John Doe 1 v. Donald Trump ( 2020 )


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  •                 FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    JOHN DOE #1; JUAN RAMON                  No. 19-36020
    MORALES; JANE DOE, # 2; IRIS
    ANGELINA CASTRO; BLAKE DOE;                 D.C. No.
    BRENDA VILLARRUEL; LATINO               3:19-cv-01743-SI
    NETWORK; JANE DOE, # 3; GABINO
    SORIANO CASTELLANOS,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,        ORDER
    v.
    DONALD J. TRUMP, in his official
    capacity as President of the United
    States; U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
    HOMELAND SECURITY; CHAD F.
    WOLF, Secretary, U.S. Department
    of Homeland Security; U.S.
    DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN
    SERVICES; ALEX M. AZAR II,
    Secretary of Health and Human
    Services; U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
    STATE; MICHAEL POMPEO, Secretary
    of State, in his official capacity;
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    2                         DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Filed May 4, 2020
    Before: Sidney R. Thomas, Chief Judge, and Marsha S.
    Berzon and Daniel A. Bress, Circuit Judges.
    Order by Chief Judge Thomas;
    Dissent by Judge Bress
    SUMMARY*
    Immigration / Preliminary Injunction
    The panel denied the government’s motion for a stay
    pending appeal of the district court’s preliminary injunction
    enjoining Presidential Proclamation No. 9945, Suspension of
    Entry of Immigrants Who Will Financially Burden the United
    States Health Care System.
    Issued on October 4, 2019, the Proclamation barred, with
    some exceptions, individuals seeking to enter the United
    States on an immigrant visa from entering unless they could
    demonstrate that they will be covered by certain approved
    health insurance within 30 days of entry or that they have the
    resources to cover foreseeable healthcare costs. Individual
    Plaintiffs are seven U.S. citizens who are sponsoring family
    members for immigrant visas and whose applicant family
    members have successfully completed the traditional steps for
    obtaining an immigrant visa, but would be barred from
    entering the United States under the Proclamation. The
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        3
    organizational Plaintiff provides programs aimed at educating
    and empowering a community of Latinos in Oregon and
    provides services to navigate the immigrant visa process.
    First, the panel concluded that the government failed to
    meet its burden of showing irreparable harm absent a stay,
    explaining that: 1) the government’s perceived institutional
    injury is not “irreparable” because the government may yet
    vindicate its interests in this litigation; 2) the government’s
    claim of harm in the form of costs to healthcare providers and
    taxpayers by uninsured immigrants was not supported by the
    record, and the court was not required to accept the
    Proclamation’s conclusory findings as true; and 3) the harm
    asserted by the government is purely monetary, and such
    injury is not normally considered irreparable.
    The panel also concluded that the record amply supported
    the district court’s conclusion that Plaintiffs would suffer
    irreparable harm absent preliminary injunctive relief. The
    panel explained that, based on findings that Plaintiffs and
    60% of visa applicants would be unable to satisfy the
    requirements of the Proclamation, the district court concluded
    that the Proclamation would result in prolonged separation
    from family members, a factor that this court has held
    constitutes sufficient irreparable harm.
    The panel noted that its analysis could conclude here,
    given that if a stay applicant cannot show irreparable harm,
    a stay may not issue, regardless of the petitioner’s proof
    regarding the other stay factors, but concluded that the
    context of this case suggested that the panel should proceed
    with examining the remaining factors.
    4                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Second, the panel concluded that the government had not
    met the high standard of showing a strong likelihood of
    success on the merits. In doing so, the panel observed that,
    as a motions panel, it must take care not to prejudge the
    merits of the appeal, but rather to assess the posture of the
    case in the context of the necessity of a stay pending
    presentation to a merits panel. Further, the panel concluded
    that the government had not shown a strong likelihood of
    success on Plaintiffs’ claim that the Proclamation conflicts
    with the Violence Against Women Act’s amendments to the
    Immigration and Nationality Act (“INA”), the Affordable
    Care Act, and the “public charge” provision of the INA.
    The panel also considered 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f), the section
    of the INA that provides that the President may, under certain
    circumstances, “for such a period as he shall deem necessary,
    suspend the entry of all aliens or any class of aliens . . . or
    impose on the entry of aliens any restrictions he may deem to
    be appropriate.” The panel acknowledged that the President
    is owed broad deference with respect to this provision, but
    nonetheless concluded at this juncture, for two reasons, that
    the Plaintiffs are likely to succeed in refuting the
    government’s contention that § 1182(f) legitimizes the
    Proclamation: 1) the Proclamation’s perfunctory time
    limitations do not comport with the textual limits of
    § 1182(f); and 2) § 1182(f) does not provide the President
    with limitless power to deny visas to immigrants based on
    purely long-term economic concerns.
    Third, the panel concluded that a stay would substantially
    injure Plaintiffs, as well other parties, including Twenty-one
    states, the District of Columbia, and the City of New York, all
    of which filed amici briefing describing the significant harm
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         5
    they and other governmental entities will suffer if the
    Proclamation goes into effect.
    Fourth, the panel concluded that the public interest lies
    with maintaining the status quo while the appeal is pending,
    explaining that for countless decades, a stable immigration
    system has provided for families to be united through a visa
    system that did not require purchase of selected insurance
    products. Given the irreparable harm to the Plaintiffs, the
    lack of irreparable harm to the United States for maintaining
    the status quo pending resolution of this appeal, and the
    injury to other parties if the Proclamation is immediately
    implemented, the panel concluded that the public interest
    favors preserving the status quo.
    Finally, the panel concluded that the district court did not
    abuse its discretion in entering a nationwide injunction. The
    panel noted that, subsequent to the preliminary injunction, the
    district court certified two nationwide subclasses and that the
    government had not yet sought to appeal that certification.
    Because the class here is nationwide, and because a
    nationwide injunction is necessary to provide the class
    members with complete relief, the panel concluded that the
    scope of the injunction is appropriate at this juncture,
    regardless of whether or not it was when originally issued.
    Thus, the panel concluded that, because the certified class is
    nationwide and promotes uniformity in administering federal
    immigration law, the district court did not abuse its discretion
    as to the scope of the injunction.
    Accordingly, the panel denied the motion and directed the
    Clerk of Court to expedite the appeal.
    6                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Dissenting, Judge Bress wrote that the majority’s decision
    is yet the latest example of this court allowing a universal
    injunction of a clearly constitutional Executive Branch
    immigration policy. First, as to success on the merits, Judge
    Bress concluded that the majority erred in concluding that the
    Proclamation is likely unconstitutional and that it conflicts
    with the INA and other statutes. Second, Judge Bress
    concluded that the government established irreparable harm
    to the interests the Executive seeks to promote through the
    Proclamation and to the core separation of powers principles
    that make the Proclamation lawful, and established harm in
    the form of costs while the injunction remains in effect.
    Third, as to harm to the opposing party, Judge Bress wrote
    plaintiffs had not established that their relatives are entitled
    to visas but for the Proclamation. Fourth, Judge Bress
    concluded that the public interest strongly supports staying
    the injunction, stating that the majority added a new,
    unauthorized stay factor: preservation of the status quo.
    Judge Bress also wrote that, even if maintenance of the status
    quo were among the factors that courts consider in this
    context, the actual status quo is a legal environment in which
    the Proclamation is authorized.
    Finally, as to the scope of the injunction, Judge Bress
    wrote that the majority’s reliance on the district court’s recent
    class certification decision was a concession that the scope of
    the injunction was invalid when issued. Judge Bress also
    concluded that the problem with many nationwide
    injunctions, as here, is that they are premised on class
    certification orders that are themselves infirm. Further, Judge
    Bress wrote that this circuit has co-opted the policy of
    promoting uniform immigration laws as a justification for
    courts issuing nationwide injunctions of Executive Branch
    immigration policies.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       7
    COUNSEL
    August E. Flentje (argued), Special Counsel; Courtney E.
    Moran, Trial Attorney; Brian C. Ward, Senior Litigation
    Counsel; William C. Peachey, Director; Joseph H. Hunt,
    Assistant Attorney General; Office of Immigration Litigation,
    United States Department of Justice, Washington, D.C.; for
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Naomi A. Igra (argued) and Benjamin Gillig, Sidley Austin
    LLP, San Francisco, California; Esther Sung (argued) and
    Karen C. Tumlin, Justice Action Center, Los Angeles,
    California; Nadia H. Dahab and Stephen W. Manning,
    Innovation Law Lab, Portland, Oregon; Jesse Bless,
    American Immigration Lawyers Association, Washington,
    D.C.; Kevin M. Fee and Scott D. Stein, Sidley Austin LLP,
    Chicago, Illinois; for Plaintiffs-Appellees.
    Michael W. Weaver, McDermott Will & Emery LLP,
    Chicago, Illinois, for Amici Curiae 38 Health Policy Experts.
    Xavier Becerra, Attorney General; Michael L. Newman,
    Senior Assistant Attorney General; Kathleen Boergers and
    Sarah E. Belton, Supervising Deputy Attorneys General;
    Srividya Panchalam, Marissa Malouff, and Nimrod Pitsker
    Elias, Deputy Attorneys General; Office of the General,
    Oakland, California; Ellen F. Rosenblum, Attorney General;
    Benjamin Gutman, Solicitor General; Michael C. Kron,
    Special Counsel; Deanna J. Chang, Senior Assistant Attorney
    General; Department of Justice, Portland, Oregon; Michael N.
    Feuer, Corporation Counsel, Oakland, California; Dennis
    Herrera, City Attorney, San Francisco, California; James R.
    Williams, County Counsel, Santa Clara, California; Philip J.
    Weiser, Attorney General, Colorado; Karl A. Racine,
    8                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Attorney General, District of Columbia; William Tong,
    Attorney General, Connecticut; Kathleen Jennings, Attorney
    General, Delaware; Clare E. Connors, Attorney General,
    Hawai‘i; Kwame Raoul, Attorney General, and Mark A.
    Flessner, Corporation Counsel, Chicago, Illinois; Aaron M.
    Frey, Attorney General, Maine; Brian E. Frosh, Attorney
    General, and Andre M. Davis, City Solicitor, Baltimore,
    Maryland; Maura Healey, Attorney General, Massachusetts;
    Dana Nessel, Attorney General, Michigan; Keith Ellison,
    Attorney General, Minnesota; Aaron D. Ford, Attorney
    General, Nevada; Gurbir S. Grewal, Attorney General, and
    Angelo Auteri, Corporation Counsel, Union City, New
    Jersey; Hector Balderas, Attorney General, New Mexico;
    Letitia James, Attorney General, and James E. Johnson,
    Corporation Cousnel, New York, New York; Joshua H. Stein,
    Attorney General, and Nick Herman, Counsel, Carrboro,
    North Carolina; Josh Shapiro, Attorney General, and Marcel
    S. Pratt, City Solicitor, Philadelphia, Pennsylania; Peter F.
    Neronha, Attorney General, Rhode Island; Thomas J.
    Donovan Jr., Attorney General, Vermont; Mark R. Herring,
    Attorney General, Virginia; Robert W. Ferguson, Attorney
    General, and Peter S. Holmes, City Attorney, Seattle,
    Washington; Josh Kaul, Attorney General, Wisconsin; for
    Amici Curiae States and Cities.
    Martha Jane Perkins and Sarah Grusin, National Health Law
    Program, Carrboro, North Carolina, for Amici Curiae
    National Health Law Program, American Public Health
    Association, and 48 Other Organizations.
    Laura McNally and Neil Nandi, Loeb & Loeb LLP, Chicago,
    Illinois; Peter S. Margulies, Bristol, Rhode Island; Shoba
    Sivaprasad Wadhia, University Park, Pennsylvania; for Amici
    Curiae Immigration Law Professors.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        9
    Nicholas Levenhagen and Elizabeth Zirker, Disability Rights
    California, San Diego, California, for Amici Curiae Disability
    Rights California, Center for Public Representation,
    Disability Rights Advocates, Disability Rights Education &
    Defense Fund, Disability Rights Oregon, National Council on
    Independent Living, National Disability Rights Network, and
    The Arc.
    Daniel B. Asimov, Arnold & Porter Kaye Scholer LLP, San
    Francisco, California; John A. Freedman and Jeremy
    Karpatkin, Arnold & Porter Kaye Scholer LLP, Washington,
    D.C.; for Amici Curiae CASA, Center for Constitutional
    Rights, Make the Road New York, and National Immigration
    Law Center.
    Sheryl Garko, Orrick Herrington & Sutcliffe LLP, Boston,
    Massachusetts, for Amici Curiae American Medical
    Association, Oregon Medical Association, and American
    Academy of Pediatrics.
    10                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    ORDER
    THOMAS, Chief Judge:
    In this case, we consider the government’s motion to stay
    the district court’s preliminary injunction enjoining a
    Presidential Proclamation restricting family-sponsored
    immigrants from entering the United States without acquiring
    specified health insurance. We deny the motion. We direct
    the Clerk of Court to expedite the appeal.
    I
    The Immigration and Nationality Act (“INA”), Pub. L.
    No. 82-414, 66 Stat. 163 (1952), allows noncitizens to apply
    for an immigrant visa to permit them to permanently reside in
    the United States. 8 U.S.C. §§ 1101(a)(15), 1181(a),
    1182(a)(7), 1201(a). Before an individual may apply for an
    immigrant visa, a prospective employer or a family member
    who is a United States citizen or lawful permanent resident
    must file a sponsorship petition on behalf of the individual.
    Id. §§ 1151(a)–(b),
    1153. The petition is submitted to and
    approved by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services,
    which forwards the approved petition to the National Visa
    Center. See
    id. § 1201.
    The immigrant must then complete
    visa processing and schedule an in-person interview before a
    consular officer at a U.S. embassy or consulate. See
    id. § 1202(a),
    (e); 22 C.F.R. § 42.62. The consular officer then
    makes a determination to issue or refuse the visa application.
    See 8 U.S.C. § 1201(a)(1), (g); 22 C.F.R. §§ 42.71, 42.81(a).
    If an immigrant falls into one of the ten categories
    enumerated in 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a), they are deemed ineligible
    for a visa and ineligible for admission into the United States.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       11
    Currently, insured status is not one of the criteria for
    eligibility. See 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a).
    On October 4, 2019, the President issued the
    Proclamation in dispute, Proclamation No. 9945, entitled
    Suspension of Entry of Immigrants Who Will Financially
    Burden the United States Healthcare System, in Order to
    Protect the Availability of Healthcare Benefits for Americans,
    84 Fed. Reg. 53,991. The Proclamation identified the
    perceived problem of uncompensated medical expenses in the
    United States, stating, without citation to any source, “data
    show that lawful immigrants are about three times more
    likely than United States citizens to lack health insurance.”
    To address this issue, the Proclamation barred, with some
    exceptions, individuals seeking to enter the United States on
    an immigrant visa from entering the United States unless they
    could demonstrate that they will be covered by certain
    approved health insurance within 30 days of entry or that they
    have the resources to cover foreseeable healthcare costs.
    Id. at 53,992.
    The Proclamation identified a narrow definition of what
    constitutes “an approved health insurance plan,” namely:
    (i) an employer-sponsored plan, including a
    retiree plan, association health plan, and
    coverage provided by the Consolidated
    Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1985;
    (ii) an unsubsidized health plan offered in the
    individual market within a State;
    (iii) a short-term limited duration health
    policy effective for a minimum of
    12                   DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    364 days—or until the beginning of planned,
    extended travel outside the United States;
    (iv) a catastrophic plan;
    (v) a family member’s plan;
    (vi) a medical plan under chapter 55 of title
    10, United States Code, including coverage
    under the TRICARE program;
    (vii) a visitor health insurance plan that
    provides adequate coverage for medical care
    for a minimum of 364 days—or until the
    beginning of planned, extended travel outside
    the United States;
    (viii) a medical plan under the Medicare
    program; or
    (ix) any other health plan that provides
    adequate coverage for medical care as
    determined by the Secretary of Health and
    Human Services or his designee.
    Id. By the
    terms of the Proclamation, Medicaid does not
    constitute “approved health insurance” for individuals over
    the age of 18.
    Id. The President
    directed that the Proclamation become
    effective at 12:01 a.m. eastern daylight time on November 3,
    2019. On October 30, Plaintiffs filed this action. The
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        13
    individual Plaintiffs are seven U.S. citizens who are
    sponsoring family members for immigrant visas and whose
    applicant family members have successfully completed the
    traditional steps for obtaining an immigrant visa, but would
    be barred from entering the United States under the
    Proclamation. The organizational Plaintiff is the Latino
    Action Network, an organization that provides programs
    aimed at educating and empowering Latinos in Multnomah
    County, Oregon. The Latino Action Network also provides
    services to navigate the immigrant visa process.
    On November 2, 2019, the district court issued a
    temporary restraining order precluding the Proclamation from
    taking effect. See Doe # 1 v. Trump, 414 F. Supp.3d 1307
    (D. Or. 2019). On November 26, before the expiration of the
    temporary restraining order, the district court issued a
    nationwide preliminary injunction prohibiting
    implementation of the Proclamation. Doe v. Trump, 418 F.
    Supp. 3d 573, 604 (D. Or. 2019). In doing so, the district
    court applied the familiar Winter factors, concluding that the
    Plaintiffs had shown that (1) they were likely to succeed on
    the merits; (2) they were likely to suffer irreparable harm in
    the absence of preliminary relief; (3) the balance of equities
    tipped in their favor; and (4) that a preliminary injunction was
    in the public interest.
    Id. at 579
    (citing Winter v. Nat. Res.
    Defense Council, Inc., 
    555 U.S. 7
    , 22 (2008)). The United
    States filed this emergency motion to stay the district court
    order pending appeal.
    While this stay motion was pending, on April 7, 2020, the
    district court certified the following two subclasses:
    The U.S. Petitioner Subclass: Individuals in
    the United States who currently have or will
    14                   DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    have an approved or pending petition to the
    United States government to sponsor a
    noncitizen family member for an immigrant
    visa; and whose sponsored family member is
    subject to the Proclamation and unable to
    demonstrate to a consular officer's satisfaction
    that he or she “will be covered by approved
    health insurance” within 30 days after entry or
    will be able “to pay for reasonably foreseeable
    medical costs;” and
    The Visa Applicant Subclass: Individuals
    who are foreign nationals who (I) have
    applied for or will soon apply to the United
    States government for an immigrant visa;
    (ii) are otherwise eligible to be granted the
    visa; but (iii) are subject to the Proclamation
    and unable to demonstrate to the satisfaction
    of a consular officer that they “will be covered
    by approved health insurance” within 30 days
    after entry or will be able “to pay for
    reasonably foreseeable medical costs.”
    II
    A request for a stay pending appeal is committed to the
    exercise of judicial discretion. Virginian Ry. Co. v. United
    States, 
    272 U.S. 658
    , 672 (1926). A party requesting a stay
    pending appeal “bears the burden of showing that the
    circumstances justify an exercise of that discretion.” Nken v.
    Holder, 
    556 U.S. 418
    , 433–34 (2009). In considering
    whether to exercise our discretion in granting the
    Government’s motion to stay the preliminary injunction, we
    apply the familiar standard set forth by the Supreme Court in
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         15
    Nken, namely: (1) whether the Government has made a strong
    showing of the likelihood of success on the merits;
    (2) whether the appellants will be irreparably injured absent
    a stay; (3) whether a stay will substantially injure other
    parties; and (4) where the public interest lies.
    Id. at 426.
    “The
    first two factors . . . are the most critical.”
    Id. at 434.
    We
    consider the last two factors if the first two factors are
    satisfied.
    Id. at 435.
    We review the scope of the district
    court’s preliminary injunction for abuse of discretion.
    California v. Azar, 
    911 F.3d 558
    , 568 (9th Cir. 2018), cert.
    denied sub nom. Little Sisters of the Poor Jeanne Jugan
    Residence v. California, 
    139 S. Ct. 2716
    (2019).
    III
    A
    Nken instructed “that if the petition has not made a certain
    threshold showing regarding irreparable harm . . . then a stay
    may not issue, regardless of the petitioner’s proof regarding
    the other stay factors.” Leiva-Perez v. Holder, 
    640 F.3d 962
    ,
    965 (9th Cir. 2011) (per curium) (citing 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 433
    –34). We therefore begin our Nken analysis with
    consideration of irreparable harm. Cf. Al Otro Lado v. Wolf,
    
