California State Water Resourc v. Ferc ( 2022 )


Menu:
  •                FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    CALIFORNIA STATE WATER               No. 20-72432
    RESOURCES CONTROL BOARD,
    Petitioner,
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY
    COMMISSION,
    Respondent,
    NEVADA IRRIGATION DISTRICT,
    Intervenor.
    SOUTH YUBA RIVER CITIZENS            No. 20-72452
    LEAGUE; CALIFORNIA SPORTFISHING
    PROTECTION ALLIANCE; FRIENDS OF       FERC Nos.
    THE RIVER; MOTHER LODE CHAPTER         2266-102
    OF THE SIERRA CLUB,                    2266-118
    Petitioners,
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY
    COMMISSION,
    Respondent,
    NEVADA IRRIGATION DISTRICT,
    Intervenor.
    2   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    CALIFORNIA STATE WATER               No. 20-72782
    RESOURCES CONTROL BOARD,
    Petitioner,
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY
    COMMISSION,
    Respondent,
    YUBA COUNTY WATER AGENCY,
    Respondent-Intervenor.
    SOUTH YUBA RIVER CITIZENS            No. 20-72800
    LEAGUE; CALIFORNIA SPORTFISHING
    PROTECTION ALLIANCE; FRIENDS OF       FERC No.
    THE RIVER; MOTHER LODE CHAPTER        2246-086
    OF THE SIERRA CLUB,
    Petitioners,
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY
    COMMISSION,
    Respondent,
    YUBA COUNTY WATER AGENCY,
    Respondent-Intervenor.
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC
              3
    CALIFORNIA STATE WATER                   No. 20-72958
    RESOURCES CONTROL BOARD,
    Petitioner,          FERC Nos.
    2179-043
    v.                         2467-020
    2179-048
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY                  2467-022
    COMMISSION,
    Respondent,
    MERCED IRRIGATION DISTRICT,
    Respondent-Intervenor.
    CALIFORNIA SPORTFISHING                  No. 20-72973
    PROTECTION ALLIANCE; FRIENDS OF
    THE RIVER; SIERRA CLUB AND ITS             FERC No.
    TEHIPITE CHAPTER,                          2179-043
    Petitioners,
    v.                         OPINION
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY
    COMMISSION,
    Respondent,
    MERCED IRRIGATION DISTRICT,
    Respondent-Intervenor.
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    Argued and Submitted May 12, 2022
    Pasadena, California
    4       CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    Filed August 4, 2022
    Before: Paul J. Watford and Michelle T. Friedland, Circuit
    Judges, and Carol Bagley Amon, * District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge Friedland
    SUMMARY **
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    The panel granted petitions for review, and vacated
    orders issued by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    (“FERC”) in which FERC held that the California Water
    Resources Control Board (the “State Board”) had waived its
    authority to ensure that certain hydroelectric projects
    complied with state water quality standards.
    Section 401 of the Clean Water Act requires states to
    provide a water quality certification before a federal license
    or permit can be issued for activities that may result in any
    discharge into intrastate navigable waters. Under Section
    401, states may impose conditions on federal licenses for
    hydroelectric projects to ensure that those projects comply
    with state water quality standards. States must act on a
    request for water quality certification within one year of
    *
    The Honorable Carol Bagley Amon, United States District Judge
    for the Eastern District of New York, sitting by designation.
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 5
    receiving it to avoid waiving their Section 401 certification
    authority.
    In three FERC orders, FERC found that the State Board
    had engaged in coordinated schemes with the Nevada
    Irrigation District, the Yuba County Water Agency, and the
    Merced Irrigation District (“Project Applicants”) to delay
    certification and to avoid making a decision on their
    certification requests. According to FERC, the State Board
    had coordinated with the Project Applicants to ensure that
    they withdrew and resubmitted their certification requests
    before the State’s deadline for action under Section 401 in
    order to reset the State’s one-year period to review the
    certification requests. FERC held that, because of that
    coordination, the State Board had “fail[ed] or refuse[d] to
    act” on requests and therefore had waived its certification
    authority under Section 401 of the Clean Water Act. See
    
    33 U.S.C. § 1341
    (a)(1).
    The panel held that FERC’s findings of coordination
    were unsupported by substantial evidence. Instead, the
    evidence showed only that the State Board acquiesced in the
    Project Applicants’ own unilateral decisions to withdraw
    and resubmit their applications rather than have them denied.
    The panel held that, even assuming that FERC’s
    “coordination” standard was consistent with the statute, the
    State Board’s mere acquiescence in the Project Applicants’
    withdrawals-and-resubmissions could not demonstrate that
    the State Board was engaged in a coordinated scheme to
    delay certification. Accordingly, FERC’s orders could not
    stand. The panel remanded for further proceedings.
    6    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    COUNSEL
    Jennifer Kalnins Temple (argued), Adam L. Levitan, Kristin
    K. McCarthy and Julia K. Forgie, Deputy Attorneys
    General; Eric M. Katz, Supervising Deputy Attorney
    General; Robert W. Byrne, Senior Assistant Attorney
    General; Rob Bonta, Attorney General; Office of the
    Attorney General, Los Angeles, California; for Petitioner
    California State Water Resources Control Board.
    Julie Gantenbein (argued), Water and Power Law Group PC,
    Berkeley, California; Andrew M. Hawley, Western
    Environmental Law Center, Seattle, Washington; for
    Petitioners South Yuba River Citizens League, California
    Sportfishing Protection Alliance, Friends of the River, and
    Sierra Club and its Mother Lode and Tehipite Chapters.
    Jared B. Fish (argued), Attorney; Robert H. Solomon,
    Solicitor; Matthew R. Christiansen, General Counsel;
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Washington D.C.;
    for Respondent Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.
    Michael A. Swiger (argued), Michael F. McBride, and Ani
    Esenyan, Van Ness Feldman, LLP, Washington, D.C.; for
    Respondent-Intervenors Nevada Irrigation District and Yuba
    County Water Agency.
    Thomas M. Berliner and Jolie-Anne S. Ansley, Duane
    Morris LLP, San Francisco, California; Phillip R.
    McMurray, General Counsel, Merced Irrigation District,
    Merced, California; for Respondent-Intervenor Merced
    Irrigation District.
    Jonathan D. Brightbill and Lauren Gailey, Winston &
    Strawn LLP, Washington, D.C.; Andrew R. Varcoe and
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC
              7
    Stephanie A. Maloney, United States Chamber Litigation
    Center, Washington, D.C.; for Amicus Curiae Chamber of
    Commerce of the United States of America.
    Andrea W. Wortzel, Troutman Pepper Hamilton Sanders
    LLP, Richmond, Virginia; Charles R. Sensiba and Morgan
    M. Gerard, Troutman Pepper Hamilton Sanders LLP,
    Washington, D.C.; for Amici Curiae National Hydropower
    Association and Northwest Hydroelectric Association.
