Scott Wolf v. Ins. Co. of N. America ( 2022 )


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  •                        FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    SCOTT C. WOLF,                                        No. 21-35485
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    D.C. No.
    v.                             3:20-cv-05684-
    BHS
    LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY OF
    NORTH AMERICA,
    Defendant-Appellant.                      OPINION
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Western District of Washington
    Benjamin H. Settle, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted June 8, 2022
    Seattle, Washington
    Filed August 25, 2022
    Before: Ronald Lee Gilman, * Sandra S. Ikuta, and
    Eric D. Miller, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Gilman;
    Concurrence by Judge Ikuta
    *
    The Honorable Ronald Lee Gilman, United States Circuit Judge
    for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, sitting by designation.
    2         WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    SUMMARY **
    ERISA
    The panel affirmed the district court’s summary
    judgment in favor of the plaintiff in an action under the
    Employee Retirement Income Security Act concerning the
    denial of an insurance claim based on the plaintiff’s son’s
    accidental death.
    The son died in a one-car collision. He was intoxicated
    and had been driving at a high speed in the wrong direction
    down a one-way road when he hit a speed bump and lost
    control of the car, which ultimately flipped over and landed
    upside down in a body of water adjoining the road. The
    accidental death and dismemberment insurance policy
    obtained from defendant Life Insurance Company of North
    America (LINA) by the plaintiff via his employer paid
    benefits for a “Covered Accident,” defined as “[a] sudden,
    unforeseeable, external event that results, directly and
    independently of all other causes.”
    Reviewing de novo, the panel held that to determine
    whether the son’s death was the result of an “accident” under
    the policy, it must apply the Padfield test, an “overlapping
    subjective and objective inquiry.” The panel concluded that,
    under this test, there was insufficient evidence in the
    administrative record to determine the son’s subjective
    expectation at the time he died. Proceeding to the objective
    inquiry, the panel declined to consider for the first time on
    appeal LINA’s argument that because the policy defined the
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              3
    term “accident” as “a sudden, unforeseeable, external
    event,” the district court should have asked whether the son’s
    death was “reasonably foreseeable” rather than applying the
    Padfield test by asking whether his death was “substantially
    certain.” Declining to apply an exception for purely legal
    issues, the panel concluded that the plaintiff would be unduly
    prejudiced by the belated application of a “reasonably
    foreseeable” test because not only did LINA fail to raise the
    argument below, but it also did not use that test when
    initially denying the plaintiff’s insurance claim. The panel
    held that, under the Padfield test, the son’s death was an
    “accident” because, while the facts demonstrated that the son
    engaged in reckless conduct, the record did not show that his
    death was “substantially certain” to result from that conduct.
    Accordingly, the district court correctly determined that the
    son’s death was covered under the insurance policy.
    Concurring, Judge Ikuta stated that she wrote separately
    to emphasize that the panel’s opinion applied the definition
    of an “accident” set forth in Padfield v. AIG Life Ins. Co.,
    
    290 F.3d 1121
     (9th Cir. 2002), only because LINA relied on
    Padfield and forfeited its argument the insurance policy’s
    own definition of “accident” applied.
    COUNSEL
    Charles C. Huber (argued), D. Michael Reilly, and Ryan P.
    McBride, Lane Powell PC, Seattle, Washington, for
    Defendant-Appellant.
    Glenn R. Kantor (argued), Sally Mermelstein, Sarah J.
    Demers, and Stacy Monahan Tucker, Kantor & Kantor LLP,
    Northridge, California, for Plaintiff-Appellee.
    4       WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    OPINION
    GILMAN, Circuit Judge:
    Scott Wolf, Jr. (Scott) died in a one-car collision. He
    was intoxicated and had been driving at a high speed in the
    wrong direction down a one-way road when he hit a speed
    bump and lost control of the car, which ultimately flipped
    over and landed upside down in a body of water adjoining
    the road. Scott Wolf, Sr. (Wolf), Scott’s father, brought suit
    against Life Insurance Company of North America (LINA),
    alleging that LINA wrongfully denied his insurance claim
    based on Scott’s accidental death. The district court granted
    Wolf’s motion for summary judgment.
    On appeal, LINA argues that, under the language of the
    insurance policy, an event is not an “accident” if it is
    “reasonably foreseeable.” But LINA did not present that
    argument to the district court, nor to Wolf when it denied his
    claim, so it has forfeited that argument here. The appropriate
    test for whether the death in this case was an “accident” is
    therefore the one that the district court applied, which asks
    whether the resulting death was “substantially certain” to
    occur from the insured’s conduct. Although the insured’s
    conduct here was extremely reckless, the district court
    correctly concluded that his death was not “substantially
    certain” to occur. Accordingly, we AFFIRM the judgment
    of the district court.