    952 F.3d 999
    , 1007 (9th Cir. 2020) (listing the Nken factors
    and explaining, “We first consider the government’s showing
    on irreparable harm, then discuss the likelihood of success on
    the merits under the sliding scale approach”).
    The government has failed to meet its burden of showing
    irreparable harm. In the context of a stay request, “simply
    showing some possibility of irreparable injury” is
    insufficient. 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 434
    (citation and internal
    quotation marks omitted). Rather, at this juncture, the
    16                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    government has the burden of showing that irreparable injury
    is likely to occur during the period before the appeal is
    decided. 
    Leiva-Perez, 640 F.3d at 968
    . The government did
    not satisfy its burden.
    The government first argues that it will suffer irreparable
    harm because the preliminary injunction prevents “the
    President from taking action effectuating an Act of
    Congress.” But the question of whether the Proclamation
    conflicts with congressionally set qualifications for
    immigrant visas or exceeds the President’s authority to
    change these qualifications is at the core of this dispute, to be
    resolved at the merits stage of this case. Thus, the harm of
    such a perceived institutional injury is not “irreparable,”
    because the government “may yet pursue and vindicate its
    interests in the full course of this litigation.” Washington v.
    Trump, 
    847 F.3d 1151
    , 1168 (9th Cir. 2017) (per curium),
    cert. denied sub nom. Golden v. Washington, 
    138 S. Ct. 448
    (2017). Indeed, if we were to adopt the government’s
    assertion that the irreparable harm standard is satisfied by the
    fact of executive action alone, no act of the executive branch
    asserted to be inconsistent with a legislative enactment could
    be the subject of a preliminary injunction. That cannot be so.
    The government next argues that it will be irreparably
    harmed during the pendency of the appeal because of the
    alleged substantial cost to healthcare providers and taxpayers
    by uninsured immigrants. For support, the government
    simply cites to the statement in the Proclamation that recent
    immigrants are three times more likely than citizens to lack
    health insurance. There is no citation in the Proclamation for
    this statistic, nor is one to be found anywhere in the record.
    Nor could the government provide any source for this
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       17
    assertion in briefing or at oral argument. And the
    Proclamation contains no further cost quantification.
    By contrast, the Plaintiffs placed into the record evidence
    that uninsured immigrants represent only 0.3% of American
    adults and only 2.9% of uninsured adults. The record
    evidence also shows that uninsured immigrants use less than
    0.06% of total American medical resources and only 0.08%
    of emergency service expenditures. These statistics include
    illegal as well as legal immigrants, so the numbers pertinent
    here may be considerably lower. The record further indicates
    that immigrants are more likely to represent “favorable
    insurance risk[s]” in Affordable Care Act (ACA)
    marketplaces because they tend to be relatively healthier than
    the normal insured population and use fewer healthcare goods
    and services. For instance, in California, immigrants who are
    insured through an ACA-compliant plan (which, if
    subsidized, are not permitted under the Proclamation) have
    10% lower medical claims than citizen enrollees in the same
    plans. As a result of excluding low-risk consumers, the
    overall health of the risk pool will decrease, resulting in
    increased premiums for all consumers using state
    marketplaces.
    The government claims that we are precluded from
    reviewing the Proclamation’s conclusory findings and must
    accept them as true. This assertion runs afoul of Nken, which
    places the burden on the government, and instructs us only to
    exercise our discretion to enter a stay when irreparable harm
    is probable, not merely 
    possible. 556 U.S. at 434
    . The
    government cannot meet this burden by submitting
    conclusory factual assertions and speculative arguments that
    are unsupported in the record. See 
    Azar, 911 F.3d at 581
    . In
    this respect, this Proclamation’s findings stand in stark
    18                   DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    contrast to the proclamation’s findings in Trump v. Hawaii,
    
    138 S. Ct. 2392
    (2018). That case involved a proclamation
    that set forth “extensive findings,” which the President found
    after ordering the relevant agencies to “conduct a
    comprehensive evaluation” of the countries affected by the
    proclamation, and the proclamation then tailored its findings
    to the agencies’ recommendations. See
    id.
    at 2408
    . 
    Thus, in
    assessing whether the government has met its burden, we
    must examine and review the entire record, not simply rely on
    one unsupported conclusory statement. See 
    Washington, 847 F.3d at 1162
    –63.
    Even if we credit the Proclamation’s assertions, the
    government has not demonstrated that the healthcare system
    will be irreparably burdened while this appeal is pending.
    The record evidence shows that many of the immigrants
    affected by the Proclamation could obtain some form of
    insurance that would reduce their already minimal
    contribution to healthcare costs, but these immigrants are
    nonetheless inadmissible under the Proclamation because
    they cannot obtain an “approved” health insurance plan or
    cannot obtain a plan within the 30-day deadline. In short, the
    record evidence shows that the impact of uninsured
    immigrants on uncompensated healthcare costs is minimal,
    and that many of the affected immigrants could obtain health
    insurance if permitted to look beyond the plans and 30-day
    limitation in the Proclamation. The government has
    submitted no evidence disputing these points.
    Further, the harm asserted by the government is purely
    monetary, and “‘monetary injury is not normally considered
    irreparable.’” hiQ Labs, Inc. v. LinkedIn Corp., 
    938 F.3d 985
    , 993 (9th Cir. 2019) (quoting Los Angeles Mem’l
    Coliseum Comm’n v. Nat’l Football League, 
    634 F.2d 1197
    ,
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       19
    1202 (9th Cir. 1980)). In addition, monetary injury to third
    parties, such as health care providers, or to the economy in
    general provides an even weaker justification for a finding of
    “irreparable harm.” After all, the Nken irreparable harm
    standard is “whether the applicant will be irreparably injured
    absent a 
    stay.” 556 U.S. at 426
    (emphasis added).
    By contrast, the district court concluded that the evidence
    demonstrated that Plaintiffs would suffer irreparable harm
    absent preliminary injunctive relief and that the government
    was unlikely to succeed in showing otherwise. Doe, 418 F.
    Supp. 3d at 599. The Plaintiffs submitted evidence that all
    seven individual Plaintiffs are either unable to afford an
    “approved” plan, unable to add the immigrant family member
    to an existing employer-sponsored plan, unable to acquire an
    approved plan within the 30-day deadline, or lack the
    resources to demonstrate they could independently pay for
    foreseeable medical costs. See
    id. at 584–86.
    The district court concluded that the Proclamation likely
    would negatively affect approximately 60% of all immigrant
    visa applicants.
    Id. at 597.
    Plaintiffs aver, citing data from
    the United States Census Bureau, that approximately 375,000
    immigrants each year—primarily those seeking to enter the
    United States on family-sponsored petitions—would be
    affected, and potentially precluded from obtaining an
    immigrant visa, by the Proclamation.
    Based on the evidence in the record, the district court
    found that the approved insurance plans delineated in the
    Proclamation were “legally or practically unavailable to
    intending, or prospective, immigrants.”
    Id. at 583.
    The
    district court found that employer-based plans often had a
    waiting period that exceeded the Proclamation’s 30-day
    20                   DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    deadline and highlighted the fact that the prohibition against
    obtaining subsidized insurance under the Affordable Care Act
    rendered that market, for the most part, inaccessible to
    arriving immigrants.
    Id. It also
    highlighted the fact that
    Short Term Limited Duration Insurance plans, which were
    among the Proclamation’s “approved” plans, are banned in
    California, and that Oregon’s contract term requirements
    make such plans ineligible under the Proclamation there.
    Id. The district
    court underscored that reliance on Medicaid for
    any immigrant over the age of 18 is prohibited by the
    Proclamation.
    As to the other “approved” plans, the district court
    explained that:
    Family-member plans are only available to
    applicants younger than 27 years old.
    Visitor’s insurance plans are designed for
    short-term visits, have caps on individual
    coverage and lifetime benefits, and often
    exclude preexisting conditions, mental health
    conditions, and maternity care. Such plans
    often result in significant uncompensated
    care. People who receive insurance through
    state Medicaid programs may not be able to
    add their family members to their plan.
    Catastrophic plans are only available to
    people who are already legally present. Even
    then, only people under 30 (or who obtain a
    special hardship exemption) are eligible to
    enroll. TRICARE is available only to
    members of the United States military and
    their close relatives. Medicare is perhaps the
    least feasible option—only intending [that]
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        21
    immigrants older than 65 who have already
    been living continuously in the United States
    for five years may enroll.
    
    Doe, 418 F. Supp. 3d at 583
    –84.
    The district court concluded, based on the record
    evidence, that the Proclamation would result in prolonged
    separation from family members, a factor that we have held
    constitutes sufficient irreparable harm. Hawai’i v. Trump,
    