    Gabrielle Gurian and Kelly Thomas Wood, Assistant
    Attorneys General; Robert W. Ferguson, Attorney General;
    Office of the Attorney General, Olympia, Washington; Jill
    Lacedonia, Assistant Attorney General; William Tong,
    Attorney General; Office of the Attorney General, Hartford,
    Connecticut; Scott W. Boak; Aaron M. Frey, Attorney
    General; Office of the Attorney General, Augusta, Maine;
    Gillian Wener; Dana Nessel, Attorney General; Office of the
    Attorney General, ENRA Division, Lansing, Michigan;
    Peter N. Surdo, Special Assistant Attorney General; Keith
    Ellison, Attorney General; Office of the Attorney General,
    Saint Paul, Minnesota; Kristina Miles, Deputy Attorney
    General; Andrew J. Bruck, Acting Attorney General; Office
    of the Attorney General, Environmental Permitting and
    Counseling, Trenton, New Jersey; William Grantham,
    Assistant Attorney General; Hector Balderas, Attorney
    General; Office of the Attorney General, Consumer and
    Environmental Protection Division, Albuquerque, New
    Mexico; Taylor H. Crabtree and Asher P. Spiller, Assistant
    Attorneys General; Daniel S. Hirschman, Senior Deputy
    Attorney General; Joshua S. Stein, Attorney General;
    Department of Justice, Raleigh, North Carolina; Paul
    Garrahan, Attorney-in-Charge; Ellen F. Rosenblum,
    Attorney General; Natural Resources Section, Department
    of Justice, Salem, Oregon; Laura B. Murphy; Thomas J.
    8    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    Donovan, Jr., Attorney General; Office of the Attorney
    General, Montpelier, Vermont; Brian R. Caldwell; Karl A.
    Racine, Attorney General; Public Advocacy Division,
    Washington, D.C.; Turner H. Smith, Deputy Chief; Matthew
    Ireland, Assistant Attorney General; Maura Healey,
    Attorney General; Office of the Attorney General,
    Environmental Protection Division, Boston, Massachusetts;
    Donald D. Anderson, Deputy Attorney General; David C.
    Grandis, Chief, Environmental Section; Mark R. Herring,
    Attorney General; Office of the Attorney General,
    Richmond, Virginia; for Amici Curiae States of Washington,
    Connecticut, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey,
    New Mexico, North Carolina, Oregon, Vermont, the District
    of Columbia, and the Commonwealths of Massachusetts and
    Virginia.
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 9
    OPINION
    FRIEDLAND, Circuit Judge:
    Section 401 of the Clean Water Act gives states the
    authority to impose conditions on federal licenses for
    hydroelectric projects to ensure that those projects comply
    with state water quality standards. In these consolidated
    cases, we consider several petitions for review of decisions
    by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”)
    holding that the California Water Resources Control Board
    (the “State Board” or “State Water Board”) waived that
    authority for certain hydroelectric projects in federal
    relicensing proceedings. FERC found that the State Board
    had engaged in coordinated schemes with the Nevada
    Irrigation District, the Yuba County Water Agency, and the
    Merced Irrigation District (collectively, the “Project
    Applicants”) to delay certification and to avoid making a
    decision on their certification requests. FERC held that,
    because of that coordination, the State Board had “fail[ed] or
    refuse[d] to act” on the requests and had therefore waived its
    certification authority. See 
    33 U.S.C. § 1341
    (a)(1). We hold
    that FERC’s findings of coordination are unsupported by
    substantial evidence. We therefore grant the petitions for
    review and vacate FERC’s orders.
    I.
    A.
    The Clean Water Act provides that “[i]t is the policy of
    the Congress to recognize, preserve, and protect the primary
    responsibilities and rights of States” to “prevent, reduce, and
    eliminate pollution” and to “plan the development and use
    (including restoration, preservation, and enhancement) of
    land and water resources.” 
    33 U.S.C. § 1251
    (b). To achieve
    10   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    those goals, Congress has enacted a scheme of cooperative
    federalism that gives states an important role in regulating
    water quality. “The states remain, under the Clean Water
    Act, the ‘prime bulwark in the effort to abate water
    pollution.’” Keating v. FERC, 
    927 F.2d 616
    , 622 (D.C. Cir.
    1991) (quoting United States v. Puerto Rico, 
    721 F.2d 832
    ,
    838 (1st Cir. 1983)).
    As relevant here, Section 401 of the Clean Water Act
    “requires States to provide a water quality certification
    before a federal license or permit can be issued for activities
    that may result in any discharge into intrastate navigable
    waters.” PUD No. 1 of Jefferson Cnty. v. Wash. Dep’t of
    Ecology, 
    511 U.S. 700
    , 707 (1994) (citing 
    33 U.S.C. § 1341
    ). States may adopt water quality standards that are
    more stringent than federal law requires, and any limitation
    included in the state certification becomes a condition on any
    federal license. Id. at 705, 708. That certification process is
    “essential in the scheme to preserve state authority to address
    the broad range of pollution” that might affect water quality.
    S.D. Warren Co. v. Me. Bd. of Env’t Prot., 
    547 U.S. 370
    , 386
    (2006).
    To prevent a state from “indefinitely delaying a federal
    licensing proceeding by failing to issue a timely water
    quality certification,” Section 401 includes a deadline by
    which the state must act to avoid waiving its certification
    authority. Alcoa Power Generating Inc. v. FERC, 
    643 F.3d 963
    , 972 (D.C. Cir. 2011). The relevant statutory language
    reads:
    If the State . . . fails or refuses to act on a
    request for certification, within a reasonable
    period of time (which shall not exceed one
    year) after receipt of such request, the
    certification requirements of this subsection
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 11
    shall be waived with respect to such Federal
    application. No license or permit shall be
    granted until the certification required by this
    section has been obtained or has been waived
    as provided in the preceding sentence. No
    license or permit shall be granted if
    certification has been denied by the State.
    
    33 U.S.C. § 1341
    (a)(1).        FERC, through regulations
    governing hydropower licensing proceedings and through
    agency adjudication, has interpreted the “reasonable period
    of time” for action under Section 401 to be the statutory
    maximum of one year from the receipt of the request.
    
    18 C.F.R. §§ 4.34
    (b)(5)(iii), 5.23(b)(2); Const. Pipeline Co.,
    
    162 FERC ¶ 61,014
    , at P 16 (Jan. 11, 2018).
    The consequences of a waiver are potentially significant.