    I. BACKGROUND
    A. The AD&D policy
    Wolf maintains an accidental death and dismemberment
    (AD&D) insurance policy from LINA through his employer.
    The policy pays benefits for, among other things, a “Covered
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              5
    Accident,” which is defined as “[a] sudden, unforeseeable,
    external event that results, directly and independently of all
    other causes.” Scott, Wolf’s 26-year-old son, was insured
    under this policy for $50,000 as his parents’ dependent.
    The policy includes a list of exclusions to coverage, such
    as for injuries resulting from skydiving, hang-gliding,
    parachuting, or acrobatic flying. Notably, however, the
    policy does not have any exclusion for incidents occurring
    while the insured was under the influence of alcohol,
    speeding, or engaged in reckless conduct.
    B. Scott’s fatal drive
    The incident in question occurred around 4:00 a.m. on
    August 19, 2018 in Clearwater, Florida. Witnesses reported
    that Scott was driving in the wrong direction on a one-way
    service road next to the Courtney Campbell Causeway,
    which is surrounded on both sides by water. The police later
    determined that Scott was traveling at approximately
    65 miles per hour, despite the service road having a speed
    limit of 10 miles per hour. He hit a speed bump, which
    caused him to lose control of the car, overcorrect, and veer
    off the road. His car then struck several tree stumps, went
    airborne over the rocky coastline, and landed upside-down
    in the adjacent bay.
    A deputy from the Clearwater Police Department
    quickly arrived on scene and pulled Scott from the
    submerged, overturned car with the assistance of a nearby
    onlooker. Scott was transported to a local hospital, where he
    was pronounced dead. After performing an autopsy, the
    county medical examiner determined that Scott had suffered
    blunt-impact injures to the head and neck and had died as a
    result of drowning. The examiner listed the “manner of
    death” as “Accident (Drove automobile off roadway into bay
    6       WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    while intoxicated).” In addition, the medical examiner’s
    toxicology report revealed that Scott had a blood alcohol
    content (BAC) of .20 grams per deciliter (0.20%).
    C. LINA’s denial of coverage
    Wolf filed a timely claim for accidental-death benefits
    with LINA in June 2019. Roughly one month later, LINA
    issued a denial letter, concluding “that Scott’s death was a
    foreseeable outcome of his voluntary actions, and thus, the
    loss was not a result of a Covered Accident as the term is
    defined” under the policy (emphases in original). In
    explaining its decision, LINA wrote:
    Foreseeability can be analyzed by examining
    whether the Insured’s intentional conduct
    was objectively reasonable, or reasonable
    based on the judgment of a similar individual.
    Because we cannot determine Scott’s
    subjective expectation prior to the incident,
    we must consider whether a reasonable
    person with a similar background would have
    viewed serious injury or death as highly
    likely to occur. He was a 26 year old with a
    valid Driver’s License and a Bachelor’s
    Degree, employed as a Technical Manager
    for a company contracted by the U.S.
    Department of Energy. The impairments
    associated with a BAC of 0.20% also support
    that he was operating his vehicle under highly
    unsafe conditions. For these reasons, it is
    reasonable to assume that a person of similar
    education and age-based experience would
    have understood that serious injury or even
    death would be highly likely to occur while
    operating a vehicle . . . with a BAC of 0.20%
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA               7
    and speeding at 6.5 times over the legal speed
    limit, the wrong way down a road.
    (emphasis in original).
    Wolf appealed, contending that if LINA “wanted to
    exclude coverage for accidental deaths arising from
    negligent or even reckless conduct on behalf of the deceased,
    they should have stated so in plain English.” He further
    pointed out that the death certificate stated that Scott’s death
    was both an accident and was due to drowning.
    In reviewing Wolf’s internal appeal, LINA engaged a
    toxicologist, Dr. Theodore Siek, to opine on what impact
    Scott’s intoxication level might have had on his driving.
    Dr. Siek observed that the “physical and mental
    impairments” of someone with a BAC above 0.18%
    “include: 1) loss of the sense of care and caution, 2) a slower
    perception and reaction time, 3) loss of coordination, and
    4) less ability to multi-task.” He further opined that Scott’s
    “immunity to pain, loss of coordination, and inability to
    perceive his dangerous situation were all impacted by
    [Scott’s] gross ethanol intoxication. Both his driving ability,
    his attitude about safety, and ability to rescue himself from
    drowning were all significant factors in his accident and
    drowning death.”