    878 F.3d 662
    , 699 (9th Cir. 2017), rev’d on other grounds
    and remanded, 
    138 S. Ct. 2392
    (2018); see also 
    Washington, 847 F.3d at 1168
    –69. For example, the district court found
    that one of the Plaintiffs risks having his wife’s I-601A
    waiver automatically revoked if she is denied a visa at her
    interview. See 
    Doe, 418 F. Supp. 3d at 598
    . The district
    court further found that Plaintiffs who have already secured
    I-601A waivers through their family member sponsors had a
    high risk of being forced to leave the United States for an
    indefinite period of time.
    Id. Based on
    the record, the district
    court determined that the Plaintiffs were unlikely to acquire
    one of the “approved health insurance” plans set forth in the
    Proclamation, but were otherwise likely qualified for entry
    under § 1182(a).
    Id. In sum,
    without reciting all of the
    record evidence, the record amply supported the district
    court’s conclusion that the Plaintiffs would suffer irreparable
    harm.
    Ultimately, the government has failed to sustain its
    burden of establishing that it would suffer irreparable harm
    absent a stay of the preliminary injunction pending a hearing
    by a merits panel. The record supports the district court’s
    conclusion that the Plaintiffs would suffer irreparable harm
    absent a preliminary injunction.
    22                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    B
    Our Nken analysis could conclude here, given that if a
    stay applicant cannot show irreparable harm, “a stay may not
    issue, regardless of the petitioner’s proof regarding the other
    stay factors.” 
    Leiva-Perez, 640 F.3d at 965
    . However, the
    context of this case suggests that we should proceed with
    examining the remaining Nken factors.
    The second most important Nken factor is whether the
    applicant has made a strong showing of the likelihood of
    success on the merits. See 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 426
    . As a
    motions panel, we must take care not to prejudge the merits
    of the appeal, but rather to assess the posture of the case in
    the context of the necessity of a stay pending presentation to
    a merits panel. See 
    Washington, 847 F.3d at 1168
    . Thus, we
    will not address the merits in detail, but only as necessary to
    apply the Nken factors. Here, the government has not met the
    high standard of showing a strong likelihood of success on
    the merits.
    1
    The government has not shown that it has a strong
    likelihood of success on the Plaintiffs’ claim that the
    Proclamation conflicts with the Violence Against Women
    Act’s (“VAWA”) amendments to the INA. See 8 U.S.C.
    § 1182(a)(4)(E). Indeed, on this claim the government has
    made no showing at all.
    The VAWA amendments exempted from the public
    charge exclusion certain immigrant relatives of victims
    of violent crimes, such as felony assault, sexual assault,
    incest, kidnapping, or human trafficking.      8 U.S.C.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        23
    § 1101(a)(15)(U)(iii). These amendments also exempted
    victims of battering and extreme cruelty. 8 U.S.C.
    § 1154(a)(1)(A)(iii)–(vi). Congress expressly provided that
    these immigrants—including the spouses, children, and
    parents of violent crime victims—were categorically exempt
    from the financial burden or “public charge” provisions of the
    INA.
    Id. The Proclamation
    makes no such exemption. Rather, it
    effectively prohibits family members of violent crime victims
    from obtaining visas and joining their families in the United
    States by declaring them to be financial burdens and
    ineligible, directly contradicting VAWA. This preclusion
    contravenes the well-settled principle that the President’s
    powers are executive, not legislative, in nature. “[T]he
    President’s power to see that the laws are faithfully executed
    refutes the idea that he is to be a lawmaker.” Youngstown
    Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, 
    343 U.S. 579
    , 587 (1952). The
    President’s authority to act “must stem either from an act of
    Congress or from the Constitution itself.”
    Id. at 585.
    Here,
    Congress has enacted the VAWA amendments specifically to
    enable the subject immigrants to qualify for admission and
    visas, see 8 U.S.C. § 1154(a)(1)(A)(iii)–(vi), and “[t]here is
    no provision in the Constitution that authorizes the President
    to enact, to amend, or to repeal statutes.” Clinton v. City of
    New York, 
    524 U.S. 417
    , 438 (1998).
    The government does not respond to the merits of this
    challenge; it only suggests that the statutory conflict does not
    affect many people. Of course, this consideration is
    irrelevant to the determination of whether the government has
    demonstrated a strong likelihood of success of prevailing on
    the VAWA issue. By contrast, Plaintiffs point out that
    immigrant family members of victims of violent crimes
    24                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    comprise at least 20 categories of noncitizens seeking to enter
    the United States with an immigrant visa. See 22 C.F.R.
    § 42.11.
    At this stage, the government has failed to make a strong
    showing that it is likely to prevail on Plaintiffs’ claim that the
    Proclamation conflicts with the Violence Against Women
    Act.
    2
    The government has also not sustained its burden of
    showing that it has a strong likelihood of success of
    prevailing on Plaintiffs’ claim that the Proclamation violates
    the ACA. See 42 U.S.C. §§ 18021 to 18024, 18031; see also
    26 U.S.C. § 36B. The government has not submitted any
    evidence to indicate that it is likely to succeed on this claim.
    In enacting the ACA, Congress authorized the creation of
    state-based markets that present consumers with multiple
    insurance coverage choices so that consumers can compare
    and purchase plans in an effort to “increase the number of
    Americans covered by health insurance and decrease the cost
    of health care.” Nat’l Fed’n of Indep. Bus. v. Sebelius, 132 S.
    Ct. 2566, 2580 (2012). To purchase insurance in a state’s
    marketplace, an individual must prove that they reside in the
    United States or a territory thereof and that they are “lawfully
    present.” 42 U.S.C. § 18032(f)(1)(A)(ii); 45 C.F.R.
    § 155.305(a)(1)–(3). To incentivize the purchase of insurance
    plans through ACA marketplaces, Congress provided
    premium tax credits to offset the costs of purchasing an
    insurance plan and expressly extended the availability of
    those credits to any taxpayer who “is an alien lawfully present
    in the United States.” 26 U.S.C. § 36B(c)(1)(B)(ii).
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        25
    Despite Congress’s clear intent to extend these tax credits
    to legal immigrants, the Proclamation explicitly excludes
    such “subsidized plans” from the list of approved health
    insurance plans. As a result, an immigrant attempting to
    legally enter the United States will not have access to ACA
    tax credits as Congress intended. Compare 84 Fed. Reg. at
    53,992 to 26 U.S.C. § 36B(c)(1)(B)(ii). And, unless an
    immigrant succeeds in searching for, finding, and paying for
    eligible insurance—which is unlikely—they will not be able
    to legally immigrate, even if otherwise eligible under the
    criteria Congress established.
    Additionally, the government’s contention that an
    immigrant may satisfy the Proclamation by purchasing a plan
    that does not include tax credits (i.e., an “unsubsidized” plan)
    under the ACA is, in practice, nearly impossible, even though
    such plans are technically “approved” under the
    Proclamation. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 53,992. An immigrant
    may only participate in the ACA marketplace after they have
    established both their residency and lawful presence, but the
    immigrant cannot reside in and be legally present in the
    United States under the Proclamation without first
    purchasing “approved” health insurance. See 42 U.S.C.
    § 18032(f)(1)(A)(ii); 45 C.F.R. § 155.305(a)(1)–(3). The
    immigrant is consequently left in a Catch-22: they cannot
    obtain an “approved” unsubsidized insurance plan unless they
    have been legally admitted, but they cannot be legally
    admitted unless they have obtained an “approved” insurance
    plan. Thus, the Proclamation bars immigrants from accessing
    subsidized insurance plans despite Congress’s express intent
    to extend those plans to legal immigrants, 26 U.S.C.
    § 36B(c)(1)(B)(ii), and it essentially prohibits immigrants
    from obtaining an unsubsidized plan despite such plans being
    26                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    “approved” under the Proclamation. The government has not
    seriously contested this claim.
    In sum, given that the evidence in the record supports a
    conclusion that the Proclamation prevents otherwise eligible
    immigrants from accessing either subsidized or unsubsidized
    health insurance plans as Congress intended and instead
    requires them to obtain—if they can—different, lower quality
    insurance to be eligible for a visa, we conclude that the
    government has not shown that it is likely to succeed on this
    claim.
    3
    The government has also not sustained its burden of
    showing that it has a strong likelihood of success of
    prevailing on Plaintiffs’ claims that the Proclamation violates
    the INA. Although we leave a complete analysis of these
    claims to the merits panel, several of these claims are worthy
    of discussion at this stage, in light of the serious questions on
    the merits Plaintiffs raise. See All. for the Wild Rockies v.
    Cottrell, 
    632 F.3d 1127
    , 1137 (9th Cir. 2011).
    First, the Proclamation is connected in its avowed purpose
    to the INA’s “public charge” provision. That provision states
    that “[a]ny alien who, in the opinion of the consular officer at
    the time of application for a visa, or in the opinion of the
    Attorney General at the time of application for admission or
    adjustment of status, is likely at any time to become a public
    charge is inadmissible.” 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4)(B)(i). The
    statute lists various factors that the consular office can
    consider. Health insurance is not among them.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       27
    More importantly, the statute requires that all of the
    specified factors should be considered in determining whether
    an applicant should be deemed a financial burden and
    consequently inadmissible. 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4)(B). The
    Proclamation eviscerates the statutory scheme by making the
    acquisition of designated forms of health insurance the sole
    consideration of whether an applicant should be excluded
    from consideration for a family visa. See 84 Fed. Reg. at
    53,992. Any argument contending that the Proclamation
    complements the public charge statutory scheme is therefore
    incorrect.
    Regarding § 1182(a)(4)(B), we have recognized that this
    provision establishes “factors [that] are to be considered ‘at
    a minimum,’” but “[o]ther factors may be considered as well,
    giving officials considerable discretion in their decisions.”
    City & Cty. of San Francisco v. USCIS, 
    944 F.3d 773
    , 972
    (9th Cir. 2019). The Proclamation does not permit any
    exercise of official discretion, as the enumerated
    § 1182(a)(4)(B) factors do, but instead imposes an absolute
    bar on the entry of uninsured immigrants. For instance, one
    of the individual Plaintiffs has submitted evidence that he
    could add his wife to his employer’s healthcare plan once she
    obtained a social security card, but social security cards are
    not mailed quickly enough to meet the 30-day deadline
    mandated by the Proclamation. Even in this situation, the
    consular officer has no discretion to consider that the
    Plaintiff’s wife can obtain an approved health insurance plan
    and that this factor would weigh against finding that she is
    likely to become a public charge under § 1182(a)(4)(B).
    Instead the officer must find that she is inadmissible because
    she cannot obtain this insurance within 30 days. Without the
    Proclamation, the officer would have the discretion to
    consider her admissible, as § 1182(a)(4)(B) intended. In sum,
    28                   DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    the Proclamation’s health insurance requirement supplants
    the discretion afforded to consular officers in
    § 1182(a)(4)(B).
    Second, the Plaintiffs raise serious questions related to
    § 1182(f) of the INA. This section of the INA provides that,
    when “the President finds that the entry of any aliens or any
    class of aliens into the United States would be detrimental to
    the interests of the United States,” then he may, “for such a
    period as he shall deem necessary, suspend the entry of all
    aliens or any class of aliens . . . or impose on the entry of
    aliens any restrictions he may deem to be appropriate.”
    8 U.S.C. § 1182(f). Section 1182(f) “exudes deference to the
    President.” 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    . We acknowledge
    this broad deference, but nonetheless conclude at this
    juncture, for two reasons, that the Plaintiffs are likely to
    succeed in refuting the government’s contention that
    § 1182(f) legitimizes the Proclamation: first, the
    Proclamation’s perfunctory time limitations do not comport
    with the textual limits of § 1182(f); and second, § 1182(f)
    does not provide the President with limitless power to deny
    visas to immigrants based on purely long-term economic
    concerns.
    We first consider whether the Proclamation comports
    with the temporal limitations of § 1182(f) established by the
    statute itself: that the President has the power to “suspend”
    the entrance of aliens “for such period as he shall deem
    necessary.”
    “[A]s with any statute, ‘we look first to its language,
    giving the words used their ordinary meaning.’” Roberts v.
    Sea-Land Servs., Inc., 
    566 U.S. 93
    , 100 (2012) (quoting
    Ingalls Shipbuilding Inc. v. Dir., Office of Workers’ Comp.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        29
    Progs., 
    519 U.S. 248
    (1997)). Ordinarily, to “suspend”
    means to “cause to stop temporarily,” Suspend, MERRIAM-
    WEBSTER DICTIONARY (2019), or “connotes a deferral till
    later,” 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2409
    (citation omitted). The
    Proclamation summarily states that the entrance of “aliens
    who will burden the healthcare system is hereby suspended,”
    but the mere use of the word “suspend” does not remedy the
    fact that the Proclamation omits any indication that the health
    insurance requirement is temporary. See 84 Fed. Reg.
    at 53,992. Instead, the Proclamation ties the putative
    suspension to the problem of uncompensated healthcare costs,
    a speculative argument given that this problem has no
    apparent resolution under the current healthcare system.
    By the Proclamation’s own terms, it does not have an
    endpoint. Rather, it only requires periodic status reports and
    merely provides that if the Secretary of State, after consulting
    other officials, “determines that circumstances no longer
    warrant the continued effectiveness of the suspension . . . the
    Secretary shall immediately advise the President.” See
    84 Fed. Reg. at 53,993. There is no requirement that the
    President act on the advice. Although § 1182(f) does not
    require an explicit duration, see 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2410
    ,
    the lack of an explicit time limitation is problematic in light
    of the absence of any language that suggests even an implicit
    limitation, such as a limit measured by the occurrence of
    some future event or condition. The Proclamation here is
    therefore distinguishable from the Proclamation at issue in
    Hawaii, which “ma[de] clear that its ‘conditional restrictions’
    will remain in force only so long as necessary to ‘address’ the
    identified ‘inadequacies and risks’ within the covered
    nations.”
    Id. To achieve
    its goal, the Hawaii Proclamation
    established “an ongoing process to engage covered nations
    and assess every 180 days whether the entry restrictions
    30                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    should be modified or terminated,” and the Proclamation
    stated that it aimed to “‘relax[ ] or remove[ ]’ the entry
    restrictions ‘as soon as possible.’”
    Id. By contrast,
    the Proclamation here includes no suggestion
    that the health insurance requirement is temporally limited by
    anything, including the overall reduction in uncompensated
    healthcare costs. Although the Secretary of State will review
    the effectiveness of the program in 180 days and, from then
    on, on a yearly basis, see 84 Fed. Reg. at 53,993, there is no
    language that suggests that the requirement will be removed
    “as soon as possible,” or when any specified circumstance
    changes. Cf. 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2410
    . Furthermore, unlike
    the Proclamation in Hawaii, which was promulgated after
    DHS and other agencies “conducted a comprehensive
    evaluation of every single country’s compliance with the
    information and risk assessment baseline,”
    id. at 2408
    , 
    the
    Proclamation here was not issued following any sort of
    comprehensive agency review supported by data-driven
    analysis. Indeed, the government has submitted no evidence
    to suggest that the health insurance requirement will reduce
    uncompensated healthcare costs in such a way as to render
    the limitation feasibly temporary.
    For example, the Proclamation states that uncompensated
    healthcare costs have “exceeded $35 billion in each of the last
    10 years,” and suggests that this figure could be lowered by
    refusing to admit immigrants who lack approved health
    insurance. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 53,991. However, data in the
    record indicates that uncompensated health care costs have
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                             31
    remained around $35 billion since at least 2001.1 As stated
    above, we credit the Plaintiffs’ evidence that uninsured
    immigrants contribute minimally to this amount. These facts
    call into question whether the Proclamation is consistent with
    the direction to “suspend” immigration for so long as
    necessary to effectuate the government’s goal of decreasing
    uncompensated healthcare costs.
    The Proclamation’s longevity is contingent upon the
    diminishment of uncompensated healthcare costs—costs that
    have remained stable for at least two decades—which it
    purports to reduce by restricting entry of a class of
    immigrants that has been shown not to significantly affect
    that figure, and whose dollar impact on uncompensated costs
    will likely remain static, whatever happens to uncompensated
    costs in general. Consequently, the likely ineffectiveness of
    the health insurance requirement suggests that
    uncompensated care costs will remain high, and the perceived
    “necessity” of the Proclamation could therefore continue in
    perpetuity. Cf. 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2410
    (“[W]hen a
    president suspends entry in response to a diplomatic dispute
    or policy concern, he may link the duration of those
    restrictions, implicitly or explicitly, to the resolution of the
    triggering condition.”). In short, the Proclamation’s failure
    to explicitly or implicitly establish any time constraints on the
    health insurance prohibition raises serious questions as to
    1
    See INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE (US) COMMITTEE ON THE
    CONSEQUENCES OF UNINSURANCE, HIDDEN COSTS, VALUES LOST 47
    (2003) (available at https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/ books/NBK221662/);
    see also American Hospital Association, Uncompensated Hospital Care
    Cost Fact Sheet 3 (January 2019) (https://www.aha.org/system/files/2019-
    01/uncompensated-care-fact-sheet-jan-2019.pdf) (establishing that
    uncompensated healthcare costs totaled approximately $21.5 billion in
    2001, which is roughly $32 billion when adjusted for inflation).
    32                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    whether the Proclamation is a “suspension” according to the
    plain meaning of the term in § 1182(f).
    We turn now to Plaintiffs’ second challenge to the
    government’s arguments concerning § 1182(f)—namely, that
    the President exceeded even the broad authority prescribed to
    him in § 1182(f) when he issued the Proclamation. Based on
    the evidence in the record and the stated objectives of the
    Proclamation, we conclude that the government is not likely
    to succeed on this issue either.
    We acknowledge that “[b]y its plain language, § 1182(f)
    grants the President broad discretion to suspend the entry of
    aliens into the United States.” 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    .
    Nonetheless, the substantive scope of this power is not
    limitless. The “sole prerequisite set forth in § 1182(f) is that
    the President ‘find[ ]’ that the entry of the covered aliens
    ‘would be detrimental to the interests of the United States.’”
    Id. The President
    satisfied this prerequisite in Hawaii
    because “the entry policy [in the Proclamation was] plausibly
    related to the Government’s stated objective to protect the
    country and improve vetting processes.”
    Id. at 2420.
    Thus,
    there, the President acted within the traditional spheres
    authorized by § 1182(f): in the context of international affairs
    and national security, and working in tandem with the
    congressional goals of vetting individuals from countries
    identified as threats through an agency review. See
    id. at 2409,
    2412.
    By contrast, the Proclamation here deals with a purely
    domestic economic problem: uncompensated healthcare costs
    in the United States. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 53,991. We reject
    the government’s argument that the Proclamation implicates
    the President’s foreign affairs powers simply because the
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       33
    Proclamation affects immigrants. Cf. E. Bay Sanctuary
    Covenant v. Trump, 
    950 F.3d 1242
    , 1279 (9th Cir. 2020)
    (“Broadly citing to the Rule’s immigration context is
    insufficient to invoke the foreign-affairs exception” so that
    the President does not have to follow the traditional pathways
    of public rulemaking.). Therefore, while the “President
    [may] adopt[ ] ‘a preventive measure . . . in the context of
    international affairs and national security,’” and he is then
    “‘not required to conclusively link all of the pieces in the
    puzzle before [courts] grant weight to [his] empirical
    conclusions,’” 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2409
    (quoting Holder v.
    Humanitarian Law Project, 
    561 U.S. 1
    , 35 (2010)), his power
    is more circumscribed when he addresses a purely domestic
    economic issue, see E. Bay Sanctuary 
    Covenant, 950 F.3d at 1279
    .
    Indeed, in domestic economic matters, the national
    security and foreign affairs justifications for policy
    implementations disappear, and the normal policy-making
    channels remain the default rules of the game. For instance,
    the “public charge rule” discussed above attempts to resolve
    similar concerns related to the perceived financial burden of
    immigrants without resorting to § 1182(f) for justification.
    See City & Cty. of 
    S.F., 944 F.3d at 779
    –80 (explaining that
    the proposed rule interpreting this provision of the INA went
    through the typical notice-and-comment period under the
    Administrative Procedure Act). In contrast, the Proclamation
    here was issued with virtually no factual findings, minimal
    reasoning, and an extremely limited window for public
    comment, raising serious questions as to whether the
    President has effectively rewritten provisions of the INA. We
    therefore find it unlikely that the government will succeed in
    its broad reliance on § 1182(f).
    34                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Again, we do not prejudge the resolution of the merits of
    this issue because the question is whether the government has
    shown a strong likelihood of success on the merits. The
    Plaintiffs have raised sufficiently serious questions on the
    merits of their INA claim, including on the government’s
    defenses, that we cannot conclude that the government has
    sustained its high burden of showing a strong likelihood of
    success of the merits.
    4
    The district court issued a lengthy, thoughtful, and
    forceful opinion focusing on whether the Proclamation
    violated the nondelegation doctrine. In deference to the
    merits panel, we decline to address the probable likelihood of
    success for either party on this claim. See 
    Washington, 847 F.3d at 1168
    .
    In addition, the Plaintiffs have raised a number of issues
    not addressed by the district court, such as the violation of the
    Administrative Procedure Act, which also may present
    serious questions on the merits.
    C
    The third Nken factor is whether a stay will substantially
    injure other parties, on which we touch only briefly given the
    government’s failure to satisfy the two most important Nken
    factors. See 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 435
    . We have already
    explained that the plaintiffs have established irreparable
    injury. See Part 
    III.A, supra
    . In addition, the record
    demonstrates the significant effect of the Proclamation on
    other parties. Twenty-one states, the District of Columbia,
    and the City of New York filed amici briefing describing the
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                          35
    significant harm they and other governmental entities will
    suffer if the Proclamation is allowed to go into effect. These
    amici explain that immigrants “are vital to the economic,
    civic, and social fabric of our states and city.” Indeed, the
    evidence in the record indicates that in 2014, immigrant-led
    households paid more than $26 billion in state and local taxes
    in California,2 and $736 million in state and local taxes in
    Oregon.3 Plaintiffs and amici provided further evidence
    credited by the district court to satisfy this factor. See 
    Doe, 418 F. Supp. 3d at 599
    –600 (crediting evidence that the
    implementation of the Proclamation will interrupt family
    reunification, detrimentally affect job sectors that
    disproportionately employ immigrants, and increase the
    number of underinsured immigrants who will be prohibited
    from purchasing subsidized ACA insurance plans). The
    government does not seriously contest this evidence. This
    factor favors the Plaintiffs.
    D
    The final Nken factor is where the public interest lies.
    “The purpose of a preliminary injunction is always to prevent
    irreparable injury so as to preserve the court’s ability to
    render a meaningful decision on the merits. It often happens
    that this purpose is furthered by the status quo, but not
    always.” Golden Gate Restaurant Ass’n v. City & Cty. of San
    Francisco, 
    512 F.3d 1112
    , 1116 (9th Cir. 2008) (quoting
    2
    Am. Immigration Council, Immigrants in California 4 (2017)
    (https://tinyurl.com/CAP-Immigrants-in-CA).
    3
    Am. Immigration Council, Immigrants in Oregon (2017)
    (https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/immigrants-
    oregon).
    36                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Canal Authority of Florida v. Callaway, 
    489 F.2d 567
    , 576
    (5th Cir. 1974)). In this case, the public interest lies with
    maintaining the status quo while the appeal is pending. For
    countless decades, a stable immigration system has provided
    for families to be united through a visa system that did not
    require purchase of selected insurance products for entry into
    the United States.
    The government contends this factor weighs in its favor
    because the Proclamation as implemented constitutes the
    status quo, which would be upended if a stay is not issued.
    But it was the Proclamation that altered the status quo for the
    Plaintiffs, whose family members had qualified for entry
    under established immigration policy, but are now
    inadmissible under the Proclamation. The “purpose of a
    preliminary injunction is merely to preserve the relative
    positions of the parties until a trial on the merits can be held.”
    Univ. of Tex. v. Camenisch, 
    451 U.S. 390
    , 395 (1981). This
    observation has even more force here, where we are
    considering only a stay pending appeal of a preliminary
    injunction. In the government’s re-imagining of the status
    quo in this context, this factor would always tip in the
    government’s favor, effectively rendering the Court
    powerless to exercise its discretion on this factor in such
    instances.
    Given the irreparable harm to the Plaintiffs, the lack of
    irreparable harm to the United States for maintaining the
    status quo pending resolution of this appeal, and the injury to
    other parties if the Proclamation is immediately implemented,
    the public interest favors preserving the status quo. This
    factor falls to the Plaintiffs.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                            37
    IV
    We finally consider the scope of the district court’s
    preliminary injunction. In this case, the district court
    determined that a nationwide injunction was appropriate.
    Based on evidence in the record, the district court concluded
    that the Proclamation would cause significant harm to
    21 states, the District of Columbia, and New York City if
    allowed to go into effect there. Accordingly, the court
    enjoined the Proclamation across the country to preserve
    uniformity in immigration policies. 
    Doe, 418 F. Supp. 3d at 603
    . Subsequently, the district court certified the two
    nationwide subclasses noted above: the United States
    Petitioner subclass and the Visa Applicant subclass. The
    government has not yet sought to appeal that certification.
    In the present procedural posture—a request for a stay
    pending the appeal of a preliminary injunction—a
    provisionally certified nationwide class is sufficient
    justification for a nationwide injunction.4 See Al Otro 
    Lado, 952 F.3d at 1004
    n.4. Because the class here is nationwide,
    and because a nationwide injunction is necessary to provide
    the class members with complete relief, we conclude that the
    scope of the injunction is appropriate at this juncture,
    regardless of whether or not it was when originally issued.
    “The scope of an injunction is ‘dependent as much on the
    equities of a given case as the substance of the legal issues it
    presents,’ and courts must tailor the scope ‘to meet the
    exigencies of the particular case.’” 
    Azar, 911 F.3d at 584
    (quoting Trump v. Int’l Refugee Assistance Project, 
    137 S. Ct. 4
           Should the government ultimately prevail in reversing the class
    certification, then the scope of the injunction should be revisited.
    38                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    2080, 2087 (2017)). Here, the balance of the equities tips in
    favor of protecting the certified class: the government has not
    shown that it will be irreparably injured absent enforcement
    of the Proclamation, while the Plaintiffs have shown that the
    immediate implementation of the Proclamation will affect the
    long-standing practice of how immigration visas are
    processed and will prevent class members from reuniting with
    their families. Plaintiffs have raised serious concerns that
    class members will be seriously injured if the Proclamation
    is implemented immediately, and thus the exigencies of this
    case indicate that an injunction protecting the certified class
    is “not more burdensome than necessary” to provide relief
    while the merits of this case are pending. See
    id. (citing Califano
    v. Yamasaki, 
    442 U.S. 682
    , 702 (1979)).
    In addition, “there is no bar against class-wide, and
    nationwide relief in federal district or circuit court when it is
    appropriate,” Bresgal v. Brock, 
    843 F.2d 1163
    , 1170 (9th Cir.
    1987), and here the class-wide, nationwide relief is necessary
    to afford the class members the relief to which they are
    entitled. Many of the typical circumstances that counsel
    against the nationwide scope of an injunction are absent from
    this case. No litigation challenging this Proclamation is
    pending elsewhere, alleviating concerns occasionally
    associated with nationwide injunctions that such injunctions
    deprive other courts from offering diverse perspectives on the
    legal issues while similar litigation is ongoing in multiple
    forums. See 
    Azar, 911 F.3d at 583
    . Moreover, the district
    court here has not stayed the preparation of this case for trial
    pending the appeal of the nationwide injunction, removing a
    consideration that “magnifies” the concerns associated with
    nationwide injunctions. See
    id. The nationwide
    scope of the
    injunction is also based on the certified subclasses, which
    eliminates some concern that a nationwide injunction is
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         39
    overly burdensome. Cf.
    id. at 582–83
    (“[I]njunctive relief
    generally should be limited to apply only to named plaintiffs
    were there is no class certification”) (quoting Easyriders
    Freedom F.I.G.H.T. v. Hannigan, 
    92 F.3d 1486
    , 1501 (9th
    Cir. 1996)).
    Further, “[t]he INA was designed to implement a uniform
    federal policy,” Kahn v. INS, 
    36 F.3d 1412
    , 1414 (9th Cir.
    1994), and we have underscored the need for a
    “comprehensive and unified” immigration policy, Arizona v.
    United States, 
    567 U.S. 387
    , 401 (2012); see also, e.g.,
    Regents of the Univ. of Cal. v. United States Dep’t of
    Homeland Sec., 
    908 F.3d 476
    , 511 (9th Cir. 2018) (“Allowing
    uneven application of nationwide immigration policy flies in
    the face of [uniformity] requirements”); Hawaii v. Trump,
    