    Federal licenses for hydroelectric projects can last up to fifty
    years, and the default term is forty years. 1 
    16 U.S.C. § 799
    ;
    Policy Statement on Establishing License Terms for
    Hydroelectric Projects, 
    82 Fed. Reg. 49501
    , 49503 (Oct. 26,
    2017). Accordingly, if a state waives its authority to impose
    conditions on a hydroelectric project’s federal license
    through Section 401’s certification procedure, that project
    may be noncompliant with prevailing state water quality
    standards for decades.
    California’s criteria for issuing water quality
    certifications often make it impracticable for a certification
    to issue within one year of a project applicant’s submitting
    1
    If a project’s initial license expires while the relicensing process is
    ongoing, FERC may issue annual, interim licenses under the same terms
    and conditions as the initial license. 
    16 U.S.C. § 808
    (a)(1); 
    18 C.F.R. § 16.18
    .
    12       CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    its request. The main cause of delay appears to be
    California’s requirement, pursuant to the California
    Environmental Quality Act (“CEQA”), that the State Board
    receive and consider an analysis of a project’s environmental
    impact before granting a certification request. 2 See 
    Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21100
    (a) (requiring completion of “an
    environmental impact report on any project . . . that may
    have a significant effect on the environment”); 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 23, § 3856
    (f) (“[T]he [Section 401] certifying
    agency shall be provided with and have ample time to
    properly review a final copy of valid CEQA documentation
    before taking a certification action.”). California law assigns
    a “lead agency” (here, the Project Applicants) to prepare the
    CEQA evaluation and designates a “responsible agency”
    (here, the State Board) that must “consider[] the [evaluation]
    prepared by the lead agency” and decide “whether and how
    to approve the project involved.” 3 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 14, § 15096
    (a). For complex projects like the ones at issue here,
    2
    After FERC issued the waiver orders challenged here, the
    California legislature authorized the State Board to issue certifications
    before completion of CEQA review where failure to issue the
    certification “poses a substantial risk of waiver of the state board’s
    certification authority” under Section 401.          
    Cal. Water Code § 13160
    (b)(2); see also 
    2020 Cal. Stat. 1379
    . The new provision directs
    the State Board, “[t]o the extent authorized by federal law,” to “reserve
    authority to reopen and . . . revise the certificate” as necessary after
    CEQA review is eventually completed. 
    Cal. Water Code § 13160
    (b)(2).
    Because that amendment took effect after the events at issue here, it has
    no bearing on our analysis.
    3
    In cases like ours, where the project applicant is a public agency,
    the project applicant is the “lead agency” that must complete the CEQA
    evaluation. By contrast, in cases where the project applicant is a private
    entity, the State Board is both the “lead agency” and the “responsible
    agency” and, accordingly, must complete the CEQA process itself. See
    
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 14, § 15051
    .
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 13
    the CEQA process itself can often take more than a year to
    complete. If the materials required for CEQA are not
    submitted until late in the State Board’s Section 401 review
    period, the State Board is unlikely to be ready to issue a
    certification within the one-year deadline. 4 If the project
    applicants do not give the State Board a sufficient
    opportunity to “receive and properly review the necessary
    environmental documentation” under CEQA by the end of
    the review period, California regulations require the State
    Board to “deny without prejudice certification . . . unless the
    applicant in writing withdraws the request for certification.”
    
    Id.
     tit. 23, § 3836(c).
    Because it is often not feasible for a Section 401
    certification to issue within one year of its submission, a
    practice has developed over the last several decades—in
    California and in other states—whereby project applicants
    withdraw their requests for certification before the end of the
    one-year review period and resubmit them as new requests,
    rather than have their original requests denied. The theory
    behind this practice is that a withdrawn-and-resubmitted
    request starts a new one-year review period, affording the
    project applicant more time to comply with procedural and
    substantive prerequisites to certification and the state more
    time to decide whether and under what conditions it will
    grant the certification request. Although FERC expressed
    misgivings in some orders that withdrawal-and-
    resubmission could lead to delays in federal licensing, 
    FERC 4
    FERC used to “deem the one-year waiver period to commence
    when the certifying agency found the request acceptable for processing,”
    but it has since departed from that interpretation. See California ex rel.
    State Water Res. Control Bd. v. FERC, 
    966 F.2d 1541
    , 1552 (9th Cir.
    1992). Apparently as a result, submitting a Section 401 certification
    request in California does not require the project applicant to provide all
    the materials that the State Board will eventually need for final approval.
    14   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    accepted the withdrawal-and-resubmission practice for
    many years. See, e.g., Barrish & Sorenson Hydroelectric
    Co., 
    68 FERC ¶ 62,161
    , 64,258 (Aug. 12, 1994) (noting that
    the applicant “withdrew and refiled” its Section 401 request
    the day before the one-year review deadline); Bradwood
    Landing LLC, 
    126 FERC ¶ 61,035
    , at P 24 n.26 (Jan. 15,
    2009) (observing that the project applicant’s withdrawal-
    and-resubmission of its request for certification from the
    state of Oregon “restarted the statutory one-year period” for
    the state certifying agency); Const. Pipeline Co., 
    162 FERC ¶ 61,014
    , at P 23 (Jan. 11, 2018) (“We reiterate that once an
    application is withdrawn, no matter how formulaic or
    perfunctory the process of withdrawal and resubmission is,
    the refiling of an application restarts the one-year waiver
    period under section 401(a)(1).”), reh’g denied, 
    164 FERC ¶ 61,029
    , at P 17 (July 19, 2018) (reaffirming that
    conclusion).
    In 2019, however, the D.C. Circuit held that California
    and Oregon had waived their certification authority by
    entering a formal contract with a project applicant to delay
    federal licensing proceedings through the continual
    withdrawal-and-resubmission of the applicant’s certification
    requests. Hoopa Valley Tribe v. FERC, 
    913 F.3d 1099
    (D.C. Cir. 2019). The court held that the states’ engagement
    in a “coordinated withdrawal-and-resubmission scheme”
    constituted a “failure” or “refusal” to act under the meaning
    of Section 401. 
    Id.
     at 1104–05. In response to Hoopa
    Valley, FERC changed its position. In a series of orders,
    including those at issue here, FERC concluded that states
    had waived their Section 401 certification authority by
    coordinating with project applicants on the withdrawal-and-
    resubmission of Section 401 certification requests, even in
    the absence of an explicit contractual agreement to do so.
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 15
    B.
    These petitions for review challenge three orders issued
    by FERC holding that California waived its authority to
    issue water quality certifications for the Yuba-Bear Project
    (operated by the Nevada Irrigation District 5), the Yuba River
    Project (operated by the Yuba County Water Agency), and
    the Merced River and Merced Falls Projects (together, the
    “Merced Projects”) (operated by the Merced Irrigation
    District). We now summarize the relevant facts underlying
    each of those three orders.
    1.