    Citing Dr. Siek’s statements, LINA upheld its denial of
    benefits following Wolf’s internal appeal. LINA again
    explained its analytical framework for assessing whether an
    event was an “accident” under the policy:
    The analytical framework to determine if the
    event was unforeseeable is for [LINA] to
    determine if the insured subjectively lacked
    an expectation of death or injury. If so, LINA
    8       WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    asks whether the suppositions that underlay
    the insured’s expectation were reasonable,
    from the perspective of the insured, allowing
    the insured a great deal of latitude and taking
    into account the insured’s personal
    characteristics and experiences. If the
    subjective expectation of the insured cannot
    be ascertained, LINA asks whether a
    reasonable person, with background and
    characteristics similar to the insured, would
    have viewed the resulting injury or death as a
    probable consequence highly likely to occur
    as a result from the insured’s conduct. Given
    the common meanings of the words, we
    interpret highly likely to occur to entail a
    level of inevitability that is of a significant or
    large degree.
    (emphasis added.) LINA concluded that a reasonable person
    with a background and characteristics similar to Scott’s
    “would have viewed the resulting death as a probable
    consequence substantially likely to occur.”
    D. The instant lawsuit
    Wolf sued LINA for benefits under the Employee
    Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA),
    
    29 U.S.C. §§ 1132
    (a), (e), (f) and (g). The parties informed
    the district court that they would file simultaneous cross-
    motions and responsive briefs. They proposed that the
    court’s judgment be based entirely on the briefs and the
    administrative record.
    LINA moved for judgment under Rule 52 of the Federal
    Rules of Civil Procedure, and Wolf filed a motion for
    summary judgment under Rule 56 of the Federal R ules of
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA                 9
    Civil Procedure. In his motion, Wolf cited statistical
    information on drunk driving that was not part of the
    administrative record. After concluding that it would not
    consider Wolf’s statistical information, the district court
    analyzed the case under the framework adopted by this court
    in Padfield v. AIG Life Insurance Co., 
    290 F.3d 1121
     (9th
    Cir. 2002).
    The district court acknowledged that “Scott was
    engaging in extremely reckless behavior,” but concluded
    that “a reasonable person would not have viewed [Scott’s
    fatal] injury as substantially certain to occur as a result of his
    actions, rendering his death accidental under the policy.”
    LINA has timely appealed that ruling.
    II. ANALYSIS
    A. Standard of review
    In an appeal under ERISA, we review de novo a district
    court’s grant of summary judgment, employing the same
    standard that governed the district court’s review of the plan
    administrator’s decision. Williams v. Nat’l Union Fire Ins.
    Co. of Pittsburgh, Pa., 
    792 F.3d 1136
    , 1139 (9th Cir. 2015).
    De novo review applies to the denial of benefits under an
    ERISA-governed insurance policy where, as is undisputed
    here, the policy does not assign the administrator
    discretionary authority to determine eligibility of benefits or
    to construe the plan’s terms. Padfield, 
    290 F.3d at
    1124–25.
    In such cases, we “simply proceed[] to evaluate whether the
    plan administrator correctly or incorrectly denied benefits.”
    Abatie v. Alta Health & Life Ins. Co., 
    458 F.3d 955
    , 963 (9th
    Cir. 2006) (en banc).
    10       WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    B. The Padfield test controls
    The key question before us is a narrow one: was Scott’s
    death the result of an “accident” under his father’s insurance
    policy? But in order to answer that question, we must first
    decide how to define the word “accident.”
    To determine whether an event is an “accident” under an
    ERISA-governed AD&D policy, this court has endorsed the
    widely accepted framework announced in the seminal case
    of Wickman v. Northwestern National Insurance Co.,
    
    908 F.2d 1077
     (1st Cir. 1990). Padfield, 
    290 F.3d at 1126
    .
    That analysis involves an “overlapping subjective and
    objective inquiry” under which
    [t]he court first asks whether the insured
    subjectively lacked an expectation of death or
    injury. If so, the court asks whether the
    suppositions that underlay the insured’s
    expectation were reasonable, from the
    perspective of the insured, allowing the
    insured a great deal of latitude and taking into
    account the insured’s personal characteristics
    and experiences.           If the subjective
    expectation of the insured cannot be
    ascertained, the court asks whether a
    reasonable person, with background and
    characteristics similar to the insured, would
    have viewed the resulting injury or death as
    substantially certain to result from the
    insured’s conduct.
    
    Id.
     (citations omitted).
    Padfield recognized that courts applying the Wickman
    framework “have used a number of slightly different verbal
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              11
    formulations to describe the objective portion of the
    inquiry.” 