    878 F.3d 662
    , 701 (9th Cir. 2017) (“Because this case
    implicates immigration policy, a nationwide injunction was
    necessary to give Plaintiffs a full expression of their rights”),
    rev’d on other grounds, — U.S. —, 
    138 S. Ct. 2392
    (2018).
    The provisions of the INA that are affected by the
    Proclamation represent the current “national immigration
    policy, and an injunction that applies that policy to some
    individuals while rescinding it as to others is inimical to the
    principle of uniformity.” Regents of the Univ. of 
    Cal., 908 F.3d at 512
    . Consequently, a more limited injunction of
    the Proclamation would “needlessly complicate agency and
    individual action in response to the United States’s changing
    immigration requirements,” E. Bay Sanctuary 
    Covenant, 950 F.3d at 1284
    , and so the nationwide injunction of the
    Proclamation is justified.
    Thus, because the certified class is nationwide in scope
    and promotes uniformity in administering federal
    40                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    immigration law, the district court did not abuse its discretion
    in entering a nationwide injunction.
    V
    In sum, the government has not established the requisite
    irreparable harm necessary to justify a stay pending appeal.
    Its rights may be vindicated upon completion of this
    litigation. The alleged monetary harms to third parties upon
    which the government relies do not constitute irreparable
    harm. While that sole factor is dispositive, we also conclude
    that the government did not meet its high burden to satisfy the
    other Nken factors. It has not demonstrated likelihood of
    success. Staying the injunction would injure both the plaintiff
    class and third parties, and the public interest weighs against
    entering a stay. The preliminary injunction preserves the
    status quo during the pendency of this appeal. The district
    court did not abuse its discretion in determining the scope of
    the preliminary injunction.
    For these reasons, we deny the motion to stay the
    preliminary injunction pending appeal. We do not prejudge
    the consideration of the merits appeal.
    MOTION DENIED.
    BRESS, Circuit Judge, dissenting:
    Today’s decision is yet the latest example of our court
    allowing a universal injunction of a clearly constitutional
    Executive Branch immigration policy. This time, the
    President in Proclamation No. 9945 imposed certain
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       41
    restrictions on the entry of immigrants who, in the President’s
    judgment, will unduly burden the American healthcare
    system. In what unfortunately has become standard operating
    procedure, the district court enjoined the Proclamation on a
    nationwide basis before it could take effect. While declining
    to endorse the district court’s central rationale, my fine
    colleagues in the majority find a way to justify the district
    court’s decision, while refusing to stay or limit its blanket
    injunction.
    The majority gravely errs in concluding that the
    Proclamation is likely unconstitutional. There is no legal
    basis to impose novel and unjustified restrictions on what the
    Supreme Court has described as “the President[’s] sweeping
    authority to decide whether to suspend entry, whose entry to
    suspend, and for how long.” Trump v. Hawaii, 
    138 S. Ct. 2392
    , 2413 (2018). The President issued Proclamation No.
    9945 based on his constitutional powers and his statutory
    authority in 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f). The Supreme Court has held
    that this provision “[b]y its terms” “exudes deference to the
    President in every clause.”
    Id. at 2408
    . 
    Yet the majority
    opinion gives deference to everyone but the President—the
    district court, whose analysis was deeply flawed; States who
    joined an amicus brief and who are not even parties to this
    case; and plaintiffs’ expert, Dr. Leighton Ku, who candidly
    admits he performed “not an ideal analysis.”
    It is a bad day for the separation of powers when the
    Executive—operating at the apex of his constitutional
    mandate—loses out to players who lack the authority that the
    Constitution and Congress entrusted to him. And it is an
    equally bad day for the rule of law when the majority opinion
    endorses arguments that the Supreme Court expressly
    rejected two years ago in Trump v. Hawaii. As with many
    42                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    immigration policies, reasonable minds will differ as to
    whether Proclamation No. 9945 is good or bad policy. But
    the great policy debates of our time should be resolved in the
    halls of Congress, the public square, and at the ballot box, not
    by a district court in Oregon or a three-judge panel in San
    Francisco. What I know is that Proclamation No. 9945 is
    valid as a matter of law. And that is what matters here.
    The majority’s unjustified intrusion on presidential
    prerogative is, however, only made more problematic by the
    scope of the injunction that the court allows. The district
    court, as noted, issued a nationwide injunction, and one that
    in fact operates worldwide. Injunctions such as this raise
    many issues, as the Supreme Court has signaled in repeatedly
    staying lower courts’ (and our court’s) universal injunctions.
    See Wolf v. Innovation Law Lab, No. 19A960, 
    2020 WL 1161432
    (U.S. Mar. 11, 2020); Dep’t of Homeland Sec. v.
    New York, 
    140 S. Ct. 599
    (2020); Barr v. E. Bay Sanctuary
    Covenant, 
    140 S. Ct. 3
    (2019); Trump v. Int’l Refugee
    Assistance Project, 
    138 S. Ct. 542
    (2017); Trump v. Hawaii,
    
    138 S. Ct. 542
    (2017).
    Not heeding these signals, the majority allows another
    universal injunction to remain in place, but with new and
    unfortunate twists. When the district court enjoined
    Proclamation No. 9945, it did so without certifying any class.
    Just recently, however, and many months into this appeal of
    its injunction, the district court certified two classes, one of
    persons in the United States and one of “foreign nationals”
    around the world. The sequence of events here is cause for
    concern, and the majority’s reliance on the belated class
    certification decision confirms that the district court’s
    universal injunction was not justified when issued. But what
    the class certification ruling also shows is that the excesses
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         43
    of universal injunctions stem in large part from a failure
    to abide by the rigorous requirements for class
    certification—requirements that the district court
    unfortunately did not observe.
    If there is any solace here, it is that the majority has only
    denied a stay of the injunction. I hope the merits panel that
    receives this case will see things differently. But that
    decision will be issued many months from now, if not longer.
    There is no reason for the Executive to have his chosen and
    plainly constitutional Proclamation put on ice in the
    interim—a delay that inflicts real damage on our
    constitutional system. For the reasons expressed here and in
    my prior dissent in this matter, see Doe #1 v. Trump, 
    944 F.3d 1222
    , 1223–29 (9th Cir. 2019) (Bress, J., dissenting), I would
    have stayed the district court’s injunction. I therefore
    respectfully dissent.
    I
    On October 4, 2019, the President issued Presidential
    Proclamation No. 9945, Suspension of Entry of Immigrants
    Who Will Financially Burden the United States Healthcare
    System, in Order To Protect the Availability of Healthcare
    Benefits for Americans. 84 Fed. Reg. 53991 (2019).
    Invoking the President’s authority under 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f)
    and the Constitution, the Proclamation restricts the entry of
    certain immigrants who cannot show that, within 30 days of
    arriving in the United States, they “will be covered by
    approved health insurance” or “possess[] the financial
    resources to pay for reasonably foreseeable medical costs.”
    Id. at 53992.
    44                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    The Proclamation is founded on the President’s
    determination that uninsured immigrants impose unwarranted
    costs on the American healthcare system. The Proclamation
    references “data show[ing] that lawful immigrants are about
    three times more likely than United States citizens to lack
    health insurance,” noting the “substantial” burden that the
    uninsured impose on healthcare providers and taxpayers.
    Id. at 53991.
    The President found that this burden—which takes
    the “form of higher taxes, higher premiums, and higher fees
    for medical services”—has contributed to uncompensated
    care costs in excess of $35 billion for each of the last
    10 years.
    Id. The Proclamation
    also identified other burdens
    that the uninsured impose, including “reliance on publicly
    funded programs” and overreliance on emergency room care,
    which creates “delays for those who truly need emergency
    services.”
    Id. The President
    concluded that “[c]ontinuing to
    allow entry into the United States of certain immigrants who
    lack health insurance or the demonstrated ability to pay for
    their healthcare would be detrimental” to the national interest.
    Id. To address
    these problems, the Proclamation requires visa
    applicants to show they “will be covered by approved health
    insurance . . . within 30 days of the alien’s entry into the
    United States, . . . unless the alien possesses the financial
    resources to pay for reasonably foreseeable medical costs.”
    Id. at 53992.
    The Proclamation defines “approved health
    insurance” by reference to a lengthy list of coverage options.
    Id. These include
    employer-sponsored and retiree plans,
    family plans, visitor health insurance plans, unsubsidized
    health plans offered on State exchanges, Medicare, or “any
    other health plan that provides adequate coverage for medical
    care as determined by the Secretary of Health and Human
    Services.”
    Id. Plans need
    not be purchased prior to entry;
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        45
    rather, the immigrant must only show that he or she will have
    the required coverage within 30 days of entry.
    Id. Enforcement of
    the Proclamation takes place all over the
    world at the consular officer level. An immigrant must
    “establish that he or she meets [the Proclamation’s]
    requirements, to the satisfaction of a consular officer, before
    the adjudication and issuance of an immigrant visa.”
    Id. at 53993.
    The Proclamation also empowers the Secretary of
    State to “establish standards and procedures [to] govern[]
    such determinations.”
    Id. This review
    is distinct from other
    requirements that the law otherwise imposes. As the
    Proclamation makes clear, its review process “is separate and
    independent from the review and determination required by
    other statutes, regulations, or proclamations in determining
    the admissibility of an alien.”
    Id. That would
    include, for
    instance, the public charge provisions of the Immigration and
    Nationality Act (INA). 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4).
    Importantly, the Proclamation “shall apply only to aliens
    seeking to enter the United States pursuant to an immigrant
    visa.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 53992. The Proclamation thus “does
    not affect the entry of aliens entering the United States
    through means other than immigrant visas.”
    Id. at 53993.
    That includes persons seeking nonimmigrant visas or
    refugees. Nothing in the Proclamation “affect[s] any
    individual’s eligibility for asylum, refugee status, withholding
    of removal, or protection under the Convention Against
    Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman or Degrading Treatment or
    Punishment.”
    Id. The Proclamation
    contains various other exceptions as
    well. It does not apply to “any alien holding a valid
    immigrant visa issued before the effective date of this
    46                   DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    proclamation,” or “any alien under the age of 18, except for
    any alien accompanying a parent who is also immigrating to
    the United States and subject to this proclamation.”
    Id. at 53992.
    The Proclamation does not cover “any alien who
    is the child of a United States citizen or who is seeking to
    enter the United States pursuant to” specified visas for
    children.
    Id. Also excepted
    are business travelers, foreign
    students, temporary agricultural workers, and various others.
    Id. On a
    “case-by-case basis,” the Secretary of State may
    exempt from the Proclamation “any alien whose entry would
    be in the national interest.”
    Id. at 53993.
    “[W]ithin 180 days” of the Proclamation’s effective date
    and each year thereafter, the Secretary of State, “in
    consultation with the Secretary of Health and Human
    Services, the Secretary of Homeland Security, and the heads
    of other appropriate agencies, shall submit” a report to the
    President.
    Id. This report
    must address “the continued
    necessity of and any adjustments that may be warranted to the
    suspension and limitation on entry” imposed, as well as
    “other measures that may be warranted to protect the integrity
    of the United States healthcare system.”
    Id. The Proclamation
    makes clear that “[i]f the Secretary of State, in
    consultation with the heads of other appropriate executive
    departments and agencies, determines that circumstances no
    longer warrant the continued effectiveness of the suspension
    and limitation on entry,” the President is to be “immediately”
    advised.
    Id. Two days
    before the Proclamation was set to take effect,
    plaintiffs—a Multnomah County, Oregon advocacy
    organization and several U.S. citizens with family members
    seeking visas—obtained a temporary restraining order
    blocking enforcement of the Proclamation worldwide. On
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       47
    November 26, 2019, and leading with the non-delegation
    doctrine, the district court granted plaintiffs’ request for a
    universal preliminary injunction and refused to stay its order.
    Doe #1 v. Trump, 
    418 F. Supp. 3d 573
    (D. Or. 2019). After
    the government sought a stay of the injunction pending
    appeal, our court denied the government temporary
    emergency relief. Doe #1 v. Trump, 
    944 F.3d 1222
    –23 (9th
    Cir. 2019); see also
    id. at 1223–29
    (Bress, J., dissenting).
    Four months after the government sought a stay in this
    court and three months after we heard argument on that
    motion (and while the motion was under submission), the
    district court granted class certification. Doe #1 v. Trump,
    
    2020 WL 1689727
    (D. Or. Apr. 7, 2020). The district court
    issued this class certification decision four and a half months
    after entering its nationwide preliminary injunction, and over
    five months after entering the temporary restraining order that
    blocked the Proclamation from taking effect anywhere.
    The district court certified two classes under Federal Rule
    of Civil Procedure 23(b)(2), one covering persons in the
    United States and one covering persons all over the world:
    (1) U.S. Petitioner Subclass:
    Individuals in the United States who currently
    have or will have an approved or pending
    petition to the United States government to
    sponsor a noncitizen family member for an
    immigrant visa; and whose sponsored family
    member is subject to the Proclamation and
    unable to demonstrate to a consular officer’s
    satisfaction that he or she “will be covered by
    approved health insurance” within 30 days
    48                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    after entry or will be able “to pay for
    reasonably foreseeable medical costs”; and
    (2) Visa Applicant Subclass:
    Individuals who are foreign nationals who
    (i) have applied for or will soon apply to the
    United States government for an immigrant
    visa; (ii) are otherwise eligible to be granted
    the visa; but (iii) are subject to the
    Proclamation and unable to demonstrate to the
    satisfaction of a consular officer that they
    “will be covered by approved health
    insurance” within 30 days after entry or will
    be able “to pay for reasonably foreseeable
    medical costs.”
    Id. at *17.
    The government’s time to seek leave to appeal the
    district court’s class certification decision has not yet expired.
    Fed. R. Civ. P. 23(f) (45-day deadline “if any party is the
    United States, a United States agency, or a United States
    officer or employee sued for an act or omission occurring in
    connection with duties performed on the United States’
    behalf”).
    Today, our court now denies the government’s request for
    a stay pending appeal, allowing the universal injunction to
    remain in place. The court’s decision is quite wrong, and so
    I respectfully dissent.
    II
    The following canonical factors control the government’s
    request for a stay pending appeal:
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       49
    (1) whether the stay applicant has made a
    strong showing that he is likely to succeed on
    the merits; (2) whether the applicant will be
    irreparably injured absent a stay; (3) whether
    issuance of the stay will substantially injure
    the other parties interested in the proceeding;
    and (4) where the public interest lies.
    City & Cty. of S.F. v. USCIS, 
    944 F.3d 773
    , 789 (9th Cir.
    2019) (quoting Nken v. Holder, 
    556 U.S. 418
    , 433–34
    (2009)).
    The majority opinion begins with the government’s
    irreparable harm and only later turns to its likelihood of
    success on the merits, the supposedly “second most important
    Nken factor.” Maj. Op. 22. I have elsewhere explained how
    a tactical deviation from the normal sequence of the stay
    factors “waters down the merits analysis.” See Al Otro Lado
    v. Wolf, 
    952 F.3d 999
    , 1022 (9th Cir. 2020) (Bress, J.,
    dissenting). That is the case here, where the government’s
    asserted harms follow from its strong likelihood of success on
    the merits. See
    id. (“The sequencing
    of today’s opinion can
    only reflect the majority’s implicit acknowledgement that the
    government’s case is strongest where it most matters, namely,
    the likelihood of success on the merits.”). Inversion of the
    stay factors is a recent trend and one that produces distortion
    in the stay analysis.
    I thus begin, as we usually do, with the merits.
    50                   DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    III
    A
    The majority concludes that the President has likely
    exceeded his powers on the theory that Proclamation No.
    9945 conflicts with statutes that supposedly forbid it, while
    failing to fall within 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f). This is seriously
    mistaken.
    Under Trump v. Hawaii, the government has made a
    strong showing that Proclamation No. 9945 is a lawful
    exercise of the President’s vast constitutional and statutory
    powers in this space. I address § 1182(f) first because, in
    combination with his innate powers under the Constitution,
    § 1182(f) creates the high-water mark for the President’s
    ability to place limits on who enters this country. Under
    § 1182(f) and the President’s inherent powers, Proclamation
    No. 9945 is plainly valid.
    Section 1182(f) provides:
    Whenever the President finds that the entry of
    any aliens or of any class of aliens into the
    United States would be detrimental to the
    interests of the United States, he may by
    proclamation, and for such period as he shall
    deem necessary, suspend the entry of all
    aliens or any class of aliens as immigrants or
    nonimmigrants, or impose on the entry of
    aliens any restrictions he may deem to be
    appropriate.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         51
    8 U.S.C. § 1182(f). Just two years ago, the Supreme Court in
    Trump v. Hawaii held that § 1182(f) “exudes deference to the
    President in every clause” and “grants the President sweeping
    authority to decide whether to suspend entry, whose entry to
    suspend, and for how 
    long.” 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    , 2413. Based
    on this “broad discretion to suspend the entry of aliens into
    the United States,” the Supreme Court upheld against
    constitutional and statutory challenges a presidential
    proclamation suspending entry of persons from specified
    countries.
    Id. at 2408
    .
    
