried out by ISIS, the government “refuses to accept that
    ISIS has infiltrated the country, instead blaming local
    groups.”
    The BIA denied Sarkar’s third motion to reopen as “both
    untimely and number-barred.” The BIA held that the
    evidence submitted did not establish an exception to the time
    and numerical limitations for motions to reopen. It also noted
    that the “limited background evidence of Islamist militant
    violence in Bangladesh, which has been directed at various
    groups of individuals, including foreigners, does not prima
    facie demonstrate that [Sarkar’s family] face[s] an
    individualized risk of persecution or that they would be
    subject to a pattern or practice of persecution.” Rather, the
    8                   SARKAR V. GARLAND
    BIA concluded that Sarkar and his family face the same risks
    as the general population. As to the CAT claim, the BIA
    found that Sarkar’s changed-circumstances evidence did not
    demonstrate that it was more likely than not that he would
    face torture with the consent or acquiescence of the
    Bangladesh government.
    Sarkar timely appealed and filed a motion for a stay of
    removal. Soon after, he filed a supplemental motion to stay
    removal, which the Government opposed. We granted
    Sarkar’s supplemental motion for a stay pending this appeal.
    The case was still pending almost four years later, and we
    directed the parties “to file a request for appropriate relief or
    notify the court that they wish to proceed to decision.” The
    parties agreed to proceed, and the Government noted that
    this “case does not merit alternative resolution.” But shortly
    before oral argument, both the Government and Sarkar filed
    unopposed motions to administratively close this case. The
    Government gave as its reasons for indefinitely postponing
    a decision on Sarkar’s petition that Sarkar and his family
    “are not an immigration enforcement priority” and
    “administrative closure would not adversely affect the
    interests of the parties.” The Government further explained
    at oral argument that it waited so long to pursue this relief
    because the United States Immigration and Customs
    Enforcement (ICE) had only recently made it aware that
    Sarkar is not an enforcement priority. Sarkar relied on the
    Government’s reasons in his motion for administrative
    closure.
    II. DISCUSSION
    A. Administrative Closure
    Federal courts have inherent power “to control the
    disposition of the causes on [their] docket[s] with economy
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                         9
    of time and effort for [themselves], for counsel, and for
    litigants.” Landis v. N. Am. Co., 
    299 U.S. 248
    , 254 (1936).
    Courts have exercised this authority in several ways, such as
    staying proceedings and dismissing a case for failure to
    prosecute. See Dietz v. Bouldin, 
    579 U.S. 40
    , 47 (2016)
    (collecting cases). When considering a request to stay an
    appeal, we have explained that “competing interests” must
    be weighed. CMAX, Inc. v. Hall, 
    300 F.2d 265
    , 268 (9th Cir.
    1962). Those interests include: “the possible damage which
    may result from the granting of a stay, the hardship or
    inequity which a party may suffer in being required to go
    forward, and the orderly course of justice measured in terms
    of the simplifying or complicating of issues, proof, and
    questions of law which could be expected to result from a
    stay.” 
    Id.
    Courts also have used their inherent power to manage
    their docket to administratively close cases, which is “the
    practical equivalent of a stay.” Quinn v. CGR, 
    828 F.2d 1463
    , 1465 n.2 (10th Cir. 1987); see also Ali v. Quarterman,
    
    607 F.3d 1046
    , 1049 (5th Cir. 2010). Administrative closure
    allows a court to “shelve pending, but dormant, cases”
    without a final adjudication. Lehman v. Revolution Portfolio
    LLC, 
    166 F.3d 389
    , 392 (1st Cir. 1999). Although an
    administratively closed case is not counted as active, it “still
    exists on the docket” and “may be reopened upon request of
    the parties or on the court’s own motion.” Mire v. Full
    Spectrum Lending Inc., 
    389 F.3d 163
    , 167 (5th Cir. 2004).
    In layman’s terms, the case is asleep but not dead.
    Because the ability to administratively close a case arises
    from the court’s inherent authority, there is no statute or rule
    defining when administrative closure is appropriate; it is a
    matter of discretion. See Lockyer v. Mirant Corp., 
    398 F.3d 1098
    , 1109 (9th Cir. 2005) (recognizing a court’s
    10                  SARKAR V. GARLAND
    “discretionary power” to control its docket under Landis).