    Id.
     Some courts ask whether a reasonable person
    similarly situated to the insured would view the resulting
    injury as “highly likely,” whereas others use “substantially
    certain” or “substantially likely.” 
    Id. at 1127
     (citations
    omitted). But this court held “that the ‘substantially certain’
    test is the most appropriate one, for it best allows the
    objective inquiry to ‘serve as a good proxy for actual
    expectation.’” 
    Id.
     (alterations omitted) (quoting Wickman,
    
    908 F.2d at 1088
    ).
    We begin by looking to the subjective portion of the
    Padfield test. The district court correctly concluded that
    there is insufficient evidence in the administrative record to
    determine Scott’s subjective expectation at the time he died.
    In Wolf’s view, two facts reveal Scott’s subjective
    expectations: (1) Scott was wearing his seatbelt when he
    crashed, and (2) he had turned on his hazard lights.
    According to Wolf, these facts suggest that Scott had no
    expectation of impending death. But these two facts do not
    shed sufficient light on Scott’s actual state of mind, nor does
    anything else in the administrative record.
    We thus proceed to the objective inquiry, which is where
    the crux of the parties’ disagreement lies. LINA argues that
    because the policy defines the term “accident” as “a sudden,
    unforeseeable, external event,” the district court should have
    asked whether Scott’s death was “reasonably foreseeable”
    rather than applying the Padfield test by asking whether his
    death was “substantially certain.”
    But LINA never made this argument to the district court.
    LINA averred generally that Scott’s death should not be
    deemed an “accident” under the terms of the policy, but as
    its counsel acknowledged at oral argument on appeal, it
    never specifically argued that the district court should apply
    12       WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    a “reasonably foreseeable” test instead of Padfield’s
    “substantially certain” test.     To the contrary, LINA
    represented to the district court that the Padfield test
    governed, and it argued that under that test, Scott’s death was
    not an accident.
    We generally do not consider arguments raised for the
    first time on appeal. Momox-Caselis v. Donohue, 
    987 F.3d 835
    , 841 (9th Cir. 2021). This rule, however, is subject to
    several exceptions, one of which is where “the issue
    presented is purely one of law and the opposing party will
    suffer no prejudice as a result of the failure to raise the issue
    in the trial court.” Kaass Law v. Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.,
    
    799 F.3d 1290
    , 1293 (9th Cir. 2015) (citation omitted).
    LINA asks us to invoke that exception here, insisting that
    we may consider the argument, despite any failure to raise it
    below, because it is a purely legal issue and we are
    conducting a de novo review. But Wolf would be unduly
    prejudiced by the belated application of a “reasonably
    foreseeable” test because not only did LINA fail to raise the
    argument below, it also did not use that test when initially
    denying Wolf’s claim.
    LINA relied on Padfield’s “substantially certain” test, or
    something very close to it, to define “unforeseeable” in its
    initial denial of Wolf’s claim and on his internal appeal.
    “When making a claim determination under ERISA, an
    administrator may not hold in reserve a known or reasonably
    knowable reason for denying a claim, and give that reason
    for the first time when the claimant challenges a benefits
    denial in court.” Beverly Oaks Physicians Surgical Ctr.,
    LLC v. Blue Cross & Blue Shield of Ill., 
    983 F.3d 435
    , 440
    (9th Cir. 2020) (citations and internal quotation marks
    omitted). This rule prevents a claimant from being
    “‘sandbagged’ by a rationale the plan administrator adduces
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA                13
    only after the suit has commenced.” Harlick v. Blue Shield
    of Cal., 
    686 F.3d 699
    , 720 (9th Cir. 2012) (citation omitted).
    In its initial denial, LINA phrased the objective portion
    of the two-part test as whether a reasonable person similarly
    situated to the insured “would have viewed serious injury or
    death as highly likely to occur.” Elaborating on this
    definition in its denial of Wolf’s internal appeal, LINA stated
    that it “interpret[ed] highly likely to occur to entail a level of
    inevitability that is of a significant or large degree.”
    We believe that the difference between “significantly or
    largely inevitable” and “substantially certain” is purely
    semantic. In any event, LINA did not rely on a “reasonable
    foreseeability” test in denying coverage. It instead applied
    the “highly likely” common-law test for what is considered
    an “accident,” as developed in the Wickman line of cases. At
    oral argument, LINA’s counsel insisted that LINA was
    “writing to a standard it didn’t have to meet.” But whether
    it needed to meet that standard is beside the point. Having
    employed that standard in its denial of coverage, it may not
    now argue that the claim was denied because Scott’s death
    was “reasonably foreseeable,” which is “a far broader
    standard than an event that is reasonably viewed as ‘highly
    likely to occur.’” See McClelland v. Life Ins. Co. of N. Am.,
    
    679 F.3d 755
    , 760 n.3 (8th Cir. 2012).