    The “sweeping authority” that justified the proclamation
    in Trump v. Hawaii clearly allows the President to do what he
    did here in Proclamation No. 9945. As the Supreme Court
    has held, the “sole prerequisite set forth in § 1182(f) is that
    the President ‘find[]’ that the entry of the covered aliens
    ‘would be detrimental to the interests of the United States.’”
    Id. at 2408
    (quoting 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f)). The President made
    that finding in Proclamation No. 9945. 84 Fed. Reg. at
    53991. In Trump v. Hawaii, moreover, the plaintiffs argued
    that the proclamation there conflicted with provisions of the
    INA, which the plaintiffs believed “already specified”
    Congress’s approach to the issue.
    Id. at 2411.
    But the
    Supreme Court expressly rejected this theory because
    “[f]airly read,” § 1182(f) “vests authority in the President to
    impose additional limitations on entry beyond the grounds for
    exclusion set forth in the INA.”
    Id. at 2412
    . 
    Proclamation
    No. 9945 is another such “additional limitation[] on entry.”
    Id. It is
    therefore plainly valid under § 1182(f), as interpreted
    by the Supreme Court.
    Against all of this, the majority offers two bases for
    distinguishing Trump v. Hawaii and for concluding that the
    President has likely exceeded his powers under § 1182(f).
    52                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    But Trump v. Hawaii considered and squarely rejected the
    very arguments that the majority credits.
    First, the majority concludes that “the Proclamation’s
    failure to explicitly or implicitly establish any time
    constraints on the healthcare prohibition raises serious
    questions as to whether the Proclamation is a ‘suspension’
    according to the plain meaning of the term in § 1182(f).”
    Maj. Op. 31–32. The Supreme Court considered and rejected
    this same argument in Trump v. Hawaii. While the majority
    opinion complains that Proclamation No. 9945 “does not
    have an endpoint,” Maj. Op. 29, Trump v. Hawaii rejected the
    plaintiffs’ argument that a § 1182(f) “suspension” “mean[t]
    that the President is required to prescribe in advance a fixed
    end date for the entry 
    restrictions.” 138 S. Ct. at 2410
    .
    Citing past proclamations, Trump v. Hawaii concluded it was
    sufficient that the proclamation “makes clear that its
    ‘conditional restrictions’ will remain in force only so long as
    necessary to ‘address’ the identified ‘inadequacies and risks’
    within the covered nations.”
    Id. In particular,
    the Supreme
    Court noted that the proclamation “establishes an ongoing
    process to engage covered nations and assess every 180 days
    whether the entry restrictions should be modified or
    terminated.”
    Id. The majority
    here claims that Proclamation No. 9945 is
    different because it supposedly “omits any indication that the
    health insurance requirement is temporary.” Maj. Op. 29.
    Indeed, the majority claims the Proclamation lacks “even an
    implicit” time limitation, “such as a limit measured by the
    occurrence of some future event or condition.”
    Id. at 29.
    That is an uncommonly unfair reading of the Proclamation.
    An entire section of Proclamation No. 9945 provides for
    ongoing review of its “suspension” on entry.             The
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        53
    Proclamation requires that a report be submitted to the
    President on “the continued necessity of and any adjustments
    that may be warranted to the suspension and limitation on
    entry.” 84 Fed. Reg. at 53993 (emphasis added). The first
    report must be submitted to the President within 180 days of
    the Proclamation’s effective date, and “annually thereafter.”
    Id. If “circumstances
    no longer warrant the continued
    effectiveness of the suspension or limitation on entry,” the
    President must “immediately” be advised.
    Id. (emphases added).
    The review process here is not materially different
    from the one at issue in Trump v. Hawaii. The majority
    opinion blinks reality in suggesting otherwise.
    Instead, the majority claims the Proclamation is not a
    temporary limitation on entry because while agency officials
    can advise the President that the suspension is no longer
    warranted, “[t]here is no requirement that the President act on
    the advice.” Maj. Op. 29. That is a rather remarkable
    statement. When exercising his vast powers under § 1182(f)
    and Article II of the Constitution, nothing requires the
    President to bind himself to the mast and pre-commit to the
    recommendations of inferior officials. And like the
    Proclamation here, the proclamation in Trump v. Hawaii also
    did not require the President uncritically to accept the advice
    of his subordinates. See Pres. Procl. No. 99645, 82 Fed. Reg.
    45161, 41169–70 (2017) (describing inter-agency
    “recommendations to the President” and stating “the
    Secretary of Homeland Security may recommend to the
    President the removal or modification of any or all such
    restrictions and limitations”) (emphases added). The
    majority’s insistence that the fatal flaw in the Proclamation is
    the President’s unwillingness to agree in advance to advice he
    has not yet received reflects an untenable theory of Executive
    power with no basis in principle or common sense.
    54                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Even more unsettling is the majority’s determination that
    Proclamation No. 9945 is not a temporary “suspension”
    because of its “likely ineffectiveness.” Maj. Op. 31. The
    majority asserts that “the likely ineffectiveness of the health
    insurance requirement suggests that uncompensated care
    costs will remain high,” so that “the perceived ‘necessity’ of
    the Proclamation could therefore continue in perpetuity.”
    Id. In other
    words, the majority concludes that because the
    Proclamation will not successfully “reduce uncompensated
    healthcare costs,” those costs will remain high, meaning that
    the Proclamation will continue in effect forever.
    Id. at 30.
    The majority’s conclusion about the “likely
    ineffectiveness” of the Proclamation turns on plaintiffs’
    expert’s self-described “not . . . ideal analysis.” I will have
    more to say on that later. What matters here is that the
    majority’s reasoning again defies Trump v. Hawaii. The
    plaintiffs there similarly maintained that a proclamation
    would not adequately resolve “the President’s stated
    
    concern.” 138 S. Ct. at 2409
    . In rejecting this view, the
    Supreme Court could not have been clearer that “a searching
    inquiry into the persuasiveness of the President’s
    justifications is inconsistent with the broad statutory text [of
    § 1182(f)] and the deference traditionally accorded the
    President in this sphere.”
    Id. Indeed, the
    Supreme Court
    went on, “‘[w]hether the President’s chosen method’ of
    addressing perceived risks is justified from a policy
    perspective is ‘irrelevant to the scope of his [§ 1182(f)]
    authority.’”
    Id. (quoting Sale
    v. Haitian Ctrs. Council, Inc.,
    
    509 U.S. 155
    , 187–88 (1993)) (emphasis added).
    The Supreme Court in Trump v. Hawaii in no uncertain
    terms rebuffed the plaintiffs’ effort to “challenge the entry
    suspension based on their perception of its effectiveness.”
    Id. DOE #1
    V. TRUMP                       55
    at 2421. The majority’s armchair conclusion about the
    “likely ineffectiveness” of Proclamation No. 9945 is thus
    precisely what the Supreme Court told us not to do. The
    Supreme Court reiterated in Trump v. Hawaii that “we cannot
    substitute our own assessment for the Executive’s predictive
    judgments.”
    Id. Yet the
    majority opinion does just that.
    Today’s decision is therefore a serious affront to the core
    separation of powers principles that Trump v. Hawaii
    reaffirms and reinforces.
    The majority’s suggestion that the outcome might have
    been different if the President had engaged in a more “data-
    driven analysis,” Maj. Op. 30, reflects an equally serious
    misunderstanding of our role. Since when does this court
    know health policy better than the President of the United
    States and the other Executive Branch officials whom the
    Proclamation requires to be involved—the Secretary of State,
    the Secretary of Health and Human Services, the Secretary of
    Homeland Security, and “the heads of other appropriate
    agencies”? 84 Fed. Reg. at 53993. The majority’s
    conclusion that Proclamation No. 9945 is not a time-limited
    “suspension” on entry is nothing more than a policy
    disagreement with the Executive on a matter constitutionally
    and statutorily committed to his authority.
    Second, the majority concludes that Proclamation No.
    9945 likely exceeds the President’s § 1182(f) powers because
    the Proclamation “deals with a purely domestic economic
    problem: uncompensated healthcare costs in the United
    States.” Maj. Op. 32. Once again, the majority opinion
    disregards Supreme Court precedent, mischaracterizes the
    Proclamation, and improperly treads on the President’s
    constitutional and statutory powers. Indeed, no court has ever
    56                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    adopted the foreign/domestic distinction that the majority
    tries to engraft onto § 1182(f).
    Proclamation No. 9945 places restrictions on the entry of
    immigrants into this country. For over a century, the
    Supreme Court has been clear that “[t]he exclusion of aliens
    is a fundamental act of sovereignty” that “is inherent in the
    executive power to control the foreign affairs of the nation.”
    United States ex rel. Knauff v. Shaughnessy, 
    338 U.S. 537
    ,
    542 (1950); see also, e.g., 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2418
    ; INS v.
    Aguirre-Aguirre, 
    526 U.S. 415
    , 425 (1999) (“[W]e have
    recognized that judicial deference to the Executive Branch is
    especially appropriate in the immigration context where
    officials exercise especially sensitive political functions that
    implicate questions of foreign relations.”) (quotations
    omitted); Harisiades v. Shaughnessy, 
    342 U.S. 580
    , 588–89
    (1952) (“[A]ny policy toward aliens is vitally and intricately
    interwoven with contemporaneous policies in regard to the
    conduct of foreign relations . . . .”). The majority’s notion
    that the exclusion of persons from this country can be
    recharacterized as “a purely domestic economic issue,” Maj.
    Op. 33, thus contradicts settled Supreme Court case law.
    Given the source of authority that the President invoked,
    it is therefore unsurprising that Proclamation No. 9945 on its
    face has an obvious international valence. If it ever goes into
    effect, the Proclamation will be implemented by consular
    officials abroad, who must interview aliens seeking visas.
    84 Fed. Reg. at 53993; Notice of Info. Collection Under OMB
    Emergency Review: Immigrant Health Ins. Coverage, 84 Fed.
    Reg. 58199 (2019). The Proclamation allows the Secretary
    of State to “establish standards and procedures governing
    such determinations.” 84 Fed. Reg. 53993. It enables the
    Secretary of State to exempt aliens from the Proclamation.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       57
    Id. And it
    entrusts the Secretary of State with lead
    responsibility for preparing regular reports to the President.
    Id. The idea
    that the Proclamation concerns matters “purely
    domestic,” Maj. Op. 33, is clearly belied by the text and
    intended operation of the Proclamation itself.
    There are also obvious reasons why no court has forced
    a foreign/domestic distinction on § 1182(f). The text of
    § 1182(f) allows the President to suspend the entry of aliens
    who “would be detrimental to the interests of the United
    States”—without defining what those interests may be and
    without distinguishing between foreign and domestic
    interests. Many (if not most) immigration policies naturally
    implicate domestic interests as well as foreign ones. This is
    to be expected for a provision that governs entry of persons
    “into the United States.” 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f) (emphasis
    added); see also, e.g., Pres. Procl. No. 4865, 46 Fed. Reg.
    48107 (1981) (suspending entry to preserve “law enforcement
    resources” and promote the “welfare and safety of
    communities” in the southeastern United States).
    In fact, many of the INA’s express grounds for
    inadmissibility could be said to involve “domestic” concerns,
    or even “purely domestic” ones. See, e.g., 8 U.S.C.
    § 1182(a)(1)(A)(i) (aliens with communicable diseases);
    id. § 1182(a)(1)(A)(ii)
    (aliens who have not been vaccinated);
    id. § 1182(a)(2)(A)
    (aliens with a criminal history);
    id. § 1182(a)(4)
    (aliens who are likely to become public
    charges);
    id. § 1182(a)(5)
    (aliens who would disrupt domestic
    labor markets or wages). Since § 1182(f) “vests authority in
    the President to impose additional limitations on entry
    beyond the grounds for exclusion set forth in the INA,”
    
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2412
    , it would be bizarre if § 1182(f)
    58                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    reflected a foreign/domestic limitation that appears nowhere
    in the text or structure of the INA as a whole.
    This manufactured distinction is also inconsistent with
    everything the Supreme Court has told us about § 1182(f).
    That provision “exudes deference to the President in every
    clause” and “grants the President sweeping authority to
    decide whether to suspend entry, whose entry to suspend, and
    for how long.” 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    , 2413. The
    majority’s unprecedented effort to recast § 1182(f) wrongly
    deprives the President of authority that is rightfully his and
    will lead to endless problems of administration as courts
    debate whether a given immigration policy is really more
    foreign or domestic in nature. This is not the § 1182(f) that
    Congress enacted or that the Supreme Court construed in
    Trump v. Hawaii.
    B
    If Proclamation No. 9945 is a valid exercise of § 1182(f),
    what is the problem? The district court’s primary answer was
    that § 1182(f) was itself an unconstitutional delegation of
    legislative power to the President. In the district court’s
    view, “[t]here is no ‘intelligible principle’ provided as to
    what it means to be ‘detrimental,’ what the ‘interests’ of the
    United States are, what degree of finding is required, or what
    degree of detriment is required.” Doe 
    #1, 418 F. Supp. 3d at 590
    . The majority opinion tellingly declines to endorse
    this rationale. Maj. Op. 34. But its description of the district
    court’s non-delegation analysis as “thoughtful” and
    “forceful,”
    id., fails to
    acknowledge—and if anything,
    compliments—the district court’s remarkable departure from
    settled law.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        59
    I addressed the non-delegation issue at some length in my
    prior dissent at the administrative stay stage. See Doe 
    #1, 944 F.3d at 1226
    –27 (Bress, J., dissenting). But in brief: the
    district court’s non-delegation holding is clearly incorrect.
    On just two occasions in our country’s history has the
    Supreme Court struck down a congressional statute under the
    non-delegation doctrine. See Gundy v. United States, 139 S.
    Ct. 2116, 2129 (2019). Section 1182(f) does not present just
    the third occasion for doing so. That statute “has for decades
    been the noted source of statutory authority for presidential
    proclamations involving immigration matters.” Doe 
    #1, 944 F.3d at 1226
    –27 (Bress, J., dissenting). It does not suffer
    from a mortal constitutional defect hiding in plain sight.
    Far from lacking an intelligible principle, the Supreme
    Court in Trump v. Hawaii held that “the language of
    § 1182(f) is clear” and that § 1182(f) is a “comprehensive
    delegation” of authority to the 
    President. 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    ,
    2410; see also
    id. at 2408
    (“clear statutory language”);
    id. at 2410
    (“clear text”). Section 1182(f), the Supreme Court
    has told us, reflects “textual limits.”
    Id. at 2409.
    This is not
    a quarry from which a non-delegation challenge can be
    mined.
    Indeed, the President’s power in this area does not derive
    solely from Congress, because “[t]he exclusion of aliens” is
    “inherent in the executive power to control the foreign affairs
    of the nation.” 
    Knauff, 338 U.S. at 542
    ; see also 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2424
    (Thomas, J., concurring) (“Section 1182(f)
    does not set forth any judicially enforceable limits that
    constrain the President. Nor could it, since the President has
    inherent authority to exclude aliens from the country.”)
    (emphasis in original and citation omitted). That is why “the
    strict limitation upon congressional delegations of power to
    60                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    the President over internal affairs does not apply with respect
    to delegations of power in external affairs.” Youngstown
    Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, 
    343 U.S. 579
    , 636 n.2 (1952)
    (Jackson, J., concurring); see also 
    Gundy, 139 S. Ct. at 2137
    (Gorsuch, J., dissenting) (“[W]hen a congressional statute
    confers wide discretion to the executive, no separation-of-
    powers problem may arise if the discretion is to be exercised
    over matters already within the scope of executive power.”)
    (quotations omitted). This was, in fact, the Supreme Court’s
    exact explanation when it rejected a non-delegation challenge
    to a precursor to § 1182(f). See 
    Knauff, 338 U.S. at 542
    .
    Just last Term, the Supreme Court reiterated that it has
    “almost never felt qualified to second-guess Congress
    regarding the permissible degree of policy judgment that can
    be left to those executing or applying the law.” 
    Gundy, 139 S. Ct. at 2129
    (quotations omitted). Engaging in such
    second-guessing in the context of a longstanding statute in the
    area of foreign affairs, as the district court did, would
    fundamentally reorder our constitutional system. I wish the
    majority had said this instead of implying that the district
    court’s ruling warranted further consideration in this court.
    C
    The majority opinion instead holds that the government
    has not made a strong showing of success because
    Proclamation No. 9945 supposedly “conflicts” with: (1) the
    Violence Against Women Act’s (VAWA) amendments to the
    INA, 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4)(E); (2) the Affordable Care Act
    (ACA), 42 U.S.C. § 10821, et seq.; and (3) the INA’s public
    charge provision, 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4)(B)(i). Maj. Op.
    22–28. I list these grounds in the order the majority presents
    them.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        61
    The district court, however, devoted only a few sentences
    to VAWA. See Doe # 
    1, 418 F. Supp. 3d at 597
    . The district
    court did not rely at all on any perceived conflict with the
    ACA. See
    id. at 597
    n.6 (“The Court expresses no opinion at
    this stage of the litigation about whether the Proclamation
    also contravenes or overrides various healthcare laws.”). And
    while the district court did rely on a claimed conflict with the
    public charge provision, allegedly rendering the Proclamation
    “unconstitutional under separation of powers,”
    id. at 593,
    this
    was secondary to its central non-delegation theory.
    It therefore is apparent that the majority justifies the
    district court’s injunction on quite different legal bases than
    the district court itself. But any uneasiness with the district
    court’s rationales should have led to the injunction being
    stayed, not reliance on new rationales with yet more legal
    deficiencies. Regardless, the majority’s central theory that
    Congress in various enactments foreclosed Proclamation No.
    9945, rendering it unconstitutional, is plainly wrong.
    1
    I begin with the INA’s public charge provisions, because
    on this point the majority once again flouts Trump v. Hawaii.
    The INA renders inadmissible any alien who “is likely at any
    time to become a public charge.” 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4)(A).
    Consular officers make this determination using a series of
    non-exhaustive “minimum” factors: age; health; family
    status; assets, resources, and financial status; and education
    and skills.
    Id. § 1182(a)(4)(B)(i)(I)–(V).
    The majority tells
    us that Proclamation No. 9945 “eviscerates th[is] statutory
    scheme by making the acquisition of designated forms of
    health insurance the sole consideration of whether an
    62                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    applicant should be excluded from consideration for a family
    visa.” Maj. Op. 27.
    The majority’s “evisceration” theory is wrong. And
    Trump v. Hawaii—which the majority does not mention in
    this portion of its opinion—tells us why. Nothing in
    Proclamation No. 9945 “eviscerates” the public charge
    provision, for the obvious reason that these are simply two
    different grounds for inadmissibility. One can meet the
    public charge provisions but not the Proclamation, and vice
    versa. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 53993 (explaining that the review
    the Proclamation requires “is separate and independent from
    the review and determination required by other statutes,
    regulations, or proclamations in determining the
    inadmissibility of an alien”).
    In fact, the Supreme Court in Trump v. Hawaii rejected
    the very type of argument the majority adopts. There, the
    plaintiffs argued that a proclamation nullified parts of the
    INA because Congress in that statute had already addressed
    “the problem of aliens seeking entry from countries that do
    not share sufficient 
    information.” 138 S. Ct. at 2411
    . The
    Supreme Court held there was no such conflict with the INA
    because § 1182(f) “vests authority in the President to impose
    additional limitations on entry beyond the grounds for
    exclusion set forth in the INA.”
    Id. at 2412
    (emphases
    added); see also
    id. at 2408
    (“It is therefore unsurprising that
    we have previously observed that § 1182(f) vests the
    President with ‘ample power’ to impose entry restrictions in
    addition to those elsewhere enumerated in the INA.”)
    (quoting 
    Sale, 508 U.S. at 187
    ).
    There is nothing unusual about Proclamation No. 9945
    creating an independent—and yes, dispositive—ground for
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                                63
    inadmissibility, when that is the whole point of § 1182(f).
    What the majority treats as a “violat[ion] of the INA,” Maj.
    Op. 26, is just § 1182(f) of the INA in operation, as Trump v.
    Hawaii makes plain. The majority today simply resurrects
    the same “cramped” reading of § 1182(f) that Trump v.
    Hawaii 
    rejected. 138 S. Ct. at 2412
    .1
    Implicit in the majority’s reasoning is the view that each
    public charge factor must be given some weight, so that if any
    one consideration is dispositive, it unravels the statutory
    scheme. This interpretation has no basis in the statute. The
    INA does not assign the public charge factors any weight
    among themselves or in relation to independent eligibility
    requirements. And as we recently explained, the public
    charge “factors are not exhaustive,” and the Executive “may
    add to them.” City & Cty. of 
    S.F., 944 F.3d at 798
    . “Other
    factors may be considered as well, giving officials
    considerable discretion in their decisions.”
    Id. at 792;
    see
    also
    id. at 796
    (“[D]ifferent factors have been weighted more
    or less heavily at different times.”).
    1
    Unsurprisingly, prior proclamations have addressed grounds of
    inadmissibility that the INA already provided for to some extent.
    Compare 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(2)(h) (rendering inadmissible “[a]ny alien
    who commits or conspires to commit human trafficking offenses”), with
    Pres. Procl. No. 8342, 74 Fed. Reg. 4093 (2009) (barring entry of certain
    government officials who have “impeded” or “failed to implement”
    antitrafficking efforts); compare also 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(3)(E) (rendering
    inadmissible Nazi-affiliated aliens who “ordered, incited, assisted, or
    otherwise participated in the persecution of any person because of race,
    religion, national origin, or political opinion”), with Pres. Procl. No. 8697,
    76 Fed. Reg. 49277 (2011) (barring entry of any alien who “ordered,
    assisted, aided and abetted, committed or otherwise participated in . . .
    widespread or systematic violence” based on protected characteristics).
    64                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    The majority complains that the public charge statute
    “lists various factors that the consular office can consider”
    and “[h]ealth insurance is not among them.” Maj. Op. 26.
    But again, that is the expected result of a statutory scheme
    that allows the President to impose “additional limitations on
    entry.” 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2412
    . The majority’s quarrel is
    thus really with § 1182(f) itself, not any actual distortion of
    the INA. There is no conflict between a public charge
    provision that is “flexible” and “ambiguous,” City & Cty. of
    