    In 1963, FERC issued the Nevada Irrigation District
    (“NID”) a fifty-year license to operate the Yuba-Bear
    Hydroelectric Project on the Middle Yuba, South Yuba, and
    Bear Rivers, in Sierra, Placer, and Nevada Counties,
    California. In 2011, two years before the license expired,
    NID applied for a renewal of the license, as required by
    statute. The relicensing application is still pending, 6 and
    since the original license expired in 2013, NID has operated
    the Yuba-Bear Project on interim, annual licenses under the
    original license terms. 7 Because FERC licensed the Yuba-
    Bear Project before the enactment of Section 401, those
    5
    The word “Nevada” in Nevada Irrigation District refers to Nevada
    County, California.
    6
    Licensing, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission,
    http://www.ferc.gov/licensing (follow hyperlink entitled “Pending
    License, Relicense, and Exemption Applications” (updated July 15,
    2022)).
    7
    See supra note 1.
    16   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    interim licenses are not subject to state-imposed conditions
    under a Section 401 water quality certification.
    On March 15, 2012, NID submitted a request for water
    quality certification to the State Board. The request stated
    that “NID intends to be the Lead Agency for the purpose of
    compliance with the requirements of [CEQA], and will
    coordinate with the [State] Board and other responsible
    agencies.” The State Board acknowledged receipt of the
    request, confirmed that the request met the state’s filing
    requirements, and notified NID that the request was pending
    before the State Board. The State Board reminded NID that,
    “[a]lthough a final CEQA document is not required for [a]
    complete application for certification, CEQA requirements
    must be satisfied before the State Water Board can issue
    certification.”
    NID apparently never prepared the CEQA evaluation
    required by California regulations. According to a status
    report sent by the State Board to FERC, the State Board was
    still “[a]waiting commencement of [the] CEQA process by
    [NID]” as of December 2019, more than seven years after
    NID submitted its initial certification request.
    On March 1, 2013—two weeks before the State Board’s
    deadline to act on the certification request—NID filed a
    letter with the State Board withdrawing and resubmitting its
    application for water quality certification. NID reiterated its
    intent to act as the lead agency for CEQA purposes. The
    State Board acknowledged receipt of the withdrawal-and-
    resubmission and stated: “The new deadline for certification
    action is February 28, 2014.”
    Soon after, FERC issued a draft of its own environmental
    impact statement, as required by federal law. The draft noted
    NID’s withdrawal-and-resubmission and the State Board’s
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 17
    new February 2014 deadline to act on the certification
    request. The State Board submitted comments on the draft,
    including both substantive comments on various water
    quality concerns and comments attempting to clarify the
    expected timeline for a Section 401 certification. The latter
    set of comments stated:
    The CEQA process has not started, and will
    not be finished by the spring of 2014. The
    most likely action will be that the Licensees
    will withdraw and resubmit their respective
    applications for water quality certification
    before the one year deadline if the State
    Water Board is not ready to issue its water
    quality certifications. Otherwise, the State
    Board will deny certification without
    prejudice.
    As noted above, NID never prepared a CEQA evaluation.
    Instead, it continued to withdraw and resubmit its
    certification request each year, for the five years between
    2014 and 2018. In response to each withdrawal-and-
    resubmission, the State Board acknowledged receipt and
    conveyed the new deadline for certification action.
    In 2019, on the day the D.C. Circuit decided Hoopa
    Valley, the State Board denied without prejudice NID’s last
    request for Section 401 certification. In the letter notifying
    NID of the denial, the State Board explained that “[w]ithout
    completion of the CEQA process, the State Water Board
    cannot issue a certification.” NID then sought a declaratory
    order from FERC that the State Board had waived its Section
    401 certification authority.
    FERC granted NID’s request, holding that the State
    Board had waived its certification authority for the Yuba-
    18   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    Bear Project. FERC reasoned that, although Hoopa Valley
    had involved a formal contract between the parties to defer
    certification and delay federal licensing proceedings, “an
    explicit agreement to withdraw and refile is not necessary”
    to a finding of waiver. Rather, evidence of a “functional
    agreement” or evidence of “the state’s coordination with the
    licensee” would suffice to show that the state had “fail[ed]
    or refuse[d] to act” under Section 401. Turning to the
    evidence in the instant case, FERC first noted that the State
    Board had consented to NID’s decision to continually
    withdraw and resubmit its certification requests rather than
    issue a denial. As evidence of the State Board’s coordination
    in a withdrawal-and-resubmission scheme, FERC pointed to
    the State Board’s comments on FERC’s draft environmental
    impact statement, quoted above, describing the State
    Board’s expectation that NID would withdraw and resubmit
    its request. FERC also asserted that California regulations
    “codify” the withdrawal-and-resubmission practice. Finally,
    FERC found it “[t]elling[]” that the State Board had “failed
    to dispute NID’s repeated statements” in its withdrawal-and-
    resubmission letters that “the Board had all of the
    information it needed to act.”
    2.
    The administrative record underlying FERC’s Yuba
    River Project order is similar to the record from the Yuba-
    Bear Project. In 1963, FERC issued the Yuba County Water
    Agency (“YCWA”) a fifty-year license to operate the Yuba
    River Development Project on the Yuba, North Yuba, and
    Middle Yuba Rivers in Sierra, Yuba, and Nevada Counties.
    YCWA filed an application for a new license in June 2017.
    As with the Yuba-Bear Project, the Yuba River Project has
    been operating under interim, annual licenses while its
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 19
    relicensing application is pending, and those interim licenses
    are not subject to state-imposed Section 401 conditions. 8
    On August 24, 2017, YCWA submitted a request for
    water quality certification to the State Board and affirmed its
    role as the lead agency for CEQA compliance. The State
    Board acknowledged receipt of the request and stated that
    the deadline for certification action was one year later.
    On July 25, 2018, a month before the end of the one-year
    review period, a member of the State Board’s staff emailed
    YCWA to remind it of the upcoming deadline. The email
    stated:
    YCWA’s water quality certification action
    date for the Yuba River Development Project
    (FERC No. 2246) is August 24, 2018. A final
    CEQA document for the Project has not been
    filed; therefore, the State Water Board cannot
    complete the environmental analysis of the
    Project that is required for certification.
    Please submit a withdraw/resubmit of the
    certification application as soon as possible.
    Let me know if you have any questions.
    YCWA responded that it planned to submit the withdrawal-
    and-resubmission letter on August 20. The State Board staff
    member replied: “My management usually gets a little antsy
    when our action date gets below 3 weeks because a ‘deny
    without prejudice’ letter takes time to route to our Executive
    8
    See supra notes 1 & 6.
    20    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    Director.   If possible, please submit the letter by next
    Friday.”
    On August 3, 2018, YCWA filed a withdrawal-and-
    resubmission letter with the State Board, reiterating its intent
    to act as the lead agency for CEQA purposes. The State
    Board acknowledged receipt of the withdrawal-and-
    resubmission letter and stated: “The new deadline for
    certification action is August 3, 2019.”