    LINA responds by arguing that this is not a new reason
    for denial, and that Wolf was not “sandbagged,” because it
    consistently cited the “Covered Accident” provision as the
    reason for its denial. It notes that the denial letter states that
    “Scott’s death was a foreseeable outcome of his voluntary
    actions.” (emphasis in original). But LINA consistently
    defined “foreseeable” as “highly likely,” which is
    “fundamentally inconsistent” with a definition of
    “reasonably foreseeable.” See King, 414 F.3d at 1003
    14      WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    (concluding that the two standards represent different bases
    on which to consider a claim for benefits).
    “The two definitions are at opposite poles” because
    “[t]he common law definition asks whether the victim could
    reasonably have expected to escape the injury,” whereas the
    “foreseeability” test “asks whether the victim could
    reasonably have expected to suffer the injury.” King v.
    Hartford Life & Accident Ins. Co., 
    414 F.3d 994
    , 1008 (8th
    Cir. 2005) (en banc) (Bright, J., concurring) (emphases in
    original); see also Johnson v. Am. United Life Ins. Co.,
    
    716 F.3d 813
    , 826 (4th Cir. 2013) (explaining the
    “significant difference between these standards”). Applying
    the “reasonably foreseeable” test would therefore constitute
    a new, post hoc rationale for the denial of Wolf’s claim that
    would unduly prejudice Wolf.
    “Requiring that plan administrators provide a participant
    with specific reasons for denial ‘enable[s] the claimant to
    prepare adequately for any further administrative review, as
    well as appeal to the federal courts.’” Mitchell v. CB Richard
    Ellis Long Term Disability Plan, 
    611 F.3d 1192
    , 1199 n.2
    (9th Cir. 2010) (alteration in original) (quoting Halpin v.
    W.W. Grainger, Inc., 
    962 F.2d 685
    , 689 (7th Cir. 1992)).
    After being told that the claim was denied because Scott’s
    death was “highly likely” to occur under the circumstances,
    Wolf was given an opportunity to appeal that decision both
    internally and in federal court by showing that Scott’s death
    was not “highly likely” or “substantially certain” to occur.
    But by waiting until the case was before this court to
    argue that a much lower standard of “accident” should apply
    to the claim, LINA denied Wolf the opportunity to present
    on the internal appeal different arguments and evidence that
    would likely be relevant if he had known that LINA was
    applying the lower standard.          LINA’s “reasonably
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              15
    foreseeable” test has therefore been forfeited, and Padfield’s
    “substantially certain” test applies.
    C. Scott’s death was an “accident” because his death
    was not “substantially certain” to occur under the
    circumstances
    “The question of whether drunk-driving deaths or
    injuries are ‘accidental’ for purposes of accidental death
    insurance has perplexed the judiciary for some time.”
    Johnson, 716 F.3d at 816. This court, however, has not
    previously had the occasion to weigh in and apply the
    Padfield test to a death or injury involving drunk driving.
    Events that can cause death span a vast continuum that
    range from intentionally driving off a cliff into the ocean
    below (a clear suicide) to driving off a bridge that has
    suddenly collapsed due to a structural failure (an undisputed
    accident). All jurists would agree that an accidental-death
    policy, such as the one involved here, would exclude
    coverage for driving off the cliff but allow coverage for
    driving off the bridge. The facts of this case, as in most cases
    involving drunk driving, fall somewhere in between.
    There is no categorical rule excluding insurance
    coverage for all alcohol-related deaths. Stamp v. Metro. Life
    Ins Co., 
    531 F.3d 84
    , 91 (1st Cir. 2008). Instead, courts
    “have been careful to explain that the proper approach is
    fact-specific and that the decedent’s degree of intoxication is
    particularly probative.” 
    Id.
     at 91 n.9. The key facts that we
    must consider here are that Scott had a BAC of 0.20% and
    was driving his car 65 miles per hour in the wrong direction
    in a 10-miles-per-hour zone at 4:00 a.m. Although these
    facts demonstrate that Scott undoubtedly engaged in reckless
    conduct, the record does not show that his death was
    “substantially certain” to result from that conduct.