    We have used the administrative-closure procedure only in
    limited situations. One example is when we are seeking
    action in the case from another court, such as when we
    (1) order a limited remand to the district court, see Cox v.
    Allin Corp. Plan, 848 F. App’x 343, 344 (9th Cir. 2021)
    (unpublished); (2) transfer a petition for review to a district
    court to determine a disputed citizenship claim, see
    Anderson v. Holder, 
    673 F.3d 1089
    , 1093 (9th Cir. 2012); or
    (3) certify a question to a state court, see Himes v. Somatics,
    LLC, 
    29 F.4th 1125
    , 1127–28 (9th Cir. 2022). Our sister
    circuits have likewise granted administrative closure when
    awaiting action from another forum related to the subject
    case. See, e.g., WRS, Inc. v. Plaza Entm’t, Inc, 
    402 F.3d 424
    ,
    426 (3d Cir. 2005) (administrative closure due to initiation
    of bankruptcy proceedings); Quinn, 
    828 F.2d at 1465
    (administrative closure due to pending arbitration). We have
    also administratively closed a case when we are awaiting a
    decision in a different case pending in our court or another
    court that will resolve a key issue in the subject case. See,
    e.g., Consumer Fin. Prot. Bureau v. CashCall, Inc., No. 18-
    55407, 
    2019 WL 5390028
    , at *1 (9th Cir. Oct. 21, 2019)
    (unpublished) (awaiting a decision from the Supreme
    Court).
    In these situations, halting the proceedings serves the
    efficient resolution of the subject case because we are
    delaying our decisionmaking to allow action by a different
    panel or a different forum that will impact the nature of the
    case pending before us or the basis for our decision.
    Harkening back to the competing interests at issue in
    requests for stay, halting the proceedings in these
    circumstances is efficient because action in the external
    proceedings may simplify the “issues, proof, and questions
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                       11
    of law” to be decided in the subject case. CMAX, Inc.,
    
    300 F.2d at 268
    .
    Nothing like those circumstances is present here. The
    only reason the parties seek to shelve this case is because the
    Government has determined that Sarkar is “not an
    immigration enforcement priority.” The Government
    suggests that this case can linger without a decision until
    such time as the Department of Homeland Security decides
    “to proceed with removal.” There is no obstacle to our
    proceeding forward and resolving Sarkar’s case, as the
    Government conceded at oral argument, nor is it clear that
    any efficiency is to be gained by delay.
    We reject the parties’ requests. They have not cited to,
    and we are unaware of, any authority allowing us to
    administratively close a case because the parties do not wish
    to have the court decide their case now but may want it to be
    decided at some later time. As described, the examples of
    where we have granted administrative closure involve
    external factors that impact the decision that we must make.
    It makes sense as a matter of efficiency for a court to delay
    its decision when awaiting some action outside its or the
    parties’ control that will impact the decision to be made.
    But that is not what is happening here. The parties are
    asking us not to decide Sarkar’s petition for review, which
    has been pending for nearly five years, as a matter of their
    preference. None of the “competing interests” relevant to
    staying an appeal counsel in favor of granting their request.
    
    Id.
     If this case were administratively stayed the court would
    lose the effort that it expended in preparing this case for
    hearing and it would needlessly retain on its docket a case
    that could be resolved. The parties assert that their interests
    are not prejudiced by an indefinite stay, but they fail to
    demonstrate the opposite—that they will be prejudiced by
    12                  SARKAR V. GARLAND
    the court simply deciding this case. And there is no
    indication that the “orderly course of justice” will be served
    by an indefinite stay; that is, that the case will be easier to
    decide at some later date. 
    Id.
    That the typical interests that we must consider in
    deciding whether to stay an appeal do not counsel in favor
    of granting the relief the parties seek is enough reason to
    deny the parties’ motions. This relief is a matter of our
    discretion, but as the Supreme Court has instructed,
    “[d]iscretion is not whim.” Golan v. Saada, No. 20-1034,
    __ S. Ct. __, 
    2022 WL 2135489
    , at *7 (June 15, 2022)
    (alteration in original) (quoting Martin v. Franklin Cap.