    Like NID, YCWA apparently never prepared a CEQA
    evaluation. A State Board status report to FERC indicated
    that it was still “[a]waiting commencement of [the] CEQA
    process by YCWA” in December 2019. After the D.C.
    Circuit decided Hoopa Valley, the State Board denied
    without prejudice YCWA’s resubmitted request for
    certification, relying on YCWA’s failure to begin the CEQA
    process. YCWA then sought a declaratory order from FERC
    that the State Board had waived its Section 401 certification
    authority.
    FERC concluded that the State Board had waived its
    certification authority for the Yuba River Project, employing
    essentially the same reasoning as in its Yuba-Bear Project
    order. This time, FERC found evidence of coordination in
    the email exchange between the State Board’s staff member
    and YCWA, reasoning that YCWA’s “withdrawal and
    refiling of its application was in response to the [State]
    Board’s request that it do so.” FERC asserted that “[t]he
    coordination” demonstrated by that exchange “alone [was]
    sufficient evidence that the [State] Board sought the
    withdrawal and resubmittal of the Yuba River application to
    circumvent the one-year statutory deadline for the state
    agency to act.” As in the Yuba-Bear Project order, FERC
    also pointed to California’s “codification” of the
    withdrawal-and-resubmission practice in its regulations and
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 21
    to the State Board’s failure to “dispute Yuba County’s
    statements that . . . the [State] Board had all of the
    information it needed to act.”
    3.
    The administrative record underlying FERC’s Merced
    Projects order resembles the administrative records from the
    Yuba-Bear and Yuba River Projects. In 1963 and 1969,
    respectively, FERC issued licenses to the Merced Irrigation
    District (“MID”) to operate the Merced River Hydroelectric
    Project for a fifty-year term and to its predecessor licensee,
    Pacific Gas and Electric Company (“PG&E”), to operate the
    Merced Falls Hydroelectric Project for a forty-five-year
    term. The Merced Projects are located on the Merced River
    in Merced and Mariposa Counties. As with the Yuba-Bear
    and Yuba River Projects, the Merced Projects are currently
    operating under interim, annual licenses while relicensing is
    pending. 9
    On May 20 and May 21, 2014, MID and PG&E10
    submitted to the State Board requests for water quality
    certifications for the Merced Projects. The State Board
    acknowledged receipt of the requests, conveyed the one-year
    deadline for action, and warned that, “[i]f the information
    necessary for compliance with CEQA is not provided to the
    9
    See supra notes 1 & 6.
    10
    PG&E transferred its license for the Merced Falls Project to MID
    in 2017, making MID the applicant in the relicensing proceeding before
    FERC. For the Merced Falls Project, between the initial certification
    request in 2014 and the license transfer in 2017, it was the State Board—
    not PG&E—that was the lead agency for the purpose of CEQA
    compliance.
    22   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    State Water Board, staff may recommend denial of
    certification without prejudice.”
    In April 2015, one month before the original one-year
    deadline, a State Board member emailed MID to remind it
    of the upcoming deadline. The email stated:
    Merced Irrigation District’s application for
    water quality certification for the Merced
    River Hydroelectric Project, FERC Project
    No. 2179[,] expires on May 21, 2015. Please
    withdraw the [sic] and simultaneously
    resubmit an application for water quality
    certification prior to May 13, 2015. If you
    have any questions regarding this request or
    this process, please feel free to contact me.
    Please respond by email verifying receipt of
    this correspondence.
    MID apparently never prepared the CEQA evaluation
    required by California regulations—the State Board said in
    a status report to FERC that it was still “[a]waiting
    commencement of [the CEQA] process” for both Merced
    Projects in December 2019. Instead, each year between
    2015 and 2018, MID and PG&E withdrew and resubmitted
    their water quality certification requests before the
    expiration of the State Board’s one-year period of review. In
    response, the State Board acknowledged receipt of the
    withdrawal-and-resubmission letters, conveyed the new
    deadlines for certification action, and warned that failure to
    comply with CEQA could result in denial of certification
    without prejudice.
    After the D.C. Circuit decided Hoopa Valley, the State
    Board denied without prejudice MID’s resubmitted requests
    for certification, relying on MID’s failure to comply with
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 23
    CEQA. MID then sought a declaratory order from FERC
    that the State Board had waived its Section 401 certification
    authority.
    FERC concluded that the State Board had waived its
    certification authority for the Merced Projects, again using
    nearly identical reasoning as in its Yuba-Bear Project and
    Yuba River Project orders. In particular, FERC pointed to
    “the four years of the applicants[’] withdrawing and
    resubmitting their applications” and to the April 2015 email
    from the State Board staff member to MID as evidence that
    the State Board had engaged in a coordinated scheme to
    continually reset its one-year deadline and avoid taking
    action on the certification request. As in the other orders,
    FERC noted that California’s regulations “codify” the
    withdrawal-and-resubmission practice and highlighted the
    State Board’s failure to “request additional information
    regarding the [Section 401 requests.]”
    ***
    In sum, in all three challenged orders, FERC held that
    the Project Applicants’ withdrawals-and-resubmissions of
    their Section 401 certification requests did not restart the
    State Board’s one-year review clock because the State Board
    “coordinated” with the Project Applicants in a scheme to
    avoid deciding the request within the statutory deadline.
    The State Board and various environmental
    organizations timely petitioned our court for review of all
    three orders.
    II.
    “We review FERC decisions to determine whether they
    are ‘arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion,
    24   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    unsupported by substantial evidence, or not in accordance
    with the law.’” California ex rel. Harris v. FERC, 
    784 F.3d 1267
    , 1272 (9th Cir. 2015) (quoting Cal. Dep’t of Water Res.
    v. FERC, 
    341 F.3d 906
    , 910 (9th Cir. 2003)). “[S]ubstantial
    evidence constitutes more than a mere scintilla. It means
    such relevant evidence as a reasonable mind might accept as
    adequate to support a conclusion. If the evidence is
    susceptible of more than one rational interpretation, we must
    uphold [FERC’s] findings.” Fall River Rural Elec. Coop. v.
    FERC, 
    543 F.3d 519
    , 525 (9th Cir. 2008) (second alteration
    in original) (quoting Bear Lake Watch, Inc. v. FERC, 
    324 F.3d 1071
    , 1076 (9th Cir. 2003)). Although we must accept
    reasonable inferences drawn by an agency, “[s]ubstantial
    evidence cannot be based upon an inference drawn from
    facts which are uncertain or speculative and which raise only
    a conjecture or a possibility.” Woods v. United States, 
    724 F.2d 1444
    , 1451 (9th Cir. 1984).
    III.