    16      WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    Both Wolf and LINA cite various cases that support their
    respective positions as to whether drunk-driving deaths are
    “accidents.” In considering the cited cases, we note a clear
    pattern between cases that applied de novo review versus
    those that applied the abuse-of-discretion or arbitrary-and-
    capricious standard.
    To our knowledge, all of the relevant cases from our
    sister circuits have held that a drunk-driving death was a
    covered accident under an AD&D policy when applying de
    novo review. In each of the circuit cases that LINA cites,
    which vary in regard to the recklessness of the insured’s
    actions, the courts were reviewing the administrator’s
    decision under the abuse-of-discretion or arbitrary-and-
    capricious standard. That was because the plans at issue
    vested the administrator with discretionary authority to
    determine eligibility for benefits or to construe the policy’s
    terms. See Sanchez v. Life Ins. Co. of N. Am., 393 F. App’x
    229, 230–32 (5th Cir. 2010) (BAC of 0.174%); Davis v. Life
    Ins. Co. of N. Am., 379 F. App’x 393, 394–395 (5th Cir.
    2010) (BAC between 0.28% and 0.36%); Stamp, 
    531 F.3d at 86, 87
     (BAC of 0.265%); Lennon v. Metro. Life Ins. Co.,
    
    504 F.3d 617
    , 619–620 (6th Cir. 2007) (BAC of 0.321%);
    Eckelberry v. Reliastar Life Ins. Co., 
    469 F.3d 340
    , 342–343
    (4th Cir. 2006) (BAC of 0.15%); Cozzie v. Metro. Life Ins.
    Co., 
    140 F.3d 1104
    , 1106–08 (7th Cir. 1998) (BAC
    of 0.252%).
    Under that far more deferential standard, courts “do not
    search for the best interpretation of a plan or even for one
    [they] might independently adopt”; instead, they ask only if
    the administrator’s interpretation of the plan was
    “reasonable.” Eckelberry, 
    469 F.3d at 343
    . Deferring to a
    “reasonable” interpretation is particularly significant, if not
    outcome-determinative, in an arena such as this where
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              17
    judges and commentators alike have acknowledged the
    difficulty of determining what is an “accident” when drunk
    driving is involved. See Lennon, 
    504 F.3d at
    627 & n. 2
    (Clay, J., dissenting) (noting that “the barrage of case law”
    on the question of what the word “accident” means “suggests
    that the meaning of ‘accidental’ is anything but plain”);
    Douglas R. Richmond, Drunk in the Serbonian Bog:
    Intoxicated Drivers’ Deaths as Insurance Accidents,
    32 SEATTLE U. L. REV. 83, 83 (2008) (describing this as “an
    astonishingly difficult question to answer”).
    Notably, the two circuits that have considered this
    question de novo both held that the drunk-driving deaths at
    issue were accidents. See Johnson, 716 F.3d at 819, 822–
    23; LaAsmar v. Phelps Dodge Corp. Life, Accidental Death
    & Dismemberment & Dependent Life Ins. Plan, 
    605 F.3d 789
    , 800, 813–14 (10th Cir. 2010). The Eighth Circuit also
    reached the same result under the far more deferential abuse-
    of-discretion standard of review, concluding that a drunk-
    driving death was an “accident” under LINA’s identical
    AD&D policy. McClelland v. Life Ins. Co. of N. Am.,
    
    679 F.3d 755
    , 760–61 (8th Cir. 2012). Importantly, the
    insureds in these cases were as reckless, if not more reckless,
    than Scott was here.
    In Johnson, the insured was driving at 1:30 a.m. with a
    BAC of 0.289% when he lost control of his vehicle and
    veered off the road, struck a highway sign, and flipped over
    multiple times. The Fourth Circuit applied the “substantially
    certain” test in the absence of any policy definition of the
    word “accident.” 716 F.3d at 826. In the record was “only
    general statistical data regarding the extent to which a
    driver’s ability to operate a vehicle is impaired by alcohol.”
    Id. Although that data “support[ed] the conclusion that
    injury or death is a reasonably foreseeable consequence of
    18       WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    driving at significant levels of intoxication,” the court held
    that the data did not “demonstrate[] that driving with a BAC
    of .289[%] under these circumstances [was] substantially
    certain to result in death or severe injury.” Id. (emphasis in
    original).
    In LaAsmar, the insured had a BAC of 0.227% when he
    was driving in the early morning hours on a two-lane country
    road at a speed of 60 miles per hour in a 40-miles-per-hour
    zone. He was not wearing his seat belt when he was ejected
    from the car as it left the road and rolled four and one-quarter
    times. The policy at issue did not define the word
    “accident,” and the Tenth Circuit refused to supply one.