    Corp., 
    546 U.S. 132
    , 139 (2005)). But our decision is further
    supported by the various means that the executive branch has
    at its disposal to forgo a judicial decision if it deems a case
    unworthy of enforcement, none of which interfere with
    normal judicial process. On a broad level, “an agency’s
    decision not to prosecute or enforce, whether through civil
    or criminal process, is a decision generally committed to an
    agency’s absolute discretion.” Heckler v. Chaney, 
    470 U.S. 821
    , 831 (1985). That is especially true in the immigration
    context, where the Supreme Court has recognized that “the
    Attorney General’s discrete acts of ‘commenc[ing]
    proceedings, adjudicat[ing] cases, [and] execut[ing] removal
    orders’” are exercises in prosecutorial discretion “which
    represent the initiation or prosecution of various stages in the
    deportation process.” Reno v. Am.-Arab Anti-Discrimination
    Comm., 
    525 U.S. 471
    , 483 (1999) (alterations in original)
    (quoting 
    8 U.S.C. § 1252
    (g)); see Vasquez v. Garland, No.
    18-70824, 
    2021 WL 3485910
    , at *3 (9th Cir. Aug. 9, 2021)
    (unpublished) (Bea, J., concurring). “At each stage the
    Executive has discretion to abandon the endeavor . . . for
    humanitarian reasons or simply for its own convenience.”
    Reno, 
    525 U.S. at
    483–84. In essence, the government is
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                       13
    always in control of an alien’s removal. See Arizona v.
    United States, 
    567 U.S. 387
    , 396 (2012) (“Federal
    [immigration] officials . . . must decide whether it makes
    sense to pursue removal at all.”); see also Memorandum
    from John D. Trasviña, ICE Principal Legal Advisor, Interim
    Guidance to OPLA Attorneys Regarding Civil Immigration
    Enforcement and Removal Policies and Priorities (May 27,
    2021) (Trasviña Memo).
    We list some of the Government’s specific procedural
    tools. It may move to remand the matter to the BIA. Li v.
    Keisler, 
    505 F.3d 913
    , 918 (9th Cir. 2007) (“[T]he
    government [retains] the flexibility to voluntarily remand in
    order to correct prior actions that have been subsequently
    called into question by emerging case law, claims of changed
    circumstances, or other novel considerations.”); see also
    Qianchang Wu v. Lynch, 623 F. App’x 433 (9th Cir. 2015)
    (unpublished) (granting the government’s remand motion to
    the BIA for administrative closure). It may also move to
    reopen proceedings with the BIA under 
    8 C.F.R. § 1003.2
    (a). See He v. Gonzales, 
    501 F.3d 1128
    , 1130 (9th
    Cir. 2007) (noting that a party filed a motion to reopen with
    the BIA “[w]hile their initial petition for review was pending
    on appeal to our court”).
    If the Government’s efforts to remand or reopen
    proceedings before the agency is successful, it has further
    options for exercising its prosecutorial discretion in that
    forum. See Trasviña Memo 4–10. The Government can
    move to dismiss the proceedings altogether. See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1239.2
    (c). It can seek to narrow the issues in dispute
    through stipulation. See Trasviña Memo 4. It can also
    request a continuance, see 
    8 C.F.R. § 1003.29
    , or that the
    BIA administratively close a case, which is expressly
    allowed in specified circumstances, see, e.g., 8 C.F.R.
    14                  SARKAR V. GARLAND
    §§ 1214.2, 1214.3; see also Trasviña Memo 7–8. And if the
    Government ultimately takes steps to undermine or displace
    a final order of removal, we lack jurisdiction to review its
    choice and must dismiss any petition for review pending on
    our docket. See, e.g., Lopez-Ruiz v. Ashcroft, 
    298 F.3d 886
    ,
    887 (9th Cir. 2002) (order); see also Viloria v. Lynch, 
    808 F.3d 764
    , 767–68, 770 (9th Cir. 2015).