    S.F., 944 F.3d at 798
    , and a Proclamation premised on the
    “clear” and “comprehensive delegation” that Congress
    conferred on the President in § 1182(f), 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    –09.
    2
    Unlike the district court, the majority’s lead point is that
    Proclamation No. 9945 “conflicts with the Violence Against
    Women Act’s (‘VAWA’) amendments to the INA.” Maj.
    Op. 22. These amendments provide that the INA’s public
    charge provisions “shall not apply” to an alien who is the
    victim of certain crimes. 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4)(E); see also
    id. § 1154(a)(1)(A)(iii)–(vi).
    Once again, the majority fails
    in its effort to save the district court’s injunction.
    As an initial matter, no plaintiff in this case claims that
    their relatives are subject to the VAWA exemption. VAWA
    is thus irrelevant to this litigation and plaintiffs would lack
    standing to invoke it. E.g., Easter v. Am. W. Fin., 
    381 F.3d 948
    , 962 (9th Cir. 2004); Halet v. Wend Inv. Co., 
    672 F.2d 1305
    , 1309 n.2 (9th Cir. 1982). But in any event, the
    Proclamation does not conflict with VAWA for the obvious
    reason that a petitioner who meets VAWA’s eligibility
    requirements is not thereby entitled to admission into the
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                               65
    United States. Rather, that person is merely exempted from
    the public charge limitations. 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(4)(E).
    Nothing in VAWA or the INA requires the President to
    impose a VAWA-like carve-out on other grounds for
    inadmissibility, and nothing in the INA imposes such a
    restriction on the President’s broad authority under § 1182(f).
    The majority thus badly errs in concluding that the
    Proclamation “contravenes the well-settled principle that the
    President’s powers are executive, not legislative in nature,”
    because the President cannot “repeal statutes.” Maj. Op. 23
    (quotations omitted). Such conclusory statements of
    constitutional law have nothing to do with what the President
    has done here. VAWA is a limited exception to one ground
    for inadmissibility, not an overarching limit on the
    President’s expansive authority under § 1182(f) or his
    independent constitutional powers in this area.2
    3
    The majority also holds that “[t]he government has not
    submitted any evidence” of likely success on the plaintiffs’
    2
    I also find unfortunate the majority’s attempt to boost its holding by
    asserting that the government “has made no showing at all” on VAWA
    and “does not respond to the merits of this challenge.” Maj. Op. 22, 23.
    The district court, as noted, devoted only a few scant sentences to VAWA.
    Even so, the government expressly argued in this court that the
    Proclamation did not conflict with VAWA because Trump v. Hawaii
    “rejected this argument, holding that ‘§ 1182(f) vests the President with
    ‘ample power’ to impose entry restrictions in addition to those elsewhere
    enumerated in the INA.’” Reply Br. 5 
    (quoting 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    )
    (emphasis omitted). Moreover, VAWA is part of the public charge
    provision and the government has argued at length why the Proclamation
    does not conflict with that provision as a whole.
    66                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    assertion that “the Proclamation violates the” Affordable Care
    Act (ACA). Maj. Op. 24. That is rather harsh, considering
    that the district court did not reach this issue. Doe #1, 418 F.
    Supp. 3d at 597 n.6. The plaintiffs devoted less than a page
    of their stay opposition to the ACA, and the government then
    addressed the issue in its reply brief. All the same, the notion
    that the Proclamation conflicts with the ACA is manifestly
    incorrect.
    The ACA authorized the creation of State-based health
    insurance markets, called “exchanges,” “where people can
    shop for insurance, usually online.” King v. Burwell, 135 S.
    Ct. 2480, 2487 (2015) (citing 42 U.S.C. § 18031(b)(1)).
    Under the ACA, “individuals with household incomes
    between 100 percent and 400 percent of the federal poverty
    line” may purchase subsidized insurance plans with the help
    of “refundable tax credits.”
    Id. These tax
    credits are
    available to “lawfully present” aliens whose incomes are less
    than 100 percent of the poverty line and who are also
    ineligible for Medicaid. 26 U.S.C. § 36B(c)(1)(B). Neither
    subsidized insurance nor Medicaid satisfy the Proclamation’s
    requirements. Under the ACA, consumers can also purchase
    unsubsidized insurance on State exchanges. 42 U.S.C.
    §§ 18031(d)(2)(A), 10832(b). Such unsubsidized plans do
    satisfy Proclamation No. 9945. See 84 Fed. Reg. at 53392.
    In all cases, however, an immigrant must be “lawfully
    present” and a resident of a State before he can purchase any
    health insurance from that State’s exchange, whether
    subsidized or not. 26 U.S.C. § 36B(c)(1)(B); 42 U.S.C.
    § 18032(f)(1)(A)(ii); 45 C.F.R. 155.305(a)(1), (3).
    The majority claims that because the Proclamation
    excludes subsidized plans under State exchanges, “an
    immigrant attempting to legally enter the United States will
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       67
    not have access to ACA tax credits as Congress intended.”
    Maj. Op. 25. That is a non sequitur. As the majority
    acknowledges, under the ACA, subsidized plans are
    only available to individuals “lawfully present” in the
    United States. 26 U.S.C. § 36B(c)(1)(B); 42 U.S.C.
    § 18032(f)(1)(A)(ii). The ACA thus does not cover persons
    who are subject to the Proclamation, who are not lawfully
    present here. Nor does the Proclamation prevent individuals,
    once they are “lawfully present,” from seeking subsidized
    insurance under State exchanges. And the ACA says nothing
    about who may or may not enter this country. That Congress
    has created a benefit for individuals who have “lawfully”
    entered the United States does not then give persons a right
    to enter the country to obtain those benefits.
    The apparent suggestion in the majority opinion is that the
    Proclamation will prevent the entry of all persons who could
    then later take advantage of the subsidized plans that the
    ACA makes available to immigrants who are “lawfully
    present.” But as discussed above, the Proclamation only
    covers a subset of immigrants. There are many other
    immigrants, including persons already lawfully present in the
    United States, who can try to take advantage of subsidized
    insurance options. And that is to say nothing of the persons
    who are subject to the Proclamation, who can meet its
    eligibility requirements, and who can then pursue subsidized
    health insurance once they arrive. The suggestion that the
    Proclamation somehow drains an aspect of the ACA of all
    function is thus obviously not true.
    The majority next claims that although immigrants can
    satisfy the Proclamation by purchasing unsubsidized
    insurance on State exchanges, because immigrants must be
    “lawfully present” in the United States to buy such insurance,
    68                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    these immigrants are placed in “a Catch-22.” Maj. Op. 25.
    By the majority’s reasoning, such persons “cannot obtain an
    ‘approved’ unsubsidized insurance plan unless they have
    been legally admitted, but they cannot be legally admitted
    unless they have obtained an ‘approved’ insurance plan.”
    Id. This theory
    collapses because the latter part is not true.
    Under the Proclamation, the immigrant must only show that
    he “will be covered by approved health insurance . . . within
    30 days of the alien’s entry into the United States.” 84 Fed.
    Reg. 53992 (emphasis added). The majority’s “Catch-22”
    thus relies entirely on a misreading of the Proclamation.
    IV
    The government has not only made an overwhelming
    showing of likely success on the merits, it has also shown that
    it will be irreparably harmed absent a stay of the district
    court’s injunction. 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 433
    –34. The majority’s
    determination otherwise depends on it placing plaintiffs’
    expert and an amicus brief on higher footing than the
    President of the United States.
    A
    The harm that the court’s injunction inflicts is irreparable
    and real—to the interests the Executive seeks to promote
    through the Proclamation and to the core separation of
    powers principles that make the Proclamation lawful. The
    injunction is a severe affront to the President’s authority,
    itself an irreparable injury. See Maryland v. King, 
    133 S. Ct. 1
    , 3 (2012) (Roberts, C.J., in chambers) (“[A]ny time a State
    is enjoined by a court from effectuating statutes enacted by
    representatives of its people, it suffers a form of irreparable
    injury.”) (quotations omitted).
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         69
    The majority downplays the government’s institutional
    injury on the theory that the Proclamation’s lawfulness “is at
    the core of this dispute, to be resolved at the merits stage.”
    Maj. Op. 16. But by this logic, a court of appeals could never
    stay a district court’s injunction until the merits were finally
    adjudicated, which is not the law. The merits of a case of
    course are at issue at the “merits stage.” But the merits are
    relevant now too, because we are required to evaluate the
    likelihood of success on the merits at the stay stage. See
    
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 434
    . In this case, the “clear statutory
    language” of § 1182(f) reflects a “comprehensive delegation”
    of “sweeping authority” to the Executive, 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    , 2413, who Congress entrusted with the important
    mission of suspending the entry of aliens who “would be
    detrimental to the interests of the United States.” 8 U.S.C.
    § 1182(f). The court’s deprivation of this fundamental power
    is an acute institutional injury that is not made more palatable
    by telling the government it must wait many months, if not
    much longer, for a final decision on the merits. See
    
    Maryland, 133 S. Ct. at 3
    .
    The majority discounts the government’s institutional
    injury on the theory that if such injury were credited, “no act”
    of the President could be enjoined because “the irreparable
    harm standard [would be] satisfied by the fact of executive
    action alone.” Maj. Op. 16. That is a mischaracterization.
    The majority can make this suggestion only because it took
    the stay factors out of order and addressed the harms before
    the merits. Where, as here, the government has shown an
    overwhelming likelihood of success on the merits, enjoining
    it from enforcing its plainly lawful policy is a constitutionally
    significant injury.
    70                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Institutional injury aside, the government has
    demonstrated that its inability to enforce the Proclamation
    pending appeal will cause irreparable harm. See City & Cty.
    of 
    S.F., 944 F.3d at 806
    (finding irreparable harm where “the
    preliminary injunctions will force DHS to grant status to
    those not legally entitled to it”). The President determined in
    Proclamation No. 9945 that immigrants “who have not
    demonstrated any ability to pay for their” medical care
    impose significant and unwarranted costs on the American
    healthcare system. 84 Fed. Reg. 53991. The Proclamation
    does not apply once an immigrant has been admitted to the
    United States, so it can never apply to aliens admitted during
    the pendency of this litigation.           See 84 Fed. Reg.
    at 53992–93. The costs they impose while the injunction
    remains in place are thus unrecoverable, creating irreparable
    harm. See California v. Azar, 
    911 F.3d 558
    , 581 (9th Cir.
    2018).
    The scope of the injunction here only confirms both the
    fact of irreparable harm and its magnitude. The injunction
    applies worldwide and, by the majority’s estimation, “would
    negatively affect approximately 60% of all immigrant visa
    applicants” and “375,000 immigrants each year.” Maj.
    Op. 19. This only “prove[s] [the government’s] point,”
    confirming that the harm “is not only irreparable, but
    significant.” City & Cty. of 
    S.F., 944 F.3d at 806
    . Nor is the
    resulting injury limited to “third parties,” as the majority
    suggests. Maj. Op. 19. The government funds considerable
    aspects of our healthcare system, and it is undeniable that the
    uninsured would require the government to “incur some
    otherwise avoidable financial costs if a stay is denied.”
    Golden Gate Rest. Ass’n v. City & Cty. of S.F., 
    512 F.3d 1112
    , 1125 (9th Cir. 2008); see also 
    Azar, 911 F.3d at 581
                          DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       71
    (explaining that “economic harm” is “irreparable” when the
    government “will not be able to recover monetary damages”).
    Contrary to the majority opinion, the harms here are also
    not “purely monetary.” Maj. Op. 18. The Proclamation
    identifies non-monetary harms that the uninsured impose,
    such as increased strain on “publicly funded programs” and
    overreliance on emergency rooms, “causing overcrowding
    and delays for those who truly need emergency services.”
    84 Fed. Reg. 53991. These too are irreparable harms that
    cannot be avoided absent a stay of the injunction. See Golden
    Gate Rest. 
    Ass’n, 512 F.3d at 1125
    (granting stay because
    “individuals without health coverage are significantly less
    likely to seek timely medical care than those with health
    coverage,” and consequently are more likely to “seek
    emergency treatment” from government-funded hospitals and
    clinics).
    B
    The majority opinion disbelieves the government’s
    asserted harms because while the Proclamation states that
    “immigrants are about three times more likely than United
    States citizens to lack health insurance,” 84 Fed. Reg 53991,”
    there is, the majority complains, “no citation in the
    Proclamation for this statistic.” Maj. Op.16. This is of a
    piece with the majority’s criticism that the Proclamation lacks
    “data-driven analysis” or a “further cost quantification” (an
    apparently technical requirement that the majority opinion
    leaves undefined).
    Id. at 17,
    30. The majority’s failure to
    give the Executive any deference is clear legal error.
    A presidential proclamation is not a second-grade math
    assignment, where a student must “show his work” to get
    72                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    credit. In Trump v. Hawaii, the Supreme Court found it
    “questionable” whether the President operating under
    § 1182(f) was in any way required to “explain [his] finding[s]
    with sufficient detail to enable judicial 
    review.” 138 S. Ct. at 2409
    . But “even assuming that some form of review is
    appropriate,” the Supreme Court still rejected “plaintiffs’
    request for a searching inquiry into the persuasiveness of the
    President’s justifications,” which would be “inconsistent with
    the broad statutory text and the deference traditionally
    accorded the President in this sphere.”
    Id. The majority
    ’s demand that the government explain the
    Proclamation’s factual findings, Maj. Op. 15–16, is thus
    directly contrary to the Supreme Court’s admonition that the
    President is “‘not required to conclusively link all of the
    pieces in the puzzle before [courts] grant weight to [his]
    empirical conclusions.’” 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2409
    (quoting
    Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project, 
    561 U.S. 1
    , 35 (2010)).
    The Constitution does not require the President to engage in
    the majority’s preferred “data-driven analysis” or “cost
    quantification,” nor does § 1182(f). Maj. Op. 17, 30. The
    court today thus shows a profound disrespect to the
    Executive, contrary to precedent. And the majority’s token
    acknowledgement that § 1182(f) “‘exudes deference to the
    President,’” Maj. Op. 28 (quoting 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    ), is no substitute for the actual deference owed to the
    President’s findings when those findings are under review.
    The majority opinion also errs in attempting to distinguish
    Trump v. Hawaii on the ground that the proclamation at issue
    there contained “extensive findings” following a
    “comprehensive” inter-agency review.           Maj. Op. 18
    (quotations omitted). As discussed above, Trump v. Hawaii
    rejected the premise that these findings were even necessary.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                           73
    