    As noted above, FERC changed its position on
    withdrawal-and-resubmission following the D.C. Circuit’s
    decision in Hoopa Valley. Hoopa Valley concerned a series
    of dams along the Klamath River in California and Oregon
    that were operated by PacifiCorp pursuant to a federal
    license. 
    913 F.3d 1099
    , 1101 (D.C. Cir. 2019). As
    PacifiCorp’s license was due to expire, PacifiCorp asked
    FERC to relicense the upper dams and decommission the
    lower dams. 
    Id.
     PacifiCorp requested Section 401
    certifications from California and Oregon. 
    Id.
     While those
    requests were pending, a consortium of parties—including
    PacifiCorp, the two states, and various other interested
    groups—entered negotiations to address certain risks
    associated with decommissioning the lower dams. 
    Id.
    Those negotiations culminated in a formal agreement, in
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 25
    which the states promised that they would not take any
    action on the certification requests and PacifiCorp promised
    to withdraw and resubmit them annually as necessary to
    preserve the states’ certification authority. 
    Id.
     at 1101–02.
    The goal of that arrangement was to pause federal licensing
    proceedings until PacifiCorp had satisfied various
    preconditions for decommissioning specified in the
    agreement, including adopting interim environmental
    measures and securing federal funds for the project. 
    Id.
    Pursuant to the agreement, PacifiCorp’s water quality
    certification requests remained undecided by California and
    Oregon even though they “ha[d] been complete and ready
    for review for more than a decade.” Id. at 1105.
    The Hoopa Valley Tribe, which was not a party to the
    contractual agreement and whose reservation is downstream
    of the dams, petitioned FERC for a declaratory order that
    California and Oregon had waived their Section 401
    certification authority. Id. at 1102. FERC declined to find a
    waiver, id., in keeping with its long-held position that the
    withdrawal-and-resubmission procedure restarted a state’s
    one-year review period. The D.C. Circuit disagreed,
    concluding that California and Oregon had demonstrated
    “deliberate and contractual idleness” by “shelving water
    quality certifications” pursuant to the “coordinated
    withdrawal-and-resubmission scheme” required by the
    parties’ contractual agreement.          Id. at 1104–05.
    Accordingly, the court held that the states had failed or
    refused to act on the certification requests within one year
    and had therefore waived their certification authority under
    Section 401. Id.
    Following Hoopa Valley, FERC began finding waiver in
    many cases where project applicants had withdrawn and
    resubmitted certification requests. FERC has applied Hoopa
    26   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    Valley not only to cases involving express agreements to
    delay certification through withdrawal-and-resubmission,
    like the agreement at issue in Hoopa Valley itself, but also to
    cases involving what FERC has deemed more informal,
    coordinated schemes. E.g., McMahan Hydroelectric, LLC,
    
    168 FERC ¶ 61,185
    , at P 37 (Sept. 20, 2019), vacated by
    N.C. Dep’t of Env’t Quality v. FERC (NCDEQ), 
    3 F.4th 655
    (4th Cir. 2021); Placer Cnty. Water Agency, 
    167 FERC ¶ 61,056
    , at P 12 (Apr. 18, 2019).
    In defining its standard for waiver, FERC draws a line
    between a “coordinated” scheme and a “unilateral”
    withdrawal-and-resubmission by the project applicant. In its
    brief to our court, FERC takes the position that “an
    applicant’s unilateral withdrawal and resubmittal is not
    imputed to the State” and therefore does not trigger a waiver.
    Ordinarily, FERC acknowledges, “[o]nce an applicant
    withdraws a request, it is not clear that the State retains
    power to act on it”; the withdrawal of the request removes it
    from the state’s consideration, and the resubmission of the
    certification request begins a new one-year review period.
    Accordingly, where the evidence shows that the state has
    merely acquiesced in a project applicant’s own decision to
    withdraw and refile—and, especially, where the state would
    have no discernible motive for attempting to procure a
    withdrawal-and-resubmission—FERC’s position is that the
    state has not waived its certification authority. See, e.g.,
    Village of Morrisville, 
    174 FERC ¶ 61,141
    , at P 22 (Feb. 24,
    2021) (“[The Vermont certifying agency’s] mere acceptance
    of Morrisville’s requests to withdraw and refile is not
    evidence of a functional agreement between the parties with
    the motivation to restart the one-year clock.”), modifying on
    reh’g 
    173 FERC ¶ 61,156
     (Nov. 19, 2020).
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 27
    By contrast, FERC contends that “where the State
    coordinates in an applicant’s withdrawal of its request, the
    State has affirmatively ‘fail[ed] or refus[ed] to act’ on it
    within one year,” and thus waived its Section 401
    certification authority. FERC emphasizes that “it is a State’s
    efforts to avoid the one-year deadline by way of withdrawal
    and resubmittal that reflect the ‘State’s dalliance or
    unreasonable delay.’” (quoting Hoopa Valley, 913 F.3d at
    1104). In other words, according to FERC, “the dispositive
    factor” is whether the state coordinates with the project
    applicant “to afford itself more time to decide a certification
    request.” Under that standard, where the state has sought a
    withdrawal-and-resubmission for its own purposes—
    perhaps, for example, because it lacks an adequate basis to
    deny certification but needs more time to craft certification
    conditions—the state has engaged in a coordinated scheme
    to avoid the one-year deadline for action.
    We need not decide whether the coordination standard
    FERC advances is consistent with the text of Section 401
    because we agree with the State Board and the
    environmental organizations that FERC’s findings of
    coordination are not supported by substantial evidence in the
    record. 11 Instead, the evidence shows only that the State
    11
    Because the Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) is
    charged with administering the Clean Water Act, including Section 401,
    EPA’s interpretations of the Act, rather than FERC’s, are entitled to
    deference under Chevron U.S.A., Inc. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 
    467 U.S. 837
     (1984). Alcoa Power Generating Inc. v. FERC, 
    643 F.3d 963
    ,
    972 (D.C. Cir. 2011). In 2020, after the events at issue here, EPA
    promulgated a final rule interpreting the waiver provision in Section 401
    for the first time, and EPA has since proposed a new rule that would
    revise and replace the 2020 rule. See 40 C.F.R. pt. 121 (codifying Clean
    Water Act Section 401 Certification Rule, 
    85 Fed. Reg. 42210
     (July 13,
    2020)); Clean Water Act Section 401 Water Quality Certification
    28        CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    Board acquiesced in the Project Applicants’ own decisions
    to withdraw and resubmit their applications rather than have
    them denied. 12
    In the Yuba-Bear Project order, FERC relied almost
    entirely on comments that the State Board submitted in
    response to FERC’s draft environmental impact statement.
    As described above, those comments stated: “The CEQA
    process has not started . . . . The most likely action will be
    that [NID] will withdraw and resubmit . . . . Otherwise, the
    State Water Board will deny certification without prejudice.”