    The burden is on the Government to use one of the many
    tools it has for not enforcing immigration law in a particular
    case if that is its policy preference. Shelving a case
    indefinitely on our docket to avoid having a final decision
    rendered in a case properly presented to us is not one of those
    tools. Indeed, this case demonstrates the absurdity of what
    the parties are asking. Sarkar filed his petition in August
    2017. A stay of removal was entered a few months later, and
    the case has been fully briefed since August 2018. Given our
    significant backlog of immigration cases, this case was not
    moved toward resolution until over three years later in
    October 2021 when we asked the parties whether they still
    wanted to proceed to decision or whether they anticipated an
    alternative resolution. Both parties responded that they
    wanted to proceed. The court then scheduled the case for oral
    argument and we began our preparations only to have the
    parties request a few weeks later that the case be
    administratively stayed because it is not an enforcement
    priority. This is not a good use of judicial resources. The
    executive branch should sort out its enforcement priorities,
    about which we express no opinion, without burdening the
    already-strapped judiciary.
    Finally, we note that regardless of our decision in this
    case, the Government has still more options for not pursuing
    enforcement against Sarkar if that is what it wishes. It may
    decide not to execute a final order of removal. See Trasviña
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                        15
    Memo 4. It also may grant Sarkar new relief, for example if
    Sarkar files a new motion to reopen based on approval of his
    pending I-130 visa petition. See 
    8 C.F.R. § 1003.2
    (c)(1);
    Kalilu v. Mukasey, 
    548 F.3d 1215
    , 1217–18 (9th Cir. 2008)
    (per curiam) (describing a petitioner’s ability to file a motion
    to reopen with an approved I-130 visa petition). Nothing
    about our denial of the parties’ motion for administrative
    closure prevents the Government from exercising its
    enforcement prerogative in this case.
    In sum, our inherent authority to manage our docket,
    including by granting administrative closures, is not served
    by keeping this case on our docket indefinitely. The
    Government has numerous means to avoid enforcement
    against Sarkar if that is what it wants. We decline to add
    judicial administrative closure to the list of the
    Government’s tools. The motions to administratively close
    this case are denied.
    B. Motion to Reopen
    Turning to the merits, we “review the BIA’s denial of a
    motion to reopen for an abuse of discretion.” Hernandez-
    Ortiz v. Garland, 
    32 F.4th 794
    , 800 (9th Cir. 2022). The
    BIA’s decision “should be left undisturbed unless it is
    ‘arbitrary, irrational, or contrary to law.’” Yan Rong Zhao v.
    Holder, 
    728 F.3d 1144
    , 1147 (9th Cir. 2013) (quoting He,
    
    501 F.3d at 1131
    ).
    “An alien ordered to leave the country has a statutory
    right to file a motion to reopen his removal proceedings.”
    Mata v. Lynch, 
    576 U.S. 143
    , 144 (2015); see 8 U.S.C.
    § 1229a(c)(7)(A). “Motions to reopen are disfavored due to
    the ‘strong public interest in bringing litigation to a close.’”
    Delgado-Ortiz v. Holder, 
    600 F.3d 1148
    , 1150–51 (9th Cir.
    2010) (per curiam) (quoting INS v. Abudu, 
    485 U.S. 94
    , 107
    16                 SARKAR V. GARLAND
    (1988)). “They are particularly disfavored in immigration
    proceedings, where ‘every delay works to the advantage of
    the deportable alien who wishes merely to remain in the
    United States.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting INS v. Doherty, 
    502 U.S. 314
    ,
    323 (1992)). Generally, an alien may file only one motion to
    reopen, and it must be filed within 90 days from the entry of
    a final order of removal. See 8 U.S.C. § 1229a(c)(7)(C)(i); 
    8 C.F.R. § 1003.2
    (c)(2). However, “[t]here is no time limit on
    the filing of a motion to reopen” when the motion “is based
    on changed country conditions arising in the country of
    nationality or in the country to which removal has been
    ordered, if such evidence is material and was not available
    and would not have been discovered or presented at the
    previous proceeding.” 8 U.S.C. § 1229a(c)(7)(C)(ii); see
    Hernandez-Ortiz, 32 F.4th at 804.
    “To prevail on such a motion, a petitioner must thus clear
    four hurdles.” Hernandez-Ortiz, 32 F.4th at 804 (internal
    quotations and citation omitted). Those hurdles are:
    (1) produce evidence that conditions have
    changed in the country of removal; (2)
    demonstrate that the evidence is material; (3)
    show that the evidence was not available and
    would not have been discovered or presented
    at the previous hearings; and (4) demonstrate
    . . . prima facie eligibility for the relief
    sought.