    
    605 F.3d at
    809–13. Instead, the court asked only whether a
    reasonable person would believe that the insured’s death in
    these circumstances was the result of an “accident.” 
    Id.
    at 806–08.
    The LaAsmar court answered in the affirmative because
    a reasonable person “would call the resulting rollover an
    ‘accident’ . . . whether [the insured] wrecked his truck
    because he fell asleep or lost control because he was
    speeding.” 
    Id. at 808
    . “It should also be true,” the court
    concluded, “if he ran off the road because he had a BAC of
    .227[%].” 
    Id.
     Although the court made clear that it was “not
    suggesting that there are no circumstances where an insured
    would be so drunk that a resulting wreck could no longer be
    deemed an accident,” it held that the facts of the case did not
    clear that bar. 
    Id.
    Finally, in McClelland, the insured had a BAC of
    0.203% when he was riding his motorcycle and “playing
    ‘follow the leader’ with another motorcycle and possibly
    [another] vehicle by weaving in and out of traffic for
    approximately six miles.” 
    679 F.3d at 758, 761
    . He was not
    wearing a helmet and was estimated to be traveling at
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              19
    90 miles per hour when he missed a curve, slipped onto a
    gravel shoulder, and flipped several times. 
    Id. at 758
    . His
    LINA insurance policy defined the word “accident” exactly
    as the policy does here.
    The Eighth Circuit in McClelland applied the Wickman
    test in determining whether an accident had occurred. 
    Id.
    at 759–61. It reasoned that LINA had overlooked evidence
    indicating the insured’s subjective belief that death was not
    highly likely. 
    Id.
     at 760–61. This belief was objectively
    reasonable, the court held, because although he was driving
    very fast with an elevated BAC, he “had been successfully
    performing this feat for a distance of several miles.” 
    Id. at 761
    . The court therefore determined that LINA had
    abused its discretion in concluding that this was not an
    “accident” under the policy. 
    Id.
     at 761–62.
    When considered in light of Johnson, LaAsmar, and
    McClelland, the record before us does not support the
    conclusion that death was substantially certain to result from
    Scott’s conduct. His actions were quite comparable to those
    of the insureds in the cases just cited. Scott’s BAC was
    slightly less than that of the insured in McClelland, and the
    insured there drove much faster. Similarly, although Scott
    was speeding more than the insureds in Johnson and
    LaAsmar (in relation to the applicable speed limits), he was
    significantly less intoxicated than the insureds in those cases.
    The record also provides little to no information that
    would allow us to assess the actual likelihood of Scott’s
    death from his actions. Johnson is particularly persuasive on
    this point. As here, the record in that case consisted chiefly
    of information supporting the “widely-accepted common-
    sense proposition that blood alcohol concentration is directly
    correlated with the degree of impairment an individual
    20      WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    displays when driving after drinking.” Johnson, 716 F.3d at
    826 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The only information in the record here touching on the
    likelihood of Scott dying is found in the statements from
    Dr. Siek. He stated that “[t]he probability of accidents
    increases exponentially as the [BAC] goes above 0.08[%]”
    and that “[b]oth the driving accident and the inability to save
    himself from drowning were impacted by his state of
    intoxication.” The doctor’s opinion, however, reflects
    nothing more than the common knowledge that the
    probability of accidents increases as one gets more
    intoxicated. And, as the Tenth Circuit has pointed out, “[t]he
    fact that driving drunk may increase the chances of being
    killed in an accident does not necessarily make that accident
    expected.” LaAsmar, 
    605 F.3d at
    811–12 (citation omitted).
    In addition, Dr. Siek opined as to the specific “physical
    and mental impairments” that would result from a BAC at
    Scott’s level. Once more, though, evidence that “makes
    clear that impairment is highly likely” for someone with
    Scott’s BAC does not help answer whether that impairment
    is substantially certain to result in death. See Johnson,
    716 F.3d at 826.
    None of this information sheds light on how likely
    Scott’s death was because the record is devoid of any “data
    with respect to drunk driving fatalities [or serious injuries]
    in relation to the incidents of drunk driving generally.” See
    id.; see also West v. Aetna Life Ins. Co., 
    171 F. Supp. 2d 856
    ,
    903 (N.D. Iowa 2001) (holding, in a case where the insured
    fatally crashed with a BAC of 0.20%, that an insurer
    unreasonably withheld benefits because it “identifie[d] no
    evidence establishing any link between some degree of
    impairment, or even increasing degrees of impairment, and
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              21
    increasing probability of death or injury.” (emphasis in
    original) (internal quotation marks omitted)).