    See 138 S. Ct. at 2409
    (rejecting “plaintiffs’ request for a
    searching inquiry into the persuasiveness of the President’s
    justifications”). Nor did the Supreme Court in Trump v.
    Hawaii suggest that the quantum of findings at issue there
    represented a constitutional or statutory floor. Instead, Trump
    v. Hawaii referenced prior presidential proclamations that
    were just several sentences long.
    Id. As was
    the case with
    the proclamation in Trump v. Hawaii itself, Proclamation No.
    9945 is “more detailed” than those.
    Id. The notion
    that
    Trump v. Hawaii somehow supports today’s decision is thus
    plainly incorrect.
    Finally, the majority seriously errs in suggesting that
    because the government is seeking a stay of an injunction,
    which is an exercise of the court’s “discretion,” the
    government is not entitled to the deference that Trump v.
    Hawaii commands. Maj. Op. at 17. The procedural posture
    of a case is not a license to disregard the fundamental
    principle that “‘it is not the judicial role . . . to probe and test
    the justifications’ of immigration policies.” Hawaii, 138 S.
    Ct. at 2419 (quoting Fiallo v. Bell, 
    430 U.S. 787
    , 799 (1977)).
    The court’s approach loads the dice against the government
    any time a district court enjoins a government policy. Simply
    put, the deference that § 1182(f) “exudes,”
    id. at 2408
    , 
    does
    not evaporate whenever a single district court has enjoined a
    presidential policy and the government is seeking a stay.
    In any event, for all the court’s refusal to accept the
    Proclamation’s determination that immigrants are three times
    more likely than citizens to lack health insurance, the
    plaintiffs do not even contest this point. In fact, a report that
    plaintiffs’ own expert authored (which is referenced in his
    expert materials in this case) makes the very same
    observation: “[A]lmost half of all immigrants—here defined
    74                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    as noncitizen immigrants—are uninsured, a level that is about
    three times higher than for native-born citizens.” Leighton
    Ku, Why Immigrants Lack Adequate Access to Health Care
    and Health Insurance (Migration Policy Inst., Sept. 1, 2006).
    C
    Instead of giving the President any deference, the
    majority makes some findings of its own and then treats those
    as authoritative. Contrary to the Proclamation, the majority
    tells us there is no irreparable harm because, in fact, “the
    impact of uninsured immigrants on uncompensated healthcare
    costs is minimal.” Maj. Op. 18. For this, the majority relies
    on only a single source: the declaration of plaintiffs’ expert,
    Dr. Leighton Ku. See
    id. at 17.
    But exuding deference to
    Dr. Ku is not what the law allows.
    Dr. Ku is a professor of health policy. The only prior
    expert work he discloses is on behalf of plaintiffs who are
    challenging various immigration policies from the current
    presidential administration. Without any basis at all, Dr. Ku
    opines that “the President and the State Department, which is
    charged with implementing the [P]roclamation, failed to
    conduct a careful and reasoned analysis of the policy.”
    Dr. Ku criticizes the President for acting “without a reasoned
    approach to administrative rulemaking,” faulting the
    Executive for “fail[ing] to carefully consider the ramifications
    of this policy.” Dr. Ku further maintains that “if the President
    is concerned about reducing uncompensated care as
    expressed in the [P]roclamation, then it would make more
    sense to . . . expand[] Medicaid or other forms of health
    insurance, such as the health insurance marketplaces.” It
    should go without saying that the Constitution does not
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       75
    enshrine the unsupported legal opinions and transparent
    policy preferences of an unelected academic.
    The majority’s fealty to Dr. Ku is even more remarkable
    when one examines his conclusion that uninsured immigrants
    do not burden the American healthcare system. Dr. Ku asks
    in his declaration: “[W]hat is the value of uncompensated
    care provided to legally admitted immigrants who might have
    been affected by this [Proclamation]?” Dr. Ku then admits
    that “I am not aware of any information that accurately
    answers this question.”
    Id. (emphasis added).
    That is enough
    to disregard his opinion.
    Dr. Ku then proceeds to come up with an answer to the
    question on his own. But in arriving at the figures that the
    majority treats as definitive, Maj. Op. 16, Dr. Ku compares
    “recent immigrants” (those “who entered the U.S. within five
    years” of 2017) to “not recent immigrants” (“U.S. born-
    citizens and immigrants who have been in the U.S. for five
    years or more” (emphasis added)). This comparison does not
    even try to measure the cost of care provided to uninsured
    immigrants in the United States. No wonder even Dr. Ku in
    his own declaration “recognize[s] that this is not an ideal
    analysis.”
    An expert who has disqualified himself under Daubert v.
    Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 
    509 U.S. 579
    (1993),
    through his own admissions should not be the basis for
    enjoining a lawful presidential proclamation. If nothing else
    is clear under the Constitution and Supreme Court case law
    interpreting § 1182(f), it is that a professor’s self-described
    “not . . . ideal analysis” should not win out over the
    conclusions of the President. The majority’s elevation of
    Dr. Ku’s declaration over the Executive’s determinations in
    76                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    the Proclamation is a radical departure from settled law and
    a serious threat to the democratic process.
    The majority also refuses to give deference to the
    President based on its determination that “immigrants are
    more likely to represent favorable insurance risk[s] in [ACA]
    marketplaces because they tend to be relatively healthier than
    the normal insured population and use fewer healthcare goods
    and services.” Maj. Op. 17 (quotations omitted). The
    majority purports to locate this conclusion in “[t]he record”
    in this case.
    Id. But what
    the majority cites on this point, and what it calls
    “the record,” is really just an amicus brief from twenty-one
    States, the District of Columbia, and New York City, which
    was submitted in the district court. And what that amicus
    brief cites are the comments these same States submitted in
    response to a State Department notice describing how the
    Department would implement the Proclamation. These
    comments did not disclose any underlying data or undertake
    any apparent study of immigrant healthcare costs. See, e.g.,
    Covered Cal. Cmt. On DOS-2019-0039-0001 (Oct. 31, 2019),
    available at: https://www.regulations.gov/document?D=DOS-
    2019-0039-0241 (California’s three-and-a-half page letter).
    But regardless, it is quite circular for administrative
    comments that unsuccessfully “urge[d] the withdrawal” of
    Proclamation No. 9945,
    id., to wind
    up as authoritative when
    cited in the same commenters’ amicus brief challenging that
    very Proclamation.
    In short, the majority’s determination that the government
    has not made a showing of irreparable harm depends on its
    refusal to give the President any deference at all, contrary to
    precedent.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                               77
    V
    The government has shown an overwhelming likelihood
    of success on the merits, as well as irreparable harm. These
    factors are “the most critical” in the stay analysis, and only
    “[o]nce an applicant satisfies” these factors will the court
    consider “harm to the opposing party and weighing the public
    interest.” 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 434
    –35. Considering those third
    and fourth stay factors only confirms that the court should
    have issued a stay.
    A
    The majority opinion strives to create the impression that
    the named plaintiffs’ relatives were on the cusp of entering
    the United States and that only the Proclamation is holding
    them back. The majority thus asserts that “[t]he individual
    [p]laintiffs are seven U.S. citizens” whose “family members
    have successfully completed the traditional steps for
    obtaining an immigrant visa.” Maj. Op. 12–13. But that is
    untrue: most of plaintiffs’ relatives do not even have visa
    interviews scheduled and some have not submitted required
    documentation.3 The majority further states that plaintiffs’
    “family members had qualified for entry under established
    immigration policy.”
    Id. at 36.
    That is also untrue. Nor is
    there any basis for the majority’s scaled back assertion that
    the named plaintiffs’ relatives were “otherwise likely
    3
    The only exception is the relative of one named plaintiff who
    received an immigrant visa after the district court issued its injunction.
    Plfs.’ Notice of Additional Facts, Doe #1 v. Trump, Case No. 3:19-cv-
    01743-SI (D. Or.), ECF No. 123. But neither the Proclamation nor the
    district court’s injunction now have any bearing on this person. This
    section will thus discuss only the plaintiffs with any potential future harm,
    even if that harm is ultimately speculative.
    78                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    qualified for entry under § 1182(a)” for admission into the
    United States.
    Id. at 21.
    With the one exception noted above,
    see ante at 77 n.3, it is entirely speculative whether the named
    plaintiffs’ relatives will meet the numerous eligibility
    requirements and would be allowed to enter this country at
    all, regardless of Proclamation No. 9945.
    The majority fails to disclose that the named plaintiffs
    have only received approved I-130 petitions. A United States
    citizen files an I-130 petition with the U.S. Citizenship and
    Immigration Services (USCIS) or a consular official, on
    behalf of a relative who is seeking to become a permanent
    resident in the United States. 8 U.S.C. § 1154(a)(1)(A)(i);
    8 C.F.R. § 204.1(a)(1). Approval of an I-130 petition is “only
    the first step in the process” toward becoming a lawful
    permanent resident. Montoya v. Holder, 
    744 F.3d 614
    ,
    616 (9th Cir. 2014); see also Vasquez de Alcantar v. Holder,
    
    645 F.3d 1097
    , 1103 (9th Cir. 2011).
    Only then, after the alien proceeds through the queue,
    does the alien apply for a visa and the United States begin its
    review of any request for admission. Kerry v. Din, 
    135 S. Ct. 2128
    , 2131 (2015) (plurality op.) (“If and when a petition is
    approved, the alien may apply for a visa by submitting the
    required documents and appearing at a United States
    Embassy or consulate for an interview with a consular officer.
    Before issuing a visa, the consular officer must ensure the
    alien is not inadmissible under any provision of the INA.”)
    (citations omitted); 
    Montoya, 744 F.3d at 616
    . As we have
    recognized, “[t]he wait time for these immigrant visas can be
    considerable.” Landin-Molina v. Holder, 
    580 F.3d 913
    , 920
    n.8 (9th Cir. 2009); see also Scialabba v. Cuellar de Osorio,
    
    573 U.S. 41
    , 50 (2014) (plurality op.) (“All of this takes
    time—and often a lot of it . . . . A family-sponsored
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       79
    immigrant may stand in line for years—or even decades—just
    waiting for an immigrant visa to become available.”). There
    are also myriad reasons why a person may ultimately be
    denied entry. See 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a); 22 C.F.R. § 42.62. The
    Proclamation, of course, ensures that all these other
    requirements for admission remain intact.
    As the foregoing confirms, approval of an I-130 petition
    “cannot be the equivalent of inspection and authorization to
    enter and remain in the United States.” Vasquez de 
    Alcantar, 645 F.3d at 1103
    . It “does not confer any change in status.”
    Id.; see also Ngongo v. Ashcroft, 
    397 F.3d 821
    , 823 (9th Cir.
    2005). Instead, we have explained, approval of an I-130
    petition “does not raise [an] alien’s expectations” for
    permanent residence “above the level of hope.” 
    Montoya, 744 F.3d at 617
    (quotations omitted). The majority therefore
    errs in suggesting that plaintiffs’ relatives were qualified to
    become lawful permanent residents or were about to reach
    that status, but for the Proclamation.
    The named plaintiffs’ declarations only confirm this.
    When the district court issued its injunction, none of the
    plaintiffs’ relatives had consular interview dates scheduled,
    and seven such relatives are still awaiting interview dates.
    Doe #1, 
    2020 WL 1689727
    , at *6–7. Interviews aside,
    various plaintiffs were still working to submit the appropriate
    paperwork to apply for a visa when the injunction was issued.
    See Doe #2 Decl. ¶ 7 (“[W]e are currently working on the
    collection of information and documents . . . .”);
    id. ¶ 9
    (“I
    will need a joint sponsor in order to complete the affidavit of
    support section of my parents’ immigrant visa.”); Doe #3
    Decl. ¶ 9 (“[M]y husband and I have been working to gather
    the documents required for consular processing. Several
    times, we thought we had all of the paperwork submitted, but
    80                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    the government then requests additional, and different
    information from us.”); Ramos Decl. ¶ 12 (explaining that she
    is “in the process of gathering all the documents required by
    the consulate”). And many months later, at least two of
    plaintiffs’ relatives are still “collecting the necessary
    information.” Doe #1, 
    2020 WL 1689727
    , at *6. This only
    confirms that plaintiffs’ relatives are still in the middle of the
    visa process.
    Equally misplaced is the majority’s emphasis on certain
    family members who have received provisional I-601A
    waivers. See Maj. Op. 21. I-601A waivers are available to
    aliens in the consular visa process who have been unlawfully
    present in the United States and who are immediate relatives
    of U.S. citizens. See 8 U.S.C. § 1182(a)(9)(B)(i); 8 C.F.R.
    § 212.7(e). The I-601A waiver was developed to expedite the
    interview process by allowing applicants “who require a
    waiver of inadmissibility for unlawful presence to apply for
    such a waiver in the U.S. before they depart for an immigrant
    visa interview at a U.S. embassy or consulate abroad.”
    Romero v. Barr, 
    937 F.3d 282
    , 287 n.2 (4th Cir. 2019)
    (emphasis added).
    The grant of an I-601A waiver, like the approval of an I-
    130 petition, is thus a prefatory mechanism to facilitate the
    visa application process. It does not mean that plaintiffs’
    relatives were “otherwise likely qualified” for admission to
    the United States. Nor can the majority reasonably maintain
    that the Proclamation will result in family separation for
    persons with I-601A waivers. Maj. Op. 21. Once again,
    because there is no indication that plaintiffs’ relatives are
    otherwise admissible, it is impossible to say that any family
    separation is due to the Proclamation, as opposed to the
    numerous other requirements that our immigration laws
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         81
    impose. Given that plaintiffs’ relatives have not completed
    the visa process, the Proclamation is not the immediate (or
    future) cause of any alleged family separation.
    Finally, it also is not apparent that plaintiffs’ family
    members will be unable satisfy the Proclamation. The district
    court enjoined the Proclamation before it could take effect,
    allowing no chance for any person to even attempt to satisfy
    the Proclamation’s requirements. The Proclamation allowed
    the Secretary of State to “establish standards and procedures”
    to govern consular officers’ application of the Proclamation,
    84 Fed. Reg. 53993; due to the injunction, we cannot know
    how any such guidance would affect consular officers’
    determinations.
    Although the majority claims the plaintiffs “submitted
    evidence” that their relatives are unable to meet the
    Proclamation’s requirements, Maj. Op. 19, many of the
    plaintiffs’ declarations provide no details about their finances,
    the amount of income they or their relatives have available,
    or the prices of qualifying plans under the Proclamation. The
    Proclamation also gives the Secretary of State or his designee
    the ability to exempt aliens “whose entry would be in the
    national interest,” as determined on a “case-by-case basis.”
    84 Fed. Reg. 53993. For all these reasons, it is entirely
    speculative how the Proclamation will affect anyone who is
    still going through the immigration process.
    In short, the sincere “hope” that plaintiffs’ relatives will
    qualify for legal status is no substitute for actual evidence that
    plaintiffs’ relatives are entitled to visas but for the
    Proclamation. On that issue, there is no evidence at all.
    82                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    B
    The majority creates another misimpression in purporting
    to justify the injunction “based on evidence in the record” that
    the “Proclamation would cause significant harm to 21 states,
    the District of Columbia, and New York City if allowed to go
    into effect there.” Maj. Op. 37. The majority tells us that
    “[t]he record demonstrates” the “significant harm” these
    jurisdictions would suffer if the Proclamation is allowed to go
    into effect.
    Id. at 34–35
    (emphasis added). And the majority
    opinion further informs us this “evidence [was] credited by
    the district court, and that “[t]he government does not
    seriously contest this evidence.”
    Id. at 35
    (emphases added).
    These statements are, regrettably, quite misleading. The
    only source for the cited “evidence” is the amicus brief that
    twenty-one States, the District of Columbia, and New York
    City filed in the district court. The Supreme Court has
    instructed that “the stated desires of amici are no substitute
    for a class action, are not evidence in the case, and do not
    influence our decision; we examine an amicus curiae brief
    solely for whatever aid it provides in analyzing the legal
    questions before us.” Sony Corp. of Am. v. Universal City
    Studios, Inc., 
    464 U.S. 417
    , 434 n.16 (1984). The majority
    opinion violates these fundamental precepts. But it is,
    unfortunately, more problematic than that.
    The “evidence” of “significant harm” to the jurisdictions
    that joined the amicus brief consists of the following:
    thousands of persons in these States become lawful
    permanent residents each year, and immigrants “are vital to
    the economic, civic, and social fabric of our states and city.”
    Maj. Op. 35 (quotations omitted). These assertions cannot
    justify the district court’s injunction. It is of course true that
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                         83
    immigrants are vital to the economic and cultural life of our
    States and cities. But by this logic, any federal policy that
    reduces immigration could be enjoined on that basis, giving
    States and localities the power to negate federal immigration
    policy. The acknowledged contributions that immigrants
    make to our States are thus not grounds for enjoining the
    Executive Branch from recalibrating immigration rules in line
    with the President’s lawful policy goals. And it cannot be
    that State or local governments that oppose a presidential
    policy can have the policy enjoined through the commonplace
    act of joining a State-led amicus brief.
    C
    For all the reasons I have set forth, the public interest also
    strongly supports staying the injunction. 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 434
    . As we have recognized, the government’s interests
    and the public interest tend to merge since “responsible
    public officials . . . have already considered” the public
    interest in enacting the policy at issue. Golden 
    Gate, 512 F.3d at 1127
    . Our review of the public interest is thus
    “constrained,” and “it is beyond our province to evaluate the
    wisdom” of the Proclamation that the President chose to put
    in effect.
    Id. That is
    the result that the four stay factors require. The
    majority, however, adds a new, unauthorized stay factor:
    preservation of the status quo. Maj. Op. 35–36. The majority
    reasons that the “public interest lies with maintaining the
    status quo while the appeal is pending,” and that the status
    quo is a world without the Proclamation.
    Id. at 36.
    The
    majority is wrong on two levels. Circuit precedent is clear
    that maintenance of a “status quo” is not among the factors
    that courts consider in resolving a request to stay an
    84                     DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    injunction. And even if it were, the majority is wrong on
    what the status quo is.
    In Golden Gate Restaurant Association v. City and
    County of San Francisco, 
    512 F.3d 1112
    (9th Cir. 2008), we
    granted a motion to stay pending appeal a district court’s
    injunction of a San Francisco ordinance that required
    employers to make minimum healthcare expenditures to or on
    behalf of their employees. The employers argued that the
    City, in seeking a stay of the injunction and reinstitution of its
    ordinance pending appeal, “must meet a higher standard,”
    because “in [the employers’] view, a stay would change the
    status quo.”
    Id. at 1116.
    We disagreed. We held that the
    Supreme Court “did not include preservation of the status quo
    among the factors regulating the issuance of a stay.”
    Id. (quotations omitted).
    And we noted that “several of our sister
    circuits, in reviewing preliminary injunctions enjoining
    implementation of new legislation, have granted motions for
    stays of those injunctions pending appeal without weighing
    whether a stay would disturb or preserve the status quo.”
    Id. at 1117.
    Our decision in Golden Gate also demonstrates that the
    majority misperceives the status quo, even if it were a
    relevant consideration. As we explained in Golden Gate,
    “granting a stay” of the injunction “would, in a real sense,
    preserve rather than change the status quo,” because “[i]n the
    absence of the district court injunction” the ordinance “would
    now be part of the status quo.”
    Id. at 1116.
    The rules
    governing stays should be no different for an ordinance that
    requires employers to confer healthcare benefits (Golden
    Gate) than a rule requiring immigrants to demonstrate they
    will have qualifying health insurance (this case). As in
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        85
    Golden Gate, in the absence of the district court’s injunction,
    Proclamation No. 9945 would be part of the status quo.
    The true status quo is thus not a judicially created one.
    As I previously explained, “while the plaintiffs assume that
    the status quo is a world without the Presidential
    Proclamation, . . . the actual status quo is a legal environment
    in which the President possesses ‘sweeping proclamation
    power in § 1182(f),’ 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2408
    (quotations
    omitted), and in which Proclamation No. 9945 is therefore
    authorized.” Doe 
    #1, 944 F.3d at 1229
    (Bress, J., dissenting).
    A stay “simply suspend[s] judicial alteration of the status
    quo,” 
    Nken, 556 U.S. at 429
    , which is all the government is
    requesting here.
    The majority is therefore wrong to assert that “[i]n the
    government’s re-imagining of the status quo in this context,
    this factor would always tip in the government’s favor,
    effectively rendering the Court powerless to exercise its
    discretion on this factor in such instances.” Maj. Op. 36.
    That is not correct, because the government must meet the
    traditional Nken factors to earn a stay. See Planned
    Parenthood of Greater Tex. Surgical Health Servs. v. Abbott,
    