    Id. (internal quotations and citation omitted). The BIA may
    “deny the motion to reopen for failing to meet any of these
    burdens.” Toufighi v. Mukasey, 
    538 F.3d 988
    , 996 (9th Cir.
    2008).
    Sarkar does not dispute that his third motion to reopen is
    untimely and numerically barred. Instead, he argues that his
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                       17
    newly submitted country conditions evidence is material and
    establishes prima facie eligibility for his requested asylum,
    withholding of removal, and CAT relief. In his view, the new
    evidence “establish[es] the growing influence of Jihadist
    extremists on law and society, attacks on secularists,
    acceptance of underage marriage, rewriting of textbooks,
    and a stark rise in Islamic extremism, intimidation, and
    violence.” And Sarkar argues that considering “his past
    political activism in the Jatiyya party, . . . [he] has
    established an individualized risk of targeting on account of
    his political beliefs, and, minimally, a well-founded fear of
    future persecution” and, therefore, that the BIA abused its
    discretion in denying his motion to reopen.
    Sarkar’s arguments are unpersuasive. The BIA did not
    abuse its discretion in concluding that his new evidence was
    (1) not material to Sarkar and (2) insufficient to demonstrate
    a prima facie claim for relief. First, as the Government
    contends, none of the evidence that Sarkar produces relates
    to membership in the Jatiya party or members of that party
    who speaks up against Islamic extremism. Although Sarkar
    contends that the changes in marriage laws, the removal of
    certain poems and stories from educational textbooks, and a
    terrorist attack that killed mostly foreigners show a change
    in Bangladesh’s acceptance of radical Islam, he failed to
    show that those conditions more severely impact him and his
    family than the population at large. See Najmabadi v.
    Holder, 
    597 F.3d 983
    , 989–90 (9th Cir. 2010) (noting that
    the petitioner’s evidence lacked materiality because “it
    simply recounts generalized conditions” in the country of
    removal). Thus, Sarkar has fallen short of his burden to show
    “individualized relevancy” and “that [his] predicament is
    appreciably different from the dangers faced by [his] fellow
    citizens.” 
    Id.
     (citation omitted). This reason alone shows the
    BIA did not abuse its discretion. Toufighi, 
    538 F.3d at 996
    .
    18                  SARKAR V. GARLAND
    The BIA also permissibly denied Sarkar’s motion to
    reopen because he has not established a prima facie claim for
    any relief. Prima facie eligibility for relief “is established
    when ‘the evidence reveals a reasonable likelihood that the
    statutory requirements for relief have been satisfied.’”
    Tadevosyan v. Holder, 
    743 F.3d 1250
    , 1255 (9th Cir. 2014)
    (quoting Garcia v. Holder, 
    621 F.3d 906
    , 912 (9th Cir.
    2010)); see also Hernandez-Ortiz, 32 F.4th at 804–05. Said
    another way, Sarkar “must adduce evidence that, along with
    the facts already in the record, will support the desired
    finding if evidence to the contrary is disregarded.” Silva v.
    Garland, 
    993 F.3d 705
    , 718 (9th Cir. 2021) (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted).
    We first must determine whether Sarkar established a
    prima facie case for asylum or withholding of removal.
    Absent past persecution, such as is the case here, he must
    demonstrate “a well-founded fear of future persecution” in
    Bangladesh on account of a protected ground to qualify for
    asylum. 
    8 U.S.C. § 1101
    (a)(42); 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.13
    (b). To
    meet this burden, he must prove both a subjective and
    objective risk of future persecution. See Silva, 993 F.3d
    at 719. “The objective component requires a showing, by
    credible, direct, and specific evidence in the record, of facts
    that would support a reasonable fear of persecution.” Id.
    (quoting Limsico v. INS, 
    951 F.2d 210
    , 212 (9th Cir. 1991)).