    From those comments, FERC concluded that NID had not
    “acted voluntarily and unilaterally” in withdrawing and
    resubmitting its certification request because the State Board
    “expected NID to withdraw and refile its application.”
    Far from showing that the State Board coordinated a
    scheme to delay a decision on certification, the State Board’s
    comments (which were not even conveyed directly to NID)
    show merely that the State Board predicted that NID would
    decide to withdraw and resubmit. The State Board observed
    that NID had not started the CEQA process and that, as a
    result, “[t]he most likely action” was that NID would
    withdraw and resubmit its request. The statement describes
    the State Board’s prediction but gives no indication that the
    Improvement Rule, 
    87 Fed. Reg. 35318
     (proposed June 9, 2022) (to be
    codified at 40 C.F.R. pts. 121, 122, & 124). We need not consider EPA’s
    interpretations of Section 401 because they apply only prospectively and
    because, in any event, we do not reach the statutory-interpretation issue.
    12
    Because we vacate FERC’s orders on substantial-evidence
    grounds, we also do not reach the State Board’s arguments that FERC’s
    “coordination” standard cannot be applied retroactively either under
    Chevron Oil Co. v. Huson, 
    404 U.S. 97
     (1971), or under Montgomery
    Ward & Co. v. FTC, 
    691 F.2d 1322
     (9th Cir. 1982).
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 29
    State Board was working to engineer that outcome. Indeed,
    the State Board went on to say that it was fully prepared to
    “deny certification without prejudice” if NID took a different
    course. The comments do not suggest that the State Board
    was motivated to delay certification by way of withdrawal-
    and-resubmission. 13
    FERC’s order ignored the import of other evidence in the
    record that furnishes crucial context: It was NID that had
    failed to comply with CEQA, and thus it was NID—not the
    State Board—that apparently had a motive for delay. If,
    conversely, NID had complied with its legal obligations
    under state law, then statements like those quoted above
    might suggest that the State Board was seeking to extend its
    own decision-making window by instructing NID to
    withdraw and resubmit the application. Here, though, the
    comments indicate only that the State Board predicted that
    NID would withdraw its application because of NID’s own
    failure to comply with CEQA—and that the State Board
    would deny the certification request without prejudice if
    13
    FERC speculates in its brief that the State Board might have
    preferred withdrawal-and-resubmission because, unlike a denial without
    prejudice, the withdrawal-and-resubmission might not be subject to
    judicial review in state court. There is no evidence in the record that the
    State Board was motivated to avoid judicial review. And, in any event,
    the parties have given us no reason to believe that a state-court challenge
    to such a denial would have succeeded, given that the Project Applicants
    had not submitted the materials required by CEQA. See 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 23, § 3836
    (c) (providing that, in the absence of required CEQA
    documentation, “the certifying agency shall deny without prejudice
    certification for any discharge resulting from the proposed activity”);
    Turlock Irrigation Dist., 
    174 FERC ¶ 61,042
    , at PP 31-33 (Jan. 19, 2021)
    (noting that state law governs the validity of the State Board’s action to
    deny certification pursuant to state water quality standards), petition for
    review denied by Turlock Irrigation Dist. v. FERC, 
    36 F.4th 1179
     (D.C.
    Cir. 2022).
    30   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    NID chose not to withdraw it, as state law would have
    required, see 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 23, § 3836
    (c). In short, the
    State Board’s comments show only that it consented to
    NID’s own decision to withdraw and resubmit its
    certification requests.
    The evidence supporting FERC’s waiver finding in the
    Yuba River Project order is similarly inadequate. FERC
    relied almost exclusively on an email exchange between a
    member of the State Board’s staff and YCWA, in which the
    staff member reminded YCWA that the “final CEQA
    document for the Project has not been filed” and asked
    YCWA to “[p]lease submit a withdraw/resubmit of the
    certification application as soon as possible.” The staff
    member noted in a follow-up email that the reason for the
    urgency was that “a ‘deny without prejudice’ letter takes
    time to route to our Executive Director.”
    Considered in context, those emails do not support
    FERC’s finding of coordination. Because YCWA had not
    complied with CEQA, the State Board could not grant a
    Section 401 certification. 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 23, § 3836
    (c).
    The staff member’s request that YCWA send a withdrawal-
    and-resubmission letter merely reflected his prediction that
    YCWA would choose the withdrawal-and-resubmission
    path rather than have its certification denied by the Board.
    After all, the withdrawal-and-resubmission mechanism had
    become a standard practice employed by project applicants
    who had not yet complied with CEQA—a practice that both
    the State Board and FERC had long accepted. The follow-
    up email confirms that understanding. The State Board was
    prepared to deny certification but wanted to prepare such a
    denial before the deadline if YCWA chose not to withdraw;
    from the State Board’s perspective, withdrawal-and-
    resubmission and denial without prejudice were functional
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 31
    substitutes that would have had the same practical effect.
    Like the State Board’s comments on the Yuba-Bear Project,
    the State Board’s communication here shows only that the
    State Board acquiesced in YCWA’s own decision to
    withdraw its requests.
    Finally, in the Merced River Project order, FERC again
    relied primarily on a single email from the State Board,
    which, for similar reasons, cannot support FERC’s waiver
    finding. The email asked that MID “[p]lease withdraw the
    [sic] and simultaneously resubmit an application for water
    quality certification prior to” the deadline. 14 Once again,
    context is critical to understanding the message: MID had
    not complied with its obligation to furnish the CEQA
    documents required by state law. For that reason, the State
    Board anticipated that MID would withdraw and resubmit
    its certification request, as was the common practice, and
    accepted MID’s decision to do so. Nothing in the record
    suggests that the State Board was unprepared to deny the
    requests in accordance with state regulations if MID chose
    not to withdraw and resubmit, see 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 23, § 3836
    (c), or that the State Board had any motive to delay a
    certification decision by coordinating a withdrawal-and-
    resubmission.
    14
    As noted above, see supra note 10, the State Board was the lead
    CEQA agency for the Merced Falls Project before PG&E transferred its
    license to MID. FERC has not offered a similar email or any other
    evidence that might support a waiver determination for the Merced Falls
    Project; nor has FERC argued that the State Board’s initial role provides
    a basis for treating the Merced Falls Project differently from the Merced
    River Project. See United States v. Dreyer, 
    804 F.3d 1266
    , 1277 (9th
    Cir. 2015) (en banc) (“Generally, an appellee waives any argument it
    fails to raise in its answering brief.”).
    32   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    Indeed, for all three projects, it seems that the State
    Board, unlike the Project Applicants, would have had an
    interest in moving along the environmental-review process.
    The Project Applicants were operating under interim, annual
    licenses that were not subject to state-imposed water quality
    conditions. See supra notes 1 & 6. Completing the Section
    401 certification process would have allowed the State
    Board to impose conditions on any eventual new license.