    There is no doubt that “drunk driving is ill-advised,
    dangerous, and easily avoidable.” Kovach v. Zurich Am. Ins.
    Co., 
    587 F.3d 323
    , 330 (6th Cir. 2009). But many accidents,
    if not most, involve an element of negligence or even
    recklessness on the part of the insured. People all too
    frequently fail to heed stop signs, drive while intoxicated, or
    exceed the speed limit. Death caused by such conduct is,
    however, a statistical rarity, and the record before us does
    not show that Scott’s particular act of drunk driving was
    substantially certain to result in his death. The district court
    therefore correctly determined that Scott’s death was an
    “accident” and thus covered under his father’s insurance
    policy.
    III. CONCLUSION
    “The solution for insurance companies like [LINA] is
    simple: add an express exclusion in policies covering
    accidental injuries for driving while under the influence of
    alcohol, or for any other risky activity that the company
    wishes to exclude.” Kovach, 
    587 F.3d at 338
    . This would
    allow policyholders “to form reasonable expectations about
    what type of coverage they are purchasing without having to
    make sense of conflicting bodies of caselaw that deal with
    obscure issues of contractual interpretation.” 
    Id.
    LINA did not do so here, which leaves us to decide how
    to construe the word “accident,” an inherently difficult
    concept to fully capture. And because LINA waited until
    this appeal to first argue that Padfield’s definition of the
    word “accident” should not apply, it forfeited that argument.
    The district court therefore correctly applied Padfield when
    it concluded that Scott’s death was not “substantially
    22      WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA
    certain” to occur from his conduct, and was thus accidental.
    Accordingly, we AFFIRM the judgment of the district
    court.
    IKUTA, Circuit Judge, concurring:
    I write separately to emphasize that today’s opinion
    applies the definition of “accident” set forth in Padfield v.
    AIG Life Ins. Co., 
    290 F.3d 1121
     (9th Cir. 2002), only
    because the Life Insurance Company of North America
    (LINA) relied on Padfield and forfeited its argument that the
    insurance policy’s own definition of “accident” applies.
    It has long been established that courts “faced with
    questions of insurance policy interpretation under ERISA”
    must “apply federal common law.” 
    Id. at 1125
    . And it is a
    bedrock common law rule that “courts should first look to
    explicit language of the agreement to determine, if possible,
    the clear intent of the parties.” Gilliam v. Nevada Power
    Co., 
    488 F.3d 1189
    , 1194 (9th Cir. 2007) (cleaned up). This
    is because “ERISA’s primary purpose is to ensure the
    integrity of written, bargained-for benefit plans,” Zurich Am.
    Ins. Co. v. O’Hara, 
    604 F.3d 1232
    , 1236 (11th Cir. 2010),
    and “applying federal common law doctrines to alter ERISA
    plans is inappropriate where the terms of an ERISA plan are
    clear and unambiguous,” 
    id.
     at 1237 n.4.
    Thus, if a policy defines the term “accident,” we must
    apply that definition. See Gilliam, 
    488 F.3d at 1194
    . Indeed,
    we have only applied the Padfield definition in cases where
    the relevant policy did not define the term “accident.” See
    Padfield, 
    290 F.3d at 1124
    ; Williams v. Nat’l Union Fire Ins.
    Co. of Pittsburgh, PA, 
    792 F.3d 1136
    , 1138 (9th Cir. 2015).
    And, in cases where the relevant term is defined by the
    WOLF V. LIFE INS. CO. OF NORTH AMERICA              23
    policy, we apply only that definition. See Gilliam, 
    488 F.3d at 1195
     (“Our task therefore is to determine whether . . . the
    plan’s definition of ‘earnings’ . . . includes [the plaintiff’s]
    severance pay.”).
    Here, as the court’s opinion notes, Wolf’s insurance
    policy expressly defines the term “accident” as “[a] sudden,
    unforeseeable, external event that results, directly and
    independently of all other causes.” In the ordinary case,
    then, our inquiry would be whether the death of Wolf’s son
    was “sudden” and “unforeseeable.” See Gilliam, 
    488 F.3d at
    1194–95. However, LINA forfeited its argument that the
    policy’s definition of “accident” applies by failing to present
    that argument when it denied Wolf’s claim and at the district
    court. Because LINA forfeited that argument, we forego the
    general rule that the express language in the policy applies,
    see Gilliam, 
    488 F.3d at
    1194–95, and rely on the definition
    in Padfield instead.
    Indeed, applying the Padfield framework in this case for
    any other reason would be contrary to our precedent. See 
    id.
    Because the court’s opinion is consistent with that precedent,
    I concur.