    For withholding of removal, Sarkar must present
    evidence that it is “more likely than not that he . . . would be
    persecuted on account of” a protected ground. 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (b)(2). “The ‘more likely than not’ standard for
    withholding of removal is ‘more stringent’ than the
    ‘reasonable possibility’ standard for asylum, and therefore
    an applicant who is unable to show a ‘reasonable possibility’
    of future persecution ‘necessarily fails to satisfy the more
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                       19
    stringent standard [for likelihood of future persecution] for
    withholding of removal.’” See Silva, 993 F.3d at 719
    (quoting Mansour v. Ashcroft, 
    390 F.3d 667
    , 673 (9th Cir.
    2004)).
    Sarkar has not submitted evidence of “direct” and
    “specific” facts establishing he has a reasonable fear of
    persecution. 
    Id.
     The protected ground that he asserts is his
    political affiliation with the Jatiya party and opposition to
    Islamic religious extremism. But as explained above, his
    affidavit and articles are “too speculative to be credited as a
    basis for fear of future persecution.” Nagoulko v. INS,
    
    333 F.3d 1012
    , 1018 (9th Cir. 2003). The BIA correctly
    concluded that Sarkar’s new evidence did not demonstrate
    “an individualized risk of persecution” or that he “would be
    subject to a pattern or practice of persecution” based on his
    political affiliation. See Bhasin v. Gonzales, 
    423 F.3d 977
    ,
    984 (9th Cir. 2005) (noting that an applicant “must generally
    show an individualized, rather than a generalized, risk of
    persecution” to establish prima facie eligibility for asylum or
    withholding of removal).
    Sarkar attempts to connect generalized evidence of
    increased Islamic extremism with his contentions that he has
    become known “as a fierce opponent of religious
    extremism” and he has “no doubt” that he is known as an
    enemy “within the Bangladesh Jihadi/Extremist network.”
    But his evidence fails to establish a nexus between a
    reasonable fear of future persecution and his proposed
    protected grounds; it points to generalized crime and societal
    shifts that do not target him or those in his proposed social
    groups. See Ramirez-Munoz v. Lynch, 
    816 F.3d 1226
    , 1229
    (9th Cir. 2016) (denying an asylum claim based on changed
    circumstances because the evidence “points to troubling
    accounts of violence and kidnaping in Mexico,” but does not
    20                      SARKAR V. GARLAND
    “specifically show that violent individuals are targeting”
    persons in petitioners’ proposed social group); Feng Gui Lin
    v. Holder, 
    588 F.3d 981
    , 986 (9th Cir. 2009) (declining to
    find changed country circumstances when the petitioner’s
    evidence was insufficiently specific). As a result, we
    conclude that the BIA did not abuse its discretion in rejecting
    Sarkar’s asylum and withholding of removal claims. 2
    Finally, to qualify for CAT protection, Sarkar must
    “establish that it is more likely than not that he . . . would be
    tortured if removed to [Bangladesh].” 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (c)(2). The BIA concluded that Sarkar’s new
    country conditions evidence failed to meet this standard,
    which was neither arbitrary nor irrational. The BIA
    considered the proffered evidence and, for reasons already
    discussed, correctly determined that it was immaterial to
    Sarkar’s assertion that he is now more likely than not to face
    torture if returned to Bangladesh. See Silva, 993 F.3d at 719
    (concluding that the BIA did not abuse its discretion in
    concluding that speculative evidence did not establish the
    “more likely than not” standard for CAT protection);
    Delgado-Ortiz, 
    600 F.3d at 1152
     (holding that generalized
    2
    Sarkar also contends that “the Board erred in failing to remand the
    proceedings for consideration . . . where [he] had earlier testified he had
    been tortured by police ion [sic] two occasions.” It is true that the BIA
    declined to “revisit” his “allegations of persecution” that were previously
    considered and rejected as not credible. But this is not a situation where
    the BIA made its own adverse credibility finding or improperly applied
    the prior credibility finding to a new basis for relief. See Yang v. Lynch,
    
    822 F.3d 504
    , 509 (9th Cir. 2016). The BIA therefore did not err by
    failing to revisit previously rejected arguments. See Greenwood v.
    Garland, __ F.4th __, 
    2022 WL 2165571
    , at *3–4 (9th Cir. 2022)
    (explaining that adverse credibility determinations can impact a later
    motion to reopen).
    SARKAR V. GARLAND                    21
    evidence of crime in Mexico could not establish prima face
    eligibility for CAT protection).
    PETITION FOR REVIEW DENIED.