    134 S. Ct. 506
    , 507 (2013) (Scalia, J., concurring) (explaining
    that no “accepted standard” “require[s] a court to delay
    enforcement of a state law that the court has determined is
    likely constitutional on the ground that the law threatens
    disruption of the status quo”) (quotations omitted). It is
    instead the majority that is “re-imagining” the status quo and
    creating a rule that, contrary to Golden Gate, would require
    denying a stay of any injunction that blocks new policies
    from going into effect, because anything new can always be
    described as changing the status quo.
    86                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    VI
    We arrive at last at the scope of the injunction, which
    applies nationwide and to persons around the world seeking
    entry into the United States. My view, of course, is that there
    should be no injunction in the first place. But the extreme
    scope of the district court’s injunction presents new and
    troubling issues of its own.
    In a brief section, the court today blesses the district
    court’s injunction based on a class certification order entered
    months after the fact and the purported need for uniformity in
    immigration policy. See Maj. Op. 37–40. The majority’s
    approach—and the class certification decision it implicitly
    endorses—are procedurally and substantively flawed.
    Nationwide injunctions raise many fundamental questions
    about the proper use of judicial power. Perhaps for that
    reason, the Supreme Court has repeatedly stayed such
    injunctions pending appeal. See Innovation Law Lab, 
    2020 WL 1161432
    , at *1; New 
    York, 140 S. Ct. at 599
    ; E. Bay
    Sanctuary 
    Covenant, 140 S. Ct. at 3
    ; Int’l Refugee Assistance
    
    Project, 138 S. Ct. at 542
    ; 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 542
    . We
    should have done that ourselves in this case. Today’s
    decision unfortunately reflects yet another example of the
    misuse of universal injunctions and the misunderstanding of
    class certification on which they are so frequently premised.
    A
    Let’s begin with the sequence of events here, which
    should be cause for concern. When the district court issued
    its injunction in November 2019, no class had been certified
    and any putative “class members” were not parties to the
    case. See Smith v. Bayer Corp., 
    564 U.S. 299
    , 313–14
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                        87
    (2011). Under what I had thought was the law of our circuit,
    nationwide relief is only appropriate where “necessary to give
    prevailing parties the relief to which they are entitled.” 
    Azar, 911 F.3d at 581
    (emphasis in original and quotations
    omitted); see also New 
    York, 140 S. Ct. at 600
    (Gorsuch, J.,
    concurring) (“Equitable remedies, like remedies in general,
    are meant to redress the injuries sustained by a particular
    plaintiff in a particular lawsuit.”); Zepeda v. INS, 
    753 F.2d 719
    , 728 n.1 (9th Cir. 1983) (“Without a properly certified
    class, a court cannot grant relief on a class-wide basis.”).
    The district court’s injunction was thus vastly overbroad
    when issued. At that time, any injunction could at most have
    extended to the named plaintiffs, because no further
    injunction would have been necessary to give these plaintiffs
    relief. 
    Azar, 911 F.3d at 581
    . As I thus wrote many months
    ago when we were considering the government’s request for
    temporary emergency relief pending appeal, the district
    court’s universal injunction could not stand because it “short-
    circuits the procedures for class certification by giving
    thousands of persons not before the court the relief that the
    class certification process is designed to evaluate.” Doe 
    #1, 944 F.3d at 1228
    –29 (Bress, J., dissenting).
    Now fast-forward many months later. Months after
    briefing and argument in this court on the government’s
    motion for stay pending appeal—and nearly half a year after
    the district court first blocked the Proclamation from taking
    effect nationwide—the district court issued its class
    certification decision, certifying nationwide and worldwide
    classes. Doe #1, 
    2020 WL 1689727
    , at *17. The majority
    today relies on this later class certification decision to leave
    in place the district court’s earlier universal injunction. Maj.
    Op. 37.
    88                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    This is quite unsettling. The majority’s reliance on the
    district court’s recent class certification decision is a
    concession that until a short time ago, there was no valid
    basis for the district court to enjoin the Proclamation as to
    anyone but the named plaintiffs. Maj. Op. 37 (“[T]he
    injunction is appropriate at this juncture, whether or not it
    was when originally issued.”). Yet when the issue was
    presented to us four months ago, we refused to stay any
    portion of the nationwide injunction. See Doe 
    #1, 944 F.3d at 1228
    –29 (Bress, J., dissenting). That, in turn, allowed the
    district court to catch up to our deliberative process and issue
    the class certification ruling that supposedly justifies a
    universal injunction and without which the injunction could
    not stand.
    The problems with this course of events are innumerable.
    Blocking a presidential policy for many months nationwide,
    without justification, is no small thing. And by ratifying the
    scope of the district court’s injunction, the majority invites
    district courts to issue overbroad injunctions up front, only to
    be followed some months later by the class certification
    decisions that supposedly undergird them. This has it
    backwards. The scope of a preliminary injunction should be
    supported at the time it is issued, not months later and while
    the injunction is on appeal. The inversion of operations that
    the court tacitly approves today will only lead to path-
    dependency in the district courts, creating hydraulic pressure
    to certify a class in order to justify a previously issued
    nationwide injunction that is now on appeal. That is not how
    this process should work. Indeed, the government has not
    even yet had the opportunity to appeal the district court’s
    class certification ruling, which is now, per the majority’s
    opinion, the linchpin of the district court’s injunction. See
    Fed. R. Civ. P. 23(f).
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       89
    The majority opinion treats the district court’s disordered
    approach as “no harm, no foul” because this is the only case
    challenging Proclamation No. 9945. The majority tells us
    that “[n]o litigation challenging this Proclamation is pending
    elsewhere, alleviating concerns occasionally associated with
    nationwide injunctions,” namely, “that such injunctions
    deprive other courts from offering diverse perspectives on the
    legal issues while similar litigation is ongoing in multiple
    forums.” Maj. Op. 38.
    But why is there no other case challenging Proclamation
    No. 9945? The most likely reason is because the district
    court in this case blocked the Proclamation before it could
    even take effect. With an all-encompassing injunction in
    hand, no putative class member had any reason to bring suit
    elsewhere. Far from showing that the district court’s
    injunction poses no threat to the percolation of legal issues,
    the absence of parallel litigation on Proclamation No. 9945
    confirms that nationwide injunctions can, in fact, stymie the
    development of legal challenges. See E. Bay Sanctuary
    Covenant v. Barr, 
    934 F.3d 1026
    , 1029 (9th Cir. 2019); 
    Azar, 911 F.3d at 583
    . All of this was made possible by the district
    court’s decision to enjoin the Proclamation first and certify
    classes many months after the fact.
    B
    The district court’s universal injunction fails not only as
    a matter of procedure, but on substantive grounds as well.
    Nationwide injunctions of federal policies are increasingly
    common yet highly controversial. Some members of the
    Supreme Court have raised important concerns about them.
    See New 
    York, 140 S. Ct. at 600
    –01 (Gorsuch, J., concurring);
    
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 2425
    –29 (Thomas, J., concurring). This
    90                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    case underscores that the problem with nationwide
    injunctions often lies not merely in their equitable excess, see
    New 
    York, 140 S. Ct. at 600
    –01 (Gorsuch, J., concurring), but
    with a failure to take seriously the restrictions on class
    certification that Rule 23 imposes. The problem with many
    nationwide injunctions, in other words, is that they are
    premised on class certification orders that are themselves
    infirm. That is the case here.
    Class certification, “an exception to the usual rule that
    litigation is conducted by and on behalf of the individual
    named parties only,” is “proper only if the trial court is
    satisfied, after a rigorous analysis, that the prerequisites of
    Rule 23(a) have been satisfied.” Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. v.
    Dukes, 
    564 U.S. 338
    , 349–51 (2011) (quotations omitted).
    Most challenges to federal policies like the one before us seek
    injunctive relief classes under Rule 23(b)(2). But such
    classes are still subject to the strictures of Rule 23(a),
    including the core requirement that a case present “questions
    of law or fact common to the class.” Fed. R. Civ. P. 23(a)(2).
    That provision requires “not the raising of common
    ‘questions’—even in droves—but rather, the capacity of a
    class-wide proceeding to generate common answers apt to
    drive the resolution of the litigation.” 
    Wal-Mart, 564 U.S. at 350
    (emphasis in original and quotations omitted).
    The majority states without analysis that the universal
    injunction here “is also based on the certified subclasses,
    which eliminates some concern that a nationwide injunction
    is overly burdensome.” Maj. Op. 38–39. But even an initial
    glance at the two classes the district court certified shows that
    the class certification here was anything but proper. The first
    certified class, consisting of persons in the United States
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                      91
    petitioning for a family member to receive an immigrant visa,
    was defined as follows:
    (1) U.S. Petitioner Subclass:
    Individuals in the United States who currently
    have or will have an approved or pending
    petition to the United States government to
    sponsor a noncitizen family member for an
    immigrant visa; and whose sponsored family
    member is subject to the Proclamation and
    unable to demonstrate to a consular officer’s
    satisfaction that he or she “will be covered by
    approved health insurance” within 30 days
    after entry or will be able “to pay for
    reasonably foreseeable medical costs”; and
    Doe #1, 
    2020 WL 1689727
    , at *17.
    The central problem with this class definition is that
    whether the Proclamation will have any effect on putative
    class members depends on two determinations that are highly
    individualized: (1) whether the class member’s relative would
    be otherwise qualified for an immigrant visa but for
    Proclamation No. 9945; and (2) whether the class member’s
    relative could satisfy the Proclamation. Classwide injunctive
    relief under Rule 23(b)(2) is appropriate “only when a single
    injunction or declaratory judgment would provide relief to
    each member of the class.” 
    Wal-Mart, 564 U.S. at 360
    . And
    commonality under Rule 23(a) “requires the plaintiff to
    demonstrate that the class members have suffered the same
    injury.”
    Id. at 35
    0 (quotations omitted). “That common
    contention, moreover, must be of such a nature that it is
    capable of classwide resolution—which means that
    92                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    determination of its truth or falsity will resolve an issue that
    is central to the validity of each one of the claims in one
    stroke.”
    Id. In this
    case, this analysis cannot be done on a classwide
    basis, turning instead on highly individualized determinations
    about whether a given person would meet the INA’s various
    requirements for eligibility and whether, based on a person’s
    financial, family, medical, and employment situation, he
    would be able to satisfy the Proclamation. Indeed, the class
    definition on its face does not even require that the class
    members’ relatives be otherwise qualified for immigrant
    visas, and it ties class membership to the mere filing of a
    “petition,” which (as the district court acknowledged) is just
    “[t]he first step” in the visa application process. Doe #1,
    
    2020 WL 1689727
    , at *3. Persons in this situation have not
    even submitted the required documentation. In fact, the class
    is not even limited to persons who have “filed” a petition at
    all, but extends to anyone who “will” file one.
    It is no answer, as the district court suggested,
    id. at *12,
    that plaintiffs in this case are not seeking visa determinations.
    The premise of this entire lawsuit—and the asserted
    immediate need for the injunction—is that Proclamation No.
    9945 is the “but for” cause preventing plaintiffs’ relatives
    from obtaining immigrant visas. That is why the majority
    opinion goes to great lengths to assert, albeit inaccurately,
    that plaintiffs’ relatives were “otherwise likely qualified
    under § 1182(a)” for admission into the United States and had
    family members who “had qualified for entry under
    established immigration policy.” Maj. Op. 21, 36. Plaintiffs
    cannot make this point in seeking an injunction, but then
    ignore it when it comes to class certification.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       93
    The district court’s second class of “foreign nationals”
    has, if possible, even more problems under Rule 23. That
    class is defined as follows:
    (2) Visa Applicant Subclass:
    Individuals who are foreign nationals who
    (i) have applied for or will soon apply to the
    United States government for an immigrant
    visa; (ii) are otherwise eligible to be granted
    the visa; but (iii) are subject to the
    Proclamation and unable to demonstrate to the
    satisfaction of a consular officer that they
    “will be covered by approved health
    insurance” within 30 days after entry or will
    be able “to pay for reasonably foreseeable
    medical costs.”
    Doe #1, 
    2020 WL 1689727
    , at *17.
    The enormity of this class should be apparent: it includes
    persons in countries all over the world. The same
    individualized determinations described above for the U.S.
    class will be necessary for each member of this foreign
    nationals class, except the determinations will be even more
    difficult to accomplish when class members applying for
    admission are located outside this country. In fact, this class
    is not even limited to persons who have applied for visas, but
    extends to those who “will soon apply”—a term of uncertain
    scope that requires consideration of yet more individualized
    issues. It is impossible to know today who, if anyone, will
    actually benefit from class certification since we do not know
    who otherwise qualifies for a visa to the United States or who
    will be unable to satisfy the Proclamation’s requirements.
    94                         DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    In short, the idea that “class certification” is the
    incantation needed for a nationwide injunction misses the
    point that Rule 23 is designed to impose limits on broad
    relief, not to grease it. The above discussion is not intended
    to exhaust the problems with the district court’s class
    certification decision. But it shows that in this case, the
    injunction’s extraordinary and improper scope depends on a
    class certification ruling that does not withstand scrutiny
    under Rule 23. One suspects that many of the current issues
    with nationwide injunctions can be traced to misapplications
    of Rule 23. That is, at least, the case here.4
    C
    Finally, the majority opinion errs in justifying the district
    court’s universal injunction based on “the need for a
    comprehensive and unified immigration policy.” Maj. Op. 39
    (quotations omitted). It is of course true that many cases
    from the Supreme Court and this court emphasize the
    importance of a uniform immigration policy. E.g., Arizona
    v. United States, 
    567 U.S. 387
    , 401 (2012); Lemus v. Lynch,
    
    842 F.3d 641
    , 649 (9th Cir. 2016). But the original context
    of these statements was the interpretation of federal
    immigration law. That is true of the lead cases the majority
    cites as well. See Maj. Op. 39 (citing Arizona and Kahn v.
    INS, 
    36 F.3d 1412
    , 1414 (9th Cir. 1994)).
    4
    The majority suggests that “provisional” class certification is a basis
    for nationwide relief at the preliminary injunction stage. Maj. Op. 37.
    Despite its softer-sounding name, provisional class certification is still
    governed by the requirements of Rule 23. E.g., Meyer v. Portfolio
    Recovery Assocs., LLC, 
    707 F.3d 1036
    , 1041–42 (9th Cir. 2012);
    Valentino v. Carter-Wallace, Inc., 
    97 F.3d 1227
    , 1234–35 (9th Cir. 1996).
    In any event, the district court had not certified a class—provisionally or
    otherwise—when it entered the injunction in this case.
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                       95
    In more recent times, however, our circuit has co-opted
    the policy of promoting uniform immigration laws as a
    justification for courts issuing nationwide injunctions of
    Executive Branch immigration policies. See, e.g., East Bay
    Sanctuary Covenant, 
    950 F.3d 1242
    , 1283–84 (9th Cir. 2020).
    The fit is not a good one. That there can be an interest in
    having uniform immigration policies does not mean it is the
    courts that can set those uniform policies. That is a decidedly
    different question.
    Whether Congress intended a uniform policy in statutes
    like the INA says nothing about whether—when courts are
    enjoining the immigration policies of democratically elected
    officials—it is preferable to go big instead of small. Indeed,
    if uniform immigration policy is the value to be prized above
    all else, nationwide injunctions will always be necessary,
    contrary to our cases. See E. Bay Sanctuary 
    Covenant, 934 F.3d at 1029
    (rejecting the view that a nationwide
    injunction is appropriate “any time an enjoined action has
    potential nationwide effects,” which “would turn broad
    injunctions into the rule rather than the exception”). Perhaps
    unsurprisingly, when we recently invoked the interest in
    uniform immigration laws in allowing a nationwide
    injunction, the Supreme Court stepped in and stayed the
    injunction. Innovation Law Lab v. Wolf, 
    951 F.3d 1073
    ,
    1094–95 (9th Cir. 2020), stay granted, 
    2020 WL 1161432
    ,
    at *1.
    In this case, the majority opinion tells us that “a more
    limited injunction of the Proclamation would needlessly
    complicate” immigration enforcement, whereas a nationwide
    injunction “promotes uniformity in administering federal
    immigration law.” Maj. Op. 39–40 (citing East Bay
    Sanctuary 
    Covenant, 950 F.3d at 1284
    ). But it is the
    96                    DOE #1 V. TRUMP
    Executive Branch, not the courts, that are charged with
    enforcing the immigration laws. And in this court, the
    government maintains it is better policy for the injunction to
    be narrowed, preferring a more limited enforcement of the
    Proclamation to none at all. If the scope of an injunction
    should turn on which approach is superior for “administering
    federal immigration law,” Maj. Op. 39–40, why should our
    view on that question prevail? It is unfortunate that courts
    have injected themselves into debates such as this, which are
    far outside our role and competence.
    It is thus somewhat fitting that the majority opinion
    invokes as authority for the district court’s nationwide
    injunction and the “uniformity of immigration law” rationale
    our circuit’s decision in Hawaii v. Trump, 
    878 F.3d 662
    (9th
    Cir. 2017). Maj. Op. 39 (citing the decision for the
    proposition that “[b]ecause this case implicates immigration
    policy, a nationwide injunction was necessary to give
    Plaintiffs a full expression of their rights”). As the majority
    must quickly acknowledge, the cited decision was then “rev’d
    on other grounds” by the Supreme Court in Trump v. Hawaii,
    Maj. Op. 39—a decision that vacated our court’s nationwide
    injunction and the very case that confirms Proclamation No.
    9945 is a valid exercise of the President’s authority. In fact,
    the referenced decision from this court in the Trump v.
    Hawaii litigation, and this court’s discussion of uniformity in
    immigration law, was handed down after the Supreme Court
    had already stayed the nationwide injunction in full pending
    appeal. 
    Hawaii, 138 S. Ct. at 542
    ; Hawaii v. Trump, 
    878 F.3d 675
    , 701 (9th Cir. 2017).
    The uniformity we should have pursued is the uniformity
    of decision with Trump v. Hawaii. That would have required
    DOE #1 V. TRUMP                     97
    staying in full the district court’s improper and overbroad
    injunction. Because we do not do so, I respectfully dissent.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 19-36020

Filed Date: 5/4/2020

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 5/5/2020

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