    The evidence shows that, for all three projects, the State
    Board was at least actively engaged in relicensing
    proceedings by, for example, participating in the pre-
    application process to design the necessary environmental
    studies, submitting comments on FERC’s draft
    environmental analyses, and providing regular status
    updates to FERC on pending certification requests. The
    Project Applicants, by contrast, stood to benefit from any
    delays because a Section 401 certification likely would have
    imposed additional environmental-protection measures. See
    Turlock Irrigation Dist. v. FERC, 
    36 F.4th 1179
    , 1183 n.6
    (D.C. Cir. 2022) (noting that applicants operating under
    interim, annual licenses have “an incentive to delay” because
    their expired, decades-old licenses “presumably include[] far
    fewer environmental conditions” than current law requires).
    FERC’s remaining evidence is no more persuasive. In
    all three orders under review, FERC pointed to the serial
    withdrawals-and-resubmissions themselves.        But, as
    FERC’s own position recognizes, “an applicant’s unilateral
    withdrawal and resubmittal is not imputed to the State.”
    Even under FERC’s interpretation of the statute, the mere
    fact that withdrawals-and-resubmissions occurred cannot
    demonstrate that the State Board was engaged in a
    coordinated scheme to delay certification.
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 33
    FERC also observed in all three waiver orders that
    California’s regulations “codify [the] practice” of
    withdrawal-and-resubmission—and, in its brief to our court,
    FERC offers those regulations as additional evidence that the
    State Board directed the Project Applicants to withdraw their
    certification requests.      FERC is wrong to describe
    California’s regulations as “prescribing withdrawal as a
    response to the impending risk of federal waiver.” Those
    regulations instead state that, where a project applicant has
    failed to comply with CEQA, “the certifying agency shall
    deny without prejudice certification for any discharge
    resulting from the proposed activity unless the applicant in
    writing withdraws the request for certification.” 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 23, § 3836
    (c) (emphasis added). 15 The most that
    can be said about the regulations is that they acknowledge
    applicants’ longstanding practice—accepted by FERC for
    decades—of withdrawing and resubmitting Section 401
    certification requests to avoid having them denied for failure
    to comply with state environmental-review requirements.
    Finally, all three orders also relied on the State Board’s
    alleged failure to dispute statements by the Project
    Applicants “that the Board had all of the information it
    needed” or to request additional information. FERC’s orders
    mischaracterize the record. The State Board never disputed
    that the Project Applicants had met the minimum filing
    requirements to submit a Section 401 certification request.
    But the State Board continually reminded NID, YCWA, and
    MID that it did not have the information it would need to
    15
    As mentioned above, see supra note 2, the California legislature
    recently amended state law to permit the State Board to issue a Section
    401 certification without a final CEQA evaluation under certain
    circumstances. We express no view on how that amendment might
    affect the operation of this regulation going forward.
    34     CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    grant a request—namely, the CEQA evaluation that
    California law required, 
    Cal. Code Regs. tit. 23, § 3856
    (f).
    In short, the records in all three orders under review
    demonstrate that the Project Applicants chose to withdraw
    and resubmit their certification requests because they had not
    complied with California’s CEQA regulations. Without a
    complete CEQA evaluation, the State Board was legally
    obligated to deny the requests without prejudice, and the
    record suggests that the State Board was prepared to do so.
    To avoid such a denial, the Project Applicants employed the
    common and long-accepted withdrawal-and-resubmission
    maneuver, with the State Board’s acquiescence. 16 We note
    that, if the Project Applicants had preferred not to undertake
    withdrawal-and-resubmission, they could have declined to
    do so, forced the State Board to deny their certification
    requests, and, if they believed the denials were unwarranted,
    challenged them in state court. The Project Applicants chose
    16
    Although it appears that, from the State Board’s perspective,
    withdrawal-and-resubmission and denial without prejudice were
    functionally equivalent, the Project Applicants apparently had reasons to
    prefer withdrawal-and-resubmission.         At oral argument, FERC
    suggested that “there are risks that come with a denial” for the applicant,
    suggesting that a denial might “affect[] their investor decisions” and
    could also “imperil their federal license.” Oral Argument at 33:01-
    33:16. The latter concern apparently stems from the fact that a denial
    without prejudice might signal to FERC that the project applicant is not
    diligently pursuing Section 401 certification—which could constitute
    grounds for dismissal of the federal licensing application, see Turlock
    Irrigation Dist., 
    174 FERC ¶ 61,042
    , at PP 37-38 (Jan. 19, 2021). The
    Project Applicants confirmed at oral argument that they preferred to
    avoid denials without prejudice: “You say denial without prejudice, but
    denial is denial no matter what label you put on it. Then the applicants
    would have been in the position of deciding whether they had to appeal
    or not, if they didn’t appeal, whether they might be estopped from
    appealing in the future.” Oral Argument at 52:50-53:12.
    CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. 
    FERC 35
    not to take that path—and nothing in the record shows that
    the State Board encouraged that choice. Under FERC’s own
    coordination standard, a state’s mere acceptance of a
    withdrawal-and-resubmission is not enough to show that the
    state engaged in a coordinated scheme to avoid its statutory
    deadline for action. Accordingly, FERC’s orders cannot
    stand.
    The Fourth Circuit recently reached the same conclusion
    in a case with similar facts. See NCDEQ, 
    3 F.4th 655
    . In
    that case, FERC had also found waiver based on email
    correspondence from the certifying agency reminding the
    project applicant of the deadline for withdrawal-and-
    resubmission. 
    Id.
     at 662–64. The Fourth Circuit vacated
    FERC’s order, concluding that, even “[a]ssuming without
    deciding that a State may waive its certification authority
    under [Section] 401 by coordinating with an applicant in a
    scheme to defeat the statutory review period through a
    process of withdrawing and resubmitting the certification
    application,” the correspondence between the certifying
    agency and the project applicant was not substantial
    evidence of coordination. Id. at 676.
    We agree with the Fourth Circuit’s observation in
    NCDEQ that “it must take more than routine informational
    emails to show coordination” because the states’ “rights and
    responsibilities to ensure compliance with their own water-
    quality standards are too important to be so easily stripped
    away.” Id. at 675. Because the default term of a federal
    license is forty years, a state’s waiver could result in a
    hydroelectric project’s being noncompliant with a state’s
    standards for decades.        Considering those dramatic
    consequences, FERC’s coordination findings cannot rest on
    such thin evidence as a simple courtesy email reminding an
    applicant of an impending deadline.
    36   CAL. STATE WATER RES. CONTROL BD. V. FERC
    IV.
    For the foregoing reasons, we conclude that FERC’s
    orders are not supported by substantial evidence. We
    therefore VACATE those orders and REMAND for further
    proceedings consistent with this opinion.